2019 NFL Week 13 Preview

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This week we give thanks to the scheduling gods ahead of a succulent 16-game slate of Thanksgiving action.

The bye weeks are officially done and dusted as we turn our full attention to the playoff race, and it doesn’t get any bigger than a potential Super Bowl preview between the 49ers and the Ravens on Monday morning.

It’s do-or-die time for teams like the Browns, Eagles, Bears and Rams this week, while all eyes will also be on the Cowboys, Packers and Raiders as they hope to rebound from disappointing losses.

Thanksgiving is one of the best dates on the football calendar, so if you’re looking for some winning bets, be sure to read our complete 2019 NFL Week 13 Preview below.

Detroit Lions Vs Chicago Bears

Friday 29 November, 4:30am, Ford Field

Lions 20 - Bears 24

It’s only slim, but the Bears still stand a chance at making the playoffs.

Standing in their way on Friday is the Lions – a team struggling through injury. All accounts suggest Matthew Stafford will miss another week, if not the season, with back problems, while backup Jeff Driskel’s hamstring injury could also throw another spanner into the works.

The Lions have lost four straight games heading into this NFC North clash and as a result, have been installed as +2.5 underdogs.

Chicago, on the other hand, heads to Detroit fresh from a big home win over the Giants last week. It was far from a convincing victory as Mitch Trubisky threw a pair of picks, but the win still leaves the Bears with life at 5-6.

It’s difficult to find much faith in either of these teams right now, especially from a betting perspective. Chicago has won three-straight games over Detroit dating back to 2017, however the Bears’ offensive woes continue to allow opponents to keep games close.

With Detroit potentially down to its third-string quarterback and the turnover prone Trubisky still under center in Chicago, the only logical play here is the Unders.

Tip: Under 39 Points @ $1.92

Dallas Cowboys Vs Buffalo Bills

Friday 29 November, 8:30am, AT&T Stadium

Cowboys 15 - Bills 26

It’s so easy to look at this game, and the odds, and completely overlook the Bills.

As if Buffalo’s 8-3 record doesn’t say enough, the Bills are also 7-3-1 against the spread this season – leaving Sean McDermott’s team looking well and truly over the odds ahead of their trip to Jerry World.

Not for the first time this season, the Cowboys now have some serious soul searching to do after their loss to the Patriots last week.

To be fair, Dallas was facing the best defence in the league, but the conservative play-calling has once again brought coach Jason Garrett under fire.

Last week the Cowboys’ biggest downfall came on third downs. The Cowboys couldn’t convert offensively, and they also had trouble stopping the Patriots when Tom Brady had the ball.

The bad news is the Bills have allowed the ninth-fewest third downs against this year, but the good news is Buffalo has also had its own troubles converting on third down offensively.

All in all, this points towards a low-scoring game. The Total has gone Under in 75% of Cowboys’ games following a previous loss, so while it mightn’t be exciting, we should be in for a defensive tussle.

Tip: Under 45 Total Points @ $1.92

Atlanta Falcons Vs New Orleans Saints

Friday 29 November, 12:20pm, Mercedes Benz Stadium

Falcons 18 - Saints 26

Can the Falcons spoil the Saints party for the second time this season?

Only a month ago Atlanta went into New Orleans and won convincingly 26-9, shocking everyone as the defence played surprisingly well.

The Saints have had two weeks to stew on that result and have since made up for it with a pair of victories over the Bucs and Panthers. New Orleans is firmly in the driver’s seat for a first-round playoff bye, but they’ll still be hungry for revenge against one of their biggest division rivals.

Last week’s win over the Panthers was a big result for the Saints, but it wasn’t very convincing. The Saints gave up a whopping 12 penalties for 123-yards, gifting Carolina plenty of free field position and most importantly, points.

Penalties have been a large problem all year for the Saints, but they do have a chance to right their wrongs against an equally undisciplined Atlanta team.

It wouldn’t be surprising at all for the Saints to win this game by a big margin. Revenge is one thing, but Sean Payton has a reputation for making examples of opponents after a previously poor performance.

The Saints are 7-2 against the spread in their last nine games and 6-3 in their last nine against the Falcons. Favoured by only a touchdown, it’s worth taking New Orleans to make a statement at their current price.

Tip: Back the Saints to Cover the Line (-7 Points) @ $2.00

Baltimore Ravens Vs San Francisco 49ers

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, M&T Bank Stadium

Ravens 20 - 49ers 17

Last season it was Rams-Chiefs. This season it’s Ravens-Niners. Prepare yourself for the most anticipated game of the season.

Baltimore, or should we say, Lamar Jackson, put on a clinic last week in a 45-6 route over the Los Angeles rams.

The Ravens had no trouble running the ball against what was supposed to be an above-average defence, while Jackson also had himself a day tying a career-high with five touchdown passes.

Not to be outdone, the Niners also enjoyed a blowout win of their own against a similar NFC contender. San Francisco dominated the Packers 37-8 last week at home as the defence held Green Bay to just one third down conversion alongside five sacks on Aaron Rodgers. Now, the Niners will hope to bring the same kind of pressure to stop Jackson in his tracks.

This could turn out to be a Super Bowl preview, but it’s also a rematch of Super Bowl XLVII back in 2012. The Ravens got the last laugh over the Niners in a thrilling 34-31 victory, but a lot has changed at the quarterback position since then.

It’s fair to say that the Ravens have the upper hand offensively, while the Niners’ pass rush and secondary is a slight step above Baltimore’s. There are plenty of reasons San Francisco could win this game, but the two most important factors are this: the Ravens have home-field advantage, and the blitz won’t stop Jackson.

Pressuring Aaron Rodgers is one thing, but over-committing to the blitz against Jackson is another. People forget how accurate he is when it comes to throwing, so if the Niners bring pressure, don’t be surprised if he steps up and makes a play on a quick pass through the air.

We’ve already seen the Patriots struggle to put up a fight in Baltimore, so can we expect anything different from the Niners? In what is a huge test of Jimmy Garoppolo in a hostile environment, this one could get out of hand.

Tip: Back the Ravens 14+ @ $3.04

Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, TIAA Bank Stadium

Jaguars 11 - Buccaneers 28

There isn’t much separating these two 4-7 teams in the market.

Mathematically, the playoffs aren’t entirely out of the question for either side, but if you’ve been paying attention over the last month, you’ll know it’s much easier to find confidence in the Bucs than it is the Jags right now.

