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Thursday 21st March
Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
Few things to consider in this one. Firstly, Philly are 4-7 in the second game of a back-to-back, so try to forget Wednesday’s narrow win over the Hornets, even if it was impressive without Joel Embiid. Second, Boston traveled to Philly only a month ago, a game they won by three-points without Kyrie Irving. Third, well, that’s exactly where Boston rank in points scored on the road this month. And fourth, the Celtics have won eight of their last 10-games against the Sixers.
San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat
This match up has trap game written all over it. Drink the kool-aid the Spurs are selling – hey, they’ve lost only seven games at home all season! But at the same time, try not to discount the fact Miami leads the league with a 22-11-0 record against the spread on the road. The Heat are fresh from a win over the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Monday, and as the stats suggest, they’ve also been the top side defensively this month. Miami have allowed only 99.5 points on the road this month, the fewest in the league. This line looks generous for a Heat side that have won more games on the road than they have at home this season.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks
Nothing about this game spells good news for the Mavs. Dallas have lost seven-straight road games dating back to the first week of February, and considering they’ve allowed the sixth-most points away from home this month, it’s doubtful we’ll see that streak will snap anytime soon. On the plus side, the Blazers do have some soul searching to do. Portland are expected to be without start shooting guard C.J. McCollum for the rest of the regular season – bad news considering they’ve averaged 12.7 points less without him on the floor. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have been decided by 10-points or less, and while the Blazers have lost only nine-games at home all year, this one should be close.
Thursday's NBA Multi
Wednesday 20th March
Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers
You can’t go past the Sixers at this price. Philly have won four-straight games since Joel Embiid’s return, including Monday’s five-point win over the Bucks which saw Embiid tally a 40-point double-double. The Sixers have won nine of their last 10-games over Charlotte, and most importantly are allowing the 10th lowest field-goal percentage to opponents this month. The Hornets have scored the fifth-fewest points during the same time span, bad news with Cody Zeller and Tony Parker set to miss Wednesday’s game.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers
Two words: trap game. Milwaukee are 18-13-1 as the home favourite against the spread this season, but did you know the Bucks are also 23-7 off a loss as the favourite? Milwaukee lost by five to the Sixers on Monday, and now enter Wednesday’s game against the Lakers as the 12-point favourite. Los Angeles are 18-20 following a loss and have also allowed the fifth-most points to opponents this month. The Bucks, on the other hand, rank third in points scored.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
There’s a couple of reasons to find faith in Golden State on Wednesday. The Warriors have lost the second game of a back-to-back only three times this season, while more importantly, they’ve also allowed the fifth-fewest points on the road this month. You have to rewind back to 2016 to find Golden State’s last win in Minnesota, but keep in mind, the Dubs are 15-6 in games following a loss. The last three meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, so it’s worth taking a play on the margin.
Wednesday's NBA Multi
Tuesday 19th March
Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
The Celtics have fallen down to the Eastern Conference’s fifth see as they appear to be jostling with Indiana and Philadelphia for the third seed. With five wins from their previous six games they have to continue to take care of business at home, where they have a 26-10 record. While Gordon Hayward is likely to be out for this game with an injury that might encourage the younger players on the team to step up here. Even though the Nuggets have been travelling well in the last couple of weeks, with a 16-16 record on the road, I have to back Boston at home and with a small line, it’s worth adding that on.
San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors
Look, it feels weird backing against the Warriors in any game but you can’t ignore the Spurs and their eight game winning streak here. San Antonio’s 28-7 home record holds up with just about every team in the NBA and makes them good value as an underdog play in this game. Including their playoff meeting, San Antonio has actually won four of the last five home games against the Warriors. This is backing the Spurs solely on recent form but why not take them at that value.
Phoenix Suns v Chicago Bulls
A game with pride and… well pretty much pride on the line, both of these sides are turning their attention to the NBA Draft having been officially eliminated from the playoff race. The Bulls have lost their last five and the Suns have lost three of their last five but, both teams have been involved in some high scoring affairs in the last month. Both teams have scored over 100 points in eight of Phoenix’s last ten games and nine of Chicago’s last ten so with neither side seemingly set on playing defence, back the overs here.
Monday 18th March
Sacremento Kings v Chicago Bulls
Neither side is really setting the world alight at the moment with both sides putting together a miserable 3-7 record in their last 10 games. The Kings have been able to stay close to a .500 record on the back of a 20-14 record at home while the Bulls have been pretty dire on the road, going 11-24. Only two of the last ten between these two have gone over so the under is definitely in play here and the Kings have won each of the last three between these two so back them to win in the doubles market.
Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota is still searching for its tenth win on the road this season with a 25% win record away from home. The Rockets are looking to hold serve in the race for playoff seeding in the west and is looking to improve on its 25-10 home record here. The Rockets have won seven of the last ten meetings between these teams and covered on six of those occasions and with the poor road form of the Timberwolves it’s worth backing that form to continue.
Los Angeles Clippers v Brooklyn Nets
The unders immediately jumps out in this game as both sides have been playing plenty of low scoring games in the last few weeks. Six of the Clippers last ten have gone under while Brooklyn is backing up from a game in Utah on Sunday (AEST). Head to head the Clippers have an edge in this one but for the value, back a low scoring clash.
Sunday 17th March
Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies
Tough to get a feel for this game, but the Under looks safe considering the Grizzlies have allowed the fewest points on the road all season. Washington are coming off a loss to the Hornets on Saturday, while Memphis roll into this one on two days’ rest. The Grizzlies held both the Thunder and the Mavericks to under 100-points on the road earlier this month, and for what it’s worth, have also held opponents to the second-lowest field goal percentage on the road in March. Seven of the Grizzlies’ last 10-games on the road have also gone Under, including five of their last six against Washington.
Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Dallas will look to rebound following Friday’s heartbreaking loss to the Nuggets, and while it’s tempting to back the Mavs against the spread, it’s probably safer to stick with the Unders. So far this month Dallas have allowed the 10th fewest points at home, while they’ve also been the third-best side when it comes to backing the Unders on one days’ rest. Cleveland have lost four-straight on the road, and not surprisingly, have scored the seventh-fewest points away from home this month. Dallas also rank dead last in points scored at home during the same span.
San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers
What can you say about the Spurs right now? San Antonio have lost only twice at home since the start of the New Year, while their 21-12-0 record against the spread on home-court says it all. The Spurs have also enjoyed themselves at home against the Blazers in recent years – they’ve won three-straight at the AT&T Center dating back to 2017. The Blazers are 9-7 on the road since the start of 2019, however they so far rank fifth in points allowed this month. The addition of Rudy Gay back into San Antonio’s lineup should give them an added boost as both sides return for the second game of a back-to-back.
Sunday's NBA Multi
Saturday 16th March
Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets
For the second time this month the Wizards and the Hornets do battle. Charlotte walked away with a one-point win when these two met last fortnight, but there’s something to be said about this Wizards side right now. Washington have not only won two-straight, they’ve also won their last four games at home. The Wizards are 15-13 against the spread following a win, but more importantly, a whopping 15-3 against the spread when it comes to avenging a loss to an opponent at home.
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks
Happy to stick with what’s worked all season. The Bucks have been the second-best side against the spread on the road, covering close to 62% of the time with a 21-13-2 record. The Heat should treat this game like a potential playoff preview, so expect them to play hard in the first half. Unfortunately for them, the Bucks have been the fourth-highest scoring side on the road this month, while they also have the added motivation of trying to win their first game in Miami since 2016. The Heat may go without Dwyane Wade on Saturday, bad news considering the Bucks are also 16-3 against the spread when playing a team with a losing record on the road since the All-Star break.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Chicago Bulls
Don’t be deceived by the Total in this game. The Total may have gone Under in eight of the last 10-games between the Clippers and Bulls, but try to keep in mind, both sides have ranked among the best in points this month. At home, the Clippers rank as the sixth-highest scoring side, while on the road, the Bulls have gone one better leading all teams in points this month. Despite losing by five back in January, don’t forget the Bulls piled on 36-points against the Clips in the second quarter. Los Angeles have also been the third-best team when it comes to backing the Overs at home this season, coming through close to 61% of the time.
Saturday's NBA Multi
Friday 15th March
Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Riding the Thunder to Cover against the Pacers on Friday. Oklahoma City piled on the points in the third quarter on Thursday to walk away with a 12-point win over the Nets. The Thunder have been the sixth-best team following a win this season boasting a strong 27-14 record, while they are also 19-17 when it comes to covering the spread on the road. Since four of the last five meetings between the Thunder and Pacers have been decided by five-points or less, expect this one to be close. It also helps knowing OKC are 4-1 against the spread in their last five-games when playing Indiana.
Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers
How much stock can you put into Toronto’s blowout loss to the Cavs on Wednesday? Like the Warriors and Bucks, the Raptors looked a little bored as we head towards the playoffs, but we should see them bounce-back nicely at home on Friday. Following a loss, Toronto are 13-6 straight-up, while their defensive metrics suggest the loss to Cleveland was nothing more than a fluke. The Raptors have allowed the 11th lowest field-goal percentage this month and the 13th fewest points. Toronto have lost back-to-back games only five times this season, and keep in mind, they’ve also covered the spread in seven of their last 10 meetings with the Lakers.
Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks
Not only have the Nuggets and Mavs been two of the Top 10 best sides when it comes to backing the Unders this season, they’ve also combined for an average of 214 points across their last five games. Denver have been one of the best defensive sides all season, but they’ve also allowed the ninth-fewest points to opponents this month. Dallas, meanwhile, rank dead last in points scored during that same time frame, leaving the Unders looking well and truly safe in this one.
Friday's NBA Multi
Thursday 14th March
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets
The Thunder’s narrow win over the Jazz on Tuesday has this one feeling a little like a trap game. Oklahoma City have won by an average margin of 12-points at home this year, but there’s something to be said for this Nets side that have now won four-straight. Not only are Brooklyn 20-15 against the spread following a win, they are also 19-13 against the spread on the road. The Nets have held two of their last four opponents to under 100-points, bad news for a Thunder side that haven’t seen the same Paul George of late. This one should be close.
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons
Sticking with the Overs between these two playoff foes. The Heat and Pistons met a fortnight ago to combine for 215-points, leaving Thursday’s Total looking a little short. Blake Griffin was completely shutdown by the Nets on Tuesday finishing with 10-points. We should see a bounce-back performance in this one considering the Heat have allowed the fourth-most points to opposing forwards this month. Better yet, Miami are 20-14 when it comes to backing the Overs at home this year, earning them the fifth-highest percentage in the league. The Heat are also averaging the eighth-most points at home this month, while finally, the Total has gone Over in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two.
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
Lack of team chemistry and Draymond Green might be the furthest thing from Steve Kerr’s mind right now. Kevin Durant will miss Thursday’s game with a right ankle contusion, bad news considering the Warriors average exactly 15.2 points less without him on the court. The Rockets, meanwhile, have allowed the fewest points to opponents this month, so it’s no surprise to learn they’ve won nine of their last 10-games. The Rockets destroyed the Dubs by 21-points during their last visit to Houston in November, and they’ve also turned into a consistent side against the spread. At home, the Rockets are 18-14-1 on the year.
Thursday's NBA Multi
Wednesday 13th March
New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks
The Total looks large, but the Unders should come through on Wendesday. Don’t let New Orleans’ 30-39 record fool you – the Pelicans have quietly ranked 10th in points scored this month, just four spots lower than the Bucks. These two sides have combined for an average of 216.5 points across their last 10 meetings, and while that’s well short of Wednesday’s Total, keep in mind they also combined for 238-points when they met back in December. In case you’re still not convinced, does it help knowing both Milwaukee and New Orleans also rank inside the Top 10 in points allowed this month? Eight of their last 10 games have gone over the Total, so try not to sweat.
Player Pick: Brook Lopez Over 13.5 Total Points @ $1.87
Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Bulls have been a fun side since the All-Star break, but this Total looks a little ambitious. Sure, Chicago rank inside the Top 10 in points scored this month, but keep in mind, four of their last five meetings have failed to go over 210 points. The Lakers rank inside the bottom 10 in points scored throughout March, largely due to the on again/off again benching of Lebron James and the injuries to Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Brandon Ingram. Aside from individual efforts though, the Bulls and the Lakers rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Unders off a loss in their previous game. It’s hard to see this one going Over with so many big names missing.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Blazers let us down on Friday against the Thunder, but there’s no getting past the fact they’ve been one of the better sides to back against the spread on the road this season. Portland have come through close to 64% of the time as the road favourite, and it helps knowing they already own a four-point win over the Clippers on the road this season this season. Los Angeles ride into this one following a huge win over the Celtics on Tuesday, but they’ve hardly been reliable in the second game of a back-to-back. The Clips hold a 6-6 record on no rest, bad news against a Blazers side that’s won three-straight trips to Staples.
Player Pick: C.J. McCollum Over 22.5 Total Points @ $2.00
Wednesday's NBA Multi
Tuesday 12th March
Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets
The safest play in this one looks to be the Unders. The second game of a back-to-back has hardly been Charlotte’s forte this season – they are 4-8 straight-up on zero days’ rest. More importantly, 18 of Houston’s last 23 games against the Hornets have resulted in the Unders. The average combined Total across their last five is 214.8 points, good news considering the Rockets average only 104.8 points in the second game of a back-to-back. Houston have also allowed the fewest-points in the league so far this month, so this one should be a bit of a low-scorer.
Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Happy to take the Thunder on here despite the fact they’ve won just two of their five games this month. Friday’s win over the Blazers looks to be a strong form guide for Tuesday’s trip to Utah. Oklahoma City shot 45% from the field, showcasing just how dangerous this team can be when Westbrook/George are on fire. The Jazz found that out the hard way when they met the Thunder in last month’s one-point loss. The Thunder are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against Utah, and for what it’s worth, 9-6 on two days’ rest.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Boston Celtics
Take this price for the Clippers and run. Boston will go without Jayson Tatum on Tuesday, and it should come as no surprise to learn the Celtics are averaging close to three-points less without their star forward on the court this season. Boston’s fortunes have taken a turn for the better during this West Coast swing having now won all three games over the Warriors, Kings and Lakers. The Celtics rank third in field-goal percentage over the last month, but more importantly, the Clippers have allowed the seventh-lowest field-goal percentage against during that span. Boston have won just three of their last 10 against Los Angeles, and with no Tatum and a less than 100% Kyrie Irving, the Clips look a good price for an upset.
Tuesday's NBA Multi
Monday 11th March
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks
Minnesota is hardly setting the world alight this season at 31-35 but they are still going better than a Knicks side that is atrocious on a good day. With just 13 wins compared to 53 losses and a 1-4 record against the spread in its last five, the Knicks are one of those teams you can back against with plenty of confidence.
San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks
The Spurs have been phenomenal at home this season, building a 25-7 record as they prepare to take on one of the league’s best road teams in the Bucks, whose record away from Wisconsin sits at 23-11. It’s been a long time since the Spurs last beat the Bucks with their last win coming on December 5, 2016 in a 97-96 nailbiter. Since then the Bucks have won four on the trot against the Texan team although every game has been decided by a single digit margin. Both of these sides are in fantastic form but I have to give the edge to the Bucks here although I don’t think it will be easy.
Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
Talk about a massive mismatch, the Warriors should outclass their visitors in this one but that line is way too big for a team like this. Golden State has not been a great side against the spread this season with a 26-38-1 record, they really are victims of their own success having to deal with massive lines such as this one. At home they have covered on just 12 of 33 occasions and just twice in their last 10 games. The Suns have struggled head to head losing each of the last 10 meetings but managing to cover in seven of those games so play it a bit safe here and back the Suns to pull off a backdoor cover late in the fourth.
Monday’s NBA Multi
Sunday 10th March
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards
There’s no question the Wolves should be the favourites on Sunday. Minnesota have won four of their last five home games, but how much do you trust them against a playoff hungry side like the Wizards? The stats don’t lie: Washington have been the third-best side against the spread this season in the second game of a back-to-back, while they are also 8-3 straight-up on zero days’ rest. These two sides have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, with three of the last five being decided by 10-points or less. Better yet, the Wizards’ last trip to Minnesota in 2017 saw them walk away with a three-point win.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets
Say what you will about the Bucks, they’ve been one of the best sides to back all season. Milwaukee are 18-12-1 against the spread at home, but this game might be more about the opponent. Charlotte are 4-7 during the second game of a back-to-back. The Hornets haven’t won in Milwaukee since 2016, and just in case you feel like the 13-point line is a little large, keep in mind the Bucks have won by an average of 16.3 points at home this season.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns
The Total here looks way too high, so make sure you jump on this one as early. The Blazers and the Suns have combined for an average of 216 points across their last five games, and now look to make up for Friday’s overtime disappointment against the Thunder. Portland should win this one easily, but there’s something to be said about the Suns. They’ve been the third-best side when it comes to backing the Unders this season. The Suns are also averaging the ninth-fewest points on the road this month, so expect something closer to a 112-90 type of game.
Sunday's NBA Multi
Saturday 9th March
Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards
Are these two serious about the playoffs? The Wizards and Hornets remain on the fringe of the eight in the Eastern Conference, but as far as Saturday’s game goes, play it safe with the Overs. Close to 60% of Washington’s away games have gone Over the Total this season, while close to 53% of Charlotte’s games at home have seen the same result. The Over has also come through in seven of the last 10-games between these two, and it also helps knowing the Wizards rank second in points scored and fifth in points allowed over the last month.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
Here’s a list of teams that have fallen victim to the Grizzlies in Memphis since the start of the year: Blazers, Lakers, Wolves, Pacers, Spurs. The Jazz haven’t lost in Memphis since 2017, but did you know they’ve allowed the sixth-most points to opponents over the last month? The Grizzlies, meanwhile, remain a defensive dynamo. They’ve allowed the second-fewest points at home all year, bad news for a Utah side that have won just two of their last five road games. As the home underdog against the spread the Grizzlies are 8-6, making the line look more than safe.
Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers
The Total looks a little short in this one. Miami are averaging 114.8 points at home over the last month, while they’ve also been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs at American Airlines Arena. Cleveland might be headed for a number one draft pick, but they’ve put managed to put up over 100-points in three of their last five road games. The Total has gone Over in four of the Cavs’ last six games, and Over in five of Miami’s last seven.
Saturday's NBA Multi
Friday 8th March
Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
Willing to take the Unders on Friday for several different reasons. Not only do the Bucks average more points on the road than they do at home, both sides also rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this season. The average combined Total across their last 10-games is 203.3, while both the Bucks and Pacers have fared towards the middle of the pack in points-per-game over the last month. Indiana will go without Domantas Sabonis for this one. The Total has also gone Under in seven of the last 10 meetings.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
There’s no place like home. The Blazers return to the Moda Center following an arduous road trip that saw them win five from seven. A win on Friday would see Portland leapfrog the Thunder for the fourth spot in the Western Conference standings, and with the third-best record at home against the spread, what’s not to like? Portland have won by an average margin of 14.8 points at home this season, hardly good news for the Thunder and a less than 100% Paul George.
Friday's NBA Multi
Thursday 7th March
Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat
The Heat have been great value on the road this season, particularly against the spread. I’m all-in on Miami to keep this one close on Wednesday, but more importantly leapfrog the Hornets for the eighth-spot in the East. It’s a big game for the Southeast Division, but did you know the Heat have been the best side to back against the spread on the road, saluting close to 65% of the time? These two sides have been complete opposites over their last five games: Charlotte have lost four of their last five at home, while the Heat hold a handy 4-1 record against the spread.
Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers
More than willing to take the Cavs on with this generous line. Aside from winning just four of their last 10-games, the Nets have allowed the second-most points at home over the last month. That mightn’t mean much when you consider the Cavs are 6-24 on the road, but there’s something to be said about this Cleveland side. The Cavs are fresh from a 14-point home win over the Magic on Monday, and it’s not like they haven’t beaten the Nets in Brooklyn already this season. Cleveland walked away with a 99-97 victory back in December, while more recently they’ve two of their last four road games.
Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers
All signs point towards the Overs in this one. The Sixers and the Bulls have combined for an average Total of 221.2 points across their last five games, with the two combining for 235-points when they last met back in October. Chicago surprisingly rank inside the Top 10 in points scored across their last 15-games, and as for Philly, well they are fresh off a 114-106 win over the Magic on Wednesday. The Bulls weren’t quite so lucky against the Pacers yesterday, however Chicago are averaging 111.7 points during the second game of a back-to-back. The Sixers sit a little north of that margin at 121.0.
Thursday’s NBA Multi: Heat to Cover (+3.0 Points), Knicks To Win, Bulls/Sixers: Over 227 Points @ $8.87
Wednesday 6th March
Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers
Unders looks the play in this one when you consider the last two meetings between the Grizzlies and Blazers have both resulted in Under 200-points. Both sides rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed over their last 15 games, while the Grizzlies have been the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders this year. The combined Total across the last 10 meetings between Memphis and Portland is 197.5 points, leaving the Unders looking well and truly safe.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Big day for the Thunder. A loss would sink them to fourth in the West, while a win for the Wolves would put them dead even with the Lakers for 10th. Without Paul George and Robert Covington on the court though, it’s tough to predict how this one plays out. The Thunder have lost two of their three games without George, but fortunately, the Unders looks to be a handy play. Oklahoma City are the third-best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders on the road this season. It also helps knowing the Total has gone Under in all five of Oklahoma City’s last five games.
Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics
Kyrie Irving isn’t happy in Boston (surprise), so why should you take on this dysfunctional Celtics team away against the Warriors on Wednesday? For one, Golden State will go without Klay Thompson for this game. The Warriors average close to five-points less without their skilled three-point shooter, while the Celtics are 6-3-1 against the spread during their last 10-games against Golden State. Boston lost by only four-points at Oracle back in January, a game that saw Kyrie Irving put up 32. Don’t be surprised if the Celtics keep this one close despite the off-court troubles.
Wednesday’s NBA Multi: Boston Celtics (+7.0), Timbewolves/Thunder: Under 236.5 Total Points, Raptors To Win @ $6.16
Tuesday 5th March
San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets
The Denver Nuggets have suffered two upsest losses on the trot and it does not get any easier against the San Antonio Spurs this afternoon. The Spurs have won their past 12 games against the Nuggests at AT&T Centre and they go into this clash on the back of two straight games. The Spurs are always tough to beat at home and they are over the odds at their current price.
Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks
The line is a big one, but the Milwaukee Bucks should really prove to be too strong for their rivals in this clash. The Phoenix Suns have struggled badly at home in recent weeks, while the Bucks have covered the line in ten of their past 11 games on the road. The Suns won the most recent meeting between the pair and the Bucks will be keen to atone for that defeat.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers
The Los Angeles Lakers continue to struggle and betting against them has been a profitable play throughout this season. The Lakers have won only one of their past six games as favourites and there is no way that they should be as short as their current quote. The Clippers have won five of their past seven games in impressive fashion and they are well and truly over the odds to continue their winning ways.
Monday 4th March
Detroit Pistons v Toronto Raptors
It’s been a while in between drinks for the Pistons. They haven’t defeated the Raptors at home since 2016, but you’d be right to expect a little more from Detroit on Monday. The Pistons have won seven of their last 10 to improve to the seventh spot in the East, but as far as a betting play goes, make sure you take a hard look at the Unders market. The Raptors and Pistons allowed the fourth and fifth-fewest points during the month of February – they’ve also combined for an average Total of 204.7 points across their last 10 meetings.
Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies
Four of the last five meetings between these two have hardly been close. If you’ve been taking notes, you’ll also know the Grizzlies have lost eight-straight to the Thunder dating back to 2017, but if Paul George misses his third-straight game, is it crazy to imagine this one being a little close? Oklahoma City are averaging just 106.1 points during the second game of a back-to-back – hardly ideal considering Russell Westbrook’s hot/cold performances. For what it’s worth, the Grizzlies also average only 96.3 points on Sunday’s, but perhaps more importantly, they’ve been the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders in away games this season.
Sunday 3rd March
Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons
It’s been a tough season for the 15-47 Cavs, but at least they’ve provided some value in the Points market at home. Cleveland have been the sixth-best side in the league when it comes to backing the Overs, coming through close to 57% of the time on home-court. The Cavs have put up 120-points or more in three of their last five games, while six of Detroit’s last seven have gone Over the Total. The Pistons also rank third in three-point percentage over their last 10-games, averaging 112.3 points-per-game on the road since the All-Star break.
Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
Nice and simple does the trick. The Heat have been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs this season, and as for the Nets, well they also rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Overs on the road. The Total has gone Over in four of Brooklyn’s last five games away from home, while they also finished inside the Top 10 in points allowed during the month of February. These two sides combined for 227-points when they met back in November, and with both coming off narrow losses, expect a points-fest.
Milwaukee Bucks v Utah Jazz
You have to rewind a long, long way to find Milwaukee’s last win in Utah. They haven’t won on the road against the Jazz since 2001, but having won nine of their last 10 heading into Sunday’s game, you’re probably best off avoiding the head-to-head market. Instead, focus on the first-half: the Bucks are 21-9 when it comes to covering the first-half spread on the road, and it helps knowing they also average more points away from home (108.8) than they do at home.
Saturday 2nd March
Atlanta Hawks v Chicago Bulls
Chicago looks well under the odds at this price. The Bulls have won five of their last 10 and four of their last five road games, while they were also the 11th highest scoring side in the month of February. Jim Boylen’s side have found an extra gear since trading for Otto Porter, and although the Hawks have been competitive at home, they have allowed the most points at home this season. These two side have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, so while the Bulls are hot, make sure you jump on board.
Brooklyn Nets v Charlotte Hornets
Sticking with the Nets for the second week in a row. Brooklyn came back from six-points down at three-quarter time to win 117-115 when these two sides met last Sunday. Charlotte, who currently have allowed the sixth-most points to opposing guards this season, had no answer for D’Angelo Russell in the final quarter. The 23-year-old finished with 40-points, tying a career high whilst shooting 45% from three. Seven of the last 10 meetings between these two sides have been determined by 10-points or less. Charlotte have also lost two of their last three by no more than five.
Sacramento Kings v Los Angeles Clippers
The Clips have had no trouble with the Kings this season. They’ve won all three meetings between the two, including a 12-point win in Sacramento back in November. Los Angeles have been the top scoring side in the fourth quarter this season, while the Kings have allowed the seventh-most points in the final term. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 15.6 points-per-game against the Kings this year, and since the Clippers have been the fifth-best side to back against the spread on the road, don’t be surprised if they win this.
Friday 1st March
Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
Unders looks the play in this one. The Wolves lost in overtime to the Hawks on Thursday, while the Pacers look to turn things around following a nine-point loss to the Mavericks. Indiana are averaging just 104-points during the second game of a back-to-back, while they’ve also been the second-best team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders at home. The average combined Total across the last three meetings between these two is 208.1 points, which suggests the Unders should well and truly come through.
Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
Two teams coming off two thrilling victories, what could possibly go wrong? The Heat and Warriors combined for 251-points on Thursday, while the Rockets and Hornets combined for 231. At home Miami have been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs, while the Rockets allowed the sixth-highest field goal percentage last month. In four of Houston’s last five road games they’ve combined for 220-points or more, making them good for another handy Total after finishing fifth in points scored during February.
Oklahoma City Thunder v Philadelphia 76ers
Did you know the Thunder have won 10-straight over the Sixers? When these sides met back in January the Thunder walked away with a narrow two-point win in Philadelphia, a game that saw Russell Westbrook and Paul George combine for 52-points. Over their last five meetings the Thunder have won four by 10-points or less, but most importantly, OKC rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed to opposing forwards and guards this season. That spells trouble for the Embiid-less Sixers, who have played just four of their last 10-games on the road.
Thursday 28th February
Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves
Happy to take on a Hawks upset at this price. Atlanta hung tough with the Rockets at home on Tuesday to lose by only eight-points, but it’s worth noting they won the fourth quarter. With fond memories of a win over the Wolves late last year, Atlanta should also feel confident knowing Minnesota have lost four of their last five road games. The Wolves have allowed the eighth-most points in away games this month, and with Trae Young fresh from a 36-point game against Houston, you have to like this price.
Boston Celtics v Portland Trail Blazers
Tipping the Blazers to upset Boston at home on Thursday. If you missed the Celtics in Toronto on Wednesday, don’t bother watching the highlights. Boston lost by 23 after shooting just 38% from the field, while Kyrie Irving finished with seven-points. After a loss the Celtics are 12-11 this season, while they also average only 106.7 points in the second game of a back-to-back. That won’t cut it against a team like the Blazers who find themselves on a four-game win streak having won seven of their last 10. Portland have been the sixth-best scoring side in the league this month, while they’ve also allowed the ninth-fewest points-per-game on defense.
Dallas Mavericks v Indiana Pacers
There’s a handful of reasons to stick with the Total here. Dallas have been the sixth-best side when it comes to backing the Unders at home this year, while the Pacers have allowed the fewest points-per-game all month. When these two met last month, they combined for 210-points, while the average combined Total over their last 10 is also encouraging: 167.5. The Total has gone Under in Dallas’ last three games against Indiana, so we should be in for a low-scoring affair.
Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Clippers
Three games separate the Clippers from the Jazz in the West. Los Angeles are 17-16 on the road this year, but did you know they’ve lost four straight games to Utah? All four losses came by 10-points or more, while the Jazz have covered the spread 57% of the time at home this season. Most importantly, Utah have been the second-highest scoring side in the league this month, and on a more personal note, it’s encouraging to know Donovan Mitchell has averaged 22.6 points-per-game against the Clips throughout his career.
Wednesday 27th February
New York Knicks v Orlando Magic
The Unders looks safe considering both the Knicks and the Magic rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this month. It’s hardly what you’d expect from two losing sides in the East, but after New York’s explosion against the Spurs on Monday, let’s not get too creative. The average Total over their last 10-games is 185.1 – well Under Wednesday’s margin. The Knicks are averaging the fifth-fewest points at home this year, while Orlando have allowed the ninth-lowest field goal percentage. In sum, that points towards a scrappy, low-scoring affair.
Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
We went through this last week when the Celtics took on the Bucks in Milwaukee, and even if Kyrie Irving sits, this still feels like a trap game. As the away underdog the Celtics have covered the line close to 57% of the time – good for eighth in the league. For what it’s worth, Boston have also covered 58% of the time against Conference opponents, while it’s also worth mentioning the Raptors have allowed the eighth-most points at home this month.
Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Quick math: At home this month the Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points-per-game –and on the road, the Thunder are averaging 121.5. You don’t have to be a genius to work out those numbers spell Overs. Russell Westbrook looks back to his old self post All-Star break after putting up 41 against the Kings on Monday. Nikola Jokic is currently averaging 20-points against the Thunder, while these two have combined for a Total of 221.2 points over their last 10-games. Denver have been the seventh best Overs bet at home this season, so we should see a bit of a points-fest in this potential playoff preview.
Tuesday 26th February
Brooklyn Nets v San Antonio Spurs
More than happy to take the Nets on at this price. Brooklyn put on a clinic against the Hornets in Charlotte on Saturday, largely thanks to D’Angelo Russell’s clutch three-point shooting. The All-Star point-guard tied a career-high with his 40-point effort, while the Spurs fell by 12-points to the lowly Knicks on Monday. San Antonio are 3-7 during back-to-back games, but more importantly, they’ve allowed the fifth-highest three-point percentage to opposing guards this season. Back the Nets and D’Angelo Russell to have a big night.
New Orleans Pelicans v Philadelphia 76ers
Might sound harsh, but the Sixers have been pathetic since returning from the All-Star break. Joel Embiid’s absence has this team averaging just 110.5 points, the eighth-lowest total so far in the second half. Despite the ongoing Anthony Davis saga, the Pelicans have quietly been going about their business. They beat the Lakers handily on Sunday, but these two have combined for an average Total of 207.7 points in their last 10-games. This margin looks a little too high.
Los Angeles Clippers v Dallas Mavericks
The Clippers hardly looked themselves last night as they failed to put up more than 96-points against an elite defensive side like the Nuggets. With that in mind, we’ll stick with the Unders on Tuesday considering Los Angeles average only 118.4 points during back-to-back games. The average combined Total between the Clippers and Mavs over their las 10-games is 209.7 points, while it’s also worth noting both sides rank inside the bottom 10 in points scored this month.
Monday 25th February
Orlando Magic v Toronto Raptors
This game should tell us a lot about the Magic and their playoff chances. They face a tough road test against the Raptors in Toronto, but you’d be wise to stick with the Unders in this one. In four of their last five meetings the two have combined for 220-points or less, while both sides rank inside the Top 10 in fewest opponent points allowed this season. Although Kyle Lowry was absent, the Magic walked away 29-point winners when they last met in December. Nikola Vucevic had 30-points and 19 rebounds on his own, making the big man a worthwhile Props bet.
LA Clippers v Denver Nuggets
We might be looking at a future playoff preview between these two playoff foes. The Clippers and Nuggets have split their two meetings one game apiece this year, with both games resulting in over 220-points. More importantly, each side ranks inside the Top 10 in points allowed this month, and on the back of a day’s rest, both should be up for a bit of a shootout.
San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks
Tough to trust the Spurs on the road, they’ve won just 11 of their 31 games away from home this season. At the same time, also tough to trust the Knicks at home – New York are 4-23 at the Garden sitting dead last in the East. San Antonio have won three-straight over the Knicks including January’s nine-point win in New York. Even so, neither of these sides jump out offensively. The Knicks have scored the fifth-fewest points this year, while the Spurs have failed to put up 120-points or more in seven of their last eight games.
Sunday 24th February
Philadelphia 76ers v Portland Trail Blazers
The Sixers looked a little off on Friday without Joel Embiid. They still squeaked out a 106-102 win over the Heat, but their scoring ran cold in the third quarter. The Blazers, meanwhile, handed the Nets a 14-point loss on the road, and they’ll feel confident heading into this one knowing they last beat the Sixers by 34-points back in December. The Total has gone Under in five of the last seven games between these two, while the Sixers have combined to put up less than 230-points in four of their last five home games. Without Embiid on the court Philly are averaging nearly seven-points less, making the Unders more than safe.
Charlotte Hornets v Brooklyn Nets
Sticking with a Nets rebound following on from Friday’s horror loss to the Blazers. Brooklyn allowed 34-points during the third quarter in the 113-99 loss, while D’Angelo Russell shot just 4/16 from the field. The good news is the Nets do rank fourth in points scored during the third term, while they’ve also been the sixth best team to back against the spread this season. Charlotte got off to a slow start against the Wizards on Saturday with a new-look lineup that includes Miles Bridges in the starting five – hardly an ideal situation as they prepare for a back-to-back. Despite sitting seventh in theEast, they’ve been the sixth-worst scoring side this month, which explains their lousy 27-31 record.
Oklahoma City Thunder v Sacramento Kings
Lots to reflect on following the Kings narrow two-point loss to the Warriors on Friday. It was a game Sacramento should have won, which makes Sunday’s seven-point line look a little generous as they head to OKC. The Kings are 7-3 against the spread vs the Thunder while they’ve also lost their last two road games by no more than two points. Sacramento left Oklahoma City with an 11-point win back in October, a game that saw Buddy Hield put up 25-points. Hield had 19 against the Warriors last week, so I’m happy to take the Kings on to keep this close.
Saturday 23rd February
Atlanta Hawks v Detroit Pistons
The Hawks have been a fun little Overs bet this season. Atlanta hold the fourth-highest Overs percentage in the league behind the Spurs, Wizards and Celtics, while six of their last seven games have tallied 220-points or more. The same also goes for the Pistons, who have combined to put up 220-points or more in four of their last six. Blake Griffin is posting career-highs in points, while Trae Young is now flirting with the 20.0 points-per-game mark.
Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Clippers
Memphis have lost three of their last five games at home, so I’d stay well away from the head-to-head market. The good news is during three of those last five the Grizzlies have led at the half. Memphis also holds a 37-22 first half record against the spread – the best in the league. The Clippers lead the league in points scored in the fourth quarter, so again, don’t back the Grizzlies straight-up. Memphis have allowed the fewest points-per-game in the first half this season, so back the defence to set the tone.
Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
Punters Service Announcement: do not trust the Nuggets on the road. Denver are 14-14 away from home this year, bad news as they travel to face a Dallas side that have lost just nine times at home all season. The Mavs are the second-best team in the league when it comes to covering the spread, but more importantly, their defence has been on fire this month. They’ve allowed the seventh-fewest points-per-game, compared to the Nuggets who find themselves inside the Top 10 in points allowed. Denver have lost their last three road games, one of which was to the Pistons. They haven’t won in Dallas since 2017, making the Mavs a huge upset chance.
Friday 22nd February
Philadelphia 76ers v Miami Heat
Should be a big test for the Sixers without Joel Embiid. The big man is set to miss at least a week with a knee injury, forcing the rest of Philly’s lineup to score points in the paint. The interesting part about Friday’s match up against the Heat is this: Miami have allowed the third-fewest points in the paint this season. They’re also the only team in the league with a better record on the road (15-14) than they have at home. The Heat delivered a blow to the Mavericks in Dallas right before the All-Star break, and with a 15-7 record against the spread this season, you have to like their chances with a healthy Goran Dragic returning.
Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
The last time the Bucks met the Celtics they walked away with a 13-point victory in Boston. Giannis Antetokounmpo is still battling knee soreness, but there’s a variety of reasons to stick with the line on Friday. Mike Budenholzer’s side have covered the spread 63% of the time this season to rank first in the league. Boston have also allowed the fifth-most three-pointers over their last 10-games, bad news against a Bucks side that ranks second in points-per-game. The Celtics should see Kyrie Irving suit up for this one, but his knee remains a question mark as well. The same also goes for Aron Baynes and Gordon Howard, both of which look likely to miss this game with ankle trouble. In their last five wins the Bucks have won by nine-points or more, so this should be no trouble on the back of a week’s rest.
Los Angeles Lakers v Houston Rockets
The jury is still out on the health of LeBron James, but happy to stick with the Overs in this one. LeBron is averaging 23.2 points since returning to the side last month, but more importantly, the Total has gone Over in five of Houston’s last six trips to LA. Since we’re on the topic, James Harden is averaging 33.5 points against the Lakers, and not surprisingly, the Rockets also rank fifth in the same category over their last 10-games. There’s a chance we see some fireworks as Chris Paul and Rajon Rondo meet for the first time since last November’s spitting incident, but at least you can rest easy knowing the Rockets have put up 120-points or more in four of their seven games this month.
Friday 15th February
Orlando Magic v Charlotte Hornets
Make sure you keep it simple and back the Unders on Friday. The Hornets have won 10-straight over the Magic following December’s 25-point win in Charlotte, while Orlando have held three of their last six opponents to under 90-points. Dig a little deeper and you’ll find both sides ranking inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this month. The Hornets also held Nikola Vucevic to just 12-points when they last met – the big man is averaging 13.8 points lifetime against Charlotte, so the Player Props market is worth a look.
Atlanta Hawks v New York Knicks
Big ask for the Knicks after Thursday’s hard-fought game against the Sixers. New York set a new franchise record with their 18th straight loss, and they’ll now travel to Atlanta on short rest. You can’t take the Hawks at this price, but the good news is the Overs looks tremendous value. Six of Atlanta’s seven games this month have gone Over 224-points. The Hawks also rank fourth in the league when it comes to backing the Overs, coming through close to 57% of the time.
