We are past the midway point of the 2025 Super Rugby Pacific season and we are set for a frantic run home as teams jockey for position on the table.

Every team has something to play for over the coming weeks with 13 points separating the first placed Crusaders and tenth placed Moana Pasifika.

This weekend we get underway with a big game in Christchurch as the Crusaders host the Blues while Saturday’s quadruple header promises chaos from start to finish.

Find our previews and best bets for every Super Rugby game below.

The Blues might finally be turning things around after a rough start to the season, winning their last two home games over the Canes and Moana Pasifika.

However they do not have the best away record against the Crusaders, covering just twice from 13 starts.

Not to mention the Crusaders sure look like they are once again title contenders, going 6-2 on the season so far including a massive 42-19 win over the Blues in Auckland four weeks ago.

On top of that they will be eager to give their home fans something to cheer for after a shock 16 point loss to Moana Pasifika in their last home game.

It might not be a huge blowout like the March game, but the Crusaders certainly look the goods and I’m not backing against them.

Crusaders to Cover -4.5 @ $1.92

A usually reliable bet at home, the Drua will be hoping that a return to Fiji springs a turnaround in form.

With a record of 1-7 and sitting dead last on the table, the Drua have played just two games in Fiji, just losing to the Brumbies in Round 1 before stunning the Chiefs back in March.

Also working in their favour is the fact the home team has won each of the Waratahs eight games so far this season.

On their travels they have lost by 20 against the Reds, 45 against the Hurricanes and 17 against Moana Pasifika.

This really is last chance saloon for the Drua to salvage their season and that Waratahs form line is too much to ignore.

SGM: Drua to Win and Over 56.5 Points @ $2.90

We are seeing the best version of Moana Pasifika in their short history this season, but they did have a bit of a reality check last weekend.

A bounce back performance seems somewhat unlikely this weekend against a Brumbies team that is in red hot form.

They were at their ruthless best in Brisbane on Saturday night, not only beating the Reds but doing so by a convincing margin.

That made it four wins from their last five and there is a lot to like about how they are travelling at the moment.

Perhaps the only danger for the visitors is the coaching staff opting for a bit of rotation in the squad but even so, they still should field enough first choice players to see off this challenge.

Brumbies to Cover -5.5 @ $1.87

Still perfect at home this season, the Chiefs are a great chance to move to 5-0 at FMG Stadium in this game.

Especially when you consider the Highlanders patchy performances over the last few weeks, a big win over the flailing Drua is not enough to erase the four prior defeats.

In their last eight starts away from home, the Highlanders have gone 3-5 against the line, while the Chiefs are 5-2 at home, with one of those misses being their 12 point win over the Reds a fortnight ago when favoured by 12.5.

Once the home side gets going and the cowbells ring, they will be hard to stop.

Chiefs to Cover -14.5 @ $1.87

The Force are well on their way to making Perth a tough place to visit with the West Australians going 6-2 both head to head and against the line in their last eight at HBF Park.

That does not bode well for a Canes side that has lost back to back games and is 2-5 in their last seven away from home.

While the visitors did win the equivalent match in February 2024, a lot has changed since then with the Force strengthening significantly.

Right now it looks like they are a much better chance than their current quote and are great value for the upset.

Force to Win @ $2.05

2024

Six weeks remain in the Super Rugby Pacific season and we have made it through the condensed, bye-impacted rounds.

The Hurricanes perfect start to the season rolls on and they will be out to maintain their red hot run in chilly Canberra against the Brumbies on Saturday afternoon.

Their closest rivals the Blues face a tricky trip to Brisbane in the final match of the round as the Reds will try and maintain their place in the race for a top four finish.

It has been one of the most hotly contested seasons of Super Rugby in recent memory with every team capable of beating every opponent… except maybe the struggling Crusaders.

Check out our previews and best bets for Round 10 below!

Just about every fibre of your being should be screaming to bet the Crusaders in this game, and in most seasons the home side would be value at $1.25.

But with one win on the season and having just been belted by the Force in Perth, you have to be at least a little bit apprehensive about backing them.

Not to mention the Rebels have won three in a row including last week’s 16 point victory over the Highlanders in Melbourne.

History suggests the Crusaders will win this one comfortably, but recent form points to the Rebels.

While the clever thing to do might be taking the Rebels with the points, I’m thinking whoever wins this game is going to wind up scoring 40 points.

In their last four games the Crusaders have given up 26, 26, 43 and 37 points, while the Rebels have conceded 30 points in five games and allowed 50 twice this season.

Over 57.5 Points @ $1.87

There should be no arguments over the Chiefs status as clear favourites heading into this game.

While the memory of the Waratahs extra time win over the Crusaders is the most recent one we have for the New South Welshmen, that win does not quite carry the weight it did 12 months ago.

