The 2022 MLB season is officially underway as all 30 teams take to the diamond with one goal in mind: the World Series.

With the regular 162-games being played out between April and September, baseball betting remains one of the most popular sports to bet on for punters each and every year.

To help you out, be sure to check back each day to find out who our MLB expert is tipping!

Thursday 3rd November  

The Phillies belted the Astros all over Citizens Bank last night with Bryce Harper, Alec Bohm, Brandon Marsh, and Rhys Hoskins all smacking home runs in the 7-0 shutout.  

The crowd went a long way to inspiring the home team, but you can’t discount the Astros turning the tables on Thursday with Cristian Javier on the mound.  

The promising young right-hander has been dominant in limited appearances throughout the postseason, tossing a combined 6.2 innings and allowing only one earned run against the Mariners and Yankees.  

The same can’t be said for Aaron Nola however, the Phillies’ right-hander coughing up five earned in Game 1 against the Astros in Houston off an equally rough outing against the Padres in Game 5 of the NLDS.  

Despite what the scoreline suggests, the Astros did have their chances on Wednesday but failed to deliver in runners in scoring position.  

It’s doubtful Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, and Yordan Alvarez all go hitless for the second game running, so I like the ‘Stros to bounce-back here at even money.  

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $1.91 

Saturday 29th October

The Astros are back in the Fall Classic for the fourth time in the last six year, but they’ll meet a feisty Phillies outfit that has relished the tag of underdog during the entire postseason.

Veteran Justin Verlander takes the mound for his eighth World Series start, and the Astros will be hoping for a similar performance to his 11 K outing against the Yankees in Game 1 of the ALCS.

Aaron Nola has also been a large part of the Phillies’ success this year, but I think the deciding factor might just be home-field advantage.

The Phillies are 1-4 in their last five trips to Minute Maid, which does make me a little nervous for Nola after giving up six earned runs to the Padres in San Diego during his NLCS start.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win & Justin Verlander 5+ Strikeouts @ $2.48

Saturday 22 October

The Padres bats came alive in Game 2 to level the series with an 8-5 win and it now shifts back to the East Coast with this one set to be played in front of a raucous atmosphere.

Philadelphia sports has plenty to cheer about at the moment but the Padres momentum is tough to discount.

I also like Joe Musgrove taking to the mound a little bit more over Ranger Suarez and I’ll back the Padres to take a 2-1 advantage.

Back San Diego to Win @ $1.83

Friday 21 October

The Astros pitched their way to victory in Game 1 of the series and look well placed to take a 2-0 lead following on here.

Framber Valdez put together a solid regular season and will make his second start of the season against the Yankees.

His last start saw three runs allowed over six innings of work where he wasn’t credited with the loss after his reliever gave up four runs in the bottom of the ninth.

We should be in for another low scoring affair similar to Game 1 and I’ll back the unders here.

Back Under 7 Runs @ $1.87

Thursday 20 October

There’s no time for the Yankees to celebrate advancing to the ALCS on Wednesday (AEDT) with a quick turnaround trip to Houston for the first game of the penultimate series.

Momentum might be a hotly debated topic amongst many advanced statisticians but it’s tough to ignore the advantage Houston gets off a couple of extra days rest.

It allows them to roll out Justin Verlander while the Yankees will just continue their rotation and send Taillon to the mound.

I like the Astros at home with a fresh lineup as the Yankees go through a bit of a flat evening after their previous series win.

Back Houston to Cover -1.5 Runs @ $2.15

Wednesday 19 October

While the ALDS is set to finish in the morning we’re focusing in on the opening game of the NLCS out on the west coast.

There’s something about this Padres team and Yu Darvish has impressed throughout the postseason, winning two starts and posting a better ERA than his regular season numbers.

I’ll be backing the Padres to pick up a comfortable win with a few runs getting scored and Darvish to strike out at least five.

SGM: Padres to Win, Over 6.5 Runs, Yu Darvish to Have 5+ Strikeouts @ $4.12

Sunday 16 October

For Seattle, there’s no place like home and they will need everything to break their way as they try and overcome this 2-0 deficit.

They lead the second game of the series into the sixth inning begore the Houston bats came alive and gave the Astros three vital runs.

Desperation is a wonderful motivator and Seattle is the more desperate team heading into this one.

Take them to win and keep this series alive.

Back Seattle to Win @ $1.91

Friday 14 October/Saturday 15 October

*NOTE* Game postponed from Friday (AEDT) 

Despite picking up an extra hit over the Yankees, the Guardians just couldn’t compete in Game 1, leaving eight runners stranded on base.

They will need to take every opportunity afforded to them in the Bronx here as we could be in for a pitching duel between Cortes and Bieber.

Both have a sub-3.00 ERA on the season and there is no reason to expect them to suffer a drop off here.

Back Under 6.5 Runs @ $1.83

Thursday 13 October

It was a full team effort from the Dodgers to pick up a win in Wednesday’s Game 1 of the series, with the bats building an early lead before the bullpen put the game away with four scoreless innings to close things out.

Picking up a second win of the series would be a huge boost for the Dodgers as they would take a 2-0 lead down the highway and be in a great position to advance to the next round of the postseason.

Working in their favour is the fact they’re starting a 12-3 Clayton Kershaw whose 2.28 ERA during the season suggests he’s set up for a strong showing to start his postseason.

I’ll back the Dodgers to get the job done in a bit of a pitching duel between Kershaw and the Padres’ Darvish.

Back LA to Cover 1.5 and Under 7.5 Runs @ $3.70

Wednesday 12 October

The AL Division series gets underway with the Guardians travelling to the Bronx after eliminating the Rays 2-0.

Unfortunately for them, they will likely be overmatched against a Yankees side that was able to get some rest during the Wild Card phase.

Don’t be surprised if this is a bit of a one-sided affair and I’ll be backing the Yankees to do it comfortably.

Back the Yankees to Cover -1.5 @ $2.05

It’s going to be a good start to the series for the Dodgers having had a few days to let their aching bodies rest ahead of this series.

However the Padres will be full of confidence having eliminated the Mets in emphatic fashion only a few days prior.

But with Julio Urias taking to the mound, and the fact the Dodgers have gone 4-1 in their last five against the Padres including some big wins.

Back the LA Dodgers to Cover -1.5 @ $1.94

Saturday 1 October

This season cannot come to an end soon enough for Boston with the Red Sox assured of a non-winning season and if things go the way many expect here, a losing season will be confirmed too.

Toronto is locked into a playoff berth and will give Manoah the ball from the start, while Boston is turning to Nick Pivetta, whose ERA is over two runs higher than his Blue Jays counterpart.

Boston might have won their last three but this could be a miserable trip up north, I’m backing the Blue Jays by a lot.

Back Toronto to Cover -1.5 and Over 8.5 Runs @ $3.90

Friday 30 September

Still technically alive in the NL Wild Card Race, San Francisco is turning to Carlos Rodon against the Rockies at home.

They could not have drawn a better opponent as they try and pull off a miracle to close the six game deficit on Milwaukee and Philadelphia, having won their last seven against the Rockies and eight of their last ten against all opponents.

Desperation is a wonderful motivator at this time of year and I’ll back the Giants to make sure their season extends for at least another day.

SGM: Giants to Cover -1.5, Over 7 Runs, Rodon 7+ Strikeouts @ $4.04

Thursday 29 September

Currently in possession of the fifth seed in the NL Wild Card playoff picture, the Padres can take one step closer to securing postseason baseball with a win over the Dodgers, who have already locked up the top spot in the NL.

They are in great shape heading into this one with seven wins from their last nine games.

Joe Musgrove has amassed a 10-7 record this season and will need to pitch a good game but the Padres are in form and playing with desperation.

Back San Diego to Win @ $2.15

Wednesday 28 September

These AL East rivals will play the second game of their series in Toronto after the Blue Jays took the first meeting today 3-2.

Both sides will trot out strong starting pitchers with solid records as they chase down the highest possible postseason seeding.

Jameson Taillon has posted a 13-5 record so far and is coming off a six inning no decision in his last start against Boston where he struck out eight.

His ERA is over a run better than Berrios and the Yankees bats could be primed to go off here, especially with Aaron Judge closing in on the home run record.

SGM: Yankees to Cover -1.5, Over 7.5 Runs, Taillon 4+ Strikeouts @ $7.02

Tuesday 27 September

With just nine games remaining this season for both teams, there’s not a lot on the line in terms of playoff positioning but there is value to be found backing the Pirates here.

Keller has only gone 5-12 as a starter this season but his ERA is almost a full run better than his counterpart Greene, who boasts a similarly meagre 4-13 record.

Pittsburgh swept a four game series between these teams a fortnight ago and seem to be generously priced to win.

Back Pittsburgh to Cover -1.5 Runs @ $2.40

Sunday 18th September

Jordan Montgomery has been a revelation on the mound for the Redbirds since coming over from the Yankees at the trade deadline, although his latest start against the Brewers didn’t go to plan giving up four earned runs in an 8-4 loss.

Still, the Reds have been a mediocre team against left-handed pitching this year, ranking middle of the pack in runs scored and sixth in strikeout percentage.

Given the red-hot form Nolan Arenado, shoo-in NL MVP Paul Goldschmidt, and Albert Pujols have been in recently, I have no problem backing the Cards to win this comfortably.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 17th September

The Cubs are coming off an impressive sweep over the Mets at Citi Field, but I think I’m with the Rockies here for a couple of different reasons.

Chicago has played to a lousy 5-11 record following an off day this year, but I also think Marcus Stroman could be vulnerable against a Rockies lineup that scored five earned runs against him at Coors earlier in the season.

Stroman has been solid since returning from injury, but he’s also struggled at Wrigley Field recently, giving up a combined nine earned runs over his last two home starts.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win @ $2.10

Tuesday 13th September

Two sides at complete opposite ends of the American League standings meet on Tuesday to kickoff a three-game set.

The Astros have won all four of their meetings against the Tigers so far this season, and as the odds suggest, they’ll likely extend that record even further with Framber Valdez making his 27th start.

Valdez has been enormous this season throwing two complete games, but I think Eduardo Rodriguez is the arm worth betting on here.

The lefty has struck out four or more batters in eight of his last 12 games, while he also finished with eight strikeouts against this same Astros side back in May.

Tip: Eduardo Rodriguez Over 3.5 Strikeouts @ $2.00

Saturday 10th September

Quite a big inter-league series here between two club’s currently fighting for a spot in the playoffs.

The Braves have charged up the NL East standings to sit just half a game behind the Mets, while the Mariners are currently the second seed in the AL Wild Card race.

This pitching matchup is also exciting with a couple of veteran studs on the mound, but I think the advantage belongs to the Braves at home for one key reason.

Lefty Robbie Ray is coming off a couple strong starts against the Guardians, but he’s struggled in inter-league play this year giving up a handful of runs to teams like the Mets and Marlins.

To make matters worse, the Braves rank ninth in runs scored against southpaws, so I like Atlanta to continue this push towards the postseason.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win

Friday 9th September

Only a few games to choose from today, and that should give Dylan Cease the spotlight he deserves.

Chicago’s right-hander came agonisingly close to throwing his first no-hitter last week against the Twins, giving up a double with just one batter remaining.

Even so, his command was electric from start to finish – issuing just two free passes all game – while the White Sox offensively have really made a late charge towards a Wild Card spot winning six of their last 10 games.

Compared to the A’s, who were eliminated from playoff contention earlier in the week, the White Sox look the much safer team worth betting on.

Tip: SGM – White Sox to Win & the A’s Under 2.5 Runs @ $2.28

Wednesday 7^th September

Sticking with the Mets here as they look to snap their two-game losing streak.

The Mets and Pirates were postponed yesterday due to weather, which bodes particularly well for the visitors given their 15-3 record following an off-day this year.

The Pirates, on the other hand, have played to a league-worst 2-12 mark, similar to their 2-8 record over their last 10 games.

Tip: Back the Mets to Cover the Run Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.77

Sunday 4th September

The Mets currently own a two-game lead in the NL East after taking two-from-three against the Dodgers last week, and I think they can add to that number against the struggling Nats.

Washington veteran Patrick Corbin has suffered mightily at the hands of the Mets this year, allowing 13 earned runs across four starts.

New York currently ranks 11th in runs scored against left-handed pitching, so I think there’s every chance this one gets ugly.

Tip: Back the Mets to Cover the Run Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 3rd September

As I type, neither team has named a starter on the mound, but like the market suggests, I think the Blue Jays are the team worth betting on here.

This is basically a must-win series for Toronto with the Yankees and Rays back in hot form,  while it’s also worth noting the Jays have played to a decent 9-6 record inter-league play this year.

Better yet, Toronto took yesterday off, which again, has been highly profitable.

The Jays are 10-3 following an off-day, compared to Pittsburgh’s league-worst 2-11 record.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Cover the Run Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.70

Sunday 28th August

Dustin May was electric in his return to the mound last week, hurling five shutout, nine strikeout innings against this same Marlins side.

LA’s bats might have a slightly more difficult time scoring runs against Sandy Alcantara this time around, but it’s hard to back against a Dodgers side that has won seven of its last 10 games at time of publish.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 27th August

The Cubs have nothing left to play for at this point, but they’ve been playing the role of late-season spoiler quite nicely against some of their division foes.

Chicago can make things even more difficult for the Brewers in the Wild Card race with a repeat performance from lefty, Justin Steele.

The Cubs’ southpaw finished with nine strikeouts in six shutout innings against the Brewers last week, unsurprising numbers given Milwaukee’s struggles against lefties this year.

The Brewers wound up winning that game 5-2, but they still rank 25th in the league against left-handed pitching.

With Nick Madrigal, Willson Contreras, and Franmil Reyes all swinging a hot bat, the Cubs look a good bet if Steele brings some of his best stuff.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $2.25

Sunday 21st August

Happy to side with the Rays in Drew Rasmussen’s 21st start of the season.

In case you missed it, Tampa’s sturdy right-hander came agonisingly close to throwing a perfect game against the Orioles last week, pitching eight perfect innings before allowing a double to Jorge Mateo.

This is another important game for the Rays in the AL East with the Yankees in a slump, and they should be in safe hands if Rasmussen continues to fire his best stuff.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 20th August

This should be a fun inter-league series with the Braves looking to make up ground in the NL East, and the Astros looking to add to their 11.5 game lead in the AL West.

Houston scored three touchdowns against the White Sox yesterday in a 21-5 win, and I think the ‘Stros are good value here with Lance McCullers making his second start of the season.

The right-hander was electric in his return from injury last week, allowing no runs and just four walks in six innings of work against the A’s.

With the Braves coming off a hard-fought series against the Mets, I like the Astros to continue this road trip with a third-straight win.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $2.15

Friday 19th August

This high-stakes NL East matchup has lived up to the billing so far with the Braves taking the first two games and the Mets fighting back last night to force a dead rubber Game 4.

Jacob deGrom has simply been outstanding since returning to the IL a few weeks ago, averaging around 100MPH on his fastball and around 92MPH on his slider.

The 34-year-old future Hall of Famer has been almost unhittable in three starts, which the Braves know all too well after facing him couple of weeks ago when they scored just two earned runs and struck out 12 times.

Max Fried has been solid himself this year, but the Mets do rank Top 10 in runs scored against lefties.

With a chance to wrap up the series 2-2 and extend their lead atop the Braves in the division, I’m with the Mets.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win

Wednesday 17^th August

Time is quickly running out for the Red Sox as they now find themselves sitting last, 15 games back from the Yankees in the AL East.

Boston will understand the urgency of winning this series against Pittsburgh with New York dropping a bunch of games recently, and I think the Sox are a decent chance at closing the gap with Nick Pivetta taking the mound.

The veteran right-hander is coming off a decent six inning outing against the Braves last week that saw him give up only three earned runs. Mitch Keller posted similar numbers against the DBacks, but from a trends perspective, the Red Sox still look a better bet.

Boston has played to a 7-3 record following an off day this year, while the Pirates have played to a league-worst 2-9 record.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.72

The AL East-leading Yankees are in a real form slump having won just two of their last 10 games, but like the market suggests, I think they can turn things around here in Game 2 against the Rays.

Nestor Cortes is on the mound for his 22^nd start of the season, and he’s looking to build on a strong six inning outing against the Mariners last week that saw him give up only three earned runs to go with 10 K’s.

The Rays have struggled against left-handed pitching all year, currently ranking 26^th in runs scored.

Cortes has given up only six earned runs in three combined starts against the Rays this year, good numbers heading into a crucial division clash.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.60

Tuesday 16th August

Slight edge on the Marlins here with their ace Sandy Alcantara making his 24th stayrt of the year.

The NL Cy Young favourite lasted only 4.2 innings against this Padres lineup at Petco Park back in May, but as we already know, his home numbers this year have been mind-blowing.

Alcantara has posted a minute 1.80 ERA at LoanDepot Park this year, a number he reduced even further two weeks ago when he blanked the Reds in a scoreless complete game.

With the Friars in the midst of a very difficult week off the field, Miami to win looks good value.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win

Sunday 14th August

The importance of this series can’t be overstated with the Blue Jays looking to lock-up a Wild Card spot in the East, and the Guardians looking to extend their gap atop the Central.

Toronto boasts one of the most dangerous lineups in the league, but I’m siding with the visitors here in Triston McKenzie’s 22nd start of the season.

The right-hander has shown excellent command over the last few weeks, most recently holding the Astros scoreless across eight innings to go with eight K’s.

His stats on the road have been a little up and down this year, but if McKenzie’s slider and fastball are on point like they were last week, finding hits might be hard for Toronto.

Tip: Back the Guardians to Win

Saturday 13th August

The Mets have suddenly taken a commanding seven-game lead in the NL East, largely thanks to their recent 10-games stretch that has seen them lose only twice.

The Phillies have matched New York’s record during the same time span, but this is still a tough game for them traveling from Philly to New York on short rest.

The Phils were blanked 3-0 in a loss to the Marlins last night, and to make matters worse, they now face a well-rested Mets side with ace Max Scherzer on the mound.

New York has played to a league-best 14-1 record following an off day, so I’m backing them to win this comfortably at home.

Tip: Back the Mets to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.15

Wednesday 10^th August

Reigning MVP Shohei Ohtani takes the mound for his 19^th start on Wednesday after allowing just two earned runs in five innings of work against this same A’s team last week.

The Japanese sensation has been in red-hot form with bat and ball recently, and looking at his career numbers against Oakland, I’m backing it to continue.

Ohtani allowed only three earned runs in two starts at the Coliseum last year, taking his career ERA against Oakland down to 3.49.

The postseason looks unlikely for the Angels, but with a chance to at least distance themselves from the A’s in the AL West, I think they’ll win this one comfortably.

Tip: Back the A’s to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.02

Sunday 7th August

Every game from here on out is important for the Giants as they try to keep in touch with the Dodgers and the Padres in the NL West.

Three wins from their last 10 games at time of publish hasn’t helped matters, but I think San Francisco can pick up a win here on the road against one of the worst teams in the league.

Carlos Rodon was sensational last week against the Cubs throwing seven scoreless innings of 10 strikeout ball. That performance went a long way to keeping him on the team at the trade deadline, and I don’t think he’ll have any trouble racking up similar numbers against an A’s team that ranks 20th in runs scored against lefties.

Tip: Back the Giants to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 6th August

This is the first of a three-game set between the Cubs and the Marlins, and I think Chicago can kick things off with a win.

