The 2020 Super Rugby season continues to produce the goods and we were treated to a number of entertaining games last weekend.
Once again, there is a stack of value to be found in Super Rugby betting this week and there are plenty of fascinating games from a betting perspective.
We have analysed every single game and our complete 2020 Super Rugby round four tips can be found below.
Friday 21 February, 5:05pm, Orangetheory Stadium
Crusaders 33 – Highlanders 13
The Crusaders are one of a number of short-priced favourites in Super Rugby this weekend.
The defending champions were able to return to winning form with a comfortable victory over the Blues and they really should prove too strong for the Highlanders.
The home side has won the past six matches between these two sides and the Crusaders are always tough to beat at Orangetheory Stadium.
They are now 11-1 as home favourites over the past 12 months and backing them against the line in this scenario is also a profitable betting play.
The Highlanders were able to steal a rare win on the road against the Brumbies last weekend, but this is a much tougher assignment.
They have covered the line in only two of their past seven games as away underdogs and their recent record against the Crusaders is poor.
A comfortable Crusaders win looks on the cards.
Back Crusaders To Cover The Line (-15.5 Points) @ $1.90
Saturday 22 February, 2:45pm, Mars Stadium
Rebels 24 – Sharks 36
This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend from a betting perspective.
The Rebels have the home ground advantage, but it is the Sharks that will go into this clash as clear favourite.
The Sharks have won in Melbourne in the past and their recent record away from home is strong after beating the Highlanders in New Zealand earlier this season.
The Rebels were able to claim their first win of the season over a hapless Waratahs outfit, but the Sharks do represent a stiffer challenge.
David Wessels’ side have lost their past seven games as underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario isn’t much better.
The Sharks should be able to get the job done and they represent value at their current quote.
Back Sharks To Win @ $1.73
Saturday 22 February, 5:05pm, FMG Stadium
Chiefs 14 – Brumbies 26
Home ground advantage has proven key in the rivalry between the Chiefs and the Brumbies, which is one reason that the Chiefs are dominant favourites for this meeting.
The home side has won 11 of the past 12 games played between these two sides and it has been over a decade since the Brumbies were able to beat the Chiefs in New Zealand.
The Chiefs have not looked like losing a game this season and they were, unsurprisingly, too strong for the Sunwolves last weekend.
While they have won three of their five games as home favourites, they are a poor 1-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Brumbies really should have gotten the job done against the Highlanders and that last-minute lost could come back to bite them at the end of the season.
While their record in New Zealand is poor, the Brumbies have covered the line in five of their past seven games as away underdogs and there isn’t as much between these two sides as the current market suggests.
Back Brumbies To Cover The Line (+13.5 Points) @ $1.90
Saturday 22 February, 7:15pm, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 64 – Sunwolves 5
The Reds may never have a better chance to record their maiden win of the Super Rugby season.
The Reds took a comfortable lead into half-time of their clash with the Jaguares, but they failed to see out the contest and fell apart in the second half.
Although the Reds have won four of their five previous meetings with the Sunwolves, the majority of these games have been close and it really is tough to have any confidence backing the Reds.
The Sunwolves already have a win on their record this season and they weren’t completely disgraced when they took on the Chiefs last weekend.
They have won two of their past eight games as away underdogs for a big profit and they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.
It really would not surprise to see the Sunwolves give the Reds a scare and they are a great bet to cover the line.
Back Sunwolves To Cover The Line (+14.5 Points) @ $1.90
Sunday 23 February, 12:05am, DHL Newlands
Stormers 17 – Jaguares 7
The Stormers are one of the only unbeaten sides left in Super Rugby this season and they will go into this clash with the Jaguares as clear favourites.
The Stormers survived a scare against the Lions last week to come away with the victory and there is no doubt that they have gone to another level this campaign.
The home side has won five of the six games played between these two sides and the Stormers have won six of their past eight games as home favourites, but they are only 4-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Jaguares came from behind to beat the Reds last weekend and they look like a side that is yet to click this season.
They improved their record away from home significantly last season and they have won four of their past eight games as away underdogs for a big profit.
