We have rounded the turn and are on the back nine of the 2025 NFL season and there is plenty to look forward to in Week 10.
After last week’s disappointing loss in Pittsburgh, the Indianapolis Colts are off to Berlin to face the Atlanta Falcons with the Olympiastadion the venue for that clash.
New England and Tampa Bay will pit their postseason credentials against one another at Raymond James Stadium while the NFC West battle between the LA Rams and San Francisco 49ers will have its impact felt in January.
Check out our full breakdown and best bets for Week 10 in the NFL season with our preview below.
If you just look at the final score, you might think the Raiders offence showed some signs of life in their Week 9 loss to the Jaguars but it took them more than four quarters to get to 29 points.
Granted, it was a massive improvement on the zero point, 95 yard outing against Kansas City in their prior game but the return of Brock Bowers could only do so much, they’re still not good enough.
Meanwhile, Denver wants to be taken seriously as a Super Bowl contender and this is the sort of game they not only have to win, but win big to earn that reputation.
At 7-2 the Broncos lead the AFC West but with the surging Chargers and Chiefs behind them, they can’t afford to lose any ground.
I’m expecting a mismatch in this game and will happily back a big Broncos win.
There are good reasons for punters to be sceptical of both teams as they head to Germany this weekend.
Indianapolis might have seen their bubble burst with six turnovers in Pittsburgh last weekend, resulting in their second loss of the campaign.
They have nine turnovers in their two losses and just one in their seven defeats so it looks like the formula is pretty straightforward for the AFC South pacesetters.
Atlanta on the other hand has lost three straight with last week’s performance in New England punctuacted by the center getting confused by clapping and snapping the ball to Michael Penix, leading to a penalty and a potential game winning drive stalling out.
While both teams have causes for concern, the Colts at least have some positive runs on the board prior to last week’s mess.
Surely they don’t make the same mistakes again.
It doesn’t look like Miami is fighting all that hard to keep their season alive after getting held to six points for the second time in three weeks.
Lamar Jackson had his way with the Dolphins secondary and this one doesn’t look like it will be all that close if Josh Allen is in the mood for a big day.
When they met in Week 3, the Bills had a brief scare from the visitors before coming away with a 31-21 win and another double digit margin looks to be on the cards.
Beating up on a bad Miami team would have been the perfect re-introduction for Lamar Jackson after his long layoff but it’s going to be a much tougher test this weekend.
Minnesota is coming off their best win of the season, defeating Detroit to keep their playoff hopes alive and their home crowd will certainly give that defence an extra edge.
JJ McCarthy looked surprisingly comfortable on his return from injury, throwing for two touchdowns and running for another, and the Ravens defence is not exactly stout after all of those injuries.
To win this game, they are going to have to try and score in the high-20’s if not break 30 points and frankly, this really could go either way.
Baltimore is in a far more desperate situation but even that may not be enough, so I’m going to just back the over instead.
For just the second time this season, the Cleveland Browns will enter an NFL game as favourites and all it took was the Jets trading away their two best defensive players during the week.
Granted, the Jets probably didn’t deserve favouritism anyway because neither team is all that good, and will probably be preparing to pick in the top five of April’s NFL Draft.
While Aaron Glenn did get the first win of his head coaching career in Week 8, there is nothing they have done to convince anyone they are a value pick as outsiders.
This game could go any way and I’ll just have a play on Browns rookie running back Quishon Judkins to find the end zone at some point.
One of the things many NFL fans learned last week was that Davis Mills was still the backup quarterback in Houston behind CJ Stroud.
For this week (at least), Mills will be elevated from understudy to starter with Stroud set to miss this game with a concussion.
Perhaps it is an indictment on Stroud’s play this year though that the line only moved marginally towards the Jaguars with the news of the Texans quarterback change.
The Jags might be one of those teams you look at and wonder how on earth they are 5-3, but they just keep finding ways to win and they should be able to capitalise on this lucky break here.
It’s incredibly optimistic to call either of these teams true Super Bowl contenders, but with the way they are both playing, you couldn’t rule either of them out of going on a run if things break their way.
New England is riding a six game winning streak but this is their toughest test since their trip to Buffalo in early October and they did look vulnerable against Atlanta last week.
Tampa Bay is decimated with injuries but their wide receiver options should be sending shivers down the spines of the Patriots secondary, especially if Christian Gonzalez is a no go after his injury last weekend.
New England’s pass defence in general has been hit and miss, which might prove to be the difference in this game as Tampa finds a way to eek out a much needed victory to move to 7-2.
At or near the top of the “things that don’t quite make sense in 2025” list is the Carolina Panthers sitting at 5-4 and challenging for a playoff spot.
They have had some utterly dreadful showings mixed in with some moments of remarkable competence.
Which is a lot more than you can say about the New Orleans Saints who are battling, but ultimately limited across the board and it’s not too early think rookie quarterback Tyler Shough isn’t the guy.
Granted he doesn’t have much help around him, but there’s only so much he can do.
I actually give the Giants a real chance of springing an upset over the Bears this weekend, in no small part because the home side is coming off a bonkers win in Cincinnati last week.
That game would have no doubt left a mark on their psyche and I’m not quite sure they have the experience to know how to rebound quickly from that performance.
Their defence has battled through the last two games giving up 72 points and even this Giants offence should be able to move the ball on them.
Jaxson Dart has been solid and Brian Daboll will put him in some good spots here.
Giants at the line is tempting but the total points number looks way too low considering the firepower both teams have at their disposal.
Seattle is suddenly looking like a top flight NFC contender after their winning streak got extended to three in impressive fashion.
They have scored 20 points in seven straight games, broken 25 in five of eight and topped 30 points in four of their eight games so far.
Defensively they have held the Jags, Texans and Commanders all under 20 points and are on a hot streak.
However when these teams met in Week 4 it was a tighter than expected affair though with Arizona coming from 20-6 down in the final six minutes to tie it up at 20 with 28 seconds on the clock.
But that was not the end of the drama with Sam Darnold completing a pass to Jaxon Smith-Njigba to set up a game winning field goal as time expired.
I’m expecting another tight contest here with Arizona looking really good against Dallas on Monday Night Football and Jacoby Brissett operating the offence better than Kyler Murray.
They’ll be good enough to keep it close but Seattle is too good to back against.
Let’s not waste too much time on this non-contest between the Lions and Commanders.
Washington’s back slide this season has been worse than anyone expected and it won’t get any better after the gruesome elbow injury Jayden Daniels suffered in last week’s blowout loss.
That brings Marcus Mariota back into the starting lineup and if he was playing with a stacked roster he’d be fine, but there’s no fight in Washington right now.
On the other sideline is a Detroit team that just lost at home to Minnesota and have had to see the Vikings taking shots at them on social media.
They need someone to take their frustration out on, so good luck to Washington’s kneecaps.
It’ll be tough to match the hype of Bills-Chiefs last week but this is going to have as much of an impact on the NFC playoff field as that blockbuster last week.
We’ve got two really good teams facing off at the site of February’s Super Bowl and with the winner could take control of the division.
San Francisco stunned LA back in Week 5 with an overtime victory but the Rams left a lot on the table in that game and I like their chances of bouncing back.
Especially with Matt Stafford in the form he is in right now, suddenly looking like an MVP candidate.
At this point it is down to sheer stubbornness but I just can’t get on board with what the Pittsburgh Steelers are doing this season.
They look good at times but you can’t help but escape the nagging feeling their 5-4 record is propped up by teams collapsing in a heap in front of them.
Last week Indianapolis turned the ball over six times, New England gave it up five times, they beat Minnesota in London and their other two wins were over the Jets and Cleveland.
LA did some business at the trade deadline to try and put a band-aid on their depleted offensive line and Trevor Penning is going to get a baptism of fire with this Pittsburgh pass rush.
There is every reason to take the Steelers in an upset but I just don’t think they’re good enough to get to 20 here and I like the Chargers to grind out a win.
The defending champions reloaded during their bye week and look set to go on another run in the second half of the season.
Boasting an already stacked roster, they added some role players to fill some gaps and seeing them as outsiders for this game at Lambeau Field is more than a bit surprising.
Green Bay was really bad last week and they should produce an improved effort, but more concerningly they lost tight end Tucker Kraft to a torn ACL and he was the one pass catcher who seemed to be on the same page as Jordan Love.
Give me an Eagles upset.
2024
It’s time for the second half of the 2024 NFL regular season and the games take on even more importance as the weather in the US turns cold.
The trade deadline has passed and there were a number of players shifting teams, however none made a bigger statement on Wednesday morning (AEDT) was Washington acquiring Marshon Lattimore to shore up their defence.
However, the league remains, as it has been for pretty much the entire 2020’s, in pursuit of the still perfect Kansas City Chiefs who remain perfect to date.
There are big games aplenty in Week 10 starting with the AFC North clash between Baltimore and Cincinnati.
Check out who we are backing in every NFL game in our previews below.
Baltimore rebounded from their shock loss in Cleveland in emphatic fashion, demolishing a decent Denver team 41-10 as their all-star offence piled on the points.
They match up well in this game against a Bengals defence that has struggled to contain other good rushing attacks, let alone the best in the league.
Back in Week 5, the Ravens needed overtime to get by the Bengals in Cincinnati in a back and forth encounter that ended 41-38 in overtime and this one should be similarly close.
However the Ravens have continually showed just how versatile their running game (and offence) can be, and they will likely lean on their bellcow back who is on pace to challenge the single season record to keep this game in control a bit more.
Derrick Henry is averaging 116.9 rush yards per game and has scored a touchdown in every game as well in 2024 so let’s back him to lead the Ravens to victory.
SGM: Baltimore to Win, Derrick Henry 100+ Rushing Yards, Anytime TD Scorer @ $3.00
The NFL is heading back to Germany for a third straight season as two NFC… participants had to the Allianz Arena in Munich.
It is impossible to bill this as a blockbuster clash, kind of like last year’s Patriots-Colts game in Frankfurt, with the Giants and Panthers both holding 2-7 records so far.
Carolina has had to turn back to Bryce Young due to an injury to Andy Dalton and it helped them beat the equally dysfunctional Saints last week.
Meanwhile the Giants have lost four straight and been held to under 10 points on three occasions this year and frankly, there is not a lot to get excited about.
It is a bit of a surprise to see the total points number above 40 and unless there are a half dozen turnovers, we probably won’t reach that number.
Under 41.5 Points @ $1.90
Last week’s loss in Minnesota showcased exactly why the Colts are technically better off with Joe Flacco than Anthony Richardson, but also have an incredibly narrow path to victory regardless of who is playing quarterback.
They could not get their ground game going and struggled to produce anything of note against a stout Vikings defence and it leaves you wondering how they are going to do anything against Buffalo this week.
Last week Buffalo had to work hard to get by Miami, but as he has done more often than not Josh Allen made enough plays to get them over the line.
The Bills should have a slightly easier go of things against this Colts secondary and it would be a big surprise for this one to be close in the fourth quarter.
Buffalo to Cover -4 @ $1.90
In the last three days, the Saints have lost to the worst team in the league, fired their coach, seen their best receiver suffer another concussion and traded away their best defensive player.
That means they are ready to give up on the season right?
Not necessarily, with the team in a perfect spot for a bounce back game against a division opponent they have a pretty strong rivalry with.
It was a 26-24 Atlanta win back in September and another close game could very well be on the cards, especially if the Saints pass rush can get after Kirk Cousins.
Add in a run defence that has given up over 100 yards to every opponent this season and the Saints have a path to victory if the coaching change sparks a temporary resurgence.
New Orleans to Win @ $2.40
At this point, any punter taking on the Chiefs head to head is brave, stubborn or a combination of both.
At 8-0 they just keep finding ways to win, even when Patrick Mahomes makes a miraculous recovery from what he initially makes out to be a career ending injury.
However they have been a rough team to back against at the line, but the bookies continue to install them as a multiple score favourite.
Which is all well and good until you do the maths and work out that six of their eight wins have been by seven or less points and they just keep letting teams hang around.
Denver got found out by Baltimore last week and Kansas City is just as tough of a challenge, however they do have the extra knowledge of being a division rival and the Chiefs do let teams hang around.
Denver to Cover +8.5 @ $1.90
While Minnesota might be starting to waver just a little bit after their 5-0 start, they are still in a much better position than their opponents this week.
The 2-7 Jags continued to be undone by their own shortcomings, falling into an early hole in Philadelphia and failing to complete the comeback.
That came despite their worst offensive day of the season in terms of yardage and they are unlikely to have much more success against one of the league’s best defences.
On paper this is a pretty close matchup but the on-field form of these teams points to just the one outcome.
