Tibbie Stakes Tips & Predictions 2026: Best Bets

The Nathan Doyle stable is having a good run this season, and CHURCHILL’S CHOICE (10) is always a good bet at each-way odds.

She tends to get back in her races before finding the line with authority, and that makes the 1400m starting point this season ideal for her. She rattled home to finish second behind Surfin’ Bird at Eagle Farm in June, which is an excellent form guide.

She has a win and a placing over 1400m, and she also has the same stats from two runs at Newcastle. This is her favourite track, which should make her tough to beat, and she’ll give punters something to cheer down the straight.

The $7.50 odds are included in our Tibbie Stakes predictions. We thought she would be paying around $5 to win, and with a lot of early speed projected for this race, she’ll hit the line better than most.

There is a lot of value in this race, and MARETH (2) is a value runner at $6.50. She is only a one-race winner, but she has performed well behind some smart types.

The 4YO mare by Harry Angel ran second fresh-up at Randwick behind Ernaux, who has since won again, and although she finished eighth last start at Wyong, she didn’t have many favours in the race.

She also finished behind Beskar at Randwick last preparation, which saw her finish ahead of Regal Award, who runs at Group 1 level on Saturday in Melbourne. It’s good form for the Tibbie Stakes, and she can’t go under the radar at the odds.

Our Tibbie Stakes tips include SNITZEL DANCER (3) at a price. She started her season with a tidy run for fifth behind Modella, and although she wasn’t able to get past a few race rivals, she has more improvement in store than most here.

Her form last season was excellent, including a win over the highly touted Plaintiff at Randwick. Something close to that performance sees her win this race, so she is being underrated in betting markets.

We’re including her to finish in the Top 4, which gives SRM odds a healthy boost for Friday’s first feature race.

Punters get value odds with our Tibbie Stakes SRM, which includes our three selected runners.

• Top 2 – No. 2 Churchill’s Choice 
• Top 3 – No. 10 Mareth
• Top 4 – No. 4 Snitzel Dancer

We have Churchill’s Choice Top 2, Mareth Top 3, and Snitzel Dancer Top 4, which pays $38 for our three-runner SRM.

The odds are huge for our 3-leg multi, and although it includes runners who aren’t favoured to win by betting markets, we think they’re being criminally underrated. Even a small wager gets a good result, so we recommend including this pick in selections.