The Ladbrokes Oakleigh Plate is always a fascinating betting race and the 2019 edition of the race is set to be no exception.
Nature Strip has opened as a dominant favourite in our Oakleigh Plate betting market and may never have a better chance to record a maiden Group 1 win, but this is a field that is packed full of quality.
We have analysed the entire field and our complete 2019 Oakleigh Plate tips can be found below.
Shoals might be one of the most underrated sprinters in the country and he goes into the Ladbrokes Oakleigh Plate with a genuine winning chance. 1100 metres might be a touch short of her best and she was no match for Nature Strip over 1000 metres in the McEwen Stakes last Spring, but she is a proven winner and she shouldn’t be going around at double-figure odds.
Viddora is the value runner in Oakleigh Plate betting. She is a mare that is more than capable of producing a high-rating performance on her day and first-up in the Spring she beat a strong field, which included Nature Strip, to win the Moir Stakes at The Valley. She will get back, but she does have an excellent turn-of-foot on her day and the strong early tempo should give her every possible chance.
There is no doubt that Nature Strip is a deserving favourite in the Oakleigh Plate and the question is whether you can get him as short as his current price. He ran serious time when he absolutely bolted in to win the Rubiton Stakes at Caulfield first-up. Damian Lane rode him aggressively in the Rubiton Stakes and he can do the exact same thing in this contest. He has the cruising speed to simply run his rivals off their feet and if he produces that sort of performance again, he will prove very tough to beat.
Fell Swoop has returned to a semblance of his best form this preparation. He was not disgraced behind Alizee in the Christmas Classic at Royal Randwick and he finished second behind Whispering Brook in the Australia Stakes. This is a step-up in trip, but he has run well in this race before and he could be thereabouts again.
Bons Away produced close to a career best performance to win the W.J. Adams Stakes at Caulfield first-up and the step-up to 1100 metres should prove ideal for him. The wide barrier draw does make things tough and he will get a long way back in the run. I think that he has found his right price.
Spright is another underrated sprinter that has been set for a first-up tilt at this contest. She was not beaten far in either the Moir Stakes, Ladbrokes Manikato Stakes or VRC Spring Classic in the Spring and her two barrier trials ahead of her return to the races have been very good. She is another horse that will get back from a wide barrier draw and she will need some luck in running.
Ashlor made his Group 1 debut with a credible sixth in the Winterbottom Stakes and he finished fourth behind Bons Away in the W.J. Adams Stakes. He would need to improve on his best form to be a genuine chance in this field and I’m not sure that he is capable of doing that at this stage of his career.
Kemono has raced well without winning since he arrived in Australia, but this is definitely the toughest race that he has contested. He is a horse that definitely does have upside, but $21 does look around the mark.
It has been a long time between race wins for Booker, but she does run at Caulfield and she is capable of producing a high-rating on her day. She has previously failed to fire at Group 1 level and I can’t have her in a race of this quality.
Eduardo is the x-factor in the Oakleigh Plate. He has only had five race starts, but he is a serious talent and he showed his quality with a win in the Caulfield Sprint. There is no doubt that he does have upside, but the wide barrier draw does make this a difficult assignment.
Ellicazoom has only recorded the three race wins from her 22 starts and she has never really shown anything to suggest that she is capable of winning a race of this quality.
From Within was excellent during the Spring, but she was beaten over 1000 metres at the Sunshine Coast first-up and this is a significant step-up in class.
Fuhryk returned to the races with a nice effort in the Bellmaine Stakes, but this is much tougher. I don’t think that she is up to winning a Group 1 of this quality.
I’ll Have A Bit
I’ll Have A Bit doesn’t win out of turn, but she has developed into a consistent galloper. She finished third behind Santa Ana Lane in The Goodwood last year and she finished fourth in the Winterbottom Stakes. I doubt that she can win, but it isn’t a surprise that there has been an early move in betting.
Sensei has been sent to Australia after he finished third in the Telegraph Handicap in New Zealand in January. He does have a decent record, but he has never produce anything to suggest that he is capable of winning a race of this quality.
Steel Frost has been an absolute ripper for connections and he wasn’t disgraced when he finished sixth in The Goodwood last year. It would surprise to see him run a cheeky race, but I can’t have him at this level.
Encryption has flown under the radar ahead of the Oakleigh Plate and he does go in with a genuine winning chance. He was a little bit disappointing first-up in the W.J. Adams Stakes, but his Spring form would have him right in this contest and he does have no weight on his back. The Lonhro colt is a much better chance than his current odds of $17 suggest.
Charge has been sent to Melbourne after he started his Autumn campaign with a third place finish in the Eskimo Prince Stakes. He should take good benefit from that performance and he is another horse that does get in well at the weights. $26 is over the odds.
Crown Witness is the first emergency in the Oakleigh Plate field. She simply isn’t up to a race of this quality.
Bel Sonic is the second emergency in the Oakleigh Plate. He would need to go to another level to be a genuine winning chance.
Usain Bowler is the third emergency in the Oakleigh Plate and is unlikely to gain a start.
Vainstream is the fourth emergency in the Oakleigh Plate field and is unlikely to gain a start.