2020 NRL Round 13 Preview

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We’re really starting to get into the meat of the season with only seven rounds of footy remaining before finals.

The top of the ladder is as tight as the bottom, and with a couple of top eight battles on the cards again this week, we should move a step closer to separating the contenders from the pretenders once and for all.

Punters that fancy a favourite have enjoyed an absolute fill-up in recent weeks, but there’s plenty to suggest a few upsets might be in store this week.

We’ve dissected all eight games and our best bets can be found in our 2020 NRL Round 13 Preview below.

St George Illawarra Dragons Vs Sydney Roosters

Thursday August 6, 7:50pm, WIN Stadium

Injuries have finally caught up to the Roosters as they face another tough test on Thursday night against the Dragons.

The Chooks have turned in two less than inspiring performances against the Warriors and Titans in recent weeks, which was less than surprising considering Trent Robinson’s side took the field without Boyd Cordner and the Morris brothers last week.

St George are also playing with a point to prove after suffering two consecutive losses at the hands of the Sharks and Rabbitohs.

There’s still plenty of time for the Saints to get their season back on track, but this does shape up as a must-win game if they wish to stay in touch with the top eight.

Josh Morris returns this week from a calf injury, while the Dragons welcome back Adam Clune and Trent Merrin from a concussion.

There are plenty of interesting battles to focus on ahead of this game, but by far the most interesting is the tussle at fullback between Matt Dufty and James Tedesco.

Both are stars in their own right, but whoever makes the most impact will likely lead his side to victory.

The Dragons have struggled against the Roosters recently losing each of their last four games, but with the Roosters still missing some key names like Kyle Flanagan and Cordner, there’s a lot to like about the double-digit line.

Tip: Back the Dragons to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $2.00

Manly Sea Eagles Vs New Zealand Warriors

Friday August 7, 6:00pm, Brookvale

The Sea Eagles were handed a harsh dose of reality last week in their home blowout against the Panthers, but there’s still been plenty of support for them to turn things around against the Warriors.

New Zealand pulled off a big upset last week in their 26-20 win over the Tigers at the SCG, but as we’ve seen over the course of the last three seasons, the Warriors often struggle to string together back-to-back victories.

To their credit though, the Warriors hung tight with the Roosters a fortnight ago, and it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to watch them do the same on Friday against an injury-riddled Manly side.

Brad Parker and Dylan Walker will be on the sidelines this week, while Chanel Harris-Tavita’s shift to halfback is the only notable move for the Warriors.

The Kiwis have won two of their last three against Manly, so with that in mind, it’s worth taking full advantage of this generous line.

Tip: Back the Warriors to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $2.00

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Brisbane Broncos

Friday August 7, 7:55pm, ANZ Stadium

The Rabbitohs can inch their way closer to the top four on Friday night with a win over the Broncos, something they failed to accomplish when these two sides last met back in Round 2.

A lot has obviously changed at both clubs since then, especially on the injury front with the Broncos set to move forward without Anthony Milford out for the next month.

The Rabbitohs remain unchanged on the team sheet and there is plenty to suggest they can pick up where they left off in last week’s hard-fought win over the Dragons.

In a promising sign for the Bunnies, Latrell Mitchell, Alex Johnston and Cody Walker all contributed on the scoresheet last week, while the Broncos can also feel better about themselves after showing some improvement in their loss to the Sharks.

The Broncos have won three of their last five games against Souths, but the market clearly suggests the Bunnies are the side to back, especially after Brisbane’s defence crumbled in the final 10-minutes last week.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs 1-12 @ $2.75

Melbourne Storm Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Saturday August 8, 5:30pm, Sunshine Coast Stadium

The Storm had their hands full last week against the Knights and they might find themselves in a similar situation on Saturday against the Bulldogs.

Canterbury put up a real fight in their two-point loss to the Eels, a performance Dean Pay will be hoping his side can improve on with the Storm nursing a few injuries.

Cam Smith will be replaced by Brandon Smith this week at hooker as the skipper nurses a shoulder injury, while star fullback Ryan Papenhuyzen is being rested in favour of Nicho Hynes.

The Dogs have lost four straight to the Storm dating back to 2016, but they’ve been an absolute money play during that time covering the line in five straight games as the away underdog.

After Newcastle’s close call last week, the Dogs are a good bet at the line.

Tip: Back the Bulldogs to Cover the Line (+13.5 Points) @ $2.00

Newcastle Knights Vs Wests Tigers

Saturday August 8, 5:30pm, McDonald Jones Stadium

Don’t be surprised if this turns into the game of the round.

