We have six rounds to go in the Super Rugby Pacific season and the ladder remains tightly congested as we head into the Anzac weekend.

A trio of trans-Tasman contests and the Pacific battle between Moana Pasifika and the Drua make up Round 11 and there is plenty to look forward to over the coming days.

Check out who we are backing in our game previews below.

It looks like it will be a two-horse race for the minor premiership and the Chiefs can take sole possession of top spot for a few hours at least with a win over the Force.

The West Australians have lost their last three on the road, including a 22 point belting at the hands of the Crusaders on their last trip to New Zealand.

Not to mention their poor head to head record against the Chiefs with their last win coming in 2014, losing the last seven with the most recent effort a 56-7 drubbing.

While the Chiefs are taking this game away from their normal home ground in Waikato, they should still have a vocal support at their backs.

They have won six in a row as the home team and covered the line in six of their last eight, this is a big handicap but after their 46-10 win last weekend, it’s tough to back anything else.

Chiefs to Cover -20.5 @ $1.92

The Reds will return from a much needed bye looking to end a two game losing streak that has derailed their minor premiership ambitions.

However they can get it back on track if they find a way to record their first win over the Blues since 2019.

Last season these teams played out an enthralling 41-34 game and this is another one that is expected to go down to the wire.

However this time the Blues might not have enough to get over the line, especially against a refreshed Reds team.

We should see the Reds get their attack back on track and it should be too much for a Blues side that has shown some defensive weakness at times this season.

SGM: Reds Win and Over 56.5 Points @ $3.30

This might be a bottom of the table battle but it should be full of entertaining rugby if the head to head history is anything to go by.

Each of the last four games have been decided by seven points or less with three of those four games seeing over 70 points scored.

The Drua should be full of confidence after picking up an important win over the Waratahs in Fiji last week, but their record on the road is not great and well documented.

However Moana Pasifika have had a rough couple of weeks, first losing to the Blues and then getting shut out by the Brumbies.

This game really could go either way and there’s no good reason to back either team at their current prices, so the over with a couple of try scorers looks like a far more appealing options.

SGM: Over 61.5 Points, Ponipate Loganimasi and Ardie Savea Anytime Tryscorer @ $6.52

The Highlanders might have beaten the Crusaders in their last meeting, but the visitors are a much tougher side this season.

All up they have won four of the last six head to head matchups, three of which were by double digits and they will need the win to keep pace in the race for top spot.

While the home side might be able to keep it close for a while, the fact they have lost five of their last six, with their only win coming over the Drua.

Last week saw Crusaders winger Macca Springer have his try scoring streak brought to a halt but he looks like a solid play to restart another one as part of a SGM.

SGM: Crusaders to Cover -10.5 and Macca Springer Anytime Tryscorer @ $3.00

While last week’s draw in Perth was less than ideal for the Hurricanes, it was an improvement on their two previous results which were close losses to the Blues and Crusaders.

Unfortunately for them it looks like they are running into the Brumbies at the worst possible time for them.

After an inconsistent start to the year, Stephen Larkham’s side have won three in a row and looked better with each passing week.

The home team has won the last nine head to head meetings and this should be more of the same.

Brumbies to Cover -5.5 @ $1.87

2024

With just five games remaining in the 2024 Super Rugby Pacific regular season, it’s anyone’s guess as to how the ladder is going to shake out over the next month.

Round 11 offers up some fascinating storylines to follow starting in Wellington with the Hurricanes hosting the Waratahs.

Saturday’s quadruple header kicks off in the unique location of Nuku’alofa in Tonga as Moana Pasifika will host their first home game at the venue.

We’ve got you covered with our Super Rugby game previews and best bets so read on and see who we are backing this weekend!

Unbeaten no more, the Hurricanes are still on top of the ladder and have been given a perfect bounce back opportunity when they host the Waratahs this weekend.

If you want an idea of how the Tahs have been going this season, they are 2-0 against the out of sorts Crusaders and 0-7 against the rest of the competition.

While four of those defeats have been by six points or less, the last two have been by 24 and 16 against two teams in the same vicinity on the ladder as the Canes.