This is a difficult travel spot for the David Ross’ side traveling from St Louis back home to the Friendly Confines on short rest, but the Cubs are still in safe hands with lefty Justin Steele on the bump.

The 27-year-old was impressive through July, allowing just five earned runs across four starts to go with 20 strikeouts.

Better yet, the Marlins rank dead last in runs scored against left-handed pitching this year, so I like the Cubs outright at decent value.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win

Thursday 4^th August

We’ll get our first look at Luis Castillo in a Mariners uniform on Thursday after the former Cincinnati Red was dealt last week before the deadline.

Castillo was the hottest starting pitcher on the trade block, but he faces an enormous task first-up against a Yankees lineup looking to bounce-back.

The Bronx Bombers lost 8-6 to Seattle last night, and they’ll be eager to win the rubber game of the series with their ace Gerrit Cole on the mound.

New York has been one of the most profitable teams to bet on following a previous loss this year, playing to a 22-11 record overall.

That said, Castillo threw seven innings of eight strikeout, one run ball against them only two weeks ago, so there’s a good chance he keeps this lineup to a low score.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Cover the Line (1-5. Runs) & Under 7.5 Runs @ $3.90

Wednesday 3^rd August

It’s been a busy 24 hours for the Astros after acquiring Red Sox catcher Christian Vazquez and first baseman Trey Mancini before the trade deadline.

Houston fans have plenty to be excited about with the playoffs approaching, and from a punting perspective, I think the ‘Stros are a good bet heading into Game 2 of this series with Boston.

Dusty Baker’s side lost 3-2 last night, which again, is great news with the Astros sporting a 26-10 record on the back of a loss this season.

They’ve also got righty Cristian Javier on the mound, the righty coming off two strong outings against the Yankees and A’s over the last fortnight.

Kyle Cutter, meanwhile, has never faced this Astros lineup, so I think Houston is a good bounce-back bet.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win

Tuesday 2nd August

It’s been a slightly rough welcome back for Yankees’ right-hander Domingo German, allowing five earned in his first start against the Astros two weeks ago, and two in just four innings of work in a loss to the Mets last week.

Both of those games came on the road though, so I think he’ll appreciate getting back in front of the Yankee faithful on Tuesday to face a slightly easier lineup.

The Yankees actually lost to the Royals last night 8-6, which from a betting perspective, is actually good news.

The Bronx Bombers have played to a 21-11 record on the back of a loss this year, while they also get to face lefty Marco Gonzales.

New York ranks third in runs scored against southpaws this year, so this looks a nice spot for the Yanks to bounce-back and put up some runs.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.02

Sunday 31st July

The Rockies and the Dodgers square off for the second time in as many weeks, and we’re faced with an interesting lefty vs lefty matchup between Freeland and Kershaw.

As I’ve said before, the Rockies have been a really good bet whenever they faced southpaws, largely due to the fact they lead the league in runs scored.

Kershaw has been in All-Star form this year, but he has had his share of troubles at Coors Field recently allowing a combined 11 earned runs in his last two visits.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs)

Saturday 30th July

I think the Mets are a bet here despite the fact they’re facing NL Cy Young favourite, Sandy Alcantara.

The All-Star righty blanked the division rivals across seven shutout innings earlier in the month at Citi Field, but considering the Mets are coming off a confidence-boosting sweep over the Yankees, I think they’ll be eager to further widen their gap atop the NL East.

New York is also playing off a rest day, which as we know, has been very profitable this year.

The Mets are 13-1 following an off day, so the current price is generous all things considered.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win @ $1.77

Friday 29th July

Boston’s free-fall has been absolutely staggering over the last few weeks as they now find themselves below .500 after losing to this same Cleveland team last night.

Things aren’t about to get any easier with Guardians ace Triston McKenzie on the mound, the young righty coming off an outstanding 12 strikeout performance against the Tigers two weeks ago, and a strong five inning outing against the White Sox last week.

This is the young righty’s first look at Fenway, but if he continues to land some of his killer breaking balls, this shapes as another long night for the Red Sox.

Tip: Back the Guardians to Win @ $1.88

The ‘Stros look a pretty good bet here for a number of different reasons.

Firstly, Houston is coming off a loss to the A’s on Wednesday, which stacks up well from a betting perspective given their outstanding 24-10 record following a previous defeat.

Second, the Astros also had an off day yesterday, which again, has seen them play to a profitable 7-4 record overall.

Lastly, Jose Urquidy faced this same Mariners lineup only last week where he threw six innings of one-run b all in Seattle – a nice turnaround compared to some of the numbers he’d posted previously.

Back home in Houston, the current value is too good to ignore.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $1.72

Wednesday 27^th July

Siding with the Reds here in what is a fairly even matchup between two struggling ball clubs.

Cincinnati has been almost unbackable for most of the year, but they’ve hit a purple patch recently winning six of their last 10, including their last two against the Cardinals and this same Marlins team.

Flame-throwing hurler Hunter Greene has been prone to giving up a run or three, but I think he’ll finish with a few strikeouts against a Miami outfit that ranks 17^th in runs scored over their last seven games.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $1.95

The Orioles have been a lot of things this season, including a team that can’t hit left-handed pitching.

Southpaw Shane McClanahan takes the hill for the Rays looking to add to his tidy 1.71 ERA on the season.

The 25-year-old blanked the Orioles to begin the season with four scoreless, seven strikeout innings, while he’s also coming off a strong six-inning outing against the Red Sox last week in Tampa.

Baltimore ranks third in strikeout percentage and 22^nd in runs scored against lefties, so I like the Rays to keep Baltimore to a low total here.

Tip: Orioles Under 3 Runs @ $1.83

Sunday 24^th July

Every series from here on out is important for the Phillies as they look to keep their Wild Card hopes alive.

The struggling Cubs will be a welcome sight this weekend, but I don’t think the Phils will have everything their own way against veteran right-hander, Marcus Stroman.

Chicago’s big offseason signing returned from injury a few weeks ago to throw four scoreless innings against the Dodgers, followed by a similar performance against an equally strong Mets lineup a week later.

He hasn’t been throwing deep into games, but Stroman’s numbers at Citizens Bank Park make me think the Cubs can win this.

In three starts last year, Stroman allowed just three earned runs to go with 16 strikeouts, taking his career ERA in Philly down to a very respectable 1.93.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win

Saturday 23^rd July

There’s some good value on the O’s here for a couple of different reasons.

Firstly, this is a tough travel spot for the Yankees flying all the way to Baltimore after a quick two-game set with the Astros last night.

Second, the Orioles have a rest advantage following the All-Star break, while you might have heard something about them winning eight of their last 10 games to draw to an even .500 in the AL East.

Lastly, Jameson Taillon has given up five earned runs in two combined starts at Camden Yards this year, so if the Yankee right-hander lasts only four or so innings, the O’s might be able to make them pay.

Tip: Back the Orioles to Win @ $2.30

Facing reigning Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes right after the All-Star break is tough, but I think there’s a slight edge on the Rockies to at least keep this game close.

Colorado finished off the first half of the season with seven wins from their final 10 games, while they also ranked top five in runs scored over the final week.

Milwaukee, meanwhile, limped into the break with three wins from their final 10 after losing three of four to the Giants.

I doubt the Rockies get many runs off Burnes, but if Josh Hader struggles to close the game out, Colorado might just sneak in and cover.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $1.94

Friday 22^nd July

We’re back from the All-Star break on Friday, and we’ve got some good value on offer between two sides looking to hang around in the Wild Card picture.

Pablo Lopez has been great in home starts, but I can’t ignore Jon Gray’s outstanding seven shutout innings against the A’s last week.

The veteran righty finished with nine strikeouts to his name, and I also think he’ll get plenty of run support given the Rangers ranked seventh in runs scored over the final week before the break.

Tip: Back the Rangers to Win @ $2.00

Wednesday 13^th July

We’ve got a couple of long-time veterans on the mound for Game 2, and I think it’s advantage Rays.

Chris Sale is making his first start of the season after spending the opening few months on the IL with fractured in his right rib cage, and although he’s likely headed to the Hall of Fame one day, I wouldn’t be shocked if we see a little rust against this lethal Rays lineup.

To be fair, Tampa hasn’t hit left-handed pitching at all this season, but they do look to be in safe hands with Kluber throwing.

The 36-year-old blanked Boston for six shutout innings just last week, so the current price on offer for the Rays looks a steal.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $2.00

Thursday 7th July

The Mets were blanked 1-0 by the Reds yesterday, but they do look a good bet to wrap up the series with a win in the rubber match.

As I’ve spoken about at length, the Reds can’t hit left-handed pitching, evidenced by the fact they rank 22nd in the league in runs scored and 13th in on-base percentage.

That bode well for David Peterson in his first start at Great American, but so too does the fact the Mets own a 23-7 record on the back of a previous loss – the best in the league.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win @ $1.62

Wednesday 6^th July

Our Over/Under bets didn’t come off yesterday, but we’re back on the horse here with the Under between the Marlins and Angels.

Neither side has been lighting the league on fire over the last week in terms of runs scored, while the pitching matchup between Miami’s ace Sandy Alcantara and Angels hard-throwing right-hander Noah Syndergaard, also lends itself to a low-scoring game.

Alcantara owns a sparkling 1.95 ERA on the season, the third-best among qualified starters in the National League, while Syndergaard is coming off a much-improved seven strikeout outing against the White Sox last week.

The Under is 4-0 in Syndergaard’s last four starts, so that’s where I’ll be playing.

Tip: Under 7 Runs @ $1.87

The Brewers are on a bit of a mini roll right now as they look to extend their winning streak to three in a row against the Cubs.

Jason Alexander has had his struggles against the Cubs this season, but I think Milwaukee’s bats can help him out by putting up a decent number on the scoreboard.

The Brewers lead the league in runs scored over the last calendar week, while Kyle Hendricks has also given up a combined 10 earned runs in three starts against Milwaukee this season.

Tip: Back the Brewers to Win @ $1.72

Tuesday 5^th July

Great American is a hitter’s park, but I still think the run total (9.5) is a little too high here.

The Mets are in a bit of a funk having won only four of their last 10 games, largely due to the fact they rank dead last in runs scored over the last seven days.

The Reds, meanwhile, are in a similar boat despite beating the Braves yesterday.

Scoring runs has been a huge problem all season for Cincy, and with a long list of names still on the IL, it’s not going to get any easier in a hurry.

The Under is 5-0 in Taijuan Walker’s last five starts after allowing two runs or less in his previous appearance, so that looks a safe play here.

Tip: Under 9.5 Runs @ $1.94

We’ve got a few good lefty vs lefty matchups on offer today, including this one between Urias and Freeland.

Surprisingly, the Rockies have owned the Dodgers for most of the season, winning four of their six meetings so far, including last week’s series at Coors Field.

Still, I think the Over is the safer play here. Both sides combined for 10 runs or more in Games 2 and 3 last week, while more importantly, both rank Top 10 in the league in runs scored against southpaws.

Three of Colorado’s last four games have gone Over the Total, so that’s where I’m betting.

Tip: Over 8.5 Runs @ $1.94

Sunday 3rd July

I’m happy to side with the Rockies in the second of this three-game series against the DBacks.

We’ve got a good lefty vs lefty matchup here between Gomber and Keuchel, and while both have had their struggles this season, it’s hard to ignore the fact Colorado leads the league in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

Strangely, at least in comparison to last season, the Rockies also hold a winning record (21-20) at home.

I suspect the scoreboard will be in for a bit of a workout in this NL West clash, but with good value on offer, I’ll go the Rockies outright.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win

Saturday 2nd July

We’ve got a rare three-game inter-league series starting on Saturday between the Cubs and the Sox from Wrigley.

Chicago found some form against the hapless Reds earlier in the week, while Boston has enjoyed a day off after losing two out of three against the Blue Jays in Toronto.

This is the final stop on what has been a long road trip for the Red Sox, but I’m happy to back them to cover the run line for a couple of different reasons.

Firstly, the Cubs can’t hit left-handed pitching. Chicago ranks 27th in the league in runs scored against southpaws, so advantage Rich Hill.

Second, the Sox have covered in seven of their eight games this season following an off day, and based on the way Trevor Story and Alex Verdugo have been swinging the bat over the last week, I think they’ll have no trouble hitting Adrian Sampson all around the friendly confines.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Thursday 30th June

I don’t feel great about it, but there is a slight edge on the Marlins here with their ace Sandy Alcantara throwing.

The right-hander is coming off an ugly outing against the Mets last week where he gave up four earned in a 5-3 loss, but looking back at his game logs, he did blank the Cardinals for eight shutout innings back in April.

With the Redbirds still missing Harrison Bader, Yadier Molina, and Tyler O’Neill, this looks a nice spot for Miami to snap its two-game skid.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win @ $1.80

The Reds took Game 1 of their series against the Cubs yesterday by a score of 5-3, and I think the scoreboard could be in for another workout based on the pitching matchup.

The fast-throwing Hunter Greene is coming off an ugly six-run outing against the Dodgers last week, while he also gave up five earned to the Cubs at Wrigley back in May.

On the other side, Cubs right-hander Justin Steele hasn’t fared any better, giving up five earned runs to the Pirates at PNC Park last week – balloting his ERA out to 4.59.

Based on those numbers, the Over looks a good play.

Tip: Over 8 Runs @ $1.88

Wednesday 29^th June

Good little southpaw matchup here between a couple of veterans.

Both Corbin and Quintana have been prone to giving up a run or three this season, but I’m with the Nationals given their numbers against left-handed pitching.

Washington ranks top five in the league in runs scored against lefties, while on the flip side, the Pirates hold the third-highest strikeout rate against southpaws.

Neither side has been lighting it up recently, but with the Nats having won their last two, it’s worth backing them while they’re hot.

Tip: Back the Nationals to Win @ $1.80

This looks like another lefty pitching matchup worth taking advantage of.

I’m a huge fan of Zac Gallen, but I think this one goes the way of the Friars with Sean Manaea on the hill.

The DBacks have struggled against lefties for most of the year, ranking seventh in strikeout rate and 26^th in runs scored.

The Padres should be desperate to snap their two-game skid, and with a 6-0 record in their last six meetings with Arizona, they look a good bet at the current price.

Tip: Back the Padres to Win @ $1.85

Bo Bichette to Hit a Home Run, Michael Wacha 4+ Strikeouts, Vladimir Guerrero Jr to Have 1+ Hits @ $8.56

Friday 24th June

The Dodgers have been smacking the Reds all over Great American Ball Park during this series, and I think we’ll see a similar story unfold as they go for the sweep.

Hunter Greene gave up three earned runs to this Dodgers lineup back in April, and he’s been struggling with his command recently giving up four runs in a loss to the Brewers last week.

On the other side, Clayton Kershaw takes the mound for LA – a worrying sign for a Reds team that ranks 26th in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

With a stack of important names on the IL, this shapes as another rough day for the home side.

Tip: Dodgers Over 5 Runs @ $1.83

Dodgers to Win, Mariners to Win, Yankees/Astros Under 8.5 Runs @ $4.83

Wednesday 22^nd June

Game 2 between the Sox and the Jays, and if yesterday’s opener was anything to go by, it should be a doozy.

Josh Harrison and Andrew Vaughn both homered to setup an early lead for Chicago, but the Jays came roaring back with two runs in the top of the ninth to fall just short 8-7.

The good news is, the Jays have been a great bet following a previous loss, playing to a strong 20-8 record overall. Toronto has also scored the fifth-most runs over the last seven days, while they’ve also got their ace Kevin Gausman throwing.

The righty owns a sparkling 1.85 ERA on the road this year and he was also awarded a win against the White Sox last month when in another close 6-5 game.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $1.80

Tuesday 21^st June

The Yankees currently sit 11 games clear atop the AL East, and I think they can stretch that gap even further against a Rays team that has won only three of its last 10.

Tampa Bay lefty Shane McClanahan has held the Yankees in check so far this season, allowing only two earned runs across 12 combined innings.

That said, the Yankees currently rank fourth in runs scored against southpaws and given how lethal the bats of Anthony Rizzo and Joey Gallo have been over the last week, I think they can pile on some runs.

On the other side, Gerrit Cole has combined to throw 17 strikeouts in two starts against the Rays this season.

With the likes of Wander Franco and Mike Zunino on the IL, Cole should add to that number and help the Yankees to a bounce-back win.  

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.75

Saturday 11^th June

The Phillies have gone a seven-game winning streak since firing Joe Giradi last week, but I think there’s some value on the Diamondbacks here with their ace Zac Gallen on the bump.

Sporting a 2.40 ERA and an 0.94 WHIP, the righty is in the thick of the NL Cy Young conversation as he continues to show outstanding command.

Gallen threw five scoreless innings in his Citizens Bank debut last year, while he’s also held contending teams like the Mets, Dodgers and Braves to two runs or less so far this season.

If he brings his best, I think the DBacks are a bet.

Tip: Back the Diamondbacks to Win @ $2.10

Wednesday 8^th June

The Cubs are coming off a rough five-game set to the Cardinals, but this matchup against the Orioles does look more to their liking.

Baltimore’s rookie right-hander Kyle Bradish has struggled with his command so far this season, allowing six earned runs against the Red Sox two weeks ago before an improved showing against the Mariners in his latest.

Keegan Thompson, meanwhile, has been one of the few shining lights in the Cubs’ rotation.

The 27-year-old owns an ERA just below 2.00, while he’s also been stellar on the road allowing four earned runs across four starts.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $1.88

Tuesday 7^th June

The Angels are in the midst of a serious 11-game losing streak, and things aren’t about to get any easier on Tuesday with the red-hot Red Sox coming to town.

Boston has rattled off four wins on the trot, and I think the pitching matchup favours the visitors when you look at Michael Wacha’s numbers.

The veteran right-hander threw five scoreless innings against the Reds last week, while he’s also making his Angel Stadium debut.

Noah Syndergaard, meanwhile, was lit up for five earned runs at Yankee Stadium last week in just 2.1 innings of work, a worrying performance going up against a stout Boston lineup.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $2.02

Saturday 4^th June

Another quality pitching matchup here between two respective aces.

Corbin Burnes is coming off a stellar 11 strikeout, shutout performance against the Cardinals last week, while Joe Musgrove is sporting 1 .97 ERA on the road this year.

The Total has gone Under in five of their last seven meetings, so that’s the way I’ll be playing this one.

Tip: Under 6.5 Runs @ $1.87

Friday 3^rd June

This could be a potential playoff preview on Friday between two division leaders.

Tony Gonsolin has been a safe arm to bet on all season, but I think runs will prove hard to come by all-round with Taijuan Walker taking the mound for the Mets.

Walker shutout the Rockies in Colorado last week before allowing only two earned runs against a tough Phillies lineup in his latest start. Gonsolin, meanwhile, has allowed as many runs in three starts at home this season.

Tip: Under the Run Total

Saturday 28th May

Eight wins from their last 10 games has the Dodgers on top in the NL West, and they should be able to add to their record against the division rival Diamondbacks on Saturday.

Tony Gonsolin has been outstanding through eight starts this season, allowing just even earned runs to go with 37 strikeouts.

More importantly, though, the Dodgers have been the third-highest run-scoring team against left-handed pitching, which makes this a dangerous matchup for future Hall of Famer Madison Bumgarner.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.83

Friday 20^th May

Leaning towards the Under here in Game 1 between the Cubs and DBacks.

Neither lineup has been scoring a ton so far this season, and I think runs will come at a premium with both respective aces on the mound.

