2019 NFL Week 12 Preview

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Houston Texans Vs Indianapolis Colts

Friday 22 November, 12:20pm, NRG Stadium

Chicago Bears Vs New York Giants

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, Soldier Field

Cleveland Browns Vs Miami Dolphins

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium

New York Jets Vs Oakland Raiders

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium

Atlanta Falcons Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium

Washington Redskins Vs Detroit Lions

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, FedEx Field

Buffalo Bills Vs Denver Broncos

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, New Era Field

New Orleans Saints Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday 25 November, 5:00am, Mercedes Benz Superdome

Tennessee Titans Vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Monday 25 November, 8:05am, Nissan Stadium

New England Patriots Vs Dallas Cowboys

Monday 25 November, 8:25am, Gillette Stadium

San Francisco 49ers Vs Green Bay Packers

Monday 25 November, 8:25am, Levi’s Stadium

Philadelphia Eagles Vs Seattle Seahawks

Monday 25 November, 12:20pm, Lincoln Financial Field

Los Angeles Rams Vs Baltimore Ravens

Tuesday 26 November, 12:15pm, LA Coliseum

 


2018

If you’re still catching your breath following last week’s 105-point heart-stopper between the Chiefs and Rams, bad news – there’s even more drama heading your way this week!

Thanksgiving football is one of the greatest days on the NFL calendar, and to celebrate, there’s three huge games to choose from on Friday.

As it that wasn’t enough, the week closes out with a key divisional round battle between two old rivals, so what are you waiting for? Be sure to check out all of our top tips ahead of NFL Week 12 below.

Detroit Lions Vs Chicago Bears

Friday 23 November, 4:30am, Ford Field

Detroit 16 – Chicago 23

Detroit Lions (4-6):

The Lions had to dig deep against the Panthers after surrendering the opening touchdown of the game last week, but they were able to walk away 20-19 winners by making the most of their opportunities.

Statistically speaking, things weren’t great. Detroit were 0-7 on third down conversions midway through the third quarter, and for all of his time on the field, Matthew Stafford finished with just one touchdown pass to his name.

What mattered though, was Detroit’s ball movement. A crucial 54-yard field goal right before half time meant the difference between winning and losing, and in case you weren’t aware, Stafford’s connection with wide receiver Kenny Golladay remains a thing of beauty, especially when the veteran pass-thrower gets time in the pocket.

Perhaps the most telling sign however, was Kerryon Johnson. The rookie running back finished with 97-scrimmage yards and a touchdown to his name, but with the good comes the bad – the former Auburn stud is set to miss a chunk of time to a knee injury.

That’s hardly what you want to hear ahead of this week’s key game against the division leading Bears, especially with a pristine 5-0 home record vs. Chicago.

Chicago Bears (7-3):

The good news: the Bears are 7-3.

The bad news: it doesn’t mean much.

Chicago went on to miss the playoffs in 2011 and 2012 after opening the first 10 weeks with a 7-3 record. Of course, the NFC North is much weaker this time around, but there’s a few areas of concern for this up and about Bears team.

First and foremost, Mitch Trubisky’s shoulder status remains unclear. As of this writing, it looks likely Chicago will be without their quarterback, which doesn’t bode well for Matt Nagy’s offence on a short week.

Next, despite last week’s three-point win over the Vikings, there’s just not enough magic happening on offence. Trubisky’s scrambling ability is great, and the Jordan Howard/Tarik Cohen one-two punch works a treat, but do the Bears really have the receivers to score points in the playoffs?

Defensively Chicago can get by, and it helps when Khalil Mack is healthy. Keep in mind the Bears did give up 126-yards to Stefon Diggs last week though, so expect a big day for Golladay, and a tough one for Chicago if Trubisky misses time.

Tip: Back the Lions at The Line (+3 Points) @ $1.95

Dallas Cowboys Vs Washington Redskins

Friday 23 November, 8:30am, AT&T Stadium

Dallas 31 – Washington 23

Dallas Cowboys (5-5):

Every cloud has a silver lining, especially when your division foe loses their starting quarterback for the year.

Alex Smith’s gruesome leg injury has opened up the door for Dallas to run the table and make something of this otherwise lost season. The Cowboys took another step in the right direction last week defeating the Falcons 22-19, and for the second straight week in a row, you have to buy into what Dallas are selling.

The most noticeable change in the Cowboys has come on the defensive side of the ball. The defensive line was busy all day in Atlanta, pressuring Matt Ryan off the edge to pile on three sacks.

You also can’t go without mentioning Leighton Vander Esch here, who recorded yet another interception for the second week in a row. The rookie is shaping up as a potential Pro Bowler, only further contributing to Dallas’ newfound, smashmouth defence.

On offence, things could be better – keep in mind Dallas had nothing but field goals next to their name in the fourth quarter last week.

It helps when you can revert back to Ezekiel Elliott though, who is now averaging 5.0 yards per-attempt thanks to the powerful work of Dallas’ man-on-man offensive line. It also helps when you convert 54% of your third down opportunities.

This week, the Cowboys have a chance to reclaim the division, and as their 17-5 home record against the Redskins suggests, they’ll be tough to beat on both sides of the ball.

Washington Redskins (6-4):

An injury like the one Alex Smith sustained last week not only hurts the player, it hurts the entire team involved.

You could see the life fade from Washington after Smith went down in the third quarter last week with a tibia and fibula fracture in his right leg. It was a game the Redskins were leading in, and probably should have won against the Texans, but after Smith’s emotional exit from the field, the Redskins scrambled for answers.

Eventually the ball landed in backup Colt McCoy’s hands, who by all accounts, did a pretty good job of filling-in. People often forget, but McCoy was one injury away from leading Texas to a National Championship in 2009, and some of those same qualities were certainly on display in the fourth quarter last week.

Smith is a reliable thrower, but he isn’t a scrambler. McCoy is, and although he’s vulnerable to pressure from his blindside, he did lead the Redskins down to (long) game-winning field goal territory last week, so don’t underestimate him.

This might all be a blessing in disguise, and it’s also worth mentioning McCoy now returns to his home state to face the Cowboys. We’ve seen Texas guys do Texas sized things in front of their hometown fans before, McCoy included.

Tip: Back the Cowboys 7-12 @ $4.75

New Orleans Saints Vs Atlanta Falcons

Friday 23 November, 12:20pm, Mercedes Benz Superdome

New Orleans 31 – Atlanta 17

New Orleans Saints (9-1):

Sooner or later somebody is going to figure out how to play the Saints, but today is not that day.

