2022 Champions League Final Preview

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The 2021/2022 European club season draws to a close with the biggest game of them all, the Champions League Final.

Just like four years ago, it will be Liverpool taking on Spanish giants Real Madrid with the Reds out for revenge after that 3-1 defeat in Kyiv.

It will be the third straight season the Champions League Final has been relocated after this was originally scheduled in St Petersburg before it was moved to Saint-Denis in late February.

On a different note, it will be the first time since Liverpool’s triumph in 2019 over Tottenham at the Wanda Metropolitano that the Champions League Final will be played in front of a full stadium, with the 2020 and 2021 deciders having zero and 14,000 fans in attendance respectively.

We’ve got our full breakdown of the 2022 Champions League Final between Liverpool and Real Madrid and we have our team previews and best bets below.

Liverpool Vs Real Madrid

Sunday 29 May, 5:00am, Stade de France (Paris)

Liverpool 0 – Real Madrid 1

Chasing their third trophy of the season having won both English domestic cups while also pushing Manchester City to the final day in the Premier League, claiming the club’s seventh Champions League would cap a remarkable season.

As for Real Madrid, Champions League success is a part of their storied history with 13 titles and having dominated the competition over the last decade, they will be desperate to add another trophy to their cabinet at the Bernabeu.

How They Got Here

Drawn in a tough group with Atletico Madrid, Porto and A.C. Milan, Liverpool brushed aside their competition with ease, winning all six matches and comfortably advancing in first place.

In the Round of 16, Liverpool survived a fast finishing Inter Milan 2-1 on aggregate before defeating Benfica 6-4 on aggregate in the Quarter Finals.

After claiming the first leg of the Semi Final tie with Villarreal 2-0, it looked like Liverpool would be cruising to the Champions League Final, but a frantic rally in the second half meant they had to go deep into their reserves to get by 3-2 on the night and 5-2 on aggregate.

Real Madrid have done it the hard way with just a one goal margin in each of their three ties.

They turned around a 1-0 deficit in the second leg against Paris Saint Germain before a wild Quarter Final against Chelsea needed extra time to separate the two sides after the two legs finished 3-1 to the home side.

As if that wasn’t dramatic enough, their Semi Final against Manchester City will go down as an all time classic Champions League tie.

After an eventful first leg finished 4-3 to City at the Etihad, Madrid needed a late miracle to turn over a deficit.

Trailing 1-0 on the night, Rodrygo scored a brace in the 90th and 91st minute to send the game to extra time where Karim Benzema scored a penalty in extra time to send Madrid to their first final in four years.

Head to Head History

This will be the third time Liverpool and Real Madrid have met in the final of a European cup tournament with the Reds claiming the 1981 title with Alan Kennedy’s 82nd minute goal.

The 2018 decider was much more dramatic affair with Mo Salah injured early and Loris Karius’s errors consigning Liverpool to a 3-1 defeat thanks to Gareth Bale’s second half brace.

That was not the most recent contest between the two sides with them meeting in the Quarter Finals of last year’s Champions League.

In front of empty stadiums, Real Madrid won the first leg 3-1 in Spain and held Liverpool to a scoreless draw at Anfield to advance from that tie.

Betting Plays

Total Goals

Now for the important stuff from this Champions League Final Preview, what are the best bets in the market.

Recent history points towards a low scoring, arm wrestle of the final with the last three deciders finishing 2-0, 1-0 and 1-0.

However Both Teams to Score had hit in the eight finals prior to that run and we could see a return to that trend thanks to the bevy of attacking talent on offer.

Liverpool’s defence has shown a few cracks throughout the season and can be breached while Real Madrid also played in their share of shootouts.

It’s not going to be for a lack of skill from the defenders or goalkeepers, but just the sheer relentless pressure from the respective forwards has me leaning towards backing a high scoring contest.

If you’re a neutral then surely you’re hoping this game delivers on the drama.

