2024 Super Rugby Round 8 Preview

It’s fair to say that Round 7 was not exactly a high point of the 2024 Super Rugby season with four big blowouts and some massive brain snaps from players.

At least the markets are forecasting a couple of close games in Round 8 this weekend with just the four games as another group of teams enjoys a bye weekend at the midway mark.

It kicks off on Friday evening with Moana Pasifika “hosting” the Queensland Reds before the dysfunctional Waratahs take on the finally awake Crusaders.

Saturday should be slightly more competitive with the heavyweight clash between the Hurricanes and Chiefs leading into the Rebels hosting the Highlanders.

Read on for our Super Rugby best bets and previews below!

Moana PasifikavsReds
Friday 12 April, 5:05pm, Semenoff Stadium (Whangarei)

The Reds desperately needed their bye week after back to back defeats at the hands of the Force and Brumbies halted their early season momentum.

With a chance to freshen up their team, combined with a fairly soft landing in the shape of Moana Pasifika, the Reds can resume their charge for a top four finish here.

Despite some struggles in recent seasons, they were good enough to win both games against Moana Pasifika by double digit margins and on their day, the Reds are much better than in previous years.

Not to mention Moana Pasifika have been flat out awful in their last two outings, losing to the Brumbies, Blues and Chiefs by a combined score of 175-41.

If you thought they might be getting better despite the huge defeats, the Chiefs recorded their biggest win of the season with a final score of 68-12.

Assuming the Reds are in fact legitimate contenders, they should inflict a similar beating on one of the Super Rugby stragglers.

Reds to Cover -14.5 @ $1.90

WaratahsvsCrusaders
Friday 12 April, 7:35pm, Allianz Stadium

In a bizarre scheduling quirk, the Waratahs will face the Crusaders for the second time this season, not that the Christchurch based side will mind.

They have had a bye week to enjoy their first win of the new season, as they finally played a complete game of rugby to knock off the Chiefs 37-26.

While the Crusaders had their feet up, a frustrating season went from bad to worse for the Waratahs getting belted by the Brumbies in Canberra, for their fifth straight defeat.

Their last win came over the Crusaders in Melbourne during Super Round, but the visitors have been trending upwards while the Tahs have just played worse and worse.

With a bye week on the horizon, this might be the last we see of Darren Coleman in the Tahs coaching booth as the Crusaders continue their late season revival.

Crusaders to Cover -11.5 @ $1.88

HurricanesvsChiefs
Saturday 13 April, 5:05pm, Sky Stadium

If you have not bought in on the Hurricanes yet this season, this is their chance to bring a few people onto their bandwagon.

Like their co-tenants at Sky Stadium, the Wellington Phoenix, the Hurricanes have taken plenty of people by surprise with six wins from six starts, and they could take sole possession of top spot with even a bonus point in this game.

They showed no signs of slowing down heading into their bye with big wins over the Rebels and Highlanders, and are well placed to end a four year winning drought against the Chiefs.

It won’t come easy however with the Chiefs still one of the better teams in Super Rugby, but it’s tough to justify their favouritism here, however slight it may be.

I’m more than happy to back the “upset” and take the Canes to win outright.

Hurricanes to Win @ $2.05

RebelsvsHighlanders
Saturday 13 April, 7:35pm, AAMI Park

The pick here should be the Highlanders, it’s a New Zealand team taking on an Australian side, but the Rebels have shown just enough of a spark to make me nervous.

Even though the AAMI Park crowd won’t provide much of a boost to the Rebels, they have plenty of talent at their disposal and they can put a bit into this game knowing they have the bye in Round 9.

The home team has won six of the last seven between these teams, which is another mark in favour of the Rebels, but they are liable for a horrific showing out of the blue.

Defensively, the Highlanders have been quite loose, giving up 27, 28 and 47 in their last three games, which has been a big reason why they have stumbled to three straight defeats.

Going the other way, the Rebels are not exactly watertight either, with the third worst points allowed total in the competition with 235 from seven games.

I can’t take either team with any confidence so I’m backing the over instead.

Over 58.5 Points @ $1.85


2023

The midseason byes provide us another light weekend of rugby in the 2023 Super Rugby Pacific competition.

However there is plenty to look forward to this Friday and Saturday as it kicks off with Moana Pasifika playing their first ever match in Samoa to start the round.

Then on Saturday afternoon in Waikato, it’s a top of the table clash between the Hurricanes and the Chiefs with the visitors looking to extend their perfect start to the season.