Not even Nick Foles has been able to put an end to the Jaguars’ three-game losing skid. Jacksonville failed to turn up to the contest last week against the Titans, while the Bucs, on the other hand, pulled off a big win over the division rival Falcons.

The likelihood of these two teams finishing anywhere close to .500 is slim, but even if their records suggest otherwise, this game could still turn out to be entertaining.

Both Jacksonville and Tampa Bay were pegged as potential dark horses entering the season, but neither has lived up to the hype. With that in mind, we should see both teams trying to prove a point this week, paving the way for a surprisingly high-scoring game.

Tip: Over 48.5 Total Points @ $1.92

Indianapolis Colts Vs Tennessee Titans

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium

Colts 17 - Titans 31

Don’t look now, but the Tennessee Titans are still a sneaky chance to make the playoffs.

Two straight wins has the Titans sitting equal 6-5 with the Colts, setting up yet another pivotal AFC South game for the third week in a row.

The Colts lost 20-17 on Thursday Night Football well over a week ago, but Frank Reich’s side certainly wasn’t disgraced against the Texans. The defence did well to hold Deshaun Watson in check, only for Jacoby Brissett to struggle in his return from injury.

Speaking of quarterbacks, it appears the job is Ryan Tannehill’s to lose in Tennessee. The former Miami Dolphin gashed the Jaguars for 259-yards and two touchdowns last week in the Titans’ blowout 42-20 victory, while Derrick henry did the rest with a huge 159-yard day on the ground.

Like any division rivalry though, this is one is tough to pick. The bookmakers are having a tough time separating the two head-to-head but they have favoured the Colts with home-field advantage by 2.5 points.

Indy has won eight of their last 10-games over Tennessee including a Week 2 victory at Nissan Stadium. But on the flip side, the Colts will once again go without star running back Marlon Mack due to a handy injury.

The good news is the Colts’ running back committee carried the load just fine as Jonathan Williams rushed for 104-yards. Better yet, the Colts are also 3-1 against the spread following a previous loss, so back Indy, and Brissett, to rediscover some of their mojo.

Tip: Back the Colts to Cover the line (-2.5 Points) @ $1.92

Carolina Panthers Vs Washington Redskins

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, Bank of America Stadium

Panthers 21 - Redskins 29

The boot of Joey Slye cost the Panthers a chance at an upset over the division rival Saints last week, but more importantly, also put a line through any hope Carolina had of securing a last-minute playoff berth.

With nothing left to play, Ron Rivera’s team can now turn attention to at least ending the season on a high note as they prepare for a very winnable game against the 2-9 Redskins.

To their credit, Washington did pull off a big win over the hapless Lions last week at home but considering the defence has allowed the fifth-most yards-per-game, it’s safe to say Christian McCaffrey might prove a handful this week.

These two teams met last season in a 23-17 Redskins victory. Things have changed a lot since then though, especially at quarterback for both teams respectively.

The Panthers are 6-3 against the spread in their last nine games, while the Total has also gone Over in three of their five games following a loss this season. With that in mind, take the value on offer for the double.

Tip: Back the Panthers to Cover the Line (-10.5 Points) & Over 40.5 Total Points @ $3.80

Miami Dolphins Vs Philadelphia Eagles

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium

Dolphins 37 - Eagles 31

The Eagles have looked like a 50/50 playoff bet all year, but after last week’s no-show against the Seahawks, it’s safe to say Philly are more pretender than contender at this point.

If you’re an Eagles fan, the good news is the season is far from over, though.

The Cowboys continue to leave the door ajar for the Eagles to pinch the division title, but there is work to be done if Doug Pederson’s side wishes to reverse their 5-6 record.

A road trip to Miami is also good news for the Eagles as they look to get back on track. The Dolphins proved no match for the Browns last week in a 41-24 loss, and the Eagles should feel confident in facing a defence that has allowed the most points in the league.

Since this is a cross conference showdown, you have to rewind back to 2015 to find the last meeting between the two. More importantly however, the Eagles are 4-1 against the spread in their last five road games in Miami.

With that said, the -9 line in favour of the Eagles looks a bit much when you consider how troubled Carson Wentz has looked. Instead of risking it at the line, take the Unders on the Eagles.

Tip: Eagles Under 27 Points @ $1.92

Kansas City Chiefs Vs Oakland Raiders

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, Arrowhead Stadium

Chiefs 40 - Raiders 9

There is no two ways about it: this is a must-win game for the Raiders.

Oakland’s shock loss to the Jets last week has made life almost impossible from here on out. The Raiders need to win out if they wish to earn a Wild Card spot ahead of the Steelers, Colts, Browns or Titans, and judging by their schedule, that looks easier said than done.

Things look even tougher when you factor in the Chiefs are well-rested from the bye. Kansas City also has plenty to play for as they hope secure home-field advantage in the Wild Card game, or potentially secure the snatch the second seed in the AFC away from the Ravens.

Unlike other rivalry games, this one has typically been fairly easy to pick. The Chiefs have won nine of their last 10 against Oakland, including a 28-10 victory at the Black Hole back in Week 2.

That being said, the Chiefs are far from untouchable this season. Kansas City has won only two of their five home games so far, while the Raiders have covered the line in three of their four games this year following a previous loss.

Tip: Back the Raiders to Cover the Line (+10 Points) @ $1.85

New York Giants Vs Green Bay Packers

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

Giants 13 - Packers 31

The Giants square off against an NFC North opponent for the second week in a row as they hope to add to the Packers’ misery after last week’s no-show against the Niners.

New York lost 19-14 to the Bears last week in another flat performance from the offence. Daniel Jones threw for a pair of touchdowns, but the running game struggled to find room as Saquon Barkley finished with just 59-yards to his name.

Speaking of struggling on offence, that’s exactly what troubled the Packers last week in San Francisco. An Aaron Rodgers fumble on the opening drive set the tone in the 37-8 loss, while the defence was shredded by tight end George Kittle.

Despite the result though, the Packers have shown twice already this season that they are a force to be reckoned with following a previous loss. After a home defeat to the Eagles, the Packers bounced back the next week to beat the Cowboys on the road. Likewise, a loss to the Chargers was also followed by an eight-point win over the Panthers a fortnight ago.

The Packers are basically locked in for a playoff spot, but they have work to do if they wish to 1. Win the NFC North, and 2. Earn a first-round bye. That all starts this week at the Meadowlands, and if the trends are anything to go by, the Packers should bounce-back comfortably.

Tip: Back the Packers 1-12

Cincinnati Bengals Vs New York Jets

Monday 2 December, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

Bengals 22 - Jets 6

Sometimes these meaningless games turn out to be the most entertaining… or at least we hope that’s the case this week.