Like we’ve seen New Orleans do all season, they put their foot on the throat of the Eagles last week to record a statement 48-7 victory over last year’s Super Bowl champs.

Drew Brees threw four touchdowns, and Mark Ingram and Alvin Kamara combined for nearly 200-yards and two scores, but it was so much more than that.

The Saints controlled the time of possession holding the ball for nearly a quarter longer than the Eagles. They also recorded 28 first downs, an unfathomable number against an Eagles defence that used to be one of the most revered in the league.

There’s plenty we could detail about New Orleans’ playcalling, or even Sean Payton’s game management, but this week’s game comes down to one thing: home field advantage.

The Falcons are 3-9 in their last 12 games when playing inside the Superdome. Atlanta haven’t won in New Orleans since the 2017 playoffs, and given their recent struggles, that streak looks likely to continue.

Atlanta Falcons (4-6):

Last week’s field goal fest against the Cowboys was Atlanta’s to lose, but really, they never looked capable of gaining full control of the game.

It’s tough to win games when you don’t touch the ball, and it’s even tougher when you can’t win the battle up front.

The Cowboys controlled the game at the line, both defensively and offensively. Atlanta’s late quarter fightback thanks to a Julio Jones touchdown was nice, but their predictable quick passing game compiled of slants and swing routes to Austin Hooper and Mohamed Sanu is becoming stale.

Sooner or later, a serious discussion will need to be had with head coach Dan Quinn, because the hot seat is well and truly starting to burn.

Tip: Back the Saints to Beat The Line (-12.5 Points) @ $1.91

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Cleveland Browns

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium

Cincinnati 20 – Cleveland 35

Cincinnati Bengals (5-5):

The Bengals are hurting right now in more ways than one.

Defensively Cincinnati are one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to stopping both the pass and the run, ranking top two in yards allowed in both categories.

The Bengals gave up 232-yards to rookie quarterback Lamar Jackson and Ravens running back Gus Edwards last week, which doesn’t fill you with confidence going against Nick Chubb and Duke Johnson this week.

On attack, the absence of star wide receiver A.J. Green was once again felt as Cincinnati struggled to muster up any sort of passing attack. Fortunately, Green looks likely to return this week against the Browns, a welcome sign that should make life a lot easier for Andy Dalton.

It all boils back down to the defence though, and things aren’t going to magically improve. The Bengals are 8-1 when playing at home against Cleveland, but if they fail to lay a finger on Baker Mayfield, the young rookie should make them pay.

Cleveland Browns (3-6-1):

Fresh from the bye, the Browns will be hoping to build on their big win over the Falcons a fortnight ago.

Between Hue Jackson and Condoleeza Rice, the Browns have had a busy week in the tabloids, but don’t let it distract you from the fact that this is a very winnable game.

The Browns made short work of the Falcons thanks to their defence. Cleveland created two turnovers and completely shut down Atlanta’s running game, which is exactly what they’ll set out to do this week against the Bengals.

Quarterback Andy Dalton has been sacked 21 times this year, highlighting just how vulnerable the Bengals’ offensive line is.

The Browns aren’t well known for their pocket pressure, however they did bring down Matt Ryan for a pair of sacks two weeks ago.

Cleveland’s recent record against Cincinnati, like most other teams, is poor. The Bengals will spin their wheels in this game, but with a shocking defence matching up against a talented, powerful running back like Nick Chubb and an athletic wide receiver Jarvis Landry, take the Browns at nice odds.

Tip: Back the Browns To Win @ $2.35

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs San Francisco 49ers

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium

Tampa Bay 27 – San Francisco 9

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-7):

The Bucs look to be leaning toward Jameis Winston this week against the Niners.

Ryan Fitzpatrick was benched midway through last week’s loss to the Giants after throwing three picks, but really, it mightn’t matter who starts under centre for Tampa, because this team is in trouble.

Tampa Bay’s only saving grace last week was the running game. Peyton Barber enjoyed his best game of the season rushing for 106-yards and a score, although it’s hard to bank on another big effort from the third year back.

The Bucs are 1-7 in their last eight games and are 5-14 against the Niners, less than encouraging stats even with home field advantage.

San Francisco 49ers (2-8):

The season might be over for the Niners, but rookie quarterback Nick Mullens should still make this game worth watching.

Sunday’s game will be Mullen’s first start on the road, and with San Francisco fresh from a bye week, it’s surprising to see San Francisco start as the underdog.

The Niners’ defence is suspect, particularly in the secondary. Fortunately, the Bucs are struggling to sort out their quarterback quandary, while at the same time giving up large chunks of yards to opposing receivers.

This feels like the type of game tailor-made for some play action passing to Greg Kittle. Expect to see him on plenty of underneath routes, and if the 49ers can find themselves in the red zone, Matt Breida should be able to do the rest.

Tip: Back the Niners To Win @ $2.45

Buffalo Bills Vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, New Era Field

Buffalo 24 – Jacksonville 21

Buffalo Bills (3-7):

The Bills return from the bye hoping a week off has helped Josh Allen mentally prepare for his return to the starting job.

Allen last started at quarterback for the Bills in Week 6 against the Texans, a game that saw him complete 10 passes for 84-yards before being benched for Nathan Peterman due to an elbow injury.

It’s been six weeks in between drinks now for the rookie, and although the 3-7 Jaguars are hardly the force they used to be, Jacksonville’s defence picked a great time to return to form last week in their heartbreaking loss to the Steelers.

Planning for one of the top secondary’s in the league is tough, but the Bills aren’t prepared to take it easy with Allen. Offensive coordinator Brian Daboll has thrown the book at the rookie, setting out an entire gameplan just like he would for his veteran starters.

Make of that what you will, but there’s no doubt Allen has Buffalo fans feeling optimistic. Out of Peterman, Matt Barkley and Derek Anderson, Allen has the most arm strength and playmaking ability of the lot.

It’s worth keeping in mind that the Bills are 4-2 at home against the Jaguars, so if you’re feeling bold, a straight up bet makes sense. For those sensible punters, the Total has resulted in the Over in four of Buffalo’s last six games against Jacksonville.

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-7):

Shoulda, coulda, woulda – that’s been the story of the Jaguars season to date.

Jacksonville held a 16-6 lead over the Steelers in the third quarter last week, but somehow gave up two unanswered touchdowns, one of which came in the final five seconds of the game, to go on to lose 20-16.

