Liverpool and Man City meet at Anfield on Monday 12 October, with kick-off at 2:30am AEDT. We’ve weighed up both sides to land on our Liverpool vs Man City prediction and best bets.
Liverpool vs Man City match prediction
Our EPL best bets include Man City to put the noise of the guilty verdict on the Premier League financial charges behind them and focus on winning matches.
The current squad can’t do much about what has happened, and they’re still a quality team, headlined by Erling Haaland, who has five goals in City’s last five games.
City are the same $2.50 as Liverpool despite sitting 6 points clear of them, which is value. It’s a dark time in the club’s history, and the best way to respond is on the pitch.
- Correct score Man City 2-0 @ $16.00: our score prediction. City have won all of their last 5 games.
- Man City draw no bet @ $1.83: covers the draw, and City won 2-1 on their last visit to Anfield in February.
- Man City to win to nil @ $5.00: City have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 5.
- Under 3.5 goals @ $1.53: 4 of the last 5 meetings finished with 3 goals or fewer.
Odds correct at 4:56pm AEDT, Wednesday 7 October 2026. See the latest odds for every market below.
Head to head and what it means for our prediction
Of the last 5 meetings, Liverpool have won 2, Man City have won 3 and none finished level. Liverpool scored 5 goals in that run and Man City scored 9.
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Apr 2026 | Man City | 4-0 | Liverpool |
| 9 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1-2 | Man City |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Man City | 3-0 | Liverpool |
| 24 Feb 2025 | Man City | 0-2 | Liverpool |
| 2 Dec 2024 | Liverpool | 2-0 | Man City |
City won the last 3 meetings by a combined 9-1, which is why we’re siding with them.
Form and stats behind our tips
City have won all of their last 5 games, scoring 14 goals. Liverpool are unbeaten in their last 5, but they’ve scored more than 2 goals only once.
Liverpool: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Ipswich | A | W | 2-0 | EPL |
| 10 Sep 2026 | Atlético Madrid | H | W | 2-1 | UCL |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Fulham | H | D | 0-0 | EPL |
| 16 Sep 2026 | Spurs | H | W | 3-1 | League Cup |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | A | W | 1-0 | EPL |
Man City: last 5 games
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Result | Score | Comp |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Coventry | H | W | 1-0 | EPL |
| 9 Sep 2026 | FC Porto | A | W | 2-0 | UCL |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Man United | A | W | 1-0 | EPL |
| 18 Sep 2026 | Norwich City | H | W | 5-0 | League Cup |
| 20 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | H | W | 5-3 | EPL |
- Both teams scored in 2 of Liverpool’s last 5 games and 1 of Man City’s.
- Over 2.5 goals landed in 2 of Liverpool’s last 5 and 2 of Man City’s.
- Liverpool kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5. Man City kept 4.
- Liverpool sit 6th on 9 points (2 wins, 3 draws). Man City sit 1st on 15 points (5 wins).
City have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5, which is why we’re backing a City clean sheet.
Liverpool: Giovanni Leoni (knee), Hugo Ekitike (Achilles), Conor Bradley (knee) and Vitezslav Jaros (knee) are out. Top scorer Alexander Isak (thigh), Cody Gakpo (ankle), Jeremy Jacquet (hamstring) and Federico Chiesa (back) are in doubt, which weakens the Liverpool attack and backs the City clean sheet.
Man City: Phil Foden is suspended. Erling Haaland, Nico O’Reilly and Antoine Semenyo are in doubt after international duty. Losing Haaland would be the main risk to our prediction.
- Mathis Rayan Cherki anytime goalscorer @ $3.80: City’s second-highest league scorer with 3 goals, and fit to play.
Haaland is $2.15 to score, but he came off on Norway duty and is in doubt, so we’ve left him out.
Here’s a quick look at the current odds and popular betting markets for the Liverpool vs Man City matchup.
*odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change
| Team | Odds |
|---|---|
| Alexander Isak | 2.80 |
| Erling Haaland | 2.30 |
| Florian Wirtz | 5.00 |
| Mathis Rayan Cherki | 4.33 |
| Bradley Barcola | 4.20 |
| Antoine Semenyo | 4.60 |
| Iliman Ndiaye | 5.00 |
| Victor Munoz | 4.80 |
| Dominik Szoboszlai | 6.00 |
| Enzo Fernandez | 6.00 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 8.50 |
| Trey Nyoni | 8.00 |
| Alexis Mac Allister | 8.00 |
| Josko Gvardiol | 9.00 |
| Ryan Gravenberch | 8.50 |
Premier League odds correct as of 07/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 12/10/2026 1:30am AEST.
| Team | Odds | |
|---|---|---|
| Liverpool/Liverpool | 3.90 | Bet Now |
| Manchester City/Manchester City | 3.80 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Liverpool | 6.50 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Draw | 6.00 | Bet Now |
| Draw/Manchester City | 6.50 | Bet Now |
| Liverpool/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester City/Draw | 11.00 | Bet Now |
| Liverpool/Manchester City | 17.00 | Bet Now |
| Manchester City/Liverpool | 19.00 | Bet Now |
Premier League odds correct as of 07/10/2026 and subject to change. Event scheduled to start at 12/10/2026 1:30am AEST.