Cincinnati is still searching for its very first win of the season under new head coach Zac Taylor. The chances of becoming the third team in NFL history to go 0-16 continue to increase by the week, and really, that’s just how the Bengals like it as they eye the No. 1 overall pick in next years draft.

The Bengals will welcome back Andy Dalton this week under center after a month on the sidelines. The same can’t be said for AJ Green however, who is still doubtful to make his debut.

Realistically this is a game the Bengals could win if they put their best foot forward, but they’ve drawn the Jets at the worst possible time.

New York has now won three games in a row thanks to a shocking upset over the Raiders last week which, for the first time all season, saw the Jets explode on offence.

NFL fans were reminded how good Sam Darnold can be when he’s afforded time in the pocket, while Le’Veon Bell did the same by finishing with over 100 yards from scrimmage.

Against a depleted defence like the Bengals, the Jets should pick up their fifth consolation win of the season as they build towards something much more meaningful next year.

Tip: Back the Jets 1-13

Arizona Cardinals Vs Los Angeles Rams

Monday 2 December, 8:05am, State Farm Stadium

Cardinals 7 - Rams 34

It’s now or never for the Rams this week as they look to rebound from a devastating loss to the Ravens at home.

Los Angeles had no answer to Lamar Jackson in their 45-6 Monday Night Football loss. Now at 6-5, the Rams now have to ensure they win out from here if they wish to secure the sixth seed in the NFC.

Standing in the Rams’ way this week is the division rival Cardinals. Arizona has lost four straight games as they return from the bye, but what you might not know is the Cardinals have quietly been a great upset pick after a previous week off.

Since 2015, the Cardinals are 4-1 straight-up following the bye week. There’s nothing to get excited about when it comes to Arizona’s defence, but Kyler Murray might be able to win this game himself if he can exploit the Rams the same way Jackson did last week.

Running back Chase Edmonds is also expected to play this week, adding another threat on the ground for the Rams to cover. Considering Jared Goff’s accuracy woes and the Rams’ regressing defence, this looks like the top upset pick of the week.

Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs Cleveland Browns

Monday 2 December, 8:25am, Heinz Field

Steelers 20 - Browns 13

There’s more at stake in this game than just revenge.

While talk show hosts will spend the week talking about the Myles Garrett melee, don’t forget both the Steelers and Browns are still a serious chance at a Wild Card spot.

The winner of this game will go a long way to securing a spot in the playoffs. The Browns have one of the easiest schedules in the league from here on out, while the Steelers face a much tougher stretch with games against the Bills and the Ravens still to come.

Cleveland won 21-7 against the Steelers a fortnight ago before Garrett’s late-game actions overshadowed the win. There will be plenty of feeling in this game, but with so much on the line, don’t be surprised if both teams keep their composure.

The Browns are -2 favourites in the market and, with a 4-1 record against the spread in their last five games, it’s hard to argue with the trends.

Of course, the Steelers have spoiled the Browns’ party before. Pittsburgh has also won seven of their last 10-games over Cleveland, while a Browns implosion with the playoffs within reach would be enormously on-brand.

Home-field advantage counts for a lot in the NFL, particularly at Heinz Field. With four wins from their last five games, the current price on offer the Steelers looks too good to pass up.

Tip: Back the Steelers to Win @ $2.15

Denver Broncos Vs Los Angeles Chargers

Monday 2 December, 8:25am, Broncos Stadium

Broncos 23 - Chargers 20

With playoffs out of the question the Broncos and Chargers can focus on the only thing that matters: AFC South bragging rights.

Denver put forward its worst performance of the season last week in a 20-3 loss to the Bills in Buffalo. The Broncos, now at 3-8, are almost a lock for a top five draft pick, but hot on their heels are the 4-7 Chargers who may want to consider tanking themselves.

Los Angeles has opened as -2.5 favourites this week at Mile High. The last we saw of the Chargers they were falling in a heap against the Chiefs on Thursday Night Football, but fresh from a bye week, hopefully Anthony Lynn’s side turns up ready to play.

Unfortunately, that hasn’t been the case in recent memory. Since 2010, the Chargers are 4-5 straight-up following the bye week.

Broncos coach Vic Fangio still hasn’t decided on who will start under center this week, but whether it’s Drew Lock or Brandon Allen, it will be up to the defence to pull off an upset this week.

With Philip Rivers throwing interceptions for fun, take the Broncos to give their home fans something to cheer about.

Tip: Back the Broncos to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $2.00

Houston Texans Vs New England Patriots

Monday 2 December, 12:20pm, NRG Stadium

Texans 28 - Patriots 22

Fresh from a 20-17 win over the Colts last week, the Texans now have a huge opportunity to distance themselves even further atop the AFC South.

Now at 7-4, this is a must-win game with the Colts and Titans both squaring off this week. The AFC South race is the most fascinating in the entire league, but unfortunately for Bill O’Brien’s team, the 10-1 Patriots are in town.

It was another less than convincing performance from New England last week in less than desirable conditions. Like all great teams do though, the Patriots still got the job done against the Cowboys winning 13-9 at home.

Defensively the Patriots, or should we say, Stephon Gilmore, were outstanding. Offensively however, Tom Brady was once again left frustrated as the Patriots tallied only 282 total yards and one touchdown.

Trusting the Texans is never easy, especially against elite AFC teams. If you peak at their schedule however, you might notice that after every Texans loss they’ve gone on to win back-to-back games.

Houston came up short to the Ravens by a wide margin a fortnight ago before beating the Colts last week. The Patriots have won nine of their last 10-games against Houston, but after three flat offensive performances, let’s just say they are due a loss.

Tip: Back the Texans to Win @ $2.40

Seattle Seahawks Vs Minnesota Vikings

Tuesday 3 December, 12:15pm, Centurylink Field

Seahawks 37 - Vikings 30

This should be a good ol’ fashioned football game between two teams that love to lay it all on the line.

The Vikings return from a bye week with a new lease on life as they suddenly find themselves tied for the NFC North division lead alongside the Packers.

Seattle, meanwhile, is riding sky high on a four-game winning streak thanks to last week’s big win over the Eagles in Philadelphia.

This could turn out to be a potential NFC Championship preview, but before we look ahead, it appears the bookies are well in favour of the Seahawks at home this week.

Seattle has won seven of their last 10-games over the Vikings including last year’s forgettable 21-7 victory. You have to rewind all the way back to 2006 to find Minnesota’s last win at the Link, so for that reason alone, don’t overcomplicate this one.