Add in the fact that the Chiefs have won the last seven games between the teams, all of which have been by at least ten points and this looks like it is only heading in one direction.

Chiefs to Cover -14.5 @ $1.88

It turns out there is a kryptonite for the Drua in Fiji and it is the unbeaten Hurricanes, but Moana Pasifika are no Hurricanes.

Sure they won the Super Round clash between the two in Melbourne but the theory on the Fijian side being a whole different beast at home rings true here.

We’re going to see plenty of points scored here so I’ll be jumping on the overs, in four head to head games only one team has failed to score 30 points and that was Moana Pasifika putting up 19 in 2022.

With the chance to exact some revenge on Moana Pasifika for that early season defeat, I’m more than happy to back the Drua to win by more than a converted try for a decent Same Game Multi.

SGM: Drua to Cover -7.5 and Over 62.5 Points @ $2.71

It has been a long time since the Brumbies looked as bad as they did in Auckland last week, getting thoroughly outclassed by the Blues 46-7.

Generally you might be expecting some sort of bounce back against the next opponent but when that next opponent is the unbeaten Hurricanes… well even the most optimistic of fans has to be a bit concerned.

Not even the stat that the last seven games between these teams has been won by the home side, five of which were the Brumbies, is enough to swing my opinion.

The Hurricanes are unbeaten, they have won their last four by at least 13 points and are playing some damn good rugby at the moment.

Hurricanes to Cover -7.5 @ $1.88

You have to give the Force credit where it is due, they played really well to knock off the Crusaders in Perth last weekend.

It was such a good performance that you have to give them a chance of springing an upset over struggling Highlanders.

After all, the Highlanders just got shut out in Brisbane last weekend and that side has a lot of soul searching to do as they try to end a five game losing streak.

Before settling on a pick though, let’s flash back to March 19 2023 which was the Force’s first away trip of that season and it saw them travel to New Zealand to take on Highlanders.

The Dunedin based side won that game 43-35 and it started an 11 game away losing streak that is still running today.

Eight of those defeats have been by double digits and their average losing margin in New Zealand is just under 20 points per game, including a 50-3 loss at Eden Park earlier this month.

While the Highlanders have not been great lately, they should be able to edge out the Force who are horrific on the road.

Highlanders to Win by 1-12 @ $2.75

Maybe this is an overreaction to the Reds impressive effort shutting out the Highlanders last week, but how can you not take the positives out of that turnaround?

A week prior to that they looked like a team ready to pack it in and limp to the finish line but they ground out a surprisingly resounding win.

That same resolve might not be enough to get them by the Blues on Saturday night, but it is going to give them a decent shot at keeping it close.

The Blues are entering this game in imperious form, smashing the Crusaders by 20, Moana Pasifika by 39, the Force by 47 and Brumbies by 39 in their last four outings.

However the Reds will look to turn this game into a bit more of a scrap and bring the scoring down, which should create a closer game.

I’ll take the Reds with the points as this looks like a clash that could and probably should go down to the wire.

Reds to Cover +10.5 @ $1.88

2023

The byes are over and there are just six weeks remaining until the Super Rugby finals series.

We have a full slate of games coming up this weekend starting in Wellington as the Hurricans host the Brumbies.

But the big game of Round 10 comes on Saturday afternoon as the Chiefs take on the Crusaders, with the visitors out to atone for a big loss back in Round 1.

We’ve got you covered this weekend with our previews and best bets for every Super Rugby game so read on and see who we are backing.

Under most circumstances you would just jump on the Hurricanes at the line and not think twice, but the Brumbies really have the look of a good team about them.

The Aussie side heads into this one with a 7-1 record and sit four points clear of the Hurricanes and they have won their last three games against the Canes too.

However this is an improved Hurricanes team and at home, they are just that little bit more dangerous.

I’m expecting an end to end game that the Brumbies are able to stay competitive in but the Canes just find a way to pull it out at the end.

Hurricanes by 1-12 @ $3.00

After a nightmare trip out to Perth, the Highlanders head to Sydney chasing their fourth win of the year.

Even with the visitors coming off a disappointing defeat, it’s still a bit of surprise to see the 2-6 Waratahs favoured despite playing on their home turf.

Their two wins have come against the Drua and the Force and quite frankly, they just are not good enough to be favoured in this one.

Highlanders to Win @ $2.25

In a vacuum the Blues would blow away the Drua however the fact this game is taking place in Fiji makes this a much more even contest than the market might suggest.

Perhaps its buying into the storyline a bit more than one should but the Drua play like a better team on their home turf.

They have already knocked off the Rebels and Crusaders at home and while they might not get the job done against the Blues, they should cover the line.

Drua to Cover +14.5 @ $1.70

Nobody is going to see the final score of this game and think that either of these teams are going to suddenly pose a threat on the run home.

