2025 Super Rugby Grand Final Preview

For the second time in three years, the Super Rugby Pacific Grand Final will see the Crusaders facing off with the Chiefs to wrap up an entertaining 2025 season.

In 2023 it was a hard fought contest that the Crusaders won 25-20 at FMG Stadium and we should be in for another epic encounter on Saturday night.

There will be plenty of nostalgia in the Christchurch air as the Crusaders prepare to farewell their home of Apollo Projects Stadium that has housed them since the 2011 earthquake.

Can they end the season on a positive note or will it be the Chiefs storming the castle and running away with their first Super Rugby title since 2013?

Find our previews and best bets for the game below.

After a nightmare 2024 season, the Crusaders have bounced back to the peak of the Super Rugby summit in 2025.

They posted an 11-3 record, finishing in second spot for the regular season, just behind the Chiefs on bonus points earned.

While certain parts of the squad underwent an overhaul, they retained heavy hitters throughout the team including forwards Cody Taylor and Scott Barrett, as well as Sevu Reece, David Havili and Will Jordan in the backs.

In their Quarter Final against the fifth placed Reds, the Crusaders dominated from the outset, leading 27-0 before the Queenslanders scored a couple of late consolation tries.

Elevated to the top seed because of the Chiefs loss in the first round of the finals, they took on the Blues and withstood a late, extended raid from the visitors to hold on for a 21-14 victory.

As for the Chiefs, their season was nothing short of exceptional, earning the honour of minor premiers with a dominant showing throughout the year.

They scored 550 points in their 14 games, 79 more than the next best team which was the Crusaders and also earning the best defensive record with 319 points conceded, 11 less than the second best Blues.

Even more impressive was their form to close the regular season, recording a series of dominant wins, including a huge 85-7 demolition of Moana Pasifika who were competing for the finals at that time.

However they were left stunned in their Quarter Final against the Blues, going down 20-19 in a result that would cost them hosting rights for this Grand Final.

Thanks to the quirks of the Super Rugby finals system they were still able to host the Brumbies in the Semi Final and they ran away with it in the second half, beating the Australian side 37-17 to book their third straight Grand Final appearance.

As for how this game will unfold, you have to wonder how much the last two unsuccessful Grand Final appearances will weigh on the minds of the Chiefs.

Especially losing one to the Crusaders two years ago at their home ground.

Since then though, the Chiefs have won three of the last four meetings including both regular season encounters in 2025, 49-24 at FMG Stadium in February and 35-19 in Christchurch in May.

But in a situation like this, club DNA does come into consideration and you cannot back against the Crusaders in this spot.

They know how to win these games at even odds, they are worth backing in.

As for other value plays in the market, a low scoring contest does offer some value and based on the way these games tend to play out.

Finally we may as well pick a try scorer and Crusaders forward Scott Barrett has been in strong form to finish the season and is worth a roll of the dice at his current price.

Crusaders to Win @ $1.90

Under 46.5 Total Points @ $2.15

Scott Barrett Anytime Try Scorer @ $6.50

2024

An eventful Super Rugby Pacific season draws to a close on Saturday evening and for the third straight year, it’s an all New Zealand final, albeit with a twist.

For the first time since 2016 a team other than the Crusaders will raise the trophy at full time and it is somewhat fitting that it is the defeated finalists from 2022 and 2023 facing off in Auckland.

The Blues will be chasing their first title since 2003 while the Chiefs last won in 2013 having gone back to back.

It’s going to be a tense atmosphere at a sold out Eden Park as the 2024 Super Rugby Pacific champion is crowned, check out who we are backing here.

A phenomenally successful season for the Blues saw them finish in second place on the Super Rugby ladder with a 12-2 record.

The biggest reason for their success is a perfect home record, winning all nine games by an average of 25.2 points.

Their two blemishes came on the road, losing to the eventual minor premiers the Hurricanes in March before dropping a late May clash against the Crusaders.

However they served a warning last Friday when they took on the Brumbies in the Semi Final, flying out to a 24-6 lead inside 25 minutes which essentially killed off the game.

Meanwhile the Chiefs had a clear mission for their 2024 campaign, go one better than 2023, where they took out the minor premiership but lost the Grand Final at FMG Stadium to the Crusaders.

Record wise there was a notable backwards step, going 9-5 but still managing to finish in fourth place and booking a home Quarter Final with the Reds.

A near perfect first half that ended 31-0 in the Chiefs’ favour set the table for a Semi Final trip to Wellington where they faced the top of the table Hurricanes.

