Rugby World Cup Tips & Previews


2019 Rugby World Cup Final

England Vs South Africa

Saturday 2 November, 8:00pm, International Stadium Yokohama

England 12 – South Africa 32

You could have been forgiven for having the All Blacks penciled in to this game but it’s England that will be taking on South Africa in a repeat of the 2007 decider.

That game was, let’s be honest, less than inspiring as South Africa won its second Rugby World Cup thanks to five penalty goals. 

South Africa might not be the most aesthetically pleasing side but after losing their first pool match against the All Blacks, they have been very impressive. 

In the five matches since, they have given up 32 points, half of which came against Wales. 

England on the other hand have shown the ability to adapt to the conditions and can score at will if they need to. 

Having already conquered the rest of the southern hemisphere powerhouses on the way to the final, the English will be looking to complete the Rugby Championship quadruple in this tournament.

Of course the big question hanging over the English is whether or not they have played their final already. 

The effort that goes into beating the all mighty All Blacks takes it out of the best of sides and how much does England have left in the tank?

Enough to keep this game very competitive but South Africa looks like fantastic value at $2.63 especially considering how close the meetings between these two sides have been since Eddie Jones took over.

First and foremost, both of these sides are going to go out and make sure that they don’t lose this game so expect a lot of tactical kicking and playing for territory instead of really going all out for a win early. 

That just makes the unders look like an even more appealing play so take a swing at that for the second bet. 

Finally the long shot, there were no tries in 2007 so put a small bet on that one as well, if you’ve followed our tips in every game in the Rugby World Cup you will already be in a profit regardless of if this one hits anyway.

Back South Africa to Win @ $2.63

Back Under 36.5 Points @ $1.91

Back No Tryscorer @ $17

3rd Placed Playoff

New Zealand Vs Wales

Friday 1 November, 8:00pm, Tokyo Stadium

New Zealand 40 – Wales 17

This game should be titled “Who Cares taking on Why Play This” in the most meaningless game since… well the third placed playoff in the 2015 Rugby World Cup.

Generally speaking, these games are pretty flat encounters, especially since the 1999 tournament when automatic qualification to the next edition did not hinge on this result.

We’ve seen more double digit margins in this game than exciting victories but in all fairness, if this was the World Cup Final, it would have been a game to get excited about.

It all just comes down to which team shows up and actually wants to win and the uncertainty over the motivation of both sides should make this a stay away.



Semi Finals

England Vs New Zealand

Saturday 26 October, 7:00pm, International Stadium Yokohama

England 19 – New Zealand 7

It’s the match we’ve all been hoping for since 2016 as England takes on New Zealand for a spot in the World Cup Final.

16 years ago Eddie Jones masterminded an upset for the ages with the Wallabies stunning New Zealand in the Semi Final in Sydney and he’s a better coach now, so what can he come up with here?

Had the All Blacks not ruthlessly ripped apart the supposed number one team in the world last weekend you might have been able to talk me into England at the line or possibly an upset but with the way they looked there, it seems like this match is headed one way.

New Zealand won’t make enough mistakes for England to have a sniff, the way the Wallabies continually coughed up the ball.

Don’t be surprised if New Zealand jumps out to a 20 point lead early and then closes out the match keeping the English at arms length.

Back New Zealand to Cover -7.5 @ $1.90

Wales Vs South Africa

Sunday 27 October, 8:00pm, International Stadium Yokohama

Wales 16 – South Africa 19

Wales were the only favourite not to cover in the Quarter Finals but they have had the wood over South Africa lately.

Since the Springboks won the 2015 World Cup Quarter Final, it’s been all Wales when these two sides have faced off with the last four meetings going the way of the Welsh.

Granted three of those meetings have been in Cardiff with the other one on neutral turf in Washington.

What has been consistent though is the margin of victory, most of those games have been decided by single digits suggesting that these two sides match up very well against each other.