Moana Pasifika will take this home game back to Auckland as they seek to avoid an 0-9 start, but based on most of their efforts this season, it’s tough to see them offering much in the back end of the season.

A win here would all but ensure that the Rebels are going to avoid the wooden spoon and they have shown brief flashes of competitiveness.

Someone has to win this and I like the Rebels to do it comfortably in the end.

Rebels to Cover -5.5 @ $1.91

Still unbeaten on the season, the Chiefs will take on the Crusaders looking for their first season sweep of their rivals since 2016.

Back in Round 1, the current league leaders went to Christchurch and put on a clinic, running away with a 31-10 victory to begin their campaign.

However the Crusaders have been a much improved team in the last few weeks, shoring an impressive ability to close out opponents in key moments after their shock loss in Fiji in March.

But you have to like the Chiefs to get the job done, even if it will be a close game that goes down to the wire.

Chiefs by 1-12 @ $2.80

Back in Round 2, the Reds absolutely belted the ever loving daylights out of the Force, putting on a record score in a 71-20 win.

Now on their home turf they have to produce a similarly ruthless performance to give themselves a bit of breathing room in the race for the finals.

Since the Force’s readmission to the competition, they have gone 0-2 in their two trips to Brisbane and there is no reason to think they suddenly become a much stronger travelling team now.

Reds to Cover -8.5 @ $1.83

2022

It’s not just another weekend of Super Rugby action coming up, for the first time in 2022, teams will cross the Tasman divide and we will also see the first “Super Round” with every game taking place at Melbourne’s AAMI Park.

We will learn a lot about the Australian sides and how much ground they have made up on the superior New Zealand clubs over the next month and there is a Kiwi Premium on the head to head lines for Round 10.

If you are expecting a clean sweep for the New Zealand sides like we saw in the first round of Super Rugby Trans Tasman last year, you can combine all five sides to win and cover at a decent price of over $23 at publish.

This weekend’s action kicks off early Friday with the fifth placed Waratahs taking on the Chiefs however the standout clash comes on Saturday night with the Hurricanes playing the Reds.

We’ve got our previews and best bets for every game this weekend below so read on and see who we are backing.

On paper, this should be a very close encounter between two sides in a similar position on the Super Rugby ladder.

Both clubs have gone 5-3 so far with one extra bonus point for the Waratahs the only thing that separates the two sides.

The Chiefs have scored four more points than their Australian opponents and conceded 10 more.

But this comes back to the perceived level of competition with the Chiefs facing a much tougher schedule.

There is no question that the Tahs are a better side than they were in 2021 and I’m expecting a slightly more competitive contest than the 40-7 belting the Chiefs handed out in June.

Perhaps it is showing a little bit too much respect to the Chiefs but I’ll back them to kick start Super Round with a comfortable victory over the Waratahs.

Back the Chiefs to Cover -16.5 @ $1.91

UPDATE: MATCH POSTPONED DUE TO COVID

We have a rare even odds Super Rugby market that cannot split the Force and competition debutants Moana Pasifika.

Neither side brings a great run of form into this contest with a combined three wins between them.

Moana Pasifika’s sole victory came in extra time against a depleted Hurricanes outfit and they have been on the wrong end of some big scorelines, conceding over 30 points in seven of their eight games so far and over 40 in three of their last four.

This may be the Force’s last decent opportunity to pick up a win and I’ll happily take them at this price to get the job done.

Back the Western Force to Win @ $1.91

This is going to be a nice and simple decision on which team to back at the line.

The Blues are leading the Super Rugby Pacific table, have won seven straight and just recorded their biggest win in a long time, defeating the Crusaders in Christchurch.

On the other side, the Drua have battled through their inaugural campaign, winning just once and losing five in a row including the last two by over 20 points.

The final margin of this game will depend on when (or if) the Blues decide to take their foot off the accelerator and cruise to the finish line but they should still find a way to cover the line.

Back the Blues to Cover -29.5 @ $1.91

One of two Australian sides that feel like they might have a chance to record a win this weekend is the Reds.

Brad Thorn’s side has won seven of their eight games so far and sits one point off the top of the Super Rugby table, however they are yet to put together a real statement win.

Discipline has been a real issue for them with a high number of yellow and red cards as well as letting teams back into games with late defensive lapses, including last weekend’s win over the Rebels that could and probably should have been by a much more comfortable margin.

That can be taken one of two ways, they are due to hit their straps heading into the final month of the season, or they are yet to fully click and should be treated with a bit of apprehension.

Conversely, the Hurricanes are not the most threatening of the New Zealand sides and have also played five games in the last 29 days, something that will drain even the fittest of rugby teams.

We just don’t know what version of the Canes will show up but we do know the Reds will fight tooth and nail to keep this game competitive and I’ll back them to minimise their mistakes and cover the line.