New Orleans Pelicans v Oklahoma City Thunder
Even with Anthony Davis in the lineup, New Orleans saw just three-points from their disgruntled star during a 30-point blowout loss to the Magic on Wednesday. It’s good news for OKC considering Davis piled on 44-points during the Pelicans’ win back in December. The Thunder have not only won nine of their last 10, but they also rank second in points scored this month. Three of those nine victories have come by 10-points or more, meaning this one could get a little out of hand.
Thursday 14th February
Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards
Plenty of reasons to love the Overs in this one. Pascal Siakam, Kawhi Leonard and Serge Ibaka combined for 65-points during Toronto’s win over the Nets on Tuesday, while the Wizards have averaged 120.7 points across their last seven games – good for second-most in that span. Toronto will debut Jeremy Lin on Thursday, while the Wizards will be hoping for more involvement from Jabari Parker and Jeff Green. The Total has gone over 230-points in five of the Wizards’ six games this month, ranking them alongside the Raptors as two of the Top 10 best teams when it comes to backing the Overs this season.
Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
Willing to take on the Heat at these odds despite Tuesday’s meltdown against the Nuggets. Miami are the only team in the league with a better record on the road (14-14) than at home (11-16), while their 10-point win over the Mavs in Dallas three weeks ago stands them in good stead to pull off another upset. The Mavericks were disgraced by the Rockets earlier this week as Luka Doncic hit just 7/17 from the field. With just two wins from their last 10-games against Miami, they could easily find themselves on the back-foot at home.
Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
The 38-18 Nuggets are one of the few teams you can lock in for a Top 3 seed. Even after their loss to the Sixers last week, Denver bounced-back to pound Miami by 16-points two days later. The Kings fell by a similar margin when they traveled to the Pepsi Center back in October, a game that saw Nikola Jokic put up a double-double. Denver is teasing us with a potential Isaiah Thomas return, but this really boils down to the third best offence in the league facing a Kings defence that has allowed the most offensive rebounds all season.
Wednesday 13th February
Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics
Tough to see the Celtics staying competitive in this one without Kyrie Irving. It’s panic stations in Boston right now after blowing back-to-back games to the Lakers and Clippers, leaving plenty of questions left unanswered as the Celtics travel to Philly on Wednesday. With Kyrie off the court the Celtics average exactly 9.7 points less – a recipe for disaster against a Sixers side that holds the fourth best home record in the league.
Memphis Grizzlies v San Antonio Spurs
Playing it safe with the Points market in this one. To get technical for a second, Memphis are currently allowing the sixth-lowest opponent field-goal percentage in the league. That’s bad news for a team like the Spurs, considering San Antonio rank third in offensive field goal percentage this season. Memphis are also the No.1 team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders, coming through close to 65% of the time. These two put up only 182-points when they last met back in January, leaving Wednesday’s Total looking a little high.
Golden State Warriors v Utah Jazz
Make no mistake about it, the Jazz hold the upper hand over the Warriors. Utah have won four of their last five games against Golden State, including a 108-103 win in Utah back in December. A trip to Oracle is a different story, but did you catch a load of the Dubs’ struggles against the Heat on Monday? Even after a 39-point performance from Kevin Durant, the Warriors only managed to squeak out a late two-point win. That won’t fly against the fourth-best defensive side in the league, leaving us with what could be another close one as the fourth quarter winds down.
Tuesday 12th February
Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks
Happy to play it safe with the Points market in this one. The Bulls have been the sixth best team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders this year, although they have managed to put up 120-points or more in their last three games. Milwaukee, meanwhile, are fresh from a 20-point blowout to the Magic on Sunday without Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak returns for this one, so look for the Bucks to make a statement.
Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
Six wins from their last 10 has the Mavericks flirting with a playoff spot, but even after Luka Doncic’s 28-point performance during Monday’s win over the Blazers, Dallas still finds themselves as the underdog. On the flip side, the last time these two sides met in Houston the Mavs walked away with a 20-point victory, and it’s worth noting Dallas also held James Harden to under 30-points. The Mavs are also the best team in the NBA when it comes to covering the spread, and with a generous line, they can easily keep this close.
Oklahoma City Thunder v Portland Trail Blazers
If you missed Oklahoma City’s comeback against the Rockets on Saturday, make sure you check out Paul George’s stats. The DPOY favourite put up 45-points on 6/14 shooting from beyond the arc, leading the Thunder to a huge 117-112 win. Damian Lillard has also put up some special numbers of his own in recent weeks, combining for 54-points across his last two games. This one has Overs written all over it.
Monday 11th February
Philadelphia 76ers v Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers have had all weekend to enjoy their buzzer beater win over the Celtics and now take on another Eastern Conference contender in the 76ers. LA has been on the road for a week and after plenty of hype around their trade deadline activities (or lack thereof) this is the side that LeBron James has to work with for the rest of the season. Both sides have been a bit up and down as of late and this has the makings of a tight contest so I’ll take the Lakers to cover here.
Atlanta Hawks v Orlando Magic
The second meeting between these sides in less than a month, the Magic rolled to a 19 point win in Atlanta and are favoured to make it back to back wins over the Hawks in 2019. The Magic have not travelled well this season with a 9-17 record on the road but the Hawks 8-15 record at home doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence in that side either. The Magic are in better form and if you like them head to head, the -2.5 line is worth adding on as well.
Golden State Warriors v Miami Heat
Two and a half games clear at the top of the Western Conference, Golden State is looking for its fourth straight win here and are at a very short price to beat the Heat. With an 8-2 record against their Floridian opponents in the last 10 meetings it’s easy to see why the two sides are so far apart in the market. Even with a 25-28 record the Heat are still able to be competitive in most of their matches, only averaging a -0.5 points per game differential so the 14 point line is probably worth staying away from. What we can expect from this game though is points, lots and lots of points so back this to be a high scoring contest that clears the 222 Total Points number with ease.
Sunday 10th February
Utah Jazz v San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs have now lost three-straight games, two of which have hardly been close. That’s also been a recurring theme when they meet with the Jazz. Their last two games have been decided by 13-points or more. Still feeling confident San Antonio can keep this one close though, especially considering they’ve been the among the 10 best teams in the league against the spread. Utah have won seven of their last 10, but their 18-15 record at home leaves a lot to be desired, especially after last Sunday’s blowout 27-point home loss to the Rockets.
Boston Celtics v Los Angeles Clippers
Can the Celtics rebound from Friday’s shocker against the Lakers? Revenge on Rajon Rondo will have to wait, but at least Boston can take out their frustrations on LA’s little brother… right? The Clippers are an absolute puzzle after losing by 24-points to the Pacers last week, but they have won seven of their last 10-games against the Celtics. The concerning thing for Boston is just how easily they relinquished a double-digit lead to the Lakers. With a less than healthy Kyrie, Marcus Morris and Daniel Theis, this line looks way too generous.
Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
Plenty of great odds on offer in this potential playoff match up, but you’ve got to play it safe with the Points market. You’d think with leading MVP favourite James Harden, as well as Russell Westbrook and his endless triple-double streak, the Overs would be safe, right? Wrong. Defensively, both sides rank inside the Top 10 in opponent three-point percentage, meaning this one could turn into a bit of a slugfest. The Total has gone over 230-points just once in their last five match ups, so the Unders looks safe.
Saturday 9th February
Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
Hard to look past the Sixers at home. We should get a good look at Philly’s new starting five following the Tobias Harris deal, while a red-hot Joel Embiid – who hit three three-pointers during Tuesday’s loss to the Raptors – makes this team a huge handful. There’s no trusting the Nuggets on the road right now. A five-point loss to the Nets in Brooklyn on Thursday contributed to their average 14-13 away record, and with their last win in Philly coming way back in 2016, it’ll be interesting to see how they handle this new-look Sixers side beaming with Ben Simmons confidence.
Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
Despite both sides at opposite ends of their respective conferences, this still looks a tricky one to predict. The Bucks and the Mavs are the best two sides in the league when it comes to covering the spread this season, but it’s worth noting Milwaukee haven’t won in Dallas since 2013. Even with a two-game winning streak, you can’t back Dallas straight-up, but don’t sleep on the Mavs keeping this close. Their last three losses have come by eight-points or less.
Sacramento Kings v Miami Heat
Riding with the Heat in a bit of an upset on the road. Miami’s officially reached that point in the season where they need to decide if they are a playoff contender or not, and with the Kings ranking inside the bottom 10 in field-goal percentage over their last 10-games, this might be a perfect game to do so. The Heat have allowed the third-lowest opponent field-goal percentage this season, so this could be a long night for De’Aaron Fox.
Friday 8th February
Indiana Pacers v Los Angeles Clippers
Sticking with the Pacers and their three-game win streak in this one. Indiana piled on the points during their 42-point win over the Lakers on Wednesday, while the Clippers required all four quarters to take care of the Hornets on the road. LA haven’t won in Indiana since 2016, and life is about to get even tougher following Tobias Harris’ trade to the Sixers. Four of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, so let’s go for some value in the margin market.
Boston Celtics v Los Angeles Lakers
All signs point towards LeBron playing on Friday against the Celtics. He suffered the worst loss of his career on Wednesday against the Pacers, but don’t forget, the TD Garden has been more than fruitful for The King in recent years. Boston pummeled LA by 11-points when these two sides met last season, but with Marcus Morris and Kyrie Irving still not 100%, expect a closer affair this time around.
Portland Trail Blazers v San Antonio Spurs
The Blazers have been a tough play at home this season losing only eight of their 30-games at the Moda Center. The Spurs prepare for a back-to-back following last night’s loss against the Warriors, and with the season series tied two games apiece, it’s worth noting the Spurs are the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Over. With DeMar DeRozan and Damian Lillard combining for 73-points when these two sides met back in December, the Points market looks safe.
Thursday 7th February
Chicago Bulls v New Orleans Pelicans
Thanks to the ongoing Anthony Davis saga, this is one of the rare occasions where you’ll find the Bulls as the favourites at home. The Pelicans have listed their star forward as questionable with a finger injury, so it’ll be interesting to see if he plays since the Lakers have reportedly pulled out of trade talks. If Davis does miss this game, there’s no reason the Bulls can’t win, especially with Julius Randle and Nikola Mirotic also doubtful to play. Bobby Portis dropped 33-point during the Bulls’ loss to the Hornets on Sunday, and if fellow trade candidate Jabari Parker suits up, Chicago look good money to get the job done.
Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards
Fairly happy to stick with the Points market in this one despite Milwaukee’s four-game winning streak. The Wizards are down and out following the announcement of John Wall’s season ending achilles injury, but they do hold something in common with the Bucks: both sides rank Top 10 in points-per-game. It shouldn’t be surprising to learn that these two put up 246-points when they met four days ago, while the Wizards, even without Wall, remain the second-best team in the league when it comes to backing the Overs.
Sacramento Kings v Houston Rockets
The Kings find themselves as the underdog at home against a Rockets side that have now strung together two-straight wins. Houston are 8-2 in their last 10-games against Sacramento, and you only need to peek at James Harden’s 34-point outing when these two met back in November to get a feel for how this one might play out. Unfortunately for Houston, they may have to make do without Eric Gordon on Thursday, who is questionable with a knee issue. The Rockets are averaging nearly four-points less when Gordon is off the court, so look for the Kings to keep this close.
Wednesday 6th February
Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Clippers
Make sure you stick with the Hornets at home today. The Clippers continue to look mediocre having won just five of their last 10-games, while Charlotte remain great value at home. Los Angeles destroyed the Pistons on Sunday, only to back it up with an equally poor performance against the Raptors a day later. Doc Rivers’ side look tough to trust, especially with Danilo Gallinari out and a less than 100% Tobias Harris.
Philadelphia 76ers v Toronto Raptors
The 34-19 Sixers find themselves 5.5 games away from the top of the East, but they still look a great chance at home today. Philly haven’t lost at home to Toronto since 2017, and their 21-5 record at Wells Fargo Center this season looks legit. Toronto should keep this close with Kyle Lowry playing despite a back injury. The Sixers now rank fourth in points-per-game however, so take them 1-10.
Memphis Grizzlies v Minnesota Timberwolves
Karl Anthony-Towns emerged the hero when these two met last month, banking home a game-winning jump shot to send the Wolves home 99-97 winners. They’ll now head to Memphis as the favourites despite having not won a game at the FedEx Forumin since 2016. The Grizzlies have won just two of their last 10, but they are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven-games against Minnesota. Expect this one to be another nail-biter.
Tuesday 5th February
Brooklyn Nets v Milwaukee Bucks
A relative mismatch between two in-form Eastern Conference sides that may find themselves matched up in the opening round of the playoffs. The Nets sit in the sixth seed thanks in large part to a 7-3 run in their last 10 games while the Bucks have soared to the top of the East going 9-1 and have the best points difference in the conference. The Bucks have dominated this matchup as of late, winning nine of the last ten meetings and covering the spread on six occasions. They average about 10 points more per game than the Nets here and should find a way to win big.
Sacremento Kings v San Antonio Spurs
A great clash to close out today’s slate of games and the market suggests this one should go right down to the wire. Five games separate these sides in the Western Conference standings the Kings would love to back up a November victory over San Antonio. The thing is that was the only time the Kings have won in the last ten meetings and a return to form here should see a tight San Antonio victory.
Monday 4th February
Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder
Boston got February off to a winning start over the weekend topping the Knicks in New York and they will want to take part in a very successful day for the city of Boston. With the Bruins in action overnight in the NHL and the Patriots closing things out in the Super Bowl, the Celtics should be able to take care of business against the Thunder. The Celtics have won eight of their last nine games and have won four of those games by double digits. The Green Teamers won the first meeting between these sides in Oklahoma and should pick up a comfortable win here.
Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Clippers
The Raptors sit just behind the Bucks as they chase top spot in the Eastern Conference and will want to bounce back from their last start loss to Milwaukee. It has been a rough go in the past week for the Raptors losing three of their last four while the Clippers have taken four of their last six. This will be the second of a six game, road trip but they have been good away from home with a 14-12 record. If the Raptors can pull out a win it will be a tight one so back the Clippers to cover for a bit of insurance.
Sunday 3rd February
Los Angeles Clippers vs Detroit Pistons
The Clippers will be looking to bounce back after two straight losses but will have to do it away to the Pistons. Tobias Harris has helped his team to a 28-24 record for the season and has been the difference in many match ups. A five point loss to the Hawks was followed by a disappointing loss to cross town rivals The Lakers by three points. It was Lou Williams who chimed in with 24 points in that loss the the Lakers as Harris was kept quiet. The Clippers can bounce back here.
Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks
The Bucks are coming off two impressive wins against the Pistons and Raptors and look locks against an inconsistent Wizards team. The Bucks find themselves on top of the Eastern Conference and are more than a threat to take out the NBA Championship. Goannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26.4 points to go along with his 12.6 rebounds and he can cause all sorts of problems for the Wizards in this one.
San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans
The Spurs are on a four game winning streak and are making quite a run in the Western Conference. This current streak started against the Pelicans in New Orleans LaMarcus Aldridge shot 60% from the field and racked up 28 points as well as collecting 12 rebounds. This seems a no brainer and the Spurs can cover the line.
Saturday 2nd February
Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies
The Grizzlies should bounce-back in this one after dropping three of their last four-games in blowout fashion to the Celtics, Bucks and Pacers. The Hornets won their last meeting against the Grizzlies a week ago to make it three-straight over Memphis. Kemba Walker dropped a casual 21-points in that one, but since the Grizzlies have quickly turned into a Top 10 defensive side overnight, this one might be a little closer.
Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks
Even after upsetting the Clippers earlier in the week it’s still hard to sell the Hawks as an upset chance. Atlanta lost by 22-points to the Kings on Thursday, but that hardly compares to Utah’s 27-point drubbing at the hands of the Blazers. The Jazz have surprisingly lost seven of their last 10 against Atlanta while the Under has come good on six separate occasions. With the margin set high, that looks to be the safest play.
Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets
Sticking with the Nuggets in this one. The Rockets have been so up and down against elite teams this season, most recently losing to the Pelicans at home on Wednesday. It takes more than just a 30-point performance to win a game, and it looked as though Houston’s rotation looked a little off with Chris Paul back on the court. He’s listed as questionable for this one, but it probably doesn’t mean much considering the Nuggets are 22-4 at home this year.
Friday 1st February
Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks
Hard not to be impressed with the way the Mavericks picked apart the Knicks on Thursday. Harrison Barnes shot 50% from the field for 19-points in the blowout win, leaving Dallas looking a little over at this price. The Mavs haven’t won in Detroit since 2016 mind you, but they are also the best team in the league against the spread. Their most recent win against Detroit came on Saturday in a game that saw Luka Doncic put up 32-points.
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks
Tipping the Overs in this one considering just how dominant both sides have been on attack. The Bucks and the Raptors both rank Top 10 in points-per-game this season, while Toronto have been the third best team in the league when it comes to backing the Overs. Giannis Antetokounmpo dropped 43-points when these two met last month and there’ll also be a healthy Kawhi Leonard on the court to contend with. This is potentially the last meeting of the year between Toronto and Milwaukee, with the Bucks up on the series 2-1.
Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers
Sticking with the Warriors in a close one here. Golden State have had it easy winning 11 straight games, but they haven’t faced a defensive side like Philly in recent weeks. The Sixers have now won six of their last 10 including a blowout win over the Lakers on Wednesday. They’ve also allowed the eighth and ninth lowest opponent field-goal and three-point percentage against. Tough to see Brett Brown’s side pulling off a win, but the Sixers could keep this interesting.
Thursday 31st January
New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks
The Knicks have serious issues with their rotation, while the Mavs simply can’t seem to find consistency from their top stars. It stands to reason that the Knicks can win this game however, especially when you consider Dallas are a whopping 4-20 on the road this season. New York are also 2-1 in their last three meetings with the Mavs, and with Trey Burke and Kevin Knox showing signs of improvement, the Knicks could at the very least keep this close.
Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers
The Pacers were torn apart by the Warriors on Tuesday allowing a combined 48-points to a lethal Steph Curry and Boogie Cousins. The cracks have begun to show following Victor Oladipo’s injury, which doesn’t spell good news on the road against Washington. The Wizards were embarrassed by the Cavs on Tuesday, but the one bright spot was Bradley Beal’s 31-points. The Pacers have allowed the eighth-most three’s per-game this season, so look for Washington to spread the floor and find space for Beal to do his thing.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz
Don’t be fooled by Utah’s placing in the West. Three straight wins over the Nuggets and Wolves (twice) has the Jazz well in the hunt for home-court playoff advantage, and they’ll move one step closer with a win over Portland on Thursday. The Jazz have won six of their last 10 over the Blazers, including a 21-point blowout back in December. Portland got one back when these two met last week, but keep in mind, Donovan Mitchell put up a season-high 36-points in that one. With Mitchell hitting full stride and a healthy Damian Lillard returning for the Blazers, don’t look past the Overs.
Wednesday 30th January
Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Now riding a three-game winning streak, the Thunder will head into Orlando knowing they’ve won seven of their last 10-games over the Magic. You certainly can’t take Steve Clifford’s side lightly though, especially considering the Magic are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against OKC. The Thunder have won their last two match ups on the road, but keep in mind this is the same team that lost by 18 a fortnight ago in Atlanta. OKC are a Top 3 defensive side, so they should win this one. Just don’t be surprised if Aaron Gordon, who is fresh off back-to-back double-doubles, keeps it close.
Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls
Are the Bulls building towards another win anytime soon? Chicago have won just one of their last 10-games, and somehow managed to allow a huge 15-point lead to slip away against the Clippers on Saturday. Give them credit, Chicago have at least been competitive, which should be enough to challenge a Nets side fresh from an eight-point loss to the Celtics yesterday. Another double-digit performance from Robin Lopez and Lauri Markkanen could really challenge Brooklyn if they see little production from their starters for the second night in a row.
Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans
The Anthony Davis trade talk has sent the NBA into a frenzy, and as we’ve seen in the past, these kinds of things turn out to be a huge distraction for the team in mention. The good news is Davis plans to play out the rest of the season, which should at least keep the Pelicans competitive against the Rockets on Wednesday. Houston have won seven of their last 10 over New Orleans, which includes last month’s four-point victory. Unfortunately, the Pelicans had no answer for James Harden that night as the MVP favourite splashed home 41-points. With that in mind, and the fact that both sides rank Top 10 in offensive rating, the Overs looks to be the value.
Tuesday 29th January
Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors
A 10-game winning streak has the Warriors in the driver’s seat, and not surprisingly, they are the odds on favourite against a Pacers team still reeling from the loss of Victor Oladipo. What is surprising however, is Golden State’s record against Indiana. The Dubs are just 4-12 in their last 17 road games against the Pacers, but with the best field-goal percentage in the league, this should test Indiana’s young lineup. The Pacers are still a very strong team even with their star player done for the year, but with the Warriors on the back of a huge win over the Celtics in Boston on Saturday, it’s hard to see the line being enough here.
Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
Boston have now had two days to reflect on their loss to the Warriors on Saturday, but they’ll need to keep their sights set on the Nets in this one. The Celtics had won 10-straight over the Nets before Brooklyn upset Boston a fortnight ago. Since then the Nets have gone on a six-game unbeaten run, which makes them worth a look at this price. If that’s not enough to lure you in, Kyrie Irving is also set to miss this game with a hip strain.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets
Denver still find themselves just a game and a half behind the Warriors in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have also won seven of their last 10-games, but they’ll need to be wary of this Grizzlies side tonight. Memphis can turn up the heat at home, as the Pacers found out the hard way on Sunday. The good news is Denver are 4-2 in their last six-games against Memphis, but since both sides rank Top 10 in overall defensive rating, the Unders probably holds more value.
Saturday 26th January
Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
How will the Wizards respond from last night’s beatdown against the Warriors? Bradley Beal still chipped in for 22-points, but on short rest it’s hard to back Washington as underdogs. Orlando have won two of their last three-games against the Wizards, but with just three wins in their last 10, the Magic are just as hard to trust. Fortunately, the Total has gone Under in four of Orlando’s last five home games against the Washington, so that looks to be the play here.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets
Giannis Antetokounmpo put up a monstrous 31-points on the Mavericks on Tuesday, and the Bucks will be counting on a repeat performance today if they wish to stay atop the Eastern Conference standings. Milwaukee also lead the league in another important category – against the spread. Coming through close to 61% of the time, Milwaukee have been the best team to back at the line this season, and with Charlotte a measly 7-16 on the road, the Bucks should have no trouble today.
Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Utah pulled off a big win over the Nuggets on Thursday to keep themselves well in the hunt for home-court advantage come playoffs. That’s exactly what they’ll have today as they face the Wolves at home, but after Minnesota’s win over the Lakers yesterday, Utah certainly have their hands full. Three of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, but with both sides ranking Top 10 in defensive rating, the Under looks a lot safer.
Friday 25th January
Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors
The Warriors have finally clicked into gear having now won eight straight games. Golden State picked apart the Lakers earlier this week, and they now turn their attention to a Wizards team that still look a serious playoff contender. The Dubs have won eight of their last 10 meetings against Washington, and not surprisingly, the Warriors lead the league in field-goals made. The Wizards, meanwhile, have allowed the seventh-highest opponents field-goal percentage this year, which could add up to a bit of a blowout.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans
Oklahoma City have seemingly curved their midseason woes with three-straight wins over the Sixers, Knicks, and Blazers. A home game against New Orleans sees them as the favourite in this one, and with the third-best defence in the league, it’s hard to disagree. Keep in mind four of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, but with Anthony Davis and Nikola Mirotic out for the Pelicans, this one should be a lot more one-sided.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves
LeBron has been ruled out for this one, leaving the Lakers at the wide price as they prepare to host the Wolves. Minnesota have now won two-straight, but it’s important to remember both victories came against the lowly Suns. Los Angeles are hurting right now, although they could receive an added boost in the form of Rajon Rondo. Over the last week, Minnesota rank in the bottom half of the league in points and field goals made. This looks a nice price for LA to get one back.
Thursday 24th January
New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets
A 28-point loss at the hands of the Sixers on Tuesday has the Rockets looking a little unsteady as we head towards the All-Star break. Fortunately, Houston will head on the road today to face a Knicks team that have lost six straight games. The last time these sides met James Harden put up 37-points in a blowout win for the Rockets. Houston haven’t been a great play at the line, but they have won their last three over New York.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets fell to the Pacers by 25-points on Monday, but they’ve since enjoyed a handy two-day break. Miles Bridges is coming along nicely, while Kemba Walker has recorded five-games of 20-points or more. The Grizzlies, meanwhile, have lost six straight games, and even with home-court, it’s tough to trust the second worst side in the West. Charlotte will be desperate to get back to .500 before the All-Star break, and this is the perfect opportunity to bounce-back against a team they’ve defeated six-times in their last 10 meetings.
Utah Jazz vs Denver Nuggets
For the second day in a row it’s another fascinating Western Conference showdown between two teams vying for home-court advantage in the playoffs. Utah lost to the Blazers by five on Tuesday, while the Nuggets remain just one game back from the first-place Warriors. In their last 10 meetings the Under has saluted nine times, and considering the Jazz hold the fourth best defensive rating in the league, the Total looks a little too high.
Wednesday 23rd January
Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings
OG Anunoby returns for the Raptors today as they host a Kings side a little down on confidence. Sacramento have won just five of their last 10, and once again look in danger of slipping below .500 right before the All-Star break. With Toronto playing at home there’s not a lot of value on the Raptors, however both sides have the second and third best percentage when it comes to backing the Overs. Coming through close to 60% of the time, this should be a points fest.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers
Third meets fourth today in this vitally important Western Conference showdown. A win for the Blazers would see them leapfrog the Thunder in the standings, while OKC will be eager to keep pace with the second-placed Nuggets. The Thunder are 14-7 at home, but they’ve lost their last three at Chesapeake Arena against Portland. The Blazers are also on a three-game winning streak thanks to Damian Lillard, the NBA’s tenth leading points-scorer. After defeating the Jazz on the road yesterday, Portland are more than capable of an upset in this one.
Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves
It’s a repeat of Monday’s narrow two-point shootout between the 11-37 Suns and the 22-24 Wolves. Both sides are going nowhere in a hurry, but for Minnesota, the close call against Phoenix had to raise alarm bells. It took a buzzer beater from Derrick Rose and a 30-point effort from Karl-Anthony Towns to get the job done, which doesn’t fill you with confidence as the Wolves hit the road.
Tuesday 22nd January
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Chicago Bulls
The Cavs have now lost three-straight since their win over the Lakers a fortnight ago, but there’s still been some positive signs from this young side. Collin Sexton dropped 10-points against the Nuggets on Sunday, while home court advantage should help the Cavs tremendously against Chicago. The Bulls have allowed the third most points in the league over their last 10-games, and as their 10-36 record suggests, they probably aren’t worthy favourites in this one.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets
You know James Harden will cover a quarter of the total on his own, but what do we make of the Rockets right now? Despite the MVP’s crazy stat-lines, the Rockets have won only six of their last 10 heading into this road game against the Sixers. Things haven’t come quite so easy for Philly either, falling by two at home against the Thunder on Sunday. Both of these sides rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Over this season, good news considering how hot and cold they’ve both been.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
It’s a shame LeBron is missing for this game, because it’s left the Lakers at almost no-hope odds with the Warriors coming to town. Golden State are back to their best having won nine of their last 10. Kevin Durant has averaged close to 28.0 points-per-game against the Lakers throughout his career, which is bad news for an LA team that continues to fluctuate game to game. The Lakers haven’t beaten the Dubs at home since 2016, so it’s hard to see them pulling this one out with one of their best players still on the sidelines.
Monday 21st January
Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets
The Pacers enter this one on a back-to-back following yesterday’s 11-point win over the Mavericks. It was a down performance from Victor Oladipo, but Tyreke Evans stepped up nicely to contribute with 19-points and two assists. Aside from their 16-6 home record, there’s nothing pretty about Indiana right now. They rank 21st in points-per-game but considering the Pacers have won 15 of their last 18 games at home against Charlotte, they should be able to squeak out a close one.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns
With just two games on the schedule last week, the Wolves somehow managed to be blown out by the Sixers on Wednesday and then lose to the Spurs at home on Saturday. It’s hardly what you’d like to see ahead of the All-Star break, but today’s game against the 11-36 Suns should see them bounce back. Considering the short odds on offer though, the Points market looks the play today. The Suns and the Wolves both rank in the bottom half of the league in points over their last 10, leaving today’s Total looking a little long.
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers
A five-game losing streak has seen the Clippers sink all the way down to eighth in the West, but let’s be real, there’s no betting against the Spurs right now. San Antonio are 7-3 in their last 10 with wins over the Wolves, Thunder, and Raptors to their name. Better yet, the Spurs are also the fifth best team when it comes to backing the Overs this year, saluting close to 57% of the time. Five of the last six games between the Spurs and Clippers in San Antonio have also resulted in the Over.
Sunday 20th January
Indiana Pacers vs Dallas Mavericks
The Mavericks are in a real form slump at the moment, winning just five of their last 18 games sending their record below the .500 mark. Playing on the road has been a massive struggle for them this season going 4-18 straight up. They are on a three game winning streak against the Pacers but when those wins came last season, they can only count for so much. The Pacers will be eager to bounce back from a loss last up and should be able to put away the Mavericks here.
Atlanta Hawks v Boston Celtics
The Celtics are not quite clicking the way you would expect one of the Eastern Conference favourites to, although a 27-18 record probably puts some of those issues into perspective. Especially when you consider the Hawks paltry 14-30 record by comparison although when you look into their records against the spread, it becomes much more even. The Celtics are 23-22 while the Hawks have put together a much more respectable number of 20-24. What does that have to do with a tip for this game? Well the value of a Celtics win and either team covering doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence. What does stand out is the fact the Celtics have gone over in 28 of 45 games so far and both sides have had plenty of high scoring contests in the last month.
Houston Rockets v Los Angeles Lakers
It’s really difficult for a good team to overcome the loss of a player of the calibre of LeBron James. Without the King it is nearly impossible for a side like the Lakers. Houston has won both meetings between these sides this season including a 126-111 victory at home just over a month ago. Houston has been alternating wins and losses in its last eight but you have to like the value of a double digit winning margin in this one.
Saturday 19th January
Orlando Magic vs Brooklyn Nets
The Nets appear to have the hot hand following Thursday’s win over the Rockets, while a win today would see them move above .500 in the East. The Magic hold home-court advantage in this one, but it mightn’t mean much considering they are just 12-11 at the Amway Center. The Nets rank seventh in rebounds during their last 10-games and are also the seventh best team in the league when it comes to covering the spread. Coming through close to 55% of the time, Brooklyn should keep their playoff hopes alive on the road.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs
The Wolves have had some time to stew on Wednesday’s 149-107 loss to the Sixers. They’ll return home to Minnesota today, but nothing comes easy against a Spurs side boasting a strong 7-3 record across their last 10-games. The last time these sides met back in December San Antonio handed the Wolves another blowout loss, and with the fourth best record in the league against the spread, we should see the Spurs repeat their success.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors
The Warriors survived a real scare at home against the Pelicans on Thursday before Steph Curry jacked up a handful of threes in the third quarter. The Clippers, on the other hand, have now lost four in a row, but they have scored over 100-points in 16 straight games. Not surprisingly, Golden State lead the league in points-per-game, and with the Overs coming through in nine of their last 10 meetings against LA, this looks safe.
Friday 18th January
Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers
The Sixers extended their winning streak to two on Wednesday against the Timbewolves thanks to a huge 31-point performance from Joel Embiid. Indiana, just a game ahead of Philly in the East, also come into this home stand on a two-game win streak of their own. Last time these sides met the Pacers walked away with a 12-point victory on the road. Despite elite names like Embiid and Victor Oladipo taking the court, the Total has resulted in Under 230-points in their last five meetings, making the Points market the safest play today.
Charlotte Hornets vs Sacramento Kings
How can we trust the Hornets right now? Charlotte have won just one of their last three, and since one of those losses came against this same Kings side, even at home you have to be wary of James Borrego’s side. Sacramento now find themselves two games above .500, but as their 9-11 record on the road suggests, the Kings aren’t always safe away from home. It’s worth noting the Kings lead the league when it comes to backing the Overs, while the Hornets also rank inside the Top 10. With both also ranking Top 10 in points-per-game, keep it simple.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Los Angeles Lakers
The good news is LeBron is set to return to practice next week. The bad news is the Lakers look lost without him. Los Angeles held on for a narrow win over the Bulls on Wednesday, but it was hardly convincing after they allowed a 20-point lead to dwindle down to four inside the final two-minutes. Lonzo Ball led the way with a measly 19-points, which won’t cut it away from home against the Thunder. OKC are looking to rebound from a loss to the Hawks, and with the top ranked defence in the league, the line here won’t be enough.
Thursday 17th January
Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics
Should be easy money between two of the East’s top contenders. The Celtics are in disarray following Kyrie Irving’s comments on Monday, while the Raptors head to Boston on a five-game winning streak. In other news, both the Celtics and the Raptors rank second and third in the league when it comes to backing the Over, coming through close to 61% of the time. This looks about as safe as you can get.
Houston Rockets vs Brooklyn Nets
Aside from James Harden’s freakish 57-point performance against the Grizzlies on Tuesday, this game should be a fascinating one considering the Nets sit just one-game shy of .500. On the road Brooklyn are 10-12 this season, but did you know their defence has held opponents to the league’s second-lowest field goal percentage in their last three-games? Good luck stopping Harden, but fresh from a win over the Celtics, the Nets could easily keep this close.
Dallas Mavericks vs San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs find themselves amid a two-game losing streak after being blown out by the Hornets on Tuesday, but in their favour – an 8-2 record in their last 10 meetings against the Mavericks. Dallas have sunk all the way down to 13th in the West following their loss to the Warriors, but there was one takeaway following the loss: Luka Doncic sunk five three-pointers. That bodes well against a Spurs defence that’s allowed the fourth highest three-point shooting percentage in their last three games.
Wednesday 16th January
Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves
The Knicks were no match for the Sixers on Monday, or should we say Joel Embiid, who returned from an ankle injury with a huge 26-point performance. Who would’ve thought the Wolves would also be enjoying some good fortune following the firing of Tom Thibodeau, with the team having now won six of their last 10. Philly are normally a sure-thing at home, but Saturday’s two-point loss to the Hawks has us a little nervous. Close to 57% of the Sixers’ games have resulted in the Over though, including six of their last eight at home against Minnesota.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors
Denver’s dominant defence has taken a real hit in recent weeks, ranking 21st in overall defensive rating over their last 10-games. It’s no wonder the Nuggets have lost two of their last five, including a nine-point loss to the Suns on Sunday. The Warriors, meanwhile, are just about back to their best. Steph Curry lit up the Mavericks for 11 three-pointers on Monday in Golden State’s huge five-point road win. These two teams have split their last 10-games five apiece, but you don’t get these odds for Golden State very often.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Chicago Bulls
Los Angeles trailed at the end of all four quarters on Monday to lose by six-points to the Cavs at home. The Bulls haven’t traveled to Staples Centre since 2017, but the stats don’t lie: four of their last five-games against the Lakers have been decided by 10-points or less. Chicago enter this one on the back of three day’s rest, and having won just two of their last eight, the Bulls will be hungry for a win. With LeBron and Rajon Rondo still out of the Lakers’ lineup, this is a great opportunity to at least keep the game close.
Tuesday 15th January
Brooklyn Nets vs Boston Celtics
Don’t look now, but the Celtics have won 10-straight over the Nets dating back to 2016. Not surprisingly Brad Stevens’ side enters this game as the heavy favourite, but there’s no real value at this price. Instead, it’s worth noting Boston have been the second best team when it comes to Overs betting, coming through close to 62% of the time. Considering the Celtics are also 10-12 on the road this season, the Points market looks a safe bet.
Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies
Even with James Harden going off for 38-points, the Rockets still slipped up to the Magic in Orlando last night in a seven-point loss. The Grizzlies, on the other hand, have won just three of their last 10-games, which makes them hard to back at this enticing. Memphis are also 2-8 at the line in their last 10, and 1-4 straight up against Houston. Harden has averaged only 21.1 points-per-game throughout his career against the Grizzlies, but considering his recent run, don’t be surprised if he takes over in this one.
Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers
Make sure you try and catch a glimpse of De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield, because the two combined for 42-points during Sunday’s win over the Hornets. The 26-18 Blazers will be no easy match today though, especially considering Damian Lillard is on a pretty handy hot-streak of his own. With all that in mind, the Overs bet might seem like the play today, but keep in mind the Under has saluted in 11 of Sacramento’s last 16-games when playing Portland.
Monday 14th January
Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors
The Dallas Mavericks have been in excellent form in recent weeks, they have won 14 of their past 16 games at home, but the Golden State Warriors are a completely different challenge. The Warriors have won 11 of their past 12 games against the Mavericks and winning on the road is never an issue for this side. The line of 6.5 points is not enough.
Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Denver Nuggets have been extremely tough to beat the Pepsi Centre this season. They have won their past five games at the venue at they are 9-2 in against the line in front of their home fans. The home court advantage has always been crucial in this rivalry and the line of five points is probably not enough for this encounter.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Recent games between the Los Angeles Lakers and the Cleveland Cavaliers have been very high-scoring affairs and the Over has saluted in ten of their past 11 meetings. The Over has also saluted in the past five games played by the Cavaliers and there is no doubt that defence is a problem for them. The Over looks an excellent bet once again.
Sunday 13th January
Los Angeles Clippers vs Detroit Pistons
Blake Griffin returns to Staples Center to face his former team, and after missing Friday’s loss to the Kings, the good news is he’s likely to be in the lineup. Detroit have still lost four-straight games however, and there’s no guarantees against a Clippers side that are 14-6 at home on the year. Los Angeles have won three of the last five meetings between the two, but more importantly, the Total has resulted in the Under in four of their last five home games against Detroit.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans
It’s been a turbulent week for the Wolves after firing coach Tom Thibodeau, capped off by a four-point home loss to the Mavericks yesterday. Despite the short turnaround, Minnesota still find themselves as favourites in this one, even with Robert Covington missing from the lineup. Against a Pelicans side that has slipped all the way down to 12th in the Western Conference, it’s not hard to understand why the Wolves are at the shorter price, but with Anthony Davis coming off a huge 38-point night earlier in the week against the Cavs, New Orleans should at least keep this close.
Sacramento Kings vs Charlotte Hornets
You can’t say enough about De’Aaron Fox and the Kings right now, but how about Harry Giles’ career high 14-point game against the Pistons on Friday? The Cardiac Kings have been a nervous play all year, but they’ve been absolute money in Overs betting, saluting close to 65% of the time. With Fox, Giles, and Kemba Walker all in this game, this is about as safe as it gets.
Saturday 12th January
Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets
Toronto have won three straight games, but it’s hardly been convincing. The Raptors struggled all night against the Hawks on Wednesday, coming back to win by as little as three-points with Kawhi Leonard, Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam in the lineup. Brooklyn have been on a surprising tear of their own lately, coming back from a huge deficit against Atlanta to win by 16-points. Since the Nets haven’t won in Toronto since 2015, you’d be foolish to back them at this price, but since they’ve covered the spread in close to 54% of their games this season, there’s no reason Brooklyn can’t keep it close.
New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers
It’s been a while since the Knicks have won at the Garden, eight games to be exact. They’ll meet their match against a red-hot Pacers side today, but the good news for New York: both Myles Turner and Darren Collison come into this game banged up. The Knicks haven’t defeated Indiana since 2017 though, and they’ll have some injury issues to overcome with Enes Kanter, Mitch Robinson and Frank Ntilikina all doubtful to play. The Pacers won by only six-points when they visited the Knicks back in October, but even so, they should still cruise in this one.
