Five division rivalry games headline Week 10 as the NFL playoff picture continues to take shape.
This is also the shortest week of the season as the Broncos, Eagles, Jaguars, Patriots, Texans and Redskins all head for the bye.
After some fairly lackluster primetime games, we should also be in for a treat on Friday as the Chargers battle the Raiders, followed by a scintillating Sunday Night Football match up between the Cowboys and Vikings.
Rounding out the week is a classic Monday Night Football rivalry between the Seahawks and the undefeated 49ers. We’ve previewed all 13 games and our complete 2019 NFL Week 10 Preview can be found below.
Los Angeles Chargers
Friday 8 November, 12:20pm, Oakland Coliseum
Raiders 26 - Chargers 24
The Chiefs have the AFC West locked up… right?
Things are getting a little dicey in the division as the Chargers have hit a sudden purple patch. Los Angeles, like they always do, have found some midseason form thanks to back-to-back wins over Bears and Packers, but with a pair of divisional games ahead before the bye, the Chargers still have plenty of work to do if they wish to sneak into the Wild Card picture.
The Raiders await on Friday, and by all accounts, this game should be close. Our bookmakers are favouring Los Angeles by a point on the road, which seems about right when you factor in how strong the Chargers have look offensively over the last fortnight.
You might not know it, but the Chargers currently rank Top 10 in passing yards. Most of that is due to Philip Rivers’ reckless approach to throwing the football, but that kind of “live by the sword, die by the sword” approach should pay dividends against a Raiders defence that has allowed the fourth-most passing yards, and the second-most passing touchdowns.
The Chargers are 4-1 straight-up in their last five games against Oakland, so with some value on offer, take Anthony Lynn’s side to leapfrog their division rivals.
Tip: Back the Chargers to Win @ $1.85
Green Bay Packers
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Lambeau Field
Packers 24 - Panthers 16
Slow and sloppy – that just about sums up the Packers loss last week in Los Angeles.
Green Bay lost 26-11 in a very tough game not only for the defence, but also for Aaron Rodgers. Fortunately, the rest of the NFC North did the Packers a favour by losing out, however head coach Matt LaFleur will be eager for his team to bounce-back this week at home heading into the bye.
Speaking of bouncing back, that’s exactly what the Panthers did in the 30-20 win over the Titans. After being belted by the Niners the week before, Christian McCaffrey wasted no time putting on a show finishing with 166 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns.
The Packers defence will have its hands full with McCaffrey this week as Mike Pettine’s side has suddenly taken a major step back. Green Bay has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards in the league, while they also lead the way in passing plays of over 40-yards or more.
Carolina is the complete package, but they haven’t won at Lambeau Field since 2008. The Packers, meanwhile, are 37-14 against the spread in their last 51 games against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
Sometimes it’s just not your week, and that was exactly the case last week for the Packers. No doubt about it, Green Bay will give up plenty of yards to the Panthers in this game. But I’m still willing to back an Aaron Rodgers bounce-back in Davante Adams’ second game back from injury.
Tip: Back the Packers to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Soldier Field
Bears 20 - Lions 13
It’s going to take a serious miracle for either of these sides to turn their season around, but the faint hope of a Wild Card spot is still mathematically possible with seven games remaining.
The Bears sunk to a new low last week as they lost 22-14 to the Eagles. The Mitch Trubisky experiment looks just about over, but head coach Matt Nagy looks likely to see out the season with No. 10 under center.
Chicago has lost four straight games, and they won’t find any solace in the fact they’ve also lost seven of their last 10 against Detroit.
Say what you will about the Lions, but Detroit still remains firmly in the hunt for a playoff spot. A win this week would see the Lions improve to 4-4, which would be a huge result with a very winnable run home.
Detroit’s offence will need to come up with something special against a Bears defence that is just as scary as it was last year. The head-to-head price on offer for the Lions is tempting but considering these two sides have combined for an average of only 40-points over their last three games, take the Unders.
Tip: Under 41.5 Total Points @ $1.92
New York Jets
New York Giants
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Metlife Stadium
Jets 24 - Giants 27
It’s been a while in between drinks since these two Big Apple rivals last met in 2015.
There’s nothing more than bragging rights on the line as both teams like to snap serious losing streaks, but for the sake of excitement, this is still a must-watch game.
The Giants have won five of their last six games over the Jets and are also 4-1-1 against the spread during the same time frame. It’s hard to find much faith in either team right now, but if there is one thing to hang your hat on, its Saquon Barkley.
By last year’s standards, the Rookie of the Year has had a pretty quiet season. Injury has played a large part, but with only two 100-yard games to his name during Week’s 1 and 2, it’s safe to say the second year back is due for a big game.
Barkley struggled to find daylight against the Cowboys last week rushing for only 28-yards. The good news now is, the Jets have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns on the year and an average 89-yards per-game.
If Daniel Jones can set up plenty of red zone opportunities, Barkley should do the rest against a Jets defence that has struggled on its own goal line.
Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $1.74
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Browns 19 - Bills 16
Plenty of folks would have had this game circled on their calendar to start the season, but who would have guessed the Bills would be the team with a winning record!
Buffalo looks a very strong chance to earn the top seed in the AFC Wild Card if Patrick Mahomes remains on the sidelines in Kansas City. Unfortunately, the Bills have a very difficult run home with games against the Cowboys, Ravens and Patriots ahead, but nothing about the Browns will come easy this week, either.
Cleveland’s season is over at 2-6. The Browns have lost four straight games, which makes this week’s 3-point line in favour of Cleveland almost perplexing as they face a legitimate Bills defence.
The playcalling in Cleveland has been awful and the pressure is well and truly on Freddie Kitchens to try and at least salvage some bragging rights this season. On one hand, the Bills haven’t won at the Dawg Pound since 2012, but on the other, Buffalo has won its last two games over the Browns.
Tip: Back the Bills to Win @ $2.30
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Nissan Stadium
Titans 35 - Chiefs 32
All signs point towards Patrick Mahomes starting in Week 10, but the question is… should he?
It would take a special effort for the Chiefs to lose their stranglehold on the AFC West. At 6-3, Kansas City could afford to give Mahomes another week’s rest with the bye only a fortnight away, ensuring he is fit and firing ahead of the playoffs.
