Two weeks remain in the regular season and time is quickly running out for several teams to lock up a playoff spot.
We’ve officially reached the point in the year where the bad games far outweigh the good, but the NFL has done a great job setting up a Sunday triple-header that holds enormous importance.
Monday also features a key NFC East rivalry game as the Cowboys and Eagles duke it out for division supremacy. Throw in a crucial Monday Night Football game between the Packers and the Vikings, and you have the makings for a big week ahead.
We’ve previewed all 16 games and our complete 2019 NFL Week 16 Preview can be found below.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday 22 December, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium
Bucs 23 - Texans 20
A three-point win over the rival Titans was enough to provide a cushion between the Texans and the rest of the AFC South, but Bill O’Brien’s will need to be at their best this week as they travel to face a Tampa Bay side riding a four-game winning streak.
The Bucs are one win away from improving to 8-7 after destroying the Lions on the road last week. Tampa Bay’s offence ranks third in the league in points scored, posing an enormous challenge for a Texans defence that has struggled to put pressure on opposing quarterbacks.
Houston occupies the fourth seed in the AFC, but the jury is still out on whether the Texans are a legitimate playoff threat or not.
Either way, Texans fans can rest a little easier knowing they’ve won three of their four meetings against the Bucs.
Houston’s season has also gone loss, win, win (in that order) all season long, meaning the Texans are due for another big win ahead of their rematch against the Titans in Week 17.
Tip: Back the Texans 1-10
New England Patriots
Sunday 22 December, 8:30am, Gillette Stadium
Patriots 24 - Bills 17
It’s fairly simple math this week: if the Patriots win, they clinch the AFC East, and if the Bills win… chaos ensues.
Buffalo has already clinched a playoff spot after pulling off a huge road win over the Steelers last week. The victory marked the Bills’ first 10-win season since 1999, but you can expect Sean McDermott to be hungry for a statement win against New England.
The Patriots got off to a slow start last week in Cincinnati before piling on the points for a comfortable win. The Patriots have opened as -6 favourites with home-field advantage, which was also the same margin of victory when these two met back in Week 4.
Buffalo’s defence has been outstanding holding three of their last four opponents to under 20-points. The Bills have also lost only one game this year by more than a touchdown, making the line a very safe bet.
If you’re looking for one last thing to hang your hat on, make it this: the Bills are 4-1 as the away underdog against the spread.
Tip: Back the Bills to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.96
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
Sunday 22 December, 12:15pm, Levi’s Stadium
49ers 34 - Rams 31
The guessing game in the NFC West continues as both the Niners and the Rams suffered a pair of losses last week.
For the third time this season San Francisco managed to lose with under 10-seconds remaining as the Falcons scored a game-winning touchdown on the goal line.
The heartbreaking loss leaves the Niners now sitting with the fifth seed in the NFC, although the Rams’ loss to the Cowboys did help them secure a playoff spot.
Neither coach will need to rewind too far in their pre-game film studies this week. The Niners handed Los Angeles a 20-7 loss when they last met back in Week 6, but with big time playoff implications on the line this time around, things could turn out a little differently.
The Rams were embarrassed by the Cowboys last week as the defence fell apart. The good news is Los Angeles has consistently backed up a loss to cover in four of their five games against the spread, leaving the +6 line on the Rams looking a little generous.
Tip: Back the Rams to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.92
New York Giants
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, FedEx Field
Redskins 35 - Giants 41
The ledger is all square at the very bottom of the NFC East as the Giants and the Redskins both duke it out for win number four.
New York bid farewell to Eli Manning in style last week as the two-time Super Bowl champion exited Metlife Stadium a winner against the Dolphins.
The Redskins, meanwhile, weren’t quite as fortunate allowing a 14-10 halftime lead to slip against the Eagles at home.
Nothing about this game should make you excited, but if we are treated to another dose of Manning, we could be in for some fireworks.
Eli has won 19 of the 29 games he’s played in against the Redskins. He also owns a 33-27 touchdown-interception ratio against Washington, meaning points should come one way or another.
The Redskins are in line for a top five draft pick, but keep in mind, the Skins have put up a fight against the Packers and Eagles in back-to-back weeks.
New York will go without Evan Engram in this one, meaning Manning (or Daniel Jones) will be without one of their top targets.
With that in mind – and Eli’s resume against the Redskins – it’s worth taking a Same Game Multi.
Tip: Back the Redskins to Win & the Giants Over 19.5 Total Points @ $5.60
New York Jets
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium
Jets 16 - Steelers 10
This is a vitally important game for the 8-6 Steelers if they hold any hope of securing a playoff berth.
Pittsburgh made life tough for themselves losing 17-10 to the Bills on Sunday Night Football last week, leaving themselves (and perhaps a few other teams) in control of their destiny.
The Steelers now face a mammoth job with back-to-back road games to close out the season. On one hand, the Jets shape up as a very beatable opponent, but on the other, winning in New York during time of year isn’t exactly easy.
Adam Gase’s side heads home well-rested having played two Friday’s ago against the Ravens. The Jets were no match for the Super Bowl favourites losing 42-21 in another stunning performance from Lamar Jackson.
The Jets won’t have to worry about containing one of the league’s best runners this week, but they will need to be wary of a Steelers team that has typically played some of its best football following a loss.
Pittsburgh is a near-perfect 4-1 against the spread following a previous loss and 4-2 in games played on the road. With so much to play for and a point to prove, take the Steelers to win this convincingly.
Tip: Back the Steelers to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.96
New Orleans Saints
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, Nissan Stadium
Titans 28 - Saints 38
The Saints will be looking to lay a beatdown on another AFC South team after manhandling the Colts last week on Monday Night Football.
