2017/2018 NBL Round 3 Preview

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It has been a very interesting start to the NBL season.

The first round of the season was packed full of close finishes, while round two was dominated by the likes of the Adelaide 36ers putting up some very big scores.

We had four winning bets from our four tips in the NBL last weekend and we are confident that we can continue our excellent start to the season, so don’t miss out 2017 NBL Round 3 tips that can be found below.

New Zealand Breakers Vs Sydney Kings

Thursday October 19, 5:30pm, Spark Arena

This will be the second meeting between the New Zealand Breakers and the Sydney Kings in less than a week.

It was New Zealand that recorded a narrow win over Sydney last weekend, but it is still the Kings that will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

The Breakers have proven to be a winning betting play at home over the past 12 months and they have covered the line in nine of their past 15 games at home.

Sydney recorded their first win of the season against the Illawarra Hawks on Sunday, but in the process they lost captain Kevin Lisch for two months.

Lisch is a massive loss for the Kings and his absence will definitely test the depth of the Kings roster.

Sydney have won just two of their past seven games as away favourites and taking them on in this scenario has been a highly profitable play.

We backed the Breakers to beat the Kings last weekend and we will be sticking with that strategy once again.

Back New Zealand To Win @ $1.95

Brisbane Bullets Vs Cairns Taipans

Friday October 20, 7:30pm, Brisbane Entertainment Centre

The Brisbane Bullets have returned to Australia after they were beaten by the Phoenix Suns in the United States last weekend.

Brisbane started their NBL season with a loss at the hands of the Perth Wildcats and they have now won only one of their past eight games.

The Bullets will go into this clash as favourites, but their record in this position last season was particularly poor – they won only one of their seven games as home favourites.

The Cairns Taipans came crashing back to earth when they were absolutely flogged by the Adelaide 36ers last Thursday night.

They are a much better side than that performance suggests and their record away from home is actually underrated.

Cairns have won six of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 7-6 against the line in this scenario.

I am keen to take on the Bullets in this clash and the Taipans are a great bet to record an upset win.

Back Cairns To Win @ $2.20

Perth Wildcats Vs Melbourne United

Friday October 20, 9:30pm, Perth Arena

The Perth Wildcats have made an excellent start to the NBL season and they will start this clash with Melbourne United as clear favourites.

Perth never looked like losing against either the Brisbane Bullets or the Illawarra Hawks and they are always very tough to beat at home – they have won 11 of their past 15 games as home favourites and they are 9-6 against the line in this scenario.

Melbourne United have now played and beaten the Adelaide 36ers on two occasions this season and they have shown they can win on the road.

Beating Perth in Perth is a much tougher challenge.

Perth have won the past four games played between these two sides and it is rare that I want to take on the Wildcats in front of their home fans.

Back Perth To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)

Adelaide 36ers Vs Sydney Kings

Saturday October 21, 5:30pm, Titanium Security Arena

It has been an up and down start to the NBL season for the Adelaide 36ers, but they will go into this clash with the Sydney Kings as clear favourites.

Adelaide have suffered a pair of defeats at the hands of Melbourne United, but in between those defeats they recorded big wins over both the Sydney Kings and the Cairns Taipans.

The 36ers have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites and they are 7-5 against the line in this scenario.

Sydney are on the quick back-up after playing the New Zealand Breakers on Thursday night and there is no doubt this is a tricky fixture for them.

The Kings have won only two of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record against the line in this situation is no better.

This is a game that Adelaide really should win and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.

Back Adelaide To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)

Melbourne United Vs New Zealand Breakers

Sunday October 22, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena

Melbourne United are the shortest-priced favourites in the NBL this weekend.

This will be the first game that Melbourne United play at home this season and they were generally tough to beat in front of their home fans last season.

Melbourne won seven of their ten games as home favourites for a narrow profit and their record against the line in this scenario was identical.

The belief that the New Zealand Breakers struggle to win on this side of the Tasman is something of a myht.

New Zealand have won five of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 7-5 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Illawarra Hawks Vs Brisbane Bullets

Sunday October 22, 5:30pm, WIN Entertainment Centre

The Illawarra Hawks are still chasing their first win of the season, but they will go into this clash with the Brisbane Bullets as clear favourites.

Illawarra have suffered defeats at the hands of the Cairns Taipans, Perth Wildcats and Sydney Kings, but to be fair this is their first home game of the season.

The Hawks have won seven of their past 12 games as home favourites for a loss and they are a poor 5-7 against the line.

Brisbane lost all four of their games against Illawarra last season and their record away from home makes it tough to back them with any real conviction.

The Bullets have won only three of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are a poor 4-9 against the line in this scenario.

Neither of these teams can be trusted from a betting perspective and this is another clash I will be staying out of.

No Bet

Cairns Taipans Vs Perth Wildcats

Sunday October 20, 7:00pm, Cairns Convention Centre

The Cairns Taipans may have the homecourt advantage, but it is the Perth Wildcats that will start this clash as clear favourites.

Perth lost the only game they started as away favourites last season and they have won only five of their past 15 games against Cairns in Cairns.

Cairns won all three of their games as home underdogs last season for a big profit and they have won five of their past nine games against the Wildcats in this scenario.

I am always keen to back Cairns in front of their home fans and they are one of the best value bets of the weekend.

Back Cairns To Win @ $2.25


2016/2017

It is a big few days for the Brisbane Bullets as they attempt to find their footing in their return to the NBL.