Whatever happens though, the Chiefs are far from a guarantee this week in Tennessee. The Titans have so much to play for at 4-5, and they’ll be eager to bounce-back from last week’s loss to Carolina with a win at home.
Kansas City’s last trip to Tennessee came way back in 2013, a game they won 26-17. That date also marks the Chiefs’ last win over the Titans as Tennessee has gone on to win three straight.
The Titans won’t come close to matching the Chiefs offensively, but the defence could make life tough for Mahomes or Matt Moore. Tennessee ranks eighth in defensive turnovers, while they’ve also allowed the seventh-fewest points in the league.
Kansas City has had no trouble piling on points without Mahomes, but after a long stint at home, it’s worth backing the Chiefs to struggle against Tennessee’s stingy defence on the road.
Tip: Chiefs Under the Points Total
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Bengals 13 - Ravens 49
Baltimore put the whole league on notice last week as they not only handed the Patriots their first loss, but also made short work of New England’s highly touted defence.
The Ravens are no doubt a Super Bowl contender, and with a much more relaxing game this week against the only winless team in the league, it’s almost surprising to find John Harbaugh’s side favoured by only 10-points in the market.
Cincinnati returns from the bye hoping to salvage something of a very underwhelming season under first year head coach Zac Taylor. Word is Ryan Finley will start in place of Andy Dalton, but it looks as though wide receiver A.J. Green’s season debut will be delayed another week as the star receiver is still struggling with ankle soreness.
Finley will need to throw caution to the wind against Baltimore’s fierce pass rush, and although the rookie enjoyed a promising preseason, this is perhaps the last team you’d want to face in your first-ever NFL start.
The spread might seem a little generous, but the Ravens have typically been an awful play against the line. Baltimore is 1-5 in their last six games against the Bengals, so instead, take the value on offer in the Total Markets.
Tip: Ravens Over 27 Total Points @ $1.92
New Orleans Saints
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Mercedes Benz Superdome
Saints 9 - Falcons 26
The NFC South is the Saints’ to lose from here on out.
At 7-1, New Orleans has created a comfortable cushion between themselves and the 5-3 Panthers, but having played only one divisional game so far, this is still a must-win for Sean Payton’s side.
The Falcons are on their way to a top three draft pick at 1-7. Atlanta’s defence, which has allowed the fifth-most points in the league, has been the Falcons’ biggest downfall this year as the team looks destined for a new coach and a minor rebuild during the offseason.
On the plus side for coach Dan Quinn, Matt Ryan is slated to return as the starting quarterback after missing Week 8’s game against the Seahawks. To Atlanta’s credit, the Falcons put a real scare into Seattle in their 27-20 loss at the Link, and fresh from a bye, it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see the Falcons match the Saints on the scoreboard.
The bookies are anticipating a high-scoring game with a 51.5-point Total set, and I’m finding it hard to disagree. These two sides have combined for an average score of 55-points across their last three games, while the Total has gone Over in six of the Saints’ last nine games against a fellow NFC South opponent.
Tip: Over 51.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 11 November, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium
Buccaneers 30 - Cardinals 27
The Bucs have surprisingly opened as 4.5-point favourites this week at home.
Tampa Bay has now lost four games on the trot, but to their credit, the Bucs did manage to put a serious scare into the Seahawks last week in Seattle.
Speaking of scares, that’s exactly what Arizona accomplished on Halloween against the Niners. In the end, the Cardinals lost by three-points, but the fourth quarter fight back from Kliff Kingsbury’s side was still encouraging moving forward.
It’s difficult to get excited about this game from a betting standpoint and there isn’t enough to persuade me into backing either team head-to-head. The only trend that stands out is the fact 75% of Arizona’s away games have gone Under the Total, so while I’d advise steering clear of this game altogether, if you’re really looking for a play, keep it safe.
Tip: Under 52 Points @ $1.92
Monday 11 November, 8:05am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Colts 12 - Dolphins 16
If the Colts are smart, they won’t risk anything this week.
Jacoby Brissett’s knee is still far from 100%, while T.Y. Hilton’s calf injury has cost him practice time all week.
With home-field advantage and the 1-7 Dolphins in town, don’t be surprised if the Colts choose to play it safe with three straight divisional games ahead.
Indianapolis has won six of its last 10-games over Miami and two of their last three. Better yet, the Colts are 9-1 straight-up in their last 10 home games, but with two of their top starts potentially on the sidelines, who’s to say Miami can’t keep this close?
The Dolphins earned their first win of the season last week over the Jets as Brian Flores’ side actually played to win the game. The word “tank” has been associated with Miami all season, but quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick had other ideas throwing for 288-yards and three touchdowns.
There’s nothing to say the Dolphins will put up a big score on the Colts defence, but with an 8-1 record against the spread in their last nine games on the road in Indianapolis, it’s worth taking Miami to at least keep the first half close.
Tip: Back the Dolphins to Cover the 1st Half Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.85
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 11 November, 8:25am, Heinz Field
Steelers 17 - Rams 12
Adam Vinatieri’s missed field goal gifted the Steelers a win last week, but it was the break Pittsburgh needed as they continue to claw themselves back into the Wild Card picture.
Now at 4-4, the Steelers find themselves looking to extend their winning streak to four with the Rams coming to town. Los Angeles returns from the bye after a comfortable win over the Bengals back in Week 8. Considering the Rams haven’t traveled to Heinz Field since 2011 though, it’s safe to say this game is a bit of a coin flip.
The bookies are favouring the Rams by 3.5-points, which seems about right when you factor in how well Los Angeles has defended the run. That spells bad news for Pittsburgh if they are forced to pass, as the Steelers rank 28th in passing yards with only 11 touchdowns to their name.
Tip: Back the Rams to Win & Under 44 Total Points @ $3.77
Monday 11 November, 12:20pm, AT&T Stadium
Cowboys 24 - Vikings 28
This could turn out to be a Sunday Night thriller between two teams still looking to establish themselves as a playoff certainty.
Dallas had their hands full in the first half last week against the Giants before blowing the game wide open for a convincing 37-18 victory. The waters are a little calmer riding a two game winning streak, but this is still a massive test of Jason Garrett and Kellen Moore’s playcalling ability against one of the top defensive sides in the league.