Back the Reds to Cover +8.5 @ $1.91

Every year, one of the New Zealand sides suffers a season from hell and just cannot catch a break.

It is the turn of the Highlanders in 2022 with just one win this season, coming against Moana Pasifika breaking up their seven defeats.

For that reason, the Brumbies actually look like decent value as underdogs in our head to head market.

They have the defensive resiliency to frustrate the Highlanders and have shown in their last two wins over the Force and Brumbies they can score when they need to.

This may be the week where the Highlanders find their stride but it would be a massive switch up from what we have seen to date.

Back the Brumbies to Win @ $2.60

It might be a tired and recycled thought process, but the only thing more rare than the Crusaders losing twice in a season is the Crusaders losing three times in a season.

Not to mention the idea of this storied team losing back to back games is almost unfathomable, especially considering this week’s opponent.

The last five meetings have all been won by the Crusaders by the following scores: 85-26 in 2016, 41-19 in 2017, 55-10 in 2018, 66-0 in 2019 and 52-26 in 2021.

Based on the Rebels efforts this season, it’s tough to see them causing too much trouble for the Crusaders.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -28.5 @ $1.91

SUPER ROUND NEW ZEALAND MULTI

If you are so inclined, this is the Aotearoa multi constructed by backing every side from New Zealand to win and cover.

Chiefs to Cover -16.5, Blues to Cover -29.5, Hurricanes to Cover -8.5, Highlanders to Cover -5.5, Crusaders to Cover -28.5 @ $23.33

2021

It’s the final weekend of the Super Rugby AU Round Robin and the last remaining place in the finals goes on the line.

The Western Force face a win and in scenario against a Reds team looking for a perfect eight from eight record.

Over in New Zealand the Chiefs are now the big story with four straight wins putting them in the box seat for a spot in the Super Rugby Aotearoa final with two rounds to play.

We are previewing all four matches this weekend below so read on and see who we are backing.

SUPER RUGBY AU ROUND 10

The situation could not be more simple for the Western Force, win and they book a trip to Canberra next weekend in the Super Rugby AU Preliminary Final.

Unfortunately for them, the task is much more complicated with a Queensland Reds side looking for a tune up ahead of the Grand Final in a fortnight and completing a perfect regular season coming to town.

Should the Force lose this, they will be forced to nervously wait and see if the Rebels lose to the Waratahs on Saturday night.

As much as I’d love to see the story get up, I can’t bring myself to back against the Reds given how well Brad Thorn has them playing.

The Force will throw everything they can at the Reds and the 9.5 point line is in the right range for me, I can see this coming down to the wire but the Reds have the quality to just sneak home.

Back the Reds to Win by 1-12 @ $2.80

Assuming the Reds get up on Friday night, this creates another win and in scenario, this time for the Rebels.

There is not a lot of cause for optimism in the men from Melbourne with three consecutive defeats putting them in the position where they need help.

On the plus side, the Waratahs are in the midst of quite possibly their worst season ever, losing all seven matches so far.

As possibly the smallest ever consolation, they have gone close in their last two games, losing by two to the Brumbies and one to the Force.

While the Waratahs will no doubt come out not only wanting to play spoiler and avoid an imperfect season, I just can’t see how they get over the line here.

It would be very much in line with the Rebels team history to falter at the final hurdle but I can’t in good conscience back the Waratahs to do anything of note.

Back the Rebels to Cover -9.5 @ $1.91

SUPER RUGBY AOTEAROA ROUND 9

Super Rugby Aotearoa is officially out of control with the Chiefs now an outside chance of stealing top spot away from the Crusaders.

It’s actually quite impressive considering the team went 11 matches without a victory before their current four game winning streak.

The Hurricanes are anchored to the foot of the table and seem destined to finish there with five losses from their six matches.

Right now the Chiefs are the hot hand and are the team to back in this market.

Back the Chiefs to Cover -5.5 @ $1.91

This was the popular preseason pick for the Super Rugby Aotearoa Grand Final and is still very much in play.

A win for the Crusaders would secure the minor premiership and a home Grand Final on May 8 but that’s far from automatic following a pair of uncharacteristic defeats in their last three games.

On top of the fact you tend to be right far more often than not backing the Crusaders, the Blues form is not exactly encouraging either.

Three defeats in their last four has them battling for second spot and I will go back to the old theory that the Crusaders just don’t lose back to back games.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -6.5 @ $1.91

2020

*MATCHES CANCELLED*

2019

We are at the halfway point of the 2019 Super Rugby season and while there are some patterns beginning to emerge, the South African conference is a huge mess.

No side encapsulates the wild swings better than the Sharks who, in their last three games have had a low scoring struggle against the Bulls, blasted the Lions at Ellis Park and been blown out at home by the Jaguares.

This weekend they host a Reds side closing out a two week tour and desperate to keep touch in the Australian conference as the Waratahs try to peg back the Rebels this weekend.