Again it was another fast start that laid the foundation for a comfortable win, with a late Canes try making the final score a bit more respectable.

With the likes of Damian McKenzie, the Chiefs are always dangerous and they will be primed to jump out of the blocks to spring another big upset.

There is just the one head to head encounter from this season and even that has to be analysed with a grain of salt.

It was the final round of the regular season and that game only meant something to the Blues, who were still a chance of finishing on top of the table at kickoff.

The Chiefs were locked in to fourth place and played like a team whose main focus was getting out of the game healthy, as the Blues won 31-17.

As good as the Chiefs have looked in their two finals games, going to Eden Park is a massive test and one that might be just a little bit too far above their capabilities.

Since the Blues resurgence in the second half of 2020, they have won all four home games against the Chiefs.

However I can’t see the Chiefs getting blown out either, the play of McKenzie will be enough to keep the scoreline close but not close enough to win the title.

Blues to Win by 1-12 (Inc ET) @ $2.4

2023

As the 2023 Rugby World Cup inches ever closer on the calendar, the Super Rugby season draws to a close this weekend with a tantalising Grand Final to take place this Saturday in Waikato.

For the 16^th time in their history, the Crusaders will play in the final game of the season as they pursue a 12^th Super Rugby title (not counting the 2020 Super Rugby Aotearoa round robin only tournament).

However they are going to have to be on their game as they travel to FMG Stadium to face minor premiers the Chiefs, who had a dominant regular season but have been pushed in both of their postseason games so far.

We’ve got you covered with our game preview and best bet for the Super Rugby Grand Final below so read on and see who we are backing.

Over the last 17 weeks there is no debating who has been the best team in Super Rugby, with the Chiefs enjoying a historically good season.

A 13-1 record saw them clinch the minor premiership by 11 points over the Crusaders as they played some scintillating rugby.

Their one blemish came against the Reds, going down 25-22 two weeks before the end of the season however that can definitely be treated as an anomaly when examining the season as a whole.

Come finals time the Chiefs have been far from perfect but they have shown a maturity and calmness that allowed them to survive a couple of stern challenges from the Reds and Brumbies.

As for the Crusaders, it took them a while to get going with some rough early season results including a shock loss in Fiji, but it didn’t really matter once the calendar switched over to May.

They have won six of their last seven and the one defeat came in a final round game against the Hurricanes where the Crusaders had second spot locked up and were more interested in getting through the game in one piece.

As the side that specialises in this time of year, it was no surprise to see them dismantle the Drua in the Quarter Finals 49-8 to kick off their finals campaign.

What was a massive shock was the manner in which they demolished the Blues (who finished with the same 10-4 record as the Crusaders) in the Semi Final, recording a statement 52-15 victory.

It served as a nice reminder as to why backing against the Crusaders at this time of year is always a risky proposition.

Over the last three decades one of the toughest tasks in Super Rugby has been beating the Crusaders twice in a season but as a part of their phenomenal run, the Chiefs did just that.

In Round 1 they stunned the Crusaders, running away with a 31-10 win in Christchurch that very few people saw coming.

The second game in Round 10 in Waikato was a much tighter affair with the teams going back and forth for the full 80 minutes.

Richie Mo’unga gave the visitors a 24-22 lead with nine minutes remaining but the Chiefs stormed home with tries to Shaun Stevenson and Tyrone Thompson to all but secure the minor premiership 34-24 on the day.

As tough as beating the Crusaders twice in a season is, winning three games in the space of a few months is significantly harder and as good as the Chiefs have been all year, their inconsistencies in the last two weeks does weigh on the mind.

At this time of year it’s a simple philosophy for punters and it’s a pick made with the gut feel more than anything else, but you just don’t back against the Crusaders.

I’m expecting them to find a way to win, Richie Mo’unga makes his case for the All Blacks number 10 jersey and Scott Robertson closes out his stay in Christchurch with another title (and breakdance).

Crusaders to Win @ $1.91

2022

The inaugural Super Rugby Pacific season reaches its conclusion this weekend with the Grand Final between New Zealand heavyweights the Blues and Crusaders at Eden Park.

After taking out the Super Rugby Trans-Tasman competition last year, defeating the Highlanders in the Final, the Blues will be chasing their fifth overall title.

As for the Crusaders, they remain the benchmark for success in the Southern Hemisphere with 12 titles to their name including the two Super Rugby Aotearoa tournaments.

It is all shaping up for a classic clash in Saturday’s final and we’ve got our best bet below.