Even though South Africa comfortably accounted for Japan and have shown the ability to score plenty of points in the pool stage, Wales should be able to keep them at or around 20 and their tactical kicking game will help them get to that mark as well, whether it is through a couple of tries or half a dozen penalties.

Back Wales to Cover +8.5 @ $1.90


Quarter Finals

England Vs Australia

Saturday 19 October, 6:15pm, Oita Stadium

England 40 – Australia 16

It’s the worst case scenario for the Wallabies here after finishing Second in Pool D.

England is up first in the quarters and a more probable than not semi-final with the All Blacks for the winner of this.

First things first they need to get through an English side they have really struggled with since eliminating them from their home World Cup in 2015.

Since that night in London, the English have won all six test matches between the two sides by an average of 15 points.

At the World Cup though, these matches have been much closer with the 20 point win for Australia four years ago the anomaly rather than the norm.

In fact, England’s three wins over Australia have been by a combined total of eight points.

What does tip the scales in favour of the English here though, is the performance of the two backlines.

Australia has really struggled to find a coherent backline combination to test their opponents and the English have been really efficient defensively, giving up 20 points in their three pool matches.

England should be able to keep the Wallabies under 20 points, the question is what Australia is able to do to keep the English under that number as well.

Both sides will be up for this match but the edge has to go to England, although it probably won’t be the massive blowout some are forecasting.

For a bit of insurance though, back the unders because if Australia do win, it will be by a very low scoring contest.

Back England by 1-12 @ $2.60

Back Unders Total Points

New Zealand Vs Ireland

Saturday 19 October, 9:15pm, Tokyo Stadium

New Zealand 46 – Ireland 14

If this turned out to be the Rugby World Cup Final we would have been more than happy with that but after Japan’s shock topping of Pool A, we get this a couple of weeks early.

Remarkably, Ireland has won two of its last three matches against the All Blacks, including a 16-9 victory in Dublin less than 12 months ago.

All that really says here though is that Ireland might find a way to stay competitive against the All Blacks and not get humiliated.

Each of the last four meetings between these sides have been decided by 11 or fewer points and outside of their shock loss to Japan, Ireland really does look like they could cause some problems for New Zealand.

Those problems might not be enough to scare anyone off backing New Zealand but a close game looks like a good value play.

Back New Zealand by 1-12 @ $2.75

Wales Vs France

Sunday 20 October, 6:15pm, Oita Stadium

Wales 20 – France 19

Wales haven’t looked like the best team in the world so far, Australia and Fiji both showed some vulnerabilities in their team, but despite that they still managed to top Pool D.

France on the other hand haven’t looked that great themselves only just getting by Argentina and Tonga.

More than anything else, this is a great chance to back against a French side that really is not that good.

Wales have won seven of their last eight meetings against the French and looking at the way they are playing now, they should add to that list here.

Back Wales to Cover -6.5 @ $1.91

Japan Vs South Africa

Sunday 20 October, 9:15pm, Tokyo Stadium

Japan 3 – South Africa 26

Do you want to back the story or the better team here?

That’s the dilemma facing you when choosing a play for Japan taking on South Africa.

The numbers all stack up for the Springboks to advance to the semi finals here but it’s not exactly easy to ignore what should be a very vocal home crowd willing their side to continue their impossible run.

Had the Japanese not defeated the Springboks in Brighton four years ago, you could have backed an upset here but there is no way South Africa will take them lightly here.

In a World Cup warm up match, it was 41-9 to South Africa and another big win seems very likely here as they take full advantage of an opponent who has been impressive this tournament but will be in for a real shock here.

Back South Africa to Cover -14.5 @ $1.91


Pool Stage

Japan Vs Russia

Friday 20 September, 8:45pm, Tokyo Stadium

Japan 30 – Russia 10

Japan has the honour of kicking off the Rugby World Cup and in true host nation status, they’ve been given a winnable game.

Unfortunately it seems like World Rugby have gone a little bit safe here and given them a game that they can win, but doesn’t really have a lot of juice to it.