Tip: Back the Seahawks to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.96


2018

There’s still five weeks to go, but we’ve got a pretty clear idea on the four Super Bowl contenders heading towards the playoffs.

As for the rest, the Wild Card picture in both the AFC and NFC is wide open, leaving plenty of questions left to be answered now that the bye weeks are said and done.

It’s back to regular scheduling this week, which means more odds, more multi’s, and hopefully, more upsets.

As always, you can find all 16 of our tips in our 2018 NFL Week 13 Preview below.

Dallas Cowboys Vs New Orleans Saints

Friday 30 November, 12:20pm, AT&T Stadium

Dallas 13 – New Orleans 10

Dallas Cowboys (6-5):

The Cowboys’ 31-23 win over the Redskins on Thanksgiving has Dallas looking pretty fly with just five weeks remaining.

Having now scored 20-plus points in three straight weeks, Dallas’ offence has found new life thanks to much improved man blocking on the offensive line – which in turn has transformed the Cowboys into a serious NFC East favourite.

Running lanes have come easy for Ezekiel Elliott, evident in his third straight 100-yard rushing game last week. Things mightn’t come easy on Friday against the Saints, though – New Orleans have allowed the fewest rushing yards all season, something the Falcons found out the hard way last week.

In their defence, Dak Prescott looks much more confident now that he has go-to wide receiver Amari Cooper at his disposal. The two hooked up for 180-yards and a pair of touchdowns in the win over Washington last week, encouraging signs heading towards the postseason.

Dallas hold home field advantage here, but it won’t count for much. The Cowboys are 1-4 at AT&T Stadium in their last five games against New Orleans, and if they can’t establish the run early, it’s likely the Saints’ defence dictates terms.

New Orleans Saints (10-1):

Trouble seemed to be a brew for the Saints last week… for all of 10-minutes.

New Orleans took a commanding 17-3 lead into halftime against the Falcons, going on to win 31-17 to further tighten their stranglehold on the NFC South.

The Saints’ offence goes without saying, but it’s the defence that is really worth a mention. Matt Ryan was sacked six time last week, while the running game was held to just 26-yards on the ground.

Rushing the passer is everything in today’s game, and the Saints are one of the best. So far New Orleans has racked up 31 sacks on the season, but they’ve also allowed just 3.6 yards-per-carry, tied for the least in the NFL.

This will be a serious road test for the Saints on the prime time stage, but their 9-2 record against Dallas in their last 11 meetings is more than encouraging. So is the fact that Drew Brees continues to make a name out of no-name receivers.

Plug the holes, and force Dak to make throws from the pocket – if the Saints do just that, this shouldn’t be too complicated.

Tip: Back the Saints 7-12 @ $5.25

Atlanta Falcons Vs Baltimore Ravens

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium

Atlanta 10 – Baltimore 26

Atlanta Falcons (4-7):

If you missed the Falcons’ sorry display on Thanksgiving, lucky you, because Atlanta were no chance against the Saints.

The stats tell the full story: just 26 rushing yards on the day. That forced Matt Ryan to throw the ball 47 times, which resulted in 377-yards, two touchdowns and a pick.

Defensively the Falcons couldn’t keep up, and they were basically embarrassed by Drew Brees. You’d expect the future Hall of Famer to target guys like Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara, but instead, Brees made Atlanta’s secondary look basic by throwing touchdowns to no-name receivers.

Atlanta are 3-7 in their last 10 games against the Ravens, and even with home field advantage, it’s hard to see the defence having the legs to keep up with Lamar Jackson and the rest of Baltimore’s punishing ground game.

Baltimore Ravens (6-5):

At 6-5 the Ravens are still in this thing, and they have to feel pretty good about their chances with Lamar Jackson under centre.

The rookie quarterback ran for 71-yards and a score during last week’s blowout win over the Raiders, which complimented breakout running back Gus Edwards’ 118-yard game nicely.

Baltimore appear to be keeping the game-plan simple for Jackson when it comes to throwing, which is wise considering the Ravens don’t have a great deal of talent at the receiver position. Jackson attempted only 25 throws last week, two of which were picked, so it’s safe to assume the Ravens will be running plenty this weekend against Atlanta.

At the line the Ravens are 4-1 against Baltimore, so that seems to be the sensible play this week.

Tip: Back the Ravens to Beat The Line (-0.5 Points) @ $1.87

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Raymond James Stadium

Tampa Bay 24 – Carolina 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-7):

Give them credit, the Bucs fought hard for their 27-9 win over the Niners last week.

It shows on the stat sheet, as Tampa forced two turnovers and held San Francisco to just one third down conversion on the day, paving the way for Jameis Winston to enjoy the best start of his season throwing for 312-yards and a pair of scores.

Things won’t come so easy against the Panthers this week, though. Tampa’s defence has allowed the most passing touchdowns in the league this season, which doesn’t bode well against the likes of Cam Newton, D.J. Moore and Christian McCaffrey.

It doesn’t take much to pick apart San Francisco’s wonky secondary, but it’ll take a big game from running back Peyton Barber if the Bucs are to stand any chance this week.

As their 1-4 home record against Carolina suggests, the Bucs are probably a team you want to avoid.

Carolina Panthers (6-5):

Carolina are now in the midst of a very serious three-game skid, one that makes this week’s game against the Bucs extremely important in terms of the NFC Wild Card picture.

Last week’s 30-27 home loss to the Seahawks highlighted many of the same problems that have haunted the Panthers all season.

First and foremost, it’s hard to win games when you have back-to-back trips to the red zone in the first quarter but only walk away with a field goal. It’s also hard to win games you’re consistently stopped on short yardage situations that call for a simple run up the middle.

Speaking of running the ball, the Panthers somehow managed to lose despite Christian McCaffrey finishing with 237 scrimmage yards and two scores. Much of the blame there could be blamed on the defence, particularly on Seattle’s final game-winning drive, but it also lays in the hands of Cam Newton after throwing a crucial interception in the red zone during the fourth quarter.

As far as this week’s game goes, it’s must-win for the Panthers. Carolina are 5-0 at the line when playing on the road against the Bucs, but in case you haven’t been paying attention, the Panthers are 1-4 on the road this season.

Tip: Back Under 57 Total Points @ $1.91

New York Giants Vs Chicago Bears

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

NY Giants 30 – Chicago 27

New York Giants (3-8):

Somehow the Giants blew a 19-0 lead against the Eagles last week to lose by a field goal.

