We’re no closer to determining a Super Bowl favourite, but we sure do have a few dark horses in mind!
It was another big week of upsets and storylines last week, most of which centered around Fitzmagic, missed field goals and you guessed it, another tie.
With the Cincinnati Bengals, Jacksonville Jaguars, Kansas City Chiefs, Los Angeles Rams, Miami Dolphins and Tampa Bay Buccaneers left as the only remaining undefeated teams, it’s time to look ahead and take a glimpse at the week ahead.
We’ve analysed all 16 games, and as always, there’s plenty of value and upset possibilities ahead, so be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 3 Preview below.
Cleveland Browns Vs New York Jets
Friday 21 September, 10:20am, FirstEnergy Stadium
The Browns keep coming up with new ways to lose, but at least they’re sticking to the script.
An upset over the Saints in the Superdome would have been huge, but Cleveland one-upped themselves with another missed field goal in overtime to send the Saints home with an undeserved win.
Likewise, the Jets also toyed with our emotions, coming back from 20-points down in the third quarter to go on and lose by 12 to the Miami Dolphins.
Two years ago this game would have been seen as another Friday fizzler, but with both teams featuring some young and explosive talent, this has the makings of a potential shootout.
For the Jets, last week came down to two things: special teams and third down. Sam Darnold throwing two picks doesn’t help, but when you constantly have to begin a drive inside your own 10-yard line, you’re making life extremely difficult for your rookie quarterback.
At the same time the offensive line also needs to protect on third down. Darnold was sacked three times last week, and it’s no wonder the running game tallied just 42-yards with such spotty blocking.
Much of the same could also be said for the Browns, however Cleveland have much bigger issues to address.
The Browns found themselves in the red zone only once last week against the Saints, and with such serious kicker woes, points look hard to come by all of a sudden.
New York have won the last three meetings between these two, and are 4-1 head-to-head when playing the Browns on the road.
At these kind of odds, the Jets are great value this week.
Tip: Back the Jets To Win @ $2.55
Atlanta Falcons Vs New Orleans Saints
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium
The Falcons prepare for a second-straight NFC South clash this week after holding on for a narrow seven-point victory over the Panthers last weekend.
It wasn’t anything special, but Atlanta certainly improved from their Week 1 loss to the Eagles. The Falcons were 4/4 in the red zone, and most importantly spread the ball around between star wide receiver Julio Jones, rookie Calvin Ridley and tight end Austin Hooper.
As for the Saints, what can you say? New Orleans nearly made history last week losing to the Browns, and if weren’t for Will Lutz’s clutch field goal kicking, the Saint are probably 0-2 right now.
Either we’re overreacting too early, or for the first time in a long time these two teams look seriously unmatched.
Drew Brees is still slinging it in the air, but the Saints’ run-game is missing its usual oomph with Mark Ingram still serving a suspension.
Speaking of the ground game, the Falcons received some bad news last week, which does open the door for a potential Saints upset.
Star running back Devonta Freeman is set to miss two/three weeks with a knee injury, which now burdens the entire workload on back up Tevin Coleman.
Fortunately for the Falcons however, Coleman is more than capable of shouldering the load, especially on short screen passes.
Atlanta hold a strong record at home against New Orleans, having not lost since 2016. The defence has been in a league of its own this year, dishing out lethal hits – even if they are illegal.
If the secondary continues to play with a chip on their shoulder, they should make life tough for this one-dimensional looking Saints team.
Tip: Back the Falcons 7-12 @ $5.00
Washington Redskins Vs Green Bay Packers
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, FedEx Field
You could blame Green Bay’s blown lead last week on a stiff roughing the passer call on Clay Matthews, but the game management in the final two-minutes was rather poor from head coach Mike McCarthy.
With a lead in hand, the Packers should have run the ball inside Vikings territory. Long story short, the Vikings held their two times out, and eventually squeaked out a draw.
For the Redskins, things weren’t quite as complicated at home against the Colts. Simply put, the running game was non-existent, and so was the pass rush, managing just one sack all game.
With the Packers finally hitting the road though, this game does look interesting. The last time Green Bay played Washington was in 2016, a game McCarthy’s team lost 24-42 on the road.
Fast forward, things are a little different now, but a lot relies not only the health of Aaron Rodgers’ knee, but also how well the Green Bay defence can adapt to Washington’s strong wide receiver corp.
In good news for the Packers, they are 6-2 head-to-head when they play the Redskins, which only helps strengthen their cause with running back Aaron Jones returning from suspension.
The running game has played surprisingly well in brief spurts this season, mainly thanks to some creative Ty Montgomery play calls and the strength of Jamaal Williams.
The Redskins struggled to defend the run against Indianapolis last week, surrendering 104-yards and a touchdown to the Colts’ committee.
That’s the exact approach we should expect from Green Bay, and coupled with a fast start to the year from Davante Adams, the Pack should have this one comfortably in the end.
Tip: Back the Packers 13-18 @ $11.00
Philadelphia Eagles Vs Indianapolis Colts
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Andrew Luck looks strong and comfortable in the pocket, even though his interception tally suggests otherwise.
Through two games, Luck has thrown three picks, which doesn’t exactly fill punters with confidence as the Colts prepare to travel to Philly this week.
If the Buccaneers can do it though, surely Indianapolis can, right?
The Bucs had home-field advantage on their side, but they made short work of the Eagles defence last week. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 17 first downs in Tampa’s 27-21 win, while the feared Philly pass rush managed only a pair of sacks.
So are the Colts in with a chance here?
Indy’s 4-2 record at the line in their last six games is impressive, however their 2-7 record head-to-head is quite the opposite.
If the Colts do want to win this game though, they’ll need to account for one important factor: Carson Wentz.
The Eagles star quarterback is set to make his long awaited return to the field after sustaining a season-ending knee injury last season, and if he’s in sync with his receivers, look out.