Drew Brees passed Peyton Manning for most career touchdown passes in the win, but things won’t come quite as easy against a Tennessee side playing for the eighth seed.
The Titans weren’t disgraced in their 24-21 loss to the division rival Texans last week, and really, they didn’t do a whole lot wrong. Dropped passes were the main culprit on offence, while the defence simply struggled on the ground.
New Orleans is an elite team when it comes to running the ball, so it’s hard to back against them this week.
That being said, the Titans are 2-2-1 against the spread following a previous loss this year, which makes the +3 line very intriguing.
These two sides have met only twice this decade, so a lack of familiarity with playing in Tennessee could see the Saints off to a slow start. Since this is a must-win game for the Titans, take them to at least keep it close.
Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium
Falcons 24 - Jaguars 12
It’s only fitting that two sides fresh from a pair of last-second upsets meet with absolutely nothing on the line.
Jacksonville hit Raider Nation where it hurts as the Jags handed Oakland a loss in their final game at the Coliseum.
The Falcons, meanwhile, pulled off something just as memorable by beating the Niners on a Julio Jones touchdown catch with just five seconds remaining.
The winner of this game will improve to 6-9 – a small morale booster as both teams look to make significant chances during the offseason.
From a betting standpoint though, this is tough to pick. The last time the Falcons and Jaguars got together was way back in 2015, while neither team has been consistent enough to trust in the head-to-head market.
The 19-point Total on the Jags looks a little high in this one. Jacksonville has failed to put up more than 20-points in their last three games away from home, so if you absolutely have to bet on this game, take the Under.
Tip: Jaguars Under 19 Total Points @ $1.85
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Colts 38 - Panthers 6
Two sides stuck in a serious funk meet on Monday in a game with very little importance.
For the Colts, a trip back home couldn’t have come at a better time following last week’s 34-7 beatdown in New Orleans. And as for the Panthers, well let’s just say this is probably the best chance Carolina has at earning one last win this season.
Indianapolis has opened as heavy favourites with home-field advantage, but the -7 spread looks a little ambitious for a team that has lost four straight games.
Carolina has won five of their last six games over the Colts, but you do have to rewind all the way back to 2015 to find their last meeting. Likewise, it’s also very difficult to find faith in the Panthers after losing their last six.
The way this season has turned out has been very disappointing for both teams, so this is a chance for either side to end things on a high note.
As far as a betting play goes though, it’s worth noting the Total has gone Over in four of Carolina’s last five games. The Total has also gone Over in four of the Colts’ last five games in December, so take this one to be high scoring.
Tip: Over 46 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Browns 15 - Ravens 31
NFL fans have had this game circled since the start of the season, only for the Browns to complete let everybody down.
It didn’t take long for Cleveland to revert back to its old dysfunctional ways with reports emerging during the week suggest several players want out from the Freddie Kitchens regime.
The distraction couldn’t have come at a worse time as the Browns now prepare to face not only their division rival, but also the Super Bowl favourites this week.
Cleveland has nothing left to play for, but for Baltimore, the scenario is simple: win and the first seed is yours.
The organized chaos at the Dawg Pound has the Browns as +10 underdogs this week, and it’s tough to disagree. Baltimore is 7-1 against the spread over their last eight games and also riding a 10-game winning streak.
Cleveland won 40-25 when these two sides met back in Week 4 but a lot has changed since then.
Considering the Browns have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards to opponents, this should be another field day for Lamar Jackson and Mark Ingram in a comfortable Ravens win.
Tip: Back the Ravens to Cover the Line (-10 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 23 December, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins 38 - Bengals 35 OT
There’s very little to brag about as far as these two teams are concerned, but as the market suggests, this is a game you need to include in your multi’s.
The bookies can’t separate these two AFC cellar dwellers after both sides suffered blowout losses last week.
Cincinnati put up a fight in the first quarter against the Patriots before slumping to 1-13 on the year, while the Dolphins failed to find points in their 36-20 loss to the Giants.
The head-to-head market is choc-full of value; however you may want to play it safe and stick with the Total.
Cincinnati has won two of its last three meetings against the Dolphins, while the Total has gone Under in all three games. The Total has also gone Under in five of the Bengals’ six road games this year, so stick with the trends.
Tip: Under 46.5 Total Points
Monday 23 December 8:05am, Broncos Stadium
Broncos 27 - Lions 17
It appears even a 23-3 loss to the Chiefs wasn’t enough to sway our bookmakers away from the Broncos.
Denver has opened as -6.5 favourites ahead of Monday’s game against Detroit with the bookies clearly factoring in the Broncos’ two game unbeaten run at home.
It also goes without saying that the Lions have been awful since Matthew Stafford suffered a back injury in Week 9. Detroit lost a game they’d rather forget last week at home to Tampa Bay, extending the Lions’ losing streak to seven.
Managing only three points to the Chiefs is one thing, but the Broncos can score in a hurry when they want to. Only a fortnight ago Denver handed the Texans a 38-24 loss on the road, a result that came from some brilliant playmaking from Drew Lock.
On the flip side, the defence has typically struggled at home. The Broncos have allowed four of their five opponents to put up 16-points or more, while the Total has gone Over on the Lions in 12 of their last 13 games against AFC West opponents on the road.
Tip: Lions Over 15.5 Total Points @ $1.85
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 23 December, 8:05am, Dignity Health Sports Park
Chargers 17 - Raiders 24
A last minute 20-16 loss to the Jaguars last week has all but put a line through the Raiders’ very faint playoff hopes.
