2025 Federal Election: The Final Say

2025 Federal Election: The Final Say

Election 2025 is a day away. We have seen Labor pick up momentum throughout the campaign to be given a 94.33% of winning a second term of government. Here are the final numbers worth following – and please note there have been some adjustments since state previews were written.  

Winning Party: Labor ($1.06) 

Type Of Government Formed: Labor Majority ($1.60) 

Final Seats Prediction: Labor (79), Coalition (59), Crossbench (12) 

Predicted 2PP: ALP 52.7% – Coalition 47.3% 

  • State 2PP Winners: 
  • NSW: Labor 
  • VIC: Labor 
  • QLD: Coalition 
  • WA: Labor 
  • SA: Labor 
  • TAS: Labor 
  • NT: Labor 
  • ACT: Labor 

Most Interesting Seat Per State: 

  • NSW: Bennelong 
  • VIC: Kooyong 
  • QLD: Leichhardt 
  • WA: Curtin 
  • SA: Sturt 
  • TAS: Lyons 
  • NT: Lingiari 
  • ACT: Canberra 
  • Best Bet Per State* 
  • NSW: Labor To Win Paterson ($1.70) 
  • VIC: Coalition To Win Kooyong ($1.73) 
  • QLD: Coalition To Win Ryan ($1.85) 
  • WA: Coalition To Win Bullwinkel ($2.00) 
  • SA: Labor To Win Stuart ($1.80) 
  • TAS: Labor To Win Lyons ($1.65) 
  • NT: Labor To Win Lingiari ($1.75) 
  • ACT: Nil 

 
*$1.50 or Larger 
 

Best Outsider Per State 

  • NSW: Coalition To Win Mackellar ($3.50) 
  • VIC: Labor To Win Aston ($4.00) 
  • QLD: Labor To Win Leichhardt ($2.50) 
  • WA: Labor To Win Canning ($3.90) 
  • SA: Nil 
  • TAS: Nil 
  • NT: Nil 
  • ACT: Nil