Since there’s still no word on Eagles receiver Alshon Jeffery however, Wentz won’t have everything his way. The Colts pass rush needs to show up if they wish to win this game, because there’s nothing more nervy than a returning quarterback from a string of knee injuries.
Tip: Under 48 Total Points @ $1.91
Minnesota Vikings Vs Buffalo Bills
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, US Bank Stadium
Bills cornerback Vontae Davis retired at half time during last week’s loss to the Chargers, so at least things can’t get any worse… right?
Buffalo are no doubt in for a long season, and if Josh Allen has anything to say about it, it’s going to be extra painful.
The first round draft pick threw a pair of interceptions last week, but like Nathan Peterman a week earlier, he was hardly helped out by a stagnant Bills running game.
On a more positive note, the Vikings appear to be firing on all cylinders. The Kirk Cousins trade has worked out perfectly, with the veteran throwing for 425-yards and four touchdowns against a tough Packers defence.
Minnesota were a field goal (or three) away from the winning that game, but they now have a chance to get their season back on track and potentially claim the outright division lead this week.
Surprisingly enough, the Bills have won two of the last three encounters between these two teams, however Minnesota’s 13-2-1 record in their last 16 games makes it impossible to back against the favourites.
Tip: Back the Vikings 19-24 @ $4.75
Miami Dolphins Vs Oakland Raiders
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
The Dolphins grinded out a hard-fought win over the Jets last week, in large part thanks to a strong performance from the defence.
Racking up 13 tackles, Kiko Alonso was huge when it came to stopping the run, while the likes of third-year corner Xavien Howard helped limit New York to just three third down conversions.
Surprisingly, Miami are 2-0 to start the season, and unsurprisingly, the Raiders are 0-2.
Oakland had its chance against the Broncos last week up two-points with less than two minutes to go, but once again failed to play defence. Case Keenum marched all the way down to the 18-yard line to set up the game-winning field goal, further casting doubt surrounding the Khalil Mack trade.
It’s been a disastrous start to the season for the Raiders, and although it’s only Week 2, you can’t help but feel the hot seat already burning for head coach Jon Gruden.
Things don’t get any easier this week with a trip to Miami, either. Ryan Tannehill’s numbers have been rather quiet to start the season, however the Dolphins’ 8-2 record in their last 10 games against the Raiders suggests this one could be one-sided.
To make matters worse, the Raiders are also 2-7 head-to-head in their last nine games on the road in Miami. The defence is issue numero uno, but a lack of spark from quarterback Derek Carr is costing this team during their very limited red zone trips.
Three consecutive losses looks likely against this Miami D in what is already becoming another lost season for the Raiders.
Tip: Back the Dolphins 7-12 @ $4.75
Baltimore Ravens Vs Denver Broncos
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, M&T Bank Stadium
The 2-0 Broncos aren’t pretty to look at, but they’re getting the little things right.
Denver’s three-prong running attack always looked deadly entering the season, and boy has it been money so far.
Phillip Lindsay one-upped his 71-yard Week 1 performance with a triple digit effort last week against the Raiders, rushing for 107-yards in the nail-biting 20-19 win.
For the Ravens, things haven’t been quite so straightforward. Baltimore’s explosive start to the season against the Bills was quickly forgotten against the Bengals last week, as Joe Flacco threw a pair of picks in the blowout 23-34 loss.
Both of these sides are probably tough to trust for punters right now, especially if you consider the pair have split their last 10 games with five wins apiece.
To make life even tougher, this game poses a different set of questions from a statistical perspective.
The Ravens have allowed the second fewest overall yards per-game through the first two weeks of the season, while the Broncos rank second in offensive rushing yards.
Perhaps the only thing punters can rely on is Baltimore’s home-field advantage, and the fact Denver haven’t left Mile High this season.
Even so, this is a market that the bookies look to have wrong, and one you should probably steer clear of.
Tip: No Bet
Carolina Panthers Vs Cincinnati Bengals
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Cincinnati have been the surprise fast starters this season, and full credit to Andy Dalton, he’s really stepped up with a much improved offensive line in front of him.
Dalton threw four touchdown passes during last week’s commanding win over the Ravens, taking his tally to six on the season. More importantly, the Dalton/A.J. Green partnership is cooking, already combining for four scores on the year.
For the time being, it feels as though we have a handle on what Cincy are all about, but we can’t exactly say the same for the Panthers.
Carolina’s defence struggled against the Falcons last week, failing to register a single sack as Atlanta had it all their own way in the red zone.
Two weeks ago the Panthers fast-tempo offense looked great against the Cowboys, but it’s painfully clear that won’t be enough to survive in this tough division.
A trip back to Bank of America Stadium could do the trick, however the Panthers will have their hands full with not only Dalton, Green and talented running back Joe Mixon, but also Cincinnati’s fierce pass rush.
Still, the Bengals haven’t seen an offense quite as creative as the Panthers just yet, and if Carolina can continue to involve rookie receiver D.J. Moore in the mix and also rely on Christian McAffrey in the passing game, this should see them right the ship.
Tip: Panthers 1-6 @ $3.50
Houston Texans Vs New York Giants
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, NRG Stadium
It’s been a woeful start to the season for both of these sides, in particular New York.
The Giants offense looks flat, and dare we say, a carbon copy of last year. Pat Shurmur’s offensive line basically looks non-existent, struggling to pick up basic reads and blocks which in turn has made life hard for rookie running back, Saquon Barkley.
The Giants’ 13-20 loss to the Cowboys last week was highlighted by an array of sacks. Dallas’ pass rush counted six on the night, while the pass rush also held Odell Beckham Jr. to just 51-yards in the air.
So is there any optimism ahead in Week 3?
Fortunately for the Giants, the Texans’ defence might be just as bad as New York’s offensive line.
