Daily NBA Tips

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Our Daily NBA Tips cover all the key games throughout the 2019/2020 NBA season and there is no better place to bet on all the action than Ladbrokes.

Not only do we have a wide range of markets available, but we also offer daily Player Picks and other special offers for each key game.

You would be silly to bet on the NBA anywhere else this season, so be sure to check out all of our best bets below!

Monday 28th September

Miami Heat Vs Boston Celtics

Monday September 28, 9:35am

Game 6 - MIA Leads 3-2

The Celtics extended the series on Saturday with a 13-point win as they now find themselves -3 favourites to force a Game 7.

Jaylen Brown and Jayson Tatum were outstanding in Game 5 combining for 45 points, but I really think Miami are being undervalued here.

The Heat had a complete meltdown in the third quarter that cost them on Saturday, something I’m certain Erik Spoelstra would have addressed during their day off.

It’s also doubtful we see Jimmy Butler and Bam Adebayo struggle to make shots for the second game in a row.

The pair both finished just 5-of-11 from the field with less than 20-points in Game 5, largely due to Boston’s strong perimeter defence.

Fortunately for Heat fans, Miami have been outstanding after a previous loss playing to a league-best 23-8 record against the spread.

This game should be very close, so I’m taking Miami with some insurance on offer.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 27th September

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Denver Nuggets

Sunday September 27, 11:05am

Game 5 - LAL Leads 3-1

The bookies are clearly factoring in Denver’s freakish record when facing a 3-1 deficit on Sunday.

The Nuggets were +6 underdogs in Game 4, but they’ve since opened at +4.5 with their season on the line.

Anthony Davis was the deciding factor last Friday with a huge 34-point performance, but it’s difficult to bank on a repeat with AD currently listed as questionable with an ankle injury.

The Nuggets have been a consistently good bet following a previous loss this year going 21-11-3 against the spread, so I’m with them to extend this series a little further.

Nikola Jokic, who put up only 16 points in Game 4, has consistently bounced-back throughout his career following a performance of 20-points or less in the playoffs, so I’m willing to bet we see a much-improved performance from Denver as a whole.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Player Performance: Nikola Jokic Over the Points Total

Friday 25th September

Denver Nuggets Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Friday September 25, 11:05am

Game 4 - LAL Leads 2-1

The Nuggets managed to get one back against the Lakers in Game 3 thanks to a career-high 26-point night from forward Jerami Grant.

Despite winning by eight points, Denver still find themselves at +6 in the market heading into Game 4, which is largely due to LA’s outstanding record following a loss.

The Lakers are 14-7 straight-up in this scenario, which makes them a good bet to respond after shooting horribly from three during Wednesday’s game.

Los Angeles very rarely shoot less than 30% from beyond the arc, while it’s highly unlikely the Nuggets receive another big performance from Grant.

This is a fairly big line to cover in a playoff game, but with a day off to regroup, I’m with the Lakers all the way.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-6 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 24th September

Miami Heat Vs Boston Celtics

Thursday September 24, 10:35am

Game 3 - MIA Leads 2-1

Miami appear to be a little undervalued in the market heading into Game 4 on Thursday.

The Heat were outclassed by the Celtics and Brad Stevens’ adjustments in Game 3, but if there’s one thing Miami have been all season, it’s consistent following a previous loss.

Erik Spoelstra’s side is a league-best 22-8 against the spread in this scenario, so I’m happy to have the Heat at +3 to at least keep this close.

Miami’s biggest problem on Sunday was their inability to score points from three.

The Heat shot just 27% from beyond the arc, which is highly uncharacteristic for a team that has been one of the most efficient from downtown during the playoffs.

With a few days off to regroup, I expect Miami to respond.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 23rd September

Denver Nuggets Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Wednesday September 23, 11:05am

Game 3 - LAL Leads 2-0

The Lakers moved one step closer to the Finals on Monday thanks to Anthony Davis’ buzzer-beater in Game 2.

Not surprisingly, the Lakers are being favoured heavily to go ahead 3-0 in the series, meaning you’ll need to search hard for value in the market to make a profit.

The bookies set the Total Points Line at 215 for Game 2, and we’re getting a similar line here with only 214.

Even with Davis and Nikola Jokic putting up 30 points each, the Total still went Under on Monday, so there’s a good chance we see a similar outcome here.

The Total has now gone Under in eight of Denver’s last 10 games and four of LA’s last five, so stick with what’s working.

Tip: Under 214 Total Points @ $1.90

Player Performance: Nikola Jokic Under 24.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Monday 21st September

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Denver Nuggets

Monday September 21, 10:35am

Game 2 - LAL Leads 1-0

Rest served the Lakers well heading into Game 1 as they handed the Nuggets a 12-point loss.

The two sides combined for 240 points on Saturday, so it is a little surprising to find the Total Points Line set at only 215.5 heading into Monday’s Game 2.

LeBron James is set to play through his groin injury alongside Rajon Rondo, so there’s a good chance we’re treated to another high-scoring game with Denver looking to bounce back.

The last three meetings between these two sides have all gone Over the Total, so I’m happy to stick with the trends.

Tip: Over 215.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Sunday 20th September

Miami Heat Vs Boston Celtics

Sunday September 20, 10:35am

Game 3 - MIA Leads 2-0

The Heat held on for a five-point win over the Celtics in Game 2 on Friday, but for whatever reason, they still find themselves as the underdog heading into Game 3.

Boston certainly left a lot to be desired defensively in the second half after once again blowing a double digit lead. That being said, I’m happy to side with the market here and back the Celtics to respond.

Marcus Smart and Jaylen Brown got into a pretty heated argument in the locker room following Game 2, which might just be enough to motivate the entire lineup to knuckle down and focus on the job at hand.

The Celtics have also listed Gordon Hayward as questionable for Game 3, but since the series is basically on the line, I wouldn’t be surprised if he plays.

Aside from the players on the floor, plenty of pressure is also on Brad Stevens to adjust schematically, something he’s done time and time again during this year’s playoffs.

We’ve seen several teams blow 2-0, and even 3-0 leads during the postseason, so I don’t think the Celtics are done just yet.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 19th September

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Denver Nuggets

Saturday September 19, 11:05am

Game 1

The Lakers have enjoyed six days to prepare for the Conference Finals after disposing of the Rockets 4-1 last Sunday.

Denver, on the other hand, surprisingly won Game 7 quite comfortably against the Clippers on Wednesday as they try and carry some of that momentum over on short rest.

The Nuggets are laying +7 here, but I can’t have them against a well-rested Lakers side.

Denver’s biggest strength during the playoffs has been their three-point shooting, but I don’t think that will challenge Los Angeles based on the way they shutdown James Harden during the Semi’s.

The Nuggets were also enormous on the boards in Game 7 against the Clippers, but again, the Lakers have allowed the fewest rebounds to opponents of any team that qualified for the postseason.

This series could very easily go the distance, but I’m with LA to make a statement nice and early.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 18th September

Boston Celtics Vs Miami Heat

Friday September 18, 9:05am

Game 2 - MIA Leads 1-0

The Heat have captured the early momentum in this series thanks to Bam Adebayo’s overtime block in Game 1, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies from siding with the Celtics to bounce back on Friday.

I tend to agree with the market based on Boston’s resiliency during their seven game series against the Raptors.

Brad Stevens tends to do his best strategic work following a previous loss, and the Celtics’ 17-8-2 record against the spread following a defeat reflects that.

Boston also allowed Miami to shoot close to 45% from three during Game 1, which is very uncharacteristic.

The Celtics have typically been one of the best defensive sides around the perimeter all series, so I’m backing Boston to get back on track here.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 16th September

Boston Celtics Vs Miami Heat

Wednesday September 16, 8:35am

Game 1

This should be a fascinating series between two of the league’s top defensive teams.

The Celtics and the Heat both held the Raptors and the Bucks to under 100 points in their series clinching wins last week, so I’m leaning towards the Under in Game 1 with a very generous Total on offer.

Miami’s biggest strength this year has been on the glass where they’ve allowed the second-fewest rebounds to opponents during the playoffs.

The Celtics, on the other hand, have been an elite team on the perimeter holding teams to under 31% from three.

Six of the last 10 games between these two sides have fallen Under the Total including each of the last three.

With rest on their side and both coaches having plenty of time to prepare, I expect we’ll see a fairly composed game.

Tip: Under 209.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Player Performance: Jayson Tatum Under 26.5 Total Points @ $1.83

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Denver Nuggets

Wednesday September 16, 11:05am

Game 7

A date with the Lakers awaits Wednesday’s Game 7 winner, and judging by the market, it’s a foregone conclusion.

The Nuggets are +7.5 underdogs in betting despite forcing another decider on Monday with a 111-98 win.

Denver shot over 54% from the field and close to 50% from three, which didn’t come as a surprise considering the Clippers have struggled to defend against top shooting sides for most of the year.

Backing another 30-point double-double from Nikola Jokic might be a bit of a stretch, but I wouldn’t be surprised if he puts up another big game with Denver’s season on the line.

The Nuggets will hold bad memories of last year’s Game 7 loss to Portland in the Semi’s, a result they’ve likely been stewing on all year.

If the defence can limit the Clippers from beyond the arc like they did in Game 6, they should be right in this.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $1.90

Player Performance: Nikola Jokic Over 32.5 Points/Assists @ $1.87

Sunday 13th September

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Houston Rockets

Sunday September 13, 10:00am

Game 5 – LAL lead 3-1

The Rockets have fallen into a heap during the last two games of this series and it’s very difficult to see them keeping this series alive.

James Harden struggled mightily in Game 4, while the absence of some key bench players isn’t making life any easier for head coach Mike D’Antoni.

The biggest win for the Lakers during this series has been on the boards.

Anthony Davis and Lebron James helped themselves to a combined 27 rebounds on Friday, which in turn created plenty of opportunities for LeBron to finish just one board shy of a triple double.

The Lakers have now covered in each of their last three games against the Rockets, so with a chance to close this series out and gain some added rest heading into the Conference Finals, I’m with LA all the way.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 12th September

Toronto Raptors Vs Boston Celtics

Saturday September 12, 11:15am

Game 7 – Series Tied 3-3

One of these two sides will advance to the Eastern Conference Finals on Saturday in what is shaping up to be one of the games of the year.

The Raptors forced a decider with their hard-fought double OT win on Thursday, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies from siding with the Celtics as the -3.5 favourites.

Boston has been a great bounce-back bet all year going 16-8-2 against the spread following a previous loss.

That said, I am wary of Toronto’s constant ability to come up big in the clutch – much like they did in Game 3 and Game 6.

The Under has been a very safe play during this series as both sides continue to throw out different looks defensively.

The off-court battle between Nick Nurse and Brad Stevens has been just as fascinating as the action on the court, but after giving up 33 points to Kyle Lowry and 23 to Norman Powell on Thursday, I do expect the Celtics to adjust like they did in Game 5.

The Total has gone Under in six of the last 10 games between these two sides, so even with the Points Line dropping down to 204, I’m happy to side with a low-scoring game.

Tip: Under 204 Points @ $1.90

Friday 11th September

Houston Rockets Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Friday September 11, 9:15am

Game 4 - LAL lead 2-1

Game 4 of this series should be a telling one after the Lakers raced away with a comfortable 10-point victory over the Rockets in the fourth quarter on Wednesday.

Both sides combined for 214 points in Game 3, so I’m a little curious as to why the Points Line has been set at 220.5 for Friday’s meeting.

James Harden and LeBron James both had over 30-points in Game 3 but the two sides both fell short of covering the Total.

This has become an emerging trend between these sides with four of the last five games going Under, so I’m backing this one to be low scoring yet again.

Tip: Under 220.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Thursday 10th September

Boston Celtics Vs Toronto Raptors

Thursday September 10, 8:35am

Game 6

Much like the Heat yesterday, I’m with the Celtics to close out their series against the Raptors.

Brad Stevens matched Toronto’s defensive pressure beautifully in Boston’s 111-89 blowout win on Tuesday and I really don’t think the Raptors have enough healthy pieces to rebound.

Serge Ibaka was seen in a walking boot yesterday, so it’s highly doubtful Toronto’s star centre plays in Game 6.

Kyle Lowry is also less than 100% with an ankle injury, while Fred VanFleet continues to turn in hot and cold performances from game to game.

The Celtics know the Heat are waiting for them in the Conference Finals, so I think they’ll be eager to get this over with to ensure they have a couple of days’ rest.

With Jaylen Brown coming up with 27-points in Game 5 and Jayson Tatum putting a double-double, they should do just that.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.87

Wednesday 9th September

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Miami Heat

Wednesday September 8, 8:30am

Game 5

The Heat had a prime opportunity to sweep the Bucks on Monday with Giannis Antetokounmpo leaving the game injured.

Unfortunately, Miami went on to lose 118-115 in overtime, but I do think that was the kind of performance the Heat can build on with the Greek Freak listed as questionable once again.

Miami has been a terrific bet on the back of a previous loss this year going 21-8 against the spread.

They’ve also been terrific defending around the perimeter, so I highly doubt we’ll see Khris Middleton shoot anywhere close to 42% from three-point land again.

The Bucks are no doubt a formidable opponent with or without Giannis, but after scoring 40 points in the third quarter of Game 4, I’m with Miami to advance.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 8th September

Toronto Raptors Vs Boston Celtics

Tuesday September 8, 8:35am

Game 4

We’re all squared at 2-2 heading into Tuesday’s Game 5 as this series becomes increasingly more difficult to try and tip.

Raptors head coach Nick Nurse has really stifled the Celtics over the last two games by employing his usual “junk” style defence style to limit Jayson Tatum, which has really left Boston looking a little one-dimensional at times.

Celtics head coach Brad Stevens is more than capable of coming up with a quick answer to that problem though, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he deploys his own defensive strategy to limit Pascal Siakam and Kyle Lowry, who both combined for 45-points in Game 4.

With all this in mind, we should see another low scoring game on Tuesday.

The Total has gone Under in each game so far during this series and I expect both teams to take a conservative approach with everything even again.

Tip: Under 212 Total Points @ $1.90

Denver Nuggets Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Tuesday September 8, 11:00am

Game 3

The Clippers came up nine points short to the Nuggets in Game 2 on Sunday and currently find themselves favoured by a similar margin heading into Tuesday’s Game 3.

A -9 line is always a little intimidating in a playoff game, but I do think Los Angeles are a good bet in this spot with Nikola Jokic currently questionable to play with a wrist injury.

Kawhi Leonard was particularly quiet in Game 2 finishing with only 13 points to his name.

The last time Kawhi finished with less than 20 (also against the Nuggets back in February) he went on to put up 30 in his very next game against the Sixers.

Los Angeles have also been the best side to bet on following a previous loss this year playing to a 20-5 record, so I’m with the Clips to take control of this series.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-9 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 7th September

Miami Heat Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Monday September 7, 5:30am

The Heat can close out this series with a sweep following their monster 15-point win over the Bucks in Game 3 on Saturday.

Miami has dominated this series defensively both on the glass and around the perimeter, which has left Milwaukee’s offence looking rather one-dimensional at times.

To add to the growing criticism off the court surrounding Giannis, the Greek Freak is also nursing an ankle sprain and is currently listed as questionable.

Milwaukee are finally listed as the underdog for the first time in this series, but they haven’t shown any kind of backbone to suggest they can overcome the 3-0 deficit.

If Giannis does sit, I can’t see Brook Lopez and Khris Middleton overcoming Jimmy Buckets, Bam Adebayo or Tyler Herro, who has been listed as probable with a hip injury.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 6th September

Boston Celtics Vs Toronto Raptors

Sunday September 6, 8:35am

The Celtics outclassed the Raptors in Game 3 on Friday only to come up short right on the final buzzer to a clutch O.G. Anunoby three-point shot.

Boston have been a very steady bet all season on the back of defeat, so I’m happy to stick with them to bounce-back here laying +1.

The Celtics have covered in over 68% of games following a previous defeat this season, and judging by the way they controlled the boards on Friday, they should be keeping this one very tight once again.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Saturday 5th September

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Miami Heat

Saturday September 5, 8:35am

The Bucks showed some signs of life on Thursday and were unlucky to miss out in the dying seconds.

Whether Jimmy Butler was fouled or not is up for discussion, but I do think Game 2 was a performance Milwaukee can build on to claw their way back into this series.

After being dominated on the boards during Game 1, the Bucks reversed the trend on Thursday to make life difficult for the Heat.

Giannis and Khris Middleton also had themselves a game finishing with over 20-points each, so I feel like head coach Mike Budenholzer might have a feel for where Miami are weak defensively now.

For what it’s worth, the Bucks are also 11-8 against the spread on the back of a loss, so there’s a bit to like here.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 4th September

Boston Celtics Vs Toronto Raptors

Friday September 4, 8:35am

The Celtics find themselves as the underdogs yet again heading into Game 3 against the Raptors.

Boston has been absolute money so far during this series winning the opening two games, and I’m happy to side with them again to go up 3-0.

Toronto’s backcourt was awful in Game 2 as they shot just 40% from the field and less than 30% from three.

Kyle Lowry, who is still nursing an ankle injury, shot just five of his 16 attempts, while Fred VanFleet wasn’t any better finishing 8-of-22.

Marcus Smart has been huge defensively for the Celtics around the perimeter and I really think they’ve got the Raptors figured out. With Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown controlling things down the other end, I’m happy to be on Boston.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Thursday 3rd September

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Miami Heat

Thursday September 3, 8:35am

The Heat were quite simply outstanding in Game 1 of this series on Tuesday, and much like the Celtics against the Raptors, I really don’t understand why Miami are +5 underdogs at time of publish.

Jimmy Butler came up huge with a playoff high 40-point game, while Bam Adebayo wasn’t far off a triple-double.

I wrote on Tuesday about Miami’s dominance on the boards during the playoffs and they did not disappoint by holding the Bucks to only 34 boards.

Giannis was particularly quiet posting less than 20 points for the first time in the playoffs, and with all of their stars back to full health, there’s nothing to suggest the Heat can’t replicate that performance.

Miami has covered in each of its last five games, so I’m with the Heat to at least come close.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+5 Points) @ $1.90

Houston Rockets Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Thursday September 3, 11:05am

We’re faced with another difficult Game 7 on Thursday in what has quite easily been one of the most unpredictable series in recent memory.

The Thunder forced an extra game on Tuesday in their four point win, but rather than back one of these sides at the line, I’d prefer to just keep it safe in the Player Performance market.

My eyes are on Russell Westbrook here to atone for his up and down performance in Game 6.

Westbrook turned the ball over seven times in the loss, which is largely out of character for a guy that normally has pretty solid handles.

Russ has been MIA for most of this series, but he showed some real signs of life on Tuesday with 17 points.

It’s worth noting the Rockets have averaged only 11 turnovers a game during the postseason, so I’m backing Westbrook to bounce back in a big way.

Tip: Russell Westbrook Over 20.5 Points @ $1.95

Wednesday 2nd September

Toronto Raptors Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday September 2, 7:35am

The Celtics have opened as the underdog for Game 2 despite a very convincing Game 1 win over the Raptors.

Boston have allowed the lowest three-point percentage to opponents this year, so it was no real surprise to watch the Raptors shoot less than 30% from downtown on Monday.

I think the Raptors are in some real trouble if that trend continues, especially with Kyle Lowry still battling his way through an ankle injury and Pascal Siakam coming off a very quiet performance.

The Celtics are also 12-8 at the line against division opponents this year, so I’ll happily take them to go up 2-0 in the series.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $2.00

Denver Nuggets Vs Utah Jazz

Wednesday September 2, 10:35am

It’s hard not to side with the Nuggets in Game 7 following Jamal Murray’s stunning 50-point performance on Monday.

The Nuggets came up big in all areas in Game 6 shooting over 50% from the field and beyond the arc, while I also like them in this spot with a little more experience to their name in winner-take-all scenarios.

Denver won a Game 7 against the Spurs in the first-round last year before losing to the Blazers in a similar scenario during the Semifinals.

The Nuggets are also 13-1 against the spread in the bubble, so all signs point towards Denver advancing.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (-1 Point) @ $1.90

Tuesday 1st September

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Miami Heat

Tuesday September 1, 8:35am

The Bucks have opened as the -5.5 favourites ahead of Game 1 and I’m more than happy to take them on.

Milwaukee dominated the Magic on the glass during the first round, but they are about to meet their match against a Miami side that has allowed the fewest rebounds to opponents during the playoffs.

The Heat also have a couple of extra rest days to their advantage to go along with an impressive 6-4 record at the spread against Milwaukee in their last 10 games.

Miami have also won two of their last three against the Bucks and are 12-3 against the spread vs Central Division opponents this year.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Houston Rockets

Tuesday September 1, 11:05am

Game 6 is a do-or-die for the Thunder, so we should see something special from Chris Paul.

CP3 managed only 16 points during Sunday’s blowout loss in Game 5, but it’s worth remembering he was benched for most of the fourth quarter as the game got out of hand.

Paul has scored 20 points or more in three of the five games during this series so far, so with rest on his side, I think this is a good bet.

Tip: Chris Paul Over 20.5 Points @ $1.87

Monday 31st August

Toronto Raptors Vs Boston Celtics

Monday August 31, 3:05am

It’s interesting to find the Celtics as the underdog ahead of Game 1 after sweeping aside the Sixers with ease in the first round.

To their credit, the Raptors were equally impressive in their series sweep over the Nets, but I really think Toronto are vulnerable in this spot with Kyle Lowry still nursing an ankle injury.

Both sides have enjoyed over a week off, so like the line suggests, this should be close.

The Celtics do have a slight edge though in terms of trends having covered in two of their last three games against the Raptors.

Boston have also been the second-best side to bet on this year in games against division opponents going 11-8 against the spread.

After Kemba Walker dropped 32 against Philly in Game 4, I like the Celtics to pick up where they left off.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Dallas Mavericks Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Monday August 31, 5:35am

This series has been wild to say the least, but it appears the Clippers are well on their way to a series win with a handful of Dallas’ top stars questionable to play in Game 6.

Kristaps Porzingis is out for the remainder of the season with a torn meniscus, while Tim Hardaway Jr, Luka Doncic, Dorian Finney-Smith and Trey Burke all remain questionable with their own respective injuries.

Aside from Patrick Berverley, the Clippers remain relatively healthy, so it’s tough to see the Mavericks coming close in this scenario.

Dallas were torn apart in Game 5 losing 154-111, so all things considered, the -10.5 line is rather generous.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 30th August

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Orlando Magic

Sunday August 30, 6:05am

The Bucks can close things out on Thursday morning and I’m with them all the way.

Milwaukee were a good bet to cover the -13.5 line in Game 4 and I think they look a safe option again currently laying -14 against a half-strength Magic side.

Orlando fans likely realise their season is close to over, especially with Aaron Gordon a big question mark ahead of Game 5 with a hamstring injury.

Michael Carter-Williams is set to miss another game with a foot injury, while Evan Fournier’s poor form of late doesn’t help matters.

Nikola Vucevic has really been the only saving grace for the Magic so far, but after Giannis fell just two assists shy (again) or a triple-double on Monday, it’s hard to see them keeping this one close.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.90

Houston Rockets Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Sunday August 30, 8:35am

This series has turned into a real headache for NBA bettors as the Rockets and Thunder continue to jostle.

OKC won Game 3 in overtime 119-107, so I think they are being a little undervalued here currently laying +3 on Thursday.

Like I said last week, Houston has actually played better with Russell Westbrook on the sidelines, but I bet they wish they wish he was available on Monday after the Thunder blew things out in overtime.

Westbrook has been ruled out for Game 5, while the Thunder are set to field a healthy side.

OKC has been a superb bet as the underdog this year going 29-13 against the spread, while the Rockets are 12-17 ATS following a previous loss.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 26th August

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Dallas Mavericks

Wednesday August 26, 11:00am

I normally try and steer clear of the margin when it comes to the NBA, but it looks a safer bet than the line with the series currently tied 2-2.

The Mavs have really held their own so far behind some brilliant performances from Luka Doncic, but I have to side with the trends in this one and take the Clippers.

Los Angeles has been one of the best sides to bet on this year following a previous loss going 21-3 straight-up and 19-5 against the spread.

You can’t rule out another freakish performance from Doncic in Game 5, but it’s also easy to forget that the Clips came back from a 93-85 deficit at the end of the third on Monday to force OT.

Los Angeles also posted over 30 points in three quarters during Game 4, while I’m also factoring in the health of Kristaps Porzingis, who remains questionable with a sore right knee.

Doncic and Trey Burke are also hobbled, so I think this is a good bounce-back spot for Doc Rivers’ side.

Tip: Back the Clippers 1-10 @ $2.70

Tuesday 25th August

Orlando Magic Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday August 25, 3:35am

Double digit lines are always a little intimidating, but you have to like the Bucks in Game 4 with Aaron Gordon currently listed as questionable for the Magic.

Milwaukee were dominant in their blowout Game 3 win shooting 45% from three and over 55% from the field.

Shooting wise, the Magic haven’t been terrible, but they’ve battled on the boards during this entire series and it’s difficult to see them coming up with a sudden answer.

Giannis wasn’t far off a triple-double on Saturday, while the Bucks have now covered in six of their last 10 games against Orlando.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.90

Miami Heat Vs Indiana Pacers

Tuesday August 25, 8:35am

The Heat can advance to the second round to face either the Bucks or Magic with a win on Tuesday against the Pacers.

Miami has been dominant during this entire series with Indiana struggling through injury, and I think they look a good bet here currently laying -6.5 to close it out.

The Heat won Game 1 by double-digits and have since gone on to win Games 2 and 3 by nine points respectively.

Tyler Herro was particularly impressive on Sunday putting up 20 points off the bench, while it’s also become fairly obvious that the Pacers just don’t have the depth to compete with Miami from beyond the arc or on the defensive glass.

For what it’s worth, the Heat are 14-3 against the spread vs Central Division opponents this year.

Jimmy Butler is one of the fiercest competitors in the game and so is head coach Erik Spoelstra, so I’d be very surprised if the Heat aren’t fired up for this one.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 24th August

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Boston Celtics

Monday August 24, 3:05am

I’ve been with Boston the whole way during this series and they have not disappointed.

As expected, the Celtics won Game 3 comfortably on Saturday 102-94 thanks to a couple of 20-point performances from Kemba Walker and Jaylen Brown.

I hate to sound like a broken record, but the Celtics have now covered the line in nine of their last 10 games against Philly, so I think they are another great bet currently laying -8 points.

Philadelphia has clearly given up and it appears even superhuman performances from Joel Embiid aren’t enough to overcome Boston’s depth.

Brad Stevens will really sense how important a sweep is moving further into the playoffs, so I’m with the Celtics to put this series to bed.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.90

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Dallas Mavericks

Monday August 24, 5:30am

This is by far one of the toughest series to get a feel for as the Clippers and Mavericks continue to trade blows.

Los Angeles holds a 2-1 advantage following their win on Saturday, but I really don’t think there is as much separating these two sides as the current line suggests.

Dallas’ downfall in Game 2 came during the second quarter where they allowed 45-points.

A star-studded team like the Clippers can do that to anyone, but I was impressed by the way the Mavs bounced back in the second half with back-to-back quarters of over 30 points.

Luka Doncic also had himself a quiet game by his usual standards, so there’s a chance we see Dallas bounce back here.

The Mavs are 21-11-1 against the spread following a previous loss, so I like them to keep it close.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line

Sunday 23rd August

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Houston Rockets

Sunday August 23, 8:05am

The Thunder have been a huge disappointment during the playoffs following what was a very successful regular season.

OKC’s interior defence has been exposed against the Rockets and I really can’t see them coming up with an answer down 0-2 in the series.

The Rockets put forward a real team performance on Friday with James Harden, Eric Gordon and Daniel House all sharing the points, while it also appears Houston are running more efficiently with Russell Westbrook on the sidelines.

Three points is pretty generous when you consider the Rockets have won the first two games by double digits, so I’m with Houston to really stamp their authority in Game 3.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 22nd August

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Boston Celtics

Saturday August 22, 8:35am

There’s nothing to suggest the Sixers can win even one game during this series.

Joel Embiid came up with a huge 34-point performance in Game 2 on Thursday, but it still wasn’t enough to stop the Celtics from winning by 27 points.

Boston’s depth is immense and it is clearly causing some serious problems for Sixers coach Brett Brown.

Philly shot just 23% from beyond the arc in Game 2, which come as no surprise against a Boston side that allowed the second-lowest three-point percentage to opponents during the regular season.

The Celtics have now covered in eight of their last 10 games against Philly, so until the Sixers show significant improvement, I’ll continue to bet against them.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 21st August

Indiana Pacers Vs Miami Heat

Friday August 21, 3:05am

It sounds as though Victor Oladipo will play in Game 2, so I’m happy to give the Pacers a second chance despite being burned by them earlier on Wednesday.

The Pacers have been a pretty consistent bounce-back bet this year going 17-11-0 against the spread following a previous loss.

Indiana are also 11-1 this season at the line after losing by 10-points or more.

The Pacers put up a pretty strong fight without Oladipo in the second half before the Heat eventually ran over the top of them with 32-points in the fourth.

It’s worth remembering Indiana held a six-point lead at the end of the first before Oladipo suffered an eye injury, so I’m willing to bank on his inclusion being the difference on Friday.

Tip: Back the Pacers to Cover the Line (+4 Points) @ $1.90

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Friday August 21, 11:05am

The Blazers walked away with a very comfortable upset win over the Lakers on Wednesday and there is certainly nothing stopping them from going up 2-0 in this series.

A win clearly meant more to Portland and it was reflected in the second half as the Blazers outscored Los Angeles 43-37.

I thought the Lakers showed a real lack of hustle in the dying stages and their offence really looked stagnant at times.

Alex Caruso and LeBron James both opted for pull-up three’s with plenty of time remaining late in the fourth, while on the other end, Damian Lillard simply handled business in another dazzling 34-point performance.

LeBron and Anthony Davis both remain less than 100% for Game 2, while the Lakers may be without Rajon Rondo again.

The fact Portland managed to win Game 1 with LeBron having a triple-double is a scary sign to say the least.

This +6.5 line looks might generous in my opinion, so I’m happy to have Portland to at least keep it close.

Tip: Back the Blazers to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 20th August

Denver Nuggets Vs Utah Jazz

Thursday August 20, 8:35am

It was a bit of a nervous watch for those who took the Nuggets to cover Game 1 on Tuesday, but Denver eventually got the job done in overtime with a 10-point win.

I’m looking to double up on the same bet again based on the way the Nuggets performed offensively.

Denver shot over 50% both from the field and three-point range, which certainly came in handy after Donovan Mitchell entered the record books with his 57-point performance.

It’s also likely Mike Conley misses his second straight game after rejoining the bubble yesterday.

He’s in a four-day quarantine, so it’s doubtful we see him back before Game 3, which does leave the Jazz short defensively.

Last but not least, the Nuggets are also 12-2 against the spread vs division opponents this year, so there’s plenty to suggest they can grab a stranglehold on this series.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.90

Boston Celtics Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Thursday August 20, 8:35am

Game 1 between these two sides was pretty back and forth, although it mightn’t seem that way when you look at the final score.

Philly’s game plan was a little perplexing as Joel Embiid attempted only 15 shots in 37 minutes on the floor, and despite grabbing the lead in the third quarter, the Sixers were eventually run off their feet in the final term as the Celtics put up 34-points.

Boston were dealt a bit of a blow after the game with Gordon Hayward ruled out for four weeks with an ankle sprain.

His presence on both ends of the floor will be missed, but I don’t think it’s as big a deal as it’s being made out to be.


The Celtics are 14-6 in games without Hayward in the lineup this year to go along with an equally impressive 7-3 record against the spread in their last 10-games vs Philadelphia.

Boston has the wood over Philly, so I like them to win Game 2 just as comfortably as they did on Tuesday.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 19th August

Indiana Pacers Vs Miami Heat

Wednesday August 19, 6:05am

This has turned into a bit of a rivalry ever since TJ Warren and Jimmy Butler went at it back in January.

I’m crossing my fingers that Butler, Victor Oladipo and Bam Adebayo all suit up for this game, because if they do, I think we might be in for a bit of a shootout.

The Total has gone Over in six of the last 10 games between these two sides.

Both teams also rank inside the top six in three-point shooting percentage this year.

Tip: Over 216 Total Points @ $1.90

Houston Rockets Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Wednesday August 19, 8:35am

The Thunder have been a safe bet at the line for most of the season and I quite like them in this spot with Russell Westbrook missing for the Rockets.

Houston were torn apart by the Sixers last week without Westbrook, and although James Harden is more than capable of putting up 40+, I still think this is a significant absence for the Rockets on both sides of the ball.

The Thunder also have the wood over Houston in terms of recent history.

OKC has won seven of the last 10 games between these two sides and has covered in each of their last five.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 18th August

Denver Nuggets Vs Utah Jazz

Tuesday August 17, 3:35am

The Nuggets have lost three straight heading into Game 1 against the Jazz on Tuesday, but I’m still with them to open this series with a win.

Mike Conley will be absent from the Utah starting five due to the birth of his child, which leaves the bulk of the Jazz offence firmly in the hands of Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert.

Both players are capable of putting up points of course, but I think Conley’s absence leaves Utah at a disadvantage when it comes to matching up with Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray.

The Nuggets should also feel good about themselves knowing they’ve won each of their last three games against the Jazz.

Combine that with Denver’s 9-5 record against the spread vs opponents from the same division, and you have yourself a seemingly safe bet at the line.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Boston Celtics Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Tuesday August 17, 8:35am

I think the bookies are being pretty generous with the current 5.5 line on offer.

The Celtics have had three days off to prepare for their first-round matchup with the Sixers, a team they’ve typically held the wood over during the playoffs in recent years.

Brad Stevens says Kemba Walker is fit and firing, while Gordon Heyward should also be back to full health after missing last Thursday’s game against the Wizards.

Bubble life has been pretty kindto Boston, while the Sixers have been up and down like a yoyo.

Philly won big over the Rockets on Saturday, but with Joel Embiid less than 100 per cent and Ben Simmons missing from the side, you have to like the Celtics in this spot.

Boston are also 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 games against Philly, so I like them to kick off this series with a comfortable win.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 16th August

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Sunday August 16, 4:35am

The scenario here is fairly simple: if the Blazers win, they advance to the playoffs. If the Grizzlies win, we head to another ‘win or go home’ game on Monday.

Although the stakes are high, I’m with the Blazers here.

Portland’s remarkable comeback against the Nets on Friday was something to behold, and I’d be very surprised if Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum don’t lay it all out on the line again on Sunday.

You could say the same for Ja Morant and Jonas Valanciunas in the Grizzlies’ win over the Bucks, but with only two wins since the season resumed, it’s fair to say the bubble life has been much kinder to Portland so far.

The Blazers have also covered in two of their last three games against the Grizz, so give me the more battle-hardened playoff team in this huge contest.

Tip: Back the Blazers to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 15th August

Indiana Pacers Vs Miami Heat

Saturday August 15, 6:00am

Betting on the Heat following a previous loss has been one the top betting plays this season, so I’m looking to load up on them here in this crucial matchup against the Pacers.

Miami lost by only a point to the Thunder on Thursday, which is great news considering the Heat have covered in 20 of their 27 games following a previous defeat.

There were strong signs for Miami with Tyler Herro and Goran Dragic putting up decent numbers while Jimmy Butler is starting to return to full health following a foot injury.

The Pacers have proven themselves a tough out this year, but with Victor Oladipo, T.J. Warren and Myles Turner a little battered and bruised too, I like the Heat in this spot to keep it close.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line

Friday 14th August

Orlando Magic Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Friday August 14, 11:05am

I very rarely bet on the Under, but I think this is about as safe as it gets with a handful of stars missing on both teams.

The Pelicans have nothing left to play for, so it’s no real surprise to see Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram and Jrue Holiday listed as out for Friday’s game.

Orlando, on the other hand, have clinched a spot in the playoffs and are also choosing to play it safe by resting Aaron Gordon, Evan Fournier and Michael Carter-Williams.

The Total has gone Under in eight of the last 10 games between these two sides, so I’d be surprised if we get a bunch of points.

Tip: Under the Total

Brooklyn Nets Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Friday August 14, 11:05am

This is a “win or go home” type scenario for the Blazers and I’m really not convinced they should be -9.5 favourites.

To their credit, Portland have played exceptionally well since the season resumed, but with the Nets already having clinched a spot in the playoffs, I wouldn’t sleep on Brooklyn trying to spoil the party and build some momentum.

Reports also surfaced yesterday stating that CJ McCollum has been playing through a fracture in his lower back.

He’ll likely tough it out on Friday, but considering he hit just 2-of-14 during Wednesday’s win over the Mavericks, I’m not convinced he can contribute much in this dire situation.

The Nets are also 2-1 against the spread in their last three games against Portland and 6-1 in their last seven against Western Conference opponents, so I like the Nets to cover what appears to be a very generous line.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line (+9.5 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 13th August

Miami Heat Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Thursday August 13, 10:00am

This is a pretty tricky day for NBA bettors, so I’m happy to keep it simple by playing on the Thunder.

Oklahoma City are 3-3 since play resumed and are coming off a blowout loss to the Suns on Tuesday.

From a betting perspective, the Thunder have been fairly consistent following a previous loss playing to a 15-11 record, while they’ve also covered the spread in six of their last 10-games against the Heat.

Miami have a few injury concerns to address which I think makes them very vulnerable over the coming weeks.

Kendrick Hunn and Kelly Olynyk are both 50/50 to play, while Jimmy Butler remains less than 100% with a foot injury.

The Thunder, meanwhile, could potentially welcome Danilo Gallinari, Nerlens Noel and Steven Adams back into the side after missing Monday’s game against Phoenix, so I think they stand a good chance to bounce back.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 12th August

San Antonio Spurs Vs Houston Rockets

Wednesday August 12, 4:05am

The Spurs are laying +4 here against the Rockets and I think it’s worth getting on nice and early before the line firms.

Houston has already ruled James Harden out for this game in favour of playing him on Thursday against the Pacers, and while Russell Westbrook returning is a plus, I still think the Spurs can win this or at least come close.

San Antonio has won three of its five games in the bubble which includes wins over three serious Western Conference opponents, the Grizzlies, Jazz and Pelicans.

The Spurs are also 8-4 against the spread vs division opponents this year and 5-2 in their last seven games, so there’s plenty to like.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+4 Points) @ $1.90

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday August 12, 7:10am

Life has been pretty miserable inside the bubble so far for the Grizzlies with only one win from five games to their name.

The Celtics, meanwhile, can make it four on the trot on Wednesday after defeating the Magic in overtime earlier in the week.

Boston has consistently put up 120-points or more in four of their five games since the season resumed, which doesn’t really bode well for a Memphis team that has allowed the ninth-most points to opponents this year.

The Celtics also hold a league-best 17-10-1 record against the spread vs non-conference opponents, so I’m with Boston to get the job done here.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 11th August

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Toronto Raptors

Tuesday August 10, 8:40am

I think the Raptors are being a little undervalued here with +5.5 on offer.

Toronto have proven themselves genuine contenders since the season resumed by winning four of their five games, which includes a double-digit win over the Grizzlies on Monday.

The Bucks, meanwhile, have hardly been their usual selves.

Milwaukee remains with only one win to their name in the bubble after coming up short to the Mavericks on Sunday.

Toronto are 8-2 when playing on no rest, while they’ve also covered in two of their last three games against the Bucks.

All in all, this line looks too generous to ignore.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Indiana Pacers Vs Miami Heat

Tuesday August 10, 10:05am

The Pacers have been tough to fault winning four of their five games since the season resumed, but I do like the look of the Heat here as they begin to return to full strength.

Jimmy Butler is a chance to return from a foot injury, while Goran Dragic could be cleared to play with a similar problem.

The Heat are also coming off a loss to the Suns on Sunday, which works out quite well from a betting perspective.

Miami have been the second-best side to bet on at the line following a previous loss covering in 19 of their 26 games.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 10th August

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Monday August 10, 8:35am

The Blazers fell five-points shy of the Clippers on Sunday, much to the delight of Paul George on Twitter.

Our bookies are obviously siding with Portland to bounce-back against the understrength Sixers, but I actually like Philly in this spot to cause an upset.

They’ll be without Ben Simmons for the foreseeable future, but that didn’t stop the Sixers from defeating the Magic on Saturday.

Portland have also played to a 3-8 record in the second game of a back-to-back this year and a sub-par 19-19 record following a previous loss, so the trends suggest they don’t always handle this situation well.

With Hasaan Whiteside potentially sidelined and Damian Lillard’s mind potentially elsewhere, take Philly to keep it close.

Tip: Back the Sixers to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Sacramento Kings Vs Houston Rockets

Monday August 10, 10:05am

I was burned by the Kings a couple of times last week, but I still think they are a good bet here against the Rockets with Eric Gordon and Russell Westbrook both on the sidelines.

Sacramento have had a day off to regroup from Saturday’s double-digit loss to the Nets, while the Rockets are looking to pick up where they left off on Friday against the Lakers.

Unfortunately, Houston’s offensive rating drops by five points when Gordon and Russ aren’t on the court. The Kings are also 6-2-1 against the spread in their last nine games played on a Sunday, for whatever it’s worth.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 9th August

Phoenix Suns Vs Miami Heat

Sunday August 9, 9:30am

Massive game this with the Suns resuming the season undefeated and all.

Phoenix has been impressive in all three of their wins over the Wizards, Mavericks, Clippers and Pacers, but I do think the Heat standout as a good chance to knock the Suns back a peg.

Miami lost by 14-points against the Bucks on Friday, which actually can be seen as a positive in this instance.

The Heat hold a very sturdy 19-6 record against the spread following a previous loss, while there’s also a chance Jimmy Butler returns from injury after missing a couple of games with a sore right foot.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line

Saturday 8th August

Sacramento Kings Vs Brooklyn Nets

Saturday August 8, 7:10am

The Kings picked up their first win since the season resumed yesterday in 15-point blowout over the Pelicans, and I’m happy to side with them here to keep the good times rolling.

Sacramento have been a pretty consistent betting play against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back covering in seven of their 10 games this year.

The Nets, on the other hand, were on the opposite end of a blowout loss against the Celtics on Thursday with several of their stars missing in action.

Jarrett Allen and Jamal Crawford are both likely to miss Saturday’s game, so I’m happy to have something on the Kings.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Washington Wizards Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Saturday August 8, 10:10am

To be perfectly honest, the Wizards never really deserved to make it into the Bubble, so it’s no real surprise to see them at 0-3 since the season resumed.

Washington faces another uphill battle again on Saturday as they take on a Pelicans side looking to bounce back from a blowout loss to the Kings on Friday.

New Orleans has been a really strong play in this situation playing to a 7-2 record against the spread on no rest.

Despite yesterday’s result, there was still plenty to like about the play from Jrue Holiday and Zion Williamson, so I’m happy to have them here with only a -6.5 point line.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 7th August

Denver Nuggets Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Friday August 7, 10:10am, VISA Athletic Center

The bookies are clearly factoring in Portland’s unbeaten start to bubble life, but I really don’t think there is as much separating these two sides as the current market suggests.

Denver were enormous yesterday in their six-point win over the Spurs as Michael Porter Jr and Nikola Jokic combined for 55-points.

The trends also suggest the Nuggets can go on with it and claim back-to-back wins.

The Nuggets are 8-2 when playing on no rest this year, while they’ve also covered in eight of their 12 games against division opponents.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.81

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Houston Rockets

Friday August 7, 11:10am, The Arena

The Lakers failed to put up any kind of fight in their 19-point loss to the Thunder on Thursday, but I do think this is a very favourable spot for them to bounce back.

Los Angeles owns an impressive 11-4 record following a previous loss this season, while they also hold a league-best 7-1 record against the spread when playing on no rest.

LeBron James finished with only 19 against OKC. Anthony Davis also had a quiet one shooting just 3-of-11 from the field.

With Dwight Howard potentially back in action off the bench, I fully expect the Lakers to bounce-back here.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.95

Thursday 6th August

Orlando Magic Vs Toronto Raptors

Thursday August 6, 10:10am, VISA Athletic Center

The Magic fell 11-points short of the Pacers on Wednesday and I really don’t think they are much of a chance in this game either.

Orlando played to a lousy 1-9 record in the second game of a back-to-back before the season was paused, which obviously spells potential disaster here against a Raptors side that has pulled off a pair of hard-fought wins over the Lakers and Heat in the Bubble.

The Magic will likely go without Michael Carter-Williams and potentially James Ennis after both players suffered minor injuries against Indiana.

All in all, this should be a comfortable win for Toronto.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (-6 Points) @ $1.90

Boston Celtics Vs Brooklyn Nets

Thursday August 6, 11:05am, The Arena

I tipped the Heat to cover against the Celtics yesterday, but I’m back on board with Boston here as they look to bounce-back.

Brad Stevens’ side has been one of the safest betting plays on the back of a previous loss playing to a 13-7-2 record, while the Celtics have also covered in six of their nine games when playing on no rest.

After defeating the Bucks yesterday there is no denying the Nets are a tough out – especially in the Florida bubble. Brooklyn has typically struggled in the second game of a back-to-back though winning only two of their nine games, so I like the Celtics here with plenty working in their favour.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 5th August

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Brooklyn Nets

Wednesday August 5, 3:40am, VISA Athletic Center

The Bucks were upset 116-120 against the Rockets on Monday, and from a betting perspective, that’s a huge positive.

Prior to the pandemic, Milwaukee posted a solid 8-4 record following a previous loss against the spread, while the Bucks are also 22-3 coming off an upset loss as the favourite over the last two seasons.

With the Nets missing some key contributors in the likes of Joe Harris and Caris Levert, I think the Bucks are a great bet here to win big.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-17.5 Points) @ $1.90

Miami Heat Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday August 5, 8:40am, HP Field House

The Heat were one of the top sides to bet on following a previous loss right before the season was paused, so I’m happy to back that trend on Wednesday when they take on the Celtics.

Miami lost only narrowly to the Raptors yesterday, but their 18-6 record against the spread following a previous loss is hard to ignore.

The Celtics, on the other hand, have played some tough games themselves against the Bucks and Blazers over the last four days, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see them struggle with a Heat side well known for causing upsets.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 4th August

Utah Jazz Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Tuesday August 4, 11:10am, The Arena

In terms of rivalries, this one has been fairly one sided in favour of the Lakers this season.

Since the resumption of play, both of these sides have gone 3-2 but the Lakers have dominated this season series winning both matches by a combined 34 points.

There really is only one side to back in this one and it just comes down to how much you expect LeBron James and company to win this one by.

After a loss to the Raptors over the weekend this one could get ugly and a Lakers cover seems like a fairly safe play with a single digit line.

Back the Lakers to Cover -6 @ $1.90

Monday 3rd August

Phoenix Suns Vs Dallas Mavericks

Monday August 3rd, 11:10am, VISA Athletic Center

The Mavs will have revenge on their mind today after they blew what appeared to be a comfortable win in their restart game against the Rockets.

Dallas held a 10-point lead over Houston at half-time before going on to lose by four in overtime, which, as it turns out, might be a good thing from a betting perspective.

The Mavs consistently covered the line following a previous loss before the season was paused playing to a 19-7-1 record.

After Kristaps Porzingis put up 39 on Saturday alongside Luke Doncic’s 28, I don’t think they’ll be short on motivation in this game.

Tip: Back the Mavs to Cover the Line (-6 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 2nd August

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Utah Jazz

Sunday August 2nd, 5:30am, The Arena

Teams that played to a winning record on the road before the season was paused seem to already have an added edge inside the Florida bubble.

With that in mind, the Thunder represent good value here as they restart their season against a Jazz side playing on only a days’ rest following their close call against the Pelicans on Friday.

Oklahoma City played to a 20-11 record on the road before the season was paused, while they also posted a 7-4 record against division opponents.

With almost equal value on offer head-to-head and at the line, I’m playing it safe by taking the Thunder to win outright.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Win @ $1.80

Indiana Pacers Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Sunday August 2nd, 9:00am, VISA Athletic Centre

Putting the above theory into practice, I’m going to take a stab at the Pacers to at least keep their restart game close against the Sixers.

Philly are a very interesting side to keep an eye on moving forward. The Sixers were awful on the road before the season was paused, so it remains to be seen if they relish the hub-life, or if the lack of hometown support completely throws them off.

Either way, the Pacers were a great side to bet on at the line on the road earlier in the year playing to a 19-13-1 record.

The potential absence of Victor Oladipo is of some concern, but with Joel Embiid less than 100%, I still like the Pacers in this spot.

Tip: Back the Pacers to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 1st August

San Antonio Spurs Vs Sacramento Kings

Saturday August 1st, 10:05am, Visa Athletic Center

I quite like the look of the Kings in this spot with a few stats working in their favour.

You can take this one with a grain of salt, but since 2015, the Kings are 10-2 against the spread following a break of four days or more.

Better yet, Sacramento also posted an impressive 7-2-1 record against the spread in their final 10-games before the season was paused, while they’ve also covered in six of their last 10 against the Spurs.

With DeAaron Fox returning back to full strength and the rest of the lineup fit and healthy, the Kings look a good bet to make a statement.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Dallas Mavericks Vs Houston Rockets

Saturday August 1st, 11:05am, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena

Big fan of the Mavericks here with only the -1 point line to cover.

The hub situation just feels like something Luka Doncic will take in his stride, and it’s been more than evident in his scrimmage play over the last week.

The Mavericks are also one of the more healthy teams in the competition with Kristaps Porzingis, Boban Marjanovic, Seth Curry and J.J. Barea all slated to play in Saturday’s opener.

Houston’s star duo of James Harden and Russell Westbrook speaks for itself, but the Rockets are a much different team without Eric Gordon, who looks set to miss this game after spraining his ankle earlier in the week.

Dallas were also an exceptional side to bet on in road games before the season was paused.

While this is technically a neutral court, the Mavs covered in 20 of their 32 games away from home last year and also went 9-4 against division opponents.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-1 Point) @ $1.90

Friday 31st July

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Utah Jazz

Friday July 31st, 8:35am, HP Field House

The Pelicans and the Jazz tip-off the remainder of the season from Walt Disney World on Friday in what should be a fairly close contest between two familiar Western Conference foes.

Zion Williamson remains a game-time decision for the Pelicans after only clearing quarantine earlier in the week, while the Jazz are just about at full strength with Donovan Mitchell healthy alongside the usual supporting cast of Mike Conley, Joe Ingles and Rudy Gobert.

The uncertainty of Zion’s status makes this a tricky game to bet on, but I do think the Jazz are great value to cover the line.

Utah has won seven of its last 10 games against New Orleans and are also 6-4 against the spread during that time frame.

Trends are fairly meaningless after such a lengthy and break and all games being played on a neutral court, but with a full-strength side against a potentially Zion-less Pelicans team, the Jazz are a good bet to at least keep it tight.

Tip: Back the Jazz to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Friday July 31st, 11:05am, ESPN Wide World of Sports Arena

Kawhi Leonard hasn’t looked his usual self in scrimmage games over the last week, so it’s no real surprise to find the Clippers as the heavy outsiders on Friday.

Los Angeles are also missing Montrezl Harrell and potentially Patrick Beverley, while Lou Williams’ off-court antics have sent him into quarantine for 10-days.

The Lakers are far from healthy themselves with LeBron nursing his usual groin injury and Anthony Davis questionable to play with the eye injury he sustained right before the season was paused.

Fortunately, the Lakers have tremendous depth to fall back on and a very convincing 25-14-1 record against the spread vs conference opponents.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 12th March

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Detroit Pistons

Thursday March 12th, 10:00am, Wells Fargo Center

We finally get some good news on the Joel Embiid front with the star center a chance to play after practicing on Tuesday.

With or without Embiid though, something would have to go dramatically wrong for the Sixers to mess up here at home.

Philly is coming in off three days’ rest after a rough Western road trip that saw them win only one from four, but even with so many struggles on and off the court, the Sixers have still managed to win 14 straight games at home.

Speaking of streaks, the Pistons have lost four on the trot – which included a double-digit loss to the Knicks at the Garden on Monday. Most importantly though, the Sixers are 9-1 against the spread over the last three seasons vs Detroit, so this long -11.5 line is worth taking on.

Tip: Back the Sixers to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points) @ $1.90

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Utah Jazz

Thursday March 12th, 11:00am, Chesapeake Energy Arena

There’s some real form around this game that has me declaring it as the safest play of the day.

The Thunder are laying -2.0 here at home hoping to extend their winning streak to four. OKC earned a big win over the Celtics on Monday and have since enjoyed two days off to recuperate.

Utah, meanwhile, comes in off a home loss to the Jazz on Tuesday with another crucial Western Conference game ahead on Saturday against the Pelicans.

The Jazz played four games on the road last week before hosting Toronto, and now jump back on the road for this single game. That’s a tough ask for a team that has won only five of their last 10, but even more so when you factor in Utah hasn’t won in Oklahoma City since 2010.

Things only look better when you factor in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is set to return to action after missing the game against Boston. With an 8-3 record in division play this year, the Thunder look a good bet.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-2.0 Points) @ $1.90

Dallas Mavericks Vs Denver Nuggets

Thursday March 12th, 11:00am, American Airlines Center

I was wrong on the Mavericks against the Spurs, but this is a chance to bounce-back as they host the Nuggets at home.

Despite what the scoreboard suggests, Dallas were in control for most of the game in San Antonio before they fell away in the fourth quarter.