Minnesota to Cover -4 $1.90
Two weeks after falling to the second overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft, Caleb Williams and the Chicago Bears will take on the third pick, Drake Maye and the New England Patriots.
However the similarities between New England and Washington’s rebuild ends with taking a quarterback high in the first round as the Patriots have continued to struggle.
That’s why the Bears are such clear favourites in this market and if the home team cannot end their two game slide, then they are in a lot of trouble.
New England has a serious talent deficiency and Williams should have a field day against their defence.
Chicago to Cover -6 @ $1.94
Two of the season’s surprise packets face off in a big cross-conference clash.
Washington has been one of the stories to follow with rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels while Pittsburgh has had a new lease of life after bringing in Russell Wilson two games ago.
The visitors have had the week to freshen up with the bye and that is a dangerous prospect for Daniels and the Washington offence.
TJ Watt remains a game wrecker and if Washington is overly focused on him, the rest of that unit will make his day a long one.
Pittsburgh to Win @ $2.25
At 4-4 and needing a boost San Francisco could not have asked for better news coming out of their bye week with superstar Christian McCaffrey coming back to practice.
How involved he will be in this game remains in question at publish, but with the absences at other positions, getting their main guy back and close to playing can only be a good thing.
Tampa Bay won’t be overly sympathetic however, with their depleted squad coming into this on short rest on the back of an overtime loss in Kansas City.
The effort is still very much there for the Bucs and that should keep them competitive in games like this, but they don’t quite have the guys to get the job done.
San Francisco to Win by 1-13 Points @ $2.15
This is one of the easier plays of the week, despite Tennessee coming off just their second win of the season.
It was an overtime win over New England, but this is 2024 and not 2014 so it’s not exactly an achievement to beat the Patriots anymore.
Meanwhile, the Chargers just go from strength to strength as Jim Harbaugh continues to build this program in his image.
They moved to 5-3 last week and have the league’s best defence from a points allowed perspective, holding every opponent to 20 points or less and comfortably beating Cleveland last week.
Chances are they should make short work of this horrible Titans offence and win this game comfortably.
LA Chargers to Win by 14+ @ $2.50
It might be time to start taking Arizona seriously, with the 5-4 Cardinals leading the NFC West and surviving the infamous Call of Duty hump for Kyler Murray.
Winning back to back games on last second field goals was one thing, but they easily accounted for the Bears last week, stifling their opponents.
That defence will have their hands full with Garrett Wilson and Davante Adams but if they can get on the Jets receivers early, the quit potential in the visitors is very high.
New York has had their issues stopping teams with a strong ground game and a couple of defensive stops, combined with an early dose of James Connor and the Cardinals have a clear path to victory.
Arizona to Win @ $1.83
A week can change the complexion of a lot of things in the NFL and for Dallas, a rough season has gone from bad to worse.
Last week’s loss to Atlanta not only dropped their record to 3-5, but also cost them quarterback Dak Prescott for at least a few weeks and CeeDee Lamb further aggravating a shoulder injury which will at least limit him if not rule him out completely for this weekend.
Meanwhile, despite all of their behind the scenes oddities, the Eagles just keep finding ways to win at 6-2 with four victories in a row.
Their defence has forced five turnovers in the last two weeks alone and have stifled the offences of Cleveland, New York, Cincinnati and Jacksonville.
If they cannot account for the depleted Cowboys then the alarm bells should be ringing.
Philadelphia to Cover -7.5 @ $1.94
With the second best record in the league, no team is in better shape than the Detroit Lions at the moment.
They have now won six in a row and last week saw them prove to everyone they could win in the elements, going to Green Bay and beating the Packers in a different way to most of their early season wins.
Unfortunately for Houston, this good team that was expected to take the leap to Super Bowl contenders has not quite been able to do so with their injury room decimated by injuries.
They still have the talent to see off bad teams but their shortcomings against the league’s best will get found out by teams like Detroit.
Detroit to Cover -3.5 @ $1.90
A tough season for the LA Rams is starting to trend in the right direction with three straight wins, including a dramatic overtime victory in Seattle last week.
Now they have to see off a desperate Miami team whose offence is starting to find a bit more traction with Tua Tagovailoa leading the team to 27 points in each of the last two weeks.
While those were their best performances of the season points-wise, it wasn’t enough as their defence gave up 28 and 30 points in both of those games.
However when it all comes together, Miami has the firepower to outscore anyone.
We have two teams more than capable of moving the ball and rather than trying to force a pick either way, the over looks like a far more appealing prospect.
Over 50.5 Points @ $1.90
2023
Believe it or not but we are 136 games into the 2023 NFL season and there are 136 games still to go before we hit the playoffs.
Both conferences are still very much up for grabs with no clear front runners able to emerge from the pack just yet, although some teams have already fallen by the wayside.
Week 10 kicks off with a bout between the battlers, Chicago and Carolina before a very busy Monday that kicks off in Germany.
The three headline encounters are all in the 5:00am (AEDT) window with Cincinnati-Houston, Jacksonville-San Francisco and Baltimore-Cleveland all potentially tantalising encounters.
It’s another big week across the league and we’ve got our game previews and best bets below!
Regardless of how this game plays out, the Bears will be the winner because this is going to help improve the positioning of one of their first round draft picks.
Carolina traded their 2024 selection to Chicago as part of the package to move up and take Bryce Young first overall, and the rookie’s struggles have meant that wins have been hard to come by.
Not that he would have had a much better time in Chicago with the Bears also struggling and the teams enter Week 10 with the second and third worst records in the NFL.
To be totally honest here, this is all filler to avoid talking about the actual game because it is damn hard to get excited about this one.
We’ve got two bad teams that cannot move the ball and the most exciting part of this one is seeing how blunt Al Michaels gets in his assessment for the Amazon broadcast.
Chicago at least has the advantage of playing on Thursday Night Football for the second time this season, and they looked great the first time around knocking off Washington 40-20.
But with the uncertainty surrounding Justin Fields and the bubble bursting for Tyson Bagent, I’m going to just back the under.
Under 39 Points @ $1.90
What was the defining NFL rivalry of the 2000’s is now a mediocre matchup that could be seen as a cultural slight on the Germans making them sit through three hours of this.
Even 10 years ago when it was Andrew Luck (unsuccessfully) challenging Tom Brady and Bill Belichick there was a decent amount of hype, but Gardner Minshew and Mac Jones just don’t move the needle.
As for who wins this one, it should be up in the air but with the reported dysfunction in New England you have to just back against them at every opportunity.
If you need some statistical support, Indianapolis has scored at least 20 points in every game this season, whereas New England has only scored over 20 points once.
The Colts defence might not be great but New England’s offence is just atrocious.
Indianapolis to Win @ $1.82
Heading into Week 10, the entire AFC North is in position to qualify for the playoffs and if this was a Wild Card Weekend matchup, that would be a big win for everyone.
Baltimore has the best points differential in the league and is tied for the best record in the conference.
A dominant 28-3 win in Cleveland back in Week 4 helped propel them on that path, however the Browns will feel pretty good about their chances for revenge.
For starters, Deshaun Watson is back in the lineup after missing that game and several others with a shoulder injury but he can only do so much, as can their defence which has been hit and miss of late.
Lamar Jackson is playing like an MVP right now and is in red hot form, I’ll be backing him to carry the Ravens to a victory, even if it is a bit closer than last month.
SGM: Ravens Win, Lamar Jackson 175+ Pass Yards & Over 45.5 Rush Yards @ $3.39
It has reached a point with the Pittsburgh Steelers where you just have to give up on them trying to make sense and just enjoy the ride.
By all metrics they should have the opposite of their 5-3 record but they just find ways to keep winning… somehow.
On the season they have been outscored 133-163 thanks to a pair of blowouts to San Francisco and Houston, while every win has been seven points or less.
Their offence seems to spend most games stuck in the mud but they find a way to put up enough points to get them over the line.
Green Bay is a bit easier to understand, with some big time struggles contributing to their 3-5 record.
It just has not worked for the Packers and even after beating an undermanned Rams team last week I’m happy to take them on.
Pittsburgh won’t blow them out because they apparently do not know how to do that but they will pick up the win.
Pittsburgh to Win by 1-13 Points @ $2.20
The thing about young teams is that they seem destined to ride the highest of highs and suffer through the lowest of lows.
It won’t get much better than last week’s rookie record setting performance from CJ Stroud, but he will have games where he comes crashing back to earth against a good team.
Cincinnati won’t be stuck on the foot of the division for long and they might just be the in form team in the AFC thanks to a four game winning streak.
Both of these teams are capable of putting up the points so the over is very much in play, but I’m siding with the Bengals in the head to head because they are playing too well to take on.
Cincinnati to Win and Over 47.5 Points @ $2.45
Few debuts have gone better or been more bizarre than Josh Dobbs’ introduction to life as the Vikings quarterback, but whatever he did it worked against Atlanta.
There will be no time to stop and go house hunting in Minnesota though, the team is on a four game winning streak and face a very winnable stretch of games heading into their Week 13 bye.
It won’t be easy this week with New Orleans starting to find a winning formula, however it can just as easily fall apart for the Saints as it came together.
New Orleans has struggled on defence against decent offences and even without Justin Jefferson, Minnesota has remained productive in possession and I like the value on them at home.
Minnesota to Win @ $2.20
No team in the NFL needed the bye week more than the San Francisco 49ers who careened into the week off like Johnny Knoxville driving a rental car in a demolition derby.
Injuries were taking hold of the team with just about every key player dealing with some sort of ailment and it showed during their three game losing streak.
They are no sure thing to end it this week either against the Jaguars who are also coming off their bye.
Despite sitting at 6-2, Jacksonville is far from assure of success in the coming months with a very rough run to Christmas.
However you cannot ignore just how good they have looked since going to London and the health questions surrounding the 49ers have me happy to stay away from the visitors here.
Jacksonville to Win @ $2.40
A literal toss up in the Ladbrokes market to round out the early slate, it will be very interesting to see how these teams respond from very different but equally frustrating Week 9 defeats.
Tampa’s offence just had its best day of the season and it still wasn’t enough thanks to a total implosion by their pass defence.
Up next is another promising (albeit less talented) rookie in Tennessee who will have spent the last 10 days working out how he can capitalise on the Bucs’ shortcomings.
While both teams have had their issues on offence this season, there is a lot to look forward to in this one and I’m expecting plenty of points with the teams more than happy to try a couple of deep shots.
Over 38.5 Points @ $1.90
He’s back and not a moment too soon!
Just under 11 months removed from tearing his ACL, Arizona’s star quarterback and Call of Duty enthusiast Kyler Murray will start an NFL game and it’s not a moment too soon for his career in the desert.
Currently in possession of the top pick in next April’s Draft, Murray needs to come in and perform well enough to move Arizona out of the bottom five records in the league or the franchise will have to think about replacing him.
If there is one good thing you can say about the Cardinals (last week notwithstanding), it’s that they have a better quarterback situation than the Atlanta Falcons.
Arthur Smith seems determined to make life as tough as possible by ignoring star rookie Bijan Robinson and if Murray is even close to his best, they could be in trouble.
Atlanta has gone 1-3 on the road this season and I’m surprised to see them favoured here, I’ll be taking them on.
Arizona to Win @ $2.05
Taking the over here feels way too obvious, both of these teams have some dynamic players on offence so 48.5 should be an easy target right?
It becomes a lot less obvious when you consider that both teams have very strong defences that can take over a game.
Just look at what the Chargers did to the allegedly good Jets on Tuesday, holding them to six points and forcing three turnovers in the process.
Detroit has Aidan Hutchinson who is a gamewrecker in his own right and it’s not like the Chargers’ offence is living up to its potential most weeks either.
I’m landing on the under for this one, it could be a bit of an arm wrestle.
Under 48.5 Points @ $1.90
In Week 1, the hotly anticipated game between the Cowboys and Giants finished 40-0 in favour of the Cowboys and on the day, many thought the rematch would be more competitive.
It won’t be, the Giants have lost a lot of key players, including quarterbacks Daniel Jones and Tyrod Taylor which means we get the Tommy DeVito show from the start this week.
If Dallas is at all serious about being seen as a properly competitive team, they’ll see 40-0 as the bare minimum result here.
Dallas to Cover -20 @ $2.45
Washington just finds ways to stick around in the playoff race, mostly through wins over bad or struggling teams.
Despite a rough trip to Baltimore last week, I’m not quite convinced that Seattle is bad enough to allow Washington to hang around.
They have not quite hit the heights of the 2022 season but they are good enough to take care of business at home.
Seattle to Cover -6 @ $1.87
The only reason this game has remained in the primetime feature slot is because the NFL is conducting a weird social experiment to see how far they can push their audience.