Utah Jazz vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers will carry on without LeBron James for at least another week, leaving Kyle Kuzma in charge of the scoring following his brilliant 41-point night against the Pistons on Thursday. A road trip to face Utah is tough however, especially considering the Jazz are 6-4 in their last 10-games. Utah guard Donovan Mitchell had himself a night against the Magic on Thursday, but with both the Jazz and LA ranking Top 10 in overall defensive rating – as well as y’know, King James being absent – it’s hard to see this game going Over the Total.
Friday 11th January
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics
Boston earned their fourth straight win thanks to a 135-108 blowout over the Pacers yesterday. Marcus Morris came through with the exclamation mark in a 22-point, eight rebound performance, leaving the Celtics as the favourites ahead of today’s road trip to Miami.
The Heat enjoyed a day’s rest following their four-point loss to the Nuggets on Wednesday, but you have to factor in their 9-12 home record in this one. Dion Waiters led the team with just 15-points against Denver, and when you consider Boston’s strong 4-1 away record at the line against Miami, the Celtics are the only play.
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Clippers
The Nuggets are just one-game up on the Warriors in the West, but their gutsy win over Miami on Wednesday didn’t go unnoticed. It was the Nikola Jokic show once again as the big man chipped in with 29-points and a crucial floater in the dying stages, only further cementing his bid for an All-Star spot.
Now at 24-16, the Clippers head into this game on the heels of a blowout win over the Hornets. Lou Williams was once again phenomenal off the bench, and since LA rank Top 5 in Over Totals this year, the Points market looks safe.
San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
A win for the 24-18 Spurs today could see them leapfrog Houston in the Western Conference standings. That would leave San Antonio just three spots behind the Thunder, and with home court advantage, it’s certainly not out of the question.
Even with Paul George putting up 27, Oklahoma City lost a game they easily should have won against the Wolves on Tuesday – mainly due to Russell Westbrook’s selfish shot selection. The Thunder have won two of their last three against the Spurs, but with San Antonio’s mid-range game paying huge dividends, look for Lamarcus Aldridge to lead the way in a Spurs win.
Thursday 10th January
Brooklyn Nets vs Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks have won five of their last 10-games to start the New Year, and they nearly had another in a nail-biting three-point loss to the Raptors yesterday. Atlanta held their own against a full-strength Toronto side, lapping up 21-point effort from forward John Collins. The Hawks were unlucky to lose that game, but after Trae Young put up close to 20-points of his own, the Hawks can easily keep this game close against a battered and bruised Nets side should they limit the turnovers.
Houston Rockets vs Milwaukee Bucks
The feature game of the day surprisingly has the Rockets as the underdogs at home against the Bucks. Milwaukee have lost just two of their last 10, but in case you missed it, James Harden is doing some pretty special things with the basketball.
The Bucks haven’t met the Rockets at all this season, so it should be interesting to see how Houston’s defence handles Giannis Antetokounmpo in the paint. For what it’s worth though, Harden has averaged close to 25-points and 5.5 assists in the 17 games he’s played in against the Bucks. The MVP favourite should be enough to sway you Houston’s way if nothing else.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Detroit Pistons
There’s still no set timetable for LeBron’s return, and as the Lakers await his reevaluation on Saturday, they’ll need to focus on Thursday’s home game against the Pistons. Detroit are going nowhere but backwards right now, and as their 6-11 record on the road suggests, it’s no surprise to see the Pistons as underdogs.
The good news for LA is Lonzo Ball has enjoyed more of the ball, which translated into a huge 21-point performance during Tuesday’s win over the Mavs. The Lakers need more from a now healthy Kyle Kuzma, but with a day off to rest his back, we should see more of a team effort going forward.
Wednesday 9th January
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets
Just when it looks as though the Heat could worm their way into the playoff conversation, they go and lose by 24-points to the Hawks on the road. A two-day break should have done Miami some good though, and it is hard to ignore their 7-3 record in their last 10-games. At the same time, the Nuggets are also looking to bounce back from some road disappointment of their own against the Rockets yesterday. The one positive was Nikola Jokic posting his 24th double-double of the season, which puts him in good form to challenge Miami’s seventh ranked defence. Considering Denver rank just two spots below them in ninth however, the Unders looks a good bet.
Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings
The Kings cruised to a comfortable win over the Magic yesterday thanks to a much-needed 20-point, three rebound game from guard De’Aaron Fox. The healthy addition of Marvin Bagley also added eight-points and six-rebounds, leaving the Kings as favourites ahead of their road trip to Phoenix. As we’ve seen before, Sacramento are far from a certainty on the road, however. The Kings own a 9-10 record in away games this season, but with the Suns’ main points-scorer Devin Booker questionable to play, Dave Joerger’s side should be able to squeak out a close one.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Charlotte Hornets
Good luck figuring out the Clippers. One minute they’re up, one minute they’re down, but for the time being, they’re the favourites ahead of today’s game thanks to a two-game winning streak. It took all four quarters for Charlotte to defeat the Suns earlier in the week, or should we say, a phenomenal 29-point performance from Kemba Walker. Both of these sides have been a great Overs play this season mind you, with each saluting in close to 58% of their games. Given their inconsistencies, it’s best to stay away from the head-to-head market.
Tuesday 8th January
Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets
Now 1.5 games ahead of the Warriors, the Nuggets continue to prove they are legit atop the Western Conference standings. This is a huge road test for Denver, but it’s one Mike Malone’s side should feel pretty confident about. Despite James Harden scoring 20 of his 38-points in the third quarter, the Rockets still fell to the Blazers 110-101 on Sunday. To make matters worse, Houston hasn’t faced this new and improved Denver defence, a unit that ranks fourth in defensive rebounds. With Houston relying on the three-ball more than ever, this could spell a Nuggets upset.
Sacramento Kings vs Orlando Magic
After so much promise to start the season, both the Magic and Kings seem to be moving backwards as we head towards the All-Star break. Sacramento have won just three of their last 10, while the Magic have slipped all the way down to 10th in the East. Both of these sides have been wildly inconsistent lately, but De’Aaron Fox’s slump has to make punters nervous when backing the Kings. On the other side, the Magic aren’t converting points into wins, but you can’t fault the individual efforts of Nikola Vucevic, who reeled in a season-high 24 rebounds against the Clippers yesterday. Even better, close to 60% of Orlando’s games have resulted in the Under, which looks to be the safe play today.
Portland Trail Blazers vs New York Knicks
The Knicks have had very little to celebrate, but their road win over the Lakers on Saturday was a major highlight in what has already been a lost season. The good times should stop there though as New York now travels to face the Blazers. In case you missed it, Portland defeated Houston by nine-points on Sunday behind a season-high 12 assists and 17-point effort from Damian Lillard. Defensively Portland have been one of the Top 10 teams over the last 10-days in overall defensive rating, which should cause this young Knicks lineup plenty of trouble.
Monday 7th January
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards
There’s no messing with the Thunder right now, particularly Paul George, who is averaging 33-points in his last four-games. OKC are also riding a three-game winning streak, and with the Wizards going nowhere but backwards, this should be a cruisy home win for the Thunder.
Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers
The Raptors looked just fine on Sunday defeating the Bucks in Milwaukee thanks to a combined 60-points from Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam. Business is about to pick up tonight, however – star guard Kyle Lowry will make his return from a six-game absence. The Pacers have proven themselves as a serious playoff threat in the East, but their 1-4 record in their last five-games against Toronto leaves a lot to be desired.
Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets have now lost two-straight games, capping off what has so far been a disappointing start to the New Year. Sunday’s 13-point loss to the Nuggets on the road was ugly, but there’s no time to dwell on it ahead of a back-to-back against the Suns tonight. Phoenix are also in the midst of a serious five-game losing streak, although they do enter this one as the favourite thanks to home-court advantage alone. The Suns have been competitive in recent games, but it’s hard to back them straight-up. Instead, these look like nice odds for the Hornets to bounce-back after a quiet game from Kemba Walker last night.
Saturday 5th January
Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards
The Heat have hit full stride over the last fortnight winning seven of their last 10-games. Miami could go without Dwyane Wade in this one, but not to worry, the Heat can still rely on Josh Richardson after putting up 24-points in the win over Cavs on Wednesday. Miami have covered the line in close to 59% of their games this year, and with a battered and bruised Wizards side coming to town, the Heat should take this one comfortably.
Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers
Phoenix fell by five-points to the Sixers at home on Thursday, but the Suns have to be encouraged by Devin Booker’s 37-point game. The Clippers have a lot less to be excited about, having now won just four of their last 10. Statistically speaking the Clippers rank 21st in defensive rating, which makes the Suns an interesting upset chance. After Lou Williams made just 1-of-8 from three-point land and missed four of his nine free throws against in a loss to the Clippers on Wednesday, Phoenix look nice odds.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City got their road trip off to a bang on Thursday defeating the Lakers in LA. It was a huge night for Paul George, but can the Thunder overcome their dreadful 2-8 record against the Blazers and pull off another upset in Portland? The bookies are having a tough time separating the two, and it only get tougher when you factor in the Blazers are 14-6 at home. The Total has gone Under in five of their last 10 meetings, so that looks to be the play.
Friday 4th January
San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors
The Raptors take their two-game winning streak on the road against a Spurs side high on luck, but the big story here is Kawhi Leonard’s return to San Antonio. Toronto enter as the underdogs with Kyle Lowry still questionable, while the Spurs will be hoping for another big game from DeMar DeRozan after tallying double-digit assists against the Celtics on Tuesday. Both of these sides have been a great play in the Points market this season, with the Over resulting in close to 57% of their games.
Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets
The 19-18 Kings have now lost two straight, and they’ll face a huge test today against the Western Conference leading Denver Nuggets. Having won seven of their last 10, Denver look legit as we head towards the halfway point of the season, but unfortunately their 1-4 record in their last five road games makes them tough to back straight up. This looks like another great Points market bet.
Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
A win and a Nuggets loss could see Golden State back on top in the Western Conference by the end of the day. They’ll face a tough test against the Rockets however, a team currently riding a five-game winning streak thanks to some James Harden brilliance. The last time these two met it was a Houston blowout, but that was without Steph Curry on the floor. With the Rockets missing Eric Gordon, as well as the Oracle factor, this figures to be a close rematch of last year’s Conference Final.
Thursday 3rd January
Washington Wizards vs Atlanta Hawks
The Wizards welcome back forward Otto Porter Jr. into the lineup today, giving the side a huge boost in the paint and on the scoreboard. The Hawks have proven no easy beat over the last week however, polishing off the Pistons and Wolves on the road. They’ll be without Taurean Prince for this trip to Washington, but Atlanta should be able to keep it close against a reeling Wizards side.
Charlotte Hornets vs Dallas Mavericks
The 17-19 Mavericks have hit a slight bump in the road over the last fortnight losing eight of their last 10-games. A tough road trip to Charlotte awaits today against a Hornets side looking to improve on their sub .500 record. We all know Charlotte are always a handy play at home, and after Kemba Walker and Malik Monk combined for 45-points in a huge win over the Magic on Tuesday, they should be a safe play at the line.
Brooklyn Nets vs New Orleans Pelicans
The Nets have kept pace in the Eastern Conference over the last month, and have even managed to win seven of their last 10-games. A minor two-game losing streak has made life difficult for the bookies in this one however, but against a Pelicans side going nowhere but backwards, you have to like their chances. New Orleans will go without Nikola Mirotic, while Anthony Davis continues to recover from the flu. With a poor 4-15 record on the road, take the Nets at these odds.
Wednesday 2nd January
Toronto Raptors vs Utah Jazz
The Raptors are 14-4 at home this season, and while they’ll be hungry to reclaim the top spot in the East after conceding to the Bucks, Toronto will have to find a way to score without Kyle Lowry. The star point guard is set to miss a chunk of time with a back injury, which should be enough to keep this game close. The Jazz are 8-4 in their last 12 games on the road against the Raptors.
Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers
We already know the Kings are a tough beat at home, but can they take care of the Blazers today? Sacramento are 5-5 in their last 10-games, and while star point guard De’Aaron Fox might be limited with a shoulder injury, these look like nice odds for the Kings to move within one game of the Top 8 in the West.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Philadelphia 76ers
Both the Clippers and the Sixers have hit a bit of a ratch patch over the last fortnight, which makes today’s game even more interesting. Los Angeles enter as the favourites at home, and they should feel pretty good about their chances with Joel Embiid questionable with a knee injury. Philly are 1-5 in their last six road games against the Clips, which doesn’t bode well considering Lou Williams is averaging 21.4 points in his last five games.
Saturday 29th December
Charlotte Hornets vs Brooklyn Nets
We learned something about the Hornets on Thursday: Kemba Walker isn’t enough to save this team. The All-Star guard put up 35-points in Charlotte’s double-overtime loss to the Nets, and now they’ll get a second bite at the revenge cherry. Brooklyn have won nine of their last 10-games, but still come into this one as the road underdog. After shooting close to 50% from the field against Charlotte three days ago, this looks like a nice opportunity to cash in on Brooklyn at the line.
Washington Wizards vs Chicago Bulls
We saw a glimpse into life without Otto Porter Jr. for the Wizards on Thursday, and now it appears Washington will head into this game without their star big man. Chicago have won just four of their 17 games on the road this season, but they have been one of the best teams to bet on in the Points market. The Bulls lead the league with close to 65% of their games resulting in the Under.
Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs unlocked the secret to the Nuggets on Thursday. San Antonio held Nikola Jokic to just four-point during their huge eight-point home win, and they’ll be hoping to do the same tonight as they travel to Denver. The Nuggets are 13-3 at home, so it’s tough to back against them in the Pepsi Centre, but after limiting Denver from the field earlier in the week, San Antonio should keep this close.
Friday 28th December
Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks
It’s a repeat of Wednesday’s Christmas Day game, a match up the Knicks would probably like to forget. New York were embarrassed by the Bucks at the Garden losing 109-95 in front of their home town fans. Aside from Giannis Antetokounmpo enjoying a 30-point game, the likes of Tim Hardaway and Trey Burke struggled from the field with Frank Ntilikina missing in action. With a 5-14 record on the road, it’s hard to see the Knicks putting up much of a fight today.
Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers
All eyes will be on the Lakers today as they resume without LeBron James for the next three-four games. If you caught Wednesday’s monumental win over the Warriors at Oracle Arena, you’ll know the Lakers held their own in the second half though thanks to big time performances from Rajon Rondo and Kyle Kuzma. The Kings come into this one as the favourite at home, but can they handle the back-to-back following last night’s game against the Clippers? Even with LeBron out, the Lakers have plenty of experienced scorers capable of exploiting the Kings’ young lineup.
Utah Jazz vs Philadelphia 76ers
The 22-13 Sixers lost an overtime heartbreaker to the Celtics in Boston on Christmas Day. Really though, it was a game Philly should have won when you consider Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler combined for 58-points and 21 rebounds. Closing out games has been an issue for Brett Brown’s side, but you can’t fault the Sixers’ offensive efficiency. With Embiid, Butler and Ben Simmons all peaking, these look like nice odds for Philly to upset a Jazz team that have won just five of their last 10-games.
Saturday 22nd December
Brooklyn Nets vs Indiana Pacers
The Nets are riding a seven-game winning streak, and believe us when we say, it’s no fluke. Brooklyn held on for a three-point win over the Bulls in Chicago on Thursday, and now return home with confidence sky high. The Pacers, meanwhile, are on the heels of a loss to the Raptors and continue to struggle away from home. Don’t look now, but the Nets have been the 11th best team in points-per-game over their last 10-games. Look for them to give the home fans something to cheer about.
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
It could be an Eastern Conference Finals preview between the 21-9 Bucks and the 18-12 Celtics, but both of these sides are at opposite ends of the spectrum this week. Milwaukee have won three straight, while the Celtics have fell to two straight losses, the most recent coming against the lowly Suns. It’s always tough to back against the Celtics at home though, and considering close to 57% of their games have resulted in the Over this season, that appears to be the safest play.
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies
A win for the Kings at home today would see them leapfrog the Grizzlies for 10th in the Western Conference standings. If you haven’t caught a glimpse of second-year sensation De’Aaron Fox, make sure you do, because his 28-point/12 assist performance against the Thunder on Thursday has him on the verge of All-Star status. More importantly, the Kings have been the best team in the league when it comes to covering, coming through for punters at the line close to 64% of the time.
Friday 21st December
Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets
Miami have won six of their last 10-games, but they were dealt a serious injury blow earlier in the week losing Goran Dragic to season-ending knee surgery. It’s hardly what the Heat need with the Rockets coming to town, especially considering James Harden set a new NBA record for three-pointers made yesterday (26) during Houston’s win over the Wizards. That takes Harden’s total to 302-point this month, making the Rockets extremely tough to back against.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas Mavericks
Wednesday’s eight-point loss to the Nuggets in Denver was a harsh reality check for the understrength Mavericks. Injuries continue to plague some of Dallas’ top playmakers, which is hardly ideal heading on the road to face the Clippers. Los Angeles have their own injuries woes to deal with though, as it looks likely Lou Williams will miss today’s game. Despite opening as favourites, the Clippers have lost four straight games, so the Points market is probably the safest play.
Thursday 20th December
Orlando Magic vs San Antonio Spurs
The Magic continue to flirt with a .500 record despite a very successful road trip to Mexico City that resulted in wins over the Bulls and Jazz. Orlando come into this game off three days’ rest, but make sure you pay careful attention to Nikola Vucevic today. The big man put up 15-points and 19-rebounds during Saturday’s win, complimented only by rookie sensation and backup centre Mo Bamba, who had four blocks. That kind of red hot form should be enough to keep the up and down Spurs at bay, especially at home.
Milwaukee Bucks vs New Orleans Pelicans
The 15-16 Pelicans aren’t making any headway in the Western Conference having won just five of their last 10-games. The news gets worse ahead of today’s trip to Milwaukee – forward’s Nikola Mirotic and Julius Randle are both listed as doubtful with injuries. That leaves the bulk share of the work in Anthony Davis’ hands with E’Twaun Moore also less than 100%. Hardly an ideal situation in a tough road environment.
Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Both the Kings and the Thunder have enjoyed a day’s rest, settings us up for what should be a fun showdown between two of the West’s most exciting teams. Surprisingly enough the Kings have enjoyed the better part of this match up this season winning both games to start the year. They haven’t faced the new and improved Thunder defence though, a unit that ranks second in defensive efficiency. Close to 56% of OKC’s games have resulted in the Under, which looks to be the play.
Wednesday 19th December
Atlanta Hawks vs Washington Wizards
The Wizards have been busy making trades to try and make a serious push in the East. The Kelly Oubre/Austin Rivers/Trevor Ariza swap is now complete, but it’ll take more than just adding an experienced veteran to defeat the Hawks today. Washington will need to be at their best with forward Otto Porter Jr. set to miss a week with a knee strain, which is something we’re yet to see from the Wizards against much lesser opponents. The Hawks roll into this home game on the back of three days’ rest, and they should feel good about upsetting a Washington team that has won just four of their 16-games on the road this year.
Brooklyn Nets vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers looked second rate on Monday losing by 18-points against John Wall and the Wizards. The ups and downs continue for LeBron and company, but they should rest easy knowing this lengthy four-game road trip comes to a close tonight in Brooklyn. Los Angeles need to be careful though, because you might not know it, but the Nets are on a five game unbeaten run that includes wins over the Raptors, Sixers and Wizards. This game just feels a little too risky to back in the head-to-head market, however the one thing you can bank on is the Points market – close to 60% of the Lakers’ games this season have resulted in the Under.
Dener Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks
It’s so hard to fault the 20-9 Nuggets right now. Nikola Jokic is one of – if not the – best centre in the league right now, and defensively, no one comes close to matching Denver on the boards. Dallas are a tough team to face, but with J.J. Barea and Dennis Smith Jr. likely to miss this game, everything falls on Luka Doncic. Points wise that’s great, but his defence looked average two days ago against the Kings and De’Aaron Fox. This shapes up as another easy win for the Western Conference leaders.