In their last two home games, the Hurricanes have defeated the Rebels by 26 and the Chiefs by 13, they should make short work of this Waratahs outfit.

Hurricanes to Cover -20.5 @ $1.88

Super Rugby’s entertainers the Blues will continue their Australian tour with a trip to Melbourne on Friday night as they seek their fifth straight game scoring at least 40 points and sixth straight win.

Last week’s tense finish in Brisbane broke their run of 20+ point wins but the Rebels should only present a minor hurdle for them to clear here.

In Round 10 they were shut out by the Crusaders in Christchurch and I’m willing to disregard their two home wins over the struggling Drua and Highlanders in the preceding matches.

Having the Blues as only -14.5 at the line is a bit of a surprise and I’ll happily add a few more points onto their handicap as they enjoy a field day against the embattled Rebels team.

Blues to Cover -24.5 @ $2.95

Having seen the success of their fellow 2022 debutants the Drua playing games in Fiji, Moana Pasifika will be hoping that Tonga can provide the same level of home ground advantage for them.

While they have not had much luck against the Highlanders in the past, including a 35-21 loss in Dunedin back in February, the respective performances of the two sides suggests this should be a pretty even contest.

It’s fair to say the market does not rate the Highlanders very highly after their five game losing streak was brought to an end in an ugly 7-6 win over the Force last weekend.

Given the relative struggles of the two teams with the ball in hand, having the total set at 57.5 seems awfully high and I’ll be jumping on the under.

Under 57.5 Points @ $1.87

Let’s just copy and paste this from the last month or so of Crusaders write ups, in just about any other situation the Crusaders -9.5 would be the easiest bet of the week.

They looked like their old selves last week when they belted the Rebels 39-0 but the Reds are a playing a lot better than the Rebels and will welcome back some influential figures for this game.

While they did go down to the Blues last weekend in heartbreaking fashion, the fact they were able to dig themselves out of a hole multiple times is an encouraging sign.

Backing them to win in Christchurch might be phenomenal value considering the gap between the two sides in terms of performances this season, but I’ll settle on taking the visitors with a head start just to be on the safe side.

Reds to Cover +9.5 @ $1.88

Ooh boy this is the biggest line of the season and it’s pretty easy to see why.

The Force managed to lose the worst game of the season last week in Dunedin, only conceding seven points but their meagre total of six showed just where they are at.

They have lost their last 12 away games and in their four non-Super Round away days this season they have scored a grand total of 42 points.

While they have been a bit up and down all season, the Chiefs have lost one game at FMG Stadium in the last two years and that was the final against the Crusaders.

Outside of that, they have been largely dominant on their turf and I’m happy to add on a few more points to this line for a bit of extra value.

Chiefs to Cover -30.5 @ $2.45

The Brumbies are three for three over the Drua in Super Rugby Pacific and there is no reason to think that perfect record will come to an end in Canberra here.

Outside of a rough trip to Auckland, the Brumbies have been perfect since their Super Round drubbing against the Chiefs, winning six of their last seven and competing for another top four finish.

The Drua just don’t travel that well and I’m not expecting much from them in this game.

Brumbies to Cover -15.5 @ $1.85

We are in the final month of the Super Rugby Pacific regular season and the battle for positioning is starting to heat up.

It is the Chiefs tournament to lose as they sit eight points clear of the chasing pack, with the Brumbies, Hurricanes, Blues and Crusaders separated by less than a game.

Behind them, the Reds, Waratahs, Highlanders, Rebels, Force and the Drua are engaged in a six way race for the final three spots in the Super Rugby playoffs.

There’s another full round of action coming up so we’ve got you covered with our Super Rugby match previews and best bets below.

After starting their season going a perfect nine for nine, it’s no surprise to see the Chiefs so heavily favoured over the three-win Highlanders.

When they met in March, the Chiefs comfortably accounted for their southern rivals by 21 points and with the trajectory of these sides, we could be looking at a similar margin.

There is not a lot of optimism surrounding the Highlanders on the back of three straight defeats, including a pair of losses in Australia suggests they are heading in the wrong direction.

In their last four games the Chiefs have managed to cover the line and have managed to do that in their last three games against the Highlanders as well so that is where our weekend betting will open up.

