AFL Premiership 2026: Latest Odds, Tips & Predictions

The AFL Finals 2026 are fast approaching, and fans are already searching for the key details — from the official AFL finals dates 2026 to how the AFL finals format 2026 will shape each club’s path to the Grand Final. With the latest AFL finals odds 2026 shifting as form, injuries and ladder positions tighten, TAB NZ gives punters a complete finals betting hub packed with expert insights, market movers, team chances and value plays across every stage of September footy.

The 2026 AFL Finals come to a close with the AFL Grand Final on September 26, 2026, at the MCG after a brand-new AFL Finals system!

2026 AFL Finals Betting: Grand Final Odds

AFL AFL Premiership 2026 Betting Odds
Team Odds

AFL odds correct as of 22/09/2026 and subject to change.

AFL Finals Dates 2026

The AFL Finals 2026 run across five weeks, beginning with the newly introduced Wildcard Weekend and finishing with the AFL Grand Final at the MCG. Here are the confirmed dates based on the latest published schedule:

  • Wildcard Weekend: 29–30 August 2026
  • Week 1 – Qualifying & Elimination Finals: 5–6 September 2026
  • Week 2 – Semi Finals: 12–13 September 2026
  • Week 3 – Preliminary Finals: 19–20 September 2026
  • Week 4 – AFL Grand Final: Saturday, 26 September 2026, 2:30pm AEST at the MCG

AFL Finals 2026 Schedule

StageDatesDetails
Wildcard Weekend29–30 August 2026Two extra finals spots decided under the expanded AFL Finals format.
Week 1 – Qualifying & Elimination Finals5–6 September 2026The top‑four double chance begins; knockout footy for teams ranked 5–8.
Week 2 – Semi Finals12–13 September 2026Qualifying Final losers face Elimination Final winners for a spot in the prelims.
Week 3 – Preliminary Finals19–20 September 2026Winners of the Qualifying Finals host for a place in the Grand Final.
AFL Grand FinalSaturday, 26 September 20262:30pm AEST at the MCG — the biggest day on the AFL calendar.

2026 AFL Finals: Preliminary Finals Fixtures

2026 AFL Finals: Preliminary Final 1

Sydney Swans (QF Winners) vs Fremantle Dockers (SF Winners)

Sydney Swans
vs
Fremantle
Friday September 18, 7:40pm (AEST), SCG
Fremantle to Win by 1-39 @ $2.30

The Sydney Swans and Fremantle Dockers will fight for a spot in the 2026 AFL Grand Final when the clubs meet at the SCG in Friday night’s preliminary final. The Swans progressed to the penultimate stage of the season without their suspended stars, defeating Brisbane 141-88 in a qualifying final at the SCG a fortnight ago. Errol Gulden (34 disposals, one goal) led the way, while forwards Logan McDonald, Tom Papley and Charlie Curnow combined for 16 majors. However, the victory came at a cost, with skipper Callum Mills suffering an ACL injury. Meanwhile, the Dockers responded to their qualifying final defeat by overcoming Geelong 120-106 at Optus Stadium last Friday night, led by a huge performance from Luke Jackson (25 disposals, two goals, 12 score involvements, 35 hitouts). The last finals meeting between these sides came in 2015, when Fremantle won a qualifying final 69-60. More recently, the Dockers defeated Sydney 111-73 in Round 18.

2026 AFL Finals: Preliminary Final 2

Hawthorn Hawks (QF Winners) vs Brisbane Lions (SF Winners)

  • Date: Saturday September 19, 2026
  • First Bounce: 5:15pm (AEST)
  • Venue: MCG, Melbourne
  • Match Favourites: Brisbane Lions
  • Best Bet: Total Points OVER 189.5 @ $1.88
Hawthorn
vs
Brisbane Lions
Saturday September 19, 5:15pm (AEST), MCG
Total Points OVER 189.5 @ $1.88

Hawthorn and Brisbane will try to secure a place in the 2026 AFL Grand Final when they meet in a preliminary final at the MCG on Saturday evening. The Hawks earned their home prelim with an upset 72-40 win over minor premier Fremantle in the qualifying final. Co-captain James Sicily starred with 26 disposals, 12 intercepts and 10 marks while helping contain the Dockers’ high-powered forward line. Meanwhile, the Lions kept their hopes of a historic three-peat alive with a resounding 144-91 victory over the Crows in last Saturday’s semi-final. Zac Bailey impressed just days after signing a major contract extension, finishing with 23 disposals and three goals. Lions coach Chris Fagan is confident All-Australian forward Logan Morris will be available despite finishing the match on the bench with ice on his calf. Brisbane defeated Hawthorn 125-58 at home in Round 22.