Back Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.95

Goalscorers

It is no surprise to see the two superstar attackers on top of the goalscorer markets with Karim Benzema and Mo Salah the shortest priced options.

With both players at over $2.00 to score at anytime in the market, you could be forgiven for taking the safe value option of both of those players.

After all Benzema has scored 15 Champions League goals this season, while Salah has found the back of the net eight times in this competition.

There is value to be found a bit further down the market for both clubs.

Luis Diaz has been a remarkable addition to an already potent forward line for Liverpool, scoring four goals in this competition and could be an impact player for Jurgen Klopp as Real will have more pressing issues to deal with.

Meanwhile for Real, it’s tough to look beyond the hero of the Semi Final turnaround with Rodrygo looking well over the odds for someone who has contributed as much as he has of late.

Back Luis Diaz Anytime Goalscorer @ $3.30

Back Rodrygo Anytime Goalscorer @ $5.00

Match Result

In just about every way, you can talk yourself into Real Madrid or Liverpool being crowned champions of Europe in this game.

Whether it’s an arm wrestle that goes to penalties, or a back and forth encounter with goals being scored at a rate we cannot keep up with.

For that reason, it’s tough to justify why Liverpool are such clear favourites over a side they have not beaten since 1981.

Even though they will be motivated to end what has been a successful season on a high note, Real won’t care about history or who deserves what and they have a damn good squad to top it off.

If it goes to penalties you have to like Liverpool given they have won both of their trophies via the spot, but I cannot see Real letting it get that far and think it will be European crown number 14 for Los Blancos.

Back Real Madrid to Lift the Trophy @ $2.45

UCL FINAL SGM: Real Madrid to Win (90 Minutes), Salah & Benzema Anytime Goalscorers, Over 3.5 Goals @ $25.80


2021

The final club match of the 2021 European season sees an all English edition of the Champions League Final.

Both sides have already secured their place in next season’s premiere club tournament however there is plenty on the line when these sides face off in Lisbon.

It will be the second straight season that the Champions League Final has been played in Portugal with match moved from the original venue of the Ataturk Olympic Stadium due to the COVID situation in Turkey.

We have done a full breakdown of the 2021 Champions League Final and have our previews and best bets below.

Manchester City Vs Chelsea

Sunday 30 May, 5:00am, Estadio do Dragao

Manchester City 0 – Chelsea 1

Chelsea will be taking part in its third Champions League Final having lost the first all English decider to Manchester United on penalties in 2008 before defeating Bayern Munich at their home ground on penalties in 2012.

As for Manchester City, this is the last remaining hole in their trophy cabinet having won every English title on offer since the City Football Group took over the club in 2008.

Regardless of the final score, this is their best ever performance in the UEFA Champions League and should they win, it will be their first European trophy in over 50 years, taking out the UEFA Cup Winners Cup in 1970.

How They Got Here

City cruised through their group, taking 16 points from their six matches, conceding just one goal which came in their first fixture.

They dispatched Borussia Monchengladbach in the Round of 16 before another German opponent awaited them in the Quarter Finals, defeating Borussia Dortmund 2-1 in both the home and away legs.

Last season’s defeated finalists Paris Saint Germain were the last remaining hurdle before the final with Riyad Mahrez giving City the advantage.

The Algerian scored three of his side’s four goals over the two legs in their 4-1 aggregate victory, sending them to their first Champions League Final.

As for Chelsea, they were also able to top their group after finishing undefeated and conceding just two goals in that time.

Their 4-0 win over Sevilla on Matchday 5 gave them the advantage over the Spanish club who finished just one point behind them in the group.

It’s fair to say that Chelsea received no favours in the Round of 16 Draw with La Liga champions elect Atletico Madrid their opponent there.

They managed to grind out a 3-0 aggregate victory before surviving against a gallant Porto side 2-1 on aggregate in the Quarter Finals.

Perhaps the biggest surprise of the entire Champions League knockout phase was not that Chelsea defeated Real Madrid, but the relative ease with which they did so.