Chiefs to Cover -13.5 @ $1.91

It is becoming a bit repetitive to say, but a trip to Fiji can act as the great equaliser between the Drua and their much more fancied opponents.

However the deeper we get into the 2023 season, the shock value of playing there is going to be lessened with sides having a better idea of what to expect.

Add in the fact the Hurricanes have gone a perfect four for four on the road this season and you have to like their chances to not only win, but close out what is bound to be a motivated and driven opponent.

It looks like the market is expecting the Drua to give the Canes a real test however this line is a little bit low for my liking and I’ll back the visitors to continue their strong road form.

Hurricanes to Cover -11.5 @ $1.91

It’s fair to say that this is not the Crusaders team of old, but they are still a damn good side that should have no problems dispatching the Western Force on Saturday evening.

To be fair to the Force, they are making progress in 2023 but there is a pretty big gulf between these sides.

In Brisbane last Saturday night they had their moments and still wound up losing by 14 points.

At some stage the Crusaders are going to start to kick it up in preparation for the finals and this might be the time for them to lay down a marker.

Crusaders to Cover -24.5 @ $1.83

It’s another $1.02 favourite in what is unlikely to be an overly competitive game here.

The Blues have been locking teams down with the second best defensive record in Super Rugby Pacific, conceding just over 20 points per game.

On the other side, Moana Pasifika have been the least successful attack with an average of just 24 points per game.

It just boils down to how much the Blues want to get on with it in the second half and it would be a big surprise if this one is decided by less than 30.

Blues to Cover -24.5 @ $1.83

While neither team is going to be competing for the title this year, it’s always a must-watch encounter when the Reds take on the Waratahs.

This latest edition of the rivalry is going to have a different setting than what we are used to with the game being taken to Townsville as Suncorp is booked for the NRL this weekend.

On paper both teams have fallen short of where many expected them to be as they head into the weekend with losing records and occupying sixth and seventh on the table.

However should Queensland find a way to win, they could open up a healthy gap between themselves and the chasing pack in the battle to fill out the finals.

Coming off a strong win over the Force, the Reds look revitalised and if they can win the battle of the breakdown against the likes of Michael Hooper, their dangerous backline could fire in the tropical north.

Reds to Cover -2.5 @ $1.80

Backing all the favourites is not the most creative of tipping strategies but some weeks you just have to roll with the simple choices.

Even though the Rebels took care of business against Moana Pasifika last week, it was far from a complete showing and it’s hard to see them matching up well with the Brumbies.

With the pressure of chasing a top two finish starting to pick up a notch, the Brumbies have to keep earning maximum points to keep the likes of the Hurricanes at bay.

In this instance, they should, they are a damn good team this year.

Brumbies to Cover -9.5 @ $1.91

2022

Super Round is done and dusted which means its now time for the frantic dash to the Super Rugby Pacific finals.

While the New Zealand teams went an impressive 4-1 in Melbourne, with only the Brumbies salvaging some Aussie pride, there were plenty of tight contests that suggests the final few rounds might not be the procession the Trans-Tasman tournament was in 2021.

This week we have a full slate of games starting in Brisbane on Friday night with the headline clash between the Reds and Chiefs.

We’ve got our best bets and previews for every game below so read on and see who we are backing.

There is reason to be optimistic about the Reds despite a 13 point loss at the hands of the Hurricanes last weekend.

After half an hour they were able to jump out to a 17-0 lead but fell away in the second half and their squad for this weekend is set to be bolstered by some key returns in the forward pack.

The Chiefs will provide a stiff test and are deserved favourites in our market but I get the feeling that playing in front of their home fans, the Reds will be in with a chance at the end.

They have made a few too many mistakes in games to feel confident about backing them to finish the job but taking the Chiefs in a close one offers some excellent value.

Back the Chiefs to Win by 1-12 @ $2.80

It’s going to be a late show in Perth on Friday night as the Force and Blues fly out to Perth for this one.

All things considered it’s going to be a long night for the Force whose game last weekend was postponed after a Covid outbreak in the squad.

This is not the game to go into underdone and undermanned, with the current pacesetters and highest scoring team in the competition the next opponent.