Read on for our best bets and game previews for Round 8 below.

Moana PasifikavsReds
Friday 14 April, 5:05pm, Apia Park
Moana Pasifika 28 – Reds 40

All is not well with the Reds right now, with the side crumbling to a 26 point defeat at home to the Brumbies.

Defence remains their biggest concern as that was the third time in seven games they have conceded over 40 points.

On paper they should have no problems with Moana Pasifika given they have similar issues stopping opponents scoring, but the fact this game is in Samoa does swing the momentum in favour of the home side.

If there is one positive you can say about the Pasifika team, it’s that they can cause plenty of headaches for opponents, even if they can’t produce a full 80 minute performance.

However the market looks like it has massively overreacted to the Reds struggles considering they are still far & away a better team across the park & they did put 71 on the Force earlier this season.

It might not be a convincing win for the Reds, but with the line at less than a try, you have to give them the benefit of the doubt here, even if it’s the last time to do so this season.

Back the Reds to Cover -4.5 @ $1.91

BrumbiesvsDrua
Friday 14 April, 7:35pm, GIO Stadium
Brumbies 43 – Drua 28

It’s time to stop treating the Brumbies like a good Australian team, they might just be a good team full stop.

After weathering the figurative (& literal) storm in the first half against the Reds last week, they were ruthless in the second half, belting the Reds 31-7 in the second half alone.

That patience and maturity will serve them well against a Drua team that we know will have their spells but have struggled to sustain that intensity for a full game.

When the mistakes come, the Brumbies will be able to punish them and they should find a way to run away with a crucial victory.

Back the Brumbies to Cover -17.5 @ $1.83

HurricanesvsChiefs
Saturday 15 April, 12:35pm, Sky Stadium
Hurricanes 17 – Chiefs 33

Fresh off the bye, the unbeaten Chiefs will face another big test when they travel to Wellington to take on the Hurricanes.

The margins have been shrinking week on week and that first loss is coming in some way, shape or form, but it does not look like happening this week.

Each of the last three meetings between the sides have gone the way of the Chiefs but they have all been close with the biggest margin of victory being six points.

Expect a test-match level intensity for your lunchtime rugby viewing as the Chiefs defence is able to guide them to a seventh straight win.

Back the Chiefs to Win @ $1.80

WaratahsvsForce
Saturday 15 April, 7:35pm, Allianz Stadium
Waratahs 36 – Force 16

On the plus side, one of these two struggling teams will find a way to pick up a much needed win, however only one will feel good about recording a victory here.

Tipped by many to take a big step forward in a World Cup year, the Waratahs have been arguably the competition’s most disappointing side with just one win over the Drua in Melbourne to their name.

Meanwhile the Force are at least having a decent go in the last few weeks, despite going 0-3 on their New Zealand tour, they did push the Hurricanes all the way in Round 6 before losing 45-42.

It was only two years ago that the Force recorded a win in Sydney, pipping the Tahs 20-16 and they should find a way to keep this one close as well.

After all, confidence amongst the Waratahs is not exactly high at the moment and the longer this game remains competitive, the better chance the Force have of springing an upset.

Back the Force to Cover +8.5 @ $1.91


2022

We are officially at the halfway mark of the 2022 Super Rugby Pacific season! Last weekend saw a couple of huge games in what was a sensational round of footy.

Round 8 has a couple of juicy matchups that should not disappoint. Some classic Kiwi showdowns and the Force battling it out with the Rebels, two teams who are desperate for some consistency.

We’ve come through the gate to clear the breakdown and pilfer you punters some great value tips for Round 8 of the Super Rugby.

HighlandersvsMoana Pasifika
Friday 8 April, 5:05pm, Forsyth Barr Stadium

The two winless teams kick us off this weekend… Someone’s going away with their first W of the year.

The bookies have opened the markets for these two teams at $1.05 and $10.00 respectively. They are predicting a bloodbath.

Despite being winless this year, The Highlanders looked really polished on both sides of the ball in their loss to The Crusaders last weekend. A single defensive error and a missed penalty was the only things that could split the two teams.

Moana Pasifika on the other hand, were a turnstile in defence letting in 46 points against the Blues who are the form team of the comp.

The bookmakers don’t hold much hope for Moana Pasifika and it’s hard to disagree with them. I’m backing The Highlanders to cover the line, it’s a big handicap to start with at 18.5 but if Moana Pasifika’s defence last weekend is anything to go off, The Highlanders can get it done.

