Make sure you have plenty of coffee available because we have a late Saturday night card this week as the UFC heads to Baku, Azerbaijan.
Two top Lightweights will do battle in the main event as Rafael Fiziev takes on Manuel Torres but there are plenty of quality fights taking place across the evening.
My thoughts and betting plays can be found below.
After his fifth round knockout victory over Rafael dos Anjos in July 2022, Rafael Fizeiv’s record was 12-1 and he was on the brink of a title shot.
Since then things have not gone to plan for the 33 year old and he has just one win to his name in his last five fights.
Dig a little deeper and his form is not as bad as it looks on paper however.
During this bad run he has two decision losses to the now Lightweight champion Justin Gaethje, one of which was a majority decision, as well as a TKO loss due to a knee injury.
Manuel Torres has been afforded this opportunity against a high ranked opponent thanks to five wins from six fights in the UFC since he won a contract through Dana White’s Contender Series in 2021.
All five of those wins were finishes in the very first round and in fact all but one of his 20 professional MMA fights have been finished before the judges were needed.
Being a main event, this fight will go five rounds if needed and it remains to be seen how the challenger will handle a longer fight.
Both men have the skills and ability to finish the fight early but the over/under total rounds line seems off for two lightweights with so much at stake.
Prediction: 4 Units Over 1.5 Total Rounds @ $1.72
Shara Bullet remains banned from the United States so he again fights on one of these overseas cards.
His perfect record was broken in Riyadh in February 2025 when he lost a decision to Michael Page after stringing together 15 straight wins.
A decision win over Marc-Andre Barriult got him back on track but we haven’t seen him in the octagon for almost 12 months.
Michel Pereira is a fighter that can mix his form at times which is evident by his overall professional record of 32 wins and 14 losses.
He lost two of his first three fights in the UFC before winning his next eight in a row including wins over Niko Price, Santiago Ponzinibbio and Andre Petroski.
Three losses in his last four puts him in an awkward spot but he is a fighter that has big movements and an awkward fighting style which makes him dangerous at all times.
Unfortunately he faces a very dangerous man who will find a way to finish this fight within the three rounds in my opinion.
Prediction: 2 Units Shara Bullet By KO/TKO or Submission
A local to this region, Nazim Sadykhov went unbeaten from his second professional MMA fight until December 2025 when he lost via TKO to Fares Ziam.
Eight of his 11 wins have been via knockout and he also has two submission wins on his record.
Matheus Camilo is a 25 year old Brazilian who made his UFC debut in May 2025 with a submission loss in round two.
He bounced back with his first win in the organisation via a unanimous decision late last year and gets his chance against a well credentialed opponent on the main card.
I’m siding with the local fighter to pressure and score enough points over the three rounds.
Prediction: 2 Units Nazim Sadykhov To Win By Decision