There isn’t as much between these two teams as the current market suggests and the Stormers are a great bet to cover the line with a start of 5.5 points.
Back Jaguares To Cover The Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Sunday 23 February, 2:15am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 21 – Blues 23
This is close to a must-win game for both these sides.
The Blues were expected to be one of the big improvers in Super Rugby this season, but they head into this contest with a 1-2 record and are quickly falling out of contention in the New Zealand Conference.
In saying that, they have had a tough draw and the market does expect them to get the job done.
The Blues have won only one of their past eight games on the road though and their record against the line isn’t much better.
The Bulls have lost both their games this season and their effort against the Stormers before they went on the bye was particularly poor.
It is impossible to have any faith in them from a betting perspective and they could be in for a long season.
This is a game that the market looks to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
It’s a double dose of Aussie derbies this weekend with the Rebels looking to continue their fast start against the Brumbies on Friday.
The big feature of the weekend is the renewal of one of the oldest rivalries in Australian sport with the Waratahs hosting the Reds at the SCG in a game that is sure to have plenty of feeling to it.
Overseas there is plenty to look forward to as well right from the outset with the Hurricanes and Highlanders kicking off the weekend while the early pacesetters in South Africa also take each other on.
Read on for our previews and predictions for every Super Rugby Round 4 game.
Friday 8 March, 5:35pm, Westpac Stadium
Hurricanes 25 – Highlanders 22
The early season numbers suggest this might be a very close game with both teams on nine points thanks to two wins from their opening three games.
Both teams have also scored 85 points so far although the Highlanders defence has been slightly more open, conceding 82 points to the Hurricanes 70.
Over the last three years playing at home has been a big help with five straight wins for the home team and the Hurricanes are favoured to make it six here.
Having played themselves into good form with a 30 point win over the Brumbies last week you can back the Hurricanes to win in the head to head market, but for a real value play, look for a close game as both sides are more than capable of scoring plenty of points.
Back the Hurricanes by 1-12
Friday 8 March, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 29 – Brumbies 26
If this game seems kind of familiar, it’s probably because these sides faced off in Canberra three weeks ago.
In that instance, the Rebels beat the Brumbies 34-27 and have since come off their bye with an impressive home win over the Highlanders last weekend.
One question that needs to be answered though, is which Brumbies side will turn up for this game, will it be the one that blasted the Chiefs off the park or the one that couldn’t match the Hurricanes last week?
For some reason the Brumbies have not been able to have much success over the Rebels lately losing three in a row and four of their last five against the team from Melbourne.
It’s a good sign of progress for the Rebels that finally they don’t offer a lot of value as a head to head favourite so take what should stay as a pretty short line.
Back the Rebels to Cover -3.5 @ $1.83
Saturday 9 March, 3:15pm, AMI Stadium
Crusaders 57 – Chiefs 28
Despite only beating the Reds by 10 points last weekend, the Crusaders never really felt like they were threatened by a gallant Queensland team.
Up next is a chance to put down a statement of intent as they host a Chiefs side off to a concerning 0-3 start and has given up 30 or more points in every game this season.
In the Crusaders lone home game so far, a 38-22 demolition of the Chiefs, they started off incredibly fast and will look to do the same again.
Even with a handful of players enjoying an extended preseason break, the sad reality for opponents is the Crusaders can just pick up another future All Blacks star off their production line.
With four straight wins over the Chiefs including three straight by 14 or more, the Crusaders should be able to win and cover here.
Back the Crusaders to Cover -15.5 @ $1.91
Saturday 9 March, 5:35pm, QBE Stadium
Blues 28 – Sunwolves 20
Every so often you just have to put your hands up and say, “I did not see that coming!”
Well very few people would have backed the Sunwolves to not only beat the Chiefs last week but do so quite comfortably.
That ended a four game losing run and now they travel to Auckland to face a Blues team that has lost their last five and six of their last seven at home.
The Japanese based side has not travelled all that well but they have looked good in the last two weeks, scoring 30 both times while the Blues have travelled to South Africa and Argentina in that time.