Vegas looked a lot better last week under interim coach Antonio Pierce but it came against the rather hapless New York Giants so it has to be taken with a grain of salt.
The good news for them is their horrendous defence will be facing a horrendous Jets offence so they should cancel each other out.
What should be the difference is the newfound energy the Raiders have following the change in coach and quarterback.
Aidan O’Connell won’t have the easiest day at the office dealing with the Jets but as long as he is able to get the ball into the hands of Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers and Josh Jacobs, leaving them to do the hard work, they’ll be fine.
Las Vegas to Win @ $1.90
Since blasting the Dolphins in Week 4, Buffalo has been borderline unrecognisable, looking like a shell of the team of the last few seasons.
It can’t all be attributed to the massive amount of injuries suffered by their defence, with the offence committing multiple turnover in four of the last five games where they have gone 2-3 in that time.
They seem destined to make things much harder than they need to be and until they settle down you have to approach them with caution.
Denver is starting to show a little something defensively in the last few weeks and that should be a massive red flag for Josh Allen and company.
In their last game they forced five turnovers from Kansas City in a convincing 24-9 victory and the Broncos’ ground game is finding ways to move the ball.
I’m not quite ready to jump off the Bills train but I can’t see them doing this the easy way.
Buffalo to Win by 1-13 Points @ $2.15
2022
We’re into the second half of the 2022 NFL season and seven of the eight division leaders are looking over their shoulders at a chasing pack that is two or fewer games behind them.
It’s setting up for some phenomenal playoff races over the next couple of months across both conferences.
Week 10 kicks off in Carolina with an NFC South battle between the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons, where the visitors can temporarily take the division lead with a win.
Then fans can strap in for 14 hours of non-stop action on Monday morning starting with the first ever regular season game in Germany between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Seattle Seahawks.
We’ve got 14 games on the schedule and below are our previews and best bets for every one so read on and see what we are backing.
Thanks in large part to Tampa Bay being well below par in 2022, this division is still very much up for grabs despite Carolina being in contention for the first overall pick in next year’s NFL Draft.
Two weeks ago these teams played an epic back and forth encounter that Atlanta won 37-34 in overtime and there’s a case to be made for another Falcons win here.
For starters the Falcons welcomed back one of their more reliable playmakers in Cordarrelle Patterson last week and he will only add to a surprisingly productive offence.
Carolina’s defence is talented but it can only do so much to carry a lacklustre offence and the strain is starting to show.
They had a hard time dealing with Joe Mixon last week, allowing the Bengals running back to have a historic day, and even though Patterson isn’t quite at Mixon’s level he could be in for a bit of a fill up.
SGM: Atlanta to Cover -2.5, Cordarrelle Patterson Anytime TD Scorer, Over 35.5 Total Points @ $3.64
German fans will be treated to the ultimate matchup between form and reputation as the Seattle Seahawks take on Tampa Bay.
Pete Carroll looks 15 years younger as he has guided his unfancied side to a 6-3 record and a possible division title.
Tampa Bay on the other hand have stumbled to 4-5 record but their last gasp win over the Rams might just be able to kick start a run to the playoffs, after all, they still have Tom Brady.
Brady is looking to add another record to his already full collection, trying to become the first quarterback to win a regular season game in a fourth country having already won in the USA, Mexico and England.
However it’s all about confidence and right now it is really tough to have any faith in Tampa Bay having been burned by them on multiple occasions this year.
Seattle on the other hand is on a roll and rookie running back Kenneth Walker could be in for a big day if he can get going against a Tampa defence that has struggled to slow down opposing run games.
Back Seattle to Win @ $2.25
Tennessee won plenty of admirers in defeat last week, pushing Kansas City all the way with an old fashioned approach, leaning on their defence and running game before falling to arguably the best player in the game at the moment.
With an injury cloud still hanging over Ryan Tannehill, rookie Malik Willis may be in line for his third start but it’s unlikely we’re going to see too much from either quarterback in this game anyway.
That approach of running as much as possible and counting on their defence will be more than enough to get them by a pretty poor Denver Broncos team.
While the Broncos do have a good pass defence, their front seven took a big hit during their bye week with the trade of Bradley Chubb which is only going to make Derrick Henry’s life a lot easier.
Back Tennessee to Cover -2.5 @ $1.90
Miami and in particular Tua Tagovailoa have managed to answer just about every question that has been asked of them this season.
Their much maligned quarterback has gone 6-0 in games that he has started and completed including a pair of back to back near perfect performances in wins over Detroit and Chicago.
Cleveland’s last outing was an out of character win over division rivals Cincinnati where their defence showed up for once having been run over more often than not this season.
Plenty of teams have struggled to slow down Miami’s turbo charged offence and it’s unlikely that Cleveland will offer up a whole lot of resistance.
Back Miami to Cover -3.5 & Over 48.5 Points @ $3.50
Chicago’s offence is officially alive after the Bears finally found a way to unleash Justin Fields over the last few weeks.
Unfortunately that offensive explosion has coincided with the normally stingy defence collapsing which has brought about a two game losing streak where they conceded 84 points.
On the plus side, Detroit’s bubble has burst in every imaginable way, which should allow the Bears to record an easy home win… well as easy as a game between two teams with six losses can be.
Back Chicago to Cover -3 @ $1.94
Despite losing their last game before the bye in Seattle, it’s not quite time to jump off the Giants bandwagon.
All that loss really did was remind us that they still have some holes that can be found out be other good and competitive teams.
Houston isn’t a good team but they are competitive as we saw against the unbeaten Eagles, five of their six defeats have come by 12 points or fewer.
The Giants are not exactly blowing teams out either with seven of their first eight games being decided by eight points or less.
New York should win, they are the better team but it won’t be a blowout.
Back the NY Giants to Win by 1-13 @ $2.45
The Chiefs survived last week, but punters should be backing them to thrive when they host the struggling Jaguars.
It just is not clicking for Trevor Lawrence right now and his run of turnovers should be a massive concern for the coaching staff.
On the plus side this season is very much a learning experience for Lawrence so they can afford to have him make mistakes but in this instance, it is not setting up for a competitive showing against Kansas City.
Back Kansas City to Win by 14+ @ $2.30
The Minnesota money is coming in, with the Vikings already into $2.55 from their starting point of over $3.
Punters flocking to back the visiting Vikings have not been scared off by the Bills loss to the Jets, but rather the uncertain injury status of MVP candidate Josh Allen.
Buffalo’s coaching staff have classed their star man as “day-to-day” with an injury to the elbow on his throwing arm.
It’s requiring a bit of speculation on everyone’s part and if Allen is able to play at a level close to what we have seen him normally operate at, the Bills offer some excellent value.
However his playing style of inviting big hits and having a potentially limited throwing arm is not a great recipe for success this weekend.
I’ll be rolling the dice on Case Keenum starting for Buffalo which swings this game firmly in favour of Minnesota.
Back Minnesota to Win @ $2.55
Just like the prior game, this one’s best bet hinges on the status of one team’s star player, except it is not either quarterback.
Pittsburgh’s TJ Watt is one of the few defensive players that can swing a pick one way or another and if he is cleared to play in this game, the Steelers will be the way to go.
New Orleans’ offence just isn’t working right now and we saw just how much it has been struggling in their loss to Baltimore last week.
Ravens defenders were in the backfield quite often and Watt will be able to make up for lost time by building on his game-breaking effort in Week 1.
Back Pittsburgh to Win @ $2.02
One team has a head coach under a lot of pressure to keep his job after a disappointing start, the other is rolling out an interim head coach with no pressure because he has never been a coach at the NFL or college level.
Indianapolis mercifully fired Frank Reich after their loss to New England, but their decision to replace him with former player and ESPN media member Jeff Saturday was one of the most bizarre decisions in recent memory, raising all sorts of questions about whether or not they are tanking for the rest of the season.
If the Raiders blow this game against the Colts, then not only should Josh McDaniels be fired but this franchise should be forced to move back to Oakland and play at a local high school field.
This is the get right game Vegas needs to get some confidence in their ability to function at an NFL level and Indianapolis should happily oblige.
Back Las Vegas to Cover -6 @ $1.90
There’s a lot up in the air surrounding this game, starting with Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford entering the NFL’s concussion protocol midweek.
That puts his status for this game in major doubt, thrusting John Wolford into the limelight, although given Stafford’s other ailments giving him some time to recoup might not be the worst case scenario here.
Kyler Murray missed Cardinals’ practice during the week as well with a hamstring injury and while not quite on the level of a concussion, it’s a major ailment for a guy who relies on running around.
Neither team has inspired a whole lot of confidence backing them but the Rams defence has at least shown flashes at times.
If they can force a couple of turnovers they should be able to get the job done and while the logical approach might be to stay away from this one, I’ll take a punt on the Rams.
Back the LA Rams to Win @ $1.80
It just is not happening for Green Bay this year with their miserable season sinking to a new low, losing to Detroit while only managing nine points against one of the NFL’s worst defences.
Dallas has had a bye week to prepare for this one and will be coming off the back of their best offensive performance of the year putting up 49 on Chicago.
It was a balanced effort lead by Tony Pollard who was deputising for the injured Ezekiel Elliott and they should have a field day against Green Bay here.
Back Dallas to Win by 14+ @ $3.40
If both teams show up, we could be in for a really good game on Sunday Night Football in the battle of the Bosa’s.
Both teams boast phenomenal pass rushers from the same family with Nick and Joey looking to outdo one another but this game will come down to which quarterback can hold their nerve.
The Chargers offence is massively depleted but Justin Herbert still has enough tools at his disposal to move the ball on this 49ers defence.
As for Jimmy Garoppolo, his audition for a job in 2023 will continue after guiding the 49ers to a competitive 4-4 record and he can spread the ball around on an injury ravaged Chargers defence.
LA has been competitive in most games, going 5-3 against the line so far this season and their habit of finding ways to stay in games (even if they don’t win them) should at least give them a shot here.
Back LA Chargers to Cover +7 @ $1.90
Is this the week Philadelphia finally suffers its first defeat?
Probably not but Washington will be doing everything in their power to make them earn their ninth straight win.
These division games tend to be more competitive than most expect and Philadelphia won’t be worried about covering the 11 point line.
For them it’s all about getting the win and Washington has the players to make enough stops and score enough points to be close at the end.
Back Philadelphia to Win by 1-13 @ $2.50
2021
It was so absolute chaos in the NFL last weekend!
A host of Super Bowl contenders, like the Dallas Cowboys and the Buffalo Bills, suffered humiliating defeats, while a number of franchises got themselves back into the Playoffs mix with upset wins.
This week’s action gets underway when the Baltimore Ravens take on the Miami Dolphins on Friday morning (AEDT) and there are a host of big-games in the prime time slots.
The Kansas City Chiefs will take on the Oakland Raiders in a key game in the AFC West, while the San Francisco 49ers desperately need a win against the Los Angeles Rams.
Will the run of underdogs continue this weekend?
We have analysed every single game and our NFL Week 10 tips can be found below!
The Miami Dolphins may have gotten the job done against the Houston Texans, but the Baltimore Ravens represent a completely different level of competition.
The Ravens have now won six of their last seven games, while the Dolphins have failed to cover the line in five of their last six fixtures.
Tip: Ravens To Cover The Line (-7.5 Points)
The Dallas Cowboys produced their first performance of the season against the Denver Broncos, while the Atlanta Falcons got themselves back into the Playoffs mix with a win over the New Orleans Saints.
It would be a surprise if the Cowboys produced another poor effort.
That was their first loss since week one against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, while they have covered the line in seven of their last eight games.
The Over has saluted in 11 of the Cowboys last 12 home games against NFC rivals and this shapes as another high-scoring game.
Tip: Cowboys To Cover The Line (-10.5 Points) and Over 55.5 Total Points @ $3.80
The Buffalo Bills are another side that come into this week on the back of a shock loss; with the Bills producing a particularly poor effort against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The New York Jets have put up plenty of points in recent weeks, with the Mike White era continuing, but the Bills defence do produce a much tougher challenge.
There is no doubt that the Bills are deserving favourite, but this is a game that the market looks to have just about right.
Tip: No Bet
Both the New England Patriots and Cleveland Browns come into this clash on the back of impressive wins and this could be a key game in the race for the Playoffs.
I was impressed with what I saw from the Browns last weekend against the Cincinnati Bengals and I do think they are a more talented outfit than the Patriots.
The Patriots have won only four of their past five five games at Gillette Stadium, while the Browns have covered the line in five of their last six road games.
Tip: Cleveland Browns To Win @ $2.02
It is tough to have much interest in this clash.
The Pittsburgh Steelers are deserving favourites, with the Detroit Lions still chasing their first win this season, but it is tough to have any confidence in them from a betting perspective.
