Another six-game slate, and another Throwdown!
NBL Round 7 tips off on Friday night as the Wildcats travel to Adelaide to face the 36ers, followed by another edition of the Throwdown rivalry between Melbourne and the Phoenix on Saturday.
With two games each, it’s a big round for the Wildcats, Phoenix and 36ers, especially with all three playing catch up to the 8-1 Kings atop the ladder.
As always, we’ve previewed every game and analysed each market to find you some winners below!
Friday, November 15, 7:30pm, Adelaide Entertainment Centre
Following a pair of blowout losses last weekend it’s only fitting that these two sides meet on Friday night.
The 36ers have slumped to sixth on the ladder after suffering their third straight defeat at the hands of Melbourne last Sunday. Adelaide lost by 19-points to United on just 26-of-54 shooting from the field, while the 36ers’ poor shooting from beyond the arc didn’t help matters either.
Perth’s season also took a slight turn last week as the Wildcats lost by 19-points to the Kings in Sydney. Perth find themselves third on the ladder now at 9-6, but with two games ahead in Round 7, there’s ample opportunity to make up ground.
The Wildcats have now lost two games away from home, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies from favouring Perth by 3.5-points. The Wildcats have won two-straight games over the 36ers, although they haven’t won in Adelaide since 2018.
There is some value on Perth at their current price but the safer play might be on the Total with these two teams struggling for consistency. Adelaide’s last three home games against Perth have gone Over the Total, so take this one to be high-scoring.
Tip: Over 187.5 Total Points @ $1.90
S.E. Melbourne Phoenix
Saturday, November 16, 5pm, Melbourne Arena
Throwdown 3 gets underway on Saturday with the ledger all square at one win apiece.
The bookies have favoured United in this one after Melbourne comfortably beat the Phoenix 110-98 a fortnight ago.
After a slow start to the season Dean Vickerman’s side has suddenly strung together four wins on the trot, but there is something to be said about the Phoenix’s convincing bounce-back win over the Breakers last week.
It’s still early in the season but this game could go a long way to determining the finals picture. A win for the Phoenix could see them close the gap on the Kings atop the ladder, while a win for United would ensure them a spot inside the top four for another week.
Both Throwdown games so far have been a bit of a dart throw. The only real trend has been both games going Over the Total, so it’s probably best to steer clear of anything else.
Tip: Over 194.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Saturday, November 16, 8pm, Cairns Convention Centre
There’s plenty of value on offer in this one between two teams that continue to frustrate punters.
The Taipans’ season went from bad to worse last week as they slumped to their second-straight loss to the Hawks. Cairns finds themselves at 2-6 alongside the Breakers and Illawarra with the Bullets coming to town, and if this game turns out anything like their Round 2 meeting, the Taipans could be in some real trouble.
Cairns lost by 16-points to Brisbane this time last month as Nathan Sobey enjoyed a big 21-point game. The Bullets shot 60% against the Taipans, which makes Brisbane hard to back against as they look to rebound from their loss to the Kings last week.
Both teams play only one game in Round 7, which makes a win even more important as the schedule gets tougher. Trusting either team is hard, but the Bullets should silence some of their doubters in a low-scoring game.
Tip: Back the Bullets to Win & Under 174.5 Total Points @ $3.29
Sunday, November 17, 3pm, Qudos Bank Arena
The line says it all in this one as our bookmakers are favouring the Kings by double-digits.
Sydney won big over the Wildcats last week to cement themselves as the Grand Final favourites, but the Kings will have revenge on their mind as they hope to snap their two-game losing streak to the Hawks on Sunday.
Illawarra beat the Kings by double-digits when these two met back in January after holding on to a seven-point victory at home a week prior. A lot has changed since then though, as the Hawks have managed only two wins so far this season.
To their credit, Illawarra did work hard for a 10-point win over the Taipans last week. Considering the Hawks have averaged the fewest points in the league however, this one isn’t worth overcomplicating.
Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) @ $1.90
New Zealand Breakers
Sunday, November 17, 5pm, RAC Arena
Perth heads home on short rest following their trip to Adelaide on Friday night.
So far the Wildcats have won three of their four home games, while on the flip side, the Breakers are yet to win a game on the road.
New Zealand has struggled against Perth in recent years having won only one of their last seven meetings. The Breakers beat the Wildcats at home last year, however they haven’t won out West since 2017.