As far as the secondary goes, Houston’s cover men did a great job last week limiting Tennessee to just 183-yards in the air, but that’s meaningless when the pass rush is a complete non-factor.
Take J.J. Watt with a total of zero sacks through the first two weeks as case in point. The Texans looked gassed during the Titans’ game-winning field goal drive, and it appears the re-occurring theme from seasons past is back to haunt Houston once again.
This game on Monday figures to be close, and it should also be noted the Texans are 2-4 head-to-head in their last six games at home.
Back a Giants upset this week.
Tip: Back the Giants To Win @ $3.25
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Tennessee Titans
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, TIAA Bank Field
Titans coach Mike Vrabel is set to make a decision on starting quarterback Marcus Mariota later in the week, but by the sounds of things, he could be out indefinitely.
Mariota’s status makes or breaks Tennessee’s hopes in this game. Although Blaine Gabbert led the Titans to a hard fought win over the Texans last week, he threw for only 117-yards and a score while the running game did most of the work.
Obviously that’s a recipe for disaster against this Jacksonville defence, especially after last week’s beat-down over New England.
Jacksonville held Tom Brady and company to just four third down conversions, and also made life miserable for a running game that totalled only 82-yards.
Perhaps what was more impressive though was Blake Bortles’ game. Nobody fears New England’s defence like they used to, but 377-yards and four touchdowns? That’s not the Bortles we’ve all come to know.
A lot of this game will depend on which version of the Titans’ defence shows up. We were told to fear Vrabel’s schemes during the offseason, but so far Tennessee’s defence has been a whole bunch of fake news.
Since this game is at home, punters should find heart in the fact the Jaguars are 5-2 in the head-to-head market at TIAA Bank Field against the Titans.
Expect this Super Bowl favourite to remain undefeated.
Tip: Back the Jaguars 7-12
Kansas City Chiefs Vs San Francisco 49ers
Monday 24 September, 3:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
You’d be forgiven for looking at the 49ers 1-1 record and still feeling a little unconvinced.
San Francisco squeaked out a three-point win over the Lions last week, but the Jimmy Garoppolo honeymoon looks to have officially come to an end.
It’s not that 467-yards and a trio of touchdowns in two games is anything to sniff at, yet you could also say the Niners offense looks a little flat.
Perhaps a game against the most-lively offense will spark the 49ers this week. The Patrick Mahomes era is officially upon us, and as if a gutsy road win in Pittsburgh wasn’t enough, how’s 10 touchdowns in your first two games as a starter?
This game shapes up as one that should be fairly high-scoring. Kansas City jumped out to a commanding 21-0 lead against the Steelers last week, however they did allow Ben Roethlisberger to throw three unanswered touchdowns to tie the score at the half.
Likewise, San Francisco had plenty of their own troubles closing out a win over Detroit, and if it wasn’t for a huge fourth down stand in the final minute of the game, the 49ers probably would have lost.
From a punting perspective, this one is a doozee. The Chiefs are 4-1 head-to-head at home against the Chiefs, which is huge considering the home field advantage Arrowhead Field offers.
With Garoppolo struggling on the road in Minnesota back in Week 1 – another extremely tough road environment – it’s likely we see history repeat itself this week.
The Chiefs simply have too many options on offense, while the 49ers are still trying to figure out exactly who they are.
Tip: Over 56.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams Vs Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 24 September, 6:05am, LA Coliseum
It’s a tinsel town tussle this week as Hollywood’s two biggest juggernaut’s butt heads.
The Rams have begun the season as predicted, undefeated, while the Chargers have looked a little off colour in certain areas.
For Sean McVay’s side, last week was nothing short of complete and utter dominance. The Rams held the Cardinals to a goose egg on the scoreboard, holding both Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson to less than 50-yards respectively.
As for the Chargers, a game against the hapless Bills couldn’t have come at a better time. The offense was clicking on all fronts, and it was nice to see the pass-rush make some noise with Joey Bosa still absent on the sidelines.
Looking ahead, the Rams enter as the heavy favourite for a reason. The Chargers are a miserable 1-4 head-to-head when they travel to face the Rams, and with Brandin Cooks ranking fourth in the league in receiving yards (246) it’s not hard to see why McVay’s team shapes up as a Super Bowl favourite.
There will, of course, be some key match ups worth watching on Monday though. Cooks is likely to be shadowed by Pro Bowl corner Casey Hayward, providing a fascinating battle between two of the game’s elite.
If you didn’t have this game circled on your calendar, you can bet the Rams did. Having allowed the fewest points per-game in the league so far (6.5), make sure you back the Rams to remain undefeated.
Tip: Back the Rams 7-12 @ $4.33
Seattle Seahawks Vs Dallas Cowboys
Monday 24 September, 6:25am, Centurylink Field
We’re only two games in, but already this season looks grim for the Seahawks.
The scoreboard did Seattle some huge favours, however there’s no denying last week’s seven point loss to the Bears was the complete opposite of what we’ve come to expect from this team.
Losing Doug Baldwin was just the beginning, and with the running game in a state of flux, it’s hard to see the Seahawks winning any more than four to six games this season.
Dallas was in similar shape prior to last week following a rather quiet loss to the Panthers, and although the Cowboys bounced back against the Giants, could you really call that performance convincing?
Dak Prescott threw for only 160-yards and a score against a fairly inexperienced Giants secondary. It was great to see Ezekiel Elliott explode with 78-yards and a touchdown of his own, but really, it was a fairly bland win from an offense missing some real talent in the receiving game.
Sometimes even the most boring looking games can turn out to be thrillers, but it’s hard to see this one surprising.
It’s basically a battle of two shocking offensive lines, sprinkled with a couple of quarterbacks who can make plays with their feet.