The loss highlighted two things – 1. The defence is still very good, and 2. Blake Bortles has to go.

Star cornerback Jalen Ramsay played the game of his life taking away two interceptions on what was a tough day shadowing Antonio Brown. The Jags also held the Steelers to just three of 11 third down conversions, and only 22 minutes of possession.

What let the Jags down though, was Bortles. Keep in mind, this is the same team that passed on Patrick Mahomes in the 2017 Draft, and after another 104-yard, touchdown-less day last week, Bortles’ time has to be up.

As far as this week is concerned, the Jaguars will try and keep it simple against a Bills defence that has been pretty stingy against the pass. Given their losing streak, play it safe with the Over.

Tip: Back Over 37.5 Total Points @ $1.91

Baltimore Ravens Vs Oakland Raiders

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, M&T Bank Stadium

Baltimore 34 – Oakland 17

Baltimore Ravens (5-5):

Far from the biggest game of the week, but certainly one with huge implications for the future of the Ravens franchise.

As we’ve seen countless times before with quarterbacks, Joe Flacco’s injury has opened up a window of opportunity for young rookie Lamar Jackson, and as we all expected, the former Louisville standout has made the most of his time in the limelight.

Jackson led the Ravens to a crucial 24-21 divisional win over the Bengals last week behind 267 combined yards. To be fair, he failed to score a touchdown, and threw the ball 19 times compared to his 27 runs, but already,  this once lifeless Ravens offence all of a sudden looks a bit more exciting.

Another win on Sunday against the Raiders, and it’s Flacco out, Jackson in, period. The Ravens have publicly said they will be throwing the ball whenever and wherever they can this week, and if the defence can limit Oakland to just 21 minutes of possession like they did against the Bengals, the AFC Wildcard won’t be out of the question after another home win.

Oakland Raiders (2-8):

The soap opera reached boiling point last week as head coach Jon Gruden and starting quarterback Derek Carr went toe-to-toe in a sideline scuffle (of words).

Somehow the Raiders pulled out a gutsy 23-21 win over the Arizona Cardinals, a victory that might be their last in this long lost season.

What we know about the Raiders is this: they won’t have much to work with. Wide receiver Brandon LaFell, Oakland’s last remaining go-to wide receiver, tore his achilles last week and has been ruled out for the season.

That means we can expect plenty of ground and pound from the Raiders in this game and going forward, just don’t expect to see Marshawn Lynch anytime soon. The 32-year old veteran has been ruled out for the rest of the season, leaving the running game firmly in the hands of Jalen Richard and Doug Martin.

Perhaps the only saving grace this week is the unknown about Lamar Jackson. Can Oakland stop him from making plays with his feet? Considering Oakland have allowed the second most rushing yards in the league, probably not. But if they do limit him in the air, they have every chance of keeping this game close.

Tip: Back the Raiders at the Line (+10.5 Points) @ $1.91

Carolina Panthers Vs Seattle Seahawks

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, Bank of America Stadium

Carolina 27 – Seattle 30

Carolina Panthers (6-4):

Inconsistent, that’s probably the best word to describe the Panthers right now.

Carolina got off to a fast start last week against the Lions by scoring on their opening drive, but everything that came after was a major disappointment.

When Cam Newton is spreading the ball around and running a high-tempo offense, the Panthers are a treat. When they revert back to the same old screen pass game out to the flat to Christian McAffrey or a slant to D.J. Moore, it’s just too predictable.

Defensively the Panthers had no answer last week for Kerryon Johnson, so really, they were lucky he got injured.

The offense is the true problem here though, and it doesn’t help when one of your go-to wide receivers, Devin Funchess, drops four passes – or when your usually reliable field goal kicker misses a field goal and an extra point.

There’s a serious lack of creativity coming from the sidelines, and it’s hurting this team on third down.

Silly decisions to go for a game winning two-point conversion instead of opting to tie the game with an extra point cost the Panthers a chance (and perhaps a win) last week, so until we see something more reliable, you can’t think about backing them.

Seattle Seahawks (5-5):

The Seahawks survived another close shave against the Packers last week to keep their playoff hopes alive, and in the process, they may have learned a thing or two about their offense.

Not that we didn’t already know this, but Rashaad Penny is a future star. Before leaving the game with a minor injury, Penny pulled off two big runs against Green Bay showcasing the athleticism and tackle-breaking talent he was known for in College.

It was also nice to see Doug Baldwin amongst the action after what has so far been an injury plagued season. Russell Wilson faced a tough day in the pocket, but when he did get time to throw, he often looked Baldwin’s way to connect for 52-yards and a score.

The Seahawks are 3-3 on the road this year, with their last trip to Carolina resulting in a 31-24 loss back in 2016.

Given not only how their defence has performed, but also their special teams, Seattle look great value this week. A win here could mean the difference between a Wild Card seed or going home early for either of these teams, so there’s plenty to play for.

Tip: Back the Seahawks To Win @ $2.50

New York Jets Vs New England Patriots

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

NY Jets 13 – New England 27

New York Jets (3-7):

The Jets are on a four-game skid and with New England coming to town, the news of Sam Darnold’s foot doesn’t sound good.

Darnold didn’t practice all week in the lead up to Sunday’s game, leaving veteran Josh McCown to take his place for the second week in a row.

The good news is the Jets have had a bye week to lick their wounds, but there’s still plenty of big names alongside Darnold set to miss this classic AFC East rivalry game.

Wide receiver Robby Anderson, one of McCown’s favourite targets, hasn’t practiced all week with an ankle injury, while Quincy Enunwa has been limited with a similar diagnosis.

Running back Isaiah Crowell is back to full health, so that’s encouraging, but it’s tough to see the Jets keeping up with New England with so many pieces missing. The only solace is New York’s 5-0 at the line when playing New England at home.

New England Patriots (7-3):

You just know Bill Belichick has lost plenty of sleep following the Patriots’ miserable loss to the Titans a fortnight ago.

New England have had a bye week to stew on their shortcomings, but they’ve also had bigger concerns at the forefront of their mind with Tom Brady reportedly struggling with a knee injury.

It’s very unlikely the future Hall of Famer will miss this game, however it does add another element of intrigue considering the Jets are one of the better teams at applying pressure on opposing quarterbacks.

As we saw against the Titans, when Brady is pressured up the middle he’s forced into making quick and inaccurate throws. He failed to throw a single touchdown against Tennessee, and although the Jets defence is far less formidable compared to the Titans, the trip to a cold Metlife Stadium might pose a few challenges.