Minnesota weren’t quite as lucky last week as they lost to the Chiefs on a last second field goal. Statistically, the Vikings played their hearts out, and although the loss was a disappointing result, it was still encouraging to watch Kirk Cousins throw three touchdowns on the road.
So, with all that in mind, what do we make of this game?
You can focus on the running game or even the playcalling as much as you like, but whoever wins the third down battle in this one will ultimately walk away with the win.
Sounds simple enough, but the Cowboys defence has allowed the third-fewest third down conversions, followed closely by Minnesota with the ninth-fewest.
There’s tremendous value in just about every market in this one, but I’m willing to back both defences to do the talking. The Total has gone Under in seven of the last 10-games between Dallas and Minnesota, so don’t overcomplicate this one.
Tip: Under 48 Total Points @ $1.92
San Francisco 49ers
Tuesday 12 November, 12:15pm, Levi’s Stadium
49ers 24 - Seahawks 27 OT
Nothing tops a classic NFC West rivalry on Monday Night Football.
The 49ers remain the only unbeaten team left in the league, but just like last week against the Cardinals, I’m tipping the Seahawks to hand them their first loss.
Arizona exposed some flaws in San Francisco’s defence that Seattle should be able to exploit. The Cardinals did a great job of mixing and matching their personnel by subbing in different tight end packages, which kept the Niners’ defence guessing towards the late stages.
The Seahawks, or more specifically Pete Carroll, are the kings of trickery. Nothing about Seattle’s 40-34 win over the Bucs in overtime last week was convincing, but as much as this is a statement game for the Niners, it could also be a season defining win for the Seahawks.
Considering how dominant Seattle has been over the last five or so years, it’s no surprise to learn the Seahawks have won nine of their last 10-games over San Francisco. If Seattle can pick up where Arizona left off last week and dial up plenty of RPO’s with Russell Wilson and Chris Carson, they look great value to win this one.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.96
Last week was a smorgasbord of prime time games and scintillating match ups. This week? Not so much.
The Broncos, Ravens, Texans and Vikings are on a bye this week, leaving us with 14 games to choose from. If nothing else, the playoff picture is starting to take shape, and that includes several Wild Card scenarios with the NFC West, AFC West and AFC East close to said and done.
We’ve previewed every game, every team, and every match up, and are confident we’ve found some winners, so be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 10 Preview below!
Friday 9 November, 12:20pm, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh 52 – Carolina 21
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2-1): There’s still no word on the LeVeon Bell situation, but the Steelers don’t have to care – they’ve uncovered James Conner.
Bell’s replacement once again finished with 163 scrimmage yards and a touchdown to his name in the win over the Ravens. The victory places Pittsburgh in firm control of their own destiny in the AFC North, but in case you missed it, this Panthers team won’t die quietly.
The Steelers will need to rely on some big plays from Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster if they wish to take down Carolina. The Panthers can stop the run efficiently, but they are pretty so-so when it comes to defending the pass – they’ve allowed 17 touchdowns through the air this season.
Carolina Panthers (6-2): Just one-game behind the division leading Saints, Carolina are 6-2 having now won three straight. It’s taken nine weeks, but the Panthers running game finally hit full stride last week with Christian McAffrey enjoying a two touchdown day in the win over the Bucs.
The funny thing is, the run game could play the biggest factor for either side this week. Defensively, both teams rank in the bottom ten in rushing yards allowed.
Most importantly though, the Panthers are 0-5 in their last five meetings against the Steelers. Carolina are also 1-5 in their last six road games, but really, this is one of the few occasions where numbers mean next to nothing.
Carolina’s offense is firing on all cylinders, and we simply haven’t seen enough from the Steelers defence when it comes to stopping the pass. We also haven’t seen them face an agile quarterback like Cam Newton this season, leaving plenty of question marks that aren’t worth taking the chance on.
Tip: Back the Panthers to Win @ $2.50
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City 26 – Arizona 14
Kansas City Chiefs (8-1): Patrick Mahomes continues to grow before our eyes, and last week was another shining example of how talented the Chiefs’ future star really is. Mahomes threw for a trio of touchdowns in the win over the Browns, but it’s the mechanics he displays from week to week that makes him truly special.
Speaking of special, Kareem Hunt continues to dazzle. The second-year back ranks third in rushing yards through nine weeks, and is showing no signs of finishing outside the top five.
The Chiefs are 7-1 in their last eight games at home, but numbers like that mean nothing right now. Kansas City dialled up the pressure from the edge last week against Baker Mayfield, resulting in a pick and two sacks. Expect the very same this week against a depleted Cardinals offensive line.
Arizona Cardinals (2-6): The Cardinals roll in off the bye week, which was perfect timing following their Week 8 win over the Niners.
Quarterback Josh Rosen will face the toughest test of his rookie season this week in front of a raucous Arrowhead crowd, and the thought of Arizona’s poor interior defence – which has allowed the fifth most rushing yards this season – is a worry considering Kareem Hunt lines up on the opposite side of scrimmage.
The Cardinals are 2-5 in their last seven games against the Chiefs, but most importantly, they haven’t travelled to Kansas City since 2010. This isn’t the game to take a punt on an upset.
Tip: Back the Chiefs 13-18 @ $4.75
New York Jets
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium
NY Jets 10 – Buffalo 41
New York Jets (3-6): In the span of five days, things have gone from bad to worse for the Jets.
Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold looks almost certain to miss this week’s game with a foot injury, while last week’s loss to the Bears highlighted just how flat New York’s ground game has become.
Perhaps the only good news for New York is the fact the Bills come to town this week. Buffalo beat the Jets at home last year, but that was back when their offense actually knew how to score points.
The Jets will likely play it safe this week and place the ball in the hands of Isaiah Crowell, which is good news against a Bills defence that has allowed nine rushing touchdowns this year. But at the same time, don’t forget, replacement quarterback Josh McCown threw for 2,926-yards, 18 touchdowns and just nine interceptions last year.
Buffalo Bills (2-7): With Derek Anderson still under concussion protocol, it sounds like Josh Allen will get the nod this week for the Bills.
That mightn’t mean much though when you consider the Bills’ offense has managed just 96-points this year, the fewest in the league. Buffalo are 2-6 in their last eight games when playing the Jets in New York, and as many teams have found out the hard way this season, Gang Green are no easy beat at Metlife.