As we mentioned in our tournament preview, Russia is only at the World Cup on a technicality and can only really be described as roadkill for Japan.

The line for this is a massive 40.5 points for the Japanese and that is about the only value play you will find in this game, so back Japan to cover a big spread and at least give the locals some hope they may be competitive.

Back Japan -40.5 @ $1.90

Australia Vs Fiji

Saturday 21 September, 2:45pm, Sapporo Dome

Australia 39 – Fiji 21

The Wallabies kick off their campaign against Fiji for the second straight World Cup and head into this game with a line that looks like it’s going to hover at or around two converted tries.

In the 2015 opener, it was the Wallabies running out 28-13 winners and a similar scoreline seems like it would be on the cards for this one.

Michael Chieka has gone for the back row “Pooper” combination of Michael Hooper and David Pocock, which should give the Wallabies a big advantage at the breakdown assuming both are able to stay on the park.

With little value on the Wallabies in the head to head market and the line looking like it’s in the right ballpark, it’s best to look at the try scorer market for value in this one.

Since the forwards are expected to take charge in this game, I’ll back the man of the match from that 2015 contest David Pocock to get over for another try here.

Back David Pocock as Anytime Tryscorer @ $5.00

France Vs Argentina

Saturday 21 September, 5:15pm, Tokyo Stadium

France 23 – Argentina 21

The French will see themselves as the clear favourites to be Pool C’s second qualifier behind England and they take on their greatest challenger for that spot in Argentina to open up their tournament.

It would be foolhardy to count out Argentina, currently in their most successful year ever and if we have learned something from them in 2019, it’s that they will be up for this game and going on a long tour seems to agree with the bulk of their players.

Plus the French haven’t had a good run of results in 2019, finishing in fourth place and well off the pace set by Wales.

In the build up to the tournament, the French split two games with Scotland and belted Italy but Argentina should be the sternest test they’ve faced since they played Ireland in March.

Because of that, it’s worth taking a flyer on Argentina to get up in one of the few pool matches that has good value either way in the head to head market.

Back Argentina to Win @ $2.05

New Zealand Vs South Africa

Saturday 21 September, 7:45pm, Stadium

New Zealand 23 – South Africa 13

This is probably the one Pool B match actually worth setting time aside for as two heavyweights of world rugby face off.

You could absolutely talk yourself into backing the Springboks to pull off an upset here considering they picked up a draw in Wellington less than two months ago with both sides fielding close to full strength squads in that game.

Plus throughout 2019, New Zealand sides in Super Rugby and the Rugby Championship have (occasionally) looked somewhat human.

But that does also come with the caveat that New Zealand has been gearing up for this tournament since the 2018 season ended and they will be ready to go here.

The Springboks last beat New Zealand in a World Cup in the 1995 final and that run isn’t going to end here.

Back New Zealand Halftime/Fulltime @ $1.91

Italy Vs Namibia

Sunday 22 September, 3:15pm, Hanazono Rugby Stadium

Italy 47 – Namibia 22

Italy are not a top rugby side by any means but that should not stop them putting up a massive score on Namibia here.

While they aren’t overly competitive in the Six Nations, the Italians will welcome the drop in class of their opponent here and considering the blowouts we tend to see in the group stage, take the value play of a big Italian win.

They did manage to put up 85 against Russia last month, a side that beat Namibia 20-0 in June, so this should be a huge mismatch.

Back Italy by 51+ @ $7.00

Ireland Vs Scotland

Sunday 22 September, 5:45pm, International Stadium Yokohama

Ireland 27 – Scotland 3

It’s easy to forget that Ireland are the number one ranked side in the world right now (for what that’s worth) but Scotland are definitely a way off the pace.

The Scots finished fifth in the Six Nations and had the second leakiest defence in the tournament.

Their warm up form isn’t exactly instilling a whole lot of confidence either, after splitting a two test series with France, they beat Georgia three times but Ireland will be a very different test.