The Under has saluted in five of the past six games played by the Lions and this looks set to be another low-scoring affair.
Tip: Under 42.5 Total Points @ $1.90
The Jacksonville Jaguars come into this clash on the back of a stunning upset win over the Buffalo Bills.
Can they make it back-to-back victories?
It would not surprise if this game is closer than the market suggests.
The Colts defence does have issues and the Jaguars have covered the line in ten of their past 12 games against the Colts.
Tip: Jacksonville Jaguars To Cover The Line (+10.5 Points)
The Tennessee Titans have stamped themselves as legitimate Super Bowl contenders with a string of impressive wins over the Kansas City Chiefs, Buffalo Bills and Los Angeles Rams.
This could be a danger game though.
I think that Trevor Siemian is a better quarterback than the market suggests and the New Orleans Saints were a touch unlucky against the Atlanta Falcons last week.
The Saints have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs for a huge profit and I am keen to back them once again.
Tip: New Orleans Saints To Win @ $2.22
Both the Washington Football Team and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers are back from the bye.
The Buccaneers went into the bye on the back at a surprise loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints, but I expect them to bounce back in this contest.
Washington have lost their last eight games as a underdog and they have failed to cover the line in seven of their last eight games.
Tip: Tampa Bay Buccaneers To Cover The Line (-9.5 Points)
The wheels have fallen off at the Carolina Panthers and they go into this clash with the Arizona Cardinals as a big underdog.
This is a game that the market does look to have just about right.
The Carindals have won eight of their nine games this season and are deserving favourites, but the Panthers have covered the line in their last five games against the Carindals.
Tip: No Bet
The Minnesota Vikings are coming off a heart-breaking overtime loss against the the Baltimore Ravens and it doesn’t get any easier for them against the Los Angeles Chargers.
The Vikings have lost their last six games coming off an overtime game, while the Chargers have covered the line in five of their last six game against NFC opponents.
I think that the Chargers should be far shorter-priced favourites for this clash.
Tip: Los Angeles Chargers To Cover The Line (-2.5 Points)
The Denver Broncos are coming off their best performance of the season against the Dallas Cowboys and they will start this clash with the Philadelphia Eagles as favourites.
I am confident that the Broncos are a better side than their record suggests and they can continue their winning ways.
The Eagles have failed to cover the line in eight of their past eight games against AFC opposition and it is tough to have any confidence in them from a betting perspective.
Tip: Denver Broncos To Cover The Line (-2.5 Points)
Markets are currently unavailable for this clash due to uncertainty surrounding the status of both Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson.
Tip: No Bet
This is a huge game in the context on the AFC West.
The Kansas City Chiefs have been poor in recent weeks, but they have still found ways to win and I think they can continue that winning streak against the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Chiers have won six of their past seven games against the Raiders, while the Raiders have failed to cover the line in three of their past four games.
Tip: Kansas City Chiefs To Cover The Line (-2.5 Points)
This is a huge game for both the San Francisco 49ers and the Los Angeles Rams.
The Rams were uncharacteristically poor against the Tennessee Titans, but they are well-placed to return to winning form against a 49ers outfit that have lost four of their past five games.
The 49ers have also lost eight of their past nine games in front of their home fans and they have failed to cover the line in five of their past six games.
Tip: Los Angeles Rams To Cover The Line (-4 Points)
2020
Less than two months remain between now and the 2020 NFL Playoffs as we look ahead to another monster 14-game slate starting Friday.
After a few forgettable Thursday Night Football games this season, fans will be delighted to find a blockbuster between two division rivals, the Colts and Titans, on the schedule this week.
Due to The Masters, several games have been pushed back to the late slot on Monday with the highlight being an NFC West showdown between the Seahawks and Rams.
Finally, the Ravens head to Foxboro to take on the Patriots, right before the Vikings and Bears write another chapter in their long-standing rivalry on Tuesday.
Last week was a rough go for favourites against the spread, so if you’re looking to turn your luck around, be sure to read our entire 2020 NFL Week 10 Preview below.
There is hardly anything separating the Titans and the Colts ahead of their divisional tilt on Friday.
Tennessee managed to bounce back from a pair of losses to the Steelers and Bengals with a win over the Bears last week, while the Colts are looking to follow in the Titans’ footsteps after suffering a bit of a reality check against the Ravens.
The Titans are laying -1.5 at the line, but there is a bit to like about the Colts here based on their recent track record against Tennessee.
Indianapolis has won seven of the last 10 games between these two sides and have also covered the spread in six.
Despite what the final score suggests, the Colts actually played the Ravens pretty close last week – a performance Frank Reich’s team is sure to improve on.
Indy held Baltimore to just 110 rushing yards, which came as no real surprise considering the Colts have been the toughest team to run against all year.
If that trend continues, the Colts should be able to make life tough for Derrick Henry, and in turn put some pressure on a Titans defence that has looked very susceptible to the pass all year.
Tip: Back the Colts to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.94
The Packers made short work of the understrength Niners last Friday as they now head back home to Lambeau Field with a few extra days rest on their side.
Much like San Francisco, the Jaguars appear easy pickings for Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams, both of whom have gone to another level this season combining for 675 yards and eight touchdowns.
The Jaguars have already announced Jake Luton is likely to start in place of the injured Gardner Minshew, who remains sidelined with a thumb injury.
Luton hooked up with DJ Chark for a mammoth reception last week in the loss to the Texans, but outside of that, there wasn’t a whole lot to like about the rookies’ debut.
The Packers have plenty of issues when it comes to stopping the run, so the Jags might be able to get away with handing the ball off to James Robinson as much as they like.
That said, defensive coordinator Mike Pettine did a fantastic job last week stifling San Francisco’s strong running game, and with a few extra days to prepare, it’s hard to see the Packers being beat by Robinson alone.
To make matters worse, the Jags have been torched through the air all season.
So far Jacksonville ranks sixth in passing yards allowed and seventh in passing touchdowns, meaning Rodgers should have his way with the rest of the offence returning to full strength.
Tip: Back the Packers to Cover the Line (-14 Points) @ $1.90
The Browns would find themselves outside the playoff bubble if the season were to end today, meaning this week’s game is a must-win.
So far Cleveland’s victories have come against the Bengals, Washington, Dallas and the Colts – a largely uninspiring list with the Steelers and Ravens running away with the AFC North.
Fortunately, a game against the hapless 2-6 Texans is up next, a team that barely managed to squeak by the Jaguars last week.
Deshaun Watson is more than capable of keeping Houston in this game by himself, but you have to fear for the Texans’ defence if running back Nick Chubb is deemed fit to play.
Houston has allowed the second-most running yards in the league this year, while their secondary has been equally as awful ranking sixth in passing touchdowns.
The Browns are tough to get excited about, but they should have their heads straight here coming off the bye.
With the Titans and Ravens ahead over the next month, this is simply a game they can’t afford to lose.
Tip: Back the Browns to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.90
The NFC East is a laughingstock, but don’t let that distract you from how important this game actually is.
Fresh from a week off, the Eagles are looking to improve to 4-4-1 atop the division with another win against the Giants.
As you might recall, these two sides met only three weeks ago in a thrilling 22-21 Eagles win on Thursday Night Football.
Carson Wentz went off throwing for over 350 yards and two touchdowns, a worrying sign for the Giants after barely scraping by last week against Alex Smith and Washington.
There is no doubt New York can keep this game close, but their inability to convert red zone opportunities into points is likely to cost them.
You mightn’t know it, but the Eagles have actually allowed the fifth-fewest passing yards in the league.
Add in the fact Daniel Jones turned the ball over twice when these two sides last met, and it becomes even more difficult to back against the Eagles.
Tip: Back the Eagles 1-13
The Bucs will be the center of attention in the early window following their meltdown against the Saints last week.
Tom Brady played the worst game of his career throwing three interceptions in the 38-3 loss, but as we’ve seen time and time again from the GOAT, he almost always bounces back.
The Panthers came up short to the Chiefs last week at Arrowhead, not that there’s any shame in that.
Carolina actually played a solid game from start to finish, largely thanks to a huge 300-yard day from Teddy Bridgewater.
Positives aside, the Panthers now find themselves dead last in the NFC South at 3-6, meaning this is basically a do-or-die game if Matt Rhule holds any hope of making the playoffs.
Last time these two sides met back in Week 2 the Panthers gave up 103 yards and a pair of touchdowns to Leonard Fournette, so with that in mind, it’s hard to get on board with Carolina causing some kind of upset.
The Bucs are a perfect 2-0 against the spread following a previous loss this year, and with the Panthers’ defence ranking ninth in passing yards allowed, Brady should have no trouble linking up with his long list of receivers.
Tip: Back the Bucs to Cover the Line (-6 Points)
Alex Smith will make his first start since his horrific leg injury back in 2018 when Washington visits Detroit this week.
From a neutral perspective, this game is very difficult to get excited about, but with some real value on offer head-to-head, it does shape up as an interesting betting play.
There’s no doubt Smith still has plenty of ability left in his arm, as we saw last week when he led the charge against the Giants following Kyle Allen’s season-ending ankle injury.
Washington ultimately fell short on Smith’s last-second interception, but since the Lions have struggled to defend the pass in the red zone this year, there’s a good chance we see the veteran put up some strong numbers.
On the flip side, the Lions are now at a crossroads.
If he wasn’t already, Matt Patricia is now well and truly on the hot seat, while there’s also plenty of talk surrounding a Matthew Stafford trade at the end of the offseason.
Looking at the schedule, it’s fair to say this might be Detroit’s last chance at a win, but since there really isn’t much separating these two teams, go ahead and take Washington to keep it close.
Tip: Back Washington to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points)
Two of the league’s most promising rookie quarterbacks headline the afternoon slate this week.
The Dolphins firmly stamped themselves as a playoff contender last week with a very impressive 34-31 win over the Cardinals and it is no surprise to find them at -2.5 against the Chargers.
Tua Tagavailoa reminded everyone why he was drafted fifth overall throwing for 248 yards and a couple of touchdowns, while the defence also did enormously well to keep the Cardinals off the scoreboard in the fourth quarter.
The Chargers’ season is over, but boy does the future look promising.
Justin Herbert is on pace for ROY honours after another monster 300-yard game last week against the Raiders.
The end result was nothing but heartache on the final play, but it appears Anthony Lynn’s side is on track to bigger and better things in 2021.
The bookies are banking on a high-scoring game here, but the trends suggest that mightn’t be the case.
Defensively, the Dolphins and Chargers have been tough to score against this season, while it’s also worth noting the Total has gone Under in nine of their last 10 meetings.
Tip: Under 48 Total Points @ $1.91
The Raiders have reeled off back-to-back wins to improve to 5-3 as they hope to progress one step further to securing a playoff spot.
So far Vegas is undefeated in division play with wins over the Chiefs and Chargers and based on everything we’ve seen from the Broncos this season, they should have no trouble extending that record even further.
Denver’s biggest problem this year has been converting red zone opportunities into points.
To their credit, Drew Lock and Jerry Jeudy made some plays last week to keep things interesting against the Falcons, but the way the Raiders have been running the ball of late makes this an entirely different task.
The Raiders have covered the spread in seven of their last 10 games against Denver and the way they ran the ball last week suggests they should be winning this one comfortably.
Tip: Back the Raiders to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) & Over 52.5 Total Points @ $3.60
The Cardinals are hoping to bounce-back after suffering a heartbreaking loss to the Dolphins last week.
Kyler Murray was simply outstanding throwing for 280 yards and three touchdowns, only for the defence to let the team down in the fourth quarter.
Things don’t get any easier for Kliff Kingsbury’s side with the 7-2 Buffalo Bills up next.
Sean McDermott’s side is riding high after pulling off a huge win over the Seahawks at home last week, one that reminded everybody just how dangerous Josh Allen can be when afforded time in the pocket.
The Bills found great success on screens last week as the Seahawks spent most of their time trying to defend the run.
The Cardinals aren’t the worst when it comes to defence, but it is worth noting they’ve allowed over 30 points in back-to-back games.
Buffalo’s pass rush was also outstanding last week forcing two picks and a fumble against Russell Wilson, so if the Bills can repeat that performance, they should be winning.
Tip: Back the Bills 1-13
The Steelers remain the only undefeated side in the league at 9-0, but they certainly left a lot to be desired in last week’s come-from-behind win over the Cowboys.
Pittsburgh trailed Dallas 19-9 at the end of the third quarter, right before Ben Roethlisberger put the team on his back with a couple of touchdown passes late in the game.
The Bengals, meanwhile, are coming in fresh from the bye and are still riding the highs of their huge Week 8 win over the Titans.
