South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Newcastle Knights Prediction, Tips & Odds

In danger of dropping out of the Top 8, South Sydney welcomes in-form Newcastle to Accor Stadium.  

FORM: The 8-7 Rabbitohs picked off some low-hanging fruit with big wins over the Broncos and Eels, before crashing 36-14 to the Origin-hit Panthers last Friday.  

The 11-5 Knights are fourth after winning seven of their last eight. The freewheeling outfit have shown they have what it takes to graft out low-scoring wins when necessary, beating the Tigers (12-6) and Dolphins (13-12) at home in the past fortnight.  

INS AND OUTS: Souths welcome Campbell Graham back on a wing, while Tallis Duncan again goes into the centres, Matt Dufty comes in at fullback and Jayden Sullivan replaces the suspended Cody Walker in the halves. Jye Gray and Latrell Siegwalt have made way.  

Cameron Murray has been named to back up from Origin.  

The Knights have named Origin duo Kalyn Ponga and Bradman Best, so Fletcher Sharpe reverts to five-eighth. Trey Mooney returns in time to replace the injured Jacob Saifiti.  

KEY MATCH-UP: Dufty gets a big opportunity in the Rabbitohs’ No.1 jersey, while Ponga will be eager to put in for the Knights – win or lose on Wednesday. 

HISTORY: The Knights are on a four-match winning run against the Rabbitohs, including a 42-38 barnburner in Newcastle in Round 9.  

KEY STAT: Greg Marzhew has scored seven tries in six career games against Souths. Alex Johnston has crossed for an eye-watering 17 tries in just 11 appearances against Newcastle. 

VERDICT: The Knights have been 2026’s overachievers, while the Rabbitohs are flirting dangerously with again contending for the mantle of the NRL’s most disappointing team despite still clinging to a place in the Top 8.  

Last week’s match-winning moment was huge for Knights No.7 Dylan Brown as a new-look spine – which has had its disruptions – continues to improve. Meanwhile, a halves pairing of Sullivan and Ashton Ward will need to play out of their skin for depleted Souths to get close.  

Prediction: Back the Knights to Win @ $1.82 

SGM: KNIGHTS TO WIN BY OVER 6.5 POINTS / OVER 48.5 TOTAL POINTS / MATT DUFTY ANYTIME TRYSCORER / FLETCHER SHARPE ANYTIME TRYSCORER @ $20.32