If you’re watching in New Zealand this one could be over early enough to get you to bed before halftime.

Back the Blues to Cover -23.5 @ $1.91

Super Rugby is coming back to Fiji and for the first time, they will have a chance to cheer on their team in Suva.

The Drua have been a welcome addition to the competition despite not winning a whole lot, producing several highlight reel plays, and they’ll be eager to put on a show on their home crowd.

Maybe they will be able to take advantage of a Highlanders side that is coming off a rough loss to the Brumbies, the Drua could find a way to catch their rivals off guard and I’ll back them to keep it close with the double digit line.

Back the Drua to Cover +10.5 @ $1.83

There’s a reason the Crusaders are $1.03 in head to head betting ad the Waratahs a deserved $10.00 outsiders.

New South Wales gave up 51 at the hands of the Chiefs after briefly flirting with a comeback and that is the sort of inconsistency that will get ruthlessly punished by sides like the Crusaders.

Maybe the Tahs will find a way to hang around for a little while but this is the sort of game you take the Crusaders to take care of business in.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -22.5 @ $1.91

The Rebels will play their third straight game at AAMI while Moana Pasifika will have had an unexpected weekend of rest after their game against the Force was cancelled last week.

Neither side inspires a whole lot of confidence given their current run of form and it could be a close one.

Saddled with a record of 1-7 to date, we’ll learn a bit about Moana Pasifika when we see them against an Australian opponent for the first time this weekend.

The Rebels have fallen away after showing flashes earlier in the season and I actually like the value on the visitors to spring an upset here.

Back Moana Pasifika to Win @ $2.75

The Brumbies may well finish the competition as the best performing Australian side thanks to their win over the Highlanders last week.

On paper the Hurricanes are without a doubt the better side but there is something about the Brumbies cohesion that you have to admire.

Add in the fact that they likely won’t falter the way the Reds did last week and you have the makings of an upset victory.

Back the Brumbies to Win @ $2.30

2021

Canberra becomes the centre of the Super Rugby universe on Saturday night as the Brumbies and Force face off for a spot in next week’s Grand Final.

Over in New Zealand it’s a pair of games with little more than pride on the line with their top two locked in for next weekend as well.

We are previewing all three Super Rugby games this weekend below so read on and see who we are backing.

SUPER RUGBY AU QUALIFYING FINAL

It has been a phenomenal story seeing the Western Force qualify for the Super Rugby AU Finals this season however I can’t back them to extend the fairytale for another week.

A trip to Brisbane awaits the winner of this match and all signs point to it being the Brumbies.

The reigning champions of Australia have won all four Super Rugby AU games between these sides by a double-digit margin.

Combine the fact that the Force likely left it all on the field just to make the finals last week and the Brumbies coming off a week’s rest, this is a game that could get out of hand.

Back the Brumbies to Cover the Line @ $1.91

SUPER RUGBY AOTEAROA ROUND 10

These final round, dead rubber games always have the potential to get a bit crazy with both sides playing for little more than an ego boost.

For some reason the Hurricanes have been installed as favourites despite losing their last three games and being assured of the wooden spoon in Super Rugby Aotearoa.

The Highlanders have not lost a game in 80 minutes since their last clash with  the Hurricanes, winning two and losing one in overtime in the month since then.

Chances are this game will finish with both sides in the 30’s and I’ll happily back the visitors to pick up an end of season victory.

Back the Highlanders to Win @ $2.30

Is momentum more important or is health?

That is the dilemma facing the Chiefs heading into this game with the Super Rugby Aotearoa Grand Final next week.

It sounds like they will be prioritising keeping players fit and healthy with the market favouring a huge Blues victory.

A 12.5 point line in favour of the Blues seems far too high even if the Chiefs rest a few of their stars.

Eight of the last nine games between these teams have finished with a margin of 12 points or less.

Back the Chiefs to Cover +12.5 @ $1.91

2020

*MATCHES CANCELLED*

2019

We have reached a very interesting point in the Super Rugby season.

The Crusaders have kicked clear at the top of the New Zealand Conference, but all five teams remain in the mix in the South African Conference and the Waratahs are now only a win behind the Rebels in the Australian Conference.