Despite the best efforts of the Brumbies, it’s an all-New Zealand decider after the top two teams in the competition booked their spot in the Grand Final.

There can be no argument about the Blues deserving a place in this game, running away with the minor premiership after a first up defeat at the hands of the Hurricanes.

Round 2 saw them scrape by the Chiefs 24-22, a win that kick started a 15 game unbeaten run that is still going.

In fact, they have only managed to get stronger as the season went on, including a 25-0 shutout revenge win over the Chiefs before they took on the Australian sides.

Their biggest win of the season came in early May when they belted the Melbourne Rebels 71-28 at Eden Park.

A comfortable 35-6 win over the Highlanders in the quarter finals was followed by a battle against the Brumbies where the Blues had to charge down a late drop goal attempt to preserve a 20-19 advantage.

Normally it is the Crusaders setting the pace in Super Rugby but it was far from smooth sailing throughout the campaign.

They started the year off with a 10 point win over the Hurricanes before dropping their first points of the year at home to the Chiefs in mid-March.

Questions were asked about their calibre mid-season after a four point loss to the Blues in Christchurch and a three point defeat in Sydney in the space of three weeks but those losses only seemed to serve as a wake up call.

Once the calendar hit May, the Crusaders found another gear recording double digit wins in their last six games including one of the best defensive efforts you will see against the Chiefs in the Semi Final.

It’s a tough contest to pick and one that should go right down to the wire with a strong case to be made for both sides.

There is no argument that the Blues deserve their slight favouritism but this is the time of year the Crusaders seem to specialise in.

After all they have four runners up finishes to go with their 12 titles, but it is tough to ignore the Blues proficiency in attack.

The fact that they can score from just about anywhere swings the game in their favour and playing at home in Eden Park also gives them a slight edge.

There’s no need to overcomplicate this tip, it’s a rare Super Rugby market where value can be found backing the winner of the game and that’s where the tip for this one is headed.

Back the Blues to Win @ $1.73

2021

Super Rugby Trans Tasman Grand Final

In a surprise to absolutely nobody, even the most optimistic of Australian rugby fans, the 2021 Super Rugby Trans-Tasman Grand Final will be contested by a pair of New Zealand based sides.

What is a massive shock however is that one of those sides will not be the dynastic Crusaders, who will not win a title for the first time since the 2017 Super Rugby season.

Instead, the Blues and Highlanders will face off at the historic venue of Eden Park for the first Super Rugby Trans-Tasman title.

While many expected the Crusaders to make and most likely host the Super Rugby Grand Final, few would begrudge the Blues and Highlanders their place in the decider.

They both recorded perfect 5-0 records against their Australian opponents and registered three bonus points apiece with the Blues earning home ground advantage thanks to the best points differential in the competition.

After just missing the Super Rugby Aotearoa Grand Final on the total wins tiebreaker against the Chiefs, the Blues came out of the blocks flying, recording a 50-3 win over the Melbourne Rebels.

Up next game a pair of comfortable wins at home over the Waratahs and Brumbies at Eden Park having them on the maximum 15 points through three rounds.

They were made to work in the final two rounds however, holding off the Reds in Brisbane 31-24 before finishing up their campaign with a 31-21 win over the Force to secure a home Grand Final.

It was a difficult Super Rugby Aotearoa season for the Highlanders, finishing well off the pace in fourth place.

When the Trans-Tasman competition got underway it was a very different story however with the Highlanders lighting up the scoreboard, scoring 40 points in all three games where they were the home team.

The Reds were no match for them in Round 1, going down 40-19 before a tough trip to Perth produced another much needed victory.

Round 2 saw them survive a gallant Western Force outfit in Perth before hosting the Rebels in a relocated match in Sydney .

Needing to be perfect in their final two fixtures to keep their hopes of making the Grand Final alive, they thumped the Waratahs 59-23 before recording a bonus point win in Canberra to leapfrog the Crusaders and secure second spot.

Aside from a couple of slip ups either side of the Easter weekend, the Blues have been arguably the second most impressive team in the competition since rugby resumed post Covid.

With an impressive record of 14 wins and just six defeats (and one no-result), the Blues are no longer the Kiwi easy beats from two years ago.

Of the four meetings in Super Rugby Aotearoa, three have gone the way of the Blues with the margin of victory growing each time, however their most recent match finished 35-29 to the Highlanders.

In a match like this, there is a legitimate case to be made for both teams and there is a real argument to be made for the Highlanders to spring an upset.