Not to worry though, because the Mavericks have been an outstanding betting play following a loss this year going 18-7-1 against the spread and 20-6 straight up.

I also think this is an interesting spot for Denver following Tuesday’s big win over the Bucks. The Nuggets now hit the road for three games across five days with the Spurs and Lakers to follow.

With no injuries to report, I also like Dallas’ 5-1-1 record ATS vs opponents from the Northwest Division. Chances are the Mavs were a little distracted yesterday with this primetime game on the cards, so I like them here to get one back.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 11th March

San Antonio Spurs Vs Dallas Mavericks

Wednesday March 11th, 11:00am, AT&T Center

The Spurs and the Mavs are back in action on Wednesday after meeting only a fortnight ago in San Antonio.

Gregg Popovich’s side will hold home-court advantage again, but just about everything is pointing in Dallas’ favour here with LaMarcus Aldridge sitting out for the seventh game in a row.

The Mavs won by six-points in their last meeting with Aldridge also missing time. San Antonio has gone 4-9 without their big man this season, explaining their free-fall in the Western Conference standings.

Speaking of the standings, this is also a big game for the Mavs with a chance to move even with the Rockets for the sixth seed. Dallas will play again on Thursday in a primetime battle against the Nuggets, so they should sense the importance of a win here.

Last but not least, it’s worth noting this is a division game – which again favours the Mavs. Dallas has gone 9-3 against the spread in this situation and 12-4-1 as the away favourite, so side with the visitors.

Tip: Back the Mavs to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Chicago Bulls Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Wednesday March 11th, 11:00am, United Center

This might turn out to be the worst game all season, but that won’t stop me from playing on the Cavs at +4.

Not that you need any more reasons to fade the Bulls, but with Zach LaVine ruled out with a left quad injury, I really don’t think there’s as much separating these two teams as the current market suggests.

To be fair, the Cavs will go without Kevin Porter Jr, Tristan Thompson and Darius Garland themselves, but I think Cleveland’s recent wave of momentum should see them put up a fight.

The Cavs have won back-to-back games over the Nuggets and Spurs, while the also hold a few handy trends in this spot.

Cleveland is 7-5-1 against the spread in division play and 4-1 in their last five games played in Chicago, so take the Cavs with some insurance on offer.

Tip: Back the Cavs to Cover the Line (+4.0 Points) @ $1.90

Golden State Warriors Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Wednesday March 11th, 1:30pm, Chase Center

The Clippers are laying -10.5 here on Wednesday as they look to bounce-back from Monday’s primetime loss to the Lakers.

For the record, there is a high chance Los Angeles rests some of their stars with a couple of big games ahead next week against the Mavericks and Nuggets. But with the Warriors also missing Draymond Green and potentially Steph Curry due to the flu, it’s hard to see this game going any other way.

Like a handful of the other games on today’s slate, this is also a divisional matchup – which well and truly favours the Clips.

Los Angeles has covered in six of their 11 games against fellow Pacific Division opponents, while their 14-5 record following a previous is also pretty convincing.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 10th March

Denver Nuggets Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday March 10th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

The absence of Giannis Antetokounmpo could seem a little scary here, but I have played on the Bucks before when he’s been out of the lineup and seen some success.

For the record, Milwaukee is 5-2 without the Greek Freak this season, while they’ve also been one of the best teams to bet on in the second game of a back-to-back and after a loss.

As I tipped yesterday, the Bucks came up short against the Suns in Phoenix, but the good news is they’ve gone 7-2 ATS on no rest and 7-3 following a previous loss.

If you throw in Denver’s less than convincing 10-12-0 record ATS in non-conference games, the +5.5 on Milwaukee seems pretty generous.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Utah Jazz Vs Toronto Raptors

Tuesday March 10th, 12:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

Fred VanFleet and Marc Gasol won’t take the floor on Tuesday against the Jazz, but I still like the look of the Raptors with a few trends working in their favour.

Firstly, this is the second game of a back-to-back for Toronto after beating the Kings in Sacramento on Monday. The Raptors have gone 6-3 straight-up this season on no rest, while they’ve also covered in five of their last six road games in Utah.

Second, this is also a bit of a look-ahead spot for Nick Nurse’s side with the Raptors off until Sunday’s game against the Pistons. The Jazz, however, take on the Thunder in a crucial Western Conference showdown on Thursday, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they bypass this game or seem a little distracted.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 9th March

Phoenix Suns Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Monday March 9th, 9:00am, Talking Stick Resort Arena

You should be able to get the Suns with a bit of insurance here at the line as they prepare to play the final game of this long home stand.

Phoenix has won only two of their last 10 at Talking Stick, but this is the first game of a back-to-back for the Bucks – which has proven very kind over the last fortnight or so.

Milwaukee has a big game on Tuesday against the Nuggets in Denver, so there’s every chance they overlook (and underestimate) the Suns with a potential Finals preview ahead.

Tip: Back the Suns to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 8th March

Detroit Pistons Vs Utah Jazz

Sunday March 8th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

The +8 line on Detroit looks a little generous here when you factor in the recent schedule for both sides.

Utah is playing on no rest after visiting the Celtics in Boston yesterday, while the Pistons are fresh from a two-day break after losing to the Thunder on Thursday.

The Jazz have gone only 3-4 against the spread on no rest this year, compared to Detroit’s much more impressive 6-4 record with 2-3 days off.

The Pistons aren’t a team to get excited about – especially with only two wins from their last 10 home games. The chances of them winning this are slim, but they have played to a 13-9 record ATS in non-conference games this year, which suggests to me they could keep this close.

Tip: Back the Pistons to Cover the Line (+8 Points) @ $1.90

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Atlanta Hawks

Sunday March 8th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

These two teams failed to live up to the hype when they met on Tuesday, but the rematch should be exciting with Ja Morant and Trae Young going at it for a second time.

The Grizzlies won by 39-points last time out, and I’m think they’ll get the job done in similar fashion here at home.

Both sides are playing the second game of a back-to-back, which favours Memphis heavily. The Grizzlies have covered six of their nine games on no rest this year, compared to a Hawks team that has gone only 2-9 straight up.

This is also a bit of a tricky travel spot for the Hawks as they fly from Washington DC to Memphis.

With the Grizzlies also holding an impressive 9-4 record as the home favourite against the spread, they should get the job done.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 7th March

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Orlando Magic

Saturday March 7th, 12:00pm, Target Center

The bookies have the Magic as -2 favourites here on the road in Minnesota as they look to snap their three-game losing streak.

Orlando is a team that always makes me a little nervous on the road, but the trends suggest the Magic are a good bet following their very honourable three-point loss to the Heat on Thursday.

Steve Clifford’s side has covered in five of its last six games and 10 of their last 12 on the road in Minnesota. Perhaps more importantly though, the Magic have also gone 6-3 ATS as the away favourite this year.

Minnesota’s two-game winning streak means they should be full of confidence, but it’s worth noting those wins came against a tired Pelicans team and the Bulls at home. This is a much tougher task against a team looking to clinch the eighth seed in the East.

Tip: Back the Magic to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.90

Dallas Mavericks Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Saturday March 7th, 12:30pm, American Airlines Center

Luka Doncic and J.J. Barea are both questionable for the Mavs on Saturday, but I still like the look of them laying -8 at home.

This is a pretty crucial divisional game for both sides as they find themselves sitting seventh and eighth on the ladder. The Mavs do hold a 6.5 game advantage over the Grizzlies, but a win here could see them leapfrog the Thunder for fifth.

Dallas has been exceptional in division playing going 8-3 against the spread. They’ve also covered in two of their last three games against the Grizzlies and, for what it’s worth, six of their last nine played on Friday.

Sitting at an even .500, Memphis will know how important this game is to their playoff chances.

The bad news is, this is also the first game of a back-to-back with a rematch between Trae Young and Ja Morant scheduled on Sunday, so their minds could be elsewhere.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 6th March

Houston Rockets Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Friday March 6th, 12:00pm, Toyota Center

This is another one of those 50/50 primetime games where you could really argue for either side, but I’ll stick with the Rockets here at -1 as they look to bounce-back from Tuesday’s loss to the Knicks.

Houston has covered in three straight games against the Clippers, while they also won by nine-points against Los Angeles at home back in November.

There aren’t any big names on the injury report for either side at time of publish, so there’s no reason this game shouldn’t live up to the hype as a potential playoff preview.

The other point of good news is the Rockets come in off the back of two days’ rest. Houston has covered in six of their 10-games in this scenario, compared to a Clippers side that has played to a less than convincing 3-7 record straight-up as the away underdog.

It might also be worth looking ahead at the schedule if you aren’t fully convinced in the Rockets. The Clippers face the Lakers in afternoon game on Monday, so there’s every chance their mind might be elsewhere.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Sacramento Kings Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Friday March 6th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

This is probably one to go easy on considering how fickle the Kings can be, but I still like them here at home in a game that holds plenty of importance for both teams.

Sacramento has suddenly burst into the playoff conversation with seven wins from their last 10-games to find themselves only 3.5 back from the Grizzlies. The Sixers, meanwhile, have slowly slid into the sixth seed due to the absence of Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid.

This West Coast swing has already been unkind for Philly losing to the Clippers and Lakers earlier in the week. Brett Brown’s side was competitive in both games, but the fact you have to rewind all the way back to 2015 to find their last win in Sacramento makes me a little nervous for this one.

Kings bettors should also feel pretty good knowing Sacramento has covered in three straight games against the Sixers. Throw in an impressive 6-1 record ATS in their last seven games overall, and it’s easy to see the Kings extending their winning streak to four.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 5th March

Detroit Pistons Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Thursday March 5th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

The Thunder are getting -5.5 here and I think it’s a little on the generous side considering their 8-1 record against the spread this season in the second game of a back-to-back.

Oklahoma City received a harsh reality check yesterday losing by double-digits to the Clippers, but I’m tipping they won’t spend too long dwelling on their shortcomings as they look to kick off this three-game road trip on the right foot.

The Pistons, on the other hand, come into this one with only three wins from their last 10 home games. The Thunder are relatively healthy with no names on the injury report following Wednesday’s game, so they should bounce-back strongly in this one.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Indiana Pacers

Thursday March 5th, 11:00am, Fiserv Forum

I spoke on Tuesday about the Bucks looking ahead to this game as a possible reason to back the Heat.

Not surprisingly, Miami won that game in blowout fashion, but Milwaukee does deserve your attention in this spot as they look to bounce-back as -11 favourites.

The Bucks have been a very strong betting play all season covering in six of their eight games following a previous loss. They’ve also won their last three home games against the Pacers by double-digits and covered in six of their last seven against Indiana at the Fiserv Forum.

Victor Oladipo is currently a game-time decision as he battles right knee soreness, while the only notable name on the Bucks’ injury report is George Hill.

With the Bucks returning home briefly ahead of their trip to LA on Saturday, they should sense the importance of a win here.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) @ $1.90

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Chicago Bulls

Thursday March 5th, 12:00pm, Target Center

I like the look of the Bulls here on the road in Minnesota as they look to build on their upset win over the Mavericks at home on Tuesday.

Winning back-to-back games is something the Bulls have accomplished only three times all season, but considering Chicago took down a Western Conference contender with Zach LaVine out of the lineup two days ago, they should be up for the fight here against an understrength Wolves side.

To their credit, Minnesota also comes into this game having just pulled off an upset in New Orleans yesterday against the Pelicans. Unfortunately for Wolves fans however, Ryan Saunders’ side has managed to win only two of their eight games on no rest this season.

These two sides met earlier in January with the Bulls winning 117-110 in Chicago. That result actually holds some significance considering the Wolves are also 2-9 this season revenging a loss vs an opponent.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 4th March

Boston Celtics Vs Brooklyn Nets

Wednesday March 4th, 11:30am, TD Garden

Boston fans have had this game circled on their calendar for a very long time, but unfortunately, they’ll need to direct their boos for Kyrie Irving elsewhere with the former Celtic out for the season following shoulder surgery.

Celtics fans will probably have other issues on their mind however following Sunday’s overtime loss to the Rockets. The loss snapped Boston’s eight-game unbeaten run at the Garden, but I still think there were plenty of positives to take away from the result.

Jaylen Brown’s game-tying shot with the clock running out really showed the character of this team with Kemba Waler on the sidelines. The good news is Walker is now set to return from his five-game absence on Wednesday, which only strengthens Boston’s case to bounce back.

The Celtics have simply been outstanding following a loss this season going 12-5 against the spread and 11-6 straight up. This also happens to be a divisional game for these two sides – a scenario that hasn’t favoured Brooklyn at all this season with only five wins from 14 games.

Last but not least, this is the first game of a back-to-back for the two sides with the Celtics facing the Cavs on Thursday and the Nets hosting the Grizzlies. Considering this is the fourth game in a row Brooklyn has played on the road, take Boston to win this convincingly.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-6.0 Points) @ $1.90

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Wednesday March 4th, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Center

Nothing about the Wolves fills me with confidence right now, but I am willing to have a little something on them here sporting a double-digit spread.

This is the first game of a back-to-back for these two sides with the Wolves hosting the Bulls on Thursday and the Pelicans traveling to Dallas to face the Mavericks in primetime. You don’t have to be a genius to realize that New Orleans might be a little distracted with a pivotal Western Conference game only 24 hours later, especially considering that game will mark their third primetime slot in less than a week.

Looking ahead, this is also a very brief road spot for the Wolves before they return home to the Target Centre for a three-game stint. Karl-Anthony Towns’ absence has left Minnesota very short on scoring, but with a 7-3 record against the spread in their last 10-games against the Pelicans, I’m willing to take the Wolves to at least keep this game somewhat respectable.

Tip: Back the Timberwolves to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 3rd March

Miami Heat Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday March 3rd, 11:30am, American Airlines Arena

This could turn out to be a potential Eastern Conference Finals preview between the first and fourth seed.

On one hand, you have Milwaukee playing on no rest after beating the Hornets in Charlotte on Monday, and on the other, you have a Miami side sporting a 25-4 record at home laying +4.5 as the underdog.

The Bucks have been a near-perfect 7-1 against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back, but I’m willing to go the opposite way here and back the Heat with a little insurance on offer.

Firstly, the Heat are 19-9-1 against the spread with home-court advantage and 2-1 as the home underdog. Perhaps more importantly though, Miami has covered in seven of its last 10 games against the Bucks – including a five-point win in Milwaukee back in October.

This is also a bit of a look-ahead spot for Milwaukee as they prepare to face the Pacers at home on Thursday and the Lakers in LA on Saturday. All in all, I think the well-rested Heat are good value.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.90

San Antonio Spurs Vs Indiana Pacers

Tuesday March 3rd, 12:30am, AT&T Center

Three wins from their last 10 games has the Spurs in a real jam as they continue to slide down the standings.

San Antonio is playing its final game of a three-game home stand laying +2.5 here, but the Pacers represent the value as the more in-form side.

Indiana has won three games on the trot over the Hornets, Blazers and Cavs respectively, and while none of those victories are anything to get too excited about, the Pacers do have a few trends working in their favour here.

For one, LaMarcus Aldridge has been ruled out for the Spurs, again leaving them short on their second-highest points scorer. San Antonio is 3-3 this season without Aldridge in the lineup, making life even tougher for head coach Gregg Popovich.

The Pacers have also covered in three of their last four games against the Spurs and, perhaps more impressively, are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played in San Antonio. Considering this is the first of a back-to-back for the Spurs, take Indiana to extend their winning streak to four.

Tip: Back the Pacers to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.93

Monday 2nd March

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Monday March 2nd, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Arena

LeBron James put up 40-points on the Pelicans when these two sides met last Wednesday, so I’m willing to back the Lakers in this spot to lay down another beatdown.

This will be the second game of a back-to-back for Los Angeles, which spells good news considering they’ve gone 6-1 against the spread on no rest. The Pelicans, meanwhile, come in having won only five of their last 10 home games.

Zion Williamson gave the Lakers plenty of trouble last week, so it remains to be seen how Los Angeles guards him a second time around. Either way, the Lakers will be know if they win this game on the road they have a lengthy six-game home stand to look forward to, so they shouldn’t be short on motivation.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 1st March

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Sunday March 1st, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

This is the first game of a back-to-back for the Lakers, so I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if they overlook the Grizzlies with another primetime showdown against Zion Williamson and the Pelicans ahead on Monday.

Memphis is getting +6.5 here, and as most people already know, the Grizzlies have been an outstanding betting play going 17-12 against the spread at the Forum this season.

The Lakers can afford to drop a game sitting 5.5 games above the Nuggets, so with LeBron James nursing a sore groin, I wouldn’t be the least bit surprised if Frank Vogel gives him a night off or seriously limits his minutes.

Also on the injury report for the Lakers are Anthony Davis and Danny Green, while the Grizzlies come in relatively healthy. The last two games between these two sides in Memphis have been decided by five-points or less, so the +6.5 looks pretty generous.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Boston Celtics Vs Houston Rockets

Sunday March 2nd 12:30pm, TD Garden

This is another one of those scenarios where you could argue the Rockets deserve to be favourites, but with this game being played in Boston, I have to take the -1.5 about the Celtics.

The Rockets have won five straight games coming in and will certainly hold fond memories of the TD Garden after beating Boston at home this time last year. On the flip side though, the Celtics come in fresh from a very impressive four-game road trip that saw them earn wins over the Wolves, Blazers and Jazz, with an honourable two-point loss to the Lakers thrown in between.

Boston has already ruled out Kemba Walker for this game due to a knee injury, but that shouldn’t worry Celtics fans considering Jayson Tatum’s amazing form of late.

Both teams also come in sporting two days rest, which also works in Boston’s favour considering they’ve gone 5-2-1 against the spread in this scenario.

The Celtics have played to a 16-8 record ATS in non-conference play this year and are also a perfect 5-0 in their last five games against a Western Conference opponent. This should be a playoff like atmosphere in Boston and I expect Brad Stevens’ side to get the job done.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 29th February

Atlanta Hawks Vs Brooklyn Nets

Saturday February 29th, 11:30am, State Farm Arena

The Nets might standout a little here laying -2 on the road, but I do think this is another one of those scenarios where you’ll find the bookies have it right.

For starters, Brooklyn is 8-2 against the spread vs the Hawks over the last three seasons while they’ve also covered in seven of their last eight games played in Atlanta.

Both teams come into this game fresh from a loss, but it’s the Hawks who have a lot more to worry about with Trae Young questionable due to illness. DeAndre Bembry and Damian Jones are also on the injury list for Atlanta, so stick with Brooklyn to pick up a much-needed win with the Magic breathing down their neck.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line (-2.0 Points) @ $1.90

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Sacramento Kings

Saturday February 29th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Kings represent enormous value here on the road in the second game of a back-to-back.

Sacramento fell four points shy against the Thunder on Friday, but their 6-2 record against the spread on no rest suggests they should be able to keep this game somewhat close.

Memphis has been one of the toughest teams to face at home twinning nine of their last 10, so I’m certainly not confident in the Kings actually winning outright. That said, Sacramento has covered in four of its last five and six of its last eight on the road, making the +4 about the Kings seem a little on the generous side.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+4 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 28th February

Philadelphia 76ers Vs New York Knicks

Friday February 28th, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

I don’t mind the look of the Knicks in this spot as they head to Philly to play the second game of a back-to-back.

New York failed to fire on Thursday losing by six-points to the Hornets, but Mike Miller’s team has typically proven to be a handful against Philly this year losing by six points or less in all three of their meetings.

The Sixers are also playing the second game of a back-to-back here after losing in more ways than one to the Cavs yesterday. Joel Embiid suffered a shoulder injury early in the first quarter and has already been ruled out for this game as he undergoes an MRI.

Also working in the Knicks favour here is their outstanding 9-3 record against the spread in division play. Throw in a 4-1 record ATS in their last five games against Philly, and you have the makings for a very valuable bet.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Sacramento Kings

Friday February 28th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

It’s slim pickings on Friday with only four games to choose from, but it might be worth having something small on the Thunder here at home.

Sacramento comes in riding a three-game winning streak with victories over the Grizzlies, Clippers and Warriors, but this shapes up as a rough look-ahead spot for Luke Walton’s side.

This is the first game of a back-to-back for the Kings with a trip to Memphis ahead on Saturday, so I’m tipping they might be a little distracted considering they are now three games into their road trip.

The Thunder will also have a bit of a point to prove here at home after squeaking out a less than convincing overtime win against the Bulls on Wednesday. The good news is OKC has covered in 11 of their last 16 games overall, while they’ve also gone 4-1 straight-up against opponents from the Pacific Division.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.87

Thursday 27th February

Charlotte Hornets Vs New York Knicks

Thursday February 27th, 11:00am, Spectrum Center

The Hornets look a real chance here at home laying +1 against the Knicks.

This is the second game of a back-to-back for Charlotte, and while there wasn’t a whole lot to like during Wednesday’s 39-point loss to the Pacers, I feel like the Hornets will recognise the importance of this game knowing they face the Raptors, Bucks, Spurs, Nuggets and Rockets all in the coming week.

James Borrego’s side has been one of the more profitable betting plays in this scenario going 7-3 against the spread. Charlotte will also feel pretty good about themselves knowing Knicks guard Frank Ntilikina is doubtful to play with a groin injury.

As much as this is a favourable spot for the Hornets, it’s also a tough one for New York. This is the first game of a back-to-back for the Knicks with a trip to Philly looming on Friday, so I expect them to be a little distracted here.

Last but not least, the Knicks haven’t won in Charlotte since December 2018, which explains the Hornets’ 6-3 record against New York in their last nine meetings. All things considered, take Charlotte to give their home fans something to get excited about.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line (+1.5 Point) @ $1.90

San Antonio Spurs Vs Dallas Mavericks

Thursday February 27th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

Apologies to Spurs fans, but everything lines up for a big Mavericks victory here.

Dallas is laying -5.5 on the road in San Antonio hoping to build on Tuesday’s blowout victory over the Timberwolves.

The Mavs have covered in seven of their last 10-games against the Spurs, but what really stands out to me is their impressive 7-2 mark ATS in division play.

San Antonio will also go without LaMarcus Aldridge for this game, leaving them without their second-highest scorer as well as their most dominant rebounder. The Spurs are 2-2 without Aldridge in the lineup this year, which spells trouble against a Dallas side that has won six of its last 10 games on the road.

Luka Doncic says he’s still far from 100%, but considering the Mavericks are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last six games on the road in San Antonio, this looks too good to pass up.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-5.0 Points) @ $1.91

Wednesday 26th February

Toronto Raptors Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Wednesday February 26th, 11:30am, Scotiabank Arena

You might look at this game and wonder how the Bucks – fresh from an overtime win against the lowly Wizards on Tuesday – are favoured by -1.5 in Toronto.

Often the bookies get these kinds of games right though, so I’m willing to back Milwaukee and their highly impressive 6-1 record against the spread when playing on no rest to do the talking.

There’s no getting around the fact the Bucks were awful in the second half against Washington, but I do think it was partly because their minds were on this quick trip north to Toronto.

The Raptors are also without Marc Gasol and Norman Powell for this game, leaving them short two key bench players against a relatively healthy Milwaukee side. With the Bucks having already clinched a playoff berth, they should have a real point to prove now against the second seed Raptors.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday February 26th, 2:00pm, Moda Center

I thought the Celtics showed some real balls on Monday in their two-point loss to the Lakers at Staples.

Boston came very close to pulling off an upset with Kemba Walker missing from the lineup, a true testament to the coaching ability of Brad Stevens as well as the genuine talent Jayson Tatum possesses.

The Celtics will now have a chance to atone for that loss, and although Kemba will be missing again on Wednesday, I think Boston are good money laying -5 with Damian Lillard also missing for the Blazers.

The Celtics have covered in six of their last nine games against an opponent in the Northwest Division. They are also 14-8 in non-conference games, and perhaps most importantly, 11-5 following a previous loss.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-5.0 Points) @ $1.90

Golden State Warriors Vs Sacramento Kings

Wednesday February 26th, 2:30pm, Golden 1 Center

There’s no side in the NBA that makes me more nervous than the Kings, but this is a spot I feel pretty confident about.

Sacramento is -5.0 against Golden State on the road in a game they simply need to have if they are going to make some kind of miraculous push for the eighth seed.

The good news is the Kings are a perfect 6-0 against the spread in their last six road games against Golden State, while Luke Walton’s side has also gone 7-4 ATS in division games this season.

There hasn’t been a whole lot to like about the Dubs ever since the D’Angelo Williams and Andrew Wiggins swap. Golden State has won only once in their last 10 home games and are also sporting a six-game losing streak.

With Wiggins battling a leg contusion and Draymond Green also questionable to play with a pelvis injury, the Kings look a good play.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-5.0 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 25th February

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Atlanta Hawks

Tuesday February 25th, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

The Hawks have proven themselves to be a handful since the beginning of the month, so I think they present well laying +8.5 in Philadelphia.

Atlanta is riding the coattails of back-to-back wins over the Heat and Mavericks at home, and although the Sixers have looked almost unbeatable at home this year, I do think they look a little low on confidence following an overtime win over the Nets and a blowout loss to the Bucks last week.

Ben Simmons won’t suit up for this game and his timetable to return from a back injury is still up in the air.

The Hawks, meanwhile, come in relatively healthy boasting a convincing 6-3 record against the spread in their last nine games against the Sixers.

Like I said, winning in Philly is always tough, but the Hawks have typically found a way to keep things close covering in eight of their last 11 visits.

Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+8.5 Points) @ $1.90

Washington Wizards Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday February 25th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

This one could backfire, but all the trends suggest the Wizards are a good bet hosting the Bucks.

Milwaukee comes in with eight wins from their last 10-games, but there’s something to be said for Washington playing on no rest.

The Wizards have been a near-perfect betting play in the second game of a back-to-back covering in six of their seven games this season.

Washington is also 8-4 against the spread in their last 12 games at home, and for what it’s worth, 6-1 in their last seven played on a Monday.

Milwaukee is obviously the team to beat in the East, but they will play this game without Brook Lopez. Considering the double-digit line and home court advantage, it’s worth having something small on the Wizards to keep this close.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+13 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 24th February

Chicago Bulls Vs Washington Wizards

Monday February 24th, 11:00am, United Center

Backing the Bulls has been extremely difficult over the last few weeks as Jim Boylen’s injury depleted side continues to find new ways to either blow a handy lead or not show up at all.

I wouldn’t blame you for not feeling overly confident in Chicago, but the Bulls do present as a fairly decent head-to-head bet on Monday if you can get them at a decent price.

Chicago is playing the second game of a back-to-back here after hosting the Suns on Sunday. Like it or not, the Bulls are still in the race for the eighth seed in the East with time quickly running out – so Chicago will sense the importance of this three-game home stand.

The Bulls have also played to a very respectable 6-2 record straight-up when playing on no rest this year, while the Wizards, on the other hand, have won only three of their last 10-games on the road.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Win @ $2.10

Sunday 23rd February

Miami Heat Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Sunday February 23rd, 12:00pm, American Airlines Arena

There is currently no line set for this game at time of publish, but it’s safe to say it will be somewhere firmly in the double-digit range.

With that in mind, I can’t go past the Heat here as they look to improve on their league best 17-7-1 mark against the spread at home.

Erik Spoelstra’s side pounded the Cavs 124-100 when they met in Miami back in November and they’ve not surprisingly covered the spread in all of their last three games against Cleveland.

This is also the second game of a back-to-back for the Cavs after playing the Wizards in DC yesterday. Considering the travel, as well as Cleveland’s shocking 3-6 when playing on no rest, this one seems like a no-brainer.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-13 Points) @ $1.90

Utah Jazz Vs Houston Rockets

Sunday February 23rd, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

I like the Rockets with a little +2.5 insurance here as they prepare for a massive Western Conference game against the Jazz.

It’s typically pretty fiery when these two teams get together, especially with Russell Westbrook’s recent history against the Jazz fans in Utah. Therefore, I fully expect Houston to be highly motivated for this one as they look to slice the deficit between themselves and the Jazz to only one game in the standings.

Mike D’Antoni’s side won 126-117 when these two met in Utah back in January, and that was without Westbrook and James Harden in the lineup.

The Rockets are also 6-3 against the spread as the away underdog this year, while the Jazz are playing the second game of a back-to-back after facing the Spurs yesterday.

Houston, on the other hand, comes in having just beaten the Warriors by 30-points on Friday, so it’s worth backing them to give the Jazz all they can handle.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 22nd February

New York Knicks Vs Indiana Pacers

Saturday February 22nd, 11:30am, Madison Square Garden

Spread bettors will be hoping the Knicks can keep up their strong pre-All-Star Game form when they host the Pacers on Saturday.

New York closed out the first half of the season with a 4-1-1 record against the spread in their final six games and they should feel pretty good about facing a Pacers team that has won only three of their last 10 games.

Elfrid Payton is the only name of note on the injury report for New York, meaning they should field a nearly full-strength side. The Knicks lost by only a point when these two sides met at the Garden back in December and have also covered in their last three games against the Pacers, so I like the +5.5 insurance here.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.93

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Boston Celtics

Saturday February 22nd, 12:00pm, Target Center

I like the Celtics in this spot as they look to kick off their four-game road trip with a win in Minnesota.

The -6.5 line might seem a little long, but you have to factor in Karl-Anthony Towns’ absence. Minnesota is 6-12 this season without KAT in the lineup, and although the addition of D’Angelo Russell should keep them competitive, there are a handful of stats working in Boston’s favour.

Brad Stevens’ side has won its last three games in Minnesota with their last loss at the Target Center coming all the way back in 2016. Boston is also 8-2 against the spread in their last 10-games against the Wolves and 6-0 in their last six.

With a trip to the Staples Center to face the Lakers on Monday followed by a visit to Portland and Utah, the Celtics will sense the importance of a win against a much weaker opponent and I fully expect the scoreline to reflect that.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 21st February

Detroit Pistons Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Friday February 21st, 11:00am, Little Caesars Palace

The 13-point line probably says it all, but this really isn’t a good spot for the Pistons.

Detroit opens the second of their season at home to the Bucks on Friday looking to snap a four-game losing streak. The final few months of the season should be pretty bleak for the Pistons after trading away Andre Drummond at the deadline, and although these double-digit spreads can sometimes appear a little daunting, I fully expect the Bucks to dominate.

Milwaukee is building on another handy three-game winning streak with eight wins from their last 10 road games. Mike Budenholzer will also welcome back Giannis Antetokounmpo into the lineup after missing Milwaukee’s last two games against the Kings and Pacers due to the birth of his child.

The Bucks have covered in nine of their last 10-games against the Pistons and are also 14-9 against the spread as the away favourite this year. With Giannis well-rested, I’d be very surprised if this is anything less than a Bucks blowout.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-13 Points) @ $1.90

Chicago Bulls Vs Charlotte Hornets

Friday February 21st, 12:00pm, United Center

The Hornets are laying +5.5 in Chicago, which looks good value considering there isn’t as much between these two sides as the market suggests.

Charlotte closed out the first half of the season winning back-to-back games over the Pistons and Timberwolves, and it’s fair to say the Bulls fall into the same category in terms of class.

Chicago is still in the conversation for the eighth seed in the East, but their current six-game losing streak has made life tough. There’s also bad news on the injury front regarding Kris Dunn, Otto Porter, Wendell Carter Jr and Denzel Valentine – all of whom have bene ruled out for this game.

The Hornets are 13-3 against the spread in their last 16 games against Central Division opponents and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10-games against the Bulls. All things considered; this line seems very generous.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 14th February

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Friday February 14th, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Center

OKC lost by eight to the Spurs on Wednesday, and as a result the bookies are laying the Thunder +2 against the Pelicans.

The Thunder have covered in 12 of their 21 games after a loss this season, but the trend really worth paying attention to is their 17-4 mark as the away underdog.

Zion Williamson has played as advertised scoring 20-points in five consecutive games, but I do think there is a bit of a talent gap between these two sides. The Thunder have won three straight over the Pelicans and are also 9-1 in their last 10 road games, so back OKC to at least keep this close.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 13th February

Indiana Pacers Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Thursday February 13th, 11:30am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

The Bucks are without Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kyle Korver and George Hill for this game, but I’m still willing to back them to cover as underdogs.

Milwaukee showed it isn’t just a one-man band on Tuesday beating the Kings by double-digits with Giannis missing. You might be surprised to learn the Bucks are a perfect 4-0 this season without the Greek Freak, while the Bucks are also 1-0 against the spread as the away underdog.

Indiana has been awful over the last fortnight losing six straight to the Knicks, Mavs, Raptors (twice), Pelicans and Nets. The Pacers are in real danger of falling away in the East, while Victor Oladipo’s struggles aren’t helping matters.

In case you need further convincing though, the Bucks are 8-3 against the spread vs division opponents this year. With the pressure on the Pacers to perform at home, I like Milwaukee to make things even more difficult.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

New York Knicks Vs Washington Wizards

Thursday February 13th, 11:30am, Madison Square Garden

The Wizards head to the Big Apple as +2.5 underdogs on Thursday only 24 hours on from their 12-point win against the Bulls.

Washington has quietly won five of their last 10-games right in time for the All-Star break, and I do like them in this spot against a Knicks team playing on two days rest.

New York have been money recently winning four of their last five, but a recent illness has swept through the locker room leaving a handful of Michael Miller’s key bench players listed as questionable on the injury report.

The Wizards, meanwhile, have typically been a more efficient team playing on no rest than they have been with a day in between games. Washington is averaging 119 points in the second game of a back-to-back, while they also hold a very convincing 5-1 record against the spread in this scenario.

Last but not least, the Wizards are 10-5 against the spread in the last 15 games against New York. This should be a close game, but I like Washington with some insurance.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+3.0 Points) @ $1.93

Wednesday 12th February

Washington Wizards Vs Chicago Bulls

Wednesday February 12th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Bulls find themselves sitting 10th in the Eastern Conference ahead of All-Star weekend, putting them in prime position to make a late playoff run in the second half of the season.

Games like this one against the Wizards have often been Chicago’s downfall, but I can’t understand why the Bulls are over the $2.00 mark straight up.

Jim Boylen’s side has lost five straight games ahead of their trip to Washington, but the Bulls have been a steady team to bet on as the away underdog against the spread. So far Chicago is 11-8-1 in this scenario, while they’ve also covered the spread in their last three games against Washington.

If you’re game, you could take the Bulls head-to-head, but it might be worth taking the insurance the +2.5 line has to offer. The good news is Zach LaVine is back in the lineup after suffering neck spasms, so I fully expect the Bulls to put in a competitive performance.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Houston Rockets Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday February 12th, 1:30pm, Toyota Center

The Celtics have been a consistent bet in this spot as the away underdog and I’m happy to back them sporting +2.5 on the road in Houston.

Boston came through with the goods on Monday in a huge one-point win over the Thunder. There have been some injury concerns for Brad Stevens heading into Wednesday’s game, but it appears Jaylen Brown and Gordon Hayward are good to go.

The Rockets, on the other hand, have been a nervous play recently losing back-to-back games to the Suns and Jazz. Eric Gordon is also listed as out for this game with a bruised shin, leaving the unpredictable duo of James Harden and Russell Westbrook in charge of the scoring.

Going back to my original point, the Celtics are 8-3 as the away underdog against the spread this year and 11-7 in non-conference games. With Boston’s winning streak building, don’t be surprised if they extend it to seven.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 11th February

Detroit Pistons Vs Charlotte Hornets

Tuesday February 11th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

The Hornets are in the midst of a five-game losing streak, but I’m still willing to back Charlotte laying +3.5 in Detroit.

There isn’t as much between these two as the market suggests, and the Hornets certainly have a strong track record against the Pistons that makes me think this could be close.

In their last 10 meetings against Detroit, Charlotte has covered the spread eight times and gone 9-1 straight up. The Pistons are also likely to go without Derrick Rose and Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk, leaving them short two key bench players against a fairly healthy Hornets side.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Phoenix Suns

Tuesday February 11th, 2:30pm, Staples Center

The Suns were a little frisky on Saturday handing the Rockets a 36-point loss.

Sometimes Phoenix can be a great upset bet, but I don’t expect any kind of magic to happen here in LA.

The Lakers come into this game relatively healthy and well-rested following a five-point win over the Warriors on Sunday. Los Angeles has endured a few hiccups at home recently, but even with the line at -12, the Lakers still look the goods with a few trends working in their favour.

Frank Vogel’s side is 7-3 against the spread in their last 10 games against the Suns and 8-2 straight up. You have to rewind all the way back to 2017 to find Phoenix’s last win in LA, while DeAndre Ayton’s ankle injury could also make life tough on Tuesday.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-12 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 10th February

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Boston Celtics

Monday February 10th, 7:30am, Chesapeake Energy Arena

Monday’s seven game slate is very tough to pick, so I’m happy to keep it simple and back the Celtics on the road.

Currently there’s no line set at time of publish, but I do expect it to be somewhere around 1.5-points given the winning form these sides are in.

On one hand, the Thunder sport a 16-10 record at home, while the Celtics are 14-10 on the road.

The one difference that separates these two teams in terms of trends is Boston’s four-game winning streak against the Thunder. Brad Stevens’ side won has also won three of its last five trips to Oklahoma City and six of their last 10 road games, a record that suits them well heading into this two-game road trip.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Sunday 9th February

Detroit Pistons Vs New York Knicks

Sunday February 9th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

Detroit has been a terrible team in the second game of a back-to-back this year winning only one of their eight games.

The Knicks are the early outsiders at +1.5, a line that looks very generous considering the Pistons are now scraping the bottom of the talent barrel following the trade of Andre Drummond.

New York has also found some form following last weeks chants at the Garden to sell the team. The Knicks have won three games on the trot against the Pacers, Cavs and Magic, largely due to the exciting play of Julius Randle.

The Knicks will be without Marcus Morris after his trade to the Clippers, but I’m still willing to back them on the road. New York is 8-2 against the spread in their last 10-games, a trend that has proved very profitable over the last fortnight.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sacramento Kings Vs San Antonio Spurs

Sunday February 9th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

Sacramento hasn’t been the kindest place to the Spurs in recent years, which makes me think the +2.5 about the Kings is a good bet.

San Antonio hasn’t won on the road against the Kings since January 2018, while their recent 4-6 away from home also leaves a lot to be desired.

The Kings are playing on short rest here after hosting the Heat on Saturday. Sacramento continues to frustrate fans and punters alike with their inconsistent play, but the Kings have been a steady bet against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back.

Sacramento has covered in five of their seven games in this situation and are also a perfect 3-0 against the spread in their last three games against the Spurs. All the trends point in the Kings’ favour here, so I’m happy to take the line with a little insurance.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 8th February

Boston Celtics Vs Atlanta Hawks

Saturday February 8th, 11:30am, TD Garden

I’ve said it before, and I’ll say it again – successful NBA betting is all about riding the hot hand.

The Celtics are exactly that having won five games in a row ahead of Saturday’s tilt with the Hawks. During that time Brad Stevens’ side is 5-0 against the spread, making the -9 on the Celtics a worthwhile play.

Behind a 16-9-1 record, Boston has been the second-best team to back at home against the spread. The Celtics have also been the second-best team to back following a day off, going 21-11-1.

Atlanta has lost six straight games to Boston dating back to 2018 – which was also the last time they won in Boston. Trae Young and Jeff Teague are both battling minor injuries, while coach Lloyd Pierce will also be short on a handful of key bench players like DeAndre Bembry and Cam Reddish.

The Celtics haven’t lost at the Garden since January 18, so all in all, take Boston to win comfortably.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-9 Points) @ $1.90

Sacramento Kings Vs Miami Heat

Saturday February 8th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

You’d do well to jump on the Kings as early as possible here with Jimmy Butler looking doubtful to play with a right shoulder strain.

Sacramento is laying +1.5 at home against a Heat team currently below .500 on the road.

Miami kicked off their West Coast swing with a double-digit loss to the Clippers on Thursday, and while I don’t expect this game to be quite so one-sided, there is every chance the Kings keep this close.

The last time the Heat won in Sacramento was all the way back in 2017, and since then, the Kings have covered the spread in two of their last three games against Miami.

Kings fans can also rest easy knowing the injury report is free from any big names for a change. With Butler doubtful and Tyler Herro also ruled out with right ankle soreness, I’ll take Sacramento.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 7th February

New York Knicks Vs Orlando Magic

Friday February 7th, 11:30pm, Madison Square Garden

The Magic have been dreadful in the second game of a back-to-back this year, which makes me think the Knicks are a worthwhile bet laying +3.0 at home.

Orlando put up a fight on Thursday against the Celtics in Boston before going on to lose by 16-points. Steve Clifford’s side has played to a 1-7 record on no rest this year, while their 2-4-2 record against the spread isn’t much better either.

New York has been quite the opposite (at least recently) going 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games. RJ Barrett is again questionable to play with a right ankle injury, but with the Knicks having won three straight, it’s worth taking them to at least keep this close.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Friday February 7th, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

I touched on this game a little more in my Primetime Preview, but in case you missed it, the Bucks look good money here laying -9 at home.

The Sixers are in shambles after losing three straight blowouts to the Hawks, Celtics and Heat respectively. Philly is struggling to find any chemistry on the court, while a lack of perimeter shooting is also starting to cost Brett Brown’s side against opponents they should be beating.

From a betting perspective, the Bucks have been money against opponents from the Atlantic Division going 5-2 against the spread. In case you hadn’t already heard, Milwaukee is also a near-perfect 23-3 at home, making this a very safe play.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-9 Points) @ $1.90

Thursday 6th February

Detroit Pistons Vs Phoenix Suns

Thursday February 6th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

The Suns are looking to snap their three-game skid on Thursday against the Pistons in a game between the two 11 seeds in each conference.

Detroit have been one of the toughest teams to watch over the last two weeks winning only three of their last 10-games. That being said, the Pistons do hold a perfect 8-0 record against the spread over the last five seasons vs Phoenix, making the +2.5 about Detroit very enticing.

The Suns haven’t won in the Motor City since 2014 and are also playing their third consecutive game on the road. The Pistons, meanwhile, handed the Nuggets a five-point loss on Monday, so it’s worth backing them to at least put up a fight in this one.

Tip: Back the Pistons to Cover the Line (+3.0 Points) @ $1.90

Brooklyn Nets Vs Golden State Warriors

Thursday February 6th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

D’Angelo Russell has been a hot trade topic this week, but there’s only one thing that will be on his mind here: beating his former team.

Russell returns to the Barclays Center for the first time since being traded to the Nets in the Kevin Durant package last offseason. Considering the Warriors are also riding a two-game winning streak, I think the +8.0 about Golden State is more than worth backing.

The Warriors have won twice already during this four-game road trip with wins over the Cavaliers and Wizards. Brooklyn has gone 5-5 in their last 10 home games, but there are a number of other trends worth paying attention to.

Golden State is 4-0 straight-up over the Nets dating back to 2017. All of those wins came during the glory years, but the Warriors are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games.

With Russell’s return being the motivating factor and the Nets again playing without Kyrie Irving, take the Warriors to keep this close.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Cover the Line (+8.0 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 5th February

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Wednesday February 5th, 11:30am, Smoothie King Center

The Bucks have lost only twice since the beginning of the New Year, but I’m still willing to back the Pelicans laying +6 at home.

Milwaukee is arguably the best team in the league right now, but even the best of the best have their weak points.

The Bucks spend a lot of time defending the paint, which often leaves them vulnerable on the perimeter against good three-point shooting teams. The Nuggets managed to exploit that weakness on Saturday in their 13-point win, and I fully expect New Orleans to do the same.

The Pelicans rank fourth in three-point shooting percentage this year, while Alvin Gentry’s team can also hold their own in the paint now that Zion Williamson is in the lineup.

Finally, New Orleans has quietly been one of the best betting plays as the away underdog this year going 7-3 against the spread. All things considered; this could be a memorable night for the Pels.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.92

Houston Rockets Vs Charlotte Hornets

Wednesday February 5th, 12:00pm, Toyota Center

The Hornets head to Houston on Wednesday looking to not only undo their three-game losing streak, but also 16 seasons worth of bad juju.

Charlotte hasn’t won in Houston since 2004, making this road trip even more daunting following Tuesday’s 12-point loss at home to the Magic.

The Rockets are laying -13.5 here, and while that might seem a little generous for a team that consistently finds new ways to either 1. blow a lead or, 2. not show up at all, I’m still willing to back Houston to win this game comfortably.

Russell Westbrook has been ruled out for this game due to a mysterious left thumb injury, but that might actually work out in Houston’s favour. Recently the Harden-Westbrook chemistry just hasn’t been there, so with Russ out of the picture, don’t be surprised if we get the very best of ‘The Beard’.

Harden has averaged 25.9 points in 14 starts against Charlotte, while the Rockets are also an impressive 19-4 against the spread in their last 23 games in the month of February.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs San Antonio Spurs

Wednesday February 5th, 2:00pm, Staples Center

I gave a detailed analysis of this game in my Primetime Preview, but here’s the shorter version.

The Spurs come into this game on no rest after going toe-to-toe with the Clippers last night. From a betting perspective, this is good news considering Gregg Popovich’s side is 4-1 against the spread on no rest this season.

Los Angeles obviously has a lot going on emotionally, and as we saw on Saturday against the Blazers, these double-digit lines are a little ambitious right now.

The Lakers have handed the Spurs a pair of losses already this season, but San Antonio typically hasn’t wasted any time when it comes to revenge. Over the last two seasons Popovich’s side is 42-16 against the spread when it comes to revenging a loss against an opponent, so take the Spurs to keep this close.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 4th February

Cleveland Cavaliers Vs New York Knicks

Tuesday February 4th, 11:00am, Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

The Knicks head to Cleveland on Tuesday hoping to pick up where they left off in Sunday’s 13-point upset over the Pacers.

New York is laying only +1.5 here, which stands out as a serious value play considering the Cavs are riding a three-game losing streak.

No one would blame you for feeling a little unsure of this bottom cellar Eastern Conference clash, but the Knicks do have a few trends in favour that might make you think otherwise.

The Knicks have been a quietly strong betting play this year with a day off in between games, covering in 20 of their 33 games so far. New York is also 6-2 against the spread in their last games and 4-2 in their last six played during February, so take the Knicks to win (or at least come close).

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Indiana Pacers Vs Dallas Mavericks

Tuesday February 4th, 11:00am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

You’d do well to play on the Pacers here as they look to bounce-back from a blowout loss to the Knicks.

Indiana managed only 85 points against New York in a night they’d probably rather forget. But when I look back at the box score, it’s hard to say the Pacers did a whole lot wrong.

Victor Oladipo had an off night going just 2-from-14 from the field. Malcolm Brogdon was also quiet with only eight points and seven rebounds, meaning Sunday’s loss was simply a case of bad luck.

The good news is the Pacers are 10-7 against the spread this year following a previous loss and 4-1 in their last five home games against the Mavericks.

Dallas now prepares for its third consecutive game without Luka Doncic, who will occupy the sidelines alongside Seth Curry and potentially, Kristaps Porzingis.

Those three are notable outs for the Mavericks, so take the Pacers to win this one comfortably.

Tip: Back the Pacers to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 3rd February

Toronto Raptors Vs Chicago Bulls

Monday February 3rd, 7:00am, Scotiabank Arena

The Bulls head to Toronto on Monday laying +10.5 in the midst of a two-game losing streak.

Chicago has been one of the most frustrating teams to bet on (and watch) this season, but I still think the double-digit line here is a little generous considering who’s on the injury report for the Raptors.

Toronto will go without Marc Gasol and Norm Powell, while Rondae-Hollis Jefferson’s ankle injury only complicates matters for coach Nick Nurse.

The Bulls have their own injuries to worry about with Kris Dunn on the sidelines nursing a knee injury. Even so, Chicago has played to a 10-7-1 record as the away underdog this year, which suggests they could at least keep this game close.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (+10.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sunday 2nd February

Sacramento Kings Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Sunday February 2nd, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

The Lakers are back in action on Sunday in the second game of a back-to-back, this time looking to down the Kings on the road.

Los Angeles has won three games on the trot against the Kings, but it’s their impressive record playing on no rest that has me backing the Lakers here.

Frank Vogel’s side holds a perfect 6-0 record in the second game of a back-to-back straight-up, while against the spread, the Lakers are also an impressive 5-1.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $1.90

Saturday 1st February

Brooklyn Nets Vs Chicago Bulls

Saturday February 1st, 11:30am, Barclays Center

A win here is equally important for both teams as they continue to fight it out for the eighth seed in the East.

Brooklyn currently sits on top behind a less than impressive 20-26 record, while the Bulls are hot on their heels at 19-31.

Neither team has looked particularly convincing over the last fortnight, but the trends do suggest the Nets are the side to back after handing the Pistons a 10-point loss on Thursday.

Chicago, meanwhile, continues to find new ways to throw away games. The Bulls held a lead over the Pacers in the fourth quarter on Thursday before losing in overtime 115-106.

Zach LaVine has been the only bright point for the Bulls of late and although he’ll be full of motivation after being snubbed from the All-Star Game, I’m still backing the Nets to win big here.

Brooklyn is 7-1 straight-up over the last three seasons against Chicago and 6-2 against the spread.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.90

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Saturday February 1st, 2:30pm, Staples Center

This will mark the Lakers’ first game since the tragic death of Kobe Bryant, and it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see them pile on the points in his honour.

The Lakers have had six days off to get their heads straight for this game, although we should see plenty of emotion pre-game. I’m fully expecting a stirring tribute to Kobe to act as a motivator for LeBron James, even though the Blazers have held their own this week winning back-to-back games.

Anthony Davis is questionable to play with a glute injury, while Carmelo Anthony has been ruled out for the Blazers.

Portland’s win over the Rockets on Thursday was very impressive, but their over-reliance on outside shots from the perimeter won’t work against the Lakers. Los Angeles has allowed the sixth-lowest three-point shooting percentage against opponents this year, while the Lakers are also 6-3 against the spread over the last season vs Portland.

All things considered; this should be a very moving Lakers win in blowout fashion.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-12 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 31st January

Denver Nuggets Vs Utah Jazz

Friday January 31st, 2:30pm, Pepsi Center

Donovan Mitchell’s 31-point effort against the Spurs on Wednesday still wasn’t enough to see the Jazz over the line.

The loss marked Utah’s second in a row this week as they now prepare for a very difficult Nuggets side looking to bounce-back from a loss to the Grizzlies.

Denver will again go without Jamal Murray, who is set to miss his eighth straight game with an ankle injury. Paul Millsap will join Murray on the sidelines, making the Jazz a worthwhile bet to bounce-back with a win.

Utah has won three of its four games on no rest this year and also owns a perfect 3-0 record against the spread in their last three games vs Denver. Four of the last five games between these two sides have been decided by 1-10 points, so you bet this one turns out somewhat close.

Tip: Back the Jazz to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Sacramento Kings

Friday January 31st, 2:30pm, Staples Center

This should be a very emotional scene at the Staples Center on Friday and I’m fully expecting the Clippers to play lights out ball in honour of Kobe.

Los Angeles comes into this game on four days rest after Wednesday’s blockbuster against the Lakers was postponed. Already this year the Clippers are 8-3 against the spread when they have two or more days off, while the injury report also suggests Doc Rivers’ side should be tough to beat.

Paul George is set to make his return to the lineup for the first time since January 5 alongside Patrick Beverley, who has missed three games with a groin injury.

Things also look bleak for the Kings when you factor in yesterday’s 20-point loss to the Thunder. Sacramento has played to a 2-4 record straight-up on no rest this year, so take the Clippers to win comfortably.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 30th January

San Antonio Spurs Vs Utah Jazz

Thursday January 30th, 12:00pm, AT&T Center

All signs point towards the Jazz winning big on Thursday in San Antonio.

Utah heads into this game looking to make amends for their eight-point loss to the Rockets on Tuesday, and with LaMarcus Aldridge set to miss his second straight game for the Spurs, it’s difficult to see this one playing out any other way.

The Jazz haven’t played Gregg Popovich’s side since February last year, but they should also feel confident knowing they’ve won two of their last three meetings against San Antonio.

Utah has quietly won eight of their last 10 games on the road, which adds up for a big win against a Spurs side that has lost three games in a row.

Throw in Utah’s 9-6 record against the spread as the away favourite, and you have the makings of a very safe bet.

Tip: Back the Jazz to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.92

Sacramento Kings Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Thursday January 30th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

Oklahoma City could move within a game and a half of the sixth-place Mavericks in the standings – the same team the Thunder lost to on Tuesday.

Fortunately, Oklahoma City has enjoyed a day off to reflect on what went wrong, and from a betting standpoint, I’m more than happy to bet on Billy Donovan’s side bouncing back.

The Thunder have covered the spread in in 11 of their 19 games following a previous loss this year as they prepare to welcome back Chris Paul into the lineup. OKC will go without Terrance Ferguson for this game, however there are a number of other trends pointing in their favour.

You might not know it, but the Thunder have been the most profitable side to bet on as the away underdog this year, going 16-4 against the spread and perhaps more importantly, 9-1 straight-up in their last 10 games on the road.

The Kings, meanwhile, have managed only two wins from their last 10 home games, making this 1-point line well worth taking on.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Wednesday 29th January

Miami Heat Vs Boston Celtics

Wednesday January 29th, 12:00pm, American Airlines Arena

Miami will be hoping to add to its outstanding 21-2 home record on Wednesday as they host the visiting Boston Celtics on no rest.

