2019 NRL Round 4 Preview

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Sydney Roosters Vs Brisbane Broncos

Thursday 4 April, 7:50pm, SCG

New Zealand Warriors Vs Gold Coast Titans

Friday 5 April, 6:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

Penrith Panthers Vs Wests Tigers

Friday 5 April, 7:55pm, Panthers Stadium

Manly Sea Eagles Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Saturday April 6, 3:00pm, Brookvale Oval

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday April 6, 5:30pm, 1300Smiles Stadium

Paramatta Eels Vs Cronulla Sharks

Saturday April 6, 7:35pm, ANZ Stadium

Melbourne Storm Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Sunday April 7, 4:05pm, AAMI Park

Newcaslte Knights Vs St George-Illawarra Dragons

Sunday April 7, 6:10pm, McDonald Jones Stadium


2018

There is plenty of Rugby League set to take place over the Easter Weekend and there are games every day from Thursday right through to Monday.

The St George Illawarra Dragons and New Zealand Warriors currently sit on top of the NRL Ladder with three wins apiece, while the Canberra Raiders and Parramatta Eels are still looking for their first wins of the season.

We have analysed every game set to take place in the NRL this weekend and our complete 2018 NRL Round 4 tips can be found below.

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Penrith Panthers

Thursday 29 March, 8:05pm, 1300SMILES Stadium

The North Queensland Cowboys have lost two games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash as dominant favourites.

A lack of composure inside their own attacking 20 metres let the Cowboys down badly against the Melbourne Storm last Thursday night and the likes of Michael Morgan can’t possibly play as badly as did in that clash.

North Queensland have won five of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

The Penrith Panthers had their winning start to the season ended by the Canterbury Bulldogs last Friday night and even worse was the fact that they will now be without Nathan Cleary for ten weeks after he suffered a grade three medial ligament tear to his knee.

Penrith have been significantly better at home than on the road in the past 12 months and they have covered the line in only four of their past 13 games away from home.

The Cowboys really should be able to return to winning form and cover the line in the process.

Back North Queensland To Cover The Line (-10.5 Points)

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Friday 30 March, 4:10pm, ANZ Stadium

The market can’t split the South Sydney Rabbitohs and the Canterbury Bulldogs ahead of their traditional Good Friday showdown.

South Sydney have improved each time that they have played this season and they were able to record their first win of the season with a comprehensive victory over the Manly Sea Eagles last weekend.

There was plenty to like about that performance and a replica of that effort would make the Rabbitohs very tough to beat in this clash.

Canterbury were also able to score their first win of the season with a fighting victory over the Penrith Panthers and their defence was very tough – especially when it needed to be in the final stages of the game.

I am still yet to be convinced that the Bulldogs have actually made any real improvement in 2018 and the Rabbitohs are unlikely to be as slow out of the blocks as the Panthers were last weekend.

This should be an excellent game and it is the Rabbitohs that really do offer value at their current price.

Back South Sydney To Win @ $1.92

Cronulla Sharks Vs Melbourne Storm

Friday 30 March, 8:05pm, Southern Cross Group Stadium

The Melbourne Storm returned to winning form against the North Queensland Cowboys last Thursday night and they will go into this clash with the Cronulla Sharks as clear favourites.

Melbourne were ill-disciplined against the Cowboys and definitely did not play at their best, but they were still able to record a comfortable win and they really ran away from North Queensland late.

The Storm have been incredibly impressive away from home over the past 12 months and they have won their past eight matches as home favourites, while they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.

Cronulla recorded their first win of the season with a grinding 14-4 win over the Parramatta Eels, but their attack is still yet to really click this season.

The Sharks were extremely poor at home last season and they have won just five of their past 12 games at Southern Cross Group Stadium, while they are an awful 2-10 against the line at home over the past 12 months.

Melbourne can make it two wins on the trot and the line of 3.5 points does not look like enough.

Back Melbourne To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs New Zealand Warriors

Saturday 31 March, 5:30pm, Allianz Stadium

The New Zealand Warriors have started the season 3-0 for the first time in their history, but they will still go into this clash with the Sydney Roosters as clear underdogs.

The Roosters produced their best performance of the season to date to dismantle the Newcastle Knights in Round 3 and they really have clicked into gear following their opening round aberration against the Warriors.