The visitors have performed admirably this season despite missing a number of key players including Liam Squire and with Jona Nareki and Pari Pari Parkinson both unlikely to play after leaving the Round 5 match with injuries, you wonder what the breaking point will be for them.

Injury concerns are not limited to the Highlanders however with the Blues facing a nervous wait after flyhalf Otere Black went down at training.

Momentum is also a huge factor heading into this fixture with the Blues producing a pair of tough fought wins that should serve them well.

I can’t see this match being a blowout and I do give the edge to the hometown Blues so I will dip into the winning margin market for one last Super Rugby Trans-Tasman bet.

Back the Blues by 1-12 @ $2.90

2020

*SUPER RUGBY FINALS CANCELLED DUE TO COVID-19*

2019

Well after 20 weeks we have our Super Rugby Finalists and yet again it’s the Crusaders with a chance to be crowned champions.

It seemed largely inevitable for most of the season that the Crusaders would make the decider, after all they been on top of the competition ladder for most, if not all of the season.

Not to mention that this will be their 14^th appearance in this game so certainly have the big game experience.

As for the Jaguares this is easily their most successful season having improved every year culminating with the South African Conference title this year and easily the best side they have fielded.

What they lack in big game experience they certainly make up for in guile and genuine talent, they have shown over the course of the season they have the ability to win low and high scoring contests and bring a seven game winning streak into the final.

They won 11 of their 16 games this season with their last defeat coming on May 11 when they played the Highlanders in Dunedin.

In fact, they have won 11 of their last 12 since the start of April and will be full of confidence.

The Crusaders on the other hand have had an up and down season by their lofty standards, also winning 11 games, drawing twice and losing twice with their game away to the Highlanders also declared a draw after the Christchurch shooting in March.

It can’t be overstated how important it is to the Crusaders playing this game at home is, they have not lost at AMI Stadium since Round 17, 2016 which says it all about how tough a venue it is for opponents to come there.

The only side to pick up anything of value in that time was the Sharks who held them to a draw in May.

They will be without Ryan Crotty and Scott Barrett, both of whom have been ruled out with hand injuries however the Jaguares do have a long haul flight to overcome which, as we have seen in this Super Rugby format, is a big ask.

Despite occasional appearances to the contrary, this Crusaders side is definitely not the invincible force they have been in the past, it won’t be a procession to the trophy.

As the week has gone on and the more you give it some thought, you could really make a case that the Jaguares will ride their momentum and cause an upset, but I’m not ready to buy the Crusaders losing their first ever home final here.

I’m happy to back the Jaguares to give them everything they can handle, and I would not be at all surprised if this winds up being a tense game that goes down to the wire.

Back the Crusaders by 1-12 @ $3.40

2018

The 2018 Super Rugby Grand Final is a rematch of last years clash between the Crusaders and the Lions and this is set to be an intriguing fixture.

The Crusaders have been the team to beat in Super Rugby all season long and it is no surprise that they are clear favourites in 2018 Super Rugby Grand Final betting, but they will not have things their own way against a high-scoring Lions outfit.

Can the Crusaders claim an historic ninth Super Rugby title or can the Lions record one of the biggest upsets in Super Rugby Grand Final history?

We have analysed both teams and our 2018 Super Rugby Grand Final tips can be found below.

Make room in that trophy cabinet, the Crusaders might just be pinching another one.

Scott Robertson’s squad were so dominant last week, and in case you need further proof that this is the team to beat, their resounding 30-12 victory over the Hurricanes has already pushed the Crusaders into $1.10 to win the Final on Saturday.

Full credit to the Hurricanes, they gave the defending champs a run for their money.

The Crusaders opened the scoring behind Richie Mo’unga in the 15th minute, but the Hurricanes answered back minutes later with a try of their own.

Unfortunately, that’s about as good as it got for the Wellington based club, as the Crusaders put up three unanswered tries.

Not to be outdone, the Lions crushed a few souls of their own.

The South African squad is one of the most prolific try-scoring clubs in recent memory, and although the likes of Ned Hanigan and Israel Folau got the Waratahs off to a fast start, there was no stopping the Lions’ comeback from the 21st minute onward.

It’s safe to assume the scoreboard will receive a good workout on Saturday, but as we all know, the Crusaders are near unbeatable in Christchurch.

The home team holds a crazy 11-0 record as the head-to-head favourite at AMI Stadium, and when the crowd gets behind them, the Crusaders are impossible to beat.