Not to mention Ireland’s reputation as pool stage specialists, this should kick the Irish off to finishing on top of Pool A with a decent victory.

Back Ireland by 13+ @ $2.38

England Vs Tonga

Sunday 22 September, 8:15pm, Stadium

England 35 – Tonga 3

Aussie fans will no doubt have a soft spot for Tonga in this one, coached by former Wallabies legend Toutai Kefu.

Unfortunately their tournament looks set to get off to a very rough start with England up first and an upset seeming unlikely at best.

While this will probably be a long way from England’s 101-10 win from the 1999 World Cup, Tonga’s recent results suggest that it won’t be a pleasant final scoreline.

Tonga’s warm up for the World Cup included defeats to Japan, Fiji and most recently a 92-7 drubbing from the All Blacks.

England should have no problems brushing them aside here, it’s just a question of can they score enough to cover the massive spread.

At this point of the tournament, it’s worth taking a punt on a big England win.

Back England by 51+ @ $2.25

Wales Vs Georgia

Monday 23 September, 8:15pm, City of Toyota Stadium

Wales 43 – Georgia 14

This probably won’t be the best game of the tournament, but it’s still going to be nice having some rugby on the tv on a Monday night.

Wales should have the win locked up by halftime, there’s no questioning the gulf in class between these two sides and the 27.5 point line at the time of writing seems generous to the Georgians.

Back Wales to Cover -27.5 @ $1.90

Russia Vs Samoa

Tuesday 24 September, 8:15pm, Kumagaya Rugby Stadium

Russia 9 – Samoa 34

You have to give Russia some credit, they surprised plenty of people putting a bit of a scare through an error riddled Japanese side early on before fading late.

Up next is a Samoa side that sat out the first weekend of the tournament but will be raring to go here.

While the Pacific Island nation have a rich rugby history, their recent run of results suggests that they aren’t the most potent team with the ball in hand and a 30 point line seems awfully high.

For this one, back Russia to keep it close long enough that they can hold on for a cover.

Back Russia to Cover +30.5 @ $1.83

Fiji Vs Uruguay

Wednesday 25 September, 3:15pm, Kashima Recovery Memorial Stadium

Fiji 27 – Uruguay 30

There was no choice but to come away from Saturday’s clash with Australia impressed with the Fijian side.

That first half is exactly why some were concerned that they could overtake the Wallabies and find their way into the knockout phase, although they probably need to win out from here to have a shot at that.

Against the Uruguayans, playing in their first game in this World Cup, coming away with a win shouldn’t be too difficult.

Unlike on Saturday, Uruguay won’t close out anywhere near as strongly as the Wallabies allowing Fiji to really put on a show with their 7’s skills here.

Back Fiji to Cover -30.5 @ $1.83

Italy Vs Canada

Thursday 26 September, 5:45pm, Fukuoka Hakatanomori Stadium

Italy 48 – Canada 7

It’s the start of what will probably not be a great evening for the North American nations.

The Italians opened up their campaign with a 25 point win over Namibia and now face a Canadian side they have not lost to since the year 2000.

In that time, they have won all six meetings including victories in the 2003 and 2015 World Cups, although it hasn’t always been massive margins in that time.

Instead, four of those clashes, including both World Cup games, have been decided by less than 10 points.

With Canada in a slight downturn lately though, Italy should be able to handle then and come away with a win.

In terms of a value play, try the 10 point winning margins, Italy should still win but face some slightly stiffer resistance so I’ll back in the 11-20 point range.

Back Italy by 11-20 points @ $3.40

England Vs USA

Thursday 26 September, 8:45pm, Kobe Misaki Stadium

England 45 – USA 7

The Americans have had the longest wait to start their World Cup campaign and it’s probably been a slightly stressful wait with the English on the horizon.

England has never lost to the Americans and their smallest margin of victory was 18 points in 2007.