Since things look fairly evenly matched, there’s really no other choice than to rely on the Seahawks in their first home game of the season.
Tip: Back the Seahawks To Win @ $1.83
Arizona Cardinals Vs Chicago Bears
Monday 24 September, 6:25am, State Farm Stadium
The Cardinals’ dreadful start to the season only got worse last week against the Rams. Arizona failed to crack the scoreboard in Los Angeles, having still only scored six points all season.
It’s a crying shame for the likes of David Johnson and Larry Fitzgerald, but the Cardinals need to start targeting their two biggest playmakers. Johnson received only 13 carries last week, while Fitzgerald was targeted just five times.
On the opposite side of Arizona this week will be a scary looking Bears defence. Khalil Mack has come as advertised, wreaking havoc on the Seahawks last week, but who could forget Danny Trevathan’s two sack, six tackle effort?
The jury might still be out on quarterback Mitch Trubisky, however the signs are of a reliable quarterback are there. He threw two picks during last week’s win, but more importantly completed 25 of his 34 passes.
Unfortunately, we can’t really say the same for Cardinals starter Sam Bradford. The former Viking threw for only 90-yards and an interception during last week’s demoralising loss to the Rams, and if he doesn’t work things out soon, it’s likely rookie quarterback Josh Rosen will be thrown into the limelight.
As far as this week’s game goes, this has Bears win written all over it. Chicago are just starting to click, and it’s encouraging to see wide receiver Allen Robinson get better each week.
Against this sloppy Cardinals secondary, Chicago’s offense has a chance to really shine.
Tip: Back the Bears To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.91
Detroit Lions Vs New England Patriots
Monday 24 September, 10:20am, Ford Field
Both of these teams lost in Week 2, but let’s face it, there’s really only one side we’re concerned about.
Detroit’s inability to cash in last week against San Francisco was alarming. Quarterback Matthew Stafford missed wide open receivers all game long, and when it came down to a potential game-winning drive, the offense stalled on 4th and 2.
New England’s loss against the Jaguars was concerning, at least from a defensive perspective. After Blake Bortles threw for four touchdowns, New England’s defence now ranks fifth in the league in yards allowed per-game, casting doubt on the outright AFC Championship favourites.
Still, a road trip to Detroit might’ve looked worrying to begin the season, but given the state of Detroit’s offense, this should be walk in the park for New England, right?
Adding Josh Gordon during the week was huge for the Patriots’ offense, and although it’s unknown if he’ll start this week, the deep-threat wide receiver adds a new weapon for Tom Brady to play with.
It’s also worth mentioning the fact the Patriots haven’t travelled to Detroit since 2010. No prizes for guessing, that game ended in a 45-24 blowout Lions loss, adding to New England’s impressive 4-1 record against the Lions in their last five games.
Tip: Back the Patriots to Beat The Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.87
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Tuesday 25 September, 10:15am, Raymond James Stadium
Hopefully you can stick around for dessert, because the NFL has saved the best till’ last this week.
The Bucs are rolling right now, and Ryan Fitzpatrick’s newfound confidence has seemingly spread throughout the entire roster.
Knocking off the Eagles last week, the Bucs totalled 436 yards on offense, while Fitzpatrick completed all but six of his passes.
On the other hand, things weren’t quite so clear cut for the Steelers. Kansas City silenced Heinz Field early, charging ahead to a 21-0 lead by the end of the first quarter.
Pittsburgh fought back to even the score by half time, but went on to lose by five-points to slip to 0-1-1 on the season.
With the Bucs holding home field advantage, it’s a surprise to see Tampa open as the $2.05 underdogs. Tampa are 1-5 head-to-head when playing at home against the Steelers, but given their explosive offense, they are great value to continue their winning ways.
For the Steelers, by far the biggest concern this season has been the stagnant offense. Antonio Brown’s quiet start to the year is a little worrying, as is the seemingly never-ending contract dispute with Le’Veon Bell.
Above all else though, the Steelers’ defence just looks quiet. They managed only one sack last week against the Chiefs, and struggled to contain Kansas City’s talented trio of Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins.
With the Bucs featuring an equally loaded wide receiver corp, the upset is on this week. DeSean Jackson, Mike Evans and O.J. Howard are in special form, and if Fitzmagic can continue to find time in the pocket, we like the Bucs to remain undefeated.
Tip: Back the Bucs To Win @ $2.05
It has been an interesting start to the 2017 NFL season and the action continues with a host of big games this weekend.
There is always plenty of value to be found each and every week in the NFL and this week of action will be no exception.
We had eight winners from 12 recommended bets in week 2 and we are confident that we can improve on that strike rate in our 2017 NFL Week 3 tips that can be found below.
San Francisco 49ers Vs Los Angeles Rams
Friday September 22, 10:25am, Levi's Stadium
Both the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams have shown signs of improvement in 2017 to date and this will be an interesting clash.
Los Angeles were excellent in week 1 against the Indianapolis Colts and they showed promising signs again against the Washington Redskins.
The Rams have won six of their past ten games as home favourites and they have beaten the line in each of these games, but they have lost their past three games against the 49ers.
San Francisco produced an improved performance to go down at the hands of the Seattle Seahawks last weekend, but their offence continues to be limited.
They have lost their past eight games in front of their home fans and they are a poor 1-5 against the line as away underdogs over the past months.
This is a game that the Rams really should win comfortably and the line of 2.5 points will not be enough.
Back Los Angeles To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Baltimore Ravens
Sunday September 24, 11:30pm, Wembley Stadium
The NFL returns to London for this clash between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Baltimore Ravens.
Baltimore have recorded comfortable wins over both the Cincinnati Bengals and the Cleveland Browns and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
The Ravens have won six of their past nine games as favourites, but they are only 4-5 against the line in this scenario.
Jacksonville started the season with a nice win over the Houston Texans, but they struggled on both sides of the ball against the Tennessee Titans.
