Eight weeks of football are now in the books as the murky playoff picture suddenly looks a lot more clear.
The Patriots and the 49ers remain the only two unbeaten teams heading into Week 9, while the NFC remains anyone’s best guess with the Saints, Packers and Vikings all staking their claim as potential Super Bowl contenders.
The Bengals, Falcons, Rams and Saints all head for the bye, setting up what should be one of the most exciting weeks on the calendar. With the final London game of the season kicking off, as well as a Sunday Night Football blockbuster, be sure to read all of our 2019 NFL Week 9 tips below if you fancy backing some winners.
San Francisco 49ers
Friday 1 November, 11:20am, State Farm Stadium
Cardinals 25 - 49ers 28
Punters looking for some value will be hoping the Cardinals can come good on their 9-1 record against the 49ers.
Unfortunately, Arizona don’t look the part at all this year, especially on the heels of a 31-9 loss to the Saints last week.
Offensively the Cardinals were no match for New Orleans as Kyler Murray failed to throw a single touchdown pass. Two third down conversions from 12 atttempts didn’t help matters, while the running game looks a little questionable with David Johnson (ankle) and Chase Edmonds (hamstring) both skipping Monday’s practice.
If you caught even a glimpse of the 49ers last week, you’ll know all of the above spells bad news with San Francisco coming to town. The Niners’ defence is easily the best in the NFC, as the Panthers found out the hard way last week in their stunning 51-13 loss.
San Francisco’s pass rush has tallied 27 sacks this year – the fourth-most in the league. The Niners also rank second to the Patriots in turnovers, which has helped five of their last seven games go Under the Total.
These Friday games continue to throw curveballs, but with an equally impressive 5-2 record against the spread in their last seven games, this one isn’t worth overcomplicating. Niners to Cover in a low-scoring game.
Tip: Back the Niners to Cover the Line (-9.5 Points) & Under 43.5 Total Points @ $3.70
Monday 4 November, 1:30am, Wembley Stadium
Jaguars 3 - Texans 26
Out of the three London games this season, the NFL looks to have saved the best for last.
The Texans found themselves in a high-risk thriller last week against a much-improved Raiders side. It took every bit of Deshaun Watson’s creativity and athleticism to throw a game-winning touchdown pass to Darren Fells, but as they say, good teams find ways to win, and that’s exactly what the Texans accomplished.
Jacksonville also showed plenty of heart last week in their 29-15 win over the Jets. You might not know it, but the Jags, now at 4-4, are staring down the barrel of a potential Wild Card spot should they win this game on Monday morning over their division rival.
Of course, the stats don’t lie – the Texans have enjoyed the better part of this fixture in recent years. Houston has won eight of its last 10-games against the Jags, also playing to the tune of a handy 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games in Jacksonville.
But while the trends suggest the Texans are worthy favourites, it’s hard to go past the Jaguars’ defence. Last week alone the Jags tallied eight sacks on Sam Darnold, which leaves them just two shy of the Patriots’ total.
If you haven’t heard, the Texans aren’t well-known for protecting Watson. In eight games Houston has allowed 24 sacks on their quarterback – food for seventh in the league.
With all that in mind, take the Jaguars’ defence to make a statement on what is technically their home turf.
Tip: Back the Jaguars to Win @ $2.10
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs 26 - Vikings 23
There’s still no word on the status of Patrick Mahomes at time of publish, but even so, this is far and away the game of the week.
No knock on Matt Moore, but the Chiefs probably would have squeaked out a win last week against the Packers if Mahomes was on the field. Even without the reigning MVP, Kansas City still tallied 337-yards of total offence though, highlighting just how scary this team is as we march towards the playoffs.
Speaking of the Packers, the Vikings still remain hot on the heels of Green Bay as they look to extend their winning streak to five. You can’t pool Minnesota in with the Saints, Niners and Packers in the NFC just yet, but this is still a serious Super Bowl contender with a defence to match.
Surprisingly, the Chiefs have opened as 2.5-point underdogs despite holding home-field advantage. You can expect that to swing in Kansas City’s favour if Mahomes stars, but for now, this looks to be a bit of a coin flip.
These two teams haven’t met since 2015, so trends are useless. Instead, it’s worth considering the run defence of both teams, because as you might have heard already, both are at complete opposite ends of the spectrum.
Kansas City was shredded by Aaron Jones last week, which came as no surprise considering the Chiefs are allowing 145 average yards per-game. Down the other end, the Vikings have allowed just 89.4 to go along with, get this, one rushing touchdown.
Dalvin Cook holds the key to this game, and you’d be foolish to bet against the league’s leading rusher. With value on offer, make sure you get in early.
Tip: Back the Vikings 1-12
New York Jets
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Dolphins 26 - Jets 18
These two sides get to look eachother in the mirror this week as Jets coach Adam Gase faces his former team.
Gase coached the Dolphins to a 23-25 record during his three year stint in Miami, but it’s doubtful he lasts that long in New York as the Jets scramble for answers.
When it comes right down to it, the playcalling has been awful all season in New York. Sam Darnold was sacked eight times last week in a 29-15 loss to the Jaguars, while the offence as a whole currently ranks dead last in total yards.
But of course, a game against Miami is basically a bye week, right?
Well, as the Steelers found out in the first half last week, the Dolphins still mean business even if they are tanking for the No. 1 overall pick. Miami put up 14 unanswered points in Pittsburgh with Ryan Fitzpatrick under center, but ultimately, the defence eventually failed to keep the Steelers contained.
This shapes up as a very underwhelming game between two sides eyeing the end of the season. If you have to bet, you can find some faith in the Jets’ 14-5-1 record against the spread on the road in Miami, but just don’t expect this to be pretty.
Tip: Back the Jets to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, New Era Field
Bills 24 - Redskins 9
The Bills could cruise into the playoffs from here with an easy strength of schedule, but the jury is still out on Sean McDermott’s side for the time being.
Buffalo lost comfortably last week at home to the Eagles as the defence was shredded on the ground. The Bills allowed three rushing touchdowns on the day, which sets up an interesting game this week against the seemingly rejuvenated Adrian Peterson.
The Redskins turned up for a fight last week in Minnesota. Spread bettors were left disappointed as Washington lost by only 10-points, but the highlight of the night came in the form of a 34-year-old Peterson rushing for 76-yards.
There isn’t much to get excited about in Washington, and the same also goes for this game. On one hand, this is the perfect opportunity for the Bills’ defence to get back on track, and on another, it’s also the perfect opportunity for Josh Allen to let loose against a very bad defence.
These two teams haven’t met since 2015, but with little on offer head-to-head, you’ll need to look elsewhere to find value. The Total has gone Under in three of Washington’s last four road games, so back this to be low-scoring.
Tip: Under 36.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, Heinz Field
Steelers 26 - Colts 24
This matchup mightn’t seem as exciting as it has in years past, but there’s still plenty on the line between two teams still in the hunt for the playoffs.