If there is one team that can upset the hosts however, it might be the Lions.

These two last met back in April, a game the Crusaders won 14-8.

That particular match was scrappy and rather low-scoring, but coach John Ackermann has to remember what cost his the win.

In a nutshell, missed tackling and a lack of the ball, especially in their own half, hurt the Lions dearly.

On a positive note though, the Lions forced the Crusaders into 11 handling errors and 12 penalties, so if they can force that kind of pressure again this weekend, there’s every chance of an upset.

As has been the case for much of these finals, the battle will be won in the scrum.

The Lions held strong against the Crusaders in that department last time out, but despite the win, they were dominated in the scrums against the Waratahs last week.

If this game was played on a neutral ground, you’d give the Lions a big chance, but away in New Zealand, a country the Lions haven’t won in all season, it’s tough to see it happening.

Tip: Back the Crusaders To Beat The Line (-18.5 Points) @ $1.91

Same Game Multi: Crusaders 13+, Ryan Crotty Anytime Try Scorer

2017

The 2017 Super Rugby Grand Final will be held on Saturday night and will be played between two sides that have lost just one game apiece all season.

The Lions recorded a stunning come from behind win against the Hurricanes last weekend to secure a home Grand Final against a Crusaders team that has been incredibly consistent throughout the season.

There has been a question mark over the Lions all season long as they had not played any teams from New Zealand, but their win over the Hurricanes showed that they can mix it with the very best in the competition.

Can they beat the Crusaders to claim a maiden Super Rugby title? We have analysed both sides to come up with our 2017 Super Rugby Grand Final tips.

There is very little between these two sides in betting and it is currently the Crusaders that are narrow favourites in 2017 Super Rugby Grand Final betting.

The Crusaders have only lost one game this season – when they took an under-strength side into final regular season clash against the Hurricanes – and they have proven to be incredibly consistent all season long.

The way that they have comfortably accounted for both the Highlanders and the Chiefs in recent week has been most impressive and historically they have an excellent record against the Lions.

They have won their past six games as home favourites and their record against the line in this scenario is a most impressive 4-2.

All of the criticism that have come the way of the Lions this season due to their easy draw looked correct when they struggled out of the gates against the Hurricanes, but the way that they came back in the second half could not have been more impressive.

They have now won their past nine games as favourites and they are 6-3 against the line in front of their home fans.

Their overall record against the Crusaders is extremely poor, but they will take plenty of confidence from the fact that they beat the Crusaders last season.

There is plenty to like and admire about both these teams, but the professional way that the Crusaders have played in the business end of the season can’t be underestimated and they do represent genuine value to record another Super Rugby title.

Back The Crusaders To Win @ $1.83

2016

We have finally reached the final weekend of what has been an extremely interesting Super Rugby season and we are set for a highly intriguing Grand Final this weekend.

The Hurricanes and Lions have been the two best sides throughout the entire Super Rugby season and it is fitting that they will do battle in the decider – with one team certain to win their first ever Super Rugby title.

The Hurricanes have the home ground advantage and will go into the 2016 Super Rugby Grand Final as clear favourites, but the Lions have defied expectations all season long and have a genuine chance to record the biggest victory in franchise history.

Will the Hurricanes bury the demons of last year’s Grand Final loss or will they suffer another surprised defeat? I have studied the make-up of both sides and come up with the 2016 Super Rugby Grand Final best bets!

The Hurricanes secured their place in the Super Rugby Grand Final with a comfortable victory over the Chiefs last weekend and they will head into this clash on the back of seven straight victories.

It is no surprise that the Hurricanes will go into this clash as favourites, but the fact that they are as short as their current quote of $1.36 is somewhat of a surprise considering their poor record in title deciders.

In saying that, the Wellington-based outfit has proven to be a very reliable side as home favourites this season and they have won seven out of their eight games these season in that scenario.

Their record against the line is not as positive and they have covered the spread in only four of their eight games in this situation.

There has been no better betting team in Super Rugby than the Lions this season and they are currently available at the juicy odds of $3.20 to deliver South Africa their first Super Rugby title since the Bulls were successful in 2010.

The Lions have won three of their five away as away underdogs this season for a sizeable profit and their record against the line is a very impressive 4-1.

The Hurricanes are deserving favourites, but I expect this clash to be a great deal closer than the current odds suggest and I am more than happy to back the Lions against the line with a start of 8.5 points, while they are not without a chance of getting the job done at $3.20.

Recommended Bet: Back The Lions To Beat The Line (+8.5 Points)