Only four teams remain undefeated in the NFL as we look ahead to another massive 14-game slate starting Monday.
Nine teams that have opened the season 5-0 have gone on to win the Super Bowl over the last 30 years, so this shapes up as a very important week for the Titans, Steelers and Packers alike.
The already 5-0 Seattle Seahawks are on the bye week alongside the Chargers, Saints and Raiders, but that isn’t to say we’ll be short on blockbusters.
This week’s key games include a long awaited rematch between rivals Pittsburgh and Cleveland in the early time slot, followed by Aaron Rodgers and the Packers taking on Tom Brady and the Bucs.
As if that wasn’t enough, the Chiefs and the Bills are also hoping to bounce-back on Tuesday morning in a potential AFC Championship Game Preview, so with plenty to get to, be sure to read all of our Week 6 tips below!
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Heinz Field
All eyes will be on the Steelers and Browns this week as the two rivals square off for the first time since last year’s Mason Rudolph v Myles Garrett skirmish.
Ben Roethlisberger has been the catalyst for Pittsburgh’s perfect 4-0 start, but it’s safe to say the veteran wouldn’t be half as comfortable if it weren’t for his new favourite target, Chase Claypool.
The 22-year-old rookie reeled in three touchdowns during last week’s big win over the Eagles, a performance Mike Tomlin will be hoping Claypool can replicate this week against a Browns secondary that has allowed the third-most passing yards in the league.
Despite their struggles defensively, the Browns have rattled off four consecutive wins over the Bengals, Washington, Cowboys and Colts.
Cleveland’s offence has no doubt improved under head coach Kevin Stefanski as the Browns continue to dial up trick plays and motion to suit Baker Mayfield deep passing ability.
All that being said, the Steelers are still laying -3.5 at time of publish and it’s difficult to argue with Pittsburgh playing at home.
The Browns haven’t beaten the Steelers at Heinz Field since 2003, and although Cleveland’s trickery has been pretty to watch, they are about to face a very tough test this week against a smash-mouth Pittsburgh outfit that ranks bottom five in yards allowed both on the ground and through the air.
Tip: Back the Steelers to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
The Colts are looking to rebound this week after slipping up in a forgetful affair against the Browns in Week 5.
Now at 3-2, Indianapolis needs to get serious if they hold any hope of securing a Wild Card spot, or better yet, catching the 4-0 Titans.
Fortunately, Indianapolis is afforded a big opportunity to make up some ground this week against a 1-3-1 Bengals side coming off a brutal 27-3 loss to the Ravens last week.
There’s no denying Joe Burrow has displayed plenty of talent and poise in his rookie year, but it’s difficult to get on board with the Bengals due to their awful offensive line.
Cincinnati has allowed the most sacks in the league through five games, largely due to the fact the Bengals gave up seven last week to Baltimore.
None of that spells confidence going up against a Colts team that possesses one of the top defensive fronts in the entire league.
So long as Philip Rivers keeps the turnovers to a minimum, which is easier said than done, the Colts should be bouncing back here.
Tip: Back the Colts to Win & Under 46.5 Total Points @ $2.45
New England Patriots
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Gillette Stadium
The Patriots and the Broncos are set to finally meet up on Monday after their Week 5 tilt was postponed due to New England’s COVID-19 crisis.
Bill Belichick’s side has opened at -9 in the market, which is a little surprising considering we’re still no closer to knowing exactly who might be starting under centre should Cam Newton require another week off.
Meanwhile, in Denver, the Broncos continue to limp towards the midway point of the season with half of their roster on the injured list.
Quarterback Drew Lock remains an outside chance at returning, but he won’t find himself with many options to throw to with Noah Fant and KJ Hamler already ruled out.
Obviously it’s worth monitoring the quarterback situations on both sides, but if Cam does suit up, you have to favour New England.
Despite playing one fewer game, the Patriots’ defence has been outstanding for most of the season allowing the fourth-fewest yards in the league.
With Lock in doubt and almost all of their stars missing, this shapes up as another insurmountable task for the Broncos.
Tip: Back the Patriots to Cover the Line (-9 Points) @ $1.90
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, TIAA Bank Field
The Jaguars and the Lions will get together in Jacksonville on Monday in what is arguably a ‘line in the sand’ type games for both teams.
Jacksonville and Detroit both own only one win through five weeks, leaving a ton of ground to make up in two competitive divisions.
The Jaguars had their moments last week against the Texans but simply failed to establish any kind of ground game in the 30-14 loss.
Detroit, on the other hand, are coming in fresh from a bye after losing a shootout to the Saints in Week 4.
The Jags have a bunch of players listed as questionable heading into Week 5, the most pressing of which include key linebacker Myles Jack and rookie corner C.J. Henderson, both of whom missed last week’s game against the Houston.
The Lions have much less to worry about, which almost makes the -3.5 line favourite Detroit seem pretty generous.
Despite their record, the Lions haven’t been bad offensively and they should have no trouble scoring against a Jacksonville outfit that has allowed the eighth-most points in the league.
With time quickly running out to catch Green Bay and Chicago in the North, the Lions should rise to the occasion here.
Tip: Back the Lions 1-13 @ $2.35
New York Giants
Washington Football Team
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
The NFC East has been an absolute train-wreck so far this season as we prepare for another less-than exciting tilt between the winless Giants and the 1-4 Washington Football Team.
To their credit, the Giants actually held firm against Dallas last week and were unlucky to lose on a last-second field goal off the boot of Greg Zuerlein.
The same can’t be said for Washington however, as Ron Rivera’s side left their game against the Rams battered and bruised in another forgettable 30-10 loss.
Kyle Allen suffered a concussion in the second half that opened the door for Alex Smith’s long-awaited return, and while everyone was elated to see him back, watching the veteran take six sacks was a little tough.
Washington’s offensive line is easily one of the worst in the NFL, so there should be plenty of opportunities for New York’s pass rush to leave their mark on this game.
The Giants also have to be encouraged by what they saw from Devonta Freeman last week scoring two touchdowns and running for 60 yards.
This looks to be Big Blue’s best chance at earning a rare win this season, so if they can feed Freeman the ball and put some pressure on Allen, the Giants should go a long way towards winning.
Tip: Back the Giants to Win & Under 43.5 Total Points @ $3.15
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Nissan Stadium
The Texans earned their first win of the season under interim head coach Romeo Crennel last week as they hope to keep that momentum rolling against the undefeated Titans.
While Houston’s offence mauled Jacksonville by double digits, it’s difficult to predict a similar outcome against a Titans team that just recorded a comfortable victory over the previously undefeated Bills last Wednesday.
Playing on short rest isn’t ideal, but judging by the way the Titans moved the ball against what many considered to be an elite Buffalo defence, it’s safe to say Tennessee should have no trouble against the Texans.
Ryan Tannehill threw for three touchdowns and only eight incompletions against Buffalo, while Derrick Henry went off in a big way rushing for a couple of scores himself.
The Texans have been an absolute mess defensively, evident in the fact they’ve allowed the most rushing yards and the ninth-most passing yards through five games.
Tennessee has also won three of its last five games against the Texans, so it’s hard to argue with the Titans improving to 5-0.
Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Don’t look now, but the Bears are 4-1.
Chicago pulled off a stunning 20-19 victory over the Bucs last Friday as they now head to Carolina to take on an equally impressive Panthers team in appears to be one of the games of the week.
Matt Rhule’s side has really turned a corner with three straight wins over the Chargers, Cardinals and Falcons, although this obviously stacks up as a much tougher challenge against one of the league’s top defences.
Chicago’s defence has been just as good as it was last season having allowed the eighth-fewest points to go along with only four passing touchdowns.
That said, the Panthers have done a tremendous job mixing up the run with the pass this season, which has led many to believe that Christian McCaffrey’s injury may have been a blessing in disguise.
Obviously the Panthers would prefer to have the league’s best running back on the field in this pivotal game, but that isn’t to say Carolina are no chance with Teddy Bridgewater, Mike Davis and D.J. Moore running the show.
Bridgewater has been the second-most efficient quarterback in the league when it comes to completions, while Davis is fresh from a huge 89 yard game against the Falcons.
Many believe that these two teams firmly belong in the “pretenders” category, and it’s tough to disagree.
Still, the Panthers should have the edge offensively in this matchup if their young defence can shutdown Chicago’s only real weapon, Allen Robinson, in the passing game.
Tip: Back the Panthers 1-13 @ $2.45
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
The battle of the birds gets underway this week as the Ravens hope to improve to 5-1 against the hapless 1-3-1 Eagles.
Baltimore has enjoyed a fairly cruisy stretch of the schedule with games against Washington and Cincinnati following their blowout loss tot eh Chiefs in Week 3.
The Ravens’ blitz-happy defence absolutely mauled Joe Burrow last week in their blowout win, a worry sign for an Eagles offensive line that has allowed 19 sacks to Carson Wentz this season.
Philly came up short to the Steelers last week as Wentz again threw two picks.
Turnovers have become a real problem for the Eagles this year as fans increase their calls for rookie Jalen Hurts to step in as the replacement.
On the flip side, the Ravens currently lead the league in takeaways, so there’s a good chance this one gets a little ugly.
Tip: Back the Ravens 1-13 @ $2.35
Monday 19 October, 4:00am, US Bank Stadium
The new-look Falcons will take the field in Minnesota on Monday as the team kicks off a new era under interim head coach Raheem Morris.
After five years at the helm and a Super Bowl appearance, the team decided to part ways with Dan Quinn last week following a disappointing 0-5 start to the season.
In the process, the Falcons also bid farewell to long-time General Manager Thomas Dimitroff, a move that came as the biggest surprise following so many successful years with the team.
With so much going on, it’s difficult to know just how focused the Falcons will be on the Vikings this week – a team that has plenty of business to handle on their own end.
Minnesota should have won last week against Seattle if it weren’t for Mike Zimmer’s decision to go for it on fourth and short instead of kicking a field goal.