Tuesday 18th December
Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz
You won’t want to back against James Harden right now. He’s combined for 112-points in his last three games, spurring the Rockets on to a serious three-game winning streak. These two sides have met twice already this season, both of which resulted in blowout wins for the Jazz. With Houston at home and Aussie Joe Ingles struggling to find baskets, the Rockets are the pick in a close one.
Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies
The Warriors survived a scare on Saturday coming back from a 10-point deficit to defeat the Kings away from home. Now back to full-strength, there’s no excuses left for Golden State as they look to reclaim the top spot in the West. Today they’ll face a reeling Grizzlies side that ranks fourth in overall defensive rating. There’s not a lot on offer head-to-head, but close to 60% of Memphis’ games have resulted in the Under, which coupled with their stingy defence, should be a safe play.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Blazers pulled off a big win against the understrength Raptors over the weekend. Portland are slowly slipping down the Western Conference standings, but the same can be said for the struggling Clippers who have won just four of their last 10. These two sides have split their two encounters this season one game apiece, but with Damian Lillard looking healthy for the Blazers, they’re a good price to earn an upset on the road.
Monday 17th December
New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat
The Pelicans are 15-15 at home on the season and have typically been one of the most frustrating plays for punters this year. The good news is E’Twaun Moore is set to return tonight in the place of Nikola Mirotic , but his early season struggles are hardly encouraging. The Heat have come through as the underdogs in recent weeks defeating the Clippers and the Grizzlies on the road. Even so, both of these are sides are far too hit and miss to back straight-up.
Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings
The Kings continue to inch their way up the Western Conference ladder, and with a 15-13 record, they look like a nice value pick on the road in Dallas. The Mavs will go without Dennis Smith Jr. and J.J. Barea, leaving Jalen Brunson in charge of scoring from the guard position. After blowing a 10-point lead against the Warriors on Saturday, this is the perfect opportunity for Sacramento to bounce back.
Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors
The Eastern and Western Conference leaders butt heads today, but this game is hardly as hyped as it should be. That’s because the Raptors will go without Kawhi Leonard, Kyle Lowry and Pascal Siakam, leaving them short their three top scorers. Denver should see their winning streak extend to three.
Saturday 15th December
Brooklyn Nets vs Washington Wizards
The 11-18 Nets are enjoying a pretty handy three-game winning streak that includes victories over the Raptors, Knicks and Sixers. Even so, they return home to face a Wizards side hungry to make up for a disappointing five-point overtime loss to the Celtics on Thursday. The status of Otto Porter Jr. remains unclear, but if John Wall can come through with another 34-point effort, the Wizards should snap their three game losing skid.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Denver currently head the Western Conference, at least for now. It’s surprising to see the Nuggets as the underdog at home today considering they’ve also won eight of their last 10-games. Nikola Jokic recorded a game-high 27-points during Thursday’s win over the Grizzlies, and since Denver have covered the line in close to 60% of their games this season, they look like the pick today.
Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors
Are the Warriors beatable all of a sudden? The Raptors marched into Oracle on Thursday to defeat Golden State without Kawhi Leonard, but unfortunately, even with home court advantage, it’s difficult to back the Kings straight-up. The good news is both of these two sides rank Top 5 in points-per-game, which makes the Over a great play.
Friday 14th December
Houston Rockets vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Rockets got things back on track with a win over the Blazers on Wednesday. The road ahead looks ugly over Christmas though, making today’s game against the Lakers a must-win. The good news for Houston is LA’s star guard Brandon Ingram hasn’t travelled with the team, leaving the Lakers short one of their top scorers. Just two days on from Chris Paul’s first triple-double of the season, this is a perfect opportunity for the Rockets to build some momentum with a big win.
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Clippers
The Clippers have won six of their last 10-games, but don’t let that distract you from the fact LA’s offence has come to a grinding halt. Doc Rivers’ side has been held under 100-points in three of their last four games, and things won’t get any easier without the team’s leading play-maker Lou Williams off the court. LA also haven’t travelled to San Antonio since this time last year, making the Spurs, and their three-game winning streak, a pretty safe play.
Phoenix Suns vs Dallas Mavericks
It’s all Halle-Luka in Dallas right now as the Mavericks have won three straight. Another win today could see them move one step closer to the Top 4 in the West, and with future Hall of Famer Dirk Nowitzki set to make his season debut, the scene is set. Even with Trevor Ariza returning to the side there’s no denying Phoenix’s serious 10-game losing streak. Dallas are the best team in the league when it comes to covering the line, so make sure you get on board.
Thursday 13th December
Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons
Both Charlotte and Detroit continue to flirt with a .500 record after promising starts to the year. The 13-13 Hornets have now won two-straight thanks to a 14-point second quarter from Kemba Walker against the Knicks on Monday. Meanwhile, the Pistons have now lost five-straight after struggling to find an answer for Joel Embiid and the Sixers two days ago. Both of these sides met a month ago, a game the Hornets won comfortably by 10-points. Charlotte have covered the spread in close to 62% of their games this season, good for the third best record in the NBA.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Offence meets defence tonight as the Pelicans host the Thunder. New Orleans have slumped to 14-16, but have somehow remained the second-best team in points-per-game through the first two months of the season. OKC have been putting in work of their own on the defensive side of the ball, currently owning the best defensive rating in the league. There’s no doubt the Pelicans can put up some points at home, but it’s worth noting both Nikola Mirotic and E’Twaun Moore are likely to miss this game – leaving New Orleans short two of their bigs. That doesn’t spell good news against a ravenous Thunder team.
Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves
It’s safe to say the 14-12 Kings are a little over the odds at this price, especially considering they’ve shown plenty of fight at home this season. Sacramento polished off the Bulls by 19-points two days ago in Chicago, a game that saw six Kings players finish in double-digits. Now averaging 18.1 points-per-game, De’Aaron Fox continues to build a serious All-Star case in his second year with the team. With Robert Covington banged up for the Wolves, this is a perfect game for Sacramento’s young talent to shine against a strong Minnesota defence.
Wednesday 12th December
Houston Rockets vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Rockets are a rollercoaster right now. At 11-14 they are also a punting nightmare, which makes them a nervous play at home against the Blazers. Fortunately, Portland are just as much of a mess having now lost six of their last 10-games. Trusting the Rockets in the midst of a three-game losing skid is tough, especially with rumors swirling surrounding Eric Gordon replacing James Ennis III in today’s lineup. Keep it simple and ride the Points market.
San Antonio Spurs vs Phoenix Suns
The 13-14 Spurs looked dead in the water a fortnight ago, but to their credit San Antonio have now strung together back-to-back wins over the Lakers and Jazz. The Suns are riding a serious eight-game losing streak with plenty going on off the court. Trade talks are heating up for Trevor Ariza, while the only shining light on this team remains Deandre Ayton – who put up 20-points and 11 rebounds in yesterday’s four-point loss to the Clippers. When it comes to betting, close to 66% of the Spurs’ games this season have resulted in the Over, which looks the play today.
Tuesday 11th December
Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings
Plenty happening in Chicago right now. After firing coach Fred Hoiberg a week ago, interim head coach Jim Boylen chose to bench his entire starting line up in the fourth quarter during the Bulls’ blowout loss to the Celtics on Saturday. As a result, a handful of Bulls players debated skipping practice, which eludes to plenty of locker room issues going on in Chicago right now. That doesn’t bode well on the court, and against the Kings – a team that has seen 64% of their games result in the Over – it helps shape up as a good play for punters.
Dallas Mavericks vs Orlando Magic
These two sides have seemingly switched roles in recent weeks. A month ago the Magic were the talk of the town, but after winning seven of their last 10-games, it’s the Mavericks who have captured everyone’s attention. Luka Doncic is enough to make you jump all over Dallas, although it’s also worth remembering the Mavericks are 11-2 at home. More importantly, Dallas are the top side in the league when it comes to covering the line, and with Dennis Smith Jr. likely to miss another game with a hand injury, Doncic should have plenty of opportunities to drain threes.
Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves
It’s business as usual in the West as the Warriors have re-claimed their spot atop the Conference. Golden State are riding a tidy three-game win streak, but they won’t want to overlook a Timberwolves team that has won six of their last 10. Minnesota hold the fourth highest defensive rating in that time frame, while they have also seen close to 66% of their games result in the Under. With both teams capable of limiting shots, the Points market is where you’ll want your money.
Monday 10th December
Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks
Returning home following a nail-biting one-point loss to the Nets on Saturday, the 21-6 Raptors will be looking to rebound against the Bucks tonight. If you haven’t been paying attention, this one shapes up as a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview between two of the league’s top teams. The Bucks are fresh from a 10-point loss to the Warriors on Saturday, a game that saw Giannis rack up 22-points and 15-rebounds. Milwaukee were killed from the field by Golden State though as they allowed the Warriors to shoot over 41%. We should see a similar theme unfold with a healthy Kyle Lowry and Kawhi Leonard on the court.
San Antonio Spurs vs Utah Jazz
The Jazz are on a roll right now, and they come into this game on three days rest. It was the Derrick Favors/Joe Ingles show during Friday’s 27-point win over the Rockets, and with a strong 9-7 record on the road, you have to like Utah’s chances today. It is worth keeping in mind the 12-14 Spurs put up big numbers in their home win over the Lakers on Saturday though, so this one should be closer than the standings might have you think.
New York Knicks vs Charlotte Hornets
It’s been nothing but misery for the Knicks lately as they find themselves in the midst of a serious three-game skid. Charlotte, on the other hand, have recent wins over the Nuggets, Bucks and Celtics to their name, while the Kemba Walker madness only continues. The Points Total has resulted in the Over in all of the Hornets’ last five trips to the Garden to face the Knicks, so that looks like the safest play today.
Saturday 8th December
Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers
The 17-9 Sixers enter this game coming off a tough road loss to the Raptors on Thursday. It doesn’t get any easier for Philly as they now travel to Detroit to face a Pistons team that sits just four-games behind them on the Eastern Conference ladder. As their 9-4 record suggests, home court advantage is huge for Detroit today as they look to snap a two-game losing streak. Just two days removed from Blake Griffin’s 31-point game against the Bucks, the Pistons should do just that.
San Antonio Spurs vs Los Angeles Lakers
It’s a re-do of Thursday’s game between the Spurs and the Lakers, one that saw LeBron go off for a casual 42-points. LA will travel to San Antonio without guard Brandon Ingram as he nurses an ankle injury sustained during Thursday’s win. Not to worry though, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope filled in for Ingram just fine two nights ago contributing with 12-points. The Lakers have now strung together four straight, and they should be able to pick up another over the luckless Spurs.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors
Are we looking at a potential Finals preview here? With a 12-2 record at home, the Bucks enter this one as the favourite, but you only have to look at the Warriors’ big win over the Cavs on Thursday to know Golden State are back to full strength. Stephen Curry put up 42-points in the win, while Kevin Durant fell just one assist shy of a triple-double. Even so, Milwaukee rank seventh in the league in defensive rating and Top 10 in rebounds, making the Unders a good play with the winner proving tough to pick.
Friday 7th December
Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks
The Knicks are 8-17 on the year, but you wouldn’t know it judging by their last few games. New York held on for a narrow win at home over the Bucks on Sunday and were unlucky to lose by three to the Wizards two days later. The last time these two teams met back in October Boston survived a late scare to win by only three-points at the Garden. If Emmanuel Mudiay can chip away inside, New York could keep this one closer than it should be.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns
This lines up as a tough game to read between two teams at the opposite ends of the Western Conference. The Blazers have now lost seven of their last 10-games, while the 4-20 Suns are riding a six-game losing streak. The Total has resulted in the Over in 58.3% of Portland’s games this season, which seems on point considering Damian Lillard has scored at least 30-points in four of his last five games. This should be one for the Blazers to get things back on track at home.
Utah Jazz vs Houston Rockets
This is a big game for the 11-12 Rockets as they hope to turn their season around. A win on the road over the Jazz would see them leapfrog Utah for the 11th spot in the Western Conference, although no one would blame you for having little faith in Houston right now. The Rockets are 5-5 in their last 10-games, but the play of Clint Capela has been encouraging. Alongside James Harden, who leads the league in scoring, Capela has posted a double-double in eight of his last 10-games. Utah, meanwhile, boast a hapless 3-6 record at home.
Thursday 6th December
Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers
The 20-5 Raptors sit atop the Eastern Conference, but their home loss to the Nuggets on Tuesday showed just how dependable they are on Kyle Lowry. Playing despite a back injury, Lowry shot 1-of-7 from the field for five-points. Toronto looked flat without one of their best mid-range shooters, and with his health still questionable, it plays into the hands of the Sixers tonight. The only way to stifle Philly is from the perimeter, which is difficult with Lowry less than 100%. Kawhi Leonard should lap up the extra ball-time, but look for the league’s leading rebounder Joel Embiid to capitalise and keep Philly within reach.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Charlotte Hornets
Things are really starting to click for the Wolves in the aftermath of the Jimmy Butler trade. Now at 12-12, Minnesota have won seven of their last 10-games thanks to a concerted effort that sees them rank third in defensive rating in the same time span. Karl Anthony-Towns cemented his All-Star bid with 24-points and 11-rebounds two days ago in the Wolves’ blowout win over the Rockets, while the outside presence of Robert Covington is really helping them spread the floor. There’s a lot to like about this Minnesota side right now.
Los Angeles Lakers vs San Antonio Spurs
Having now lost six of their last 10-games, the 11-13 Spurs are going nowhere fast. San Antonio have a miserable 4-9 road record, and after losing by 34-points to the Jazz yesterday, there’s no reprieve in sight as they travel to face a Lakers team on a three-game win streak. LeBron scored 22-points on 9-of-17 shooting during Monday’s win over the Suns, while Lonzo Ball also impressed with four steals. In their last 10-games the Lakers have held the sixth best defensive rating in the league, which should be more than enough to hold DeMar DeRozan and Lamarcus Aldridge quiet.
Wednesday 5th December
Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic
After storming inside the Eastern Conference’s Top 8, the 11-12 Magic have cooled off recently winning just five of their last 10-games. They do however have a match up advantage with Nikola Vucevic playing on Heat center Hasaan Whiteside today. We’ve seen Miami’s big man struggle with tough assignments before, while we’ve also seen Vucevic annihilate premier centers on more than one occasion. Vucevic put up 25-points and 15 rebounds on Deandre Ayton two nights ago, which makes the Magic very likable at these odds.
Dallas Mavericks vs Portland Trail Blazers
Nobody wants a piece of Dallas and Luka Doncic right now, especially at home. The Mavericks are 9-2 at American Airlines Center, and they are certainly capable of taking down a Trail Blazers team that has seriously fallen from grace. Portland have won just three of their last 10-games and are currently ranked 20th in overall defensive rating. That spells a big game from King Luka and the rest of the Mavs offence.
Utah Jazz vs San Antonio Spurs
The Jazz and the Spurs had high hopes for the season, which has so far been a short-lived dream. Both sides sit in the cellar of the Western Conference having now lost six of their last 10-games. No one would blame you for having zero confidence in either side head-to-head, but the Total has resulted in the Over in seven of their last 10 meetings, so that looks the safest play today.
Tuesday 4th December
Detroit Pistons vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Now at 14-7 on the year, the Thunder have stormed into the third spot in the Western Conference after winning seven of their last 10-games. OKC have also improved their road record along the way, but they now come face-to-face with a red hot Pistons team riding a five game winning streak. According to Kevin Durant, Blake Griffin is revolutionizing the power-forward position – and it shows in his stats having put up 26-points in a win over Golden State last week. The Thunder have shown a tendency to struggle with the big men this year, so expect another big one from Griffin and Andre Drummond.
Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets
The 15-7 Nuggets have strung together five straight wins, two of which came on the road over Oklahoma City and Portland last week. Defensively Denver are one of the best teams in the league, while the Raptors rank Top 5 in points-per-game. It’s never wise to back against Toronto at home, but this Denver defence is something special. Juancho Hernangomez and Paul Millsap combined for 21 rebounds in the win over the Blazers, so look for the Nuggets to keep this close.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets
The 11-11 Rockets head to Minnesota as the two-point favourite, but it’s the Points market you’ll want to pay attention to tonight. Not only are both of these sides horribly inconsistent at the moment, the Total has resulted in the Over in eight straight games for Houston. It’s no surprise to learn James Harden is the man responsible, as the star shooting guard put up 54-points last week in a loss to the Wizards.
Saturday 1st December
Detroit Pistons vs Chicago Bulls
The 5-17 Bulls are fresh from a narrow three-point loss to the Bucks on Thursday behind 48 combined points from Jabari Parker and Zach LaVine. Chicago have lost their last two games by no more than three-points, and have covered the line in 50% of their match ups this season. A trip to face the Pistons on the road is tough, especially considering Detroit’s 7-3 home record. The Unders looks a good play here.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards
The 15-8 Sixers have won seven of their last 10-games losing just once at home. Washington, on the other hand, fell by as many as 21-points on the road against the Pelicans on Thursday, which raises further concern with so many off-court dramas going on. Philly have shown tremendous fight over the last fortnight when they’re challenge in the fourth quarter, but this figures to be another game the Sixers can squeak out late.
Friday 30th November
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors
Steph Curry teased us with a possible return ahead of this game. It’s safe to say his inclusion would have made it a blockbuster, but as the odds suggest, this has Golden State loss written all over it. The Warriors return from a three day break after defeating the Magic on Tuesday, while the 18-4 Raptors hope to extend their winning streak to seven games. Toronto are winning at home by an average margin of 11.2-points, and with DeMar DeRozan sitting Top 20 in points-per-game and Kyle Lowry leading the league in assists, you just can’t back against the Raptors.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Indiana Pacers
Despite winning six of their last 10 games, the 13-8 Pacers haven’t beaten the Lakers in LA since 2015. Indiana are one of the few teams performing better on the road than they are at home this season, but it’s hard to see them upsetting the Lakers upon their return to the Staples Center. Fortunately, there is a worthwhile bet to be made today – the Total has resulted in the Under in close to 70% of LA’s games this season.
Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Clippers
The 14-6 Clippers are fresh from a road win last night over the Suns. Danilio Gallinari tied a season-high with his 27-point effort, while Boban Marjanovic chipped in with 12 handy rebounds. Now sitting atop the Western Conference, the Clips are firing on all cylinders right now. The Kings, meanwhile, continue to flirt with a winning record, and although they hold home court advantage in this one, keep in mind Sacramento are 2-8 in their last 10 games against LA.
Thursday 29th November
Milwaukee Bucks vs Chicago Bulls
The 14-6 Bucks sit second in the East after falling by three-points to the Hornets on Tuesday. Milwaukee last met Chicago a fortnight ago, a game the Bucks won comfortably by 19-points. The 5-16 Bulls aren’t a team that travels well, and they certainly aren’t a team that can control the glass. The Bulls rank third-last in the league in rebound percentage, which should literally play into Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton’s hands.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs
Since trading Jimmy Butler the Wolves have flunked to 11th in the Western Conference, although they are flirting with a .500 record after winning six of their last 10. In that time frame Minnesota hold the fourth best defensive rating in the league, which has helped them earn wins over the Blazers and Pelicans. At home the Wolves are 8-3, but they’ve typically kept things close in front of their home fans. Against a DeMar DeRozan and company, this should be another nailbiter.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Washington Wizards
The Wizards remain 2-7 on the road this year, which makes the Pelicans great value at home in this blockbuster match up between two under-performing teams. Interestingly enough, the Pelicans and the Wizards have been piling on the points this week, with both ranking Top 10 in points-per-game. Still, the Wizards have a variety of off-court issues to address with Bradley Beal and John Wall’s trade rumors, which could easily play a huge distraction ahead of this trip to New Orleans.