Unless LeSean McCoy can ding up the Jets’ defensive line and find a few holes to bash through, it’s unlikely Buffalo leave with a win. The Jets have allowed the 10th most rushing yards this season, but they’ve been one of the best teams at creating turnovers.
This should be a close, and ugly game, between to AFC bottom dwellers.
Tip: Back the Jets to Beat The Line (-7 Points) @ $1.95
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis 29 – Jacksonville 26
Indianapolis Colts (3-5): What will we see from the Colts following their bye week?
If their Week 8 win over the Raiders was any indication, we should expect the lethal combo of Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines to continue after combining for 210-yards a fortnight ago.
Likewise, the Colts’ offensive line has also improved as the season has dragged on. They won’t win the AFC South from here, but they’ve done a much better job protecting Andrew Luck in the pocket in recent weeks.
So can they win this game?
The wheels have well and truly fallen off the Jaguars, and with a 4-1 record at home against Jacksonville, it’s not hard to see why the Colts have opened as the favourites.
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-5): It looks as though Blake Bortles’ shoulder is fine, which could be a good thing or a bad thing depending on how you look at it.
Just like the Colts, the Jags return following the bye week, which probably doesn’t mean much when you consider Jacksonville have scored the fourth fewest points all year.
There’s so many numbers that could be thrown around to explain the Jaguars’ wayward season, but simply put, this team lacks culture and belief. The only good news is running back Leonard Fournette is set to return, but this still feels like a game that could define the Colts’ season as they look to rebuild.
Tip: Back the Colts to Beat The Line (2-5 Points) @ $1.85
New England Patriots
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee 34 – New England 10
Tennessee Titans (4-4): The Titans taught us something we already knew last week: the Cowboys are frauds.
Despite last week’s 28-14 win in Dallas though, Tennessee continue to be a frustrating play for punters. One week they look incapable of completing a pass, and the next, guys like Dion Lewis decide to put up 162 scrimmage yards.
The one consistent part of this year’s Titans team however, is the defence. They’ve been great against the pass, allowing the sixth fewest passing yards on the season.
Whether or not that holds up against Tom Brady is anyone’s guess, but keep in mind, this is a big time revenge game for Tennessee following last year’s playoff loss to the Patriots.
New England Patriots (7-2): So much is made of New England’s offense, especially the recent addition of Cordarelle Patterson as a fill-in running back for the injured Sony Michel.
But what about the defence?
It took complete control of the Packers last week, forcing a crucial fumble on Aaron Jones in the fourth quarter which eventually led to the game-winning touchdown. Better yet, the Patriots secondary also held Aaron Rodgers in check when it mattered most, limiting him to just 24 completions on the night.
There’s also a case to be made for New England’s most recent addition, Josh Gordon. The former Browns troublemaker finished with 130-yards and a big time catch underneath Green Bay’s sloppy secondary.
The Patriots are 8-1 in their last nine games against the Titans, and are 18-3 on the road. The Titans’ defence will force Brady to take some risks, but ultimately, you can’t back against the red hot Pats anytime soon.
Tip: Back the Patriots 1-6 @ $4.50
New Orleans Saints
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati 14 – New Orleans 51
Cincinnati Bengals (5-3): The Bengals have a winning record, but for how long?
Take nothing away, a 5-3 start is more than we expected from a team many thought would go 7-9. Unlike a lot of other sides, the Bengals’ wins stand up too – they’ve beaten the Ravens and Falcons so far this year.
What’s concerning though is the stats. The defence has allowed the third most passing yards and the eighth most rushing yards, while quarterback Andy Dalton ranks 25th in the NFL in completion percentage.
There’s no tougher task than Sean Payton’s side right now, as the Saints firmly established themselves in the elite tier of playoff contenders last week.
Even with a big game from Dalton and A.J. Green, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the Bengals pull off this upset.
Realistically, the numbers suggest Cincinnati are perhaps the team most in danger of falling by the wayside in a division that looks the Steelers’ to lose.
New Orleans Saints (7-1): Not for the first time this season, Payton kept his finger firmly on the pulse last week against the Rams. The Saints led 35-17 at half time, but unlike many other coaches, Payton kept attacking rather than sitting on the lead and hoping for the best.
The Saints handed the Rams their first loss of the season in the end, but it’s left us with one tricky question: is Drew Brees the MVP?
You can currently have him for $5.00, handy odds considering he’s currently connecting with wide receiver Michael Thomas 89% of the time. Expect plenty of that combo again this week against a clueless Bengals secondary, while the screen game to Alvin Kamara should also provide dividends for New Orleans as they exploit Cincinnati’s interior defence.
Funnily enough, the Saints are 1-4 in their last five games against the Bengals at home. The last time they played in the Superdome was in 2014 – so you could certainly say things have changed significantly since then.
Tip: Back the Saints to Beat The Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay 3 – Washington 16
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5): The ying/yang effect of Ryan Fitzpatrick continued last week as Tampa’s starter threw for 243-yards and four touchdowns, but of course, two interceptions.
Other than that, not much else happened for the Bucs. The running game still looks stale behind Peyton Barber and Jacquizz Rodgers, and the defensive nightmare, at least when it comes to stopping the pass, is far from over.
The only bright spot on the roster is Adam Humphries, who came through with 82-yards last week for the second time this season.
The home-field advantage this week is crucial for the Bucs, who own a pretty hand 7-2 record against the Redskins at home. There’s very few games with upset potential this week, but this is one of them.
Washington Redskins (5-3): You’re looking at perhaps the most unexciting division leader in the history of football.
From here, it looks as though Washington will win the NFC East, which is a concern considering they’ll probably exit the playoffs a one-hit wonder.
There’s just not a lot to get excited about with this team. Adrian Peterson, at 33-years old, is carrying this team, a scary thought considering there’s not a whole lot of talent surrounding him.
Likewise, quarterback Alex Smith has been a shell of his former self post-Andy Reid, and although the defence looks capable of stopping top quarterbacks, it won’t be enough to stop the NFC’s elite later in the year.
Tip: Back the Bucs To Win 1-6 @ $3.75
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland 28 – Atlanta 16
Cleveland Browns (2-6-1): The post Hue Jackson/Todd Haley era is already off to a flyer, with the Browns relying heavily on running back Nick Chubb last week against the Chiefs.
