The A-League continues to deliver endless entertaining football and Round 11 features seven matches, each with their own unique storylines.
Adelaide is suddenly on a winning streak, Brisbane and Sydney face off desperate to find their footing after a rough ending to February, Western United and Perth are scoring for fun… oh and there’s a Melbourne Derby as well.
We are previewing every A-League Round 11 match below so read on to find our best bets here!
Friday 5 March, 7:00pm, Coopers Stadium
Adelaide 2 – Newcastle 1
Adelaide has found a perfect solution for its incredibly leaky defence, and it’s simply to outscore its opponents.
The return of Craig Goodwin helped spur them on to a second consecutive 3-2 victory on the weekend, this time getting by the Wanderers.
Up next is a slightly more stubborn Newcastle Jets backline, although they were found out twice by the Wellington Phoenix over the weekend.
That ended their five match unbeaten run and was the first time they had conceded more than once in a match since their last defeat.
This match will be decided by Newcastle’s ability to match Adelaide goal for goal, because right now, if the home side can score three or more, they should also come away with all three points.
There is nothing I have seen from Newcastle to make me think they can match Adelaide’s newfound attacking prowess.
Back Adelaide to Win @ $2.90
Saturday 6 March, 5:00pm, Moreton Daily Stadium
Brisbane 1 – Sydney 1
A fortnight after playing out an entertaining (but scoreless) draw in Sydney, these sides face off again with a heightened level of desperation as they try to end their respective winless runs.
Brisbane’s goal drought ended in Perth, but they still went down to the Glory 3-1, making it four matches without a win.
What once looked like an unstoppable attack and had Brisbane fans dreaming of a return to the Grand Final has stagnated and they just do not look as sharp as they did a month ago.
Sydney’s winless run sits at three matches but they have dropped their last two while looking well off the pace.
It would be a bad idea to write off this side just yet, but something definitely seems off with the team, perhaps the aging legs are struggling to keep up with the much higher pace of play.
While both sides would love to get back on track, they do seem to be stuck in a similar spot to one another and all of those signs point towards another draw.
Back the Draw @ $3.45
Saturday 6 March, 7:10pm, Marvel Stadium
Melbourne Victory 0 – Melbourne City 6
They say you can throw out any and all form lines for a local derby and for the Victory, that is pretty much the only way you can give them a chance to win this one.
In all fairness, they looked pretty good for the majority of their last match against Western United, until they lost on the last kick of the contest.
Besart Berisha punished the Victory defence with a brace and now they have to try and slow down the league’s most in form striker Jamie Maclaren.
He scored both of his side’s goals in their win over Western Sydney during the week and has to be salivating at the prospect of taking on a Victory team that is on the bottom of the ladder and has the second worst defensive record in the A-League.
Back Melbourne City to Win @ $2.05
Sunday 7 March, 4:00pm, WIN Stadium
Wellington 3 – Perth 0
It’s a distance derby with a little bit less distance than usual as Perth heads to Wollongong with the Phoenix playing out of their hub.
Perth couldn’t match the Mariners on Tuesday night playing on short rest, but you would expect to see Diego Castro restored to the starting lineup for this fixture.
That tips the balance of power in favour of the Glory but they are still underdogs at the time of writing.
Not that punters should be complaining about the value on offer with that play, but I’m going to get a bit aggressive here.
The inclusion of Castro not only improves Perth’s already strong attacking prowess but it does also aid likely extension of the bizarre trend of both teams scoring in every Glory match this season.
Combine those two in a same game multi and there’s your big value play of the weekend.
SGM: Perth to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $4.25
Western Sydney Wanderers
Sunday 7 March, 6:10pm, MARS Stadium
Western United 0 – Western Sydney 1
It’s the battle of the west between two teams from the eastern seaboard to wrap up Sunday’s double header.
Apparently the market is not to concerned about Western Sydney’s recent slump, with the visitors here seen as a very strong chance.