Zac Gallen, who is sporting a sparkling 1.05 ERA, is a genuine contender for NL Cy Young, while Marcus Stroman bounced back nicely with a seven-inning shutout against the Brewers last week.

Tip: Under the Run Total

Saturday 14th May

Another tricky matchup to try and pick from between two competitive AL East teams.

Kevin Gausman takes the mound of the Jays, and I think he’s the arm I want to bet on.

The veteran right-hander has been dominant on the road this season, allowing only four earned runs across three starts. He struck out 10 two weeks ago against a strong Astros lineup and reduced his ERA even further last week with a strong six inning outing against the Guardians.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $2.02

Wednesday 11^th May

Buckle your seatbelts for another drama-packed series between the Bronx Bombers and the Blue Jays.

Yusei Kikuchi made his best start in a Toronto uniform last week against this same Yankees team, and I think there’s some real value on the Jays to repeat that success.

The Japanese left-hander held the Yankees to a run in six innings of seven strikeout ball, while he also owns a sparkling 1.69 ERA in three starts in the Bronx.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $2.35

Sunday 8th May

The Cubs are borderline unwatchable right now as they prepare for Game 2 against the red-hot Dodgers.

Clayton Kershaw is coming off a stunning six inning, seven strikeout game against the Tigers last week, while Justin Steele’s ERA has ballooned out to 5.50 on the season.

The Dodgers also rank Top 10 in runs scored against left-handed pitching this year, so they should be winning this won comfortably.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 7th May

It’s been a disastrous start to the season for the 3-22 Reds, but I’m going to back them to snap their nine-game losing streak on Saturday against the Pirates.

JT Brubaker takes the mound for Pittsburgh sporting an ugly 6.28 career ERA at Great American Ball Park.

The right-hander has given up 10 earned runs in just three starts in Cincinnati, while he’s also made it through five innings only twice this season.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $2.00

Saturday 30^th April

Good pitching up here in Game 1 between the Sox and the Angels.

Lucas Giolito has been exceptional in limited innings so far, allowing just one earned run in two starts against the Twins and Tigers.

Noah Syndergaard, on the other hand, looks to be one of the picks for comeback player of the year after allowing just four combined earned runs in three starts.

Those numbers point towards a low-scoring game, and the trends do too. Thirteen of the last 19 meetings between these two clubs have all gone Under the Total.

Tip: Under 7 Total Runs @ $1.87

Friday 29^th April

We should be in for some runs here between the Braves and Cubs in Game 2.

Both sides required extra innings last night, and the pitching matchup lends itself to a low-scoring game.

Drew Smyly has allowed only four earned runs across three starts so far, while Braves right-hander Kyle Wright has allowed only two in an equal number.

Tip: Under 8.5 Runs @ $1.94

Wednesday 27^th April

Plenty of value on offer here in Game 1 between the Nats and Marlins.

Sandy Alcantara has been in outstanding form to start the season, while Josiah Gray has also started strongly.

Alcantara has allowed only four combined earned runs through three starts this season, while he’s also been mowing down hitters with 15 strikeouts to his name.

Gray, meanwhile, is coming off a strong vie inning outing of eight strikeout, one-run ball against the Diamondbacks last week.

If those numbers tell us anything, it’s that the Under is in play.

Tip: Under 7.5 Total Runs @ $1.83

Saturday 23^rd April

Reds flamethrower Hunter Greene has been a joy to watch to start the season as he continues to mow down hitters throwing 100MPH.

That said, I like the Cards in this spot following Steven Matz’s bounce-back performance against the Brewers last week.

St Louis’ new left-hander tossed five shutout innings to go with six K’s, numbers he can certainly repeat against a Reds lineup that ranks sixth in strikeout percentage against southpaws.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $1.80

Friday 22^nd April

The rubber match between Boston and Toronto stands out on Friday’s slate, and there should be plenty of feeling to it after Red Sox shortstop Trevor Story was accidentally hit in the head last night with a wild pitch.

Like the market suggests, this is a coin flip kind of game, but I like Boston outright for a couple of reasons.

Firstly, Kevin Gausman hasn’t faced the Red Sox, let alone pitched at Fenway Park since 2018, while Boston has also gone 4-0 in its last four games when Tanner Houck starts on the mound.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.98

Wednesday 20^th April

It’s young vs old on the mound tonight between promising lefty Jesus Luzardo and future Hall of Famer Adam Wainwright.

The latter had a bit of a rough outing allowing four earned runs in four innings against the Brewers last week, but this still looks a good spot for the Cardinals given how well they’ve hit lefties so far.

St Louis has hit seven homers and scored 15 runs off southpaws this year, which is potential bad news for Luzardo despite his outstanding 12 strikeout performance against the Angels last week.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $1.88

Friday 15th April

Good bit of value on offer here with the Marlins playing their first home series of the season against Philly.

Sandy Alcantara is one of the best young arms in the league, but he had a bit of a rough season last year against the Phillies pitching to a 3.68 ERA in four starts.

He gave up nine earned runs in those 22 innings of work, while Kyle Gibson, on the other hand,  looked fabulous in his first outing of the year striking out 10 in seven scoreless frames against the A’s.

With Philly coming off a rough loss to the Mets yesterday, I’m happy to take this price.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $1.98

Wednesday 13^th April

Taking the Cubs here in Game 1 of their road trip against Pittsburgh.

Former Cub Jose Quintana is making his first start in a Pirates uniform after throwing only 63 innings last year with the Angels and Giants.

Quintana’s fastball command has been in question for a while now, while the Cubs also have the wood over Pittsburgh with nine wins from their last 10 meetings.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $1.85

Tuesday 12^th April

The Rockies won’t win many games this season, but they have enjoyed a fast start with a 2-1 series win over the division rival Dodgers.

A trip to Texas is up next, and I think Colorado can get the job done at a price given the pitching matchup in Game 1.

Austin Gomber emerged as one of the most exciting young arms in the Majors last season, and as a lefty, I think he can give the Rangers some problems.

Texas’ lineup is much improved, but they did rank towards the bottom of the league in runs scored against left-handers last season.

New recruit Marcus Semien has endured a slow start to the season, but the same can’t be said for Kris Bryant in the new-look Rockies lineup.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win @ $2.10

Some good value on offer here if you like the Red Sox.

Boston got its first win of the season last night in Game 3 against the Yankees, and they should be able to carry some of that momentum over against Matt Manning, who has never faced this Red Sox lineup before.

Boston’s bullpen has been strong to start the season while the bats are also beginning to heat up after Bobby Dalbec went yard last night.

The Red Sox have won eight of their last 11 games against the Tigers, so I’ll back them here.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.85

Saturday 9^th April

Robbie Ray makes his first start as a Mariner on Saturday against a new-look Twins lineup featuring Carlos Correa at shortshop.

Ray was outstanding last year winning the AL Cy Young with the Blue Jays, so it is a little surprising to find even money on offer here.

The Twins are starting rookie Joe Ryan, which should also play into the hands of Seattle’s dangerous lineup that might feature rookie sensation Julio Rodriguez.

 Tip: Back the Mariners to Win @ $1.90

Friday 8th April

Should be a fun game here with Cleveland officially playing as the Guardians for the first time and Zack Greinke making his return to the Royals.

This is likely going to be Greinke’s last season in the Majors, and while he’s no doubt headed for the Hall of Fame, I’m happy to bet against him here.

The veteran righty fave up 15 combined runs in his final three starts last year, while he also gave up three to the Guardians in July.

Cleveland has won 16 of their last 21 visits to Kaufmann, so I like the value here.

Tip: Back the Guardians to Win @ $1.78

Happy to back the defending champs here against a Reds team that appears to be in for a very long season.

Max Fried is on the mound for Atlanta, which poses a bad matchup for Cincinnati given they ranked 27th in runs scored against left-handed pitchers last year.

The Reds are 1-4 in their last five games in Atlanta, so I think we’ll see the Braves open the season with a win and a low-scoring game.

Tip: Braves to Win & Under 8.5 Runs @ $2.95

Saturday 30^th October

World Series Game 3 – Series Tied 1-1

The Astros levelled up the series on Friday with a big outing from Jose Urquidy, but they still find themselves as the slight underdogs heading into Game 3 in Atlanta on Saturday.

The Braves are sending Ian Anderson to the mound for his fourth postseason start, and judging by his numbers, they should feel very confident in the right-hander.

Anderson was enormous in two outings against the Dodgers, allowing a combined three earned runs to go with six strikeouts across seven innings of work.

Dusty Baker, meanwhile, has decided to save Luis Garcia for Game 3, which is an interesting decision when you consider he gave up five earned runs against both the White Sox and the Red Sox earlier in the postseason.

A World Series start is big pressure for any rookie, particularly against a Braves side that finished the regular season 45-30 following a previous loss during the regular season.

Combine that with the fact the Braves are undefeated in all five home games during the postseason, and I think Atlanta is a safe bet.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $1.88

Thursday 28th October

World Series Game 2 – ATL Leads 1-0

The Braves will be hoping to pick up where they left off yesterday in their stunning 6-2 win over the Astros in Game 1.

A win here would be enormous for Atlanta before the series shifts back to Truist Park, but it appears the bookies are having a tough time separating these two sides despite the Braves’ dominance.

Houston has been an outstanding bet on the back of a loss all year, so it’s no real surprise to find the Astros as the favourites in the market.

The fact Dusty Baker’s side finished 1-for-9 with runners in scoring position suggests the Astros simply had a rough night at the plate, something you really can’t bank on again given how clutch and experienced their lineup is.

Most of the damage in Game 1 came early as Framber Valdez failed to generate command on his breaking pitches, which obviously cost the ‘Stros against Austin Riley and Jorge Soler.

There’s definitely a chance we see a similar story unfold given how bad Jose Urquidy looked in Game 3 against Boston last week, but at the same time, I’m not sure I trust Max Fried in this spot either.

I’ve said before that the Astros are the most dangerous team in the league against left-handed pitching, and given Fried gave up five earned to the Dodgers in Game 5 last week, I don’t feel entirely confident in his stuff.

Overall, if the Astros made the most of their chances last night, we’re probably looking at a high-scoring game, and that’s exactly what I think we’ll get in this one.

Tip: Over 8.5 Runs @ $1.90

Wednesday 27^th October

World Series Game 1

The Fall Classic gets underway on Wednesday with a matchup not many of us were expecting.

The Braves are back in the World Series for the first time since 1999 after downing the defending champion Dodgers, while the Astros, much to the chagrin of most fans, are hoping to win their second championship in five years.

The market is ever-so slightly in favour of Houston, largely due to the fact the Astros hold home-field advantage.

Dusty Baker’s side has won four of its five games at Minute Maid Park this year, which is a little concerning for a Braves side that has gone 2-5 on the road during the postseason.

I never like to tip the favourite, but it’s also hard to disagree with the market given Atlanta’s struggles against left-handed pitching.

Framber Valdez has had his troubles at times during the postseason, but the fact the Braves finished 23^rd in the league in on-base percentage against southpaws during the regular season might make things a little easier.

Above all else, this is a well-rounded, experienced Astros team taking on an up-and-coming Atlanta outfit, so I think Houston is the team to bet on in the opener.

Tip: Back the Astros to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.40

Saturday 23^rd October

ALCS Game 6 – HOU Leads 3-2

The series shifts back to Houston on Saturday as the Astros look to return to the World Series for the second time in five years.

The Over has been incredibly profitable through the first five games, and while I probably sound like a broken record, it’s the safest play heading into Game 6.

Luis Garcia has struggled mightily throughout the postseason so far, allowing five earned runs in just two frames against the White Sox, and another five against Boston in a single inning last week.

Nate Eovaldi could easily turn into the hero for the Red Sox, but the fact he gave up four earned in Game 4 against Houston is worrying to say the least.

With dead even money on offer and both teams returning from an off day, I’m happy to back another high-scoring game.

Tip: Over 8.5 Total Runs @ $1.83

Friday 22^nd October

NLCS Game 5 – ATL Leads 3-1

A trip to the World Series is on the line for the Braves following yesterday’s remarkable 9-2 blowout.

Atlanta is incredibly short in betting against the reigning champs but based on how few hits the Dodgers have had and how awful they look defensively; it only seems fair.

The Braves are sending Max Fried to the mound to close things out, and I think that’s further bad news for LA after the left-hander allowed only two earned runs across six innings in Atlanta’s Game 1 walk-off victory.

All this being said, I really can’t bring myself to back against a hardened postseason team like the Dodgers.

Fortunately, the last three games have resulted in nine runs or more, and with LA likely to throw the kitchen sink at the Braves in the hopes of forcing a Game 6, I think we’ll be in for plenty of runs.

Tip: Over the Run Total

Thursday 21st October

ALCS Game 5 – Series Tied 2-2

The Astros came-from-behind to even up the series yesterday in the ninth inning, and they’ll be hungry to go on with things in what is set to be the final game at Fenway.

There’s been a running trend right throughout this series with the Total going Over in all four games so far, and I think that will be the case again with Chris Sale facing Framber Valdez on the mound.

Sale did what was asked of him back in Game 1, but the fact he threw 61 pitches in just over two innings of work is a very worrying sign.

Likewise, Valdez pitched to similar numbers in the same game with two earned runs allowed, and if neither guy manages to make it past four innings, I wouldn’t be surprised if the scoreboard is in for another workout.

Both teams finished the regular season ranked top five in runs scored against left-handed pitching, so all signs point towards another high-scoring game.

Tip: Over the Run Total

NLCS Game 4 – ATL Leads 2-1

Yesterday’s Game 3 was an absolute roller-coaster as the Dodgers erased a three-run deficit to finally get a win on the board.

Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts were the heroes down the stretch, and if both guys can keep hitting, the Dodgers should go a long way to evening this series up before it shifts back to Atlanta.

The Braves are yet to announce a starter for Game 4, but either way, I think this favours the Dodgers with Julio Urias on the mound.

The young left-hander came on in relief and allowed two earned runs in the Dodgers’ Game 2 loss earlier in the week, but I still think he’s a valuable piece to their rotation (or bullpen) as a guy that can be relied upon to make it two or three times through the order.

It also feels like the momentum has slightly shifted in LA’s favour, so if Gavin Lux and others can avoid the mistakes that have plagued them throughout the first three games, we might finally see the Dodgers we know show up.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Win @ $1.95

Wednesday 20^th October

ALCS Game 4 – BOS Leads 2-1

A grand slam off the bat of Kyle Schwarber helped the Red Sox to their second straight blowout win yesterday in Game 3, and I think they’ll be very tough to beat again if Nick Pivetta produces his best.

The veteran right-hander was outstanding in Game 3 against the Rays last week, tossing four shutout innings to go with seven strikeouts.

Houston can feel good about the fact Zack Greinke takes the mound, and although the future Hall of Famer is an experienced playoff veteran, I can’t get past the fact he gave up four earned runs to this same Red Sox team at Fenway earlier in the year.

Speaking of Fenway, the Boston crowd has gone a long way to paving the Red Sox’ success this year.

The raucous crowd has been responsible for a number of errors against the Rays and Astros, and I think that will play a big part in moving the Red Sox one step closer to the World Series.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.78

Sunday 17^th October

NLCS Game 1

The Braves and the Dodgers square off in the NLCS for the second year in a row after both teams went to a Game 7 last season.

The defending champion Dodgers are the favourites to win the series again, but with the Braves playing on a rest advantage, I think playing on the Total is safer.

The pitching matchup is undetermined at time of publish, but I think we’ll get something like Charlie Morton v Walker Buehler.

Both guys are well-rested after throwing on Wednesday, while it’s also worth noting the Braves and the Dodgers held the Brewers and the Giants to under four runs during their respective NLDS series.

Tip: Under the Run Total

Saturday 16^th October

ALCS Game 1

The Red Sox have turned to Chris Sale for Game 1, which may or may not be the difference on Saturday.

The veteran lefty has been around long enough to know what the pressure of the postseason is like, but his performance in Game 2 against the Rays last week left a lot to be desired.

Sale gave up five earned in just one inning of work, but fortunately the Boston offence managed to bail him out in a 14-6 victory.

The Red Sox have what it takes to match the Astros on the scoresheet, but if Sale’s command is off again, I think Boston could be in for a rough start to this series.

Houston led the league in runs scored against lefties during the regular season, as White Sox lefty Carlos Rodon found out the hard way in Game 4 when he gave up two earned runs on just three hits.

With a star-studded lineup and a rowdy home crowd, I’m happy to take the short price on the Astros outright.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $1.70

Friday 15^th October

NLDS Game 5 – Series Tied 2-2

This epic series between the rival Giants and Dodgers has really lived up to the hype, so it’s only fitting that we’re treated to a do-or-die Game 5 with a trip to face the Braves on the line.

Giants Game 1 starter Logan Webb battles Dodgers Game 2 starter Julio Urias on the mound, but obviously both managers will be prepared to dive deep into their arsenal of arms to advance to the NLCS.

Both sides have been below average with runners in scoring position over the last two games, which has me leaning towards a low-scoring game.

Not surprisingly, both rotations finished with the first and second-lowest ERA’s, while I also think we’ll see some elite defence from both squads with so many experienced names in each lineup.

That said, I do like the Giants to win this game based on what the trends have taught us all season.

Like I said on Tuesday, San Francisco has been the best bounce-back bet all year, while they’ve also posted a league-best 19-4 record following an off day.

I think this game will be tight and likely come down to managerial decisions, and given Dave Roberts’ track record in these spots, that has to favour the Giants at home.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win & Under 6.5 Runs @ $4.20

Wednesday 13^th October

ALDS Game 4 – HOU Leads 2-1

Game 4 finally gets underway in Chicago following yesterday’s postponement.

We’ve got Rodon facing McCullers on the mound, which I think favours the Astros for a couple of different reasons.

Firstly, McCullers has proven to be a bit of a postseason stud throughout his career, as the White Sox found out the hard way in Game 1 when he pitched six shutout innings in Houston’s 6-1 win.

Second, Rodon is a lefty, which also plays into the Astros’ hands.

Houston finished the regular season ranked first in runs scored against southpaws, so all things considered, the current price for the Astros to advance is a real steal.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $1.98

Tuesday 12^th October

NLDS Game 3 – Series Tied 1-1

The Dodgers head back to Los Angeles as the heavy favourites in Game 3, but I think there’s something to be said for the Giants at a price.

When it comes to bouncing back from a previous loss, San Francisco has been the best side to bet on behind a 38-17 record.

Alex Wood takes the mound for his 27^th start, and while his numbers against the Dodgers this year haven’t been good, I do think his postseason numbers last year are worth paying attention to.

The lefty allowed only one earned run across eight combined innings, and he should know plenty about this Dodgers lineup after playing for them last year.

With the Giants having also won six of their 10 games at Dodger Stadium this year, I like them to bounce back.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $2.65

Saturday 9^th October

NLDS Game 1

We’ve got a very evenly matched series starting Saturday between the Brewers and the Braves.

Milwaukee cruised to the NL Central title behind a 95-67 record, while the Braves fought right to the death to secure the NL East.

These two sides are very familiar with postseason baseball, which has me leaning towards a low-scoring opening game.

Charlie Morton has allowed only three runs in his last three starts, while Corbin Burnes owns a sparkling 2.63 ERA on the year with only seven homers to his name.

The Under has also resulted in four of Morton’s last five starts against a team with a winning record, so I think we could be looking at a 3-1 type of game here.