What the Patriots do have going for them though, is time. Since 2003, New England are 22-4 following the bye, and with the Jets basically playing second stringers on offense, New England’s sloppy secondary should enjoy a fairly easy day against the pass.

Tip: Back the Patriots to Beat The Line (-8 Points) @ $1.91

Philadelphia Eagles Vs New York Giants

Monday 26 November, 5:00am, Lincoln Financial Field

Philadelphia 25 – NY Giants 22

Philadelphia Eagles (4-6):

Are the Super Bowl champs dead in the water?

Kinda looks that way, especially following their devastating 48-17 loss to the Saints last week.

We’ve been saying it for a while, but the Eagles don’t seem to have it this year. Carson Wentz has been accused of trying to do too much with the ball, but it’s hard to fault the third year pro when you consider the offensive line in front of him continues to deteriorate.

At wide receiver, things are a far cry from a season ago. Alshon Jeffery is one of the best jump-ball guys in the league, but he’s caught only 37 passes and four touchdowns all year.

Likewise, the lack of a running game continues to cause issues for Philly. Wendell Smallwood is a pass-catcher, not a runner, and no matter how hard the Eagles try and sell us Josh Adams, he’s simply not starting material.

The Eagles now have a chance this week to salvage something against their division foes. Philly are 5-1 in their last six home games against the Giants, and just like last year’s 34-29 encounter, this one should be equally as close.

New York Giants (3-7):

After starting the season 1-7, Odell Beckham Jr. famously stated back in October that the Giants could win out and still make the playoffs.

That last bit seems unlikely, but hey, the Giants are undefeated throughout November, so that counts for something, right?

You can’t read too much into last week’s win over the Bucs, although it was nice to watch Saquon Barkley light it up for 152 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns.

Eli Manning is also worth a mention here, because to be perfectly honest, he’s been solid over the last fortnight. Last week the two-time Super Bowl champ threw for 231-yards and a pair of touchdowns against Tampa’s sloppy secondary. Whether or not he can repeat that this week in Philly is another thing.

The Giants are 1-8 in their last nine games when playing the Eagles, but keep in mind, six of Philly’s 10 games this year have resulted in the Under.

Tip: Back Under 47 Total Points @ $1.87

Los Angeles Chargers Vs Arizona Cardinals

Monday 26 November, 8:05am, StubHub Center

LA Chargers 45 – Arizona 10

Los Angeles Chargers (7-3):

It figures that when Joey Bosa finally returns, the Chargers find a way to lose.

In what was a scrappy affair, the Chargers gave up five key plays to the Broncos in the final two minutes to set up a game-winning field goal from the 34-yard line.

LA have become well known for their midseason chokes, and this was no exception. With nothing more than a Wild Card spot on the line, the Chargers were shaping up as a serious dark horse in the playoff picture, but now, who knows.

Fortunately, this week’s home game against the Cardinals is a chance to turn things around. Not surprisingly, the Chargers have opened as a 13-point favourite, and as their 4-1 home record against the Cardinals suggest, they should have no trouble getting back to winning ways.

Arizona Cardinals (2-8):

There’s still a lot to like about rookie quarterback Josh Rosen despite his two interceptions game against the Raiders last week.

Aside from David Johnson, the talent that surrounds Rosen is mediocre, which makes it tough matching up against an elite defensive side like the Chargers this week.

Expect head coach Steve Wilks to call a conservative game this week on the road, which should play into Johnson’s hands.

Even so, the simple fact that the Cardinals have won only three of their last 10 games against LA makes them impossible to back.

Tip: Back the Chargers 7-12 @ $4.33

Indianapolis Colts Vs Miami Dolphins

Monday 26 November, 8:25am, Lucas Oil Stadium

Indianapolis 27 – Miami 24

Indianapolis Colts (5-5):

The Colts are the most exciting team in the league right now, even if they miss the playoffs.

Indy’s offensive line seems to grow stronger each week, which only adds to the delight of watching Andrew Luck hit wide open receivers from the comfort of the pocket.

Last week the Colts annihilated the Titans 38-10, adding further intrigue to the AFC South playoff picture with six weeks remaining.

The Wild Card isn’t out of the question, and as the favourites this week, this is a game that could see the Colts enter Week 13 with a winning record.

Miami Dolphins (5-5):

Ryan Tannehill will return to the starting role for the Dolphins this week, but that’s about all you can say.

Health wise Tannehill is far from 100%, which is far from ideal ahead of this weekend’s trip to face a ravenous Colts defence.

The Dolphins are 6-2 in their last eight trips to face the Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium, however they haven’t travelled to Indy since 2013. One of these sub .500 teams will emerge as a contender and one will emerge as a pretender, and right now for the Dolphins, it’s the latter.

Tip: Back the Colts to Beat the Line (-8 Points) @ $1.91

Denver Broncos Vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Monday 26 November, 8:25am, Broncos Stadium

Denver 24 – Pittsburgh 17

Denver Broncos (4-6):

The Broncos know their season is over, but unlike many other teams, they’ve chosen to steer clear from tanking and instead focus on winning as many games as possible.

That strategy worked a treat last week against the Chargers, in large part thanks to some last minute heroics from Case Keenum to drive down the field and place the ball at the 34 for the game-winning field goal.

Another part of Denver’s game that seems to go unnoticed is the defence. In particular, rookie linebacker Bradley Chubb currently ranks 10th in the league with nine sacks to his name, and is quickly learning to disrupt even the best quarterbacks at the pro level.

The Broncos face a tough assignment this week with the Steelers coming to town. We know Pittsburgh can be turnover prone, but if Denver fail to cover the Steelers’ plethora of wide receivers, this game won’t be close.

Denver have fared middle of the pack against the pass, however they do rank seventh in the league in sacks. Both of those factors should help the Broncos keep this close.

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-2-1):

The Steelers are in firm control of their destiny now as the focus shifts to potentially securing home field advantage in the playoffs.

Pittsburgh’s record on the road speaks for itself, 15-1-1. The Steelers are free from the Le’Veon Bell saga for the rest of the season, and with it, comes a clear mind for an offense that pulled off an unbelievable comeback last week against the Jaguars.

Mike Tomlin’s team are potentially looking seven in a row, and if they are to win this game, all they need to do is shut down the run. Phillip Lindsay turned up the heat on the Chargers last week for 79-yards and two scores, but even so, Pittsburgh’s interior defence is more than capable of handling the rookie.