Back The Highlanders -18.5 @ $1.90

ForcevsRebels
Friday 8 April, 7:45pm, HBF Park

Both The Force & Rebels probably haven’t started their campaigns the way that they planned but there is still time for these teams to turn it around when they take each other on in the Friday night game.

This is both these teams first game in two weeks after putting their feet up last weekend.

The Rebels are coming off a game where they put 42 points on the Drua they’ll be well rested ,in good spirits and should run out ready to rip and tear against a Force side who lost a 39-38 heartbreaker against the Brumbies.

The Force start at $1.30 favourites but this one could go either way, definitely one to watch on Friday night.

Back The Rebels +7.5 @ $1.90

HurricanesvsCrusaders
Saturday 9 April, 2:35pm, Sky Stadium

I tipped the Hurricanes last weekend and they let me down in an absolute pointsfest against the Chiefs. There was a lot of free flowing rugger and it made for a great watch.

This weekend they take on the Crusaders who have won four of their last five hitouts but got tested by the bottom of the table Highlanders.

The Hurricanes play a really exciting style of footy, it always feels like they’re one step away from breaking the game open but I just can’t see them getting done against the Crusaders.

 Back The Crusaders -7.5 @ $1.90

ChiefsvsBlues
Saturday 9 April, 5:05pm, FMG Stadium

The Chiefs have a big job ahead of them this weekend as they take on The Blues who are the form side in the comp.

The Blues have the longest active winning streak in the comp with five on the trot and are really starting to come into their own.

The last time these two hit it out, The Blues scraped home with a two point win but they’ve looked a much better side since then.

The bookies are struggling to split these two but I think there is good value for the Blues.

Back The Blues to win @ $2.00

DruavsBrumbies
Saturday 9 April, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium

I was so unbelievably confident the Drua were going to upset The Warratahs last week. I thought I was the smartest Rugby analyst in the country if not the entire Pacific region. I wrote a big piece about how they were going to get it done and how it was such a value bet.

The second I hit “submit” I got a notification on my phone “Michael Hooper returns this weekend against the Drua.”… Oh S***.

The Drua have opened up at $9 to beat The Brumbies this weekend and I don’t think I’m going to be so bold this week.

I think the Brumbies will cover the line this weekend and if the Drua get up, I might not be writing these tips for much longer…

Back The Brumbies -16.5 @ $1.90


2021

It’s a huge week of Super Rugby action across Australia and New Zealand.

The Reds and Brumbies face off with the minor premiership on the line while the Crusaders look to bounce back from a shock defeat last week.

Find out who we are backing in our preview below!

SUPER RUGBY AU ROUND 8

RebelsvsForce
Friday 9 April, 7:50pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 15 – Force 16

The first meeting between the Rebels and Force was not exactly memorable for anything that happened on the field, but for the light towers going out in the closing stages of the game.

It’s fair to say this season has not been overly profitable for the Western Force with just the one victory over the Waratahs so far.

Since their readmission to the competition last year the Rebels have won all three head to head meetings between the two sides and I can’t see any scenario where they do not make it four from four here.

Every single meeting has been decided by five points or less and the Force have shown enough of a spark to keep this game competitive.

The 9.5 point line seems far too high and I’ll back the visitors to keep it close and cover that.

Back the Force to Cover +9.5 @ $1.91

RedsvsBrumbies
Saturday 10 April, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 24 – Brumbies 22

If this game provides even half the drama of the first meeting in Canberra then we are in for a Saturday night treat.

A win for the Reds would all but secure top spot on the Super Rugby AU ladder heading into next month’s finals series and extend their perfect start to seven from seven.

Suncorp Stadium has been a happy hunting ground for the Reds, winning their last nine home games, including a 26-7 win in September last year.

This is the season Brad Thorn’s rebuilding project has finally come to fruition and I’ll back them to take another step towards a home Grand Final.

Back the Reds to Cover -2.5 @ $1.91

SUPER RUGBY AOTEAROA ROUND 7

HighlandersvsChiefs
Saturday 10 April, 5:00pm, Forsyth Barr Stadium
Highlanders 23 – Chiefs 26

After a historically bad start to their Super Rugby Aotearoa campaign, the Chiefs have finally found their footing with a pair of close fought wins over the Hurricanes and Blues.

Most impressive is the fact they have won in very different styles in those games, scoring 35 on the Hurricanes before grinding out a 15-12 win at home against the Blues.

The Highlanders will be full of confidence themselves however, stunning the defending champion Crusaders with a 33-12 win in Christchurch.