Sydney have won 11 of their past 13 games as home favourites for a clear profit, but they are only 5-8 against the line in this scenario.

What a start to the season it has been for the Warriors!

They looked down and out against the Canberra Raiders last Saturday, but they were able to find a way to win and there is a sense of self-belief around the club that has clearly been lacking for a number of seasons.

The Warriors have now won two games away from home this season, but their overall poor record on the road can’t be ignored and they have still won only three of their past 12 games as away underdogs.

This is a game that the market does look to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday 31 March, 7:35pm, Brookvale Oval

The pressure is on Ricky Stuart and the Canberra Raiders in a big way.

Canberra could very well be taking a 3-0 record into this clash, but they have lost games from what looked like unloseable positions against the Gold Coast Titans and the New Zealand Warriors, while they were unable to close out their clash with the Newcastle Knights.

These two teams played out two golden point games last season – both of which were won by the Sea Eagles – and the Raiders ability to win close games will likely be tested once again.

The Raiders have won two of their past four games as away underdogs and it should not be forgotten that they have been in a position to win all three of their games so far this season.

Manly went in their clash with the South Sydney Rabbitohs full of confidence following their dominant 54-0 win over the Parramatta Eels, but they were played off the park by the South Sydney Rabbitohs.

A repeat of that performance will not be enough to beat the Raiders and they will need to become more consistent if they are going to be genuine premiership contenders in 2018.

Manly have won six of their past eight games as home favourites, but they are only 3-5 against the line in this scenario.

Canberra will be able to sort out their mental demons at some point and they are great value to record an upset win over Manly.

Back Canberra To Win @ $2.60

St George Illawarra Dragons Vs Newcastle Knights

Sunday 1 April, 5:10pm, WIN Stadium

The St George Illawarra Dragons are 3-0 and they have been the big market-movers in our NRL Premiership betting market.

St George backed-up their wins over the Brisbane Broncos and Cronulla Sharks with a domination of the Gold Coast Titans and their is plenty to like about the type of football they have produced to start the season.

The Dragons have now won six of their eight games as home favourites, but they are only 3-5 against the line in this scenario.

The Newcastle Knights suffered their first loss of the season at the hands of the Sydney Roosters last weekend, but there is no doubt that this is a team that has taken massive strides in 2018 to date.

Newcastle were able to beat the Dragons last season, but the Dragons have won nine of the past 11 games between the two sides.

The betting play that does standout in this clash is the Over in the Total Points betting market.

The Over has saluted in the past six games played by the Dragons at home as well as the past three games played by the Knights on the road.

This should be an expansive clash and it would surprise if they didn’t cover the Total Points line of 41.5 points.

Back Over (41.5 Points)

Brisbane Broncos Vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday 1 April, 7:30pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Brisbane Broncos are the shortest-priced favourites in the NRL this weekend.

Brisbane may have taken the two points against the Wests Tigers last Friday night, but they were incredibly lucky and their overall performance was nothing short of putrid.

The Broncos have generally saved their best performances for Suncorp Stadium in recent seasons – Anthony Milford in particular plays much better at home – and it would not surprise to see the Broncos bounce back in a big way.

Brisbane have won nine of their past ten games as home favourites and they are 6-1-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Gold Coast Titans were comprehensively beaten by the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend and there is a massive amount of problems with their defence.

They have conceded an average of over 30 points in their three games to date this season and it is impossible to win many games of football when you concede that many points on a regular basis.

Winning away from home has been an issue for the Titans – they have won only two of their past 11 games as away underdogs and they have not beaten the Broncos at Suncorp Stadium since their first ever meeting in 2007.

Brisbane should prove too strong for the Titans and they can cover the big line of 12.5 points.

Back Brisbane To Beat The Line (-12.5 Points)

Wests Tigers Vs Parramatta Eels

Monday 2 April, 5:00pm, ANZ Stadium

This is another game where there is nothing between the two sides in betting.

It has been a horror start for the season for the Parramatta Eels and they backed-up their humiliation at the hands of the Manly Sea Eagles with another very poor performance against the Cronulla Sharks.