It’s a big call backing the Sunwolves to win on the road against a New Zealand side but all the warning signs are there for an upset.
A fatigued team coming of a draining road trip with the weight of expectation on their shoulders, the Blues just don’t offer any real value here head to head or against the spread.
Back the Sunwolves to Win @ $4.33
Saturday 9 March, 7:45pm, Sydney Cricket Ground
Waratahs 28 – Reds 17
This will be a sight to behold as the Waratahs host the Reds at the SCG in what should be one of the more visually scenic encounters for the weekend.
The Reds rough start to the season continues as they are the lone Australian side still searching for their first win.
Last time these teams met it was a game with optional defending as the Waratahs won 52-41 at Suncorp Stadium in June to make it nine straight against their oldest rivals.
The Reds have not been disgraced in either loss as the Thorn rebuilding project moves into its second season.
The last few trips to Sydney have not been great with four straight losses there and a grand total of 36 points in those games.
Even so the Reds have found their gamebreakers here and the Waratahs have not looked all that convincing in their two games so far so expect the Waratahs to win but the Reds to keep it close.
Back the Waratahs by 1-12
Sunday 10 March, 12:05am, Ellis Park
Lions 47 – Jaguares 39
Who would have backed the Lions to be stuck at the bottom of the South African conference after three rounds?
Every other side in the South African Conference, including the Jaguares, sits on two wins and a loss so the Lions could make up some ground with a big showing here.
They already have the confidence of beating the Jaguares three weeks ago in Argentina so coming back to Ellis Park can only give them confidence.
Especially when the Jaguares have not won an away game since early May including a 40-23 loss in last season’s quarter final.
The normally flying Lions attack has not quite clicked this season having only topped 20 points once this season but this could be a get right opportunity against a side travelling for the first time this season.
Back the Lions to Cover -7.5 @ $1.91
Sunday 10 March, 2:15am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 37 – Sharks 14
After flying out to the competition’s best start, the Sharks got a wake up call last week going down to the Stormers in a slugfest.
There’s a lot to worry about here with history not on their side, their last win over the Bulls came in February 2014 with six losses and a draw since that day.
Despite the loss the Sharks were able to pick up a bonus point thanks to the five point margin and they have been able to maintain the competitions best defensive record with an average of just 11 points per game conceded.
The Bulls on the other have had no problems scoring against the Sharks putting up 30, 40 and 39 in their last three meetings and scoring 40 and 30 in their two wins this season.
It may seem like an oversimplification but the team that is able to dicate the terms of this game will be the ones to win it.
In a game like this you have to like the defensive side to find a way to stifle the attack and as such, the Sharks are the value play here.
Back the Sharks to Win @ $2.25
There are a host of big games in Super Rugby this weekend.
The highlight will be the Saturday Night Blockbuster between the Hurricanes and the Crusaders, while the Rebels host the Brumbies in a crucial Australian Derby.
We have analysed every game set to take place this weekend and our complete 2018 Super Rugby Round 4 tips can be found below.
Friday 9 March, 5:35pm, Forsyth Barr Stadium
Highlanders 33 - Stormers 15
The Highlanders started their Super Rugby season with a win over the Blues and they will start this clash with the Stormers as clear favourites.
Forsyth Barr Stadium has been a genuine fortress for the Highlanders in recent seasons and they have won their past seven games as home favourites, while they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.
The Stormers have an awful record against New Zealand Super Rugby franchises and they were no match for the Crusaders last weekend.
They have lost their past six games as away underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.
It is tough to see the Stormers improving their records in New Zealand and the Highlanders should be able to record a comfortable win.
Back Highlanders To Cover The Line (-14.5 Points)
Friday 9 March, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 33 – Brumbies 10
This is a big opportunity to the Rebels to start the season with three straight wins.
The Rebels have recorded big wins over the Reds and the Sunwolves and they will go into this clash with the Brumbies as clear favourites.
Winning at home has been something of an issue for the Rebels, but they did win their only game as home favourites last season.
The Brumbies produced a truly awful performance against the Reds last weekend and they will need to improve significantly to have any chance of beating the Rebels.