It was the lowlight of New York’s lost season, which is a shame considering the stat sheet looked pretty great for Eli Manning, Saquon Barkley and Odell Beckham Jr.

New York are 1-4 at home this season and have struggled to find any consistency on the defensive side of the ball.

A lot relies on Mitch Trubisky’s status for the Bears, but given their defence has allowed the second-fewest rushing yards in the league, it looks unlikely the Giants will be able to rely on Barkley like they normally do.

Chicago Bears (8-3):

The Bears haven’t wrapped up the division just yet, but a win against the Giants will go a long way towards a playoff berth.

Chicago have now won five straight following their victory over Detroit on Thanksgiving, a game that saw the defence execute with precision in the second half.

A repeat performance from Kyle Fuller and Roquan Smith, both of which combined for 19 tackles last week, should be enough to stifle the very little offence the Giants possess.

Quarterback Mitch Trubisky remains questionable ahead of this game, although the Bears will feel confident with Chase Daniel under centre.

The veteran backup looked just fine last week against Detroit, hurling two killer touchdown passes in the fourth quarter to seal the game.

It’s worth noting Chicago are 5-16 in their last 21 road games, however the Giants have been one of the league’s worst teams at home. This should be a low-scoring Bears win.

Tip: Back the Bears to Beat The Line

Miami Dolphins Vs Buffalo Bills

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium

Miami 21 – Buffalo 17

Miami Dolphins (5-6):

The Dolphins had every chance to pinch a win on the road against the Colts last week but failed to make the most of their opportunities.

Even after intercepting Andrew Luck twice, Miami struggled to walk away with anything more than a field goal to go on and lose 27-24.

Stats wise, it wasn’t a bad day for Ryan Tannehill in his return to the starting role. Instead, it was the defence that let Miami down (again) as the secondary allowed Luck to march all the way down to the 42-yard line to set up the game winning field goal in just seven plays.

Miami are now under .500 for the first time this season, and after looking like a potential AFC Wild Card contender a fortnight ago, we’ve finally seen this chameleon show its true colours.

It might appear like the Dolphins have an easy match up this week to get things back on track, but their recent record against Buffalo suggests otherwise. Miami are 3-7 in their last 10-games against the Bills.

Buffalo Bills (4-7):

For all of the jokes and criticism that’s surrounded the Bills this season, Buffalo have done quite well to put up four wins given the circumstances.

It was a feel good moment for rookie quarterback Josh Allen last week after finishing with 259 scrimmage yards and a pair of touchdowns in the three-point win over Jacksonville.

Likewise, wide receiver Robert Foster got in on the action catching for 94-yards and a score, leaving Bills fans optimistic about two of their brightest young draft picks from the 2017 class.

With so much attention on the quarterback carousel each week, we’ve also forgotten Buffalo’s defence. Did you know it has allowed the fewest passing yards in the league?

This trip to Miami will pose a few challenges against the Dolphins, particularly when it comes to stopping the run game against the ageless wonder Frank Gore.

It will, however, play into the hands of the secondary, but more importantly offer plenty of opportunities for Allen to make magic with his feet. The Dolphins have allowed the fourth most rushing yards this season, so expect plenty of run/pass options on the way to Buffalo’s second consecutive win.

Tip: Back the Bills To Win @ $3.10

Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Indianapolis Colts

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, TIAA Bank Stadium

Jacksonville 6 – Indianapolis 0

Jacksonville Jaguars (3-8):

Jacksonville’s downward spiral reached rock bottom last week as the Jags lost their seventh straight game, this time to the previously 3-7 Buffalo Bills.

It was a game cornerback Jalen Ramsay had talked up for all the wrong reasons. The star corner was left with egg on his face after taunting Bills rookie quarterback Josh Allen on Twitter during the offseason, but really, the entire Jacksonville roster looked foolish against a much-lesser opponent.

In the aftermath, the Jags have since benched starting quarterback Blake Bortles and fired offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett. That means Cody Kessler will start this week, which is hardly ideal matching up against one of the league’s best defensive units.

The Jags are 4-8 in their last 12 games against Jacksonville, and with Leonard Fournette also suspended, it’s hard to see them scoring points, let alone winning this game.

Indianapolis Colts (6-5):

The Colts have quickly become a serious threat in the AFC, and it looks as though they are well on their way to an AFC Wild Card berth following last week’s win over Miami.

Andrew Luck continues to delight, but it’s his resiliency that makes him so much fun. After throwing back-to-back picks in the first half, the Colts’ main man led the game winning drive with just seconds remaining to set up the game winning field goal.

Likewise, the defence continues to make plays, forcing two fumbles and holding the Dolphins to just four third down conversions last week.

The pass rush alone is enough to strike fear in Cody Kessler’s eyes, but as their 8-4 record against Jacksonville suggests, this is usually match up the Colts get the better of.

Tip: Back the Colts to Beat The Line (-4 Points) @ $1.91

Houston Texans Vs Cleveland Browns

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, NRG Stadium

Houston 29 – Cleveland 13

Houston Texans (8-3):

With their eighth straight win last week, the Texans set a new franchise record beating the Titans 34-17.

Houston started the game slow, but came on strong in the second quarter to pile on 17-points. It was in large part thanks to the efforts of Deshaun Watson and Lamar Miller on the ground – both contributed for a combined 232-yards and two touchdowns.

So long as we’re talking about the positives, you can’t look past the Texans’ defence. Christian Covington enjoyed a career day against Tennessee last week, tallying 2.5 of Houston’s six sacks on Marcus Mariota.

There’s still the same old offensive line concerns, and once again wide receiver Keke Coutee looks to be troubled with hamstring problems. But still, the Texans are working together as a team rather than relying on individual efforts.

Cleveland Browns (4-6-1):

The Browns won’t make the playoffs, but they have to be satisfied with last week’s win over the Bengals.

The game held extra meaning against former head coach Hue Jackson, as well as plenty of post-game spiciness from Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield.

Speaking of the rookie, Mayfield played the game of his life last week. Throwing for 258-yards and four touchdowns, it’s safe to say the Browns made the right decision in last year’s draft, but there’s no denying the task that lays ahead of him this week.

Houston are 6-1 in their last seven games against Cleveland, while the Browns are a miserable 1-4 on the road this year.

Even worse, Cleveland have allowed the fourth-most passing yards and the fifth-most rushing yards on defence through 12 weeks.

Tip: Back the Texans 13-18 @ $5.50

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Denver Broncos

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Paul Brown Stadium

Cincinnati 10 – Denver 24

Cincinnati Bengals (5-6):

The Bengals have now lost three straight and it doesn’t appear the end is in sight.

