Daily Sports Tips – Tuesday 27th September

Daily Sports Tips – Tuesday 27th September

New Orleans Saints vs Atlanta Falcons 10.30pm AEST
Atlanta Falcons To Win @ $2.20

There is never anything between these two divisional rivals and the Atlanta Falcons are more than capable of coming away with the victory. The Falcons beat the Oakland Raiders, who beat the New Orleans Saints the week prior and quarterback Matt Ryan has been able to return to a semblance of his best form.

Joao Sousa vs Karen Khachanov 3.00pm AEST
Karen Khachanov To Win @ $2.20

Joao Sousa is a talented player, but his record on hardcourts is far from convincing and he is a much better player on clay. Karen Khachanov played well to qualify for the US Open and his hold/break percentage is slightly superior to that of Sousa on this surface. He is over the odds at his current price.

John Millman vs Paolo Lorenzi 3.00pm AEST
Paolo Lorenzi To Win @ $2.25

John Millman is one of my favourite players on the ATP Tour and I don’t like to bet again him, but he is well under the odds at his current price. There is no arguing that Paolo Lorenzi is a better player on clay, but his hold/break percentage on hardcourt is still superior to that of Millman and he is well over the odds.

Dusan Lajovic vs Federico Delbonis 3.00am AEST
Federico Delbonis To Win @ $1.91

The market can’t split these two players, but I give Delbonis the clear edge. Delbonis has a superior hold/break percentage on hardcourts than Lajovic and he is a much better player than his recent record suggests. He can return to winning form against Lajovic and there is definite value at the current price.