There are a number of huge games this weekend and our complete 2019 Super Rugby tips can be found below.

It is no surprise that the Crusaders will start this clash as dominant favourites.

They have won their past 11 matches as home favourites, but even more impressive is the fact that they are 9-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Lions returned to winning form with a victory over the Chiefs, but there is no doubt that the Crusaders represent a completely different challenge.

The Crusaders have won nine of their past ten meetings with the Lions and they have been a tough side to trust from a betting perspective this season.

They have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.

The Crusaders should be able to cruise to another comfortable win.

Back The Crusaders To Cover The Line (-19.5 Points)

The Highlanders ended their losing streak with a win over the Blues last weekend and they will go into this clash with the Sunwolves as clear favourites.

There have been few sides in Super Rugby this season that have been tougher to trust from a betting perspective than the Highlanders.

They have won only three of their past seven games as away favourites and they have covered the line in only two of their past 11 games on the road.

The Sunwolves may have only won two games this season, but they have played some decent rugby in the process.

They have actually won three of their past seven games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.

There is nowhere near as much between these two teams as the current market suggests and the Sunwolves are great value to cover the line.

Back The Sunwolves To Cover The Line (+10.5 Points)

The Hurricanes will start this clash with the Chiefs as clear favourites.

The Hurricanes’ only losses this season have come at the hands of the Crusaders, but these two sides did play out a draw six weeks ago.

Westpac Stadium has been a fortress for the Hurricanes and they have won their past seven matches as home favourites, but they are a poor 2-5 against the line in this scenario.

The Chiefs had their winning streak ended by the Lions last weekend, but there is still no doubt that they have improved in the second half of the season.

They have won two of their past five games as away underdogs for a small profit and they are 4-1 against the line in that situation.

The Chiefs can give the Hurricanes a genuine scare and they are a great bet to cover the line with a healthy start.

Back The Chiefs To Cover The Line (+11.5 Points)

The SCG gets a break from Super Rugby this weeekend as the Waratahs host the Sharks at the brand new Bankwest Stadium.

The Waratahs got their season back on track with a narrow win over the Rebels last weekend and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

They have been an unconvincing 3-3 as home favourites this season and their record against the line is identical.

The Sharks season hit a new low when they went down to the Reds last weekend and it doesn’t get any easier for them against the Waratahs.

They have won only one of their past six matches as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is no better.

The Waratahs should win this clash comfortably, but there is no value at their current price.

No Bet

The Ladbrokes market suggests that this will be the most competitive match of the weekend in Super Rugby and there is plenty on the line for both sides.

The Stormers went down to the Brumbies last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Bulls as narrow favourites.

They have won three of their past four games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each of these victories.

Winning back-to-back games has proven to be an issue for the Bulls throughout this season and they have done so only once in the past 12 months.

They have won only two of their past seven games on the road and the home side has won ten of the past 12 games played between these two sides.

This is close to a must-win game for the Stormers and I expect them to get the job done.

Back The Stormers To Cover The Line (-1.5 Points)

The Brumbies go into this clash with the Jaguares on the back of a rare win in South Africa following their victory over the Stormers last weekend.

They will still be underdogs in this clash, but they have now won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Jaguares have recorded two big wins on the trot to get them right back in the finals mix and they need to continue that momentum.

They have won their past four games as home favourites and they have covered the line in every single one of these victories.

This is a game that the market does look to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

2018

All four Australian Super Rugby sides were beaten in Round 10 and it doesn’t get much easier for them this weekend.

The Waratahs are on the bye, but the three remaining Australian franchises face very tough assignments.

We have analysed all six games set to take place this weekend and our complete 2018 Super Rugby round 11 tips can be found below.

In a worrying sign for their visitors, the Hurricanes enter this game on a six match winning streak and are showing no signs of slowing down.

They have claimed plenty of big scalps in that time including a monumental win over the Crusaders and that form has them as almost unbackable favourites here.

As for the still winless Sunwolves, they are allowing a concerning 40+ points per game and the Hurricanes will be looking to fine tune their attack.

When playing outside the New Zealand Conference the Hurricanes average points scored goes up significantly but even so, a margin that big is too much for me to back with any confidence.