The Colts are by far the more polished team on paper (and in the standings). Indianapolis, now at 5-2, is riding the coattails of a three-game winning streak led by Jacoby Brissett, who has completed over 60% of his passes in each of his last three games.
Meanwhile in Pittsburgh, the Steelers return on short rest having survived a scare against the Dolphins at home. The 27-14 win was hardly convincing, but nonetheless, the Steelers, now at 3-4, are knocking on the door of the Ravens in the AFC North.
There’s certainly no love lost between these two AFC rivals, even if they havent met since 2017. The Steelers have won eight of their last 10 games over the Colts, however, there is something to be said about the Colts on the road.
Defensively Indianapolis continues to improve having allowed only 13 redzone touchdowns. The Colts have also been stellar on third down, which explains four of their last five games going Under the Total.
Tip: Under 43.5 Total Points @ $1.88
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Panthers 30 - Titans 20
Panthers fans will be hoping their team can come improve on their 1-1 record following a previous loss.
Carolina were manhandled by the 49ers last week as Kyle Allen threw three interceptions in the 51-13 loss. The Panthers defence also took a serious step back allowing Niners running back Tevin Coleman to score four total touchdowns.
The Titans enjoyed a much more successful day holding on for a close 27-23 win over Tampa Bay. Don’t look now, but at 4-4, Tennessee are still a realistic chance to sneak into the Wild Card picture, but they’ll need to come good on their average 2-2 road record first.
It’s been a while in between drinks since these two sides last met back in 2015. The Titans have won three of their last five games against Carolina, but with two of the league’s better defences on the field, you’d be silly not to back a low-scoring game.
The Total has gone Under in five of Tennessee’s last seven games as well as four of their last five games on the road. The Total has also gone Under in four of the lsat five games between these two sides.
Tip: Under 41.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 4 November, 5:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Eagles 22 - Bears 14
The long awaited double-doink rematch gets underway this week as the Bears not only hope to make something of what appears to be a lost season, but also seek revenge on the Eagles for last year’s Wild Card loss.
Chicago sunk to a new low last week losing 17-16 to the Chargers. Ironically, it was a missed field goal that cost the Bears a win, which has to leave fans feeling nervous as they hit the road.
The Eagles remain a complete question mark at 4-4 largely due to their defence. Philly are just one game behind the Cowboys in the NFC East, and while last week’s blowout win over the Bills was encouraging, the secondary still looks a major concern.
Speaking of concerns, the Bears offence looks destined for a complete shake up during the offseason. Mitchell Trubisky was sacked four times last week to go along with a lousy 253-yards and zero touchdowns. It was nice to see David Montgomery rush for 100-yards, but the Bears passing game continues to hold them back.
It’s difficult to find much faith in either of these sides right now, but as the record states, the Eagles have won four straight over the Bears. It’s doubtful they put up 31-points points on Chicago’s defence, but with a 2-1 home record, this should be an Eagles win.
Tip: Back the Eagles 1-13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 4 November, 8:05am, Centurylink Field
Seahawks 30 - Bucs 34 (OT)
If you’ve included the Seahawks in your multi’s over the last month, you’ve likely come away with a profit.
Seattle has won four of its last five games, but at the same time, last week’s 27-20 win over the Falcons left a lot to be desired.
Russell Wilson is still a serious MVP candidate, but his quiet 171-yard game against one of the NFL’s worst defences was mildly concerning.
The Seahawks defence also allowed Matt Schaub to throw for 460-yards and a touchdown. Seattle’s defence has allowed the third-most passing yards this year, which should play into Tampa Bay’s hands this week.
Bruce Arians is known for his “risk it for the biscuit” approach on offence. The Bucs have little more to play for than bragging rights at this stage, so you can expect to see plenty of long bombs from Jameis Winston to his talented receiving corp.
The Bucs tallied 389-yards of total offence last week against a very talented Titans defence. Controversially, Tampa Bay didn’t come away with the win, but with a 2-1 record in their last three games against the Seahawks, don’t discount the Bucs from causing a huge upset in a tough environment.
Tip: Back the Bucs to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 4 November, 8:05am, Oakland Coliseum
Raiders 31 - Lions 24
Two teams with only three wins on the board meet on Monday in what could turn out to be one of the best games of the week.
The Raiders have been one of the most exciting teams all year for many reasons. Derek Carr’s chemistry with wide receiver Tyrell Williams has become a real problem for opposing defences, and while it hasn’t translated into wins, it’s obvious head coach Jon Gruden is gearing towards something big in seasons to come.
Detroit also falls into the same category of teams that could seriously contend sometime soon. The Lions’ 3-3-1 record doesn’t do them justice, although it is hard to ignore how poorly the defence played last week against the Giants and Daniel Jones.
These two teams don’t get together very often – in fact their last meeting came all the way back in 2015. That said, the playoffs aren’t entirely out of the question for either franchise, making a win this week crucial if either hopes to make a surprise Wild Card appearance.
Defensively, neither the Lions nor the Raiders are playing particularly well against the pass. That being said, the 50.5-point Total looks a little too high.
The Total has gone Under in Oakland’s two home games so far this season, so play it safe with a low-scoring game.
Tip: Under 50.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 4 November, 8:25am, Mile High
Broncos 24 - Browns 19
The Broncos have won seven of their last eight games over the Browns, but can Denver be the team to finally put a dagger in Cleveland’s season?
The bookies think this one will be close with the line set at -3 in favour of the Browns. At times last week it looked as though Cleveland could come back from their 17-0 first quarter deficit against the Patriots, but in the end, three turnovers on three consecutive plays ultimately cost the Browns too many points and way too much time.
As for the Broncos, time also played a factor in their 15-13 loss to the Colts. Quarterback Joe Flacco didn’t hold back in his post-game press conference voicing his frustration with the teams lack of aggressiveness, which means we could see a new-look Broncos offence this week at home.
The Browns won at Mile High late lsat season pulling off a memorable 17-16 win. Cleveland’s 1-4 record against the spread in their last five games makes them tough to trust, but if there’s one thing you can hang your hat on, it’s running back Nick Chubb.
Denver’s defence hasn’t exactly been poor against the run, but they are allowing 4.1 average yards-per-carry. The Broncos defence has also been the seventh-most penalised team in the league, so if they give up free yardage, you can expect the Browns to make them pay.
Tip: Back the Browns 1-13
Los Angeles Chargers
Green Bay Packers
Monday 4 November, 8:25am, Dignity Health Sports Park
Chargers 26 - Packers 11
The Chargers improved to 3-5 thanks to some kicking woes from the Bears last week. The playoffs aren’t entirely out of the question from here, but Los Angeles will still need luck to be on their side against a red-hot Packers team on Monday.
Green Bay are now proud owners of road wins over Chicago, Dallas and Kansas City this season. Given, Patrick Mahomes was absent from last week’s win, but it appears Aaron Rodgers is back to his sickening best after making two seemingly impossible throws.
The Packers defence has taken a step back over the last three weeks, but that mightn’t hurt them too much against a Chargers team that ranks 21st in points scored.