The Jaguars have won only three of their past 13 games as underdogs although they are 8-5 against the line in this scenario.
This clash has the making of a fairly low-scoring affair and I am keen on the Jaguars at the line with a start of four points.
Back Jacksonville To Beat The Line (+4 Points)
Carolina Panthers Vs New Orleans Saints
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Bank Of America Stadium
Every game in the NFC South is important and this is close to a must-win clash for the New Orleans Saints.
The Carolina Panthers are 2-0 without looking particularly impressive and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Carolina have won four of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are only 2-1-4 against the line in this scenario.
New Orleans continue to have serious issues on defence and that simply puts far too much pressure on Drew Brees and the rest of this offence.
The Saints have won only two of their past seven games as away underdogs, but they are 4-1-2 against the line in this situation.
There is never much between these two sides and the Saints can cover the line with a start of 6.5 points.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)
Philadelphia Eagles Vs New York Giants
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
It has been a difficult start to the season for the New York Giants and it is the Philadelphia Eagles that will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Philadelphia may have been beaten by the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend, but they were far from disgraced and it is always tough to win at Arrowhead Stadium.
The Eagles have won three of their past four games as home favourites and their record against the line is this scenario is just as good.
New York have had issues on both sides of the ball so far this season and their offence simply can’t get anything going without Odell Beckham.
Winning away from home was a big issue for the Giants last season and they have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs, while they are 1-1-5 against the line in this scenario.
New York haven’t beaten the Eagles in Philadelphia since 2013 and that doesn’t look set to change this weekend.
Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-6 Points)
New York Jets Vs Miami Dolphins
Monday September 25, 3:00am, MetLife Stadium
The Miami Dolphins got their season off to a winning start against the Los Angeles Chargers and they are clear favourites to account for the New York Jets.
Jay Cutler did not look out of place in a Dolphins uniform and Miami really do look like a side that will be in the mix for the NFL Playoffs.
Miami have been a winning betting proposition across just about every metric over the last season, but one area where they have struggled is covering the line as home favourites and they have done so in only two of their past ten games in this scenario.
This is clearly going to be a long season for Jets fans and they were simply no match for the Oakland Raiders last weekend.
New York have won only two of their past ten games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
This is a match that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Minnesota Vikings Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday September 25, 3:00am, US Bank Stadium
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers started their season with a promising win over the Chicago Bears and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
There are many NFL experts that expect Tampa Bay to take the next step this season and they looked the goods against Chicago, but they will face a tougher assignment against Minnesota.
Tampa Bay were very strong on the road last season and they won four of their six games away from home for a big profit.
Minnesota definitely missed Sam Bradford when they went down to the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend and it is tough to bet into this clash before there is more indication of whether the quarterback will return this weekend.
More To Come
Buffalo Bills Vs Denver Broncos
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Ralph Wilson Stadium
The Denver Broncos are back in a big way and they have an excellent chance to start the season 3-0.
Denver were dominant on both sides of the football against the Dallas Cowboys and if they are able to replicate that level of performance consistently they will be genuine Super Bowl contenders.
The Broncos have won two of their past four games as away favourites and their form on the road last season was inconsistent.
Buffalo were not disgraced against the Carolina Panthers and their defence continues to stand-up, but their offence simply couldn’t get anything going and it doesn’t get any easier against the Broncos.
The Bills won one of their three games as home underdogs last season and generally were tough to beat in front of their home fans.
Denver could hardly have been more impressive last weekend and on that effort they should have no trouble covering the line of 3 points against the Bills.
Back Denver To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
Detroit Lions Vs Atlanta Falcons
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Ford Field
The Detroit Lions and Atlanta Falcons are both 2-0 and this is set to be one of the most interesting games of the weekend.
Atlanta were always in control of their NFC Conference Championship rematch with the Green Bay Packers and they will start this clash as favourites.
Winning away from home has not been an issue for Atlanta and they have won their past four games as home favourites, while they are 3-1 against the line in this scenario.
Detroit impressed in their wins over both the Arizona Cardinals and the New York Giants and at this stage of the season they look on track to make another appearance in the NFL Playoffs.
The Lions have won three of their past four games as home underdogs for a big profit and they have lost just one of their past eight games in front of their home fans.
This is another game that the market looks to have gotten right and I will be staying out from a betting standpoint.
Indianapolis Colts Vs Cleveland Browns
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
The absence of Andrew Luck means that this will be one of the most competitive games of the weekend and the market can’t split these two sides.
The Indianapolis Colts have struggled badly without Luck and they are 0-2, but they did produce an improved performance with Jacoby Brissett under centre.
Indianapolis have won four of their past eight games in front of their home fans at Lucas Oil Stadium and basically performed at market expectations – they won when they were favourites and lost when they were underdogs.
The Cleveland Browns are nowhere near as bad as they were last season and they have not been disgraced in either of their games against the Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens.
Cleveland have still lost their past eight games on the road and they are a poor 3-5 against the line in this scenario.
The Colts were a much better side with Brissett in as quarterback and they can record their first win of the season.
Back Indianapolis To Win @ $1.91
Chicago Bears Vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Soldier Field
The Pittsburgh Steelers may be on the road, but they are the second shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Pittsburgh were not at their very best against the Minnesota Vikings, but they were still able to cruise to victory and a similar result is on the cards against the Chicago Bears.
The Steelers have won five of their past eight games as away favourites for a small loss and they are a middling 4-4 against the line in this scenario.
Chicago played well against Atlanta in their season opener before they took a step backwards when they went down to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last weekend.
It is somewhat of a surprise that Chicago have won their past two games against the Steelers and they have been a profitable betting play in front of their home fans – they have won three of their past seven games as home underdogs and they are 6-1 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that could be closer than the current market suggests and the Bears can cover the line with a start of seven points.