The Blues were firmly in the ascendency taking the tie 3-1 on aggregate after a 2-0 second leg victory at Stamford Bridge to advance to their third Champions League Final.

Past Matches

This will be the fourth meeting between Chelsea and Manchester City this season with Thomas Tuchel’s side holding a 2-1 aggregate advantage.

City won the Premier League meeting at Stamford Bridge 3-1 in January thanks to goals from Ilkay Gundogan, Phil Foden and Kevin De Bruyne.

It was one of the final matches that Frank Lampard was in charge of Chelsea before he was replaced with German boss Thomas Tuchel.

He brought about a sense of resiliency in Chelsea guiding the club by Chelsea 1-0 in the FA Cup Semi Final and 2-1 at the Etihad on May 9 (AEST).

Betting Plays

Total Goals

Both City and Chelsea have built their success this season on resolute defensive efforts, prioritising a clean sheet above all else.

The markets for this game are favouring a low scoring contest however both sides have let their defensive resilience drop in the closing stages of the season.

Chelsea has not kept a clean sheet since their Champions League Semi Final win over Real Madrid, a streak of five matches.

City got their season back on track on the weekend with a 5-0 victory in their final Premier League match, however they allowed seven goals in the three matches before that.

While the last two Champions League Finals have finished 2-0 and 1-0, the eight prior to that saw both teams score and this match should see that trend returned.

There is just too much attacking talent on display to expect both teams to produce a clean sheet here and I’ll start off the action by taking both teams to score.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $2.05

Goalscorers

It has been 18 years since we had a scoreless Champions League Final and there have been just two since the 1990-1991 season.

Without trying to jinx it, surely someone is going to score in the 2021 Champions League Final, the question is who?

Neither side relies on an out and out primary goalscorer with seven City players scoring at least 10 goals this season and midfielder Ilkay Gundogan leading the way with 17 goals this season.

Only three Chelsea players have reached double digits with Timo Werner and Tammy Abraham the most productive players, registering 12 goals apiece, and a further seven players have scored at least five.

I’ll back one player from each side and there is value in the market with both teams offering up several options.

For City I’ll stick with the hot hand and back Riyad Mahrez to follow on from his efforts against PSG while on Chelsea’s side, I have to take Timo Werner at his current price.

The German has endured a hot and cold debut season in England but could end on a high note but scoring in their biggest game of the season.

Back Riyad Mahrez Anytime Goal Scorer @ $3.30

Back Timo Werner Anytime Goal Scorer @ $4.50

Match Result

It’s indisputable that Chelsea has the mental edge going into this match, having defeated City twice in the last six weeks already.

For that reason alone, the London side are phenomenal value to win in 90 minutes ($4.50) or just to lift the trophy ($2.75).

What is stopping me from pulling the trigger however is the fact that this has been City’s primary objective and they will put everything they have into this match.

Chelsea will not go down swinging however and I fully expect them to make life tough on Guardiola’s side, making them earn every inch on the pitch.

In the end the value on the Premier League champions to lift the trophy is just too good to back, especially if they can score early and force Chelsea to chase the match.

We could be in for an all time classic Champions League Final on Sunday morning and I’ll back City to emerge victorious by a score of 4-2.

That correct score is paying $81 and as tempting as it is to recommend that, there is more than enough value in the 90 minute result doubles market taking City to win and score a few goals in the process.

SGM: City to Win, Both Teams to Score and Over 3.5 Goals @ $8.43


2020

The 2020 Champions League Final brings a curtain down on one of the most bizarre seasons of European Football ever.

With the bulk of the knockout phase relocated to Portugal, Europe’s best sides have found ways to step up and deliver here.

Now Paris Saint Germain and Bayern Munich, two sides with very different histories, will compete for the title of Champions of Europe on Monday morning.

PSG are the definition of modern football, a star laden team, backed by private wealth looking to cap their rise up Europe’s hierarchy with the ultimate crown.