Perhaps Western United will be feeling a bit of a hangover after their insanely entertaining 4-3 win over Melbourne Victory, the second straight time they have scored four goals in a match.
Besart Berisha is playing like he is back at Brisbane Roar, scoring four goals in his last two matches and he loves playing against the Wanderers, scoring 13 goals in 20 matches against them.
In his last four matches against them he has scored three times and he is the player to fire Mark Rudan’s side to all three points.
Back Western United to Win @ $2.45
Central Coast Mariners
Monday 8 March, 7:00pm, Central Coast Stadium
Central Coast 2 – Macarthur 0
Regardless of the final scoreline in this fixture, the Mariners will end another round of A-League action on top of the table.
They will be in for a tough test taking on second placed Macarthur who have won three of their last four.
Central Coast has a solid run of their own, scoring at least two goals in their last five matches and winning four of them.
At some stage the magical run in Gosford will come to an end but as long as the Mariners keep punching above their weight class I’ll happily continue to back them in.
Back Central Coast to Win @ $2.45
Wednesday 10 March, 7:30pm, Nestrata Jubilee Stadium
Sydney FC 2 – Western United 0
Something is not right with Sydney FC with the defending champions winless run reaching four matches after their draw against the Roar.
Western United on the other hand, ran into a red and black wall in Ballarat on Sunday evening, being held scoreless for the first time in over a month.
This match will come down to whether or not Sydney’s backline can contain Western United’s attack, to offset their struggles in front of goal.
With the return of Paulo Retre to help shore up Sydney’s midfield, I’ll back a level contest as Sydney manages to avoid defeat once again.
Back the Draw @ $3.60
Melbourne City taking on Melbourne Victory in their traditional pre-Christmas derby highlights Round 11 of the A-League.
It’s part of a Saturday triple header that will give you a perfect excuse to put off that last-minute Christmas shopping for another day.
We’ve got our previews and predictions for all five A-League matches this weekend right here.
Western Sydney Wanderers
Friday 20 December, 7:30pm, Bankwest Stadium
Western Sydney 1 – Western United 1
It might not be the prettiest football, but Mark Rudan and Western United won’t mind as long as they continue to pick up points.
After a fantastically disciplined rearguard effort in Brisbane last week they now travel to Bankwest Stadium to face the fast sinking Wanderers.
In all fairness to the one-time Asian Champions, they haven’t had a whole lot of luck go their way in the last month but that slump needs to end sooner rather than later.
Until it does end though, there’s no real point in backing them to do anything other than lose so take the A-League’s newest side to come away with all three points at an excellent price.
Back Western United to Win @ $2.70
Saturday 21 December, 2:45pm, Westpac Stadium
Wellington 2 – Sydney FC 2
It’s the master against the apprentice in Wellington… sort of anyway.
After a Grand Final win last season as Steve Corica’s assistant, Ufuk Talay hosts his former boss looking to go one better than the Round 2 meeting in Sydney where the Sky Blues won 2-1 on a Rhyan Grant strike.
It’s a big ask though with Sydney FC losing just once all season in the derby back in October and winning their last six.
While they had to grind against Central Coast last weekend, they should have the quality to pick up all three points once again.
Considering Talay’s recent time with Sydney, I won’t try and overcomplicate this one with a same game multi or anything, I’ll just back them outright.
Back Sydney FC to Win @ $2.10
Saturday 21 December, 5:00pm, AAMI Park
Melbourne City 1 – Melbourne Victory 2
On paper, this one is absolutely no contest, City should romp home but, it is a derby and those tend to produce some strange results.
Despite being played in the ground shared by both clubs, the nominal “away” team has enjoyed great success in the last few derbies.
Plus, everything about City’s history suggests this is the match they will find a way to fall on their face in.
Every time they get off to a good start, something goes wrong and while we keep hearing “this is a different team”, that no-show against Perth a fortnight ago is enough to push me back to the struggling Victory who should be able to get up for this one.
