Victoria Derby 2024

Victoria Derby Tips

Victory Derby tips on which three-year-old to back in the classic are notoriously hard to follow with so many upsets in the race over the years. When sorting through the pre-race predictions one thing that statistically is important to look for horses coming off a lead-up race over at least 2000m.

Graduates out of Melbourne lead-up races make the best VRC Derby betting tips, while laying the favourite has also proved profitable more often than not looking back at the recent Victoria Derby results.

2024 Victoria Derby Tips

Our Ladbrokes’ insider Victoria Derby 2024 betting tips and Group 1 Flemington exotic selections on the classic will be detailed below the week of the race so stay tuned for the three-year-old colts & geldings to get behind at the right price this spring.

To Win: #2 Red Aces ($7 at time of publish)

Great clash expected in the Derby but tipping the Moonee Valley Vase form from last weekend on Cox Plate Day to stack-up.

Punters have to go back to Efficient in 2006 to find the last horse to do the Vase – Derby double, but this talented Nick Ryan-trained Dundeel colt looks set to be the next.

He is bred to stay the Derby distance and was impressive over 2040m to return to winning form in the Vase.

Red Aces came from midfield and made-up ground there which are encouraging signs as he prepares to step up in distance and grade.

A win and a second from his two previous Flemington starts prove he likes the track, and he is drawn to get a sweet run from barrier four with Jamie Mott retaining the ride.

Think the quick back-up will suit and he’ll stay all day.

Can win.

The Danger: #1 El Castello ($4.20 at time of publish)

You cannot bet on the VRC Derby this year and leave the deserving favourite El Castello out even after his horror outside barrier draw.

Barrier 18 is the only reason I don’t have this class horse on top.

He is going great guns winning his last four straight and is showing no signs of slowing down.

The 2500m is the query for them all but the way that Cummings’ Castelvecchio colt hit the line in winning Sydney’s Group 1 Spring Champion over 2000m last Saturday gives positive indications he’ll run out the Derby distance.

He needs to get the right luck early and the right ride by Josh Parr, not using too much early.

Was on speed last weekend so hoping he doesn’t exert himself trying to cross and leave nothing in the tank for the closing stages.

Will he like Flemington and the Melbourne way? That’s the other question but if he’s good enough he’ll win.

Deserving favourite just needs the favours in the run.

The Roughie: #6 Kingofwallstreet ($15 at time of publish)

There’s a host of double-figure outsiders in this year’s Derby markets that tick a number of boxes for an upset without shocking.

Kingofwallstreet is one at $15 at time of publish that is doing plenty right ahead of his big test on Saturday.

The Matt Cumani-trained galloper is another son of Dundeel who looks like the 2500m distance will be to his liking.

Comes in with confidence having broking his maiden status at start number three last time out in the Group 3 Caulfield Classic (2000m) on Caulfield Cup Day.

Polanski (2013) was the last to do the Caulfield Classic / VRC Derby double and a midfield draw giving options puts this guy in line to potentially be the next.

Michael Dee continues associations, he’s got that Group 3 win on the CV now and might just take it to the next level here.

Victoria Derby Form Guide

A good Victoria Derby form guide doesn’t only list the horses, trainers, jockeys and barriers but also their lead-up form and any past runs at the track / distance. That information can be helpful when narrowing down who to back and who to sack.

The Victoria Derby barriers are important to consider with wide barriers producing few winners since 2008 and the inside alley producing two winners during that time with both Monaco Consul (2009) and Polanski (2013) jumping from gate one.

The 2021 Victoria Derby form was franked with the winner Hitotsu returning the following autumn to complete the interstate Group 1 Australian Guineas – Australian Derby double in 2022. The 2021 VRC Derby runner-up Alegron also ran third in the Australian Derby results the following year and placed fourth in the 2022 SA Derby that season.

The 2022 VRC Derby runner-up Sharp ‘N’ Smart franked the form when heading across the Tasman the next year to win two Group 1 races including the NZ Derby before returning for a fourth in the Australian Derby in 2023.

The 2023 Victoria Derby form was franked with the winner Riff Rocket returning for a huge 2024 autumn campaign that included winning the Group 1 Rosehill Guineas – ATC Derby double!

Phar Lap was another champion that has won both the Victoria Derby (1929) and Melbourne Cup (1930).

Victoria Derby Form Facts

• The Moonee Valley Vase is the key VRC Derby form race to follow with Efficient (2006) the last to do the double.
• Favourites in Victoria Derby betting have a fair recent record with Tarzino (2015) the first to salute since Efficient (2006) followed by Ace High (2017), Hitotsu (2021) and most recently Riff Rocket (2023).
• Wide Victoria Derby barriers have produced only a few winners since 2008.
• Upset Victoria Derby results are common so look for value further down the odds on well-bred horses likely to run out the 2500m.
• Jockey Damien Oliver has ridden six VRC Derby winners (since 1983) most recently on Warning (2019).

2024 Victoria Derby Form Guide

A link to our comprehensive VRC Derby 2024 Form Guide will be provided for punters below the week of the race.

Victoria Derby Results & History

The Victoria Derby race results including the winner, the trifecta with the first three over the line, winning margins and the complete finishing order of all the starters are out after the classic jumps at Flemington, the same course the iconic Melbourne Cup run three days later, on the first Saturday of the Melbourne Cup Carnival.

Arguably Australia’s greatest ever champion Phar Lap, won the the Victoria Derby in 1929 before winning the Melbourne Cup the following year. Winners of the VRC Derby dating back to the year 2000 can also be seen below.

Star Of The Real holds the current Victoria Derby race record winning in 1991 in a time of 2 minutes 33.60 seconds.

Frances Tressady (1923) is the latest Victoria Derby winning filly.

Past Victoria Derby Winners

Recent Victoria Derby winners and placegetters dating back to the year 2000 are detailed in the below table.