The Heat won comfortably 113-92 over the Magic yesterday in a game dominated by 22-year-old sensation Bam Adebayo. The youngster posted his third triple-double of the season and figures to wreak havoc on a Boston side looking to bounce-back from a loss to the Pelicans on Monday.

Betting on these top conference clashes can sometimes be tricky, but I’m confident the Heat can get the job done here. Miami has played to a league-best 16-6-1 record against the spread at home, and it also appears the bookies aren’t factoring in Boston’s injuries at time of publish.

Enes Kanter and Jayson Tatum are both listed as out on the injury report, while Marcus Smart is also battling a right ankle sprain. Considering the Heat are only laying -3.0, it’s worth jumping on this one in a hurry.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.93

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Denver Nuggets

Wednesday January 29th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Grizzlies have won eight of their last 10 home games to secure the eighth seed in the Western Conference, but what people aren’t talking about is their strong record against the spread vs conference opponents.

Playing to an 18-11-1 record, Memphis has been the second-best side to bet on against fellow Western Conference teams. The Nuggets are one of the toughest teams to face in the league, but I’m happy to take the +1 the bookies are offering.

Denver heads into this game without Jamal Murray – leaving Michael Malone minus one of his key starters – and Paul Millsap – who is one of the Nuggets’ most productive bench players.

Memphis has covered in eight of its last 11 games and is also 14-12 against the spread at home. All things considered, take the Grizzlies here.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Tuesday 28th January

Miami Heat Vs Orlando Magic

Tuesday January 28th, 11:30am, American Airlines Arena

Miami has been almost untouchable at home this season so it’s worth backing the Heat to bounce-back from Saturday’s five-point loss to the Clippers.

The Heat are nursing a few injuries at the moment with Kendrick Nunn and Goran Dragic both listed as questionable for this game. The good news is Bam Adebayo is set to go with right ankle soreness, making Miami a very strong bet laying -6 points.

Erik Spoelstra’s side has played to a league-best 11-2 record against the spread following a previous loss, while the Heat’s 8-2 record on 2-3 days’ rest isn’t too shabby either.

Orlando also heads into this game riding a three-game losing streak with losses to the Thunder, Celtics and Clippers at home. Considering the Magic are only 8-15 on the road this year, take the Heat to make a statement.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-6 Points) @ $1.87

Chicago Bulls Vs San Antonio Spurs

Tuesday January 28th, 12:00pm, United Center

The Bulls will open as the home favourite for only the 16th time all season against the Spurs.

LaMarcus Aldridge’s injury is a big reason why, but I’m still willing to back San Antonio in the second game of a back-to-back.

Gregg Popovich’s side lost by four points to the Raptors yesterday in an emotional night for DeMar DeRozan and the entire team. The good news is the Spurs are 3-1 against the spread playing on no rest this year and 13-10-1 following a previous loss.

The Bulls head into this game following an impressive win over the Cavs on Sunday. Zach LaVine has been outstanding over the last few weeks, but keep in mind, the Bulls often find a way to lose close games at home.

With that in mind, take the Spurs laying a generous +2 here.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+2 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 27th January

New York Knicks Vs Brooklyn Nets

Monday January 27th, 10:00am, Madison Square Garden

The fourth crosstown rivalry of the season tips off on Monday between two teams seriously struggling for form.

Even with Kyrie Irving back in the lineup, the Nets have still managed to win only two of their last 10-games at time of publish to sit just seven games clear of the Knicks in the Atlantic Division.

New York won by two points when these two sides met on Boxing Day and considering how disorganized the Nets look on the court right now, it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see them keep this game close at home.

The Knicks have been the second-best team to back against the spread vs division opponents this year, covering in seven of their 10-games. With bragging rights to play for, take the home side here.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line

Sunday 26th January

Cleveland Cavaliers Vs Chicago Bulls

Sunday January 26th, 12:00pm, Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

The Bulls are starting to make things a little interesting in the bottom half of the East as they keep the pressure on the eighth seed Nets.

Chicago will need to be at its best on Sunday playing on no rest following Saturday’s game against the Kings. The good news is the Bulls have an easy game in hand against a struggling Cavs side riding a six-game losing streak.

This game doesn’t hold much weight as far as the Central Division is concerned, but the trends do suggest we could be in for some points.

Betting on the Over when the Cavs are playing division opponents has been one of the most profitable betting plays this year, coming through in seven of 10 games. These two sides have also combined for an average of 231 points across their last two meetings, so take this one to be high scoring.

Tip: Over the Points Total

Saturday 25th January

Detroit Pistons Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Saturday January 25th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

Memphis continues its Eastern Conference road trip in Detroit hoping to bounce-back from a very forgettable performance against the Celtics on Thursday.

The Grizzlies failed to show up in Boston as Brad Stevens’ side handed them a 24-point loss. Ja Morant struggled all night finishing with only two points, but the good news is Memphis now has a chance to turn things around.

Detroit will welcome Andre Drummond back into the lineup after receiving dental work on Friday. The Pistons are coming off a win to the Kings earlier in the week, however the trends suggest the Grizzlies are the side to bet on here.

Over the last three seasons, Memphis has covered the spread in six of their last eight games against Detroit and, perhaps more impressively, have covered in 10 of their 11 games when playing at Little Caesars Arena.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Miami Heat Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Saturday January 25th, 12:00pm, American Airlines Arena

This cross-conference showdown should tell us all we need to know about the Clippers moving forward.

In hindsight, this game also shapes up as a potential Finals preview, but from a betting perspective, how can you go against Miami’s outstanding 20-1 record at home this season?

The Heat continue to answer every test thrown their way, and although it might seem a little extreme, it’s almost insulting to find Miami laying +2.0 in this game.

This season alone the Heat have covered the spread in both games where they’ve opened as the home underdog. If you want to rewind a little further though, Miami is also 9-4 since 2018 in this same scenario.

Jimmy Butler, Goran Dragic and Kendrick Nunn are all listed on the injury report for the Heat with minor injuries. The Clippers, meanwhile, will go without Paul George and Patrick Beverly, so take the Heat in this one.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+2.0 Points) @ $1.92

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Denver Nuggets

Saturday January 25th, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Center

We’ll receive our second taste of Zion Williamson on Saturday as the Pelicans battle the Nuggets at home.

Despite losing by four to the Spurs, Zion’s 22-point performance brought the house down in his long-awaited debut.

Apparently, it also sold the bookies on the Pelicans moving forward as they are currently laying -4 against Denver.

The Nuggets do come into this game following a 16-point loss to the Rockets, but that line looks a little generous for me considering Michael Malone’s side is still sitting fourth in the West at 30-14.

Playing on the Nuggets following a loss this year has also been highly profitable. Denver has gone 7-3-3 against the spread in this scenario, while they’ve also played to a 3-3-1 record as the away underdog.

The Pelicans do have a bright future ahead with a stacked roster of pure scorers. Considering New Orleans looks intent on limiting Zion’s minutes though, don’t be surprised if his on again-off again spurts disrupt some of the chemistry on the court.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 24th January

Cleveland Cavaliers Vs Washington Wizards

Friday January 24th, 11:00am, Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

Only 2.5 games separate these two cellar dwellers in the Eastern Conference – not that anyone is counting.

Washington heads to Cleveland on short rest after losing to the Heat by five on Thursday, a result that actually works in our favour here.

The Wizards have been a strong betting play on no rest covering the spread in four of their five games. The Cavs, meanwhile, come into this game riding a serious five game losing skid after being blown out by the Knicks 106-86 on Tuesday.

Much like they were last season, the Wizards are one of those weird teams that actually average more points on no rest than they do with a game in between. Nothing about this will be pretty – or even fun to watch – but take the Wiz to get the job done.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Dallas Mavericks

Friday January 24th, 2:30pm, Moda Center

Mavericks bettors will be looking for a bounce-back performance in this game after Dallas blew a lead against the Clippers on Wednesday.

The good news is the Mavs have typically atoned for their losses this season covering the spread in 10 of their 15 games following a previous defeat. Dallas is laying only -1 on the road here, which looks a little over the odds considering how banged up the Blazers are.

Hassan Whiteside, CJ McCollum, Zach Collins and Jusuf Nurkic are all listed on the injury report for Portland. The Blazers rank 18th in average points-per-game this month, and things might only get worse with a handful of their stars out.

Dallas has covered the spread in six of its last seven games and ranks seventh in points this month. All signs point towards the Mavericks covering.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-1 Point) @ $1.90

Thursday 23rd January

Orlando Magic Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Thursday January 23rd, 11:00am, Amway Center

Thunder bettors will be hoping OKC can make do without Steven Adams on Thursday should the big man miss this trip to Orlando with a sprained ankle.

The Thunder looked just fine without Adams on the court against the Rockets on Tuesday winning 112-107, which makes the visitors worth backing laying +1 on the road.

Oklahoma City has been a punters best friend this year as the away underdog, covering the spread in 14 of their 18 games so far. The Magic, meanwhile, come into this game with only one win from their last three after losing to the Clippers and Warriors on the road last week.

Orlando has averaged the sixth-fewest points so far this month, which compared to the 10th placed Thunder, doesn’t really cut it. Oklahoma City has won four of its last five games over the Magic and ais also 11-2 in their last 13 games played during the month of January, so take the Thunder in this one.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Toronto Raptors Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Thursday January 23rd, 11:00am, Scotiabank Arena

The Sixers head north riding a four-game winning streak, which could be a little misleading if you haven’t been paying attention.

Many thought Philly would take that extra step forward this season and develop into a real top contender, but with Joel Embiid out injured and pressure beginning to mount on potential trade options, the panic button is quickly being pushed.

The Sixers are still a legitimate playoff team, but they’ll meet their match in Toronto against the division leading Raptors in a rematch of last year’s Eastern Conference Semi-Finals.

In case you hadn’t heard, the Sixers haven’t won in Toronto since 2012, which explains the +6 line on offer as the Raptors also hope to extend their winning streak to five.

Toronto is 5-3 against the spread vs division opponents this year, so take the Raptors to cover and add to the Sixers’ woes.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (-6 Points) @ $1.92

Boston Celtics Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Thursday January 23rd, 11:30am, TD Garden

The Celtics remain a little battered and bruised ahead of their home game against Memphis, but I’m still happy to back them laying -7 to get the job done at home.

Kemba Walker is probable to play with left knee soreness, while the verdict on Jaylen Brown is less certain as he plays through a right ankle sprain. Even so, history suggests the Grizzlies should struggle in this one considering their last win in Boston came all the way back in 2013.

Memphis has thrown a real spanner in the works of the Western Conference, reclaiming the eight seed behind a 20-23 record. The Grizzlies have won only five of their last 10-games on the road however, making this is a big ask in a very tough environment.

The Celtics are 9-5 against the spread vs non-conference opponents this year and 4-0 straight-up against the Grizzlies over the last three seasons. These longer lines can sometimes be a bit daunting, but with the Celtics averaging the fifth-most points at home this year, it should be safe.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 22nd January

Dallas Mavericks Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Wednesday January 22nd, 12:30pm, American Airlines Center

The Clippers will be hoping for a much more convincing performance on Wednesday against the Mavericks after surviving a very close scare against the Pelicans earlier in the week.

Paul George is set to miss his sixth straight game due to a hamstring injury, leaving the bulk of the scoring firmly in the hands of Kawhi Leonard and Lou Williams – both of whom scored 30-points in the win over New Orleans.

Led by Luka Doncic’s 35-points, the Mavericks extended their winning streak to four on Saturday against the Blazers. There’s still no word on Kristaps Porzingis, but Dallas looks slightly undervalued in the market here with home court advantage.

So far, these Western Conference showdowns have been tough to pick, but the Mavs certainly have a lot more going for them right now.

Dallas holds an 16-8 record against conference opponents, while they’ve also averaged the sixth-most points in the league this month.

Considering George isn’t a factor and the Mavs have also won six of their eight games after 2-3 days rest, it’s worth taking Dallas outright here.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Win @ $1.83

Tuesday 21st January

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Denver Nuggets

Tuesday January 21st, 12:00pm, Target Center

The Nuggets head to Minnesota hoping to bounce-back from a disappointing loss to the Pacers at home on Monday.

Denver has surprisingly opened as the underdogs against the struggling Wolves – a team that has won only three of their last 10 games.

The Nuggets will go without Paul Millsap and Jamal Murray for this game, but I’m still happy to back them to win this outright. Denver has won five of their seven games on no rest this season, leaving the visitors looking seriously undervalued at their current price.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Win @ $2.40

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Golden State Warriors

Tuesday January 21st, 2:00pm, Moda Center

Only one win from their last 10-games tells you all you need to know about the Warriors.

With Steph Curry, Klay Thompson and D’Angelo Russell all on the sidelines, it comes as no surprise to learn that Golden State has averaged the fewest points in the league this month.

The Warriors have been a team to avoid all year, but they have been a consistent side to play on when it comes to betting the Under.

12 of Golden State’s 22 road games so far have all gone Under the Total, and while it might seem like the Warriors would fare better against teams with a losing record, the Total has also hone Under in 19 of their 25 games against teams below .500.

Tip: Warriors Under 107.5 Total Points @ $1.88

Monday 20th January

San Antonio Spurs Vs Miami Heat

Monday January 20th, 7:00am, AT&T Center

Back to back losses leaves the Spurs in need of a big win if they hope to keep up with the eighth-place Grizzlies, and I’m happy to back them to do just that on Monday.

San Antonio allowed the Hawks to come back from an 11-point three quarter deficit to win on Saturday, however from a betting perspective, that actually plays as good news.

The Spurs are 12-8-1 following a previous loss this season and they won’t be short on motivation as they prepare to face the Heat for the second time in five days.

Miami got the better of Gregg Popovich’s side on Thursday in a hard-earned six point victory, but again, the Spurs have also been a strong betting play when it comes to revenging a loss against a previous opponent, going 25-8.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line

Sunday 19th January

Boston Celtics Vs Phoenix Suns

Sunday January 19th, 11:00am, TD Garden

The Celtics have been a rough play of late for punters as they continue to struggle for points in the fourth quarter.

As most expected, Boston lost to the Bucks on Friday by five points, but there were plenty of positives for Brad Stevens to take away from the game.

Kemba Walker put up a casual 40 points against the league’s best defence, while Marcus Smart also stood out with a season-high 24.

Boston has been an outstanding betting play so far this season following a previous loss. The Celtics are 8-4 in this scenario against the spread, tying in nicely with their 11-8-1 record at home.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-7.5 Points) @ $1.90

Houston Rockets Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Sunday January 19th, 12:30pm, Toyota Center

The Lakers have had a day to reflect on their loss to the Magic at home on Thursday in preparation for this huge Western Conference showdown against the Rockets.

Houston comes into this game on two days rest after losing to the Blazers on Thursday, and although the Lakers have sit atop the conference, I’m still happy to take the Rockets here with home-court advantage.

Anthony Davis looks likely to miss another game with a lower back injury, while the Lakers could also go without Rajon Rondo.

Houston, on the other hand, enters this game with a relatively clean bill of health with only Austin Rivers ruled out with a thumb injury. The Rockets have also gone 6-2 against the spread this season on 2-3 days’ rest, so take Houston to cover a very slim line.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Saturday 18th January

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Miami Heat

Saturday January 18th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

Backing against the Heat on the road this season has already developed into a steady betting play.

Miami has won only 10 of its 21 games away from home this year, so I’m more than happy to side with the Thunder laying -1.

Oklahoma City comes into this game fresh from a loss to the Raptors on Thursday. It was a rare slip up at home from the Thunder, but it might work out in our favour here when you factor in OKC’s strong record following a previous loss.

Billy Donovan’s side has covered the spread in 10 of their 17 games following a previous defeat this year, while the Thunder have also gone 8-5 against non-conference opponents.

The Heat have won only four of their last 10 games on the road and could also be without star rookie shooting guard Tyler Herro in this one. Miami’s defensive rating has dropped by 2.2 points with Herro off the court this year, so play on Oklahoma City to cover this very slim line.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-1 Point) @ $1.90

San Antonio Spurs Vs Atlanta Hawks

Saturday January 18th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

The Spurs head back home on Saturday with revenge on their mind after losing to the Hawks 108-100 back in November.

Fortunately, San Antonio has been a steady betting play when it comes to revenging a loss against a previous opponent. Over the last two seasons the Spurs have gone 25-7 in this scenario, making the -8.5 spread a fairly risk-free play.

The Spurs continue to flirt with the eighth seed in the West at 17-22, which makes this game even more important as they try and find some form heading into the All-Star break.

Losing to the Heat in Miami on Thursday mightn’t seem like the greatest form guide with such a long line on offer, but the Spurs have also been a strong play following a previous loss this season.

Again, San Antonio is 12-8-1 against the spread in this situation, while it’s also worth noting the Hawks have allowed the second-most points to opponents on the road this season.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (-8.5 Points) @ $1.90

Friday 17th January

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Utah Jazz

Friday January 17th, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Center

The Pelicans have been one of the best sides to bet on this season if you can catch them when they’re hot.

Laying +4.5 against the Jazz at home, I’m happy to take New Orleans to cover on Friday with a handful of trends well in their favour.

The Pelicans have won seven of their last 10-games, but when you dig a little deeper, New Orleans also comes into this game on four days’ rest.

Alvin Gentry’s side is 5-2 against the spread when they’ve had 2-3 days rest between games, while they’ve also come through with a similar 5-3 record as the home underdog.

There’s no denying the Jazz are one of the top three teams in the West right now, however I do think Utah could struggle for points here considering they are playing their third straight game on the road.

Last but not least, the Pels can also feel pretty good about their chances considering Jahlil Okafor, Derrick Favors and potentially even Brandon Ingram are all a chance to play through injury.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.90

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Orlando Magic

Friday January 17th, 2:30pm, Staples Center

Thursday was a strange one in the NBA as the Magic added to a long list of upsets with a win over the Lakers.

Orlando still has plenty of work to do if they wish to make the playoffs for the second season in a row, but even after downing the championship favourites yesterday, I’m still having a tough time believing they can make it 2/2 on this West Coast road swing against the Clippers.

Los Angeles heads into this game feeling fresh after defeating the Cavs on Wednesday. We still won’t see Paul George on the court due to a hamstring injury, but his absence certainly didn’t stop the Clippers from piling on the points in a huge double-digit win over Cleveland.

The Magic have been an awful side in the second game of a back-to-back going 1-5 straight-up.

Orlando has also won only four of their last 10 road games, so roll with the Clippers to enjoy another big victory.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points) @ $1.93

Thursday 16th January

Miami Heat Vs San Antonio Spurs

Thursday January 16th, 11:30am, American Airlines Arena

Miami heads back home on Thursday following a tough three-game road trip that saw them lose back-to-back games to the Nets and Knicks.

The Heat have quietly been one of the best betting plays following a previous loss though, which makes the -5 about Miami look great value.

Against the spread in this situation, the Heat have covered in nine of their 11-games and are also a league-best 7-2 on two-three days rest.

San Antonio have proven themselves a handful over the last fortnight with six wins from their last 10-games, but their one-point win over the Raptors in Toronto on Monday left a lot to be desired.

Also going in Miami’s factor here is their outstanding 17-1 record at home. The Heat haven’t lost to San Antonio at home since 2017, whilst perhaps more importantly, also hold an equally impressive 13-2 record against the spread vs Southwest Division opponents.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.92

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Indiana Pacers

Thursday January 16th, 12:00pm, Target Center

The Pacers are really starting to make some noise in the fifth seed, most recently defeating the Sixers 101-95 on Tuesday to improve to 25-15.

Indiana’s only real casualty at the moment is Domantas Sabonis, who is currently being listed as questionable on the injury report with left knee soreness. The Wolves, meanwhile, look set to go without Karl-Anthony Towns for the 15th straight game due to a left knee sprain.

I’ve been betting against the Wolves over the last month with KAT on the sidelines and it’s proven more than profitable.

Minnesota is averaging close to 4.5 points less per 100 possessions with Towns missing, making it extremely difficult to see the Wolves putting up much of a fight against a Pacers defence that has allowed the seventh-fewest points on the road this year.

From a trend’s perspective, Indiana has also been the second-best team against the spread this year going 16-9-1 with a day off in between games. With KAT’ status still up in the air, don’t overcomplicate this one.

Tip: Back the Pacers to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Toronto Raptors

Thursday January 16th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

These two sides find themselves at opposite ends of the spectrum right now in terms of wins and losses.

Toronto still sits fourth in the East behind a 25-14 record, but the Raptors have lost four of their last 10-games as they prepare for a red-hot Thunder side looking for a big win at home.

Oklahoma City rebounded nicely to their blowout reality check against the Lakers on Sunday to hand the Wolves a double-digit defeat two days later. Now, the NBA’s most exciting underdog story looks to make a big statement against the defending champs.

Billy Donovan’s side has held Toronto’s number in recent seasons winning seven of the last 10 meetings. The Thunder are also 4-1 against the spread vs the raptors over the last three years, making the -2 about OKC look like a great bet.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.90

Wednesday 15th January

Milwaukee Bucks Vs New York Knicks

Wednesday January 15th, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

A three-point win over the Heat on Monday was something worth celebrating, but the fun might stop there for the Knicks as they travel to Milwaukee.

Milwaukee manhandled the Knicks 123-102 when they met at the Garden back on December 21st, which explains the whopping -16.5 spread set for this game.

Mike Budenholzer’s side has been battling through injuries of late but has still managed to rank eighth in points scored across their last 10-games. The Knicks, meanwhile, have won only four of their last 10 and are also missing forward Marcus Morris.

With the Bucks well-rested and sporting a three-game winning streak, it’s worth taking Milwaukee to cover here.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-16.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Wednesday January 15th, 2:30pm, Staples Center

The Cavs kicked off their two-leg tour on Tuesday with a blowout 29-point loss to the Lakers ahead of Wednesday’s game against the Clippers on no rest.

Cleveland is laying a whopping +14.5 spread against one of the championship favourites, but like they have done all season, the Clippers are taking this opportunity to rest some of their injured stars against a team they should beat rather easily.

Paul George has already been ruled out for this game due to a hamstring injury, while it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see the Clippers leave Kawhi Leonard and his injured knee on the sidelines.

Los Angeles has plenty of talent to still win this game without their top two scores, but I’m not so sure the Clippers can cover a double digit spread like this one.

The Cavs are a respectable 3-3 in the second game of a back-to-back this season and are also coming off a pair of victories over the Pistons and Nuggets prior to the Lakers loss on Tuesday.

If you throw in the fact the Clippers have also allowed the sixth-most points in the league over their last 10-games, you can certainly build a compelling case for the Cavs keeping this close.

Tip: Back the Cavs to Cover the Line (+14.5 Points) @ $1.92

Tuesday 14th January

Boston Celtics Vs Chicago Bulls

Tuesday January 14th, 11:30am, TD Garden

The Celtics brought their three-game losing skid to a halt on Sunday with a whopping 35-point win over the Pelicans at hom –  reminding everybody just how dangerous they are at the Garden this season.

With the visiting Bulls coming to town on Tuesday, it isn’t the least bit surprising to find Chicago as +10 underdogs.

Now sitting 10th in the East, the visitors have won only three of their last 10-games due to some serious struggles in the fourth quarter.

Things only look worse for the Bulls when you factor in Lauri Markkanen is now dealing with a sprained left ankle. Zach LaVine has been carrying the load for Chicago over the last week, but it’s difficult to see a one-man show bringing down Boston at home.

The Celtics are 14-9-2 against the spread following a previous win and 10-7-1 at home. Boston has also covered in eight of its last 10-games against the Bulls, so take Brad Stevens’ side to win big for the second game in a row.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-10 Points) @ $1.90

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Tuesday January 14th, 12:00pm, Target Center

There are a number of reasons to back the Thunder as they look to bounce-back from their loss to the Lakers on Sunday.

Oklahoma City were handed a 15-point defeat with LeBron James and Anthony Davis sidelined, but the good news is the Thunder have been one of the best teams to back after the loss this season, going 9-7 against the spread and 10-6 straight-up.

Minnesota also comes into this game after losing by double-digits to the Rockets on Sunday. The bad news for the Wolves though is Karl-Anthony Towns looks set to miss his 14th straight game with a left knee sprain – leaving the home side seriously short on scorers.

I tipped against the Wolves last week when KAT missed time and it has consistently turned into a worthwhile betting play. The Thunder have also been the best side to back against the spread on the road this year, so I’m happy to side with Oklahoma City returning to form.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 13th January

Denver Nuggets Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Monday January 13th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

It’s a must-watch Western Conference showdown on Monday morning as second and third go at it in Denver.

The Nuggets go into this game on short rest after playing the Cavs on Sunday, while the Clippers head to Colorado after taking on the Warriors at home on Saturday.

Los Angeles is a little banged up right now with Paul George nursing a hamstring injury. The star forward sat out Friday’s game at home to rest, meaning the Clippers should be at full strength for their tilt against the Nuggets.

The Clippers have been one of the best sides to back following a day off this season, going 15-6 straight-up. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are yet to take on this new-look LA side, making the championship favourites worth betting on.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Win

Sunday 12th January

Boston Celtics Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday January 12th, 11:00am, TD Garden

The Pelicans head to Boston on short rest on Sunday hoping to pick up where they left off yesterday against the Knicks.

New Orleans has been a fantastic betting play on no rest all season long, and until we see otherwise, I’m more than willing to back Alvin Gentry’s side to deliver against the spread.

The Pelicans are a near-perfect 6-1 against the spread in this scenario, largely due to the fact they average 113.7 points in the second game of a back-to-back.

I tipped this same bet last Sunday when the Pelicans played the Kings and they came through with the goods winning 117-115. New Orleans has averaged just shy of 115 points over their last 10-games, which should leave the Celtics with their hands full as they continue to struggle in the fourth quarter.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Sunday January 12th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

The Thunder have been the biggest surprise story so far – evident in Friday’s blowout victory over the Rockets in Russell Westbrook’s return to Oklahoma City.

While a win over a fierce Conference rival is always worth celebrating, the Thunder now need to turn their attention towards the championship favourites with the Lakers coming to town.

Los Angeles has won six straight games at time of publish and look almost unbeatable even with Anthony Davis on the sidelines. That being said, I am willing to back Chris Paul and the Thunder to at least keep this game close.

Paul showed he still had plenty left in the tank against the Rockets finishing with 17-points, knocking down mid-range jumpers with ease. The Lakers are one of the better defensive sides in the competition, but with Davis missing, Paul might find the same space available again on Sunday.

Oklahoma City has covered the spread in five of their seven games as the home underdog. The Thunder are also 3-0 against the spread in their last three games against the Lakers, so take OKC to make another statement.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line

Saturday 11th January

Memphis Grizzlies Vs San Antonio Spurs

Saturday January 11th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Spurs head to Memphis on a days’ rest hoping to extend their winning streak to three after back-to-back wins over the Bucks and Celtics.

San Antonio is surprisingly laying a +1 line against the Grizzlies despite covering the spread in their last five road games.

Memphis, meanwhile, will be hoping to extend its winning streak to four after earning handy wins over the Clippers, Suns and Timberwolves in succession. The Grizzlies have unfortunately covered the spread in only 10 of their last 20-games at home though, so I think these odds look a little generous in Memphis’ favour.

The Spurs have been a quietly strong team on the road this year ranking eighth in points-per-game, although you wouldn’t know it judging by their 5-11 record away from home.

Even so, the Spurs are still 4-2 against the spread vs division opponents, so with a very slim line to cover, take San Antonio to keep on rolling.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.90

New York Knicks Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Saturday January 11th, 11:15am, Madison Square Garden

There’s nothing more than bragging rights on the line between these two cellar dwellers, but that doesn’t mean this game isn’t worth betting on.

The Pelicans have rediscovered some of their mojo with seven wins from their last 10-games – all in time for Zion Williamson to return and maybe even make a playoff push.

The Knicks, on the other hand, have lost four straight games and sit second from the bottom in the East. That said, the trends, as well as the injury report, suggest there is money to be made on New York.

New Orleans will go without their second-leading points scorer Jrue Holiday for this game due to an elbow strain. That leaves Brandon Ingram in charge of scoring, who is also nursing a less severe injury of his own.

Read into this what you will, but the Pelicans have been a rough betting play on Friday nights over the last two seasons. New Orleans has covered in only two of their 18 games on Friday night, while the Knicks are 5-2 in their last seven.

The Knicks have faced a rough schedule of late losing their last three games to the Clippers, Lakers and Jazz. This matchup is more on their level though, making the +5.5 about New York look well over the odds with home-court advantage.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 10th January

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Boston Celtics

Friday January 10th, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

Game 3 between the Sixers and Celtics gets underway from Philly on Friday in what is shaping up to be a very serious heavyweight duel.

Boston is laying +2.5 on the road hoping to earn their first win over the Sixers this season, but with two of the best betting plays in action, I’m more than happy to back Brad Stevens’ side to cover.

The Celtics lost 129-114 to the Spurs at home yesterday in a game they’d probably rather forget. Kemba Walker was ejected in his first game back following illness, but with a 6-3 record against the spread following a previous loss this year, don’t be surprised if Boston at least keeps this game close.

Celtics fans can also rest a little easier knowing Joel Embiid will be absent from this game with a finger injury.

Philly has gone 3-4 this season without Embiid on the court, leaving the Celtics and their 3-2 record against the spread on no rest a worthwhile play.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.92

Detroit Pistons Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Friday January 10th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

The All-Star break can’t come quick enough for the Pistons as they now look ahead without Blake Griffin.

Detroit has slumped all the way down to 10th in the Eastern Conference with only three wins in their last 10-games, but that isn’t to say the Pistons aren’t capable of scoring some points against a disgruntled Cavs outfit.

There is plenty of turmoil going on in Cleveland right now between Kevin Love, Tristan Thompson and most of the roster. Not surprisingly, the Cavs have lost five straight games and are now long +7 outsiders on the road in Detroit.

The Total has gone Over in 11 of the Pistons’ 16 home games so far, which spells bad news for a Cleveland team that has allowed the seventh-most points on the road this season.

The Total has also gone Over in five of Detroit’s last six games at home, so take the Pistons to put up some points.

Tip: Pistons Over 113.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Houston Rockets

Friday January 10th, 1:30pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

Russell Westbrook was rested during the Rockets’ win over the Hawks on Thursday in preparation for his long-awaited return back to Oklahoma City.

A standing ovation expected for the Thunder’s all-time leading scorer, but I also think the Rockets might spoil the party.

Houston has covered in six of its last nine games and can also feel pretty confident after James Harden dropped 41-points last night.

The Thunder, meanwhile, are without Danilo Gallinari and Nerlens Noel for this game, leaving them looking a little thin on the bench.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (-2.5) @ $1.92

Thursday 9th January

Boston Celtics Vs San Antonio Spurs

Thursday January 9th, 11:00am, TD Garden

The Spurs have opened as +6.5 underdogs in Boston as they hope to move one step closer to a .500 record.

San Antonio has won only five of its last 10-games, but the trends suggest Gregg Popovich’s side could prove a handful having covered the spread in five of their last seven games.

The Celtics roll into this one looking to rebound from a five-point loss to the Wizards on Tuesday, but that might be easier said than done if Kemba Walker misses his fourth straight game due to illness.

Also on the injury report is centre Daniel Theis and rookie Romeo Langford, leaving the Celtics a little thin on bench depth.

None of that fills me with confidence against a Spurs side that ranks eighth in points-per-game on the road this season, especially against a Spurs team looking for revenge after losing to the Celtics by 20-points back in November.

Avenging a previous loss has been the Spurs’ specialty, though. San Antonio is 36-14 against the spread in this scenario over the last two seasons, so take the visitors to give Boston all they can handle.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+7.0 Points) @ $1.93

Dallas Mavericks Vs Denver Nuggets

Thursday January 9th, 11:30am, American Airlines Arena

There are only two games separating these two sides in the Western Conference standings, however it’s clear the bookies have factored in each team’s home and away record when shaping the market.

The Mavericks have opened as -3 favourites behind their 11-8 record at home, while the Nuggets find themselves as underdogs with just 10 wins from 17 road games.

At first glance it might appear as though the line is a little generous in Dallas’ favour, but this is one of those cases where the bookies might know something we don’t.

The Mavs will go without Kristaps Porzingis as he looks set for a return later in the week. That should open things up for Nikola Jokic in the paint, but if the Nuggets continue to struggle on defence, this could turn into another edition of the Luka Doncic show.

Denver has allowed the third-highest field goal percentage to opponents over their last 10-game span. With Doncic coming in off his fourth consecutive 30-point game and the Mavs also sporting a 12-7 record against the spread vs conference opponents, take Dallas to win this comfortably.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Thursday January 9th, 2:00pm, Chase Center

Giannis Antetokounmpo is being listed as probable for Thursday’s game at the Chase Center, which is good news for spread bettors looking to play on this double-digit line.

The Bucks lost 126-104 to the Spurs on Tuesday, but if you’ve bet on Milwaukee before, you’ll know playing on them after a loss has been one of the most profitable plays over the last two seasons.

So far Milwaukee has covered in four of its five games in this scenario and it appears extremely unlikely that the Warriors pull off an upset.

Golden State has already ruled out D’Angelo Russell for this game due to a right shoulder injury, leaving the bulk share of the scoring firmly in Draymond Green’s hands.

The Bucks are yet to lose back-to-back games this year, making the case for a Milwaukee blowout even more compelling.

In case you’re not convinced though, Mike Budenholzer’s side has averaged 119 points in games following a previous loss this year, a total the Warriors should struggle to match without their top stars on the floor.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.88

Wednesday 8th January

Brooklyn Nets Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Wednesday January 8th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

A seven-point loss to the Sixers saw the Thunder’s five-game unbeaten streak come to an end on Tuesday, but I’m still willing to bet on OKC bouncing back.

The Thunder have been an outstanding play against the spread on no rest, covering in all five of their games so far. Oklahoma City has also been the best team to back on the road, covering in 13 of their 18 games this season.

The Nets are laying +2 with home-court advantage after losing 101-89 to the Magic yesterday. Brooklyn has now lost seven of its last 10-games to slump to 16-19 in the East, while the Nets have also played to a less than convincing 6-9 record against non-conference opponents.

Oklahoma City has won its last two games against the Nets and has also allowed the third-fewest points to opponents on the road this year. With plenty of stats in their favour, take the Thunder here.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.90

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Wednesday January 8th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Grizzlies and the Timberwolves have found some form over the last week winning back-to-back games respectively ahead of Wednesday’s meeting in Memphis.

There isn’t as much separating these two sides as the market suggests, but the potential omission of Karl Anthony-Towns makes it almost impossible to back the Timberwolves.

The Grizzlies are 2-1 as the home favourite against the spread this season and perhaps more importantly, lead the league in points scored so far this month.

Minnesota, on the other hand, has allowed the fifth-most points on the road this year and has also lost two of its last three games to Memphis. With Towns questionable and the Grizzlies clicking on offence, take the home side to win this somewhat comfortably.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (-3.0 Points) @ $1.92

Tuesday 7th January

Washington Wizards Vs Boston Celtics

Tuesday January 7th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Celtics return to action on Tuesday hoping to extend their winning streak to four against the struggling Wizards.

Washington has been a rough watch all season winning only 11 games, but like we saw on Sunday against the Nuggets, the Wizards are capable of an upset here and there.

The Celtics will go without Kemba Walker for the third straight game due to illness, leaving Boston looking a little over the odds as -8.5 favourites.

On one hand, it’s tempting to back the Wizards to keep this game close, but I’m happy to take the Overs in this one. Close to 62% of Washington’s games against conference opponents have gone Over, while more importantly, seven of the last eight games between these sides have also gone Over.

Even with Kemba on the sidelines, the Celtics still rank Top 10 in points over their last 10-games. With all things considered, take this one to be high scoring.

Tip: Over 226 Total Points @ $1.90

San Antonio Spurs Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday January 7th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

The Spurs and the Bucks meet for Game 2 in San Antonio following Milwaukee’s nine-point win at home.

Mike Budenholzer’s side will be eyeing the All-Star break with Giannis Antetokounmpo still struggling through a mild back injury, one that makes me fancy a potential Spurs upset with home-court advantage.

San Antonio is laying a +7.5 line, which looks a little high for a team that has won two of its last three home games.

The Spurs have also been an outstanding betting play when it comes to revenging a loss against an opponent. San Antonio is 24-7 against the spread in this scenario, while the Spurs also rank third in average points scored across their previous 10-game span.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 6th January

Phoenix Suns Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Monday January 6th, 12:00pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

Tenth plays 11th in the Western Conference on Monday as the Suns and the Grizzlies both aim to win their 15th game of the season.

Memphis comes into this one fresh from a season-defining upset over the Clippers on Sunday, while the Suns are also riding a slight wave of momentum following an eight-point win over the Knicks on Saturday.

It just so happens that the Grizzlies are 3-2 against the spread on no rest this year, which makes the +6 line look a little ambitious. Memphis took care of the Suns 115-108 when they met only a fortnight, while the Grizz are also 6-1 against the spread against opponents from the Pacific Division this season.

I can’t completeley ignore the odds though, which leaves me no other choice but to tip a very rare Same Game Multi. The Suns are 17-5 when it comes to avenging a loss against a team that previously beat them, so with some strong trends in favour of both sides, it’s worth taking a punt on some value.

Tip: Back the Suns to Win & the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $5.00

Sunday 5th January

Sacramento Kings Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday January 5th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

This remains one of the top betting plays of the season and, until proven otherwise, I’ll continue to back it.

The Pelicans roll into Sunday’s game on no rest following their trip to the Staples Center to face the Lakers on Saturday. New Orleans still sits second-last in the West at time of publish, but with a four-game winning streak in hand, things are starting to look up.

There is also the added promise that Zion Williamson will make his official regular season debut sometime in the near future. We won’t see the No. 1 overall draft pick during this road trip, but Zion’s inclusion should motivate his teammates.

Perhaps more importantly though, the Pelicans hold a near-perfect 5-1 record against the spread on no rest this year. Considering the Kings remain battered and bruised in the midst of a serious eight-game losing streak, take New Orleans to Cover.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.92

Saturday 4th January

Washington Wizards Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Saturday January 4th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Wizards and the Blazers square off in Washington on Saturday in a cross-conference showdown.

There is plenty at stake for Portland heading into the All-Star break as they try and turn their 14-21 record around, while the Wizards also have plenty of work to do if they wish to avoid slipping further down the Eastern Conference standings.

The Blazers have lost five games in a row, so there certainly isn’t as much between these two teams as the market suggests. Portland has also played poorly on the road all year winning only six of their 18-games so far, but the good news is, the Blazers still might put up a big total in Washington.

Over their most recent 10-game span, the Wizards have allowed the most points to opponents in the league. The Blazers, meanwhile, have averaged just under 110 points-per-game on the road this year, and could also rest a little easier knowing Bradley Beal is questionable with a sore right leg.

Carmelo Anthony is also grabbing headlines for all the right reasons after scoring a season-high 26-points against the Knicks on Wednesday. Considering the Total has gone Over in 11 of the Blazers’ last 12 games against an opponent from the Southeast Division, it’s worth taking Portland to score big.

Tip: Blazers Over the Points Total

Houston Rockets Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Saturday January 4th, 12:00pm, Toyota Center

There hasn’t been a lot to like about the Sixers recently, but I can’t help but think this is a slight overreaction on the bookies’ part.

Philly has opened as +4.5 underdogs on the road in Houston hoping to snap their three-game losing streak. Joel Embiid’s left knee injury has been the cause of the Sixers’ recent slide, but all reports suggest Philly’s star center will play on Saturday.

Houston has won seven of its last 10-games to move only half a game behind the third-place Clippers in the West. That said, Houston’s sub-par 8-8 record against the spread at home this year is tough to trust.

Likewise, the Sixers’ 6-10-2 mark on the road also leaves a lot to be desired, making the Total the safest play in this one.

The Total has gone Under in 10 of Houston’s 13 games against non-conference opponents this season. You’ll also be pleased to learn that the Total has gone Under in four of the Rockets’ last six games against Philly, so with Embiid less than 100% as well as Eric Gordon, take this game to be low scoring.

Tip: Under 228 Total Points @ $1.90

Friday 3rd January

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Golden State Warriors

Friday January 3rd, 12:00pm, Target Center

It’s tough to get too excited about a bottom four clash in the Western Conference, but from a betting perspective, the Warriors do look good value as +3.5 underdogs.

Golden State hit a very brief purple patch a fortnight ago winning four straight games. That winning streak featured a nine-point victory over the Wolves on Christmas eve, which then led to wins over the Rockets and Suns.

The Dubs have come spiraling back to earth losing back-to-back games, but considering the Wolves are playing on no rest following Thursday’s dismal performance against the Lakers, there’s nothing stopping Golden State from keeping this close.

Minnesota holds a 1-3 record straight-up on no rest this year, while the Dubs are surprisingly 5-1 against the spread in their last six games. Considering there is nothing more than bragging right son the line, take the Warriors to Cover.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points)

San Antonio Spurs Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Friday January 3rd, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

You hate to call a game at the start of January a must-win, but a victory here could hold huge playoff implications for either side.

The Thunder currently sit seventh in the West behind an 18-15 record, trailed closely by the Spurs at 14-18.

Both teams come into Friday’s game in the midst of a winning streak, but when you factor in OKC’s 6-9 record on the road this year, to me the safest bet appears to be on the Spurs.

San Antonio has really shifted intro stride over the last fortnight averaging the second-most points during their recent 10-game span. Again, just like their record states, the Thunder have struggled all year on the road averaging the second-fewest points.

The -2 line in favour of the Spurs also looks bang on when you consider San Antonio is playing at home. The Spurs have covered in five of their last seven games and are a perfect 6-0 when playing at home to the Thunder, so take Gregg Popovich’s side to close the gap a little more on their conference rivals.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Detroit Pistons

Friday January 3rd, 2:30pm, Staples Center

No need to remind the Pistons that bad news comes in threes.

As if losing back-to-back games wasn’t enough, Detroit will now head into Friday’s game against the 24-11 Clippers minus Blake Griffin and Markieff Morris.

Both outs leave Detroit seriously thin at the power forward position, but the good news is it should see the Total on the Pistons go well Under.

It isn’t simply a case of bad luck that Detroit has won only two of its last 10-games. The Pistons have averaged the seventh fewest points in the league during that time frame, while they now prepare to face a Clippers team that has allowed an average of only 105 points to opponents at home this year.

The Total has also gone Under in the Pistons last nine road games played in January – just in case you need further convincing. With all things considered, this should be an ugly game if you’re a Detroit fan.

Tip: Pistons Under 105.5 Total Points @ $1.96

Thursday 2nd January

New York Knicks Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Thursday January 2nd, 11:30am, Madison Square Garden

Back to back wins has the Knicks as +4.5 point underdogs on Thursday as they travel back home to face a luckless Blazers team.

Portland’s run of late has been far from impressive losing four straight games to slump to the ninth seed in the West. The Blazers have struggled all year defensively allowing the eighth-most points to opponents, which makes me think this lukewarm Knicks team could give them a run for their money.

New York has covered the spread in two of its last three games against the Blazers, while the Knicks are also 6-3 in their last nine overall.

Portland has been a difficult team to bet on this year going 8-11 straight-up after a previous loss. Considering the Knicks hold a 6-4 record against the spread in non-conference games, it’s worth backing New York to deliver a close game.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Phoenix Suns

Thursday January 2nd, 2:30pm, Staples Center

The Lakers still sit atop the Western Conference standings with a comfortable three-game buffer, but things haven’t been quite so convincing of late.

Los Angeles has averaged only 110-points in their last 10-games, which happens to rank 16th in the league. Most of that is due to Anthony Davis and Kyle Kuzma both nursing injuries, which makes the Under on the Lakers appear a worthwhile play.

Frank Vogel’s side has averaged only 111 points at home this year, leaving the 118.5 Total looking a little high. Phoenix is one of the worst defensive sides in the league but considering the Lakers have also averaged only 116 points in their last three games against the Suns, this one should fall short.

Tip: Lakers Under 118.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Wednesday 1st January

San Antonio Spurs Vs Golden State Warriors

Wednesday January 1st, 11:00am, AT&T Center

Golden State’s mini run of form came to a close on Sunday as the Dubs lost by 20-points to the Mavericks at home.

The Warriors have been struggling for points all season with so many of their top stars out injured, so it should come as no surprise to learn that Golden State has averaged the 10th fewest points across their last 10-games.

San Antonio has plenty to play for from this point onwards as the Spurs look to claw their way back into playoff contention. Six wins from their last 10-games has the Spurs now sitting ninth in the West, and with a favourable pair of games ahead against Golden State and Oklahoma City, it’s safe to say this is a very important week for Gregg Popovich’s side.

As far as betting play go though, it’s worth playing on the Under on the Warriors. Golden State’s lack of points is one thing, but the Warriors have also seen 15 of their last 19 games go Under against teams with a losing record.

Tip: Warriors Under 105.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Dallas Mavericks

Wednesday January 1st, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

The Mavericks are on a bit of a slide of late losing five of their last 10-games, which only partly explains the narrow line in favour of Dallas as they hit the road on Wednesday.

Luka Doncic suffered a scary fall during a blowout loss to the Lakers on Monday that has left the All-Star point guard questionable for this game. But even so, I’m still willing to back Dallas even if Doncic sits out.

The Mavericks have been a great betting play following a previous loss this year, covering in eight of their last 10-games. Dallas is also 8-2 against the spread in their last 10 against the Thunder.

Dallas ranks third in points-per-game on the road this year, while the Thunder have seen their last two games decided by no more than two points. With that in mind, take the Mavericks to win this one.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (-1 Point)

Tuesday 31st December

Washington Wizards Vs Miami Heat

Tuesday December 31st, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

Successful NBA betting is all about riding hot streaks, and there is no team more on fire right now than the Heat (no pun intended).

Miami has won five games on the trot ahead of Tuesday’s road trip to Washington to face a Wizards team looking to snap a two-game losing streak.

I’ve said this plenty of times already, but the Heat have quietly been one of the best betting plays against the spread vs division opponents. Miami has covered in four of its five games against teams from the Southwest, while there’s also lots to like about the Heat ranking sixth in points-per-game this month.

Miami has won three straight games over the Wizards dating back to last season, including a nine-point victory when these two sides met back earlier in the month. With the Heat laying -9.5, it’s worth taking Miami to win comfortably.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.92

Chicago Bulls Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday December 31st, 12:00pm, United Center

The 13-20 Bulls have been a difficult betting play all year as Chicago’s inconsistencies on defence continue to cost them in the fourth quarter.

Things aren’t about to get any easier for Jim Boylen’s side with the Eastern Conference leading Bucks coming to town, but the Bulls might be able to keep this game somewhat close if Giannis Antetokounmpo misses his third-straight game with a sore back.

Chicago has covered the spread in five of its last six games and has also tightened up defensively to allow the fewest points in the league in their last 10-games.

As the market suggests, it goes without saying that no Greek Freak seriously impacts Milwaukee’s chances of winning. Without Antetokounmpo on the court, the Bucks’ offensive rating has dropped by three total points this season. The Bulls are also 30-11 against the spread in all December games played over the last three seasons, so take Chicago to keep this competitive.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (+9 Points) @ $1.90

Monday 30th December

Denver Nuggets Vs Sacramento Kings

Monday December 30th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

Sacramento’s casualty ward continues to grow as Marvin Bagley and De’Aaron Fox both appear unlikely to suit up for Monday’s trip to Denver.

With so many stars on the sidelines, it’s no surprise to learn that the Kings have now lost six straight games – leaving the Nuggets as whopping -10 favourites with home-court advantage.

Denver has steadied after a slight form slump two weeks ago to win eight of its last 10-games. These double-digit spreads are always a little nervy, but considering the Nuggets made short work of the Grizzlies on Sunday in a nine-point victory, I’m more than happy to back Denver to win this one comfortably.

The Nuggets have covered in seven of their last 10-games against the Kings and are also 7-2 straight-up against Sacramento over the last three seasons.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (-10 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Dallas Mavericks

Monday December 30th, 1:30pm, Staples Center

First plays fourth on Monday as the Lakers and the Mavericks meet in a huge Western Conference showdown.

Luka Doncic is back to full health for Dallas, while Kyle Kuzma, LeBron James and Anthony Davis are all probable to play for the Lakers. The bookmakers are favouring Los Angeles -3 with home-court advantage, but if you’ve been paying attention to the Mavericks at all this season, you’ll know Dallas is worth backing on the road.

Rick Carlisle’s side has been the best team to back against the spread on the road this year, covering in 11 of their 14 games so far. In less important news, Dallas is also 13-4 against the spread over the last two seasons in Sunday games.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92

Sunday 29th December

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Orlando Magic

Sunday December 28th, 12:30pm, Fiserv Forum

This isn’t the most exciting Eastern Conference matchup of the day, but it might be the safest to bet on.

Milwaukee, fresh from Saturday’s game against the Hawks in Atlanta, returns home to face a Magic side looking to improve on their 13-17 record.

Orlando continues to flirt with a top eight spot in the East, but if you’ve been paying attention, you’ll know the Magic’s form on the road has largely let them down.

Steve Clifford’s side has won only four of their 15 games away from home this year, making the Bucks a worthwhile betting play to cover the spread.

Milwaukee is averaging just over 109 points-per-game in the second game of a back-to-back, which explains the Bucks’ 4-1 record against the spread on no rest.

The Bucks have also won four of their last five games against Orlando by an average score of 18 points, so take Milwaukee to win this one comfortably.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line

Saturday 28th December

Boston Celtics Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Saturday December 28th, 8:00am, TD Garden

It’s worth being wary of double-digit spreads in the NBA, but not when the Celtics are at home.

Boston has been favoured by -13 on Saturday as they host the hapless 9-21 Cavs. Cleveland has won three games in a row, but with the Celtics sporting a 9-3-1 record against the spread at the Garden, this one isn’t worth overcomplicating.

The Cavaliers have lost three straight games in Boston dating back to February last year. The Celtics, meanwhile, roll into this game fresh from a very important blowout win on Christmas Day over the Raptors in Toronto.

Boston holds an equally convincing 11-5-1 record against the spread after a day off. The Celtics have also allowed the fewest points in the league across their last 10-games, so don’t be afraid by the double-digit spread.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-13 Points) @ $1.92

Atlanta Hawks Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Saturday December 28th, 11:30am, State Farm Arena

You know the drill: back the Bucks to Cover.

Milwaukee’s Christmas Day blowout at the hands of the Sixers came as a surprise, but the good news is the Bucks hold a perfect 4-0 record against the spread following a previous loss this year.

The other piece of good news is the Bucks travel to Atlanta to face a very disappointing Hawks team.

Lloyd Pierce’s side has lost seven games straight to slump to the worst record (6-25) in the Eastern Conference, making this the perfect game for Milwaukee to get its season back on track.

The Bucks have won three in a row over the Hawks dating back to last season and can also find faith in the fact that Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable to play with a back injury. Double digit spreads in favour of Milwaukee can sometimes be a risky play, but against a Hawks side that looks extremely disorganized and out of sync, it’s worth taking the Bucks to win big.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-11 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs Phoenix Suns

Saturday December 28th, 2:30pm, Chase Center

The bookies clearly aren’t paying Golden State their dues following the Dubs’ huge home win over the Rockets on Christmas Day.

Don’t look now, but the Warriors have now won three games in a row – which of course makes the $2.20 about them look well over the odds.

Phoenix, much like the Hawks, have been one of the most disappointing teams in the West. Just when it looked like the Suns might make a surprise trip to the playoffs, Monty Williams’ side has now gone on to lose seven games in a row.

Things only look worse in Suns camp when you factor in DeAndre Ayton is now set to miss this game with a sprained right ankle. Throw in Devin Booker’s mild forearm injury, and it’s worth backing the Warriors to win this one outright.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Win @ $2.20

Friday 27th December

Brooklyn Nets Vs New York Knicks

Friday December 27th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

Big Apple bragging rights are on the line on Friday as the Knicks and the Nets tussle in Brooklyn.

Kyrie Irving’s ongoing injury continues to prolong any hope the Nets have of reaching the playoffs.

Brooklyn is floundering in the East behind a sub-par 16-13 record, while the Nets’ 9-5 mark at home also makes me think the Knicks could at least keep this game competitive.

Diving a little deeper, New York rolls into this game with an outstanding 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10-games against Brooklyn. Better yet, the Knicks have also gone 5-3 against the spread vs division opponents this year, leaving the +8.0 line looking extremely generous.

Tip: Back the Knicks to Cover the Line (+8.0 Points) @ $1.92

Dallas Mavericks Vs San Antonio Spurs

Friday December 27th, 12:00pm, American Airlines Center

You didn’t really think the Spurs were done… did you?

In typical Gregg Popovich fashion, San Antonio has come roaring back into the Western Conference playoff conversation with six wins from their last 10-games.

Okay, so beating the Grizzlies by 30-points on Tuesday isn’t anything to brag about, but I can still build a healthy case for the Spurs as they prepare to face the 19-10 Dallas Mavericks.

Firstly, all accounts suggest Luka Doncic will play on his bad right ankle. From a betting standpoint, that doesn’t exactly help my case, but still, hear me out.

The Spurs’ offence has been flat for most of the season, which makes it even more surprising to learn that San Antonio ranks sixth in points over their 10-games.

Dallas is an elite defensive side, but with Doncic less than 100%, the Mavs might find it a little tricky to defend the Spurs on the perimeter.

