2018/2019 A-League Round 7 Preview

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusmail

If you are wondering what happened last weekend, don’t worry you’re not alone in that.

There was just about everything that could be fit into a round of football with spectacular goals, blowouts, controversy and even a few tempers flaring.

It is a lot for Round 7 to try and live up to but a couple of potential blockbusters on the cards, we just might be in for a treat with Saturday’s triple header.

Read on for our previews and predictions for all five A-League fixtures this coming weekend.

Western Sydney Wanderers Vs Central Coast Mariners

Friday 7 December, 7:50pm, Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney 2 – Central Coast 0

Two sides looking to bounce back from different forms of disappointment last weekend kick off Round 7 of the A-League.

The Wanderers were embarrassed by Melbourne Victory while the Mariners were so close to taking a point off Sydney before a Sky Blue Bullet broke their resistance.

Working in the home side’s favour for this one is the fact they have won six of their past nine against the Mariners, with two draws in the mix as well, plus the Mariners have not won away from home since November 2017.

While neither side gave great cause for optimism last week, the Wanderers have history on their side and a win here is the play to take.

Back the Wanderers to Win @ $1.60

Sydney FC Vs Wellington Phoenix

Saturday 8 December, 5:35pm, Jubilee Stadium

Sydney FC 1 – Wellington 3

Over the last two seasons, Sydney have enjoyed a great record against Wellington (which to be fair most clubs have) as the two clubs face off to kick start a Saturday triple header.

The markets for this game reflect the massive gulf in quality between these two sides with Sydney heavy favourites and it is easy to see why.

The Sky Blues have won five of the last six meetings while the Phoenix have just one point from their last eight away games.

In that same time Wellington have conceded two or more goals on six occasions and it would not be at all surprising to see Sydney come out firing here.

Back Sydney to Win -1 Goal @ $2.00

Melbourne Victory Vs Adelaide United

Saturday 8 December, 7:50pm, Marvel Stadium

Melbourne Victory 2 – Adelaide 0

After a fiery win last weekend, Adelaide travel to Melbourne to face their “original” rivals the Victory.

They will be without their enforcer Taylor Regan, suspended after eye gouging Stefan Mauk last week and an undermanned defence is not what they need facing an attack as lethal as the Victory’s.

Melbourne looked like a side more than capable of going back to back after their demolition of Western Sydney last week.

This won’t be a repeat of last Saturday’s blowout win, Adelaide will fight to make this a contest (perhaps even literally), but Victory look the goods to come away with the win here.

Back Melbourne Victory to Win @ $1.90

Perth Glory Vs Melbourne City

Saturday 8 December, 10:00pm, NIB Stadium

Perth 1 – Melbourne City 0

Perth needed a whole lot of luck to preserve their unbeaten start to the A-League season, needing a fortunate VAR call and a late equaliser from the returning Diego Castro.

NiB Stadium has been a bit of a bogey ground for Melbourne City with eight losses and a draw in their last ten trips there, although last week at least gave some hope that this won’t be a one-sided contest.

This is a fixture that has produced plenty of goals in the past, averaging 3.12 goals per game and the Both Teams to Score Market hitting in nine of the past 12 meetings.

Perth are still the better side here and offer good value for a straight up win, but a Perth Win and Both Teams to Score play is too tempting to pass up here.

Back Perth to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.90

Newcastle Jets Vs Brisbane Roar

Sunday 9 December, 5:00pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

Newcastle 2 – Brisbane 0

Brisbane will need every possible day to recover from a costly trip to Adelaide last round.

Midfielder Stefan Mauk will miss this game through suspension after his rash challenge on Craig Goodwin and striker Adam Taggart is considered as touch and go with the groin injury picked up in Adelaide as well.

Travelling to Newcastle has produced some favourable results for the Roar in the past and the Jets have struggled to pick up points this season too.

Neither side has really shown that killer instinct to take over a game this season and as such, neither side really deserves the benefit of the doubt backing them to get the win.