The Knights and the Tigers are both facing a must-win scenario on Saturday night with their finals hopes quickly fading.

Newcastle still find themselves clinging to life inside the eight after losing to the Storm last week, while the Tigers upset to the Warriors has sent them packing to 10th on the ladder.

The Knights will have to overcome the absence of Bradman Best this week, which couldn’t have come at a worse time with the Tigers welcoming Joey Leilua back from suspension.

From a betting perspective, these two teams have both been highly profitable on the back of a loss, but the edge does go to the Knights here with home-field advantage.

Newcastle are 6-2 head-to-head and 7-1 at the line following a previous defeat, but considering the Tigers also have plenty to play for, it’s probably safest to just take the Knights outright.

Tip: Back the Knights to Win @ $1.60

Penrith Panthers Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday August 8, 7:35pm, Panthers Stadium

The Raiders stand between the Panthers and their eighth straight win on Saturday night.

Penrith returns home to their fortress ahead of what should be a very close top eight battle, and it appears the bookies are firmly in favour of the ladder leaders despite Canberra’s resiliency in recent weeks.

The Raiders have been a tough side to trust at times this year, but they’ve still dug deep when it matters most to pull out three consecutive victories over the Roosters, Rabbitohs and Cowboys.

Of course, none of that compares to the Panthers, who are coming off a 42-12 mauling over Manly last week at Brookvale.

Penrith won’t be short on motivation after losing their last two games against the Raiders in blowout fashion.

Unfortunately, Ivan Cleary will go without his star playmaker Charlie Staines after the youngster suffered a hamstring injury last week, while the Raiders receive an added boost in the form of Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad returning at fullback.

It’s safe to say the Panthers are due a loss, and if anyone is going to hand it to them, it should be last year’s Grand Finalists.

The Raiders are 5-1 on the “road” this year and a perfect 6-0 as the away underdog, so take the Green Machine to win outright.

Tip: Back the Raiders to Win @ $2.75

Gold Coast Titans Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Sunday August 9, 2:00pm, CBUS Super Stadium

We’re treated to a stoush in the sunshine state this week as the Titans and Cowboys both hope to move a step closer to avoiding the wooden spoon.

These two sides showed real improvement in their respective losses to the Roosters and Raiders last week, a form line that suggests we should be in for a thriller on Sunday.

The Titans remain unchanged on the team sheet, while the Cowboys welcome Michael Morgan and Josh McGuire back into he side.

North Queensland has won 10 straight over the Titans dating back to 2014, so it’s safe to say they won’t be short on confidence heading in.

With two of their leaders also returning to the side this week, it’s difficult to argue against the Cowboys adding to that record.

Tip: Back the Cowboys to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $2.00

Cronulla Sharks Vs Parramatta Eels

Sunday August 9, 4:05pm, Nestrata Jubilee Stadium

The second top eight battle concludes Round 13 with the Sharks looking to pull off a huge upset over the Eels at Jubilee.

Cronulla survived a scare last week against the Broncos to move up to sixth on the ladder, while the Eels also overcame a resilient Bulldogs outfit to remain in touch with the Storm and the Panthers in third.

The Sharks welcome back Josh Dugan for his 200th game, while the added boost of Jesse Ramien and Matt Moylan is sure to make a difference on the scoresheet.

Parramatta have lost seven of their last 10 games against the Sharks and their recent form suggests they might add to that streak.

Cronulla’s defence can be sloppy at the best of times, but with the Eels struggling to string together a consistent 80-minutes of football over the last month, it’s safe to say the Sharks are well and truly over the odds here.

Tip: Back the Sharks to Win @ $2.00


2019

The NRL returns to full strength this week in the aftermath of Wednesday’s Origin opener.

With eight games to choose from, a handful of teams head into the weekend fresh from the bye, while there are also some serious points on the line as the top eight remains anyone’s guess.

Only two points separate fourth from 11th on the ladder, so if you’re looking to back some upsets, be sure to read our entire 2019 NRL Round 13 Preview below.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Newcastle Knights

Friday June 7, 6:00pm, ANZ Stadium

The Rabbitohs fell 12-points shy of a win against the Eels last week to concede not only their second loss of the season but also first place atop the NRL ladder.

Melbourne now sits clear of the Bunnies on points difference, but Rabbitohs coach Wayne Bennett will have bigger things on his mind following Sam Burgess’ announcement to undergo shoulder surgery during the Origin break.

Burgess hopes to miss only two rounds of action, but it still leaves Souths looking well short on talent this week as they prepare to host a red-hot Newcastle side fresh from the bye.