It was no surprise to see the Browns look a little one-dimensional, but their lack of offensive line protection was a real concern after Baker Mayfield spent most of his day forcing passes under pressure.
To Cleveland’s credit, they did hold more of the ball last week against one of the AFC’s elite teams. Mayfield actually enjoyed an okay day by rookie standards throwing for 297-yards and a pair of scores, while Chubb rushed for 85-yards and a touchdown of his own.
You could make a serious case that the Browns won’t win a game from here on out, which makes this Week 10 home game against Atlanta all the more important.
The Browns are 3-1 in their last four games against the Falcons.
Atlanta Falcons (4-4): This feels a little fake, although we do have to consider Atlanta as a potential Wild Card chance with a .500 record.
It’s tough to read too much into the Falcons’ 38-14 win over the Redskins away from home last week, however we can say one thing: Atlanta still believes.
General Manager Thomas Dimitroff signed veteran pass-rusher Bruce Irvin to a one-year deal on Friday in an attempt to fix the Falcons’ lack of pocket pressure. The Falcons have accounted for only 17 sacks, the sixth fewest on the season.
Despite being released by the Raiders, Irvin recorded eight sacks last year in Oakland. As for the rest of the team, a lot relies on the running game of Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith this week, who continue to share the workload with Devonta Freeman out until Week 15.
To add further confusion, the Falcons are 2-4 in their last six road games. Inconsistency is the best word to describe these two teams, so play it safe and go with the Points market.
Tip: Over 50.5 Total Points @ $1.87
Monday 12 November, 5:00am, Soldier Field
Chicago 34 – Detroit 22
Chicago Bears (5-3): Big game and even bigger playoff implications on the line for the Bears.
Chicago were at their best last week against the Bills, walking away with a lazy 41-9 victory thanks to a huge day from the defence.
What stood out though was just that – the defence. The offense was rather flat against a team the Bears really should have manhandled, and for all the talk surrounding Mitch Trubisky and his star potential, 135-yards, one touchdown and one interception, certainly doesn’t cut it.
Worse yet, the Bears converted on just three of their 11 third down opportunities. The Bills’ defence has sneakily been okay this season, however if the Bears are to snag a Wild Card spot, they’ll need to find someone to actually catch the football in a hurry.
Detroit Lions (3-5): Fortunately for Chicago, the Lions find themselves in the very same boat – although Detroit’s is sinking rather fast.
The Lions have now lost two straight, which comes as no surprise considering the strength of their schedule. Last week’s 24-9 disaster against the Vikings taught us two things we already know: the Lions can’t stop the run, and Detroit might have made a mistake letting Golden Tate go.
Sure, Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones combined for over 100-yards, but Matthew Stafford threw 25 completions for only 199-yards and zero touchdowns.
Rookie running back Kerryon Johnson was also non-existent against a stealthy Vikings’ defence, and in case you hadn’t heard, the Bears have allowed the third fewest rushing yards this season.
It’s not quite rebuild time for Detroit, but it is reload time. Shipping Tate out for some draft picks told the league the Lions are playing for the near future, and with no hope of competing this year, it’s tough to see them doing much away from home at Soldier Field this week.
Tip: Back the Bears 1-6 @ $4.33
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 12 November, 8:05am, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland 6 – LA Chargers 20
Oakland Raiders (1-7): The future looks bright for the Raiders, but that looks a long, long way off.
Last week’s loss to the Niners was an all-time low for Oakland, losing 34-3 to rookie quarterback Nick Mullens, who threw for 262-yards and a trio of touchdowns.
The Raiders would’ve had this game pencilled in as a potential upset chance before the Khalil Mack trade, but not now. Not surprisingly, Oakland are one of the lowest scoring teams in the league, and even with a big game on the ground, it’s hard to see them making any noise against this fringe Chargers team on the verge of a Wild Card berth.
Los Angeles Chargers (6-2): The Chargers survived a little scare against the Seahawks last week, but they should feel pretty confident about their defence with Joey Bosa remaining on the sidelines.
LA’s offense is scary for many reasons, but did you know they currently sit dead last in turnover percentage?
Phillip Rivers is a sneaky contender for MVP this year, and if he continues to share the ball around between Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams and Tyrell Williams, there’s nothing to say the Chargers won’t wind up in the Super Bowl.
Stats wise, the Chargers are 10-4 when playing the Raiders in Oakland, and it appears the bookies are looking to challenge us with the line at -10 points.
Tip: Back the Chargers 1-6 @ $3.75
Green Bay Packers
Monday 12 November, 8:25am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay 31 – Miami 12
Green Bay Packers (3-4-1): The hot seat is burning for head coach Mike McCarthy, and if the Packers fall short against the Dolphins at Lambeau this week, who knows, maybe General Manager Brian Gutekunst seriously considers blowing everything up?
Last week showed the Packers still have it. They were every chance of beating the Patriots in Foxboro, but a costly Aaron Jones fumble and some blown coverage on Josh Gordon cost Green Bay in the end.
Aside from mistakes though, part of the blame lies on McCarthy. The playcalling is flat and predictable, the opposite of what you want with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. And to make matters worse, the injuries are piling up with starting corner Kevin King expected to miss this week’s game.
The Packers are 2-1 in their last three games against the Dolphins, but they did lose to Miami at home in 2010. A lot has changed since then, but with confidence running low and injuries at an all-time high, who knows.
Miami Dolphins (5-4): The Dolphins won’t die quietly.
Their narrow 13-6 win over the Jets last week put them back in the AFC Wild Card picture, and although Brock Osweiler endured a day to forget, the Dolphins’ defence continues to make plays.
Akeem Spence and Cameron Wake combined for four sacks last week against New York, which doesn’t bode well for Green Bay’s dinged up offensive line. Left tackle Bryan Bulaga is still listed as questionable ahead of this week’s game, but if he’s absent, expect Rodgers to be under plenty of pressure.
Against the Dolphins stands a miserable 1-8 record in their last nine games, while the Total has gone Under in four of them. The Points market is the safe play, but the Dolphins are a great chance at the line this week with Green Bay scrambling for answers.
Tip: Back the Dolphins at the Line (+9 Points) @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 12 November, 8:25am, LA Coliseum
Philadelphia 20 – Dallas 27
Los Angeles Rams (8-1): The Rams made a simple mistake last week: they didn’t give Todd Gurley the ball enough.