Speaking of stats, do you know how bad Los Angeles has been when it comes to stopping the run this season? Through eight games, the Chargers have allowed the eighth-most rushing yards, which coincidentally ranks only one spot better than Green Bay.
Aaron Jones and Melvin Gordon hold the keys for either side this week. As far as a betting play goes though, you’re best off sticking with the Total considering five of Green Bay’s last six games have all gone Over.
Tip: Over 47 Total Points @ $1.92
New England Patriots
Monday 4 November, 12:20pm, M&T Bank Stadium
Ravens 36 - Patriots 20
The marquee game of the week, and maybe even the season.
New England received somewhat of a test last week against the Browns but still managed to pass with flying colours. The defence has recorded more takeaways than touchdowns allowed, which explains the Patriots’ commanding 8-0 perfect record.
Baltimore returns from the bye hoping to become the first team to spoil the Patriots’ party. Even at 5-2, the Ravens still have plenty of work to do in the AFC North, but as their three-game winning streak suggests, this is by far New England’s toughest game to date.
The Patriots have won three straight games over the Ravens dating back to 2013, although bookmakers aren’t entirely convinced with a narrow 3-point line set.
Last week the Browns showed the rest of the league that the Patriots are vulnerable to giving up large chunks of yards on the ground. If Nick Chubb held onto the football, maybe Cleveland would have won the game, but as it stands, the Patriots still gave up 131-yards to the talented downhill runner.
Baltimore has a similar weapon in their backfield by the name of Mark Ingram. The 29-year-old has scored a touchdown in four of his seven games so far this season and also averaged 6.5 yards-per-carry during his lone game against the Patriots back in 2017.
In their last six home games the Ravens are 0-6 against the spread. That said, Baltimore are 8-2 against the spread in their last 10-games against an AFC East opponent.
All things considered, take the Ravens to at least put a scare into the Super Bowl favourites.
Tip: Back the Ravens to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.91
New York Giants
Tuesday 5 November, 12:15pm, Metlife Stadium
It’s time to find out what the Cowboys are made of this week as they return from the bye.
The last time we saw Dallas they were piling on the points in an impressive 37-10 victory over the Eagles, but with Philly now just one game behind in the NFC East, every game from here on is crucial if the Cowboys wish to make the playoffs.
Dallas has won seven of their last 10-games over the Giants including five straight dating back to 2017. New York has nothing more to play for other than bragging rights, however Pat Shurmur’s side will still be eager to make up for last week’s narrow loss to the Lions at home.
Daniel Jones showed plenty of poise against a talented Detroit defence carving them up for 322-yards and four touchdowns. Things probably won’t come as easy this week though against a Dallas defence that has allowed the seventh-fewest passing yards all year.
The Giants also have an elite running back in Saquon Barkley to turn to, but the Cowboys have been just as strong against the run. All in all, this shapes up to be a Dallas win and one that they desperately need with the Vikings ahead the following week.
Tip: Back the Cowboys to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $1.92
So Week 8 was pretty plain, wasn’t it?
Everything went off without a hitch as far as favourites go, but the good news is, the NFL schedule has served up a smorgasbord of match ups this week that could hold some serious playoff implications.
The Bengals, Cardinals, Colts, Eagles, Giants and Jaguars all take a seat this week, leaving us with two fascinating match ups between the Rams and Saints and the Packers and Patriots on Monday morning.
It’s a battle between some of the NFL’s most creative coaches and most elite quarterbacks, so who’s going home winning and grinning?
Be sure to check out entire 2018 NFL Week 9 Preview below to find out!
San Francisco 49ers
Friday 2 November, 11:20am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 34 – Oakland 3
San Francisco 49ers (1-7): The Niners did all they could to throw the game away last week.
San Francisco got off to a fast start against Arizona in what always shaped up to be a pretty ugly affair. By halftime, the scoreboard said it all – San Francisco led 5-3.
But what transpired in the second half was nothing short of disaster. Again, the Niners scored quickly on a nice route over the middle to find Marquise Goodwin for the score. After applying so much pressure on Josh Rosen though in the first half though, San Francisco were shredded by Rosen and Larry Fitzgerald in the final quarter as the Cardinals went on to twin 18-15.
Not for the first time this season, it was a demoralising loss for the Niners against an opponent they probably should have beaten – especially after what was a pretty sound offensive effort.
This week, San Francisco gets to do it all over again against a 1-6 Raiders side that has recorded the fourth fewest turnovers in the league in a game that is shaping up to be a great Unders bet.
Oakland Raiders (1-6): As if we needed further proof, last week was another classic example of Khalil Mack’s absence.
Colts running back Marlon Mack gashed the Raiders for 132-rushing yards and two touchdowns, sending the Raiders to their sixth loss of the season as they struggled to apply any pressure down front.
Like the Niners, this is a game head coach Jon Gruden will feel like his team can win though. After trading away Amari Cooper however, it was painfully clear last week that if the Raiders are to win again this season, their hopes rely entirely on Derek Carr and Jared Cook.
The problem for the Raiders so far this season is this: time of possession. The Colts held the ball for almost an entire quarter last week, leaving Carr with only 28 passing attempts on the day.
If you’re looking to back a winner, the Raiders probably aren’t the safest play. They are 0-5 on the road, while the total has gone Under in all five games.
Tip: Back Under 47 Total Points @ $1.87
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, New Era Field
Buffalo 9 – Chicago 41
Buffalo Bills (2-6): The Bills treated us to three pretty fun quarters last week as they hosted the Patriots.
Buffalo’s defence showed up in tip top condition, holding New England out of the end zone up until the final term. Offensively though, Derek Anderson was the Bills’ ultimate undoing, throwing the game deciding pick six to Devin McCourty with less than five minutes to go.
There was lots to like from Buffalo, though. Bills coach Sean McDermott won’t die wondering as he rolled the dice on several deep shots. A handful paid off, meanwhile, the defence continued to make life tough for the Patriots on third down.
What continues to let the Bills down is quarterback play, and again, it’s anyone’s guess who’s starting this week. Buffalo threw Nathan Peterman to the wolves once again on Monday Night, but really, that’s just asking for disaster against this Bears defensive front this week.
Chicago Bears (4-3): The Bears are your NFC North leaders, at least for now.
Chicago face a tough schedule in the month ahead, but Monday’s game against the Bills presents as a real opportunity to cement their playoff chances with eight weeks remaining.
Last week’s win over the Jets was a classic example of how dangerous Chicago can be. Again it was a case of the Mitch Trubisky/Tarik Cohen show, as the pair hooked up for 70-yards and a score. But who can overlook Jordan Howard? For the fourth time this season he rushed for over 50-yards and a score.
On the defensive side of the ball, things were a little flat with Khalil Mack on the sidelines nursing an ankle injury, but the Bears still managed to play a disciplined brand of football. They accounted for just two penalties on the day at the same time holding the Jets to just three third down conversions.