Bayern on the other hand are already entrenched in footballing royalty, the dominant force in Germany, they will be looking for their sixth European title and first since 2013.

Read on to see who we are backing in one of the premiere footballing occasions on the calendar.

PSG Vs Bayern Munich

Monday 24 August, 5:00am, Estadio da Luz

PSG 0 – Bayern Munich 1

Before we get into the major market, we should take a look at some of the other betting options as we look to finish the season on a winning note.

Both of these teams are lead by top line strikers so don’t be surprised if this one turns into a shootout, especially given the chances both sides have given up over the last couple of weeks.

Neither side will mind conceding one or two goals as they will be more than confident in their own attacking prowess to win in a high scoring affair.

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ $1.96

Then you have to also take a look at who will score the goals and there is no point in looking at anyone other than Bayern’s marksman Robert Lewandowski.

He has scored in all three of Bayern’s Champions League fixtures since the resumption and will want to atone for his lone Champions League Final appearance in 2013 for Borussia Dortmund where he was kept quiet by Bayern’s backline.

Even at this short of a price it’s worth backing him in since if Bayern are going to score, he is their main outlet.

Back Robert Lewandowski Anytime Goalscorer @ $1.62

Now for the big one, deciding which side to back to win this match.

Do you go for the bling or the history?

There is no doubt that there is an unfair amount of talent on both sides, including PSG having possibly the two best players in the world right now in Neymar and Kylian Mbappe.

But it’s hard to look past Bayern here, they are a far more complete team and are on the verge of completing a historic perfect Champions League campaign.

When the French and Germans face off in just about anything you stick to the hard and fast rule: Back the Germans.

Back Bayern Munich to Win (90 Minutes) @ $2.05


2019

For the first time since 2008 in Moscow, the Champions League Final will be contested by two English teams.

It will be the culmination of one of, if not the craziest Champions League tournaments in recent memory.

The knockout stages alone have had VAR controversy, massive comebacks, late goals and Cinderella stories which were ended in the cruellest of fashions.

In the end we are left with the second and fourth best Premier League teams competing for European club football’s ultimate prize.

Tottenham Vs Liverpool

Sunday 2 June, 5:00am, Wanda Metropolitano Stadium

Tottenham 0 – Liverpool 2

Road to the Final

Miracles were the order of the day for both sides throughout the whole tournament, leaving the question of whether or not one or both sides have used up all their luck.

Let’s start with Liverpool, who set out to avenge last season’s defeat to Real Madrid but very nearly didn’t get out of the group stage.

They advanced thanks to a Matchday 6 win at home to Napoli and went through as runners up behind PSG.

That saw them drawn against Bayern Munich in the Round of 16 and after a scoreless draw at Anfield, a huge 3-1 win in Munich sent them through where they brushed Porto aside with a 6-1 aggregate.

Their semi final against Barcelona saw them go into the second leg at Anfield needing to overhaul a 3-0 deficit which produced one of those “magical European nights” their fans go on & on about.

Anyway, they won the night 4-0 and the tie 4-3 so here they are.

Now Tottenham, who needed a late goal on Matchday 6 to get out of a very tough group, Lucas Moura’s strike at the Nou Camp against an already qualified Barcelona sent Tottenham to the knockout stages ahead of Inter Milan.

After cruising past Borussia Dortmund in the Round of 16, things once again got crazy when they faced Manchester City.

While the first leg was a 1-0 victory, that could politely be described as an arm wrestle, the second leg produced one of those matches you couldn’t help but enjoy as a fan or neutral, all with Harry Kane missing through an injury picked up in the first leg.

A back and forth tie went down to the wire and with the tie level at 4-4 on aggregate, it looked like Raheem Sterling had won it for City in the 93rd minute, only for VAR to intervene and chalk it off, sending Spurs through on away goals to a semi final that might actually top that.

Ajax won the first leg at Tottenham’s new stadium 1-0 and managed to take a 2-0 lead by halftime.