Cincinnati has proven themselves a handful this season as Joe Burrow and his talented list of receivers continue to pose matchup problems for opposing defences.
Fortunately, Mike Tomlin is well versed in the art of stopping the Bengals, evident in the fact the Steelers have won 10 straight over Cincinnati dating back to 2015.
Behind the Chiefs, the Steelers are arguably the team to beat in the AFC, but that doesn’t mean they’ll have things all their own way against Cincinnati.
The Steelers have won their last three games by no more than four points, and as we saw last week against CeeDee Lamb, it’s evident the Pittsburgh secondary is vulnerable against the deep pass.
If the Bengals can keep the pocket clean and get the ball down field, they might just add to their outstanding 6-2 record against the spread.
Tip: Back the Bengals to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points)
The NFC West takes center stage again on Monday in what should be a telling battle between the Seahawks and Rams.
Seattle suffered a surprise loss last week up in Buffalo against the Bills, while the Rams are coming in fresh off the bye.
The Rams have enjoyed the better part of this fixture of late winning seven of their last ten games against the Seahawks, but there is something to be said about Seattle’s record following a previous loss.
Since 2015, Seattle has been the best team to bet on following a previous defeat going 23-6 straight-up and 18-8-3 against the spread.
Last week taught us plenty about the Seahawks’ defence, but it’s highly unlikely we see Russell Wilson turn the ball over three times for the second week in a row.
Losing a rare trip to Buffalo is one thing, but when you consider the Rams were exposed two weeks ago in a loss to the Dolphins, it’s hard to get away from Seattle at this price.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Win @ $2.05
Are the Saints the new team to beat in the NFC?
Sean Payton’s side pulled off what might be a season-defining win last week against the Bucs to improve to 6-2 atop the NFC South, silencing a few of their critics in the process.
The Niners, meanwhile, have had enjoyed an extra few days to recover from last Friday’s beatdown at the hands of the Packers.
San Francisco is still missing major names like Jimmy Garoppolo, George Kittle and Deebo Samuel, so it’s no shock to find them laying +9.5 ahead of their trip to the Superdome.
These two sides played out an absolute classic last December in a game the Niners won 48-46, but with San Francisco missing so many names, this one really isn’t worth overcomplicating.
The Saints were on another level last week with Michael Thomas making his long-awaited return, while the defence is also returning to full strength with David Onyemata back in the fold.
With a very comfortable run ahead, this is a game the Saints should be winning comfortably.
Tip: Back the Saints to Cover the Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.91
The Ravens steadied the ship last week with a very impressive win over the Colts to improve to 6-2.
Baltimore’s defence proved the difference holding Philip Rivers to just 227 yards and an interception, a performance John Harbaugh will be hoping his team can replicate this week against a very ordinary looking Patriots team.
New England needed all four quarters to defeat the winless Jets last week on Monday Night Football in a game Patriots fans would probably rather forget.
Aside from the final drive to set up the game-winning field goal, quarterback Cam Newton left plenty of questions unanswered as the Patriots’ defence also did its best to keep things interesting.
The Baltimore defence ranks bottom ten in passing and rushing yards allowed, so it’s really hard to see this depleted Patriots team moving the ball against the Ravens, let alone scoring.
When you factor in the Ravens have also won each of their last 10 games on the road, it becomes increasingly difficult to back against Baltimore at the line.
Tip: Back the Ravens to Cover the Line (-7 Points)
The NFC North is always one of the most interesting divisions each year and that is certainly the case again heading into Week 10.
After opening the season 1-5 before the bye, the Vikings have suddenly come from the dead with back-to-back wins over the Packers and Lions.
Obviously Mike Zimmer still has plenty of work to do if Minnesota holds any hope of making the playoffs, but fans should feel pretty confident heading into this week’s game against the reeling Chicago Bears.
In almost reverse fashion, the Bears have slipped from 5-1 at the conclusion of Week 6 all the way to 5-4 with three straight losses to the Rams, Saints and Titans.
Last week’s loss to Tennessee largely boiled down to turnovers and next to no running game whilst Derrick Henry had his own way on the other end.
Unfortunately for the Bears, another of the league’s top running back’s will be on the opposite sideline this week.
Currently leading the league in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns, Dalvin Cook is easily in the running for the MVP as he looks set to crack the 1,000 yard mark sometime in the next two weeks.
The Bears have always been known for their outstanding run defence, but after struggling against Henry last week, there’s a good chance Cook has his own way, too.
Tip: Back the Vikings 1-13 @ $2.35
2019
Five division rivalry games headline Week 10 as the NFL playoff picture continues to take shape.
This is also the shortest week of the season as the Broncos, Eagles, Jaguars, Patriots, Texans and Redskins all head for the bye.
After some fairly lackluster primetime games, we should also be in for a treat on Friday as the Chargers battle the Raiders, followed by a scintillating Sunday Night Football match up between the Cowboys and Vikings.
Rounding out the week is a classic Monday Night Football rivalry between the Seahawks and the undefeated 49ers. We’ve previewed all 13 games and our complete 2019 NFL Week 10 Preview can be found below.
The Chiefs have the AFC West locked up… right?
Things are getting a little dicey in the division as the Chargers have hit a sudden purple patch. Los Angeles, like they always do, have found some midseason form thanks to back-to-back wins over Bears and Packers, but with a pair of divisional games ahead before the bye, the Chargers still have plenty of work to do if they wish to sneak into the Wild Card picture.
The Raiders await on Friday, and by all accounts, this game should be close. Our bookmakers are favouring Los Angeles by a point on the road, which seems about right when you factor in how strong the Chargers have look offensively over the last fortnight.
You might not know it, but the Chargers currently rank Top 10 in passing yards. Most of that is due to Philip Rivers’ reckless approach to throwing the football, but that kind of “live by the sword, die by the sword” approach should pay dividends against a Raiders defence that has allowed the fourth-most passing yards, and the second-most passing touchdowns.
The Chargers are 4-1 straight-up in their last five games against Oakland, so with some value on offer, take Anthony Lynn’s side to leapfrog their division rivals.
Tip: Back the Chargers to Win @ $1.85
Slow and sloppy – that just about sums up the Packers loss last week in Los Angeles.
Green Bay lost 26-11 in a very tough game not only for the defence, but also for Aaron Rodgers. Fortunately, the rest of the NFC North did the Packers a favour by losing out, however head coach Matt LaFleur will be eager for his team to bounce-back this week at home heading into the bye.
Speaking of bouncing back, that’s exactly what the Panthers did in the 30-20 win over the Titans. After being belted by the Niners the week before, Christian McCaffrey wasted no time putting on a show finishing with 166 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns.
The Packers defence will have its hands full with McCaffrey this week as Mike Pettine’s side has suddenly taken a major step back. Green Bay has allowed the sixth-most rushing yards in the league, while they also lead the way in passing plays of over 40-yards or more.
Carolina is the complete package, but they haven’t won at Lambeau Field since 2008. The Packers, meanwhile, are 37-14 against the spread in their last 51 games against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season.
Sometimes it’s just not your week, and that was exactly the case last week for the Packers. No doubt about it, Green Bay will give up plenty of yards to the Panthers in this game. But I’m still willing to back an Aaron Rodgers bounce-back in Davante Adams’ second game back from injury.
Tip: Back the Packers to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.92
It’s going to take a serious miracle for either of these sides to turn their season around, but the faint hope of a Wild Card spot is still mathematically possible with seven games remaining.
The Bears sunk to a new low last week as they lost 22-14 to the Eagles. The Mitch Trubisky experiment looks just about over, but head coach Matt Nagy looks likely to see out the season with No. 10 under center.
Chicago has lost four straight games, and they won’t find any solace in the fact they’ve also lost seven of their last 10 against Detroit.
Say what you will about the Lions, but Detroit still remains firmly in the hunt for a playoff spot. A win this week would see the Lions improve to 4-4, which would be a huge result with a very winnable run home.
Detroit’s offence will need to come up with something special against a Bears defence that is just as scary as it was last year. The head-to-head price on offer for the Lions is tempting but considering these two sides have combined for an average of only 40-points over their last three games, take the Unders.
Tip: Under 41.5 Total Points @ $1.92
It’s been a while in between drinks since these two Big Apple rivals last met in 2015.
There’s nothing more than bragging rights on the line as both teams like to snap serious losing streaks, but for the sake of excitement, this is still a must-watch game.
The Giants have won five of their last six games over the Jets and are also 4-1-1 against the spread during the same time frame. It’s hard to find much faith in either team right now, but if there is one thing to hang your hat on, its Saquon Barkley.
By last year’s standards, the Rookie of the Year has had a pretty quiet season. Injury has played a large part, but with only two 100-yard games to his name during Week’s 1 and 2, it’s safe to say the second year back is due for a big game.
Barkley struggled to find daylight against the Cowboys last week rushing for only 28-yards. The good news now is, the Jets have allowed 10 rushing touchdowns on the year and an average 89-yards per-game.
If Daniel Jones can set up plenty of red zone opportunities, Barkley should do the rest against a Jets defence that has struggled on its own goal line.
Tip: Back the Giants to Win @ $1.74
Plenty of folks would have had this game circled on their calendar to start the season, but who would have guessed the Bills would be the team with a winning record!
Buffalo looks a very strong chance to earn the top seed in the AFC Wild Card if Patrick Mahomes remains on the sidelines in Kansas City. Unfortunately, the Bills have a very difficult run home with games against the Cowboys, Ravens and Patriots ahead, but nothing about the Browns will come easy this week, either.
Cleveland’s season is over at 2-6. The Browns have lost four straight games, which makes this week’s 3-point line in favour of Cleveland almost perplexing as they face a legitimate Bills defence.
The playcalling in Cleveland has been awful and the pressure is well and truly on Freddie Kitchens to try and at least salvage some bragging rights this season. On one hand, the Bills haven’t won at the Dawg Pound since 2012, but on the other, Buffalo has won its last two games over the Browns.
Tip: Back the Bills to Win @ $2.30
All signs point towards Patrick Mahomes starting in Week 10, but the question is… should he?
It would take a special effort for the Chiefs to lose their stranglehold on the AFC West. At 6-3, Kansas City could afford to give Mahomes another week’s rest with the bye only a fortnight away, ensuring he is fit and firing ahead of the playoffs.
Whatever happens though, the Chiefs are far from a guarantee this week in Tennessee. The Titans have so much to play for at 4-5, and they’ll be eager to bounce-back from last week’s loss to Carolina with a win at home.
Kansas City’s last trip to Tennessee came way back in 2013, a game they won 26-17. That date also marks the Chiefs’ last win over the Titans as Tennessee has gone on to win three straight.
The Titans won’t come close to matching the Chiefs offensively, but the defence could make life tough for Mahomes or Matt Moore. Tennessee ranks eighth in defensive turnovers, while they’ve also allowed the seventh-fewest points in the league.
Kansas City has had no trouble piling on points without Mahomes, but after a long stint at home, it’s worth backing the Chiefs to struggle against Tennessee’s stingy defence on the road.
Tip: Chiefs Under the Points Total
Baltimore put the whole league on notice last week as they not only handed the Patriots their first loss, but also made short work of New England’s highly touted defence.
The Ravens are no doubt a Super Bowl contender, and with a much more relaxing game this week against the only winless team in the league, it’s almost surprising to find John Harbaugh’s side favoured by only 10-points in the market.
Cincinnati returns from the bye hoping to salvage something of a very underwhelming season under first year head coach Zac Taylor. Word is Ryan Finley will start in place of Andy Dalton, but it looks as though wide receiver A.J. Green’s season debut will be delayed another week as the star receiver is still struggling with ankle soreness.
Finley will need to throw caution to the wind against Baltimore’s fierce pass rush, and although the rookie enjoyed a promising preseason, this is perhaps the last team you’d want to face in your first-ever NFL start.
The spread might seem a little generous, but the Ravens have typically been an awful play against the line. Baltimore is 1-5 in their last six games against the Bengals, so instead, take the value on offer in the Total Markets.
Tip: Ravens Over 27 Total Points @ $1.92
The NFC South is the Saints’ to lose from here on out.
At 7-1, New Orleans has created a comfortable cushion between themselves and the 5-3 Panthers, but having played only one divisional game so far, this is still a must-win for Sean Payton’s side.
The Falcons are on their way to a top three draft pick at 1-7. Atlanta’s defence, which has allowed the fifth-most points in the league, has been the Falcons’ biggest downfall this year as the team looks destined for a new coach and a minor rebuild during the offseason.
On the plus side for coach Dan Quinn, Matt Ryan is slated to return as the starting quarterback after missing Week 8’s game against the Seahawks. To Atlanta’s credit, the Falcons put a real scare into Seattle in their 27-20 loss at the Link, and fresh from a bye, it wouldn’t be the least bit surprising to see the Falcons match the Saints on the scoreboard.