A trip to Buffalo does pose a few challenges for this side, though. Chicago haven’t played at New Era Stadium since 2010, and as their 3-19 road record, the Bears aren’t a safe bet away from home.
Reigniting the spark on the pass rush will go a long way to winning this game against whoever the Bills throw in at quarterback. Plenty of play action passes and option reads for Trubisky should also see the Bears improve to 5-3.
Tip: Back the Bears to Beat The Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.91
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Carolina 42 – Tampa 28
Carolina Panthers (5-2): Go ahead and throw the Panthers into the conversation with the Rams and the Saints.
Carolina’s convincing win over the Ravens sent a statement to the league last week – this team at least belongs in the second tier of the NFC’s elite.
Things got off to a rough start against Baltimore as the Panthers defence missed a few simple tackles on Alex Collins’ touchdown run. Fortunately their offense more than made up for it as Carolina used a great mix of run and pass to trounce the Ravens over the course of the game.
By far the most encouraging sign was rookie wide receiver D.J. Moore, who caught for a career high 90-yards.
Cam Newton was once again at his very best rushing for 52-yards, but after finishing the day as Carolina’s leading runner for the fifth time this season, perhaps the only concern for the Panthers right now is the running back position long term.
On a positive note, the Bucs are up next, a team that has allowed the highest completion percentage in the NFL. This should be child’s play for Newton at home in a must-win divisional game if the Panthers hope to hang tight to the first-place Saints.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-4): Where to from here? The Bucs look well on their way to a fire sale this offseason after losing 37-34 to the Bengals, and its likely Jameis Winston is the first name out the door.
Winston started last week’s game against Cincinnati, but was immediately pulled after throwing four interceptions. In stepped Ryan Fitzpatrick, who threw a highlight reel bomb to DeSean Jackson, adding further confusion to the Bucs’ quarterback situation.
It looks as though Fitzpatrick is Tampa’s man (again) but this situation is only going to grow worse. Dirk Koetter’s coaching seat is red hot, and unfortunately, so are the Panthers.
The Bucs are 1-4 in their last five games on the road against Carolina, and with one of the worst defences in the league, it’s tough to see them pulling off an upset, even if Fitzmagic shows up.
Tip: Back the Panthers 7-12 @ $5.50
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, First Energy Stadium
Cleveland 37 – Kansas City 21
Cleveland Browns (2-5-1): What a difference two months can make.
After a fortnight of turmoil between head coach Hue Jackson and offensive coordinator Todd Haley, Browns owner Jimmy Haslam fired them both during the week, leaving Gregg Williams in charge.
The move marks the fourth coaching change for the Browns in the last five years, already cancelling out any plans of a culture change in Cleveland.
It’s a shame really, considering this team does possess some very real talent. From now until the end of the year, the main goal for the Browns should be to develop Baker Mayfield while also, somehow, trying to lure a new head coach ahead of 2019.
It’s not a very sexy situation for any potential suitor, especially with a trigger happy Haslam at the helm.
As far as this week’s game goes, there’s really not much to say. The Browns are 3-17-1 at home in their last 21 games, and there’s no tougher task in football than Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.
Kansas City Chiefs (7-1): Here’s a stat: the Chiefs punted the ball once in their two games prior to Monday’s win over the Broncos.
Andy Reid’s offense is a juggernaut, but most importantly, a problem for any opposing defensive coordinator. As Denver found out the hard way last week, when you over-commit to stopping Patrick Mahomes, you leave yourself vulnerable to Karreem Hunt, which will always result in plenty of yards and touchdowns.
On the flip side, Kansas City’s defence is a bit of a worry looking ahead. They should have no trouble with the Browns this week, however the Chiefs secondary blew their assignments on multiple occasions last week, leaving Case Keenum with two big time completions.
Fortunately, Kansas City are pretty handy on offense. Apart from the first, last week they scored on every possession they had, and if it isn’t Mahomes or Hunt, it’s Tyreek Hill or Travis Kelce peeling off chunks of yards.
Easy win on the road? The Chiefs are 1-5 at the line in their last six games in Cleveland. But really, you’d be foolish to back against them anytime soon.
Tip: Back the Chiefs to Beat The Line (-8 Points) @ $1.91
New York Jets
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Miami 13 – NY Jets 6
Miami Dolphins (4-4): Last week’s 42-23 loss to the Texans should have come as no surprise if you’ve been paying attention to the stat sheet.
The Dolphins have allowed the most rushing yards through eight weeks, and wouldn’t you know it, Texans’ running back Lamar Miller gashed them for 133-yards and a score.
To make matters worse, Deshaun Watson had himself a day throwing for 239-yards and five-touchdowns, leaving many contemplating the legitimacy of the Dolphins’ once winning record.
When you can’t sack the opposing quarterback or stop the run, you’re already on your way to losing. Unfortunately for the Dolphins, the Jets possess one of the more potent running back committees in the league, and despite the line being relatively short, Miami’s 2-4 record at home against the Jets isn’t very convincing.
New York Jets (3-5): For the first time this season the Jets looked a little flat last week against the Bears. New York totalled just 207-yards offensively, and struggled to place any pressure on Mitch Trubisky and Chicago’s explosive running game.
A less than healthy Isaiah Crowell has hurt the Jets in back-to-back weeks. Sam Darnold’s future still looks very bright, but without a strong running game to rely on, the Jets look very one dimensional.
For New York to win this week though, the Jets’ running game needs to be at full strength. The Dolphins are the worst team in the league when it comes to stopping the run, and if the Jets can use Crowell to set up some deep passes to Robbie Anderson and Jermaine Kearse, they should be able to test Miami’s secondary just like Houston did last week.
Head-to-head, these two teams have won five games apiece across their last 10 meetings. This presents as perhaps one of the toughest games to predict this week, so the Points market looks a safe play.
Tip: Back Over 45.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore 16 – Pittsburgh 23
Baltimore Ravens (4-4): Lots to dislike about the Ravens last week. Despite scoring on their first drive of the game, nothing came easy after three big time penalties.
The bad luck continued from there as the offensive line looked completely out of sync. Communication was at an all-time low, proving costly on an Alex Collins fumble created from poor blocking on the edges.
After turning it over, the Panthers went on to score three plays later. That touchdown proved costly in the 36-21 loss, capping off a horror day for Joe Flacco who threw for just 192-yards, one touchdown and two interceptions.
The Ravens have crashed back down to earth in the last two weeks, however the AFC North division crown is still up for grabs.
Surprisingly enough, the bookies have the Ravens as the favourites with home field advantage, which probably makes sense considering they only beat the Steelers four weeks ago at Heinz Field.
Baltimore’s defence held James Conner to just 19-yards that day, and after a lacklustre effort last week against Carolina, they’ll need to find that same form again on Monday.
Pittsburgh Steelers (4-2-1): There was no room to work with last time the Steelers met the Ravens. Pittsburgh’s entire attack was limited to just 284-yards, a day to forget as Mike Tomlin’s team went 2/12 on third down conversions.
