New South Wales have made a slow start to their Matador Cup campaign, but they are a much better side than their form suggests. Queensland have won four games from as many starts and their bowling has been excellent, but it would not surprise to see them regress and New South Wales deserve to be favourites.
Melbourne United have made a very poor start to their NBL season and it is somewhat staggering that they will start this game as favourites. Melbourne have won just three of their past six games as away favourites for a clear loss, while Adelaide have won nine of their 12 games in front of their home fans and beat their rivals on Sunday.
Adelaide United were slightly poor in their season opener against Newcastle, but they will be key to impress in front of their home fans at Hindmarsh Stadium. Adelaide have won nine of their past 14 games as home favourites, while Western Sydney Wanderers have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs.
This is a crucial game for both sides as they head into the Mitre 10 Cup finals. They have both played some good rugby throughout the Mitre 10 Cup, but it is Otago that have the more upside. Manawatu are the favourites because of the home ground advantage, but it is Otago that are the definite value.