In their final game at the Coliseum, Oakland somehow found a new way to disappoint their loyal fanbase by allowing a touchdown with just over 30-seconds remaining.
The loss seals Oakland’s fate as the Black Hole looks likely to go without January football for the third consecutive year.
The good news is the Raiders only have a short trip to Los Angeles this week, and with the Chargers also reeling at 5-9, this game holds tremendous value.
Surprisingly, Los Angeles is favoured by nearly a touchdown, which makes little sense considering the Chargers are 1-4 against the spread in their last five games.
Instead of risking it at the line though, you might be better off playing on the Total.
Road games have proven difficult for Oakland this year – particularly since the bye. The Raiders managed less than 10-points in their previous two games away from home, while the Chargers have put up less than 20-points in their previous two home games.
Oakland will also go without star running back Josh Jacobs for this game, so all things considered, the 45.5 points Total looks a little high.
Tip: Under 45.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 23 December, 8:25am, Centurylink Field
Seahawks 13 - Cardinals 27
The Seahawks have locked up a playoff spot with two weeks remaining, but they’ll be eager to hold on to the No. 1 seed in the NFC with a win against the Cardinals.
Arizona improved to 4-9-1 last week with a blowout win over the Browns. The Cardinals have nothing left to play for at this point, but you can bet Kliff Kingsbury will have a plan instore to try and spoil Seattle’s party.
The Seahawks won comfortably when they traveled to Arizona back in Week 4 winning 27-10. A lot has changed since then though, as Kingsbury’s offence has really clicked into gear over the last month.
Arizona’s defence currently leads the league in yards allowed, so the Cardinals probably aren’t going to win this game unless Kyler Murray can pull off one of the biggest upsets of the season.
That being said, there is nothing stopping Arizona from keeping this game close. The Cardinals are 4-1-1 against the spread in their last six games against the Seahawks, while they only lost by three when these two sides met at the Link last year.
Better yet, the Cardinals have been a strong betting play against the spread as the away underdog this year, covering in four of their six games. Throw in a 2-1 record after a win, and the +10 line on offer looks strong value.
Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (+10 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 23 December, 8:25am, Lincoln Financial Field
Eagles 17 - Cowboys 9
Will the Cowboys and Eagles finally decide this thing once and for all?
All square at 7-7 apiece, Dallas and Philadelphia meet with a playoff spot, and potentially the division crown, on the line.
The last time these two sides met was back in Week 7. The Cowboys walked away with a comfortable 37-10 victory that day, eerily similar to their 44-21 victory over the Rams last week.
Dallas is a force to be reckoned with when they play at their best and there is certainly no reason the Cowboys can’t put a dagger through the Eagles’ playoff hopes.
For the Cowboys to win they simply need to execute through the air. The Eagles have allowed the ninth-most passing touchdowns this season, making a big game from the likes of Amari Cooper an absolute must.
From a trend’s perspective, the Cowboys have covered the spread in nine of their last 10-games against a division opponent. They’ve also won four straight over the Eagles dating back to 2017, so take Dallas to stake their claim for the division crown.
Tip: Back the Cowboys to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.92
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 23 December, 12:20pm, Soldier Field
Bears 3 - Chiefs 26
A year ago, the Bears missed out on a spot in the Super Bowl thanks to an infamous doink-doink field goal. This time around, Chicago is set to miss out on the playoffs altogether.
Matt Nagy’s side was officially eliminated last week after losing 21-13 to the Packers. It’s been non-stop disappointment for the Bears all season long, and things aren’t about to get any easier with the Chiefs coming to town.
Kansas City has sewn up a playoff spot, but the Chiefs still have plenty to play for with the AFC’s No. 2 seed still up for grabs.
The Chiefs have now won four games in a row as the offence has found its rhythm again. Kansas City won comfortably 23-3 over the division rival Broncos last week and are now favoured by -6 ahead of their trip to Chicago.
Winning at Soldier Field this time of year is no easy task. The Chiefs haven’t played in Chicago since 2011, which could play into the Bears’ hands if the defence can create some pressure.
The Bears have allowed an average of only 15-points to opponents at home, while the defence also did well to hold Aaron Rodgers to just 203-yards and a touchdown last week.
When the spread is between 3.5 to 7-points, Chicago is 22-9 as the home underdog dating back to 1992. With that in mind, take the Bears to keep this interesting.
Tip: Back the Bears to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.92
Green Bay Packers
Tuesday 24 December, 12:15pm, US Bank Stadium
The NFL has saved the best for last this week as the Vikings and the Packers meet in Minnesota with plenty on the line.
Green Bay secured a playoff spot last week with a win over Chicago and the Rams loss. At 11-3, the Packers only hold a one game lead ahead of the division rival Vikings though, meaning this game could go a long way to determining the seeding in the NFC.
The odds are well in favour of Minnesota with home-field advantage, and rightfully so. Brad Zimmer’s side hasn’t lost at home to the Packers since 2015, but you’ll want to consider a few things first before you have a bet on this game.
Green Bay’s defence is the second worst in the league when it comes to giving up big plays of 40+ yards or more. The Vikings are currently averaging 236 passing yards per-game, which means the Packers offence will need to be at its best if they wish to keep up with Minnesota on the scoreboard.
The good news is Green Bay should be able to do that when you consider how well they’ve run the ball of late. The last three games between these two sides have also been decided by no more than a touchdown, making the +5.5 line on the Packers look more than worthwhile.
Matt LaFleur’s side has covered the spread in three of their four games so far against division opponents. The Packers are also 4-2 against the spread on the road and 2-1 as the away underdog.