San Antonio also happens to hold a very convincing 5-1 straight-up record in their last six games against Dallas, which should motivate them to seek some revenge for their 117-110 loss back in November.

Speaking of revenge, the Spurs also happen to hold a 33-14 record against the spread over the last two seasons when it comes to avenging a loss against an opponent. With +7.5 to play with, I expect the Spurs to at least keep this close.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 26th December

Toronto Raptors Vs Boston Celtics

Thursday December 26th, 4:00am, Scotiabank Arena

A well-earned three-day break sees the Celtics head to Toronto on Boxing Day as -2.0 favourites.

Boston’s 8-6 record on the road isn’t quite as impressive as their 12-1 mark at home, but the Celtics can rest easy knowing they won by six-points against the Raptors back in October.

The Raptors, on the other hand, haven’t missed a beat since winning the championship last year. Toronto sits fourth in the East behind a 21-9 record, while they also have to feel good about themselves knowing the Celtics haven’t won up north since 2015.

That being said, the Celtics have quietly been one of the best defensive sides in the league away from home, which makes me think they can win this game convincingly. Boston has allowed the third-fewest points to opponents on the road, which has helped them cover in eight of their 14 games so far.

If you throw in the fact the Celtics are also 3-1-1 against the spread on 2-3 days’ rest, I think it more than builds a compelling case for a Boston victory.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-2.0 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Thursday December 26th, 12:00pm, Staples Center

NBA fans have had this game circled ever since Kawhi Leonard announced his decision to sign with the Clippers.

The Lakers have been the more surprising team of the two currently sitting atop the Western Conference with a three-game lead. LeBron James and Anthony Davis have gelled nicely during their first season together, but even with what should be a firm Lakers crowd behind them, I’m willing to go the opposite way and back the Clippers outright.

The Clips got the better of the Lakers when the pair met on opening night as Kawhi Leonard enjoyed a huge 30-point debut. Doc Rivers’ side also found an answer to LeBron, holding him to just 18-points on 36% shooting – while keep in mind, all of this happened without Paul George on the court.

Perhaps the main reason to back the Clippers in this one though is the fact they lost on Monday to the Thunder. Given, the Clips were without Leonard, but from a betting perspective, backing the Clippers following a previous loss has already proven very profitable.

The Clippers hold a strong 8-1 record in this scenario to go along with two wins from their last three games against the Lakers. With plenty of value on offer, take the Clips to do the talking.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Win @ $1.87

Tuesday 24th December

Orlando Magic Vs Chicago Bulls

Tuesday December 24th, 11:00am, Amway Center

Back to back wins over the Wizards and Pistons has the Bulls in the middle of a purple patch ahead of Tuesday’s trip to Orlando.

Beating Washington and Detroit isn’t anything to brag about, but when you consider the Bulls now sit only two games back from the eighth-place Magic in the East, it’s fair to say this is a big game for all concerned.

The Bulls are still struggling for points offensively, but on defence, Chicago has really taken a step forward.

In their last 10-games, Jim Boylen’s side has allowed the third-fewest points in the league, which should cause plenty of problems for a Magic team that has allowed 111 points-per-game during the same time frame.

From a trends perspective the Bulls also look to be worth a play. Chicago is 9-6 against the spread on the road this year, while on a broader scale, the Bulls have also covered in 16 of their last 19 road games played in December.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (+5 Points) @ $1.92

Sacramento Kings Vs Houston Rockets

Tuesday December 24th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

These two sides couldn’t be more opposite if they tried.

The Rockets head to Sacramento on Tuesday riding a three-game winning streak, while the Kings, on the other hand, continue to flounder having lost three straight.

Not surprisingly, the bookies are favouring the Rockets by -6, but instead of risking it against the spread, I’m willing to back Houston to struggle for points.

Say what you will about the Kings, but Sacramento has been a sneaky good defensive side at home this year. The Kings have allowed the 11th fewest points to opponents this year, while just over 60% of Houston’s away games have gone Under the Total.

The Rockets are also looking for revenge in this game after losing 119-118 against Sacramento on December 10. The good news is, the Total has gone Under in 16 of Houston’s last 18 games when it comes to avenging a loss against an opponent, so it’s worth backing the Rockets to struggle a little for points.

Tip: Rockets Under 118.5 Total Points @ $1.88

Monday 23rd December

Boston Celtics Vs Charlotte Hornets

Monday December 23rd, 10:00am, TD Garden

The Celtics prepare for their final game at home before a trip to Toronto on Christmas Day as they host a very frisky Hornets team.

Charlotte’s 13-18 record isn’t pretty, but with the good teams in the East far outweighing the bad, the Hornets still find themselves sitting eighth in the conference.

The Hornets have been a difficult side to back this year based on their spotty performances. At their best, Charlotte can upset any team that underestimates them though, making the Hornets a good bet to give Boston a run for its money.

The Celtics have lost only one game at home all year, so you’d be mad to back the Hornets outright. That said, the Hornets have been a strong play on the road this year covering in nine of their 16 games so far.

Charlotte also comes into this game on short rest after facing the Jazz at home on Sunday. Unlike other teams, the Hornets have averaged more points on no rest than they have with a day off in between – paving the way for a convincing 6-1 record against the spread on no rest.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line

Sunday 22nd December

Brooklyn Nets Vs Atlanta Hawks

Sunday December 22nd, 10:00am, Barclays Center

The Nets have been hot and cold in all areas this season, but with six wins in their last 10-games, it’s worth backing Brooklyn while they’re hot.

After so much hype heading into the season, the Hawks have largely been one of the most disappointing teams so far. The NBA darlings sit at the very bottom of the Eastern Conference behind a 6-23 record, while Atlanta’s 3-12 start on the road also leaves a lot to be desired.

Chemistry on the court is one thing, but it appears the Hawks’ young core of players are still a step behind in their development. That explains why the Nets have opened as -7.5 favourites on Sunday – a spread worth taking on.

The Nets are 27-14 against the spread vs teams from the Southeast Division over the last three seasons. Brooklyn is also 8-5 against the spread at home this year as the Nets look to bounce-back from Friday’s blowout loss to the Spurs.

Playing on Kenny Atkinson’s side has also been worthwhile this year as the Nets hold an 8-4 record against the spread. With plenty of trends in their favour, take Brooklyn here.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line (-7.5 Points) @ $1.92

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Washington Wizards

Sunday December 22nd, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

The Wizards continue to languish towards the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings, but despite their 8-19 record, I’m still willing to back Washington to put up some points on the Sixers.

Philly saw its 14-game home winning streak come to an end on Thursday in a four-point loss to the Heat. The Sixers backed that sloppy performance up with a blowout loss to the Mavericks at home on Saturday – leaving critics to question whether Brett Brown’s side is on the same level as the league’s top contenders.

We saw a similar slump occur earlier in the season when the Sixers lost three games in a row to the Suns, Jazz and Nuggets in the first week of November. This feels eerily similar to Philly’s early season struggles, which plays into the hands of a Wizards side that has averaged the fifth-most points across their last 10-games.

The Wizards hold a 9-6-1 Overs record on the road this season. The Total has also gone Over in 23 of their last 28 games played on a Saturday, so back Washington to at least give Philly a scare.

Tip: Wizards Over the Points Total

Saturday 21st December

Indiana Pacers Vs Sacramento Kings

Saturday December 21st, 11:00am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

The battered and bruised Kings welcome back De’Aaron Fox on Saturday as they travel to Indiana to face the Pacers.

It’s doubtful we see Fox play anywhere close to his usual minutes, but the star point guards inclusion is still a big deal for a Kings side that sits three games below .500.

Sacramento rolls into this game following an eight-point loss to the Hornets on Wednesday, but even with only five wins from their last 10-games, I’m still willing to back the Kings to keep this game competitive.

Luke Walton’s side is 9-5 against the spread following a previous loss this year, which speaks volumes of Sacramento’s defence this year.

For all of their injuries and lack of star power, the Kings have somehow managed to average the ninth-fewest points against. Throw in the fact Sacramento is also 10-1 against the spread vs non-conference opponents this season, and you have the makings of a very safe bet.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Boston Celtics Vs Detroit Pistons

Saturday December 21st, 11:30am, TD Garden

Seven wins from their last 10-games has the Celtics keeping pace with the Bucks in the Eastern Conference, but things are about to get interesting with a few injuries popping up.

Boston could potentially go without Gordon Hayward and Marcus Smart with the Pistons coming to town on Saturday, leaving the Celtics two players short on the bench.

You never root for injuries, but the good news is Blake Griffin also remains doubtful with left knee soreness.

Backing Boston at home against the spread has been an outstanding betting play this year, and although the -8 line looks a little long with big-name players missing, I’m willing to back the trends here.

Detroit comes into this game looking to snap a two-game losing streak, while the Celtics are sporting a 7-3-1 record against the spread at home. Boston also comes into this game after upsetting the Mavericks 109-103 on Thursday, which just so happens to be another piece of good news.

Boston is 22-5 over the last three seasons against the spread when coming off an upset as an underdog. With the Celtics looking almost untouchable at home, back them to win big.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 20th December

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Friday December 20th, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

The heavyweight clash we’ve all been waiting for has come early as the Bucks and the Lakers square off in a potential Finals preview.

Milwaukee’s impressive 18-game winning streak came to an end on Tuesday as the Bucks lost by four-points to the Mavericks at home. The Lakers, meanwhile, also saw their own seven-game winning streak come to a close with a loss to the Lakers on Wednesday – adding further intrigue to this blockbuster game.

Backing the Bucks against the spread following a loss has easily been one of the most rewarding betting plays over the last two seasons. Since 2018, Milwaukee holds a league-best 21-8 record in this scenario, while the Bucks have also been the second-best side to back at home going 37-25-2 during the same time frame.

Neither of these two sides have lost back-to-back games at all this year, but I’m still willing to stick with the Bucks considering Kyle Kuzma is out with an ankle injury, and Anthony Davis is also questionable to play.

The Lakers’ defensive rating has dropped by 3.3 points without Davis on the court this year. The loss of Kuzma – who is averaging 11.1 points-per-game off the bench – is also a significant loss that should see this heavily hyped game result in a potential Bucks blowout.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.92

San Antonio Spurs Vs Brooklyn Nets

Friday December 20th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

There’s still no word on Kyrie Irving’s status at time of publish, but the Nets still look to be the play in this one.

Brooklyn heads to San Antonio on a day’s rest after taking care of the Pelicans on Wednesday, while the Spurs hope to bounce-back from a two-point loss to the Rockets.

The Nets have been a semi-decent team after a day off winning 11 of their 18 games so far – leaving the current price on Brooklyn looking a little over the odds.

San Antonio has been a sub-par home team sitting all square at 7-7. The Spurs have won only five of their last 18 games, which should play into the hands of a Nets team that has played better on the road than they have at home.

You can expect the odds to come in a little if Irving is returns to the lineup, but with the Nets sporting a 7-2 record against the spread in their last nine games, it’s still worth taking Brooklyn to make this a game.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 19th December

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Miami Heat

Thursday December 19th, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

Second plays fourth in the Eastern Conference with both sides looking to bounce-back from a loss.

The Sixers came up short to the Nets on Monday while the Heat proved no match for the Grizzlies on Tuesday.

On one hand, it’s extremely difficult to back against Philly’s perfect 14-0 record at home, but on the other, the Heat also hold some fairly favourable trends in their favour.

Miami has been a stellar betting play following a previous loss all year, covering in six of their seven games so far. The Heat took the Lakers to the brink on the road only a week ago, backing that performance up with a win in Dallas over the Mavs.

With that in mind, it shouldn’t be surprising to learn Erik Spoelstra’s side has won seven of its last 10-games. Throw in Miami’s 10-6 record against the spread after a day’s rest, and you have the makings for a very safe bet.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Thursday December 19th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

The Grizzlies have hit a little bit of a purple patch of late that you’ll want to pay attention to.

Memphis ranks 12th in points scored over their most recent 10-game span, which has helped them pull off back-to-back wins over the Wizards and Heat at home.

A trip to Oklahoma City won’t come easy, but the thing is, the Grizzlies are 4-3 against the spread vs the Thunder over the last three seasons.

With +6.5 points to play with, take Memphis to keep this game close.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.92

Denver Nuggets Vs Orlando Magic

Thursday December 19th, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

It’s another East v West battle on Thursday as the Magic head to Denver on short rest.

Orlando came up short against the Jazz in a back and forth game on Wednesday, but if the trends have taught us anything, it might be worth backing them to bounce-back in this one.

The Magic are far from an elite team offensively, but their defence might be enough to pose a real challenge to a well-rested Nuggets side.

Orlando has allowed the sixth-fewest points in the league this year, not to be outdone by the Nuggets who rank first.

More importantly however, the Magic are 2-0-1 against the spread on no rest averaging 111.3 points-per-game. With a +9.5 spread to play with, it’s worth sticking with Orlando to cover this time around.

Tip: Back the Magic to Cover the Line (+9.5 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 18th December

Utah Jazz Vs Orlando Magic

Wednesday December 18th, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

The Jazz are one of the most talented teams on paper, but they certainly aren’t playing like it.

Utah has won only four of its last 10-games due to a complete lack of organization on the court.

One night the Jazz run the offence through Donovan Mitchell, then Mike Conley, and then Rudy Gobert. Utah’s complete lack of identity has cost them in the win column, which from a betting perspective, makes them a good team to take on against the spread.

Orlando welcomed Nikola Vucevic back into the fold on Monday and it quickly paid dividends in an 11-point win over the Pelicans.

The Magic have been a steady betting play against the spread on the road this year covering in seven of their 13 games, but perhaps more importantly, Orlando has also covered in five of their last seven games.

This is a tremendous cross conference test for both teams, but with Utah in the midst of an identity crisis, stick with the Magic.

Tip: Back the Magic to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Phoenix Suns

Wednesday December 18th, 2:30pm, Staples Center

Second takes on ninth in the Western Conference as the Clippers look to bounce-back from a stunning loss to the Bulls on Sunday.

Los Angeles could potentially go without Patrick Beverly and Lou Williams in this one but that still hasn’t stopped the bookies from favouring the Clippers by -12.5.

Phoenix has now lost three-straight and seven of their last 10, while another loss on Wednesday could see the Suns slide all the way down to 12th in the standings.

The biggest problem for Monty Williams’ side of late has been slow starts, as the Suns have allowed the 10th most points to opponents in the first half over their last 10-game span.

None of this bodes particularly well against a Clippers side that should field Kawhi Leonard and Paul George. Los Angeles also ranks ninth in average first half points scored this year, so take the Over on the Clips.

Tip: Clippers Over 58.5 1st Half Total Points @ $1.92

Tuesday 17th December

Detroit Pistons Vs Washington Wizards

Tuesday December 17th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

Four straight losses has Washington venturing towards the bottom of the Eastern Conference standings ahead of Tuesday’s trip to Detroit.

A win for the Pistons could see them jump up into the eighth spot in the East ahead of the Magic, but with little value on offer head-to-head, I’m happy to look elsewhere for a play.

The first half has been a real problem for Washington this year. The Wizards have allowed the most points to opponents in the opening two quarters, but to balance things out, they also rank fourth in points scored.

Detroit has fared much the same this season as the 11th highest points scoring team in the first half and the eighth worst team defensively. You don’t have to be a genius to workout this spells a high-scoring first half, so back the Overs with confidence.

Tip: Over the 1st Half Points Total

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Dallas Mavericks

Tuesday December 17th, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

Tuesday marks another top of the table cross conference clash as the Mavericks travel to face the Bucks.

If you haven’t already heard, Milwaukee is kind of in the middle of a very impressive 18-game winning streak, which has left them as -11 favourites with home-court advantage.

Everything about the Bucks right now is impressive. From rebounds right down to field-goal percentage, Milwaukee poses a matchup nightmare for every opposing coach as they continue to steamroll opponents.

That being said, the Bucks have looked human at times during this recent winning spell. Milwaukee struggled to pull away from the Grizzlies during the first half on Saturday, a problem that could cost them in this game against a Mavericks side that ranks third in first half points.

Dallas lost to the Heat at home on Sunday, but from a betting perspective, this comes as good news.

The Mavericks are a near-perfect 6-1 against the spread following a previous loss this year, while they’ve also covered in six of their last 10-games against the Bucks.

With a double-digit line to play with – and the Mavericks leading the league in points scored on the road – take Dallas to keep this competitive.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line (+11 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 16th December

Atlanta Hawks Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Monday December 16th, 10:00am, State Farm Arena

LeBron James is listed as questionable for Monday’s game against the Hawks, but even so, it’s still worth backing Los Angeles to win big.

The Knicks two-game winning streak leaves Atlanta sitting at the very bottom of the Eastern Conference standings behind a 6-20 record. The Hawks continue to struggle for points offensively, while on the other end, Atlanta currently ranks top five in points allowed.

Los Angeles rolls in riding a tidy six game winning streak with only one road loss to their name. The double-digit spread might look a little risky if LeBron sits out but try to keep in mind the Lakers have covered the spread in five of their last six games, as well as five of their last seven against the Hawks.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-12.5 Points) @ $1.92

Denver Nuggets Vs New York Knicks

Monday December 16th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

The Knicks have hit a bit of a purple patch winning back-to-back games over the Warriors and Kings, but they might receive a harsh reality check on the road in this one.

Denver has hit a form slump of late winning only five of their last 10-games. The Nuggets have consistently been one the top home sides in the league though winning 10 of their 13 games, explaining why Denver is favoured by -10.5.

Despite slipping down to the fourth seed in the West, the Nuggets have still been the best defensive side in the league. Denver has allowed the fewest points to opponents all year, which spells bad news for a Knicks team that ranks dead last in points over their last 10-games.

The Nuggets have also been a highly profitable side when it comes to backing the Under this year saluting closet to 71% of the time. The Total has also gone Under in 17 of New York’s 26 games, so expect this one to be low scoring.

Tip: Under 209 Total Points @ $1.94

Sunday 15th December

Toronto Raptors Vs Brooklyn Nets

Sunday December 15th, 11:30am, Scotiabank Arena

This shapes up as a tough game to pick between two sides looking to bounce-back from a loss.

The Nets allowed an 11-point halftime lead to slip in a loss to the Hornets at home on Thursday, while the Raptors came up short in a big way to the Clippers in Kawhi Leonard’s return to Toronto.

These two sides have both been money on the back of a loss this season, but the Nets are the team with the better record against the spread.

Brooklyn has covered in seven of its 10-games so far in this scenario, while the Nets are also 2-2 straight-up on more than a day’s rest.

The line favouring Toronto looks a little generous, so take the Nets to at least keep this one close.

Tip: Back the Nets to Cover the Line

Saturday 14th December

Philadelphia 76ers Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Saturday December 14th, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

There’s no rest for the wicked as the Sixers head back to Philly after facing the Celtics in Boston on Friday.

The Pelicans were one of the surprise standouts in the first two weeks of the season but have since slipped to the bottom of the Western Conference standings thanks to a current 10-game losing streak.

Statistically speaking, New Orleans ranks 10th in points-per-game, making the Pelicans a tough team to face for poor defensive sides.

Fortunately, the Sixers don’t fall into that category as Philly has allowed the third-fewest points-per-game to opponents this season.

The Pelicans are +8 underdogs heading into this game and although a long line is often tempting, it’s worth noting New Orleans is 2-15 against the spread in their last 17 Friday night games.

Philly, on the other hand, has won three of its four games so far on no rest and is also 5-3-2 against the spread vs non-conference opponents. All things considered, this shapes up as a comfortable Sixers victory.

Tip: Back the Sixers to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.92

Miami Heat Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Saturday December 14th, 11:00am, American Airlines Arena

Two of the top teams from each conference meet on Saturday in what should be a very telling game.

The Lakers look unstoppable right now averaging over 116 points in their last 10-games, while their impressive five-game winning streak isn’t anything to sneeze at either.

Miami has been equally impressive this season winning seven of their last 10-games to sit second in the East behind the Bucks. The Heat are one of only three teams with an unbeaten home record still intact, meaning there is tremendous value to be had on Miami at the line.

Frank Vogel’s Lakers have lost only once on the road all year, but with LeBron James making his return to Miami, it’s safe to say this game should have plenty of feeling.

The Heat roll into this one well-rested after handing the Hawks a 14-point loss on Wednesday. If you haven’t heard, Miami is a perfect 4-0 against the spread on 2-3 days’ rest and, perhaps more importantly, 9-2 with home-court advantage.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Saturday December 14th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

When you’re hot, you’re hot.

The Bucks put their 16-game win streak on the line in Memphis, and for whatever reason, the bookies are actually offering a very generous line.

Milwaukee has covered in only six of their 12-games on the road so far, but with the Bucks averaging 120-points to the Grizzlies’ 109 over their last 10-games, you don’t have to be a genius to work out the -8 line is worth taking on.

The Bucks have won five of their last seven games over Memphis and are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Grizzlies put up a fight in the first half, but this has Milwaukee blowout written all over it.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 13th December

Boston Celtics Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Friday December 13th, 12:00pm, TD Garden

The Celtics came up short against the spread yesterday in their five-point loss to the Pacers, but I’m still willing to back Boston to turn things around on Friday against the Sixers.

Philly rolls into this one on the heels of a five-point win over the Nuggets on Wednesday – Philly’s eighth victory in their last 10-games. Brett Brown’s side has also won three games in a row; however you do have to rewind all the way back to 2014 to find the Sixers’ last win in Boston.

The Celtics have been one of the best sides to back this season on the back of a loss. Boston has covered the spread in four of their five games so far, while they’ve also won seven of their last 10 meetings against the Sixers.

This game should go a long way to indicating which team holds true supremacy in the East. With an equally impressive 7-2-1 record against the spread at home, don’t be surprised if the Celtics stake their claim.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Detroit Pistons Vs Dallas Mavericks

Friday December 13th, 1:00pm, Arena Ciudad de Mexico

The Mavs have had three days to reflect on their loss to the Kings on Monday in preparation for this very dangerous looking Pistons side.

Detroit has won six of its last 10-games and rolls into this one on a two-game winning streak hoping to inch a little closer to the eighth spot in the East.

Friday’s game will be played on a neutral court in Mexico City, making this one a little difficult to predict. The Mavericks have been one of the best teams in the West of late winning eight of their last 10-games, but this -5 line looks a little risky.

Instead, play on the Total in this one. Over their last 10-games the Mavs have allowed only 105 points-per-game – the seventh-lowest total in the league. The Pistons have gone one better allowing only 103 – good for fifth-fewest.

Tip: Under 220.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Thursday 12th December

Indiana Pacers Vs Boston Celtics

Thursday December 12th, 11:00am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

The bookies have done everyone a favour by listing the Celtics as +1.5 underdogs on the road against the Pacers.

Brad Stevens’ side is in the midst of another impressive winning streak after handing the Cavs a double-digit loss at home on Tuesday. Things won’t come quite so easy against a Pacers team that has won seven of its last 10-games, but I’m still willing to back the Celtics to cover in this one.

Boston holds a perfect 11-0 record against the spread vs teams with a winning record this year. For those that need a little more convincing though, the Celtics are also 9-4-1 following a previous day’s rest, and perhaps more importantly, 7-4-1 against the spread on the road.

Indiana rolls into this one having lost to the Clippers on Tuesday by double-digits at home. From a betting perspective, the Pacers have been a risky play following a previous loss covering in only four of their eight games.

There’s every chance this winds up a potential playoff preview between two of the East’s top contenders, but considering the Celtics hold a perfect 3-0 record against the spread in their last three games against Indiana, this is simply too good to pass up.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Brooklyn Nets Vs Charlotte Hornets

Thursday December 12th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

If you didn’t catch a glimpse of the Charlotte’s seven-point home win over the Wizards on Wednesday, do yourself a favour – go back and watch it.

Miles Bridges and Terry Rozier came up clutch in the final two minutes with some big shots, while Devonte Graham also chipped in with a lazy 29-points.

The Hornets will need more of the same on Thursday as they head to Brooklyn on no rest to face the Nets, but if you haven’t heard already, this has quietly been one of the best NBA betting plays of the season.

Every year there are a handful of teams who perform better on no rest than they do with a day in between. The Hornets are one of those teams, as they currently average 116 points in the second game of a back-to-back.

Against the spread, the Hornets have also covered in four of their five games so far on no rest, making the +9.5 line look very generous.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line (+9.5 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs New York Knicks

Thursday December 12th, 2:30pm, Chase Center

I wouldn’t recommend betting on two cellar dwellers very often, but this time around the Warriors are too good to pass up.

The Knicks lost their 10th straight game by double-digits to the Blazers on Wednesday, while the Dubs come into this one on the heels of a loss to the Grizzlies two days ago.

Not surprisingly, New York is 0-4 in the second game of a back-to-back this year, meaning this is one of the few times you can bet on the Warriors with confidence.

Golden State has won 10 straight games over the Knicks – highlighting just how dominant the Warriors were during their glory years. Things have changed a lot since then, but the Dubs should get the job done.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Cover the Line (-4.5) @ $1.92

Wednesday 11th December

Charlotte Hornets Vs Washington Wizards

Wednesday December 11th, 11:00am, Spectrum Center

Two Southeast Division plodders meet in Charlotte as the Wizards travel to face the hapless Hornets.

The similarities between these two teams are uncanny as both have won only three of their last 10-games. The Hornets and the Wizards will also be hoping to snap their two-game losing streaks respectively, but from a trend’s perspective, Washington is the team with the upper-hand.

The Wizards have been a tough play on the road this season sporting a 3-7 record, but I’m still willing to back them outright considering the Hornets are 0-3 against division opponents.

Charlotte will also go without Marvin Williams in this game leaving the Hornets a little short on the bench. In their last 10-games Washington ranks sixth in the league in average points scored, so at their current price, it’s worth taking the Wizards outright.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Win @ $1.85

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Denver Nuggets

Wednesday December 11th, 12:00pm, Wells Fargo Center

It’s a mid-week cross conference showdown on Wednesday that could also turn out to be a potential Finals preview.

The Nuggets roll into this one on the heels of a three-point loss to the Nets on Monday hoping to improve on their 3-3 record following a previous loss. It’s almost tempting to back Denver straight-up at their current price, but I still prefer the safer play on the Total.

These two teams both rank top five in fewest points allowed to opponents this year, which suggests the Under is the way to go. Our bookies have wasted no time setting a slim 206-point Total and, considering four of Denver’s six games after a loss have gone Under, it’s worth taking on.

Close to 64% of Sixer home games have also gone Under this year. Two of the last three games between these two have resulted in the same outcome, so don’t overcomplicate this one.

Tip: Under 208 Total Points @ $1.92

Miami Heat Vs Atlanta Hawks

Wednesday December 11th, 12:00pm, American Airlines Arena

Sticking with the Southeast Division, it’s worth backing the Heat to keep on doing what they do best as they host the struggling Hawks.

Miami has been an outstanding betting play at home against the spread this year covering in eight of their 10-games. Throw in the fact the Heat are also 3-1 against division opponents, and you have the makings of what should be a blowout.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.91

Tuesday 10th December

Boston Celtics Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Tuesday December 10th, 11:30am, TD Garden

You don’t want to mess with Boston at home this season.

Fresh from a 13-point win at the Garden over the Nuggets on Saturday, the Celtics have opened as whopping -13.5 favourites against the second-worst team in the East.

Brad Stevens’ side is averaging over 114 points-per-game at home, while at the opposite end, the Celtics have held opponents to only 105-points – the fifth-lowest total in the league.

The Cavs have managed only two wins from 10 road games this year and you also have to rewind back to May last year to find their last win in Boston.

Last but not least, the Celtics are a perfect 9-0 at the Garden this year to go along with a 6-2-1 record. I know it’s a long line, but until proven otherwise, trust Boston to get the job done.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.92

Utah Jazz Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Tuesday December 10th, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

The Thunder return to the court fresh from a strong performance against the Blazers on Monday hoping to inch a little closer to a .500 record.

At 9-12, Oklahoma City has to feel pretty good about where they sit in the Western Conference standings, and even though Utah has been one of the best teams in the league at home this season, I’m more than willing to back the Thunder to at least keep this game close.

OKC has quietly been one of the top betting plays on no rest this season, particularly against the spread. In this scenario, the Thunder hold a perfect 3-0 record, leaving the +8.5 line looking a little generous.

The Jazz are 9-2 at home this year, but with a 5-5 record in their last 10-games, it’s tough to feel completely confident in Utah right now.

The Thunder, meanwhile, have averaged the 10th most points in the league during that same 10-game span. With an equally impressive 6-4 record against the spread vs the Jazz, take OKC to Cover.

Tip: Back the Thunder to Cover the Line (+8.5 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 9th December

Washington Wizards Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Monday December 9th, 10:00am, Capital One Arena

The Wizards and the Clippers meet for the second time on Monday in a rematch of last week’s ugly blowout.

Los Angeles handed Washington a 25-point defeat at the Staples Center as Kawhi Leonard and Paul George both put up 30-points each. Both are expected to suit up for this one, making the line a safe bet with the Clippers favoured by only -8.5.

Doc Rivers’ side also rolls into this one fresh from a blowout loss to the Bucks on Saturday. From a betting perspective, backing the Clippers after a loss has proven profitable against the spread as Los Angeles has covered in four of their six games so far.

Head-to-head the Clippers have also covered in seven of their last 10 against the Wizards, so back Los Angeles to win this comfortably (again).

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-8.5 Points) @ $1.92

Dallas Mavericks Vs Sacramento Kings

Monday December 9th, 11:00am, American Airlines Center

The Kings will be hungry to bounce-back from their narrow one-point loss to the Spurs on Saturday with a win over the Mavericks.

Dallas has now won five games on the trot to improve to second in the Western Conference, and while there is money to be made on the Kings at the line, I’m more than happy to play it safe on the 1st Half Unders.

Sacramento currently ranks 23rd in average first half points this year, explaining why the Total has gone Under in 18 of their 21 games so far.

Throw in the fact Dallas has allowed only 52 average first half points defensively across their last 10-games, and you have the makings for a low-scoring Sacramento start.

Tip: Kings Under 53.5 Total 1st Half Points @ $1.88

Sunday 8th December

New York Knicks Vs Indiana Pacers

Sunday December 8th, 11:30am, Madison Square Garden

Seven wins from their last 10-games has the Pacers making some noise in the Central Division as they hope to keep pace with the runaway Bucks.

Indiana currently sits sixth in the East at time of publish behind a 14-7 record, but this is still a huge weekend for Nate McMillan’s side on no rest.

A tough trip to Detroit on Saturday is followed by a visit to the Garden on Sunday to face the lay-about Knicks. Nothing about New York’s seven-game losing streak makes me want to back the Knicks outright, but I do think there is some value to be found on the Over.

The Knicks are a lot of things, but they’ve quietly been a decent team defensively at home. New York has allowed the 10th fewest points averaging against per-game, which could make life tough for the Pacers on a short turnaround.

At the same time though, the Pacers have weirdly played much better on no rest than they have with a day in between games. Indiana is averaging 109 points in the second game of a back-to-back, while they’ve also put up 110-points or more in three of their last five against the Knicks.

Tip: Pacers Over the Points Total

Saturday 7th December

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Saturday December 7th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

Minnesota will be hoping to put its 7-3 record on the road to good use on Saturday as they look to rebound from a two-game losing streak against Oklahoma City.

The Wolves were one of the early season surprise packets starting the season with four wins from their opening five games, but they’ve quickly reverted back to their old ways sitting an even .500 behind a 10-10 record.

Oklahoma City has won only four of its last 10-games, but the Thunder still have plenty to feel good about sitting 10th in the West. Bill Donovan’s side has also played particularly well at home winning six of their 11-games, but that still doesn’t explain OKC opening as -2.5 favourites.

The Wolves have won seven of their last 10-games over the Thunder and are also 7-3 against the spread as the away team this season. Better yet, Minnesota is also 2-1 when facing division opponents, so take the Wolves to win this one.

Tip: Back the Wolves to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.92

Boston Celtics Vs Denver Nuggets

Saturday December 7th, 12:00pm, TD Garden

You never know, this game could turn out to be a Finals preview.

Denver has held Boston’s number in recent times winning all three of their last meetings. The Nuggets will head to the Garden on short rest after facing the Knicks in New York on Friday, but if you’ll remember back to last season, Denver covered the spread in nine of their 13-games on no rest.

Boston are a tough team however, which makes this game fascinating for a number of reasons. The Celtics are one of only three teams with an undefeated record at home, while Boston is also coming off a double-digit win over the Heat on Thursday.

There is something special about this Nuggets team on the road, though. Not only has Denver won five of its seven games so far, but the Nuggets have also allowed the second-fewest points to opponents.

Last but not least, Denver holds a near-perfect 6-1 record straight-up in non-conference games this season. All things considered, take the Nuggets to at least come close.

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 6th December

Washington Wizards Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Friday December 6th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Wizards have been a fantastic first half betting play all season, but I’m willing to back against the trends this time around.

Washington ranks fourth in average first half points this year behind only the Mavericks, Rockets and Bucks. The Wizards will likely meet their match on Friday though as they face a Sixers side that ranks top five in fewest first half points allowed.

The Sixers have rebounded strongly from a form slump late last month to win eight of their last 10-games. Philly also heads to Washington riding a four-game winning streak with a chance to move into the third spot in the East with a win.

Philadelphia’s last 10-games have also been impressive in the sense they’ve allowed an average of only 49 first half points to opponents. Considering the Wizards have averaged only 51 in their last three games against the Sixers, I’m happy to take the Under on Washington’s 1st Half Total.

Tip: Wizards Under 55.5 Total 1st Half Points @ $1.92

Toronto Raptors Vs Houston Rockets

Friday December 6th, 11:30am, Scotiabank Arena

It’s been a rough couple of days for Rocket fans following Wednesday’s ‘no-bucket’ call against the Spurs.

Houston has had a day off to stew on their narrow double-overtime loss, but unfortunately, it’s still tough to see Mike D’Antoni’s side bouncing back in Toronto.

The Raptors continue to challenge for a top two spot in the East behind a 15-5 record. Toronto has been almost untouchable at home winning nine of their 10-games so far, although they did slip up in a blowout loss to the Heat on Wednesday.

Hardcore NBA bettors likely know full well how profitable the Raptors have been at home this season, but they may not be aware how consistent Toronto has been when it comes to rebounding from a loss.

The Raptors are 3-1 against the spread following a previous defeat and, perhaps more importantly, 5-3 in non-conference games. With the Rockets struggling for form on the road, take full advantage of this narrow line.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 5th December

Detroit Pistons Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Thursday December 5th, 11:00am, Little Caesars Arena

Twelve straight wins has the Bucks favoured by -6.5 on Thursday as they hit the road to face an up and down Pistons team.

Detroit has won only four of their last 10-games, while their 6-4 record at home leaves a lot to be desired.

Milwaukee’s slow start to the season drew some doubters, but now sitting comfortably atop the East at 18-3, it looks as though the Bucks are a shoo-in for a deep playoff run.

The Bucks have also won nine of their last 10-games against Detroit and currently lead the league in points-per-game. Throw in a 20-5 record against the spread vs division opponents, and you have the makings for a comfortable Milwaukee win.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.90

Boston Celtics Vs Miami Heat

Thursday December 5th, 11:30am, TD Garden

Marcus Smart looks likely to miss Thursday’s game against the Heat, but I’m still willing to back the Celtics to kick off their three-game home stand with a win over Miami.

The Heat have been one of the surprise packets to start the season holding a six-game lead atop the Southeast Division, but Miami has shown signs of struggle on the road playing to a 7-5 record.

Boston, on the other hand, has been outstanding at home as one of only three teams in the league with an unbeaten record. The Celtics currently rank ninth in points-per-game at home, while their defensive efforts haven’t been too shabby, either.

These two teams have a long history of close games with the last three being decided by 10-points or more. Even so, the Celtics still hold a perfect 9-0 record against the spread vs teams with a winning record, making the 5.5-point spread worth taking on.

Miami also rolls into this game on no rest after handing the Raptors a loss on Wednesday. It was a big result for the Heat against the defending champs, but with an 0-3 record straight-up in the second game of a back-to-back, stick with the Celtics.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Sacramento Kings

Thursday December 5th, 2:00pm, Moda Center

Portland’s three-game winning streak ended abruptly on Wednesday as the Blazers failed to put up points on the road against the Clippers.

It’s been a rough start for last year’s Western Conference runner-up’s as the Blazers currently sit 8-13. It’s tough to narrow Portland’s problems down to just one thing, but with a lack of talls, it’s no surprise to find the Blazers ranking Top 10 in points allowed whilst struggling for consistent mid-range shooters.

Things aren’t about to get any easier on Thursday as the Blazers host the lively Kings. Sacramento, much like last season, have been a frustrating betting play as they continue to flirt with a .500 record. But for the most part, the Kings have quietly been one of the best plays as the road team.

Sacramento has covered the spread in seven of their 10-games so far away from home. If you include Portland’s horrible 0-4 record straight-up on no rest, it’s safe to say the Kings should have no problem at least keeping this close.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 4th December

Washington Wizards Vs Orlando Magic

Wednesday December 4th, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Wizards were crushed by 25-points on Monday against the Clippers as Kawhi Leonard and Paul George both put up over 30-points.

Nothing about Washington is convincing right now, which makes Wednesday’s home game against the 8-11 Magic all the more interesting.

The injury to Nikola Vucevic has left a large hole in Orlando’s lineup that, not surprisingly, has seen the Magic win only five of their last 10-games.

With that said, Orlando has still been a strong side defensively – particularly in the first half – where they’ve allowed the second-fewest points.

The Wizards, to their credit, have been a great first half team ranking third in average points. That said, Bradley Beal struggled mightily against the Clippers from the field on Monday hutting just 7-of-19, which could leave Washington a little short on the 1st Half Total in this one.

Finally, the Wizards have averaged only 54 first half points in their last three games against the Magic. With the Total a little higher than that, take the Under.

Tip: Wizards Under 58.5 Total 1st Half Points @ $1.96

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Dallas Mavericks

Wednesday December 4th, 11:30am, Smoothie King Center

These two teams might be at opposite ends of the Western Conference standings, but there still might be some fireworks on Wednesday.

Dallas is on a roll right now having won seven of its last 10-games. The Mavericks sit fourth in the West behind a 13-6 record, largely due to the MVP play from the league’s third-highest points scorer, Luka Doncic.

The Pelicans are reeling after a somewhat surprising start to the season. New Orleans is only two games ahead of the last placed Warriors in the West, but if you’ve been paying attention, you might know the Pelicans have had no trouble scoring points.

Over their last 10-games, the Pelicans have averaged the ninth-most points in the league. The Mavericks, meanwhile, have gone one better by ranking fifth.

Betting the Over on Dallas road games this season has been highly profitable, so much so that the Mavericks hold a league-best 7-2 record.

Considering eight of the last 10-games between these two sides have also gone Over, well… you know what to do.

Tip: Over 233.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Denver Nuggets Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Wednesday December 4th, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

This appears to be a potential Conference Finals preview as the West’s top two teams square off in Denver.

Plenty has been made of the Nuggets’ neaer-perfect 8-2 record at home this year, but it’s also easy to forget the Lakers’ 8-1 record on the road.

Los Angeles came up short to the Mavericks at home on Monday losing by 14-points. It was an uncharacteristically quiet night from LeBron James, while the Lakers’ bench didn’t make things any easier.

From a betting perspective though, that actually comes as good news. The Lakers are a perfect 2-0 this season following a previous loss, while their 11-2 record after a day off isn’t too shabby, either.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Win @ $2.15

Tuesday 3rd December

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Utah Jazz

Tuesday December 3rd, 11:00am, Wells Fargo Center

Utah heads south on Tuesday to complete the final leg of their five-game road trip.

It’s been a rough go for the Jazz having won only one of their four games so far, and although yesterday’s loss 20-point loss to the Raptors was hardly flattering, it still might be worth taking a chance on Utah in Philly.

The Sixers have woken from their late November slumber to win seven of their last 10-games. Philly also comes into this one riding a three-game winning streak, but the trends still suggest the Jazz are the best play.

Utah holds a perfect 3-0 record on no rest this year while the Jazz have also played to a 4-3 record straight-up following a previous loss.

The current price on offer the Jazz looks well over the odds. Utah has won six of their last 10-games against Philly, so don’t be afraid to back an upset.

Tip: Back the Jazz to Win @ $2.85

Sacramento Kings Vs Chicago Bulls

Tuesday December 3rd, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

After a reasonably slow start to the season, the Kings have quickly developed into a dependable betting play against the spread.

Sacramento prepares for its second home game in a row on Tuesday only two days after a big three-point win over the Nuggets. The Kings are still battling for a .500 record, but six wins in their last 10-games is a step in the right direction.

The Kings have covered the spread in seven of their 10-games so far when they’ve had a day off in between. Sacramento’s 6-1 record against the spread following a previous win also happens to be the best in the league.

Chicago has lost its last three games against the Kings. The Bulls also haven’t won in Sacramento since 2017, so take the home side to win somewhat comfortably.

Tip: Back the Kings to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 2nd December

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Washington Wizards

Monday December 2nd, 2:30pm, Staples Center

Paul George and Kawhi Leonard will take the court for only the second time this season as they hosts the Wizards at home.

The pair failed to produce a win on Saturday as the Clippers fell by 10-points to the Spurs in San Antonio, but that hasn’t stopped the bookies from favouring Los Angeles by double digits.

Washington also heads to Hollywood on the heels of a blowout 22-point loss to the Lakers. The Wizards have won only four of their last 10-games, but that doesn’t mean there’s no value to be had on Washington at the line.

Backing the Wizards to cover the spread on the road this season has already proven to be profitable. Washington has covered in six of their 10-games so far, while they’ve also been a strong play against the spread following a previous loss, playing to the same record.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+12 Points) @ $1.92

Sunday 1st December

Denver Nuggets Vs Sacramento Kings

Sunday December 1st, 9:00am, Pepsi Center

This should be fascinating betting matchup between one of the West’s top teams and a young up and comer.

The Kings were pegged as a contender heading into the season but so far Sacramento has floundered into ninth.

Much like last year, Sacramento continues to struggle against teams they really should be beating, unlike the Nuggets, who are red-hot riding a six-game winning streak.

The Kings head into this game on two days rest, while the Nuggets are even fresher on three. While it might seem like this spells a big win for the Denver though, the Total is probably the better play.

Denver has allowed the fewest points defensively in the league while the Kings have also fared well allowing the 11th fewest. Better yet, the Total has gone Under in four of Denver’s five games on two-three days’ rest this season, and three of Sacramento’s four.

Tip: Under the Points Total

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Charlotte Hornets

Sunday December 1st, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

The Hornets have proven themselves a handful this season despite what their 7-12 record might suggest.

Nobody is expecting Charlotte to go into Milwaukee and pinch a win from the Bucks, but with both sides playing on no rest, there might be some value at the line in this game on Sunday.

The Hornets face a big weekend as they back up from Saturday’s game against the Pistons. So far Charlotte’s young roster has already proven themselves more than capable of handling back-to-back games though, playing to a league-best 4-0 record in this scenario against the spread.

Cody Zeller and Malik Monk are both probable to play against Detroit. With what will no doubt be a double-digit line set, take the Hornets to Cover.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the Line

Saturday 30th November

Cleveland Cavaliers Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Saturday November 30th, 11:30am, Rocket Mortgage Fieldhouse

One of the NBA’s best betting plays is in action here as the Bucks prepare for a brief one-game road trip in Cleveland.

Milwaukee is sitting pretty atop the Eastern Conference at 15-3 thanks in large part to a weakened strength of schedule over throughout November.

The Bucks have won nine of their last 10-games, but more importantly, they’ve been an outstanding betting play against the spread vs division opponents. Over the last two seasons, Milwaukee has covered in 20 of their 24 games against opponents from the Central Division, adding to that record by covering in four of their five games so far this season.

Milwaukee has also won eight of their 10-games on the road and covered in six of their last 10 against Cleveland. Considering the Cavs have averaged the fifth-fewest points at home this year, take the Bucks to win big.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) @ $1.92

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Utah Jazz

Saturday November 30th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Grizzlies continue to torment punters with their hot and cold performances.

I’ve tipped Memphis several times to win the first half this season, with the reason being the Grizzlies have averaged the ninth-most points in the first two quarters.

Utah has been the exact opposite in the first half averaging the seventh-fewest points, which has largely left the Jazz with plenty of work to do in the final quarter.

The Grizzlies have also won the first half in 18 of their last 21 games against opponents from the Northwest Division. In case you need further convincing, Memphis has averaged 52-points in the first half in their last three meetings against the Jazz, compared to Utah’s 47.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Win the 1st Half @ $2.60

San Antonio Spurs Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Saturday November 30th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

All signs point towards Kawhi Leonard suiting up for his return to San Antonio on Saturday, setting up what could turn into an ugly game for the struggling 6-13 Spurs.

Whether it’s applause or boos for Kawhi, the only thing that really matters it the Clippers are averaging eight-points more per 100 possessions when their multi-million man is on the court.

Los Angeles is favoured by -7 at time of publish, which looks a little slim considering how polished the Clippers have looked offensively.

On the road, Los Angeles is averaging the sixth-most points-per-game, spelling enormous trouble for a Spurs team that has allowed the sixth-most points-per-game defensively.

The Total on the Clippers is set at 116.5 points, which might seem a little steep considering this isn’t a home game. On the plus side, the Total has gone Over in four of the Clippers’ seven games on the road this year, so take Los Angeles to hand it to the Spurs.

Tip: Clippers Over 116.5 Total Points @ $1.96

Thursday 28th November

Indiana Pacers Vs Utah Jazz

Thursday November 28th, 11:00am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

This shapes up as a fascinating matchup between the current six seeds in each conference.

The Pacers roll into this one as favourites with home-court advantage as they look to extend their winning streak to four. Indiana has won six of their last 10-games over the Jazz and two of their last three but considering these two teams have struggled for points all season, your best bet is to ride the Total.

Both Indiana and Utah rank in the bottom half of the league in average points-per-game. On the flip side though, the two also rank Top 10 in fewest points allowed to opponents.

The Jazz head to Indianapolis hoping to bounce-back from their four-point loss to the Bucks on Tuesday, and from a betting perspective, this scenario has also been highly profitable. Utah has been the best side to back on the Under following a previous loss saluting 80% of the time, so take this one to be low scoring.

Tip: Under the Points Total

Houston Rockets Vs Miami Heat

Thursday November 28th, 12:00pm, Toyota Center

It’s a cross conference showdown on Thursday between the 12-4 Heat and a Rockets team on a three-game slide.

James Harden currently leads the league in points-per-game, but that still hasn’t saved the Rockets from losing to the Nuggets, Clippers and Mavericks in succession. There’s a chance Houston takes the court minus Clint Capela in this one, creating a favourable matchup for Miami centers Bam Adebayo and Kelly Olynyk.

The Heat aren’t scoring points in a hurry, but just like last season, their defence is doing the talking.

Miami has held opponents to the seventh-fewest points in the league and the second-lowest rebound average, creating further matchup nightmares for the Rockets. The Heat have also won two of their last three games against Houston, making them the side to bet on in this East v West battle.

Covering in four of their seven games so far, the Heat have already proven to be a strong betting play against non-conference opponents. Better yet, over the last two seasons, Miami has also covered the spread in all 12 games against opponents from the Southwest division.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.92

Phoenix Suns Vs Washington Wizards

Thursday November 28th, 1:00pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

There wasn’t much to like about the Wizards’ blowout loss to the Nuggets yesterday, but from a betting standpoint, it’s still worth sticking with Washington.

The Wizards have already proven themselves a great bet when it comes to covering the spread following a previous loss with a 5-2-1 record. Washington was also the best play in the league last year when it came to covering on no rest.

Phoenix roll into this one well-rested after losing to the Nuggets themselves on Monday. The understrength Suns looked as though they were set for a big upset – right before they blew a five-point half time lead, of course.

The Suns now sit at an even .500 after their brilliant start to the season largely due to a long list of injuries. Aron Baynes has already been ruled out of Thursday’s game with a hip injury, only strengthening the cause for the Wizards to at least keep this one close.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+8 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 27th November

Denver Nuggets Vs Washington Wizards

Wednesday November 27th, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

This shapes up as a difficult betting matchup between a red-hot 12-3 Nuggets side and a very dangerous looking Wizards team.

Denver has won five on the trot and lost only two games at home, but with Bradley Beal averaging the fourth-most points in the league, there’s nothing stopping Washington from giving the Nuggets a serious run for their money.

Just like last season, the Nuggets have been elite defensively. Denver has allowed the fewest points to opponents this season as well as the sixth-lowest field-goal percentage against, but in case you missed their most recent game against the Suns, the Nuggets are prone to giving up points in the first half.

Denver allowed the Suns to put up 57-points on Monday before roaring back to claim a 116-104 win.

Despite the comeback though, there’s no getting around just how dominant the Wizards have been themselves in the opening two quarters. Washington ranks second behind the Mavericks in average first half points, which makes them a strong play to make up for their loss to the Kings earlier in the week.

It just so happens that the Wizards’ first half Total has also gone Over in 32 of their last 44 games following an upset loss as the favourite. With a reasonable Total set, take the Wizards to put up a fight early.

Tip: Wizards Over 55.5 1st Half Total Points @ $1.88

Tuesday 26th November

Indiana Pacers Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Tuesday November 26th, 11:00am, Bankers Life Fieldhouse

Three straight losses and a 5-10 record continues to doom the Grizzlies in the Western Conference.

Nothing was expected from Memphis this season, but I do expect them to live up to their reputation on Tuesday as one of the top teams to bet on in the first half.

The Grizzlies have averaged the 10th most points in the first half this season at a clip of 56.4. In comparison to the Pacers, who rank 20th in the league with 53.7, it’s safe to say the +5 line is well and truly value.

This has been one of my favourite plays of the season so far, and while it hasn’t payed off every time, it’s still been more than profitable. The Grizzlies are 50-20 against the first half spread as the underdog over the last two seasons, so don’t second guess this one.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the 1st Half Line (+5 Points) @ $1.96

San Antonio Spurs Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Tuesday November 26th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

These two teams meet for the second time on Tuesday following the Lakers’ six-point win over the Spurs three weeks prior.

San Antonio fans have very little to feel excited about with just six wins from 17 games, but I still think there is money to be made on the Spurs when you consider the trends.

Over the last two seasons, Gregg Popovich’s team owns a tidy 29-11 record against the spread when it comes to avenging a loss.

The Spurs’ 4-4 record at home this season is far from pretty, but San Antonio has quietly averaged the 11th most points-per-game this season. LaMarcus Aldridge, fresh from a team-high 23-points during Sunday’s win over the Knicks, also looks capable of challenging a Lakers team that has allowed the fifth-most points to opposing centers.

It always feels a little weird to back against a dominant team like Los Angeles, especially one that has lost only once on the road all year.

I do think the line looks just about right in this one considering only six points separated the two last time out. Anthony Davis’ shoulder injury could also throw a spanner into the works.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+5 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 25th November

Denver Nuggets Vs Phoenix Suns

Monday November 25th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

The Suns return to the court on no rest after handing the Timberwolves a two-point loss on Sunday.

It was a scrappy, hard-fought win for Phoenix, capped off by a huge 35-point game from Devin Booker. The Suns desperately needed a win after losing their previous three games, but they’ll need more of the same from their star players on Monday against a Nuggets side riding a four-game winning streak.

Phoenix and Denver met earlier in October in a one-point thriller. The Nuggets walked away with the win, but from a betting perspective, that actually turns out to be a positive when it comes to finding a play in this one.

The Suns are a perfect 9-0 against the spread when it comes to avenging a loss against an opponent this season. Phoenix will need to dig deep with Ricky Rubio and Aron Baynes on the sidelines, but with a double-digit line to play with, it’s worth backing the Suns to at least keep this close.

Tip: Back the Suns to Cover the Line (+10.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Monday November 25th, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

There’s no word on Kawhi Leonard’s status for this game, but either way, I’m still happy to play on the 1st Half Overs.

Los Angeles has won all four of its games during this current home stand, and they should feel plenty confident against a Pelicans side heading to the Staples Center on no rest after losing by eight to the Jazz on Sunday.

New Orleans has allowed the second-most points to opponents during the first half this season, which spells bad news with Derrick Favors also on the sidelines. Jahlil Okafor and Josh Hart are also questionable for this game, so it’s worth backing the Clippers to put up some big numbers early.

Tip: Clippers Over 63.5 1st Half Total Points @ $1.92

Sunday 24th November

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Miami Heat

Sunday November 24th, 11:30am, Wells Fargo Center

There’s no rest for the wicked as both the Sixers and the Heat meet on short rest.

Philly holds home-court advantage in this one a day after hosting the Spurs, while the Heat travel East after facing the Bulls in Chicago on Saturday.

These two sides have plenty of history against one another, but it’s been the Heat who hold the upper hand in recent memory. Miami has won three of their last five games against Philly and also finished last season 7-5 against the spread on no rest.

Like last season, the Heat have also been one of the top defensive teams in the league allowing the sixth-fewest points-per-game. Against a questionable Sixers side trying to iron out some kinks, back Miami to Cover on the road.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line

Saturday 23rd November

Chicago Bulls Vs Miami Heat

Saturday November 23rd, 12:00pm, United Center

Four wins from their last 10-games has the Bulls slipping down the standings in the East.

Chicago did manage a big 20-point win over the Pistons on Thursday, but there’s no getting around how much the Bulls have struggled for points.