Back the Draw @ $3.40


2017/2018

With the Socceroos matches done and dusted for 2017, the local attention turns back to the A-league although the fans may still be celebrating their qualification.

Their summer of action which kicks off with the Mariners and Adelaide kicking off Round 7.

All eyes will be on Allianz Stadium on Saturday night as the top of the table Jets face Sydney FC and look to establish themselves as a contender for this season.

The round closes out with Perth hosting Melbourne Victory with both sides desperately chasing a win.

Central Coast Mariners Vs Adelaide United

Thursday 16 November, 7:50pm, Central Coast Stadium

One impressive way to get your first win of the season is to upset the defending champions at your home ground when many had written you off.

The fans party can commence in Gosford with the first game of the round. Adelaide are in the midst of a freefall as they struggle with injuries trying to get the best combinations out on the pitch.

Three straight losses at the hands of City, Perth and Newcastle, two of which came at home suggest that this side might be a bit distracted with the looming FFA Cup Final.

Expect a slightly rotated squad with one eye on Tuesday night and Central Coast to take full advantage of that.

Back Central Coast to Win @ $2.50

Brisbane Roar Vs Melbourne City

Friday 17 November, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

The second meeting between these sides this season with City claiming the win in round one at AAMI Park to kick off the competition.

That result has mirrored the two teams fortunes since then with the Roar anchored to the bottom of the table and with recent comments about players still reaching peak fitness suggest they are still a way off performing at their expected level.

With three straight draws they will be desperate for a win here, especially in front of their home fans.

City are up into second place thanks to some clinical performances however a draw and loss in their last two games suggests form might be on the wane.

A draw in this game seems to be the most likely scenario as the sides try to cancel each other out.

Back the Draw @ $3.60

Western Sydney Wanderers Vs Wellington Phoenix

Saturday 18 November, 5:35pm, Spotless Stadium

Five straight draws for the Wanderers and they finally have their new boss in place with Josep Gombau marking his debut with a battling draw in Melbourne last week.

On Saturday afternoon he is unveiled to the home faithful against a Phoenix side that pulled a massive 5-2 seemingly out of nowhere last week.

Rookie goalkeeper Keegan Smith is currently proving to be a vulnerable part of the Phoenix side so expect the Wanderers to have license to pepper him with shots all game as a part of Gombau’s attacking approach, so the Wanderers should win this one comfortably.

Back Western Sydney to Win -1 Goal @ $2.60

Sydney FC Vs Newcastle Jets

Saturday 18 November, 7:50pm, Allianz Stadium

Few would have expected this to be the top of the table clash at the start of the season, but the Jets are surprising plenty with their successful start to the season.

There will be few bigger chances to establish themselves as legitimate contenders than a trip to Sydney FC in the feature match of the round.

The Sky Blues are looking to prove that last weekend’s upset loss to the Central Coast Mariners was nothing more than an aberration in their quest to go back to back.

Sydney built their success on the back of a resilient defensive effort week after week however the Jets have the league’s most in form goal scorer in their side so both teams will be able to find the back of the net.

Even with the Cup final coming up and some potential squad rotation Sydney should find a way to get the job done.

Back Sydney FC to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.10

Perth Glory Vs Melbourne Victory

Sunday 19 November, 7:00pm, NIB Stadium

One side is still looking for their first win in the 2017/2018 season while the other will be backing up from a very disappointing showing.

The Victory came so close to grabbing all three points against Brisbane before a late Brett Holman goal cause their fourth straight draw.

They will be happy to welcome back several key players with Mark Milligan and James Troisi returning from the Socceroos while Mitch Austin returns from suspension.

Kosta Barbarouses makes the long trip back from Lima with the All Whites and may not feature here.

Perth on the other hand were at sixes and sevens defensively as they allowed five goals to the Phoenix away from home.