Tip: Back the Packers to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.92
You can smell the Super Bowl from here, and with just two weeks remaining, it doesn’t get any bigger than Week 16 in the NFL.
For teams like the Colts, Eagles, Titans and Seahawks, just about everything is on the line, and with the Wild Card picture far from set, we’re in store for plenty of upsets.
We’ve previewed all 16 games and are confident we’ve backed some winners, so be sure to check out our complete 2018 NFL Week 16 Preview below.
Sunday 23 December, 8:30am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee 25 – Washington 16
This meeting between the 8-6 Titans and the 7-7 Redskins might not appear very exciting, but keep in mind both of these sides are still gunning for a potential Wild Card spot in the playoffs.
Tennessee are riding a three-game winning streak after defeating the Giants 17-0 last week. It was another huge 100-plus yard day for running back Derrick Henry, who has seen his yards-per-attempt increase from 2.3 to 5.0 over the course of two straight games.
The Redskins also pulled off a win last week over the hapless Jaguars. It was a big day for the Washington defence racking up two turnovers in the 16-13 victory, but with the Redskins quite literally limping their way toward the finish line, there’s not a lot to get excited about.
Since this is in an inter-conference battle, it’s not surprising to learn these two teams last met way back in 2014. The Redskins squeaked out a 19-17 win that day, but they’ll have their work cut out for them this time around in Tennessee – the Titans are 5-1 at home on the season.
Tip: Back Under 37 Total Points @ $1.95
Los Angeles Chargers
Sunday 23 December, 12:20pm, StubHub Centre
LA Chargers 10 – Baltimore 22
The Chargers put the whole league on notice last week with one simple message during their 29-28 road win over the Chiefs: this team won’t die wondering.
Los Angeles scored what could have been the game-tying touchdown with four seconds on the clock. It looked like we were headed for overtime, but in a shock turn of events, head coach Anthony Lynn opted to go for two, a decision that ultimately won the Chargers not only the game, but also a playoff spot.
The Wild Card is locked in and the division crown is still a chance for LA – which is something we might be saying about Baltimore this time next week.
It took all four quarters for the 8-6 Ravens to knock off the Bucs at home last week, but there were once again some encouraging signs from the running game as Lamar Jackson, Gus Edwards and Kenneth Dixon combined for over 250-yards on the ground.
This game shapes up as a tough one to predict between two of the league’s top defensive teams.
The Chargers are 5-2 at the StubHub Centre, so home field is vitally important to LA’s hopes this week. But can they really penetrate the Ravens’ run defence, a unit that has allowed the third-fewest rushing yards all year?
All signs indicate star running back Melvin Gordon will return this week for LA, giving the Chargers offence a much needed boost. With a 4-2 record against the spread vs. Baltimore, look for the Chargers to cover against a very one dimensional Ravens attack.
Tip: Back the Chargers to Cover the Line (-5 Points) @ $1.95
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, First Energy Stadium
Cleveland 26 – Cincinnati 18
Cleveland? Try Believeland.
The Browns are still in the hunt for a spot in the AFC Wild Card picture if they win out from here. Last week’s narrow one-point win over the Broncos was hardly convincing, but there’s no denying how far this team has come since firing former head coach Hue Jackson.
Fortunately for the Browns the schedule works in their favour with the Bengals coming to town. Cincinnati’s misery came to an end last week in a 30-16 win over the Raiders, but with fill-in quarterback Jeff Driskel showing zero accuracy and confidence in the pocket, things could get ugly this week.
A lot depends on Cleveland’s defence going forward, although it did stand up strongly against Denver on the final drive of last week’s game.
The Bengals know all too well about the Browns’ defence, having lost by 15-points to Cleveland back in November. On the flip side, with running back Nick Chubb meeting a Bengals defence that has allowed the third-most rushing touchdowns, the Browns could be looking at three straight wins for the first time since 2014.
Tip: Back the Browns 7-12 @ $4.75
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, AT&T Stadium
Dallas 27 – Tampa Bay 20
It’s hard to win games when you can’t score points.
The Cowboys laid a goose egg last week against the Colts on the road, falling by 29-points to Indianapolis in a game that highlighted the red zone struggles on offence.
Compared to the rest of the league, the Cowboys rank second last in redzone scoring percentage, which doesn’t bode well ahead of the playoffs. To make matters worse, the offensive line continues to cause headaches for Dak Prescott after allowing another three sacks last week.
The 5-9 Bucs have nothing to play for, however they are the kind of team capable of pulling off an upset on any given week.
On the other hand, Tampa Bay haven’t won on the road in Dallas since 2001, and with an awful defence incapable of stopping the pass, this should be the perfect turnaround game for the Cowboys at home.
Tip: Back the Cowboys to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, Ford Field
Detroit 9 – Minnesota 27
The 5-9 Lions sunk to new lows last week losing to the Bills 14-13 on the road.
It was yet another lacklustre performance from quarterback Matthew Stafford who threw for just 208-yards and a touchdown, while the defence was shredded for 117 rushing yards against a fairly weak Buffalo ground game.
The Vikings enjoyed quite the opposite last week defeating the Dolphins 41-17. Just when we thought we could write Minnesota out of the playoff picture, suddenly the Vikings look as dangerous as ever.
A week on from firing offensive coordinator John DeFilippo, interim replacement Kevin Stefanski appeared to have the offence back to its very best. The Kirk Cousins-Stefon Diggs connection was clicking, but most importantly, running back Dalvin Cook finally enjoyed some sturdy blocking to run for 136-yards and two scores.