At the line Pittsburgh are 4-1-1 on the road this year which makes them the only worthwhile play after scoring 20 unanswered points last week.

Tip: Back the Steelers to Beat The Line (-3 Points) @ $1.91

Minnesota Vikings Vs Green Bay Packers

Monday 26 November, 12:20pm, US Bank Stadium

Minnesota 24 – Green Bay 17

Green Bay Packers (4-5-1):

It’s crunch time in Green Bay right now, and even with a 30% chance to still make the playoffs, it looks as though the Packers are heading toward’s a serious offseason rebuild from a coaching perspective.

Last week’s loss against the Seahawks was entirely on Mike McCarthy. The decision to punt on 4th and 2 cost Aaron Rodgers one last drive, a disappointing ending to a game that the Packers had every right to win.

The NFC North is slipping away from the Packers, making this key divisional game all the more important. The Vikings are one of the toughest teams to run the ball against, and to make matters worse, the Packers’ offence will have to cope with the noise of U.S. Bank Stadium.

Green Bay are 1-4-1 in their last six games against the Vikings. They should have had a win earlier this season at Lambeau, but failed to find an answer to Kirk Cousins’ late game heroics.

Minnesota Vikings (5-4-1):

The Vikings were less than impressive last week losing 25-20 on the road to the Bears.

Kirk Cousins played one of the worst games of his young career in the cold confines of Solider Field, but you can’t blame it entirely on the weather considering Khalil Mack harassed Minnesota’s offensive line all day.

The Packers defence isn’t quite as menancing as Chicago’s, however Blake Martinez and Clay Matthews know a thing or two about roughing up Cousins. Keep in mind it was Matthews’ roughing the passer call in Week 2 that offered the Vikings a chance to draw the game.

Minnesota will be hoping for a much bigger effort from Dalvin Cook this week after a silent effort against the Bears last week. They’ll also be relying on home field advantage and guys like Kyle Rudolph to contribute a little more in the receiving game.

There’s still plenty of football left to play, but it feels like the division is slipping away from Minnesota at 5-4-1. This is a must-win game if they are to keep touch with the Bears.

Tip: Back the Vikings 1-6 @ $3.70

Houston Texans Vs Tennessee Titans

Tuesday 27 November, 12:15pm, NRG Stadium

Houston 34 – Tennessee 17

Tennessee Titans (5-5):

The rollercoaster ride that is the Titans’ 2018 season continued last week losing 38-10 to the Colts.

Tennessee turned the ball over twice managing just 263-yards on offense, but it was the lack of discipline that cost the Titans big – they gave up eight penalties for 112-yards.

As far as big games go, this one is it. There’s serious playoff implications on the line for the Titans, and should they lose, you can just about count Tennessee out of the AFC Wildcard hunt.

The Titans are 4-9 in their last 13 games against the Texans and 0-5 on the road in Houston.

Houston Texans (7-3):

The Texans tied a franchise record last week by winning their seventh straight game, and all of a sudden, the team nobody thought anything of is one of the Top 4 teams in the AFC.

There’s lots to love about the Texans right now, especially on offense. A healthy Keke Coutee does wonders for quarterback Deshaun Watson, while J.J. Watt continues to emerge as a sneaky Defensive Player of the Year pick with 10 sacks to his name.

Houston love the short game, but sometimes they try to do too much. Watson still needs to develop some awareness in the pocket, because really, he was lucky not to have several passes picked last week.

Looking ahead to this game against the Titans, the Texans are undefeated in their last five games against Tennessee, however their 1-5 record at home against the spread suggests they have been less than kind to punters.

Tip: Back the Texans To Win 1-6


2017

It is Thanksgiving in the United States and that means that we are treated to three games of NFL action on Friday morning.

It all begins when the  Minnesota Vikings take on the Detroit Lions, it continues when the Dallas Cowboys try to return to winning form against the Los Angeles Chargers before the Washington Redskins and the New York Giants do battle in an NFC East battle.

We have analysed all three of those contests as well as every other game in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 12 tips can be found below.

Detroit Lions Vs Minnesota Vikings

Friday November 24, 4:30am, Ford Field

This is a huge game in the NFC North as a victory for the Minnesota Vikings would all but secure them the title.

Minnesota have won six games on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Detroit Lions as a clear favourite.

The Vikings have won their past three games as away favourites and they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario.

Detroit have kept themselves in the NFC North Division Title hunt with three straight victories, but this it their toughest assignment in over a month.

The Lions have won only one of their past four games as home underdogs and their record against the line is no better.

Minnesota are great value to continue their winning streak and they can cover the line of 2.5 points comfortably.

Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)

Dallas Cowboys Vs Los Angeles Chargers

Friday November 24, 8:30am, AT&T Bank Stadium

This may be a Dallas Cowboys home game, but the Los Angeles Chargers will start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Chargers returned to winning form against the Buffalo Bills, but they had more to do with the putrid performance of Bills quarterback Nathan Peterman.

Los Angeles have won only two of their past six games as favourites for a clear loss and their record away from home is not particularly strong.

Dallas have struggled without Ezekiel Elliot, Tyron Smith and Sean Lee in the past fortnight, but Smith should return and the Chargers are nowhere near as strong as the Atlanta Falcons or the Philadelphia Eagles.

The Cowboys have won five of their past nine games in front of their home fans, but they have lost their past three games as underdogs.

There is no value at the current price of the Chargers, but you can’t trust the Cowboys off their recent form.

No Bet

Washington Redskins Vs New York Giants

Friday November 24, 12:30pm, FedEx Field

The Washington Redskins are one of the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NFL.

Washington gave up a big lead against the New Orleans Saints last weekend and they have now lost four of their past five games.

The Redskins have won only one of their past three games as home favourites and they are 1-6 against the line in front of their home fans.

The New York Giants produced their best performance of the season to record a huge upset win over the Kansas City Chiefs and they will take plenty of confidence from that effort.

New York have won two of their past eight games as away underdogs and they are a middling 4-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Giants have won six of their past eight games against Washington and there is no as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests.

Back New York To Beat The Line (+7.5 Points)

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Cleveland Browns

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium

The Cleveland Browns are still chasing their first win of the season and they are clear underdogs to beat the Cincinnati Bengals.

It is impossible to back Cleveland – they have won only one game over the past two seasons and they have covered the line in only one of their past six games as away underdogs.