Back at NIB they are a much different proposition winning both games there this year. Victory might still be getting a bit of an odds bump on reputation alone and that makes Perth an excellent play here for an outright win.

Back Perth to Win @ $2.30


2016/2017

The 2016/2017 A-League season continues to roll along nicely and we are set for another string of big games this weekend.

The action starts on Friday with a double-header highlighted by what could be a spiteful clash between Western Sydney and Melbourne City before the Brisbane Roar host Sydney FC in the match of the round on Saturday night.

I have analysed all five games so far this weekend and below you can find a host of betting recommendations for every single fixture.

Western Sydney Wanderers Vs Melbourne City

Friday 18 November, 7:50pm, Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney Wanderers 1 - Melbourne City 1

The market suggests that this will be one of a number of tight games this weekend.

Melbourne City will go into this clash as narrow favourites following their fighting win over Newcastle last weekend, but they have really struggled for consistency.

They have won just three of their past seven games as home favourites for a loss, while their record in Sydney is very poor.

Western Sydney have not recorded a win since they beat Adelaide United over a month ago and they were very poor against Melbourne Victory last weekend.

The Wanderers have started just one game as home underdogs in the past 12 months and they went down, while their record as underdogs is very poor.

The market looks to have got this game just about right and I am more than happy to stay out of this contest from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Perth Glory Vs Adelaide United

Friday 18 November, 10:00pm, NIB Stadium

Perth Glory 3 - Adelaide United 1

This is a crucial game for two sides that are desperate for a win.

Perth Glory were no match for Sydney FC last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as a clear favourites.

Perth have won four of their past six games as home favourites for a clear profit and their recent record at home is nothing to be sneezed at.

Adelaide United are still chasing their first win of the season after their 1-1 draw with the Brisbane Roar and they are in the exact same position that they were 12 months ago.

The Reds have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, but their record in Perth is poor.

Perth should be able to return to winning form and they look like one of the safest betting plays of the weekend.

Back Perth To Win @ $2.05

Wellington Phoenix Vs Melbourne Victory

Saturday 19 November, 5:35pm, GIO Stadium

The Wellington Phoenix have won two games on the trot, but it is the Melbourne Victory that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Wellington have struggled in front of their home fans over the past 12 months and they have won just two of their past nine games as home underdogs.

Melbourne returned to winning form with a quality performance against Western Sydney and they have an excellent opportunity to record back-to-back wins.

The Victory have won just three of their past eight games as home favourites for a loss and they really have been a tough team to analyse over the past 12 months due to their inconsistency.

The one betting play that does stand out in this clash is the $3.50 available for the stalemate, which is far better value than the price on offer for either of these teams to come away with the three points.

Back The Draw @ $3.50

Brisbane Roar Vs Sydney FC

Saturday 19 November, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

This is easily the match of the round and is set to be a highly intriguing clash.

Sydney FC made it six wins from as many games in the A-League season with a dominant victory over the Perth Glory and they will start this clash as narrow favourites.

They have won just one of their past eight games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record at Suncorp Stadium is particularly poor.

Brisbane maintained their unbeaten run with a fighting draw against Adelaide United and it is no secret that they have a simply outstanding record in front of their home fans at Suncorp Stadium.

The Roar have won 11 of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have won seven of their past nine games against Sydney FC in this scenario.

Brisbane are the team to end the winning streak of Sydney FC and they are one of the best value bets of the weekend.

Back Brisbane To Win @ $2.75

Newcastle Jets Vs Central Coast Mariners

Sunday 20 November, 5:00pm, Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Jets 1 - Central Coast Mariners 1

This is a crucial game for both sides that are hoping to build on a positive start to the season.

The Newcastle Jets have lost three games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Jets have played just two games as home favourites over the past 12 months for a narrow profit, but their record is this scenario against the Central Coast Mariners is poor.

Central Coast have been the big improvers in the A-League this season and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence.

The Mariners have won just two of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are obviously a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint.

This is another clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to let it go through to the keeper.

No Bet