The bookies are anticipating a high-scoring game with a 51.5-point Total set, and I’m finding it hard to disagree. These two sides have combined for an average score of 55-points across their last three games, while the Total has gone Over in six of the Saints’ last nine games against a fellow NFC South opponent.
Tip: Over 51.5 Total Points @ $1.92
The Bucs have surprisingly opened as 4.5-point favourites this week at home.
Tampa Bay has now lost four games on the trot, but to their credit, the Bucs did manage to put a serious scare into the Seahawks last week in Seattle.
Speaking of scares, that’s exactly what Arizona accomplished on Halloween against the Niners. In the end, the Cardinals lost by three-points, but the fourth quarter fight back from Kliff Kingsbury’s side was still encouraging moving forward.
It’s difficult to get excited about this game from a betting standpoint and there isn’t enough to persuade me into backing either team head-to-head. The only trend that stands out is the fact 75% of Arizona’s away games have gone Under the Total, so while I’d advise steering clear of this game altogether, if you’re really looking for a play, keep it safe.
Tip: Under 52 Points @ $1.92
If the Colts are smart, they won’t risk anything this week.
Jacoby Brissett’s knee is still far from 100%, while T.Y. Hilton’s calf injury has cost him practice time all week.
With home-field advantage and the 1-7 Dolphins in town, don’t be surprised if the Colts choose to play it safe with three straight divisional games ahead.
Indianapolis has won six of its last 10-games over Miami and two of their last three. Better yet, the Colts are 9-1 straight-up in their last 10 home games, but with two of their top starts potentially on the sidelines, who’s to say Miami can’t keep this close?
The Dolphins earned their first win of the season last week over the Jets as Brian Flores’ side actually played to win the game. The word “tank” has been associated with Miami all season, but quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick had other ideas throwing for 288-yards and three touchdowns.
There’s nothing to say the Dolphins will put up a big score on the Colts defence, but with an 8-1 record against the spread in their last nine games on the road in Indianapolis, it’s worth taking Miami to at least keep the first half close.
Tip: Back the Dolphins to Cover the 1st Half Line (+6.5 Points) @ $1.85
Adam Vinatieri’s missed field goal gifted the Steelers a win last week, but it was the break Pittsburgh needed as they continue to claw themselves back into the Wild Card picture.
Now at 4-4, the Steelers find themselves looking to extend their winning streak to four with the Rams coming to town. Los Angeles returns from the bye after a comfortable win over the Bengals back in Week 8. Considering the Rams haven’t traveled to Heinz Field since 2011 though, it’s safe to say this game is a bit of a coin flip.
The bookies are favouring the Rams by 3.5-points, which seems about right when you factor in how well Los Angeles has defended the run. That spells bad news for Pittsburgh if they are forced to pass, as the Steelers rank 28th in passing yards with only 11 touchdowns to their name.
Tip: Back the Rams to Win & Under 44 Total Points @ $3.77
This could turn out to be a Sunday Night thriller between two teams still looking to establish themselves as a playoff certainty.
Dallas had their hands full in the first half last week against the Giants before blowing the game wide open for a convincing 37-18 victory. The waters are a little calmer riding a two game winning streak, but this is still a massive test of Jason Garrett and Kellen Moore’s playcalling ability against one of the top defensive sides in the league.
Minnesota weren’t quite as lucky last week as they lost to the Chiefs on a last second field goal. Statistically, the Vikings played their hearts out, and although the loss was a disappointing result, it was still encouraging to watch Kirk Cousins throw three touchdowns on the road.
So, with all that in mind, what do we make of this game?
You can focus on the running game or even the playcalling as much as you like, but whoever wins the third down battle in this one will ultimately walk away with the win.
Sounds simple enough, but the Cowboys defence has allowed the third-fewest third down conversions, followed closely by Minnesota with the ninth-fewest.
There’s tremendous value in just about every market in this one, but I’m willing to back both defences to do the talking. The Total has gone Under in seven of the last 10-games between Dallas and Minnesota, so don’t overcomplicate this one.
Tip: Under 48 Total Points @ $1.92
Nothing tops a classic NFC West rivalry on Monday Night Football.
The 49ers remain the only unbeaten team left in the league, but just like last week against the Cardinals, I’m tipping the Seahawks to hand them their first loss.
Arizona exposed some flaws in San Francisco’s defence that Seattle should be able to exploit. The Cardinals did a great job of mixing and matching their personnel by subbing in different tight end packages, which kept the Niners’ defence guessing towards the late stages.
The Seahawks, or more specifically Pete Carroll, are the kings of trickery. Nothing about Seattle’s 40-34 win over the Bucs in overtime last week was convincing, but as much as this is a statement game for the Niners, it could also be a season defining win for the Seahawks.
Considering how dominant Seattle has been over the last five or so years, it’s no surprise to learn the Seahawks have won nine of their last 10-games over San Francisco. If Seattle can pick up where Arizona left off last week and dial up plenty of RPO’s with Russell Wilson and Chris Carson, they look great value to win this one.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Cover the Line (+6 Points) @ $1.96
2018
Last week was a smorgasbord of prime time games and scintillating match ups. This week? Not so much.
The Broncos, Ravens, Texans and Vikings are on a bye this week, leaving us with 14 games to choose from. If nothing else, the playoff picture is starting to take shape, and that includes several Wild Card scenarios with the NFC West, AFC West and AFC East close to said and done.
We’ve previewed every game, every team, and every match up, and are confident we’ve found some winners, so be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 10 Preview below!
Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2-1): There’s still no word on the LeVeon Bell situation, but the Steelers don’t have to care – they’ve uncovered James Conner.
Bell’s replacement once again finished with 163 scrimmage yards and a touchdown to his name in the win over the Ravens. The victory places Pittsburgh in firm control of their own destiny in the AFC North, but in case you missed it, this Panthers team won’t die quietly.
The Steelers will need to rely on some big plays from Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster if they wish to take down Carolina. The Panthers can stop the run efficiently, but they are pretty so-so when it comes to defending the pass – they’ve allowed 17 touchdowns through the air this season.
Carolina Panthers (6-2): Just one-game behind the division leading Saints, Carolina are 6-2 having now won three straight. It’s taken nine weeks, but the Panthers running game finally hit full stride last week with Christian McAffrey enjoying a two touchdown day in the win over the Bucs.
The funny thing is, the run game could play the biggest factor for either side this week. Defensively, both teams rank in the bottom ten in rushing yards allowed.
Most importantly though, the Panthers are 0-5 in their last five meetings against the Steelers. Carolina are also 1-5 in their last six road games, but really, this is one of the few occasions where numbers mean next to nothing.
Carolina’s offense is firing on all cylinders, and we simply haven’t seen enough from the Steelers defence when it comes to stopping the pass. We also haven’t seen them face an agile quarterback like Cam Newton this season, leaving plenty of question marks that aren’t worth taking the chance on.
Tip: Back the Panthers to Win @ $2.50
Kansas City Chiefs (8-1): Patrick Mahomes continues to grow before our eyes, and last week was another shining example of how talented the Chiefs’ future star really is. Mahomes threw for a trio of touchdowns in the win over the Browns, but it’s the mechanics he displays from week to week that makes him truly special.
Speaking of special, Kareem Hunt continues to dazzle. The second-year back ranks third in rushing yards through nine weeks, and is showing no signs of finishing outside the top five.
The Chiefs are 7-1 in their last eight games at home, but numbers like that mean nothing right now. Kansas City dialled up the pressure from the edge last week against Baker Mayfield, resulting in a pick and two sacks. Expect the very same this week against a depleted Cardinals offensive line.
Arizona Cardinals (2-6): The Cardinals roll in off the bye week, which was perfect timing following their Week 8 win over the Niners.
Quarterback Josh Rosen will face the toughest test of his rookie season this week in front of a raucous Arrowhead crowd, and the thought of Arizona’s poor interior defence – which has allowed the fifth most rushing yards this season – is a worry considering Kareem Hunt lines up on the opposite side of scrimmage.
The Cardinals are 2-5 in their last seven games against the Chiefs, but most importantly, they haven’t travelled to Kansas City since 2010. This isn’t the game to take a punt on an upset.
Tip: Back the Chiefs 13-18 @ $4.75
New York Jets (3-6): In the span of five days, things have gone from bad to worse for the Jets.
Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold looks almost certain to miss this week’s game with a foot injury, while last week’s loss to the Bears highlighted just how flat New York’s ground game has become.
Perhaps the only good news for New York is the fact the Bills come to town this week. Buffalo beat the Jets at home last year, but that was back when their offense actually knew how to score points.
The Jets will likely play it safe this week and place the ball in the hands of Isaiah Crowell, which is good news against a Bills defence that has allowed nine rushing touchdowns this year. But at the same time, don’t forget, replacement quarterback Josh McCown threw for 2,926-yards, 18 touchdowns and just nine interceptions last year.
Buffalo Bills (2-7): With Derek Anderson still under concussion protocol, it sounds like Josh Allen will get the nod this week for the Bills.
That mightn’t mean much though when you consider the Bills’ offense has managed just 96-points this year, the fewest in the league. Buffalo are 2-6 in their last eight games when playing the Jets in New York, and as many teams have found out the hard way this season, Gang Green are no easy beat at Metlife.
Unless LeSean McCoy can ding up the Jets’ defensive line and find a few holes to bash through, it’s unlikely Buffalo leave with a win. The Jets have allowed the 10th most rushing yards this season, but they’ve been one of the best teams at creating turnovers.
This should be a close, and ugly game, between to AFC bottom dwellers.
Tip: Back the Jets to Beat The Line (-7 Points) @ $1.95
Indianapolis Colts (3-5): What will we see from the Colts following their bye week?
If their Week 8 win over the Raiders was any indication, we should expect the lethal combo of Marlon Mack and Nyheim Hines to continue after combining for 210-yards a fortnight ago.
Likewise, the Colts’ offensive line has also improved as the season has dragged on. They won’t win the AFC South from here, but they’ve done a much better job protecting Andrew Luck in the pocket in recent weeks.
So can they win this game?
The wheels have well and truly fallen off the Jaguars, and with a 4-1 record at home against Jacksonville, it’s not hard to see why the Colts have opened as the favourites.
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-5): It looks as though Blake Bortles’ shoulder is fine, which could be a good thing or a bad thing depending on how you look at it.
Just like the Colts, the Jags return following the bye week, which probably doesn’t mean much when you consider Jacksonville have scored the fourth fewest points all year.
There’s so many numbers that could be thrown around to explain the Jaguars’ wayward season, but simply put, this team lacks culture and belief. The only good news is running back Leonard Fournette is set to return, but this still feels like a game that could define the Colts’ season as they look to rebuild.
Tip: Back the Colts to Beat The Line (2-5 Points) @ $1.85
Tennessee Titans (4-4): The Titans taught us something we already knew last week: the Cowboys are frauds.
Despite last week’s 28-14 win in Dallas though, Tennessee continue to be a frustrating play for punters. One week they look incapable of completing a pass, and the next, guys like Dion Lewis decide to put up 162 scrimmage yards.
The one consistent part of this year’s Titans team however, is the defence. They’ve been great against the pass, allowing the sixth fewest passing yards on the season.
Whether or not that holds up against Tom Brady is anyone’s guess, but keep in mind, this is a big time revenge game for Tennessee following last year’s playoff loss to the Patriots.
New England Patriots (7-2): So much is made of New England’s offense, especially the recent addition of Cordarelle Patterson as a fill-in running back for the injured Sony Michel.
But what about the defence?
It took complete control of the Packers last week, forcing a crucial fumble on Aaron Jones in the fourth quarter which eventually led to the game-winning touchdown. Better yet, the Patriots secondary also held Aaron Rodgers in check when it mattered most, limiting him to just 24 completions on the night.
There’s also a case to be made for New England’s most recent addition, Josh Gordon. The former Browns troublemaker finished with 130-yards and a big time catch underneath Green Bay’s sloppy secondary.
The Patriots are 8-1 in their last nine games against the Titans, and are 18-3 on the road. The Titans’ defence will force Brady to take some risks, but ultimately, you can’t back against the red hot Pats anytime soon.
Tip: Back the Patriots 1-6 @ $4.50
Cincinnati Bengals (5-3): The Bengals have a winning record, but for how long?
Take nothing away, a 5-3 start is more than we expected from a team many thought would go 7-9. Unlike a lot of other sides, the Bengals’ wins stand up too – they’ve beaten the Ravens and Falcons so far this year.
What’s concerning though is the stats. The defence has allowed the third most passing yards and the eighth most rushing yards, while quarterback Andy Dalton ranks 25th in the NFL in completion percentage.