While we probably aren’t going to be in for another 106-8 scoreline from 2001, the English will show their credentials here with a professional performance.

Back England to Cover -37.5 @ $1.83

Argentina Vs Tonga

Saturday 28 September, 2:45pm, Hanazono Rugby Stadium

Argentina 28 – Tonga 12

Argentina pushed France all the way in their first game and saw their frustrations boil over at full time after Camille Lopez’s drop goal proved to be the difference for France.

That’s not good news for Tonga as it sure seems like we are primed for a response from Argentina here.

There is still a chance they can back up from that defeat but it needs to start off with a bonus point win over the Tongans here.

Back Argentina -27.5 @ $1.83

Japan Vs Ireland

Saturday 28 September, 5:15pm, Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa

Japan 19 – Ireland 12

If you want to buy into the narrative of Japan exceeding expectations in their home World Cup, this is the game to get on board with them.

Then after thinking about it for a second, look for Ireland to put together a clinical performance and come away with a big win.

After dismissing Scotland by 24 points in their opening game, the Irish could go a long way towards sealing top spot in Pool A with another big win here and that’s the play in this game.

Back Ireland -21.5 @ $1.91

South Africa Vs Namibia

Saturday 28 September, 7:45pm, City of Toyota Stadium

South Africa 57 – Namibia 3

Eight years ago the Springboks crushed Namibia 87-0 at the Rugby World Cup and they head into this game with many wondering if they can repeat that scoreline again.

Namibia managed to put 22 up on Italy but it’s unlikely they’ll get anything more than a late consolation try in this one, although that may be an achievement for that side.

If you’re expecting South Africa to put up a basketball score in this game, there’s plenty of options in the Try Scorer market including Elton Jantjies who is getting a start at flyhalf or perhaps the cult figure Tendai “Beast” Mtawarira.

While I have plenty of confidence the Springboks will cover the 59.5 point line, I’ll take the value of the Lions playmaker to put his footwork to good use and cross for a try in this game.

Back Elton Jantjies Anytime Try Scorer @ $5.00

Georgia Vs Uruguay

Sunday 29 September, 3:15pm, Kumagaya Rugby Stadium

Georgia 33 – Uruguay 7

How much fun was it seeing the Uruguayans upset the Fijian team on Wednesday?

Well they have a chance for a slightly less monumental upset victory on Sunday when they take on Georgia as underdogs.

The only concern is how well can they back up from Wedensday’s game to play again on Sunday.

This should be a physical, low scoring encounter and I’ll back the Uruguayans at that price.

Back Uruguay to Win @ $5.50

Australia Vs Wales

Sunday 29 September, 5:45pm, Tokyo Stadium

Australia 25 – Wales 29

Without putting too much pressure on the Australians, this is the game what will decide whether or not they have any sort of chance of winning the World Cup.

A victory means they should top their pool and avoid the side of the knockout draw that is probably going to feature England and New Zealand.

Lose to Wales and… well it could be curtains for their tournament.

The good news is that outside of last year’s nightmare run of results, the Wallabies haven’t been beaten by Wales a whole lot lately, for some reason they just seem to have their number.

So whether it’s writing off that 9-6 defeat as an aberration or looking at this match with green and gold glasses, back the Wallabies to win outright here.

Back Australia to Win @ $2.10

Scotland Vs Samoa

Monday 30 September, 8:15pm, Stadium

Scotland 34 – Samoa 0

It wasn’t a great start for Scotland, going down limply against European rivals Ireland and mustering a mediocre three points.

Samoa didn’t have much trouble dispatching Russia by 25 points but looking at this one, this has the looks of a game where the form lines can be a little misleading given the competition.

Scotland should take care of business, even if they have to work a little bit for it with Samoa well aware of what a shock win could do.

