2019 Moir Stakes Night Preview
Race 1 - 6:30pm
ProPunterAlert.com Plate (1200m)
King Of Hastings goes into this contest as a clear favourite, but I don’t think that there is as much between him and Barcali as the current market suggests. Barcli led into the wind in the McNeil Stakes first-up and he did well to battle on for a close fourth. Damien Oliver should have no issues taking him to the front in the early stages of this contest and that is always where you want to be at The Valley.
1.5 Units Barcali
Race 2 - 7:00pm
Group 2 Stutt Stakes (1600m)
This is definitely not the strongest edition of the Stutt Stakes. Power Scheme showed a nice turn-of-foot to win the Ladbrokes Odds Boost Exotics Handicap at The Valley first-up and he should take good improvement from that performance. That would put him at a level that would be very tough for any other horse in this race to reach and he maps to get a lovely run in transit with Mark Zahra in the saddle.
3 Units Power Scheme
Race 3 - 7:30pm
Group 2 Stocks Stakes (1600m)
The Stocks Stakes looks like an ideal race for Miss Siska. She was only narrowly denied by the talented Spanish Whisper at Flemington last start and she should take good improvement from that performance. Brett Prebble should be able to control the race from barrier three and she will have every possible chance to return to winning form.
A horse that appeals at double-figure odds is Spanish Reef. She hasn’t produced her best form in either the Cockram Stakes or the Let’s Elope Stakes, but she generally does go to another level when she gets out to a mile third-up.
3 Units Miss Siska
1 Unit Spanish Reef
Race 4 - 8:00pm
Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge Heat 1 (955m)
This is a strong edition of the Ladbrokes 55 Second Challenge. This series might prove to be ideal for Humma Humma. She has recorded two wins from as many starts over 1000 metres, she has won at The Valley in the past and her first-up record is strong. The wide barrier draw isn’t ideal and she will need some luck in running, but she is over the odds at $7.
1 Unit Humma Humma
Race 5 - 8:30pm
Group 3 Scarborough Stakes (1200m)
There is plenty of quality in the Scarborough Stakes field. Exhilrates goes into this contest as a deserving favourite, but she is fairly short in a race of this quality. The x-factor is Loving Gaby. She has only recorded the one race win, but she ran well without winning in the Ladbrokes Blue Diamond Stakes, Golden Slipper, Sires’ Produce Stakes and Champagne Stakes. There is no doubt that she will take benefit from this contest but she does have talent and I am happy to gamble at the current price.
1 Unit Loving Gaby
Race 6 - 9:00pm
Group 3 Ladbrokes JRA Cup(2040m)
Yucatan was a little bit disappointing in the Makybe Diva Stakes, but I am willing to give him another chance in the Ladbrokes JRA Cup. He knocked up late first-up and he should take good benefit from that contest. If he is able to return to anything like his best form, he would prove far too strong for the rest of this field – none of his rivals are good enough to start a Melbourne Cup as favourite. Ben Melham can ride him aggressively in the early stages of this race and turn it into a genuine staying test.
2 Units Yucatan
Race 7 - 9:30pm
Group 1 Moir Stakes (1000m)
The Moir Stakes has drawn a capacity field of 15 sprinters and this will be a very competitive betting race. Nature Strip has opened as a clear favourite, but I am more than happy to take him on. All of his best form have generally been in low-pressure races and this edition of the Moir Stakes will be the opposite.
Sunlight has developed into an outstanding mare and $5 is a great price for a horse of her quality. She had excuses when she raced a touch flat first-up in the Concorde Stakes and she always goes to another level second-up – she is three from three at this stage of her campaign. Tactical versatility is on her side and she should get a nice trial behind the leading group.
Viridine and Tactical Advantage both appeal at double-figure odds. Neither of them are the most consistent horses in the world, but they are capable of high-rating performances on their day.
Meryl is another horse that I think is capable of running better than her current odds suggest. Her run in the McEwen Stakes was full of merit and she is excellent over 1000 metres.
1.5 Units Sunlight
½ Unit Viridine
¼ Unit Tactical Advantage
¼ Unit Meryl
Race 8 - 10:00pm
Pro Star Entertainment Handicap (1200m)
This is a tough way to finish the night for punters. Mandela Effect has opened as favourite and he does have an excellent first-up record, but it is tough to get him as short as his current price. There are too many chances in this race to bet with any real confidence and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.