Jim Boylen’s team has scored the ninth-fewest points through the first six weeks of the season, making Chicago one of the top betting plays when it comes to backing the Unders.

Miami, on the other hand, has allowed the sixth-fewest points to opponents defensively, only strengthening the case for a low-scoring game from the Bulls.

In case you aren’t convinced though, the Total has also gone Under in 78 of Chicago’s last 112 games in November dating back to 1996, so against of the top defences in the league, it’s worth paying attention to the trends.

Tip: Bulls Under 105 Points @ $1.92

Philadelphia 76ers Vs San Antonio Spurs

Saturday November 23rd, 12:00pm, Wells Fargo Center

Philly has bounced back strongly from their two-game losing streak earlier in the week to string together a pair of wins over the Cavs and Knicks.

The Sixers remain home on Saturday as they prepare to face the Spurs. San Antonio has slid all the way down to 14th in the Western Conference behind a 5-10 record, largely due to their current seven-game losing skid.

Brett Brown’s side has won two of their last three games against the Spurs, but I’m expecting this one to be a bit of a blowout. San Antonio has won only one of their seven games on the road so far, while they’ve also allowed the seventh-most points in the league.

Our bookies are favouring Philly by 7.5-points in this one, and although the spread might seem a little generous considering the Sixers’ recent slump, I’m still willing to take the Spurs on.

San Antonio has covered the spread in only three of their 12 games this season, so it’s worth playing against the Spurs and backing Philly to make a statement.

Tip: Back the Sixers to Cover the Line (-7.5 Points) @ $1.92

Denver Nuggets Vs Boston Celtics

Saturday November 23rd, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

The Celtics prepare for their final game of a lengthy West Coast road trip hoping to bounce-back from an overtime loss to the Clippers on Thursday.

Now at 11-3, Boston already looks a lock for a playoff spot. That said, this is a massive early season test for the Celtics as they square off against the second-best team in the West.

Just when it looked like Brad Stevens’ side were done for in Los Angeles, they fought all the way back to send the game to overtime. Boston’s resiliency is unmatched this season, which has already made them a very profitable betting play against the spread.

The Celtics are a perfect 2-0 against the spread following a previous loss this season. Boston has also covered in three of their four games as the away underdog this season, so with a generous four-point line set, take the Celtics to at least keep this game close.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 22nd November

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Friday November 22nd, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

This is one of the toughest games to predict of the entire week.

Portland rolls into this one on a day’s rest after losing by 11-points to the Pelicans on Wednesday, while the Bucks are backing up on no rest after a tough road trip in Atlanta against the Hawks.

Milwaukee is always a good betting play against the spread at home, but the Bucks’ 6-7 record on no rest last season leaves me a little hesitant to take the Blazers on.

Instead, the Total is the way to go in this one. Since this is a cross conference game, it’s worth noting that just over 65% of Portland’s games went Over the Total last year in this same scenario.

In case you still aren’t convinced, it’s also worth noting that the average Total in the last three games between these two sides is 219 points. The Bucks have allowed the ninth-most points to opponents at home this year, so take the Over on the Blazers.

Tip: Blazers Over the Points Total

Phoenix Suns Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Friday November 22nd, 2:30pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

Just quietly, one of the top early season betting plays is in action on Friday.

The Suns, fresh from a big loss to the Kings on Wednesday, will be looking to put their perfect 4-0 record against the spread following a loss on the line as they host a Pelicans team riding a two-game winning streak.

Wednesday’s loss to Sacramento marked the first time all season the Suns have lost back-to-back games. With a brief return back to Phoenix however, take the Suns to win this one comfortably.

Tip: Back the Suns to Cover the Line (-4 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 21st November

Washington Wizards Vs San Antonio Spurs

Thursday November 21st, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

These two sides meet in Washington on Thursday hoping to make up for a pair of respective losses in their previous game.

The Spurs lost by seven to the Mavericks on Tuesday, while the Wizards lost by four to the Magic last time out. The bookmakers are favouring the Spurs by 2-points in this one, but if you’ve backed the Wizards following a previous loss this season, you’ve likely turned a profit.

Washington is 4-2-1 against the spread following a previous loss, while the Spurs are 2-6 straight-up in the same scenario. San Antonio has also won only one of their six games on the road this season, largely due to allowing the 11th most points.

With that in mind, the Total might actually be the safer play in this one. It just so happens that the Total has gone Over in 13 of Washington’s last 14 home games playing on two days’ rest, so back the Wizards to score big agaisnt the Spurs’ questionable defence.

Tip: Wizards Over 118.5 Total Points @ $1.88

Dallas Mavericks Vs Golden State Warriors

Thursday November 21st, 11:30am, American Airlines Center

The Warriors will jump on a plane immediately following Wednesday’s game against the Grizzlies as they travel to Dallas on short rest.

Betting on Golden State is a risky play this season, but they’ve been semi-decent against the spread on no rest covering in two of their three games.

Our bookies have set a whopping 13.5-point line in favour of the Mavericks, but this kinda feels like a trap game. Dallas has won by double-digits only twice this season, while they’ve also won only four of their seven home games so far.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Cover the Line (+13.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Boston Celtics

Thursday November 21st, 2:00pm, Staples Center

The Celtics will be greeted by a well-rested Kawhi Leonard on Thursday as they continue their West Coast road trip with a visit to the Staples Center.

Boston rebounded from its one-point loss to the Kings with a blowout victory over the Suns on Tuesday, but even so, the Eastern Conference leaders still find themselves as underdogs against the championship favourites.

With Leonard on the sidelines, the Clippers survived a big scare on Tuesday as they held on for a two-point win over the Thunder. It was a big game from Paul George that saw Los Angeles over the line – something Doc Rivers’ side will need more of on Thursday.

Boston has surprised everyone to start the season losing only two games, and although it is only early, the Celtics’ record looks legit.

Betting on these blockbuster type games can sometimes be risky, but I’m happy to trust the Celtics in this one. Brad Stevens’ side is 21-5 against the spread following a previous win as an underdog, so it’s certainly worth backing Boston to cover this generous line.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+5.0 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 20th November

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Golden State Warriors

Wednesday November 20th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

The Grizzlies saw their three-game winning streak come to an end on Monday losing by 17-points to the Nuggets.

Memphis looks to rebound as they host the Warriors on Wednesday, but even though the bookmakers are favouring the Grizz by 6.5-points, it still might be worth playing it safe with a tried and true trend.

The Grizzlies rank ninth in points-per-game during the first half this season. Memphis has been a steady betting play to cover the first half spread over the last two years playing to a 36-13 record.

Golden State, on the other hand, has allowed the third-most points-per-game in the first half to opponents this year. With so many stars already on the bench, the Dubs received further bad news over the weekend as D’Angelo Russell sprained his thumb against the Celtics.

Memphis has also covered the first half spread in 19 of their last 24 games during the month of November, so make sure you stick what’s working.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the 1st Half Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.96

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Wednesday November 20th, 12:00pm, Smoothie King Center

Things continue to spiral out of control in Portland as the Blazers find themselves slipping even further down the Western Conference standings at 5-9.

After a deep playoff run last season the early disappointment has come as a shock to a fanbase who was expecting further success. With a lack of depth in the paint however, it’s no surprise to find the Blazers reeling with only three wins in their last 10-games.

Portland lost in a blowout to the Rockets on Tuesday by 24-points. The Blazers gave up a combined 64-points to Russell Westbrook and James Harden, but the good news is Derrick Favors and Josh Hart have been ruled out of Wednesday’s game against the Pelicans due to injury.

The health of Brandon Ingram is also up in the air as he battles a knee injury, alongside Lonzo Ball, who is questionable with an adductor strain. The Blazers are 4-4 following a previous loss this season, so with a bunch of the Pelicans’ top stars out, back Portland to rebound.

Tip: Back the Blazers to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90

Sacramento Kings Vs Phoenix Suns

Wednesday November 20th, 2:00pm, Golden 1 Center

This should be a fascinating battle between two of the youngest and most exciting rosters in the entire league.

Sacramento has hit a purple patch of late winning five of their last 10-games. It’s a welcome sign after the Kings opened the season 0-5, but they’ll certainly have their work cut out for them against a surprisingly good Suns team hoping to bounce-back from a blowout loss to the Celtics on Tuesday.

Whether it be at the line or head-to-head, backing the Suns to rebound from a previous loss has been one of the top betting plays of the young season.

Against the spread, the Suns are a perfect 4-0 when it comes to avenging a previous loss, while they’ve also covered the spread on no rest back in October by beating the Clippers only 24 hours after losing by a point to the Nuggets.

These two sides have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, but it’s the Suns who have covered the spread in six of the 10 meetings. This game should be close – as the line suggests. But take the Suns to make up for last night’s shortcomings.

Tip: Back the Suns to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

Tuesday 19th November

New York Knicks Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Tuesday November 19th, 11:00am, Madison Square Garden

A blowout 19-point loss to the Sixers on Monday has sunk the Cavs to 4-8 on the season.

The loss also marks Cleveland’s third-straight loss on the trot, so why should you back them on Tuesday in New York?

Firstly, last season the Cavs were money playing on no rest covering the spread in nine of their 14 games. Secondly, Cleveland has also been a consistent betting play this season following a previous loss, covering the spread in three of their seven games so far.

Sitting at the very bottom of the Eastern Conference standings, the Knicks roll into this one on the back of a narrow one-point loss to the Hornets on Sunday. New York is only 3-6 straight-up following a previous loss this year, while more importantly, the Cavs have also covered the spread in eight of their last 10-games against New York.

Tip: Back the Cavs to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.92

Dallas Mavericks Vs San Antonio Spurs

Tuesday November 19th, 12:30pm, American Airlines Center

An eight-point win over the Raptors on Sunday has kept the Mavericks in touch with the rest of the West, but you can’t say the same for a Spurs and their current five-game losing skid.

Dallas has won only two of their last eight-games over San Antonio, but while that might suggest the Spurs are a worthwhile play head-to-head, the Total is probably your safest bet.

The Total has gone Under in the last three games between these two sides, although I’m not entirely confident in either teams defence right now. The Spurs have allowed just over 114 points-per-game so far, which ranks seventh highest in the league. Meanwhile, the Mavericks haven’t been much better allowing an average of 111-points.

With all that said, the Total looks a little low ahead of Tuesday’s game. Offensively, Dallas is averaging the 10th most points-per-game, so take the Overs.

Tip: Over 224.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Phoenix Suns Vs Boston Celtics

Tuesday November 19th, 1:00pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

Boston’s 10-game winning streak came to an end on Monday as the Celtics lost on the buzzer to the Kings.

Brad Stevens’ side has been the best team in the East so far, but as the Celtics prepare to play their third game in just four days, there’s every chance Boston’s lack of rest catches up to them.

The Celtics were a tough play following a previous loss last year. So far last seasons trends have been money, so it’s tough to find faith in Boston’s 14-22 record in this scenario against the spread.

On the flip side, the Suns prepare for their sixth-straight home game after beating the Hawks comfortably last Friday. Phoenix owns a 6-2 record against the spread at home so far, making the Suns a worthwhile bet to hand Boston their third loss on the season.

Tip: Back the Suns to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.92

Monday 18th November

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Golden State Warriors

Monday November 18th, 11:00am, Smoothie King Center

The Pelicans and the Warriors meet on Monday in a game that could turn out to be surprisingly high scoring.

No Steph Curry and no Zion Williamson has stopped either of these two teams from putting up points this year. So far close to 67% of the Warriors’ games have gone Over the Total this season, while the Pelicans aren’t far behind at 64%.

Points wise all signs point towards a high-scoring game as well. The Warriors, even without their top stars, have still managed to average just over 110 points-per-game. The Pelicans, meanwhile, have been the surprise standouts so far ranking fifth in the league.

Tip: Over 226 Total Points @ $1.90

Sunday 17th November

Dallas Mavericks Vs Toronto Raptors

Sunday November 17th, 12:30pm, American Airlines Center

Fresh from a hostile loss to the Knicks at The Garden on Friday, the Mavs return home to the comforts of the American Airlines Arena to take on a dangerous looking Raptors team.

Even without Kawhi Leonard Toronto hasn’t skipped a beat. The Raptors, now at 8-3, sit third in the East, and if you hadn’t already heard, Toronto has also won seven of their last 10-games.

The Raptors earned a hard-fought win over the Blazers on Thursday coming back in the second half to win by eight points. Even so, I’m happy to go against the grain here and back the Mavericks to keep this one close.

You might remember the Mavs being a fantastic play against the spread following a loss last season.

Dallas finished 28-19-1 in this scenario, while the Mavs were also money in non-conference games playing to the tune of a 19-10-1 record.

This is a big test for Rick Carlisle’s as the Mavs have now lost back-to-back games for the first time this season. With the Raptors three losses all coming on the road however, it’s worth backing Dallas to at least keep this close.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line

San Antonio Spurs Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Sunday November 17th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

Can we trust the Spurs in the second game of a back-to-back?

San Antonio heads home on short rest following Saturday’s game in Orlando, and if you’ll remember last season, the second game of a doubleheader wasn’t exactly the Spurs’ strong suit.

Gregg Popovich’s side finished 4-9 straight-up in this scenario, which makes the Blazers look a worthwhile bet at the line.

To be fair, Portland hasn’t exactly been the safest bet this season, either. The Blazers have struggled to start the season at 4-8, and they certainly looked far from their best in another disappointing home loss to the Raptors on Thursday.

That said, the Blazers are averaging just over 110-points on the road, which is good news against a Spurs team that has allowed the ninth-most points to opponents at home. All in all, take the Blazers to come out firing against a weary Spurs team.

Tip: Back the Blazers to Cover the Line

Saturday 16th November

Charlotte Hornets Vs Detroit Pistons

Saturday November 16th, 11:00am, Spectrum Center

Nothing stings more than a loss at home on a buzzer-beater, as the Hornets found out the hard way.

Ja Morant’s last-second layup sunk the Hornets against the Grizzlies on Thursday, but if you’ve paid attention to Charlotte at all this season, you’ll know they are quite capable of putting up points in the first half.

The Hornets actually led at halftime against Memphis before things went pear shaped. Charlotte ranks ninth in points-per-game during the first half this season, which makes them a great bet to cover the spread against a Pistons team that has allowed the fifth-most points in the opening two quarters.

Tip: Back the Hornets to Cover the 1st Half Line (+1 Point) @ $1.92

Orlando Magic Vs San Antonio Spurs

Saturday November 16th, 11:00am, Amway Center

This should be a telling game between two of the top unknowns of the 2019/20 season.

San Antonio has been a frustrating play against the spread this year, but I’m still willing to back them against an Orlando side that continues to struggle for points.

The Spurs have covered in only two of their 11 games so far, however, keep in mind this was one of the best teams to back following a previous loss last season.

Gregg Popovich’s side came up short to the Wolves on Thursday – the Spurs’ third loss in a row. Last year San Antonio covered in 20 of their 37 games following a previous loss though, making the 3.5-point line look a little generous.

The Magic have allowed the fewest points defensively but also scored the fewest points on offence. With only three wins in their last 10-games, don’t be surprised if the Magic struggle to keep up with the Spurs.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs Boston Celtics

Saturday November 16th, 2:30pm, Chase Center

The Celtics head West on Saturday hoping to extend their winning streak to double digits.

Boston’s red-hot 9-1 start to the season has caught everybody by surprise, and as the odds suggest, it’s difficult to back against Brad Stevens’ side right now.

The Warriors’ fall from grace now has them in line for a top draft pick as they sit dead last in the West at 2-10. Offensively the Dubs are still capable of putting up points, but on the opposite end Golden State ranks third in points allowed.

Boston has been one of the safest bets against the spread this season playing to the tune of a 6-2-2 record. Likewise, the Celtics have also been money against Golden State in recent times covering in seven of their last 10-games.

Despite their flawless start to the season, this still remains a big test for the Celtics. Boston struggled on the road out West late last year, but with the Warriors reeling and the Celtics rolling, take the visitors to win big.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-8.0 Points) @ $1.92

Friday 15th November

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Chicago Bulls

Friday November 15th, 12:00pm, Fiserv Forum

Chicago travels north to Milwaukee on Friday hoping to carry momentum over from their 18-point blowout win over the Knicks on Wednesday.

The Bulls are standing their ground in the Eastern Conference at 4-7, but they face an enormous task against one of the NBA’s championship favourites.

Giannis Antetokounmpo and the Bucks have enjoyed three days rest in preparation for this game after handing the Thunder a two-point loss on Monday. It’s only early, but the Bucks already find themselves in a must-win situation with the Celtics storming ahead to a two-game lead atop the Conference.

If you’re a Bucks fan, the good news is Milwaukee has had no trouble beating the Bulls in recent times. The Bucks have won seven of their last 10 meetings against Chicago and have also covered the spread in six.

The only team the Bulls have beaten inside the East’s top eight is the Hawks. The Greek Freak has averaged just shy of 20-points and eight rebounds against Chicago during his career, but more importantly, the Bucks are also 17-3 in their last 20 games against the spread vs division opponents.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points) @ $1.92

New York Knicks Vs Dallas Mavericks

Friday November 15th, 12:00pm, Madison Square Garden

Kristaps Porzingis returns to the Garden for the first time since being traded to the Mavericks midway through last season.

For that reason alone, this should be an interesting game to watch as the disgruntled New York fanbase are sure to make their voices heard, but from a betting standpoint, the Unders looks to be the only worthwhile play.

The Knicks are averaging the second-fewest points in the league ahead of the Magic, while at home, New York ranks dead last.

In their last three meetings the Knicks have averaged 104-points against Dallas. This one should come close, but I’m happy to take the Unders on New York considering 88% of their games went Under the Total last year following a day off.

Tip: Knicks Under 104.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Thursday 14th November

Charlotte Hornets Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Thursday November 14th, 11:00am, Spectrum Center

Until the Grizzlies prove otherwise, I’ll continue to back them in the 1st Half Market.

Memphis has been seventh-highest scoring side in the first half this season as they continue to give even the best teams a solid run for their money.

Earlier this week the Grizzlies came good on the 1st Half spread, covering in a 113-109 win over the Spurs in San Antonio. To be fair though, this trend has been money for the last two years as the Grizzlies have won the first half in 34 of their last 46 games.

In case you still aren’t convinced, the Hornets have also allowed the seventh-most points in the first half this year. With some value on offer, this might be the safest bet of the day.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Win the 1st Half @ $2.00

Orlando Magic Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Thursday November 14th, 11:00am, Amway Center

The Sixers got back on track yesterday with a not-so pretty one-point win over the Cavs in Cleveland.

Philadelphia now heads to Orlando on short rest to face a Magic side looking to rebound from a seven-point loss to the Pacers on Monday.

So far this season Orlando has struggled to give their home fans anything to cheer about with only three wins from six games. Overall, the Magic are just 3-7 on the season, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t capable of putting up some points in this one.

Last season playing on the Overs was highly profitable when the Sixers were playing on no rest. Ten of Philly’s 13 games went Over last year, which makes the 208.5 Total on Thursday look a little slim.

The Magic are the second-best team defensively allowing only 99.3 points-per-game. That said, these two sides have combined for an average score of 218 points across their last three meetings, so take a well-rested Magic side on two days’ rest to keep up with Philly’s star power.

Tip: Over 208.5 Total Points

Portland Trail Blazers Vs Toronto Raptors

Thursday November 14th, 2:00pm, Moda Center

Nothing went right for the Blazers yesterday as they lost by double-digits on the road to the Kings.

Portland now heads back to the Moda Center on short rest to face a Raptors side eager to make up for their own double-digit loss to the Clippers on Tuesday.

If you bet on the NBA last season you might remember how frustrating the Blazers were in the second game of a doubleheader. Portland finished the season 5-7 straight-up, while the Raptors on the other hand finished 23-9 following a previous loss.

The Blazers have been struggling to find shooting from most of their roster so far with only Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum averaging over 20 points-per-game. Considering the Raptors have covered the spread in six of their 10-games so far, take full advantage of the generous line on offer.

Tip: Back the Raptors to Cover the Line (+3.0 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 13th November

Chicago Bulls Vs New York Knicks

Wednesday November 13th, 12:00pm, United Center

It’s been a rough start to the season if you’re a Bulls or Knicks fan, but the good news is you can at least cash in for a profit between these two cellar dwellers on Wednesday.

I’m sure I’m not surprising anybody when I say the Knicks and Bulls are among the bottom five teams in points-per-game this year. The Total has gone Under in six of the last 10-games between these two, but there might be more value to be had on the first half Total.

The opening two quarters have posed plenty of problems for Chicago and New York. Again, both sides rank bottom five in points scored in the first half, which makes the 109.5 1st Half Total set for this game look way too high.

The avereage 1st Half Total between these two sides has been 105-points. All things considered, take the Unders.

Tip: Under 109.5 1st Half Total Points @ $1.90

Utah Jazz Vs Brooklyn Nets

Wednesday November 13th, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

Maybe one day this will turn out to be a future Finals match up, but for now, I’m happy to play on the Unders between these two inter-conference foes.

Brooklyn has some serious work to do at 4-5. The Nets have won only one of their six road games so far, largely due to a complete lack of shot-blockers and defensive rebounding.

What the Nets do have going for them though is some strong three-point shooting. Brooklyn ranks third in shots made from beyond the arc, which could challenge Utah to keep pace early in the first half.

All of that suggests this game could be high-scoring, but if the Jazz are forced into making shots they don’t want to take, the hosts could struggle for points.

The Jazz remain undefeated at home this year and they have also won six of their last 10-games. Backing Utah with home-court advantage has been money to start the new season, but so has playing on the Unders on Utah in the first half of the season.

Over the last three years the 1st Half Total has gone Under in 120 of the Jazz’s 184 games in the half of the season. Utah has averaged the fifth-fewest points in the first half so far, making this trend worthy of backing – especially in the second game of a back-to-back.

Tip: Jazz Under 54.5 1st Half Total Points @ $1.88

Denver Nuggets Vs Atlanta Hawks

Wednesday November 13th, 1:00pm, Pepsi Center

The Nuggets have seemingly picked up where they let off last season steaming ahead to an impressive 7-2 record alongside the Lakers in the West.

Denver rolls into this one fresh from Nikola Jokic’s buzzer-beater on Monday against the Wolves in Minnesota, but it already appears the bookies are favouring the Nuggets to win by more than just two points this time around.

If you’ve bet on the Nuggets this season you probably already know how problematic they’ve been against the spread. After a previous win, Denver has covered in only two of their six games – and after a day off, they are 0-3-1.

This all points towards the Hawks keeping Wednesday’s game close, something they’ve done in previous meetings with Denver. In their last 10-games, Atlanta has covered the spread in seven.

Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points)

Tuesday 12th November

Boston Celtics Vs Dallas Mavericks

Tuesday November 12th, 11:30am, TD Garden

The Celtics suffered some bad news on Sunday as key forward Gordon Hayward fractured his hand in the blowout win over the Spurs.

Hayward’s absence will limit Boston defensively in the paint, but at 7-1 and atop the East, there’s still no reason to panic as the Celtics return home on Tuesday to face the Mavericks.

Dallas currently sits seventh in the West at 6-3, and although their perfect 4-0 record on the road makes them a strong upset chance in this one, I’m still happy to stick with what’s been working – and that’s the Celtics against the spread.

Boston has covered in five of their eight games as well as three of five as the favourite. It helps knowing the Celtics have allowed the fifth-fewest points in the league, but more importantly, Boston has also covered the spread in 20 of their last 25 games coming off a win as an underdog.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.92

San Antonio Spurs Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Tuesday November 12th, 11:30am, AT&T Center

There’s certainly nothing to like about the Grizzlies at 2-7, however I am happy to play on Memphis in the first half against the Spurs.

Memphis has quietly been one of the best teams in the first half this season averaging the seventh-most points per-game. If you bet on the NBA over the last two seasons you’ll know how profitable the Grizzlies have been against the first half spread covering in 46 of their last 65 games as the underdog.

The Spurs have allowed an average of 55-points in the first half to opponents this season, which makes the very generous 6.5-point line look well and truly worthwhile.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Cover the 1st Half Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.92

Sunday 10th November

Charlotte Hornets Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday November 10th, 11:00am, Spectrum Center

For two teams that looked destined to struggle this season, the Hornets and Pelicans have surprisingly produced some exciting results.

New Orleans has been a strong Overs play through the first month, and until that chances, I’m willing to stick with it as they travel to Charlotte on Sunday.

Six of the Pelicans’ seven games have gone Over the Total already this year, largely due to their offence that ranks fourth in points-per-game.

Charlotte doesn’t pose as much of a threat on attack, but defensively the Hornets have allowed the eighth-most points in the league. Considering the Total has gone also gone Over in 75% of the Pelicans’ away games this year, stick with what’s working.

Tip: Pelicans Over the Points Total

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Golden State Warriors

Sunday November 10th, 12:00pm, Chesapeake Energy Arena

The injury to Steph Curry means there’s been plenty of value on offer for the Warriors in the head-to-head market.

Sunday sees the Dubs travel to OKC on no rest following Saturday’s game in Minnesota, and although the Warriors’ starting five has been ravished with injury, there’s still every chance Golden State gets the job done here.

It mightn’t mean much with so many of their stars on the bench, but the Warriors finished last season 9-4 on no rest. This is the type of “prove it” opportunity the Warriors’ youngers guys should lap up as they look for more playing time, so take Golden State to win outright.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Win

Saturday 9th November

Utah Jazz Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Saturday November 9th, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

There’s no rest for the wicked as the Jazz and the Bucks both return from a pair of wins over the Sixers and Clippers to do battle in a Saturday blockbuster.

The head-to-head market offers tremendous value, but with the line favouring the Bucks by only 1.5-points, I’m more than willing to back Milwaukee to make a statement on the road.

If you bet on the NBA last season you might recall how profitable the Bucks were on the road. Against the spread, Milwaukee finished with a league-best 28-18-2 record, while they also fared quite well after a day’s rest to again, a league-best 36-20-1 record.

I know, that was last season, but already we’ve some of last year’s trends carry over quite nicely.

Defensively, the Jazz have been outstanding at home allowing the third-fewest points-per-game. On offence Utah has struggled though, ranking 24th in points scored with home-court advantage.

Fresh from a 38-point game against the Clippers in Thursday’s win, I’m also willing to back Giannis Antetokounmpo to undo some of Utah’s top defensive work. The Bucks have covered the spread in their last three games against the Jazz, so until proven otherwise, I’ll continue to back Milwaukee with these slim lines on offer.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Miami Heat

Saturday November 9th, 2:30pm, Staples Center

The Lakers are sizzling right now as they hope to extend their winning streak to six on Saturday, but I’m not so convinced Miami can’t keep this game close.

LeBron James is in MVP-like form and Anthony Davis is complimenting him nicely. As far as the bench is concerned though, there are still a few concerns surrounding the production of Kyle Kuzma and Rajon Rondo.

The Heat are 5-2 at the time of publish, but it feels as though Erik Spoelsta’s side isn’t receiving the respect they deserve. Miami’s defence has been outstanding so far allowing the 10th fewest points-per-game, which could bring the Unders into play.

Not to be outdone, the Lakers have also been amazing on defence tied for the fourth-fewest points allowed. The Total has gone Under in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two sides and in two of the Lakers’ three home games, so you know what to do.

Tip: Under 215.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Friday 8th November

Charlotte Hornets Vs Boston Celtics

Friday November 8th, 12:00pm, Spectrum Center

The Celtics are cruising along nicely in the midst of a five-game winning streak.

After winning by six over the Raptors a fortnight ago, Boston has gone on to record wins over the Knicks twice, the Bucks and the Cavaliers while also averaging the sixth-fewest points against defensively.

A trip to Charlotte was supposed to be a cakewalk this season but already the Hornets have proven themselves as no easy beat. At 4-3, Charlotte’s winning start to the season has been one of the many surprise headlines, but I’m still willing to back Brad Stevens’ defence to do the talking on Friday.

The Celtics are 2-1 on the road and with a win over the Hornets, they could potentially seize the top spot in the Eastern Conference.

Offensively Boston has some work to do, but this is the perfect opportunity for the Celtics to find their stride against a Charlotte defence that has allowed the ninth-most points in the league.

If you’re looking for one last stat to hang your hat on, make it this: over the last three seasons, the Celtics are 39-17 against the spread after three or more wins on the trot.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.92

San Antonio Spurs Vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Friday November 8th, 12:30pm, AT&T Center

The Spurs return home on Friday hoping to make up for their recent eight-point loss to the Hawks.

Big time NBA bettors will recall how profitable San Antonio was on the back of a loss against the spread last season finishing with a convincing 20-16-1 record.

Oklahoma City has stood their ground following the loss of Paul George and Russell Westbrook, but with an 0-2 record on the road so far, I’m willing to take the Spurs to win comfortably. San Antonio has covered the spread in seven of their last 10-games against the Thunder, so this one isn’t worth overthinking.

Tip: Back the Spurs to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Phoenix Suns Vs Miami Heat

Friday November 8th, 1:00pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

You’d be mad to bet against the red-hot Suns… right?

Phoenix’s fast start to the season has caught every NBA pundit off guard, but despite their three-game winning streak, I’m still willing to take the Suns on with the Heat coming to town.

Miami sits third in the East behind a strong 5-2 record. The Heat have struggled on the road with only two wins from four games, but Miami’s 8-2 record against the spread in their last 10 meetings against Phoenix is enough of a reason to trust Erik Spoelstra’s side.

Just like last season, Miami is already one of the best defensive sides in the league. To be fair, the Suns also rank bottom ten in points allowed per-game, but with a narrow 1.5 line set in favour of the Suns, the Heat are a strong chance to Cover.

In their last 30 games against non-conference opponents, the Suns have covered the line only five times. The Heat are 2-1 against the spread following a day off, so take Miami to either keep this close, or win.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 7th November

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Thursday November 7th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

It’s been a tough start to the season for the 1-5 Grizzlies as they prepare for their third straight home game against the Wolves.

Memphis has lost three on the trot following a seven-point loss to the Rockets on Tuesday, but that doesn’t mean there isn’t any value to be had on the home underdogs.

The Timberwolves are allowing an average of 58.5 first half points – the fifth-most in the league. The Grizzlies aren’t anything special offensively, but Memphis is averaging just shy of 56 first half points themselves through the first month of the season.

The 1st Half Total might seem like a safe play all things considering, but the current price on offer for the Grizzlies head-to-head is massively over the odds. Memphis has led at half time in 16 of their last 18 games against opponents from the Northwest Division, so take the Grizzlies to put a scare into the Wolves.

Tip: Back the Grizzlies to Win the 1st Half @ $2.20

Dallas Mavericks Vs Orlando Magic

Thursday November 7th, 12:30pm, American Airlines Center

Sticking to the half time trend, I’m also happy to take on the Mavericks at home against a very stingy Magic defence.

Averaging just under 50, Orlando has allowed the second-fewest first half points in the league. The Mavericks, meanwhile, lead the league in first half points scored at 63.5, but with a 55.5 Total set, I’m happy to back Orlando’s defence to do the talking.

In case you need further convincing, the Mavs have also averaged only 50 first half points in their last three games against the Magic. So with all that in mind, play on the Unders.

Mavericks Under 55.5 1st Half Points @ $1.88

Utah Jazz Vs Philadelphia 76ers

Thursday November 7th, 1:00pm, Vivint Smart Home Arena

The Sixers suffered their first loss of the season on Tuesday, but I’m still willing to back Philly to bounce-back on the road in Utah.

Brett Brown’s team is firing on all cylinders as the Sixers continue to make teams pay in the paint. Philly is shooting just under 47% from the field and is also averaging over 48 rebounds per-game, but perhaps more importantly, the Sixers finished last season 22-13 against the spread following a previous loss.

A narrow 2-point line is always a little risky, especially against the Jazz, who are yet to lose a game at home. That said, the Sixers have six of their last 10-games against Utah, and while this is a big road test early in the season, don’t be surprised if Philly make a statement.

Tip: Back the Sixers to Cover the Line (+2 Points) @ $1.92

Wednesday 6th November

Denver Nuggets Vs Miami Heat

Wednesday November 6th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

The Heat have quietly been one of the best teams in the league to start the season with a 5-1 record.

Miami are fresh from a big 29-point win over the Rockets on Monday and as they were last season, the Heat look a good bet to cover the spread on the road against Denver.

The Heat finished with a league-best 26-15 record against the spread on the road last season, and they should be feeling confident ranking sixth in the league in points-per-game.

Denver has struggled to get going offensively this year as they rank bottom five in points-per-game. These two sides have also been two of the better teams defensively, so I’m happy to take the double in this game at some value.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) & Under 209.5 Total Points @ $3.60

Tuesday 5th November

Brooklyn Nets Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Tuesday November 5th, 11:30am, Barclays Center

These two teams will be hoping to move one step closer towards .500 Tuesday after rather slow starts to the season.

New Orleans lost by double-digits to the Thunder on Sunday leaving the Pelicans still without a road win this season. The Nets, meanwhile, lost by four to the Pistons in Detroit.

Brooklyn’s new-look offence has taken a little while to gel, but they should feel somewhat confident about ranking third in points-per-game.

The Pelicans have been a great Overs bet through the first two weeks as five of their six games have gone Over the Total. New Orleans has struggled defensively all year allowing the second-most points on the road, but on the flip side, the Nets haven’t been much better allowing seventh-most points at home.

These two sides have combined for an average half-time score of 125-points in their last three games. The first half total has also gone Over in 56 of the Pelicans’ last 78 games across the last two seasons, so take a high scoring start from New Orleans.

Tip: Pelicans Over the 1st Half Total

Memphis Grizzlies Vs Houston Rockets

Tuesday November 5th, 12:00pm, FedEx Forum

I’m finding it extremely difficult to back the Rockets on a consistent basis, but the trends heading into Tuesday’s game in Memphis are too good to ignore.
Houston were walloped by 29-points in Miami on Monday as James Harden finished with only 29-points. With a 1-2 record on the road, it’s been a familiar theme all season for the Rockets as the new-look offence with Russell Westbrook in the fold is yet to really click.

That said, the Rockets proved highly profitable last season on the back of a loss. Houston finished 20-13, while they also came good playing on no rest to the tune of an 8-4 record.

There’s no real value in the head-to-head market, but I’m still confident in the Rockets at the line. Houston has covered the spread in seven of their last 10-games against the Grizzlies. Memphis has also allowed the fifth-most points opponents at home this season.

Tip: Back the Rockets to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.92

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Tuesday November 5th, 12:00pm, Target Center

The bookies are trying to trap you into backing the Over between these two high-scoring offences, but I’m not buying it.

Milwaukee and Minnesota both rank top five in points-per-game, and while neither has been particularly special defensively, the 230.5-point total looks a little high.

The Bucks and Wolves have combined for an average total of 207-points across their last 10-games. The Under has saluted in seven of them, and while it mightn’t mean much, the total has also gone Under in 23 of the Wolves’ last 30 games in November.

Tip: Under 230.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Monday 4th November

San Antonio Spurs Vs Los Angeles Lakers

Monday November 4th, 10:00am, AT&T Center

Four wins on the trot has Laker fans up and about with another game on the road.

Los Angeles handed Dallas a nine-point loss on Saturday and have since been installed as minor one-point underdogs on the road against San Antonio.

If you’ve caught a glimpse of the Spurs so far, you’ll know this is massive overs. San Antonio has been awful defensively allowing 111.2 points-per-game, while on attack, Gregg Popovich’s side is shooting below 35% from three-point range.

The Lakers have already been money against the spread this season covering in four of their five games. Los Angeles is also 7-1 against the spread in their last eight games a fellow Western Conference opponent, so take advantage of this generous line.

Tip: Lakers to Cover the Line (+1 Point) @ $1.92

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Utah Jazz

Monday November 4th, 12:00pm, Staples Center

This game shapes up to be a bit of a blockbuster between two teams hoping to improve on their 4-2 records.

Utah came up short to the Kings on Saturday away from home in a one-point loss, but if you’ll recall, backing the Jazz following a defeat was one of the most profitable plays of the entire year.

The Jazz finished 22-12-1 after a loss against the spread, while Utah’s defence has been outstanding so far allowing the fewest points in the league.

Los Angeles has the edge on offence in this game, but they do need to tighten up defensively. The Clippers are allowing an average of just under 110-points per-game, so take the Jazz to keep this one close.

Tip: Back Utah to Cover the Line (+4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Sunday 3rd November

Detroit Pistons Vs Brooklyn Nets

Sunday November 3rd, 10:00am, Little Caesars Arena

We’re only just over a week into the season, but this already shapes up as a pivotal Eastern Conference matchup between two serious playoff contenders.

The Nets and Pistons meet in Detroit on Sunday on the back of only 12 hours rest. Brooklyn, fresh from a tough home game against the Rockets, will be hoping to earn their first road win of the season, while the Pistons back up on short rest after a trip to Chicago.

Playing on the Unders was highly profitable on these two teams last season, especially on no rest. Close to 62% of Detroit’s games went Under the Total in the second set of a double-header, while the Nets weren’t far behind at 57%.

In case you need further convincing, the Total has also gone Under in seven of the last 10-games between these two sides. With limited rest, I expect points to come at a premium.

Tip: Under 224 Total Points @ $1.92

Washington Wizards Vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Sunday November 3rd, 11:00am, Capital One Arena

The Wizards have picked up where they left off last season by being one of the top betting plays on short rest.

After disposing of the Thunder last Saturday, Washington came out fighting a day later to cover the spread in a two-point loss to the Spurs.

For those unaware, the Wizards finished 12-3 last year against the spread on no rest. They’ve also opened this season 4-1 against the spread, and although the Wolves have looked impressive so far, it’s worth backing taking the Wizards to come good on what they do best.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (-2 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs Charlotte Hornets

Sunday November 3rd, 11:30am, Chase Center

No Steph Curry spells no chance for the Warriors, right?

The even money on offer tells the story as the bookmakers are favouring the Dubs by only a point on Sunday. The head-to-head price is also very tempting, but the trends suggest there could be a safer play elsewhere in the market.

It’s no surprise to learn the Warriors have allowed the second-most points in the league this season. Losing defensive masterminds like Kevin Durant and Klay Thompson was always going to hurt, while the loss of Curry now makes life extremely tough on the opposite end.

The Hornets were the heavy favourites for the No. 1 overall pick, but at 2-3, Charlotte has already proven that they are no easy-beat.

Over the last two seasons the Total has gone Over in all nine of the Hornets’ road games on two days’ rest, so back Charlotte to put up a big score on the struggling Dubs.

Tip: Hornets Over 111 Total Points @ $1.92

Saturday 2nd November

Orlando Magic Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Saturday November 2nd, 10:00am, Amway Center

The Bucks should have a point to prove on Saturday after blowing a 58-42 halftime lead to the Celtics on Thursday.

Milwaukee find themselves sitting just 2-2 in the East after what has so far been a rather slow start to the season. The Bucks remain on the road as they travel to Orlando, but if you were paying attention last season, you might remember this exact scenario being one of the most profitable plays of the entire year.

On the back of a loss, the Bucks covered the spread in 19 of their 26 games. But wait, Milwaukee also holds a 17-3 record agaisnt the spread in road games following a loss as the favourite.

The Magic haven’t lost a game at home, but considering Orlando has averaged the fewest points-per-game in the league, take the Bucks to Cover what is a very slim line.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.92

Boston Celtics Vs New York Knicks

Saturday November 2nd, 10:30am, TD Garden

The underdog Celtics of old turned up in a big way on Thursday as Boston came all the way back to defeat the Bucks 116-105 at home.

It’s only early, but that could turn into a serious momentum builder for Brad Stevens’ side as the Celtics appear to be having fun playing basketball again.

The Celtics look to have found some form on offence, but it’s hard to ignore their struggles in the first half. Boston has averaged the fewest points-per-game in the opening two quarters, which makes them a worthwhile play on the 1st Half Under.

In case you aren’t convinced though, don’t forget the Total has gone Under in 31 of Boston’s 40 games against division opponents in the first half over the last two seasons.

Tip: Celtics Under 57.5 1st Half Points @ $1.92

Sacramento Kings Vs Utah Jazz

Saturday November 2nd, 1:00pm, Chase Center

No team has been more disappointing than the Kings to start the season.

Sacramento’s 0-5 start is concerning for a team that was supposed to compete for a playoff spot. The Kings’ schedule hasn’t helped matters, but fresh from a loss to the lowly Hornets at home, it’s still tough to find much faith in Luke Walton’s side.

Things are only about to get tougher for the Kings as they face the 4-1 Jazz on Saturday. If you haven’t heard, Utah’s defence has allowed the fewest points-per-game in the league, which spells huge trouble for a Kings side averaging the second-fewest points offensively.

The Kings have averaged only 97 points in their last three games against Utah, so with a big Total set, back the Unders on Sacramento.

Tip: Kings Under 109.5 Total Points @ $1.96

Friday 1st November

Atlanta Hawks Vs Miami Heat

Friday November 1st, 10:00am, State Farm Arena

The Hawks hit some early strife on Wednesday in the form of a Trae Young ankle injury. The former first round pick is day-to-day for now, but that hasn’t stopped bookmakers from favouring the Heat by six-points.

Miami has been a strong play already this season covering the line in three of their four games. From a form standpoint, there’s little work to do considering the Heat took care of the Hawks 112-97 on Wednesday, but Young’s injury has thrown a spanner into the works.

No MRI was required on Young’s ankle, which suggests he could play on Friday. Whether the Hawks want to risk him this early in the season is a decision for coach Lloyd Pierce, but if we consider the trends, it might still be worth backing Atlanta regardless.

The Hawks are 4-1 against the spread in their last five home games. They also finished 27-24 against the spread last year after a day off. If Young plays, this line should come in, so make sure you get on early.

Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+6.0 Points) @ $1.92

New Orleans Pelicans Vs Denver Nuggets

Friday November 1st, 12:30pm, Smoothie King Center

The Pelicans and Nuggets meet on Friday after a pair of home losses on Wednesday.

New Orleans were no match for the Warriors in their 11-point loss, while the Nuggets allowed a six-point lead in the third quarter to slip in the final term against the Mavericks.

Neither of these teams were particularly profitable on the back of a previous loss last season, but there could be some value in the Total Points market.

In 48 games after losing previously, the Total went Over in 62% of the Pelicans’ following games. Considering New Orleans leads the league in points-per-game, take this one to be high scoring.

Tip: Over the Points Total

Los Angeles Clippers Vs San Antonio Spurs

Friday November 1st, 1:30pm, Staples Center

The Clippers chose to rest Kawhi Leonard on Thursday due to “load management.”

It sounds as though coach Doc Rivers is saving Kawhi for Friday’s home game against the Spurs, which explains the -5 point line set in favour of the Clippers.

As expected, Los Angeles hasn’t missed a beat so far averaging the third-most points in the league while shooting 52% from the field and 40% from three.

San Antonio, meanwhile, ranks eighth in points allowed and three-point shooting percentage against.

With Kawhi returning and home-court advantage, this one isn’t worth overcomplicating.

Tip: Back the Clippers to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.92

Thursday 31st October

Toronto Raptors Vs Detroit Pistons

Thursday October 31st, 10:30am, Scotiabank Arena

Detroit’s road trip continues on Thursday as they head north to Toronto to face the defending champs.

Betting on the Pistons was tough last year, and it hasn’t been any easier so far with Detroit yet to string together back-to-back wins.

The Raptors have opened the season 3-1 following a nine-point victory over the Magic on Tuesday. That said, Toronto’s offence is far from what it used to be currently ranking 23rd in field-goal percentage.

The Pistons, meanwhile, rank fourth in the same department. The defence has allowed only 109.5 points-per-game, which could cause problems for a Raptors team that continues to start games slowly.

Detroit has covered the line in four of their last five games against the Raptors including six of their last eight in Toronto. With a generous line set, take the Pistons to keep this close.

Tip: Back the Pistons to Cover the Line (+8.5 Points) @ $1.92

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Thursday October 31st, 11:00am, Chesapeake Energy Arena

The Blazers find themselves 2-2 through four games as they look to bounce-back from a nail-biting three-point loss to the Spurs on Tuesday.

Shooting just 32% from beyond the arc, it’s safe to say three-point shooting has been Portland’s biggest downfall early on. Fortunately, they’ll have a chance to right their wrong on Thursday as they take on the 1-3 Thunder, but if you’ve caught a glimpse of OKC so far, you’ll know nothing is going to come easy.

Oklahoma City had the Rockets on the ropes on Tuesday falling by only four points. They also put up a double-digit win over the Warriors last week after coming within five points of the Jazz on opening night.

It just so happens that three-point shooting is the Thunder’s speciality – just on the other end of the floor. OKC has allowed the lowest three-point shooting percentage to opposing teams so far, which spells bad news for the visiting Blazers.

The Thunder have held Portland to Under 112 points in three of their last five games, so instead of risking a head-to-head bet, play on the Total.

Tip: Blazers Under 112 Points @ $1.92

Utah Jazz Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Thursday October 31st, 1:00pm, Vinvint Smart Home Arena

Utah had their hands full on Tuesday against the Suns, but like all good teams do, the Jazz found a way to pull out a one-point victory.

Los Angeles had a less than close call of their own against the Hornets. The Clippers tore apart Charlotte to win 111-96, extending their record to 3-1 on the season.

Utah has won seven of their last 10-games against the Clippers. During that time, they’ve averaged a first half score of 55-points to Los Angeles’ 51.

Considering the Clippers haven’t won in Utah since 2017, take the Jazz to win the first half.

Tip: Jazz to Win the 1st Half  @ $1.85

Wednesday 30th October

Miami Heat Vs Atlanta Hawks

Wednesday October 30th, 10:30am, AmericanAirlines Arena

There’s certainly no shame in losing to the Sixers, as the Hawks did on Tuesday.

Atlanta had Philly on the ropes early on with a nine-point first quarter lead, but a quiet night from the bench ultimately cost the Hawks what would have been a huge early season upset.

Already the Hawks have shown plenty of poise though as Trae Young ranks second in the league in points-per-game. That should come in handy as Atlanta prepares for the Heat on no rest, but if you’ve caught a glimpse of Miami this season, you’ll understand why the spread for this game looks a little generous.

The Heat opened the season 2-0  before losing by seven to the Timberwolves on Monday. Miami looks the team to beat in the Southwest, but keep in mind, Erik Spoelstra’s side finished 7-9 against division opponents last year.

Miami’s bread and butter so far has been the three-point shot. The Heat are shooting 38% from beyond the arc – which ranks eighth in the league. On the flip side however, the Hawks have allowed the second-lowest three-point percentage against this season.

This is a game the Hawks will be desperate to win, and with a steady 8-8 record against the spread vs division opponents last year, it’s worth backing them to do so.

Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+8.0 Points) @ $1.91

Denver Nuggets Vs Dallas Mavericks

Wednesday October 30th, 12:00pm, Pepsi Center

The Mavericks came back to earth a little on Monday losing by three points to the Blazers.

After a fast 2-0 start, Dallas received a harsh reality check against one of the top dogs in the Western Conference, and things aren’t about to get any easier on as the Mavs hit the road on Wednesday in Denver.

The Nuggets remain unbeaten after surviving a late scare from the Kings yesterday in Sacramento. If you were betting on the NBA last season, you might remember Denver were absolute money playing on no rest to the tune of a league-best 12-1 record.

There’s certainly something exciting about Dallas this season, but keep in mind the Mavs have shot just 44% from the field and 30% from three. That won’t cut it against an elite scoring (and defensive) side like Denver, so back the Nuggets to win this one a little more reasily

Tip: Back the Nuggets to Cover the Line (-6.0 Points) @ $1.91

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Memphis Grizzlies

Wednesday October 30th, 1:30pm, Staples Center

Is there anything stopping the Grizzlies from keeping this game close?

Memphis is averaging 112.3 points-per-game, but on the opposite end, the Grizzlies have unfortunately allowed the fifth-most points defensively.

The Lakers are far from steady right now as Anthony Davis and LeBron James continue to work things out. Los Angeles needs to find some consistency from three if they wish to compete for a playoff spot, but as far as a betting play for Wednesday’s game goes, the Lakers’ questionable shooting from downtown should put the Unders into play.

Stay with me here, because this is a little technical. In their last two seasons, 25 of the Lakers’ 34 games have gone Under the Total against a team allowing 106 (or more) points-per-game.

Tip: Lakers Under 115.5 Total Points @ $1.96

Tuesday 29th October

Milwaukee Bucks Vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Tuesday October 29th, 11:00am, Fiserv Forum

Despite losing by five to the Heat on Sunday, the bookmakers have wasted no time installing the Bucks as whopping 15.5-point favourites against the Cavs at home.

Milwaukee shot only 31% from three against Miami as they managed to blow a 13-point half time lead. Not to worry though, because if you were paying attention last year, you’ll know the Bucks were one of the most profitable plays to cover the spread on the back of a previous loss.

The Bucks finished last season 19-7, covering 73.1% of the time. The Cavs, meanwhile, hit the road on a high after defeating the Pacers by double-digits on Sunday, but it’s doubtful we see Tristan Thompson put up 25-points again against one of the best defensive sides in the league.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (-15.5 Points) @ $1.91

Los Angeles Clippers Vs Charlotte Hornets

Tuesday October 29th, 1:30pm, Staples Center

Only two days after pummeling the Lakers on opening night, the Clippers somehow lost by eight points to the Suns in Phoenix – much to the chagrin of punters on board the favourites.

The Suns have proven they are no easy-beats already this year, so you can probably excuse the Clippers’ loss as they still iron out a few kinks to start the season.

Fortunately, Los Angeles now faces a Hornets side fresh from a 19-point loss to the Lakers on Monday, and with no rest between games, it’s difficult to see Charlotte coming up with an answer to the likes of Kawhi Leonard and Montrezl Harrell.

The Clippers finished last season 22-15 against the spread following a previous loss, but there might be some real multi value on offer here. Not that it means much, but in home games after allowing 115-points or more last year, the Clippers also went Over the Total in 31 of their 39 games.

Tip: Clippers to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) & Over 223.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Monday 28th October

Minnesota Timberwolves Vs Miami Heat

Monday October 28th, 10:00am, Target Center

Looks like we may have underestimated the Timberwolves.

It’s only a short sample size, but with a pair of wins over the Nets and Hornets to start the season, Minnesota already look a serious dark horse to make the playoffs in the West.

Of course, we’ve gotten carried away about Minnesota before, and with the visiting Heat coming to town, it’s safe to say this will be another big test for Ryan Saunders’ side.

The Heat were one of the best teams to back against the spread on the road last year saluting to the tune of a 26-15 record. Miami was also a strong play agaisnt the spread in the second game of a doubleheader covering in seven of their 13 games, so back the Heat to keep this tight.

Tip: Back the Heat to Cover the Line

Dallas Mavericks Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Monday October 28th, 10:00am, American Airlines Center

The 2-0 Mavericks host the Blazers on Monday as Dallas hopes to extend its unbeaten streak to three.

Funnily enough, that’s also the same number of home games the Mavs have won over Portland dating back to April last season.

The Blazers lost their season-opener to the Nuggets at home on Thursday by eight points while they also had plenty of trouble against teh Kings in Sacramento on Saturday. Overall, it looks as though there is something missing on offence in Portland, which could spell disaster against a Mavericks side riding the hot hands of Luka Doncic and Kristaps Porzingis.

You might not know it, but Dallas was also one of the more profitable spread plays at home last year. The Mavericks covered in 24 of their 41 home games last season, a trend that looks tough to ignore.

Tip: Back the Mavericks to Cover the Line

Sunday 27th October

Houston Rockets Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Sunday October 27th, 11:00am, Toyota Center

There was plenty to like about the Rockets on Friday despite losing to the Bucks 117-111.

Russell Westbrook’s 24-point game was an encouraging sign after a down season last year, but Houston’s inability to defend both Giannis Antetokounmpo and the the three shot was a mild concern.

The Rockets will be hoping for more of an impact from James Harden on Sunday following his lackluster 19-point effort. Finding the right mix of minutes for Westbrook and Harden will come with time, but for now, it’s obvious coach Mike D’antoni has a few kinks to iron out.

Meanwhile in New Orleans, the Pelicans continue to take everybody by surprise. After taking the Raptors to overtime on opening night, New Orleans returned three days later to lose another close one to the Mavericks.

The Pelicans already look competitive, which is impressive considering Zion Williamson is on the sidelines. With pure shooters like Brandon Ingram and JJ Reddick on the roster, this team can hurt you from three – as the Rockets have found out the hard way in the past.

New Orleans has covered the spread in six of their last 10-games against the Rockets, and considering the bookmakers are favouring Houston by double-digits, it’s worth backing the Pelicans to keep this close.

Tip: Back the Pelicans to Cover the Line (+10.5 Points) @ $1.92

Chicago Bulls Vs Toronto Raptors

Sunday October 27th, 11:30am, AT&T Center

The Bulls have picked up where they left off last year: inconsistent.

Chicago lost a heartbreaker on Thursday against the Hornets before coming all the way back against Memphis on Saturday to win 110-102.

Backing the Bulls to win outright in the second game of a doubleheader is a risky play, but on the flip side, the Raptors haven’t looked all that convincing either. Toronto had their hands full on opening night against the Pelicans, right before they allowed the Celtics to come all the way back on Saturday to steal a last-minute win.

Both of these teams should have a point to prove on Sunday, so you can expect a high-scoring game. The Total has gone Over in six of the last 10-games between Chicago and Toronto, so expect plenty of points.