The Eels have scored only 18 points so far this season and there are plenty of rumours that the return of Jarryd Hayne has led to a big amount of internal issues at the club.

Parramatta did beat the Tigers 12 last season, but it is incredibly tough to trust the side on the back of their recent form.

The Wests Tigers had their winning start to the season ended by the Brisbane Broncos, but it is fair to say that they were very unlucky and a draw would have been a fitting result.

The defence of the Tigers continues to be outstanding and it should come as no surprise that I am very keen on the Under in this clash.

The Under has saluted in the past six games played by the Tigers and has been a winning betting play in 16 of the past 24 games played by the Eels.

Back Under 37.5 Points


2017

We head into another weekend of NRL action off the back of a round that was packed full of upsets.

The round begins on Thursday night with a clash between old rivals South Sydney and the Sydney Roosters before there are two intriguing games on Friday night.

Manly and Canterbury both recorded their first wins of the season last weekend and they face-off on Saturday, while both Parramatta and Cronulla will be keen to bounce back from what were poor performances.

There is betting interest in every single game this weekend and below you can find our thoughts for all eight NRL fixtures.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Sydney Roosters

Thursday 23 March, 8:05pm, ANZ Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs 6 - Sydney Roosters 20

The Sydney Roosters scored a controversial win over the Penrith Panthers last weekend and they will go into this clash with the South Sydney Rabbitohs as clear favourites.

The Rooosters have made an almost flawless start to the NRL season and there is now very little doubt that they will be the big improvers in 2017.

They have won six of their past nine games as favourites for a narrow profit, but they are only 4-5 against the line in this scenario.

South Sydney did it the hard way, but they were still able to come away with win against the Newcastle Knights last weekend.

The Roosters are a much tougher challenge and South Sydney will really need to improve to have any chance of accounting for their rivals this weekend.

South Sydney have lost six of their past seven games as home underdogs for a clear loss and their record against the line in this scenario is just as poor.

It would not surprise to see the Roosters blow the Rabbitohs off the park this weekend and the line of eight points is unlikely to be enough.

Back Sydney To Beat The Line (-8 Points)

Penrith Panthers Vs Newcastle Knights

Friday 24 March, 6:00pm, Pepper Stadium

Penrith Panthers 40 - Newcastle Knights 0

The Penrith Panthers are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NRL.

Penrith went down to the Sydney Roosters last Saturday, but they lost no admirers and it is fair to say that they were a touch unlucky.

The Panthers have proven very tough to beat at Pepper Stadium over the past 12 months and they have won eight of their past 10 games as home favourites, but they are only 5-5 against the line in this scenario.

There is no doubt that Newcastle have improved significantly in 2017 and they were only narrowly denied by South Sydney.

The Knights have not won a game away from home in over 12 months and they are 4-7 against the line as away underdogs.

The line is big, but the Knights are due for a regression and the Panthers past four wins over the Knights have come by margins of more than 20 points.

Back Penrith To Beat The Line (-14.5 Points)

Brisbane Broncos Vs Canberra Raiders

Friday 24 March, 8:05pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 13 - Canberra Raiders 12

This is set to be one of the most intriguing games of the weekend.

The Brisbane Broncos go into this clash as favourites on the back of two heart-breaking losses against the North Queensland Cowboys and the Melbourne Storm.

Brisbane were excellent in both those games and the only concern is just how much those two brutal games of rugby league have taken out of them.

The Broncos have won nine of their past 13 games as home favourites for a narrow loss and they are 6-7 against the line in this scenario.

Canberra returned to their best with a dominant performance against the Wests Tigers last Sunday, but this is obviously a much stiffer challenge.

The Raiders have only won three of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are 7-1 against the line in this scenario for a huge profit.

It has been a while since the Raiders beat the Broncos, but there really has not been a great deal between the two teams and I am keen to back the Raiders to cover the line with a start of 3.5 points.

Back Canberra To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Saturday 25 March, 4:30pm, Brookvale Oval

Manly Sea Eagles 36 - Canterbury Bulldogs 0

Manly scored a big upset win over North Queensland last weekend, but it is the Canterbury Bulldogs that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

Canterbury produced their best performance of the season to date to beat the New Zealand Warriors and a similar performance would likely be enough to see off Manly.