The Vikings made short work of the Lions back in November walking away with a 24-8 home victory. Minnesota haven’t lost in Detroit since 2016, and with Stefanski relying squarely on the running game against the Lions’ miserable interior line, this should be nothing short of a blowout.
Tip: Back the Vikings 7-12 @ $5.00
New England Patriots
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, Gillette Stadium
New England 24 – Buffalo 12
Are the wheels finally falling off in New England?
Back-to-back losses for the second time this season has the panic button well and truly pressed with a tough road ahead in the playoffs.
It’s worth nothing the Patriots haven’t even clinched the AFC East just yet, but it’s safe to say a win over the Bills will seem them wrap up the division.
There were plenty of factors in play during last week’s loss to the Steelers. The main one has to be Tom Brady, who overthrew two receivers in the back of the end zone on the final drive of the game.
Tight end Rob Gronkowski also endured a day to forget catching just two passes for 21-yards. After so many weeks of scrutiny surrounding the defence, suddenly it’s New England’s offence that has everyone puzzled.
Fortunately, the Patriots hold a convincing 22-3 record against the Bills in their last 25 meetings. The Bills last won at Gillette in 2016, but with rookie quarterback Josh Allen facing his first big test on the road, the odds of the Patriots losing this game remain almost impossible.
Tip: Back the Patriots to Cover The Line (-13 Points) @ $1.95
New York Jets
Green Bay Packers
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium
NY Jets 38 – Green Bay 44
Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold played perhaps the best game of his young career in the Jets’ agonising 29-22 loss to the Texans last week.
Passing for 253-yards and two touchdowns, Darnold made some clutch throws to wide receiver Robby Anderson, flashing signs of what the future might hold on offence for New York.
For the Packers, things weren’t quite so encouraging against the Bears. Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams hooked up for their usual triple digit total, but the 24-17 scoreline wasn’t the only loss Green Bay felt on the day – they’ve now lost running back Aaron Jones for the remainder of the season.
That leaves the Packers relying heavily on the passing game, which could spell trouble against a Jets pass rush that sacked Deshaun Watson six times last week. To make matters worse, Green Bay are now toying with the idea of resting the oft-injured Rodgers for the remainder of the season.
The Packers haven’t traveled to Metlife to face the Jets since 2010, a game Green Bay won 9-0 on a very dull day from Rodgers in the pocket.
This game figures to be just as low-scoring, and with the Jets high on confidence and the Packers low on play-makers, the Points market is your best bet.
Tip: Back Under 44.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia 32 – Houston 30
The Eagles enter this game as the favourites at home, and who can blame the bookies? The Nick Foles fanfare is running riot for the second season in a row.
You can’t compare this year’s team to last year’s, but the Eagles are still a serious playoff chance at 7-7.
They’ll have to take care of the 10-4 Texans this week though, who are also looking to clinch the AFC South – but given Houston’s performance last Sunday, the market looks just about right.
Houston’s offensive line was atrocious in the win over the Jets, allowing six sacks on quarterback Deshaun Watson. On the opposite side the defensive line was equally poor allowing Sam Darnold plenty of time to escape from the pocket and make a play.
Much of this game does come down to Foles, however. If he can find Alshon Jeffery and Zach Ertz as often as possible, the Eagles will be tough to beat. But if Philly has to rely on their offence, things look less than encouraging.
The Eagles are 15-4 in their last 19 games at home while the Texans are 5-2 on the road this year. It doesn’t help that these two haven’t met since 2014, but with the Eagles basically hoping history repeats itself, roll with the Texans in a close one.
Tip: Back the Texans To Win @ $2.10
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Carolina 10 – Atlanta 24
It’s now or never for the Panthers as the light continues to dim on their almost lost season.
At 6-8 Carolina need a miracle to make the playoffs, but all hope looks lost after the team announced Cam Newton will miss the remainder of the season with a shoulder injury.
We’ve already seen how hard it is for the Panthers to win at home this year though, and despite their 5-6 record, we’ve also seen how difficult it can be for Carolina to defeat Atlanta.
The Falcons walked away 31-24 winners when these two sides met earlier in September, and are fresh from a 40-14 blowout over the Cardinals last week.
Carolina are 4-2 in their last six home games against the Falcons, however their 1-5 record against Atlanta at the line makes it tough to back the favourites.
With the Falcons’ defence completely non-existent, you’ll be happy to know the Total has resulted in the Under in four of Carolina’s last five games against Atlanta.
Tip: Back Under 44 Total Points @ $1.91
New York Giants
Monday 24 December, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis 28 – NY Giants 27
It would be a crying shame if the Colts were to somehow miss the playoffs from here.
Indy’s 23-0 shutout win over the Cowboys last week saw them improve to 8-6 on the season, and with a very winnable game against the Giants in hand, Frank Reich looks certain to win the Coach of the Year award.
Speaking of shutouts, the Giants have nothing left to play for following their 17-0 loss to the Titans last week. It was a quiet game for Rookie of the Year shoo-in Saquon Barkley who rushed for just 31-yards, while the passing game struggled with Odell Beckham Jr. out injured.
New York haven’t played Indianapolis since 2014 and are 4-12 in their last 16 road games. Beckham looks likely to return this week, but with the Colts a near perfect 4-1 against the line against the Giants, this look a bit beyond Big Blue.
Tip: Back the Colts to Cover The Line (-9 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 17 December, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Miami 7 – Jacksonville 17
This game might look a little unappealing on paper, but when you consider what’s on the line for the Dolphins this week, it’s certainly worth watching.
A win for Miami and a Colts or Titans loss could put them in the driver’s seat for a spot in the AFC Wild Card game, and after Jacksonville’s last minute meltdown against the Redskins last week, you have to like their chances.