We have previewed all six Super Rugby games this weekend and found our betting plays so read on and see what we are taking.

The Chiefs are back on their feet winning three straight games and hosting a Lions side that appears to be way down on confidence.

Two weeks ago they were 37 point losers at home to the Sharks and last weekend their travel woes continued with a loss to the Brumbies.

When these sides last faced off three years ago, the Lions won a high scoring encounter at FMG Stadium 36-32 but that was a very different team then.

When the Lions are underdogs they are listed as such for a reason, they have won just one of their last five games as an underdog and could be in for a big loss at the hands of a side playing its way into form.

Back the Chiefs to Win by 13+ @ $2.38

Despite five wins, two losses and a draw from their eight games so far, the Hurricanes have a points differential of just +3 so far.

A big factor in that is that both of their losses have been by big margins while aside from their win over the Brumbies, their other games have been decided by less than a converted try.

They could be in for another tight contest here as the Sunwolves have shown an improved competitiveness this season.

While they have only picked up two wins this season, at home they have been in plenty of close contests.

Against the spread the Sunwolves have been pretty good lately, covering in 10 of their last 17 games and four of their last seven at home.

Were this game in New Zealand you could feel better taking the Hurricanes but that line is massive and could very well get bigger as kickoff approaches so back the home side to cover.

Back the Sunwolves to Cover +15.5 @ $1.88

After going down to the Bulls by 15 last weekend, the Reds take on the side who might be the toughest to get a read on this season with the up and down Sharks.

The away side has won each of the Sharks last three games but it’s a big ask for a Reds team whose lone away win in the last year came against the Sunwolves.

It’s hard to tell which Sharks team will show up for this game, if it’s the one what crushed the Lions at Ellis Park the Reds could be in for a long afternoon.

If the side that played last week at home to the Jaguares turns up, the Reds could be in line to end a four year losing streak in South Africa.

Head to head you have to like the home side to pull it together here and find a way to cover against an opponent what has given up over 30 points in each of its last three away games.

That being said, if the line grows much bigger and gets over 17, that’s when it would be worth considering the Reds to cover and keep it close as the Sharks are certainly capable of turning in a stinker here.

Back the Sharks to Cover -13.5 @ $1.88

For the last few seasons, this would have been a pretty straightforward play, back against the Blues.

While the Auckland based side had their four game winning run come to an end against the Chiefs in a nailbiter last weekend, it should be noted that four game run all came at Eden Park.

Away from home, including that Chiefs game and they have lost five in a row and their last six in Dunedin.

Add in the Highlanders potentially welcoming back Aaron Smith and this is all set up for a Highlanders rally.

Back the Highlanders to Win by 1-12 @ $2.50

The Waratahs bye week was… interesting to say the least with the Israel Folau drama dominating headlines.

It’s going to be a huge test for Daryl Gibson to get the side focused and firing without the player who is the all time leading try scorer in Super Rugby.

The Waratahs have scored over 30 points in each of the last four games against the Rebels and the Australian Conference leaders were brought crashing back to earth by a ruthless Stormers side last weekend.

You have to give the Waratahs every chance of an win here with the side in a sink or swim situation and playing at the famous SCG and there’s no telling how the Rebels will bounce back from their last loss.

Back the Waratahs to Win @ $1.90

After ending their tour on a high note with a thrashing of the Rebels, the Stormers host another Australian side in the Brumbies.

The general rule in these games is to back against the touring Australian team as travel plays a huge role in their performances.

Negating that somewhat is the fact the Stormers are flying over from Australia as well but it cannot be overstated how important coming back to their own beds will be.

Having covered the line in each of their last four games at home, the Stormers look like a good value play here.

If you want to really stretch out, back the Stormers to win by 13+ but in this instance, there’s nothing wrong with playing it safe and taking an extra six points of insurance.

Back the Stormers to Cover -6.5 @ $1.88

2018

We are now past the half-way mark of the Super Rugby season and there are three clear leaders in each conference.

The Lions to have already secured the South African Conference, while the Waratahs and Hurricanes currently hold slender leads in the Australian and New Zealand Conference respectively.

There are a host of intriguing games set to take place this weekend and our complete 2018 Super Rugby Round 10 tips can be found below.

The Highlanders ended their losing run with a comfortable win over the Brumbies and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Highlanders came from behind to beat the Blues earlier this season and they have won their past three games as away favourites, but they are only 1-3 against the line in this scenario.

It wasn’t overly impressive, but the Blues were still able to come away with the win and they have played some solid Rugby at times this season.

The Blues haven’t been disgraced in any of their games against their fellow New Zealand sides and they have covered the line in three of their past four games as underdogs.

There isn’t as much between these two sides as the current betting market suggests and the Blues can cover the line with the start.