Thirteen attempts isn’t nearly enough, especially against a team like the Saints. The offense relied predominantly on Jared Goff’s arm, which worked for the most part, but the Rams weren’t their usual smashmouth self.
At the same time, the defence again showed that it’s far from where it was at this time last year. The Rams have allowed the 11th most passing yards through the first nine weeks, and look susceptible to giving up large chunks of yards in the red zone.
LA are 4-1 in their last five games at home, and 4-2 against the Seahawks at the Coliseum.
Seattle Seahawks (4-4): As far as the Wild Card picture is concerned, the Seahawks aren’t getting enough credit.
Seattle’s defence is playing out of their skin right now, as the Chargers found out last week. They’ve allowed the fourth fewest passing yards this year, and even without the Legion of Boom, this Seahawks side is still capable of bringing the pressure.
Last week was a case of bad luck against the Chargers. A dropped pass in the end zone from receiver David Moore basically meant the difference between winning and losing, a crucial loss considering the Seahawks now face their division foe this week.
For Seattle to win this game, they’ll need to form a plan to shutdown Todd Gurley and also provide blocking for Russell Wilson to make plays with his feet.
It’s tough to picture the Rams losing this game at home, but since the odds don’t offer much, the Points market seems the way to go. The Total has gone Under in six of Seattle’s last eight road trips to face the Rams.
Tip: Back Under 51 Total Points @ $1.95
Monday 12 November, 12:20pm, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia 20 – Dallas 27
Philadelphia Eagles (4-4): It’s not too late for the Eagles to return from the bye week and make something of this season.
The week off has likely done Carson Wentz some good, who continues to improve week by week following a season-ending ACL tear last year.
What really needs to happen for the Eagles though is the running game. Darren Sproles has re-aggravated his hamstring injury, which leaves the bulk share of the work in Wendell Smallwood’s hands once again.
Fortunately, the Cowboys will be without star linebacker Sean Lee for at least a month, which should open up plenty of lanes and bide Wentz time in the pocket.
Dallas Cowboys (3-5): Plenty of finger pointing going on in Dallas right now.
The Cowboys’ loss to the Titans last week highlighted just how far away Dallas are from serious playoff contention, leaving many to wonder if Jason Garrett is longed for the coaching job.
The playcalling has been the biggest culprit. For all of his god given ability, the Cowboys continue to call flat, basic play calls instead of run/pass options that would suit the former Mississippi State star.
To make matters worse, Sean Lee is done for at least four weeks, and for all of Jerry Jones’ hype surrounding the Amari Cooper trade, it’s already blatantly obvious that he’s not going to contribute much.
It’s only Week 10 and fans are already calling for a fire sale. Dallas are 1-4 in their last five road games, so expect very few points, and a Cowboys loss.
Tip: Under 43.5 Total Points @ $1.91
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
Tuesday 13 November, 12:15pm, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 23 – NY Giants 27
San Francisco 49ers (2-7): The Nick Mullens era is upon us, and after his three touchdown game last week against the Raiders, all eyes will be on San Francisco’s rookie starter.
The Niners don’t have much else going on offensively, and you already know how poor their secondary has become. Fortunately, it won’t take anything special to beat this Giants team, who have so far become the forgotten’s of the league.
New York Giants (1-7): What can the Giants bring to the table after a week off?
If the entire season is any indicator, probably not much. Defensively the Giants haven’t been awful, but it’s hard to back them with so much lacking at the quarterback position.
Eli Manning is past it, and the Giants won’t budge on making a move. The frustrations of wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr continue to grow, and like a handful of other coaches, Pat Shurmur’s old school approach to playcalling is already starting to aggravate the fans.
New York have won six of their last 10 meetings against San Francisco but are 5-12 on the road at Levi’s Stadium. This game figures as one you’re probably best staying away from.
Tip: No Bet
The race for the NFL Playoffs continues this weekend and there are a number of divisions where there are very little between the leading contenders.
There are a host of big games this weekend and it really would not surprise if this ended up being a big week of upsets.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 10 tips can be found below.
Friday November 10, 12:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
The Arizona Cardinals have the home-ground advantage, but it is the Seattle Seahawks that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Winning away from home has been something of an issue for Seattle and they have won only two of their past four games as home favourites.
Arizona have struggled for consistency this season, but they have won four of their past six games in front of their home fans.
The problem for Arizona has been stringing together back-to-back wins and they have only only one of their past seven games on the back of a victory.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New York Jets
Monday November 13, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium
The New York Jets will start this clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as narrow favourites.
This season continues to go from bad to worse for Tampa Bay and they have now lost five games in a row.
Raymond James Stadium does give them the chance to return to winning form and they have won two of their past three games as home underdogs for a clear profit.
The New York Jets ended their own losing streak with a win over the Buffalo Bills, but they have won only two of their past six games on the road and they have been a losing betting play in this scenario.
Tampa Bay will never have a better chance to return to winning form.
Back Tampa Bay To Win @ $2.15
New Orleans Saints
Monday November 13, 5:00am, Ralph Wilson Stadium
The New Orleans Saints have won six games on the trot and they will start this clash with the Buffalo Bills as clear favourites.
New Orleans’ improvement on defence has been one of the big stories in the NFL this season and they are genuine contenders in the NFC.
The Saints have won their past two games as away favourites and they have covered the line in both of these games.
Buffalo produced one of their worst performances of the season to go down to the New York Jets last weekend and this is a tougher challenge.
The Bills have won six of their past eight games at home, but their record against the line is only middling.
New Orleans can continue their winning ways and cover the line in the process.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Monday November 13, 5:00am, Ford Field
The Detroit Lions are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Detroit have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Cleveland Browns are still chasing their first win of the season and the number 1 draft pick looks set to be theirs once again.
Cleveland have covered the line in only four of their past 14 games and it is impossible to have any faith in them.
Detroit should win this clash, but there is no value at their current price.
Green Bay Packers
Monday November 13, 5:00am, Soldier Field
This will be the first time in several seasons that the Chicago Bears will start a game against the Green Bay Packers as favourites.
The Bears have started only one game as favourites over the past 12 months and they lost this game, while they have won just one of their past eight games against the Packers.
It has been a tough time for the Packers since Aaron Rodgers went down with a season-ending injury and you can’t have any faith in them from a betting standpoint.