Cincinnati returned to winning form with a narrow victory over the Denver Broncos and they have won their past six games against the Browns.

The Bengals have won three of their past five games as home favourites and they are a losing 2-3 against the line in this scenario.

Cincinnati should win this clash, but there is no value at their current price.

No Bet

New York Jets Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday November 27, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

The Carolina Panthers have won three games in a row and they will go into this clash with the New York Jets as clear favourites.

Carolina hit their biggest low of the season against the Chicago Bears a month ago, but they have improved on both sides of the football since.

The Panthers have won four of their past seven games as away favourites for a narrow loss and they are a middling 3-1-3 against the line in this scenario.

New York were beaten by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last weekend and they have now won only one of their past five games.

The Jets have won four of their past eight games as home underdogs for a big profit and they are a most impressive 7-1 against the line in this scenario.

New York always improve in front of their home fans and they can cover the line against the Panthers.

Back New York To Beat The Line (+4.5 Points)

Indianapolis Colts Vs Tennessee Titans

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium

The Tennessee Titans remain one game behind the Jacksonville Jaguars and need to keep winning to stay in touch with the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Tennessee had their winning run ended by the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend and this is a big test for Marcus Mariota after he failed to fire in that clash.

The Titans have won three of their past five games as away favourites and they are only 1-4 against the line in this scenario for a clear loss.

Indianapolis went into the bye on the back of a small loss at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers in what was one of their best performances of the season.

The Colts have lost their past three games as home underdogs, but they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario.

Indianapolis have improved in a big way over the past month and they are capable of giving the Titans a scare in this clash.

Back Indianapolis To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)

Atlanta Falcons Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Mercedes-Benz Stadium

The Atlanta Falcons are extremely short-priced favourites to beat their NFC South rivals the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Atlanta have got themselves back into the Playoffs hunt with two excellent wins over the Dallas Cowboys and the Seattle Seahawks and on their recent form they should win this clash comfortably.

The Falcons have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites and they are a profitable 6-4 against the line in this scenario.

Tampa Bay have recorded two wins on the trot over the New York Jets and the Miami Dolphins, but this is obviously a much tougher challenge.

The Buccaneers have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and they are also a losing betting play against the line in this scenario.

Atlanta have been excellent in recent weeks and if they can replicate that sort of form they will prove too strong for the Buccaneers.

Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points)

New England Patriots Vs Miami Dolphins

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Gillette Stadium

The New England Patriots are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NFL and the line is a huge 15.5 points.

New England were dominant against the Oakland Raiders last weekend and they have now won six games on the trot.

The Patriots have won 17 of their past 19 games as favourites and they are 14-5 against the line as the punter’s elect.

Miami have now lost four games in a row and their defence has really struggled in recent weeks.

The Dolphins have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs, but their record against the line in this scenario is poor.

New England have won four of their past five games against Miami and three of those wins have been greater than the line of 15.5 points.

Back New England To Beat The Line (-15.5 Points)

Philadelphia Eagles Vs Chicago Bears

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Lincoln Financial Field

The Philadelphia Eagles are another very short-priced favourite in the NFL this weekend.

Philadelphia have been nothing short of outstanding in the NFL this season and they were dominant against their NFC East rivals the Dallas Cowboys last weekend.

The Eagles have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Chicago Bears have lost three games on the trot, but they were not disgraced against the New Orleans Saints, Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions in recent weeks.

Chicago have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.

Backing Philadelphia has been a profitable betting play in the NFL all season long and there is no reason to jump off this weekend.

Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-13.5 Points)

Kansas City Chiefs Vs Buffalo Bills

Monday November 27, 5:00am, Arrowhead Stadium

This is a big game for the Kansas City Chiefs.

The Chiefs started the season with five straight wins, but they have now lost four of their past five games and they were very poor against the New York Giants last weekend.

Kansas City have won five of their past eight games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

The Buffalo Bills made a quarterback change last weekend and it could not have gone worse for rookie quarterback Nathan Peterman.

Peterman threw five interceptions in the first half of the game and was replaced by Tyrod Taylor.

The Bills are yet to announce who will start under centre for this clash, but it would be something of a surprise if they did not return to Taylor.

Buffalo have lost one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line is just as poor.

Kansas City will never have a better chance to return to winning form and they should be able to cover the line in the process.

Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (-10 Points)

San Francisco 49ers Vs Seattle Seahawks

Monday November 27, 8:05am, Levi's Stadium

The San Francisco 49ers went into their bye on the back of their first win of the season, but they will still start this clash with the Seattle Seahawks as clear favourites.

Seattle had their chances to beat the Atlanta Falcons, but a missed field goal from Blair Walsh ended their comeback and they remain a game behind the Los Angeles Rams.

The Seahawks have won three of their past five games as away favourites for a loss and they are only 1-1-3 against the line in this scenario.

San Francisco have been a losing betting play across just about every metric over the past two seasons and it is impossible to back them with any confidence.

Seattle should win this game comfortably, but their is no value at their current price.

No Bet

Oakland Raiders Vs Denver Broncos

Monday November 27, 8:25am, O.Co Coliseum

There was plenty expected of both the Oakland Raiders and the Denver Broncos heading into the NFL season, but they have both been extremely poor this season.

The Raiders were no match for the New England Patriots last weekend, but they will still start this clash with the Broncos as clear favourites.

Oakland have won four of their past six games as favourites and they are a middling 3-3 against the line in this situation.

Denver have now lost six games on the trot and they have made big changes – offensive coordinator Mike McCoy has been fired and Paxton Lynch will get his chance at quarterback.

The Broncos have lost their past four games as away underdogs and they have failed to cover the lines in each of these games.

It is impossible to trust either of these teams and this is a game that I am staying out of from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Los Angeles Rams Vs New Orleans Saints

Monday November 27, 8:25am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum

This is one of the biggest games of the weekend.

The Los Angeles Rams went down to the Minnesota Vikings last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the New Orleans Saints as favourites.

Los Angeles have won only three of their past six games as home favourites and they have the same record against the line in this scenario.

The New Orleans Saints pulled off a big comeback to beat the Washington Redskins and they have now won eight races on the trot.

New Orleans have won two of their past five games as away underdogs for a small profit and they are 3-2 against the line in this situation.

The Rams may still be a touch overrated and the Saints are one of the best value bets of the weekend.