Perth has plenty of work to do this season as they find themselves sitting third on the ladder. Heading into Round 7 on the heels of a blowout loss to the Kings last weekend, the Wildcats will have a point to prove this week – especially at home against a much weaker opponent.
Tip: Back the Wildcats 11+ @ $2.50
S.E. Melbourne Phoenix
Monday, November 18, 7:30pm, Melbourne Arena
This is a big weekend for two teams backing up on short rest.
The Phoenix head back home after Throwdown 3 on Saturday, while the 36ers will do it much tougher hitting the road following their home game against Perth on Friday night.
It was hardly a thriller when these two sides got together back in Round 4 as the Phoenix walked away with a comfortable 101-91 victory. Mitch Creek and John Roberson combined for 40-points, while the 36ers managed to shoot only 25% from three.
The 36ers have won only one of their four games on the road this year, which makes the line look a safe play. South East Melbourne has been the second-best team when it comes to covering the spread this year with a 4-3 record, so back the Phoenix to win comfortably again.
Tip: Back the Phoenix to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.92
It is another big weekend of action in the NBL and there are a host of interesting matches set to take place.
The Perth Wildcats have lost only one game this season and have the chance to extend their lead on top of the NBL Ladder when they take on the New Zealand Breakers twice this season, while the Adelaide 36ers and Illawarra Hawks are also in action twice.
Throw in another huge game between Melbourne United and the Sydney Kings and this is a vitally important round, so we have analysed all the action and our complete 2018/2019 NBL Round 7 tips can be found below.
Thursday November 22, 7:50pm, Brisbane Convention Centre
The Brisbane Bullets have suffered three tough wins on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Illawarra Hawks as clear favourites.
The Bullets have not been disgraced in either of their defeats at the hands of the Perth Wildcats, New Zealand Breakers or Melbourne United, but they have lacked composure at key moments.
Winning as favourites has been a serious issue for the Bullets and they have lost their past four games as home favourites.
The Hawks also bring losing form into this clash and they have won only one of their past five games.
They have won only three of their past 11 games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.
This is a game that the market does look to have just about right and I’m happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
New Zealand Breakers
Friday November 23, 5:20pm, Spark Arena
There is very little in betting between the New Zealand Breakers and the Perth Wildcats.
Perth have won the past three games played between the two sides, but it is New Zealand that will start this game as narrow favourites.
The Breakers have won only six 0f their past 13 games as home favourites and they are a poor 4-1-8 against the line in this scenario.
Perth have now won five games on the trot, two of which were in overtime, and winning away from home is not an issue for this side.
They have won four of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear profit and there is no doubt that they are currently the benchmark in the NBL.
There is no reason that Perth can’t continue their winning ways and they are great value to do exactly that.
Back Perth To Win @ $1.95
Friday November 23, 7:50pm, Titanium Security Arena
It should come as no surprise that the Adelaide 36ers are the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend.
Adelaide ended their own losing run with a comfortable victory over the Illawarra Hawks and they face a Cairns Taipans outfit that has lost seven games on the trot.
The 36ers have won 12 of their past 16 games as home favourites and they have covered the line in all but one of these wins.
Cairns suffered a heart-breaking overtime loss to the Perth Wildcats last weekend and it doesn’t get any easier for them in this clash.
The Taipans have won only three of their past 14 games on the road and they are a very poor 5-9 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the Adelaide 36ers should be able to win comfortably and they are the safest bet of the weekend.
Back Adelaide To Cover The Line (-6.5 Points)
Saturday November 24, 2:50pm, Melbourne Arena
Both Melbourne United and the Sydney Kings are in outstanding form and this is easily the game of the weekend.
Melbourne have won the past eight games played between the two sides and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
They have now won an incredible 17 of their past 19 games at home and backing them against the line as home favourites has proven to be a profitable betting play.
Sydney have bounced back from their slow start to the season to claim five wins from their past six games and they were dominant against the New Zealand Breakers last weekend.
They have won four of their past eight games as away underdogs, but it is hard to ignore their poor record against Melbourne United.
It is the home court advantage that does give Melbourne United the edge in this clash and they can continue their winning ways.
Back Melbourne United To Cover The Line (-1.5 Points)
Sunday November 25, 2:50pm, WIN Entertainment Centre
This is the second game of the weekend for both these sides.
The Illawarra Hawks may have the home court advantage, but the Adelaide 36ers have won the past four games played between these two sides and will go into this clash as favourites.