Back Chicago To Beat The Line (+7 Points)
New England Patriots Vs Houston Texans
Monday September 25, 3:00am, Gillette Stadium
It should come as no surprise that it is the New England Patriots that are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
New England bounced back to winning form with a comfortable win over the New Orleans Saints and their recent record against Houston suggests they should have no issues making it two wins on the trot – they have won their past seven games against the Texans.
The Patriots have won six of their past nine games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line for a profit.
The Houston Texans were not overly impressive against the Cincinanti Bengals, but they were still able to get the win and rookie quarterback DeShaun Watson came up big when it mattered.
Houston have won three of their past nine games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
New England have won five of their past six games against Houston by greater than the current line of 13 and another big win for the Patriots is on the cards in this clash.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-13 Points)
Tennessee Titans Vs Seattle Seahawks
Monday September 25, 6:05am, LP Field
The Tennessee Titans will go into this clash with the Seattle Seahawks as somewhat surprise favourites.
Tennessee were a touch disappointing in their season opener against Oakland, but they showed what they are capable of with their win over the Jacksonville Jaguars and that is the game script that they will be keen to follow this season.
The Titans have won four of their past six games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.
Seattle may have got the win over the San Francisco 49ers last weekend, but there are still major issues with their offensive line and Russell Wilson has been under constant pressure in both games this season.
The Seahawks have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is only slightly better.
It is tough to have any faith in Seattle whatsoever with their current offensive line issues and I this is another clash that I will be staying out of.
Green Bay Packers Vs Cincinnati Bengals
Monday September 25, 6:25am, Lambeau Field
It has been a tough start to the season for the Cincinnati Bengals and it doesn’t get any better against the Green Bay Packers this weekend.
Cincinnati have scored only nine points across their two games so far this season and they really do look like a franchise that is at something of a crossroads.
Their record away from home doesn’t inspire confidence that things will change this weekend – they have lost their past three games as away underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line on the road.
The Packers were no match for the Atlanta Falcons last weekend and they go into this clash with some serious injury problems – they could be without Jordy Nelson and a host of offensive linesman.
Lambeau Field does bring out the best in the Packers and they have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites, while they are 6-1-2 against the line in this situation.
Green Bay should return to winning form against Cincinnati and they can do so in emphatic fashion.
Back Green Bay To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)
Los Angeles Chargers Vs Kansas City Chiefs
Monday September 25, 6:25am, StubHub Center
The Kansas City Chiefs have found their past seven games against the Los Angeles Chargers and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Kansas City improved their record to 2-0 with a comfortable win over the Philaldephia Eagles and they have been one of the best sides in the opening fortnight of the season.
The Chiefs have won seven of their past eight games away from home and they have covered the line in each of these wins.
Los Angeles have recorded two heart-breaking wins in as many weeks and you have to feel sorry for rookie kicker Younghoe Koo, who has missed two crucial kicks in both his games in the NFL.
The Chargers really have struggled against the Chiefs in recent seasons and they have won only two of their past eight games in front of their home fans, while they are yet to win at the StubHub Center.
Kansas City are one of the safest bets in the NFL this weekend and the line of three points will not be anywhere near enough.
Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
Washington Redskins Vs Oakland Raiders
Monday September 25, 10:30am, FedEx Field
The Oakland Raiders are 2-0 and they will start this clash with the Washington Redskins as favourites.
Oakland have recorded big wins in both their games this season and their is plenty to like about this side on both sides of the football.
The Raiders have been a profitable betting play across just about every betting metric over the past 12 months and away favourites is no exception – they are 2-0 in both head-to-head betting and against the line in this scenario.
Washington bounced back from their opening weekend loss against the Eagles to beat the Rams, but we still saw another inconsistent performance from quarterback Kirk Cousins.
The Redskins have generally been consistent at home and they have won four of their past seven games at FedEx Field for a small profit, but they are a side that doesn’t have the same upside as the Raiders.
Oakland are another safe betting play and a third big win could be on the cards.
Back Oakland To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
Arizona Cardinals Vs Dallas Cowboys
Tuesday September 26, 10:30am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
This is a crucial game for both these sides that have made inconsistent starts to the season.
The Dallas Cowboys were poor on both sides of the football against the Denver Broncos and they will still start this clash as clear favourites.
Dallas were unable to put their usual gameplan into place against an excellent Broncos defence and it will be tough again against a tough Cardinals unit.
The Cowboys have won three of their past five games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 4-4 against the line on the road.
Arizona required overtime to beat the Indianapolis Colts last weekend and it is tough to get a read on where they are at this season.
This is the first game that they have started as home underdogs for over a season and they should take confidence from the fact that they have won their past four games against the Cowboys.
The betting play that does appeal in this clash is the Under in Total Points betting.
The Under has saluted in four of the past six home games played by the Cardinals, while it is 6-2 in away games contested by the Cowboys over the past 12 months.
Back Under 47 Points
Week 3 of the NFL season is packed full of intriguing fixtures and the action starts on Friday morning when the New England Patriots host the Houston Texans.
There is plenty of history between the Green Bay Packers and Detriot Pistons and they will do battle on Monday morning, while divisional rivals the Seattle Seahawks and San Francisco 49ers face off.
The excitement concludes on Tuesday when arch-rivals the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons face off and you can find our thoughts for every single game below.
New England Patriots Vs Houston Texans
Friday September 23, 10:25am, Gillette Stadium
The New England Patriots have made a winning start to the NFL despite the suspension to Tom Brady, but they will go into this clash without back-up quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo.
Rookie quarterback Jacoby Brissett looks likely to start for the Patriots and if any team can win with their third-string quarterback it is the Patriots.
New England will start this game as away underdogs and this is a position in which they have thrived over the past 12 months.