Back New Orleans To Win @ $2.25

Arizona Cardinals Vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Monday November 27, 8:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium

The Jacksonville Jaguars remain on top of the AFC South and they will start this clash with the Arizona Cardinals as clear favourites.

Jacksonville made it four wins on the trot with a fighting victory over the Cleveland Browns and their dreams of return to the NFL Playoffs are getting closer and closer.

The Jaguars have won two of their past three games as away favourites and their record against the line is the same.

Arizona were beaten as favourites against the Houston Texans last weekend and they are a very tough side to trust from a betting perspective.

The Cardinals have won only two of their past eight games as underdogs and they are 2-1-5 against the line in this situation.

Jacksonville can continue their winning streak and will cover the line in the process.

Back Jacksonville To Beat The Line (-4 Points)

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs Green Bay Packers

Monday November 27, 12:30pm, Heinz Field

The Pittsburgh are the third side in the NFL this weekend that are priced at $1.10 or shorter.

Pittsburgh made it five wins on the trot with a massive victory over the Tennessee Titans and they have found their best form in the past month.

The Steelers have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites and they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Green Bay Packers produced their worst performance of the Brett Hundley-era and they failed to score a point against the Baltimore Ravens last weekend.

There is no doubt that Pittsburgh should win this game comfortably, but the line of 14 points is excessive and this is a game that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Baltimore Ravens Vs Houston Texans

Tuesday November 28, 12:30pm, M&T Bank Stadium

The Baltimore Ravens have struggled for consistency this season, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Baltimore have won two of their past three games to nil against the Miami Dolphins and the Green Bay Packers and in between that they were beaten by the Tennessee Titans.

The Ravens will start this clash as home favourites and they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.

Houston returned to winning form against the Arizona Cardinals last weekend, but the Ravens represent a completely different challenge.

Arizona have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs and they are a middling 4-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Baltimore defence should have a field day against Tom Savage and the Texans offence and line of seven points will not be enough.

Back Baltimore To Beat The Line (-7 Points)


2016/2017

It is Thanksgiving weekend in the NFL and that means there is an absolute feast of football on Friday morning.

The action begins when the Detroit Lions face the Minnesota Vikings before the Dallas Cowboys host the Washington Redskins and the Indianapolis Colts play the Pittsburgh Steelers.

There are plenty of interesting games set to take place right across the weekend and there are a number of crucial clashes between divisional rivals on Monday morning.

The final game of the week takes place on Monday when the Philadelphia Eagles host the Green Bay Packers and you can find our tips for every game below.

Detroit Lions Vs Minnesota Vikings

Friday November 25, 3:30am, Ford Field

Detroit Lions 16 - Minnesota Vikings 13

This is a crucial game in the NFC North and the first of a big Thanksgiving Triple Header.

Detroit have won five of their past six games to take control of the NFC North and they will go into this clash as clear favourites,

The Lions have proven to be a tough team to trust from a betting perspective this season and they have won four of their past five games as home favourites, while they have an identical record against the line.

Minnesota were finally able to end their losing streak when they beat the Arizona Cardinals last weekend and this is almost a must-win clash.

The Vikings have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they also have an excellent record of 4-1 against the line in this scenario.

This is set to be a very interesting price, but the market looks to have got it just about right and I am happy to take out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Dallas Cowboys Vs Washington Redskins

Friday November 25, 7:30am, AT&T Bank Stadium

Dallas Cowboys 31 - Washington Redskins 26

The rivalry between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins is one of the most historic in the NFL and this is a traditional Thanksgiving clash.

The Dallas Cowboys are the form team in the NFL and they will go into this clash on the back of a nine-match winning streak.

Dallas have now won three of their past four games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line in this scenario.

Washington have won two games on the trot and they are on track to qualify for the NFL Playoffs as a wildcard.

The Redskins have an incredible record of 5-1 as away underdogs over the past 12 months and they are 6-0 against the line in this scenario.

There is never much between these two teams when they do battle and Washington are a great bet to beat the line with a start of seven points.

Back Washington To Beat The Line (+7 Points)

Chicago Bears Vs Tennessee Titans

Monday November 28, 4:00am, Soldier Field

Chicago Bears 21 - Tennessee Titans 27

The Tennessee Titans are still in the NFL Playoffs hunt and they will start this clash with the Chicago Bears as favourites.

This will be the first time that Tennessee have started an away game as favourite in the past 12 months and their record on the road during this period is very poor.

Chicago were not disgraced against the New York Giants and they will likely go into this clash with Matt Barkley under centre following the likely season-ending injury suffered by Jay Cutler.

The Bears have actually won two of their past three games as home underdogs and they have an identical record against the line.

There is not as much between these two teams as the market suggests and I am keen to back the Bears with a start of five points.

Back Chicago To Beat The Line (+5 Points)

Buffalo Bills Vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Monday November 28, 4:00am, New Era Field

Buffalo Bills 28 - Jacksonville Jaguars 21

The Buffalo Bills returned to winning form against the Cincinnati Bengals and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

Buffalo have been a highly inconsistent 3-1 as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have an identical record against the line.

This has been a season to forget for Jacksonville and they go into this clash on the back of five straight losses.

The Jaguars have won just one of their past eight games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a very average 2-1-5.

Buffalo should be able to record back-to-back wins and they are good enough to cover the line of 7.5 points.

Back Buffalo To Beat The Line (-7.5 Points)

Baltimore Ravens Vs Cincinnati Bengals

Monday November 28, 4:00am, MT&T Bank Stadium

Baltimore Ravens 19 - Cincinnati Bengals 14

This is a crucial game for both sides and basically a must-win clash for the Cincinnati Bengals.

Baltimore will go into this clash as clear favourites after going down to the Dallas Cowboys last weekend.

The Ravens have two just two of their past four games as home favourites for a loss and their record against the line is identical.

Cincinnati have not won a game for almost a month and their chances of qualifying for the NFL Playoffs are falling away quickly.

The Bengals have won just one of their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line is also 2-2.

This is another clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Atlanta Falcons Vs Arizona Cardinals

Monday November 28, 4:00am, Georgia Dome

Atlanta Falcons 38 - Arizona Cardinals 19

The Atlanta Falcons suffered a defeat at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as favourites.

Atlanta have struggled badly as home favourites over the past 12 months – they have won just one of their past five games in this scenario and their record against the line is an extremely poor 0-5.

The poor season of the Arizona Cardinals continued last weekend and their record as away underdogs does not inspire confidence.