The Steelers’ fortune has turned around a little since then, though. James Connor rushed for 146-yards and a pair of touchdowns last week in the win over the Browns, a performance the second-year runner will need to replicate this week against a stout Ravens run defence.
Pittsburgh have won four of their last 10 meetings against Pittsburgh, and are 1-4 in their last five games in Baltimore.
Even so, the Ravens have been their own worst enemy in recent weeks, missing extra points, committing silly penalties, and turning the ball over.
It’s safe to say no one is taking the Steelers seriously in the AFC just yet, which is always dangerous. With the chance to gain a stranglehold on the division, make sure you take them in an upset.
Tip: Back the Steelers to Win @ $2.25
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, US Bank Stadium
Minnesota 24 – Detroit 9
Minnesota Vikings (4-3-1): Let’s be real, the Vikings are a playoff team, but there’s just something missing from Minnesota right now.
Last week’s loss against the Saints was a far cry from their Divisional Round performance in last year’s playoffs, and sure, there were some big defensive names like Connor Barr missing, but the intimidation factor is lacking right now.
Offensively, the Vikings are sound right now, which like every other team in the NFC North, will carry them throughout the rest of the season.
Another week, another 100-yards for Adam Thielen, and even without Dalvin Cook, the running game remains in capable hands with Latavius Murray.
With the Bears currently sitting atop the NFC North, this week’s game against the Lions is crucial for the division picture. Minnesota are 16-4 against the Lions at home, and after a dismal defensive performance from Detroit last week, they shouldn’t have any trouble dismantling the Lions.
Detroit Lions (3-4): Pick your poison, that’s basically what the Lions are doing right now.
Last week Detroit couldn’t stop the run allowing 105-yards and a touchdown to Chris Carson, and in the air, Russell Wilson torched the Lions for 248-yards and three scores.
It’s been one step forward, two steps back for Matt Patricia’s side this season. The schedule is ultimately Detroit’s worst enemy right now, and with trade rumours surrounding Golden Tate, it appears the Lions might be looking ahead to 2019 already.
If this game was at Ford Field, you’d probably give the Lions half a chance. Having won just one of their three games on the road this season though, Detroit aren’t worth touching.
Tip: Back the Vikings 13-18 @ $5.75
Monday 5 November, 5:00am, FedEx Field
Washington 14 – Atlanta 38
Washington Redskins (5-2): The old boy showed up last week to teach the kids a thing or two.
Adrian Peterson rushed for 149-yards and a touchdown in the Redskins’ 20-13 win over the Cowboys, rewinding the clock to prove each team that passed on him during the offseason that he has indeed, still got it.
Speaking of got it, the Redskins sure do. Washington are the odds on favourite to win the NFC East now, and it’s hard to argue with a defence that has allowed the eighth fewest passing yards and the second fewest rushing yards in the league.
Interestingly enough, these two teams haven’t met since 2015, a game the Falcons won in narrow six-point fashion. In case you haven’t been paying attention though, this is a very different Atlanta side this season.
Fortunately for the Redskins, they hold home field advantage this week, which has proven a winning commodity for Washington this season. The Falcons haven’t travelled to FedEx Field since 2012, and are also 1-4 in their last five road games.
Atlanta Falcons (3-4): The Falcons return from a week off, a 12 day break they hope will be enough to turn their season around.
The last time we saw Atlanta they were clinging to a three-point lead over the Giants in New York. It was a much-needed win for the Falcons, but one that wasn’t all that convincing from an offensive standpoint.
You might not know it, but Matt Ryan is halfway toward putting up similar numbers to his 2016 season. Unfortunately, the rest of the Falcons’ offense is struggling, evident in the fact that Julio Jones still hasn’t caught a touchdown pass.
It doesn’t help when your leading running back is battered and bruised, and of course, the defence remains one of the worst in the league against the pass.
Given their unfamiliarity with FedEx Field, take the Redskins at the line.
Tip: Back the Redskins to Beat The Line (-1 Point) @ $1.91
Monday 5 November, 8:05am, Broncos Stadium
Denver 17 – Houston 19
Denver Broncos (3-5): Despite the loss to the Chiefs, Case Keenum had himself a game last week.
In a hostile environment like Kansas City, Keenum stood in the pocket and made some big time throws, in the end, finishing with 262-yards and a pair of touchdowns.
What let Denver down though was their tunnel vision. The Broncos fell into the trap of paying too close attention to Patrick Mahomes, which of course, turned into 86-yard, one touchdown day for Kareem Hunt.
The Broncos also shot themselves in the foot more than once. If it wasn’t penalties, it was a shanked punt from Colby Wadman that gifted the Chiefs the ball at the 40.
Mistakes like that can’t happen, especially against a team like Kansas City. On the plus side, the Broncos pass rush was back to its best, with Bradley Chubb and Von Miller wreaking havoc on Mahomes in the early stages of the game.
Given the baron state of the Texans’ offensive line, the Broncos could make this one very interesting for a Houston side that is lucky to lead the South.
Houston Texans (5-3): Take nothing away from the Texans, they dominated the Dolphins last week.
Deshaun Watson enjoyed a career day throwing four touchdown passes, while Lamar Miller strung together back-to-back weeks of 100-plus rushing yards.
Houston did suffer a small loss last week though in the form of Will Fuller. It’s a season-ending ACL tear for the third-year receiver, leaving the bulk of the load on DeAndre Hopkins with Keke Coutee still questionable.
The Texans’ offensive line will be their biggest let down this season, and after enjoying a cushy week against a Dolphins pass rush that has been basically non-existent, it should feel the pressure again against the Broncos.
The line says it all – this game will be close, but with a 2-4 record in their last six games against Denver, roll with the Broncos.
Tip: Back the Broncos to Beat the Line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.91
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 5 November, 8:05am, Century Link Field
Seattle 25 – LA Chargers 17
Seattle Seahawks (4-3): Note to self: never doubt Russell Wilson ever again.
So much was made of Seattle’s offensive line, and their lack of receiving weapons, but Wilson still managed to shred the Lions for 248-yards and three touchdowns last week.
Now, the Seahawks have a winning record, and although they won’t catch the Rams in the NFC West, they still might be a sneaky Wild Card chance if this keeps up.
Matching up with the Chargers this week won’t be easy, but if Seattle can control LA’s potent ground game like they did against the Lions, who knows, the upset might be on.
The bookies have paid the Seahawks some respect this week. The odds remain razor tight with both teams around the $1.90 mark earlier this week.
With LA holding a very unlikeable 2-6 record on the road in Seattle however, Seattle are very enticing.
Los Angeles Chargers (5-2): The Chargers belong somewhere on the second tier of elite teams in the AFC, right behind the Patriots.
LA enjoyed a handy week off last week in preparation for this week’s trip to Seattle, and after trying their very best to throw the game away against the Titans in London back in Week 7, Charger fans will be hoping for something a little more convincing this week.
The Chargers will again be without Joey Bosa, who is reportedly no closer to returning anytime soon. LA looked susceptible around the goal line against Tennessee, which doesn’t bode well meeting up against Russell Wilson and his speedy wheels.