The Bulldogs are a reliable betting outfit as favourites and they have won four of their past five games as home favourites, while they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.

Manly showed a great deal of defensive toughness to take the two points from their clash with North Queensland and it will be interesting to see whether they can reproduce that sort of effort this weekend.

Brookvale Oval has really not been a happy hunting ground for Manly in recent years and they have won just one of their past nine games as home underdogs for a clear loss.

Their record against the line is just as bad and I am more than happy to take them on this record.

Des Hasler will be keen to get a win over his old club and Canterbury should be able to make it two wins on the trot.

Back Canterbury To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)

Parramatta Eels Vs Cronulla Sharks

Saturday 25 March, 7:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Parramatta Eels 6 - Cronulla Sharks 20

There is no doubt that this will be one of the games of the weekend and the market can’t split these two sides.

Parramatta could hardly have been more disappointing last weekend.

They absolutely dominated in the first half and still managed to go into half-time even before they fell away in the second half.

Parramatta continue to be a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint, but they have won their past four games at ANZ Stadium.

Cronulla produced their worst performance of the season to date against the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend and they were very flat with the ball in hand.

The Sharks have won nine of their past 13 games away from home for a clear profit, but they could not have been more inconsistent over the past three weeks.

The betting market that does really stand out in this clash is the Total Points betting market.

The Over has saluted in five of the past six games played between these sides and recent history suggests that the total points of 38.5 will not be anywhere near enough in this clash.

Back Over 38.5 Points

Gold Coast Titans Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Saturday 25 March, 6:50pm, Cbus Super Stadium

Gold Coast Titans 26 - North Queensland Cowboys 32

The North Queensland Cowboys head into this clash off the back of a shock loss against the Manly Sea Eagles, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

There is a genuine injury crisis at the Cowboys, but they can’t blame that for their defeat at the hands of the Sea Eagles – they were ill-disciplined, made too many errors and missed too many tackles.

North Queensland struggled away from home last season and they have won only four of their past nine games as away favourites for a clear loss.

The Gold Coast always seem to produce their best football when they have been written off and that is exactly what happened last weekend.

They were under pressure and had a number of players injured in the first half of their clash with the Parramatta Eels, but they toughed it out and ran away with the game in the second half.

The Titans have now won two of their past seven games as home underdogs for a narrow profit, while they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.

North Queensland will go into this clash with another under-strength outfit and the Titans are a great bet to cover the line with a start of 5.5 points.

Back The Gold Coast To Cover The Line (+5.5 Points)

Wests Tigers Vs Melbourne Storm

Sunday 26 March, 4:00pm, Leichhardt Oval

Wests Tigers 14 - Melbourne Storm 22

Melbourne are yet to taste defeat in 2017 and they head into this clash with the Wests Tigers as clear favourites.

The Storm took the two points from their clash with the Brisbane Broncos last Friday night, but they lost Cameron Munster to injury in the process and that puts the pressure on Billy Slater, who started on the bench in his return to rugby league.

Melbourne are one of the most reliable betting teams in the NRL and their record away from home is particularly strong – they have won nine of their past 10 games as home favourites and they are 7-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Tigers were awful against the Canberra Raiders and that performance has cost Jason Taylor his job less than a month into the season.

Sides can often fire following the sacking of a coach, but this is still a very tough assignment for the Tigers.

There is a thought out there that the Tigers save their best form for Leichhardt Oval, but they have won only three of their past eight games at the venue and they are 4-4 against the line.

Melbourne should really prove far too strong for the Tigers and the line of six points will not be enough.

Back Melbourne To Beat The Line (-6 Points)

St George Dragons Vs New Zealand Warriors

Sunday 26 March, 6:30pm, Jubilee Oval

St George Illawarra Dragons 26 - New Zealand Warriors 12

This is another game in which the market can’t separate the two teams.

St George Illawarra have made a very positive start to the season and there was a lot to like about the way that they toughed out a win over the Cronulla Sharks last Sunday.

The Dragons have won eight of their past 13 games at home for a clear profit and last year was the first time they have suffered defeat at the hands of the New Zealand Warriors for several seasons.

We may only be three rounds into the NRL season, but the Stephen Kearney era at the Warriors has not gotten off to a very positive start.