In the end, the Vikings were burned by Russell Wilson’s last minute touchdown drive, a result that may prove the difference between playoffs and an early exit at 1-4.
We saw the Texans come out last week and win after firing Bill O’Brien, so there’s a decent chance we see the Falcons respond in a similar manner.
It’s difficult to take Atlanta outright with Julio Jones still questionable, but considering Kirk Cousins’ turnover problems last week, the +3.5 line isn’t half bad.
Tip: Back the Falcons to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90
New York Jets
Monday 19 October, 7:05am, Hard Rock Stadium
The Dolphins have been installed as -9.5 favourites improve to .500 with a win over the hapless Jets in Miami.
Brian Flores’ side pulled off one of the wins of the season last week in their 43-17 victory over the 49ers, a result the Dolphins can easily replicate against a Jets secondary that was just torched for 380 yards by Kyler Murray.
To make matters worse, Le’Veon Bell has now left the building in favour of (what he hopes to be) greener pastures some place else.
Bell’s loss leaves the Jets’ offence with even fewer options going forward, so it’s very difficult to see New York matching a Dolphins team that surprisingly ranks 12th in points scored this year.
It’s obviously very rare to find the Dolphins favoured by this many points against anyone, but it is worth noting the Jets haven’t won in Miami since 2015.
Still, this line does look a little long, so the Under on the Jets does appear a safer play.
Tip: Jets Under 18.5 Total Points @ $1.90
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers
Monday 19 October, 7:25am, Raymond James Stadium
The undefeated Packers will be hoping to improve to 5-0 for the first time since 2015 when they take on the Bucs in Tampa Bay.
Fresh from a bye week, Green Bay are laying a very cool $1.91 straight-up in Ladbrokes’ market, while the line surprisingly favours the Packers by only -1.
The Bucs are coming off an almost comical loss last Friday to the Bears that resulted in a Tom Brady tantrum and a complete debacle on fourth down.
Similar mental mistakes will likely cost Bruce Arians’ side dearly this week against a Packers defence that has found new ways to force turnovers when they need them the most.
Offensively, this game should be an absolute treat with two future Hall of Famers on the field.
Aaron Rodgers is in white hot form as the Packers continue to torment opposing defences with a wide range of motion and play action, while Tampa’s long list of talented receivers are more than capable of matching Green Bay on the scoreboard.
Whenever the market is this tight, you’re best bet is to look elsewhere.
With Davante Adams set to return and Brady eager to make up for last week’s fiasco, take the Over.
Tip: Over 55 Total Points @ $1.90
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 19 October, 11:20am, Levi’s Stadium
The NFC West headlines Sunday Night Football this week when the Niners and Rams get together in San Francisco.
Los Angeles improved to 4-1 last week with a comfortable win over Washington and it is no surprise to find the Rams as the short-priced favourites again.
San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan chose to bench Jimmy Garoppolo last week to avoid any further setbacks to his injured ankle, but after throwing two picks in the first half, it’s difficult to know for sure whether Shanahan is really telling the truth.
That said, it seems as though Garoppolo will start under centre on Monday in place of C.J Beathard, who didn’t fare much better in the loss to the Dolphins.
Either way, the Rams should feel pretty good knowing their defence has allowed the fourth-fewest points in the league at this point, which spells potential disaster for a Niners team that ranks 16th in the same category offensively.
The Niners have held the wood over the Rams recently winning two of their last three games, but things have really taken a turn for the worst in San Francisco this year.
With so much uncertainty going on away from the field, the Rams look to be a safe bet.
Tip: Back the Rams to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90
Kansas City Chiefs
Tuesday 20 October, 11:15am, Bills Stadium
The Bills and the Chiefs find themselves in similar situations after suffering their first losses of the season in Week 5.
Buffalo are on the short backup after losing rather convincingly to the Titans last Wednesday, while the Chiefs found themselves on the receiving end of a shock loss to the Raiders at Arrowhead.
The Bills struggled out of the gates against Tennessee as Josh Allen’s first possession interception resulted in points the other way.
From there, Buffalo failed to find any rhythm through the air, while the running game wasn’t much better accounting for just 95 yards.
The Chiefs were far from disgraced against the Raiders, but Vegas did manage to expose Kansas City’s secondary in a major way.
Derek Carr enjoyed a massive day throwing for 347 yards and there is a good chance we see the Bills try and exploit that same weakness through the use of Stefon Diggs.
After both teams gave up 40 points last week, you could make a strong case for the Over here.
That said, the Bills have been an outstanding bet on the back of a previous loss, covering in four of their last six games over the last calendar year.
It’s likely last week’s result motivates Patrick Mahomes, but you could also say the Bills deserve a mulligan on both sides of the ball after a disturbed week against Tennessee.
Tip: Back the Bills to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90
Tuesday 20 October, 11:15am, AT&T Stadium
All eyes will be on Andy Dalton this week as the Cowboys carry on without star quarterback Dak Prescott for the remainder of the season.
As far as backup’s go, Dalton looks more than capable of carrying the load from here on out – as we saw last week in a final drive to set up Greg Zuerlein’s last second field goal against the Giants.
Arizona, meanwhile, has just as much to play for with the Seahawks quickly running away with the NFC West.
The Cardinals enjoyed a comfortable victory last week against the Jets to improve to 3-2, an important result with the Rams continuing on their winning ways.
Considering the absence of Dak, Arizona does appear good odds to win this game outright.
The Cowboys’ defence has been downright awful this season allowing the fourth-most yards in the league, so if Kyler Murray can avoid the sloppy turnovers, the Cardinals and their plethora of wide receivers should make life hard for Dallas.
Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.90
Playoff previews and division rivalries headline Week 6 in the NFL as we continue to separate the contenders from the pretenders.
It’s a Super Bowl XLVI rematch on Friday between the Patriots and the Giants, while Monday’s action heats up early between the 3-2 Eagles and Vikings.
The Niners and the Rams then fight out for NFC West supremacy in the afternoon slot, followed by Monday Night Football’s huge rivalry game between the Packers and Lions from Lambeau Field.
Picking upsets is crucial in NFL betting, and after a successful 9/15 in last week’s games, we’re confident we’ve found some more winners in our 2019 NFL Week 6 Preview below.
New England Patriots
New York Giants
Friday 11 October, 11:20am, Gillette Stadium
No surprises here as the odds are well in favour of the Patriots on Friday.
New England survived a slight scare last week against the Redskins as they trailed 7-6 at the end of the first quarter. In typical Patriots fashion though, the Super Bowl favourites wasted no time hitting the scoreboard piling on four unanswered touchdowns on the way to a 33-7 victory.
The Giants received a harsh reality check last week losing comfortably to the Vikings 28-10. Daniel Jones finished with only 182-yards and one touchdown to his name, while the offensive line failed to provide any protection allowing four sacks.
None of that bodes well this week against a Patriots defence that has far and away been the best in the league. New England is still yet to allow a passing touchdown through five games, while their run defence has allowed the fifth-fewest yards in the league.
The Giants will be hoping Saquon Barkley can return this week from an ankle injury. Even if last years Rookie of the Year lines up though, it’s difficult to see New York pulling off any kind of an upset in Foxboro.
Tip: Patriots to Win & Over 41.5 Total Points @ $1.96
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 14 October, 12:30am, Tottenham Stadium
The Bucs and Panthers meet in London in the early hours of Monday morning with plenty on the line.
Tampa Bay lost 31-24 in New Orleans last week, but the Bucs still have to feel good about their Wild Card chances as we approach the midway point.
Carolina, meanwhile, has now won three straight games following last weeks close call at home to the Jaguars. Christian McCaffrey leads the league in rushing, and with a 3-2 record in hand, the Panthers’ season suddenly looks very promising after losing their first two games.
The Panthers will go without Cam Newton for another week leaving Kyle Allen in charge. Newton’s replacement copped a beating in the pocket last week against the Jaguars, but with an elite running game to rely on, Carolina’s offence still looks in good hands.
While the Panthers have had their way on the ground though, they may meet their match against a Bucs defence that has allowed the third-fewest rushing yards all year.
Carolina’s defence has also performed exceptionally well over the last three weeks, which should come in handy against a volatile Bucs passing game.
Seven of the last 10-games between these two have gone Under the Total, so back this one to be low-scoring on neutral turf.
Tip: Under 47 Total Points @ $1.96
New Orleans Saints
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, TIAA Bank Field
Jacksonville have opened as 1.5-point favourites at home against the Saints in what is by far the most surprising market of the entire week.
The Jaguars took the Panthers to the sword last week in Carolina in their 34-27 loss. Despite the result, Gardner Minshew still threw for 374-yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Leonard Fournette chipped in with 100-yards himself.
Jacksonville will need more of that on Monday though against a Saints team riding a serious three-game winning streak.
Even without Drew Brees, the Saints haven’t missed a beat with Teddy Bridgewater under center. The multi-million-dollar backup torched the Bucs for 314-yards and four touchdowns during last week’s 31-24 win, setting up what could be a high-scoring showdown in Jacksonville.
These two sides have met only six times since 1996. The Saints have won their last three games over Jacksonville, the most recent of which came back in 2015.
A lot has changed since then though, and while everyone’s focus is the Saints’ offence, the Jaguars have plenty to boast about themselves.
Jacksonville currently ranks Top 10 in passing and rushing yards this season largely thanks to Minshew Mania. The Saints, meanwhile, have failed to put up 200-yards through the air in both of their road games.
Tip: Back the Jaguars to Win @ $1.85
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, US Bank Stadium
The Vikings and Eagles both find themselves at 3-2 in what could turn out to be a potential Wild Card preview this week.
Minnesota returned to the winners’ column in Week 5 with a commanding 28-10 win over the Giants. The Vikings finally showed some life in the air with Adam Thielen catching a pair of touchdowns, but things won’t come so easy against a very versatile Eagles front seven.