Back Blues To Cover The Line (+6.5 Points)

The two sides on top of the Australian and South African Conferences will do battle in what should be an intriguing clash.

The Waratahs made it four wins on the trot with a comfortable victory over the Reds and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have won and covered the line in four of their past six games as home favourites, while the home side has won the past five games played between these two sides.

The Lions ended their losing run with a strong win over the Stormers and it will be interesting to see how they handle this tour of Australasia.

Their record in Australia isn’t great and they have won only one of their past three games as underdogs.

The home ground advantage does give the Waratahs the edge and they should be able to make it five wins on the trot.

Back Waratahs To Cover The Line (-1.5 Points)

The mismatches don’t get much bigger in Super Rugby and the line for this clash has been set at a massive 41.5 points.

The Crusaders have won their past eight games as home favourites and they are an impressive 5-3 against the line in this scenario, while they beat the Sunwolves by 47 points when they met last season.

The Sunwolves were not disgraced against the Blues last weekend and they have played some solid Rugby at times this season, but they are still chasing their first win.

There is no doubt that the Crusaders will win this game, but the line of 41.5 points does look excessive and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

The Reds momentum has stalled somewhat after their strong start to the season and they will go into this clash with the Chiefs as clear underdogs.

The Chiefs have won their past three games against the Reds in dominant fashion and they have won three of their past four games as away favourites, but they are only 2-2 against the line in this scenario.

Defence has been a problem for the Reds over the past fortnight and if they don’t improve that aspect of their game, this clash could get fairly ugly.

In saying that, the Reds have won their past two games as home underdogs and they are 2-0 against the line in this scenario.

The Reds generally save their best form for in front of their home fans and they can cover the line with a healthy start.

Back Reds To Cover The Line (+11.5 Points)

The Bulls will start this clash with the Rebels as clear favourites.

The Bulls produced their best performance of the season to date to record a dominant win over the Sharks last weekend and they have played some excellent rugby over the past fortnight.

Their record as favourites is still unconvincing and they have failed to cover the line in their two games as favourites this season.

The Rebels suffered a shock loss against the Jaguares in front of their home fans last weekend and they need to jag a game in South Africa to stay in touch with the Waratahs at the top of the Australian Conference.

Winning away from home continues to be an issue for the Rebels – they have failed to win their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.

This is a game that the market does look to have just about right.

No Bet

Both these teams head into this clash on the back of a pair of losses.

The Sharks have won only two games this season to date, but they will still go into this clash with the Stormers as clear favourites.

They have won the past three games played between these two sides, but their record as favourites over the past 12 months has been unconvincing – they have won only three of their past six games as home favourites.

Winning away from home has proven to be a nightmare for the Stormers and they have lost their past seven games as away underdogs, while their record against the line isn’t much better.

The betting play that does appeal in this clash is the Under in Total Points betting.

The Under has saluted in the past four games played between these two sides at Kings Park Stadium and looks a great betting play in what could be a scrappy clash.

Back Under 58.5 Points

This is set to be one of the most interesting games of the weekend.

The Brumbies were no match for the Highlanders last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Jaguares as clear favourites.

The Brumbies have won their past two games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each, while they comfortably beat the Jaguares last season.

Consistency continues to elude the Jaguares, but they did produced their best performance of the season to date when they beat the Rebels last weekend.

They have now won two of their past four games as away underdogs for a clear profit, but they have recorded back-to-back wins over once over the past 12 months.

I would be surprised if the Jaguares were able to replicate that level of performance again and the Brumbies should be able to record a comfortable win.

Back Brumbies To Cover The Line (-5.5 Points)

2017

The rivalry between the Reds and the Waratahs is one of the fiercest in Super Rugby and they do battle in a crucial Australian Derby on Saturday night.

The resurgent Rebels have the opportunity to record another win when they face the Kings, while their rivals for the fourth Australian Super Rugby franchise next season the Force host the Lions.

We are confident that we have found a number of winners this weekend

The Highlanders will go into this clash with the Stormers as dominant favourites after recording four wins on the trot.

The Highlanders have not lost to a non-New Zealand side this season and that looks unlikely to change this weekend.

They have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a profit and they are 4-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Stormers made a flying start to the Super Rugby season, but they head into this clash on the back of losses to both the Lions and the Crusaders.

They have generally struggled as underdogs in recent seasons, but they will take confidence that they have won five of the past six games played between these two sides.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Another week with another unbackable favourite coming up against the Sunwolves.

The Chiefs have only lost the one game so far this season, but they were not particuarly impressive against either the Cheetahs or the Force in the past fortnight.

They have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but they are only 2-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Sunwolves were on the end of another heavy defeat at the hands of the Highlanders last weekend and the draw really hasn’t been kind to them in recent weeks.

They are yet to win a game away from home, but they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario and have played some decent football this season.

