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Japan vs Wallabies 1st Test 2026: Predictions, Tips & Odds

Japan vs Wallabies 1st Test 2026: Predictions, Tips & Odds

Japan
vs
Wallabies
Hanazono Rugby Stadium on Saturday, August 8, at 10:05 pm

We have Japan vs Wallabies tips for the 1st test between the passionate rugby nations, where the Wallabies are firm favourites to win.

Japan hosts the test match at Hanazono Rugby Stadium on Saturday, August 8, at 10:05 pm, in front of what should be a sold-out crowd.

Our Japan vs Wallabies prediction looks at who will prevail, and where punters can find the best value when betting on rugby at Ladbrokes.

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Internationals

Saturday 8th Aug

Japan
$5.25
vs
Australia
$1.14
Internationals odds correct as of 07/08/2026 and subject to change.
Spread Pick
Pick: Wallabies -15.5 @ $1.90

It’s tough to look past the Wallabies as the best option to bet on in head-to-head markets. They had an interesting first round of the Nations Championship, which included losses to Ireland and France, before playing their best game against Italy.

Beating Italy isn’t anything special for the Wallabies, but the 57-10 scoreline was emphatic. They never let Italy in with a chance to win the game, and it was the performance Australia has been waiting for.

Japan also had mixed results during its Nations Championship campaign. They kicked things off with an upset win over Italy (27-10), before losing to Ireland and France. They weren’t too bad against Ireland, and it shows how far this nation has come in the world of rugby.

However, from a betting perspective, we can’t look past the Wallabies. They are -15.5 favourites at Ladbrokes, and that’s the line we expected. They should have the class advantage over Japan, and although winning in Japan isn’t easy, there is a newfound confidence in the Wallabies camp.

We’re taking the -15.5 line in spread betting markets, and we’re hoping for a fast start from the Wallabies, which will negate the noise from the home crowd.

Total Points
Pick: Over 60.5 Points @ $1.90

It was a low-scoring affair when Japan and Australia last met in 2019. Australia won 19-15 in Tokyo, but we expect a much higher scoring game this time around.

That result was an anomaly, as their previous meetings resulted in high-scoring affairs. They combined for totals of 55, 93, and 94 points, and although Japan’s defence has improved from the early days, so has their attack.

We expect plenty of tries to be scored on Saturday night. The final score could see the Wallabies win 48-24, so we’re backing the over to come in without much fuss.

Halftime Line
Pick: Wallabies -13.5 @ $2.90

We have found a good value bet with our Japan vs Wallabies prediction, which has the Wallabies leading at halftime by more than 13 points.

They should come out of the gates running against Japan, similar to what punters witnessed when the Wallabies played Italy. It was an early onslaught from the Australians, who won’t want to hang around in a tight game against Japan.

They’ll want to put the game to bed early, and our rugby tips this week have them leading by at least two converted tries. The $2.90 odds at Ladbrokes are worth a look, and it’s a good exotic bet for this game.

Same Game Multi
Pick: Wallabies -15.5, Over 60.5 Points, Wallabies -7.5 First Half, Over 29.5 First Half Points

Our Japan vs Wallabies prediction features a same game multi, which pays $4.80 with Ladbrokes.

The Wallabies should get off to a good start, which will make covering the halftime and fulltime spread easier than expected. We predict plenty of early tries, and that should see over 29.5 points at halftime cash for punters.

Once the Wallabies start well, the tries should start to flow as Japan gets tired. That’s what happened for Japan against Ireland and France, so back this rugby SGM with confidence.