They have won two of their past four games as away underdogs for a profit, but it really is tough to back them off their effort against the Reds.
This is a match that the market looks to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Saturday 10 March, 5:35pm, Westpac Stadium
Hurricanes 29 – Crusaders 19
This is easily the biggest game of the weekend in Super Rugby and the market can’t split the two sides.
The Hurricanes started their Super Rugby season with a shock loss at the hands of the Bulls, but they bounced back to beat the Jaguares last weekend.
They have won six of their past seven games at home and they did beat the Crusaders in Wellington last season.
The Crusaders have looked nothing short of outstanding in their two wins over the Chiefs and the Stormers, but winning in Wellington has proven to be an issue for them.
They have lost the past four games they have played against the Hurricanes away from home and they have not beaten them at Westpac Stadium since 2012.
In saying that, it has been hard not to be impressed by the style of rugby that the Crusaders have produced in recent weeks and they may never have a better chance to win at Westpac Stadium.
Back Crusaders To Win @ $1.91
Saturday 10 March, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 20 – Bulls 14
The Reds scored a very tough win over the Brumbies last weekend and they will go into this clash with the Bulls as clear favourites.
There was plenty to like about the character that the Reds showed in that win and there are a number of positive signs for the future – even though they failed to score a try.
The Reds have won only one of their past three games as home favourites and have failed to cover the line in any of these fixtures, but their record against the Bulls in Australia is a good one.
The Bulls were not disgraced against the Lions last weekend and they have made a fairly promising start to the Super Rugby season following their win over the Hurricanes.
Winning away from home has been an issue for the Bulls and the home side has won the past six games played between these two sides.
I can’t get the Reds as short as their current price, but I can’t back the Bulls on the road with any confidence.
Sunday 11 March, 12:05am, Kings Park Stadium
Sharks 50 – Sunwolves 22
The Sharks are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in Super Rugby.
They are still chasing their first win of the Super Rugby season following their draw with the Waratahs and the side will go into full crisis mode if they fail to win this clash.
The Sharks have won four of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are a poor 2-5 against the line in this situation.
The Sunwolves ran out of steam late against the Rebels last weekend, but they were in the game for a long way and there is no doubt that they have improved this season.
A win on the road continues to elude the Sunwolves, but they are 4-3 against the line as away underdogs.
The Sunwolves are capable of giving the Sharks a scare and they can cover the line with a healthy start.
Back Sunwolves To Beat The Line (+17.5 Points)
Sunday 11 March, 2:15am, Emirates Airline Park
Lions 35 – Blues 38
This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend in Super Rugby.
The Lions continued on their winning ways with a comfortable victory over the Bulls and it should come as no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.
They have proven to be just about impossible to beat as favourites and they are now 5-4 against the line as home favourites.
The Blues have played well in both their games in the Super Rugby season to date, but they were unable to come away with wins against both the Highlanders and Blues.
They have now their past three games as away underdogs and they have not beaten the Lions in South Africa since 2011.
Backing the Lions continues to be a profitable betting play and there is no reason to drop off them this weekend.
Back Lions To Cover The Line (-8.5 Points)
Sunday 11 March, 8:40am, Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Jaguares 38 – Waratahs 28
The Jaguares may have the home ground advantage, but it is the Waratahs that will start this clash as clear favourites.
The Waratahs played some solid rugby to draw with the Sharks last weekend and they will take confidence from the fact that they performed well on the road.
They only played one game as away favourites last season and they were able to win, while they are 6-1 against the line when playing away from home.
The Jaguares were no match for the Hurricanes last weekend and it looks set to be another long season for the Argentine side.
They have won only three of their past eight games at home and they are an awful 1-7 against the line in this scenario.
I am always happy to oppose the Jaguares and the Waratahs can continue what has been a decent start to the season.
Back The Waratahs To Cover The Line (-4.5 Points)
It is another big weekend of action in Super Rugby and there are a number of interesting games spread right across the weekend.
The round starts with a New Zealand Derby between the Crusaders and the Blues on Friday before the Rebels host the Chiefs.
