The Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival continues with the 2019 Ipswich Cup on Saturday and there are a host of winning chances in the Listed event.
While this is not the strongest edition of the Ipswich Cup, it is still an interesting betting race and a fascinating event to unpack from a punting perspective.
We have analysed all 11 runners in the race and our complete 2019 Ipswich Cup tips can be found below.
Sampson won the New Zealand St Leger earlier this year, but he hasn’t really impressed since he arrived in Australia. He wasn’t disgraced when he finished seventh behind Furrion in the Warrnambool Cup, but he offered very little in the P.J. O’Shea Stakes. It is tough to back him in the Ipswich Cup off that effort.
This is a big step-up in trip for Bergerac after he finished ninth in The Wayne Wilson Mile at Eagle Farm on Stradbroke Handicap Day. He has never really shown anything to suggest that he is looking for this step-up in trip and he is well and truly under the odds at his current price.
First Crush finished second behind Tradesman in this race 12 months ago, but it is fair to say that he is not racing in that sort of form in 2019. He looked to be heading in the right direction when he finished fifth in the Chairman’s Handicap before he flopped badly when he failed to beat home a single runner in the Premier’s Cup.
Morendi is another horse that comes into the Ipswich Cup on the back of a poor effort in the Premier’s Cup. He is racing well below his best and he is one of the extreme outsiders in this field for a reason.
Master Zephry is on the quick back-up after failing to fire in the Brisbane Cup last Saturday. He is another galloper that has raced well below his best this campaign and he has failed to replicate the form that he produced under the care of Darren Weir.
High Opinion is the horse to beat in the 2019 Ipswich Cup field. He didn’t run out a strong 2400 metres in the WJ McKell Cup at Rosehill Gardens last start and the drop in trip should suit. His runs before that were excellent, especially his second behind Abdon in the Wagga Gold Cup, and if he can return to that sort of form he will prove very tough to beat. Barrier seven is ideal and he should get a lovely trail into the contest with Larry Cassidy in the saddle.
Fighting Teo will take winning form into the Ipswich Cup after recording two wins on the trot at Doomben and Toowoomba. This is a step-up in class, but he wasn’t beaten far in the Gold Coast Cup and this is hardly the strongest edition of the Ipswich Cup. Luke Tarrant will be able to settle him right on the speed and he does look the main danger to High Opinion.
Ruby Guru steps-up in class after claiming a narrow win at the Sunshine Coast last and there is no fitter horse in this race. She would need to improve to turn-the-tables on Fighting Teo, but she will be thereabouts. She looks to have found her right price.
Zanyetta finished fourth in a Class 6 at Ipswich last month and this is obviously a big step-up in quality. She has never shown anything to suggest that she is capable of winning a race of this quality.
Terra Sancta comes out of the same race as Zanyetta and she really hasn’t impressed since she arrived in Australia. She shouldn’t be anywhere near as short as her current odds.
Mymming isn’t a horse that wins out of turn and this is the first time that she has gotten out to over 2000 metres this campaign. She has run well at this distance before, but not in a race at this level. It wouldn’t surprise to see her produce a better effort than her current odds suggest, but winning is probably beyond her.