Up stepped Lucas Moura (again) with a second half hat-trick, sealed with a 96th minute winner sending the (very small) contingent of away fans into raptures and ending Ajax’s fairytale run.

Total Goals Forecast

If there’s one thing to take away from both side’s path to the final, it’s that they love a bit of late drama, and scoring a few goals.

History also says there will be goals in this one as well, the both teams to score market has hit in the last eight Champions League Finals.

That market has also hit in the last four meetings between these sides, so it’s certainly worth backing to happen here.

As for how many goals, that generally comes down to how optimistic you are about the result.

Three of the last seven have finished 1-1 at the end of 90 minutes but I’m more interested in this following the pattern of the last few finals and seeing plenty of goals.

I’ll be putting a small bet on Over 3.5 Goals which has hit in three of the last four Finals and with the attackers on hand, could very well be in play again here.

Goalscorer Markets

If there are going to be goals in this game, someone has to score them and the obvious candidates for both sides are their leading strikers, Mohamed Salah and Harry Kane.

Salah is the main man for Liverpool but he has been sharing the scoring load with Sadio Mane and Roberto Firmino with all three of those players scoring four times in the Champions League so far.

You can potentially eliminate Firmino as an option as he will likely be coming off the bench as he’s only just coming off an injury and may not even be used.

Then it just comes down to who you feel more comfortable backing here and after having to leave last year’s final early, I’ll back Salah to have a big impact on this one and open the scoring.

Over on the other side, it’s all about Harry Kane and his status for the Final.

By all accounts it sounds like he’s going to play so this is being written under the assumption he will take to the pitch with two working ankles.

Lucas Moura stepped up in his absence in a big way against Ajax but on this stage you have to back Kane to produce a moment of magic and get on the scoresheet.

Other Markets

As is the case with any major football final, you want to look through the markets to find some value and one of the popular ones is the red card market.

Here though, that’s not really looking like a great play considering no player has been sent off in a Champions League Final since Didier Drogba in the 116th minute of the 2008 final against Manchester United in Moscow.

Instead if you’re looking for a value play and think this match could be tough to split, put a little bit on the match to go to a shootout which, let’s be honest is totally in play, especially at $6.

Result

Alright, that’s plenty of talk but now let’s get down to business, who is going to win this game?

You really could make an argument for both sides but at the end of the day, this Liverpool side has been historically good, something that is easy to forget considering they lost the Premier League to a slightly more historic Manchester City side by one point.

Kane’s return should give Tottenham a real boost and both sides can score as many goals as they need to, but it’s just too hard to look past how good Liverpool have been this year so I’ll back them to win in normal time.

Back Liverpool to Win in 90 Minutes @ $1.91


2018

Liverpool return to Europe’s biggest club match for the first time in 11 years and face the two-time defending champions Real Madrid, who are going for their 13th Champions League trophy.

This will be the sixth meeting between these sides with the most recent fixture coming in the group stage of the 2014-2015 Champions League competition.

Madrid won 3-0 at Anfield in October and 1-0 at the Bernabeu however Liverpool won the knockout stages meeting in 2009 5-0 on aggregate.

Real Madrid Vs Liverpool

Sunday 27 May, 5:00am, NSC Olimpiyskiy Stadium

Road to the Final

Liverpool began their road to Kyiv in mid-August with a 6-3 aggregate win over Hoffenheim in the Play-Off Round.

They finished on top of Group H with three wins and three draws, scoring 23 goals including a 7-0 win over Maribor.

Throughout the knockout stages they built their success with big first leg wins and holding on in the return contest.

In the Round of 16 they won 5-0 over Porto before a scoreless draw in the second leg.

Their quarter final triumph was built on a 3-0 win over Manchester City at Anfield in the first leg.

It was nervy in the semi-final after going into the second leg with a 5-2 advantage. Roma almost pulled off a miraculous comeback winning the second leg 4-2 but it was Liverpool who held on to advance 7-6 on aggregate.