The Knights have won five on the trot, two of which came in blowout fashion over the Dragons and the Roosters last month.

After a slow start to the season, Nathan Brown’s side finds themselves inside the top four, but even with a 3-2 record on the road, you’d be wise to steer clear of the Knights on Friday.

Newcastle holds an ugly 0-7 record as the away underdog against the Bunnies. Newcastle also hopes to snap its nine-game losing streak to the Bunnies dating all the way back to 2012.

Since it is Origin week, it’s safe to expect the likes of Damien Cook and Kalyn Ponga to be absent from this game.

The Rabbitohs are 3-1 as the line favourite at home to the Knights and considering Souths haven’t lost back-to-back games since August last year, back the Bunnies to Cover.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Wests Tigers Vs Canberra Raiders

Friday June 7, 7:50pm, Western Sydney Stadium

Canberra’s three-game skid came to an end last week as the Raiders held on for a nail-biting 12-10 win over the Bulldogs.

It was a big result for Ricky Stuart’s side, largely thanks to a huge first-half effort from second-gamer Sebastian Kris, who scored his first-ever NRL try, and John Bateman, who’s clever soccer game earned the Raiders a 10-0 lead three minutes later.

The Raiders now prepare for a well-rested Tigers side hoping to rejoin the eight following a bye week. Wests have lost two straight games in the leadup to Friday night’s encounter, but they’ll reflect fondly on last year’s 22-20 win over the Raiders in Canberra.

Despite both sides finding themselves at opposite ends of the ladder, the bookies appear to be having a tough time separating the two.

Canberra could potentially go without Nick Cotric and Jack Wighton this week, both of which were named to the Blues’ Origin side. Wests, meanwhile, will be counting on Moses Mbye’s fitness following Wednesday night’s game.

There’s no denying the Raiders got a little lucky last week against the Dogs, while the Tigers’ recent form hardly instils much confidence.

With that in mind, the Total might be the best play in this one. The last three meetings between these two have gone Over, while the Raiders have seen eight of their 12-games go Over the Total on the back of a win.

Tip: Over 37.5 Total Match Points

NRL Same Game Multi

New Zealand Warriors Vs Melbourne Storm

Saturday June 8, 3:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

The ladder leaders travel to Auckland on Saturday hoping to distance themselves from the second-place Bunnies.

Fresh from a week off, the Storm will feel confident knowing they’ve not only won three straight games, but also own a seven-game winning streak over the Warriors.

New Zealand also enjoyed a week off last week, gifting Stephen Kearney’s side an extra seven days to reflect on their try-less 8-2 loss to the Broncos a fortnight ago.

As the odds suggest, the Warriors will need plenty of luck this week if they hope to come good on their average 3-3 record at home. New Zealand last beat the Storm in Auckland way back in 2013, and even with most of their roster intact following Origin, the Warriors are in for a tough day against one of the competition’s elite defensive sides.

As we’ve seen game after game, season after season – the Storm are still capable of slowing even the most explosive attacking sides down. That spells bad news for a Warriors side that ranks second last in possession this year, leaving Melbourne and their 9-3 record as the away favourite looking safe.

Tip: Back the Storm 1-12 @ $2.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Cronulla Sharks Vs Paramatta Eels

Saturday June 8, 5:30pm, Shark Park

A 26-14 win over the Rabbitohs last week was enough to vault the Eels back inside the eight, but Parramatta continues to cause headaches for punters and tipsters alike.

Brad Arthur’s side is perhaps the most bipolar team in the competition, which hardly fills you with confidence ahead of this week’s trip to Shark Park.

Cronulla enjoyed some time off last week following their blowout win over the Dragons in Round 11. The Sharks have won four of their last five games against the Eels, but they’ll be hungry to make up for their 12-point loss to Parramatta back in Round 4.

With the ladder in mind, this is by far the most interesting game of the weekend. The Sharks sit sixth, only two-points clear of the eighth-place Eels.

Parramatta can win this game based on talent alone, but unfortunately, we’re yet to receive a full 80-minute effort from the Eels.

As for the Sharks, they enter this game full of confidence knowing their last home loss to the Eels came way back in 2014.

Cronulla’s defence remains vastly underrated this season, evident in the fact they held the Dragons to just nine-points a fortnight ago.

The Eels currently lead the league in errors committed, so back Cronulla and their 7-3 record as the home favourite to win a close one.

Tip: Back the Sharks 1-12 @ $2.90

NRL Same Game Multi

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Saturday June 8, 7:35pm, 1300Smiles Stadium

The Cowboys, who have now won three straight games, are on the verge of a top-eight berth following last week’s narrow 6-4 win over the Titans on the Gold Coast.