Adelaide have won two of their past four games as away favourites, but they are only a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.
Illawarra have won two of their past five games as home underdogs and they have covered the line in three of their past five games in this situation.
The Hawks are often underrated by the market and I’m happy to back them at the line, in what looks set to be a very close game.
Back Illawarra To Cover The Line (+1.5 Points)
New Zealand Breakers
Sunday November 25, 5:20pm, RAC Arena
This is the second game between these two teams this weekend.
It should come as no real surprise that the New Zealand Breakers don’t have a great record in Perth and their overall record on the road is poor.
They have won only three of their past 13 games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is no better.
Perth have won nine of their past 14 games as home favourites and they have covered the line in eight of these wins.
The Wildcats should beat the Breakers again and the line of 6.5 points will not be enough.
Back Perth To Cover The Line (-6.5 Points)
The NBL continues to produce the goods this season and we are set for another big weekend of action.
The New Zealand Breakers have now opened up a clear gap at the top of the NBL Ladder and the Sydney Kings are dead last, but there is very little between the other sides in the competition.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NBL this weekend and our complete 2017 NBL Round 7 tips can be found below.
Thursday November 16, 7:30pm, WIN Entertainment Centre
Illawarra Hawks 97 - Sydney Kings 93
The Illawarra Hawks have won three games on the trot and they will start this clash with the Sydney Kings as clear favourites.
Illawarra have won only six of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are 5-6 against the line in this scenario.
They did beat the Kings the last time they met, but their record against their rivals at home is extremely poor.
Sydney have won only five of their past six games, but the signing of reigning NBL MVP Jerome Randle is a coup for the side and he could prove to be a massive difference-maker.
The Kings have won only three of their past 11 games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is no better.
Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting perspective and this is a game that I am happy to stay out of.
Friday November 17, 7:30pm, Brisbane Entertainment Centre
Brisbane Bullets 85 - Perth Wildcats 90
The Brisbane Bullets returned to winning form against the Cairns Taipans, but they will still start this clash as clear underdogs.
Brisbane have won four of their past five games as home underdogs for a huge profit and this is a position in which they clearly thrive.
The Perth Wildcats suffered a pair of losses at the hands of the New Zealand Breakers last weekend and they have lost their past two games as home favourites.
This is a tough road-trip for Perth and the Bullets do offer excellent value at their current price of $2.20.
Back Brisbane To Win @ $2.20
Saturday November 18, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide 36ers 108 - Sydney Kings 93
The Sydney Kings’ signing of Jerome Randle has added a very-interesting subplot to this clash.
The Adelaide 36ers have lost three games on the trot, but they will still start this clash as favourites and they have won their past seven games against the Kings.
Adelaide have won nine of their past 14 games as home favourites and they are 8-6 against the line in this scenario.
Sydney are on the quick back-up from their game against Illawarra and it really doesn’t get any easier for them.
The Kings have won only three of their past 11 games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
Adelaide should win this game comfortably and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.
Back Adelaide To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
Saturday November 18, 7:30pm, Cairns Convention Centre
Cairns Taipans 87 - Illawarra Hawks 66
The Cairns Taipans have won only two of their past eight games, but they will still start this clash with the Illawarra Hawks as favourites.
Cairns had their chances against the Brisbane Bullets, but they failed to capitlize and their start to the season has been worrying.
The Taipans have won seven of their past 12 games as home favourites for a loss and they are 5-7 against the line in this scenario.
Winning on the road has not been an issue for the Hawks and they have won nine of their past 20 games as away underdogs for a big profit.
Taking on Cairns have proven to be a profitable betting play this season and the Hawks are capable of claiming another upset win.
Back Illawarra To Win @ $2.20
New Zealand Breakers
Sunday November 19, 1:00pm, Spark Arena
New Zealand Breakers 90 - Brisbane Bullets 82
The New Zealand Breakers are the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend.
New Zealand have lost only one game in the NBL this season and they stamped themselves as NBL Championship favourites with their pair of wins over the Perth Wildcats.
The Breakers have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites and their record is identical against the line.
Brisbane will be on the quick back-up after playing Perth on Friday and their record on the road has been poor.
The Bullets have won just one of their past ten games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.
New Zealand can maintain their winning streak and cover the big line in the process.
Back New Zealand To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)
Sunday November 19, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena
Melbourne United 59 - Perth Wildcats 91
This is the biggest game of the weekend in the NBL.