The Warriors are at their best when they are creating second-phase play and they went into last weekend’s clash with the instructions to not off-load the ball.

It cost them the game.

An improved game plan is desperately needed for the Warriors this weekend and even that may not be enough.

The Warriors have won just four of their past 11 games in Australia and their overall record against the Dragons is extremely poor.

Back St George Illawarra To Win @ $1.90

 


2016

Easter weekend is always a big one in the NRL and 2016 is no exception. The weekend gets underway with the traditional Good Friday afternoon fixture between the South Sydney Rabbitohs and the Canterbury Bulldogs before the Brisbane Broncos host the North Queensland Cowboys in the highly anticipated Grand Final rematch.

The rivalry between the Sydney Roosters and Manly Sea Eagles has been one of the fiercest in the NRL in recent years and they renew acquaintances in the pick of the games on Easter Saturday.

The St George Illawarra Dragons Penrith Panthers clash is the only game of Sunday, but that leaves three games for what is set to be a massive afternoon of rugby league on Monday afternoon.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Friday 25 March, 3:00pm, ANZ Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs 12 - Canterbury Bulldogs 42

The South Sydney Rabbitohs came crashing back to earth with a very sloppy performance against the St George Illawarra Dragons last Sunday, while the Canterbury Bulldogs were outplayed by the Parramatta Eels.

The Rabbitohs were very unorganized against the Dragons and it is clear that they are sorely missing Adam Reynolds, so it is easy to see why the Bulldogs are such clear favourites here.

Canterbury rarely produced back-to-back poor performances and they are 4-1 as favourites in head to head betting in the past 12 months, while the Rabbitohs have won just one of their past six games as underdogs.

The Bulldogs should be able to grind out a tough win tomorrow afternoon and I am happy to support the Des Hasler-coached side at their current quote of $1.55.

Recommended Bet: Back The Canterbury Bulldogs To Win @ $1.55

Brisbane Broncos Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Friday 25 March, 7:05pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 21 - North Queensland Cowboys 20

This is one of the most anticipated games of the 2016 NRL season.

The Brisbane Broncos and North Queensland Cowboys did battle in one of the greatest Grand Finals in the history of Rugby League last year and if this game is half the game that was then it is set to be an absolute ripper.

The Broncos suffered a shock defeat at the hands of the Penrith Panthers last weekend after giving up a big second-half lead, but are still set to start this game as clear favourites.

Brisbane are 9-3 as home favourites in the past 12 months and even more impressively they are 8-4 against the line in this scenario.

North Queensland were far too good for a hapless Sydney Roosters side last weekend and they will take plenty of confidence from the improved performance.

The Cowboys have an excellent record as away underdogs both in head to head betting and against the line, with the Premiers winning six of their eight games as away underdogs in the past 12 months.

The NRL Grand Final showed that there is very little between these two sides and there is no way that the Broncos should be such clear favourites.

Recommended Bet: North Queensland Cowboys To Win @ $2.30

Canberra Raiders Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 26 March, 4:30pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 20 - Gold Coast Titans 24

I didn’t think that I would be saying this at the start of the season, but this is one of the most intriguing games of the round.

The Canberra Raiders were excellent in their first two games and they had a strong start against the Knights, but they well away in the second half and they missed out on a golden opportunity to make it three wins on the trot.

The Raiders are clear favourites here and this is a position in which they have struggled in the past 12 months – they are 5-5 and they are only 4-6 against the line.

Gold Coast have been one of the biggest surprise packages of the NRL season to date and they were good against the Wests Tigers last weekend, but they are still set to start this game as clear outsiders.

The Titans are 8-10 against the line as underdogs in the past 12 months and that record does not get any better away from home.

The one betting market that does stand out in this match is the Over/Under.

Ricky Stuart-coached sides are typically Over teams and the Over has saluted in 14 of the Raiders last 25 games, while the Over is 8-3 in Gold Coast Titans away games in the past 12 months.

Recommended Bet: Back The Over (46.5 Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Saturday 26 March, 6:30pm, Pepper Stadium

Sydney Roosters 20 - Manly Sea Eagles 22

The Manly Sea Eagles finally scored their first win of the Trent Barrett era against the Cronulla Sharks last weekend, while the Sydney Roosters suffered another humiliating defeat at the hands of the North Queensland Cowboys.