As for Manly, the Sea Eagles still find themselves sitting seventh on the ladder as Des Hasler’s side hopes to improve on the uninspiring first-half effort that cost them against the Panthers last week.

The Cowboys walked away with a 26-12 victory at Brookvale when these two sides met last year. North Queensland will enjoy home-field advantage this week, although the Cowboys have hardly come good at home playing to a 3-3 record.

Not surprisingly, the Cowboys have been installed as the favourite this week. North Queensland are a perfect 5-0 in this scenario over the last 12 months, while their 5-2 record as the home favourite against Manly also stands out.

Even so, there is something to be said about these sides during Origin week. Given the three-day break, the likes of Michael Morgan and Daly Cherry-Evans could play, setting up what could be a very close game.

Manly are 5-9 on the back of a loss over the last 12 months, so it’s tough to trust the Sea Eagles at this price. Fortunately, Hasler’s team holds a strong 3-1 record as the line underdog in away games against the Cowboys, leaving Manly at nice odds to Cover.

Tip: Back Manly to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Brisbane Broncos Vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday June 9, 2:00pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Titans had every opportunity to earn their fourth win of the season last week in a disappointing 6-4 loss to the Cowboys at home.

Gold Coast squandered their second-half chances to eventually allow Jason Taumalolo’s game-winning try in the 49th minute, but if the Titans can replicate their 26-14 performance last year at Suncorp, they could be in with a chance on the road.

The Broncos return to the field after a much-needed bye week. Brisbane finds themselves sitting ninth on the ladder hoping to add to their three-game winning streak – one that includes a victory over the reigning premiers.

With home-field advantage, it’s not surprising to see the Broncos open as the favourites. Brisbane are 9-1 in this scenario against the Titans, and with a much-improved defence, they should have no trouble shutting down Gold Coast’s understrength forwards.

You can bet Broncos coach Anthony Seibold is treating this as a statement game. Known for their slow starts, especially at home, Brisbane needs to prove a point on the scoreboard if they are serious about finals, so back them to do just that.

Tip: Back the Broncos to Cover the Line (-7.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Penrith Panthers Vs Sydney Roosters

Sunday June 9, 4:05pm, Panthers Stadium

Penrith earned a rare win over Manly last week to improve to 4-8 on the year, but the fun stops there as the Panthers now prepare for the reigning premiers on Sunday afternoon.

The Roosters enjoyed a timely week off last week in the leadup to Origin Game One. Sydney could go without the likes of Latrell Mitchell and James Tedesco this week, but if both pull up fit, you can bet head coach Trent Robinson will include them in the side as the Storm and Rabbitohs now sit two points above the Roosters on the ladder.

Sydney has won two straight over the Panthers dating back to 2016, including last year’s 32-6 whitewash in Round 15. The Roosters will rest easy knowing they’ve won two of their last three games at Panthers Stadium, which should see them put an end to this concerning two-game skid.

Penrith’s forwards can make this game interesting, but they’ll need plenty of the ball to make any kind of impact. The Roosters will be looking to calm things down after a chaotic game against the Knights a fortnight ago, and considering the Panthers lead the league in missed tackles, they should have no trouble piling on some points.

Tip: Back the Roosters 13+ @ $2.60

NRL Same Game Multi

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs St George-Illawarra Dragons

Monday June 10, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Canterbury fell two-points shy of a win against the Raiders last week, cementing themselves at the bottom of the ladder as we reach the midway point of the season.

St. George earned an extra week to stew on their 22-9 loss to the Sharks back in Round 11. The wayward Dragons now sit 13th thanks to a serious five-game losing streak, and with time running out, Paul McGregor’s side will need to switch on against a very capable Bulldogs side.

These two have played once already this year with the Dragons winning by 36-points back in Round 5. Origin commitments could pose a few lineup challenges this week, but St. George’s 3-2 record as the home favourite against the Bulldogs makes them a safe bet.

Tip: Back the Dragons 1-12 @ $3.00

NRL Same Game Multi


2018

State Of Origin is here and that means there are only four games set to take place in the NRL this weekend.

There will be a host of big names missing from all eight teams in action and that makes this a tough round to assess, but it also means there are plenty of betting opportunities for punters to find value in.

We have closely analysed all four games and our complete 2018 NRL Round 13 tips can be found below.

Manly Sea Eagles Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Thursday 31 May, 7:50pm, Brookvale Oval

The market for this one remains as tight as last week’s losing margins for the Sea Eagles and Cowboys.