NO BET

Week two of the Rebels’ South African tour and they are in desperate need of a win here to avoid losing touch with the suddenly resurgent Waratahs.

Unfortunately for them they face a Stormers side that has won nine of their last 11 matches at home, losing only to the Lions and Chiefs last season.

After starting off the season so well, the Rebels attack has dried up significantly topping 20 points just once in the last three matches.

Perhaps the only reason for the Rebels to feel confident is the fact the Stormers have lost three straight but even so, I am still backing the better side at home.

Back the Stormers to Cover -14.5 @ $2

Queensland gets its annual Saturday afternoon game and the one time easy-beat Lions are heavy favourites to come away with a win at Suncorp Stadium.

After starting the season off with a relentless defensive approach, the Reds travel schedule has begun to catch up with them, as they are not playing with the same vigour from the early rounds.

The Lions showed no ill effects of their travel to Australia, blanking the Waratahs last weekend and they will be ready to put on a show with a big win.

Back the Lions to Cover -12.5 @ $1.91

While the Blues may be struggling to beat the other New Zealand sides, they are still playing well against their non-conference opponents.

Their schedule has seen them take on the mantle of road warriors so far with just two of their first eight games coming at Eden Park.

Travel is not something that bothers the Jaguares as they are used to playing away from home and are in the middle of a four game trip which has already yielded two wins.

The Blues will represent a step up in class over their last two opponents but their style should allow them to keep the game close.

Back the Jaguares to Cover +9.5 @ $1.91

Facing the defending champions who are on a four match winning streak is not necessarily the remedy for a two match losing streak.

With the Australian Super Rugby losing streak to New Zealand teams now sitting at 35 matches, the Brumbies are considered long shots to end that streak.

The Crusaders are well and truly over their mid-March blip winning their last four matches by a combined total of 120-47.

While we know they are a phenomenal attacking side, their defence in recent weeks has been what is most impressive and with the Brumbies only topping 25 points twice this season, it is hard to see them keeping up with the Crusaders.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -14.5 @ $1.91

The round closes out with the most intriguing contest and the closest matchup from a market perspective.

The Highlanders have built up some good momentum to start the season but will receive a solid test from a Bulls side looking for at least a wild card spot.

However this will be their first trip outside New Zealand all season which does put them at a disadvantage.

At home the Bulls are a solid side going 3-1 so far this year with each win being by a bigger margin than the last.

It should be a tight match that goes down to the wire, do not be surprised if it is very high scoring as both sides love to pile on the points but I am backing the home side to spring an upset here.

Back the Bulls to Win @ $2.60

2017

It looks set to be another tough weekend for Australian teams in Super Rugby.

The Rebels host the Lions, the Reds face a tough challenge against the Chiefs in New Zealand and the Waratahs play the Blues before the Force take on the Sharks in South Africa.

We have analysed all games set to take place in Super Rugby this weekend and below you can find our complete 2017 Super Rugby Round 11 tips.

The Hurricanes have lost only one game in Super Rugby so far this season and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

They went into the bye with a comprehensive win over the Brumbies and they have now won their past nine games as home favourites, while they are 6-3 against the line.

The Stormers have lost three games on the trot since their positive start to the season and it doesn’t get any easier against the Hurricanes.

They have lost their past two games as away underdogs and they have covered the line in just one of their past four games when being given a start.

The Hurricanes should be able to cruise to another victory and cover the line in the process.

Back The Hurricanes To Beat The Line (-21.5 Points)

The Highlanders have won five games on the trot and they are clear favourites to account for a Cheetahs outfit that has really struggled in recent weeks.

The Highlanders have been able to put some big scores on their rivals in recent weeks and they really do look as though they will be too strong for the Cheetahs.

They have won four of their past five games as away favourites and more impressively they have the same record against the line.

The Cheetahs have not won a game since they bear the Sunwolves almost two months ago and they face another tough challenge this weekend.

They have won only one of their past six games as home underdogs and they are 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Highlanders can carry on their winning ways and the line of 13.5 points will not be anywhere near enough.

Back The Highlanders To Beat The Line (-13.5 Points)

The Lions started their Australian Tour with a win over the Force and they are clear favourites to win again against the Rebels this weekend.