It’s tough to separate these two teams based on recent performances. Have the Seahawks really beaten anyone of importance? And how confident can we be in the Chargers after years of inconsistencies toward’s the midway point of the season?
With very little answers just yet, this is a market to avoid.
Tip: No Bet
New Orleans Saints
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 5 November, 8:25am, Mercedes Benz Superdome
New Orleans 45 – LA Rams 35
New Orleans Saints (6-1): We could probably make a case for the Saints as the best team in the NFC right now. Or of course, we could just allow the Saints to do it for us against the undefeated Rams this week.
New Orleans are a scary match up for anyone right now, and that fear only triples at home in the Superdome. The Saints made short work of the Vikings last week, at least offensively, anyway.
P.J. Williams’ pick six was basically the only defensive highlight for the Saints on a day that was dominated by the Vikings. And with that in mind, it’s safe to say the Saints secondary will need to play out of their mind this week against the Rams passing attack.
New Orleans are 2-6 at the line in their last eight games against the Rams, but most importantly, LA haven’t travelled to the Superdome since 2016. Surprisingly, the bookies have the Saints as the favourites in this one, which mightn’t be a bad play if you consider the following…
Los Angeles Rams (8-0): On one level, this is a meeting between two of the most schematic minds in the NFL. On another, it’s a meeting between two high profile offensive units that are likely going to meet sometime again in the New Year.
The Rams came close to blowing it last week, and we’ll never know if Aaron Rodgers could have handed LA their first loss of the season. Given the way the Rams were playing though, particularly on defence, it’s safe to say the Packers stood a very good chance.
Marcus Peters was particularly poor for the Rams, blowing his assignment on several occasions one on one with Davante Adams. That kind of play won’t hold up against the likes of Michael Thomas this week, which should scare some punters with the Rams on the road.
Whether it comes this week, or sometime in the next month, it’s highly unlikely the Rams emerge from November still undefeated. Expect a shootout similar to the meeting we saw between the AFC’s elite (Kansas City/New England) two weeks ago.
Tip: Back the Saints To Win @ $1.83
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
Monday 5 November, 12:20pm, Gillette Stadium
New England 31 – Green Bay 17
New England Patriots (6-2): Luck looked to be on New England’s side on Monday Night against the Bills. For the first time this season, the Patriots looked a little befuddled on third down, failing to score a single touchdown before the fourth quarter.
Eventually the Bills decided their own demise in the end, a costly Derek Anderson interception turned into six points for New England and Devin McCourty. Still, for the second week in a row, the Patriots were tested for four quarters.
This week, they finally return to Foxboro after a lengthy two week road trip. The Packers await, and as the line suggests, the bookies think this one will be close.
Both of these sides have played out some classics in recent years, which is only fitting considering it’s a battle between the league’s top two quarterbacks. The last time they met in 2014, it was the Packers coming out on top at Lambeau, however New England got the better of Green Bay at Gillette back in 2010.
Fast forward, and it’s safe to say that this game will once again come down to quarterback play. Green Bay can’t stop the run and New England can’t stop the pass, and of course, you don’t have to be a genius to work out who might win that battle.
Green Bay Packers (3-3-1): Are the Packers gearing up for a big run toward the playoffs?
Green Bay can take heart in the fact that they took the Rams closer to the sword than any team has this season.
It’s fair to say that if Aaron Rodgers was given a chance with 2:04 left on the clock the Packers probably would have won the game, but a terrible decision from Ty Montgomery to return the ball from Green Bay’s own endzone denied us all that special moment.
There was plenty to take away from that game though, in particular Green Bay’s running game. Aaron Jones burned the Rams for 86-yards and a score, but really, the full story here was Davante Adams.
Green Bay’s fifth year veteran toyed with Marcus Peters in the Rams’ secondary, accounting for 133-yards on the day. In case you missed it, the Patriots had trouble stopping the Bills on deep throws last week, and if the Packers can receive plenty of the ball, Rodgers might just slice them apart.
The Packers are 4-2 against New England in their last six games, while the Under has been a great play in four of them. If you’re feeling bold, take the Packers.
Tip: Back the Packers To Win
Tuesday 6 November, 12:15pm, AT&T Stadium
Dallas 14 – Tennessee 28
Dallas Cowboys (3-4): Looks like the Cowboys’ big win over the Jaguars a fortnight ago was all a mirage.
Returning after a bye, Dallas fell short against the Redskins in Week 7, but a lot has happened since then.
We’ll see the debut of newly acquired wide receiver Amari Cooper this week, who Dallas will be hoping can transform their ho-hum season into something more meaningful.
Really, Cooper doesn’t present as a true number one receiver, however he does give Dak Prescott a deep threat downfield, even if Cooper’s hands aren’t at all reliable.
Fortunately for Jason Garrett’s side, it doesn’t take anything special to beat the Titans. Statistically speaking, Tennessee’s defence hasn’t been all that bad, but they have recorded the sixth fewest turnovers in the league this season.
Also, you may not know it, but the Cowboys are undefeated at home this season. They also rank eighth in the league in rushing yards, so to put it simply, expect a lot of Ezekiel Elliott.
Tennessee Titans (3-4): The Titans were one bad decision away from beating the Chargers last week in London.
The decision to go for two in the dying stages of the fourth quarter is still perplexing, but even so, Tennessee could still be within reach of the AFC South crown should they win this week.
Of course, if only things were that simple. Tennessee has a range of issues on the offensive side of the ball, namely the lack of a running game led by Derrick Henry and Dion Lewis.
There’s also the simple fact that the Titans have racked up the third fewest total yards and the third fewest first downs in the league ahead of the Cardinals and Bills.
It’s tough to trust the Titans on the road this week, especially since they haven’t won, or let alone played, in Dallas since 2010.
Tip: Back the Cowboys to Beat the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.91
It has been a huge week in the NFL and a number of massive trades are set to have a massive impact on the rest of the season.
There are plenty of crucial games spread across the weekend and every win is now vitally important as the race for positions in the postseason really starts to build.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL week 9 tips can be found below.
New York Jets
Friday November 3, 11:25am, MetLife Stadium
The Buffalo Bills continue to be one of the biggest revelations of the NFL season and they have now won four of their past five games.
Buffalo gave Tyrod Taylor another offensive weapon by trading third and seventh round picks in next year’s NFL Draft for Carolina Panthers wide receiver Kelvin Benjamin.
One issue for the Bills has been winning away from home and they have won only two of their past seven games on the road, while they are a middling 2-2-3 against the line in this scenario.
The New York Jets have hit a wall following their strong start to the season, but they have still played some excellent football in their past three defeats.
New York have won three of their past eight games as home underdogs and they are a highly profitable 6-2 against the line in this situation.
There is rarely much between these two sides when they do battle and I am keen to back the Jets with the insurance of a three point start.
Back New York To Beat The Line (+3 Points)
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday November 6, 5:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
The New Orleans Saints are one of the form teams in the NFL and they will go into this clash on the back of five straight victories.