Wednesday 28th November
Detroit Pistons vs New York Knicks
The Knicks have strung together three straight wins including victories over the Celtics, Pelicans and Grizzlies. Two of those came on the road, so a victory today in Detroit isn’t entirely out of the question. Of course, let’s not forget the Pistons are one of the toughest teams to beat at home this year and are also riding a two-game win streak of their own. Ranking top three in offensive and defensive rebounds, it’s unlikely the Knicks get the better of Detroit today, and since 13 of their last 19 games have resulted in the Under, the Points market seems a sensible play.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Toronto Raptors
Both of these sides have won seven of their last 10 games, but it’s the 17-4 Raptors that enter as the favourite. Toronto are one of only five teams in the league to hold a winning record both at home and on the road, but it’s worth nothing both the Raptors and the Grizzlies rank inside the Top 10 in overall defensive rating this season. It’s unlikely Memphis has the talent to keep up with Toronto from the field, but with both playing tight D, this should be a bit of a low-scorer.
Denver Nuggets vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers’ gameplan looks pretty simple: have guys like Brandon Ingram and Kyle Kuzma do the work while LeBron James finishes the job. It appears to be working for the time being, and as a result LeBron is shooting close to a career high in three-point percentage. LA have had plenty of ups and downs over the last week, both of which came against the Magic. This looks like a perfect game for the Lakers to make up for it on the road against a Nuggets side struggling for points.
Tuesday 27th November
Charlotte Hornets vs Milwaukee Bucks
The 9-10 Hornets return back to Charlotte having lost both of their road games by narrow margins last week. In case you haven’t heard, Kemba Walker is making a serious All-Star case, which in turn has helped the Hornets rank Top 10 in points-per-game. There’s no doubt the Bucks are a tough team to face right now, but their 4-3 record on the road is pretty so-so. These two teams have played out some very close affairs recently, with their last four games decided by no more than five-points. These are nice odds for the Hornets to provide some value.
Player Pick: Kemba Walker to Score 10+ Points in the 1st Quarter @ $4.00
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Cleveland is once again BelieveLand, at least for the time being. The Cavs have strung together two straight over the Sixers and Rockets, which has some fans buying into the Cavs’ comeback. Really, this looks like nothing more than a fluke-ish hot streak, but one thing is certain: Collin Sexton is the real deal. The rookie put up 29-points against Houston, adding another threat alongside Kevin Love and Tristan Thompson on the perimeter. There’s a bit of belief back in Cleveland, so you need to ride it while it lasts.
Chicago Bulls vs San Antonio Spurs
You can see this Bulls team trending in the right direction, but it’s baby steps for now. Chicago continue to frustrate punters, especially against teams they should really be competitive against. The Spurs are by far the superior team, so there’s no use backing either side head-to-head here. The Bulls and Spurs do rank in the bottom half of the league in points-per-game though, which suggests this one should be relatively low-scoring.
Monday 26th November
Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers
The Sixers suffered their first home loss of the season to the lowly Cavs on Saturday. Even with Jimmy Butler, Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid putting up over 20-points, Philly struggled to contain the Cavs from three-point land. The 8-12 Nets don’t pose quite the same threat from the field, however Brooklyn have shown a tendency to push some of the league’s elite teams to the brink this season. After three days rest, don’t be surprised if the Nets take this one down to the wire.
Sacramento Kings vs Utah Jazz
These two sides met only four days ago, a game Sacramento won on the road by nine-points. The 10-9 Kings hold a poor recent record against the Jazz, however this season they rank Top 3 in three-point percentage. Yesterday the Kings lost narrowly by a point to Golden State, and with a 5-3 home record, you have to like them at this price.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Clippers
With the Warriors wounded, the Blazers had every opportunity to take control of the Western Conference, but have so far failed. Portland have now lost two straight by wide margins, which makes them hard to back as the favourite today. The Clippers, who currently sit atop the Conference, look a nice price in the head-to-head market, but their 4-5 record on the road says otherwise. The Total has resulted in the Under in four of the last five meetings between these two, so play it safe.
Saturday 24th November
Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat
The Bulls have one of the youngest and most exciting line ups in the league, and despite their ups and downs this season, have provided plenty of value in the Points market. In total, 61% of the Bulls’ games have resulted in the Under, which looks like a smart play today at home today against the Heat.
Indiana Pacers vs San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are riding a serious two game losing skid to go along with their miserable 2-6 away record. San Antonio were blown out on the road in New Orleans last week, while the Pacers have been one of the better teams at home to start the season. Indiana beat the Jazz at home by 17-points earlier in the week thanks to 21-points from Bojan Bogdanovic. The Pacers will need to rely on a similar performance from the big man with Victor Oladipo still out.
Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic
The Nuggets are one of the best defensive teams in the league and a win today could see them potentially leapfrog Golden State for fifth in the Western Conference. Denver are 7-3 at home, so it’s tough to back against them head-to-head, however the Magic haves shown plenty of resolve against much more talented opponents this season. The Magic fell two points short to the Raptors on Wednesday thanks to a last second shot in the final few seconds. They also beat the Lakers and the Sixers last week, so expect them to keep this close.
Thursday 22nd November
Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans
The 10-7 Pelicans take a trip to Philadelphia today to take on the Sixers and their three-game win streak. Philly’s acquisition of Jimmy Butler has already paid big dividends for the playoff hopefuls, and as their undefeated 9-0 record at home suggests, the Sixers remain untouchable at Wells Fargo Center. The Pelicans on the road have been less convincing – they’ve lost three games by 10-points or more this season. Given their form, take the Sixers in a blowout.
San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies
Four straight now for the Grizzlies. They’ve been rolling along nicely this month, and from a punting perspective, Memphis have been rather kind. The Grizzlies currently hold the best record at the line (11-5) in the league, and their second-best rated defence should see them come through today against a tough Spurs side on the road.
Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings
Don’t look now, but close to 65% of Utah’s games have resulted in the Over this season. The Kings on the other hand, have quickly turned into one of the surprise upset contenders of the season, in large part thanks to their strong offence which ranks ninth in points-per-game. Likewise, 10 of Sacramento’s 17 games have resulted in the Over this year, making the points market a likeable play today.
Wednesday 21st November
Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
Sitting sixth in the Eastern Conference, a win today for the Magic would make it 4/4 during this home stand. The 13-4 Raptors await, but despite their strong record on the road, Toronto will need to rely heavily on Kawhi Leonard with Kyle Lowry still nursing an ankle injury. Lowry is reportedly a game-time decision, but if he does indeed sit, the Raptors will be without one of their most efficient field goal shooters.
Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers
It’s meltdown mode in Washington right now as the Wizards are entertaining the idea of potentially trading John Wall and Bradley Beal. Head coach Scott Brooks is doing his best to cover up the disastrous start to the season, but as far as punting is concerned, you can’t touch the Wizards right now. The Clippers on the other hand, have won seven of their last eight games on their way to a 10-6 record at the line. Even on the road, stick with LA today.
Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets
At 6-10, it’s already looking like a lost year for the Heat in Dwyane Wade’s farewell season. Miami have lost their last two games, and although a win today could see them leapfrog Brooklyn for the ninth spot in the East, the Nets have shown they are capable of an upset on any given occasion. Unfortunately, both of these sides are way too unpredictable, but there is one thing you can hang your hat on: 11 of the Heat’s 16 games this year have resulted in the Over.
Tuesday 20th November
Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics
It’s Kyrie Irving vs. Kemba Walker tonight, two of the league’s hottest and most in-form scorers right now. Walker dropped 60-points in a three-point loss to the Sixers on Sunday, while Irving went off for 43 against the Raptors on Saturday. It’s doubtful we see a repeat of those numbers, but with both players finding nothing but net, the Points total set for this game looks a little narrow.
New Orleans Pelicans vs San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs are fresh from a 12-point home win over the under-strength Warriors, so they are probably the team to beat, right? Unfortunately, the Spurs are hardly a strong team on the road having lost five of their seven games away from home. That makes this trip to New Orleans all the more difficult, especially against a Pelicans side that are 7-1 at home. DeMar DeRozan is playing out of his skin right now, so this game should remain close, but with the West basically up for grabs right now, New Orleans should continue to work their way up.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Dallas Mavericks
Just like that, the Mavs have won four straight games. Dallas pulled off the unthinkable against the Warriors on Sunday, challenging Golden State and Kevin Durant to win by three-points in overtime . A tough trip to Memphis awaits, and as their 1-6 road record suggests, the Mavs are likely to struggle. In Dallas’ favour though is the Grizzlies’ scoring troubles, something the Mavs can attest to. The Under should be the safest play.
Monday 19th November
Miami Heat vs Los Angeles Lakers
The Lakers have won six of their last 10 games, but their Florida road trip got off to a rocky start on Saturday against the Magic. Similar to last season, LA have been notoriously inconsistent away from home, which fits in nicely with their 3-7 record against the Heat. Unfortunately, it’s hard to trust Miami straight up, but since they are one of the Top 10 teams in both offensive and defensive rebounds, the line looks handy.
Washington Wizards vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Blazers might be faking it ’till they make it. Although Portland sit second in the Western Conference behind the Warriors, keep in mind they’ve lost their last two games on the road by wide margins. The Wizards slipped up last week against the Nets at home but they remain one of the better ball handling teams in the league when it comes to turnovers. In case that isn’t enough, Washington are also 4-2 in their last six home games vs. Portland.
San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors
What a week it’s been for the defending champs. There’s been on court drama between Klay Thompson and Kevin Durant, Steph Curry’s injury, and a handful of losses against much-lesser opponents. The most recent of which came against Luka Doncic and the Mavs yesterday in overtime, and as a result, the Spurs go into this one as the home favourite. In case you missed it, DeMar DeRozan is doing some pretty freakish things with the ball right now, including putting up 34-points against the Clippers on Saturday.
Saturday 17th November
Philadelphia 76ers vs Utah Jazz
It was hardly the start to the Jimmy Butler honeymoon the Sixers were hoping for. Philly lost 111-106 against the Magic on Thursday, but they now travel back to the Wells Fargo Center where they are a perfect 7-0 at home. The Jazz, meanwhile, are fresh from a 50-point loss to the Mavs which sent them plummeting down to 21st in overall offensive rating. It was a quiet night for Butler against Orlando, but now that he’s had time to settle in, expect a Philly bounce back.
Washington Wizards vs Brooklyn Nets
The Wizards are finally spinning their wheels now, and wouldn’t you know it, they’ve won three straight, all of which have been by convincing margins. Now averaging 22.3 points-per-game, it appears as though Bradley Beal is really starting to heat up, and you could almost make an early All-Star case for him. At the opposite end of the spectrum, the Nets have now lost three straight, and with a poor record on the road, this should be a cruisy victory for Washington.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers
It almost felt like a weight had been lifted off the Wolves’ shoulders on Thursday night. Without Jimmy Butler, Karl-Anthony Towns and Andrew Wiggins enjoyed free rein on their way to a combined 48-points. Minnesota looked particularly strong in transition, almost as strong as their 6-1 record at home. It’s worth noting the Wolves are one of the worst defensive teams in the league though, while the Blazers are one of the top scoring sides ranked seventh in points-per-game. With the team finally free of distraction though, Minnesota should be able to keep this one close.
Friday 16th November
Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
Without Steph Curry and Draymond Green, the Warriors open as the rare underdogs ahead of today’s grudge match against the Rockets. It’s a rematch of last year’s Western Conference Final, and if you’ll recall, Golden State did lose two of their four games at the Toyota Centre. Houston have seriously improved over the last week, in large part thanks to Clint Capela. It’s doubtful he’ll shoot anywhere close to 73% from the field again tonight, but if he can put up 20+ points alongside James Harden, Houston will be tough to beat.
Denver Nuggets vs Atlanta Hawks
The Hawks have to feel pretty good about their performance against the under-strength Warriors on Wednesday. Atlanta took it to the reigning champs right up until the final buzzer, only to fall short by seven-points. As far as today goes, it’s well documented that the Nuggets are one of the best defensive teams in the league, but neither of these sides are particularly exciting from the field or on the glass. The Hawks young rookies should struggle against Denver’s defensive zones, but still take the Unders and play it safe.
Los Angeles Clippers vs San Antonio Spurs
These two sides have split their last 10 meetings five games apiece, although the Spurs will be feeling less than confident heading to Los Angeles after losing by 20 to the Suns yesterday. San Antonio have now lost two straight and are a miserable 2-4 on the road, making it hard to back Greg Popovich’s side here. The Clippers, meanwhile, are still riding the highs of Tuesday’s big win over the Warriors in overtime, making the hosts a great margin bet on two days rest.
Thursday 15th November
Orlando Magic vs Philadelphia 76ers
Jimmy Butler makes his debut this morning for the Sixers, and it appears the bookies are feeling generous with the spread. Orlando have shown upset capability this season, but in case you missed it, the Sixers are 7-0 at home. With another mouth to feed, all eyes will be on Butler in this game, who has big shoes to fill as he takes Robert Covington’s place.
Boston Celtics vs Chicago Bulls
Celtics guard Kyrie Irving has been quite vocal on his team’s struggles to start the season, suggesting the team could use a veteran big man capable of scoring points. Whether or not he was referring to Carmelo Anthony is another story, but as far as today’s game goes, it’s safe to expect minimal points. The Bulls have been one of the most frustrating sides when it comes to scoring, averaging the eighth fewest points-per-game, just two spots ahead of the Celtics.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers
This is probably one of the best value picks of the season. The Blazers currently sit just one-game behind Golden State in the Western Conference standings, and are riding the coattails of a handy four-game win streak. The Lakers? Well they too feature their own three-game win streak, but in case you hadn’t heard, the Blazers currently rank Top 10 in both offensive and defensive rebounds this season. Portland look way over the odds at this price, even with Damian Lillard less than 100%.
Wednesday 14th November
Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets
The Cavs have just one win to their name after 12-games of basketball, and it’s not about to get any easier today against the Hornets. Charlotte are who we thought they were – a fringe playoff team – but they are also one of the better scoring sides in the league ranking fifth in points-per-game. The Hornets will likely win this one comfortably, but the Cavs poor shooting record from the field makes the Unders a nice bet.
Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets
Quite the fascinating game between two of the West’s top contenders. On one hand, you’ve got James Harden, who just put up 40-points on the Pacers two days ago. On the other, you’ve got the Nuggets, one of the best defensive sides in the league. It’s a risky play either way, but the Nuggets have proven themselves, while the Rockets, even with Harden, have struggled against the Thunder and Spurs over the last fortnight. Until the Rockets show us otherwise, take Denver at the line.
Golden State Warriors vs Atlanta Hawks
The Warriors suffered their fourth loss of the season last night against the Clippers. It took an extra quarter of overtime, but it was a frustrating night for the reigning champs after Kevin Durant fouled out with three minutes to go. Golden State will take their anger out on the Hawks tonight, which only means one thing: a likely beat-down. They’ll have to do it without Steph Curry who hopes to return this week from a groin strain, but keep in mind, the Dubs lost back-to-back games only once last season.
Tuesday 13th November
Chicago Bulls vs Dallas Mavericks
Fred Hoiberg’s tenure as Chicago’s new coach is already off to a rocky start, with the Bulls boasting an ugly 4-9 record. Chicago don’t play defence, but they have been competitive against lesser (or equal) opponents over the last fortnight. Again, everything relies on Zach LaVine and Jabari Parker, both of whom combined for 37-points in the win over the Cavs on Sunday. Dallas are 0-6 on the road, so bank on the Bulls giving their home fans something to cheer about in this already lost season.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Phoenix Suns
The Thunder are rolling along nicely, and despite Sunday’s shock loss to the Mavericks, OKC have still won seven of their last 10 games. To hold a record like that, you have to play some pretty strong defence, and it’s not surprising to learn the Thunder currently rank second behind the Celtics in overall defensive rating. Billy Donovan’s side have piled on the point this season against less talented opponents, putting up 100-points or more against the Hornets, Wizards and Pelicans. The Over looks a nice play here against Phoenix.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors
The Dubs haven’t had everything their own way. The Bucks put the entire league on notice when they beat Golden State at home last week, and with the Clippers riding in from a win over the same Milwaukee side on Sunday, this shapes up as a must-watch game. If you’re feeling bold, taking the Clippers straight up certainly isn’t out of the question, but both of these sides have been less than convincing on defence to start the year, particularly when it comes to rebounds. This should be a good old fashioned West Coast points-fest.
Monday 12th November
Portland Trail Blazers vs Boston Celtics
Portland were less than convincing in their win over the Clippers last time out however they are full of confidence having won their last three games and an overall record of 9-3. Boston are on a bad road trip at the moment having lost 3 out of 4 so far and are in dire need of salvaging something out of this block of games. Kyrie Irving will be a big boost for the team having missed the game against Utah.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks
Lebron James and the Los Angeles Lakers are started to build momentum in season 2018/19. After starting the season 2-5, they have now won their 4 of their last 5 games. Lebron James has been their main attacking weapon. During this winning sequence, he has averaged 24.8 points and sic assists. His is also shooting the ball from beyond the arc well, shooting 42.3% from deep in November. This trend should continue here today.
Sunday 11th November
Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Nobody expected much from the Cavs this season, but this? Through 11 games, Cleveland have just one win to their name, and don’t look like earning a second one in a hurry. In case you hadn’t heard, it’s tough to win when you can’t score points, and not surprisingly, the Cavs rank dead last in three-pointers made. To be fair, the Bulls aren’t anything special this year either, but the combination of Zach LaVine and Jabari Parker continues to provide points. Take Chicago in a close one at home.
San Antonio Spurs vs Houston Rockets
The Rockets might have James Harden back, but as we saw on Friday, they still have major issues. Houston were pumped 98-80 by the Thunder in OKC, and their long road trip continues today as they travel to face the Spurs. Greg Popovich’s team are 4-2 at home to start the year, and are looking to end a two-game skid to keep themselves in fifth place in the Western Conference. The Spurs look well over the odds here, and if they can spread the floor and shutdown the Rockets from the perimeter, this is their game to lose.
Saturday 10th November
Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
On their day the Magic look capable of an upset, but at home? Not so much. Orlando are 2-5 at on their home court and are still a little too unpredictable to back straight up, even if they are over the odds here. The Magic are also averaging the fewest points-per-game this year, which coupled with the Wizards’ slow start, has the makings of a low-scoring affair.
Philadelphia 76ers vs Charlotte Hornets
The Hornets are always a nice upset pick, and having now won two straight, these are nice odds for Charlotte to pull off a road win over Philly tonight. Ben Simmons had a triple-double in the win over the Pacers two days ago, but the Hornets are of the best field-goal shooting sides in the competition. Charlotte are equally as successful from beyond the arc, three days rest following their 11-point win over the Hawks on Wednesday, the Hornets are more than capable of ending Philly’s undefeated streak at home.
Denver Nuggets vs Brooklyn Nets
The Nuggets have the second best defensive rating in the league, however they do rank in the bottom half of the league in offensive points-per-game. The Nets are quietly flirting with a .500 record, but they too have struggled to string together consecutive high-scoring nights from the field and on the glass. If numbers mean anything, this points toward’s a low-scoring game.
Friday 9th November
Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics
Boston’s lengthy road trip continues against the Suns. The Celtics have now lost two straight to the Bucks and Pacers, while head coach Brad Stevens has plenty of questions to field following his teams poor offensive start. Boston are the best team in the league defensively, but rank bottom five in points-per-game. There’s an obvious lack of spark compared to last year, and there’s likely a few disgruntled names in the line up right now, including Jaylen Brown. The Celtics should win this one against the lowly Suns, but just don’t expect it to be too high-scoring.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Houston Rockets
After starting the season 1-5, the Rockets have stormed back into playoff contention following James Harden’s return. Houston have now won three straight, and go into this home game well rested following a three day break. The Thunder on the other hand, return to the court on short rest after yesterday’s nine-point win over the Pacers. OKC have won only three of their last 10-games against Houston, and although they’ve been kind to punters at the line this year, the Thunder should fall just short on the road.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Los Angeles Clippers
Both Portland the Clippers rank Top 10 in points-per-game to start the year, and it just so happens LA’s Monrezl Harrell sits third in field-goal percentage. The Total has gone Over in four of the Clippers’ last six home games, which suggests the Points market is the play today.