The Waratahs and Brumbies meet for the inaugural edition of the Dan Vickerman Cup, while the Reds face a tough assignment against the Lions in South Africa.
Friday 17 March, 5:35pm, AMI Stadium
Crusaders 33 - Blues 24
The Crusaders only scrapped home against the Reds last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
They weren’t at anywhere near their best against the Reds, but their will to win and composure in the final stages got them home.
The Crusaders have won six of their past seven games as home favourites, while they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.
The Blues are yet to beat a New Zealand Super Rugby team this season after going down to the Chiefs and the Highlanders in back-to-back weeks.
Winning as away underdogs has been an issue for the Blues and they have lost their past four games in this scenario, while they are 2-2 against the line.
The Crusaders should prove far too strong for the Blues and the line of 4.5 points will not be anywhere near enough.
Back The Crusaders To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
Friday 17 March, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 14 - Chiefs 27
The Rebels have been extremely poor during the Super Rugby season to date and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
The Rebels have been beaten by a combined total of over 100 points in their two games this season and they have failed to cover the line in their past five games as home underdogs.
The Chiefs made it three wins on the trot with a fighting victory over the Hurricanes and they should prove far too strong for the Rebels.
They have covered the line in six of their past nine games away from home and it would not surprise to see them put up a very big strong.
The line of 17.5 points will not be anywhere near enough.
Back The Chiefs To Beat The Line (-17.5 Points)
Saturday 18 March, 4:00am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 34 - Sunwolves 21
The Bulls have lost two games on the trot, but they are still the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend.
The Bulls have won three of their past four games as home favourites for a narrow loss and they are only 2-2 against the line.
It was an improved performance from the Sunwolves last weekend and they only went down to the Cheetahs by seven points.
The Sunwolves are yet to win a Super Rugby game away from home and they are 4-4 against the line as away underdogs.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Saturday 18 March, 5:35pm, Westpac Stadium
Hurricanes 41 - Highlanders 15
This is the game of the weekend and should be a highly entertaining clash.
The Hurricanes went down to the Chiefs last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
Winning at home has now been a problem for the Hurricanes and they have won eight of their past nine games as home favourites, while they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Highlanders scored a fighting victory over the Blues last weekend and their early-season form has been better than what their position on the ladder suggests.
They have won two of their past three games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario.
There is not as much between these teams as the current betting market suggests and I am keen to back the Highlanders with a start of 9.5 points.
Back The Highlanders To Beat The Line (+9.5 Points)
Saturday 18 March, 7:45pm, Allianz Stadium
Waratahs 12 - Brumbies 28
This is a crucial game for both the Waratahs and the Brumbies.
The Brumbies claimed their first win of the season when they beat the Force last Friday night, while the Waratahs return from South Africa winless.
It is the Waratahs that will start this clash as home favourites and this is a position in which they have struggled – they have won just three of their past five games in this scenario and they are 2-3 against the line.
The Brumbies are definitely lacking depth this season and they are not the same team they have been in recent seasons.
They have lost their past two games as away underdogs and their record against the line away from home does not inspire confidence.
Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting standpoint and this is another clash that I am happy to stay out of.
Sunday 19 March, 2:15am, Emirates Airline Park
Lions 44 - Reds 14
The Lions suffered their first defeat of the season at the hands of the Jaguares last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Reds as clear favourites.
The Lions have been flawless at home as favourites over the past 12 months – they have won their past eight games in this scenario and they are 7-1 against the line.
The Reds suffered a heart-breaking loss at the hands of the Crusaders last weekend and it will be interesting to see how they bounce back mentally.
They showed plenty of positive signs against the Crusaders, but stringing together positive performances has been an issue.
The Reds have not won a game away from home over the past 12 months and they are 104 against the line as away underdogs.
There is no doubt that the Lions are one of the safest betting plays of the weekend and they should be able to cover the line comfortably.
Back The Lions To Beat The Line (-12.5 Points)
Sunday 19 March, 4:30am, Growthpoint Kings Park
Sharks 19 - Kings 17
The Sharks are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and the line has been set at a massive 30.5 points.