Quarterback Andy Dalton is done for the season after sustaining a thumb injury during last week’s loss to the Browns, which leaves the Cincy with little to no hope matching up against Denver’s stingy defence this week.

The Bengals will also go without A.J. Green for the sixth straight week, leaving the bulk of the work in the hands of Tyler Boyd and Joe Mixon.

Considering the Bengals are 3-7 in their last 10 games against Denver, this all looks less than ideal.

Denver Broncos (5-6):

Two straight wins suddenly has the Broncos in the AFC Wild Card hunt once again.

Last week’s victory over the Steelers was a great example of what a strong defence can do as the Broncos held Pittsburgh’s elite running game to just 75-yards on the day.

A crucial red zone interception on quarterback Ben Roethlisberger sealed the game for Denver, and if it goes without saying, if they bring similar pressure on the edge this week, they should have no trouble taking care of the Bengals on the road.

Denver are 15-4 in recent history against Cincinnati, and as we already know, the Bengals can’t stop the run to save themselves. Expect plenty of Peyton Lindsay in this one.

Tip: Back the Broncos 7-12 @ $5.00

Detroit Lions Vs Los Angeles Rams

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Ford Field

Detroit 16 – LA Rams 30

Detroit Lions (4-7):

Detroit sunk to new lows last week losing to an understrength Bears team on Thanksgiving.

It was a bad day all around for the defence, but it was a dismal day for quarterback Matthew Stafford, who threw two crucial picks in the second half to set Chicago up for the win.

The Lions’ season has gone from one extreme to the next, and it’s obvious how much this team misses rookie running back Kerryon Johnson on the ground.

It’s doubtful Johnson returns to the team this week, which will once again leave the ball in the hands of Stafford against the Rams’ well-rested, wrecking ball, pass rush that has grown a reputation for strip sacks.

Perhaps the only good news for the Lions is home field advantage. Detroit are 4-1 at Ford Field against LA, but keep in mind, they haven’t faced the Rams since 2016.

Los Angeles Rams (10-1):

The Rams dug deep to pull out the 54-51 win in Week 11’s College Football game against the Chiefs.

It was a memorable showdown between two of the league’s most high-scoring offenses, but the scary part is, Los Angeles a well-rested and primed for a deep run toward the Super Bowl.

If the shootout against the Chiefs taught us anything, it’s this: the Rams can win quite comfortably without Todd Gurley.

The MVP favourite had a quiet night by his usual standards, but somehow Jared Goff was able to bide time in the pocket and continually find the likes of Robert Woods and Brandin Cooks down field.

But of course, the defence. Aaron Donald, the league’s leading sack-getter, is well on his way to a second consecutive Defensive Player of the Year award, which is a scary thought for Matt Stafford after his gruesome pick six last week against the Bears.

There’s not a whole lot else to say here. The Rams have all the pieces, and really, the Lions should be thinking ‘tank’ right now.

Tip: Back the Rams to Beat The Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.87

Green Bay Packers Vs Arizona Cardinals

Monday 3 December, 5:00am, Lambeau Field

Green Bay 17 – Arizona 20

Green Bay Packers (4-6-1):

The Packers’ second straight loss to the Vikings last week might signify the end of an era in Green Bay.

Fans have been calling for the head of Mike McCarthy for weeks, and although the long-time play-caller should be safe until the end of the season, it looks as though the Packers are in for an overdue shake up.

It was more of the same from Green Bay last week as McCarthy made a range of poor decisions. Fourth and short caused the Packers problems, and for a team that was once built on the quick passing game, it feels like the creativity has been completely sapped out of the offence.

Whenever Aaron Rodgers throws for less than 200-yards, you know it’s time for concern. A trip back to Lambeau is exactly what Green Bay needs, and with a 5-0 home record against the Cardinals, it’s hard to see them losing this one even with plenty of off-field distractions going on.

Arizona Cardinals (2-9):

It was a miserable day for Arizona last week as they fell 45-10 to the Chargers. The season can’t end quick enough for the Cardinals who managed just 149-yards of offense on the day, but first, they’ll have to travel to Green Bay to face a Packers team down on luck.

Arizona’s biggest problem this season has been a lack of talent and defence. They allowed Philip Rivers to complete 25 straight passes last week, tying an NFL record on the way to a 259-yard, three touchdown game.

For rookie quarterback Josh Rosen, it was another week to forget. The former first round pick threw a pick and was sacked twice in the loss, which doesn’t fill you with confidence matching up against a Packers defence led by star corner Jaire Alexander.

Arizona have allowed the third-most rushing yards in the league this season, so expect the Packers to run it down their throat on the way to what should be an easy win.

Tip: Back the Packers 7-12 @ $4.50

Oakland Raiders Vs Kansas City Chiefs

Monday 3 December, 8:05am, Oakland Coliseum

Oakland 33 – Kansas City 40

Oakland Raiders (2-9):

The good news: Derek Carr’s ankle injury appears to be nothing serious.

The bad news: there’s still five weeks remaining of this torturous season.

Carr has been sacked a career-high 35 times, three of which came last week during the blowout loss to the Ravens. At one point, Carr limped off the field, but in a true test of character, he returned on the next offensive series.

Oakland don’t have a whole lot about them right now. There’s zero running game, no wide receivers to throw to, and a defence that has allowed the most rushing yards in the NFL.

Matching up against the league’s most high-powered offence, you don’t have to be a genius to realise this spells a long day for the Raiders, and a great day for Kareem Hunt.

Kansas City Chiefs (9-2):

Kansas City returns from their 102-point shootout against the Rams a fortnight ago, a game that left us with plenty to think about.

The Chiefs may have lost, but they showed tremendous fight to come back from a 13-point deficit to engage in a shootout against this year’s Super Bowl favourite.

It was also the coming of age for defensive end Chris Jones, who now has nine sacks to his name through 12 games played.

The Chiefs defence needs all the help it can get, so Jones’ contribution is encouraging heading toward the playoffs. This week, expect to see plenty of big plays from Jones against the Raiders, as well as the rest of Kansas City’s pass-rush.

As for the offence, the less said the better. The Chiefs should have no trouble running the read-option against this lacklustre Raiders defence, and with Oakland struggling to contain the run, make sure you back Kareem Hunt for a touchdown or three.