Thursday 8th November
Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks
This game might be a tough watch between two ‘tankers’, but it does hold some value in the head-to-head market. The Hawks are 2-2 at home so far this season, while the Knicks have lost their last two straight. The line suggests this one will be close, especially with both teams ranking in the bottom half of the league in points-per-game. Atlanta are 4-1 in their last five games when playing at home against the Knicks, making them a great chance if their rookies are up to the challenge.
Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs
Neither the Heat nor the Spurs have been particularly strong defensively over the first month of the season. On the flip side, neither have been all that consistent from game to game, making the Points market the only sensible play today. The Total has gone Over in five of San Antonio’s last seven games on the road in Miami.
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks
Would you believe the Jazz are 0-4 at home this season? After such a strong playoff push last year, many thought Utah would be almost unbeatable at home this year, but so far they’ve lost to the Warriors, Grizzlies (twice) and Raptors. Fortunately, today might be the day the Jazz finally delight the home faithful with the Mavericks in town. In similar fashion, Dallas are 0-5 on the road to start the year, and are 1-5 in their last six games on the road in Utah.
Tuesday 6th November
Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets
The odds could swing in this one late, so make sure you load up early. Houston welcomed James Harden back on Sunday, and even with Eric Gordon out injured, the Rockets still managed to make short work of the Bulls. Gordon has been ruled out for today’s game, which leaves the bulk of the shooting work in Harden and James Ennis III’s hands. Fortunately, Ennis shot close to 63% from the field on Sunday, an effort he’ll need to replicate tonight if the Rockets are to get their season back on track.
New York Knicks vs Chicago Bulls
It should come as no surprise to learn the Knicks and Bulls rank inside the bottom 10 in points-per-game this season. Both teams failed to make it past 100-points in their last game, and since each team has been equally as poor defensively, the Points market is the only safe play in this one. The Total has resulted in the Under in six of the last 10 meetings between the Knicks and Bulls.
Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics
This is a fascinating match up between two low-scoring teams. It’s also a big statement game for the Celtics, who have been pretty so-so on the road this season. Don’t look now, but the Nuggets are 8-1 to start the year, but they’ll meet their match today against the stingiest defence in the league. The Celtics’ offense has been called into question recently, however Kyrie Irving is really starting to find some his mojo. Take the Celtics to bounce back from their narrow one-point loss to the Pacers on Sunday.
Monday 5th November
Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers
The ebbs and flows of the Nets’ young season continued last week as they slipped up at home against the under-strength Rockets. On their day, Brooklyn are capable of an upset, but this probably isn’t one of them. The Sixers back-up from their 10-point win over the Pistons at home last night, a victory that has now seen Philly string together two-straight. The Sixers won that one without Ben Simmons, and if they can see the same kind of production from Robert Covington and JJ Reddick from three tonight, this should be a close, but comfortable win.
Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks
We hate to beat the same ole’ drum, but what are the bookies seeing in the Wizards right now? Washington are 1-7 to start the season, and to make matters worse, John Wall is currently putting up career-worst numbers in the assists and turnover’s column. The Knicks don’t have a lot to celebrate right now, especially with a 1-3 record on the road. This still figures as a very winnable game for New York though considering Allonzo Trier continues to break out to start the season.
Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies
If the line was a little wider, the Suns would be a good play at home against the Grizzlies today. Since that isn’t the case though, the Points market looks like the play considering Memphis currently ranks fourth in the league in overall defensive rating. On the flip side, it’s no surprise to see the Suns rank third from the bottom in that category, however, it is a surprise to see the Grizzlies with the fourth-lowest points-per-game tally in the league. If any of that means anything, this should be a pretty low-scorer.
Sunday 4th November
Chicago Bulls vs Houston Rockets
James Harden returns for the trip to Chicago tonight, but Houston aren’t out of the woods just yet. Guard Eric Gordon will miss tonight’s game with a sore leg, leaving the 2-5 Rockets at a disadvantage from the field. The Bulls have been a nightmare for punters to start the season, with most of their winning hopes relying on Zach LaVine. Still, Antonio Blakeney has enjoyed a strong start to his second year in the league, and if he put up over 20-points again tonight, the Bulls can keep this close.
San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans
The line is pretty short ahead of this game, which might be a little generous to the 4-4 Pelicans who have struggled mightily on the road. Anthony Davis has missed two games over the last week, leaving New Orleans shorthanded without their biggest star. He’s playing tonight, but even so, the Pelicans’ miserable 3-21 record in their last 24 games in San Antonio is less than encouraging.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers
The Lakers have started the season 1-4 in road games, and it’s tough to back them straight up against this 6-2 Blazers team. There is some value in the Points market though, especially with both sides ranking Top 10 in points-per-game so far. Both of these teams have enjoyed a two day break, while LeBron put up a handy 29-point game against the Mavericks on Thursday. This should be quite the barn burner.
Saturday 3rd November
Brooklyn Nets vs Houston Rockets
You can take the dog out of the fight, but you certainly can’t take the MVP out of the Rockets. Houston are winless since James Harden went down with a hamstring injury last week, and to make matters worse for the 1-5 Rockets, they’ll now head to Brooklyn to face an up and about Nets team that won a thriller over the Pistons on Thursday. To be fair, the Nets haven’t been anything special, in fact they are turning the ball over at an alarming rate. But they do have belief and heart on their side, and they’ll certainly feel they can win this against an understrength Houston outfit.
Chicago Bulls vs Indiana Pacers
The Bulls were pulled apart by the Warriors last week, surrendering a 90-point first half to Golden State in an ugly Klay Thompson fueled blowout. Not surprisingly, Chicago rank in the bottom ten in points-per-game so far, but so do the Pacers, who have endured an up and down start to the year. The Unders market looks a good play between these two slow starters.
Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder
If you’ve been paying attention to the the Wizards’ early season woes, then these are odds you simply can’t pass up. Washington’s abysmal start to the season has seen them go 0-2 at home, and against a classy side like the Thunder – who by the way, rank second in the league in offensive rebounds – it’s hard to see the Wizards putting up much of a fight. Rumors are that the John Wall and Bradley Beal romance is on the rocks, which doesn’t fill you with confidence considering Russell Westbrook shot 50% from the field two nights ago.
Friday 2nd November
Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
Big time statement game between two big time contenders in the East. Plenty called into question the talent around Giannis Antetokounmpo to start the season, but so far, the Bucks have been balling. Milwaukee have been spacing the floor and knocking down contested threes, good for the sixth overall offensive rating in the league. Boston’s defensive efforts have been mighty to start the year, but it’s clear they are lacking a little something on the offensive side of the ball. Take the Bucks to keep this close.
Portland Trail Blazers vs New Orleans Pelicans
Both Portland and New Orleans have endured their fair share of ups and downs to start the year, and it’s fair to say, today’s game might be a bit of a playoff preview. It’s also fair to say that this game might be played in close quarters, as the Blazers and Pelicans currently rank Top 10 in overall rebound percentage. Back the Unders in what should be a very defensive and scrappy game.
Thursday 1st November
Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons
The Pistons came undone for the second time in a row yesterday against the Celtics, but they should take heart in the fact they gave Boston a serious run for their money on their home court. Blake Griffin finished with a handy 24-points while Reggie Bullock enjoyed a nice night from the field, and if we consider the Nets shot 40% from the field against a C-grade Knicks defence just two days ago, this should be a nice open night on the floor for Detroit to bounce back.
New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers
It’s already become clear that the Pacers probably aren’t up to scratch the with the NBA’s elite. They were manhandled by the Bucks to start the year, and more recently received a 10-point hiding against the Blazers on Tuesday. Indiana have, however, been superior against much weaker opponents, taking care of the Cavs twice already this season as well as the Nets and Grizzlies. Most importantly, the Pacers are 2-2 on the road to start the year, which should have you feeling confident against a selfish Knicks team that’s recorded the second-fewest assists all year.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Dallas Mavericks
The Lakers might look a 50-win team at best, but on the stat sheet, they’ve quietly been ticking all the boxes. LA rank third in the league in points-per-game, fourth in assists, and fifth in steals. The problem is, not everyone is on the same page, and it’s already apparent it’ll take more than just an MVP season from LeBron to turn this ship around. At home, the Lakers should win, however they do meet a Mavericks team that leads the league in defensive rebound percentage. This should be another nail-biter.
Wednesday 31st October
Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings
Given the Kings have currently sit ninth in the West following wins over the Thunder, Grizzlies, Wizards and Heat, this feels a little like overs. Sacramento have quickly developed into a tidy shooting team shooting 50% from the field, and as we saw during Tuesday’s win over Miami, when center Willie Cauley Stein is on, the Kings are tough to stop. The big man is averaging close to 18.0 points-per-game to start the season, which might give Orlando’s bigs some trouble.
Boston Celtics vs Detroit Pistons
These two sides square off for the second time in three days after the Celtics took Sunday’s meeting 109-89. Despite Blake Griffin and Jaylen Brown’s terrific starts to the season, the Celtics and the Pistons rank inside the bottom half of the league in points-per-game. With both sides holding four wins apiece, Boston look like they are still warming up, while the lack of bench depth for Detroit makes them a little inconsistent at times. This game should be a nice Unders play between two of the East’s top contenders.
Memphis Grizzlies vs Washington Wizards
Neither of these sides have been convincing during the first month of the season. The 3-2 Grizzlies have only managed wins over the Hawks, Jazz and Suns, while the 1-5 Wizards have struggled mightily on the road. Surprisingly enough though, Washington rank ninth in the league in field goal percentage and points-per-game. They’ve endured some tough games against the Raptors, Warriors and Clippers so far, but this is the kind of road game they are more than capable of winning if they get clean looks at the basket.
Tuesday 30th October
New York Knicks vs Brooklyn Nets
Just 24 hours after giving the Warriors a late scare, the Nets hope to bounce back against the Knicks at the Garden.. Brooklyn were down by as much as 14-points in the fourth quarter before going on a 13-2 run to eventually lose 120-114. Take nothing away from Brooklyn though, it was a gallant effort against an unstoppable Steph Curry. The biggest positive for Brooklyn came in the form of Caris LeVert, who was a demon in the paint finishing with 23-points. That kind of performance again tonight could give the Knicks trouble.
Chicago Bulls vs Golden State Warriors
The Bulls have enjoyed a handy two day’s rest following their win over the Hawks on Saturday, while Golden State, meanwhile, travel from Brooklyn just 24 hours after surviving a last minute scare against the Nets. Steph Curry is up to his usual tricks right now, including breaking the record for most three-pointers made in consecutive games. Still, Zach LaVine is quietly doing some big things himself in Chicago, and another 20+ plus point effort should see the Bulls within 10-points during the fourth.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers
This seems a little like Overs, which has become a common theme given the Wolves’ off-court distractions so far this season. Even with the locker room in turmoil though, Jimmy Butler continues to put up big numbers, but he’ll especially be looking to make up for his lousy four-point performance against the Bucks last week. With three days rest, and home-court advantage, these are nice odds for the Wolves against a very hit and miss Lakers side.
Monday 29th October
Dallas Mavericks vs Utah Jazz
The Jazz have been solid value for punters so far this season, already having beaten the Blazers, Rockets and Pelicans. Better yet, they’ve been able to put points on the board with relative ease, having scored 100-points or less only once this year. Dallas, meanwhile, have scored over 100 in all five of their games, making the Overs a good play today.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Washington Wizards
With a days rest for both of these sides, this morning’s game in Los Angeles should be fascinating. The Wizards were disappointing on Saturday though, hanging tight with the Kings right up until the dying stages of the fourth quarter. The Clippers however, made short work of the understrength Warriors, and considering Washington are now 1-11 in their last 12 home games, LA looks pretty safe in a close one.
Saturday 27th October
New Orleans Pelicans vs Brooklyn Nets
The New Orleans Pelicans are one of the most reliable betting sides in the NBA – they generally get the job done when they are expected to and they have won their past 17 games as favourites. Their record against the Brooklyn Nets is also very strong and they should prove far too good for their rivals.
Sacramento Kings vs Washington Wizards
The Sacramento Kings are outstanding value at their current price and easily the best best of the afternoon. The home side has generally had the edge between these two sides and the Washington Wizards have lost ten of their past 11 games on the road.
Friday 26th October
Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers
Life after LeBron is pretty lame right about now. The Cavs gave up a team high 22 three-pointers to the Hawks last week, and backed it up by allowing 14 yesterday against the Nets. Covering the perimeter looks to be a challenge for Cleveland going forward, which isn’t what you want facing this red hot Pistons team led by Blake Griffin and his 50-point performance on Wednesday. Detroit should have no trouble spreading the floor, leaving the Pistons with a less nerve-wracking win for the home fans after Wednesday’s overtime onslaught against the Sixers.
Orlando Magic vs Portland Trail Blazers
As the Celtics found out the hard way, the Magic are no cakewalk down in Orlando. This young side could surprise with 30 wins this season, however they will have their hands full against the number one overall rebounding side in the league tonight. The Blazers are fresh from a heartbreaking one-point loss to the Wizards on Wednesday in a game that saw Damian Lillard and Josef Nurkic combine for 51-points. Expect the Magic to keep it close, but the Blazers should bounce back.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Boston Celtics
It’s been a sluggish start to the season for both of these sides, but there’s far more concern surrounding the Thunder right now. They’ve had two days to dwell on their homecourt loss to the Kings on Tuesday, a game that saw Iman Shumpert dominate from the field shooting 69% for 26-points. In case you missed it, Boston’s shooters are elite, which should play into the hands of Gordon Hayward and Jayson Tatum nicely.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets
There’s no rest for the wicked this week as the Lakers prepare for the second game of their double-header following a win over Phoenix on Thursday. The stat sheet tells the full story with Lance Stephenson outscoring LeBron in the win against the Suns, but both will need 25+ point efforts if they are to trounce the Nuggets’ number one ranked defence. With their tail up though, this feels like the perfect time for the Lakers, and LeBron, to get their first win in LA.
Thursday 25th October
Chicago Bulls vs Charlotte Hornets
It’s been a rough start to Fred Hoiberg’s tenure in Chicago, having already lost their opening three games in less than convincing fashion. The Bulls will take heart in the fact that Zach LaVine has been balling though, and after putting up 34-points two nights ago against the Mavericks, Chicago are definitely showing signs of improvement. The Hornets haven’t won on the road in Chicago since 2015, so today’s game against Charlotte poses a winning chance for the Bulls at some pretty nice odds.
San Antonio Spurts vs Indiana Pacers
The Spurs put up 143-points on the Lakers on Tuesday, in large part thanks to shooting 53% from three-point range. It’s been a rocky start to the season for the Pacers at 2-2, but if there’s any team that can rack up the points, it’s Indiana. Victor Oladipo is still yet to hit full stride despite a 20-point outing against the Wolves, but if he can shoot a little better from the field, there could be some crooked numbers on the scoreboard.
Sacramento Kings vs Memphis Grizzlies
It’s only been a week, so it’s way too early to get excited. But just quietly, the Kings have been the best three-point shooting team in the competition to start the season Unfortunately, they might meet their match at home today against a Grizzlies side that ranks sixth in overall defensive rating to start the year. If those two factors cancel each other out, we could be in for a bit of a low-scoring affair.
Wednesday 24th October
Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons
Things have gone from moderately bad to moderately worse for the Sixers to start the season. By all reports, Ben Simmons is doubtful ahead of today’s clash against the Pistons, which doesn’t bode well for Philly after they just scraped home against the Magic on Sunday. Speaking of less than convincing, what do we make of Detroit? Blake Griffin has been great, but they too survived by the skin of their teeth against the Bulls. The Total has gone under in five of Philly’s last seven games against the Pistons, so since it’s tough to pick a winner, stick with the points market.
New Orleans Pelicans vs Los Angeles Clippers
Maybe the Clippers should have waved goodbye to the whole Lob City thing long ago. It’s only been a week, but the Clips are fresh from a three-point win over the Rockets to put them at 2-1 on the season. LA’s front court has been putting in work, especially Tobias Harris, who had 23-points against Houston. The Clippers have been great on the glass to start the season ranking 10th in total rebounds, and if they can limit the Pelicans from three, they could hold tight as the underdogs on the road.
Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings
Undefeated and a victory over the Dubs, what more could you ask for? The Nuggets have been on a roll to start the season, and on an individual level, so has Nikola Jokic, who chipped in with 11 rebounds and 23-points in the win over the Warriors. The Kings have proved no push-over to start the season, but with no significant bigs going up against a team that limited Draymond Green to four-points a day ago, it’s tough to look past Denver at home.
Tuesday 23rd October
Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers
The Minnesota Timberwolves are a franchise with plenty of issues and the Indiana Pacers are well-placed to take advantage of that. The Pacers are one of the most underrated sides in the NBA from a betting perspective and they have been a highly profitable betting play as away underdogs over the past 12 months. The $2.20 that is currently available is well and truly over the odds.
Portland Trail Blazers vs Washington Wizards
Backing the Under in Total Points betting was a profitable betting play last season and, long-term, I don’t see that changing this year. The Under saluted in 57% of games played by the Portland Trail Blazers last season and 54.6% of Washington Wizards fixtures.
Golden State Warriors vs Phoenix Suns
It has been a very shakey start to the season for the Golden State Warriors and they suffered a surprise loss at the hands of the Denver Nuggets. Consistency continues to be an issue for the Phoenix Suns, but they have shown some signs of promise and they generally aren’t disgraced against the best sides in the competition. This will be closer than the market suggests and the Suns are capable of covering the line.
Monday 22nd October
Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings
The Oklahoma City Thunder should be able to win this game comfortably, but the line of 11 points is excessive. Oklahoma City had a poor record against the line as home favourites last season, while the Sacramento Kings have covered the line in 19 of their past 30 games as away underdogs. This game will be closer than the market suggests.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors
There should be plenty of points in what shapes to be an intriguing clash between the Denver Nuggets and the Golden State Warriors. Backing the Over in the Total Points market in Warriors game has been a winning play for a number of season now and the Nuggets have put up big points against the Los Angeles Clippers and Denver Nuggets so far this season.
Los Angeles Clippers vs Houston Rockets
Winning on the road is not an issue for the Houston Rockets and they are great value to upset the Los Angeles Clippers in this contest. It has been an inconsistent start to the season for the Rockets, they were awful defensively against the New Orleans Pelicans in their season opener, but they have been strong on offence and they can upstage their rivals.
Sunday 21st October
Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets
The bookies have been a little harsh on the Hornets to start the season. They were unlucky to lose by a point to the Bucks on Thursday, while their beat down over the Magic yesterday highlighted just how dangerous this team can be. The short turnaround on the road is a question here, but the Heat have been a huge question mark to start the season, particularly in the paint. Another 20-plus point performance from Kemba Walker should make Charlotte pretty safe at the line.
Washington Wizards vs Toronto Raptors
Can Toronto back up their gritty performance against the Celtics on Saturday to pinch a win away from home here? History says so – the Raptors are 6-3 when playing on the road against the Wizards, and in case you haven’t been paying attention, the Kawhi Leonard trade has already paid dividends for Toronto following a big 31-point performance last night.
Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns
Tough to make something of this Nuggets team right now. They were picked apart by the Clippers on Thursday, and looked a little troubled by Tobias Harris in the paint. The Suns will be a risky play all season, however it’s hard to look past Devin Booker’s 35-point game over the Mavs on Friday. If Phoenix can rely on their perimeter shooting, you could make a case for a Suns win. But at the very least, they’re should keep this game close.