2026 AFL Finals: Wildcard Weekend Results

2026 AFL Finals: Wildcard Weekend Match 1 Results

Western Bulldogs (96) defeated Collingwood (93)

  • Date: Friday August 28, 2026
  • First Bounce: 7:40pm (AEST)
  • Venue: MCG, Melbourne
  • Winners: Western Bulldogs
  • Score: Western Bulldogs 96 – 93 Collingwood

2026 AFL Finals: Wildcard Weekend Match 2 Results

Melbourne (55) lost to Carlton (74)

  • Date: Saturday August 29, 2026
  • First Bounce: 7:35pm (AEST)
  • Venue: MCG, Melbourne
  • Winners: Carlton
  • Score: Melbourne 55 – 74 Carlton

2026 AFL Finals: Qualifying & Elimination Results

2026 AFL Finals: Qualifying Final Match 1 Results

Fremantle (40) lost to Hawthorn (72)

  • Date: Thursday September 3, 2026
  • First Bounce: 8:10pm (AEST)
  • Venue: Optus Stadium, Perth
  • Winners: Hawthorn
  • Score: Fremantle 40 – 72 Hawthorn

2026 AFL Finals: Elimination Final Match 1 Results

Geelong Cats (107) defeated Carlton (74)

  • Date: Friday September 4, 2026
  • First Bounce: 7:40pm (AEST)
  • Venue: MCG, Melbourne
  • Winners: Geelong Cats
  • Score: Geelong 107 – 74 Carlton

2026 AFL Finals: Qualifying Final Match 2 Results

Sydney Swans (141) defeated Brisbane Lions (88)

  • Date: Saturday September 5, 2026
  • First Bounce: 3:15pm (AEST)
  • Venue: SCG, Sydney
  • Winners: Sydney Swans
  • Score: Swans 141 – 88 Lions

2026 AFL Finals: Elimination Final Match 2 Results

Adelaide Crows (90) vs Western Bulldogs (68)

  • Date: Saturday September 5, 2026
  • First Bounce: 7:35pm (AEST)
  • Venue: Adelaide Oval, Adelaide
  • Winners: Adelaide Crows
  • Score: Adelaide 90 – 68 Western Bulldogs

2026 AFL Finals: Semi Finals Results

2026 AFL Finals: Semi Final 1

Fremantle (120) defeated Geelong Cats (106)

  • Date: Friday September 11, 2026
  • First Bounce: 8:10pm (AEST)
  • Venue: Optus Stadium, Perth
  • Winners: Fremantle Dockers
  • Score: Fremantle 120 – 106 Geelong

2026 AFL Finals: Semi Final 2

Brisbane Lions (144) defeated Adelaide Crows (91)

  • Date: Saturday September 12, 2026
  • First Bounce: 7:35pm (AEST)
  • Venue: Gabba, Brisbane
  • Winners: Brisbane Lions
  • Score: Brisbane 144 – 91 Adelaide

AFL Finals Format 2026

The AFL Finals Format 2026 follows the league’s expanded structure introduced in recent seasons, featuring Wildcard Weekend, a top‑four double chance, and a five‑week finals series leading into the AFL Grand Final. Here’s how the full format works:

The 2026 AFL Finals dates are scheduled to kick off with the new Wildcard Weekend from August 29-30, 2026.

The AFL 2026 finals will conclude with the AFL Grand Final on September 26, 2026, at the MCG in Melbourne.

  • 2026 AFL Minor Premiers: Fremantle
  • 2026 AFL Premiers: TBD
  • 2026 AFL Runners-Up: TBD
  • Coleman Medallist: TBD

The 2026 AFL Finals get underway in early September following the 25-round regular home-and-away season starting with the inaugural ‘Opening Round’ that kicked off on Thursday March 5.