Tip: Back the Chiefs 13-18 @ $4.75

Tennessee Titans Vs New York Jets

Monday 3 December, 8:05am, Nissan Stadium

Tennessee 26 – NY Jets 22

Tennessee Titans (5-6):

It looked like the Titans were on their way to an upset on the road over the Texans last week. Tennessee came out firing in the first quarter to take an early lead, but ultimately Houston’s defence had the last laugh.

Quarterback Marcus Mariota was sacked six times in the 34-17 loss, while Mike Vrabel’s defence was torn apart by Deshaun Watson and Lamar Miller on the ground.

The Titans won’t have quite as many problems to deal with this week against the Jets and it’s fair to say that pressure on the pass rush should win them this game. Given both sides emotional highs and lows in the win/loss column though, the Points market is the only real play here.

New York Jets (3-8):

The Jets were in the hunt last week against the Patriots, at least up until half time.

It was a tale of two halves for New York as New England went on to take complete control in the second half.

Time of possession cost the Jets the most, alongside a pretty average day from fill-in starter Josh McCown. Fortunately, the Jets now meet a Titans side looking to bounce back from a devastating loss of their own.

New York are 7-3 in their last 10 games against Tennessee, but it’s worth waiting to see if Sam Darnold is scheduled to return this week. If the Jets receive their starter back fit and healthy, they’re a good bet at the line.

Tip: Over 41 Total Points @ $1.87

Seattle Seahawks Vs San Francisco 49ers

Monday 3 December, 8:25am, Century Link Field

Seattle 43 – San Francisco 16

Seattle Seahawks (6-5):

The Seahawks’ triumph over the Panthers last week confirmed out worst fears: Seattle are back and they mean business.

Dangerous would be an understatement right now, because nobody wants to face this Seahawks offence. Russell Wilson threw for 339-yards and two touchdowns last week, but the running game has found new life behind Chris Carson, Mike Davis and Rashaad Penny.

On defence, things are just as concerning. Seattle forced five fumbles against the Panthers last week, and held them to just three third down conversions.

The Seahawks are 5-0 in their last five games against the Niners, and also hold a similar undefeated record in home games against San Francisco.

To think, this was once an annual highlight on the NFL calendar – now it’s likely to be a Seattle blowout as they firm into the NFC Wild Card favourite.

San Francisco 49ers (2-9):

It’s hard to win football games when your opponent has a 10-minute possession advantage. It’s also hard to win when your quarterback throws two interceptions and is sacked four times.

That was the story of the Niners’ blowout loss to the Bucs last week, a game that signified just how dismal San Francisco’s defence has become.

Even with Richard Sherman healthy, the Niners gave up 412-yards to Tampa Bay and allowed them to convert 60% on third down.

San Francisco have nothing more to play for than a Top 3 draft pick right now, which looks highly likely heading into this game against the up and about Seahawks.

You have to rewind back to 2011 to find San Francisco’s last road win in Seattle, and it doesn’t look like that streak is about to come to an end anytime soon.

Tip: Back the Seahawks to Beat The Line (-10 Points) @ $1.91

New England Patriots Vs Minnesota Vikings

Monday 3 December, 8:25am, Gillette Stadium

New England 24 – Minnesota 10

New England Patriots (8-3):

Things looked a little hairy for the Patriots come half time last week, but they still went on to win comfortably by 15-points against the Jets.

The win has New England in the driver’s seat heading into the playoffs, although they do face a tough test this week with the Vikings coming to town.

New England’s defence has allowed the eighth most passing yards in the league this season, which causes concern matching up against Adam Thielen and Stefon Diggs. The Patriots have enjoyed a few cruisy weeks recently, but New England do need to be mindful of Minnesota’s fast-paced offence.

The last time these two teams met was in 2014, a game the Patriots won 30-7. It’s doubtful we see a similar blowout this time around, although it is worth nothing the Vikings are 2-3-1 in their last six games on the road.

For New England, much of this game will come down to Sony Michel. The Packers showed last week that despite Minnesota’s strong run defence, you can still run the ball against the Vikings if you’re willing to go inside and fight for yards, so plenty of New England’s scoring opportunities will rest on the rookies’ shoulders.

This should be the game of the week, and a close one at that.

Minnesota Vikings (6-4-1):

The Vikings statement win over the Packers last week has Minnesota two games behind the Bears in the division with five weeks to go. But really, we’re still unsure if this team is a contender or a pretender just yet.

It’s now or never for Mike Zimmer’s team, and as far as ‘line in the sand’ games go, there’s no better way to find something out about yourself than by playing the Patriots in Foxboro.

The Vikings haven’t travelled to Gillette Stadium since 2010, so it’s safe to say this will be an unfamiliar hunting ground for Minnesota.

To add further intrigue, Minnesota are also 1-4 in their last five trips on the road in New England, which places plenty of pressure on quarterback Kirk Cousins.

To his credit, Cousins made some clutch throws against the Packers last week, and it certainly helps having a healthy Dalvin Cook in the backfield.

If the Vikings are to win this game though, their hopes rely entirely on the defence, a unit that held Aaron Rodgers to just 198-yards a week ago.

The Vikings aren’t as flashy as they were a season ago, but they seem to be relishing this underdog role. Keep in mind, they also sacked Rodgers four times last week, and we’ve already seen Tom Brady crack under pressure once or twice this season.

Tip: Back the Vikings To Win @ $3.20

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs Los Angeles Chargers

Monday 3 December, 12:20pm, Heinz Field

Pittsburgh 30 – LA Chargers 33

Pittsburgh Steelers (7-3-1):

The Steelers’ six-game winning streak came to an end last week against the Broncos, although they did have every opportunity to win the game.

It came to a red zone pass from Ben Roethlisberger that was ultimately intercepted in the end zone by Broncos corner Chris Harris. That was just one of Big Ben’s two picks on the day in a game the Steelers would probably like to forget from a discipline and fundamentals standpoint.

What appeared to be lacking last week for the Steelers was their two biggest playmakers – James Conner and Antonio Brown. Neither had a quiet day, but both managed less than 100-yards, which basically left Pittsburgh playing left-handed thanks to some great work by Denver’s defence.

There’s no use dwelling on it though, it’s simply something to learn from. The Steelers face an equally tough defence this week in the Chargers, a team that just held the Cardinals to only 149 total yards.

The Steelers are 6-1 in their last seven homes games against LA, so that counts for something. As we’ve seen on numerous occasions this year though, the Steelers need to limit the turnovers if they are any shot at winning this game at home.

Los Angeles Chargers (8-3):

Philip Rivers joined some fairly mediocre company last week by tying Ryan Tannehill’s consecutive completion record.