It has been the big improvement on defence that has seen the Saints bounce back in such emphatic fashion and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
New Orleans have won four of their past six games as home favourites and their record against the line is identical.
The pressure is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they have won only two games this season, while their defence hit a new low against the Carolina Panthers last weekend.
The Buccaneers have won two of their past five games as away underdogs and they are 3-1-1 against the line in this situation.
There is every chance that this game could turn into a shootout and backing the Over has been a profitable betting play in games involving either of these sides this season.
Back Over 51 Points
Monday November 6, 5:00am, Bank Of America Stadium
This is another huge game in the NFC South.
It is the Carolina Panthers that will start this clash as narrow favourites after they returned to winning form against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Carolina have struggled for consistency this season and they have won only three of their six games as home favourites, while they are 1-1-4 against the line in this scenario.
Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Atlanta Falcons and they have won five of their past six games on the road for a big profit as well as four of their past six games against the Panthers.
This is a massive game for the Falcons and they can get themselves back into NFL Playoffs contention with a fighting win.
Back Atlanta To Win @ $1.95
New York Giants
Los Angeles Rams
Monday November 6, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium
The Los Angeles Rams will start this clash with the New York Giants as clear favourites.
Los Angeles went into the bye on the back of a big win over the Arizona Cardinals and they continue to play solid football on both sides of the ball.
The Rams have won their past two games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 3-4 against the line on the road.
New York have still recorded just the one win this season, but I continue to believe that they aren’t as bad as their record suggests.
The Giants have won two of their past three games as away underdogs for a profit and they are excellent value to record an upset win.
Back New York To Win @ $2.50
Monday November 6, 5:00am, LP Field
Monday November 6, 5:00am, EverBank Field
Every game is important for the Jacksonville Jaguars as they fight to return to the NFL Playoffs and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Winning as favourites has proven to be a big issue for the Jacksonville Jaguars – they have lost both their games as home favourites this season – and they are a very tough team to trust from a betting perspective.
The Cincinnati Bengals scored a narrow win over the Indianapolis Colts last weekend and they have now won three of their past four games.
Cininnati have lost their past four games as away underdogs, but they have won their past four meetings against the Jaguars.
This is a game that the market looks to have gotten just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Monday November 6, 5:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
The Philadelphia Eagles are the form team in the NFL and they head into this clash with the Denver Broncos as clear favourites.
Philadelphia have not lost since the second game of the season and their offence has been nothing short of exceptional in recent weeks.
What is already a high-powered offence is set to get even better as they traded for Miami Dolphins running back Jay Ajayi and his explosiveness adds another dimension to their running game.
The Eagles have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
Quarterback problems continue to plague the Denver Broncos and they may finally make a change at the position – with Paxton Lynch staled to take over from the struggling Trevor Siemian.
Denver have won only one of their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
This is a game that Philadelphia should win comfortably and the line of eight points will not be enough.
Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-8 Points)
Monday November 6, 5:00am, NRG Stadium
The Houston Texans are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NFL.
DeShaun Watson continues to be a revelation and he was almost able to lead the Texans to what would have been an important win over the Seattle Seahawks.
Houston have won four of their past five games as home favourites, but they are only 2-3 against the line in this scenario.
The Indianapolis Colts were unlucky not to get the job done against the Cincinnati Bengals last weekend, but they continue to struggle without star quarterback Andrew Luck.
Indianapolis have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a profit, but they are only a middling 4-4 at the line.
The Texans should win this game, but there is no value at their current price and this is a game that I am happy to stay out of.
Monday November 6, 8:05am, CenturyLink Field
The Seattle Seahawks have won four of their past five games and they will go into this clash with the Washington Redskins as clear favourites.
Seattle’s offence has clicked into gear in recent weeks and they face a Washington side that has leaked plenty of points.
The Seahawks have won eight of their past nine games as home favourites and they are 5-1-3 against the line in this scenario.
Washington head into this clash on the back of a pair of defeats and they are a football team that is struggling for an identity.
The Redskins have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line is not much better.
Seattle can win this game comfortably and cover the line in the process.
Back Seattle To Beat The Line (-7 Points)
San Francisco 49ers
Monday November 6, 8:05am, Levi's Stadium
The San Francisco 49ers are still chasing their first win of the season and it should come as no surprise that the Arizona Cardinals will start this clash as clear favourites.
Arizona went into the bye on the back of a disgraceful performance against the Los Angeles Rams and it will be Drew Stanton that starts this clash as quarterback.
Stanton’s record with the Cardinals isn’t great nor it their record as away favourites – they have won only two of their past four games as home favourites.
The 49ers were no match for the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend and they have won just two of their past 24 games.
Both these teams are impossible to trust from a betting perspective and this is a contest that I will be staying out of.
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday November 6, 8:25am, AT&T Stadium
There is an argument to be made that this is the game of the weekend.
The Kansas City Chiefs ended their two-game losing streak with a win over the Denver Broncos on Tuesday and they will start this game as narrow favourites.
Kansas City have been nothing short of exceptional away from home over the past 12 months and they have won seven of their past eight games on the road, with an identical record against the line.
The Dallas Cowboys recorded big wins over the San Francisco 49ers and the Washington Redskins, but they will go into this game without star running back Ezekiel Elliot.
This is the first time that the Cowboys will start a home game as underdogs in over a year and they have won five of their past eight games at home, but are only 3-5 against the line.
The loss of Elliot is a big one for the Cowboys and that could prove to be the difference in an intriguing clash.
Back Kansas City To Win @ $1.85
Monday November 6, 12:30pm, Hard Rock Stadium
The Oakland Raiders’ season continues to go from bad to worse, but they will still start this clash with the Miami Dolphins as clear favourites.
Oakland’s loss to Buffalo last weekend was their fifth in six weeks and they may need to win every game to have any chance of qualifying for the NFL Playoffs.
The Raiders have won only two of their past eight games on the road and their record against the line isn’t any better.
Miami made a big statement during the week by trading away Jay Ajayi and his departure does leave a genuine hole at running back.
The Dolphins have won their past five games against Oakland and they have won five of their past seven games in front of their home fans.
Taking on the Raiders has been a profitable betting play in the NFL all season long and there is no reason to jump off this week.
Back Miami To Win @ $2.40
Green Bay Packers
Friday November 4, 12:30pm, Lambeau Field
The Minnesota Vikings have skipped clear at the top of the NFC North and both the Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions need to win this game to stay in touch with their rivals.
Green Bay have not won a game since Aaron Rodgers was ruled out for the rest of the season and it is tough to have any faith in them without their star quarterback in action.
The Lions have lost three games on the trot and they have had issues on both sides of the football in recent weeks.
Detroit have won three of their past seven games on the road, but their record against the line in this scenario is poor.
These are two teams that are tough to trust from a betting standpoint and I am more than happy to stay out of this fixture.
NFL Week 9 gets underway on Friday when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Atlanta Falcons in a NFC South clash.
