The 2019 All-Star Mile is here!
After months of speculation, analysis and voting, the All-Star Mile will finally be run at Flemington on Saturday and we are set for a truly unique contest.
This is obviously a race with a long tail, but there are some genuine stars in this contest and the battle between the likes of Alizee, Mystic Journey, Happy Clapper and Hartnell is set to be a fascinating one.
We have analysed every horse in the field and our complete 2019 All-Star Mile tips can be found below.
You simply can’t knock the form of Happy Clapper this campaign. He hasn’t won a race, but he gave Winx a contest in both the Apollo Stakes and the Chipping Norton Stakes and was particularly gallant at his last start. A repeat of that effort would put him right in this contest. The only real question mark is his Melbourne form. He generally does not rate at his very best when he does race in Melbourne, although he has still been placed at Group 1 level at Flemington in the past. To win a race of this quality, he will need to be at his very best and I think that the current price of $5.50 is just about right.
Hartnell was given a wildcard into the All-Star Mile and he was definitely deserving of that position. He returned to the races with a disappointing effort in the Expressway Stakes, but he returned to a semblance of his best form to finish third behind Alizee and Malaguerra in the Futurity Stakes. The step-up to 1600 metres is ideal for him and he does still have the scope to improve on that performance. It is very rare that he produced a poor performance and he is definitely over the odds at $10.
There is a fitness about over Material Man after he pulled up poorly following his poor run in the Blamey Stakes. Material Man started his campaign with a fast-finishing effort in the Ladbrokes C.F. Orr Stakes, but he was a little bit disappointing in the Futurity Stakes. It is tough to back him off his last start effort in the Blamey Stakes and I think that the Australian Cup would have been a better target for him.
Grunt might be the wildcard in the All-Star Mile field. He finished a flat sixth in the Shaftesbury Avenue at Flemington and he would need to improve on that effort significantly, but he did have plenty of weight on his back and there is no doubt this is his major target. His record over the mile is outstanding, he won the Australian Guineas and the Makybe Diva Stakes over this track and distance, and he is a horse that is capable of a high-rating performance on his day. He might be the horse that the market has gotten wrong.
Moss ‘N’ Dale
Moss ‘N’ Dale has been freshened-up since he finished at the tail of the field in the Ladbrokes C.F. Orr Stakes. He was excellent during the Spring last year and he strung together an impressive winning streak, but it is fair to say that this is a different challenge. He will beat more than half of his rivals home, but he would need a heavy track to be a genuine winning chance.
Foundry has not been seen at the races since he finished third in the Bendigo Cup. He has since changed owners, but there is nothing to suggest that he is capable of a winning a race of this quality over a mile. The Galileo entire will get back from the wide barrier draw and it will be a positive if he is able to run past a few of his rivals.
Update: Foundry has been scratched from the All-Star Mile field.
Man Of His Word
It has been a long time between race wins for Man Of His Word and he comes into the All-Star Mile on the back of a couple of flat efforts at Flemington. The wide barrier draw means that he will get a long way back.
Balf’s Choice is the South Australian representative in the All-Star Mile and another horse that will likely be in the second half of the field. His recent form in Adelaide has not been that bad, but he isn’t racing at a level that is anywhere near good enough to be competitive in this contest.
Mr Money Bags
Mr Money Bags is a horse that is racing in career best form, but the question is whether that form is anywhere good enough to be competitive in this race. The answer is no. In saying that, this is definitely his pet track and distance and I think that he will produce a better performance than his current odds suggest.
There really isn’t anything more that you can say – Urban Ruler is simply racing very poorly. He has beaten home only one runner in his past two starts at Doomben and Eagle Farm and this is obviously tougher. It would be a surprise if he doesn’t finish last, but well done to connections for getting him into the race.
Alizee is the horse to beat in the All-Star Mile. She has recorded three wins from her past three starts and she has done so in three different manners. She flew home late in the Christmas Classic, she won as effortlessly as Winx in the Expressway Stakes and she showed a huge amount of toughness to take out the Futurity Stakes. That performance in the Futurity Stakes should now have her at peak fitness and I think that she is set-up nicely to run to a new career peak at Flemington on Saturday. The step-up to a mile is ideal and Hugh Bowman will have plenty of options in the early stages of the race from barrier 12.
There is no doubt that Hawkshot will take up the running in the All-Star Mile and he will ensure that the race is run at a genuine tempo. He followed up his win in the Autumn Stakes with a tough second place finish in the Australian Guineas. This is definitely the right way to ride the horse and he will be in this contest for a long way. Whether he is good enough to hold-off the likes of Alizee and Mystic Journey is a genuine query, but if the track does favours leaders he will give a sight.
There has already been a big move for Mystic Journey in All-Star Mile and she is now challenging Alizee for favourtism. She has done nothing wrong during her racing career to date and she made it five wins on the trot with her outstanding victory in the Australian Guineas. The knock on Mystic Journey before her Australian Guineas win was that she would get back in the field and require luck in running, but that effort showed that she can settle closer to the speed. The wide barrier draw in the All-Star Mile is likely an advantage as it means she won’t get shuffled in behind some of the slower runners in this field. It is scary to think that she still has improvement left in front of her
Amphitrite is the other filly in the All-Star Mile field. She returned to the races with an excellent win in The Vanity before Mystic Journey beat her fair and square in the Australian Guineas. There was really no excuses for her in that contest and she will need to find a few lengths of improvement to turn-the-tables on her rival. Barrier 14 does give Craig Williams options and there is no reason that she can’t be in the mix for the placings, but $11 is slightly under the odds.
Le Romain has earnt a start in the All-Star Mile following the scratching of Foundry. He produced a slightly below-par effort in the Futurity Stakes last start, but his run before that in the Expressway Stakes was strong. Le Romain is never far away at Group 1 level, his record over a mile is excellent and there is no reason that he can’t finish in the top five.
Trap For Fools
Trap For Fools is the second emergency in the All-Star Mile. He showed his toughness with a gallant third place finish in the Australian Cup and he is racing in excellent form.
Hellova Street is the third emergency in the All-Star Mile. He went past the $1 million prizemoney mark with his win in the Mowbray Stakes and he is as tough as they come.
He Or She
He Or She is the fourth emergency in the All-Star Mile. It has been a long time since he raced at anywhere close to his best form.