Manly and North Queensland both lost narrowly by one point respectively, and there’s nothing separating the two in head-to-head betting so far.

The Cowboys have won four of their last five against the Sea Eagles, but Manly will be looking to avoid back-to-back losses for the third time this season with the chance of a Top 8 berth still hanging in the hopes.

North Queensland suffered their ninth loss of the season against the Storm last weekend, and recent history says things aren’t about to get any easier.

The Cowboys have won just one game on the road all year, but to make things even trickier for punters, North Queensland’s last trip to Brookvale back in 2016 resulted in a resounding 34-18 win.

With both teams playing limited lineups, this one should be close.

Back Manly to Win 1-10 @ $3.50

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Cronulla Sharks

Friday 1 June, 7:55pm, ANZ Stadium

Easily the match of the round, the Rabbitohs meeting with the Sharks on Friday sees third play fourth with some serious ladder leapfrogging up for grabs.

Cronulla has recorded six wins on the trot, while last weekend’s 48-10 annihilation against the Knights placed the entire league on notice.

This will be a serious team come finals time, but there’s  no overlooking South’s win over the Warriors in Auckland, either – the Bunnies have now kept their last four opponents to under 20-points.

The Sharks hold an impressive 5-1 record as the away favourites over the past 12 months, and there’s certainly some value to be had at $1.80.

The same can be said for the Rabbitohs, though, who are currently riding a four game winning streak.

When these two met last season the Sharks walked away with a 26-12 victory over the Bunnies in Round 20.

Souths are 5-7 as head-to-head underdogs, and although punters would probably like to see this kind of quality game played after Origin, Cronulla’s ability to stomp on the throat’s of their opponents come crunch time gives them the edge here.

Back Cronulla to Win @ $1.80

Parramatta Eels Vs Newcastle Knights

Saturday 2 June, 7:35pm, ANZ Stadium

Two teams with four straight losses meet on Saturday night, as the 5-7 Knights take on the 2-10 Eels.

Newcastle look to rebound from one of their biggest losses of the season against the Sharks last week, while the Eels are on the back of a close 18-10 defeat against the Broncos.

Despite suffering yet another loss, Parramatta’s second half last week was much improved.

The damage was done in the first half where the Broncos scored two unanswered tries, but the Eels successfully shut down Brisbane following their early try in the second term to give themselves half a chance.

The Knights, meanwhile, were out of last week’s game within the first 10 minutes.

Newcastle’s tackling has been particularly poor as of late, and rightfully so, they enter this one as serious underdogs.

When favourites at the line, the Eels hold a not-so convincing 4-8 record, but the Knights have managed only three wins on the road over the past 12 months.

These two teams have split their last four encounters two games apiece, but the Eels are probably worth your money.

They’ve showed signs of life and fight in their four straight losses, while the Knights continue to take backward steps following Mitchell Pearce’s injury.

Back Parramatta to Cover the Line (-4.5Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs Wests Tigers

Sunday 3 June, 4:10pm, Allianz Stadium

The Tigers got back to winning ways last week with a gutsy 14-10 victory over the Bulldogs and the same can be said for the Roosters, who also found themselves in the winners circle following a convincing 34-14 win over the Titans.

In terms of ladder stipulations, it doesn’t get any bigger.

Tied on 14-points, a loss for either side could toss them out of the Top 8, and given their spotty form, this game is by far the toughest one to call for punters.

The market remains razor tight, and unfortunately the recent form guide is much the same.

Consistency has been an issue for both the Roosters and the Tigers over the past 12 months and they have proven tough to trust from a betting perspective.

Sydney hold a 3-1 record as the home favourite at the line, so it’s worth watching any market moves as Sunday afternoon approaches.

This game figures to be a nice runner-up for match of the round, but since both sides have struggled for points at times, it is one that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet


2017

We were treated to the opening game of the 2017 State Of Origin series on Wednesday Night, but there is no break for the majority of the players involved in the fixture.

The State Of Origin period can often throw up some surprise results and there is definitely value to be found in a host of games this weekend.

We have analysed all seven games set to take place this weekend and you can find our 2017 NRL Round 13 tips below.

Melbourne Storm Vs Newcastle Knights

Friday 2 June, 6:00pm, AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm 40 - Newcastle Knights 12

The Melbourne Storm are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NRL and will have a number of players backing up from State Of Origin 1.

Melbourne went into the bye on the back of a fighting win over the South Sydney Rabbitohs and narrow victories has been the hallmark of their season to date.

The Storm have won ten of their past 14 games as home favourites, but they have covered the line in only five of their past 14 games in this scenario.