The Sharks face a non-Australian team for the first time this season and they really should get the job done, but their is no value at their current price.
They have won only four of their past six games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are an unconvincing 3-3 against the line in this scenario.
The Kings were no match for the Stormers last weekend and they have now won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs, but they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.
The line does seem excessive in this clash and I am happy to back the Kings with a start of 29.5 points.
Back The Kings To Beat The Line (+29.5 Points)
Sunday 19 March, 6:40am, Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Jaguares 41 - Cheetahs 14
The Jaguares beat the Lions in impressive fashion last weekend and they will go into this clash with the Cheetahs as clear favourites.
Winning as home favourites has proven to be somewhat of an issue for the Jaguares since they entered Super Rugby and they have improved that record to 4-2 in terms of head-to-head betting, but they are still 3-3 against the line.
The Cheetahs were far from impressive against the Sunwolves, but they still came away with the victory and they have two two of their three games this season.
The Cheetahs are generally an easy team to predict from a betting standpoint – they win when they are favourites and lose when they are underdogs.
They have not won a game as away underdogs over the past 12 months and they are only 2-4 against the line in this scenario.
Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting standpoint and I am happy to stay out of this clash.
Round 4 of the Super Rugby season begins on Friday afternoon when the Hurricanes take on the Force and the game of the round follows when the Waratahs host the Highlanders at Allianz Stadium.
The Bulls take on the Sharks in the South African Derby in the pick of Saturday’s games before the Jaguares play in Argentina for the first time when they host the Chiefs on Sunday morning.
Friday 18 March, 5:35pm, Central Energy Trust Arena
Hurricanes 41 - Force 6
The Hurricanes finally scored their first win of the season with a solid performance against the Blues last weekend, while the Force were no match for a rampant Brumbies.
The Force have never beaten the Hurricanes in Super Rugby and based on betting they won’t be ending that losing streak this weekend.
The Hurricanes are 7-2 as favourites in front of their home fans in the past 12 months and it is no doubt that they will prove very tough to beat on Friday afternoon, but there really isn’t a great deal of valye in their current price and their record against the line as favourites is only a fair 7-6.
The New Zealand-based side have struggled with their execution in 2016 to date and the line of 15.5 points is simply too great.
Recommended Bet: No Bet
Friday 18 March, 7:45pm, Allianz Stadium
Waratahs 26 - Highlanders 30
This is one of the highlights of the round as these two teams met in the Super Rugby Semi-Finals last season, with the Highlanders prevailing before they beat the Hurricanes in the Final.
The Waratahs are fresh off the bye and they are set to start this game as favourites, despite the fact that the Highlanders have won their past two games against quality opposition.
The Sydney-based side have an excellent record against the line as favourites in the past 12 months, while the Highlanders are not a winning betting proposition as underdogs.
This will be a hard-fought game, but the Waratahs quality should get their home in the end and they are a good bet to cover the line of 1.5 points.
Recommended Bet: Back The Waratahs To Beat The Line (-1.5 points)
Saturday 19 March, 4:ooam, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 16 - Sharks 16
This is an intriguing South African Derby, with the Sharks set to start favourites following their upset win over the Stormers last weekend.
The Bulls were badly beaten by the Stormers in the opening round of the season and they bounced to beat the Rebels in round 2, but that does not look like the strongest form line.
The Sharks have won six of their past seven games as favourites, but their record against the line is not great in this scenario, while the Bulls are 4-2 as underdogs.
The Bulls have a simply outstanding record in front of their home fans at Loftus Versfeld and they are a great chance to get the job done this weekend, but I am keen to take the 1.5 points start for some insurance in what is set to be a very close affair.
Recommended Bet: Back The Sharks To Beat The Line (+1.5 points)
Saturday 19 March, 3:15pm, Prince Chichibu Memorial Stadium
Sunwolves 9 - Rebels 35
The Sunwolves looked set to record their first every Super Rugby victory when they opened up a big lead against the Cheetahs last weekend, but they were run over the top of late and suffered a heart-breaking defeat.