As expected, Philadelphia tore apart the Jets at home last week in a comfortable 31-6 victory. The offence was far from special, but with two interceptions and nine sacks against Luke Falk, it’s safe to say the Eagles’ pass rush is one of the fiercest in the league.
When it comes to defending the run, the Eagles are also among the elite. Philadelphia continually stuffed Le’Veon Bell at the line of scrimmage by bringing pressure on the edge, which spells plenty of bad news for the Vikings and Dalvin Cook.
The battle up front should be fascinating this week between two very talented lines, and while it’s easy to find confidence in the Vikings’ offence following a big win over the Giants, this still feels like a bit of a trap game.
Philly’s defence has proven itself this season, particularly against the ground game. The Eagles have won two of their last three games over the Vikings and, with a 4-2 record as the line underdog on the road dating back to last season, it’s safe to say Philly looks well over the odds.
Tip: Back the Eagles to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.85
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
It’s a tussle between two tankers on Monday as the winless Dolphins host the 0-5 Redskins.
Washington made a big move on Monday firing head coach Jay Gruden, and while the news came as no surprise, the timing certainly did as the Skins turn to interim coach Bill Callahan to see out the season.
The Redskins proved no match for the Patriots last week in their 33-7 loss, while the Dolphins head into Week 6 fresh from a bye.
Miami are clearly gunning for the number one overall pick this season, but this is still a game the Phins can win at home.
Both sides rank Top 10 in turnovers this year, so don’t expect a clean game. That said, Miami’s defence still features enough talent to at least keep this close against a Redskins team that allowed six sacks last week.
Tip: Back the Dolphins to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.91
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
The feature game of the week kicks off in the early hours as the Chiefs look to bounce-back from an uninspiring loss to the Colts.
Kansas City is still one of the biggest threats to the Patriots in the AFC, but things are looking a little nervy now with the health of Patrick Mahomes up in the air.
Last years MVP suffered an ankle injury in the fourth quarter last week, which spells potential disaster the rest of the way. Kansas City’s offensive line is looking mediocre at best, and against a high-scoring team like the Texans, we should learn plenty about the Chiefs this coming week.
The Texans recorded a statement win over the Falcons to improve to 3-2. Deshaun Watson’s career-high 426-yard, five touchdown day put the entire league on notice, and with a big test this week against the Chiefs and another in a fortnight’s time against the Colts, Watson’s big game couldn’t have come at a better time.
This week’s market is well in favour of the Chiefs at home, and it’s certainly hard to argue considering the Chiefs went 3-1 on the back of a loss last season.
Our bookmakers are expecting a high-scoring shootout with a whopping 55-point Total set at time of publish. While both teams can score in a hurry though, there’s something to be said of both teams’ offensive lines.
The Texans have allowed 18 sacks this year, the fifth-most in the league. The Chiefs, meanwhile, struggled mightily last week against the Colts pass rush as Mahomes was sacked four times, all of which could lead to plenty of turnovers on either side this week.
Considering the Total has gone Under in six of Houston’s last seven games against an AFC opponent, this one mightn’t be quite as high scoring as we’re all assuming.
Tip: Under 55 Points @ $1.90
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
The Browns had the ninth-easiest strength of schedule heading into the regular season, but everybody knew the month of October would be make or break.
Cleveland failed to pass its first test last week in San Francisco as the Browns managed only three-points in a 31-3 loss to the Niners. Now, Freddie Kitchens’ side prepares to host a red-hot Seattle side looking to keep in touch with San Francisco in the NFC West.
The Seahawks were outstanding last Friday in their 30-29 win over the Rams. A last-second miss from kicker Greg Zuerlein certainly helped, but Russell Wilson once again proved that no matter who lines up at wide receiver, he’ll still throw for a bag of touchdowns.
Seattle finds themselves as slight favourites this week on the road as they look to claim their first win over the Browns in Cleveland since 2001. These two sides last met at the Dawg Pound in 2011 in a low-scoring, 6-3 Browns win.
Offensively Seattle continues to make big plays, and it’s not only happening in the air. The ground game also came to life last week behind Chris Carson, which spells danger for a Browns side that has allowed the third-most rushing yards in the league.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Win @ $1.85
Monday 14 October, 4:00am, M&T Bank Stadium
The Ravens ran into some trouble last week against the Steelers, which has tempered some of the expectations surrounding the new AFC North favourites.
When Baltimore’s offence is firing, they are almost unstoppable. But the problem with a hybrid quarterback like Lamar Jackson is, when the defence figures it out and brings pressure, things can grind to a halt.
The Ravens barely survived at Heinz Field last week in their 26-23 overtime win. If it wasn’t for Mike Tomlin and a Juju Smith-Schuster fumble, Baltimore may have even lost the game.
Cincinnati don’t bring a lot to the table on either side of the ball, and with A.J. Green still a week (or more) away, it’s hard to back an upset.
That being said, the Bengals are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games, and more importantly, 4-1 in their last five road games in Baltimore.
Defensively the Ravens have been a complete letdown this season, particularly in the air. Baltimore has allowed the second-most passing yards in the league, so if the Bengals can throw caution to the wind and challenge the Ravens vertically, they might keep this one interesting.
Tip: Back the Bengals to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $1.88
Los Angeles Rams
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 14 October, 7:05am, LA Coliseum
The NFC West could be decided this week as the undefeated 49ers face a Rams side reeling from a pair of losses.
San Francisco won big against the Browns at home last week as the defence held Cleveland to just three points. The running game was again the talking point as Matt Breida and Tevin Coleman combined for over 200-yards and a pair of touchdowns, setting up a matchup nightmare for Rams defensive coordinator Wade Phillips.
Los Angeles has had an extra few days to stew on their Thursday Night Football loss to the Seahawks last week. Suddenly, the passing game looks a real worry behind the turnover prone Jared Goff, while the Rams’ running game has also gone missing behind Todd Gurley.
San Francisco silenced their doubters last week with a win over a fellow playoff contender, and it wasn’t all due to the offence. The Niners’ defence racked up four sacks and four turnovers against the Browns, making the pass rush one of the most dangerous in the league.
These two sides have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, adding some extra spice with the Rams favoured in the market.
Even so, the 49ers look the real deal this year, while the jury is still out on the hungover Rams. The bookies have kindly offered a generous line for this game, so it’s worth backing the San Francisco defence to do the talking.
Tip: Back the 49ers to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) & Under 50.5 Total Points @ $3.60
Monday 14 October, 7:05am, State Farm Stadium
There’s something extra to play for in this week’s battle of the birds as the Falcons and the Cardinals search for their second win on the season.
Atlanta’s season looks just about over in the competitive NFC South following a disastrous loss to the Texans last week. Head coach Dan Quinn is in serious danger of losing his job, but really, a complete lack of talent on defence is to blame.
Arizona earned their first win of the Kliff Kingsbury-Kyler Murray era last week with a last-second 26-23 win over the Bengals. The Cardinals were far from special, but offensively both Murray and running back David Johnson were fantastic on the ground.
Since the Falcons can’t defend the run, this one isn’t worth overcomplicating. Atlanta is also tied with the Cardinals for second in passing touchdowns allowed, so back the Double.
Tip: Back the Cardinals to Win & Over 51.5 Total Points @ $3.64
New York Jets
Monday 14 October, 7:25am, Metlife Stadium
The Cowboys have a chance to turn things around this week with a trip to the Meadowlands to face the luckless Jets.
Dallas failed to fire last week at home to the Packers allowing 17 unanswered points in the first half. It was a poor performance offensively from Dak Prescott who threw three picks, while coach Jason Garrett made some questionable playcalling decisions against a Green Bay front notorious for giving up large chunks of yards on the ground.
None of that compares to how the Jets fared last week, though. New York’s loss to the Eagles was an embarrassing result for a franchise with high hopes heading into the season as the offensive line failed to provide any protection for Luke Falk. The rookie was sacked a whopping nine times in the 31-6 loss, but the good news is Sam Darnold returns under center after a five-week bout with Mono.
Darnold should provide some stability at the line of scrimmage this week for a team desperately lacking leadership. The Jets spent way too much energy trying to the run the ball against the Eagles last week, so we should see plenty of passing against a Dallas secondary that has looked susceptible to big plays this season.
The last time the Cowboys beat the Jets in New York was all the way back in 2003. These two sides last met back in 2015, and although the odds suggest otherwise, there could be some value in the Jets at home.
Running the ball will be crucial this week for New York against a Dallas defence that was gashed by Aaron Jones last week. The Jets offensive line is one of the worst in the league, but if they can set up early and find some lanes, this mightn’t be the blowout we all expect.
Tip: Back the Jets to Cover the Line (+7 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 14 October, 7:25am, Broncos Stadium
The Titans continued their trend of losing to teams they should have beaten last week.
Tennessee’s 14-7 loss sums up how the season has played out so far for head coach Mike Vrabel, but despite the result, the Titans still find themselves in the AFC South mix at 2-3.
The Broncos also got their season on track with a much-needed 20-13 win over the Chargers. The result was by far one of the biggest shockers of the week, and it now sets up what should be a fascinating battle between two of the league’s biggest unknowns.
Denver’s success last week came on the ground as Phillip Lindsay pounded his way to 100-yards for the first time this season. The star running back is carrying the offence with Joe Flacco struggling for time in the pocket, but things probably won’t come so easy this week against a very stout Titans defence.
Like last year, Tennessee has fared well against the run allowing only 524-yards and two touchdowns through five games. What has let the Titans down is offence, but if you’ve been paying attention, you’ll know Denver’s defence has largely been disappointing all year.
The Broncos rank third-last in takeaways and sacks this season, which should provide ample time in the pocket for Marcus Mariota.
Tennessee has won two of its last three games over Denver, so back the Titans to get the job done at Mile High.
Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.92
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 14 October, 11:20am, Dignity Health Sports Park
It’s a primetime showdown on Sunday Night Football between two teams with their seasons on the line.