There’s no tougher task than Sean Payton’s side right now, as the Saints firmly established themselves in the elite tier of playoff contenders last week.
Even with a big game from Dalton and A.J. Green, it’s hard to envision a scenario where the Bengals pull off this upset.
Realistically, the numbers suggest Cincinnati are perhaps the team most in danger of falling by the wayside in a division that looks the Steelers’ to lose.
New Orleans Saints (7-1): Not for the first time this season, Payton kept his finger firmly on the pulse last week against the Rams. The Saints led 35-17 at half time, but unlike many other coaches, Payton kept attacking rather than sitting on the lead and hoping for the best.
The Saints handed the Rams their first loss of the season in the end, but it’s left us with one tricky question: is Drew Brees the MVP?
You can currently have him for $5.00, handy odds considering he’s currently connecting with wide receiver Michael Thomas 89% of the time. Expect plenty of that combo again this week against a clueless Bengals secondary, while the screen game to Alvin Kamara should also provide dividends for New Orleans as they exploit Cincinnati’s interior defence.
Funnily enough, the Saints are 1-4 in their last five games against the Bengals at home. The last time they played in the Superdome was in 2014 – so you could certainly say things have changed significantly since then.
Tip: Back the Saints to Beat The Line (-5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5): The ying/yang effect of Ryan Fitzpatrick continued last week as Tampa’s starter threw for 243-yards and four touchdowns, but of course, two interceptions.
Other than that, not much else happened for the Bucs. The running game still looks stale behind Peyton Barber and Jacquizz Rodgers, and the defensive nightmare, at least when it comes to stopping the pass, is far from over.
The only bright spot on the roster is Adam Humphries, who came through with 82-yards last week for the second time this season.
The home-field advantage this week is crucial for the Bucs, who own a pretty hand 7-2 record against the Redskins at home. There’s very few games with upset potential this week, but this is one of them.
Washington Redskins (5-3): You’re looking at perhaps the most unexciting division leader in the history of football.
From here, it looks as though Washington will win the NFC East, which is a concern considering they’ll probably exit the playoffs a one-hit wonder.
There’s just not a lot to get excited about with this team. Adrian Peterson, at 33-years old, is carrying this team, a scary thought considering there’s not a whole lot of talent surrounding him.
Likewise, quarterback Alex Smith has been a shell of his former self post-Andy Reid, and although the defence looks capable of stopping top quarterbacks, it won’t be enough to stop the NFC’s elite later in the year.
Tip: Back the Bucs To Win 1-6 @ $3.75
Cleveland Browns (2-6-1): The post Hue Jackson/Todd Haley era is already off to a flyer, with the Browns relying heavily on running back Nick Chubb last week against the Chiefs.
It was no surprise to see the Browns look a little one-dimensional, but their lack of offensive line protection was a real concern after Baker Mayfield spent most of his day forcing passes under pressure.
To Cleveland’s credit, they did hold more of the ball last week against one of the AFC’s elite teams. Mayfield actually enjoyed an okay day by rookie standards throwing for 297-yards and a pair of scores, while Chubb rushed for 85-yards and a touchdown of his own.
You could make a serious case that the Browns won’t win a game from here on out, which makes this Week 10 home game against Atlanta all the more important.
The Browns are 3-1 in their last four games against the Falcons.
Atlanta Falcons (4-4): This feels a little fake, although we do have to consider Atlanta as a potential Wild Card chance with a .500 record.
It’s tough to read too much into the Falcons’ 38-14 win over the Redskins away from home last week, however we can say one thing: Atlanta still believes.
General Manager Thomas Dimitroff signed veteran pass-rusher Bruce Irvin to a one-year deal on Friday in an attempt to fix the Falcons’ lack of pocket pressure. The Falcons have accounted for only 17 sacks, the sixth fewest on the season.
Despite being released by the Raiders, Irvin recorded eight sacks last year in Oakland. As for the rest of the team, a lot relies on the running game of Tevin Coleman and Ito Smith this week, who continue to share the workload with Devonta Freeman out until Week 15.
To add further confusion, the Falcons are 2-4 in their last six road games. Inconsistency is the best word to describe these two teams, so play it safe and go with the Points market.
Tip: Over 50.5 Total Points @ $1.87
Chicago Bears (5-3): Big game and even bigger playoff implications on the line for the Bears.
Chicago were at their best last week against the Bills, walking away with a lazy 41-9 victory thanks to a huge day from the defence.
What stood out though was just that – the defence. The offense was rather flat against a team the Bears really should have manhandled, and for all the talk surrounding Mitch Trubisky and his star potential, 135-yards, one touchdown and one interception, certainly doesn’t cut it.
Worse yet, the Bears converted on just three of their 11 third down opportunities. The Bills’ defence has sneakily been okay this season, however if the Bears are to snag a Wild Card spot, they’ll need to find someone to actually catch the football in a hurry.
Detroit Lions (3-5): Fortunately for Chicago, the Lions find themselves in the very same boat – although Detroit’s is sinking rather fast.
The Lions have now lost two straight, which comes as no surprise considering the strength of their schedule. Last week’s 24-9 disaster against the Vikings taught us two things we already know: the Lions can’t stop the run, and Detroit might have made a mistake letting Golden Tate go.
Sure, Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones combined for over 100-yards, but Matthew Stafford threw 25 completions for only 199-yards and zero touchdowns.
Rookie running back Kerryon Johnson was also non-existent against a stealthy Vikings’ defence, and in case you hadn’t heard, the Bears have allowed the third fewest rushing yards this season.
It’s not quite rebuild time for Detroit, but it is reload time. Shipping Tate out for some draft picks told the league the Lions are playing for the near future, and with no hope of competing this year, it’s tough to see them doing much away from home at Soldier Field this week.
Tip: Back the Bears 1-6 @ $4.33
Oakland Raiders (1-7): The future looks bright for the Raiders, but that looks a long, long way off.
Last week’s loss to the Niners was an all-time low for Oakland, losing 34-3 to rookie quarterback Nick Mullens, who threw for 262-yards and a trio of touchdowns.
The Raiders would’ve had this game pencilled in as a potential upset chance before the Khalil Mack trade, but not now. Not surprisingly, Oakland are one of the lowest scoring teams in the league, and even with a big game on the ground, it’s hard to see them making any noise against this fringe Chargers team on the verge of a Wild Card berth.
Los Angeles Chargers (6-2): The Chargers survived a little scare against the Seahawks last week, but they should feel pretty confident about their defence with Joey Bosa remaining on the sidelines.
LA’s offense is scary for many reasons, but did you know they currently sit dead last in turnover percentage?
Phillip Rivers is a sneaky contender for MVP this year, and if he continues to share the ball around between Keenan Allen, Austin Ekeler, Mike Williams and Tyrell Williams, there’s nothing to say the Chargers won’t wind up in the Super Bowl.
Stats wise, the Chargers are 10-4 when playing the Raiders in Oakland, and it appears the bookies are looking to challenge us with the line at -10 points.
Tip: Back the Chargers 1-6 @ $3.75
Green Bay Packers (3-4-1): The hot seat is burning for head coach Mike McCarthy, and if the Packers fall short against the Dolphins at Lambeau this week, who knows, maybe General Manager Brian Gutekunst seriously considers blowing everything up?
Last week showed the Packers still have it. They were every chance of beating the Patriots in Foxboro, but a costly Aaron Jones fumble and some blown coverage on Josh Gordon cost Green Bay in the end.
Aside from mistakes though, part of the blame lies on McCarthy. The playcalling is flat and predictable, the opposite of what you want with Aaron Rodgers at the helm. And to make matters worse, the injuries are piling up with starting corner Kevin King expected to miss this week’s game.
The Packers are 2-1 in their last three games against the Dolphins, but they did lose to Miami at home in 2010. A lot has changed since then, but with confidence running low and injuries at an all-time high, who knows.
Miami Dolphins (5-4): The Dolphins won’t die quietly.
Their narrow 13-6 win over the Jets last week put them back in the AFC Wild Card picture, and although Brock Osweiler endured a day to forget, the Dolphins’ defence continues to make plays.
Akeem Spence and Cameron Wake combined for four sacks last week against New York, which doesn’t bode well for Green Bay’s dinged up offensive line. Left tackle Bryan Bulaga is still listed as questionable ahead of this week’s game, but if he’s absent, expect Rodgers to be under plenty of pressure.
Against the Dolphins stands a miserable 1-8 record in their last nine games, while the Total has gone Under in four of them. The Points market is the safe play, but the Dolphins are a great chance at the line this week with Green Bay scrambling for answers.
Tip: Back the Dolphins at the Line (+9 Points) @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams (8-1): The Rams made a simple mistake last week: they didn’t give Todd Gurley the ball enough.
Thirteen attempts isn’t nearly enough, especially against a team like the Saints. The offense relied predominantly on Jared Goff’s arm, which worked for the most part, but the Rams weren’t their usual smashmouth self.
At the same time, the defence again showed that it’s far from where it was at this time last year. The Rams have allowed the 11th most passing yards through the first nine weeks, and look susceptible to giving up large chunks of yards in the red zone.
LA are 4-1 in their last five games at home, and 4-2 against the Seahawks at the Coliseum.
Seattle Seahawks (4-4): As far as the Wild Card picture is concerned, the Seahawks aren’t getting enough credit.
Seattle’s defence is playing out of their skin right now, as the Chargers found out last week. They’ve allowed the fourth fewest passing yards this year, and even without the Legion of Boom, this Seahawks side is still capable of bringing the pressure.
Last week was a case of bad luck against the Chargers. A dropped pass in the end zone from receiver David Moore basically meant the difference between winning and losing, a crucial loss considering the Seahawks now face their division foe this week.
For Seattle to win this game, they’ll need to form a plan to shutdown Todd Gurley and also provide blocking for Russell Wilson to make plays with his feet.
It’s tough to picture the Rams losing this game at home, but since the odds don’t offer much, the Points market seems the way to go. The Total has gone Under in six of Seattle’s last eight road trips to face the Rams.
Tip: Back Under 51 Total Points @ $1.95
Philadelphia Eagles (4-4): It’s not too late for the Eagles to return from the bye week and make something of this season.
The week off has likely done Carson Wentz some good, who continues to improve week by week following a season-ending ACL tear last year.
What really needs to happen for the Eagles though is the running game. Darren Sproles has re-aggravated his hamstring injury, which leaves the bulk share of the work in Wendell Smallwood’s hands once again.
Fortunately, the Cowboys will be without star linebacker Sean Lee for at least a month, which should open up plenty of lanes and bide Wentz time in the pocket.
Dallas Cowboys (3-5): Plenty of finger pointing going on in Dallas right now.
The Cowboys’ loss to the Titans last week highlighted just how far away Dallas are from serious playoff contention, leaving many to wonder if Jason Garrett is longed for the coaching job.
The playcalling has been the biggest culprit. For all of his god given ability, the Cowboys continue to call flat, basic play calls instead of run/pass options that would suit the former Mississippi State star.
To make matters worse, Sean Lee is done for at least four weeks, and for all of Jerry Jones’ hype surrounding the Amari Cooper trade, it’s already blatantly obvious that he’s not going to contribute much.
It’s only Week 10 and fans are already calling for a fire sale. Dallas are 1-4 in their last five road games, so expect very few points, and a Cowboys loss.
Tip: Under 43.5 Total Points @ $1.91
San Francisco 49ers (2-7): The Nick Mullens era is upon us, and after his three touchdown game last week against the Raiders, all eyes will be on San Francisco’s rookie starter.
The Niners don’t have much else going on offensively, and you already know how poor their secondary has become. Fortunately, it won’t take anything special to beat this Giants team, who have so far become the forgotten’s of the league.
New York Giants (1-7): What can the Giants bring to the table after a week off?
If the entire season is any indicator, probably not much. Defensively the Giants haven’t been awful, but it’s hard to back them with so much lacking at the quarterback position.
Eli Manning is past it, and the Giants won’t budge on making a move. The frustrations of wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr continue to grow, and like a handful of other coaches, Pat Shurmur’s old school approach to playcalling is already starting to aggravate the fans.
New York have won six of their last 10 meetings against San Francisco but are 5-12 on the road at Levi’s Stadium. This game figures as one you’re probably best staying away from.
Tip: No Bet
2017
The race for the NFL Playoffs continues this weekend and there are a number of divisions where there are very little between the leading contenders.
There are a host of big games this weekend and it really would not surprise if this ended up being a big week of upsets.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 10 tips can be found below.
The Arizona Cardinals have the home-ground advantage, but it is the Seattle Seahawks that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Winning away from home has been something of an issue for Seattle and they have won only two of their past four games as home favourites.