In spite of the Highlanders massive win last year and very profitable history of four wins and a draw from the last five head to head meetings, I just can’t shake this feeling the Chiefs are on the way back.

I’ll back the upset and the Highlanders winless streak at home in 2021 to extend to three games.

Back the Chiefs to Win @ $2.30

HurricanesvsCrusaders
Sunday 11 April, 1:30pm, Sky Stadium
Hurricanes 27 – Crusaders 30

In a way, you almost have to feel sorry for the Hurricanes with the Crusaders up next on the schedule.

Nobody wants to see the Christchurch side on a good day, let alone when they’re irritated and coming off an embarrassing home loss.

The Crusaders do not lose back to back games, with their average margin of victory coming off a loss or draw in the last three seasons sitting at 28.6 points including a 66-0 demolition of the Rebels in June 2019.

This could be ugly and a 10.5 point line is awfully generous to the Crusaders punters.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -10.5 @ $1.91


2020

*MATCHES POSTPONED*

CrusadersvsHurricanes
Friday 20 March, 5:05pm, Orangetheory Stadium
RebelsvsSunwolves
Friday 20 March, 7:15pm, AAMI Park
HighlandersvsLions
Saturday 21 March, 2:45pm, Forsyth Barr Stadium
BluesvsBrumbies
Saturday 21 March, 5:35pm, Eden Park
WaratahsvsBulls
Saturday 21 March, 7:45pm, Scully Park
SharksvsChiefs
Sunday 22 March, 12:05am, Jonsson Kings Park
JaguaresvsStormers
Sunday 22 March, 6:40am, Estadio Jose Amalftiani

2019

There’s an international flavour to Round 8 of the Super Rugby season with all four Australian sides facing overseas opponents.

Pacesetters the Rebels host the Sunwolves while the Brumbies have the unenviable task of facing the Crusaders in Christchurch.

Over in South Africa the Lions look like they are rounding back into form and will take on the Sharks.

We have previewed every Round 8 game for Super Rugby and found our betting plays right here.

HighlandersvsHurricanes
Friday 5 April, 5:35pm, Forsyth Barr Stadium
Highlanders 28 – Hurricanes 31

After three straight losses on the road, the Highlanders will be glad to get their first home game since February when they take on the Hurricanes.

It’s been a rough month for the Otago based side with five points coming from three bonus points for losing by seven or less and two from their cancelled game against the Hurricanes.

One of those close losses came in Wellington, going down to the Hurricanes 25-22 and you would think that the home ground advantage would get them over the line here.

In the last 12 months they have gone 5-1 at home and won the only other time they have gone into a game as a home underdog.

This looks like a genuinely tight game to pick but a home underdog is too good value to ignore in this case.

Back the Highlanders to Win @ $2.20

RedsvsStormers
Friday 5 April, 7:45pm, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 24 – Stormers 12

A week after a huge win over the Brumbies, the Reds were brought back down to earth by a Rebels team last week.

Now as they face the Stormers, who are halfway through their away trip having dropped both games in New Zealand.

Travel has been the deciding factor in this game with the home side winning each of the last four matchups.

So far this season the Stormers have gone 1-3 as the visiting side and even though the Reds have only won once at home so far, the Stormers are closer to the level of the Brumbies than the Crusaders.

The line in this game could swing the Reds’ way if the early punters see the value in the Reds forward pack getting on top in this game so I’ll jump on the Reds as an early underdog.

Back the Reds to Win @ $2.00

LionsvsSharks
Saturday 6 April, 4:10am, Ellis Park
Lions 5 – Sharks 42

Three straight wins and 120 points for the Lions and they are on top of the South African conference.

Fresh off a bye they host the third placed Sharks side who they lead by two points and are coming off a tough loss at home to the Bulls.

The Sharks did beat the Lions last time they met in June but before that it has been mostly all Lions with the previous seven going the way of the defending conference champions.

With this game being played at Ellis Park there is a massive advantage coming for the Lions as well with a 7-1 record at home and going 6-2 against the line in the last 12 months.

Five of those Lions wins have been by 13 or more points so I’ll take on a bit of a risk for a higher value play and back a big Lions win.

Back the Lions to Win by 13+ @ $3.00

CrusadersvsBrumbies
Saturday 6 April, 3:15pm, AMI Stadium
Crusaders 36 – Brumbies 14

Eight weeks into the season and the Crusaders market is look like what we would expect it to.