The Steelers lost a heartbreaker last week to the Ravens in overtime at home, sending Pittsburgh to 1-4 for the first time since 2013.
Los Angeles also made a mess of what appeared to be an easy home game against the Broncos last week. The Chargers trailed 17-0 at halftime, and despite a late second half comeback, ultimately Los Angeles’ three turnovers cost them a much-needed win.
The Steelers and Chargers met late last year in what turned out to be a bit of a thriller. Los Angeles emerged victorious 33-30 thanks to a big second half from the defence, and it appears we could be in for a similar result this week.
Pittsburgh could be without backup starter Mason Rudolph in this game as he goes through the concussion protocol, which makes it hard to back any kind of upset.
The Chargers are 2-1 in their last three games against the Steelers and 5-1 in their last six games against an AFC North opponent, so back LA at home.
Tip: Back the Chargers 13+
Green Bay Packers
Tuesday 15 October, 11:15am, Lambeau Field
There’s certainly no love lost between the Packers and the Lions as Week 6 winds down with a classic division rivalry.
Green Bay’s statement win over the Cowboys in Dallas last week reminded everybody just how much talent is on the Packers’ roster, and with another home game in hand, it’s no surprise to see Matt LaFleur’s team as the favourite.
Detroit head to Lambeau fresh from the bye hoping to bounce-back from a Week 4 loss to the Lions. Matt Patricia’s side allowed a walk-off touchdown in the dying stages, but Detroit still has plenty to feel confident about with the defence playing out of its skin.
The Lions have held the upper hand over the Packers in recent years having won six of their last 10-games. Detroit recorded a memorable 31-0 shutout over Green Bay at Lambeau in the final week of the season last year, but things have certainly changed since then.
The staple of this years Packers team is defence, and while Matthew Stafford has had no trouble finding his receivers this year, he’s still turnover prone.
Green Bay currently ranks third in takeaways this season, so you can expect to see plenty of Kerryon Johnson on the ground. That’s where this game could turn interesting, as the Packers defence has allowed the seventh-most rushing yards and the fifth-most touchdowns.
Against the spread, the Lions are 4-1 in their last five games against the Packers, so this game should come right down to the wire.
Tip: Back the Lions to Cover the Line (+4 Points) @ $1.91
A week after breaking Peyton Manning’s All-Time Career Passing Yards record, Drew Brees and the Saints take a seat this week.
So too do the Detroit Lions, but there’s still 15 games to choose from if you’re looking to make some buck on a big NFL multi.
As far as prime time games go, it doesn’t get any bigger than the Patriots playing host to the undefeated Kansas City Chiefs.
So who’s upsetting who this week?
Be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 6 Preview below!
New York Giants
Friday 12 October, 11:20am, MetLife Stadium
NY Giants 13 – Philadelphia 34
New York Giants (1-4): Somehow the Giants lost 31-33 last week against the Panthers after what was a pretty impressive final drive from Eli Manning.
It came down to a Graham Gano 61-yard field goal, but in case you missed it, New York’s entire day was choc-full of highlights, including a 57-yard pitch-and-catch from Odell Beckham Jr. to Saquon Barkley.
With the good came the bad though, and the Giants were awful when it mattered most. Special teams was a disaster – a muffed punt/turned fumble/turned Panthers touchdown the lowlight – while New York failed to register a single third down conversion in six attempts.
The only positive to come from this young season is Barkley. He now has five consecutive 100-yard games to his name, the second-most for a rookie behind Kareem Hunt with seven.
It appears the Giants are their own worst enemy, though. When they have momentum, just like they did last week following OBJ’s touchdown, they kick the ball out of bounds to give away great field position. The offensive line continues to make like difficult for Manning as well, throwing a pair of picks last week.
Philadelphia Eagles (2-3): The Eagles, now on a serious two-game skid, just didn’t have it against the Vikings. The receiving game is a little off, and although pass-catching running back Wendell Smallwood has provided some spark – good news considering Jay Ajayi is now out for the year – there’s something missing from last year’s Super Bowl champs.
Take notes – the stats tell the full story here. Alshon Jeffery and Nelson Agholor combined for less than 100-yards last week, and sure, both were covered by elite corners and safeties, but overall, it’s hard to win a game when both combined for only six catches on the day.
It also appeared some of the Eagles’ receivers struggled with Wentz’s velocity on certain passes. Dropped balls have become a problem for Philly, but fortunately, their run defence – which has allowed the second fewest yards-per-game, should be enough to stuff Barkley on Friday.
The Eagles are 8-2 in their last 10 games against New York, and are 4-1 in their last five trips to Metlife Stadium.
Tip: Back the Eagles 7-12 @ $3.50
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, US Bank Stadium
Minnesota 27 – Arizona 17
Minnesota Vikings (2-2): The Vikings’ two-game skid came to an end last week in Philly, knocking off the Super Bowl champs 23-21.
There was plenty to take away from that game, both good and bad, but if one thing is for sure, we can now call the Kirk Cousins trade a complete success.
Having completed 71.2% of his passes through the first five weeks, Cousins has been one of the most accurate quarterbacks so far this season – but of course it helps when guys like Adam Thielen catch for 116-yards each week.
Things aren’t quite as plum on the defensive side of the ball, though. The Vikings were torched by Carson Wentz last week, and the secondary basically looked tired in the final quarter of the game.
Perhaps the good news is the Cardinals are up next, a team Minnesota has gotten the better of in recent history.
Allowing the third most passing yards in the league is a concern right now, but the Vikings have won seven of their last 10 games against Arizona, making them the firm favourites for a reason this week.
Arizona Cardinals (1-4): Finally off the mark, the Cardinals secured their first win over the injury riddled 49ers last week.
It was another strong performance from Josh Rosen, who didn’t exactly light up the stat sheet, but still showed plenty of poise in the pocket to throw for 170-yards and a score.
Perhaps the best sign to come from the game though was David Johnson’s resurgence. The 2016 Pro Bowler rushed for 55-yards and a pair of scores while also catching a handful of passes.
Interestingly enough, Arizona have allowed the second most rushing yards-per-game this season, which makes Dalvin Cook’s return of the utmost importance.
Should he miss a second straight game, that leaves most of the work in Cousins’ capable hands, and with home-field advantage on their side, it’s tough to see Arizona’s young secondary covering Thielen, Diggs and Rudolph just a month on from being shut out by the Rams for 342-yards and 34-points.
Tip: Back the Vikings To Beat The Line (10.5 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, FedEx Field
Washington 23 – Carolina 17
Washington Redskins (2-2): Tough day at the office for the Skins last week.
Heading to New Orleans off a bye is never easy, as Alex Smith found out firsthand. The 13-year veteran failed to throw a single touchdown pass in the blowout loss to the Saints, while the run game took a serious blow with what appears to be a season-ending injury to Adrian Peterson.
It was tough to pluck any positives from last week’s loss, and after the defence looked as though it could be the one saving grace for Washington this season, it failed to register a single sack on Drew Brees in his historic record-breaking game.
In a division that saw all four teams put up ugly numbers, the Redskins still find themselves atop the NFC East, mind you. They’ll be hoping for a performance similar to their win over Green Bay at home this week.
Carolina Panthers (3-1): Only the Giants could manage to lose to the Panthers last week. Overall, Carolina were vastly underwhelming in their 33-31 win, and if it wasn’t for Graham Gano’s 62-yard field goal, the Panthers probably deserved to lose.
It was almost as though head coach Ron Rivera saved his best till’ last in Week 5, showing zero creativity up until the dying stages of the fourth quarter.
Aside from his final game-winning drive, Cam Newton threw two picks in what was an unforgettable performance, capped off by another quiet day from Christian McAffrey.
By far the biggest concern though was third down efficiency. The Panthers converted on only 30% of their tries, hardly a recipe for success against the Redskins on the road.
If it wasn’t for the Giants’ comedy of errors and turnovers, the Panthers would be looking at 3-2. Rookie wide receiver D.J. Moore was a non-factor, and Cam wasn’t his usual agile self in the pocket.
With the Redskins owning a handy 5-2 head-to-head record at home over Carolina, back the Skins in a bounce-back upset.
Tip: Back the Redskins To Win 1-6 @ $3.70
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Miami 31 – Chicago 28
Miami Dolphins (3-2): This is starting to feel very familiar.
Bad Ryan Tannehill showed up last week, throwing a pair of picks in Miami’s 17-27 loss to the Bengals. The defence was the biggest killer though, allowing 27 unanswered points from the third quarter onward.
The Dolphins are now on a serious two-game slide after starting the season 3-0, and it looks as though the wheels have well and truly fallen off this “pretender” team.
Miami are allowing yards at an alarming rate on both sides of the ball, and to make matters worse, they’ve managed only eight sacks in five games.
Sometimes bad defences go unnoticed when the offense makes up for it, but Tannehill and Co. have stalled completely. Against a Bears team that’s allowed the fewest rushing yards-per-game this year, steer clear of the Dolphins in all markets.
Chicago Bears (3-1): The NFC North leaders should feel pretty fly following the bye, and although they travel to Miami this week – a ground they haven’t visited since 2010 – this new-look Bears team is on the way up.
In case you missed it, Chicago put on a clinic two weeks ago against the Bucs, or should we say, Mitch Trubisky did.
The third-year starter threw for 354-yards and a whopping six touchdowns in Chicago’s 48-10 rout, stamping their authority on a team everyone already picked out for the playoffs.
When you dig deeper though, the Bears are perhaps the second-best defensive unit in the league. Nothing comes easy on the ground, and although the secondary is susceptible to the odd big play or three, overall the Bears pressure can force even the best quarterbacks into mistakes.
It all starts with the pass-rush, and since Tannehill has already been sacked 11-times this season, this could be a long day for the Dolphins’ offensive line.
Tip: Back the Bears To Win 7-12 @ $4.75
New York Jets
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
NY Jets 42 – Indianapolis 34
New York Jets (2-3): Could it be the Jets are actually on the right track?