Arizona have struggled for consistency this season, but they have won four of their past six games in front of their home fans.
The problem for Arizona has been stringing together back-to-back wins and they have only only one of their past seven games on the back of a victory.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
No Bet
The New York Jets will start this clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as narrow favourites.
This season continues to go from bad to worse for Tampa Bay and they have now lost five games in a row.
Raymond James Stadium does give them the chance to return to winning form and they have won two of their past three games as home underdogs for a clear profit.
The New York Jets ended their own losing streak with a win over the Buffalo Bills, but they have won only two of their past six games on the road and they have been a losing betting play in this scenario.
Tampa Bay will never have a better chance to return to winning form.
Back Tampa Bay To Win @ $2.15
The New Orleans Saints have won six games on the trot and they will start this clash with the Buffalo Bills as clear favourites.
New Orleans’ improvement on defence has been one of the big stories in the NFL this season and they are genuine contenders in the NFC.
The Saints have won their past two games as away favourites and they have covered the line in both of these games.
Buffalo produced one of their worst performances of the season to go down to the New York Jets last weekend and this is a tougher challenge.
The Bills have won six of their past eight games at home, but their record against the line is only middling.
New Orleans can continue their winning ways and cover the line in the process.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
The Detroit Lions are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Detroit have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 2-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Cleveland Browns are still chasing their first win of the season and the number 1 draft pick looks set to be theirs once again.
Cleveland have covered the line in only four of their past 14 games and it is impossible to have any faith in them.
Detroit should win this clash, but there is no value at their current price.
No Bet
This will be the first time in several seasons that the Chicago Bears will start a game against the Green Bay Packers as favourites.
The Bears have started only one game as favourites over the past 12 months and they lost this game, while they have won just one of their past eight games against the Packers.
It has been a tough time for the Packers since Aaron Rodgers went down with a season-ending injury and you can’t have any faith in them from a betting standpoint.
This is another game that doesn’t represent any value whatsoever from a punting perspective.
No Bet
This is a huge game for the Jacksonville Jaguars and they will start it as clear favourites.
Jacksonville have recorded two impressive wins on the trot, but they have still won only two of their past five games as home favourites and they are a tough team to trust.
The Los Angeles Chargers had their winning run ended by the New England Patriots last weekend, but they were still far from disgraced.
Los Angeles are capable of winning on the road and there really isn’t as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests.
Back Los Angeles To Win @ $2.70
There is very little between these two teams in betting.
The Minnesota Vikings have recorded four wins on the trot and they have been one of the most underrated teams in the NFL this season.
Minnesota have won their past three games as away favourites and their record against the line is just as good.
The Redskins returned to winning form with an upset win over the Seattle Seahawks, but winning games back-to-back has been an issue.
Washington have won only one of their past three games as home underdogs and have also been a losing betting play against the line in this scenario.
Minnesota are excellent value and they are one of the safest betting plays of the week.
Back Minnesota To Win @ $1.80
The Pittsburgh Steelers will start this clash with the Indianapolis Colts as clear favourites.
Pittsburgh have won six of their past eight games and they are one of the most reliable betting sides in the NFL – they have won seven of their past eight games as away favourites and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Colts returned to winning form with an upset win over the Houston Texans, but this is a much tougher assignment.
Indianapolis have lost their past three games as home underdogs and they are 1-2 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the Pittsburgh Steelers should win comfortably and the line of ten points will not be enough.
The Los Angeles Rams will go into this clash with the Houston Texans as extremely short-priced favourites.
Los Angeles have recorded two dominant wins on the trot and they have been the big improvers in the NFL this season.
In saying that, they have still won only two of their past six games as home favourites and it is tough to get them as short as their current quote.
The Texans clearly missed DeShaun Watson last weekend and they went down to the Indianapolis Colts in disappointing fashion.
Houston have won only three of their past nine games as away underdogs, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
There isn’t as much between these two sides as the current betting market suggests and I am keen to back Houston with the big start of 12 points.
Back Houston To Beat The Line (+12 Points)
The San Francisco 49ers and the New York Giants have two of the worst records in the NFL this season.
It is the Giants that will start this clash as clear favourites and it is tough to back a side that is coming into this clash on the back of a heavy loss at the hands of the Los Angeles Rams.
I continue to make the argument that the 49ers are a better team than their current record suggests and this their chance to record their first win of the season.
In saying that, it is still impossible to have any faith in the 49ers and they have been a losing betting play across every single metric.
This is a game that I don’t want to get involved in.
No Bet
This is one of the games of the weekend and is vital for both teams that will be in the mix for the wildcard berth in the NFL Playoffs.
The Dallas Cowboys produced their best performance of the season to beat the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend, but it is still the Atlanta Falcons that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Atlanta have lost three of their past four games and they have been a losing betting play as home favourites, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Dallas Cowboys and they have won five of their past eight games on the road for a small profit.
There really isn’t a great deal between these two teams and the Cowboys do represent serious value at their current price of $2.25.
The New England Patriots will start this clash with the Denver Broncos as clear favourites.
New England continue to be the most reliable betting team in the NFL and they have won their past eight games as away favourites, while they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Denver Broncos have lost four games in a row and even their defence has started to struggle in recent weeks.
Denver leaked over 50 points against the Philadelphia Eagles and they will have a tough time stopping New England in this clash.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-7 Points)
The Carolina Panthers have won two games in a row and they will go into this clash with the Miami Dolphins as clear favourites.
Carolina have struggled from a betting perspective this season and they have been a losing play across just about every metric over the past 12 months – they have covered the line in only one of their past five games as home favourites.
Miami head into this game on the back of poor losses against the Baltimore Ravens and the Oakland Raiders, but they are a side that has made a habit of winning when they are least expected to.
The Dolphins have won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are a great bet to cover the line with a very healthy start.
Back Miami To Beat The Line (+9.5 Points)
2016/2017
The rivalry between the Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns is one of the most complicated in the history of sport and they do battle again on Friday morning.
There are a number of meetings between divisional rivals in week 10 of the 2016 NFL season and the highlight could be the key AFC South clash between the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Houston Texans.
The Pittsburgh Steelers and Dallas Cowboys are two of the most successful franchises in NFL history and they have a rare clash on Monday morning before the New England Patriots host the Seattle Seahawks in a rematch of Super Bowl 49.
You can find all our NFL week 10 tips below!
The Cleveland Browns season continues to go from bad to worse and they are at long odds to record their first win of the season.
Cleveland have lost their past eight games as away underdogs and they are an average 3-5 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore ended a losing streak of their own with a quality performance against Pittsburgh and they really should be able to make it two wins on the trot.
Unfortunately, Baltimore are a tough side to trust from a betting standpoint and they have won just two of their past five games as home favourites, while they are 1-1-3 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore should win this game comfortably, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote.
No Bet
This is a must-win clash for the Green Bay Packers, who go into this clash on the back of two straight losses.
The Packers will still start this clash as narrow favourites and they have won four of their past five games as away favourites for a clear profit, while they have an identical record against the line.
Tennessee lost a high-scoring clash to the San Diego Chargers last weekend, but there were still some positives to take from the performance.
The problem for the Titans is that they have lost their past five games as home underdogs for a clear loss, while they have an identical record against the line.
Green Bay will be able to win to winning form and the line of 2.5 points should not be enough.
Back Green Bay To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
The Minnesota Vikings have regressed significantly following their strong start to the season and they will go into this clash as underdogs
Minnesota have now lost three games on the trot and they are losing control of what was previous a firm grasp on the NFC North.
The Vikings have won four of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit, while they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.
Washington and Cincinnati played out a stalemate last weekend, but the Redskins have still won four of their past six games.
Their record as home favourites does not inspire confidence – they have won just one of their past four games as home favourites for a clear loss.
Minnesota have an excellent chance to return to winning form and they are one of the best value bets of the weekend.
Back Minnesota To Win @ $2.30
This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend.
Carolina have returned to winning form with wins over Arizona and Los Angeles and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Panthers have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have an identical against the line.
Kansas City made it four wins on the trot with their narrow victory over Jacksonville and they are only a game behind in the highly competitive AFC West.
The Chiefs have won one of their past three games as away underdogs for a loss and they have the same record against the line.
I expect Carolina to be able to grind out a victory and cover the line of three points.
Back Carolina To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
This is another very competitive clash and the market finds it tough to split the Philadelphia Eagles and the Atlanta Falcons.
Philadelphia suffered their second straight loss at the hands of an NFC East rival against the New York Giants, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Eagles have won just two of their past five games as home favourites and they have lack composure at key moments in the past fortnight.
Atlanta made it two wins on the trot with their high-scoring victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they continue to set the pace in the NFC South.
The Falcons have won four of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record away from home over the past 12 months has been strong.
Atlanta have been an outstanding betting team all season long and I am not willing to jump off them this week.
Back Atlanta To Win @ $1.95
The clash between the New York Jets and the Los Angeles Rams is unlikely to have Playoffs consequences, but it is still an interesting clash from a Playoffs perspective.
New York went down to Miami last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Jets have actually won three of their past four games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
Los Angeles made it four losses on the trot when they went down to the Carolina Panthers and they are sinking to another season of mediocrity.
The Rams have actually won three of their past six games as away underdogs for a big profit, while they are 3-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the market looks to have gotten just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
No Bet
The New Orleans Saints kept themselves in playoffs calculations with another high-scoring victory over the San Francisco 49ers and they will go into this clash as favourites.
Favourtism is not a position that has suited the New Orleans Saints over the past 12 months and they have won just two of their past five games in this position.
Denver lost their crucial AFC West clash with the Oakland Raiders and they need to win this game to keep in touch with their divisional rivals.
The Broncos have won four of their past seven games on the road and they have beaten the line in their past two games as away underdogs.
Backing Denver as underdogs has been a highly profitable play over the past couple of seasons and they are good value at their current quote of $2.10.
Back Denver To Win @ $2.10
Houston have struggle to string together back-to-back wins this season and they have the chance to do that against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
The Texans have won their past seven games as favourites and their record against the line is this scenario is a profitable 6-1.
Jacksonville suffered their third straight loss on the trot against Kansas City and this has really been a season.
The Jaguars have lost their past two games as away underdogs and it is very tough to see them ending that streak against the Texans.
Houston should win this clash comfortably and they are a safe bet to cover the line of 1.5 points without an issue.
Back Houston To Beat The Line (-1.5 Points)
San Diego returned to winning form against Tennessee and they will start this clash with the Miami Dolphins as clear favourites.
The Chargers have won two of their past three games as home favourites over the past 12 months and have the same record against the line.
Miami have won three games on the trot heading into this clash and they have found some form in the middle of the season.
The Dolphins have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their recent against the line is 2-3.
San Diego are simply a better team than the Dolphins and they should be able to cover the line of 3.5 points.
Back San Diego To Cover The Line (-3.5 Points)
The Dallas Cowboys have won seven games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers as clear underdogs.
Dallas have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are playing with a great deal of confidence.
This is the toughest task that they have faced for some time and Pittsburgh have a most impressive record as home favourites.
Pittsburgh have won their past six games in this scenario and their record against the line is a most impressive 5-1.
This will be one of the most exciting games of the weekend, but the market looks to have got it just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
No Bet
The Arizona Cardinals are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and should have no problems accounting for the San Francisco 49ers.
Arizona have won six of their past ten games as home favourites for a loss, while they are a very poor 3-1-7 against the line in this scenario.
San Francisco suffered their seventh straight loss when they went down to New Orleans last weekend and they continue to struggle through a horror season.
The 49ers have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line is just as poor.
There is little doubt that Arizona will win this clash, but it is tough to get them as short as their current quote of $1.11.
No Bet
The rematch of Super Bowl 49 is set to be a fascinating clash.
The New England Patriots have been just about flawless so far this season and it is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites.
New England have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear favourites, while they are 5-1-2 against the line.
Seattle produced an improved offensive effort against the Buffalo Bills to return to winning form and they are in control in the NFC West.
They have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is 2-2.
New England are deserving favourites, but Seattle are a better team than their odds suggest and they are a good bet to cover the line with a start of 7.5 points.
Back Seattle To Beat The Line (+7.5 Points)
There is very little separating these two teams in current betting.
The Cincinnati Bengals will start this clash as narrow favourites following their overtime thriller with Washington last weekend, but their record is fairly unconvincing as home favourites and they have actually been a losing betting proposition in this scenario.
New York head into this clash on the back of three straight victories and they need to win this clash to remain in the NFC Playoffs mix.
The Giants have lost their past three games as home underdogs for a clear loss, but they are 2-1 against the line in this situation.
The market looks to have got this clash just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.
No Bet