The Dolphins are 4-2 at the line in their last six games and are 6-1 in their last seven home games. Jacksonville’s offence tallied only 192-yards last week, and although Miami’s run defence is one of the worst in the league, it’s hard to see the Jags winning against one of the top turnover teams in the league.
Tip: Dolphins to Cover The Line (-4.5 Points) @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 24 December, 8:05am, State Farm Stadium
Arizona 9 – LA Rams 31
Three turnovers from the Rams last week saw them lose back-to-back games for the first time this season.
Two of those came from quarterback Jared Goff who threw a pair of interceptions in the 30-23 loss to the Eagles. It’s far from panic stations, but it’s safe to say this Rams team hardly looks like the side that started the season 8-0.
A game against the 3-11 Cardinals is a perfect chance to turn things aroundthough, and that’s exactly what the Rams should do considering they defeated Arizona 34-0 back in Week 2.
Not surprisingly Los Angeles enter this game as the heavy favourites, and they should win this game comfortably – even with star running back Todd Gurley listed as day-to-day.
The Rams are 4-1 in their last five games against Arizona and are 6-2 in their last eight games when playing at State Farm Stadium.
Tip: Back the Rams to Cover The Line (-14 Points) @ $1.91
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 24 December, 8:05am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 9 – Chicago 14
The 10-4 Bears clinched their first NFC North crown since 2010 last week thanks to a seven-point win over rivals Green Bay.
Chicago are arguably playing the best defence in the league right now after holding Aaron Rodgers scoreless, and they should have no trouble pressuring a Niners offensive line that has allowed 44 sacks this year.
San Francisco showed they are capable of the unthinkable by defeating the Seahawks in overtime last week, but the defence deserves full credit. The Niners forced a turnover and held Seattle to just three third down conversions, which adds another layer of interest to this week’s game at home.
The Bears are 3-3 on the road this season, and they haven’t travelled to San Francisco since 2014. The odds also tell a story – the Bears open as minor four-point favourites.
We’ve seen Nick Mullens on more than one occasion come through with a big game in the air, and perhaps a healthy Matt Breida can challenge the Bears’ interior line.
Most importantly, if San Francisco can contain Mitch Trubisky like they did Russell Wilson on the ground last week, the upset should be on.
Tip: Back the Niners at the Line (+4 Points) @ $1.91
New Orleans Saints
Monday 24 December, 8:25am, Mercedes Benz Superdome
New Orleans 31 – Pittsburgh 28
The Steelers’ 17-10 victory over the Patriots last week wasn’t pretty, but it was the upset Pittsburgh needed to keep the AFC North crown within reach.
New Orleans already had the NFC South locked up prior to last week, but a 12-9 victory over the Panthers earned them some serious bragging rights against a rival.
Both results set up a massive blockbuster this week between two teams that could very well meet in the Super Bowl.
The last time we saw these two duke it out was back in 2014, a game that saw the Saints steal a narrow 35-32 win on the road. Only this time around, New Orleans will be helped out by home-field advantage, a factor that can’t be stressed enough.
The Saints have lost just one of their games in the Superdome this year, and are also 5-1 at the line in their last five home games.
Pittsburgh will be relying heavily on the status of running back James Conner, who still remains questionable with an ankle injury. Even if Conner does play though, the Steelers don’t stand a chance against a Saints defence that has allowed the fewest rushing yards in the league.
Tip: Back the Saints to Cover The Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 24 December, 12:20pm, Century Link Field
Seattle 38 – Kansas City 31
It’s only fitting that these two teams, both of which come off of devastating losses, meet this week in Seattle.
Despite owning a playoff spot, the Chiefs are still trying to clinch the AFC West with two games remaining. Meanwhile, the 8-6 Seahawks are fighting for their spot in the NFC Wild Card picture following an overtime loss to the Niners last week.
Kansas City’s defence is causing real issues as the playoffs approach, and so is the lack of a ground game following Kareem Hunt’s release.
As for Seattle, you can’t chalk last week’s loss up to bad luck – the Seahawks had their opportunities, but failed to convert on third down.
There’ll be no hiding for either side this week on the primetime stage of Sunday Night Football. The Seahawks have won just six of their last 25 games against the Chiefs, but more importantly are 4-2 at home against Kansas City.
If the Seahawks can grind it out on the ground and execute some blocks, Seattle should make short work of Kansas City’s horrible run defence.
Tip: Back the Seahawks To Win @ $2.15
Tuesday 25 December, 12:15pm, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland 27 – Denver 14
This time-honoured rivalry isn’t what it used to be, and it’s fair to suggest it’s not even worthy of the second-last Monday Night Football game of the year.
Even so, the Broncos put on a show last week in their narrow one-point loss to the Browns. It all but cancelled out their playoff hopes however, leaving this game with nothing but bragging rights to contend.
The Raiders fell by 14-points to the Bengals last week in a game Oakland would like to forget. Similarly, the Raiders’ one-point loss to the Broncos back in September probably isn’t a game Oakland hold fond memories of either.
Defensively the Broncos hold a huge advantage, and with the sixth most sacks and the sixth most turnovers in the league, it spells nothing but bad news for Jon Gruden’s side.
Denver are 5-2 in their last seven games at the line when playing in Oakland, which makes them a safe bet to cover in what could be the final game at the historic County Coliseum.
Tip: Back the Broncos to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.95
Christmas morning is sorted for NFL fans in Australia.
The NFL action gets underway with two games on Christmas Eve before Christmas morning is packed full of a host of big games.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 16 tips can be found below.