Look, we know this much – 2018 will be full of ups and downs. And with that in mind, it’s important to view last week’s 34-16 win over the Broncos for exactly what it was: a step in the right direction.
It also appears the Isaiah Crowell love affair continues, and it’s safe to say the Jets possess the second-best running back in the league right now.
Also, full credit to offensive coordinator Jeremy Bates, he stuck with the ground-game against a Denver defence that’s struggled to contain the run all, and looked like a genius for doing so.
Sam Darnold is also worth a shoutout this week. The rookie’s made plenty of mistakes, but he had a pretty flawless performance, throwing for 198-yards, three touchdowns and one unlucky interception.
He looked light on his feet and agile enough to move outside of the pocket to hit some receivers’ down-field, showing signs of improvement after being belted by the Jaguars a week ago.
So where does that leave the Jets now?
The Jets’ track record against the Colts isn’t good – 5-12 in their last 17 games against Indy at home. Still, the Colts are another team that struggle to defend the run, allowing Sony Michel to run for 98-yards and a score last week against the Patriots.
With Crowell making defenders miss for fun, this could be two-straight for the Jets.
Indianapolis Colts (1-4): What can you possibly take away from last week’s deflating loss against the Patriots in New England?
Two things: Andrew Luck is back in all his glory, and Nyheim Hines might just be the real deal.
The Colts were shorthanded last week without T.Y. Hilton, and they could be without their star receiver again this week as they travel to face the Jets.
The good news is Luck is still making plenty of big plays, and the addition of Hines as a pass-catcher helps on underneath routes, but overall, the offensive line is still a huge issue for Indianapolis.
Luck has been sacked 10-times already this season, which isn’t ideal for a pass-first offense. Even worse, the Colts are 2-10 head-to-head in their last 12 games.
With a second straight road trip, if you want to play it safe, stick with the points market, but for those feeling bold, the Jets are a great play as the favourites this week.
Tip: Back the Jets 1-6 @ $3.50
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati 21 – Pittsburgh 28
Cincinnati Bengals (4-1): Andy Dalton surpassed Boomer Esiason for most game-winning drives in Bengals franchise history last week, but we’re sure he’s more concerned with winning the AFC North right about now.
The good news for Dalton is this is yet another opportunity for Cincinnati to one-up their division rival.
The Bengals’ receiving game is on a whole ‘nother level, tied for the third most receiving touchdowns in the league. A.J. Green has been the main contributor, but the defence is also doing some pretty special things – even if no one is taking notice.
Cincy picked off Ryan Tannehill twice last week, in large part thanks to some tremendous pressure from the edge. The Bengals also managed three sacks, and in case you haven’t heard, Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger is prone to a turnover or two this season.
Better yet, in the head-to-head market, the Bengals are 6-1 in their last seven games, and have somehow discovered a newfound resiliency when faced with a last minute comeback task.
Pittsburgh Steelers (2-2-1): The Steelers of old re-appeared last week, piling on 28 unanswered points following the halftime break against the Falcons.
Since this is, or so we hope, Pittsburgh’s last game without running back Le’Veon Bell, it was only fitting for James Conner to rush for 110-yards and a pair of scores. It’s tough to see Pittsburgh benching Conner now, adding further drama to this already turbulent situation.
Still, the Steelers featured a good mix of run and pass last week, as wide receiver Antonio Brown posted near identical stats. Roethlisberger enjoyed a cosy day in the pocket with most of Atlanta’s defensive power on IR, and with a handy record in away games against Cincinnati, it’s surprising to the Steelers open as the underdogs.
Call it whatever you want, but the Steelers have devoured the Bengals in recent memory.
In their last 10 meetings, Cincinnati have won just once, but given the state of Pittsburgh’s defence – a unit that has allowed the eighth most points-per-game so far – the points market is probably the safe play this week.
The total has gone Over in their last five meetings, and with two of the best wide receivers on the field, it’s safe to expect a scoreboard workout once again.
Tip: Back Over 53 Total Points @ $1.95
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, Wembley Stadium
Oakland 3 – Seattle 27
Oakland Raiders (1-4): For the first time since 2014, the Raiders have four losses through the first five weeks.
Just when you thought things couldn’t get any worse, they do, as it took Oakland five quarters to beat the Browns a fortnight ago, but it took them only two quarters to lose to the Chargers last week.
The game was over by half time. Los Angeles were up comfortably 17-3, and with the offense struggling to see the field, let alone complete a pass, the Raiders were no shot.
The time of possession clock shows the full story. The Raiders had the ball nearly 10-minutes less than the Chargers, forcing an already frustrated defence to try and defend one of the NFL’s most explosive offenses.
It’s a recipe for disaster, and it doesn’t help when the running game is completely stagnant. Marshawn Lynch ran for a disappointing 31-yards last week, and perhaps the only positive to come from the game was Martavis Bryant’s 91-yard breakout performance.
Now heading to London to face the Seahawks on neutral turf, a team they haven’t faced since 2014, the Raiders look to be just one step closer to a potential first round pick.
Seattle Seahawks (2-3): Lots to love about Seattle right now.
Make no mistake, there’s no shame in last week’s loss to the Rams. Pete Carroll was simply outcoached by a much more daring Sean McVay, and sure, you could argue the Seahawks were too conservative in the fourth quarter, but can you blame them considering how stingy the Rams’ secondary is?
On a positive note, the Seahawks seem to have re-discovered their running game, but good luck figuring out who their go-to guy is.
Mike Davis and Chris Carson split the carries once again, combining for 184-yards and a score, which should be Seattle’s game plan once again in London.
With that two-prong attack, the Seahawks already have enough to thwart Oakland’s run defence.
Throw in the fact that Russell Wilson has discovered a pretty valuable connection with wide receiver Tyler Lockett and other contributors like Nick Vannett and David Moore, and already it’s shaping up as talent overload for the Raiders secondary.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Beat The Line (-3 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, NRG Stadium
Houston 20 – Buffalo 13
Houston Texans (2-3): The Texans have two wins on the board, but really, they should be 0-5.
Last week’s win over the Cowboys was hardly impressive. Sure, the game went to overtime, and the stat sheet looks pretty great for DeAndre Hopkins and Deshaun Watson. But at the same time, Houston’s offense is a real worry.
In their five trips to the red zone, the Texans walked away with only 16-points. The offensive line is extremely patchy – evident in Alfred Blue’s quiet game – and with so many options to play with, Bill O’Brien simply needs to get more creative, and more ballsy, with the play calls.
The biggest issue though, is the hits on Watson. His game-winning overtime drive was remarkable, but a sack and 10-hits on your quarterback is hardly a winning formula.
Up next, a Bills team that has quietly been playing some pretty strong defence, especially when it comes to stuffing the run. Buffalo have allowed the 12th fewest yards-per-game on the ground, which could pose plenty of problems for a mobile quarterback like Watson, and a stagnant running game that has been a complete non-factor.
Buffalo Bills (2-3): So we’ve spoken about the Bills’ defence, but where are the points coming from?
Last week’s 13-12 win against the Titans was gutsy, albeit extremely low-scoring. There wasn’t much happening on the offensive side of the ball behind Josh Allen’s 82-yards (plus one interception), however the rookie has shown plenty of agility outside of the pocket, rushing for the Bills’ lone touchdown on the day.
Speaking of running the ball, welcome back LeSean McCoy. Now in his fourth year with Buffalo, the veteran put up his first 50-plus yard game of the season against Tennessee, although it does look pretty unlikely McCoy can string together another big game this week against Houston.
Simply put, the Texans’ secondary has been awful, but when it comes to stopping the run, they’ve earned a passing grade.
Houston have allowed only one rushing touchdown all season, tied for the lowest rank in the league, and since the Bills’ offense entirely depends on limiting Allen’s passing attempts, this looks a little beyond Buffalo on the road this week.
Tip: Back the Texans To Beat The Line
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland 14 – LA Chargers 38
Cleveland Browns (2-2-1): Baker Mayfield won it for the Browns last week, and he may just take care of the Chargers on Monday.
The Browns’ rookie led the game-winning drive with less than three-minutes to go against the Ravens, marching from Cleveland’s 16-yard line all the way down to Baltimore’s 37.
This time the Browns managed to kick the game-winning field goal, earning them their first win over an AFC North opponent since, wouldn’t you know it, the Ravens in 2015.
The hype is real, although the Browns may want to focus on the Chargers this week. You might not know it, but LA are on a serious two-game winning streak, and after Philip Rivers threw for a casual 339-yards and a pair of scores against Oakland last week, this is a potent passing attack on top of its game.
As is the case with any opponent, the Browns’ recent record against Los Angeles is poor. The Chargers are 6-2 head-to-head in their last eight meetings, but surprisingly lost their last away game against the Browns back in 2016.
What’s really interesting to consider ahead of this game is the defensive match up. The Browns held the Ravens’ three-prong running attack to just 116-yards last week, and since the total has gone Under in six of the last eight Browns/Chargers meetings, this one should be low-scoring.
If Cleveland can bring some pressure on the edge and contain Melvin Gordon on short screens and underneath routes, this is a very winnable game for the Browns at home.
Los Angeles Chargers (3-2): The Chargers have always been quiet achievers, and their recent two-game winning streak has seemingly gone unnoticed.
On one hand, LA’s offense is really starting to click, on the other, they’ve only beaten two vastly inferior teams in the 49ers and Raiders.
In terms of defensive prowess, the Browns are hardly elite, but they do possess a strong pass rush responsible for the ninth most sacks in the league.
The Chargers’ offense relies entirely on big plays, just like Rivers’ 44-yard touchdown pass to Austin Ekeler last week. As for the defence, LA have allowed the 11th most points-per-game.
Cleveland are 5-0 at the line in their last five games against the Chargers, but can you trust Mayfield to put up another game winning performance?
This is probably a market you’re best staying away from.