Tip: Under 7 Runs @ $1.94

Thursday 7th October

National League Wild Card Game

There’s no love lost between the Dodgers and Cardinals, but it is a little surprising to find LA at such a short price given how well St Louis has played down the stretch.

The Redbirds are arguably one of the most dangerous teams entering October, and while it’s tough to read too much into a bunch of wins over the Cubs, it’s also hard to argue with how well this team is playing.

Adam Wainwright has been the catalyst for much of the Cardinals turnaround, while the likes of Tyler O’Neill, Harrison Bader and Dylan Carlson have stepped up big time to compliment proven veterans like Nolan Arenado and Paul Goldschmidt.

All of those guys will need to bring their best against the reigning World Series champs, but I think the Cardinals have a real shot here with Clayton Kershaw out for the postseason and Max Muncy, Chris Taylor and Gavin Lux all in some doubt.

The Dodgers should feel good about NL Cy Young favourite Max Scherzer throwing, but keep in mind, the future Hall of Famer has coughed up some bad performances in big postseason spots before.

If this Cards lineup is on like it has been for the past month, I’m more than happy to take the price about St Louis.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $2.75

Wednesday 6th October

American League Wild Card Game

The Red Sox and the Yankees will write another chapter in their long-standing rivalry on Wednesday as both teams hope to advance to the ALDS.

Boston erased a four-run deficit against the Nationals in Game 162 on Monday to punch their Wild Card ticket, while Aaron Judge’s walk-off single guaranteed the Yankees a spot.

Trying to back a winner in this one-game “win or go home” scenario is tough, but I’m leaning towards the Yankees for a couple of different reasons.

Firstly, the Bronx Bombers have been one of the hottest teams in baseball over the last two weeks, largely thanks to the bats of Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton.

Second, the Yankees swept the Red Sox in their last two series, while they’ve also got one of the most clutch postseason pitchers on the mound in Gerrit Cole.

The right-hander struck out 13 on this same day against the Indians last year, which is a lot more than you can say for Nathan Eovaldi, who hasn’t pitched in the postseason since 2018.

The Fenway crowd will no doubt play a part here, but when you consider the Yankees have posted identical records at home and on the road, I think they’re the worthy favourites.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.80

Sunday 3^rd October

The Cardinals have been one of the most exciting teams to watch in the second half of the season, particularly during this recent winning stretch that saw them rattle off 14 straight.

Jon Lester is on the mound to face his former team and based on what we saw from the Cardinals against the Cubs last week, he should have plenty of run support.

Chicago has basically been fielding a AAA team since their sell-off at the trade deadline, and with Adrian Sampson struggling to make it through four innings at times, I think the Cards will win this comfortably.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 2^nd October

Another day, another massive game for the Yankees.

A win here would go a long way to ensuring a Wild Card spot, and I like the Bombers to do just that with Shane McClanahan throwing for Tampa Bay.

The left-hander has pitched to a tidy 3.44 ERA in his rookie season, but he’s struggled against this Yankee line up allowing seven earned runs across two starts.

New York has also been on a real tear of late with seven wins from their last 10 games, so as long as Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton keep swinging a hot bat, I think they can open this series with a win.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win  

Tuesday 28^th September

A loss could almost put a line through both the Mariners and the A’s Wild Card chances on Tuesday.

We’ve got even money on offer, but I think this game slightly favours the Mariners based on the pitching matchup.

Chris Flexen has had his ups and downs this season, but he’s shown he’s capable of throwing some gems when his team needs him most.

The righty came through with such a performance against this same A’s team last week where he allowed only one earned runs across seven frames of eight strikeout ball. If his stuff is on point again, I’m happy to roll the dice on Seattle outright.

Tip: Back the Mariners to Win @ $1.91

Sunday 26^th September

Shane Baz was very impressive in his Major League debut last week, tossing five frames of two run, five strikeout ball against the Blue Jays.

The rookie faces another tough assignment against a talented Marlins lineup, but I still think this game heavily favours Tampa Bay based on Jesus Luzardo’s awful second-half numbers.

The young lefty owns a 7.13 ERA since the All-Star break and is also coming off a couple of rough outings against the Nationals where he allowed nine combined earned runs.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 25^th September

Reigning AL Cy Young winner Shane Bieber is back on the mound for the Indians on Saturday after missing nearly three months with a shoulder injury.

Pitchers returning to the mound from a long layoff makes me nervous, but an arm of Bieber’s quality is worth banking on given his career numbers against Chicago.

The righty has posted a .250 AVG and a 33% strikeout rate against this current White Sox lineup, making the Indians a nice value bet.

Tip: Back the Indians to Win

Tuesday 21^st September

This looks a very favourable bounce-back spot for the Yankees after losing in a blowout to Cleveland yesterday.

The Yankees are sending Nestor Cortes to the mound for his 12^th start of the season, and judging by his recent numbers, this is very bad news for the Rangers.

The lefty is coming off an 11 strikeout, one run outing against the Orioles last week that brough his ERA down to a solid 3.00 over his last seven starts.

To make matters worse, Texas ranks dead last in on-base percentage against southpaws, so this shapes as a long day for the visitors.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.70

Sunday 19^th September

The O’s are coming off a pretty rough series against the Yankees, and this trip to Fenway doesn’t look like it’s going to be any kinder.

Nick Pivetta is coming off a nice bounce-back outing against the White Sox last week, and he should have no trouble slicing through this Baltimore lineup like he did earlier last month.

The righty struck out eight across six innings, while I also think this matchup favours the Red Sox hitters.

Boston ranks second in the league in runs scored against left-handed pitching, as rookie Zac Lowther found out the hard way when he allowed seven earned runs across only two innings against the Red Sox in May.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win & Over the Total

Saturday 18^th September

These NL East matchups can be tough to pick, but this does look a nice game for the Phillies to keep their Wild Card hopes alive.

Philly comes in having won two straight over the Cubs at home, and they should be able to make it a third with their ace Zach Wheeler making his 30^th start of the season.

The veteran righty has posted a career-best 2.86 ERA so far this season and has also managed to keep the Mets scoreless in his last two starts against New York.

With Bryce Harper swinging a hot bat, I like the Phils here.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.10

Friday 17^th September

We’ve got a rubber game on Friday in the final game of the Lone Star Series.

The Astros’ bats exploded for seven runs off 12 hits to pick up the win yesterday, and I think they’ll win by a big margin again here with lefty Framber Valdez throwing.

The Rangers rank 23^rd in runs scored against left-handed pitching and dead last in on-base percentage, so it’s hard to imagine them scoring many runs against one of Houston’s best arms.

Tip: Back the Astros to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.72

Wednesday 15^th September

Another day, another crucial game in the AL East.

The Jays have taken over the top seed in the Wild Card standings with nine wins from their last 10 games, but they’re about to face another big test on Wednesday against a Rays team that will be hungry to bounce-back from yesterday’s 8-1 loss.

Given the pitching matchup, I think runs could come at a premium in this one.

Drew Rasmussen has allowed no more than one earned run in each of his last six starts, while Jose Berrios continues to impress after throwing six innings of two run, eight strikeout ball against the Yankees last week.

With nine runs on offer, I think this one is going Under.

Tip: Under 9.0 Runs @ $1.90

Sunday 12^th September

Charlie Morton is really starting to come on at the right time for the Braves, not that the Marlins need any reminding.

The right-hander struck out nine in six innings of work against Miami last month before going on to throw two strong outings at Dodger Stadium and Coors Field.

The Braves have also played to a pretty decent 37-29 record in division play this year, while the Marlins remain one of the worst teams in the NL on the road.

All in all, Atlanta should be winning this game if Morton produces his best.

Tip: Back the Braves to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 11^th September

Michael Wacha’s numbers on the season are ugly to say the least, but his last two starts against the Orioles and Twins make him an arm worth betting on against the Tigers.

Wacha has had a problem with the home run ball for most of the year, but he’s been steady in his last two appearances to allow a combined three earned runs in 10 innings of work to go with 13 K’s.

Matthew Boyd, on the other hand, is coming off a rough outing in Cincinnati last week that saw him charged with five earned across only four frames.

Great American Ball Park favours hitters, but considering the Rays rank top five in runs scored against lefties this year, I think he might be in for another long day.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.90

Friday 10^th September

The Mets lost a heartbreaker yesterday 2-1 in extras, but I think they’re poised to bounce-back here in Game 2 with their ace Marcus Stroman throwing.

The right-hander has been a shining light in this farcical season for New York, pitching to the tune of a 2.93 ERA alongside a 21% strikeout rate.

Jesus Luzardo, meanwhile, has struggled since being traded to the Fish in the Starling Marte deal.

The lefty gave up three earned runs in a no-decision against the Phillies last week, while he also gave up the same number of runs in five frames against the Mets last month.

Neither side fills me with confidence this late in the season, but the Mets, who currently lead the league in runs scored over the last week, have an edge.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win & Over 7.5 Runs @ $3.10

Mets to Win, Blue Jays to Win, Indians/Twins Over 9 Runs @ $5.97

Thursday 9th September

Triston McKenzie’s 1.11 WHIP and 4.62 ERA isn’t anything to get excited about, but the young right-hander still remains one of the most promising arms in baseball if you ask me.

The 24-year-old has been very impressive over the last month, nearly tossing a perfect game against the Tigers before allowing just one run in his next two starts against the Angels and Royals.

Full disclosure, McKenzie did give up six earned runs in three frames against the Twins earlier in the year, but that was before he rediscovered some of the velocity and command on his four-seam fastball.

With McKenzie also sporting much better numbers at home than on the road, I think the Indians are a safe play here.

Tip: Back the Indians to Win @ $1.75

Cleveland Indians to Win, Miami Marlins (+1.5), Boston Red Sox to Win @ $5.41

Wednesday 8^th September

The Red Sox lost a heartbreaker in extras yesterday to the Rays, although it was good news for those that followed us in and backed the Over.

I’m happy to play on Game 2 of this series on Wednesday, but instead of the Total, I think the Rays are a good bet to win outright.

Drew Rasumussen allowed only one run across four innings of work at Fenway earlier in the year, while I also think this is a favourable spot for the Rays for the same reasons we listed yesterday.

Tampa Bay ranks fourth in runs scored against left-handed pitching, which doesn’t bode well for Eduardo Rodriguez as he prepares to face this same lineup for the second time in just over a week.

To be fair, Rodriguez was sensational last time out throwing six scoreless innings against the Rays, but since this game is in a more hitter-friendly park like Fenway, I think Tampa Bay might turn the tables.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $1.88

Tuesday 7^th September

The Rays have a healthy lead atop the AL East, but this is still a massive game for the Red Sox as far as the Wild Card picture is concerned.

Boston’s chances of bouncing back from yesterday’s loss to the Indians are high with Chris Sale throwing, but I still think the Over is the safer play here with two lefties on the mound.  

Sale has given up homers to Kevin Kiermaier and Wander Franco in the past, while Ryan Yarbrough has also given up 10 homers total against this current Red Sox lineup.

Also worth noting is the fact the Red Sox and the Rays rank second and third respectively in runs scored against left-handed pitching, so I’m happy to back a high-scoring game here.

Tip: Over the Run Total

Sunday 5^th September

A series against the hapless Twins couldn’t have come at a better time for the Rays.

Tampa Bay is coming off a disappointing series against the rival Red Sox, but they should be able to put another win on the board here against Twins lefty Andrew Albers.

The Rays have been one of the best teams in the league this year against southpaws, ranking fifth in runs scored and first in walks.

Albers has made only two starts so far this year against the Yankees and Brewers, and while he’s held his own nicely, this is obviously another tough test against another World Series favourite.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 4^th September

The Cardinals are beginning to make some noise again in the NL Wild Card standings after winning two-from-three against the Reds earlier in the week.

Adam Wainwright has been a big reason for the Redbirds’ turnaround, and I think they represent some real value with the veteran righty on the mound on Saturday.

Wainwright has allowed only nine earned runs in his last seven starts, while he’s also piled up 44 strikeouts during that same time frame.

Freddy Peralta has pitched to a tidy 2.45 ERA himself this season, but the fact he’s missed a couple of starts due to injury makes him a little suspect.

The Cardinals have scored the sixth-most runs in the league over the last seven days, so if Peralta has any rust at all, I think St Louis can capitalise.  

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $2.35

Thursday 2^nd September

There’s no market at time of publish, but I think we’ll get a good price on the Cubs as they try and win back-to-back games for the first time since the trade deadline.

Both sides are in the running for ‘biggest disappointments’ of the season, but the Cubs can at least get another taste of the future with promising young left-hander Justin Steele taking the mound.

The Twins will also have their eyes towards the future as righty Joe Ryan makes his Major League debut.

The 25-year-old posted a steady 3.41 ERA across 13 starts at AAA, but he did have a problem giving up home runs at times.

Neither of these two teams fill me with confidence, but the Cubs do have an edge in terms of the matchup.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win  

Wednesday 1^st September

The Giants lost the opening game of their series with the Brewers on Tuesday, but if the trends are anything to go by, they should be bouncing back in Game 2.

San Francisco has played to a league-best 32-13 record in this spot, while they’ve lost back-to-back games at home only three times all year.

Facing Brandon Woodruff is obviously a daunting prospect, but it’s worth keeping in mind the Brewers righty allowed six earned runs to the Cardinals in his last road start at Busch Stadium.

Given how lethal this Giants lineup has been all year – particularly at home – there’s good value here on San Francisco returning to the winner’s circle.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win

Tuesday 31^st August

Corey Kluber is making his return to the mound on Tuesday after spending the last three months on the IL with a shoulder injury.

The future Hall of Famer threw a no-hitter against the Rangers two starts before the injury, but I still like the Angels to win this game after Kluber allowed three earned runs in his rehab start last week.

Los Angeles also has the added advantage of playing on a day’s rest, which so far, has been a very profitable betting play.

The Angels have gone 9-6 in this scenario, and they look a good bet to add to that record with some value on offer.

Tip: Back the Angels to Win

Sunday 29^th August

The odds will likely be short, but this does look another winnable game for the Yankees with outstanding young lefty Nestor Cortes Jr on the mound.

The 26-year-old has allowed only eight earned runs across five starts this month, lowering his ERA to 2.56 on the season.

The A’s, meanwhile, are languishing in the AL West and really beginning to fall behind in the Wild Card race.

Oakland has won only two from their last 10 at time of publish, largely due to their troubles driving runs home.

With the Yankees heading in a completely opposite direction, they look tough to back against.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win  

Saturday 28^th August

We’ve got another edition of the Crosstown Cup between the White Sox and Cubs starting Saturday, and I think we could be in for some runs in Game 1.

Keegan Thompson might be a potential future rotation piece for the Cubs, but since he’s spent most of the season working out of the bullpen, I think this shapes as a long day for the rookie in just his third start.

Likewise, Dallas Keuchel has given up 14 earned runs in four starts this month as he continues to struggle for command.

Putting two and two together, the Over looks a good bet here.

Tip: Over the Run Total

Friday 27^th August

Chris Sale has been a revelation for the Red Sox since he returned from Tommy John, but I still think the Twins are being a little undervalued here after winning in extras last night.

Minnesota has nothing left to play for at this point, but they have been a formidable opponent against lefties this year ranking ninth in runs scored.

Sale also owns a 3.56 ERA in his last five starts against the Twins, so I think there’s some value here on Minnesota at least keeping the scoreline respectable.

Tip: Back the Twins to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $2.30

Thursday 26th August

This is a meaningless divisional game as far as the NL East standings are concerned, but it is a meaningful one from a fan perspective as 23-year-old Marlins right-hander Edward Cabrera makes his Major League debut.

Cabrera has posted double-digit strikeouts in his last two starts at AAA, but unfortunately, he meets a Washington lineup on Thursday that ranks sixth in the league in runs scored over the last seven days.

On the flip side, Josiah Gray has found some real form over the last month allowing a combined nine earned runs across his last seven starts to go with a whopping 28 strikeouts.

It wouldn’t be surprising if Cabrera flashes his potential, but with even money on offer, I feel more confident in the Nats doing some damage on the road.

Tip: Back the Nationals to Win @ $1.91

Wednesday 25^th August

The Yankees have taken real charge in the AL Wild Card standings with 10 consecutive wins, but I think their good run might be about to come to an end in Game 1 against the Braves.

Andrew Heaney has given up nine home runs this year, which spells potential trouble against Braves lineup that has been swinging for the fences recently.  

Freddie Freeman, Austin Riley and Jorge Soler have all hit two home runs each over the last seven days, contributing to a huge 9-1 stretch for the Braves over their last 10 games.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $1.67

The Cubs came through for us yesterday thanks to the bat of Rafael Ortega, but I’m with the Rockies to bounce-back in Game 2 knowing German Marquez is pegged to start.

The right-hander was dominant against the Padres last week allowing only three earned runs in a 7-3 victory at Coors, and he should have no problem taming a weakened Cubs lineup that has scored only 23 runs over the last seven days.

Justin Steele is a promising young arm in the Cubs rotation, but I think the Rockies’ numbers against left-handed pitching go against him here.

Surprisingly, Colorado ranks fourth in on-base percentage against southpaws, so I think the Rockies are decent value to get one back.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win @ $1.67

Tuesday 24^th August

You won’t find the Cubs as the favourites very often anymore, except when they play the Rockies at home, of course.

Colorado has been an outstanding bet at Coors Field this year, but they’ve also been a very profitable team to bet again when playing on the road.

At 14-45, the Rockies have the second-worst away record in the league, which has me leaning towards the Cubs with their ace Kyle Hendricks on the mound.

Although wins don’t mean a thing, the veteran righty currently leads the league in the category following last week’s 2-1 win over the Reds.

Antonio Senzatela, on the other hand, gave up four earned runs in just four frames against the Cubs to start the month, so Chicago looks a good bet with some value on better.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $1.75

Sunday 22^nd August

The Braves appear well on their way to securing the NL East crown and I don’t think they’ll have any trouble picking up another win over the struggling O’s on Sunday.

Matt Harvey is coming off a rough outing against the Rays last week that saw him give up five earned runs at the Trop, which is worrying given how well Freddie Freeman and Dansby Swanson have been swinging the bat for the Braves of late.

The Braves actually played to a better record on the road than they have at home this year, so I like them to take Game 2 of this series.

Tip: Back the Braves to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 21^st August

We’ve got a good little pitching matchup on offer here between two of the most promising young arms in baseball.

Tyler Gilbert threw a no-hitter last week in his first start for the Diamondbacks, while Austin Gomber has compiled an outstanding 1.70 ERA at home this year.

Speaking of Coors Field, the Rockies have played to an amazing 41-21 record in Colorado, which largely explains the short odds on offer.

While Gilbert was amazing last week against the Padres, I think the jury is still out on his fastball velocity, which could get him in trouble here in the Colorado altitude.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.98

Friday 20^th August

We’ve got an early start on Friday for the Tigers and Angels with almost even money on offer.

Detroit is looking to snap a three-game losing streak, and I think they’re good value to do so with lefty Jose Quintana on the mound for Anaheim.

Quintana has struggled to make it past the fourth inning at times this year for the Angels, while he’s also allowed six combined earned runs over his last three starts.

The Tigers have been sneaky good against southpaws this year, ranking 11^th in runs scored to go with a .261 AVG. This game really is a coin flip, but I think the Tigers have a slight edge based on the numbers.

Tip: Back the Tigers to Win @ $1.95

Wednesday 18^th August

The Giants took care of the Mets in Game 1 yesterday thanks to a pair of homers from Kris Bryant, but I still think the run total is a little high heading into the second game of the series with Logan Webb and Marcus Stroman taking the mound.