Back Melbourne Victory/Draw Double Chance @ $1.73
Saturday 21 December, 7:30pm, HBF Park
Perth 6 – Newcastle 2
A trip to Perth was definitely not on the Jets Christmas wish list, especially with the Glory starting to look like the team that won the Premiership last year.
After getting pummelled by Melbourne City at home last week, they now have to try and regroup but it’s hard to back against Perth here.
It looks like the Glory are starting to kick into gear and an early goal or two should end whatever fight the Jets manage to put up.
December has been very profitable for Perth with two wins, five goals scored and none conceded, however the potential for a consolation goal scares me off backing Perth to nil here.
Instead I’ll back Perth to lead at halftime and fulltime since their last two wins have been built on taking an early lead.
Back Perth HT/FT Double @ $2.60
Central Coast Mariners
Sunday 22 December, 6:00pm, Central Coast Stadium
On paper this one looks like a pretty clear mismatch between the Mariners and Adelaide.
With 12 points from their last five matches, the Reds are looking to stay in the top half as the league begins to split into two classes.
The Mariners are anchored to the bottom, dropping four of their last five and while they are able to stay competitive in matches (see last week against Sydney), they just can’t seem to get it all together.
Adelaide should win but can’t seem to keep a clean sheet so I’ll back them to win and take over 2.5 goals in a same game multi.
SGM: Adelaide United to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.43
Get ready for a big month of football in Australia with the next month being full up with A-League and Asian Cup as of Saturday.
Round 11 is a bit short on truly mouthwatering clashes but that doesn’t stop the value plays popping up, especially with the Nix possibly being a good side this year.
Read on for our previews and predictions for all five clashes this weekend.
Central Coast Mariners
Friday 4 January, 7:50pm, Jubilee Stadium
Sydney FC 5 – Central Coast 2
The Graham Arnold derby is not the most exciting way to kick off the round of football with the Sky Blues expected to make short work of the Mariners.
Perhaps it will be seen as a win for Central Coast if the posts can stay in one piece after their New Years Eve debacle against Perth.
A 1 goal handicap is just on the edge of an enticing play but it is a line call if the value is truly there… then you remember just how bad the Mariners have been this season.
Back Sydney to Win -1 Goal @ $1.75
Saturday 5 January, 5:35pm, Coopers Stadium
Adelaide 0 – Wellington 0
For the first time in what feels like forever, Wellington are no longer just the whipping boys that you can’t even back against because their opponents are at such short odds.
Having proved a point with a draw in Melbourne, their case as a contender would be further strengthened coming away from Coopers Stadium with all three points.
Adelaide have not looked great lately and needed a late penalty to get by an uneven Newcastle side last weekend and could be ripe for picking here.
If Wellington do win this game you can expect much shorter odds in the future so if you want to get ahead of the curve here, back the Nix to pick up a big away win.
Back Wellington to Win @ $4.00
Western Sydney Wanderers
Saturday 5 January, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium
Western Sydney 1 – Melbourne Victory 2
What was once one of the most anticipated fixtures on the A-League calendar has taken a bit of a hit with the struggles of the homeless Wanderers.
With just one win in their last four, Western Sydney are in dire need of a boost but don’t appear to have the players to make it happen.
The Victory on the other hand have drawn two in a row and could use all three points from this away trip to avoid Perth getting too far ahead.
Normally you would back the Victory only if their chief playmaker Keisuke Honda is in the side but they should have the quality to win here even if the Japanese star is absent.
Back Victory to Win @ $2.00
Sunday 6 January, 5:00pm, AAMI Park
Melbourne City 2 – Newcastle 1
The Jets travel to Melbourne on the back of a draining midweek draw against Brisbane.
While Newcastle did win the semi-final between these sides last season, it was its only win in over City in the last six meetings.
City scored three when these sides met five weeks ago and it was their highest total of the season.
At even money you have to like City coming away with a win here.