Houston have made a very positive start to the season with wins over the Chicago Bears and the Kansas City Chiefs and they can stamp themselves as genuine Super Bowl contenders if they improve their record to 3-0.
The Texans have been a very safe betting play as home favourites in the past 12 months and it is fair to say that JJ Watt can make things very difficult for any quarterback – let alone a rookie having his first start.
The injury to Garoppolo makes this a tricky game to assess and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Buffalo Bills Vs Arizona Cardinals
Monday September 26, 3:00am, New Era Field
The Arizona Cardinals returned to their brilliant best with a mauling of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are clear favourites to make it two wins on the trot.
After a missed opportunity against the New England Patriots, Arizona’s offence clicked into gear against the Buccaneers in what was a most impressive performance.
The Cardinals have actually been a clear winning betting proposition as away favourites over the past 12 months, while they are only 6-4 against the line in this scenario.
Buffalo had their chances against the New York Jets last weekend, but they were unable to come away with the victory.
In saying that, there were still plenty of positives in the performance and a win does not look too far away.
The Bills have been a losing betting proposition across just about every metric over the past 12 months and they are 4-6 against the line as home underdogs.
Arizona are clearly the team to beat in this clash and they are a safe bet to cover the line of 4.5 points.
Back Arizona To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
Tennessee Titans Vs Oakland Raiders
Monday September 26, 3:00am, Nissan Stadium
This is a crucial game for these two sides that head into this clash with a 1-1 record.
The Tennessee Titans bounced back from their week 1 defeat at the hands of the Minnesota Vikings to score a fighting victory over the Detroit Lions and they will start this clash as narrow favourites.
Tennessee have proven to be a losing betting proposition as home favourites over the past 12 months and they are an extremely poor 2-6-2 against the line in this situation.
Oakland’s offence has made a strong start to the season, but they clearly have some issues on defence and that cost them against the Atlanta Falcons last week.
They are still a team that have score to improve and there is plenty of data to suggest that they are more than capable of recording an upset victory – they have a simply outstanding record as away underdogs in the past 12 months.
I think that Oakland should start this game as favourites and they are one of the best value betting teams of the weekend.
Back Oakland To Win @ $2.05
Miami Dolphins Vs Cleveland Browns
Monday September 26, 3:00am, New Miami Stadium
There is plenty of pressure on both the Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns heading into the third game of the season, with both teams yet to record a win.
Miami have gone close against both Seattle and New England without getting the job done and this is simply a must-win.
The Dolphins will start this clash as clear favourites, but their record as home favourites is not particularly strong and they are 3-7 against the line in this situation.
Cleveland have won just one of their past eight games and they will likely go into this clash with another starting quarterback following the injury to Josh McCown.
It really is tough to see things getting better for Cleveland anytime soon and their record as away underdogs really is putrid.
These are two teams that are very tough to trust and I am more than happy to stay out of this contest.
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Baltimore Ravens
Monday September 26, 3:00am, EverBank Field
The Jacksonville Jaguars fancied their chances of playing Playoffs Football in 2016, but they are staring down the barrel of an 0-3 start to the season.
Jacksonville produced a credible effort against Green Bay before they were truly woeful against San Diego last weekend and they need to improve on that performance substantially.
The Jaguars will start this clash as narrow underdogs, but they have actually proven to be a winning betting proposition in this situation over the past 12 months.
Not much was expected from the Baltimore Ravens this season, but they have made a positive start to the season with two fighting victories over the Buffalo Bills and the Cleveland Browns.
It is fair to say that the Ravens haven’t faced the stiffest competition to start this NFL season and they have been a losing betting play as away favourites.
Baltimore are not as strong as some of the other 2-0 teams in the NFL and Jacksonville have a great chance to record their first win of the season.
Back Jacksonville To Win @ $1.95
Green Bay Packers Vs Detroit Lions
Monday September 26, 3:00am, Lambeau Field
It has been far from smooth sailing for the Green Bay Packers so far this season, but they will still go into this clash with the Detroit Lions as dominant favourites.
Despite issues on offence, Green Bay were able to get the job done against Jacksonville in week 1 before they produced another stinker against the Minnesota Vikings.
Punters clearly have confidence that Green Bay will be able to return to winning form this weekend, but they have been a losing betting proposition as home favourites and they are only 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Detroit let slip an excellent opportunity to make a 2-0 start to the NFL season with their loss to Tennessee and they are clearly struggling to fill the gap left by Calvin Johnson.
The Lions have been a surprisingly strong betting team in the past 12 months – especially as away underdogs – and they are 6-4 against the line in this scenario.
I expect this game to be much closer than the current betting market suggests and I am keen to back Detroit against the line with a start of 7.5 points.
Back Detroit To Beat The Line (+7.5 Points)
Cincinnati Bengals Vs Denver Broncos
Monday September 26, 3:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Carolina Panthers Vs Minnesota Vikings
Monday September 26, 3:00am, Bank Of America Stadium
This is another intriguing contest between two teams that are expected to be a factor in the play-offs.
Carolina scored their first win of the season with a promising effort against the San Francisco 49ers, but it is fair to say that they will face a much stiffer challenge against the Minnesota Vikings.
The Panthers continue to be one of the best betting teams in the NFL and they have won their past ten games as home favourites, while they are 6-4 against the line in this scenario.
Minnesota baptised their new stadium with a tough victory over the Green Bay Packers and Sam Bradford was impressive in his first game for his new team.
The Vikings are a team that have not had any problems winning away from home in the past 12 months and they are 9-1 against the line as away favourites.
This is another clash that I expect to be far closer than the betting market suggests and the Vikings are a great bet to beat the line with a start of seven points.
Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (+7 Points)
New York Giants Vs Washington Redskins
Monday September 26, 3:00am, MetLife Stadium
The New York Giants have made a positive start to the season and they can remain on top of the NFC East with a win over the Washington Redskins.