They have lost their past three games as away underdogs and their record against the line is identical.

These are two teams that are extremely tough to trust from a betting perspective and I will be letting this game go through to the keeper.

No Bet

Cleveland Browns Vs New York Giants

Monday November 28, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium

Cleveland Browns 13 - New York Giants 27

The chances of the Cleveland Browns finishing this season winless are increasing as we get further into the season and they will start this clash as clear underdogs.

Cleveland have lost their past seven games as home underdogs and they have not covered the line in any of their games in this situation.

The New York Giants have flown under the radar in recent weeks, but they have still been able to record five wins on the trot.

They have won three of their past four games as away favourites for a clear profit and they really shouldn’t have a problem putting up a big score against the Browns.

The line of seven points will not be anywhere near enough and they are a great bet to beat the line comfortably.

Back New York Giants To Beat The Line (-7 Points)

New Orleans Saints Vs Los Angeles Rams

Monday November 28, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome

New Orleans Saints 49 - Los Angeles Rams 21

The New Orleans Saints have lost two games on the trot, but they will start this clash with the Los Angeles Rams as clear favourites.

New Orleans have been a tough team to trust from a betting proposition this season and they have won just two of their past six games as home favourites, while they have an identical record against the line.

The Rams have won just one of their past six games and their first season in Los Angeles has been one to forget.

Surprisingly, Los Angeles have actually won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and their record against New Orleans is excellent.

The Rams are more than capable of returning to winning form and the $3.60 currently available is excellent value.

Back Los Angeles To Win @ $3.60

Miami Dolphins Vs San Franciso 49ers

Monday November 28, 4:00am, New Miami Stadium

Miami Dolphins 31 - San Francisco 49ers 24

The Miami Dolphins have got themselves back into NFL Playoffs calcuations with five wins on the trot and they will start this clash with the San Francisco 49ers as clear favourites.

Miami have now won three of their past five games as home favourites, but they are still a very poor 1-4 against the line in this scenario.

San Francisco put up a credible effort against the New England Patriots last weekend, but they were still unable to come away with the victory.

The 49ers have won just one of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record against the line is just as bad.

These are two teams that are tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.

No Bet

Houston Texans Vs San Diego Chargers

Monday November 28, 4:00am, NRG Stadium

Houston Texans 13 - San Diego Chargers 21

The market is currently finding it very tough to split these two teams.

The San Diego Chargers went down to the Miami Dolphins last weekend, but they are still set to start their clash with the San Diego Chargers as narrow favourites.

This will be the first away game that the Chargers have started as favourites in over 12 months and their record away from home is a very poor 2-7.

Houston had their chances against the Oakland Raiders, but were unable to get the job done in the final quarter.

The Texans have won seven of their past nine games in front of their home fans and there were some positive signs in their defeat at the hands of the Raiders.

Houston should probably start this clash as favourites and there is genuine value at their current price of $2.05.

Back Houston To Win @ $2.05

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Seattle Seahawks

Monday November 28, 7:05am, Raymond James Stadium

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 14 - Seattle Seahawks 5

Seattle have won three games on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as clear favourites.

The Seahawks have an excellent record as away favourites over the past 12 months and they have won four of their past five games in this scenario, while they are 3-2 against the line.

Tampa Bay made it two wins on the trot with their upset win over the Kansas City Chiefs and they have played some excellent football in the past fortnight.

The Bucaneers have won just one of their past three games as away underdogs and their record against the line is identical.

Seattle should win this game comfortably and the line of six points will not be anywhere near enough.

Back Seattle To Beat The Line (-6 Points)

Oakland Raiders Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday November 28, 7:25am, Oakland Coliseum

Oakland Raiders 35 - Carolina Panthers 32

The Oakland Raiders are the form team in the AFC and they will start this clash with the Carolina Panthers as clear favourites.

Oakland made it four wins on the trot with their come from behind win over the Houston Texans and they have won three of their past four games as home favourites, but they are 1-3 against the line in this scenario.

Carolina returned to winning form against the New Orleans Saints, but desperately need to keep on winning to remain in the Playoff hunt.

This is the first away game that the Panthers have started as underdogs in over a year, but their record away from home has been poor from a betting standpoint.

The market looks to have got this clash just about right, but there is still plenty of value in the Total Points betting market.

The over has saluted in six of the past eight home games played by the Raiders and the Panthers have also been an overs team this season.

Back Over 50.5 Points

Denver Broncos Vs Kansas City Chiefs

Monday November 28, 7:25am, Mile High

Denver Broncos 27 - Kansas City Chiefs 30

This is a crucial game for both these teams in the AFC West.

Denver went into their bye on the back of a narrow victory over the New Orleans Saints and they will start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Broncos have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear profit, while they are just 3-1-4 against the line in this scenario.

Kansas City had their winning run ended by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers last weekend and must win this game to keep in touch with their division leaders.

The Chiefs have won one of their past three games as away underdogs for a loss and their record against the line is identical.

This is another clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

New York Jets Vs New England Patriots

Monday November 28, 11:30am, MetLife Stadium

New York Jets 17 - New England Patriots 22

There is no love lost between these two franchises and this is sure to be another spiteful clash.

It is no surprise that the New England Patriots will start this clash as dominant favourites after another convincing performance against the San Francisco 49ers.

The Patriots have not been that impressive on the road in the past 12 months and they have won just five of their past nine games as away favourites for a clear loss, while they have the same record against the line.

New York have won just two of their past eight games and they went into their bye week on the back of a poor offensive effort against the Los Angeles Rams.

The Jets have won just one of their past three games as home underdogs for a clear loss, while they have the same record against the line.

New England should prove far too strong for their divisional rivals and a great bet to cover the line.

  1. Back New England To Beat The Line (-7.5 Points)

Philadelphia Eagles Vs Green Bay Packers

Tuesday November 29, 11:30am, Lincoln Financial Field

Philadelphia Eagles 13 - Green Bay Packers 27

Both these teams are quickly falling out of the NFL Playoffs picture and this is a must-win clash.

Philadelphia went down to Seattle last weekend, but they will still start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Eagles have won three of their past four games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have an identical record against the line.

Green Bay have now lost four games on the trot and their defense hit a new low in their disastrous performance against the Washington Redskins last weekend.

The Packers have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear loss, but they have been a narrow winning proposition against the line in this scenario.

It is impossible to trust the Packers after their horrid last start effort and Philadelphia should be able to return to winning form.

Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-4 Points)