Tip: Over 223 Total Points @ $1.92

San Antonio Spurs Vs Washington Wizards

Sunday October 27th, 11:00am, United Center

The Spurs have enjoyed a handy two-day break as they look to earn their second win of the season.

San Antonio won by eight against the Knicks on Thursday, but it was hardly a convincing victory. DeMar DeRozan had a quiet night with only 13-points, while the Spurs as a team shot only 33% from three.

Washington has already shown plenty of moxy to start the season despite their record. An eight-point loss to the Mavericks on opening night still saw plenty of positives, while a the Wiz were also competive against the Thunder on the road on Saturday.

The Wizards were the best side to back on no rest last season covering the spread in 12 of their 15 games. With the Spurs looking a little rusty to begin the season, take advantage of this generous line.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+12 Points) @ $1.92

Saturday 26th October

Oklahoma City Thunder Vs Washington Wizards

Saturday October 26th, 11:00am, Chesapeake Energy Arena

Overreactions are all the rage this time of the year, as you can see by the line set for Saturday’s game between the Thunder and Wizards.

Oklahoma City lost by five to Utah on Opening Night, while Washington fell to the Mavericks by eight. There was to like and lots to loathe about both teams, but the line looks way too generous in Oklahoma City’s favour.

The Wizards lucked out with Bradley Beal being ejected in the fourth quarter on Thursday but the good news is the new multi-million man has avoided suspension. Even without Beal on the court though, Washington still put up 32-points in the final quarter to put a real scare into the Dallas home fans.

The Wizards are 4-1 in their last five road games dating back to last season and they also won their last visit to OKC by double digits. With an eight point safety net, take Washington to Cover.

Tip: Back the Wizards to Cover the Line (+8.0 Points) @ $1.91

Sacramento Kings Vs Portland Trail Blazers

Saturday October 26th, 1:00pm, Golden 1 Center

The Kings return home as two-point underdogs against the Blazers  following a 29-point loss to the Suns on Opening Night.

Sacramento were a popular pick to make the playoffs this season after fading down the stretch last year, but already it seems the same old inconsistencies have crept in as turnovers and a lack of perimiter defence cost the Kings the game.

To make matters worse, forward Marvin Bagley is set to miss 4-6 weeks with a fractured thumb. There’s still plenty of young talent on the roster in the form of De’Aaron Fox and Buddy Hield, but keep in mind, when Bagley was off the floor last year the Kings’ offensive rating dropped nearly two points.

The Blazers are also looking to bounce-back from a loss of their own against the Nuggets on Thursday. It’s tough to win games when you allow the opposing team to shoot 56% from three, and it’s even tougher when you shoot shoot only 25% from three yourself.

Fortunately, the Blazers were among the best teams to back against the spread last year following a previous loss. Portland finished with a 27-20-2 record in this scenario, while the Blazers are also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against Sacramento.

Tip: Back the Blazers to Cover the Line (-2.0 Points) @ $1.91

Friday 25th October

Detroit Pistons Vs Atlanta Hawks

Friday October 25th, 10:00am, Little Caesers Arena

For the second straight year NBA bettors will be hoping the Hawks can pick up where they left off by becoming one of the most consistent against the spread picks away from home.

Atlanta finished the 2018/19 season 24-17 on the road against the spread largely due to a “never say die” type attitude from its young core. The same starting five, all of which are under 22-years-old, returns for another season while the Hawks also got busy adding first round draft pick Cam Reddish to the fold.

The Pistons will no doubt have their hands full on Friday as they back up on no rest. Thanks to Andre Drummond’s double-double and a handy 18 points from Derrick Rose, Detroit pulled off a big upset over the Pacers in Indiana.

Doubleheaders this early in the season are tough for any team, let alone one that finished 6-7 on no rest last year. The Hawks are also 5-1 against the spread in their last six games against Detroit, so back Atlanta’s young shooters to seriously challenge the Pistons.

Tip: Back the Hawks to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points)

Houston Rockets Vs Milwaukee Bucks

Friday October 25th, 11:00am, Toyota Center

It’s very difficult to separate these two teams on Friday despite the value on offer.

Milwaukee was money on the road against the spread last season playing to a 28-18-2 record, but you can’t discount Houston’s 27-18-2 record at home either.

We’ll finally get a glimpse into the James Harden/Russell Westbrook partnership, which could turn out to be a blessing in disguise or a complete bust. Both are extra competitive ball hogs who crave points and the limelight, which means teamwork and chemistry could take a while to develop.

The Bucks, meanwhile, are the firm favourites to win the Eastern Conference. Last year’s MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo still mightn’t be in his final form, which is a scary thought for the rest of the league.

Plenty went wrong last year in Houston on and off the court, but rebounding was by far at the top of General Manager Daryl Morey’s list of priorities during the offseason. Unfortunately, the Rockets haven’t made any headway in that department, which means we should see Giannis control the boards and lead the Bucks to a statement win.

Tip: Back the Bucks to Cover the Line (+2 Points) @ $1.92

Golden State Warriors Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Friday October 25th, 1:30pm, Chase Center

Don’t even bother reminding the Warriors of just how dangerous this Clippers side can be.

Los Angeles pulled off a big win over the Dubs at Oracle during the first round of last year’s playoffs before losing the series 4-2. That was before Kawhi Leonard though, and if you caught a glimpse of the new-look Clips on Wednesday, you’ll know this team means business.

For the first time in forever, the Warriors are an unknown. With Klay Thompson done for the season and Kevin Durant now in Brooklyn, the bulk of the scoring burden now belongs to Steph Curry, Draymond Green and the newly added D’Angelo Russell.

The Clippers shot over 50% from the field against the Lakers largely thanks to a big performance ferom Montrezl Harrell and Lou Williams off the bench. Los Angeles will need more of the same against the Warriors on Friday as the Dubs, or more specifically Curry, will load up on threes in their Chase Center debut.

Six of the last 10 games between these two sides have gone Over the Total, while it also appears the bookies are overlooking just how much talent is still left on the Warriors’ roster. This one should be a classic high-scoring, Friday afternoon affair.

Tip: Over 225.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Thursday 24th October

Charlotte Hornets Vs Chicago Bulls

Thursday October 24th, 10:00am, Spectrum Center

Hornets 126 - Bulls 125

The Bulls look much-improved this season after adding Tomas Satoransky and Thaddeus Young to the roster. Chicago could be a real dark horse to make the playoffs in the East, so look for the Bulls to make a serious statement on Thursday against the lowly Hornets. Chicago is 21-15 against the line against Southeast Division opponents and 11-7 against Southeast opponents on the road.

Tip: Back the Bulls to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.92

Philadelphia 76ers Vs Boston Celtics

Thursday October 24th, 10:30am, Wells Fargo Center

76ers 107 - Celtics 93

Plenty has changed on the Celtics’ roster, but this is typically a game Boston turns up for. The Celtics have won seven of their last 10 games over the Sixers, and also hold an impressive 6-2 record against the line. Philly has improved plenty this season, especially on defence, and they should feel confident knowing new recruit Al Horford has insider knowledge on Brad Stevens’ schemes. That said, the new-look Celtics with Kemba Walker in the fold should have a serious point to prove in the season-opener, so take advantage of this generous line.

Tip: Back the Celtics to Cover the Line (+5.0 Points) @ $1.90

Phoenix Suns Vs Sacramento Kings

Thursday October 24th, 1:00pm, Talking Stick Resort Arena

Suns 124 - Kings 95

The Kings open the season in Phoenix on Thursday hoping to make up for lost time. Last season Sacramento looked poised for a playoff spot with a winning record at the All-Star break, right before a second half slump cost them a spot. Despite the disappointment, the Kings carry over the same talented roster into the new season, while the Suns could pack a surprise. Fifty-seven percent of the Kings’ away games went Over the Total last season, which looks to be the play in this one. Sixteen of Sacramento’s 19 road games during the first half also went Over the Total last year, so back this one to be high scoring.

Tip: Over 232.5 Total Points @ $1.94

Wednesday 23rd October

Toronto Raptors Vs New Orleans Pelicans

Wednesday October 23rd, 11:00am, Scotiabank Arena

Zion Williamson would have made this game a lot more exciting, but even if the No. 1 overall pick was available, it still would’ve been tough to fade the defending champs. The general perception of Toronto right now is “won and done”. With Kawhi Leonard in Los Angeles, plenty of people are overlooking just how much talent is left on this roster. The Raptors finished sixth in three-pointers made last season, while the Pelicans ranked sixth in three-pointers allowed. There’s no doubt New Orleans’ shooting has improved with the additions of Brandon Ingram and Lonzo Ball, but don’t sleep on the Raptors’ defence either. Toronto held opposing teams to only 44% shooting from the field last year, so back the Pelicans to struggle in the season-opener.

Tip: Pelicans Under 112 Total Points @ $1.92

Los Angeles Lakers Vs Los Angeles Clippers

Wednesday October 23rd, 1:30pm, Staples Center

No Paul George has the Clippers out to 2.5-point underdogs in the first Hollywood showdown of the year. There should be plenty of energy at the Staples Center with the rivalry renewed, but it’s difficult to back against the Lakers when you consider how much talent is now on the roster. We should see a bit of everything in this game in terms of highlight dunks, three-point shooting and stellar defence. But with all due respect to Kawhi Leonard, you have to side with LeBron James and Anthony Davis. Leonard will likely carry most of the scoring burden in this one, which doesn’t bode well as he looks to build chemistry on a new team. Kawhi put up only 24-points in his debut with the Raptors last year against the lowly Cavs, and while that’s nothing to sneeze at, you can expect a similar total in his Clippers debut.

Tip: Back the Lakers to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.91

2018

Friday 14th June – NBA Finals Game 6

Golden State Warriors v Toronto Raptors
11.00am

Warriors to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points)

It looks as though Kevin Durant might have played his final game in yellow and blue as the Warriors hope to force a Game 7 without him on Friday. The good news is Golden State have regained some of their momentum following Tuesday’s one-point win, and it couldn’t have come at a better time as the Dubs prepare to play their final game at Oracle Arena.

Toronto will take full confidence in the fact they are a perfect 3-0 at Oracle this season, but if the Raptors shoot just 25% from three like they did during Game 5, they might be headed back home with plenty to think about.

We’ll likely see the Warriors revert to their old method of playing through Steph Curry, which tallied 31-points once Durant left the court. The big key to this game though will be Draymond Green, who will be tasked with keeping Pascal Siakam quiet. The Raptors’ 6-foot-9 forward has averaged 16.8 points against Golden State at Oracle this season.

Both Green and Siakam hold the key to success for their respective team. Three-point shooting has been vital all series long, placing emphasis on how important offensive rebounds are as well as turnovers.

Green currently leads Golden State with 22 turnovers in the previous five games. On the flip side though, Toronto’s offence is tough to trust on the road shooting just 35% from three.

The Warriors are 9-11-1 against the spread during this year’s playoffs, but it’s worth taking advantage of a very narrow line. The Dubs have plenty to play for following Durant’s emotional exit, and if you think this generations most successful dynasty is going to lose their final game at Oracle in front of their endearing fans, think again.

Klay Thompson Over 23.5 Points

$1.80

The Raptors have typically been a great defensive team against three-point shooting on the road during the playoffs, but they’ve been happy to allow opposing teams to take chances from downtown.

Toronto are allowing an average of 34.5 shots from beyond the arc, a daring strategy against an elite three-point shooting side like Golden State. Klay Thompson took full advantage in Game 5 finishing with 26-points on 7-of-13 shooting from three-point land. He also put up 28 on the Raptors during Game 4 at Oracle.

Tuesday’s fourth quarter was particularly worrying from the Raptors perspective as they allowed the Warriors to nail five three-pointers, two of which came from Thompson. This Total looks a little short, so back the Overs with confidence.

NBA Finals Game 6 Multi

Tuesday 11th June – NBA Finals Game 5

Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Raptors to Win* @ $1.80

*If Kevin Durant Doesn’t Play

This series deserves to go seven games, we’ve seen the dynasty rocked by the upstarts from the North who are now on the verge of sealing the title in five in front of their loyal fans… and Drake. This tip does come with the caveat of expecting Kevin Durant to miss another game which, despite his best efforts to make it look like he’ll play seems like the most likely outcome. Without him, Toronto has the recipe to outscore Golden State despite the best efforts of Steph Curry and Klay Thompson. That is thanks to the efforts of the likes of Pascal Siakam, Kyle Lowry and Danny Green who can pitch in with key baskets and take the pressure of Leonard. If Durant does find a way to play then there has to be some sort of assumption that he can have a tangible impact on the game and that would just tip the scales in favour of Golden State, but for the time being, I’ll stick with Toronto here.

Kawhi Leonard over 31.5 Points

$1.83

The last three games have seen Leonard really step up including 36 points in their huge game four win in The Bay. He’s been helped by the contributions of his teammates but this is the game where he needs to take over so if the Raptors are to win, it will be on the back of another big game from Leonard.

Saturday 8th June

Golden State Warriors v Toronto Raptors
11.00am

Over 216 Total Points

Kevin Durant will miss his ninth straight game on Saturday, but the bookies are still favouring Golden State with Klay Thompson announced to return from a hamstring injury. The Warriors were happy to concede Game 3 with two of their biggest stars missing, but we should see the Golden State of old bounce-back in Game 4.

Game 3 saw plenty of pace in the early stages helping the Total go Over. Steph Curry’s playoff-high 47-points helped, but we should see Golden State shoot better than 33% from three this time around.

The inclusion of Thompson changes the Warriors drastically. Game 3’s absence forced Draymond Green into a shooting role, taking away the lethal Curry/Green pick-n-roll that has dominated all postseason.

Eight of Golden State’s last 11 games have gone Over the Total against Toronto, so back another high-scoring game.

Warriors to Cover the 1st Half Spread (-2.5)

$1.91

The Warriors opened as -5.5 favourites before the line was trimmed to -4.5 following the Thompson news. Unfortunately, the Warriors are 8-10-1 against the spread during this year’s playoffs, but there’s still value to be had on the first half spread.

It’s a must-win game for the Warriors, who have now lost back-to-back games at Oracle. Toronto was the better team offensively during Game 3 thanks to strong three-point shooting, a bounce-back performance from Pascal Siakam, and Kawhi Leonard’s 30-point performance, but the added inclusion of Thompson can’t be stressed enough.

The Warriors have been the highest scoring first half team during the playoffs, averaging exactly 58.8 points. The scoreline from Game 3 reads as a convincing Toronto win, but keep in mind, there were only eight points separating the two at half time.

If the Raptors struggled to put away an understrength Warriors side in Game 3, what can we expect on Saturday? After three-straight games trailing by 10-points or more during the first half, back Golden State to buck that trend and lead at the break.

Thursday 6th June

Golden State Warriors v Toronto Raptors
11.00am

Warriors to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points)

The Warriors return to Oracle minus Kevin Durant for the eighth straight game. Golden State have survived so far without their two-time Finals MVP, but the potential loss of Klay Thompson to a hamstring injury could be disastrous. Golden State will also go without Kevon Looney for the rest of the series, leaving the Warriors short one of their most explosive bench players. With those three names off the court, it’s not surprising to learn Golden State are averaging 19.5 points less per game, but even so, the Warriors should take full confidence into Game 3.

Toronto were in the fight during Game 2, at least up until the third quarter. The Raptors allowed 34 points in the third term, while Pascal Siakam was manhandled by Draymond Green to shoot just 27% from the field.

The biggest problem for the Raptors so far has been an over-reliance on the three-point ball. Things were clicking in Game 1, but Toronto finished 11-for-38 from downtown during Game 2.

It’s worth noting the Raptors average close to seven points less on the road than they do at home. By all accounts, Thompson should suit up for this game in limited minutes, and considering Toronto are 1-13 in their last 14 trips to Oracle, the Warriors look a good bet to Cover with a generous line.

Monday 3rd June

Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
10.00am

Over 215 Total Points

The Raptors can tick one item off their bucket list: they’ve earned their first ever Finals win.

Toronto’s defence was enormous during Game 1’s nine-point win over the Warriors, so much so the bookies have set a very similar market looking ahead to Monday’s Game 2.

Perhaps the biggest takeaway to emerge from the opening game though was the success both sides found from beyond the arc. Both teams received wide open looks all game long, with Steph Curry hitting four of his nine attempts and Toronto shooting a tick under 40% from three.

With that in mind, the Overs immediately stands out as a strong play. The Total has now gone Over in six of Golden State’s last seven games on the road, and while Game 1 looked like it was heading for the Under, try to keep in mind both sides combined for 119-points in the second half.

The bench also played a big role for both teams, which should keep the scoreboard ticking over. Fred VanVleet chipped in with a handy 15-points, while Kevon Looney and Quinn Cook paired for 15 of their own.

The Total has also gone Over in Golden State’s last five games against Toronto, so back the Total with confidence.

Friday 31st May

Toronto Raptors v Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Warriors To Win @ $2.00

For the first time in five years, we’re finally being treated to something different. The Raptors have opened as -1-point favourites ahead of Game 1 in Toronto, but you’ll want to take a few stats into consideration first. Since this is Golden State’s fifth-straight Finals appearance, it shouldn’t come as a surprise to learn the Warriors are 18-1 straight-up in Game 1’s of the NBA Finals. Friday will mark only the second time Golden State has started a playoff series on the road since 2015 – but even so, the Warriors can find faith in the fact the Raptors are 3-15 straight-up in playoff Game 1’s.

Both sides have been so-so against the spread during this year’s playoffs, while Toronto’s 25-26 record at home is of concern. Much of this series boils down to shooting, and surprise surprise, the Warriors have been the best side from the field during the entire postseason, largely due to a very successful pick-n-roll.

This series basically boils down to an experienced side favoured to win the Finals since the start of the season, vs a Raptors team that might just be punching above their weight. You don’t receive these kinds of odds on the Dubs very often, so back Golden State straight-up.

Klay Thompson Over 22.5 Total Points

$1.83

Golden State’s bench has played a key role in their success up until this point, but you can expect Steve Kerr to keep Thompson and Steph Curry on the court for upwards of 40-minutes in Game 1. That should leave Thompson plenty of opportunities to post 20-points or more on Friday, something he’s done five times already during this year’s playoffs.

NBA Finals Game 1 Multi

Sunday 26th May

Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
10.30am

Bucks to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points)

The Bucks looked well on their way to earning a 3-2 series lead in Game 5 – at least before the second quarter, anyway. Milwaukee’s 17-point second term cost them a win at home as they now head back to Toronto with the series on the line. You’d be foolish to back against Milwaukee forcing a Game 7 though when you consider the Bucks are a perfect 9-0 against the spread in a road game following a loss as the favourite. Head coach Mike Budenholzer will no doubt make adjustments ahead of Sunday, most of which should centre around getting Khris Middleton the ball. Middleton took only nine shots on Friday as the Bucks have suddenly become a little one dimensional. Milwaukee is also 28-17-2 against the spread on the road, so back the Bucks to Cover the line.

Friday 24th May

Milwaukee Bucks v Toronto Raptors
10.30am

Bucks to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points)

It’s been one of the best bets all season, so why change anything? The Bucks entered Wednesday’s Game 4 in Toronto as the favourite only to be upset by the Raptors 120-102. With the series all evened up, this swing game is vitally important for both sides, but it’s the Bucks who hold the upper hand from a trend perspective. Not only are Milwaukee 19-5 against the spread following a loss, but they are also 16-3 against the spread following an upset loss as the favourite. The Bucks made short work of Toronto in Game 2 to win by 22-points, a game that saw a measly -6.5 line set. This feels awfully similar, and with Kawhi Leonard nursing further quad problems and Kyle Lowry still in pain with a hand injury, don’t think twice about backing the Bucks to Cover.

Khris Middleton Over 17.5 Points

$1.87

The great thing about this Bucks team is their unselfish attitude. Giannis Antetokounmpo is happy to take a backseat so long as his teammates are performing, which is exactly what Khris Middleton did during Game 4. Despite the loss, Milwaukee’s quick shooting small-forward put up 30-points, but the good news is Middleton averages a higher field-goal percentage at home than he does on the road. The stats also show Middleton doesn’t shy away from taking more shots beyond the arc at home, so back the Over.

Wednesday 22nd May

Toronto Raptors v Milwaukee Bucks
10.30am

Milwaukee to Win and Over 216.5 Points @ $3.40

The Bucks had their six game run snapped by the Raptors in Game 3 shooting just 37% from the field. How to approach betting on this game hinges on whether you feel they will be able to find their range in Game 4. A win here would put them on the verge of the NBA Finals and I think that Giannis Antetokounmpo will play a big role here getting the Bucks over the line both literally and figuratively. If they can get their shooting back over 40% they’ll be hard to stop no matter what Kahwi does.

Tuesday 21st May

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Warriors to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points)

The Warriors can punch their fifth-straight trip to the Finals on Tuesday with a win in Portland. Unlike other sports, bouncing back from a 3-0 series hole is almost impossible in the NBA, and although the Blazers showed tremendous fight in the first half during Game 3, the fact they managed to blow a 13-point lead at half time for the second game in a row remains a concern. The Warriors know how to switch it on in the second half of the season, or should we say the fourth quarter. Golden State is averaging close to 28-points in the final term, the highest average of any remaining team in this year’s playoffs. Considering we’ve seen very little leadership (or points) from Damian Lillard in this series as well as a complete lack of defence in transition, back the Warriors to Cover.

Sunday 19th May

Portland Trail Blazers vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Over 221 Total Points

With the series shifting back to Portland for Game 3, the odds have surprisingly swung in favour of the Blazers despite the 2-0 hole. Portland led by as many as 15-points at half time during Game 2 but struggled to contain Draymond Green and Steph Curry in the pick ‘n’ roll in the second half. The pair combined for 53-points in Golden State’s win, but if you fancy the Blazers at this price, the good news is Golden State are 4-5 straight-up as the away underdog this season.

For those looking for a safer play, the Over looks to be your best chance. Five of Portland’s last seven home games have gone Over the Total, while the Blazers also combined for 220-points or more in all three of their home games against the Nuggets. Portland holds a 27-19-1 record against the Overs in home games this season, so back this one to be high scoring.

Saturday 18th May

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors
10.30am

Raptors To Win @ $3.30

The positive to come from Game 1 was Kyle Lowry’s 30-point performance. The negative was Lowry had 30-points and the Raptors still lost. Toronto will still take plenty of heart in the fact they held Giannis Antetokounmpo to three points in the fourth quarter, however. Speaking of the final term, Kawhi Leonard and Pascal Siakam combined to shoot 1-from-7 from the field, something you rarely see from a Raptors side that averaged the 10th most points in the second half during the regular season. Toronto are also 20-8 straight-up following a win, and despite their lacklustre fourth quarter, it’s worth remembering the Raptors held an 11-point lead at the end of the first. This feels a lot like Milwaukee’s series against Boston, so don’t be surprised if Toronto levels this up.

Khris Middleton Under 19.5 Points

$1.80

Middleton has been money in Game 2’s so far putting up 24-points or more against both the Pistons and the Celtics. Unfortunately, this Total looks a little high considering Middleton managed only 11-points against the Raptors in Game 1. Toronto has been strong defensively against opposing guards during this year’s playoffs allowing only 44.3 points-per-game. Considering Middleton has averaged only 14 points in four games against the Raptors this year, back the Under.

Eastern Conference Finals Multi

Friday 17th May

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers
11.00am

Over 218 Total Points

If the Blazers hold any hope of evening up this series, they need to find a way to stop Steph Curry. With Kevin Durant gone, Curry shot 9/15 from beyond the arc to finish with 36-points. Portland have been one of the better defensive sides against three-point shooting during the postseason, but with Durant set to miss Game 2, head coach Terry Stotts needs to make adjustments.

The Blazers allowed the Nuggets to shoot over 40% from three during Game 1, only to knuckle down in Game 2 holding Denver to less than 22%. Portland also needs more from Damian Lillard, but the good news is in games where he posted less than 20-points, he’s bounced back with 20+ points 13 times this season.

Still, six of the last 10-games between these two sides have gone Over the Total, including close to 62% of Golden State’s games during the postseason. If Lillard can find some form, Game 2 should be much more high-scoring.

Enes Kanter Over 10.5 Rebounds

$1.71

If you’re searching for some value to add to your multi, look no further than Enes Kanter. The big man put up 16 rebounds during Game 1, taking his average to 11 during the postseason. Kanter caused problems for Golden State when he met the Warriors back in January as a Knick nabbing 16 boards, and considering he’s averaging 9.9 rebounds on the road this year, this is a bet worth taking.v

Western Conference Finals Multi

Thursday 16th May

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors
10.30am

Under 108 1st Half Points

The Raptors head to Milwaukee following Kawhi Leonard’s unforgettable buzzer beater. It’s the defence that might show steal the show in Game 1 though, as Nic Nurse’s side have allowed the fewest 1st Half Points during the postseason so far. On the flip side, the Raptors are averaging just 49.8 points on the road during the 1st Half, which makes the Unders a worthwhile play. In their 19 games since the All-Star break, 16 of Milwaukee’s games have gone Under the 1st Half Total, while these two have combined for an average of 106 1st Half Points across their last 10-games.

Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points

$1.83

Siakam played a key role in the Raptors’ Game 7 win over Philly earlier this week, chipping in with 11-points, 11 rebounds and a pair of assists. You don’t need to remind Bucks head coach Mike Budenholzer just how dangerous Toronto’s big man is, though. Siakam averaged 24.3 points in four regular season games against the Bucks this year, while he’s also put up 19-points or more seven times during the postseason. The good news is home/road splits don’t really apply to Siakam, either. He averaged the same number of points (16.9) at home as he did on the road during the regular season.

Eastern Conference Finals Multi

Wednesday 15th May

Golden State Warriors vs Portland Trail Blazers
11.00am

Line/Total Double: Blazers (+7.5)/Over 213.5

Willing to ride the Blazers to keep this opening game close and high-scoring. Portland already owns a win over the Warriors at Oracle this season, and as we saw during Game 7 against the Nuggets, the Blazers are lethal when it comes to shutting down teams from the perimeter. Portland held Denver to just 10.5% shooting from beyond the arc – something we’ve seen them execute against Golden State. The Blazers held the Warriors to 34% shooting from three when they last met and have also held opposing teams to just 108 points on the road during the postseason. Portland are also 36-27 against the spread on a day’s rest while the Total has gone Over in four of their last five games.

Andre Iguodala Over 12.5 Points

$1.95

Andre Iguodala has been outstanding so far during the playoffs averaging close to 12 points a game. The big man shot over 50% from the field during Games 5 and 6 against Houston, also chipping in with 28 boards. With Kevin Durant’s status still uncertain, the Warriors will rely heavily on their bench to start this series. Iguodala has put up 12 points or more six times during the postseason, so with a generous line, back him to have another big performance.

Monday 13th May

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers
9.00am

Raptors To Win/Under 209.5 Points @ $2.62

Fascinating battle between two sides with very little Game 7 experience. The Raptors haven’t played a do-or-die playoff game since 2016, while you have to rewind all the way back to 2012 to find the Sixers’ last Game 7. I’m happy to stick with Toronto at home considering they are 19-8 straight-up following a previous loss. Since there’s very little value on offer though, take the Match Winner/Total Points double. The bookies are trying to trap you into backing the Over, but keep in mind close to 73% of Toronto’s games have gone Under the Total this season. Philly has also seen close to 64% of their playoff games fall Under, while the Raptors have allowed the fewest points-per-game during the postseason.

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
9.00am

Under 212.5 Total Points

Game 7 shifts back to Denver on Monday following Portland’s blowout Game 6 win at home. Damian Lillard was on fire shooting 46% from three, while Nikola Jokic was brilliant with a 29-point performance of his own. The Nuggets have battled all season to have a shot at the Warriors, so you can expect them to knuckle down defensively at home. Denver has held teams to just 98 average points in their seven home playoff games, and have also struggled offensively averaging just 106 points on the other end. With that in mind, stick with the Under in what should be another epic battle.

Saturday 11th May

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Rockets to Cover the Line (-7 Points)

The Rockets had no excuses in Game 5 with Kevin Durant off the court, but they still managed to lose by five-points to set up a decisive Game 6 on Saturday. Durant won’t play for the rest of this series, and with home-court advantage, it’s no surprise to see the Rockets as favourites. At first glance, the -7 point line does look a little generous, but when you consider the Warriors are averaging 14.8 points less with Durant off the court this season, the Rockets can easily level this series up. Houston is 24-16-2 against the spread as the home favourite, and 4-1 in their last five games – so back Mike D’Antoni’s side to punch their Game 7 ticket.

Friday 10th May

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors
10.00am

Sixers to Cover the Line (+2 Points)

The series shifts back to Philly on Friday as the Raptors look to end it once and for all. Toronto won Game 5 convincingly on Wednesday and if the Sixers fail to find any production out of Ben Simmons, they might be headed home. Philly finds themselves in a rare position as home underdogs. The Sixers are 1-2 straight-up in this scenario, but it’s worth keeping in mind their 21-13 record against the spread following a loss. The Sixers are also averaging 116.2 points at home during the playoffs, so back Philly to keep it close at home.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets
12.30pm

Blazers 1-10 @ $3.00

Portland heads home to try and send this series to a Game 7. The Blazers came up short against the Nuggets in Game 5 losing by 22-points, but you can rest easy knowing Portland have been the second-best three-point shooting side at home in the playoffs. The Blazers lost three-straight games twice during the regular season, but unfortunately, their 0-5 record against the spread at home to the Nuggets is less than convincing. On the other hand, Denver aren’t exactly the most dependable side on the road, leaving the margin market looking like the safest and most valuable play.

Thursday 9th May

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
10.00am

Over 218 Total Points

The Bucks can clinch this series in front of their home fans on Thursday, and if Game 4 is anything to go by, it certainly looks likely. The Bucks are 35-27-4 against the spread following a previous win and 25-16-2 at home, but the Total might be your safest bet here. Keep in mind, the Celtics won Game 1 in Milwaukee convincingly, and although Kyrie Irving is fresh from two bad games, it’s hard to see him shooting 7/22 from the field again. Instead, focus on the Over here – close to 54% of Boston’s games have gone Over the Total following a loss, and the same can also be said for the Bucks following a win. These two combined for 225-points during Game 2, and with 11 of Milwaukee’s last 16 games against Boston going Over, it looks the most promising play.

Jayson Tatum Over 16.5 Points

$2.05

Now would be the ideal time for Boston’s 2017 first round pick to come through with the goods. To be fair, Tatum played exceptionally well in Games 3 and 4 tallying a combined 37-points, but he was far too quiet in Milwaukee failing to put up double-digits. Much of Milwaukee’s focus will be on Irving, who still managed 23-points on Tuesday despite his poor shooting performance. Including the playoffs, Tatum has put up 16.5 points or more four times against the Bucks, which puts him in good shape considering he’s shooting 45% from the field on the road.

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
12.30pm

Rockets to Cover the Line (+6 Points)

Boy do the Rockets look well over the odds at this price. If it wasn’t for a 24-point fourth quarter from the Warriors, Game 4 wouldn’t have been so close – and with that in mind, it’s certainly worth backing Houston to keep this close. As far as that fourth quarter goes, the Rockets deserve a huge mulligan. They allowed the sixth-fewest points in the final quarter during the regular season, while Golden State ranked 21st in points scored. If Houston stands any chance in this series this is a must-win, and if they can once again hold the Warriors to 24% shooting from beyond the arc, a Game 7 could be on the cards.

Andre Iguodala Over 9.5 Points

$1.74

Andre Iguodala hyperextended his left knee during Game 4, but he looks probable to play on Thursday. That’s good news for the 2015 Finals MVP, but even better news for the Warriors as they can now rely on one of their most versatile forwards. Providing Steve Kerr doesn’t limit Iguodala’s minutes, the Total here looks a little low. The big man racked up double-digits in the points column during Games 1, 2 and 3.

Wednesday 8th May

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers
10.00am

Toronto to Win & Kawhi Leonard to Score 30+ Points (SGM)

It’s all tied up between the Raptors and 76ers after Toronto wrestled back home court advantage with their win in Game 4. Now they head back north for the next clash in this series and look to put the 76ers on the brink of elimination. They are strong favourites over a Philadelphia team that hasn’t quite adapted to this stage yet but unfortunately there isn’t great value in the Raptors straight up. To add some value into it I’ll take a Same Game Multi with a Toronto win and the Raptors superstar Kawhi Leonard to score 30+ points. He is coming off 39 and will need another big game to get his team over the line here.

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
12.30pm

Nikola Jokic and Damian Lillard to Both Score 25+ Points (SGM)

With the series heading back to Colorado, it’s evenly poised at 2-2 as the Nuggets are receiving a real test from Portland. Both teams will be turning to their star players once again in Nikola Jokic and Damian Lillard so rather than try to split these evenly matched teams, I’ll take a Same Game Multi backing those two superstars to score 25+ each. Lillard is averaging 25.9 points per game on the road this season while Jokic has averaged 25.7 points per game against Portland this season.

Monday 6th May

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors
5.30am

Sixers to Win and Over 214.5 @ $3.60

If the Sixers want to be taken seriously as a contender, this has to be their biggest game of the season as they look to take control over this series. Having blown out the Raptors with a huge fourth quarter, they’ll need to be on guard for a Raptors rebound here. With such a small line in this doubles market you may as well back the Sixers to win outright. As for the points total, I’m backing the over because five of the Sixers wins this postseason has seen them score 112 or higher in the game. If they win this game, you have to like them to score a lot of points.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets
9.00am

Under 210 Total Points @ $1.91

Much like the Sixers, Portland has a chance to take control of their series with a win in this game and put them on the verge of progression. Fatigue will play a huge factor in this game after their quadruple overtime game on Saturday which gave Portland the edge. Even though these guys are professionals it’s hard to see them being able to fire at full capacity on about 42 hours of rest. Take the under here as defence takes over.

Sunday 5th May

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
10.30am

Under 221.5 Total Points

The Rockets find themselves in a 2-0 hole heading back to Houston, and if Mike D’Antoni fails to find any production from the bench, the chances of a sweep are high. The Rockets look a little under the odds at this price, especially considering they are 14-16-1 against the spread following a previous loss. You don’t have to rewind very far to find Golden State’s last win in Houston either – the Warriors held on for a narrow two-point win back in March. The telltale sign from that game, however, was the low Total. The two sides combined for just 210 points, while their November meeting also saw just 193 points. The Total has gone Under in six of Houston’s last seven games at home to the Warriors and considering Houston have held teams to just 36% shooting from beyond the arc during the postseason, don’t be surprised if this is low-scoring.

Draymond Green Over 10.5 Points

$1.74

With so much emphasis placed on Kevin Durant, the Rockets have left themselves vulnerable to the likes of Draymond Green in the paint. The big man chipped in with 15-points during Game 2, contributing to Golden State’s 46% success rate from the field. The writing has been on the wall for Houston all season long, and things mightn’t get any better on Sunday. The Rockets have allowed an average of 52-point in the paint at home on the season, which ranks as the fourth-highest total in the league.

NBA Playoff Multi

Saturday 4th May

Boston Celtics vs Milwaukee Bucks
10.00am

Bucks to Cover the Line (+2 Points)

The pressure is back on Brad Stevens ahead of Game 3 to make some adjustments. The Celtics were blown out on Wednesday in Milwaukee, largely due to Mike Budenholzer’s creativity with schemes and Giannis Antetokounmpo in the pick ‘n’ roll. With that in mind, it’s still worth playing on the Bucks at the line. Milwaukee are 33-27-4 against the spread following a previous win, but perhaps what is most impressive is their 6-2 record as the away underdog. The Bucks crushed Boston by 13-points at the Garden back in December, and if Milwaukee can again hold Al Horford to a quiet night on the boards, they’ll easily gain the advantage in this series.

Gordon Hayward Over 12.5 Points

$1.95

If the Celtics are going to win Game 3, let alone the series, Gordon Hayward needs to throw caution to the wind. The star forward broke loose in the final two weeks of the regular season but looked extremely timid during Game 2 tallying only five-points in 30+ minutes. The good news is Hayward typically plays well against Milwaukee, so he deserves a mulligan. In games where Hayward has posted 10-points or less, he’s bounced back for a double-digit performance eight times this season. Hayward also averages 14.5 points against the Bucks this year, so take advantage of this generous line.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Denver Nuggets
12.30pm

Blazers to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points)

The Nuggets laid a goose egg in Game 2 as they failed to snatch a 2-0 lead at home on Thursday. Instead, the series shifts back to Portland all tied up, and if you’ve been paying attention, you’ll know the Blazers have been money against the spread as the home favourite. Portland are 22-15-1 in this scenario, covering close to 60% of the time. The Nuggets, meanwhile, are 9-15 straight-up as the away underdog, and considering they finished the regular season 20-21 on the road, I want no part of Denver away from home.

Damian Lillard Over 27.5 Points

$1.87

Lillard attempted seven three’s during Game 2 but cashed in only once. So far this postseason Lillard has attempted an average of 10 three’s a game, and despite his lack of success on Thursday, keep in mind he’s still shooting close to 36% from beyond the arc. The Nuggets allowed the Spurs to shoot over 55% on the road during Game 6, highlighting how vulnerable their defence can be on the road. As Lillard now prepares for his return to the Moda Center following his memorable buzzer-beater over the Thunder, expect nothing less than a big performance.

NBA Playoff Multi

Friday 3rd May

Philadelphia 76ers vs Toronto Raptors
10.00am

Sixers to Cover the 1st Half Spread (-0.5 Points)

The Sixers look massive overs at this price, especially at home. I’m happy to play it safe on the 1st Half Spread though, a bet that’s provided profit all season. Philly are 25-16 when it comes to covering the 1st Half Spread, and I trust the Philadelphia home crowd will make life difficult for the visiting Raptors. Toronto stole a win in Philly back in February, but their bench remains a large concern. The Raptors saw only five-points from their subs, while the Sixers enjoyed 23-points from Greg Monroe and James Ennis III combined. The Sixers hold a +11 half time point average over their last three games, so back Philly to lead at the break.

Pascal Siakam Under 20.5 Points

Siakam combined for 50-points in Games 1 and 2, but the Under still looks a good bet here. Tobias Harris struggled on Siakam in Toronto, but I expect Sixers coach Brett Brown to make adjustments ahead of Friday’s game. The Raptors star center tallied only 16-points during his last visit to Philly, and while Siakam scored 21 in Game 2, keep in mind he shot just 36% from the field. That indicates most of his points came in the paint, an area the Raptors rank 18th in on the road this year.

NBA Playoff Multi

Thursday 2nd May

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
11.00am

Blazers to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points)

Game 1 belonged to the Nuggets, but the Blazers certainly weren’t disgraced. Damian Lillard dropped a game-high 39-points in the loss, while Portland as a team shot 51.9% from the field. The Blazers are 17-13 against the spread following a previous loss and an even more impressive 21-9 straight-up. Depending on how game you are, Portland look a strong chance to steal Game 2 before the series shifts back to the Moda Center. The Blazers haven’t won in Denver since 2016, but if Enes Kanter can hold Nikola Jokic to under 20-points – something the Blazers accomplished back in November – this series could return to Portland all square.

Wednesday 1st May

Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics
10.00am

Under 220 Total Points

A 22-point win in Game 1 gives the Celtics the edge in this series, but not in the market. The Bucks, who were handed their first home loss of the playoffs on Monday, enter as the -7.0-point favourite this time around – but I’m still happy to stick with the Under. The Bucks are averaging just 109 points on a day’s rest, compared to the Celtics who are averaging just 108. Close to 60% of Milwaukee’s games have gone Under the Total following a loss, while the Celtics have held teams to just 91 points-per-game during the postseason. Better yet, these two have combined for an average of 207 points over their last three games, so back with a low-scoring game with confidence.

NBA Playoff Multi

Golden State Warriors vs Houston Rockets
12.30pm

Under 220.5 Total Points

The Warriors did a great job of shutting down Houston’s three-point shooting in Game 1, which leaves the Unders looking safe on Wednesday. Houston have been the best side all year when it comes to backing the Unders on the road, saluting for punters close to 62% of the time. It appears Golden State are happy to play through Kevin Durant, which left Steph Curry with a quiet 18-points in the opener. These two sides know each other extremely well, evident in the fact they’ve combined for an average Total of 214 points over their last three meetings. The Total has also gone Under in six of Houston’s last seven games and nine of their last 10 against Golden State.

NBA Playoff Multi

Tuesday 30th April

Toronto Raptors vs Philadelphia 76ers
10.00am

Raptors to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points)

Kawhi Leonard stole the show in Game 1 with his 45-point performance, helping the Raptors to a cruisy 13-point victory. I’m happy to back the Raptors to win by a similar margin on Tuesday due to one simple fact: the Sixers don’t know how to win in Toronto. Philly haven’t won up north since 2012, and considering they shot just 39% from the field on Sunday, it’s difficult to see the Sixers evening up this series. Not only were Philly boxed out inside the arc, they were also shutdown in the paint thanks to some big-time blocks from Pascal Siakam. That set up plenty of transition opportunities for Leonard, and if the Raptors can find the same success in the paint, they should have no trouble piling on the points.

NBA Playoff Multi

Denver Nuggets vs Portland Trail Blazers
12.30pm

Nuggets 1-10 @ $3.00

The Blazers have enjoyed a well-earned rest following last Wednesday’s miraculous Damian Lillard buzzer beater. As for the Nuggets, they head back home after winning a seven-game slugfest against the Spurs. These two sides met four times during the regular season with Denver winning three of the four. The Blazers haven’t won at the Pepsi Centre since 2016, while it’s worth noting the last six meetings between these two sides have been decided by 10-points or less. Not surprisingly, the Blazers have been the best shooting side from beyond the arc during the playoffs, yet at the same time, the Nuggets have held teams to just 33.8% from three. This should be a close battle, but the edge goes to Denver at home.

NBA Playoff Multi

Friday 26th April

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets
10.00am

Spurs to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points)

The series is on the line for the Spurs as they return home down 3-2 to the Nuggets. Denver pulled off a blowout 15-point win during Game 2 in San Antonio, and it looks as though the bookies are trying to trap you into backing the Overs. Instead, the Spurs look great value here to push a Game 7. San Antonio are 19-15-0 against the spread following a loss and a surprising 9-1 straight-up as the home underdog. The Spurs have also been the sixth-best side from the field and on the glass during the playoffs, so depending on how brave you are, make sure you take the Spurs to win or cover.

Thursday 25th April

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz
10.00am

Under 212.5 Total Points

The Rockets return home to Houston with a chance to clinch the series, something they failed to do during Game 4. The Total has gone Under 210 points during three of their four games, which makes the Under look like a nice play on Thursday. James Harden was 0/15 from the field at three-quarter time in Game 3, only to bounce back with a 30-point performance on Tuesday. Even so, The Under has saluted in six of Houston’s last eight games against Utah, also coming through close to 54% of the time following a loss. The Rockets have allowed an average of 94-points during their two playoff games at home so far, so this one should be low-scoring.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers
12.30pm

Clippers to Cover the Line (+14 Points)

The Warriors survived a scare during Game 4 and can now focus on clinching this series at Oracle. The last time Golden State played at home they blew a 31-point lead, and although the Warriors lead this series 3-1, the Clippers have every right to feel confident. Los Angeles is shooting 43% from the field during the playoffs and 36% from three – strong stats against a stingy Warriors defence. They are also 21-15 against the spread following a loss, good news with a generous +14-point line at publish. This young Clippers side is all about belief, and although they won’t win this series, it’s unlikely they go down without a fight.

NBA Playoff Multi

Wednesday 24th April

Philadelphia 76ers vs Brooklyn Nets
9.00am

Over 229.5 Total Points

The series swings back to Philly on Wednesday with the Sixers up 3-1. Brooklyn nearly stole Game 4 on Sunday up until Philly’s brilliant 27-point fourth quarter, and for that reason, I’m happy to stick with the Sixers to move onto the Conference Semis. As far as betting goes though, play on the Over in Game 5. The Nets have struggled over their last two games from three-point range shooting less than 32%, but keep in mind, they shot well over 40% in their opening two games in Philly. The bookies are trying to trap you by setting a low Total following a low-scoring Game 4, and with the Total going Over in five of Philly’s last seven home games against Brooklyn, don’t be surprised to see some points on the board.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
11.30am

Under 211.5 Total Points

Time for the swing game between these two Western Conference foes. The series is tied 2-2 after the Nuggets’ 14-point road win on Sunday, but there’s something to be said for the Unders on Wednesday. The last two games have seen 220-points or more, but keep in mind, the Spurs and Nuggets combined for only 197-points in Game 1. Both sides also rank bottom five in points scored at home and on the road over the last month respectively, while the Nuggets held San Antonio to just 29% shooting from three in Game 4. It’s been a 50/50 split between the Overs and Unders across the last 10 games, but since this could be the series-deciding game, expect plenty of tight defence.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
12.30pm

Blazers to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points)

Happy to take on the Blazers with this line on offer. Portland can win the series in front of their home fans on Wednesday, a likely outcome after OKC’s demoralizing 111-98 loss at home in Game 4. We’re yet to see anything convincing from the Thunder, or more specifically, Russell Westbrook. Portland won Games 1 and 2 at home to open the series and are also 22-14-1 against the spread as the home favourite. Damian Lillard is averaging 28 points across his last five home games, and if he shoots anywhere close to 50% from three like he did on Monday, the Blazers should have no trouble booking a date with the Conference Semis.

NBA Playoff Multi

Saturday 20th April

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors
9.00am

Magic to Cover the Line (+4 Points)

With the series tied 1-1, the Magic return home as the four-point underdog against an unconvincing Raptors side. Toronto made short work of Orlando in Game 2, but they’ll need to be wary of a Magic side that ranked first in average points scored at home over the final month of the regular season. Orlando were held to just 26% shooting from beyond the arc on Tuesday, although it’s worth noting the Magic shot just over 35% from three at this season. Steve Clifford’s side is 20-18-2 against the spread following a loss and 22-17-1 with home court advantage. Back the Magic to keep this close.

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics
10.30am

Celtics to Cover the Line (+3 Points)

Betting on Boston remains tricky, especially when it comes to the Points Total. It took a 37-point effort from Kyrie Irving on Thursday to gift the Celtics a 2-0 series lead, but as we’ve come to learn in the past, the Pacers are an entirely different beast at home – particularly in the playoffs. Indiana held opposing teams to 101 points at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, the lowest total all season. The Celtics won comfortably in their lone trip to Indiana earlier this month, while it’s also worth noting Boston has won their last three road games. Speaking of streaks, the Pacers closed the regular season with two straight losses, while the mental errors present in Game 2 raise plenty of concerns. Boston are 9-6 as the away underdog against the spread, so take the Celtics to pull off an upset.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Portland Trail Blazers
11.30am

Thunder to Cover the Line

There’s plenty of spice to this series on and off the court. The Russell Westbrook v Damian Lillard saga is intense and considering the Blazers have lost their last two visits to Oklahoma City, expect plenty of fireworks. The Thunder look a little under the odds at this price, but keep in mind, Westbrook is often money when it comes to backing up a poor performance. The 2017 MVP put up seven points against the Warriors last month and rebounded with 42 against the Raptors four nights later. The Thunder are 18-16 following a previous loss, so back OKC to get a win on the board.

Friday 19th April

Brooklyn Nets vs Philadelphia 76ers
10.00am

Under 227.5 Total Points

Looks like Joel Embiid will be a game-time position for Game 3, a factor the bookies have obviously considered given the short line. Embiid put up 26 points on the Nets on Tuesday, but even if the superstar center misses Friday’s game, Boban Marjanovic proved he can fill in just fine with a strong performance in Game 1. Plenty depends on Ben Simmons after his Game 2 triple double, but things won’t come easy for Philly offensively in Brooklyn. The Nets allowed the second-lowest three-point percentage at home during the regular season, while the Total has gone Under in two of their last three home games against the Sixers.

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets
11.00am

Under 210.5 Total Points

Looks as though the bookies are taking into account the Spurs lost only nine games at home all year. Even so, you still have to consider Denver’s epic comeback in Game 2, including Nikola Jokic’s crucial double-double. The Nuggets have lost three of their last four games to the Spurs on the road by no more than 10-points, while both sides rank Top 10 in Unders percentage both at home and on the road. Denver finished 20-21 away from home during the regular season, so I can’t take them on at the line or straight-up. Instead, stick with the Unders.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Golden State Warriors
12.30pm

Warriors to Cover the Line (-8 Points)

After blowing a 31-point lead in Game 2, you might be tempted to back the Clippers at home – especially with these odds. Keep in mind though, the Warriors had no trouble pulling apart the Clippers at home back in January, winning comfortably by 18-points. Golden State held teams to just 110 points on the road during the regular season and also ranked fourth in points scored. With their Steve Kerr calling out Kevin Durant to be more aggressive, expect the Warriors to make a statement.

Thursday 18th April

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers
9.00am

Over 203 Total Points

The bookies are once again tempting you to play the Unders by setting a very low 203-point line at publish. After both sides shot less than 40% from the field in Game 1, it’s more than reasonable, but it’s worth noting the Celtics completely controlled the glass reeling in 55 rebounds to Indiana’s 44. Despite both sides combining for 158 points on Monday, don’t forget these two sides also went well Over 200-points in their four meetings this season. There’s no doubt both sides are elite defensively, but the Celtics did rank ninth in three-point shooting and 11th in two-point shooting percentage at home during the regular season. Back this one to go Over.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons
10.00am

Bucks to Cover the Line (-15 Points)

Doubt surrounds Blake Griffin’s status to play in Game 2, leaving the Bucks as the heavy -15 point favourites at home. Milwaukee covered nicely in Game 1 winning by 35-points, and with a 23-15-2 record as the home favourite against the spread, there’s no real reason to get too creative. Milwaukee had no trouble spacing the floor on Monday, which isn’t surprising considering the Pistons allowed teams to shoot the seventh-highest field-goal percentage during the regular season. The Bucks should have no trouble taking Game 2 ahead of their trip to Detroit.

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz
11.30am

Jazz to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points)

One of the top betting plays is in action on Thursday as the Jazz look to avenge their Game 1 loss to the Rockets. Utah are 21-10-1 against the spread following a previous loss and 20-12 straight up, while it’s to see the Jazz, a team with so much talent, shooting less than 30% from beyond the arc two games in a row. Joe Ingles needs to step up for Utah after Monday’s three-point game, but the good news is Kyle Korver is probable to play. Take the Jazz to at least keep this one close.

NBA Playoff Multi

Wednesday 17th April

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
10.00am

Magic to Cover the Line (+10 Points)

The Raptors should have a point to prove on Wednesday after Game 1’s embarrassing loss. Kyle Lowry played in 33 minutes of the three-point defeat, finishing 0/7 with a grand total of zero points. In games where Lowry scored 10-points or less, he bounced with a double-digit performance in the following game nine times during the regular season. Keep in mind, the Raptors also finished with the eighth-highest three-point percentage at home during this year, while they lost back-to-back games only six times. Still, Orlando are 23-19 straight-up following a win and 24-18 against the spread. Take the generous line that’s on offer.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
11.00am

Under 208 Total Points

You don’t have to be a genius to work out what went wrong for the Nuggets in Game 1. The Spurs, like they’ve done all season, outshot Denver from three-point range, while Nikola Jokic laid an egg in his first ever playoff game. San Antonio led the league in three-point shooting this year, but it was surprising to see them find so much success from beyond the arc. The Nuggets allowed the lowest three-point percentage to opponents during the regular season, and perhaps more frustratingly for punters, finished 25-17 against the spread. Unfortunately, Denver’s record against the spread after a loss isn’t pretty, but their record on the Under is. Close to 61% of the Nuggets’ games went Under the Total following a loss, which is good news considering these two combined for only 197 points on Sunday.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
12.30pm

Thunder To Win @ $2.10

Russell Westbrook and Paul George are clear to play on Wednesday, but that still mightn’t be enough to see the Thunder past the Blazers. Portland were relentless on defence holding OKC to just 15% from three, but as I mentioned in Game 1, it’s worth noting nine of the last 10 meetings between these sides have been decided by less than 10 points. This is by far the most difficult series to predict, especially with both sides ranking sixth and seventh in points-per-game this year. Perhaps the only form worth relying on is the Thunder’s 18-15 record after a loss, so stick with OKC to even things up.

NBA Playoff Multi

Tuesday 16th April

Philadelphia 76ers v Brooklyn Nets
10.00am

Over 226 Points

The Nets pulled off an upset victory in game one and know that worst case scenario, they’re going to be heading home level. What would be even better for the visitors would be to head home with a 2-0 lead and they have to feel pretty confident considering how even this matchup has been. Over the last ten games they are averaging 116 points apiece and have split them 5-5. In terms of a result this game really could go either way but it seems like the numbers are pointing at this being a high scoring affair so back the over.]

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers
12.30pm

Warriors to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points)

It’s the playoffs and the Warriors are firing once again so this series is only headed one way. After a comfortable win in game one, the Warriors are expected to take care of the Clippers once again in this game and take a 2-0 series lead to LA. The Warriors have won four in a row against the Clippers and by double digits, covering the line in the last three. Why back anything different here?