The rivalry between the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers has been one of the fiercest in the NFL in recent years and their clash on Monday morning is one of the highlights of the week.
The Green Bay Packers face the Indianapolis Colts in what could be a genuine Super Bowl preview before the action concludes on Tuesday when the Buffalo Bills take on the Seattle Seahawks.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Friday November 4, 10:25am, Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28 - Atlanta Falcons 43
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers had their winning streak ended by the Oakland Raiders and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
The Buccaneers have generally struggled at home over the past 12 months and they have won just two of their past eight games in front of their home fans, while they are 2-6 against the line.
Atlanta returned to winning form with a narrow victory over the Green Bay Packers and they really should be able to make it two wins on the trot.
The Falcons have won four of their past eight games away from home for a narrow profit, while they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
Atlanta are clearly the team to beat in this clash and should be able to cover the line of four points.
Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (-4 Points)
Monday November 7, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland Browns 10 - Dallas Cowboys 35
The Dallas Cowboys are the form team in the NFL and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Dallas made it six wins on the trot with their overtime victory over the Philadelphia Eagles and they should really be too strong for the Cleveland Browns.
Dallas have won two of their past three games as away favourites and they have the same record against the line.
Cleveland are still chasing their first win of the season after going down narrowly to the New York Jets last weekend.
They have lost their past five games as home underdogs and amazingly they have an identical record against the line.
Dallas should be far too good for Cleveland and they can cover the line of seven points.
Back Dallas To Beat The Line (-7 Points)
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday November 7, 4:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs 19 - Jacksonville Jaguars 14
The Kansas City Chiefs are one of the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend.
They made it three wins on the trot with a comfortable victory over the Indianapolis Colts and they have now won their past seven games as home favourites, but are only 2-1-4 against the line in this scenario.
Jacksonville produced another very average performance against the Tennessee Titans and it is tough to see them ending their losing streak against the Chiefs.
The Jaguars have won just two of their past eight games as away underdogs for a clear loss, while they are 3-1-4 against the line in this situation.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
New York Jets
Monday November 7, 4:00am, New Miami Stadium
Miami Dolphins 27 - New York Jets 23
The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets have both found some form in recent weeks and they have both won two games on the trot.
Miami showed plenty of fight to beat Buffalo last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Dolphins have been unconvincing as home favourites over the past 12 months – they are 2-2 in head-to-head betting and are 0-4 against the line.
New York were not overly impressive against Cleveland, but they were still able to get the job done.
The Jets have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs and they have an identical record against the line.
It is extremely tough to trust either of these sides from a betting standpoint.
New York Giants
Monday November 7, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
New York Giants 28 - Philadelphia Eagles 23
This is a crucial game for both these teams as they attempt to keep in touch with the Dallas Cowboys on top of the NFC East.
New York recorded narrow wins over Baltimore and Los Angeles and they will go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Giants are 2-2 as home favourites over the past 12 months, but they are 1-3 against the line in this scenario and have really struggled at home this season.
Philadelphia suffered a heart-breaking overtime loss to the Dallas Cowboys and they are now two games behind the divisional leader.
The Eagles have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they have the same record against the line.
Backing Philadelphia has been a profitable play for the majority of this season and they are great value to return to winning form.
Back Philadelphia To Win @ $2.10
Los Angeles Rams
Monday November 7, 7:05am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Los Angeles Rams 10 - Carolina Panthers 13
The Carolina Panthers ended their losing streak with a solid win over Arizona and they are clear favourites to make it two wins on the trot.
Carolina have failed to fire for the majority of this season and their record as away favourites is particularly poor – they have won only four of their past nine games in this scenario and they are 2-7 against the line.
Los Angeles sunk to their third straight loss at the hands of the New York Giants and their playoffs hopes are quickly flying out the window.
The Rams have won two of their past five games as home underdogs for a narrow profit and they often play well against highly-ranked opposition.
I am happy to gamble on the Rams and there is definitely value at their current price of $2.35.
Back Los Angeles To Win @ $2.35
San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
Monday November 7, 7:05am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 49ers 23 - New Orleans Saints 41
The San Francisco 49ers have now lost six games on the trot and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
San Francisco have still actually won three of their past seven games as home underdogs for a clear profit and they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.
New Orleans returned to winning form with an upset win over Seattle and they have now won three of their past four games.
The Saints have won just two of their past seven games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
San Francisco are a better chance than their odds suggest and I am keen to back them to cover the line with a start of 3.5 points.
Back San Francisco To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)
San Diego Chargers
Monday November 7:25am, Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego Chargers 43 - Tennessee Titans 35
The San Diego Chargers went down to the Denver Broncos last weekend, but they are favourites to get the job done this weekend.
San Diego have won one of their past three games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
Tennessee kept in touch with the Houston Texans in the AFC South win their win over the Jacksonville Jaguars and they have now won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a narrow profit.
I have liked the football that I have seen from the Tennessee Titans in the past few weeks and they are more than capable of upsetting San Diego at a good price.
Back Tennessee To Win @ $2.70
Green Bay Packers
Monday November 7, 7:25am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers 26 - Indianapolis Colts 31
Defence will likely be at a premium in what I expect to be a shootout between two of the best quarterbacks in the NFL.
Green Bay suffered another disappointing defeat against Atlanta, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites,
The Packers have not been overly dominant at Lambeau Field in the past 12 months and they are 4-4 as home favourites, while they are 3-1-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Colts were no match for Kansas City last weekend and even the Chiefs offence were able to put 30 points on the lacklustre Colts defence.
Indianapolis have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a narrow loss, while they are an unremarkable 3-1-4 against the line.
Green Bay are deserving favourites in this clash, but they are far too short at their current price and the Colts are a good value bet at $3.50.
Back Indianapolis To Win @ $3.50
Monday November 7, 11:30am, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland Raiders 30 - Denver Broncos 20
This is a vital game that could end up deciding the winner of the AFC West.
Oakland beat Tampa Bay in overtime to take their record to 6-2 and they will start this clash with the Denver Broncos as narrow favourites.
The Raiders have been an unconvincing 2-2 as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have failed to cover the line in all four of these clashes.
Denver made it two wins in a row with a professional performance against San Diego and they look to be back on track after their mid season slip-up.
The Broncos are 1-1 as away underdogs over the past 12 months, but they did cover the line in both those games and are 6-0 against the spread when given a start.
This should be a very tight affair, but the Broncos do represent a touch of value at their current quote of $1.95.
Back Denver To Win @ $1.95
Tuesday November 8, 11:30am, CenturyLink Field
Buffalo Bills 25 - Seattle Seahawks 31
Seattle suffered an upset loss at the hands of New Orleans last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Seahawks have been a tough team to catch this season, but they have still won six of their past eight games as home favourites and are 4-4 against the line in this scenario.
Buffalo were no match for the New England Patriots last weekend and they are slowly losing touch with their rivals in their race for a wildcard berth in the AFC.
The Bills have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a loss and their record against the line is not much better.
This is a clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out.