The Newcastle Knights have definitely played improved rugby league in 2017, but they obviously face a tough assignment against the Storm.

Newcastle have not won a game as away underdogs for over 12 months and they are 4-6 against the line in this scenario.

The market looks to have got this game just about right and the betting play that really stands out in this fixture is the Under in Total Points betting.

The under has saluted in 10 of the past 14 Storm home games and the Storm defence should ensure that this is the case again.

Back The Under

Parramatta Eels Vs New Zealand Warriors

Friday 2 June, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

Parramatta Eels 32 - New Zealand Warriors 24

The Parramatta Eels returned to winning form with a strong victory against South Sydney and they will go into this clash with the New Zealand Warriors as favourites.

Consistency continues to be something of an issue for Parramatta, but they have played some decent football in recent weeks and you can see the passion returning to this side.

They have won two of their past three games as home favourites for a narrow profit and they are 1-1-1 against the line in this scenario.

New Zealand ended their losing streak with a win over an undermanned Brisbane Broncos and they will take confidence from the fact that they beat Parramatta earlier this season.

The Warriors have won only one of their past eight games as away underdogs and they are a middling 4-4 against the line in this scenario.

This is another game where the Under does represent the betting value.

The Under has saluted in eight of the past 11 games played by the Warriors in Australia and backing the Under in Eels games has also proven to be a profitable betting play.

Back The Under

St George Dragons Vs Wests Tigers

Saturday 3 June, 3:00pm, ANZ Stadium

St George Illawarra Dragons 16 - Wests Tigers 12

The St George Illawarra Dragons have regressed somewhat in the past month, but they will still go into this clash with the Wests Tigers as clear favourites.

St George comfortably beat Wests when they did battle earlier this season and there is plenty to suggest that a repeat is on the cards.

The Dragons have won their past six games as favourites and more impressively they are 4-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Tigers went into their first bye on the back of three straight defeats and it doesn’t get any easier for them against the Dragons this weekend.

Wests have won seven of their past 21 games as away underdogs for a narrow profit, but they are only 9-1-11 against the line in this scenario.

These are the types of games that St George Illawarra have had no problems winning this season and they should be able to cruise to another comfortable win.

Back St George Illawarra To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs Brisbane Broncos

Saturday 3 June, 5:30pm, Allianz Stadium

Sydney Roosters 18 - Brisbane Broncos 16

This is the game of the weekend, but sadly it could be decided by player availability.

The Brisbane Broncos had five players involved in State Of Origin 1 on Wednesday night and in recent years Wayne Bennett has not been keen to see his players back-up.

The same can’t be said about the Sydney Roosters and it would surprise if the likes of Mitchell Pearce and Boyd Cordner did not take their places this weekend.

It is the Roosters that will start this clash as clear favourites and this really does shape as an interesting betting fixture.

Sydney have won five of their past six games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

Brisbane recorded a dominant win over the Roosters when they met earlier this season and they are sure to improve on their lacklustre effort against the New Zealand Warriors last weekend.

The Broncos have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and they are 2-1-2 against the line in this situation.

This could change depending on what Bennett does, but at this stage of proceedings the Sydney Roosters do look the value to get the job done.

Back Sydney Roosters To Win @ $1.70

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 3 June, 7:30pm, 1300Smiles Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 20 - Gold Coast Titans 8

The North Queensland Cowboys are currently clear favourites and that price will shorten again if Johnathan Thurston is cleared to return to action.

It has been a tough period for the Cowboys without Thurston in the side and they have not recorded back-to-back wins for over a month, but they have not been disgraced.

North Queensland have won nine of their past 12 games as home favourites and they continue to be a profitable play against the line in this scenario.

The Gold Coast Titans went into the bye on the back of a disappointing loss to the Manly Sea Eagles and consistency has been an issue for Neil Henry’s men.

The Titans have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs and most impressively they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

Without Thurston in the Cowboys side, there is not as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests and the Titans are a good bet to cover the line with a start of six points.

Back Gold Coast Titans To Beat The Line (+6 Points)

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Canberra Raiders

Sunday 4 June, 2:00pm, Brookvale Oval

Manly Sea Eagles 21 - Canberra Raiders 20

The match between these two sides just over a month ago was a very spiteful affair and this shapes as one of the most interesting games of the weekend.

Manly won that meeting in golden point thanks to the boot of Dylan Walker and they will go into this clash as narrow favourites.

The Sea Eagles have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a small loss, but they do have the same record against the line for a profit.

Canberra got the job done against an under-strength Sydney Roosters outfit last weekend and there really wasn’t a great deal to like about their performance.

