Tristarc Stakes Tips & Predictions 2026: Best Bets

CONCORD CONNIE (10) gets the nod as our best bet after putting together an outstanding preparation before her latest return at Mornington. The Charlotte Littlefield-trained mare won three consecutive races last campaign, and her recent second-place finish suggests she has returned in good order.

Her winning sequence is the key form reference heading into the Tristarc Stakes. She won three straight before spelling, demonstrating an ability to finish races strongly and handle the pressure of competitive metropolitan racing. That consistency makes her a reliable contender, particularly as she steps up to 1400m second-up.

Concord Connie resumed at Mornington on September 26 and finished third over 1200m, according to the published form record. Although she didn’t win first-up, the performance provided a useful foundation for this assignment. The extra 200m should suit, particularly given her previous winning form and the likelihood that she will improve with the run under her belt.

SHADHAVAR (8) looks the main danger after producing a consistent sequence of performances this preparation. The Tom Dabernig-trained mare has won twice in her last five starts and has continued to perform well against competitive opposition.

Her recent form figures of 1-1-4-2 suggest she has been holding her condition well. She returned to racing with back-to-back victories before finishing fourth in her next assignment, then bounced back with a second-place finish over 1200m at Murray Bridge on October 3.

That latest run was encouraging, particularly as she was stepping back into competitive company and carrying 56kg. She stuck on well to finish second, showing that she remains in good form and is capable of producing another strong performance.

Craig Williams takes the ride from barrier 9. Although the draw isn’t ideal, Williams has plenty of experience navigating Caulfield, and he should be able to find cover before asking her to build momentum approaching the turn.

TERILEE (5) appeals as our best roughie after returning from a spell with an encouraging third-place finish. The Michael Kent-trained mare has already demonstrated that she can win consecutive races, and her latest performance suggests she could be ready to improve further.

Before her break, Terilee recorded back-to-back victories before finishing fifth in her final run of the campaign. Those wins highlighted her ability to settle into a race and finish strongly, while her latest result indicates that she has returned in competitive order.

Her first-up run came over 1200m at Caulfield on October 10, where she finished third. That performance is an important form reference because she was returning from a spell against race-fit opposition, and the extra 200m should give her a better opportunity to show her staying strength over a sprint distance.

Punters get value odds with our Tristarc Stakes SRM, which includes our three selected runners.

Top 2 – No. 12 Concorde Connie

Top 3 – No. 4 Shadhavar

Top 5 – No. 10 Terilee

We have Concorde Connie Top 2, Shadhavar Top 3, and Terilee Top 5.

We would be surprised if Shadhavar and Concorde Connie weren’t in the mix, and Terilee can provide punters with value odds.