The 2019 Doncaster Mile is one of four Group 1 races set to take place at Royal Randwick on Saturday and it is set to be a spectacular betting contest.
It is Alizee that has opened as a narrow favourite with Ladbrokes, but this is a race that is packed full of quality and you can make a case for the majority of the field.
We have analysed every single runner and our complete 2019 Doncaster Mile tips can be found below.
The old warrior Hartnell is arguably racing in career best form and he goes into the Doncaster Mile with a genuine winning chance. He has not won a race this campaign, but he found the line nicely to finish third behind Alizee in the Futurity Stakes before he beat his stablemate home when he finished second behind Mystic Journey in the All-Star Mile. The big weight is not an issue for him, he carried top weight to win the Epsom Handicap in the Spring, and a repeat of that effort would put him right in this race.
Le Romain is one of the most consistent gallopers in the country. He wasn’t beaten far by Mystic Journey in the All-Star Mile and he simply never runs a bad race. The wide barrier draw isn’t ideal and he will need some luck in running, but he does have the benefit of James McDonald in the saddle. $21 is over the odds for a horse that you know will be in the mix.
She may have finished in the top three in the All-Star Mile, but Alizee was still a touch disappointing. Hugh Bowman gave her the run of the race and she had every possible chance, but her final 200 metres was flat and she was no match for Mystic Journey and Hartnell in the final stages of the race. There is no doubt that she is a mare with plenty of talent, but a tough mile may test her and I can’t get her as short as her current price.
Land Of Plenty
Land Of Plenty looked to be heading in the right direction before he ran into a heavy track and Winx in the George Ryder Stakes. There is no doubt that he is a better horse than that effort suggests and he should improve on that effort, but he would still need to go to another level to be a genuine winning chance in the Doncaster Mile.
Dreamforce has been in excellent form this campaign. He returned to winning form with a good effort in the Liverpool City Cup before he chased home Winx and Brutal in the George Ryder Stakes. I’m not sure that he is good enough to win a Doncaster Mile of this quality, but there is no reason that he couldn’t finish in the top five.
Dixie Blossoms heads into the Doncaster Mile on the back of a career best performance in the Coolmore Classic. Whether she can replicate that sort of effort is a genuine question mark and the awkward barrier does make things slightly tricky. $17 does seem around the right price.
Shillelagh drops back in trip following a flat performance in the Ranvet Stakes. Trainer Chris Waller has used this technique with plenty of success in the past and her effort in the Australian Cup would put her right in this contest. She is capable of a high-rating performance on her day and she is not the worst chance at $21.
Kluger is the sole international runner in the Doncaster Mile. He is definitely not a top tier Japanese galloper and it has been a while since he performed at his best. You can never underestimate the Japanese when they send a horse to Australia, but it would surprise if Kluger was good enough to win the Doncaster Mile.
Widgee Turf was finally able to return to winning form with a classy effort in the March Stakes. The wide barrier draw means that he will get a long way back in the run. He is sure to be storming home late, but I don’t think that he is good enough to finish over the top of all of his rivals in this contest.
Unforgotten has flown under the radar this campaign and she has been thereabouts without winning. She was very well-backed ahead of the Ranvet Stakes and she was no match for Avilius, but still produced a credible performance. The drop back in trip is ideal and it should not be forgotten that she was unlucky not to win the Epsom Handicap in the Spring. She is another that appeals at her current odds.
Life Less Ordinary
Life Less Ordinary will go into the Doncaster Mile first-up. It would not surprise if he produced a better performance than his current odds suggest, but he doesn’t have the upside to win.
Eckstein produced a flat effort in the Coolmore Classic and this race is tougher. It is impossible to back her in the Doncaster Mile effort off the back of her Coolmore Classic effort.
Aloisia looked to have returned to a semblance of her best form with her second place finish in the Villiers Stakes and she did make up good ground late to finish fifth in the Coolmore Classic. In saying that, it has been a long time between race wins and it is tough to back her with any real confidence.
Siege Of Quebec
Siege Of Quebec comes into the Doncaster Mile on the back of flat performances in both the Newcastle Newmarket Handicap and the Doncaster Prelude. He is one of the outsiders of this field for a reason.
Fifty Stars was the big loser of the Doncaster Mile barrier draw. He stamped himself as a leading Doncaster Mile contender with a pair of wins in the Blamey Stakes and the Ajax Stakes and there is no doubt that he is weighted to win this contest. The big issue is barrier 24 and it is extremely tough to see how he doesn’t end up caught wide. Jye McNeil doesn’t have a great deal of big race experience and he will need to produce the ride of his life to give Fifty Stars a genuine chance in this contest.
I Am Serious
I Am Serious was extremely well-backed when he returned to the races in the Millie Fox Stakes and he was beaten by White Moss at long odds. She was once again well-supported in the Coolmore Classic and was never really able to get into the race. You can’t back her in the Doncaster Mile off that effort.
So Si Bon
So Si Bon is an enigma. He was excellent in the Australian Cup and wasn’t completely disgraced behind Winx in the George Ryder Stakes, but you couldn’t possible back him in the Doncaster Mile.
Fundamentalist is the value runner in the Doncaster Mile. She has only recorded two wins from her 16 race starts, but she does have form around some of the very best horses in the country. It took an enormous effort from Nakeeta Jane to deny her in the Surround Stakes and her run in the Randwick Guineas, where she almost beat The Autumn Sun, was enormous. She will make her own luck right on the speed with Ben Thompson in the saddle and she will give her rivals something to catch. The $11 currently available is well and truly over the odds.
El Dorado Dreaming
El Dorado Dreaming was scratched from the Vinery Stud Stakes and she will instead contest the Doncaster Mile. It has been a year since she won a race, when she took out the Sires’ Produce Stakes at huge odds, but her form this campaign has been excellent. She has improved each time that she has been seen at the races and she finished a gallant second behind Dixie Blossoms in the Coolmore Classic. The wide barrier draw means that she will get a long way back and that will make things tough, but she will be storming home in the final stages.
Brutal is another leading contender that did not have a great deal of luck in the Doncaster Mile barrier draw. He ran well behind a strong field in the Canterbury Stakes and he beat home all bar Winx in the George Ryder Stakes. The 49 kilograms on his back is the obvious advantage and he does have some early speed, which he will definitely need in order to take up a forward position from the poor barrier draw. He will require a peach of a ride from Glen Boss and $7 does look around the right odds.
Violate is on the quick back-up after he finished 11th in the Golden Mile last weekend. He has never shown anything to suggest that he is capable of winning a Group 1 of this quality.
Fierce Impact returned to the races with a credible sixth place finish in the Ajax Stakes and he has been given a barrier trial between runs. I don’t think that he is up to this level.
Ringerdingding is currently the third emergency in the Doncaster Mile and looks unlikely to earn a race start. His best form would give him a genuine chance in this contest with a light weight, but his effort in the George Ryder Stakes was very poor.
Seaway is the fourth emergency and is highly unlikely to earn a start in the Doncaster Mile field.