A three converted try line against the visiting Brumbies and even the most patriotic and hopeful Aussie rugby fan knows even that might not be enough.

In the Brumbies last four trips to Christchurch, they have lost by an average of 18 points and as the defending champions round into form, you have to think they will want to put together another big win.

In their two home games this season, they have crushed the Hurricanes and Chiefs and you can back the Brumbies being added to that list with some confidence.

Back the Crusaders to Cover -20.5 @ $1.88

BluesvsWaratahs
Saturday 6 April, 5:35pm, Eden Park
Blues 32 – Waratahs 29

The onetime easybeats are not living up to that billing anymore with three straight wins as the Blues prepare to host their fourth straight home game.

New South Wales has dropped its last three against the Auckland based side and will be desperate to atone for an embarrassing loss to the Sunwolves last weekend.

You would have to think the Waratahs will recall Bernard Foley and company for this game however his form doesn’t make this an automatic boost to the team.

It’s too hard to ignore the Blues form and it looks like it could be a good weekend for the home teams.

Back the Blues to Cover -5.5 @ $1.88

RebelsvsSunwolves
Saturday 6 April, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 42 – Sunwolves 15

There weren’t a lot of negatives for either team to take away from last weekend with the Rebels getting a massive win in Brisbane while the Sunwolves beat the Waratahs.

It’s time to start taking the Rebels seriously as they continue to set the pace for the Australian sides and you would think they can maintain or even extend their lead this weekend.

The Rebels have won all three meetings against the Sunwolves with the smallest winning margin being 20 points.

While the Sunwolves two wins this season have been entertaining, it’s unlikely that they will be able to replicate that effort this weekend.

Back the Rebels to Cover -13.5 @ $1.88

BullsvsJaguares
Sunday 7 April, 12:05am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 20 – Jaguares 22

One week, the Bulls are blowing out the Sharks, the next they are getting blown out by the Chiefs before winning a low scoring struggle away to the Sharks.

In short, the Bulls are mightily inconsistent but capable of winning games a few different ways which is encouraging.

The Jaguares on the other hand have no problems falling into a pattern with three straight losses following two wins and before that four straight losses.

Their recent away form has let them down with five straight losses outside of Argentina and that could very well extend to six with a big defeat here.

Back the Bulls by 13+ @ $2.38


2018

The Super Rugby Round 8 action gets underway with an interesting clash between the Hurricanes and Sharks on Friday night, but the highlight for Australian fans will be on Saturday when the Brumbies host the Reds in an Australian Derby.

This is a crucial game for both sides as they try to keep in touch with the Rebels, who currently sit well-clear on top of the Australian Conference.

We have analysed all six games set to take place this weekend and our complete Super Rugby Round 8 tips can be found below.

HurricanesvsSharks
Friday 6 April, 5:35pm, McLean Park
Hurricanes 38 – Sharks 37

The Hurricanes are the shortest-priced favourites in Super Rugby this weekend after their dominant win over the Rebels last weekend.

The Hurricanes are always tough to beat in New Zealand and they have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear profit, while they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.

They conceded 40 points, but the Sharks were still able to come away with a win over the Blues and they scored 63 points in the process.

This is obviously a much tougher challenge, but their recent form away from home has been strong and they have covered the line in four of their past five games as away underdogs.

The Hurricanes should be able to win this clash comfortably, but their is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

SunwolvesvsWaratahs
Saturday 7 April, 3:15pm, Prince Chichibu Memorial Stadium
Sunwolves 29 – Waratahs 50

The Waratahs have won two games on the trot and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Winning away from home has been something of an issue for the Waratahs and they are 1-1 as home favourites over the past 12 months, but they are 5-2 against the line when they are on the road.

The Sunwolves were unable to back-up their impressive performance against the Lions and they were simply no match for the Chiefs last weekend.

The Japanese side have won two of their past seven games as home underdogs for a profit, but they are only 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

This Waratahs outfit should prove too strong for their rivals and the line of 15.5 points will not be enough.

Back Waratahs To Cover The Line (-15.5 Points)

ChiefsvsBlues
Saturday 7 April, 5:35pm, FMG Stadium
Chiefs 21 – Blues 19

The Blues have been pilloried in the New Zealand media following their poor defensive effort against the Sharks and the pressure is on them to produce an improved effort against the Chiefs.

It is no surprise that the Blues will go into this clash as clear underdogs and their recent record against the Chiefs is extremely poor.

In saying that, the Chiefs have covered the line in two of their past three games as away underdogs and they did give the Chiefs a scare when they met earlier in the season.