The Raiders have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs, but they are 5-0 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Penrith Panthers

Sunday 4 June, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 0 - Penrith Panthers 38

The Penrith Panthers went into the bye on the back of two straight wins and they will start this clash with the Canterbury Bulldogs as narrow favourites.

While Penrith did beat both the New Zealand Warriors and the Newcastle Knights, both their performances still left plenty to be desired and they are a tough side to trust from a betting standpoint.

The Panthers have won four of their past seven games as away favourites for a loss and they are only 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

Canterbury suffered a heart-breaking defeat at the hands of the Cronulla Sharks last weekend and they have now lost three games on the trot.

The Bulldogs have actually won four of their past eight games as home underdogs and they are a profitable 6-2 against the line in this situation.

Taking on the Panthers has proven to be a profitable betting play all season long and I am keen to continue that this weekend.

Back Canterbury Bulldogs To Win @ $2


2016

This is one of the toughest rounds of the NRL to analyse from a betting perspective as 34 of the best players in the game will have played a brutal State Of Origin encounter earlier in the week.

There are plenty of intriguing games in round 13 of the 2016 NRL season, but the highlight of the round may be Monday Night Football, where the Canterbury Bulldogs will host the Cronulla Sharks in what could be a key game at the halfway mark of the season.

Canberra Raiders Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Friday 3 June, 7:50pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 30 - Manly Sea Eagles 18

This is a crucial game for both sides as the Canberra Raiders are on a rare winning streak, while Manly have lost their past games.

Canberra got the job done as favourites against Canterbury last weekend – despite trailing in the second half – and they will start this fixture as clear favourites once again.

The Raiders have improved their record to 6-4 as home favourites in head to head betting and they are 5-5 against the line in this scenario, but it has been a while since they won three games in a a row.

Manly have lost three games in a row, but to be fair they have played three of the best teams in the competition in the form of the North Queensland Cowboys, Brisbane Broncos and Cronulla Sharks.

The Sea Eagles have a surprisingly strong record away from home in the past 12 months and they are 3-3 as away underdogs and have beaten the line in four of their past six games in this situation.

It would not surprise to see Manly score an upset win in this game and I am keen to back them with the insurance of a 4.5 points start.

Recommended Bet: Back Manly Sea Eagles To Beat The Line (+4.5 Points)

New Zealand Warriors Vs Brisbane Broncos

Saturday 4 June, 3:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

New Zealand Warriors 36 - Brisbane Broncos 18

This is a tricky fixture for the Brisbane Broncos as a number of there forward pack will be backing up from State Of Origin and could be left out of this fixture by Wayne Bennett.

The Broncos suffered a shock loss to the Wests Tigers without their State Of Origin players last weekend and their record against New Zealand away home from is far from impressive.

Brisbane have won five out of their past eight games as away favourites, but they have not been profitable in this situation and they are 3-5 against the line.

New Zealand went into the bye on the back of back-to-back losses against Penrith and Canberra and there is plenty of speculation that coach Andrew McFadden is on the way out.

The Warriors have won just one of their past 12 games as underdogs and are a truly hopeless 2-10 against the line in this situation.

There is little doubt that a full-strength Broncos team would be very tough to beat, but their is no edge at their current price due to the speculation about which of their State Of Origin players will back-up.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Newcastle Knights

Saturday 4 June, 5:30pm, 1300 Smiles Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 46 - Newcastle Knights 16

The North Queensland Cowboys are easily the shortest-priced favourites of the week and should prove far too strong for the Newcastle Knights – even though they also have several players backing up from State Of Origin.

Johnathan Thurston is such a competitor that he normally backs-up after State Of Origin and it would not surprise to see Matt Scott, Michael Morgan and Justin O’Neill do the same.

The Cowboys lost to the Dragons without their Origin stars last weekend, but they are still undefeated at 1300 Smiles Stadium this season and have beaten the line in seven of their past 12 games in front of their home fans.

The Newcastle Knights produced a much improved performance against Parramatta last weekend and they were arguably unlucky not to get the job done.

In saying that, they face a tougher task against North Queensland and they have won just two of their past 12 games as away underdogs, while they are a shocking 3-9 against the line.

A full strength Cowboys team could easily put 50 points on the Newcastle Knights and if Thurston backs-up they are a great bet to beat the line.

Recommended Bet: Back The North Queensland Cowboys To Beat The Line (-20.5 Points)

Melbourne Storm Vs Penrith Panthers

Saturday 4 June, 7:30pm, AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm 24 - Penrith Panthers 6

The Melbourne Storm have been one of the form teams in the NRL in the past month and they head into this game on the back of five straight victories.