New York have showed plenty of composure at key moments to beat both the Dallas Cowboys and New Orleans Saints and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Giants have won seven of their past 10 games as home favourites for a narrow profit, while they are only a middling 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Washington played Playoffs football last season, but a repeat of that will be unlikely if they suffer a third straight loss to the Giants this weekend.
Defense has proven to be an issue for the Redskins against both Pittsburgh and Dallas and keeping Eli Manning and Odel Beckham quiet could prove very tough.
The Redskins have won just three of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this situation is only 4-6.
New York should win this game, but their is no value at their current price and the market looks to have got this game just about right.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Los Angeles Rams
Monday September 26, 6:05am, Raymond James Stadium
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers were extremely poor against the Arizona Cardinals last weekend, but they will start this clash with the Los Angeles Rams as clear favourites.
Tampa Bay were excellent in the opening week of the season against Atlanta before they were outplayed on both sides of the football against the Arizona Cardinals.
They have been well-backed to return to winning form, but their record as home favourites does not instill a great deal of confidence – they have won just four of their past ten games in this situation.
Los Angeles were horrid in their first game of the season against San Francisco, but they bounced back in a big way with an upset win over the Seattle Seahawks.
The Rams play the style of football that can frustrate Tampa Bay, but their record as away underdogs is fairly poor and it is rare to see them string together back-to-back wins.
This is another game where it is tough to have any trust in the two teams involved and I will be staying out from a betting perspective.
Seattle Seahawks Vs San Francisco 49ers
Monday September 26, 6:05am, CenturyLink Field
It has been far from a convincing start to the NFL season for the Seattle Seahawks.
They only narrowly got the job done against Miami in the opening week of the season and they were extremely poor against Los Angeles last weekend.
Seattle will still start this clash as clear favourites and they have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites, while they are 5-5 against the line in this situation.
San Francisco started their season with an emphatic victory over the Los Angeles Rams, but they were no match for the Carolina Panthers last weekend.
This is another tough assignment for the 49ers and their record as away underdogs has been particularly poor – they have won just one of their past ten games in this situation and they are 2-8 against the line.
I expect Seattle to bounce back to their best form this weekend and they can cover the line against what is a weak San Francisco outfite.
Back Seattle To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points)
Kansas City Chiefs Vs New York Jets
Monday September 26, 6:25am, Arrowhead Stadium
This will not be the prettiest game of the weekend, but I expect to see a very tough hard-fought contest.
Kansas City suffered a narrow loss to the Houston Texans last weekend and they are clear favourites to return to winning form in front of their home fans at Arrowhead Stadium.
Kansas City have generally been a very reliable betting team as home favourites and they have won eight of their past ten games in this situation, while they are a poor 4-6 against the line.
The New York Jets scored their first win of the season in what was a surprisingly entertaining game against the Buffalo Bills and there were plenty of positives to take out of that performance.
New York have actually won four of their past ten games as away underdogs for a narrow profit and they are 5-3-2 against the line in this scenario.
I really don’t expect there to be a great deal between these two teams and the Jets are a good bet to beat the line with a start of three points.
Back New York To Beat The Line (+3 Points)
Indianapolis Colts Vs San Diego Chargers
Monday September 26, 6:25am, Lucas Oil Stadium
The Indianapolis Colts have made a poor start to the 2016 NFL season and the side will be in full-blown crisis mode if they fail to win this weekend.
The Colts were very poor against the Detroit Lions in the opening weekend of the season an they improved against the Denver Broncos, but they were still unable to come away with the victory.
Indianapolis will start this game as clear favourites and they have struggled as home favourites in recent seasons – they have won just six of their past ten games in this situation and they are 4-5-1 against the line.
San Diego bounced back from their shattering overtime defeat to the Kansas City Chiefs to record an excellent victory over Jacksonville and they are a team that have looked to make some improvement this season.
The issue for the Chargers is that they have one just one of their past ten games as away underdogs, but they are 7-3 against the line in this situation.
The Colts have really been poor so far this season and I am keen to back the Chargers to beat the line with a start of 2.5 points.
Back The Chargers To Beat The Line (+2.5 Points)
Philadelphia Eagles Vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday September 26, 6:25am, Lincoln Financial Field
This is one of the most exciting games of the weekend as both these sides have made flawless starts to the NFL season.
Pittsburgh improved on their week 1 demolition job of Washington to beat divisional rivals Cincinnati last weekend and this clearly a side that has improved on both sides of the football.
The Steelers will start this clash as clear favourites and they have won three of their past four games in this scenario, while they are 2-1-1 against the line.
Nobody expected Carson Wentz to have such an immediate impact in the NFL, but he has been truly outstanding in the first two weeks of the season.
The Eagles are a side that is playing with plenty of confidence and their recent record as underdogs has been excellent – they have won four of their past seven games in this situation.
I have been impressed with what I have seen from both of these teams so far this season and this game could go either way, but the $2.50 available for a Philadelphia victory really does appeal.
Back Philadelphia To Win @ $2.50
New Orleans Saints Vs Atlanta Falcons
Tuesday September 27, 10:30am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
The rivalry between the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons is one of the fiercest in the NFL and this should be a fiery contest.
New Orleans have the home ground advantage and they will start this clash as favourites, despite the fact that they have lost both their games to date this season.
The Saints have been a tough team to trust in front of their home fans in the past 12 months and they have won just three of their past six games in this scenario, while they are 2-1-3 against the line.
Atlanta scored an upset victory over Oakland to post their first win of the season and Matt Ryan has played well in their two games to date.
The Falcons have actually won three of their past five games as away underdogs and they really have every possible chance of recording another upset win.
This should be another tight game, but I can’t go past the $2.35 available for the Falcons to get the job done.
Back Atlanta To Win @ $2.35