NBA Playoff Multi

Monday 15th April

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
5.30am

Thunder to Cover the Line (+3 Points)

Plenty depends on the health of Paul George on Monday. OKC’s superstar guard missed the final game of the regular season with a sore shoulder, and as the stats suggest, the Thunder need him on the floor. Without George OKC are averaging 13.1 points less, but even if he suits up, the Blazers are no easy beat at home. Portland finished 24-16-1 against the spread on home court, but also keep in mind the Thunder have won three straight against the Blazers. This is a real coin flip, especially with the last five meetings between these two being decided by 10-points or less. With the Thunder ranking fourth in points scored over their last 10 road games, stick with OKC at the line.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Detroit Pistons
9.00am

Bucks to Cover the Line (-11.5 Points)

It’s been one of the best betting plays all season, and it’s only reinforced with the likes of Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton well-rested. The Bucks closed the regular season 25-12 against the spread as the home favourite, and not surprisingly swept the Pistons 4-0 in their season series. Milwaukee held Detroit to under 100-points in both home wins, while they also rank fourth in points-per-game at home over the last month. This one really isn’t worth overcomplicating.

Houston Rockets vs Utah Jazz
11.30am

Rockets to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points)

after losing their last two away games to the Lakers and Clippers. These two sides split their four-game series two wins apiece during the regular season, but aside from James Harden, it’s Houston’s defence that should see them over the line on Monday. The Rockets have allowed the fifth-fewest points at home over the last month and are also holding teams to just 31.6% from the field. With a strong 23-16 record against the spread at home and the Jazz also averaging only 110-points on the road this year, stick with Houston to Cover.

NBA Playoff Multi

Sunday 14th April

Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic
7.00am

Over 216 Total Points

The Magic return to the playoffs for the first time since 2012, but it’s a tough ask on Sunday against the Raptors in Toronto. The Raptors have shot 45% from three and 50% from the field over their last 10 home games to rank inside the NBA’s Top 10. For Orlando, the Magic have also had no trouble scoring points on the road averaging 111.7 with two-straight wins to their name. These two sides combined for 230-points when they met a fortnight ago in a game that saw Kawhi Leonard and Kyle Lowry only combine for 27-points. With the stakes higher, take full advantage of this narrow Total.

Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers
10.00am

Over 216 Total Points

Both the Warriors and the Clippers will be looking to make a statement in Game 1, but with both sides owning five wins apiece over their last 10 meetings, stick with the Overs. The Warriors lead the league in field-goal percentage at home over their last 10-games, while the same can also be said for the Clippers on the road. The Total has gone Over in eight of the last 10 games between these two, including last week’s Warriors 131-104 blowout.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
10.00am

Over 216 Total Points

Stick with what works, and that’s the Nuggets against the spread. Denver finished with a superb 25-16 record against the spread at home last year to rank second behind the Kings. They also had no trouble disposing of the Spurs a fortnight ago at home either, winning 113-85 in a quiet night for LeMarcus Aldridge. San Antonio’s star center averaged only 22.3 points across four games against Denver during the regular season, while the Spurs as a team haven’t fared much better on the road over their last 10-games averaging only 110 points.

NBA Playoff Multi

Thursday 11th April

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers
10.00am

Hawks To Win @ $2.05

Play on the Hawks to finish their season on a high note. Atlanta have won their last two games on home-court over the Bucks and Sixers to lead the league in points scored at home over the last month. Indiana’s defence is one of the best in the league on the road, but they’ll enter this game without Wesley Matthews and potentially Myles Turner. The Pacers are allowing close to nine-points more per-game without those two on the floor, and average close to eight points less offensively. Four of the last five games between these two sides have been decided by 10-points or less, so expect a tight contest.

Brooklyn Nets vs Miami Heat
10.00am

Heat to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points)

We bid farewell to Dwyane Wade on Thursday, and as we saw during Wednesday’s win over the Sixers the night before, Miami remain determined to send the future Hall of Famer off in style. Long time punters already know how profitable the Heat have been off the back of a win. Miami are 22-16 against the spread following a victory in their previous game, covering close to 58% of the time. With the sixth seed all but locked up, the Nets can’t afford to rest any of their stars, and against a Heat defence that’s allowed the eighth-fewest points on the road over the last month, don’t be surprised if this one goes down to the wire.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks
10.00am

Thunder to Cover the Line (-4.0 Points)

No Giannis Antetokounmpo has the Bucks as the underdogs for only the second time at home this season. The odds look about right when you consider Oklahoma City’s dramatic last second win over the Rockets on Wednesday, and while the Thunder have very little to play for, they still look to be a great bet at the line. OKC are 6-5 straight-up on zero day’s rest and 25-21 against the spread following a win. While the Bucks have chosen to rest-up for the playoffs, the Thunder look to carry some momentum into their first round series against the Rockets.

Wednesday 10th April

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Charlotte Hornets
9.00am

Under 219.5 Total Points

Play on the Unders between the Hornets and Cavs on Wednesday. Even though Charlotte are still looking to make one last gasp playoff push, it’s worth noting the Total has gone Under in each of the last five meetings between these two. Diving a little deeper, the Cavs and the Hornets both rank inside the bottom five in points at home and on the road respectively across their last 10-games. For good measure, the Total has also gone Under in four of Charlotte’s last five games.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Torontpo Raptors
10.00am

Over 229.5 Total Points

The Total looks the play on Wednesday following on from Monday’s 258-point game between the Wolves and Thunder in Minnesota. The Raptors are averaging 116.3 points across their last 10-games, which spells bad news for a Wolves side allowing the highest three-point percentage to opponents during the same time frame. Toronto have been the second-best side when it comes to backing the Overs as the away side this year with seven of their last 10-games going Over the Total. Close to 58% of Minnesota’s home games have also gone Over this year.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Portland Trail Blazers
1.30am

Under 109 1st Half Points

The Blazers have been one of the better defensive sides all year, so it’s not surprising to learn they’ve allowed the fifth-fewest points on the road over their last 10-games. For what it’s worth, Los Angeles have also allowed the 10th fewest points at home during that same span, but the 1st Half Total looks to be the safest play here. The Lakers are averaging only 55.5 points in the 1st half at home this year, the ninth fewest in the league. The Blazers, meanwhile, are averaging only 53 points, the seventh-fewest. These two have combined for an average Total of 110-points in the first half of their last 10 meetings, so stick with the Under.

Wednesday's NBA Multi

Monday 8th April

Golden State Warriors v Los Angeles Clippers
10.30am

Warriors to by 1-10

It’s the final regulars season game at the O, although there will be some playoff basketball to come as the Warriors look to clinch the top seed in the Western Conference. You could be forgiven for oversimplifying this game but the Warriors are just a lot better than the Clippers, winning eight of the last ten but it hasn’t all gone their way with some close encounters in that time. LA is in much better for now, going 13-4 in their last 17 and should be able to keep this close.

Portland Trail Blazers v Denver Nuggets
11.00am

Portland by 11+

Denver will have one eye on the scoreboard as it finds out if it is still able to clinch home court advantage in the Western Conference. This isn’t a great venue for them to travel to though as Portland have been very strong at home all season, going 30-9 to this point. They are one of just four teams to lose less than 10 games at home so far and they will be looking to keep that record intact as they try to secure the fourth seed.

Los Angeles Lakers v Utah Jazz
11.30am

Lakers to Cover (+12)

Want to hear something weird? Since shutting LeBron down for the season, the Lakers have been pretty strong… against the spread. They have covered in six of their last eight and have a big line against them in their home game against the Jazz, who are still gunning for fourth spot and have won their last seven to climb up the Western Conference standings. The Lakers have covered in two of the last three meetings and I can back them with some confidence to at least keep this close.

Sunday 7th April

Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets
7.00am

Bucks to Cover the Money Line

Brooklyn’s strength of schedule has been tough on the Nets, but it’s now or never if they wish to hold on to their spot in the playoffs. Plenty of this bet depends on whether the Bucks choose to start or rest Giannis Antetokounmpo after clinching the Eastern Conference on Friday, but even so, Brooklyn’s two-game losing streak hardly instills much faith. The Nets lost by 10-points against the Bucks at home last week and are also allowing the fifth-most points on the road over the last month. To add further fuel to the fire, Milwaukee are also 22-13-2 against the spread as the home favourite, 31-15-1 on a day’s rest, and 6-4 against the spread in their last 10-games against the Nets.

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls
10.30am

Under Points Total

The Sixers have already clinched a playoff spot, but with just a two-game lead over the Celtics in the East, this game still holds some importance. As it stands, Joel Embiid and Jimmy Butler are questionable for Sunday’s game against the Bulls, while Zach LaVine, Kris Dunn and Otto Porter are also out for Chicago. The Total has gone Over in six of the last 10 meetings between these two, but with so many stars missing, the Under looks a safe play.

Saturday 6th April

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics
11.00am

Under 215 Total Points

Very difficult game that is shaping up to be a potential playoff preview. These two sides own five wins apiece over their last 10 meetings, and with that in mind, it’s best to stick with the Unders. Indiana has been brilliant at home over the last month, not only holding teams to the fifth-fewest points scored but also the sixth-lowest field goal percentage. The Celtics own two-straight wins over Indiana, but over their last 10-games they’ve shot just 45% from the field 37% from three to rank 17th in points-per-game. It also helps to know the Pacers have been the second-best side when it comes to backing the Unders after a win and the third-best side as the home favourite.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat
11.00am

Heat to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points)

The Heat’s two-game skid couldn’t have come at a worse time, but with just a week until the playoffs, Miami are just one win away from rejoining the eight in the East. Saturday’s trip to Minnesota is crucial, and from a betting perspective, Thursday’s loss to the Celtics certainly helps. The Heat are 20-18-1 against the spread following a loss, but more importantly, 26-12-0 against the spread on the road – currently the best record in the league. Having also allowed the third-fewest points on the road over the last month, look for the Wolves to lose their third-straight home game.

Dallas Mavericks vs Memphis Grizzlies
11.30am

Mavs to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points)

Dallas fell by two-points against the Timberwolves on Thursday in a game they really should have won. Luke Doncic’s generous team play cost Dallas a chance at the buzzer-beater, but the loss puts the Mavs in good stead, at least from a betting perspective. Boasting a strong 27-18-1 record, the Mavericks have quietly been the fifth-best side to back against the spread following a loss. Dallas are also averaging the 12th most points at home over the last month, while the usually stout Grizzlies defence has allowed the second-most points on the road during the same time span.

Saturday's NBA Multi

Friday 5th April

Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks
11.00am

Under 230.5 Total Points

Tough game to get a feel for this game with both sides choosing to rest so many stars. The Sixers are 5-7 in the second game of a back-to-back, and with Jimmy Butler and Joel Embiid potentially out, it’s tough to trust Philly straight-up. Milwaukee will also rest Khris Middleton, and it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see Giannis Antetokounmpo take a night off. With all that in mind, back the Unders.

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers
1.00pm

Kings to Cover (-9.5 Points)

All signs point towards the Kings bouncing back from Wednesday’s blowout loss to the Rockets. Not only has Sacramento been the best side to back against the spread at home this year they are also 26-12-1 against the spread following a loss. The Cavs are in tank mode, but it helps to know they’ve lost their last two games to the Kings by 10-points or more. For added insurance, Sacramento has been the second-best side to back against the spread on a day’s rest, while they are also averaging the sixth-most points at home over the last month.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors
1.30pm

Over 227 Total Points

Sticking with the Over following Golden State’s blowout win agaisnt the Nuggets on Wednesday. With just two games separating themselves from Denver in the West, these final few games are crucial for the Warriors if they wish to hold on to the No. 1 seed. Golden State has been the ninth-highest scoring side on the road over the last month, while the Lakers have also allowed an average of 112.2 points at home during the same span. Close to 63% of the Dubs’ games have gone Over the Total as the away favourite. These two have also combined for an average Total of 226-points over their last 10-games.

Friday's NBA Multi

Thursday 4th April

Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers
10.30am

Sixers 11+ @ $2.95

Happy to take the Sixers against this tanking Hawks side. Atlanta kept it close with the Spurs on Wednesday, but the absence of John Collins and Taurean Prince ultimately cost the Hawks. In the second game of a back-to-back Atlanta are 4-7 straight-up, while the Sixers are a much more impressive 13-7 on two/three day’s rest. Philly fell short by two-points during their trip to Atlanta last month, so aside from this being a nice tune up ahead of the playoffs, it’s also a  revenge game. With an 8-3 record over their last 11 games as well as ranking second in rebounds on the road over the last month, look for the Sixers to win by plenty.

Denver Nuggets vs San Antonio Spurs
12.00pm

Nuggets to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points)

On board with the Nuggets to bounce-back from Wednesday’s disappointment against the Warriors. Just quietly, Denver has been one of the best sides to bet on in the second game of a back-to-back, coming through close to 73% of the time for a strong 8-3 record against the spread. At the same time, the Spurs now hit the road following their narrow win over the Hawks yesterday, but with a disappointing 5-8 record straight-up in the second game of a back-to-back, things don’t look promising. Considering Denver have also won their last three home games against San Antonio, the line should be safe.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Houston Rockets
1.30pm

Over 229 Total Points

The Rockets came good on the Overs on Wednesday cruising to a 25-point victory over the Kings. We’ll stick with the same outcome on Thursday against the Clippers in a game that could turn out to be a potential playoff preview. The Rockets have been the second-best side to back when it comes to playing on the Overs in the second game of a back-to-back. Houston also rank sixth in three-point shooting percentage over their last 10-games, while it’s worth noting the Clippers have allowed the sixth-most points at home on the year. These two sides combined for 246-points when they met back in October, and with Los Angeles needing a win to leapfrog the Jazz for fifth in the West, expect plenty of points.

Thursday's NBA Multi

Wednesday 3rd April

San Antonio Spurs vs Atlanta Hawks
11.30am

Spurs 1-10

The Spurs are looking to bounce-back from Sunday’s seven-point loss to the Kings. Narrow games at home were a common theme last month with seven of San Antonio’s nine games on home-court being decided by 10-points or less. In case you hadn’t heard, the Hawks upset the Bucks on Monday thanks to Trae Young’s buzzer-beater. Unfortunately, the rookie point guard will bare even more responsibility on Wednesday with John Collins and Taurean Prince set to miss this game. The Spurs defence allowed the ninth-fewest points at home last month, so they should be able to squeak out another tight one to claim their second-straight win over the Hawks.

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets
1.00pm

Over 227 Total Points

The Kings and the Rockets are back to do battle just three days after combining for 227-points. Houston took that one at home, but the Overs still figures to be the safest play on Wednesday considering the Kings have averaged 119.5 points at home over their last 10-games. Houston’s defence is real right now, however they struggled to defend Sacramento’s strong three-point shooting on Sunday. The Kings rank sixth in three-point shooting during that same ten game span, while they’ve also been the third-best side when it comes to backing the Overs on two/three day’s rest.

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets
1.30pm

Under 221.5 Total Points

Lots to like about the Unders in this one. Not only have Denver been the best side all year when it comes to backing the Unders on the road, Golden State have also come through close to 61% of the time at home. Diving deeper, the Warriors allowed 109.0 points-per-game at home last month, which ranked 15th overall. The Nuggets were a little better allowing the seventh-fewest on the road. On offense, the Nuggets averaged the fifth-fewest points on the road in March, while the Warriors averaged only 112.7 at home. With only a game separating these top two sides, expect some playoff-like defence on display.

Wednesday's NBA Multi

Tuesday 2nd April

New York Knicks v Chicago Bulls
10.30am

Under 213.5 Points

No this is not a typo, the Knicks-Bulls game featuring two teams with a combined 118 losses on the season is one of the best plays of the day. With two sides battling for draft position points might be at a premium here so I’ll take the under in this game. The Knicks have had 42 games go under this season while the Bulls have had 40 unders this season as well.

Minnesota Timberwolves v Portland Trail Blazers
11.00am

Portland to Cover -3.5 Points

This line seems way too short considering the stakes of this matchup, Portland are a much better side have had Minnesota’s number in the last couple of years. In the last ten games, the Trail Blazers are 8-2 against the spread and can move up to the third seed in the Western Conference with a win here. Minnesota is just playing out the schedule now and isn’t likely to put up too much of a fight in this one.

Utah Jazz v Charlotte Hornets
12.00pm

Utah to Win by 1-10

Utah is one of the form teams in the NBA right now winning nine of their last ten and climbing up the Western Conference standings in the process. This is another game where only one of the teams is playoff bound right now but that could change if Charlotte manages to end its two game losing run. They are three games behind the eighth placed Heat right now and can’t afford to drop any more games but it’s too had to back against the Jazz right now. I do think Charlotte will make it close, but will ultimately fall short.

Monday 1st April

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings
10.00am

San Antonio to Cover the Line (-9.5)

San Antonio is playing for seeding, Sacremento is playing for pride. The Spurs will want to stay ahead of the eighth seeded Thunder and avoid a first round matchup with the Golden State Warriors. Sacremento has had the wood over San Antonio in the last two matchups but with nothing on the line for them here, it’s hard to see them being too motivated for this one.

Golden State Warriors v Charlotte Hornets
11.30am

Golden State to Cover -12

Golden State is locked in a battle with Colorado for the top seed in the Western Conference and while they would feel confident about their ability to beat anyone, anywhere in a big game, they’d rather lock down that advantage. To do that they need to beat a Charlotte side still in striking distance of an Eastern Conference playoff berth and with little to no margin for error. The Warriors have not lost back to back games in a month and it would be a big surprise to see them go down in this one. They have won six of the last seven against Charlotte all by double digits and I like them to beat the spread here.

Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Clippers
12.30pm

Los Angeles Clippers by 11+

A battered and bruised Memphis team heads to the Staples Center to take on the playoff bound Clippers with an eye on making life difficult for their opponents. With just 10 wins on the road this season it’s unlikely they will give the Clippers too much drama in this game. As winners of seven of their last eight, the Clippers can take care of business and pick up another win on the road to the playoffs.

Sunday 31st March

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic
10.00am

Under 204.5 Total Points

This would have to be one of the shortest Totals of the entire season, but even so, the Under still looks the play. Orlando has been the second-best side when it comes to backing the Under on the road this year, while close to 58% of Indiana’s games have gone Under the Total during the second game of a back-to-back. Diving a little deeper, these two sides also rank inside the bottom 10 in points allowed at home and away this month. In case you’re still not convinced, the Pacers are averaging only 102.8 points-per-game this month, the second-fewest in the league. The Magic aren’t much better averaging only 107.5.

Detroit Pistons vs Portland Trail Blazers
10.00am

Pistons to Cover the Line (-5 Points)

Massive test for the Blazers on short rest. Portland are 4-6 straight-up in the second game of a back-to-back as they now look for the series sweep over the Pistons on Sunday. Things won’t come easy against this current Detroit team, however. The Pistons are allowing the fifth-fewest points as well as the third-fewest rebounds to opponents at home this month. That’s bad news for the Blazers without Jusuf Nurkic, especially considering Detroit has won six-straight at home. The Pistons are also 6-1 against the spread in their last seven home games against Portland.

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies
1.00pm

Grizzlies to Cover the 1st Half Spread (-0.5 Points)

It’s again time for one of the most profitable betting plays of the entire season: the Grizzlies against the first half spread. Memphis are 22-14 against the first half spread on the road and go into this one as narrow -0.5 favourites. The Grizzlies have led at half time in three of their last five games against the Suns, including last November’s narrow two-point loss on the road in Phoenix. The Grizzlies’ 10-26 record on the road speaks for itself, but did you know they’ve been the fourth-highest scoring side in the first half this year? That’s worth knowing as they prepare to face a Suns side that’s allowed an average of 56.4 points in the opening two quarters.

Sunday's NBA Multi

Saturday 30th March

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets
11.00am

Under 221 Total Points

Paul George remains questionable for Saturday’s home game against the Thunder, and as we’ve learned ever since the All-Star break, even if he does play you’re hardly guaranteed a standout performance. Denver have scored the eighth-fewest points on the road this month, and as you should already know, have been the best side to play on the Under away from home this season. These two have combined for an average of 218.4 points during their last 10-games, while close to 61% of the Nuggets’ games have gone Under following a loss.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Over 229.5 Total Points

The Warriors travel back to Minnesota on Saturday no less than a fortnight after defeating the Timberwolves 117-107 on the road. That game fell four-points shy over the Over, but it’s worth noting Minnesota have been the worst team in the league when it comes to defending the three this month, allowing opponents to shoot 40.2% from beyond the arc. It goes without saying that Golden State are among the Top 5 teams in three-point shooting during the same time span. Also of note is the fact close to 67% of Minnesota’s games have gone Over the Total following two-three day’s rest.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Charlotte Hornets
1.30pm

Under 225.5 Total Points

All signs point towards LeBron playing on Saturday, but still take the Under between these two. Charlotte have been the ninth-lowest scoring side on the road this month, while the Lakers have been the seventh-lowest at home. Los Angeles have seen 62% of their games result in the Under, the highest percentage in the league. Charlotte, meanwhile, rank 19th in points scored on the road all year and have also managed to put up over 120-points only once away from home this month.

Saturday's NBA Multi

Friday 29th March

Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic
10.00am

Magic to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points)

It’s hard to argue against a side that’s won six-straight games. The Magic are clinging to the eighth seed in the East, but make sure you play on them to cover against the Pistons on Friday. Following a win, Orlando are 20-16 against the spread, while they are also 25-17 on a day’s rest. As the Heat found out the hard way on Wednesday, Orlando’s biggest strength is the third quarter, where they’ve allowed the second-fewest points all season. Low and behold, the Pistons have also scored the second-fewest points in the third frame, making the Magic a great bet to cover what is a generous looking line.

Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets
11.00am

Under 218 Total Points

Would be wise to play it safe in this potential playoff preview. The Under looks the bet when you consider the Rockets and the Nuggets both rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this month, and the case only grows stronger when you factor in the Total has gone Under in eight of Denver’s last nine games on the road. Offensively, these two sides aren’t making much noise, either. The Nuggets have scored the fouth-fewest points through March, while James Harden’s slump has the Rockets ranking 18th. These two sides also rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Unders after a win, and for what it’s worth, in Conference games.

San Antonio Spurs vs Cleveland Cavaliers
11.30am

Spurs to Cover the Line (-12 Points)

Rewind all the way back to 2015 if you want to find the Cavs’ last win in San Antonio. More recently, Cleveland have lost six-straight games on the road, which is hardly comforting as they prepare to face a Spurs side that has lost eight times at home all season. San Antonio lost by nine to the Hornets in on Wednesday, which could turn out to be a positive in this one. The Spurs are 17-13-1 against the spread following a loss, and just for fun, 22-6 in home games against non-conference opponents. Just two days agter Lamarcus Aldridge’s 20-point double-double, this presents a perfect bounce-back opportunity for Gregg Popovich’s side.

Friday's NBA Multi

Thursday 28th March

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers
11.00am

Under 217.5 Total Points

The Under looks the play between these two free fallers. Stats aside, something looks a little off about the Thunder. Paul George’s shoulder is far from 100%, and with Russell Westbrook hot and cold, it’s no wonder OKC fell to the Grizzlies in Memphis on Tuesday. The Pacers have also struggled recently winning just four of their last 10-games. Indiana have allowed the 10th fewest points on the road this month, while the Thunder have scored the fewest points at home during the same span. The Under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings between these two, and just for some added insurance, close to 64% of the Pacers’ games have gone Under the Total following a day’s rest.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Grizzlies to Cover the First Half Line (+6 Points)

The Grizzlies have been an ugly side all season, but they’ve been kind when it comes to winning the first half. For what it’s worth, the Grizzlies are 41-23 in the first half against offensive teams averaging more than 106 points-per-game. The Warriors fall into that category, and since Golden State haven’t traveled to Memphis since 2017, there’s every chance Steve Kerr’s side starts out a little slow. The Grizzlies are 43-26-1 against the first half spread overall, and 22-12-1 at home.

Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards
1.00pm

Wizards to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points)

Backing the Wizards against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back has quietly been one of the better plays all season. Washington’s record stands at 12-3-0, making them the only team in the league with double-digit success. The Wizards have also enjoyed plenty of success in Phoenix in recent years – they haven’t lost to the Suns away from home since 2015. The other bit of good news is Scott Brooks’ side ranks 10th in points scored away from home this month.

Thursday's NBA Multi

Wednesday 27th March

Charlotte Hornets vs San Antonio Spurs
10.00am

Over 220 Total Points

The Hornets and the Spurs both rank among the NBA’s Top 10 teams when it comes to backing the Overs this season, but there’s a few other reasons to back a high-scoring game on Wednesday. Charlotte have combined to put up over 220-points in three of their last five home games, while the Spurs have also been the top shooting side from the field so far this month, cashing in close to 50% of the time. Speaking of percentages, close to 53% of Charlotte’s home games have gone Over the Total this season, while the Total has also gone Over in 10 of San Antonio’s last 15 road games.

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic
10.30am

Heat to Cover the Line (-4.5 Points)

Sticking with the Heat to spoil the Magic’s party on Wednesday. Orlando defeated the Sixers by 21-points on Tuesday to move just one game back from a playoff spot, but things won’t come easy in Miami considering the Heat are 9-5 against the spread on two-three days’ rest. Despite their losing record, Miami have also allowed the second-fewest points to opponents at home this month. The Magic, meanwhile, have scored the third-fewest points on the road during the time frame, and are 5-8 straight-up during the second game of a back-to-back. Miami remain the best side to back against the spread following a win, so bank on their winning form.

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings
11.30am

Kings to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points)

This has been one of the best betting plays of the entire season. The Kings, who are still fighting for a spot in the playoffs by the way, fell by five-points to the Lakers on Monday, which is good news considering they are 24-11-1 against the spread following a loss. Sacramento are also 21-15 straight-up in the same scenario, while it might help knowing the Mavericks have lost four of their last five home games.

Wednesday's NBA Multi

Tuesday 26th March

Orlando Magic v Philadelphia 76ers
10.00am

Philadelphia to Win by 1-12 @ $3.00

This has been a very one sided match up of late with the 76ers winning five of the last six meetings between these teams including a 114-106 matchup earlier this month. The one concerning matter for the 76ers is the fact they aren’t really blowing teams out, instead usually taking out single digit winning margins. As they continue their tuning up for the postseason, the Magic should take care of business and win this but don’t be surprised if there’s a few nervous moments in the fourth quarter

Memphis Grizzlies v Oklahoma City Thunder
11.00am

Thunder to Win by 13+ @ 2.35

With all due respect to the Grizzlies, a loss would do them a favour here as they now fight for draft lottery positioning. Oklahoma has won nine of the last ten and covered on six of those occasions but for a bit of added value, take a big win for the Thunder here. Two of the last three wins for the Thunder over the Grizzlies have been by double digits so back a big win here.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Brooklyn Nets
12.00pm

Portland to Cover the Line (-6)

There’s not a lot of science behind this pick beyond the fact Portland is a very good team at home and this line is small enough to back in with confidence. The Trail Blazers have gone 28-9 straight up at home and 22-14-1 against the spread so take them at any line that is in the single digits.

Monday 25th March

Boston Celtics v San Antonio Spurs
10.30am

San Antonio to Win @ $2.20

Boston has a tough ask here, coming into this game just over 24 hours after playing Charlotte against a side they have struggled mightily with. Nine of the last ten have gone the way of San Antonio and it’s hard to back Boston with any confidence after Kyrie Irving’s comments about “getting to the playoffs healthy” being more important than being in good form. Even with their winning streak over, the Spurs look like a good play.

Golden State Warriors v Detroit Pistons
11.30am

Over 218.5 Points

Both teams have the scoring ability to turn this game into a shootout so we’ll back the over here as both sides continue their playoff preparations. Golden State is averaging 117.6 points per game while the Pistons have an average of 107.6 and have scored over 110 in each of their last four and eight of their last ten. Golden State has been steadily improving as of late and should do their part to help this game reach the over.

Sacremento Kings v Los Angeles Lakers
9.00am

Sacremento to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points)

For the first time in what feels like an eternity, LeBron James will not be going to the playoffs. That means the next couple of weeks are all about pride (& maybe draft lottery positioning). Sacremento’s playoff chances are only marginally better than the Lakers but they can still aim for a 41-41 record starting with a win here. They haven’t travelled all that well but the Lakers haven’t been that great at home so take the visitors and the points.

Sunday 24th March

Washington Wizards vs Miami Heat
10.00am

Heat to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points)

Let’s stick with what works, and that’s the Heat at the line. Miami is 6-4 against the spread in the second game of a back-to-back, but in case you still don’t trust the Heat, keep in mind Washington are 14-29 straight-up on one day’s rest. Miami fought tooth and nail against the Bucks on Saturday, but as we continue to find, they are money on the road. The Heat hold the best record against the spread away from home (23-11), while they’ve also averaged just 98.7 points to opponents on the road this month.

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns
1.00pm

Kings to Cover the Line (-10 Points)

The Kings have been kind to us against the spread all season. Not only is Sacramento the best side when it comes to covering at home, they are also 27-11-1 after one days’ rest. Phoenix has been a surprise side on the road this month leading the league in points-per-game, however, they haven’t won in Sacramento since 2017. On the flip side, the Suns have also allowed the third-most points on the road this month, while the Kings rank eighth in points scored at home thanks to blowout wins over the Mavericks and Bulls.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Detroit Pistons
1.00pm

Blazers to Cover (-5 Points)

Willing to play on the Blazers considering they are 18-12 as the home favourite against the spread. Portland has won their last three games at home, all of which came by 10-points or less. Even without C.J. McCollum, the Blazers have been the fourth-highest scoring side at home this month, while the Pistons round out as the fourth-lowest scoring side on the road. For what it’s worth, the Blazers are also 24-19 against the spread following a win in their previous game, while they last beat the Pistons at home by 13 this time last year.

Sunday's NBA Multi

Saturday 23rd March

Toronto Raptors vs Oklahoma City Thunder
10.30am

Raptors 1-10 @ $3.00

It’s a repeat of Thursday’s narrow overtime thriller, only this time, the Raptors find themselves as 2.5-point favourites with Kyle Lowry out. It goes without saying  Toronto are an entirely different side without their star point guard. Minus Lowry, the Raptors are 8-5 this season averaging exactly 11.1 points less. The Thunder have won only two of their last five road games, but they are averaging the 12th most points away from home this month. Three of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, so stick with the margin.

Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs
11.00am

Over 221 Total Points

Safe to expect plenty of points between these two Western Conference foes. The Rockets have been the sixth-best side when it comes to backing the Over at home this season, coming through close to 56% of the time. More importantly, San Antonio have been the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Over on the road, and when you look at their stats, it’s hard to see this one being low-scoring. Despite losing to the Heat on Wednesday, the Spurs are averaging the highest field-goal percentage away from home this month. They’ve also seen 61% of their games go Over following a loss.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat
11.30am

Heat to Cover the Line (+9.5 Points)

The Heat have been money on the road all year, so there’s no reason to shy away from them against the spread on Saturday. Giannis Antetokounmpo is probable for this game, but even so, back Miami and their 17-7 record as the spread underdog on the road. The Heat came through with the goods on Thursday defeating the Spurs by five in San Antonio, largely due to the fact they’re the only team to average under 100-points to opponents on the road this month. In case you need further convincing though, the Heat have also been the best side to back against the spread following a win.

Saturday's NBA Multi

Friday 22nd March

Washington Wizards vs Denver Nuggets
10.00am

Wizards to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points)

Happy to take on the Wizards despite their overtime loss to the Bulls on Thursday. Washington has been a great play at home this season, coming through close to 63% of the time with a strong 22-13 record against the spread. The Wizards are averaging the sixth-most points at home this month, while the Nuggets have won by an average margin of only five points on the road this year. Washington has also been reliable during the second game of a back-to-back. The Wizards are the only side in the league with a double-digit winning record against the spread on zero days’ rest.

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons
1.00pm

Under 218.5 Points

Put the Under in play on Friday between these two low-scoring sides. The Suns have been the third-best team when it comes to backing the Under at home this year, while the Pistons have been the seventh-best side on the road. Diving a little deeper, the Pistons have also allowed the sixth-fewest points on the road this month, bad news for a Suns side that’s scored the same number of points at home during the same time frame. In three of Phoenix’s last five home games, the Total has failed to reach 220-points. The same also goes for the Pistons in three of their last five road games.

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks
1.00pm

Kings to Cover the Line (-8.5 Points)

Huge ask for the Mavericks following Thursday’s loss to the Blazers. Dallas is 1-11 in the second game of a back-to-back this year, leaving the Kings looking like good value as the 8.5-point favourite. Sacramento rolls into this one off a last-second loss to the Nets on Wednesday, which is good news considering the Kings are 21-11-1 against the spread following a loss. Sacramento has also won seven of their last 10-games against the Mavs and are currently 21-8 when it comes to covering the spread against teams with a losing record.

Friday's NBA Multi

Thursday 21st March

Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics
10.00am

Celtics To Win @ $2.30

Few things to consider in this one. Firstly, Philly are 4-7 in the second game of a back-to-back, so try to forget Wednesday’s narrow win over the Hornets, even if it was impressive without Joel Embiid. Second, Boston traveled to Philly only a month ago, a game they won by three-points without Kyrie Irving. Third, well, that’s exactly where Boston rank in points scored on the road this month. And fourth, the Celtics have won eight of their last 10-games against the Sixers.

San Antonio Spurs vs Miami Heat
11.30am

Heat to Cover the Line (+6.5 Points)

This match up has trap game written all over it. Drink the kool-aid the Spurs are selling – hey, they’ve lost only seven games at home all season! But at the same time, try not to discount the fact Miami leads the league with a 22-11-0 record against the spread on the road. The Heat are fresh from a win over the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Monday, and as the stats suggest, they’ve also been the top side defensively this month. Miami have allowed only 99.5 points on the road this month, the fewest in the league. This line looks generous for a Heat side that have won more games on the road than they have at home this season.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks
1.00pm

Blazers 1-10 @ $2.50

Nothing about this game spells good news for the Mavs. Dallas have lost seven-straight road games dating back to the first week of February, and considering they’ve allowed the sixth-most points away from home this month, it’s doubtful we’ll see that streak will snap anytime soon. On the plus side, the Blazers do have some soul searching to do. Portland are expected to be without start shooting guard C.J. McCollum for the rest of the regular season – bad news considering they’ve averaged 12.7 points less without him on the floor. Four of the last five meetings between these teams have been decided by 10-points or less, and while the Blazers have lost only nine-games at home all year, this one should be close.

Thursday's NBA Multi

Wednesday 20th March

Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers
10.30am

Sixers To Win @ $1.91

You can’t go past the Sixers at this price. Philly have won four-straight games since Joel Embiid’s return, including Monday’s five-point win over the Bucks which saw Embiid tally a 40-point double-double. The Sixers have won nine of their last 10-games over Charlotte, and most importantly are allowing the 10th lowest field-goal percentage to opponents this month. The Hornets have scored the fifth-fewest points during the same time span, bad news with Cody Zeller and Tony Parker set to miss Wednesday’s game.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Lakers
11.00am

Bucks to Cover the Line (-11 Points)

Two words: trap game. Milwaukee are 18-13-1 as the home favourite against the spread this season, but did you know the Bucks are also 23-7 off a loss as the favourite? Milwaukee lost by five to the Sixers on Monday, and now enter Wednesday’s game against the Lakers as the 12-point favourite. Los Angeles are 18-20 following a loss and have also allowed the fifth-most points to opponents this month. The Bucks, on the other hand, rank third in points scored.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Warriors 1-10

There’s a couple of reasons to find faith in Golden State on Wednesday. The Warriors have lost the second game of a back-to-back only three times this season, while more importantly, they’ve also allowed the fifth-fewest points on the road this month. You have to rewind back to 2016 to find Golden State’s last win in Minnesota, but keep in mind, the Dubs are 15-6 in games following a loss. The last three meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, so it’s worth taking a play on the margin.

Wednesday's NBA Multi

Tuesday 19th March

Boston Celtics v Denver Nuggets
10.30am

Boston to Cover -3.5 Points

The Celtics have fallen down to the Eastern Conference’s fifth see as they appear to be jostling with Indiana and Philadelphia for the third seed. With five wins from their previous six games they have to continue to take care of business at home, where they have a 26-10 record. While Gordon Hayward is likely to be out for this game with an injury that might encourage the younger players on the team to step up here. Even though the Nuggets have been travelling well in the last couple of weeks, with a 16-16 record on the road, I have to back Boston at home and with a small line, it’s worth adding that on.

San Antonio Spurs v Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Spurs to Win @ $2.20

Look, it feels weird backing against the Warriors in any game but you can’t ignore the Spurs and their eight game winning streak here. San Antonio’s 28-7 home record holds up with just about every team in the NBA and makes them good value as an underdog play in this game. Including their playoff meeting, San Antonio has actually won four of the last five home games against the Warriors. This is backing the Spurs solely on recent form but why not take them at that value.

Phoenix Suns v Chicago Bulls
1.30pm

Over 213 Total Points

A game with pride and… well pretty much pride on the line, both of these sides are turning their attention to the NBA Draft having been officially eliminated from the playoff race. The Bulls have lost their last five and the Suns have lost three of their last five but, both teams have been involved in some high scoring affairs in the last month. Both teams have scored over 100 points in eight of Phoenix’s last ten games and nine of Chicago’s last ten so with neither side seemingly set on playing defence, back the overs here.

Monday 18th March

Sacremento Kings v Chicago Bulls
9.00am

Sacremento to Win & Under 232 Points

Neither side is really setting the world alight at the moment with both sides putting together a miserable 3-7 record in their last 10 games. The Kings have been able to stay close to a .500 record on the back of a 20-14 record at home while the Bulls have been pretty dire on the road, going 11-24. Only two of the last ten between these two have gone over so the under is definitely in play here and the Kings have won each of the last three between these two so back them to win in the doubles market.

Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
12.00pm

Houston to Cover the Line (-10)

Minnesota is still searching for its tenth win on the road this season with a 25% win record away from home. The Rockets are looking to hold serve in the race for playoff seeding in the west and is looking to improve on its 25-10 home record here. The Rockets have won seven of the last ten meetings between these teams and covered on six of those occasions and with the poor road form of the Timberwolves it’s worth backing that form to continue.

Los Angeles Clippers v Brooklyn Nets
12.00pm

Under 231 Total Points

The unders immediately jumps out in this game as both sides have been playing plenty of low scoring games in the last few weeks. Six of the Clippers last ten have gone under while Brooklyn is backing up from a game in Utah on Sunday (AEST). Head to head the Clippers have an edge in this one but for the value, back a low scoring clash.

Sunday 17th March

Washington Wizards vs Memphis Grizzlies
10.00am

Under 224 Total Points

Tough to get a feel for this game, but the Under looks safe considering the Grizzlies have allowed the fewest points on the road all season. Washington are coming off a loss to the Hornets on Saturday, while Memphis roll into this one on two days’ rest. The Grizzlies held both the Thunder and the Mavericks to under 100-points on the road earlier this month, and for what it’s worth, have also held opponents to the second-lowest field goal percentage on the road in March. Seven of the Grizzlies’ last 10-games on the road have also gone Under, including five of their last six against Washington.

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers
11.30am

Under 215.5 Total Points

Dallas will look to rebound following Friday’s heartbreaking loss to the Nuggets, and while it’s tempting to back the Mavs against the spread, it’s probably safer to stick with the Unders. So far this month Dallas have allowed the 10th fewest points at home, while they’ve also been the third-best side when it comes to backing the Unders on one days’ rest. Cleveland have lost four-straight on the road, and not surprisingly, have scored the seventh-fewest points away from home this month. Dallas also rank dead last in points scored at home during the same span.

San Antonio Spurs vs Portland Trail Blazers
11.30am

Spurs to Cover the Line (-2 Points)

What can you say about the Spurs right now? San Antonio have lost only twice at home since the start of the New Year, while their 21-12-0 record against the spread on home-court says it all. The Spurs have also enjoyed themselves at home against the Blazers in recent years – they’ve won three-straight at the AT&T Center dating back to 2017. The Blazers are 9-7 on the road since the start of 2019, however they so far rank fifth in points allowed this month. The addition of Rudy Gay back into San Antonio’s lineup should give them an added boost as both sides return for the second game of a back-to-back.

Sunday's NBA Multi

Saturday 16th March

Washington Wizards vs Charlotte Hornets
10.00am

Wizards to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points)

For the second time this month the Wizards and the Hornets do battle. Charlotte walked away with a one-point win when these two met last fortnight, but there’s something to be said about this Wizards side right now. Washington have not only won two-straight, they’ve also won their last four games at home. The Wizards are 15-13 against the spread following a win, but more importantly, a whopping 15-3 against the spread when it comes to avenging a loss to an opponent at home.

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks
11.00am

Bucks to Cover the Line (-5 Points)

Happy to stick with what’s worked all season. The Bucks have been the second-best side against the spread on the road, covering close to 62% of the time with a 21-13-2 record. The Heat should treat this game like a potential playoff preview, so expect them to play hard in the first half. Unfortunately for them, the Bucks have been the fourth-highest scoring side on the road this month, while they also have the added motivation of trying to win their first game in Miami since 2016. The Heat may go without Dwyane Wade on Saturday, bad news considering the Bucks are also 16-3 against the spread when playing a team with a losing record on the road since the All-Star break.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Chicago Bulls
1.30pm

Over 228.5 Points

Don’t be deceived by the Total in this game. The Total may have gone Under in eight of the last 10-games between the Clippers and Bulls, but try to keep in mind, both sides have ranked among the best in points this month. At home, the Clippers rank as the sixth-highest scoring side, while on the road, the Bulls have gone one better leading all teams in points this month. Despite losing by five back in January, don’t forget the Bulls piled on 36-points against the Clips in the second quarter. Los Angeles have also been the third-best team when it comes to backing the Overs at home this season, coming through close to 61% of the time.

Saturday's NBA Multi

Friday 15th March

Indiana Pacers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
10.00am

Thunder to Cover the Line (+1 Points)

Riding the Thunder to Cover against the Pacers on Friday. Oklahoma City piled on the points in the third quarter on Thursday to walk away with a 12-point win over the Nets. The Thunder have been the sixth-best team following a win this season boasting a strong 27-14 record, while they are also 19-17 when it comes to covering the spread on the road. Since four of the last five meetings between the Thunder and Pacers have been decided by five-points or less, expect this one to be close. It also helps knowing OKC are 4-1 against the spread in their last five-games when playing Indiana.

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers
11.00am

Raptors to Cover the Line (-8 Points)

How much stock can you put into Toronto’s blowout loss to the Cavs on Wednesday? Like the Warriors and Bucks, the Raptors looked a little bored as we head towards the playoffs, but we should see them bounce-back nicely at home on Friday. Following a loss, Toronto are 13-6 straight-up, while their defensive metrics suggest the loss to Cleveland was nothing more than a fluke. The Raptors have allowed the 11th lowest field-goal percentage this month and the 13th fewest points. Toronto have lost back-to-back games only five times this season, and keep in mind, they’ve also covered the spread in seven of their last 10 meetings with the Lakers.

Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks
1.30pm

Under 220 Points

Not only have the Nuggets and Mavs been two of the Top 10 best sides when it comes to backing the Unders this season, they’ve also combined for an average of 214 points across their last five games. Denver have been one of the best defensive sides all season, but they’ve also allowed the ninth-fewest points to opponents this month. Dallas, meanwhile, rank dead last in points scored during that same time frame, leaving the Unders looking well and truly safe in this one.

Player Pick: Nikola Jokic Over 21.5 Points @ $1.95

Friday's NBA Multi

Thursday 14th March

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Brooklyn Nets
10.00am

Nets to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points)

The Thunder’s narrow win over the Jazz on Tuesday has this one feeling a little like a trap game. Oklahoma City have won by an average margin of 12-points at home this year, but there’s something to be said for this Nets side that have now won four-straight. Not only are Brooklyn 20-15 against the spread following a win, they are also 19-13 against the spread on the road. The Nets have held two of their last four opponents to under 100-points, bad news for a Thunder side that haven’t seen the same Paul George of late. This one should be close.

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons
10.30am

Over 208.5 Total Points

Sticking with the Overs between these two playoff foes. The Heat and Pistons met a fortnight ago to combine for 215-points, leaving Thursday’s Total looking a little short. Blake Griffin was completely shutdown by the Nets on Tuesday finishing with 10-points. We should see a bounce-back performance in this one considering the Heat have allowed the fourth-most points to opposing forwards this month. Better yet, Miami are 20-14 when it comes to backing the Overs at home this year, earning them the fifth-highest percentage in the league. The Heat are also averaging the eighth-most points at home this month, while finally, the Total has gone Over in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two.

Player Pick: Blake Griffin Over 22.5 Points @ $1.74

Houston Rockets vs Golden State Warriors
12.30pm

Rockets to Cover the Line (-2 Points)

Lack of team chemistry and Draymond Green might be the furthest thing from Steve Kerr’s mind right now. Kevin Durant will miss Thursday’s game with a right ankle contusion, bad news considering the Warriors average exactly 15.2 points less without him on the court. The Rockets, meanwhile, have allowed the fewest points to opponents this month, so it’s no surprise to learn they’ve won nine of their last 10-games. The Rockets destroyed the Dubs by 21-points during their last visit to Houston in November, and they’ve also turned into a consistent side against the spread. At home, the Rockets are 18-14-1 on the year.

Thursday's NBA Multi

Wednesday 13th March

New Orleans Pelicans vs Milwaukee Bucks
11.00am

Over 237.5 Total Points

The Total looks large, but the Unders should come through on Wendesday. Don’t let New Orleans’ 30-39 record fool you – the Pelicans have quietly ranked 10th in points scored this month, just four spots lower than the Bucks. These two sides have combined for an average of 216.5 points across their last 10 meetings, and while that’s well short of Wednesday’s Total, keep in mind they also combined for 238-points when they met back in December. In case you’re still not convinced, does it help knowing both Milwaukee and New Orleans also rank inside the Top 10 in points allowed this month? Eight of their last 10 games have gone over the Total, so try not to sweat.

Player Pick: Brook Lopez Over 13.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Chicago Bulls vs Los Angeles Lakers
11.00am

Under 226.5 Total Points

The Bulls have been a fun side since the All-Star break, but this Total looks a little ambitious. Sure, Chicago rank inside the Top 10 in points scored this month, but keep in mind, four of their last five meetings have failed to go over 210 points. The Lakers rank inside the bottom 10 in points scored throughout March, largely due to the on again/off again benching of Lebron James and the injuries to Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Brandon Ingram. Aside from individual efforts though, the Bulls and the Lakers rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Unders off a loss in their previous game. It’s hard to see this one going Over with so many big names missing.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Portland Trail Blazers
1.30pm

Blazers to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points)

The Blazers let us down on Friday against the Thunder, but there’s no getting past the fact they’ve been one of the better sides to back against the spread on the road this season. Portland have come through close to 64% of the time as the road favourite, and it helps knowing they already own a four-point win over the Clippers on the road this season this season. Los Angeles ride into this one following a huge win over the Celtics on Tuesday, but they’ve hardly been reliable in the second game of a back-to-back. The Clips hold a 6-6 record on no rest, bad news against a Blazers side that’s won three-straight trips to Staples.

Player Pick: C.J. McCollum Over 22.5 Total Points @ $2.00

Wednesday's NBA Multi

Tuesday 12th March

Houston Rockets vs Charlotte Hornets
11.00am

Under 225 Total Points

The safest play in this one looks to be the Unders. The second game of a back-to-back has hardly been Charlotte’s forte this season – they are 4-8 straight-up on zero days’ rest. More importantly, 18 of Houston’s last 23 games against the Hornets have resulted in the Unders. The average combined Total across their last five is 214.8 points, good news considering the Rockets average only 104.8 points in the second game of a back-to-back. Houston have also allowed the fewest-points in the league so far this month, so this one should be a bit of a low-scorer.

Utah Jazz vs Oklahoma City Thunder
12.00pm

Thunder to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points)

Happy to take the Thunder on here despite the fact they’ve won just two of their five games this month. Friday’s win over the Blazers looks to be a strong form guide for Tuesday’s trip to Utah. Oklahoma City shot 45% from the field, showcasing just how dangerous this team can be when Westbrook/George are on fire. The Jazz found that out the hard way when they met the Thunder in last month’s one-point loss. The Thunder are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against Utah, and for what it’s worth, 9-6 on two days’ rest.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Boston Celtics
1.30pm

Clippers To Win @ $2.00

Take this price for the Clippers and run. Boston will go without Jayson Tatum on Tuesday, and it should come as no surprise to learn the Celtics are averaging close to three-points less without their star forward on the court this season. Boston’s fortunes have taken a turn for the better during this West Coast swing having now won all three games over the Warriors, Kings and Lakers. The Celtics rank third in field-goal percentage over the last month, but more importantly, the Clippers have allowed the seventh-lowest field-goal percentage against during that span. Boston have won just three of their last 10 against Los Angeles, and with no Tatum and a less than 100% Kyrie Irving, the Clips look a good price for an upset.

Tuesday's NBA Multi

Monday 11th March

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks
11.00am

Timberwolves to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points)

Minnesota is hardly setting the world alight this season at 31-35 but they are still going better than a Knicks side that is atrocious on a good day. With just 13 wins compared to 53 losses and a 1-4 record against the spread in its last five, the Knicks are one of those teams you can back against with plenty of confidence.

San Antonio Spurs vs Milwaukee Bucks
11.00am

Bucks by 1-12

The Spurs have been phenomenal at home this season, building a 25-7 record as they prepare to take on one of the league’s best road teams in the Bucks, whose record away from Wisconsin sits at 23-11. It’s been a long time since the Spurs last beat the Bucks with their last win coming on December 5, 2016 in a 97-96 nailbiter. Since then the Bucks have won four on the trot against the Texan team although every game has been decided by a single digit margin. Both of these sides are in fantastic form but I have to give the edge to the Bucks here although I don’t think it will be easy.

Golden State Warriors v Phoenix Suns
11.30am

Suns to Cover the Line (+17 Points)

Talk about a massive mismatch, the Warriors should outclass their visitors in this one but that line is way too big for a team like this. Golden State has not been a great side against the spread this season with a 26-38-1 record, they really are victims of their own success having to deal with massive lines such as this one. At home they have covered on just 12 of 33 occasions and just twice in their last 10 games. The Suns have struggled head to head losing each of the last 10 meetings but managing to cover in seven of those games so play it a bit safe here and back the Suns to pull off a backdoor cover late in the fourth.

Monday’s NBA Multi

Sunday 10th March

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards
12.00pm

Wizards to Cover the Line (+7 Points)

There’s no question the Wolves should be the favourites on Sunday. Minnesota have won four of their last five home games, but how much do you trust them against a playoff hungry side like the Wizards? The stats don’t lie: Washington have been the third-best side against the spread this season in the second game of a back-to-back, while they are also 8-3 straight-up on zero days’ rest. These two sides have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, with three of the last five being decided by 10-points or less. Better yet, the Wizards’ last trip to Minnesota in 2017 saw them walk away with a three-point win.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets
1.00pm

Bucks to Cover the Line (-12.5 Points)

Say what you will about the Bucks, they’ve been one of the best sides to back all season. Milwaukee are 18-12-1 against the spread at home, but this game might be more about the opponent. Charlotte are 4-7 during the second game of a back-to-back. The Hornets haven’t won in Milwaukee since 2016, and just in case you feel like the 13-point line is a little large, keep in mind the Bucks have won by an average of 16.3 points at home this season.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns
2.00pm

Under 229.5 Total Points

The Total here looks way too high, so make sure you jump on this one as early. The Blazers and the Suns have combined for an average of 216 points across their last five games, and now look to make up for Friday’s overtime disappointment against the Thunder. Portland should win this one easily, but there’s something to be said about the Suns. They’ve been the third-best side when it comes to backing the Unders this season. The Suns are also averaging the ninth-fewest points on the road this month, so expect something closer to a 112-90 type of game.

Sunday's NBA Multi

Saturday 9th March

Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards
11.00am

Over 234 Total Points

Are these two serious about the playoffs? The Wizards and Hornets remain on the fringe of the eight in the Eastern Conference, but as far as Saturday’s game goes, play it safe with the Overs. Close to 60% of Washington’s away games have gone Over the Total this season, while close to 53% of Charlotte’s games at home have seen the same result. The Over has also come through in seven of the last 10-games between these two, and it also helps knowing the Wizards rank second in points scored and fifth in points allowed over the last month.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Utah Jazz
12.00pm

Grizzlies to Cover The Line (+5.5 Points)

Here’s a list of teams that have fallen victim to the Grizzlies in Memphis since the start of the year: Blazers, Lakers, Wolves, Pacers, Spurs. The Jazz haven’t lost in Memphis since 2017, but did you know they’ve allowed the sixth-most points to opponents over the last month? The Grizzlies, meanwhile, remain a defensive dynamo. They’ve allowed the second-fewest points at home all year, bad news for a Utah side that have won just two of their last five road games. As the home underdog against the spread the Grizzlies are 8-6, making the line look more than safe.

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers
12.00pm

Over 213.5 Total Points

The Total looks a little short in this one. Miami are averaging 114.8 points at home over the last month, while they’ve also been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs at American Airlines Arena. Cleveland might be headed for a number one draft pick, but they’ve put managed to put up over 100-points in three of their last five road games. The Total has gone Over in four of the Cavs’ last six games, and Over in five of Miami’s last seven.