Sunday December 24, 8:30am, M&T Bank Stadium
The Baltimore Ravens are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Baltimore have won four of their past five games as home favourites and they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.
It has been a season to forget for the Indianapolis Colts and they have won only one of their 13 games as away underdogs, while they are 2-6 against the line away from home.
Back Baltimore To Beat The Line (-13.5 Points)
Green Bay Packers
Sunday December 24, 12:30pm, Lambeau Field
Aaron Rodgers is back on the injured reserve and it is the high-flying Minnesota Vikings that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Minnesota have won three of their past four games as away favourites, but they are only a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Green Bay Packers have lost their past three games as home underdogs and they are tough to back with any confidence without Rodgers in the side.
This is a game that the market looks to have gotten just about right.
Los Angeles Rams
Monday December 25, 5:00am, New Era Field
The Los Angeles Rams recorded a massive win over the Seattle Seahawks last week and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Los Angeles have won their past three games as away favourites and they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario.
The Tennessee Titans remain in the NFL Playoffs hunt, but desperately need to turn around their form after losing two games on the trot.
Tennessee have lost their past three games as underdogs and it is tough to back them off their recent efforts.
Back Los Angeles To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points)
New England Patriots
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Gillette Stadium
There is plenty on the line for both the New England Patriots and the Buffalo Bills in this clash.
The Patriots won a thriller over the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend and they have won six of their past eight games as home favourites, while they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
Buffalo have gotten themselves back in the Playoffs race with two wins on the trot and they have won two of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit.
This is another game that I am happy to stay out of from a betting perspective.
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Soldier Field
The Chicago Bears have won only one of their past seven games, but they will still start this clash as favourites against the winless Cleveland Browns.
Chicago have lost their past two games as home favourites, but they have won their past two games against Cleveland.
The Browns losing streak continued at the hands of the Baltimore Ravens last weekend and they have been a losing betting proposition across every metric.
It is impossible to back either of these teams with any confidence.
New Orleans Saints
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
This is a massive game between these NFC South rivals.
They played out a thriller that was won by the Atlanta Falcons a fortnight ago and there is sure to be very little between these two sides once again.
The Saints have won their past six games as home favourites and they are 7-2 against the line as the punter’s elect over the past 12 months.
Atlanta have won one of their past three games as away underdogs, but they have won their past three games against the Saints.
The Saints can end their losing streak against the Falcons and cover the line of 5.5 points in the process.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
This is a must-win clash for the Detroit Lions and they will start it as favourites.
Detroit have won their past three games as away favourites and they have been a profitable play against the line in this scenario.
The Cincinnati Bengals have lost three games on the trot and they are a team that look to have given up on this season, but they generally do save their best football for their home fans.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Bank Of America Stadium
The Carolina Panthers will clinch a place in the NFL Playoffs with a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Carolina have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a small loss and they are only a middling 2-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
Tampa Bay have lost four games on the trot in heartbreaking fashion and there is no doubt that this season has been a disappointment.
They have lost their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
Back Over 46.5 Points
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday December 25, 5:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
The Kansas City Chiefs are one of the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Kansas City have won six of their past nine games in front of their home fans and they have beaten the line in each of these wins.
The Miami Dolphins have won two of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
Kansas City have returned to a semblance of their best form and they can win this game comfortably.
Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (-10.5 Points)
Monday December 25, 5:00am, FedEx Field
The Denver Broncos have won two games on the trot, but it is the Washington Redskins that will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Washington have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.
Denver have won only one of their past eight on the road and their record against the line is not any better.
Back Washington To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
New York Jets
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday December 25, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium
The Los Angeles Chargers must win this game to remain in NFL Playoffs contention.
Los Angeles have won their only game as away favourites this season, but their overall record on the road is poor.
MetLife Stadium has been a happy hunting ground for the New York Jets this season and they have won five of their past eight games as home underdogs for a huge profit, while they are 7-1 against the line in that scenario.
In saying that, they have not looked like the same team without Josh McCown under centre and Bryce Petty was poor in his first game as starter this season.
San Francisco 49ers
Monday December 25, 8:05am, Levi's Stadium
The Jimmy Garoppolo era in San Francisco has gotten off to an outstanding start, but it is still the Jacksonville Jaguars that will start this clash as favourites.
Jacksonville have struggled for consistency on the road somewhat this season and they have won only two of their past four games as away favourites.
San Francisco have recorded upset wins over both the Houston Texans and the Tennessee Titans with Garoppolo under centre and they have won their past two games against the Jaguars.
It is hard not to be impressed by the football that the 49ers have played in recent weeks and they are capable of pulling off an upset.
Back San Francisco To Win @ $2.70
Monday December 25, 8:25am, AT&T Stadium
This is a must-win game for both the Dallas Cowboys and the Seattle Seahawks.
The Cowboys have won three games on the trot and they will be buoyed by the return of Ezekiel Elliot.
Dallas have won only three of their past six game as home favourites and they have been a losing betting play in general this season.
Seattle have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is no better.
This should be a fascinating clash, but it is one that I am happy to stay out of from a betting standpoint.
New York Giants
Monday December 25, 8:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
It is the Arizona Cardinals that will start this clash with the New York Giants as favourites.
Arizona may have had a tough season, but they have been a profitable betting play in front of their home fans at the University Of Phoenix Stadium.
The Giants have now lost seven of their past eight games, but they have covered the line in five of their past eight games as away underdogs.
Both offences could struggle in what should be a low-scoring game.
Back Under 40.5 Points
Monday December 25, 8:30am, NRG Stadium
The Pittsburgh Steelers are dominant favourites to return to winning form following their heartbreaking defeat at the hands of the Houston Texans.