The Sunwolves are receiving a massive start of 36.5 points and I am banking on them to cover the line this weekend.

Back The Sunwolves To Beat The Line (+36.5 Points)

This is a crucial game in the Australian Conference as – remarkably – a win would keep both sides in finals contention.

The Reds went into the bye on the back of a high-scoring win over the Kings and they will start this clash as favourites.

They have won four of their past five games as home favourites, but they are 1-4 against the line in this scenario and have lost their past six games to their rivals.

The Waratahs’ season hit a new low when they lost to the Kings last weekend and they have only won the two games so far this season.

They have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

Both these teams are extremely tough to trust from a betting standpoint and this is another clash that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet

The Lions have won five games on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Force as clear favourites.

The Lions have won their past two games as home favourites, but they are 0-2 against the line in this scenario and they are still looking for their first ever win over the Force.

The Force showed plenty of fights against the Chiefs last weekend and a similar performance against the Lions would have them right in this contest.

They have won only one of their past four games as home underdogs and they are an inconclusive 2-2 against the line in this scenario.

The betting play that really stands out in this clash is the Under in Total Points betting market.

Unders has saluted in four of the past five home games played by the Force and five of the past seven away games played by the Lions, which makes it the clear value in this clash.

Back Under 55.5 Points

The Cheetahs have the home ground advantage here, but it is the Crusaders that will start this clash as clear favourites.

The Crusaders are yet to taste defeat in Super Rugby this season, but that has not necessarily made them an attractive betting proposition.

They have won three of their past four games as away favourites for a narrow loss, but they are only 1-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Cheetahs suffered a narrow defeat at the hands of the Bulls and they have now lost five games on the trot.

While they have struggled to win, they have not been as bad as their record suggests and they have covered the line in three of their past five games as away underdogs.

This can be a closer game than the betting market suggests and I am keen to back the Cheetahs to beat the line with a start of 14.5 points.

Back The Cheetahs To Beat The Line (+14.5 Points)

The Kings and Rebels have both found form in recent weeks and this shapes as one of the most interesting games of the weekend.

The Rebels beat the Brumbies before drawing with the Sharks in South Africa last weekend and they will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

This is only the second game that they have started as favourites over the past 12 months, but they are a side that have generally struggled away from home and they have won just two of their past 12 games on the road.

The Kings ended their Australian tour with a win over the Waratahs and they will go into this clash with a fair bit of confidence.

They have only won one of their past six games as home underdogs, but they are 3-1-2 against the line in this scenario and they continue to be a better side than the market thinks.

This is a clash that could go either way and I am keen to back the Kings with a start of 3.5 points.

Back The Kings To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)

This is a crucial game in the South African conference as the loser will lose touch with the leading contenders.

The Jaguares have lost three games on the trot, but they are favourites to return to winning form this weekend.

They have won five of their past six games as home favourites, but they have never beaten the Sharks and they are 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Sharks could not have been more disappointing against the Rebels last weekend, but the game before that they were able to dispatch with the Jaguares.

The Sharks have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, but they are 4-2 against the line in this situation.

There is nowhere near as much between these sides as the current betting market suggests and the Sharks are a great bet to beat the line with a start of 5.5 points.

Back The Sharks To Beat The Line (+5.5 Points)

An Australian team has not beaten a New Zealand team in Super Rugby this season and it is the Blues that are clear favourites to continue that streak this weekend.

The Blues go into this clash on the back of losses at the hands of the Highlanders and the Hurricanes, but they weren’t disgraced in either of those games.

They have won their past three games as away favourites and they have also been a profitable betting play against the line in this scenario.

The Brumbies have fallen away somewhat after their positive start to the season and they were no match for the Hurricanes last weekend.

They have lost their past two games as home underdogs and their record against the line in that scenario is identical.

The Blues should be able to return to winning form and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.

Back The Blues To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)

2016

There are a number of big games in round 10 of the 2016 Super Rugby season.

The round starts on Friday afternoon when the Chiefs host the Sharks in New Zealand, while the Highlanders face the Brumbies in the pick of Saturday’s fixtures.

The highlight of the weekend might be the penultimate game of the round when the Stormers and Waratahs do battle in what could be a finals preview.

The Sharks returned to winning form with an upset victory over the Highlanders last weekend, but the Chiefs are still set to start this match as clear favourites.

They haven’t done it easily in recent weeks, but the Chiefs just keep on winning games of football and their game with the Hurricanes last week could be a finals preview.

The Chiefs are deserving favourites here, but they are far too short at their current quotes and they have not been a winning betting proposition as favourites in the past 12 months in either head to head or line betting markets.

The Sharks have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario, which makes them a great betting play to beat the line with a start of 13.5 points.