This is another game that doesn’t represent any value whatsoever from a punting perspective.
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday November 13, 5:00am, EverBank Field
This is a huge game for the Jacksonville Jaguars and they will start it as clear favourites.
Jacksonville have recorded two impressive wins on the trot, but they have still won only two of their past five games as home favourites and they are a tough team to trust.
The Los Angeles Chargers had their winning run ended by the New England Patriots last weekend, but they were still far from disgraced.
Los Angeles are capable of winning on the road and there really isn’t as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests.
Back Los Angeles To Win @ $2.70
Monday November 13, 5:00am, FedEx Field
There is very little between these two teams in betting.
The Minnesota Vikings have recorded four wins on the trot and they have been one of the most underrated teams in the NFL this season.
Minnesota have won their past three games as away favourites and their record against the line is just as good.
The Redskins returned to winning form with an upset win over the Seattle Seahawks, but winning games back-to-back has been an issue.
Washington have won only one of their past three games as home underdogs and have also been a losing betting play against the line in this scenario.
Minnesota are excellent value and they are one of the safest betting plays of the week.
Back Minnesota To Win @ $1.80
Monday November 13, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Field
The Pittsburgh Steelers will start this clash with the Indianapolis Colts as clear favourites.
Pittsburgh have won six of their past eight games and they are one of the most reliable betting sides in the NFL – they have won seven of their past eight games as away favourites and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Colts returned to winning form with an upset win over the Houston Texans, but this is a much tougher assignment.
Indianapolis have lost their past three games as home underdogs and they are 1-2 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the Pittsburgh Steelers should win comfortably and the line of ten points will not be enough.
Los Angeles Rams
Monday November 13, 8:05am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
The Los Angeles Rams will go into this clash with the Houston Texans as extremely short-priced favourites.
Los Angeles have recorded two dominant wins on the trot and they have been the big improvers in the NFL this season.
In saying that, they have still won only two of their past six games as home favourites and it is tough to get them as short as their current quote.
The Texans clearly missed DeShaun Watson last weekend and they went down to the Indianapolis Colts in disappointing fashion.
Houston have won only three of their past nine games as away underdogs, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
There isn’t as much between these two sides as the current betting market suggests and I am keen to back Houston with the big start of 12 points.
Back Houston To Beat The Line (+12 Points)
San Francisco 49ers
New York Giants
Monday November 13, 8:25am, Levi's Stadium
The San Francisco 49ers and the New York Giants have two of the worst records in the NFL this season.
It is the Giants that will start this clash as clear favourites and it is tough to back a side that is coming into this clash on the back of a heavy loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams.
I continue to make the argument that the 49ers are a better team than their current record suggests and this their chance to record their first win of the season.
In saying that, it is still impossible to have any faith in the 49ers and they have been a losing betting play across every single metric.
This is a game that I don’t want to get involved in.
Monday November 13, 8:25am, Mercedes-Benz Stadium
This is one of the games of the weekend and is vital for both teams that will be in the mix for the wildcard berth in the NFL Playoffs.
The Dallas Cowboys produced their best performance of the season to beat the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend, but it is still the Atlanta Falcons that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Atlanta have lost three of their past four games and they have been a losing betting play as home favourites, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Dallas Cowboys and they have won five of their past eight games on the road for a small profit.
There really isn’t a great deal between these two teams and the Cowboys do represent serious value at their current price of $2.25.
New England Patriots
Monday November 13, 12:30am, Mile High
The New England Patriots will start this clash with the Denver Broncos as clear favourites.
New England continue to be the most reliable betting team in the NFL and they have won their past eight games as away favourites, while they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Denver Broncos have lost four games in a row and even their defence has started to struggle in recent weeks.
Denver leaked over 50 points against the Philadelphia Eagles and they will have a tough time stopping New England in this clash.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-7 Points)
Tuesday November 14, 12:30am, Bank Of America Stadium
The Carolina Panthers have won two games in a row and they will go into this clash with the Miami Dolphins as clear favourites.
Carolina have struggled from a betting perspective this season and they have been a losing play across just about every metric over the past 12 months – they have covered the line in only one of their past five games as home favourites.
Miami head into this game on the back of poor losses against the Baltimore Ravens and the Oakland Raiders, but they are a side that has made a habit of winning when they are least expected to.
The Dolphins have won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are a great bet to cover the line with a very healthy start.
Back Miami To Beat The Line (+9.5 Points)
The rivalry between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns is one of the most complicated in the history of sport and they do battle again on Friday morning.
There are a number of meetings between divisional rivals in week 10 of the 2016 NFL season and the highlight could be the key AFC South clash between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans.
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Dallas Cowboys are two of the most successful franchises in NFL history and they have a rare clash on Monday morning before the New England Patriots host the Seattle Seahawks in a rematch of Super Bowl 49.
You can find all our NFL week 10 tips below!
Friday November 11, 11:25am, MT&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore Ravens 28 - Cleveland Browns 7
The Cleveland Browns season continues to go from bad to worse and they are at long odds to record their first win of the season.
Cleveland have lost their past eight games as away underdogs and they are an average 3-5 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore ended a losing streak of their own with a quality performance against Pittsburgh and they really should be able to make it two wins on the trot.
Unfortunately, Baltimore are a tough side to trust from a betting standpoint and they have won just two of their past five games as home favourites, while they are 1-1-3 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore should win this game comfortably, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote.
Green Bay Packers
Monday November 14, 4:00am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee Titans 47 - Green Bay Packers 25
This is a must-win clash for the Green Bay Packers, who go into this clash on the back of two straight losses.
The Packers will still start this clash as narrow favourites and they have won four of their past five games as away favourites for a clear profit, while they have an identical record against the line.
Tennessee lost a high-scoring clash to the San Diego Chargers last weekend, but there were still some positives to take from the performance.
The problem for the Titans is that they have lost their past five games as home underdogs for a clear loss, while they have an identical record against the line.
Green Bay will be able to win to winning form and the line of 2.5 points should not be enough.
Back Green Bay To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Monday November 14, 4:00am, FedEx Field
Washington Redskins 26 - Minnesota Vikings 20
The Minnesota Vikings have regressed significantly following their strong start to the season and they will go into this clash as underdogs
Minnesota have now lost three games on the trot and they are losing control of what was previous a firm grasp on the NFC North.