The former owns a strong 2.96 ERA on the season after throwing six shutout innings against the Rockies last week, while Stroman has easily been the biggest bright spot in the Mets’ rotation behind a career-low 2.79 ERA.

These two sides did combine for 12 runs yesterday, but if both arms bring their best stuff, I think 8.0 is a little too high.

Tip: Under 8.0 Runs @ $1.96

Tuesday 17^th August

The White Sox have the AL Central sewn up, but this is still a massive series for the A’s as they look to secure the first wild card seed.

Oakland lost 5-3 to the Yankees yesterday, but they’ve still been on a real tear of late winning eight of their last 10, and I think they can get back on track here with Dallas Keuchel throwing.

Keuchel’s ERA has ballooned to 4.50 following a rough outing against the Twins last week, and I think he might be in trouble against an Oakland side that ranks third in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

The A’s have played to a steady 26-23 record following a loss this year, so I think the $1.85 about them is a good bet with their ace Frankie Montas on the mound.

Tip: Back the A’s to Win @ $1.85

Sunday 15^th August

Chris Sale returns to the mound for the first time since 2019 on Sunday to take on the reeling Orioles.

Baltimore has lost nine of its last 10 games at time of publish, while they’ve also managed only one win from seven games against the Red Sox so far this season.

I’m always wary of guys making their return from Tommy John, but Sale’s numbers in his last two minor league starts have been very encouraging.

Boston also needs to have this series as they find themselves five games back from the Rays.

If they can rely on four of five good innings from Sale, I think they’ll get the job done.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 14^th August

We’re going lefty v lefty on Saturday for Game 2 of this series between the DBacks and Padres.

For those that don’t know, the Diamondbacks are the worst team in baseball right now, so the -1.5 about the Padres to cover the run line is pretty good value all things considered.

Also working in San Diego’s favour is the fact Blake Snell is throwing. The veteran left-hander faced this same Arizona lineup last week where he finished with a season-high 13 strikeouts across seven scoreless innings.

Snell has really found some command after an up and down month of July, so I like the Padres to win this comfortably.

Tip: Back the Padres to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.90

Thursday 12^th August

Some strong value on the White Sox here if you’re looking to boost the odds of your multi.

Lance Lynn is one of the leading contenders for the AL Cy Young Award as he sports a league-leading 2.04 ERA through 20 starts, making him one of the safest arms to bet on this year.

The right-hander has also allowed only four earned runs through 24 combined innings of work against the Twins this season to go with 21 K’s and only eight walks.

Chicago’s offence also looks untouchable since Eloy Jimenez and Luis Robert returned from the IL, so I’m with the Sox to bounce-back from yesterday’s 4-3 loss.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win @ $1.60

Wednesday 11^th August

Bit of a coin flip game as far as the market is concerned, but I like the Tigers outright with promising right-hander Casey Mize making his 22^nd start of the season.

The 24-year-old is coming off a rough outing at home against the Red Sox last week, but I think he’ll feel a little more comfortable against this O’s line-up after he blanked them across even shutout innings a fortnight ago.

Keegan Akin is also a promising young arm in the Baltimore rotation, but the Tigers have held their own against left-handed pitching this year to rank 14^th in runs scored.

Since there’s even money on offer, I like the Tigers as a value play.

Tip: Back the Tigers to Win @ $1.91

Tuesday 10th August

Kind of a tricky Tuesday with only five games to choose from, so I’m looking to the Reds in this makeup game.

Luis Castillo had his ups and downs through May, but the veteran right-hander has shown steady command ever since to allow three earned runs or less in his last 13 starts.

The Reds offence has also been unstoppable of late ranking second in runs scored over the last seven days – a big improvement that has helped them win eight of their last 10.

With the Indians in a slump, I like Cincinnati to add to their impressive 30-24 record on the road.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win

Sunday 8^th August

Really fun pitching matchup here between two of the most promising young arms in baseball.

Austin Gomber is coming off a rough outing at Petco Park last week against the Padres, but I think he can bounce-back here with a home start against the Marlins.

Miami owns one of the worst records on the road this year (20-35), while they also rank third-last in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

With Gomber sporting a tidy 1.98 ERA at Coors this year, I think the Rockies are a good bet.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win

Saturday 7^th August

Marcus Stroman is preparing for his fifth start of the season against the Phillies on Saturday, and I think the numbers read well for a Mets win.

The 30-year-old has allowed only three combined earned runs across those four starts, which should come in handy against a Phillies side that is riding a five-game winning streak.

The Mets also lost to the Marlins yesterday, setting up one of the more profitable plays of the season.

New York has gone 29-20 overall in this scenario, and with some good value on offer, I think they can add to that number.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win @ $1.91

Thursday 5th August

The Brewers have taken a real stranglehold atop the NL Central with eight wins from their last 10 games.

Milwaukee actually lost in extras to the Pirates yesterday, but I think they can atone here with Freddy Peralta on the bump.

The righty owns a 2.17 ERA through 19 starts this season, and he should be pretty familiar with the Pirates after facing them last week where he threw six scoreless innings.

The Brewers’ offence has only gotten stronger since adding Eduardo Escobar at the deadline, and I expect their bats to bounce back here.

Tip: Back the Brewers to Win & Under 8.5 Runs @ $2.70

The Diamondbacks picked up a rare win over the Giants yesterday in Game 1 of the series, but as you should know by now, San Francisco is a very safe bet to bounce-back and even the score.

The Giants have played to a league-best 27-12 record against the spread following a previous loss this year, while they’ve also got the added advantage of their ace Kevin Gausman on the mound.

The righty owns the fifth-lowest ERA among qualified starters in the league right now and has also given up only two earned runs to go with 15 K’s in two starts against the DBacks this year.

Tip: Back the Giants to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Wednesday 4^th August

This should be a fascinating cross conference series between the A’s and the Padres.

Both sides have managed only five wins from their last 10 games, but I’m giving the edge to Oakland based on their strong 10-3 record following an off day.

The A’s are also facing lefty Blake Snell, which works in their favour when you consider they rank third in runs scored against southpaws.

With Fernando Tatis Jr also out of the lineup for San Diego, the A’s look a good value bet.

Tip: Back the A’s to Win

Tuesday 3^rd August

The Mets managed only three hits in a blowout loss to the Reds yesterday, but I’m with them to bounce-back here in a favourable matchup against the Marlins.

Rookie Tylor Megill is on the mound sporting a tidy 2.04 ERA in seven starts, a number he can lower even further against a Marlins team that has lost four straight coming in.

New York has played to a 28-18 record following a loss this year, so the Mets look a nice outright bet on what is a fairly quiet day.

Tip: Back the Mets to Win

Sunday 1^st August

Quality pitching matchup here between two of the top arms in the NL at the moment.

Kyle Muller is firmly in the ROY conversation after allowing only six earned runs across seven starts, while Brandon Woodruff’s 2.14 ERA speaks for itself.

If these two arms at their best, I think runs are going to come at a premium in this potential postseason preview.

Tip: Under the Run Total

Saturday 31^st July

I think we might be in for some runs in the first of this three-game set between the Mets and Reds.

Carlos Carrasco is making his first start of the season for the Mets after recovering from a torn hamstring, so we might see a little rust on the mound from the veteran right-hander.

Sonny Gray, meanwhile, has been awful on the mound this month allowing a combined 16 earned runs in his last four starts.

The Reds are also coming off a highly productive series against the Cubs, so I think the Over is a safe bet.

Tip: Over 8.5 Runs @ $1.90

Friday 30^th July

We’ve got another crucial game in the AL East getting underway nice and early on Friday morning.

I doubt we’ll see the newly acquired Joey Gallo in the pinstripes, but I still think the Yankees are a nice bet here after taking Game 1 by a score of 3-1 in extras yesterday.

Gerrit Cole is on the mound, an encouraging sign for the Bronx Bombers with the elite right-hander boasting an outstanding 1.82 ERA in four career starts at the Trop.

Nelson Cruz and Mike Zunino are also day-to-day for the Rays, so if Cole brings his best stuff like he did against Boston, I think the Yankees can make it three in a row.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.72

The Dodgers blanked the Giants 8-0 yesterday, but I’m firmly with San Francisco to bounce back and take the rubber game.

The Giants have played to a league-best 25-12 record following a loss this year, while they also get the added luxury of facing Dodgers opener David Price.

San Francisco ranks ninth in the league in on-base percentage against left-handed pitching this year, which is pretty worrying for Price when you consider he’s only pitched past five innings once all season.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $2.02

Thursday 29^th July

We turn our attention towards the NL East on Thursday for an important game between the Phillies and Nats.

Washington’s front office has said they are in sell mode with the trade deadline approaching, so it’s no surprise to find the Phils at a very short price in the market.

The pitching matchup also suggests the Phillies are the team to bet on with Patrick Corbin on the mound.

The veteran right-hander holds one of the worst ERA’s in the league, while this Phillies lineup has also done some big damage against left-handed pitching to rank 10^th in homers and fourth in on-base percentage.

With a chance to close the gap on the division leading Mets, I like Philly to cover here.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $2.02

Wednesday 28^th July

We’ve got a battle between the Anderson’s in Game 2 of the Pirates and Brewers series.

Neither side has been particularly impressive over the last week and a half, which leads me to believe we could be in for a low-scoring game.

Both Anderson’s are lefties, which also lends itself to the Under being in play.

The Pirates and Brewers rank bottom five in runs scored against left-handed pitching this year, so the 8.5 run total looks a little high.

Tip: Under 8.5 Runs @ $1.94

Tuesday 27^th July

The Royals are in a bit of a purple patch heading into Game 1 of this series, but I think the pitching matchup favours the White Sox with Mike Minor on the mound.

The lefty has compiled a couple of decent outings on the road against the Indians and the Brewers over the last two weeks, but he’s struggled at home with a growing 5.61 ERA.

Minor was also slapped with a loss after giving up five earned runs to the White Sox at Kauffman earlier in May, while I also like the fact Chicago ranks fourth in on-base percentage against left-handed pitching.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win @ $1.80

Happy to take the short price on the Angels with AL MVP favourite Shohei Ohtani on the mound.

The Japanese sensation was outstanding on the mound last week in his scoreless outing against the A’s where he also tacked on eight strikeouts for good measure.

German Marquez is firmly in the NL West Cy Young conversation himself, but the fact the Rockies have won only 10 games on the road this year gives the Angels a massive edge.

Tip: Back the Angels to Win @ $1.64

Sunday 25^th July

Potential Cy Young candidate Kevin Gausman is on the mound for his 20^th start of the season on Sunday, which is enough to have me leaning heavily in favour of the NL West leading Giants.

The Pirates had lost four straight heading into the weekend, while it’s hard to ignore the fact Gausman dominated the Pittsburgh lineup with 12 K’s over eight innings when they met earlier in May.

With one of the best home records in the league, the Giants should win this comfortably.

Tip: Back the Giants to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 24^th July

The Cubs and the DBacks prepare for another three-game series, this time at Wrigley Field.

Chicago won two-from-three against the DBacks in Arizona last week, but I think Zac Gallen could prove the difference here in Game 1.

The righty struck out seven in five frames of one-run ball against the Cubs last week, adding to what has been a fairly consistent month of July.

Zach Davies, on the other hand, has given up 17 earned runs in his last seven starts, so there’s a decent chance the DBacks open this series with a rare win.

Tip: Back the Diamondbacks to Win @ $2.15

Friday 23^rd July

Only a few games on offer, so I’m looking to play it safe on the A’s in the first of this four-game series against Seattle.

Chris Flexen has compiled some impressive numbers over the last month on the mound, but it’s hard to ignore the fact he gave up five earned in six frames against this same Oakland lineup only six weeks ago.

The A’s are also coming off a rest day, which has already proven highly profitable this season.

Oakland has played to a league-best 9-2 record after a day off, so I’m with them outright here.

Tip: Back the A’s to Win @ $1.75

Thursday 22^nd July

Game 2 of this series was rained out on Wednesday, so we’ve got Robbie Ray and Garrett Richards going at it today instead.

The Jays should be eager to bounce-back from their ugly 13-4 loss to Boston on Tuesday, but I think the pitching matchup favours the Red Sox when you factor in their numbers against lefties.

Boston ranks second in the league in runs scored against left-handed pitching and ninth in on-base percentage – concerning numbers for Ray in spite of the successful season he’s having.

The Red Sox are also 8-4 following a day off this year, so I like them outright depending on the price we get.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win

Wednesday 21^st July

The O’s took Game 1 of this series by a score of 6-1 yesterday, but I wouldn’t be surprised if we get a few more runs on the scoreboard here given the pitching matchup.

John Means returns to the mound for the first time since early June after hitting the IL with a shoulder injury. The star lefty threw a no-hitter earlier in the year, but it wouldn’t be surprising if he’s a little rusty given the nature of shoulder problems.

Shane McClanahan, meanwhile, owns a 4.05 ERA on the season and has never faced this Baltimore lineup.

Given these two guys are also lefties, it’s worth noting that Tampa Bay and Baltimore rank sixth and seventh in runs scored against southpaws, so there’s plenty to suggest the scoreboard might get a workout.

Tip: Over 8.0 Runs @ $1.94

No odds available at time of publish, but I like the look of the Braves in Game 1 of this series against Yu Darvish.

The right-hander was last seen giving up six earned runs in three innings of work against the Nationals a fortnight ago before hitting the IL with left hip inflammation.

The Padres have also played to a middling 22-22 record on the road this year, so if Darvish is less than 100 per cent, I think the Braves are a good bet outright after this game was postponed yesterday.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win

Tuesday 20^th July

No odds available at time of publish, but I like the look of the Braves in Game 1 of this series against Yu Darvish.

The right-hander was last seen giving up six earned runs in three innings of work against the Nationals a fortnight ago before hitting the IL with left hip inflammation.

The Padres have also played to a middling 22-22 record on the road this year, so if Darvish is less than 100 per cent, I think the Braves are a good bet outright after this game was postponed yesterday.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win

Sunday 18^th July

This is one of the more straightforward choices assuming the pitching matchup holds.

It will be the second game of the series between these teams and I’m not going to back against Walker Bueler.

Over his last 11 starts he has given up more than one run on just four occasions and should be able to keep this Rockies lineup in check.

Back the LA Dodgers to Win & Under Total Runs

Saturday 17^th July

It was a brutal blow for the Braves to lose star man Ronald Acuna Jr for the season but I’m not ready to give up hope on them just yet.

A trade for Joc Pederson should help them fill at least part of the void, and once he settles into his new digs, I’m sure he will do his job.

Right out of the gate however, they will need to rely on their pitching staff to get them by a very strong Tampa Bay team.

Charlie Morton’s 8-3 record and 3.64 ERA should put him in good stead as he takes on his former team here.

Tampa might have won the last meeting between these teams 16-5 but I’ll give the home side a great chance here.

Back Atlanta -1.5 @ $2.40

Friday 16^th July

The All Star Break is in the books and the regular season resumes with Boston heading to the Bronx.

Currently in possession of a 1.5 game lead at the top of the AL East, Boston will deploy Eduardo Rodriguez and his 6-5 record as they try and arrest a two game skid.

Sitting eight games back in the division, the Yankees will need to address a batting lineup that has not lived up to expectations so far.

Both of these sides will be the better for a few days rest and while the All Stars may be a bit flat, I’m expecting plenty of runs to start the back end of the season.

The Sox have also swept both of their series against the Yankees this season so I’m happy to throw them in for a win as well.

Back Boston to Win & Over Total Runs

Sunday 11^th July

The Rockies have been brilliant at home and awful on the road all year, so I definitely can’t get on board Colorado winning this game.

That said, I do think there’s value on the Rockies to cover the spread with their ace German Marquez on the mound.

The righty came very close to throwing a no-hitter last week against Pittsburgh and then backed that performance up with 11 strikeouts and only two earned runs allowed last week against the Cardinals.

This is obviously a much tougher Padres lineup, but if Marquez is on like he has been over the last month, the Rockies could keep this respectable.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs)

Saturday 10^th July

We’ve got even money on offer for Game 2 between the Brewers and Reds in what shapes as a very important game in the NL Central right before the All-Star break.

The pitching matchup favours Wade Miley, but I think the Brewers are good value here with Eric Lauer throwing.

The lefty is coming off two dominant outings over the Rockies and Pirates, while the Reds have had their share of struggles against southpaws to rank 21^st in on-base percentage and 27^th in runs scored.

Cincinnati has also been a sub .500 team on the road this year, which compared to Milwaukee’s 26-18 record at home, makes the Reds worth betting against.

Tip: Back the Brewers to Win @ $1.91

There should be plenty of feeling in this series, much like there was when the Astros visited the Bronx earlier in the year.

Things have changed a lot since then, particularly in the standings with Houston taking a commanding lead in the AL West and the Yankees suddenly looking like sellers right before the All-Star break.

As far as betting goes, I think the Astros are a safe play.

Jake Odorizzi’s career numbers against New York aren’t great, but he’s been enormous over the last month allowing just one earned run in his last four starts.

The Astros have also played to a strong 15-10 record against the AL East this year, so depending on what odds we get, I like Houston to win or to cover.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win or Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Friday 9^th July

There looks to be some good value on the Royals in the first of this four-game set before the All-Star break.

Danny Duffy’s 2.60 ERA is the 17^th best in the league among pitchers that have thrown at least 50 innings this season, which spells potential trouble for an Indians lineup that has lost nine of its last 10 games.

Cleveland also leads the league in strikeout percentage over the last calendar week, while this is also Zach Plesac’s first start since May after spending time on the IL with a thumb injury.

Neither club fills me with a great deal of confidence, but there’s a lot working in Kansas City’s favour here.

Tip: Back the Royals to Win @ $2.10

Thursday 8^th July

It’s rubber game time between the Angels and Sox after Shoehi Ohtani held Boston to just two runs yesterday.

The Red Sox have played to a steady 18-14 record on the back of a loss this year, and I think this pitching matchup favours them against lefty Andrew Heaney.

Boston ranks second in hits and runs scored against southpaws, which could make this a bit of a nightmare for Heaney after he gave up four runs in three frames against the Yankees last week.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.78

The Yankees did a number on the Mariners yesterday, but I fancy Seattle to bounce-back here with their All-Star Yusei Kikuchi on the hill.

The Japanese sensation has compiled a tidy 3.18 ERA on the year, a number that has been reduced drastically over his last four starts with only three combined runs allowed.

Kikuchi is also a lefty, which poses some questions to a Yankees lineup that ranks 23^rd in the league in runs scored against southpaws.

With Domingo German also struggling to make it through five innings recently, I think Seattle is a decent bet here at home.

Tip: Back the Mariners to Win @ $2.02

Wednesday 7^th July

The $1.78 about the Phillies is outstanding value when you consider they’ve got their ace Aaron Nola on the mound.

The 28-year-old has posted double-digit strikeouts in his last two starts against the Mets and Marlins, while Cubs right-hander Jake Arrieta continues to struggle with velocity and basic command of the strikezone.

Chicago has now lost 10 straight games and I really can’t see them turning things around against Nola.

The Cubs have been awful with runners in scoring position over the last month, so this looks a steal all things considering.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $1.78

The Red Sox have won nine of their last 10 to establish a 4.5 game lead in the AL East, and I think they can add to that record in the second of this three-game set against the Angels.