They face a tough roadtrip to Melbourne on Thursday for their clash with Melbourne United before they host the New Zealand Breakers in front of their home fans on Saturday.

This is an action-packed round in the NBL and you can find our thoughts as well as potential betting plays for every single game below!

New Zealand Breakers Vs Sydney Kings

Thursday October 20, 5:30pm, North Shore Events Centre

New Zealand Breakers 78 - Sydney Kings 92

The New Zealand Breakers were only narrowly beaten by the Perth Wildcats on Sunday and they will start this clash with the Sydney Kings as clear favourites.

New Zealand have won their past four games against Sydney and it is no secret that their record as home favourites is nothing short of outstanding – they are 12-3 in head-to-head betting and are 9-6 against the line in this scenario.

Sydney were the form team in round two of the NBL season and they were able to record impressive victories over both Illawarra and Cairns.

The Kings still have a very poor recent record away from home and they have won just two of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they are a profitable 8-7 against the line.

New Zealand should be able to get the job done in front of their home fans and they are a safe bet at their current quote of $1.65.

Back New Zealand To Win @ $1.65

Melbourne United Vs Brisbane Bullets

Thursday October 20, 7:30pm, Hisense Arena

Melbourne United 78 - Brisbane Bullets 70

Melbourne United have bounced back from their slow start to the season to beat Adelaide and Illawarra and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

The way that they won both those games was particularly impressive and this is the type of basketball that the majority of experts expected to see from Melbourne this season.

The problem for Melbourne is that they have won just ten of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a poor 6-9 against the line in this scenario.

Brisbane suffered their first loss of the seasons at the hands of the Adelaide 36ers, but there was still plenty of merit in the performance.

They showed against Sydney that they are more than capable of winning on the road and I am very keen to back them with a start of 5.5 points.

Back Brisbane To Beat The Line (+5.5 Points)

Adelaide 36ers Vs Cairns Taipans

Friday October 21, 7:30pm, Titanium Security Arena

Adelaide 36ers 83 - Cairns Taipans 67

The Adelaide 36ers have been one of the most inconsistent sides during the NBL season to date and they will start this game with Cairns as clear favourites.

Adelaide showed plenty of tenacity to beat Brisbane on Sunday night and at their best they are arguably the most exciting team in the competition.

The 36ers have won nine of their past 11 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they are 7-4 against the line in this scenario.

Cairns have made a slow start to their NBL season and it does not get any easier against Adelaide.

The Taipans have won just one of their past 13 games as away underdogs for a heavy loss and their record against the line is an extremely poor 3-10.

Adelaide will win this game comfortably and they are a safe bet to cover the line of 5.5 points.

Back Adelaide To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)

Perth Wildcats Vs Illawarra Hawks

Friday October 21, 9:30pm, Perth Arena

Perth Wildcats 80 - Illawarra Hawks 73

It has been a dramatic start to the season for the Perth Wildcats and they parted company with import Jaron Johnson after just three games.

The Wildcats will still go into this clash with Illawarra as clear favourites and it is no secret just how dominate they are at Perth Arena – they have won 17 of their past 19 games as home favourites and they are 11-2-6 against the line in this situation.

Illawarra looked the goods in their season opener against Adelaide, but they have since suffered defeats at the hands of Sydney and Melbourne.

They have won just two of their past 11 games as away underdogs and they are a very poor 3-8 against the line in this situation.

I expect Perth to come out and make a statement this weekend, which suggests that the line of 6.5 points will not be enough.

Back Perth To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points)

Brisbane Bullets Vs New Zealand Breakers

Saturday October 22, 7:30pm, Brisbane Convention Centre

Brisbane Bullets 88 - New Zealand Breakers 82

Brisbane are still chasing their first win at the Brisbane Convention Centre after suffering an overtime defeat at the hands of Adelaide last weekend.

There have still been plenty of positives for the Bullets in their return to the NBL – they lead the competition in rebounds – and they really should only improve as they get further into the season.

Both these teams are on the quick back-up after playing on Thursday night, but the Breakers’ have also had international travel in between.

New Zealand have won three of their past ten games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, but they have actually been 5-1-4 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Melbourne United Vs Perth Wildcats

Sunday October 23, 3:00pm, Hisense Arena

Melbourne United 69 - Perth Wildcats 72

Melbourne United look to have a clear advantage in this game as they have not done any travel this round, while the Wildcats are not only on the back-up but have had to travel from Perth.

In saying that, it has already been made clear that Melbourne United are far from the most consistent team in front of their home fans.

Melbourne United do actually have a strong record against Perth and the Wildcats have one just one of their past eight games as away underdogs, while they are 3-5 against the line.

This is almost a perfect scenario for Melbourne United and they should be able to get the job done.

Back Melbourne United To Win @ $1.60

Sydney Kings Vs Illawarra Hawks

Monday October 24, 7:30pm, Qudos Bank Arena

Sydney Kings 90 - Illawarra Hawks 73

This is the second meeting between the Sydney Kings and Illawarra Hawks this season after Sydney upstaged the Hawks last week.

Andrew Gaze looks to have already made some positive strides with Sydney and there is no doubt that he is keen to turn Qudos Bank Arena into a fortress.

The Kings have won four of their past five games as home favourites for a cleat profit and they have an identical record against the line.

Illawarra were able to Sydney away from home last season, but this is a much stronger Sydney outfit.

The Hawks have won just two of their past 11 games as away underdogs for a clear loss, while they are 3-8 against the line in this scenario.

Back Sydney To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)