Back Samoa to Cover +15.5 @ $1.91

France Vs USA

Wednesday 2 October, 5:45pm, Fukuoka Hakatanomori Stadium

France 33 – USA 9

If you want to see the difference between these two nations in terms of their rugby prowess, look at the way the American side celebrated their last gasp try against England… to only go down by 45-7.

This game is another one of those games where it should just come down to “the favourite by how much” and the French should be feeling pretty confident after having 10 full days to recover from their bruising win over Argentina.

I’ll back the fresh French legs to get them over the line here as the USA perhaps puts one eye on their later group games where they can try to steal a win.

Back France to Cover -21.5 @ $1.83

New Zealand Vs Canada

Wednesday 2 October, 8:15pm, Oita Stadium

New Zealand 63 – Canada 0

Some games you just have to take the simple play and the All Blacks are that here when they take on Canada.

Last month we saw just how ruthless they can be against Tonga putting up 92 on them and it wouldn’t be a surprise if they push for 100 here.

The last meeting between these sides was in 2011 and the All Blacks won that one 79-15.

It’s not great value but it’s the All Blacks so back them at a line of almost 10 converted tries.

Back New Zealand to Cover -66.5 @ $1.80

Georgia Vs Fiji

Thursday 3 October, 5:45pm, Hanazono Rugby Stadium

Georgia 10 – Fiji 45

You could be forgiven for struggling to find a clear form line on either of these sides.

On paper Fiji should be favoured by a lot more than the 7.5 they are at the time of writing but that loss to Uruguay has shaken some of that confidence.

Of course having had nearly two full weeks to stew on that loss you would expect a response from a side that some expected to challenge Australia for second spot in the pool.

Georgia won’t go away though, their forward pack is big, strong and motivated but you have to like the flair of the Fijians to respond to their two defeats and get their first win at the tournament.

Back Fiji to Cover -7.5 @ $1.91

Ireland Vs Russia

Thursday 3 October, 8:15pm, Kobe Misaki Stadium

Ireland 35 – Russia 0

The Irish became the 2019 version of the 2015 Springboks after going down to Japan in the tournament’s biggest upset.

Russia has shown the ability to be a pesky out so far and they might be able to hang with Ireland early on in this one, and by that we mean keep the Irish below 20 first half points.

Plus it’s fair to question whether or not Ireland actually has 50 points in them, or at least 50 more than what they allow Russia to get since a shutout doesn’t seem likely.

Back Russia to Cover +53.5 @ $1.91

South Africa Vs Italy

Friday 4 October, 7:45pm, Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa

South Africa 49 – Italy 3

Italy is yet to lose in the 2019 Rugby World Cup, but South Africa is yet to lose in 2019 with six wins and a draw.

Of course both of Italy’s wins have come over Namibia and Canada and the Springboks are the side that look like they are building nicely into this tournament so far.

Aside from a lone upset in 2016 during the November tour, this has been a comfortable fixture for South Africa although the line of 25.5 does seem quite high considering how freely Italy has been scoring so far.

For this one, back Italy to get around 20 points and the Springboks to be in the high 30’s.

Back Italy to Cover +25.5 @ $1.91

Australia Vs Uruguay

Saturday 5 October, 3:15pm, Oita Stadium

Australia 45 – Uruguay 10

We’re hardly fashionistas in the Ladbrokes office but the most exciting thing about Australia’s clash with Uruguay on Saturday afternoon is the fact they’ll be wearing a predominantly green Indigenous jersey.

From a betting perspective it’s a case of can the Wallabies beat the 50 point spread, probably by keeping Uruguay tryless.

In 2015, the Wallabies cruised home by 62 in Birmingham but there’s still some real questions about their attacking fluidity and whether or not the inclusion of boom youngster Jordan Petaia and a few other fringe players will spark a scoring onslaught against these minnows.

The other big question is whether or not Uruguay have already had their moment, beating Fiji in their tournament opener.

While Australia has looked strong at times in their opening two matches, that’s just too high of a number to back in, although whichever side you land on, you’ll probably be sweating the final few minutes.