Tip: No Bet
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 15 October, 4:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium
Atlanta 34 – Tampa Bay 29
Atlanta Falcons (1-4): Where to from here? The defence has been decimated by injuries, and after a third straight loss against the Steelers last week, the Falcons are hardly looking the part of a Super Bowl contender.
It’ll take a big turnaround from here if the Falcons are to make the playoffs, and the scary part is, this team just can’t seem to score points.
Wide receiver Julio Jones now has the most receiving yards-per-game next to his name in NFL history, but wouldn’t you know it, he hasn’t scored a single touchdown all season.
To make matters worse, the Falcons are so inconsistent in just about every other area on offense. Rookie Calvin Ridley was targeted only five times last week – a bizarre call after his breakout game against the Bengals two weeks ago – while the running game remains completely flat with Devonta Freeman leading the charge.
In a nutshell, the Falcons can’t stop the pass, they can’t stop the run, they can’t score, and they can’t convert on third down.
Can a return back to Atlanta help them regroup? In this pivotal NFC South battle, they’d want to hope so.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-2): The Bucs came crashing back down to earth a fortnight ago, losing 48-10 against Mitch Trubisky and the Bears.
They’ve since enjoyed a week off to hopefully regroup, but there’s still plenty of unknowns surrounding this Tampa team, particularly at quarterback.
After Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for just 126-yards and a pick in the first half against Chicago, head coach Dirk Koetter opted for Jameis Winston to start the second half. Now the question becomes, who’s starting? And just how short is Fitzpatrick’s leash?
Either way, the Bucs do have the weapons to seriously hurt the Falcons, particularly in the air. If either quarterback can get the ball to DeSean Jackson or Mike Evans, we could see Tampa run up the scoreboard like we saw earlier in the season.
Still, with Tampa’s defence allowing the most points-per-game this season, and the Falcons’ allowing the second-most, this is the type of game you have to take the Over in.
Tip: Back Over 58 Total Points @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 15 October, 7:05am, Broncos Stadium
Denver 20 – LA Rams 23
Denver Broncos (2-3): After starting the season 2-0, the Broncos are now on a slippery three-game skid.
Last week Denver started fast against the Jets, hitting the scoreboard first. But ultimately the Broncos’ usually devastating run game was a complete non-factor as Peyton Lindsay and Royce Freeman managed just 92-yards between them.
That lack of a ground game only further highlighted how vulnerable quarterback Case Keenum really is. Perhaps the only positive to take away from the game was his ability to share the ball around – nine different receivers caught two or more receptions – but really, the 16-34 loss was very, very ugly.
In case you hadn’t heard, there’s no tougher test in all of football than the Rams right now. Sean McVay toyed with the Seahawks defence in the final quarter last week, and even though the game was close, it’s doubtful the Broncos sorry looking run defence can limit Todd Gurley after being gashed by Isaiah Crowell a week ago.
Los Angeles Rams (5-0): Here’s your Super Bowl front runners, and like all great teams do, the Rams found a way to win last week even when it looked in doubt.
Obviously, Todd Gurley is the man, and he too is the frontrunner for MVP, but the creativity from McVay is mind boggling.
It’s not just straight up power runs teams have to worry about, now the Rams are throwing in jet sweeps and plenty of motion at the line of scrimmage to really confuse defenders.
The Broncos have looked lost on that side of the ball in the last three weeks, and since the Rams look completely comfortable running Gurley on all three downs, this already has the makings of a serious blowout.
Even on the road, don’t back against the Rams as they hope to beat yet another West Coast team this week.
Tip: Back the Rams 13-18 @ $5.50
Monday 15 October, 7:25am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee 21 – Baltimore 0
Tennessee Titans (3-2): Is this a complete repeat of last season?
Points have proven hard to come by for the Titans (they’ve scored the fourth fewest in the league) while the defence is the sole reason Tennessee hold a winning record.
Tennessee have allowed the fifth fewest points defensively, but if we learned anything from last week’s one-point loss to the Bills, it’s that the Titans desperately need to figure things out on offense.
Quarterback Marcus Mariota looked destined for bigger and better things this season, yet that’s hardly been the case through the first five weeks. The fourth-year starter has managed only 676-yards so far, and a measly two touchdowns – hardly what you’d expect with receivers like Corey Davis and pass-catching running back Dion Lewis in the back field.
The lack of points will only carry Tennessee so far, but fortunately against the Ravens, this should be a typical AFC low-scoring, smash mouth type game between two of the league’s best defensive teams.
Baltimore Ravens (3-2): The Ravens can score points when they want to, so they aren’t a complete carbon copy of the Titans, but they have struggled in recent weeks to keep the scoreboard ticking.
Again, likewise to Tennessee, the Ravens have allowed the third fewest points in the league. This no-nonsense defensive scheme of Don Martindale’s is a bit of a throwback to Baltimore’s smash-mouth days, which should make life interesting for Mariota and company this weekend.
With such little spark during their loss to the Browns last week though, no one would blame you for sticking with the points market this week. Plenty of Baltimore’s offensive opportunities depend on the running game to set up the pass, which shouldn’t happen this week on the road in Tennessee.
This won’t be a shootout, more like a scrappy, turnover-filled affair between two of the leagues stingiest.
Tip: Back Under 40.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Monday 15 October, 7:25am, AT&T Stadium
Dallas 40 – Jacksonville 7
Dallas Cowboys (2-3): If you thought the Texans were conservative last week, how about the Cowboys?
Jason Garrett’s decision to punt on 4th and 1 may have cost Dallas the game, and against arguably the best defence in the league right now, it’s doubtful we see the Cowboys throw caution to win this week.
It was a concern entering the season, and after the Cowboys failed to surround Dak Prescott with any reliable receivers, it’s not surprising to see Dallas in this position.
The Cowboys have experimented with Tavon Austin, and that hasn’t worked. Cole Beasley and Allen Hurns were silent last week in the loss to Houston, so that hasn’t worked either. And really, it’s also not surprising to see Prescott with four interceptions next to his name.
Perhaps the only thing that can save the Cowboys this week is Ezekiel Elliott. The Jaguars run defence hasn’t been as stout as it was a season ago, and if the offensive line can create separation early, Dallas might hold a very slim upset chance.
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-2): Of course, there may be one other reason to back Dallas this week.
Jacksonville’s offense has come to a standstill with Leonard Fournette on the sidelines, evident in last week’s 14-30 loss to the Chiefs. Missing one of their best pass-blockers, Blake Bortles threw four interceptions against Kansas City, leaving many to wonder where the points are going to come from moving forward.
Dallas’ defence hasn’t been great – they did allow a freakish catch to DeAndre Hopkins last week, remember. However, they haven’t been all that bad either, allowing the fifth fewest points-per-game.
On the road for the second straight week, it’s fair to say Bortles will be reasonably low on confidence. AT&T Stadium isn’t exactly a familiar stomping ground for Jacksonville – they haven’t played their since 2010.
Stick with Dallas in an upset, even if it doesn’t feel right.
Tip: Back the Cowboys To Win @ $2.25
New England Patriots
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 15 October, 11:20am, Gillette Stadium
New England 43 – Kansas City 40
New England Patriots (3-2): This should be fun, right?
A well-rested Patriots team hosts the undefeated Chiefs, and if last week’s big win over the Colts was anything to go by, New England’s defence is in for a real test.
The line is set at 3.5 points, which might be a little generous considering how potent Kansas City’s offense has been. When you consider the many different ways this new-look Patriots can hurt you though, maybe the bookies have got it just right.
There was good and bad in last week’s win – the good being Sony Michel’s break-through, the bad being Tom Brady’s two interceptions. Fortunately, the Chiefs are one of the worst defensive sides in the league, which sets us up for what should be a big offensive shootout.
After an offseason surrounding the Patriots lack of receivers, this is the big test for New England against an AFC Championship calibre opponent. The home-field advantage is huge here, and so is the rest factor, but can Brady rely on Rob Gronkowski and Julian Edelman to get the job done?
Maybe that’s a silly question.
Kansas City Chiefs (5-0): Patrick Mahomes is human by the way, he threw his first pick last week against the Jags. Really, that’s just nit-picking though, because this Chiefs offense seemingly knows no bounds when it comes to scoring points.
To annihilate a defence like Jackonsville’s by 30-points, it’s safe to say Andy Reid is doing something right. There’s no other team in the league that can match Reid’s run/pass options, and it just so happens the Chiefs have the players to execute it to perfection.
There’s no beating around the bush here: the Chiefs will hurt the Patriots defence. It might seem strange to see an undefeated team as the $2.50 underdog, but can we really be confident in the Chiefs beating the Patriots in Foxboro?
So much is being made of the offense, and with each game, it seems we get further and further away from Mahomes potentially spiralling back down to reality.
In case you were unsure, that day is coming though, and it could be this weekend in one of the toughest environments in the league.
To be clear, the points market is your best friend this week. These teams can both go for tit-for-tat on the scoreboard, so make sure you’re on the Over.
Tip: Back Over 59.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Green Bay Packers
San Francisco 49ers
Tuesday 16 October, 11:15am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay 33 – San Francisco 30
Green Bay Packers (2-2-1): Things aren’t quite so peachy in Green Bay right now.
Some fans are calling for a coaching change following last week’s loss to the Lions, a fair call considering Mike McCarthy made some questionable decisions in scoring situations.
The big storyline though was Mason Crosby, who missed four field-goals and an extra-point, the difference between winning and losing.
Overall, that’s just the beginning of Green Bay’s problems. Aside from Week 1, Aaron Rodgers has been just OK to start the season, missing several wide open targets last week that you’d normally bank on him to complete.
There’s also the fact that the Packers are 0-2 on the road now, however a trip back to Lambeau to face a depleted 49ers side couldn’t have come at a better time.
Green Bay have won six of their last 10 games against San Francisco, and are 8-2 in their last 10 games at home.
San Francisco 49ers (1-4): This once used to be a fierce NFC rivalry, culminating in some postseason classics.
