Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles vs Melbourne Storm Prediction, Tips & Odds

Manly-Warringah Sea Eagles host Melbourne Storm in Round 17 of the 2026 NRL season at 4 Pines Park, Sydney on Saturday. Read on for our full match preview, betting tips, and best odds.

Manly’s Kieran Foran-led revival hit a snag last weekend, which sets up a fascinating grudge match with a Manly side that has rocketed back into form.

FORM: The Sea Eagles’ 13-12 loss to the Bulldogs last week came out of nowhere, only their third in 11 games under Foran.

The Storm have emerged from a seven-match losing streak to win five of their last six – with their only loss coming against the Bulldogs with Origin players out. They overran the Raiders 42-20 on Sunday after trailing 16-0 early.

INS AND OUTS: Manly lose Reuben Garrick to concussion, so Josh Feledy will start in the centres. Brandon Wakeham and Kobe Hetherington are also out, replaced in the starting side by Jake Simpkin and Ethan Bullemor.

Tyran Wishart replaces Melbourne halfback Jahrome Hughes (hamstring), while Harry Grant returns to the starting line-up.

KEY MATCH-UP: Tom Trbojevic’s return from a nine-week layoff coincided with a rare Manly loss. ‘Turbo’ will be eager for a big game opposite Sua Faalogo, who has scored 12 tries in 14 games.

HISTORY: Manly has won four of its last six against Melbourne. In 2025, the Storm cruised to a 48-24 win at 4 Pines Park but the Sea Eagles pulled off a gutsy 18-16 upset at AAMI Park.

KEY STAT: Tom Trbojevic has scored just two tries in 12 games against the Storm – easily his worst strike-rate against any club.

VERDICT: The Sea Eagles are $1.50 favourites on the back of last week’s wake-up call, with Hughes a huge out for the Storm.

Manly has conceded more than 18 points just once under Foran and have won four straight at 4 Pines Park. Expect a hard-earned bounce-back win.

Tip: Back the Sea Eagles to Win by 1-12 @ $2.85

SGM: SEA EAGLES WIN / UNDER 48.5 POINTS / MOSES LEO ANYTIME TRYSCORER / HAUMOLE OLAKAU’ATU