Pittsburgh have won five of their past six games as away favourites, but they are a poor 2-4 against the line in this scenario.
Houston’s season hit a new low when they were flogged by the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend and they are impossible to trust in just about any betting scenario.
This is a game that Pittsburgh should win comfortably, but there is no value at their current price.
Tuesday December 26, 12:30am, Lincoln Financial Field
The Philadelphia Eagles will convince the number one seed in the NFC with a win over the Oakland Raiders, while the Raiders are all but out of NFL Playoff calculations.
Philadelphia have won their past seven games as home favourites and they are a most impressive 6-1 against the line in this scenario.
The Raiders have been particularly poor away from home this season and they have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs, while their record against the line is no better.
Backing the Eagles all season long has been a highly profitable play and there is no reason to jump off.
Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points)
It may be Christmas, but there is no rest in the NFL.
You can spend Christmas morning in Australia watching NFL action and most of the teams in the league will be in action.
There are an unlucky two teams that will actually play on Christmas Day in the United States – perfect Boxing Day viewing for those of us in Australia – and the action concludes on Tuesday when the Dallas Cowboys host the Detroit Lions.
New York Giants
Friday December 23, 11:25am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia Eagles 24 - New York Giants 19
The Philadelphia Eagles have won just one of their past eight games and the New York Giants are 3-0 as away favourites this season.
Back New York To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, New Era Field
Buffalo Bills 31 - Miami Dolphins 34
The Buffalo Bills have won four of their past five games as home favourites, while the Miami Dolphins are 2-4 as away underdogs.
Back Buffalo To Beat The Line (-4 Points)
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans Saints 31 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 24
The New Orleans Saints have won just three of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss, while the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won five of their past eight games as away underdogs.
The Buccaneers are one of the best value bets of the week.
Back Tampa Bay To Win @ $2.25
New England Patriots
New York Jets
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, Gillette Stadium
New England Patriots 41 - New York Jets 3
The New England Patriots are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and they have beaten the line in six of their past eight games as home favourites.
New York have played some awful football in recent weeks and they are 2-4 as away underdogs this season.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-16.5 Points)
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, EverBank Field
Jacksonville Jaguars 38 - Tennessee Titans 17
Jacksonville have fired head coach Gus Bradley after yet another loss at the hands of the Houston Texans.
The Jaguars are 1-3 against the line as away underdogs and the Tennessee Titans have won their only game as home favourites this season.
Back Tennessee To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
Green Bay Packers
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers 38 - Minnesota Vikings 25
The Green Bay Packers have won four games on the trot, but they have still been a losing betting proposition as home favourites this season.
Minnesota are 2-2 as away underdogs and they are over the odds at their current price.
Back Minnesota To Win @ $3.40
San Diego Chargers
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, FirstEnergry Stadium
Cleveland Browns 20 - San Diego Chargers 17
The Cleveland Browns have lost their past eight games as home underdogs and the San Diego Chargers are 5-3 against the line away from home.
Back San Diego To Beat The Line (-6 Points)
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, Soldier Field
Chicago Bears 21 - Washington Redskins 41
The Washington Redskins have been inconsistent as away favourites in recent seasons and the Chicago Bears have won three of their past six games as home underdogs for a clear profit.
Back Chicago To Win @ $2.55
Sunday December 25, 4:00am, Bank Of America Stadium
Carolina Panthers 16 - Atlanta Falcons 33
This will be the first game that the Carolina Panthers have started as home underdogs in the past 12 months, but they have won seven of their past 10 games in front of their home fans.
Atlanta have won their past two games as home favourites and they are 6-1 against the line away from home.
Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Sunday December 25, 7:05am, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland Raiders 33 - Indianapolis Colts 25
The Oakland Raiders have won seven of their past eight games, but their record against the line in this scenario is not particularly strong.
Indianapolis have won five of their past eight games as away underdogs for a big profit.
Back Indianapolis To Win @ $2.55
Sunday December 25, 7:25am, CenturyLink Field
Seattle Seahawks 31 - Arizona Cardinals 34
The Seattle Seahawks have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites and they are 4-1-3 against the line in this scenario, while the Arizona Cardinals have failed to cover the line in their past four games as away underdogs.
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
Sunday December 25, 7:25am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Los Angeles Rams 21 - San Francisco 49ers 22
The Los Angeles Rams have won just one of their past five games at home, while the San Francisco 49ers have lost their past seven games as away underdogs.
These teams are both impossible to trust from a betting perspective.
Sunday December 25, 11:25am, NRG Stadium
Houston Texans 12 - Cincinnati Bengals 10
The Houston Texans have won their past six games as home favourites and the Cincinnati Bengals have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs.
Back Houston To Win @ $1.87
Monday December 26, 7:25am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh Steelers 31 - Baltimore Ravens 27
The Pittsburgh Steelers have won five games on the trot and they are 4-1 as home favourites in both head-to-head and line betting markets.
The Baltimore Ravens have lost their past five games as away underdogs and they are 1-4 against the line in this scenario.
Back Pittsburgh To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday December 26, 11:30am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs 33 - Denver Broncos 10
The Kansas City Chiefs have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites, but they are 2-1-6 against the line in this scenario.
Denver have won two of their past three games as away underdogs and they have the same record against the line.
Back Denver To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)
Tuesday December 27, 11:30am, AT&T Stadium
Dallas Cowboys 42 - Detroit Lions 21
The Dallas Cowboys returned to winning form last weekend and they have now won five of their past six games as home favourites, while Detroit have won three of their past six games as away underdogs.