The 2026 AFL Premiers will be decided in the AFL Grand Final which takes place on Saturday the 26th of September 2026.

The reigning champions are the Brisbane Lions who last season defended their title with a 47-point win over the Geelong Cats at the MCG for the fifth Premiership win overall in 2025.

The 2026 AFL Finals introduce the league’s biggest shake‑up in a quarter of a century, built around the new top‑10 finals system and the debut of the Wildcard Finals Round. This format expands September, removes the pre‑finals bye, and keeps more clubs alive deeper into the home‑and‑away season.

Wildcard Weekend

Dates: 29–30 August 2026 The finals open with two sudden‑death clashes:

  • 7th vs 10th
  • 8th vs 9th

Winners progress into the main finals bracket. Losers are eliminated immediately.

This addition creates two extra finals spots and adds volatility to the bottom half of the ladder.

Week 1 – Qualifying & Elimination Finals

Dates: 5–6 September 2026

Qualifying Finals (Top‑Four Double Chance)

  • 1st vs 4th
  • 2nd vs 3rd

Winners advance straight to the Preliminary Finals. Losers drop into Week 2 Semi Finals, retaining their double chance.

Elimination Finals

  • 5th vs Wildcard Winner 1
  • 6th vs Wildcard Winner 2

These are knockout matches — winners move on to the Semi Finals, losers are out.

Week 2 – Semi Finals

Dates: 12–13 September 2026

Semi Finals feature:

  • Qualifying Final losers vs Elimination Final winners

Winners progress to the Preliminary Finals. Losers are eliminated.

Week 3 – Preliminary Finals

Dates: 19–20 September 2026

The two prelims decide the Grand Finalists:

  • Qualifying Final winners host
  • Semi Final winners travel

Winners book their place in the AFL Grand Final.

AFL Grand Final

  • Date: Saturday, 26 September 2026
  • Time: 2:30pm AEST
  • Venue: MCG

The season concludes with the biggest day in Australian sport — the AFL Grand Final, where one club claims the 2026 premiership.

AFL Finals Betting Tips 2026

A sharp set of betting angles designed for punters building multis, chasing value or tracking market movement across September.

  • Back Teams with Strong Late‑Season Momentum: Sides like Geelong, Hawthorn and Brisbane carry form streaks that typically translate into finals firmers.
  • Target Multi Anchors with Stable Profiles: Clubs with consistent systems — Brisbane, Fremantle, Carlton — make reliable multi anchors across head‑to‑head and line markets.
  • Look for Volatility Plays in Mid‑Range Teams: Melbourne, Collingwood and the Bulldogs offer high‑risk, high‑reward upside. These sides often create value pockets when markets overreact to short‑term form.
  • Watch for Draw‑Driven Value: Teams landing on the softer side of the bracket can shorten quickly. Always check how the AFL Finals draw 2026 impacts potential paths.
  • Track Injury & Selection News Closely: Late outs or surprise inclusions can reshape markets instantly. Finals betting often rewards punters who monitor team updates in real time.
  • Consider Weather & Venue Factors: Wet‑weather specialists or interstate travellers with strong records can become situational value plays depending on conditions.
  • Use Wildcard Weekend as a Form Guide: Wildcard winners often carry momentum into Week 1. Upsets or blowouts can create immediate market movement in outright markets.

How the 2026 AFL finals structure works

  • Top six teams at the end of Round 25 advance directly to the traditional finals bracket, giving them rest and preparation time.
  • 7th vs 10th and 8th vs 9th play sudden‑death Wildcard matches during what used to be the pre‑finals bye. Winners claim the final two spots in the top eight.
  • The finals then revert to the familiar format: qualifying finals, elimination finals, semi‑finals, prelims, and the Grand Final.
  • The system is designed to increase meaningful late‑season games, boost competitiveness, and reward higher‑placed teams with rest and home advantage.