Back Melbourne City to Win @ $2.00
Sunday 6 January, 7:00pm, Suncorp Stadium
Brisbane 2 – Perth 4
Fortress Suncorp has not exactly been an imposing venue for visiting sides as of late with the Roar winning just once there this season.
Perth historically has not enjoyed travelling to the Sunshine State with three wins from 20 matches at Suncorp.
Tony Popovic is urging his Glory charges to forget history and create some new memories as his table topping side continues to pick up big wins.
While Brisbane has improved in recent weeks you still have to like the Glory as away favourites in this game.
Back Perth to Win @ $2.30
There is plenty to look forward to in Round 11 of the A-League with the top four sides facing off with one another.
Sydney FC host Melbourne City and the visitors will be hoping to build on their two match winning streak by ending Sydney’s four game run but with the ruthless edge shown last week it will be one worth keeping an eye on.
Here is our preview for all five matches plus the recommended plays.
Melbourne City FC
Friday 15 December, 7:50pm, Allianz Stadium
City kicked off life after Tim Cahill with a win at home against the Mariners, but the challenge jumps up another level with a visit to Allianz Stadium.
Ross McCormack scored his first goal from open play finishing off a well-constructed move and they held the Mariners at arm’s length for most of the game.
Sydney maintained their gap on top of the A-League table with a rampant 5-0 win in the Sydney Derby and they have the comfort knowing they won when the sides met at AAMI Park in November.
Sydney are just finding ways to win week after week and are swatting away all challengers, especially at home so back them to get the job done here.
Back Sydney FC to Win @ $1.67
Saturday 16 December, 5:35pm, McDonald Jones Stadium
Sometimes things just fall your way and the Jets pulled of a classic footballing late show to get the win in Perth last week.
Their round six meeting produced a 2-1 comeback win for the Jets which sent them to the top of the table.
Adelaide held on with nine men to defeat the Victory last week but they will be counting the cost of those red cards with Daniel Adlung and Ben Garuccio missing from this game.
Newcastle just keep rolling despite Roy O’Donovan’s absence and I think they will be able to produce another win this weekend to keep in sighting distance of Sydney.
Back Newcastle Jets to Win @ $1.90
Central Coast Mariners
Western Sydney Wanderers
Saturday 16 December, 7:50pm, Central Coast Stadium
Round two saw an entertaining 2-2 draw play out between these sides with Daniel De Silva starring for the Mariners.
Western Sydney are in all sorts after their derby drubbing, looking like a team trapped at the foot of the table and struggling for momentum.
As Josep Gombau tries to set up his systems and structures the Wanderers will have some major growing pains.
If they allow De Silva to roam with as much space as he had in the last game, Central Coast should score a few goals to further add to the Wanderers misery.
Back Central Coast Mariners to Win @ $2.70
Saturday 16 December, 10:00pm, Suncorp Stadium
After spending a week on this side of the Tasman, the Phoenix travel to Perth having defeated the Glory 5-2 at home in round six.
Wellington will feel as though they played well enough to get past the Roar last week and will be looking to claim all three points.
Perth faded badly to give up two late goals at home to Newcastle last week and that defeat should spring them back into action, as will the likely return of Diego Castro to the starting lineup.
Wellington has the momentum going into the match but it is a long trip and that should be enough to keep them on level terms with the Glory.
Back the Draw @ $3.75
Sunday 17 December, 7:00pm, Suncorp Stadium
A day after the Distance Derby, Suncorp plays host to what can only be described as the Desperation Derby as the Victory play the Roar.
These teams played out a tense draw at Etihad Stadium five weeks ago and neither side will be overly happy with a point in this fixture.
Brisbane have lost just once since October 28 and while they would prefer to have a few more wins on the board they are treading water on the edge of the top six.
Both sides are severely depleted through injury and suffered major losses in the form of Eric Bautheac and Mark Milligan so it will be interesting to see how they offset those absences.
The Roar have just a little bit more squad depth including some exciting youngsters who may get a chance and I like their chances at home here.