Times have changed a little since then, and with two of their Top 5 players out for the year, it appears as though the Niners are headed toward’s the No.1 overall pick.
There’s still plenty of football left to play though, even if last week’s loss to the Cardinals was every bit deflating.
C.J. Beathard’s “live by the sword, die by the sword” approach saw him throw for 349-yards and a pair of scores, but the two interceptions proved costly.
As for Tuesday’s game, this shapes up as a tough one for San Francisco. You might not know it, but Green Bay’s defence has been pretty strong so far, and after a big day from Davante Adams last week, it’s tough to see the Niners secondary containing Rodgers in the pocket.
Tip: Back the Packers To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.91
It has been a very exciting start to the NFL season and there are a number of big games set to take place in week six.
The Kansas City Chiefs are the only unbeaten team in the NFL and they face a tough assignment against the Pittsburgh Steelers in what is easily the biggest game of the weekend.
Our positive NFL betting results continued last weekend, so you don’t want to miss out on the 2017 NFL Week 6 tips that can be found below!
Friday October 13, 11:25am, Bank Of America Stadium
The Carolina Panthers scoring a fighting win over the Detroit Lions last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Carolina take a 4-1 record into this clash, but they remain a team that is slightly tough to trust from a betting perspective and they are 2-1-3 against the line as home favourites.
The Philadelphia Eagles produced their best performance of the season to date to beat the Arizona Cardinals and they also have a 4-1 record.
One issue for the Eagles in recent seasons has been winning on the road and they have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs, while they are 2-5 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
Monday October 16, 4:00am, MT&T Bank Stadium
The Baltimore Ravens recorded an upset win over the Oakland Raiders last weekend and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Baltimore have struggled for consistency during the NFL season to date, but their record at home has been strong.
The Ravens have won their past five games as home favourites and they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.
Chicago were a touch unlucky in their loss to the Minnesota Vikings and Mitch Trubisky did show some potential in his NFL debut.
The Bears have lost their past seven games on the road and they are a poor 2-5 against the line when playing away from home.
This is a game that Baltimore should be able to win comfortably and they can cover the line of six points.
Back Baltimore To Beat The Line (-6 Points)
Green Bay Packers
Monday October 16, 4:00am, US Bank Stadium
The Green Bay Packers came from behind to beat the Dallas Cowboys last weekend and they can extend their lead on top of the NFC North with a win over the Minnesota Vikings.
Aaron Rodgers showed his greatness once again in the final drive against the Cowboys and as long as he is firing the Packers can beat anybody in the NFL.
Green Bay have won two of their past three games as away favourites, but they are only 1-2 against the line in this scenario.
It wasn’t pretty at times, but Minnesota were eventually able to come away with the win over the Chicago Bears.
This will be a much tougher assignment and their defence will need to be at their very best to have any chance whatsoever.
Minnesota did beat the Packers at home last season and they have covered the line in their past two games as home underdogs.
This will be a tight clash and I am keen on the Vikings at the line with the small start.
Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (+3 Points)
San Francisco 49ers
Monday October 16, 4:00am, FedEx Field
The Washington Redskins are one of the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Washington went down to the Kansas City Chiefs before the bye, but they were not disgraced and they remain genuine contenders in what is a fairly open NFC East.
The Redskins have won only two of their past four games as home favourites and they have been tough to trust as the punter’s elect.
The San Francisco 49ers have won their past four games against the Washington Redskins, but they are yet to win a game this season after they suffered their second overtime loss on the trot against the Indianapolis Colts last weekend.
They have won only one of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
There is not as much between these teams as the current betting market suggests and the 49ers can cover the line with the big start.
Back San Francisco To Beat The Line (+10.5 Points)
New Orleans Saints
Monday October 16, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
These two teams have played out some genuine shootouts in recent seasons and it is the New Orleans Saints that will start this clash as cleat favourites.
New Orleans went into the bye on the back of their best defensive effort in several years – they kept the Miami Dolphins scoreless – and if they can continue to play at that level are genuine Playoff contenders.
The Saints have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a small loss, but they have covered the line in each of those wins.
The Detroit Lions suffered a narrow defeat at the hands of the Carolina Panthers last weekend, but they will take confidence from the fact that they have won their past three games against the Saints.
Detroit have won four of their past eight games as away underdogs and winning on the road has not been an issue for this franchise.
New Orleans are well and truly under the odds at their current price and Detroit are one of the best betting plays of the weekend.
Back Detroit To Win @ $3.10
Monday October 16, 4:00am, Mercedez-Benz Stadium
The Atlanta Falcons go into this clash with the Miami Dolphins as dominant favourites.
Atlanta went into the bye on the back of a shock loss at the hands of the Buffalo Bills and this is a crucial game for the defending NFC Champions.
The Falcons have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites, but they are only 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Miami bounced back from their poor effort against the New Orleans Saints to beat the Tennessee Titans and this will be a big test for the side that was expected to be an NFL Playoffs contender.
The Dolphins have won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a big profit and an upset win is not out of the question.
Miami are nowhere near as bad as the market are suggesting and they can cover the line with the big start of 11.5 points.
Back Miami To Beat The Line (+11.5 Points)
Monday October 16, 4:00am, NRG Stadium
The Cleveland Browns are set to make a quarterback change and it is Kevin Hogan that will start under centre this weekend.
The market does not believe that it will make much of a difference to the chances of the Browns and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
Cleveland suffered a narrow loss at the hands of the New York Jets and they look unlikely to get their first win of the season against the Houston Texans.
The Browns have lost their past seven games away from home and they are 2-5 against the line on the road.
Houston were not disgraced against the Kansas City Chiefs, but they suffered a pair of costly losses in the form of JJ Watt and Whitney Mercilu.
Their offence continues to show positive signs – although it will be interesting to see how the entire rosters responds to the loss of their leader Watt.
This is a game that Houston should win, but there is no value at their current price.
New York Jets
New England Patriots
Monday October 16, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
The New England Patriots have won five of their past six games against the New York Jets and they will start this clash with their rivals as clear favourites.
New England didn’t play particularly well against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, but they were still able to come away with the victory and their defence produced an improved performance.
The Patriots have now won their past nine games as away favourites and their record against the line in that scenario is an incredibly impressive 8-1.
New York have won three games on the trot and there is no doubt that they have already surpassed expectations this season.
However, this is a much tougher assignment and last time they played the Patriots they lost by 38 points.
New York have won three of their past six games as home underdogs for a profit and they are 4-2 against the line in this scenario.
Games between these two teams have a habit of being closer than form would suggest and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday October 16, 6:05am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
The Arizona Cardinals may have the home field advantage, but it is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Tampa Bay were their own worst enemy in their loss against the New England Patriots and that is definitely a win that got away.
The Buccaneers haven’t been overly impressive away from home in recent seasons and they lost their only game as away underdogs so far this season.
Arizona produced their worst performance of the season to date to suffer a heavy defeat at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles and they have big issues on both sides of the ball.
The Cardinals have won four of their past seven games in home, but they are a team that is tough to have any faith in at the moment.
This is another game that the market looks to have got just about spot-on.
Los Angeles Rams
Monday October 16, 6:05am, EverBank Field
The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Los Angeles Rams have been two of the biggest surprise packages in the NFL this season and they both head into this clash with winning records.
Jacksonville were excellent against the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend and they will start this clash as narrow favourites.
The Jaguars have lost their past three games as the punter’s elect and they are a team that I am generally keen to oppose in front of their home fans.
Los Angeles went down to Seattle last weekend, but they still produced a tough effort and there is no doubt that they have made big strides in 2017.
The Rams have still won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
The betting market that does stand out in this clash is the Over in Total Points betting.
Overs has saluted in six of the past seven home games played by the Jaguars and has also been a profitable betting play in Rams fixtures.
Back Over 42.5 Points
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday October 16, 6:25am, O.co Coliseum
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday October 16, 6:25am, Arrowhead Stadium
The Kansas City Chiefs are favourites to extend their record to 6-0 when they take on the Pittsburgh Steelers at Arrowhead Stadium this weekend.
Kansas City continued their impressive start to the season with a high-scoring win over the Houston Texans and they continue to play some excellent football.
The Chiefs have won six of their past nine games as home favourites, but they are only 4-1-4 against the line in this scenario.
Pittsburgh suffered a shock loss at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend and quarterback Ben Roethlisberger produced one of the worst performances of his career.
The Steelers surely can’t play that poorly again and they have won one of their two games as away underdogs over the past 12 months.
Kansas City have to lose eventually and it could happen at the hands of the Steelers this weekend.
Back Pittsburgh To Win @ $2.88
New York Giants
Monday October 16, 10:30am, Met Life
Things have gone from bad to worse for the New York Giants.
New York are yet to win a game in the NFL this season and getting that maiden win will be even tougher now that Odell Beckham has been ruled out after breaking his ankle.
The Giants have now won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Denver Broncos went into the bye with a narrow win over the Oakland Raiders and they need to win this clash in order to stay in touch with the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC West.
Denver have won five of their past six games as home favourites and they are 4-1-1 against the line in this scenario.
Betting against the Giants has been a profitable move all season long and there is no reason to change that this weekend.
Back Denver To Beat The Line (-11 Points)
Tuesday October 17, 10:25am, LP Field
A number of what are expected to be the best teams in the NFC are set to do battle in week 6 of the 2016 NFL season.
The Seattle Seahawks will host the Atlanta Falcons at CenturyLink Field as the Green Bay Packers face-off against what is hoped to be a resurgent Dallas Cowboys outfit.
Divisional rivals The Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts clash at NRG Stadium in the prime time game on Monday before the Arizona Cardinals tackle the New York Jets in the feature game on Tuesday.
San Diego Chargers
Friday October 14, 10:25am, Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego Chargers 21 - Denver Broncos 13
The Denver Broncos had their unbeaten start to the season halted by the Atlanta Falcons and they are clear favourites to return to winning form against the Chargers this weekend.