The Vikings have won four of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit, while they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.
Washington and Cincinnati played out a stalemate last weekend, but the Redskins have still won four of their past six games.
Their record as home favourites does not inspire confidence – they have won just one of their past four games as home favourites for a clear loss.
Minnesota have an excellent chance to return to winning form and they are one of the best value bets of the weekend.
Back Minnesota To Win @ $2.30
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday November 14, 4:00am, Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 36 - Chicago Bears 10
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday November 14, 4:00am, Bank Of American Stadium
Carolina Panthers 17 - Kansas City Chiefs 20
This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend.
Carolina have returned to winning form with wins over Arizona and Los Angeles and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Panthers have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have an identical against the line.
Kansas City made it four wins on the trot with their narrow victory over Jacksonville and they are only a game behind in the highly competitive AFC West.
The Chiefs have won one of their past three games as away underdogs for a loss and they have the same record against the line.
I expect Carolina to be able to grind out a victory and cover the line of three points.
Back Carolina To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
Monday November 14, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia Eagles 24 - Atlanta Falcons 15
This is another very competitive clash and the market finds it tough to split the Philadelphia Eagles and the Atlanta Falcons.
Philadelphia suffered their second straight loss at the hands of an NFC East rival against the New York Giants, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Eagles have won just two of their past five games as home favourites and they have lack composure at key moments in the past fortnight.
Atlanta made it two wins on the trot with their high-scoring victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they continue to set the pace in the NFC South.
The Falcons have won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record away from home over the past 12 months has been strong.
Atlanta have been an outstanding betting team all season long and I am not willing to jump off them this week.
Back Atlanta To Win @ $1.95
New York Jets
Los Angeles Rams
Monday November 14, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
New York Jets 6 - Los Angeles Rams 9
The clash between the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Rams is unlikely to have Playoffs consequences, but it is still an interesting clash from a Playoffs perspective.
New York went down to Miami last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Jets have actually won three of their past four games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
Los Angeles made it four losses on the trot when they went down to the Carolina Panthers and they are sinking to another season of mediocrity.
The Rams have actually won three of their past six games as away underdogs for a big profit, while they are 3-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the market looks to have gotten just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
New Orleans Saints
Monday November 14, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans Saints 23 - Denver Broncos 25
The New Orleans Saints kept themselves in playoffs calculations with another high-scoring victory over the San Francisco 49ers and they will go into this clash as favourites.
Favourtism is not a position that has suited the New Orleans Saints over the past 12 months and they have won just two of their past five games in this position.
Denver lost their crucial AFC West clash with the Oakland Raiders and they need to win this game to keep in touch with their divisional rivals.
The Broncos have won four of their past seven games on the road and they have beaten the line in their past two games as away underdogs.
Backing Denver as underdogs has been a highly profitable play over the past couple of seasons and they are good value at their current quote of $2.10.
Back Denver To Win @ $2.10
Monday November 14, 4:00am, EverBank Field
Jacksonville Jaguars 21 - Houston Texans 24
Houston have struggle to string together back-to-back wins this season and they have the chance to do that against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Texans have won their past seven games as favourites and their record against the line is this scenario is a profitable 6-1.
Jacksonville suffered their third straight loss on the trot against Kansas City and this has really been a season.
The Jaguars have lost their past two games as away underdogs and it is very tough to see them ending that streak against the Texans.
Houston should win this clash comfortably and they are a safe bet to cover the line of 1.5 points without an issue.
Back Houston To Beat The Line (-1.5 Points)
San Diego Chargers
Monday November 14, 7:05am, Qualcomm Stadium
San Diego Chargers 24 - Miami Dolphins 31
San Diego returned to winning form against Tennessee and they will start this clash with the Miami Dolphins as clear favourites.
The Chargers have won two of their past three games as home favourites over the past 12 months and have the same record against the line.
Miami have won three games on the trot heading into this clash and they have found some form in the middle of the season.
The Dolphins have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their recent against the line is 2-3.
San Diego are simply a better team than the Dolphins and they should be able to cover the line of 3.5 points.
Back San Diego To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)
Monday November 14, 7:25am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh Steelers 30 - Dallas Cowboys 35
The Dallas Cowboys have won seven games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers as clear underdogs.
Dallas have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are playing with a great deal of confidence.
This is the toughest task that they have faced for some time and Pittsburgh have a most impressive record as home favourites.
Pittsburgh have won their past six games in this scenario and their record against the line is a most impressive 5-1.
This will be one of the most exciting games of the weekend, but the market looks to have got it just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
San Francisco 49ers
Monday November 14, 7:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
Arizona Cardinals 23 - San Francisco 49ers 20
The Arizona Cardinals are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and should have no problems accounting for the San Francisco 49ers.
Arizona have won six of their past ten games as home favourites for a loss, while they are a very poor 3-1-7 against the line in this scenario.
San Francisco suffered their seventh straight loss when they went down to New Orleans last weekend and they continue to struggle through a horror season.
The 49ers have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line is just as poor.
There is little doubt that Arizona will win this clash, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote of $1.11.
New England Patriots
Monday November 14, 11:30am, Gillette Stadium
New England Patriots 24 - Seattle Seahawks 31
The rematch of Super Bowl 49 is set to be a fascinating clash.
The New England Patriots have been just about flawless so far this season and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.
New England have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear favourites, while they are 5-1-2 against the line.
Seattle produced an improved offensive effort against the Buffalo Bills to return to winning form and they are in control in the NFC West.
They have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is 2-2.
New England are deserving favourites, but Seattle are a better team than their odds suggest and they are a good bet to cover the line with a start of 7.5 points.
Back Seattle To Beat The Line (+7.5 Points)
New York Giants
Tuesday November 15, 11:30am, MetLife Stadium
New York Giants 21 - Cincinnati Bengals 20
There is very little separating these two teams in current betting.
The Cincinnati Bengals will start this clash as narrow favourites following their overtime thriller with Washington last weekend, but their record is fairly unconvincing as home favourites and they have actually been a losing betting proposition in this scenario.
New York head into this clash on the back of three straight victories and they need to win this clash to remain in the NFC Playoffs mix.
The Giants have lost their past three games as home underdogs for a clear loss, but they are 2-1 against the line in this situation.
The market looks to have got this clash just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.