Los Angeles made a late rally yesterday to fall short by a run in the opener, and while they no doubt have the offence to compete with Boston, I’ve got a big query on Shohei Ohtani after he pitched only two-thirds of an inning last week against the Yankees.

Like always, the Angels bullpen boasts one of the highest ERA’s in the league, so if the Japanese sensation fails to make it through five innings, I think the Red Sox will do plenty of damage offensively.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.85

Tuesday 6^th July

The Rays suddenly find themselves 4.5 games back from the Red Sox in the AL East, but this looks a nice series for them to make up some ground against the struggling Indians.

Cleveland has won only two of its last 10 with Jose Ramirez missing from the lineup, and I don’t think the pitching matchup for this game favours Logan Allen when you consider the Rays rank fourth in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

With home field advantage also in the favour, Tampa Bay looks a good bet to cover.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs) @ $1.90

Kind of strange to find the market favouring the Royals here with the Reds coming off a four-game sweep at home over the Cubs.

The pitching matchup slightly favours Kansas City with Cincinnati turning to their rookie right-hander Vladimir Gutierrez, but Mike Minor’s numbers over the last month certainly make the Reds worth betting on.

The veteran has allowed a combined 14 earned runs in his last two starts alone against the Rangers and Red Sox, which doesn’t bode well against a punishing Reds lineup that features Nick Castellanos and Jesse Winker – two guys that rank Top 10 in the league in hits.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $1.98

Sunday 4th July

The White Sox have cooled off a little over the last week, but they should be able to extend their lead atop the AL Central with a three-game set against the Tigers.

Tarik Skubal is a promising young arm in Detroit’s rotation, but the Tigers’ numbers against left-handed pitching favours the White Sox here.

Detroit currently leads the league in strikeout percentage against southpaws and also ranks 25^th in runs scored, so Chicago looks a good bet to cover.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 3^rd July

The Braves walked it off yesterday against the Mets and I think they can keep the momentum rolling here in Game 1 against Miami.

Drew Smyly takes the mound for his 14^th start, and while he’s had his fair share of troubles this season, I think he matches up well against a Marlins team that ranks 24^th in runs scored against left-handed pitching.

On the opposite side, Pablo Lopez gave up four earned runs in just three frames against the Braves a fortnight ago in Miami, so there’s a good chance they put up some runs again.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win

This should be a fun three-game series in Oakland between two of the top teams in the American League.

Both Montas and Rodriguez own ERA’s above 4.00, so I think there’s a strong chance the scoreboard gets a bit of a workout.

That said, Boston currently ranks second in the league in runs scored, while the A’s are in a serious slump having scored only 23 runs over their last seven games.

The Coliseum can be a pitchers park at times, but after teeing off on the Royals earlier in the week for a combined 34 runs, I think the Total looks a little too on Boston.

Tip: Red Sox Over 4.0 Runs @ $1.87

Friday 2^nd July

The Reds burned us earlier in the week when they lost Game 1 of this series, but I think they have the edge here in the finale as far as the pitching matchup is concerned.

Luis Castillo has largely been a liability for most of the season, but it seems like he’s starting to come around after throwing seven scoreless innings against the Braves last week.

Ryan Weathers, on the other hand, has never faced this Reds lineup, let alone thrown a single pitch in Cincinnati. Considering he’s given up 10 earned runs across his last seven starts, I like the Reds with even money on offer.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $1.91

The head-to-head price for the Giants is quite tempting here, but I think there’s also a case to be made for Arizona as the underdog.

The DBacks are the worst team in baseball, but they did get to Johnny Cueto back in May, knocking the right-hander around for five earned runs in five innings of work.

Cueto has struggled through the first half of the season, particularly on the road where he’s posted an ugly 4.97 ERA. Kelly’s numbers aren’t much better, but if you’re looking for a value play, Arizona stands out.

Tip: Back the Diamondbacks to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $1.73

New York Mets to Win, Cincinnati Reds to Win, Arizona Diamondbacks (+1.5) @ $5.75

Thursday 1^st July

The Rockies have a slight edge here coming off German Marquez’s outstanding one-hit complete game last night.

Jon Gray was outstanding last week in Milwaukee tossing five scoreless innings to go with 10 strikeouts, while it’s also worth noting Colorado’s strong 27-16 record at home this year.

This is also Chad Kuhl’s first start at Coors since 2017, so I expect the altitude might play a part.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win @ $1.67

The Braves and the Mets combined for only seven runs yesterday and I think we could be in for a repeat in Game 2.

Lefties Max Fried and David Peterson take the mound, which lends itself to a low-scoring game when you consider both clubs rank bottom five in runs scored against southpaws, and Top 10 in strikeout rate.

Tip: Under 8.5 Runs @ $1.94

Wednesday 30^th June

We’ve got a slight edge on the Reds here with Blake Snell making his first career start in Cincinnati.

For those unaware, the ball tends to fly out at Great American Ball Park, so I think the lefty could be a little vulnerable despite what his numbers on the season suggest.

The Reds have struggled mightily against southpaws this year, but after Snell was lit up for seven earned runs against the Rockies at Coors Field a fortnight ago, I think there’s a definite possibility Cincinnati puts up a crooked number on the scoreboard.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @$2.35

We could be in for a low-scoring Game 2 here between the Dodgers and Giants with two of this season’s top arms on the hill.

Walker Buehler and Kevin Gausman both rank Top 30 in strikeout rate among qualified starters in the National League, while both own tidy ERA’s under 2.50.

These two sides both combined for only five runs yesterday in a 3-2 Dodgers win, so I think the 7.5 Total is a little high.

Tip: Under 7.5 Runs @ $1.83

Tuesday 29^th July

The Cubs are coming off a pretty rough series against the Dodgers in LA, but I think they can get things back on track here in this crucial three-game set against the Brewers.

Kyle Hendricks takes the mound Chicago, which is a welcome sign for punters when you consider the Cubs have won each of their last seven games when he’s on the hill.

In case you aren’t familiar with Hendricks, he’s a groundball pitcher that relies heavily on breaking balls – a potential recipe for disaster against a Brewers team that ranks 22^nd in the league in on-base percentage this year.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $2.20

Sunday 27^th June

The Astros have won 10 in a row as I write, but I think there’s a chance the Tigers at least keep this game close with Casey Mize on the hill.

The promising young right-hander threw seven scoreless innings against Houston earlier in the year and has typically played much better at home than on the road this year.

Lance McCullers, on the other hand, allowed six earned runs in three innings against the Tigers back in April, so depending on what odds we get, I like the Tigers to cover here.

Tip: Back the Tigers to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs)

Saturday 26^th June

We’re getting a pretty good price here on the Giants for Game 1 of this three-game set.

San Francisco owns the best home record in the National League, and I also like the fact they rank fifth in on-base percentage against left-handed pitching – an important stat with southpaw Sean Manaea throwing for the A’s.

Johnny Cueto does make me a little nervous at times, but he does own a career 2.57 ERA in three starts against the A’s.

After putting up seven runs in the 13^th inning against the Angels on Thursday, I like the Giants following a day off.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $1.98

Sunday 20^th June

I’ve been a big fan of Austin Gomber this season as he looks to continue his outstanding month of June.

The promising young lefty has allowed only one earned run in his last three starts to go with 15 strikeouts, while he’s also allowed only three earned runs in five starts at Coors Field this year.

Betting on the Rockies is always tough, particularly against this red-hot Brewers team, but I think there’s an edge on Colorado to win or at least keep it close.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs)

Saturday 19^th June

The Cards and the Braves come into this series at opposite ends of the spectrum on Saturday.

St Louis just swept the Marlins at home to move just four games behind the Cubs in the Central, while the Braves suffered a sweep at the hands of the Red Sox.

That said, Atlanta still remains the short-priced favourite ahead of Game 1 and I’m having a tough time disagreeing with the market.

The Cardinals rank second-last in runs scored against left-handed pitching this year, so this looks a nice bounce-back spot for the Braves to get on track.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $1.60

Sunday 13^th June

The Brewers have a big opportunity to take the lead in the NL Central this weekend with the Cubs and the Cardinals doing battle at Wrigley.

They’ve also drawn a timely series against the struggling Pirates, a team that has won only three of its last 10 games.

Milwaukee has gone 7-3 during that same span and they should be adding to that number with ace Corbin Burnes on the mound.

The 26-year-old righty has struck out 20 hitters and allowed only one earned run in his last two starts combined, so I’m firmly with the Brewers to make a statement here.

Tip: Back the Brewers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 12^th June

There’s some good value here on the Marlins to open this three-game set with a win.

Sandy Alcantara has taken another huge step forward in Miami’s rotation this year and I think he’ll appreciate taking the mound at home for the first time in seven starts.

The Braves are also coming off back-to-back walk-off losses to the Phillies, so this quick trip to Florida doesn’t bode well for them.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win @ $2.10

Sunday 6^th June

The Diamondbacks have won only nine games on the road this year, so it’s hard to tip them with any kind of confidence in Game 2 of this series.

To make matters worse, they face Brandon Woodruff on the mound with the righty coming off back-to-back seven inning shutouts against the Padres and Nationals.

Tip: Back the Brewers to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Saturday 5^th June

The Astros are coming in red-hot following a series win over the Red Sox and I think they represent good value here against Hyun Jin-Ryu.

The lefty has been dominant for most of the season, but this is still a big test against a Houston lineup that ranks first in the league in runs scored against southpaws.

In a hitter-friendly park, give me the ‘Stros at odds.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $2.02

Sunday 30^th May

Really can’t argue with Yu Darvish in the second game of this series.

The right-hander has come every bit as advertised after signing a big deal during the offseason and has so far pitched to a sparkling 1.75 ERA with 74 strikeouts across 10 starts.

He’s been just as good on the road as he has been at home, and I don’t think he’ll have any trouble against an Astros side that is batting only .252 over the last seven days.

Tip: Back the Padres to Win

Saturday 29^th May

I think the Run Total for this game is a little too high with a pair of lefties on the mound.

Brett Anderson and Jon Lester have both had their share of troubles this season, but also worth noting that both the Nats and Brewers rank bottom 10 in runs scored against southpaws.

Tip: Under 9 Runs @ $1.98

Thursday 27th May

The Cubs have won seven of their last 10, but I think they might see their two-game winning streak snapped here in Game 2 against the Pirates.

Trevor Williams is facing his former team for the third time this season, and if it turns out anything like his trip to PNC Park back in April, Cubs fans might be in for a long day.

The right-hander allowed five earned runs in a 7-1 loss, numbers that have helped contribute to an ugly 11.08 ERA on the road.

These two sides typically play each other pretty close, so I like Pittsburgh to get one back.

Tip: Back the Pirates to Win @ $2.20

Wednesday 26^th May

There will no doubt be plenty of feeling in this series following last year’s altercations, but I’m with the Astros to get a win on the board first just based on their numbers against lefties.

Houston leads the league in runs scored against southpaws, while the ‘Stros also rank dead last in strikeout percentage.

That doesn’t bode well for Clayton Kershaw in what will be his first start at Minute Maid Park since 2015.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win

Wednesday 19^th May

I think there’s a slight edge on the DBacks here with Julio Urias throwing for the Dodgers.

Arizona currently ranks fourth in the league in runs scored against lefties, while they’ve also posted the eighth-lowest strikeout rate.

Urias has been a bit of a mixed bag this year with some strong outings in Seattle and Milwaukee, followed by a rough one two weeks ago against the Angels in Anaheim.

If the Diamondbacks get to him early, I think they can level this series up.

Tip: Back the Diamondbacks to Win

Tuesday 18^th May

Jon Lester squares off against his former team on Tuesday and I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets one-up on a few of his old teammates.

The Cubs are currently riddled with injuries and COVID, while Lester has also enjoyed three strong outings since making his Nats debut late last month.

The future Hall of Famer has allowed only four earned runs in 16 innings of work, while it goes without saying that he knows most of Chicago’s hitters inside and out.

Tip: Back the Nats to Win @ $2.20

Sunday 16th May

I’m taking the Jays in the the second of this three-game series against the Phils purely based on Aaron Nola’s home/road splits.

The right-hander has been almost unhittable at home this season behind a 1.40 ERA, but on the road he’s struggled mightily giving up 15 earned runs in just four starts.

The Jays’ temporary home away from home in Dunedin is a tricky park for players to get a feel for, so I wouldn’t be surprised if Nola struggles.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win

Saturday 15th May

We’ve got a double-header on Saturday between the Sox and the Royals and it is no surprise to find Chicago as the short-priced favourites.

The Sox have won six straight heading into this game, while Kansas City has endured a miserable start to the month losing 11 in a row.

The pitching matchup also favours the Sox here with Lucas Giolito throwing. The righty owns a strong 2.81 ERA in 14 starts against the Royals, so I’m happy to take Chicago to win big.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Friday 14th May

We’ve had a couple of low-scoring games between these two sides so far, but I think we might be in for runs in Game 3 with Morton and Stripling on the mound.

Morton has been somewhat of a liability on the hill for Atlanta this season allowing 19 earned runs in just seven starts, while Stripling is yet to make it past the fifth inning.

Cavan Biggio and Bo Bichette have both him homers against Morton in the past, and vice versa for Freddie Freeman, Marcell Ozuna and Ozzie Albies against Stripling.

Tip: Over 8.5 Runs @ $1.87

There’s a very slight edge on the Rockies here if we get the bad version of Luis Castillo again.

The veteran right-hander has been slapped with back-to-back losses against the Cubs and the Indians after allowing a combined seven earned runs, so there’s a good chance we see him cough up a few more here in the altitude at Coors Field.

Castillo has made only one start previously in Colorado way back in 2017, so this might be a long night for the Reds.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Win @ $2.20

Thursday 14th May

Bit of a pick’em matchup here in Game 2 of this series between the Braves and Jays.

Toronto won the opener yesterday by a score of 5-3, and I think they can take the series here if Hyun Jin Ryu continues to throw his best stuff.

The veteran lefty gave up four earned in a 10-4 win over the A’s last week, but I think he’ll have better success today against a Braves lineup that ranks seventh in strikeouts against southpaws and 28th in runs scored.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $1.88

Wednesday 13^th May

Should be a fun two-game series here as the Cubs and the Indians meet in a rematch of the 2016 World Series in Cleveland.

Game 1 features a very interesting pitching matchup with reigning AL Cy Young Award winner Shane Bieber taking to the bump to face promising young Cubs righty Adbert Alzolay.

Bieber set a new record last month by becoming the first starter in MLB history to strikeout 10 batters or more in his first four starts, while Alzolay has also shown some strong command with his breaking stuff in his last two starts against the Braves and Dodgers.

All in all, we should be in for a low-scoring game here if those numbers are anything to go by.

Tip: Under 7 Runs @ $1.80

Tuesday 12^th May

Alex Wood has enjoyed a really strong start to the season as a Giant, but it wouldn’t surprise me if he gives up a few runs today against the Rangers.

Texas has been lethal against left-handed pitching this year as they currently rank sixth in runs scored and third in homers.

Rangers righty Kyle Gibson also went eight innings last week against the Twins where he allowed three earned runs and struck out eight.

Tip: Back the Rangers to Win @ $2.25

Sunday 9^th May

Really fun pitching matchup here between two future Hall of Famers.

Either guy could easily dominate on the mound, but I’m giving the edge to the Yankees solely due to Max Scherzer’s troubles with home runs this year.

The Bronx Bombers have also been on a tear of late taking two-from-three against the Astros earlier in the week.

With Giancarlo Stanton’s hitting streak sitting at 12 games at time of publish, I think the Yankee bats should do some damage.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win

Saturday 8^th May

Siding with the Rangers here after the Mariners were no-hit on Thursday by John Means.

I fully expect Seattle to put some runs on the board in this ballpark, but as we saw with the Red Sox earlier in the week, Texas’ new stadium can be a tough place to play for young teams unfamiliar with the surroundings.

There’s also no starter confirmed for Seattle at time of publish, which doesn’t fill me with confidence considering Mike Foltynewicz is throwing for the Rangers.

The veteran righty has struggled at times this year, but he has saved some of his best work for home games throwing seven strong innings against the Padres earlier in the year, and more recently allowing just two earned in six frames against Boston last week.

Tip: Back the Rangers to Win @ $1.88

Tuesday 4^th May

It’s been a rough start to the season for Jose Quintana in his return from a shortened 2020 campaign, but I do think this is a nice spot for the Angels lefty to get things back on track.

The Rays rank middle of the pack in runs scored against left-handed pitching, but more importantly, they also rank second in the league in strikeout rate.

Since Tampa is also traveling from Florida to LA on short rest, I think the Halos are a good bet here.

Tip: Back the Angels to Win @ $2.30

Sunday 2^nd May

I’m not sure if Royals righty Danny Duffy can sustain the current pace he’s on, but I’m not about to argue with his tidy 0.39 ERA through five starts.

Duffy also happens to be a lefty, which could pose problems for a Twins lineup that ranks 21^st in runs scored against southpaws this year.

With Matt Shoemaker struggling in his first four starts as a Twin, I’m with the Royals here at a price.

Tip: Back the Royals to Win

Taking the Under with these two brilliant arms on the mound.

Brandon Woodruff has been in sensational form sinc ethe season began striking out 34 hitters across just 29 innings of work, while Dustin May has also got off to a hot start after striking out 10 in six frames against the Padres last week.

These two guys are well known for their breaking balls, so I expect plenty of strikeouts and a low-scoring game.

Tip: Under the Run Total

Saturday 1st May

Lots to like about the Indians in this spot with reigning Cy Young award winner Shane Bieber on the mound.

Bieber has picked up right where he left off last year pitching to a strong 2.48 ERA to go with 57 strikeouts in just 36 innings of work.

Better yet, the Indians are also set to face lefty Dallas Keuchel, which does look a favourable matchup considering Cleveland ranks fourth in runs scored against southpaws.

Tip: Back the Indians to Win @ $1.72

I think there’s value to be had on the O’s here with John Means making his sixth start.

The left-hander has rebounded beautifully from a rough 2020 season to pitch to a sparkling 1.50 ERA – which is the lowest among starters that have thrown at least 30 innings in the American League.

Means also gave up only one earned run against Oakland last week across six innings in Baltimore’s 8-1 win. After walking yesterday’s game off against the Yankees, I like the Orioles to make it two in a row.

Tip: Back the Orioles to Win @ $2.10

Friday 30th April

I don’t think this is a particularly good spot for the Brewers for a couple of different reasons.

Firstly, this is Eric Lauer’s first start of the season, and secondly, the Dodgers have mashed against lefties so far to rank fifth in the league in runs scored.

To make matters worse, Trevor Bauer takes the mound sporting a fairly tidy 3.65 ERA in two starts at Miller Park.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Win

The Red Sox are full of confidence following a two-game sweep over the Mets, but I’m happy to be with the Rangers here considering Boston is traveling from New York to Texas on short rest.

Martin Perez is also a lefty, which could be bad news against a Rangers outfit that has hit 10 home runs against southpaws so far this year.

With Nick Solak and Nate Lowe red-hot, I like Texas at this price.

Tip: Back the Rangers to Win @ $2.02

Thursday 29th April

Fun little pitching matchup here between two guys that are firmly on top of their game.

Jacob deGrom set a new career-high last week with a 15 K outing against the Nats, while Pivetta has so far enjoyed a very promising start to the season allowing just eight earned runs across 20 innings of work.

These two sides only combined for three runs yesterday, so another low-scoring game looks likely.