Melbourne United have won three of their past four games, but their record against the Perth Wildcats is extremely poor – Perth have won the past five games played between these two sides.
In saying that, Melbourne have won nine of their past 11 games as home favourites and their record against the line is just as strong.
Winning away from home is not an issue for the Perth Wildcats.
They have won six of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a profit and their record against the line is 7-5 in this scenario.
This is a game that the market looks to have gotten just about right and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.
We are now over a third into the 2016/2017 NBL season and the ladder is now starting to take shape.
There are plenty of crucial games this weekend, but it is unlikely that any will be bigger than the Sunday afternoon battle between the Illawarra Hawks and the New Zealand Breakers.
All six games in round seven of the NBL season are very interesting betting affairs and you can find our thoughts as well as potential betting plays for every single game below.
Thursday November 17, 9:30pm, Perth Arena
Perth Wildcats 93 - Sydney Kings 80
The Perth Wildcats suffered a rare defeat in front of their home fans against the New Zealand Breakers and they will go into this clash as underdogs.
This will be the first time that Perth have started a game at home as underdogs in over 12 months and they have won 17 of their past 19 games in front of their home fans.
Sydney bounced back from their loss at the hands of the Brisbane Bullets to beat Melbourne United and they still sit on top of the NBL Ladder.
The Kings have actually lost two of their past three games as away favourites and their record away from home is very poor.
Perth can bounce back in front of their home fans and they are a good bet to get the job done.
Back Perth To Win @ $2
New Zealand Breakers
Friday November 18, 5:30pm, North Shore Events Centre
New Zealand Breakers 100 - Illawarra Hawks 85
The New Zealand Breakers have won four of their past five games and they will go into this clash with the Illawarra Hawks as clear favourites.
New Zealand have won ten of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear profit, but they are 7-8 against the line in this scenario.
Illawarra will go into this clash on the back of two wins over Melbourne United and the Adelaide 36ers, but they will still start as clear favourites.
Hawks have won just two of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are just three-9 against the line in this situation.
This is one game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Friday November 18, 7:30pm, Hisense Arena
Melbourne United 84 - Cairns Taipans 79
Melbourne United have lost five games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
Much was expected of Melbourne United at the start of the season, but they have failed to fire and betting against them has been highly profitable.
Melbourne have won six of their past 13 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a particularly poor 4-9 against the line.
Cairns had their winning run at home ended by the Brisbane Bullets in controversial circumstances, but their recent form has been good.
Winning away from home has been a big issue for Cairns and they have won just two of their past 12 games as away underdogs, while they are 5-7 against the line in this scenario.
Despite Cairns’ struggles away from home, it is still tough to back Melbourne United with any confidence and this is another match that I am happy to stay out of.
Saturday November 19, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena
Adelaide 36ers 87 - Brisbane Bullets 105
Adelaide have lost three games on the trot and this is almost a must-win clash.
The 36ers will still start this clash as favourites and they have won seven of their past eight games in this scenario, while they are 6-2 against the line.
Brisbane returned to winning form on the road against the Cairns Taipans and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence.
The Bullets have won two of their past five games as away underdogs this season for a clear profit, but they have the same record against the line.
Adelaide won when these teams did battle earlier this season and they should be able to return to winning form.
Back Adelaide To Win @ $1.83
Saturday November 19, 7:30pm, Qudos Bank Arena
Sydney Kings 83 - Perth Wildcats 72
This is another clash in which both teams will be facing off for the second time in less than a week.
Sydney are set to start this clash as clear favourites and they have won five of their past six games as home favourites, while they are 4-2 against the line in this scenario.
Perth have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are 3-4 against the line.
Home court advantage should prove crucial in this clash and Sydney are a great bet to cover the line of 4.5 points.
Back Sydney To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
New Zealand Breakers
Sunday November 20, 3:00pm, Win Entertainment Centre
Illawarra Hawks 109 - New Zealand Breakers 78
These teams will do battle for the second time this weekend after squaring off across the Tasman on Friday.
New Zealand will still start this clash as favourites and their record as the punter’s elect away from home is a fairly disappointing 2-2.
Illawarra have only started two games in the past 12 months as home underdogs and they go the job done in both, while they have won 13 of their past 16 games in front of their fans.
It is tough to see how Illawarra will not go into this clash as favourites and they are one of the best value bets of the week at their current price.
Back Illawarra To Win @ $1.95