The Lions have won six games on the trot and there is plenty to suggest that they should have no problems accounting for the Rebels on Saturday afternoon.

They have won all three of their previous games against the Lions and they 3-0 as away favourites, but they have failed to cover the line in their past three games in this scenario.

The Rebels produced their worst effort of the season to suffer a heavy defeat at the hands of the Kings and it is tough to back them after that performance.

They have won only one of their past six games as home underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out of from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

The Chiefs have not been particularly convincing in recent weeks, but they still go into this clash with the Reds as clear favourites.

While the Chiefs have won plenty of games, they have been tough to trust from a betting perspective – they have won four of their past five games as home favourites, but they are only 2-3 against the line in this scenario.

A lack of discipline cost the Reds badly against the Waratahs last weekend and they let slip a vital opportunity to score a win over their rivals.

The Reds have lost their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is not much better.

This is another game where it is difficult to find value and this is another fixture that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet

The Blues returned to winning form against the Brumbies this weekend and they are clear favourites to account for the Waratahs this weekend.

The Blues have proven to be a very reliable betting proposition in Super Rugby this season as they generally win when they are favourites and lose when they are underdogs.

They have won their past four games as away favourites and they are an impressive 3-1 against the line in this scenario.

The Waratahs showed plenty of fight to record a narrow victory over the Reds, but they face a much tougher assignment against the Blues.

The Waratahs have won one of their past two games as home underdogs, but they have generally been a difficult team to trust from a betting perspective and they struggle to record back-to-back wins.

Backing the Blues as favourites has proven to be a profitable betting play all season long and there is no reason to jump off this weekend.

Back The Blues To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)

The Sharks have never lost to the Force and they are clear favourites to continue that this weekend.

It has been an unusual season for the Sharks as they are still a genuine chance of playing finals football, despite the fact that they have not looked particularly impressive.

The Sharks have won six of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are only 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Force have struggled to win games so far this season, but they have played some solid football in recent weeks and were not disgraced against the Lions last weekend.

They have not won any of their past seven games as away underdogs, but they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Sharks have struggled to put away teams so far this season and the Force are a good bet to cover the line with a healthy start.

Back The Force To Beat The Line (+14.5 Points)

The Crusaders are yet to be beaten in Super Rugby this season and they are clear favourites to maintain their unbeaten record this weekend.

The Super Rugby title favourites have scored over 40 points in their past five games and they have been able to run over a number of their rivals so far this season.

They have now won four of their past five games as away favourites, but they are only 2-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Bulls made it two wins on the trot with a fighting victory over the Cheetahs and there is no doubt that they have improved since their shock loss at the hands of the Sunwolves.

They have won five of their past six games in front of their home fans and their record against the Crusaders in South Africa is nothing short of outstanding.

This is a tricky game for the Crusaders and it would not surprise if the Bulls are able to give them a scare this weekend.

Back The Bulls To Beat The Line (+12.5 Points)

The Jaguares are the shortest-priced favourites in Super Rugby this weekend and they are almost unbackable favourites to account for the Sunwolves.

The Jaguares have lost four games on the trot following their promising start to the season and they continue to be a tough side to trust from a betting perspective.

They have won five of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are only 3-4 against the line in this situation.

The Sunwolves were far from disgraced against the Chiefs last weekend and they have played some quality rugby in recent weeks.

They have lost their past nine games as away underdogs, but they have been a profitable 6-3 against the line in this situation.

There isn’t as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests and the Sunwolves can beat the line with the healthy start.

Back The Sunwolves To Beat The Line (+22.5 Points)

2016

The highlight of round 11 of the 2016 Super Rugby season is on Saturday afternoon when the Chiefs and Highlanders do battle in what should be a very exciting New Zealand Derby.

The Sharks and Hurricanes will clash in another crucial game on Saturday night before the round concludes in the early hours of Sunday morning when the Blues travel to South Africa for a clash with the hapless Kings.

The Crusaders have now won seven games on the trot and they go into this clash with the Reds as almost unbackable favourites.

The Crusaders have lost just one of their past eight games as favourites and they are a profitable 5-3 against the line as the punter’s elect.