Saturday's NBA Multi

Friday 8th March

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers
12.00pm

Under 222 Total Points

Willing to take the Unders on Friday for several different reasons. Not only do the Bucks average more points on the road than they do at home, both sides also rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this season. The average combined Total across their last 10-games is 203.3, while both the Bucks and Pacers have fared towards the middle of the pack in points-per-game over the last month. Indiana will go without Domantas Sabonis for this one. The Total has also gone Under in seven of the last 10 meetings.

Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder
2.30pm

Blazers to Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

There’s no place like home. The Blazers return to the Moda Center following an arduous road trip that saw them win five from seven. A win on Friday would see Portland leapfrog the Thunder for the fourth spot in the Western Conference standings, and with the third-best record at home against the spread, what’s not to like? Portland have won by an average margin of 14.8 points at home this season, hardly good news for the Thunder and a less than 100% Paul George.

Player Pick: C.J. McCollum Under 20.5 Points @ $1.91

Friday's NBA Multi

Thursday 7th March

Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat
11.00am

Heat to Cover The Line (+3.5 Points)

The Heat have been great value on the road this season, particularly against the spread. I’m all-in on Miami to keep this one close on Wednesday, but more importantly leapfrog the Hornets for the eighth-spot in the East. It’s a big game for the Southeast Division, but did you know the Heat have been the best side to back against the spread on the road, saluting close to 65% of the time? These two sides have been complete opposites over their last five games: Charlotte have lost four of their last five at home, while the Heat hold a handy 4-1 record against the spread.

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers
11.30am

Cavs to Cover The Line (+9.5 Points)

More than willing to take the Cavs on with this generous line. Aside from winning just four of their last 10-games, the Nets have allowed the second-most points at home over the last month. That mightn’t mean much when you consider the Cavs are 6-24 on the road, but there’s something to be said about this Cleveland side. The Cavs are fresh from a 14-point home win over the Magic on Monday, and it’s not like they haven’t beaten the Nets in Brooklyn already this season. Cleveland walked away with a 99-97 victory back in December, while more recently they’ve two of their last four road games.

Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers
12.00pm

Over 227 Total Points

All signs point towards the Overs in this one. The Sixers and the Bulls have combined for an average Total of 221.2 points across their last five games, with the two combining for 235-points when they last met back in October. Chicago surprisingly rank inside the Top 10 in points scored across their last 15-games, and as for Philly, well they are fresh off a 114-106 win over the Magic on Wednesday. The Bulls weren’t quite so lucky against the Pacers yesterday, however Chicago are averaging 111.7 points during the second game of a back-to-back. The Sixers sit a little north of that margin at 121.0.

Player Pick: Jimmy Butler Over 20.5 Points @ $1.87

Thursday’s NBA Multi: Heat to Cover (+3.0 Points), Knicks To Win, Bulls/Sixers: Over 227 Points @ $8.87

Wednesday 6th March

Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers
12.00pm

Under 216 Total Points

Unders looks the play in this one when you consider the last two meetings between the Grizzlies and Blazers have both resulted in Under 200-points. Both sides rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed over their last 15 games, while the Grizzlies have been the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders this year. The combined Total across the last 10 meetings between Memphis and Portland is 197.5 points, leaving the Unders looking well and truly safe.

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder
12.00pm

Under 236.5 Total Points

Big day for the Thunder. A loss would sink them to fourth in the West, while a win for the Wolves would put them dead even with the Lakers for 10th. Without Paul George and Robert Covington on the court though, it’s tough to predict how this one plays out. The Thunder have lost two of their three games without George, but fortunately, the Unders looks to be a handy play. Oklahoma City are the third-best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders on the road this season. It also helps knowing the Total has gone Under in all five of Oklahoma City’s last five games.

Golden State Warriors vs Boston Celtics
2.30pm

Celtics to Cover The Line (+7 Points)

Kyrie Irving isn’t happy in Boston (surprise), so why should you take on this dysfunctional Celtics team away against the Warriors on Wednesday? For one, Golden State will go without Klay Thompson for this game. The Warriors average close to five-points less without their skilled three-point shooter, while the Celtics are 6-3-1 against the spread during their last 10-games against Golden State. Boston lost by only four-points at Oracle back in January, a game that saw Kyrie Irving put up 32. Don’t be surprised if the Celtics keep this one close despite the off-court troubles.

Wednesday’s NBA Multi: Boston Celtics (+7.0), Timbewolves/Thunder: Under 236.5 Total Points, Raptors To Win @ $6.16

Tuesday 5th March

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets
12.30am

San Antonio Spurs To Win @ $1.87

The Denver Nuggets have suffered two upsest losses on the trot and it does not get any easier against the San Antonio Spurs this afternoon. The Spurs have won their past 12 games against the Nuggests at AT&T Centre and they go into this clash on the back of two straight games. The Spurs are always tough to beat at home and they are over the odds at their current price.

Phoenix Suns vs Milwaukee Bucks
1.00pm

Milwaukee Bucks To Cover The Line (-13 Points)

The line is a big one, but the Milwaukee Bucks should really prove to be too strong for their rivals in this clash. The Phoenix Suns have struggled badly at home in recent weeks, while the Bucks have covered the line in ten of their past 11 games on the road. The Suns won the most recent meeting between the pair and the Bucks will be keen to atone for that defeat.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Los Angeles Clippers
2.30pm

Los Angeles Clippers To Win @ $2.45

The Los Angeles Lakers continue to struggle and betting against them has been a profitable play throughout this season. The Lakers have won only one of their past six games as favourites and there is no way that they should be as short as their current quote. The Clippers have won five of their past seven games in impressive fashion and they are well and truly over the odds to continue their winning ways.

Monday 4th March

Detroit Pistons v Toronto Raptors
9.00am

Unders

It’s been a while in between drinks for the Pistons. They haven’t defeated the Raptors at home since 2016, but you’d be right to expect a little more from Detroit on Monday. The Pistons have won seven of their last 10 to improve to the seventh spot in the East, but as far as a betting play goes, make sure you take a hard look at the Unders market. The Raptors and Pistons allowed the fourth and fifth-fewest points during the month of February – they’ve also combined for an average Total of 204.7 points across their last 10 meetings.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Memphis Grizzlies
10.00am

Unders

Four of the last five meetings between these two have hardly been close. If you’ve been taking notes, you’ll also know the Grizzlies have lost eight-straight to the Thunder dating back to 2017, but if Paul George misses his third-straight game, is it crazy to imagine this one being a little close? Oklahoma City are averaging just 106.1 points during the second game of a back-to-back – hardly ideal considering Russell Westbrook’s hot/cold performances. For what it’s worth, the Grizzlies also average only 96.3 points on Sunday’s, but perhaps more importantly, they’ve been the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Unders in away games this season.

Sunday 3rd March

Cleveland Cavaliers v Detroit Pistons
9.00am

Over 216 Total Points

It’s been a tough season for the 15-47 Cavs, but at least they’ve provided some value in the Points market at home. Cleveland have been the sixth-best side in the league when it comes to backing the Overs, coming through close to 57% of the time on home-court. The Cavs have put up 120-points or more in three of their last five games, while six of Detroit’s last seven have gone Over the Total. The Pistons also rank third in three-point percentage over their last 10-games, averaging 112.3 points-per-game on the road since the All-Star break.

Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
11.30am

Over 220.5 Total Points

Nice and simple does the trick. The Heat have been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs this season, and as for the Nets, well they also rank inside the Top 10 when it comes to backing the Overs on the road. The Total has gone Over in four of Brooklyn’s last five games away from home, while they also finished inside the Top 10 in points allowed during the month of February. These two sides combined for 227-points when they met back in November, and with both coming off narrow losses, expect a points-fest.

Milwaukee Bucks v Utah Jazz
1.00pm

Bucks to Cover First Half Spread

You have to rewind a long, long way to find Milwaukee’s last win in Utah. They haven’t won on the road against the Jazz since 2001, but having won nine of their last 10 heading into Sunday’s game, you’re probably best off avoiding the head-to-head market. Instead, focus on the first-half: the Bucks are 21-9 when it comes to covering the first-half spread on the road, and it helps knowing they also average more points away from home (108.8) than they do at home.

Saturday 2nd March

Atlanta Hawks v Chicago Bulls
11.30am

Bulls To Win @ $2.15

Chicago looks well under the odds at this price. The Bulls have won five of their last 10 and four of their last five road games, while they were also the 11th highest scoring side in the month of February. Jim Boylen’s side have found an extra gear since trading for Otto Porter, and although the Hawks have been competitive at home, they have allowed the most points at home this season. These two side have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, so while the Bulls are hot, make sure you jump on board.

Brooklyn Nets v Charlotte Hornets
11.30am

Nets 1-10 @ $3.00

Sticking with the Nets for the second week in a row. Brooklyn came back from six-points down at three-quarter time to win 117-115 when these two sides met last Sunday. Charlotte, who currently have allowed the sixth-most points to opposing guards this season, had no answer for D’Angelo Russell in the final quarter. The 23-year-old finished with 40-points, tying a career high whilst shooting 45% from three. Seven of the last 10 meetings between these two sides have been determined by 10-points or less. Charlotte have also lost two of their last three by no more than five.

Sacramento Kings v Los Angeles Clippers
2.00pm

Clippers To Cover The Line (+3.5 Points)

The Clips have had no trouble with the Kings this season. They’ve won all three meetings between the two, including a 12-point win in Sacramento back in November. Los Angeles have been the top scoring side in the fourth quarter this season, while the Kings have allowed the seventh-most points in the final term. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 15.6 points-per-game against the Kings this year, and since the Clippers have been the fifth-best side to back against the spread on the road, don’t be surprised if they win this.

Friday 1st March

Indiana Pacers v Minnesota Timberwolves
11.00am

Under 221.5 Total Points

Unders looks the play in this one. The Wolves lost in overtime to the Hawks on Thursday, while the Pacers look to turn things around following a nine-point loss to the Mavericks. Indiana are averaging just 104-points during the second game of a back-to-back, while they’ve also been the second-best team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders at home. The average combined Total across the last three meetings between these two is 208.1 points, which suggests the Unders should well and truly come through.

Houston Rockets v Miami Heat
12.00pm

Over 218.5 Total Points

Two teams coming off two thrilling victories, what could possibly go wrong? The Heat and Warriors combined for 251-points on Thursday, while the Rockets and Hornets combined for 231. At home Miami have been the seventh-best side when it comes to backing the Overs, while the Rockets allowed the sixth-highest field goal percentage last month. In four of Houston’s last five road games they’ve combined for 220-points or more, making them good for another handy Total after finishing fifth in points scored during February.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Philadelphia 76ers
12.00pm

Thunder 1-10 @ $2.60

Did you know the Thunder have won 10-straight over the Sixers? When these sides met back in January the Thunder walked away with a narrow two-point win in Philadelphia, a game that saw Russell Westbrook and Paul George combine for 52-points. Over their last five meetings the Thunder have won four by 10-points or less, but most importantly, OKC rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed to opposing forwards and guards this season. That spells trouble for the Embiid-less Sixers, who have played just four of their last 10-games on the road.

Thursday 28th February

Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves
11.30am

HawksTo Win @ $2.55

Happy to take on a Hawks upset at this price. Atlanta hung tough with the Rockets at home on Tuesday to lose by only eight-points, but it’s worth noting they won the fourth quarter. With fond memories of a win over the Wolves late last year, Atlanta should also feel confident knowing Minnesota have lost four of their last five road games. The Wolves have allowed the eighth-most points in away games this month, and with Trae Young fresh from a 36-point game against Houston, you have to like this price.

Boston Celtics v Portland Trail Blazers
12.00pm

Blazers To Win @ $2.20

Tipping the Blazers to upset Boston at home on Thursday. If you missed the Celtics in Toronto on Wednesday, don’t bother watching the highlights. Boston lost by 23 after shooting just 38% from the field, while Kyrie Irving finished with seven-points. After a loss the Celtics are 12-11 this season, while they also average only 106.7 points in the second game of a back-to-back. That won’t cut it against a team like the Blazers who find themselves on a four-game win streak having won seven of their last 10. Portland have been the sixth-best scoring side in the league this month, while they’ve also allowed the ninth-fewest points-per-game on defense.

Player Pick: Kyrie Irving Under 25.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Dallas Mavericks v Indiana Pacers
12.30pm

Under 215.5 Total Points

There’s a handful of reasons to stick with the Total here. Dallas have been the sixth-best side when it comes to backing the Unders at home this year, while the Pacers have allowed the fewest points-per-game all month. When these two met last month, they combined for 210-points, while the average combined Total over their last 10 is also encouraging: 167.5. The Total has gone Under in Dallas’ last three games against Indiana, so we should be in for a low-scoring affair.

Utah Jazz v Los Angeles Clippers
1.00pm

Jazz to Cover The Line (-9.5 Points)

Three games separate the Clippers from the Jazz in the West. Los Angeles are 17-16 on the road this year, but did you know they’ve lost four straight games to Utah? All four losses came by 10-points or more, while the Jazz have covered the spread 57% of the time at home this season. Most importantly, Utah have been the second-highest scoring side in the league this month, and on a more personal note, it’s encouraging to know Donovan Mitchell has averaged 22.6 points-per-game against the Clips throughout his career.

Player Pick: Montrezl Harrell Over 16.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Wednesday 27th February

New York Knicks v Orlando Magic
11.30am

Under 215.5 Total Points

The Unders looks safe considering both the Knicks and the Magic rank inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this month. It’s hardly what you’d expect from two losing sides in the East, but after New York’s explosion against the Spurs on Monday, let’s not get too creative. The average Total over their last 10-games is 185.1 – well Under Wednesday’s margin. The Knicks are averaging the fifth-fewest points at home this year, while Orlando have allowed the ninth-lowest field goal percentage. In sum, that points towards a scrappy, low-scoring affair.

Toronto Raptors v Boston Celtics
12.00pm

Celtics at the Line (+4 Points)

We went through this last week when the Celtics took on the Bucks in Milwaukee, and even if Kyrie Irving sits, this still feels like a trap game. As the away underdog the Celtics have covered the line close to 57% of the time – good for eighth in the league. For what it’s worth, Boston have also covered 58% of the time against Conference opponents, while it’s also worth mentioning the Raptors have allowed the eighth-most points at home this month.

Player Pick: Kyle Lowry Under 14.5 Points @ $1.91

Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
1.30pm

Over 237 Total Points

Quick math: At home this month the Nuggets are averaging 120.5 points-per-game –and on the road, the Thunder are averaging 121.5. You don’t have to be a genius to work out those numbers spell Overs. Russell Westbrook looks back to his old self post All-Star break after putting up 41 against the Kings on Monday. Nikola Jokic is currently averaging 20-points against the Thunder, while these two have combined for a Total of 221.2 points over their last 10-games. Denver have been the seventh best Overs bet at home this season, so we should see a bit of a points-fest in this potential playoff preview.

Tuesday 26th February

Brooklyn Nets v San Antonio Spurs
11.30am

Nets To Win @ $1.80

More than happy to take the Nets on at this price. Brooklyn put on a clinic against the Hornets in Charlotte on Saturday, largely thanks to D’Angelo Russell’s clutch three-point shooting. The All-Star point-guard tied a career-high with his 40-point effort, while the Spurs fell by 12-points to the lowly Knicks on Monday. San Antonio are 3-7 during back-to-back games, but more importantly, they’ve allowed the fifth-highest three-point percentage to opposing guards this season. Back the Nets and D’Angelo Russell to have a big night.

Player Pick: D’Angelo Russell Over 23.5 Total Points @ $1.87

New Orleans Pelicans v Philadelphia 76ers
12.00pm

Under 240.5 Total Points

Might sound harsh, but the Sixers have been pathetic since returning from the All-Star break. Joel Embiid’s absence has this team averaging just 110.5 points, the eighth-lowest total so far in the second half. Despite the ongoing Anthony Davis saga, the Pelicans have quietly been going about their business. They beat the Lakers handily on Sunday, but these two have combined for an average Total of 207.7 points in their last 10-games. This margin looks a little too high.

Los Angeles Clippers v Dallas Mavericks
2.30pm

Under 230 Total Points

The Clippers hardly looked themselves last night as they failed to put up more than 96-points against an elite defensive side like the Nuggets. With that in mind, we’ll stick with the Unders on Tuesday considering Los Angeles average only 118.4 points during back-to-back games. The average combined Total between the Clippers and Mavs over their las 10-games is 209.7 points, while it’s also worth noting both sides rank inside the bottom 10 in points scored this month.

Monday 25th February

Orlando Magic v Toronto Raptors
7.30am

Under 219.5 Points

This game should tell us a lot about the Magic and their playoff chances. They face a tough road test against the Raptors in Toronto, but you’d be wise to stick with the Unders in this one. In four of their last five meetings the two have combined for 220-points or less, while both sides rank inside the Top 10 in fewest opponent points allowed this season. Although Kyle Lowry was absent, the Magic walked away 29-point winners when they last met in December. Nikola Vucevic had 30-points and 19 rebounds on his own, making the big man a worthwhile Props bet.

LA Clippers v Denver Nuggets
9.00am

Over 232 Points

We might be looking at a future playoff preview between these two playoff foes. The Clippers and Nuggets have split their two meetings one game apiece this year, with both games resulting in over 220-points. More importantly, each side ranks inside the Top 10 in points allowed this month, and on the back of a day’s rest, both should be up for a bit of a shootout.

San Antonio Spurs v New York Knicks
11.30am

Under 221.5 Points

Tough to trust the Spurs on the road, they’ve won just 11 of their 31 games away from home this season. At the same time, also tough to trust the Knicks at home – New York are 4-23 at the Garden sitting dead last in the East. San Antonio have won three-straight over the Knicks including January’s nine-point win in New York. Even so, neither of these sides jump out offensively. The Knicks have scored the fifth-fewest points this year, while the Spurs have failed to put up 120-points or more in seven of their last eight games.

Sunday 24th February

Philadelphia 76ers v Portland Trail Blazers
5.00am

Under 229.5 Total Points

The Sixers looked a little off on Friday without Joel Embiid. They still squeaked out a 106-102 win over the Heat, but their scoring ran cold in the third quarter. The Blazers, meanwhile, handed the Nets a 14-point loss on the road, and they’ll feel confident heading into this one knowing they last beat the Sixers by 34-points back in December. The Total has gone Under in five of the last seven games between these two, while the Sixers have combined to put up less than 230-points in four of their last five home games. Without Embiid on the court Philly are averaging nearly seven-points less, making the Unders more than safe.

Charlotte Hornets v Brooklyn Nets
11.00am

Nets at the Line (+2.0 Points)

Sticking with a Nets rebound following on from Friday’s horror loss to the Blazers. Brooklyn allowed 34-points during the third quarter in the 113-99 loss, while D’Angelo Russell shot just 4/16 from the field. The good news is the Nets do rank fourth in points scored during the third term, while they’ve also been the sixth best team to back against the spread this season. Charlotte got off to a slow start against the Wizards on Saturday with a new-look lineup that includes Miles Bridges in the starting five – hardly an ideal situation as they prepare for a back-to-back. Despite sitting seventh in theEast, they’ve been the sixth-worst scoring side this month, which explains their lousy 27-31 record.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Sacramento Kings
12.00pm

Kings at the Line (+7.0 Points)

Lots to reflect on following the Kings narrow two-point loss to the Warriors on Friday. It was a game Sacramento should have won, which makes Sunday’s seven-point line look a little generous as they head to OKC. The Kings are 7-3 against the spread vs the Thunder while they’ve also lost their last two road games by no more than two points. Sacramento left Oklahoma City with an 11-point win back in October, a game that saw Buddy Hield put up 25-points. Hield had 19 against the Warriors last week, so I’m happy to take the Kings on to keep this close.

Saturday 23rd February

Atlanta Hawks v Detroit Pistons
11.30am

Over 223.5 Total Points

The Hawks have been a fun little Overs bet this season. Atlanta hold the fourth-highest Overs percentage in the league behind the Spurs, Wizards and Celtics, while six of their last seven games have tallied 220-points or more. The same also goes for the Pistons, who have combined to put up 220-points or more in four of their last six. Blake Griffin is posting career-highs in points, while Trae Young is now flirting with the 20.0 points-per-game mark.

Memphis Grizzlies v Los Angeles Clippers
12.00pm

Grizzlies to Cover 1st Half Spread: (+0.5 Points)

Memphis have lost three of their last five games at home, so I’d stay well away from the head-to-head market. The good news is during three of those last five the Grizzlies have led at the half. Memphis also holds a 37-22 first half record against the spread – the best in the league. The Clippers lead the league in points scored in the fourth quarter, so again, don’t back the Grizzlies straight-up. Memphis have allowed the fewest points-per-game in the first half this season, so back the defence to set the tone.

Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
12.30pm

Mavericks at the Line (+3.5 Points)

Punters Service Announcement: do not trust the Nuggets on the road. Denver are 14-14 away from home this year, bad news as they travel to face a Dallas side that have lost just nine times at home all season. The Mavs are the second-best team in the league when it comes to covering the spread, but more importantly, their defence has been on fire this month. They’ve allowed the seventh-fewest points-per-game, compared to the Nuggets who find themselves inside the Top 10 in points allowed. Denver have lost their last three road games, one of which was to the Pistons. They haven’t won in Dallas since 2017, making the Mavs a huge upset chance.

Friday 22nd February

Philadelphia 76ers v Miami Heat
11.00am

Heat at the Line (+6.5 Points)

Should be a big test for the Sixers without Joel Embiid. The big man is set to miss at least a week with a knee injury, forcing the rest of Philly’s lineup to score points in the paint. The interesting part about Friday’s match up against the Heat is this: Miami have allowed the third-fewest points in the paint this season. They’re also the only team in the league with a better record on the road (15-14) than they have at home. The Heat delivered a blow to the Mavericks in Dallas right before the All-Star break, and with a 15-7 record against the spread this season, you have to like their chances with a healthy Goran Dragic returning.

Milwaukee Bucks v Boston Celtics
12.00pm

Bucks to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points)

The last time the Bucks met the Celtics they walked away with a 13-point victory in Boston. Giannis Antetokounmpo is still battling knee soreness, but there’s a variety of reasons to stick with the line on Friday. Mike Budenholzer’s side have covered the spread 63% of the time this season to rank first in the league. Boston have also allowed the fifth-most three-pointers over their last 10-games, bad news against a Bucks side that ranks second in points-per-game. The Celtics should see Kyrie Irving suit up for this one, but his knee remains a question mark as well. The same also goes for Aron Baynes and Gordon Howard, both of which look likely to miss this game with ankle trouble. In their last five wins the Bucks have won by nine-points or more, so this should be no trouble on the back of a week’s rest.

Los Angeles Lakers v Houston Rockets
2.30pm

Over 233 Total Points

The jury is still out on the health of LeBron James, but happy to stick with the Overs in this one. LeBron is averaging 23.2 points since returning to the side last month, but more importantly, the Total has gone Over in five of Houston’s last six trips to LA. Since we’re on the topic, James Harden is averaging 33.5 points against the Lakers, and not surprisingly, the Rockets also rank fifth in the same category over their last 10-games. There’s a chance we see some fireworks as Chris Paul and Rajon Rondo meet for the first time since last November’s spitting incident, but at least you can rest easy knowing the Rockets have put up 120-points or more in four of their seven games this month.

Friday 15th February

Orlando Magic v Charlotte Hornets
11.00am

Under 215 Total Points

Make sure you keep it simple and back the Unders on Friday. The Hornets have won 10-straight over the Magic following December’s 25-point win in Charlotte, while Orlando have held three of their last six opponents to under 90-points. Dig a little deeper and you’ll find both sides ranking inside the Top 10 in fewest points allowed this month. The Hornets also held Nikola Vucevic to just 12-points when they last met – the big man is averaging 13.8 points lifetime against Charlotte, so the Player Props market is worth a look.

Player Pick: Nikola Vucevic Under 21.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Atlanta Hawks v New York Knicks
11.30am

Over 224 Total Points

Big ask for the Knicks after Thursday’s hard-fought game against the Sixers. New York set a new franchise record with their 18th straight loss, and they’ll now travel to Atlanta on short rest. You can’t take the Hawks at this price, but the good news is the Overs looks tremendous value. Six of Atlanta’s seven games this month have gone Over 224-points. The Hawks also rank fourth in the league when it comes to backing the Overs, coming through close to 57% of the time.

Player Pick: John Collins Under 20.5 Total Points @ $1.87

New Orleans Pelicans v Oklahoma City Thunder
12.00pm

Thunder To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

Even with Anthony Davis in the lineup, New Orleans saw just three-points from their disgruntled star during a 30-point blowout loss to the Magic on Wednesday. It’s good news for OKC considering Davis piled on 44-points during the Pelicans’ win back in December. The Thunder have not only won nine of their last 10, but they also rank second in points scored this month. Three of those nine victories have come by 10-points or more, meaning this one could get a little out of hand.

Player Pick: Steven Adams Over 14.5 Total Points @ $1.91

Thursday 14th February

Toronto Raptors v Washington Wizards
11.30am

Over 233 Total Points

Plenty of reasons to love the Overs in this one. Pascal Siakam, Kawhi Leonard and Serge Ibaka combined for 65-points during Toronto’s win over the Nets on Tuesday, while the Wizards have averaged 120.7 points across their last seven games – good for second-most in that span. Toronto will debut Jeremy Lin on Thursday, while the Wizards will be hoping for more involvement from Jabari Parker and Jeff Green. The Total has gone over 230-points in five of the Wizards’ six games this month, ranking them alongside the Raptors as two of the Top 10 best teams when it comes to backing the Overs this season.

Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
12.30pm

Heat To Win @ $2.20

Willing to take on the Heat at these odds despite Tuesday’s meltdown against the Nuggets. Miami are the only team in the league with a better record on the road (14-14) than at home (11-16), while their 10-point win over the Mavs in Dallas three weeks ago stands them in good stead to pull off another upset. The Mavericks were disgraced by the Rockets earlier this week as Luka Doncic hit just 7/17 from the field. With just two wins from their last 10-games against Miami, they could easily find themselves on the back-foot at home.

Player Pick: Tim Hardaway Jr. Over 15.5 Total Points @ $1.83

Denver Nuggets v Sacramento Kings
1.00pm

Nuggets 11+ @ $2.15

The 38-18 Nuggets are one of the few teams you can lock in for a Top 3 seed. Even after their loss to the Sixers last week, Denver bounced-back to pound Miami by 16-points two days later. The Kings fell by a similar margin when they traveled to the Pepsi Center back in October, a game that saw Nikola Jokic put up a double-double. Denver is teasing us with a potential Isaiah Thomas return, but this really boils down to the third best offence in the league facing a Kings defence that has allowed the most offensive rebounds all season.

Wednesday 13th February

Philadelphia 76ers v Boston Celtics
12.00pm

Sixers to Cover The Line (-5.5 Points)

Tough to see the Celtics staying competitive in this one without Kyrie Irving. It’s panic stations in Boston right now after blowing back-to-back games to the Lakers and Clippers, leaving plenty of questions left unanswered as the Celtics travel to Philly on Wednesday. With Kyrie off the court the Celtics average exactly 9.7 points less – a recipe for disaster against a Sixers side that holds the fourth best home record in the league.

Player Pick: Joel Embiid Under 27.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Memphis Grizzlies v San Antonio Spurs
12.00pm

Under 209 Total Points

Playing it safe with the Points market in this one. To get technical for a second, Memphis are currently allowing the sixth-lowest opponent field-goal percentage in the league. That’s bad news for a team like the Spurs, considering San Antonio rank third in offensive field goal percentage this season. Memphis are also the No.1 team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders, coming through close to 65% of the time. These two put up only 182-points when they last met back in January, leaving Wednesday’s Total looking a little high.

Player Pick: Mike Conley Over 20.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Golden State Warriors v Utah Jazz
2.30pm

Warriors 1-10 @ $2.55

Make no mistake about it, the Jazz hold the upper hand over the Warriors. Utah have won four of their last five games against Golden State, including a 108-103 win in Utah back in December. A trip to Oracle is a different story, but did you catch a load of the Dubs’ struggles against the Heat on Monday? Even after a 39-point performance from Kevin Durant, the Warriors only managed to squeak out a late two-point win. That won’t fly against the fourth-best defensive side in the league, leaving us with what could be another close one as the fourth quarter winds down.

Player Pick: Kevin Durant To Score 27+ Points and Warriors Win @ $2.75

Tuesday 12th February

Chicago Bulls v Milwaukee Bucks
12.00pm

Over 226 Total Points

Happy to play it safe with the Points market in this one. The Bulls have been the sixth best team in the league when it comes to backing the Unders this year, although they have managed to put up 120-points or more in their last three games. Milwaukee, meanwhile, are fresh from a 20-point blowout to the Magic on Sunday without Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Greek Freak returns for this one, so look for the Bucks to make a statement.

Houston Rockets v Dallas Mavericks
12.00pm

Mavs at the Line (+10.5 Points)

Six wins from their last 10 has the Mavericks flirting with a playoff spot, but even after Luka Doncic’s 28-point performance during Monday’s win over the Blazers, Dallas still finds themselves as the underdog. On the flip side, the last time these two sides met in Houston the Mavs walked away with a 20-point victory, and it’s worth noting Dallas also held James Harden to under 30-points. The Mavs are also the best team in the NBA when it comes to covering the spread, and with a generous line, they can easily keep this close.

Oklahoma City Thunder v Portland Trail Blazers
12.00pm

Over 231 Total Points

If you missed Oklahoma City’s comeback against the Rockets on Saturday, make sure you check out Paul George’s stats. The DPOY favourite put up 45-points on 6/14 shooting from beyond the arc, leading the Thunder to a huge 117-112 win. Damian Lillard has also put up some special numbers of his own in recent weeks, combining for 54-points across his last two games. This one has Overs written all over it.

Monday 11th February

Philadelphia 76ers v Los Angeles Lakers
7.30am

Lakers to Cover the Line (+6)

The Lakers have had all weekend to enjoy their buzzer beater win over the Celtics and now take on another Eastern Conference contender in the 76ers. LA has been on the road for a week and after plenty of hype around their trade deadline activities (or lack thereof) this is the side that LeBron James has to work with for the rest of the season. Both sides have been a bit up and down as of late and this has the makings of a tight contest so I’ll take the Lakers to cover here.

Atlanta Hawks v Orlando Magic
11.30am

Orlando to Cover the Line (-2.5)

The second meeting between these sides in less than a month, the Magic rolled to a 19 point win in Atlanta and are favoured to make it back to back wins over the Hawks in 2019. The Magic have not travelled well this season with a 9-17 record on the road but the Hawks 8-15 record at home doesn’t inspire a whole lot of confidence in that side either. The Magic are in better form and if you like them head to head, the -2.5 line is worth adding on as well.

Golden State Warriors v Miami Heat
12.30pm

Over 222 Points @ $1.91

Two and a half games clear at the top of the Western Conference, Golden State is looking for its fourth straight win here and are at a very short price to beat the Heat. With an 8-2 record against their Floridian opponents in the last 10 meetings it’s easy to see why the two sides are so far apart in the market. Even with a 25-28 record the Heat are still able to be competitive in most of their matches, only averaging a -0.5 points per game differential so the 14 point line is probably worth staying away from. What we can expect from this game though is points, lots and lots of points so back this to be a high scoring contest that clears the 222 Total Points number with ease.

Sunday 10th February

Utah Jazz v San Antonio Spurs
9.00am

Spurs at the Line (+6 Points)

The Spurs have now lost three-straight games, two of which have hardly been close. That’s also been a recurring theme when they meet with the Jazz. Their last two games have been decided by 13-points or more. Still feeling confident San Antonio can keep this one close though, especially considering they’ve been the among the 10 best teams in the league against the spread. Utah have won seven of their last 10, but their 18-15 record at home leaves a lot to be desired, especially after last Sunday’s blowout 27-point home loss to the Rockets.

Boston Celtics v Los Angeles Clippers
12.00pm

Clippers at the Line (+11.5 Points)

Can the Celtics rebound from Friday’s shocker against the Lakers? Revenge on Rajon Rondo will have to wait, but at least Boston can take out their frustrations on LA’s little brother… right? The Clippers are an absolute puzzle after losing by 24-points to the Pacers last week, but they have won seven of their last 10-games against the Celtics. The concerning thing for Boston is just how easily they relinquished a double-digit lead to the Lakers. With a less than healthy Kyrie, Marcus Morris and Daniel Theis, this line looks way too generous.

Houston Rockets v Oklahoma City Thunder
12.30pm

Under 235.5 Total Points

Plenty of great odds on offer in this potential playoff match up, but you’ve got to play it safe with the Points market. You’d think with leading MVP favourite James Harden, as well as Russell Westbrook and his endless triple-double streak, the Overs would be safe, right? Wrong. Defensively, both sides rank inside the Top 10 in opponent three-point percentage, meaning this one could turn into a bit of a slugfest. The Total has gone over 230-points just once in their last five match ups, so the Unders looks safe.

Saturday 9th February

Denver Nuggets v Philadelphia 76ers
11.00am

Sixers 11+

Hard to look past the Sixers at home. We should get a good look at Philly’s new starting five following the Tobias Harris deal, while a red-hot Joel Embiid – who hit three three-pointers during Tuesday’s loss to the Raptors – makes this team a huge handful. There’s no trusting the Nuggets on the road right now. A five-point loss to the Nets in Brooklyn on Thursday contributed to their average 14-13 away record, and with their last win in Philly coming way back in 2016, it’ll be interesting to see how they handle this new-look Sixers side beaming with Ben Simmons confidence.

Dallas Mavericks v Milwaukee Bucks
12.30pm

Mavs at the Line (+8 Points)

Despite both sides at opposite ends of their respective conferences, this still looks a tricky one to predict. The Bucks and the Mavs are the best two sides in the league when it comes to covering the spread this season, but it’s worth noting Milwaukee haven’t won in Dallas since 2013. Even with a two-game winning streak, you can’t back Dallas straight-up, but don’t sleep on the Mavs keeping this close. Their last three losses have come by eight-points or less.

Sacramento Kings v Miami Heat
2.00pm

Heat To Win @ $2.25

Riding with the Heat in a bit of an upset on the road. Miami’s officially reached that point in the season where they need to decide if they are a playoff contender or not, and with the Kings ranking inside the bottom 10 in field-goal percentage over their last 10-games, this might be a perfect game to do so. The Heat have allowed the third-lowest opponent field-goal percentage this season, so this could be a long night for De’Aaron Fox.

Friday 8th February

Indiana Pacers v Los Angeles Clippers
12.30pm

Pacers 1-10 @ $2.70

Sticking with the Pacers and their three-game win streak in this one. Indiana piled on the points during their 42-point win over the Lakers on Wednesday, while the Clippers required all four quarters to take care of the Hornets on the road. LA haven’t won in Indiana since 2016, and life is about to get even tougher following Tobias Harris’ trade to the Sixers. Four of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, so let’s go for some value in the margin market.

Player Pick: Myles Turner Over 14.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Boston Celtics v Los Angeles Lakers
1.30pm

Lakers at the Line (+8.5 Points)

All signs point towards LeBron playing on Friday against the Celtics. He suffered the worst loss of his career on Wednesday against the Pacers, but don’t forget, the TD Garden has been more than fruitful for The King in recent years. Boston pummeled LA by 11-points when these two sides met last season, but with Marcus Morris and Kyrie Irving still not 100%, expect a closer affair this time around.

Player Pick: LeBron James Over 26.5 Total Points @ $1.87

Portland Trail Blazers v San Antonio Spurs
2.30pm

Over 225.5 Total Points

The Blazers have been a tough play at home this season losing only eight of their 30-games at the Moda Center. The Spurs prepare for a back-to-back following last night’s loss against the Warriors, and with the season series tied two games apiece, it’s worth noting the Spurs are the best side in the league when it comes to backing the Over. With DeMar DeRozan and Damian Lillard combining for 73-points when these two sides met back in December, the Points market looks safe.

Player Pick: Damian Lillard Over 26.5 Total Points @ $1.80

Thursday 7th February

Chicago Bulls v New Orleans Pelicans
12.00pm

Bulls To Win @ $1.87

Thanks to the ongoing Anthony Davis saga, this is one of the rare occasions where you’ll find the Bulls as the favourites at home. The Pelicans have listed their star forward as questionable with a finger injury, so it’ll be interesting to see if he plays since the Lakers have reportedly pulled out of trade talks. If Davis does miss this game, there’s no reason the Bulls can’t win, especially with Julius Randle and Nikola Mirotic also doubtful to play.  Bobby Portis dropped 33-point during the Bulls’ loss to the Hornets on Sunday, and if fellow trade candidate Jabari Parker suits up, Chicago look good money to get the job done.

Milwaukee Bucks v Washington Wizards
12.00pm

Over 230 Total Points

Fairly happy to stick with the Points market in this one despite Milwaukee’s four-game winning streak. The Wizards are down and out following the announcement of John Wall’s season ending achilles injury, but they do hold something in common with the Bucks: both sides rank Top 10 in points-per-game. It shouldn’t be surprising to learn that these two put up 246-points when they met four days ago, while the Wizards, even without Wall, remain the second-best team in the league when it comes to backing the Overs.

Sacramento Kings v Houston Rockets
2.00pm

Rockets 1-10 @ $3.00

The Kings find themselves as the underdog at home against a Rockets side that have now strung together two-straight wins. Houston are 8-2 in their last 10-games against Sacramento, and you only need to peek at James Harden’s 34-point outing when these two met back in November to get a feel for how this one might play out. Unfortunately for Houston, they may have to make do without Eric Gordon on Thursday, who is questionable with a knee issue. The Rockets are averaging nearly four-points less when Gordon is off the court, so look for the Kings to keep this close.

Wednesday 6th February

Charlotte Hornets v Los Angeles Clippers
11.00am

Hornets to Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)

Make sure you stick with the Hornets at home today. The Clippers continue to look mediocre having won just five of their last 10-games, while Charlotte remain great value at home. Los Angeles destroyed the Pistons on Sunday, only to back it up with an equally poor performance against the Raptors a day later. Doc Rivers’ side look tough to trust, especially with Danilo Gallinari out and a less than 100% Tobias Harris.

Philadelphia 76ers v Toronto Raptors
12.00pm

Sixers 1-10 @ $3.00

The 34-19 Sixers find themselves 5.5 games away from the top of the East, but they still look a great chance at home today. Philly haven’t lost at home to Toronto since 2017, and their 21-5 record at Wells Fargo Center this season looks legit. Toronto should keep this close with Kyle Lowry playing despite a back injury. The Sixers now rank fourth in points-per-game however, so take them 1-10.

Memphis Grizzlies v Minnesota Timberwolves
12.00pm

Grizzlies at the Line (+1 Point)

Karl Anthony-Towns emerged the hero when these two met last month, banking home a game-winning jump shot to send the Wolves home 99-97 winners. They’ll now head to Memphis as the favourites despite having not won a game at the FedEx Forumin since 2016. The Grizzlies have won just two of their last 10, but they are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven-games against Minnesota. Expect this one to be another nail-biter.

Tuesday 5th February

Brooklyn Nets v Milwaukee Bucks
11.30am

Bucks to Win by 11+

A relative mismatch between two in-form Eastern Conference sides that may find themselves matched up in the opening round of the playoffs. The Nets sit in the sixth seed thanks in large part to a 7-3 run in their last 10 games while the Bucks have soared to the top of the East going 9-1 and have the best points difference in the conference. The Bucks have dominated this matchup as of late, winning nine of the last ten meetings and covering the spread on six occasions. They average about 10 points more per game than the Nets here and should find a way to win big.

Sacremento Kings v San Antonio Spurs
2.00pm

Spurs to Win by 1-10

A great clash to close out today’s slate of games and the market suggests this one should go right down to the wire. Five games separate these sides in the Western Conference standings the Kings would love to back up a November victory over San Antonio. The thing is that was the only time the Kings have won in the last ten meetings and a return to form here should see a tight San Antonio victory.

Monday 4th February

Boston Celtics v Oklahoma City Thunder
6.00am

Celtics to Win by 11+

Boston got February off to a winning start over the weekend topping the Knicks in New York and they will want to take part in a very successful day for the city of Boston. With the Bruins in action overnight in the NHL and the Patriots closing things out in the Super Bowl, the Celtics should be able to take care of business against the Thunder. The Celtics have won eight of their last nine games and have won four of those games by double digits. The Green Teamers won the first meeting between these sides in Oklahoma and should pick up a comfortable win here.

Toronto Raptors v Los Angeles Clippers
7.00am

Clippers to Cover the Line (+10.5)

The Raptors sit just behind the Bucks as they chase top spot in the Eastern Conference and will want to bounce back from their last start loss to Milwaukee. It has been a rough go in the past week for the Raptors losing three of their last four while the Clippers have taken four of their last six. This will be the second of a six game, road trip but they have been good away from home with a 14-12 record. If the Raptors can pull out a win it will be a tight one so back the Clippers to cover for a bit of insurance.

Sunday 3rd February

Los Angeles Clippers vs Detroit Pistons
8.00am

Clippers

The Clippers will be looking to bounce back after two straight losses but will have to do it away to the Pistons. Tobias Harris has helped his team to a 28-24 record for the season and has been the difference in many match ups. A five point loss to the Hawks was followed by a disappointing loss to cross town rivals The Lakers by three points. It was Lou Williams who chimed in with 24 points in that loss the the Lakers as Harris was kept quiet. The Clippers can bounce back here.

Washington Wizards vs Milwaukee Bucks
1.00pm

Bucks -6.5

The Bucks are coming off two impressive wins against the Pistons and Raptors and look locks against an inconsistent Wizards team. The Bucks find themselves on top of the Eastern Conference and are more than a threat to take out the NBA Championship. Goannis Antetokounmpo is averaging 26.4 points to go along with his 12.6 rebounds and he can cause all sorts of problems for the Wizards in this one.

San Antonio Spurs vs New Orleans Pelicans
2.00pm

Spurs -10.5

The Spurs are on a four game winning streak and are making quite a run in the Western Conference. This current streak started against the Pelicans in New Orleans LaMarcus Aldridge shot 60% from the field and racked up 28 points as well as collecting 12 rebounds. This seems a no brainer and the Spurs can cover the line.

Saturday 2nd February

Charlotte Hornets vs Memphis Grizzlies
11.00am

Hornets 1-10

The Grizzlies should bounce-back in this one after dropping three of their last four-games in blowout fashion to the Celtics, Bucks and Pacers. The Hornets won their last meeting against the Grizzlies a week ago to make it three-straight over Memphis. Kemba Walker dropped a casual 21-points in that one, but since the Grizzlies have quickly turned into a Top 10 defensive side overnight, this one might be a little closer.

Utah Jazz vs Atlanta Hawks
1.00pm

Under 226.5 Total Points

Even after upsetting the Clippers earlier in the week it’s still hard to sell the Hawks as an upset chance. Atlanta lost by 22-points to the Kings on Thursday, but that hardly compares to Utah’s 27-point drubbing at the hands of the Blazers. The Jazz have surprisingly lost seven of their last 10 against Atlanta while the Under has come good on six separate occasions. With the margin set high, that looks to be the safest play.

Denver Nuggets vs Houston Rockets
2.00pm

Nuggets 1-10

Sticking with the Nuggets in this one. The Rockets have been so up and down against elite teams this season, most recently losing to the Pelicans at home on Wednesday. It takes more than just a 30-point performance to win a game, and it looked as though Houston’s rotation looked a little off with Chris Paul back on the court. He’s listed as questionable for this one, but it probably doesn’t mean much considering the Nuggets are 22-4 at home this year.

Friday 1st February

Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks
11.00am

Mavericks at the Line (+7.5 Points)

Hard not to be impressed with the way the Mavericks picked apart the Knicks on Thursday. Harrison Barnes shot 50% from the field for 19-points in the blowout win, leaving Dallas looking a little over at this price. The Mavs haven’t won in Detroit since 2016 mind you, but they are also the best team in the league against the spread. Their most recent win against Detroit came on Saturday in a game that saw Luka Doncic put up 32-points.

Player Pick: Blake Griffin Over 5.5 Assists @ $1.83

Toronto Raptors vs Milwaukee Bucks
12.00pm

Over 228.5 Total Points

Tipping the Overs in this one considering just how dominant both sides have been on attack. The Bucks and the Raptors both rank Top 10 in points-per-game this season, while Toronto have been the third best team in the league when it comes to backing the Overs. Giannis Antetokounmpo dropped 43-points when these two met last month and there’ll also be a healthy Kawhi Leonard on the court to contend with. This is potentially the last meeting of the year between Toronto and Milwaukee, with the Bucks up on the series 2-1.

Player Pick: Kyle Lowry Over 14.5 Points @ $1.87

Golden State Warriors vs Philadelphia 76ers
2.30pm

Warriors 1-10 @ $2.50

Sticking with the Warriors in a close one here. Golden State have had it easy winning 11 straight games, but they haven’t faced a defensive side like Philly in recent weeks. The Sixers have now won six of their last 10 including a blowout win over the Lakers on Wednesday. They’ve also allowed the eighth and ninth lowest opponent field-goal and three-point percentage against. Tough to see Brett Brown’s side pulling off a win, but the Sixers could keep this interesting.

Player Pick: Steph Curry Under 27.5 Total Points @ $1.91

Thursday 31st January

New York Knicks vs Dallas Mavericks
10.30am

Knicks at the Line (+6 Points)

The Knicks have serious issues with their rotation, while the Mavs simply can’t seem to find consistency from their top stars. It stands to reason that the Knicks can win this game however, especially when you consider Dallas are a whopping 4-20 on the road this season. New York are also 2-1 in their last three meetings with the Mavs, and with Trey Burke and Kevin Knox showing signs of improvement, the Knicks could at the very least keep this close.

Player Pick: Dennis Smith Jr. Over 13.5 Points @ $1.80

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers
12.00pm

Wizards To Win @ $1.95

The Pacers were torn apart by the Warriors on Tuesday allowing a combined 48-points to a lethal Steph Curry and Boogie Cousins. The cracks have begun to show following Victor Oladipo’s injury, which doesn’t spell good news on the road against Washington. The Wizards were embarrassed by the Cavs on Tuesday, but the one bright spot was Bradley Beal’s 31-points. The Pacers have allowed the eighth-most three’s per-game this season, so look for Washington to spread the floor and find space for Beal to do his thing.

Player Pick: Otto Porter Jr. Over 6.5 Rebounds @ $2.05

Portland Trail Blazers vs Utah Jazz
2.30pm

Over 218 Total Points

Don’t be fooled by Utah’s placing in the West. Three straight wins over the Nuggets and Wolves (twice) has the Jazz well in the hunt for home-court playoff advantage, and they’ll move one step closer with a win over Portland on Thursday. The Jazz have won six of their last 10 over the Blazers, including a 21-point blowout back in December. Portland got one back when these two met last week, but keep in mind, Donovan Mitchell put up a season-high 36-points in that one. With Mitchell hitting full stride and a healthy Damian Lillard returning for the Blazers, don’t look past the Overs.

Player Pick: Damian Lillard Over 22.5 Total Points @ $1.80

Wednesday 30th January

Orlando Magic vs Oklahoma City Thunder
11.00am

Magic at the Line (+5 Points)

Now riding a three-game winning streak, the Thunder will head into Orlando knowing they’ve won seven of their last 10-games over the Magic. You certainly can’t take Steve Clifford’s side lightly though, especially considering the Magic are 6-1 against the spread in their last seven games against OKC. The Thunder have won their last two match ups on the road, but keep in mind this is the same team that lost by 18 a fortnight ago in Atlanta. OKC are a Top 3 defensive side, so they should win this one. Just don’t be surprised if Aaron Gordon, who is fresh off back-to-back double-doubles, keeps it close.

Player Pick: Aaron Gordon Over 7.5 Rebounds @ $1.80

Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls
11.30am

Nets 1-10 @ $2.70

Are the Bulls building towards another win anytime soon? Chicago have won just one of their last 10-games, and somehow managed to allow a huge 15-point lead to slip away against the Clippers on Saturday. Give them credit, Chicago have at least been competitive, which should be enough to challenge a Nets side fresh from an eight-point loss to the Celtics yesterday. Another double-digit performance from Robin Lopez and Lauri Markkanen could really challenge Brooklyn if they see little production from their starters for the second night in a row.

Player Pick: Kris Dunn Over 12.5 Points @ $1.87

Houston Rockets vs New Orleans Pelicans
12.00pm

Over 234.5 Total Points

The Anthony Davis trade talk has sent the NBA into a frenzy, and as we’ve seen in the past, these kinds of things turn out to be a huge distraction for the team in mention. The good news is Davis plans to play out the rest of the season, which should at least keep the Pelicans competitive against the Rockets on Wednesday. Houston have won seven of their last 10 over New Orleans, which includes last month’s four-point victory. Unfortunately, the Pelicans had no answer for James Harden that night as the MVP favourite splashed home 41-points. With that in mind, and the fact that both sides rank Top 10 in offensive rating, the Overs looks to be the value.

Player Pick: James Harden to Score 10+ Points in the 1st Quarter @ $2.50

Tuesday 29th January

Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors
11.00am

Warriors To Cover The Line (-7 Points)

A 10-game winning streak has the Warriors in the driver’s seat, and not surprisingly, they are the odds on favourite against a Pacers team still reeling from the loss of Victor Oladipo. What is surprising however, is Golden State’s record against Indiana. The Dubs are just 4-12 in their last 17 road games against the Pacers, but with the best field-goal percentage in the league, this should test Indiana’s young lineup. The Pacers are still a very strong team even with their star player done for the year, but with the Warriors on the back of a huge win over the Celtics in Boston on Saturday, it’s hard to see the line being enough here.

Boston Celtics vs Brooklyn Nets
11.30am

Nets To Win @ $4.33

Boston have now had two days to reflect on their loss to the Warriors on Saturday, but they’ll need to keep their sights set on the Nets in this one. The Celtics had won 10-straight over the Nets before Brooklyn upset Boston a fortnight ago. Since then the Nets have gone on a six-game unbeaten run, which makes them worth a look at this price. If that’s not enough to lure you in, Kyrie Irving is also set to miss this game with a hip strain.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets
12.00pm

Under 206.5 Total Points

Denver still find themselves just a game and a half behind the Warriors in the Western Conference. The Nuggets have also won seven of their last 10-games, but they’ll need to be wary of this Grizzlies side tonight. Memphis can turn up the heat at home, as the Pacers found out the hard way on Sunday. The good news is Denver are 4-2 in their last six-games against Memphis, but since both sides rank Top 10 in overall defensive rating, the Unders probably holds more value.

Saturday 26th January

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards
11.00am

Under 218 Total Points

How will the Wizards respond from last night’s beatdown against the Warriors? Bradley Beal still chipped in for 22-points, but on short rest it’s hard to back Washington as underdogs. Orlando have won two of their last three-games against the Wizards, but with just three wins in their last 10, the Magic are just as hard to trust. Fortunately, the Total has gone Under in four of Orlando’s last five home games against the Washington, so that looks to be the play here.

Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets
12.30pm

Bucks to Cover The Line (-11 Points)

Giannis Antetokounmpo put up a monstrous 31-points on the Mavericks on Tuesday, and the Bucks will be counting on a repeat performance today if they wish to stay atop the Eastern Conference standings. Milwaukee also lead the league in another important category – against the spread. Coming through close to 61% of the time, Milwaukee have been the best team to back at the line this season, and with Charlotte a measly 7-16 on the road, the Bucks should have no trouble today.

Utah Jazz vs Minnesota Timberwolves
1.00pm

Unders

Utah pulled off a big win over the Nuggets on Thursday to keep themselves well in the hunt for home-court advantage come playoffs. That’s exactly what they’ll have today as they face the Wolves at home, but after Minnesota’s win over the Lakers yesterday, Utah certainly have their hands full. Three of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, but with both sides ranking Top 10 in defensive rating, the Under looks a lot safer.

Friday 25th January

Washington Wizards vs Golden State Warriors
12.00pm

Warriors to Cover The Line (-9 Points)

The Warriors have finally clicked into gear having now won eight straight games. Golden State picked apart the Lakers earlier this week, and they now turn their attention to a Wizards team that still look a serious playoff contender. The Dubs have won eight of their last 10 meetings against Washington, and not surprisingly, the Warriors lead the league in field-goals made. The Wizards, meanwhile, have allowed the seventh-highest opponents field-goal percentage this year, which could add up to a bit of a blowout.

Oklahoma City Thunder vs New Orleans Pelicans
12.00pm

Thunder to Cover The Line (-13 Points)

Oklahoma City have seemingly curved their midseason woes with three-straight wins over the Sixers, Knicks, and Blazers. A home game against New Orleans sees them as the favourite in this one, and with the third-best defence in the league, it’s hard to disagree. Keep in mind four of the last five meetings between these two have been decided by 10-points or less, but with Anthony Davis and Nikola Mirotic out for the Pelicans, this one should be a lot more one-sided.

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves
2.30pm

Lakers To Win @ $2.00

LeBron has been ruled out for this one, leaving the Lakers at the wide price as they prepare to host the Wolves. Minnesota have now won two-straight, but it’s important to remember both victories came against the lowly Suns. Los Angeles are hurting right now, although they could receive an added boost in the form of Rajon Rondo. Over the last week, Minnesota rank in the bottom half of the league in points and field goals made. This looks a nice price for LA to get one back.