Real Madrid finished second in Group H just behind Tottenham with four wins, a draw and a loss from their games.

Their one loss coming at Wembley against Spurs and perhaps providing a blueprint for an English side to upset Los Blancos.

Their knockout path has been imposing starting off with Paris Saint-Germain, who were dismissed by a 5-2 aggregate score before facing off against Juventus.

Cristiano Ronaldo produced a goal to remember in the first leg as Real won 3-0 but Juve roared back in the second leg to level it up at 3-3 before a controversial penalty sent Real through.

In the semi-final they had to get past German heavyweights Bayern Munich which they did winning the first leg 2-1 and holding on for a 2-2 draw in the second contest.

Expect Some Goals

One thing that has stood out from both sides in the tournament so far is their propensity to both score and concede goals in bunches.

Real have scored 13 goals in their six games so far and have given up eight while Liverpool scored 17 and have given up seven, including conceding in each of their last three games.

Liverpool have done a fantastic job setting up to score early then hitting teams on the counter and will want to get that first goal.

Real will feel as though they can match however many goals Liverpool scores and they will need at least two in this game.

Three of the last four Champions League Finals have featured four or more goals so that is a good market to get on here with the attacking talent on show.

Back Over 3.5 Goals @ $2.20

It has been a remarkable effort from Liverpool to get this far, proving that on any given day they are capable of matching it with some of the biggest sides in the world.

Even so Real Madrid are a step up from that level.

Real has too many attacking options and will be able to keep Liverpool at an arms length throughout the game and be able to put it away in the final 10 minutes.

Back Real Madrid to Win in 90 Minutes @ $2.15


2017

The 2017 Champions League Final will be held at Millennium Stadium in Wales on Sunday morning and we are in for a truly fascinating game of football between Real Madrid and Juventus.

Real Madrid have the chance to become the first side since Milan in 1989/1990 to defend their Champions League title, but standing in their way is an incredibly well-organised Juventus side.

Will Gianluigi Buffon finally win a maiden Champions League title or will Real Madrid salute again? We have analysed both teams and our complete 2017 Champions League Final tips can be found below.

Juventus Vs Real Madrid

Sunday 4 June, 4:45am, Millennium Stadium

How They Got There

Real Madrid did not have a flawless run through the group stages and they finished in second position behind Borussia Dortmund after drawing with Dortmund twice and Legia Warsaw once.

They comfortably saw off Napoli in the round of 16 and got the job done against Bayern Munich in extra-time in the quarter-finals before they stamped their authority on local rivals Atletico Madrid in the first leg of the semi-finals.

Juventus finished on top of a tough group that also included Sevilla and Lyon before they were too tough for Porto in the round of 16.

They stamped themselves as leading contenders when they beat Barcelona 3-0 in the quarter-finals and they had no problems against Monaco in the semi-finals.

Recent Meetings

Real Madrid and Juventus have been regular foes in Europe dating back to 1962 and both sides currently hold eight wins apiece over the other, while there has been just the two draws.

Real Madrid took four points from their two clashes with Juventus in the group stages of the Champions League in 2013/2014, but Juventus beat Real Madrid in the Champions League semi-finals a year later.

Betting

There really is not a great deal between these two teams and that is shown in the 2017 UEFA Champions League Final betting market.

Real Madrid are currently narrow favourites at a quote of $2.70 from Juventus at $2.90 and the draw at $3.10.

Real Madrid are $1.83 to lift the trophy and there is $2 for Juventus to claim their first Champions League title since 1996.

Analysis

This will be an intriguing tactical battle between arguably the best attacking and best defensive sides in Europe.

Real Madrid have scored goals for fun during the Champions League to date, but breaking down this Juventus defensive unit will be much easier said than done.

Massimiliano Alegri has constructed a Juventus outfit that is fairly fluid – they played quiet differently against Barcelona and AS Monaco – but maintaining their shape is crucial and this is one of the many reasons they are so tough to break down.