Why the new AFL Finals format matters

  • More teams in contention: Clubs sitting 9th or 10th now have a genuine September pathway, keeping fan interest high into late August.
  • Higher stakes earlier: With only the top six guaranteed a spot, finishing positions become more valuable, especially the battle for 6th vs 7th.
  • Wildcard weekend drama: Two knockout games inject a fresh broadcast and betting opportunity, likely becoming one of the most-watched weekends of the season.
  • Strategic shift: Coaches must plan for the possibility of playing four straight knockout games if entering via the Wildcard route.

The AFL Finals provide Aussie Rules betting fans with some of the best opportunities to enjoy a footy bet of the year with everything going on the line for the Top 10 remaining teams (as of 2026) in the Premiership heading towards the AFL Grand Final held at the MCG on a Saturday in late September or early October.

Each season the annual AFL Premiership takes place around the country with the now 25-week regular home-and-away season featuring the league’s 18 clubs facing off in the AFL fixtures for competition points and ladder positioning.

The remaining two teams at the end of the AFL Finals come head-to-head in the highly anticipated Grand Final AFL game in the last week of the finals, and the winner of that clash is rewarded with the Premiership title and fanfare.

AFL Premiership betting is open across the season with all-in prices for each club on offer to punters.

AFL Finals Odds 2026

The AFL Finals odds 2026 will shift constantly throughout September, and keeping track of the major market movers is one of the most effective ways for punters to spot value early. As form lines tighten, injuries emerge and the bracket takes shape, odds movement often reveals more than the ladder itself.

Key AFL Finals Market Movers to Watch

  • Odds Firmers — Teams shortening in the market after strong late‑season form, favourable match‑ups or dominant Wildcard/Week 1 performances.
  • Odds Drifters — Sides easing due to injuries, selection shocks, poor momentum or landing on the tougher half of the draw.
  • Injury Impacts — Key outs can trigger immediate price movement, especially for clubs relying heavily on star midfielders or key forwards.
  • Selection Changes — Surprise inclusions, tactical rests or late withdrawals often reshape match odds within minutes.
  • Weather‑Driven Moves — Rain, wind or heat can favour contested‑ball teams or defensive setups, creating sudden shifts in totals and head‑to‑head markets.
  • Draw‑Driven Value — Clubs landing in a softer section of the bracket frequently shorten, while those facing back‑to‑back interstate trips may drift.

What Drives AFL Finals Market Movement?

  • Form streaks — Teams on 3–5 game winning runs typically tighten.
  • Injury updates — Key outs or returns can shift markets instantly.
  • Draw difficulty — Clubs landing on the softer side of the bracket often firm.
  • Wildcard Weekend results — Surprise wins or blowouts can reshape outright markets.
  • Weather & venue factors — Teams with strong interstate or wet‑weather records may shorten.

AFL Finals FAQs

When are the AFL Finals dates for 2026?

The AFL Finals 2026 run from 29–30 August (Wildcard Weekend) through to the AFL Grand Final on 26 September 2026 at the MCG.

How does the AFL Finals Format 2026 work?

The finals follow a five‑week structure featuring Wildcard Weekend, Qualifying Finals, Elimination Finals, Semi Finals, Preliminary Finals, and the Grand Final, with the top four teams receiving a double chance.

What is Wildcard Weekend in the AFL Finals?

Wildcard Weekend introduces two sudden‑death matches: 7th vs 10th and 8th vs 9th, with winners advancing into the main finals bracket and losers eliminated.

How many teams make the AFL Finals in 2026?

Ten teams enter the finals picture — the traditional top eight plus two wildcard contenders fighting for the final spots.

Who are the favourites in the AFL Finals Odds 2026?

Teams with strong late‑season momentum — including Brisbane, Fremantle, Hawthorn and Geelong — are among the major firmers heading into September.

Which teams offer value in AFL Finals betting?

Mid‑range sides that can cause a stir in the AFL Finals such as Melbourne, Collingwood and the Western Bulldogs often create value pockets when markets react to short‑term form swings.

Where can I find live AFL Finals Odds 2026 updates?

Ladbrokes provides live odds updates across outrights, multis, match markets and Finals specials, including real‑time firmers and drifters.

What time is the AFL Grand Final in 2026?

The AFL Grand Final 2026 kicks off at 2:30pm AEST on Saturday, 26 September at the MCG.