The Reds have played some improved rugby in recent weeks, but they will face a much stiffer challenge against the Crusaders than they did against the Cheetahs.

They have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a very poor 2-5.

This game could get very ugly and if the Crusaders perform at anywhere near their best they will have no problems covering the line of 19.5 points.

Recommended Bet: Back The Crusaders To Beat The Line (-19.5 Points)

This is a crucial game for the Brumbies as they have lost two games on the trot and have been leapfrogged on top of the Australian Conference by the Rebels.

The Brumbies will still go into this game as clear favourites, but they have struggled as the punter’s elect in the past 12 months and they are 2-4 against the line as home favourites.

The Bulls have flown under the radar somewhat, but they have now won five games on the trot.

In saying that, those wins came against the likes of the Reds and the Sunwolves and this is easily the toughest test that they have faced for over a month.

The Bulls have lost their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a middling 2-2.

This is a match that the market seems to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out of it from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

This could be one of the best chances that the Sunwolves have to record another win in front of their home fans.

The Sunwolves went into the bye on the back of their first ever Super Rugby victory over the Jaguares, but they will still start this game as clear underdogs.

The Japanese side may have only won a single game, but they have been a profitable betting play as home underdogs and they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.

This will be just the third time in the past 12 months that the Force have started a game as favourites and they actually lost both of those fixtures, while they have a very poor record against the line in just about every metric.

The Sunwolves are more than capable of pulling off an upset over the hapless Force and the $2.38 currently on offer is a good price.

Recommended Bet: Back The Sunwolves To Win @ $2.38

This a crucial New Zealand Derby and could be a preview for the Super Rugby finals.

The Chiefs will start this game as clear favourites and will be chasing their eighth straight victory following their narrow victory over the Sharks last weekend.

While the Chiefs have been winning, they have not been a particularly profitable betting side in the past 12 months and they are 2-4 against the line as home favourites.

The Highlanders returned to winning form against the Brumbies last weekend and there is plenty to suggest that they could record an upset win this weekend.

They have won three of their past five games as away underdogs and they have been a profitable team against the line in this scenario.

This will be a very close contest and I am keen to back the Highlanders with a start of 6.5 points.

Recommended Bet: Back The Highlanders To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)

The Waratahs have got themselves back in the hunt in the Australian Conference after back-to-back wins over the Force and the Stormers and they are clear favourites to make it three wins on the trot.

The Waratahs have not been a profitable betting team as favourites this season, but they do have a positive record against the line when giving away a big start and they have scored plenty of points in recent weeks.

The Cheetahs were awful against the Reds last weekend and they have won just one of their past six fixtures.

They have won just a single game as away underdogs in the past 12 months and their record against the line in this scenario is a poor 2-4.

The Waratahs should prove far too strong for Cheetahs and they are a great bet to cover the line this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Waratahs To Beat The Line (-16.5 Points)

There has been very little between the Sharks and the Hurricanes historically and betting suggests that this will be the closest game of the round.

The Hurricanes will start this game as favourites following their big win over the Lions in South Africa last weekend and they have proven a very safe bet as favourites this season, while they are 3-1 against the line as the punter’s elect away from home in the past 12 months.

The Sharks were far from disgraced against the Chiefs last weekend, but they continue to struggle to beat the best teams in the competition.

This will be the first time that they have started a home game as underdogs in the past 12 months, but it should be noted that they have an outstanding record of 6-1 against the line when they are given a start.

You can make an argument for backing both these sides, but I think that the market has got the prices just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

This will be the first ever meeting between the Kings and the Blues and the Blues will start this game as dominant favourites.

The Blues scored a tough victory over the Rebels last weekend after beating the Sharks previously and they have now improved their record as favourites in the past 12 months to 3-1-1, but they have not covered the line in their past five games as favourites.

The Kings put up another pitiful performance against the Jaguares last weekend and their record at home is truly horrendous – they are 0-4 in both head to head betting and line betting in this scenario.

While the Blues do have a very poor record against the line in recent seasons, if they play at anywhere near their best they will prove far too strong for the Kings and the line of 25.5 points will not be enough.

Recommended Bet: Back The Blues To Beat The Line (-25.5 Points)