The Rebels were able to improve their record to 2-1 with a narrow win over the Reds, but it was far from a convincing performance and they will need to improve to win this weekend.
As we saw last weekend, the Rebels don’t have a great record as favourites and they are 2-5 against the line in this situation.
On the other hand, the Sunwolves have beaten the line in both of their games this season to date and their is no reason they can’t do the same again this weekend – especially with the juicy start of 5.5 points.
Recommended Bet: Back The Sunwolves To Beat The Line (+5.5 Points)
Saturday 19 March, 5:35pm , AMI Stadium
Crusaders 57 - Kings 24
The Kings started strongly against the Chiefs last weekend, but they quickly gave up the fight and they suffered their second big defeat from as many games to date this season.
It doesn’t get any easier for the struggling South African side this weekend as they face a Crusaders side that will be refreshed after a week off for the bye.
It would be the biggest upset in Super Rugby history if the Kings were to beat the Crusaders and that is simply not going to happen, so line betting is the only way you can think about playing this fixtures.
The Crusaders are 5-4 against the line as favourites in the past 12 months, but at this stage of the season a line of 32.5 points is extremely large and the Crusaders will not cover unless they play aggressively throughout – something that may not happen if they kick away to an early lead.
Recommended Bet: No Bet
Saturday 19 March, 7:45am, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 25 - Blues 25
The Reds had their chance to score their first win of the Super Rugby season against the Rebels last weekend, but they were unable to get the job done and they face a much tougher assignment this weekend.
The Blues have suffered narrow losses to the Crusaders and the Hurricanes in their past two games, but they have played some good rugby in the process and this is the easiest challenge they have faced during this season to date.
The Reds are a shocking 1-5 against the line in front of their home fans over the past 12 months and while the Blues do have have a great record over this same period, they have far more quality in their side than their opposition and the line of 5.5 points will not be anywhere near enough.
Recommended Bet: Back The Blues To Beat The Line (-5.5 points)
Sunday 20 March, 2:05am, Emirates Airlines Park
Lions 39 - Cheetahs 22
The Lions came crashing back to earth with their loss to the Hurricanes last weekend, while the Cheetahs were able to record their first win of the season with a come from behind victory over the Sunwolves.
Although the Lions were beaten last weekend, they will still consider it a successful trip to New Zealand following their win over the Chiefs and they are deserving of their status as short-priced favourites here.
The Lions have won their past five games as favourites, but their record against the line in this scenario is not as strong – although the sample size is fairly small.
It is hard to get excited about this Cheetahs side and they are basically a losing betting proposition in every scenario.
The Lions should be able to return to winning form, but their is no edge at their price and I am willing to sit out of this game betting wise.
Recommended Bet: No Bet
Sunday 20 March, 4:15am, DHL Newlands
Stormers 31 - Brumbies 11
This is one of the games of the row and is set to be one of the most interesting games from a betting perspective.
The Brumbies have been the form team in Super Rugby this season, but the trip to South Africa is always a tough one and the Stormers are no slouches, despite their upset loss to the Sharks last weekend.
Stephen Larkham’s men have a great record as favourites and they are 3-1 against the line as away favourites, while the Stormers don’t have a great deal of experience as home underdogs.
The market appears to have got the line exactly right, but there is value in the Over/Under betting market.
The Stormers and the Brumbies are both traditionally Unders teams and this looks as though it will be a tough low-scoring affair.
Recommended Bet: Back The Under In The Overs/Unders Betting Market
Sunday 20 March, 8:40am, Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Jaguares 26 - Chiefs 30
The Jaguares have only played two Super Rugby games, but they have both been thrillers and they have shown that they will be more than competitive this season.
The Chiefs suffered a shock defeat to the Lions in round 2 of the Super Rugby season and they returned to winning form against the Kings, but it is fair to say that their performance was not particularly impressive.
It is still very early days of the Jaguares, but the market is still keen to throw their support behind the Argentinean side and they have come up as clear favourites here,
This is a bit of a knock on the Chiefs as I really feel they have been underrated here and they are 4-2 against the line as away underdogs.
Recommended Bet: Back The Chiefs To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)