Did you have these two teams to make the Super Bowl at the start of the season? Don’t you dare lie to me.
It seems like just yesterday we were all wigging out that Jalen Carter was being ejected for spitting on Dak in the season opener and now we’re having serious debates about Sam Darnold or Drake Maye for Super Bowl MVP.
It’s been an absolutely bonkers NFL season and certainly one that no one saw coming.
The Seattle Seahawks return to the Super Bowl for their first appearance since that famous loss to who? The Patriots where they should’ve just given the damn ball to Marshawn Lynch.
It’s going to be spoken about a million times in the lead up so I will spare you all from the redemption chat we’re going to hear in the lead up to this one.
There isn’t many people at all in both these organisations that were around for that famous Super Bowl so I can’t imagine the players or staff are thinking about it at all.
Enough waffle, you’re here for my picks, let’s get stuck into it.
Here is my Super Bowl 60 preview.
I am with the Seahawks -4.5 ($1.90) in this game however my genuine tip for this Super Bowl is Over 45.5 Total Points ($1.90).
Both these teams excite me this year and I don’t want to have this game ruined for me as a sports fan by backing one side and having to watch an incredible performance from the otherside and not being able to enjoy it as a sports fan because I backed the opposite to happen.
For me in big games like this, my advice is always to back the overs and just enjoy the spectacle.
These two sides could really put a good game on too.
First Touchdown Scorer
Before Jalen Hurts was tush pushed over last year, a player from the favourite team had been the first TD scorer in the last six Super Bowls. While that streak is now dead I still think it’s a good trend to look at when trying to pick a few TD plays.
The Seahawks scored first in 14 of their 19 games this season and it was primarily Zach Charbonnet who only went and tore his ACL and is out of action. Charbs had five first TDs this year and Ken Walker combined for one more. Giving us six rushing first TDs for the season.
Ken Walker is the smart play in this market and at $4.40 he is the favourite in this market, he’s the obvious play and one to have but we’re here to go rogue, we’re here to go wide so I will include a couple more.
Jaxson Smith-Njigba was the first TD scorer in three games this season and is $6.60 to do it again here. I don’t mind that at all but in my eyes. The high IQ play is not only Rashid Shaheed but also the Seahawks DST.
Shaheed who is the Seahawks returner has run in two kick offs for touchdowns this season and is $21 for the first touchdown here, I think he’s worth a look in. HOWEVER if we also take the defensive and special teams market at $26 not only do we get Shaheed, we also get the entire defensive outfit. If Shaheed scores first, both those markets pay.
On the Patriots side of the ball, the stats are a bit bleaker. They only had first TD scorers in nine of their 20 games this season and the love was shared around a lot.
Demario Douglas was the only Pats player with multiple first TDs on the year with three and is $34 in this market.
It’s really a dart throw on the Patriots side of the ball here, for me I’m looking at Drake Maye, Rhamondre Stevenson and Hunter Henry.
There’s no real stats to back this up, I think it’s just pick a couple higher odds Pats and hope for the best.
My Picks
Seahawks
- Ken Walker $4.40
- Jaxson Smith-Njigba $6.60
- Rashid Shaheed $21
- Seahawks DST $26
Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson $9.50
- Hunter Henry $13
- Drake Maye $19
Player Yardage Markets
Drake Maye Over 220.5 Passing Yards $1.88: While he only threw for 86 yards total against the Broncos last week. Drake all year averaged the fourth most yards per game by any QB with 258.5. Seattle’s defence has given up 246.5 yards per game in the playoffs and this seems like a fairly short line for Maye.
Sam Darnold Over 229.5 Passing Yards $1.88: This one is harder to justify with the Patriots impressive defensive stats. The Pats allowed 193.5 passing yards per game in the regular season and just 138.3 per game in the playoffs but Darnold is coming off a 346 yard performance against the Rams. This is the Super Bowl, he’s gonna air that bitch out. I’m taking the overs.
Rhamondre Stevenson & TreVeyon Henderson to have 80+ Rushing Yards Combined $2.65: No one but Mike Vrabel knows the workload split Stevenson and Henderson are going to have. For a lot of the regular season it was all TreVeyon but last week against the Broncos, Rhamondre had 25 carries and Henderson saw only five. I’m combining them both in this game to protect myself and the Seahawks have allowed 110 rush yards per game in the playoffs so far. The only man that could spoil this for us is Drake Maye and his legs.
Jaxson Smith-Njigba Over 91.5 Receiving Yards $1.88: The man averages 105.5 rec yards a game this season and is coming off a 153 yard game against the Rams. He saw phat volume in that game and I don’t see that changing in the most important game of the year.
Anytime Touchdowns
Obviously the likes of Ken Walker ($1.57), Jaxson Smith-Njigba ($2.00) and Rhamondre Stevenson ($2.55) are worth a shout, especially if you’ve taken them for first TD scorer but I like looking down the list a bit further in the Super Bowl.
Cooper Kupp ($3.75) is already a Super Bowl MVP and could seriously step up for the Seahawks here. I don’t mind backing the experienced vet in this one. He also scored against the Rams.
The only touchdown against the Broncos came from Drake Maye ($4.40) and his legs last week. Could we see him put this Pats team on his back and run one in?
TreVeyon Henderson ($6.25) looks value to me, obviously he was next to no volume last week but Henderson is the type of RB that can explode for a TD at any point on the field. He just needs the ball.
Super Bowl MVP
This is a two horse race, like every year. There is a world where Jaxson Smith-Njigba ($6.00) can win this but the obvious tip in this market is to pick the QB of the team that you think will win.
Sam Darnold ($2.25) is the favourite and Drake Maye ($3.00) is next in the market. Take your pick and enjoy the game.