Tip: Under 7 Runs @ $1.87

Some decent value on the Braves here as they look to secure the series win against the Cubs.

Atlanta shut out Chicago 5-0 yesterday on the back of an eight strikeout performance from Ian Anderson, and I wouldn’t be surprised if Huascar Ynoa can post similar numbers with Javier Baez and Jake Marisnick on the sidelines for the Cubs.

Kyle Hendricks has also been under the weather of late, so it remains to be seen if he makes it through five innings, or let alone starts this game.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $1.78

Tuesday 27^th April

This Cardinals lineup is really starting to heat up now as they shoot for four straight in the opening game of the series against the Phillies.

Philly has cooled off a little after a hot start to the season, and I think they could be in for a long day here based on Zack Wheeler’s troubles last week against the Giants.

The righty allowed three home runs across five innings – a worrying sign against a St Louis team that ranks sixth in the league in homers.

Wheeler also owns a 5.40 ERA in two starts at Busch Stadium, so I like the value here on the Red Birds.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $1.91

Sunday 25th April

Big fan of Matthew Boyd’s start to the season, so I’m with the Tigers to take Game 2 here.

The left-hander has bounced back from a rough 2020 season to compile a strong 2.03 ERA through four starts so far.

The Royals have hit southpaws really well so far, but when you consider Boyd has faced some pretty tough lineups like the Indians, Twins, Astros and A’s so far, he should have no trouble with this lineup.

Tip: Back the Tigers to Win

Saturday 24th April

Just an excellent pitching matchup here between two of the best arms in the league.

As the odds suggest, it’s a bit of a coin flip, but I’m happy to take the $2.20 about the Dodgers after Darvish went seven innings last week against Los Angeles with only one run allowed and nine strikeouts.

Not surprisingly, the 34-year-olds breaking stuff was almost unhittable as the Dodgers managed only two walks against him.

Kershaw is Kershaw, but if Darvish brings his best stuff, I like the Padres to take Game 2.

Tip: Back the Padres to Win @ $2.20

This series between the Giants and Marlins has been really fun, but I’m with Miami to go ahead here in Game 3 with Sandy Alcantara getting the start.

As I’ve said previously, the right-hander is one of the most promising young pitchers in the league and he’s certainly shown that so far allowing only nine earned runs over 24 innings of work.

As far as pitching in San Francisco goes, Alcantara’s numbers are equally as impressive.

The 25-year-old allowed only one earned run across seven innings at Oracle Park back in 2019.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win @ $2.02

Friday 23rd April

After a pretty rough start to the season, the Cubs’ bats have absolutely exploded in the first two games of this series – particularly last night where they put up 14 runs.

The Cubs are finally starting to put the ball in play with runners in scoring position, and while it’s tough to read too much into a small sample size, it’s hard to ignore the value on a sweep heading into Game 3.

Trevor Williams has pitched two strong outings at Wrigley since joining the Cubs, both against very talented Brewers and Braves lineups.

With some of the Mets’ middle inning guys struggling and a few errors getting in the way, the Cubs are a good play at the current price.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $2.10

Only a few games to choose from today, so I’m looking to play it safe with the Giants at decent value.

Aaron Sanchez has been outstanding in his three starts to date after missing the entire 2020 season, allowing just four earned runs across 14.2 combined innings.

The Giants are also taking on Marlins lefty Daniel Castano, which spells trouble for Miami when you consider San Francisco holds the fifth-lowest strikeout rate against southpaws this year.

Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $1.70

Thursday 22nd April

The Red Sox have been one of the biggest surprise stories to start the season, but i really don’t feel good about them in this spot with Garrett Richards throwing.

The veteran right-hander did steady last week to pitch a scoreless outing against the Twins, but his career numbers against the Blue Jays (5.20 ERA in six starts) make for tough reading.

Richards also hasn’t faced the majority the Jays since 2018, and obviously a lot has changed since then.

After losing a thriller yesterday, I’m with Toronto to bounce-back.

Tip: Back the Blue Jays to Win @ $2.10

Wednesday 21^st April

I’m always a little wary of backing a guy that just threw a no-hitter, but these odds are too good to ignore.

Carlos Rodon achieved that milestone against this same Indians side last week, and while you could argue Cleveland should HAVE a little more knowledge on his “stuff” now, it’s hard to ignore the fact he’s posted a sparkling 2.69 ERA in 16 career starts against the Indians.

Zach Plesac is also throwing for Cleveland, which is a little worrying considering the righty gave up six earned in less than an inning of work last week against the Sox.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win @ $1.88

Some strong value on the Cardinals here as they prepare to face Patrick Corbin.

The Nats’ lefty has been awful to start the season allowing six earned runs against the Dodgers and and nine last week against the Diamondbacks.

After pounding Washington 12-5 in Game 1 yesterday, it wouldn’t be surprising if we get a similar score line here.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $1.88

Tuesday 20^th April

Really fun pitching matchup here between last week’s no-hit star Joe Musgrove and one of the most underrated righties in the big league’s Brandon Woodruff.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Woodruff limits San Diego early, but I’m still with the Padres to win this game based on the Brewers’ long list of injuries.

Christian Yelich has now joined Lorenzo Cain and Kolten Wong on the IL, which leaves Milwaukee short on three of its top power hitters.

After a thrilling series with the Dodgers that saw Fernando Tatis homer in his first game and some clutch hitting from Eric Hosmer in Game 3 yesterday, you have to like this red-hot Padres team to keep on keepin’ on.

Tip: Back the Padres to Win @ $1.62

Sunday 18th April

Casey Mize is on the mound for Detroit, so that brings the Tigers into play here in game three of this four-game road trip.

The young right-hander has been outstanding in two starts so far against the Twins and Astros, allowing only one combined run to go with nine strikeouts.

The movement he’s created on his breaking balls has been something else, which does spell potentially bad news for an Oakland team that has been striking out in over 26% of its plate appearances.

Tip: Back the Tigers to Win

Saturday 17th April

This Mariners team is on a bit of a hot-streak right now having just won back-to-back games over the Orioles to move into first place in the AL West.

Obviously this Astros lineup is a much tougher task, but I have faith in Yusei Kikuchi after the Japanese left-hander threw six innings of two run, six strikeout ball against an equally tough Twins team last week.

Tip: Back the Mariners to Win @ $1.85

Friday 16th April

The Phillies let us down on Thursday with a 5-1 loss, but I still think the Mets are being overvalued here with Jacob deGrom on the mound.

No knock on deGrom – he’s definitely on his way to another Cy Young if he keeps throwing 100mph – but when you consider the Mets for whatever reason can’t score runs whenever he pitches, the $1.46 about New York looks way too short.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $2.80

Tarik Skubal was hit hard for six earned runs last week in his second start against the Indians, and it wouldn’t be surprising if this red-hot A’s team puts up a similar number.

Oakland has won four straight over the Astros and Diamondbacks thanks to some stellar plate appearances from Matt Chapman, Mark Canha and Jed Lowrie.

The Oakland Coliseum is a firm pitchers park, but it’s a place that takes some getting used to for opposing arms.

Considering this is Skubal’s first start in Oakland, I’m with the A’s here.

Tip: Back the A’s to Win @ $1.62

Thursday 15th April

Boston’s red-hot start to the season continued in Game 1 of this series on Wednesday, but I’m with the Twins to snap their seven-game winning streak with Jose Berrios scheduled to start.

The right-hander has picked up right where he left off last season allowing just two earned runs to go with 20 strikeouts over two starts.

Eduardo Rodriguez, meanwhile, gave up three earned across five innings last week against the Orioles, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he puts up a similar number against this potent Twins lineup.

Tip: Back the Twins to Win @ $1.68

The Mets picked up a couple of crucial wins on Wednesday in the double-header, but I think the Phillies can get one back here with Zack Wheeler throwing.

The righty has been outstanding so far this year allowing only three earned runs across both starts, while his fastball velocity also ranks top five in the Majors.

David Peterson, on the other hand, has allowed a .385 AVG against this current Phillies lineup after giving up 11 earned runs in two starts again them over the last two seasons.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $1.85

Wednesday 14^th April

Big watch on Zac Gallen here as he makes his first start of the season.

The right-hander has suffered a delayed start to the season after suffering a hairline fracture in his forearm, but he’s still a definite Cy Young dark horse after posting an ERA below 3.00 in his first two seasons in the Majors.

Both sides come into this series riding two-game winning streaks, but it’s worth noting the Diamondbacks sneakily rank ninth in runs scored.

If Gallen’s command is anything like it was last year, the Diamondbacks look good value.

Tip: Back the Diamondbacks to Win @ $2.08

The Pirates did well to steal the series against the Cubs, but this is an entirely different test going up against an almost unhittable Padres rotation.

Pittsburgh squares off against Blake Snell today and it’s hard to see them scoring many runs.

The Pirates currently rank 27^th in runs scored against southpaws, while Snell, on the other hand, has been almost flawless so far striking out 16 hitters with only two earned runs allowed.

Tip: Pirates Under 3 Runs @ $1.77

Tuesday 13^th April

The Braves lost a tough last night in controversial fashion to the Phillies, but I don’t think things are about to get any easier here against Sandy Alcantara.

Miami’s promising young right-hander has been outstanding in two starts to date allowing only two earned across 12 innings to go with 17 strikeouts.

With an equally impressive 1.64 ERA in two starts at Truist Park, I like the Marlins here to kick off the series with an upset.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win @ $2.15

Sunday 11th April

With the White Sox to improve above .500 in the second game of this series against the Royals.

Mike Minor was hit hard for four earned runs against the Rangers last week, and I wouldn’t be surprised if this talented White Sox lineup gets to him nice and early following a day off.

Last year the Sox ranked third in the league in runs scored against lefties, so if Minor struggles out of the gates again, this could get ugly.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win

Saturday 10th April

The Phillies stand out to me here with Zack Wheeler making his second start of the season.

The veteran righty was outstanding against this same Braves lineup last week striking out 10 across seven scoreless innings.

Atlanta did well to pick up a couple of wins over the Nats in Thursday’s double-header, but after Charlie Morton gave up three to the Phillies in 4-0 last week, I think the Braves are a touch under the odds.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $2.10

Happy to take the short price about the Reds here after opening the season 5-1.

As expected, Cincinnati’s lineup currently leads the league in runs scored by quite a wide margin, which does pose some problems for the Diamondbacks after Ketel Marte landed on the injury list on Thursday with a hamstring problem.

Reds righty Tyler Mahle also struck out nine across nine innings of two-run ball against a pretty stacked Cardinals lineup last week, so there’s a lot to suggest the Reds can keep on rolling.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $1.78

Friday 9th April

Chicago Cubs to Win, Boston Red Sox to Win, Seattle Mariners Under 3 Runs @ $5.61

The Cubs square off against Tyler Anderson for the second time in less than a week after putting up three earned runs in a 5-1 victory against the Pirates last Sunday.

Chicago struggled mightily to score runs in the final two games against the Brewers, but this does look a nice bounce-back game for David Ross’ side after losing in extra innings yesterday.

The Cubs will also turn to Jake Arrieta for his second start after the veteran righty picked up his first win of the season against Pittsburgh opposite Anderson.

Arrieta has pitched to a respectable 3.75 ERA in 12 career starts at PNC Park, so there’s a bit to like about the Cubs here at a good price.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $1.73

The Red Sox have hit a little purple patch after sweeping the Rays yesterday, and I really fancy them to make it four in a row here on the road in Baltimore.

The O’s picked up a handy extra inning win over the Yankees on Thursday, but the stats suggest this one might be a little more difficult.

Eduardo Rodriguez is throwing for Boston, which is a worrying sign for Baltimore after the O’s ranked 28th in runs scored against lefties last year.

Tip: Back the Red Sox to Win @ $1.64

Thursday 8th April

Like always, the Yankees have made short work of the Orioles so far, but I do think the O’s are a chance here in Game 3 with lefty John Means making his second start.

The 27-year-old opened the year with a brilliant seven inning shutout against the Red Sox last week to go along with five strikeouts and zero walks.

In four starts against the Yankees, Means has pitched to a tidy 3.00 ERA with a 24.6% strikeout rate against the current lineup.

With some value at the line, it’s worth taking Baltimore with some insurance.

Tip: Back the Orioles to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $1.87

Wednesday 7th April

The Yankees have typically tee’d off against the Orioles in recent years – much like they did yesterday thanks to Giancarlo Stanton’s grand slam in their 7-0 shutout.

The Bronx Bombers have their ace Gerrit Cole throwing today, which obviously leaves them at very short odds both head to head and at the line.

Orioles righty Dean Kremer has only faced the Yankees once in his career, so this one could get very ugly with Stanton and Aaron Judge starting to heat up.

Tip: Yankees (-1.5)/Over 7.5 Runs @ $3.00

The Phillies have opened the season red hot and I think they are being seriously undervalued here with Marcus Stroman throwing for the Mets.

The veteran righty hasn’t made a start since the 2019 season after opting out last year, so there’s a good chance we see some rust early on.

That spells potential disaster with Bryce Harper and Alec Bohm all raking at the moment, especially after the Mets bullpen imploded late last night.

Tip: Back the Phillies to Win @ $2.10

Tuesday 6^th April

Very surprising to find the Astros as the underdog here after sweeping the A’s comfortably over the weekend.

Jose Quintana has been confirmed on the mound for the Angels, and I wouldn’t be surprised if things get ugly after the left-hander threw only 10 innings last year in his final season with the Cubs.

The Astros finished the 2020 season ranked 11^th in runs scored against southpaws.

After outscoring the A’s 35-9 in four games, the $2.00 about Houston is a steal.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $2.00

Monday 5th April

Japanese sensation Shohei Ohtani makes his long-awaited return to the mound on Monday after making only two starts during the shortened COVID season.

Reports during the offseason were encouraging after the right-hander hit close to 100mph on his fastball on several occasions, but I still think this is a tough assignment stepping onto the mound for the first time since last August to take on this loaded Dodgers team.

I normally don’t read much into Spring Training, but it’s hard to ignore the fact Ohtani five homers in 11 starts.

If he fails to make it past the fifth inning, I feel pretty confident in the White Sox getting to the Angels’ bullpen.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win

Sunday 4th April

The Phillies and the Braves required extra innings to determine a winner on Opening Day, but I expect the Braves to be bouncing back here with their biggest signing of the offseason on the mound.

Charlie Morton struggled in the abbreviated 2020 season, but it’s tough to read too much into a 4.74 ERA across only nine starts.

Before that, the veteran right-hander was a staple of the Rays’ rotation in 2019, while he also led the majors in win-loss percentage the season prior in Houston.

Last year the Braves finished 18-10 following a previous loss, which is no surprise considering the talent they have right through the lineup.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $1.92

Saturday 3rd April

I can’t imagine there will be too many occasions where I bet against the Dodgers this season, but since we’re only two games in, why not?

Trevor Bauer has pitched only once at Coors Field in the past, which as we know, can spell trouble for even some of the most elite arms.

The Rockies are arguably the worst team in baseball right now since the trade of Nolan Arenado, but they do have a couple of key bats in Trevor Story and Brendan Rodgers to at least fall back on before things get any worse.

I can’t take the Rockies outright, but there’s a chance they keep this close if Bauer struggles for command in the altitude.

Tip: Back the Rockies to Cover the Line (+1.5)

Sticking with the NL West, I’m with San Diego to lay a beatdown on the Diamondbacks in Blake Snell’s first start as a Padre.

Arizona could potentially compete for a Wild Card spot at some point, but after finishing 19th last year in runs scored, it’s hard to see them competing against the might of the Padres and the Dodgers in this division. 

This is also a tough spot for Merrill Kelly going up against what is arguably the toughest lineup in baseball.

After allowing nine earned runs in only five starts last year, this could get ugly.

Tip: Back the Padres to Cover the Line (-1.5)

Friday 2nd April

The Cardinals are the popular choice to win the NL Central this year, which makes it a little surprising to find them as the underdog heading into Opening Day against the Reds.

Jack Flaherty was knocked around a bit last season as his walk-rate increased and his strikeout rate took a dive, but the infield should help him out a little more this year after adding eight-time Gold Glover Nolan Arenado at third base.

The Reds were definitely one of the teams most impacted by the truncated COVID season, but it’s hard to get away from the fact they ranked 27th in runs scored last year.

With the Cardinals adding a Top 5 third baseman to their roster during the offseason and the lineup basically stacked from top to bottom, the current price is a steal.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win @ $2.00

Big watch on both of these teams this year.

The Marlins are an intriguing Wild Card bet with a very young and promising rotation starting to come into its prime, while it wouldn’t be surprising if the Rays fell well short of expectations with several key pieces missing.

Not only have the Rays lost Blake Snell, they’re also potentially without their closer Nick Anderson for the season due to an elbow injury.

To make matters worse, starting first baseman Ji-Man Choi is set to miss the first couple of months after undergoing a knee procedure.

As far as this game goes, there was a lot to like about Sandy Alcantatara last season and I’m expecting him to continue to make big steps forward.

The 21-year-old saw his strikeout rate increase by four-percent, while he also got some valuable postseason experience.

Against a Rays team that has only gotten weaker, Miami looks one of the best upset bets on Opening Day.

Tip: Back the Marlins to Win @ $2.25

I’m not quite as high on the White Sox as everybody else is this season, but I do think they look a good bet to open their account with a win over the Angels.

Lucas Giolito is a serious Cy Young contender this year, which is more than you can say for Dylan Bundy at this stage of his career.

To be fair, the veteran right-hander posted a career-best 3.29 ERA last year with only six home runs allowed in 11 starts, but like everything last season, it’s difficult to read too much into such a small sample size.

The White Sox, on the other hand, were dealt a serious blow last week when Eloy Jimenez tore his pec in Spring Training, but there’s still enough talent going around for this team to recover.

Outside of signing Jose Quintana and Alex Cobb, the Angels really haven’t addressed their biggest issue for the last decade: the bullpen.

Don’t be surprised if that comes back to bite them nice and early on Friday.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win @ $1.85

Wednesday 28^th October

World Series Game 6 – LAD Leads 3-2

The Dodgers are one win away from their first World Series title since 1988 as they prepare for an all-out onslaught from the Rays on Wednesday.

Tampa Bay’s bats went cold in Game 5 against Clayton Kershaw scoring only two runs and registering just seven hits, but I do think the Rays are a decent bet to send this game to a decisive Game 7.

Tony Gonsolin is scheduled to start for Los Angeles despite the fact he’s thrown limited innings during the entire postseason.

We already know the Dodgers’ bullpen is shaky at best, so if Gonsolin fails to last anywhere close to four innings, Tampa should have a strong chance at putting some runs on the board.

On the other side of the rubber, Blake Snell looks to leave his mark.

This is by far the biggest game of the 27-year-old’s career, and based on his outstanding numbers so far during the playoffs, the young left-hander should feel pretty confident.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $2.15

Monday 26^th October

World Series Game 5 – Series Tied 2-2

The Rays won an all-time classic on Sunday and it will be very interesting to see if momentum has swung in their favour now.

Tampa Bay turns to Tyler Glasnow for his second World Series start, but it’s a little difficult to find confidence in the right-hander following his awful six run outing in Game 1.

Clayton Kershaw will also make his second start of the Fall Classic following a faultless six inning, eight strikeout performance in the Dodgers’ Game 1 win.

The future Hall of Famer is more than capable of replicating those same numbers, but the LA bullpen, on the other hand, remains a real worry.