Back Uruguay to Cover +50.5 @ $1.91

England Vs Argentina

Saturday 5 October, 5:45pm, Tokyo Stadium

England 39 – Argentina 10

Two games, two bonus point wins, 80 points scored and just 10 conceded.

That’s why they are clear favourites against an Argentina side that has to win to keep its quarter final hopes alive.

Having lost to France in its tournament opener, nothing short of an upset will do for the Pumas here, although this is the game where a lengthy year might begin to catch up with them.

It hasn’t been a great tournament for favourites at the line but England should have the discipline to hold on for a decent margin of victory.

Back England to Cover -14.5 @ $1.91

Japan Vs Samoa

Saturday 5 October, 8:15pm, City of Toyota Stadium

Japan 38 – Samoa 19

The Japanese team will have had a full week to enjoy their shock win over the Irish by the time this kicks off and a win here would just about seal a spot in the quarter finals.

It would give them three wins from three games and based on the performances of both sides in the tournament, a win should be coming here.

That 18.5 point line just seems like a step too far for them though as the focus will be more on the result than picking up style points.

Back Samoa +18.5 @ $1.91

New Zealand Vs Namibia

Sunday 6 October, 3:45pm, Tokyo Stadium

New Zealand 71 – Namibia 9

We came close on the New Zealand-Canada line and had one pass stuck on any one of the line breaks in the final 20 minutes of the match we would have been celebrating another cover.

It’s still the All Blacks and a 10 converted try line isn’t worth backing against, especially if Steve Hansen rolls out a few more big name players for this one.

Back New Zealand to Cover -69.5 @ $1.80

France Vs Tonga

Sunday 6 October, 6:45pm, Kumamoto Stadium

France 23 – Tonga 21

Do we think that France is going to put together a performance closer to that of Argentina or England when they take on Tonga?

Based on how close the Argentina-France match was, there’s a chance this could be a close game through the opening 40 minutes so we’ll take Tonga at the line which looks about five or six points too high.

Back Tonga to Cover +25.5 @ $1.91

South Africa Vs Canada

Tuesday 8 October, 9:15pm, Kobe Misaki Stadium

There is absolutely no reason to think that South Africa won’t win this game by a lot, especially considering they need maximum points to ensure their progression to the knockout phase.

Thanks to their victory over Italy, a bonus point win would ensure the Azzuri cannot overtake them with an unlikely upset over New Zealand.

Let’s assume that the Springboks show the same level of ruthlessness in this one as they did in their previous outing and look to go into the knockout stage on a roll.

Back South Africa to Cover -49.5 @ $1.83

Argentina Vs USA

Wednesday 9 October, 3:45pm, Kumagaya Rugby Stadium

Argentina 47 – USA 17

While both of these sides have come a long way since their last meeting in 2003, there is a huge gulf in class between Argentina and the USA.

This will be Argentina’s final involvement in the 2019 Rugby World Cup after losses to France and England ended any chance of progressing to the knockout phase.

All they have left to play for is ensuring they finish a clear third in Pool C and a bonus point win is all they have left on the table.

I’ll back one last push from the Pumas here as they beat a side they should be a lot better than.

Back Argentina to Cover -20.5 @ $1.83

Scotland Vs Russia

Wednesday 9 October, 6:45pm, Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa

Scotland 61 – Russia 0

Russia might not have won a game or even picked up a single point at the Rugby World Cup but that hasn’t stopped them being a really entertaining watch throughout the tournament.

Their attack has really let them down with just 19 points in their three matches but they have made Japan, Samoa and Ireland all work for their points.

It’s one last chance to get on the Bears bandwagon here and it’s worth backing them to keep it close… or at least within 32 points here, especially considering Scotland have had one really bad game and one really good one so far.

Back Russia to Cover +32.5 @ $1.91

Wales Vs Fiji

Wednesday 9 October, 9:15pm, Oita Stadium

Wales 29 – Fiji 17

There’s no ifs, ands or buts about it, Fiji have been one of the biggest disappointments of the whole tournament.