The Chiefs extended their winning streak with a fighting win over the Highlanders and they have now won their past six games as home favorites, but they are still only 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Blues can bounce back to a semblance of their best form and it would not surprise to see them give the Chiefs another scare.

Back Blues To Cover The Line (+8.5 Points)

BrumbiesvsReds
Saturday 7 April, 7:45pm, GIO Stadium
Brumbies 45 – Reds 21

The Brumbies were upset by the Reds earlier this season, but they are clear favourites to avenge that defeat at GIO Stadium on Saturday night.

They have won only one of their past four games, but they generally do save their best form for GIO Stadium and they have won their past two games as home favourites.

The Reds played some good Rugby during their tour in South Africa and there is no doubt that they have been one of the big improvers in Super Rugby this season.

This is still a tough test for Brad Thorn’s men and they have won only one of their past seven games as home underdogs, while they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Brumbies can return to winning form and cover the line of 3.5 points in the process.

Back Brumbies To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

LionsvsStormers
Sunday 8 April, 1:15am, Emirates Airlines Park
Lions 52 - Stormers 31

This is a big game in the South African Conference as a win for the Stormers would see them close the gap on the Lions significantly.

The Lions have lost two games on the trot at the hands of the Jaguares and the Crusaders, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have won eight of their past nine games as home favourites, but they are only 4-5 against the line in this scenario.

The Stormers are one of the most predictable teams in Super Rugby from a betting perspective – they generally win when they are favourites and lose when they are underdogs.

They have lost their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is not much better.

This is another game that the market has just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

JaguaresvsCrusaders
Sunday 8 April, 7:40am, Estadio Jose Amalfitani
Jaguares 14 – Crusaders 40

The Crusaders started their tour with a win over the Lions and they are dominant favourites to account for the Jaguares.

It wasn’t pretty, but the Crusaders were able to grind out a win over the Lions to maintain their unblemished record as favourites and they have covered the line in four of their past six games as home favourites.

The Jaguares went into the bye on the back of one of the biggest wins in their history over the Lions and they played some excellent Rugby in the process.

They have now won two of their past three games as home underdogs, but their overall record at Estadio Jose Amalfitani is poor.

It would not surprise if this was a much more expansive clash than they one that was played out between the Crusaders and the Jaguares, while backing the Over in games involving either of these sides has been a profitable betting play.

Back Over In Total Points Betting


2017

Off-field matters have dominated Super Rugby discussion this week – as the Force and the Rebels both fight for survival –  but there is still a weekend of fixtures set to be played.

The actions begins on Friday night when the Crusaders should be too strong for the Sunwolves before the Reds have the chance to return to winning form against the Kings on Saturday afternoon.

We had profitable week with our Super Rugby tips last weekend and we are hopeful that will be able to continue in round 8.

CrusadersvsSunwolves
Friday 14 April, 5:35pm, AMI Stadium
Crusaders 50 - Sunwolves 3

Super Rugby mismatches do not get much better than this one and the Crusaders are unbackable favourites to account for the Sunwolves on Friday.

The Crusaders maintained their unbeaten start to the season with a comfortable win over the Waratahs before their week off and they have covered the line in six of their past eight games as home favourites.

The Sunwolves produced their best performance of the season to record an upset win over the Bulls and they are sure to have taken plenty of confidence from that win.

They are yet to win a game away from home in their history, but they have improved their record to 4-3 against the line away away underdogs.

Apart from their first round defeat at the hands of the Hurricanes, the Sunwolves have been fairly competitive this season and the line for this clash is a massive 38.5 points.

Such a big line is always tricky to assess from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.

No Bet

RedsvsKings
Saturday 15 April, 3:05pm, Suncorp Stadium
Reds 47 - Kings 34

The Reds have lost six games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Kings as clear favourites.

The Reds could hardly have been more disappointing against the Brumbies last weekend and it is tough to get them as short as their current price.

They have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but their record against the line in that scenario is a poor 1-3.

The Kings were only narrowly beaten by the Force last Sunday afternoon and they are a better team than they are being given credit for.

They have won only one of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are 6-2 against the line when being given a start.

This will be much closer than the market suggests and the Kings are an excellent bet to beat the line with a healthy start.

Back The Kings To Beat The Line (+17.5 Points)

BluesvsHurricanes
Saturday 15 April, 5:35am, Eden Park
Blues 24 - Hurricanes 28

The Hurricanes have an excellent record against the Blues and they will go into this Super Rugby clash as clear favourites.