Manly have really struggled as favourites in the last 12 months and they are just 1-3 as away favourites in this time period.

The Roosters are 3-1 against the line as underdogs, but it is fair to say that this is a completely different Roosters side and I am not willing to back them until we see some drastic improvement.

I expect these teams to improve as the seasons continues and this will an interesting clash, but it is not one I a keen to get involved in from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

St George Dragons Vs Penrith Panthers

Sunday 27 March, 3:00pm, Win Stadium

St George Illawarra Dragons 14 - Penrith Panthers 12

The St George Illawarra Dragons and Penrith Panthers both come into this game on the back of narrow upset victories.

The Dragons showed their defensive resilience to stifle a South Sydney Rabbitohs side and on the back of that performance they are set to start this game as narrow favourites.

St George Illawarra have been a very safe bet as favourites in the past 12 months and they are 6-1 as home favourites in head to head betting as well as 4-3 against the line.

The Panthers won as underdogs last weekend, but they have won just two of their past nine games as underdogs and are 5-6 against the line in this scenario.

I expect this to be a low-scoring affair and the Dragons should be able to grind out another narrow win.

Recommended Bet: Back The St George Illawarra Dragons To Win @ $1.80

New Zealand Warriors Vs Newcastle Knights

Monday 28 March, 1:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

New Zealand Warriors 40 - Newcastle Knights 18

Both these sides are still chasing their first win of the NRL season, although the Newcastle Knights were able to claim one point against the Canberra Raiders last weekend.

The New Zealand Warriors have been the biggest disappointment of the NRL season to date and a fourth straight victory could spell the end of Andrew McFadden’s coaching career.

The market is giving the Warriors another chance here and they are very clear favourites, but you couldn’t possibly back them at that price and they are 3-6 against the line as home favourites,

It is tough to get excited about the Newcastle Knights either. They were better against the Raiders, but there are still plenty of issues with this side and their record as underdogs in the past 12 months is very poor.

While you can’t count of either of these teams to win football games, they are generally capable of scoring plenty of points and I expect this to be a very high-scoring affair.

Backing the over in games involving these sides has been a very profitable play in the past 12 months and I expect over 44.5 points to be scored on Monday afternoon.

Recommended Bet: Back The Over (44.5 Points)

Wests Tigers Vs Parramatta Eels

Monday 28 March, 3:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Wests Tigers 0 - Parramatta Eels 8

Both the Wests Tigers and Parramatta Eels were tipped to be big improvers this season and they both head into this fixture with two wins apiece.

There was plenty of hype surrounding the Tigers after two impressive wins in the first two games of the season, but they were poor against the Titans last weekend and are clear underdogs this weekend.

The Tigers are 4-2 as home underdogs in the past 12 months, but these wins were generally recorded at Campbelltown Stadium or Leichhardt Oval.

The Eels could not have been more impressive against the Bulldogs last weekend and this will be just the third time in the past 12 months that they have started a game away from home as favourites.

Parramatta have a strong record against the line away from home and, although it is a very small sample size, they are 2-0 as away underdogs.

I really like what I have seen from the Eels this season and I am confident they can back up their win over the Bulldogs with another impressive performance against the Tigers.

Recommended Bet: Back The Eels To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)

Cronulla Sharks Vs Melbourne Storm

Monday 28 March, 6:00pm, Shark Park

Cronulla Sharks 14 - Melbourne Storm 6

The Melbourne Storm sit on top of the NRL ladder after three games, but they face a tricky Monday night assignment against the Cronulla Sharks.

The Storm have been a bit scratchy in each of their three wins, but they have still been able to get the job done and I’m not really sure how the market has them as underdogs.

Melbourne are 3-4 against the line in head to head betting in the past 12 months although that record is better against the line and they are 6-5 in this scenario.

The Sharks were only middling against Manly last weekend, but they have been a much better team in front of their home fans in recent seasons and they have eight of their last 11 fixtures at Shark Park.

Cronulla are 6-4 against line as favourites and that record is just as good at Shark Park.

I fancy both these teams from a betting perspective going forward, but the market appears to have gotten this game just about right.

Recommended Bet: No Bet