Wales on the other hand can just about lock up top spot in Pool D with a bonus point win in this game, giving themselves some breathing room over Australia ahead of the final matches.

Fiji did spring an upset when these two sides met in the group stage of the 2007 World Cup but this clash will probably be closer to the last two World Cup meetings which saw Wales win by 66 and 10 points respectively.

Overall, Wales is just too good here and I can’t back against them, although from a Wallabies perspective, a Fijian favour wouldn’t go astray.

Back Wales to Cover -16.5 @1.83

Australia Vs Georgia

Friday 11 October, 9:15pm, Shizuoka Stadium Ecopa

Australia 27 – Georgia 8

If Australia is to have any hope of stealing top spot in its pool and likely avoiding France in the knockout stages, they need to put up a big win over Georgia.

Michael Cheika has switched things up a little bit for this game, throwing Matt To’omua into the flyhalf role, seemingly with an eye on having Christian Lealiifano fresh for the big games coming.

The forward pack is slightly experimental as well with Jack Dempsey coming in for Michael Hooper but overall the Wallabies should have the quality to win this one by around 30.

Back Australia to Cover -24.5 @ $1.83

New Zealand Vs Italy

Saturday 12 October, 3:45pm, City of Toyota Stadium

New Zealand 0 – Italy 0


England Vs France

Saturday 12 October, 7:15pm, International Stadium Yokohama

England 0 – France 0


Ireland Vs Samoa

Saturday 12 October, 9:45pm, Fukuoka Hakatanomori Stadium

Ireland 47 – Samoa 5

The lone Saturday clash at the Rugby World Cup after the two earlier matches were cancelled sees Ireland looking for top spot in Pool A.

To get that they need to first get by Samoa here, ideally with a bonus point and hope that Scotland is able to defeat Japan, if that match goes ahead at all.

Having had nine days to prepare for this one you can expect a business like performance from the Irish as they take full advantage of a Samoan side that they are a lot better than.

Back Ireland to Cover -28.5 @ $1.83

Namibia Vs Canada

Sunday 13 October, 2:15pm, Kamaishi Recovery Memorial Stadium

Namibia 0 – Canada 0


USA Vs Tonga

Sunday 13 October, 4:45pm, Hanazono Stadium

USA 19 – Tonga 31

This is the other dead rubber fixture for Sunday, but there’s some good value in the market here, with Tonga only slightly favoured after putting a real scare through France.

The USA is giving up a ridiculous amount of points to opponents and to be honest, Tonga really should leave this tournament with at least one victory and it’s their last chance to do that here.

Back Tonga to Cover -4.5 @ $1.91

Wales Vs Uruguay

Sunday 13 October, 7:15pm, Kumamoto Stadium

Wales 35 – Uruguay 13

As much as the Wallabies are hoping for some sort of miracle here, Wales will win this game.

What is in question though, is whether or not they can find a way to cover a 45 point line and on just four days rest from what was a bruising encounter with Fiji, it sure seems unlikely.

Plus they can rest easy with the knowledge that as long as they win, it doesn’t make a whole lot of difference if it’s by five, 15, 25 or 55.

With one eye on the quarter finals, look for Wales to get out to a comfortable four try lead and then sit on it.

Back Uruguay to Cover +44.5 @ $1.91

Japan Vs Scotland

Sunday 13 October, 9:45pm, International Stadium Yokohama

Japan 28 – Scotland 21

We’re not even sure if this one will go ahead but if it does, it’s going to be the biggest game of rugby in Japanese history.

Win and they are through to the World Cup Quarter Finals, lose and their tournament is over.

Scotland has won all seven meetings between the two nations but Japan is getting closer and closer, only going down by five in the last match in 2016.

If there was ever a time to break their duck, this is it and it’s worth a punt as an underdog.

Back Japan to Win @ $2.20