The Hurricanes did enough to dispatch the Waratahs last weekend and winning away from home has not been an issue, with the Hurricanes covering the line in three of their past five games as away favourites.

The Blues went down narrowly to the Highlanders last weekend and it really doesn’t get any easier for them against the Hurricanes.

They have actually won six of their past eight games as home underdogs for a profit and they are 2-0 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

RebelsvsBrumbies
Saturday 15 April, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 19 - Brumbies 17

The off-field controversy surrounding the future of the Rebels has overshadowed the fact they are yet to win a game this season and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.

The Rebels have been fairly noncompetitive throughout the Super Rugby season and they have lost all five of their games as home underdogs over the past 12 months, while they are 1-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Brumbies continue to be the standout side in the Australian Conference and they were excellent against the Reds last weekend.

They have won two of their past three games as away favourites for a narrow profit and they are 4-2 against the line when away from home.

The Brumbies should cruise to another win over their Australian rivals and the line of 9.5 points will not be enough.

Back The Brumbies To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points)

CheetahsvsChiefs
Saturday 15 April, 11:05pm, Toyota Stadium
Cheetahs 27 - Chiefs 41

The Chiefs suffered their first loss of the Super Rugby season when they went down to the Stormers last weekend, but they are still dominant favourites to account for the Cheetahs this weekend.

The Chiefs have now won only three of their past five games as away favourites following their loss to the Stormers and they are 2-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Cheetahs went into their bye on the back of an extremely poor effort against the Stormers and they really have been fairly lacklustre this season.

They have won only one of their past four games as home underdogs and they are a mediocre 2-2 against the line in this situation.

This is another game where there is not a great deal of betting value and I am more than happy to stay out of the action.

No Bet

StormersvsLions
Sunday 15 April, 1:15am, DHL Newlands
Stormers 16 - Lions 29

This is a crucial game between the two sides that sit on top of the respective South African Conferences.

The Stormers stamped themselves as genuine Super Rugby title contenders with their win over the Chiefs and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have now won six of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are still a lacklustre 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Lions went into the bye on the back of a fighting win over the Sharks and they have lost just the one game so far this season.

Their record as away underdogs does not inspire confidence – they have won just one of their past four games in this situation and they are 2-2 against the line.

The Stormers really have played some quality rugby so far this season and they should be able to maintain their unbeaten start to the season.

Back The Stormers To Win @ $1.62

BullsvsJaguares
Sunday 15 April, 3:30am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 26 - Jaguares 13

This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend and it is the Jaguares that will start this clash as favourites.

The Jaguares away from home continued last weekend when they went down to the Sharks and they have now won only one of their past six games away from home, while they are yet to cover the line as away favourites.

The season of the Bulls hit a new low when they went down to the Sunwolves last weekend and there is no doubt that they will be pleased to return to home soil.

The Bulls have won their only game as home underdogs over the past 12 months and they do represent value to upstage a Jaguares side that have shown a complete inability to win away from home.

Back The Bulls To Win @ $2.10


2016

There are a number of big games in round 8 of the 2016 Super Rugby season.

The Waratahs and the Brumbies are the two best teams in the Australian Conference and they will do battle at Allianz Stadium on Saturday night, while the Lions and Stormers will face off in a South African Derby in the early hours of Sunday morning.

CrusadersvsJaguares
Friday 15 April, 5:35pm, AMI Stadium
Crusaders 32 - Jaguares 15

The Crusaders have flown under the radar somewhat during the 2016 Super Rugby season, but they have now won five games on the trot and will start this game as clear favourites.

The Crusaders only narrowly got the job done against the Force last weekend and they have been a losing betting proposition as home favourites this season, while they are 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Jaguares produced their worst performance of the season to date when they lost to the Hurricanes last weekend and the week to week pressure of Super Rugby appears to be too much for the Argentinean side.

They are now 0-3 as underdogs in head to head betting and their record against the line is only just better.

The Crusaders should be able to continue their winning streak, but their is no real value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

RebelsvsHurricanes
Friday 15 April, 7:45pm, AAMI Park
Rebels 13 - Hurricanes 38

The Rebels went to the bye on the back of a season-defining victory over the Waratahs and they are now back in the hunt for the Super Rugby Finals.

They will still start this game as clear underdogs, but they are 6-3 against the line in this scenario and they have been a profitable betting proposition as home underdogs in the past 12 months.