Denver look no close to settling their issues at quarterback, but their defence has proven to be more than good enough to win them games of football.
The Broncos have won seven of their past 10 games as away favourites and they are 5-4-1 against the line in this scenario.
San Diego suffered yet another heartbreaking loss at the hands of Oakland last weekend and conceding points continues to be a major issue.
The Chargers have certainty not made Qualcomm Stadium a fortress in recent seasons and they have won just three of their past 10 games as away underdogs, while they are 4-6 against the line in this situation.
Denver should have little problems returning to winning form and the line of 3.5 points will not be enough.
Back Denver To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
San Francisco 49ers
Monday October 17, 3:00am, New Era Field
Buffalo Bills 45 - San Francisco 49ers 16
The Buffalo Bills have stamped themselves as genuine playoffs contenders with three victories on the trot and they are dominant favourites to win again against San Francisco.
The Bills victory over Arizona has proven to be a turning point for their season and the way they have controlled their past three games has been particularly impressive.
It is rare to see Buffalo as such short-priced favourites and their record as home favourites does not deliver much confidence – they have won just five of their past 10 games in this scenario and they are 4-6 against the line.
San Francisco have not looked like winning a game since their opening day victory over Los Angeles and it looks as though Colin Kaepernick will return to the starting line-up.
The 49ers are a very tough team to trust from a betting perspective and they have won just one of their past 10 games, while they are 2-8 against the line in this scenario.
There are question marks over both these franchises heading into this clash and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
Monday October 17, 3:00am, FedEx Field
Washington Redskins 27 - Philadelphia Eagles 20
This is a crucial game for both sides in what has become a surprisingly strong NFC East.
Philadelphia suffered their first loss of the season at the hands of Detroit last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Eagles have struggled somewhat as away favourites in recent years and their recent record is 5-5 in both head-to-head and line betting.
Washington made it three victories on the trot with a fighting performance against Baltimore and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence.
The Redskins have won six of their past 10 games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they have an identical record against the line.
Washington ate more than capable of recording an upset victory and they are great value at their current quote of $2.10.
Back Washington To Win @ $2.10
Monday October 17, 3:00am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee Titans 28 - Cleveland Browns 26
This is far from the most anticipated game of the weekend, but it is still an interesting betting game.
Tennessee returned to winning form with a solid performance against Miami and they will start this clash as clear favorites.
The Titans have won six of their past ten games as home favourites, but they are a very poor 2-6-2 against the line in this situation.
Cleveland suffered another heavy defeat at the hands of the New England Patriots and there is every chance that they may never get a better opportunity to win a game this season.
The Browns have won just one of their past nine games as away underdogs and their record against the line is not much better.
These are two teams that are very tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.
New York Giants
Monday October 17, 3:00am, MetLife Stadium
New York Giants 27 - Baltimore Ravens 23
The New York Giants started the season with two victories, but they have now lost three games on the trot.
The Giants will still go into this clash as favourites, but it is fair to say that their offence needs to do a better job protecting Eli Manning to have any chance in this clash.
New York have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites and they are 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore have also had a setback following their promising start to the season and they were particularly poor against Washington last weekend.
The Ravens have only won three of their past ten games as away underdogs, but they are 6-4 against the line and there is genuine value at their current price.
Back Baltimore To Beat The Line (+3 Points)
Monday October 17, 3:00am, Soldier Field
Chicago Bears 16 - Jacksonville Jaguars 17
The Chicago Bears and Jacksonville Jaguars have both made very poor starts to the season.
Chicago were not disgraced against Indianapolis, but they still blew another opportunity to record their season win of the season.
The Bears will start this game as favourites and they have been far from profitable in this scenario – they are 5-5 in head-to-head betting and 3-7 against the line.
Jacksonville went into their bye on the back of their first win of the season over Indianapolis, but they have still been disappointing so far this season.
The Jaguars have won just one of their past ten games as away underdogs, while they are 4-5-1 against the line.
This is another game where both teams are very tough to trust from a betting standpoint and I am more than happy to stay out.
Los Angeles Rams
Monday October 17, 3:00am, Ford Field
Detroit Lions 31 - Los Angeles Rams 28
Detroit returned to winning form with an upset victory over Philadelphia and they are clear favourites to make it two wins on the trot.
The Lions have been highly inconsistent, but they are capable of playing some quality football on their day.
Detroit have generally perform at their best in front of their home fans at Ford Field and they have won eight of their past ten games as home favourites, while they are 5-5 against the line.
Los Angeles had their winning streak ended by Buffalo and it will be interesting to see how they bounce back.
The Rams have won four of their past ten games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, while they are a middling 5-4-1 against the line.
It is very tough to get Detroit as short as their current price and there is a definite edge in the $2.45 available for a Los Angeles Rams win.
Back Los Angeles To Win @ $2.45
Monday October 17, 3:00am, New Miami Stadium
Miami Dolphins 30 - Pittsburgh Steelers 15
This is one of the biggest mismatches of the weekend.
Pittsburgh are 4-1 and flying home following a tough victory over the New York Jets, while the Miami Dolphins continue to struggle badly.
While the Steelers have a clear edge in form over Miami, they have only won six of their past ten games as away favourites and they are 5-5 against the line.
Miami produced another putrid performance against Tennessee and they have still won just the one game this season.
The Dolphins have actually won five of their past ten games as away favourites and they are 6-3-1 against the line for a clear profit.
I would not be surprised to see Miami rebound somewhat in this clash and I am happy to back them against the line with a start of 7.5 points.
Back Miami To Beat The Line (+7.5 Points)
New England Patriots
Monday October 17, 3:00am, Gillette Stadium
Tom Brady could not have been more impressive in his NFL return and his New England Patriots are dominant favourite to beat Cincinnati this weekend.
New England were already strong without Brady and with the veteran quarterback in the side there is no doubt that they deserve to be Super Bowl favourites.
The Patriots have won eight of their past ten games as home favourites and their record against the line is an impressive 6-2-2.
Cincinnati were completely outplayed by the Dallas Cowboys last weekend and they face another very tough assignment against the Patriots.
The big plus for the Bengals is that they have a strong record as away underdogs – they have won five of their past ten games in this scenario and they are 7-3 against the line.
Cincinnati are a better team than this betting market suggests and they are more than capable of covering the line with a start of nine points.
Back Cincinnati To Beat The Line (+9 Points)
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday October 17, 6:05am, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland Raiders 10 - Kansas City Chiefs 26
This is one of the most interesting games of the round and it will be a real test of just how good the Oakland Raiders are.
Oakland improved their record to 4-1 with a narrow win over San Diego and they are on track for their best season in sometime.
The market can’t split these two teams and the home ground advantage may not prove that for the Raiders – they have won just four of their past six games in front of their home fans.
Kansas City were no match for Pittsburgh in their final game before their bye, but they are a much better team than that performances indicates.
The Chiefs have won five of their past ten games on the road and they were able to easily account for Oakland at the Oakland Coliseum last season.
This will be a very tight tussle and the 1.5 start that is being offered for the Chiefs at the line could prove to be the difference.
Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (+1.5 Points)
Monday October 17, 6:25am, CenturyLink Field
Seattle Seahawks 26 - Atlanta Falcons 24
This is one of the biggest games of the weekend.
Atlanta have been one of the revelations of the NFL season to date and they were nothing short of outstanding against the Denver Broncos.
The Falcons will go into this position as clear underdogs and this is a position in which they have thrived – they have won seven of their past ten games in this scenario and they are 8-2 against the line.
Seattle have bounced back from their shock loss to the Los Angeles Rams with two victories and they have flown under the radar somewhat in recent weeks.
The Seahawks have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites, but they are only a credible 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Once again, the Falcons have been grossly underestimated by the market and they are an outstanding bet to cover the line with a start of 6.5 points.
Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)
Green Bay Packers
Monday October 17, 6:25am, Lambeau Field
Dallas Cowboys 30 - Green Bay Packers 16
This is another genuine blockbuster.
Green Bay have not played the best football during the NFL season to date, but they just keep coming away with victories and they will go into this game as clear favourites.
The Packers have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites for a narrow profit and they are 5-4-1 against the line in this scenario.
Dallas have been nothing short of outstanding in recent weeks and the rookie combination of Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliot is right up there with the most exciting in the NFL.
The Cowboys will go into this clash with plenty of confidence following their dominant performance against Cincinnati and they have won six of their past ten games as away underdogs for a clear profit.
Green Bay are far too short at their current price and Dallas are one of the best value bets of the weekend at their current price of $2.70.
Back Dallas To Win @ $2.70
Monday October 17, 10:30am, NRG Stadium
Houston Texans 26 - Indianapolis Colts 23
The AFC South is a wide open affair and this game could prove to be critical.
Houston were no match for Minnesota last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Texans have won eight of their past ten games as home favourites and their record against the line is 7-3 in this scenario, but it must be noted that JJ Watt played in the majority of those games.
The Colts recorded their second win of the season with a fighting victory over the Chicago Bears and this is a key game if they want to get back in the hunt for the AFC South title.
Indianapolis have won four of their past ten games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, while they are 6-4 against the line in this situation.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am than happy to stay out of this clash from a betting perspective.
New York Jets
Tuesday October 18, 10:30am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
Arizona Cardinals 28 - New York Jets 3
The Arizona Cardinals returned to winning form against the San Francisco 49ers, but they performance was nothing to write home about.
The Cardinals will still go into this clash as clear favourites – mainly due to the fact that Carson Palmer will be back under centre -and they have been somewhat suspect as home favourites in the past 12 months.
Arizona have won just six of their past ten games as home favourites and are a particularly poor 3-7 against the line, which makes them tough to get as short as their current price.
New York sunk to their third straight defeat at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend and it really is easy to see why they are such clear underdogs.
The Jets have won just three of their past 10 games as away underdogs for a loss and their record against the line is not much better.
This is another game that the market has priced just about right and there is no value to be found.