2020 Melbourne Cup Day Preview


2020 Melbourne Cup Day tips are crucial if you want to finish in front on the big day and we have them right here at your disposal.

We have analysed every single horse across the entire card and our complete 2020 Melbourne Cup Day tips can be found below!

Race 1 - 10:45am

Group 3 Darley Maribyrnong Plate (1000m)

This is always a tough way to start the day as a number of the runners in this field will be making their racing debuts.

On exposed form, there is no doubt that Ingratiating is the horse to beat.

He showed a lovely turn-of-foot to win on debut at Flemington and he already looks like a professional galloper.

There is no reason that he can’t make it two wins from as many starts.

2.5 Units Ingratiating

Race 2 - 11:20am

Listed World Horse Racing Desirable Stakes (1400m)

Sydney three-year-old form has stacked up pretty well in Melbourne during the Spring Racing Carnival to date and Joviality can continue that in this contest.

She wasn’t beaten far in the Flight Stakes and she followed that up with a very tough second place finish in the Reginald Allen Quality.

The wide barrier draw isn’t ideal and she will need some luck in running, but I am confident that she is the class filly in this field.

2.5 Units Joviality

Race 3 - 12:00pm

Schweppervescence Plate (1000m)

This is an open betting contest, but Harlem Blues can make a winning return to the contest.

He won his only previous start over 1000 metres in dominant fashion and I am confident that he is a better horse than his overall record suggests.

I don’t want to get too heavily involved in this contest, but I am happy to gamble on Harlem Blues at the current price.

1 Unit Harlem Blues

Race 4 - 12:40pm

The Macca’s Run (2800m)

This is another very tricky betting race.

I am happy to take on Yonkers and Sin To Win appeals at a juicy prize.

He doesn’t win out of turn, but Sin To Win does like these extended staying trips and he has been heading in the right direction this campaign.

Barrier 15 means that he will get a long way back in the run, but he will be storming home late in what is far from the strongest race.

1 Unit Sin To Win

Race 5 - 1:20pm

TAB Trophy (1900m)

Ain’tnodeeldun looks like the best bet of the day on Melbourne Cup Day.

He has scored two wins on the trot and there was plenty to like about the way that he found the line to win the Hill Smith Stakes at Morphettville.

The form coming out of that race has been strong, Victoria Quay finished second and won the Wakeful Stakes, and I don’t think this race is any tougher.

He is deserving of his status as a dominant favourite.

5 Units Ain’tnodeeldun

Race 6 - 1:55pm

Grinders Coffee Roasters Trophy (1400m)

The decision to geld Groundswell has paid off in a big way and he heads into this contest of the back of two impressive wins at Cranbourne and The Valley.

The way that he put away his rivals at The Valley last start was particularly impressive and there is no reason that he can’t make it three wins on the trot.

Tavidance looks the main danger.

His first-up record is excellent and he finished his Winter campaign with an outstanding six lengths win at Flemington.

I am happy to back them both at their current odds.

2 Units Groundswell

1.5 Units Tavidance

Race 7 - 3:00pm

Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m)

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This is an outstanding edition of the Melbourne Cup and I believe this is the strongest version that we have seen in a number of years.

Tiger Moth has the perfect profile to win the modern Melbourne Cup.

He is a lightly-raced stayer that is in a similar mould to the likes of Rekindling, Cross Counter and last year’s unlucky runner Il Paradiso.

The wide barrier draw isn’t ideal, but he does have tactical versatility and I still think that he is the horse to beat.

Not many winners of the Ladbrokes Cox Plate press on to the Melbourne Cup, but when they do they generally run well.

Sir Dragonet was tough at the end of a very solidly run Ladbrokes Cox Plate and I don’t think 3200 metres will be an issue for him.

I am happy to back him on class.

Punters have been quick to desert Russian Camelot, but to me he has been racing like a horse that is crying out for an extended trip.

The horse is still going very well, you can’t knock placings in the Caulfield Stakes and the Ladbrokes Cox Plate, and I think he is over the odds at his current price.

Warning is ticking along nicely and is another that will relish the step-up to 3200 metres.

Flemington is his track and I expect him to produce a better effort than his current odds suggest.

2 Units Tiger Moth

1.5 Units Sir Dragonet

1 Unit Russian Camelot

1/2 Unit Warning

Race 8 - 4:00pm

Listed Furphy Plate (1800m)

Homesman and Harbour Views are the two class horses in this field and I am happy to back them both.

Homesman returned to the races with an excellent win in the Crystal Mile and on his best form he does have a genuine class edge over the rest of this field.

He has carried big weights in the past and he maps to get a lovely run in transit from barrier four.

This is a serious drop in class for Harbour Views after running in the Ladbrokes Feehan Stakes, Underwood Stakes and the Caulfield Stakes.

I think this is a much more suitable target for him and he really does appeal at his current odds of $7.50.

2 Units Homesman

1.5 Units Harbour Views

Race 9 - 4:40pm

Listed The Hong Kong Jockey Club Stakes (1400m)

I am happy to bet around Lyre and that means there is plenty of value in this field.

It has been a while between race wins, but The Closer has been racing well in tougher races than this one and she wasn’t beaten far in the Tristarc Stakes.

She makes her own luck right on the speed and there is no reason that she can’t go closer at very juicy odds.

Thousand Wishes doesn’t win out of turn, but she is another horse that is well and truly over the odds at her current price.

1 Unit The Closer

1/2 Unit Thousand Wishes

Race 10 - 5:15pm

Listed MSS Security Sprint (1200m)

This is another contest with a huge amount of value.

Redouble wasn’t beaten far by It’s Me in The Kosciuszko and I think that the form coming out of that race will be fairly strong.

He is a better horse than his record suggests and $14 is outstanding value.

Shamino has been racing in much tougher company than this and he really wasn’t beaten that far in the Caulfield Sprint.

He has been well-backed early, but $10 is still a great price.

Update: Redouble has been scratched from the MSS Security Sprint.

1 Unit Redouble

1 Unit Shamino

Tips, recommendations and commentary are for entertainment only. We provide no warranty about accuracy or completeness. You should make your own assessment before placing a bet.