While Juventus are lauded for their defensive ability, scoring goals is not an issue and the likes of Higuain, Mandzukic, Dani Alves and Dybala are all more than capable of troubling the Real Madrid back four.

Cristiano Ronaldo is obviously the star, but the key man for Real Madrid during the Champions League final will be defensive midfielder Casemiro.

He is a ball-winning machine that plays a crucial role often covering up for his attacking minded wing-backs.

One big advantage for Real Madrid is that their side is packed full of big-game players that are capable of producing a golden moment when it is needed the most.

Ronaldo looked a touch sluggish against Bayern Munich and still finished the game with a hat trick.

I expect both teams to make a fairly conservative start to the game and sit fairly deep, which could lead to the braver manager being rewarded.

Whichever way you look at it this is an incredibly open final and the only betting play that really does stand out is the $3.10 on offer for the draw.

Back The Draw @ $3.10


2016

The Champions League Final is one of the most anticipated matches on the international sporting calendar and it concludes what has been a truly remarkable season of European club football.

Real Madrid are clear favourites to lift the Champions League for a record-equalling 11th time, but it has been a far from ideal preparation for the global giants and they face an Atletico Madrid side full of confidence following their defeat of Bayern Munich in the semi-finals.

Can Real Madrid land their first piece of silverware for the season or will Atletico upset their cross-town rivals? I have analysed the make-up of both teams to come up with the best betting plays for the 2016 Champions League Final.

Real Madrid Vs Atletico Madrid

Sunday 29 May, 4:45am, San Siro

How They Got There

Real Madrid progressed from a group that included Paris Saint-Germain, Skakhtar Donetsk and Malmo without losing a game before they swept past Roma in the round of 16.

Wolfsburg took Real Madrid to the brink of elimination in the quarter-finals, but they progressed thanks to a Cristiano Ronaldo hat trick and they were too strong for Manchester City in the semi-finals.

Atletico Madrid topped their group which included Benfica, Galatasaray and Astana to progress to the knockout stages, but they required a penalty shootout to eliminate PSV Eindhoven after two scoreless games.

Atletico were not expected to progress past the quarter-finals stage of the tournament, but a stellar defensive effort saw them score a huge upset win over Barcelona and they recorded another boilover against Bayern Munich in the semi-finals.

Recent Meetings

This will be the third meeting between Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid this season.

The two sides played out a 1-1 draw when they met in October last year, but a typically impressive defensive effort from Atletico Madrid saw them register a 1-0 win over their rivals in February.

There is no doubt that Atletico Madrid have had the wood on Real Madrid in recent years and Real have not won a derby in La Liga since 2013, but Real beat Atletico in 2014 Champions League Final and eliminated them in the semi-finals last year.

Atletico have never beaten Real in European Football and Real Madrid have also won the past four Champions League Finals that they have played in.

Analysis

The 2014 Champions League Final between these two teams featured just one goal in 92 metres before Real Madrid ran away with the game in extra time and I expect a similar game this weekend.

Atletico Madrid have been absolutely enormous defensively during the Champions League to date and they have frustrated both Barcelona and Bayern Munich – the only two sides in the world that possess as many offensive weapons as Real Madrid.

In saying that, Real Madrid have been just as impressive defensively and they have kept ten clean sheets in their 12 Champions League games, with Manchester City never really looking like scoring in 180 minutes of football.

The key man for Real Madrid – as always – is Cristiano Ronaldo and he could prove to be the difference maker in this final after playing a part in 74 percent of the goals scored by his side during the tournament to date.

He limped out of training yesterday, but he is expected to be fit to play in the final and if he does he is good enough to produce the key moment that Real Madrid will need to win this final.

I have Real Madrid market at around the $2.15 mark and there is definite value at their current price of $2.40, while the $6.50 available for a Real Madrid to win 1-0 is worth a bet.

Recommended Bet: Real Madrid To Win @ $2.40 and Real Madrid To Win 1-0 @ $6.50