Recommended Bet: Back The Sharks To Beat The Line (+13.5 Points)

The Force have a surprisingly good record against the Bulls, but they face a tough challenge against a Bulls side that has recorded five wins and a draw from their past six fixtures.

The Force regressed against the Crusaders last weekend following their gutsy effort against the Crusaders and their record as home underdogs remains a dismal 1-5, while they are 2-4 against the line in that scenario.

There has not been a great deal of attention focused on the Bulls this season, but they are another team that keep on winning games and they well and truly remain in finals contention.

Despite their success this season, the Bulls haven’t been a great betting team this season and they are a non-profitable 6-2 as favourites in the past 12 months, while they are 3-5 against the line in this situation.

The market has got this game just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

I was very keen to oppose the Rebels last weekend, but they were able to record a solid win over the Cheetahs and they now sit at the top of the Australian Conference.

They face a much tougher assignment against the Blues and that is indicated in their price as they are $3.20 to record an upset win.

The Rebels have a solid record as underdogs in the past 12 months and punters back them would have ground out a narrow profit, while they are 3-2 against the line away from home when being given a start.

The Blues have been far from a reliable betting side this season and they have the chance this weekend to record back-to-back wins for the first time this season.

Their record against the line as favourites is a very poor 1-4 as favourites in the past 12 months and there is plenty of data to suggest that they should be opposed this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Rebels To Beat The Line (+8.5 Points)

The Brumbies had a big setback when they were flogged by the Crusaders last weekend, while the Highlanders head into this clash on the back of a pair of single point losses.

Despite suffering back-to-back losses the Highlanders will start this game as clear favourites and – until last weekend – this has been a position in which they have thrived in the past 12 months.

The Highlanders have won 10 of their past 13 fixtures as favourites and they have been a profitable 8-5 against the line in this scenario.

The Brumbies don’t have a great deal of experience as underdogs and they are 2-1 when being given a start against the line, while they have suffered back-to-back losses just once in the past two seasons.

There is not as much between these two teams as the betting market suggests and there is no doubt that the Brumbies are over the odds at their current quote.

Recommended Bet: Back The Brumbies To Win @ $2.70

The Reds return to Australia after two losses to the Bulls and Stormers in South Africa, while the Cheetahs were very disappointing against the Rebels last weekend.

The Reds are the shortest-priced favourites that they have been for some time this weekend and this will be just the second time in the past 12 months that they will start as favourites – having lost these two games as the punter’s elect.

The Cheetahs are far from a reliable betting side and they let us down last weekend, but they are able of causing an upset on their day and they have been a profitable betting proposition as away underdogs in the past 12 months.

The Reds have improved significantly in recent weeks, but I can see them regressing this weekend and I can see them losing in what I believe will be a real slugfest between the two struggling sides.

Recommended Bet: Back The Cheetahs To Win  @ $2.63

The Lions sit in a close second behind the Stormers in the South African Conference following their third straight win last weekend and will start this crucial game with the Hurricanes as narrow favourites.

The Lions have been one of the safest betting propositions in Super Rugby this season and they have won all six games they have started as favourites this season, while they are 5-1 against the line in this scenario.

The Hurricanes had their winning streak snapped with a narrow loss against the Chiefs last weekend and how they perform over the coming weeks in South Africa will likely decide whether they qualify for the Super Rugby finals.

The Wellington-based side have a credible 2-2 record as away underdogs over the past 12 months and they are 3-1 against the line in this situation.

This is set to be one of the most interesting games of the round, but it is one that the market appears to have got just about right and both sides are at their right prices.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

The Stormers are another side that have been very consistent from a betting perspective this season and they will go into this clash with the Waratahs as clear favourites,

The Stormers were their usual efficient selves against the Reds last weekend, but they were unable to beat the line and they are now 4-5 when giving away a start in front of their home fans.

The Waratahs returned to winning form with a strong performance against the Western Force, but they face a much tougher assignment against the Stormers this weekend.

They are not a side that performs well when underdogs – they are 0-2 against the line as underdogs in the past 12 months – and their record against the Stormers in South Africa is fairly lackluster.

This is another game where it is tough to find a bet with an edge and the market has it just about right.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

The Jaguares maiden Super Rugby season hit a new low when they lost to the Sunwolves last weekend, but they will still start this game as very short-priced favourites.

It was an ugly display of rugby from the Jaguares last weekend and they have now lost seven games on the trot, while their record as favourites against the line is an extremely poor 0-4.

The Kings have not been much better and they have suffered heavy back-to-back losses at the hands of the Bulls and the Lions.

They are yet to win a game as underdogs this season, but they are 2-0 against the line as away underdogs and they are being offered a very generous start of 22.5 points.

I don’t feel particularly comfortable betting on either of these teams, but the line does seem excessive and opposing the Jaguares has proven to be a winning strategy all season long.

Recommended Bet: Back The Kings To Beat The Line (+22.5 Points)