Back the Roar to Win @ $2.50
The Melbourne Derby has quickly developed into one of the biggest events on the A-League calendar and this clash on Saturday night highlights a big week of A-League action.
The round begins on Friday night when the Newcastle Jets host Adelaide United, while one of the best games of the weekend is set to be on Saturday night when the Perth Glory do battle with Sydney FC.
There are plenty of betting opportunities spread right across the weekend of A-League action and you can find our thoughts on every single game below.
Friday 16 December, 6:50pm, Hunter Stadium
Newcastle Jets 2 - Adelaide United 1
Adelaide United received a flogging at the hands of the Brisbane Roar last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Newcastle Jets as clear favourites.
Despite Adelaide’s slow start to the season, they have still won four of their past six games as away favourites.
Newcastle returned to winning form with an upset victory over the Perth Glory, but stringing together back-to-back wins has proven to be an issue for the Jets.
The Jets have won three of their past 10 games as home underdogs for a narrow profit and their record against Adelaide United is very strong.
Newcastle played some excellent football on the weekend and they are more than capable of upstaging an incredibly inconsistent Adelaide outfit.
Back Newcastle To Win @ $3
Western Sydney Wanderers
Saturday 17 December, 4:35pm, Mt Smart Stadium
Wellington Phoenix 2 - Western Sydney Wanderers 2
Wellington made a strong start to the post-Ernie Merrick era, but it is the Western Sydney Wanderers that will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Phoenix were excellent against the Central Coast Mariners last weekend, but they have still won only one of their past eight games as home underdogs.
Western Sydney were no match for a rampant Melbourne Victory last weekend and they have won just one of their past eight games.
The Wanderers are 4-1-2 as away favourites over the past 12 months for a narrow loss and they are a tough team to trust from a betting perspective.
The market has got this game just about right and I will be letting it slide through to the keeper.
Saturday 17 December, 6:50pm, AAMI Park
Melbourne City 1 - Melbourne Victory 2
The Melbourne Derby is easily the highlight of the round and should be an outstanding contest.
Melbourne City were far too good for Melbourne Victory earlier this season and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
It is no secret that Melbourne City have an outstanding record at AAMI Park – they have won 10 of their past 13 games as home favourites for a clear profit.
Melbourne Victory produced their best performance of the season to dismantle the Western Sydney Wanderers and they have now won three of their past four games.
They do face a tougher challenge against Melbourne City and they have not won a Derby in over a year.
Melbourne City’s record at AAMI Park can’t be ignored and they are a good bet to win another Melbourne Derby.
Back Melbourne City To Win @ $2.20
Saturday 17 December, 9:00pm, NIB Stadium
Perth Glory 1 - Sydney FC 4
Sydney FC remain well clear on top of the A-League ladder and they will go into this clash with the Perth Glory as clear favourites.
Sydney FC are still unbeaten in the A-League this season and they have won four of their past seven games as away favourites for a narrow profit.
Perth continue to struggle for consistency and they produced a truly uninspiring performance to go down to the Newcastle Jets last weekend.
The Glory have still won three of their past six games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they are still capable of competing with the best sides in the competition on their best form.
They continue to frustrate, but Perth are worth a gamble at their current price.
Back Perth To Win @ $3.50
Central Coast Mariners
Sunday 18 December, 4:00pm, Central Coast Stadium
Central Coast Mariners 1 - Brisbane Roar 2
The Brisbane Roar were dominant against Adelaide United last Sunday and they will go into this clash with the Central Coast Mariners as clear favourites.
Brisbane have still only lost one game this season, but their record as away favourites is a very unconvincing 2-2-2.
Central Coast suffered a big defeat at the hands of the Wellington Phoenix last weekend and they remain a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint.
The Mariners have won just two of their past 12 games as home underdogs for a clear loss and it is tough to see that changing against the Roar.
This is another game that I am happy to stay out of from a betting perspective.