The Over has been a solid bet right throughout this series, so based on Morton’s recent numbers and the Dodgers’ pen, there’s a good chance we see another high-scoring game.

Tip: Over 8.0 Runs @ $1.92

Sunday 25th October

World Series Game 4 – LAD Leads 2-1

The Rays were no match for the Dodgers yesterday as Charlie Morton struggled from the outset allowing five earned runs in the opening four innings.

Tampa Bay’s bats did well to at least add a couple of runs on the board, but the Rays do need some more consistency from the likes of Austin Meadows and Brandon Lowe if they are going to win their first championship.

That said, I do like the Rays in this spot to bounce-back and level the series.

Ryan Yarbrough is another bright young name in the Rays’ rotation that has shown plenty of poise throughout the postseason allowed just two earned runs in a pair of starts against the Yankees and the Astros.

Tampa Bay have also been an outstanding bet when it comes to rebounding from a previous loss.

The Rays are 18-8 in this situation straight-upend 16-10 against the spread, so I’m with the Rays here with a little insurance.

Tip: Back the Rays to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $1.87

Saturday 24th October

World Series Game 3 – Series Tied 1-1

This is quite easily the most fascinating pitching matchup of the entire series in my opinion.

Walker Buehler has been lights out during the postseason allowing just four earned runs across a combined 19 innings to go along with 29 strikeouts.

Charlie Morton, meanwhile, has rightfully earned the nickname ‘Mr Postseason’ after allowing just one earned run across three starts.

Buehler is making his first World Series start since 2018 where he threw seven scoreless against the Red Sox, so it’s safe to say he feels pretty comfortable heading into this game.

Morton is a veteran with years of experience to his name, meaning too should be locked and loaded come game time.

The Over has proven a profitable play in the opening two games as both sides continue to score runs with ease at the hitter-friendly Globe Life Field.

That said, I really think runs will come at a premium on Saturday with two of the safer arms on the mound, so go ahead and back the Under as this series continues to heat up.

Tip: Under 8.0 Runs @ $1.83

Thursday 22nd October

World Series Game 2 – LAD Leads 1-0

The Dodgers hold the advantage heading into Game 2 on Thursday after piling on the runs in the middle innings of Wednesday’s opener.

Future Hall of Famer Clayton Kershaw answered his critics with an outstanding six inning, eight strikeout game, while on the offensive side, Cody Bellinger and Mookie Betts chipped in with a pair of home runs.

The Dodgers now turn to Tony Gonsolin, a slightly worrying sign with very little postseason experience to his name.

The 26-year-old was hit hard twice by the Braves in relief during the NLCS, which doesn’t bode well against a Rays team that has typically bounced back well from a previous loss all season.

Kevin Cash’s side has played to a 17-8 record in this situation and there’s certainly lots to like about the Rays extending that record with Blake Snell on the mound.

Aside from a hiccup against the Yankees in the ALDS, the lefty has been pretty much lights out in the postseason pitching to 2.88 ERA across the last two seasons.

The Dodgers have typically hit lefties pretty well, but since this is their first look at Snell’s stuff since last season, I’m with the Rays to bounce back.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $2.20

Wednesday 21^st October

World Series Game 1

The Los Angeles Dodgers find themselves back in the World Series for the third time in the last four years against a red-hot Tampa Bay Rays team hoping to win its first championship.

Not surprisingly, Dodgers manager Dave Roberts has turned to Clayton Kershaw to start Game 1, a decision that likely has LA fans holding their breath following last week’s rough four run outing against the Braves.

Kevin Cash, on the other hand, has opted for Tyler Glasnow in the team’s first World Series appearance since 2008.

Glasnow suffered a similar fate against the Astros in Game 4, ballooning his 2020 postseason ERA all the way out to 4.66.

If there’s one thing we learned during the NLCS, it’s that the ball tends to get out of the park in this new Texas ballpark.

Five of the seven games between the Dodgers and Braves resulted in seven runs or more, meaning we could be in for another high-scoring game with two questionable arms on the mound.

Mike Zunino and Randy Arozarena have contributed on a nightly basis for the Rays, while Cody Bellinger and Max Muncy continue to deliver for the Dodgers.

If those trends continue, expect some runs.

Tip: Over 7.5 Runs @ $1.92

Monday 19^th October

NLCS Game 7

A trip to the World Series is on the line in what is shaping up to be a very interesting decider between two young arms.

Dustin May has pitched only limited innings during the postseason but has still been effective allowing just one earned run.

Ian Anderson, on the other hand, has been faultless.

The rookie hasn’t allowed a run in 15 combined innings, while he also got the better of the Dodgers last week striking out five in the Braves 8-7 win in Game 2.

The Dodgers have a real habit of choking in big games, as we saw last year in Game 5 of the NLDS against the Nationals.

There are also serious question marks around not only Clayton Kershaw, but also the bullpen.

The Braves are 18-9 following a previous loss this season, so after losing Game 6 on Sunday, I’m with Atlanta to advance.

Tip: Back the Braves to Win @ $2.30

Saturday 17th October

NLCS Game 5 – ATL Leads 3-1

The Braves were simply outstanding in their 10-2 win against Clayton Kershaw yesterday and it’s almost puzzling to find them as the outsiders heading into Game 5.

Dustin May is undoubtedly one of the LA’s most promising young pitchers, but it remains to be seen if he can handle a heavy work load in the playoffs.

The 23-year-old has thrown only as many as two innings so far during the postseason, which doesn’t bode particularly well against this red-hot Braves lineup that continues to show no troubles getting on base.

With the ball flying in Arlington and an inexperienced arm on the mound, you have to like Atlanta to book their spot in the World Series.

Tip: Back the Braves to Cover the Line (+1.5 Runs) @ $1.98

Friday 16th October

NLCS Game 4 – ATL Leads 2-1

The Dodgers managed to get themselves back into the series on Thursday with a 15-3 walloping over the Braves, but I’m sticking with Atlanta’s bats to get the job done in Game 4.

Clayton Kershaw was scheduled to take the mound on Wednesday but was scratched before the game due to back spasms.

The veteran left-hander likely holds the key to the Dodgers extending this series further, but considering he’s maybe less than 100 per cent, I’m really not sure how many innings we’ll see from the future Hall of Famer.

It’s also worth noting that Kershaw has been quite the liability in the postseason despite what their year’s numbers suggest.

Kershaw gave up a crucial two runs Game 5 to the Nats in last year’s NLDS, and also came to blowing Game 2 against the Padres last week.

After being silenced in the first inning yesterday, there’s a good chance we see Atlanta’s bats answer.

Tip: Braves Over the Run Total

Thursday 15th October

ALCS Game 4 – TBR Leads 3-0

The Rays can book their second appearance in a World Series on Thursday with a series sweep over the Astros at Petco Park.

Tampa Bay has almost untouchable through the first three games of this series as the Rays’ deep rotation continues to torment Houston’s hitters at the plate.

Manager Kevin Cash may have saved the best for last with Tyler Glasnow set to throw Game 4.

Glasnow was enormous in the Wild Card series against Toronto, while he also put in two strong outings of work against the Yankees where he combined for 12 strikeouts across seven innings.

Astros righty Zack Greinke is a playoff professional, but he won’t hold fond memories of this Tampa lineup.

The veteran gave up six runs to the Rays in Game 3 of the ALDS last year, while his outing against the A’s last week also left a lot to be desired.

With the infield making difficult plays look easy, take the generous price on offer for the Rays to advance.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $1.70

Wednesday 14^th October

NLCS Game 2 – ATL Leads 1-0

Clayton Kershaw has proven tough to trust in the postseason over the last few years, however I do think the Dodgers are a good bet to level up this series on Wednesday.

Atlanta has struggled mightily against left-handed pitching this year ranking middle of the pack in runs scored and second in strikeout percentage.

Kershaw blanked the Braves in the NLDS two seasons ago across eight scoreless innings, while the Dodgers have been a pretty safe bet following a previous loss playing to a 13-4 record overall.

Tip: Back the Dodgers to Win @ $1.60

Tuesday 13^th October

ALCS Game 2 – TBR Leads 1-0

Randy Arozarena and a handful of strong defensive plays helped the Rays to a Game 1 win over the Astros on Monday.

Tampa Bay find themselves at a similar quote to take a 2-0 series lead, and I’m having a tough time arguing with Charlie Morton on the mound.

The veteran right-hander has been one of the most reliable arms in the Rays’ rotation over the last two seasons, evident last week when he allowed only one earned run across five innings in the Game 3 win over the Yankees.

Monday’s game also made it clear that runs are going to be hard to come by in the pitcher-friendly confines of Petco Park.

After scoring runs with ease in the ALDS against the A’s, there’s a good chance we see the Astros struggle to score here if Morton brings his best.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $1.74

Monday 12^th October

ALCS Game 1 

Sticking with the Astros as the underdog to take out Game 1 on Monday.

This should be a fascinating lefty v lefty matchup between Snell and Valdez, but I think it favours Houston slightly based on the fact the Rays lead the league in strikeout percentage against southpaws.

Houston is also 2-0 in Game 1’s during the postseason, largely due to the dominance of Valdez at the head of the rotation.

After combining for 33 runs in four games against the A’s, the Astros look a good bet to carry over some momentum.

Tip: Back the Astros to Win @ $2.15

Saturday 10^th October

ALDS Game 5 – Series Tied 2-2

A spot to face the Astros is up for grabs on Saturday morning as the Yankees and Braves prepare to write another chapter in their long-standing rivalry.

The Bronx Bombers have opened as the short-priced favourites for one reason only: Gerrit Cole.

The million-dollar man has been lights out during the postseason during his entire career, which makes the Yankees fairly difficult to bet against in this decisive Game 5.

Cole allowed only two earned runs and struck out eight against the Rays back in Game 1, and I’m fairly confident we’ll see a similar story unfold here.

Cole’s fastball velocity hit 100MPH on a few occasions, while his breaking stuff has almost been unhittable.

With the team also mourning the loss of Hall of Famer Whitey Ford, the Yankees shouldn’t be short on motivation to return to the ALCS.

Tip: Back the Yankees to Win @ $1.62

Friday 9th October

ALDS Game 4 – Rays Lead 2-1

There’s a good chance we see a bunch of runs on the board again on Friday following Tampa Bay’s 8-4 victory yesterday in Game 3.

Yankees left-hander Jordan Montgomery is making his postseason debut, and judging by his numbers against the Rays this year, he might be in for a rough outing.

The 27-year-old gave up four earned runs in less than an inning against Tampa Bay last month as the Yankees went on to lose 5-2.

New York has already had a look at Ryan Thompson after facing him for a couple of innings back in Game 1.

This is obviously a much tougher assignment though as the Rays have chosen to roll with him as their opener this time around.

Considering the Total has gone Over in every game so far during this series, I’m happy to stick with what works.

Tip: Over 9.5 Runs @ $2.00

Thursday 8th October

ALDS Game 3 – Series Tied 1-1

The Rays managed to level the series up yesterday with a 7-5 win and I’m willing to take the $2.05 about them to back that up in Game 3.

Masahiro Tanaka has been the only real weak link in the Yankees’ rotation of late, as we saw in Game 2 against the Indians last week where he allowed six earned runs over four innings.

The Yankees still won that game 10-9, but I think they’ll find this much tougher against a Rays lineup that ranked 11th in runs scored and sixth in walks against right-handed pitchers during the regular season.

This is also Charlie Morton’s first playoff start, and if he pitches anything like he did during last year’s postseason, Rays fans should be in for a treat.

Morton gave up only one earned run across two starts against the A’s and Astros, and based on the way he closed out the final month of the 2020 regular season, I’m tipping we see similar numbers.

Tip: Back the Rays to Win @ $2.05

Wednesday 7^th October

Believe it or not, the Marlins have never lost a postseason series, so there is a bit to like about Miami’s chances in Game 1 with Sandy Alcantara taking the mound.

The promising right-hander allowed only one earned run across six innings against the Cubs last week, while Miami’s offence also helped out on the other end with five runs.

Atlanta swept Cincinnati in the Wild Card round, but I think their offence looked a little underdone.

The Braves managed only one run in 13 innings in Game 1, so I think there’s a chance Atlanta struggles against the in-form Alcantara.

Tip: Braves Under 4.5 Runs @ $1.96

Tuesday 6^th October

We could be in for a low-scoring Game 1 on Tuesday with both Blake Snell and Gerrit Cole on the mound.

Cole pitched exceptionally well against the Indians last week striking out 13 across seven innings, while Snell also enjoyed a massive day on the mound against the Blue Jays striking out nine across five.

These two sides cruised through the Wild Card round, and with some rest on their side, the Under looks a good play.

Tip: Under 7.0 Runs @ $1.88

Friday 2nd October

The Braves and the Reds made postseason history yesterday with 11 scoreless innings and there appears a good chance we’re in for another low-scoring game on Friday.

Luis Castillo might prove the difference on the mound for the Reds though as they try and force a Game 3.

Trevor Bauer was enormous on Thursday striking out 12 across seven scoreless innings, and the Braves aren’t about to get things any easier against another of the leading NL Cy Young contenders.

Ian Anderson has been a revelation his year for Atlanta, but this is a high-pressure game for the rookie in his first postseason start.

Anderson has only faced weaker lineups like the Red Sox, Marlins, Nationals and Mets over the last month, so this presents an enormous test against one of the top offensive teams in the game.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $2.15

The Cubs offence failed to produce yesterday with runners in scoring position, but they should find things a little easier in Game 2 against Marlins righty Sixto Sanchez.

The rookie gave up a combined nine earned runs in his final two starts of the regular season, so there’s plenty suggest the Cubs can turn their luck around and force a Game 3.

Yu Darvish is also a big reason for the short price on Chicago.

Aside from a rough outing against the Twins a fortnight ago, Darvish has been almost impossible to score against this season with a sparkling 2.01 ERA.

Miami won 5-1 on Thursday, but it’s worth noting three of those runs came on a homer off Kyle Hendricks.

This might be the last chance for this Cubs core to make a run at another World Series, so back them to respond in Game 2.

Tip: Cubs Over the Run Total

Thursday 1^st October

The Braves have opened as the favourite to win Game 1 on Thursday, but I think they might be in for a bit of a reality check against a very frisky Reds side.

Cincinnati’s rotation is arguably one of the strongest in the National League and I really think they have an advantage when it comes to pitching.

Trevor Bauer is one of the top five NL Cy Young contenders this season after striking out a whopping 46 hitters and allowing only six walks in his final five starts, while Max Fried, on the other hand, is still nursing an ankle injury as he prepares for his first postseason start.

The Reds won seven of their final 10 games down the stretch, so they should be high on momentum ahead of their first playoff appearance since 2013.

Bauer is the perfect character to channel that energy on the mound, so I’m all over the Reds to open with an upset.

Tip: Back the Reds to Win @ $2.05

The Cubs are a tricky side to get a read on with their offence going hot and cold at the drop of a hat, but they do look a good bet in Game 1 with their ace Kyle Hendricks on the mound.

The veteran righty was outstanding in his final start of the regular season striking out 10 across eight scoreless innings against the Twins.

Sandy Alcantara, on the other hand, has been just as impressive himself, but I do think he’s at a disadvantage here making his first start of the season at Wrigley Field.

Despite their ups and downs, the Cubs turned it on offensively to score 10 runs in two of their final three games against the White Sox, so it’s worth backing them to pick up where they left off.

Tip: Back the Cubs to Win @ $1.60

Wednesday 30^th September

Kenta Maeda will make his first playoff start since 2016 on Wednesday after what has easily been the best season of the 32-year-old’s career.

Maeda posted a career-low 2.70 ERA across 11 starts during the regular season and wasn’t far off throwing his first no-hitter against the Brewers back in August.

The Twins’ righty should feel confident on the mound in Game 1 knowing he has one of the league’s best offences supporting him.

Minnesota finished the regular season ranked sixth in home runs, which spells trouble for Astros veteran Zack Greinke after allowing 18 earned runs over the last month alone.

The Twins have been the best team at home this year playing to a 24-7 record, so all things considered, the price we’re getting here is pretty generous.

Tip: Back the Twins to Win @ $1.60

The White Sox were awful down the stretch losing eight of their final 10-games, so it is a little surprising to find Chicago as the favourites heading into Game 1 on the road in Oakland.

The A’s, on the other hand, are an experienced playoff side that typically play with a chip on their shoulder.

Oakland lost only 10 of their 32 games at home during the regular season, while right-hander Jesus Luzardo has also posted three scoreless starts at the Coliseum this year.

The White Sox are no doubt one of the biggest dark horses entering the postseason, but this remains a huge test for a very young and inexperienced core.

Tip: Back the A’s to Win @ $2.05

The Blue Jays will make their first postseason appearance since 2016 on Wednesday when they travel to Tampa to take on the American League favourites.

It’s a little surprising Toronto hasn’t opted for their ace Hyun Jin Ryu to open the series, a decision that might cost them against former Cy Young Award winner, Blake Snell.

That said, there is a case to be made for the Blue Jays in this spot based on their numbers against lefties.

Toronto ranks fifth in hits against southpaws and 10^th in runs scored, while they also led the league in runs over the final seven games of the season.

Tip: Blue Jays Over 3 Runs @ $2.05

Indians manager Terry Francona wasted no time listing Shane Bieber as his starter for Game 1 as the Indians try and get a head start on the Yankees with home field advantage.

In case you’ve missed it, Bieber is well on his way to winning the AL Cy Young after leading the league in strikeouts.

The Indians did just enough to sneak into the playoffs, but they could easily upset the Yankees after closing out the regular season with an 8-2 record.

With their ace on the mound and the Yankees struggling for form, take Cleveland to win Game 1.

Tip: Back the Indians to Win @ $1.92

Monday 28th September

Pirates rookie JT Brusker was outstanding in his last start against the Cubs where he struck out a career-high nine hitters across six innings of work.

Aside from a rough outing against the White Sox, the 26-year-old righty has really put together a strong month to close out the season allowing less than two runs against the Cubs (twice) and the Reds.

The Indians are batting a measly .227 over the last seven days, so I think there’s some value on Pittsburgh to end their season on a high note here.

Brubaker faced Cleveland earlier in the year, albeit to ordinary results, but he should go one better this time around as his confidence continues to grow.

Tip: Back the Pirates to Cover the Line (+1.5) @ $1.90

Sunday 27th September

The Cubs and the White Sox are both limping into the postseason offensively as the two clubs continue to struggle for runs.

The Cubs snapped their three-game winning streak on Saturday with Yu Darvish on the mound, but I’m feeling pretty confident in the White Sox bouncing back against Jon Lester.

Lester was hit hard by the Sox back in August where he allowed eight earned runs in just three innings of work.

The Sox also rank seventh in runs scored against left-handed pitching this year, so with some decent value on offer, I’m happy to take the White Sox to even up the Crosstown Classic.

Tip: Back the White Sox to Win @ $1.70

Saturday 26th September

Dinelson Lamet has edged his way into the NL Cy Young conversation behind a very tidy 2.07 ERA and 89 strikeouts through 11 starts.

The 28-year-old has enjoyed a breakout season to date, and you don’t have to remind the Giants about how dangerous he can be.

San Francisco managed only four hits against the righty back in July to go along with seven total strikeouts and just one earned run.

Those numbers bode well for Lamet to continue his pace, especially coming off three consecutive games of 10+ strikeouts.

Tip: Back the Padres to Cover the Line (-1.5 Runs)

Friday 25th September