Chelsea take on Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 1:00am AEDT. Find our Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction and the Ladbrokes odds we like below.
Our EPL predictions this week include Chelsea to win at $1.70, and they look to bounce back from some poor results.
They have two losses and a draw from their last three league games, mostly down to a leaky defence. However, we expect them to play better than Bournemouth, who are winless after five league games, with three draws and two losses.
Playing at home helps, and Chelsea should get back to their best form this week.
- Correct score Chelsea 2-1 @ $9.75: our score prediction. Chelsea scored 2 or more in 3 of their last 5 games.
- Both teams to score @ $1.50: Chelsea have conceded in all of their last 5, and Bournemouth have scored in 4 of theirs.
- Chelsea to win and both teams to score @ $2.80: pays on a Chelsea win with Bournemouth getting on the board, which covers our 2-1 call.
- Over 2.5 goals @ $1.46: every one of Chelsea’s last 5 games went over 2.5 goals.
Odds correct at 5:04pm AEDT, Wednesday 7 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Chelsea have won 2, Bournemouth have won 0 and 3 finished level. Chelsea scored 7 goals in that run and Bournemouth scored 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Bournemouth |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 0-0 | Chelsea |
| 15 Jan 2025 | Chelsea | 2-2 | Bournemouth |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Bournemouth | 0-1 | Chelsea |
| 20 May 2024 | Chelsea | 2-1 | Bournemouth |
Bournemouth drew 2-2 on both of their last two visits to Stamford Bridge, which is why we expect them to score. We still have Chelsea winning at $1.70.
Form and stats behind our tips
Chelsea have won 2 of their last 5 games. Bournemouth have lost just 1 of their last 5 in all competitions.
Chelsea: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brighton | H | W | 4-3 | EPL |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | A | L | 1-2 | EPL |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Leeds | H | W | 6-3 | League Cup |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Hull | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brentford | A | L | 0-3 | EPL |
Bournemouth: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Newcastle | A | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 9 Sep 2026 | Lincoln City | H | W | 4-0 | League Cup |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Brentford | H | D | 2-2 | EPL |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Real Sociedad | A | W | 2-1 | UEL |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Liverpool | H | L | 0-1 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 4 of Chelsea’s last 5 games and 3 of Bournemouth’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 5 of Chelsea’s last 5 and 4 of Bournemouth’s.
- Chelsea kept 0 clean sheets in their last 5. Bournemouth kept 1.
- Chelsea sit 10th on 7 points (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Bournemouth sit 17th on 3 points (3 draws, 2 losses).
Chelsea have scored 13 goals in their last 5, so we’re happy to back them to win despite their defensive problems.
Chelsea: Jamie Gittens (ankle) is out. João Pedro (knee), Cole Palmer (muscle), Reece James (hamstring) and Moisés Caicedo (calf) are all in doubt, which is the main risk to the Chelsea tip. Emmanuel Emegha and Marco Palestra are back in contention.
Bournemouth: Alex Scott (quad), Justin Kluivert, Eli Junior Kroupi (foot) and Julián Araujo (thigh) are out. Amine Adli, Veljko Milosavljevic and David Brooks are in doubt. Those absences back the Chelsea win.
- Morgan Rogers anytime goalscorer @ $2.88: Chelsea’s joint top scorer with 3 league goals, and fit to play.
- Marcus Tavernier anytime goalscorer @ $4.50: Bournemouth’s top scorer with 3 league goals, and our pick if Bournemouth score as we expect.
Cole Palmer is short in the anytime market, but he’s in doubt, so we’ve left him out. João Pedro has no price yet.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Arsenal vs Leeds matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Danny Welbeck | 2.38 |
| Joao Pedro | 2.05 |
| Cole Palmer | 2.70 |
| Evanilson | 3.80 |
| Morgan Rogers | 2.90 |
| Rayan Vitor | 4.40 |
| Marcus Tavernier | 4.20 |
| Pedro Neto | 4.50 |
| Valentin Barco | 6.00 |
| Ryan Christie | 6.00 |
| Romeo Lavia | 8.50 |
| Reece James | 8.00 |
| Jordan Henderson | 9.00 |
| Malo Gusto | 11.00 |
| Tyler Adams | 11.00 |
Premier League odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 11/10/2026 12:00am AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea/Chelsea | 2.40 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Chelsea | 5.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 6.50 | Bet Now |
| AFC Bournemouth/AFC Bournemouth | 6.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/AFC Bournemouth | 10.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| AFC Bournemouth/Draw | 12.00 | Bet Now |
| AFC Bournemouth/Chelsea | 15.00 | Bet Now |
| Chelsea/AFC Bournemouth | 26.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 08/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 11/10/2026 12:00am AEST.