Craig Bellamy has a big decision on his hands before this Saturday night clash as he must decide whether Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk back up from the opening game of the State Of Origin series.

I expect that Smith will take the field for the Storm, but it is tough to see Bellamy risking Cooper Cronk after his State Of Origin preparation was thrown into turmoil by an ankle injury.

The Storm do have the depth to cover the possible absence of Cronk and their outstanding record at AAMI Stadium can’t be ignored – they are 8-2 in their past ten games as home favourites and they have beaten the line in six of these games.

The Penrith Panthers have been one of the most frustrating teams during the 2016 NRL season and they let two points go begging when they lost yet another close game to the Gold Coast Titans.

The Panthers should take close to a full strength team into this fixture – with Matthew Moylan expected to back up from Origin 1 – but their record as underdogs is not an impressive one.

Penrith have won just two of their past nine games as away underdogs, but they do have a credible 5-4 record against the line in this scenario.

The unknowns surrounding Cameron Smith and Cooper Cronk means that there is decent value on offer for the Melbourne Storm and they are a safe bet to get the job done this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The Melbourne Storm To Win @ $1.57

Sydney Roosters Vs Wests Tigers

Sunday 5 June, 4:00pm, Allianz Stadium

Sydney Roosters 32 - Wests Tigers 18

The Sydney Roosters went into the bye on the back of a disappointing defeat against the Canterbury Bulldogs, but they are clear favourites to return to winning form against the Wests Tigers.

The Roosters have still only won two games to date this season and there is plenty of speculation that the likes of Jackson Hastings or Jayden Nikorima could be on the way out of the club.

They have still been a surprisingly strong betting team as favourites in the past 12 months and they are 8-1 as home favourites in head-to-head betting as well as 5-4 against the line.

Wests scored a scrappy victory over the Newcastle Knights a fortnight ago, but they produced arguably the best performance of the season to date to beat the Brisbane Broncos and showed great maturity in the final stages of the game.

The Tigers have now won three of their past nine games as away underdogs for a tidy profit, but they are still 4-5 against the line in this scenario.

I expect the Roosters to return to winning form, but their is no edge at their current price and I am more than happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Gold Coast Titans

Sunday 5 June, 6:30pm, NIB Stadium

South Sydney Rabbitohs 28 - Gold Coast Titans 29

The South Sydney Rabbitohs have elected to take their home game against the Gold Coast Titans to NIB Stadium in Perth – a venue where they have had a fair bit of success in recent years.

The Rabbitohs have won five of their seven games played at NIB Stadium since 2008 and they have beaten the line in six of these games.

South Sydney went into the bye on the back of two tough wins over the Parramatta Eels and the South Sydney Rabbitohs, but they face a Gold Coast side that will also take winning form into this fixture.

The Titans produced arguably their best performance of the date when they proved far too strong for the Sydney Roosters and they toughed it out against the Panthers to score rare back-to-back victories.

Gold Coast have an average record away from home and they have won just two of their past nine games as away favourites, while they are 5-6 against the line in this scenario.

South Sydney have shown signs that they are finally back on track in recent weeks and I am confident that they can score a comfortable victory over the Titans this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back The South Sydney Rabbitohs To Beat The Line (-4 Points)

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Cronulla Sharks

Monday June 6, 7:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 18 - Cronulla Sharks 20

This is set to be a genuine Monday Night Blockbuster and the market can’t separate these two teams.

The Sharks have a number of key players in the New South Wales State Of Origin side, but with five days between games the likes of Andrew Fifita, James Maloney and Paul Gallen should all be cleared to back-up.

Cronulla sit on top of the NRL ladder after winning eight games on the trot and their spectators are gaining confidence that this could finally be the year that they break through for a maiden premiership.

The Sharks have an excellent record away from home in the past 12 months and they have won nine out of their past 13 games on the road, while they are 10-3 against the line in this scenario.

Canterbury have really struggled for consistency during 2016 to date and they let slip a golden opportunity to make it three wins on the trot when they lost to the Canberra Raiders last weekend.

The Bulldogs have been a losing betting proposition in front of their home fans in the past 12 months, but they very rarely lose back-to-back games and they have won eight of their past nine games on the back of a loss.

Just like the market, I am having trouble splitting these two teams but the total points betting market does offer plenty of value.

Both the Sharks and the Bulldogs have consistently been unders teams in recent seasons and 60 percent on the Monday Night Football games since 2014 have been low-scoring games.

Recommended Bet: Back The Under (38.5 Points)