This is a very tough assignment for the Rebels as they face a Hurricanes side that has won four games in a row and scored plenty of points in doing so.

This has not made the Hurricanes a particularly profitable betting team, but they are 2-1 against the line as away favourites and they have a good record against the Rebels.

The Hurricanes have scored plenty of points in recent weeks, but they have generally been an unders team in total points betting markets over the past 12 months and the under has salute in four of the past games at AAMI Park.

Recommended Bet: Back The Under

CheetahsvsSunwolves
Saturday 16 April, 3:00am, Toyota Stadium
Cheetahs 92 - Sunwolves 17

This will be the second meeting between the Cheetahs and Sunwolves after the Cheetahs beat the Sunwolves by a single point in an absolute thriller earlier this season.

The Cheetahs have lost three games on the trot, but they will still start this game as dominant favourites, which is a position they don’t have a great deal of experience in.

They have actually not won a single game as favourites at Toyota Stadium in the past 12 months and their record against the line in front of their home fans is very poor.

The Sunwolves are still chasing their first Super Rugby win and they were fairly poor against the Stormers, but they will taken confidence from the fact that they got as close as they did to the Cheetahs last time.

The Sunwolves are 4-2 against the line this season and I am confident that they will finish within 15.5 points of their rivals in the early hours of Saturday morning.

Recommended Bet: Back The Sunwolves To Beat The Line (+15.5 Points)

BluesvsSharks
Saturday 16 April, 5:35pm, Eden Park
Blues 23 - Sharks 18

The Blues have struggled against the Sharks in recent years and they have lost the past six games played between the two sides, but they are set to start this game as clear favourites.

The Blues went down to the Chiefs last weekend and the they have not been a winning betting proposition as favourites either at home or away.

The Sharks head into this fixture on the back of back-to-back losses and they were poor against the Lions, but they have a winning record of 3-2 against the line as away underdogs and they have beaten the Blues in their past three meetings as underdogs.

The Blues are deserving favourites, but the $2.55 on offer for the Sharks is too good to ignore and they are one of the underdogs in Super Rugby this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Sharks To Win @ $2.55

WaratahsvsBrumbies
Saturday 16 April, 7:45am, Allianz Stadium
Waratahs 20 - Brumbies 26

This is a key game as the Waratahs really need to beat the Brumbies to bridge the gap between the sides in the Australian Conference.

The Waratahs lost three of their past four games before they went on the bye and they will start this game as underdogs – the first time they have been in this position at home in the past 12 months.

Their record as underdogs across the board is profitable 2-1 and they have the same record against the line, but they have won just one of their past four games against the Brumbies as underdogs.

The Brumbies also went into the bye on the back of a loss and it is very rare to see the Canberra-based side record two wins on the trot.

They are 4-1 as away favourites in the past 12 months and they were far too good for the Brumbies when they met earlier this season, making them one of the safest bets in Super Rugby this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Brumbies To Win @ $1.67

BullsvsReds
Sunday 17 April, 1:05am, Loftus Versfeld
Bulls 41 - Reds 22

The Reds recorded one of the biggest upsets of the Super Rugby season when they beat the Highlanders at Suncorp Stadium and they will head to South Africa with an unprecedented level of confidence.

They are still clear underdogs to beat the Bulls, but it is fair to say that they would be a much longer price if they were unable to get the upset win last weekend.

The Reds have really struggled in South Africa in recent years, but they have been a credible 7-5 against the line as underdogs in the past 12 months.

The Bulls have not lost a game since the opening round of the season and they were far too strong for the Kings last weekend.

The Bulls have been only a narrow winning betting proposition as favourites in the past 12 months, but their record against the line is poor in this scenario and they are 1-3 against the line in front of their home fans.

I need to see the Reds produced another strong performance because I concede that they have improved and I am more than happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

LionsvsStormers
Sunday 17 April, 3:15am, Emirates Airline Park
Lions 29 - Stormers 22

The Lions and Stormers are two of the form teams in the South African conference and this is one of the biggest games of the weekend.

The Lions have been one of the surprise packages in Super Rugby this season and they stamped themselves as a genuine threat with their win over the Sharks last weekend.

Their record as favourites in the past 12 months is a very impressive 5-0 and they are also 3-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Stormers have won three games on the trot and their form over the past 12 months suggests that they can win again – they are 2-1 as underdogs and have the same record against the line.

This game will be extremely close and I am happy to back the Stormers with a start of 2.5 points in what should be a very entertaining game of rugby.

Recommended Bet: Back The Stormers To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)