No knock on Rivers, he’s a huge chance to win the MVP award now, but more importantly, the Chargers defence is playing at the level we came to expect at the beginning of the season.

Finally having Joey Bosa back is a huge plus for this team as they make a serious push towards the playoffs. Bosa finished with two sacks last week against the Cardinals, which should make life tough for Ben Roethlisberger and James Conner if he plays at full speed again this week.

Los Angeles haven’t played in Pittsburgh since 2012, a game they won by 10-points. The Chargers are 4-1 on the road this year, but they’ll have to make do without star running back Melvin Gordon this week who suffered an MCL sprain in the win over the Cardinals.

Tip: Back Over 51 Total Points @ $1.91

Philadelphia Eagles Vs Washington Redskins

Tuesday 6 November, 12:15pm, Lincoln Financial Field

Philadelphia 28 – Washington 13

Philadelphia Eagles (5-6):

The Eagles are still in the NFC playoff hunt, sorta.

Philly pulled off a comeback win over the Giants last week to salvage what’s left of this lost season, but it’s certainly hard to read too much into a victory over a previously 3-7 team.

The biggest problem for the Eagles remains the offensive line. Carson Wentz was sacked three-times last week which also helped contribute to his interception, although it was encouraging to see Josh Adams rush for 84-yards alongside a strong game from Corey Clement.

There’s still a lot not happening for the Eagles though, especially in the air. Alshon Jeffery’s production is way down, and you don’t have to be a mathematician to realise Philly are giving up the fifth most passing yards defensively.

Fortunately, the Eagles do return home this week, but it mightn’t mean much considering the Redskins are 5-2 against Philly in their last seven games.

Washington Redskins (6-5):

It looked like the Redskins had the division locked up prior to Alex Smith’s injury a week ago, and we’ve already had a taste of what life is like with Colt McCoy under centre.

In a nutshell, McCoy is capable of making throws and plays with his feet, but he doesn’t cope well under pressure, both physically and mentally.

The Redskins had their chances last week against Dallas, but simply couldn’t hold on to the ball. The Cowboys’ defence recorded three turnovers on their way to a 31-23 win, all of which came in the form of interceptions against McCoy.

Philly’s defence isn’t quite as deadly as the Cowboys, in fact, it’s recorded the second fewest turnovers all year.

This game for the Redskins will come down to protecting McCoy and finding Jordan Reed and Josh Doctson whenever and wherever possible. If Washington can see full production out of Adrian Peterson, this will be theirs to lose.

Tip: Back the Redskins at the Line


2017

There is now just over a month left in the NFL regular season and the battle for positions in the NFL Playoffs is on in earnest.

The Philadelphia Eagles can secure the NFC East Title with a win over the Seattle Seahawks, the New England Patriots will win yet another AFC East crown with a victory against the Buffalo Bills and the Pittsburgh Steelers can potentially claim the AFC North.

We have analysed every game set to take place this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 13 tips can be found below.

Dallas Cowboys Vs Washington Redskins

Friday December 2, 11:25am, AT&T Bank Stadium

This is a huge game for the NFL Playoffs chances of both these teams.

The Dallas Cowboys have been nothing short of woeful without Ezekiel Elliot in recent weeks, but they are still set to start this clash as narrow favourites.

Dallas have won only four of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Washington Redskins returned to winning form with a victory over the New York Giants, but they are another team that is tough to trust from a betting perspective.

They have won two of their past six games as away underdogs and a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

It is impossible to back either of these teams with any real confidence and this is a game that I am more than willing to stay out of.

No Bet

New York Jets Vs Kansas City Chiefs

Monday December 4, 5:00am, MetLife Stadium

The Kansas City Chiefs have lost five of their past six games, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

Kansas City’s offence has fallen to pieces in the second half of the season and a team that once looked like a Super Bowl contender is now a shell of itself.

The Chiefs have won only three of their past five games as away favourites, but they have covered the line in each of these wins.

The New York Jets have also lost five of their past six games, but they did play well against the Carolina Panthers last weekend.

New York have won four of their past eight games as home underdogs and they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

The real value in this clash lies in the Total Points betting market and the Over is a great betting play.

The Over has saluted in six of the past nine home games played by the Jets and has also been a profitable betting play in Chiefs games this season.

Back Over 44.5 Points

Buffalo Bills Vs New England Patriots

Monday December 4, 5:00am, Ralph Wilson Stadium

A win for the New England Patriots will secure the AFC East Title and they are clear favourites to do just that.

New England have won seven games on the trot and their form away from home has been particularly impressive.

The Patriots have won their past eight games as away favourites and they are 7-1 against the line in this scenario.

Tyrod Taylor’s return helped Buffalo return to winning form against the Kansas City Chiefs, but they obviously face a much tougher assignment against the Patriots.

The Bills have won only one of their past three games as home underdogs and their record against the line isn’t any better.

The Patriots will win this game comfortably and the line of eight points will not be anywhere near enough.

Back New England To Beat The Line (- 8 Points)

Miami Dolphins Vs Denver Broncos

Monday December 4, 5:00am, Hard Rock Stadium

There is very little between these struggling sides in betting.

The Denver Broncos have now lost seven games in a row following their defeat at the hands of the Oakland Raiders, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

Denver have won only one of their past three games as away favourites and they have covered the line in only one of their last eight games on the road.

The recent record of the Miami Dolphins have been no better and they have lost five games in a row.

Miami have won one of their past five games as home underdogs and they are 1-1-3 against the line in this scenario.

Both these teams are playing simply awful football and this is a clash that I am more than happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Chicago Bears Vs San Francisco 49ers

Monday December 4, 5:00am, Soldier Field

It is the Chicago Bears that will start this clash as favourites.

The Bears were simply no match for the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend and they slumped to their fourth consecutive defeat.

Chicago have lost three of their past nine games at home, but they are 6-1-1 in front of their own fans.

The big quarterback change has finally taken place for the San Francisco 49ers and Jimmy Garoppolo will start this game under centre.

There is no doubt that Garoppolo is a big upgrade on CJ Beathard and he looked good against the Seattle Seahawks last week.

Whether Garoppolo will be able to lead San Francisco to just their second win of the season is a genuine question mark – they have won only one of their past seven games on the road, but they are 4-3 against the line as away underdogs.

This is a game that the market has got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Baltimore Ravens Vs Detroit Lions

Monday December 4, 5:00am, M&T Bank Stadium

The Baltimore Ravens must win this game to keep the race for the AFC North Division Title alive.

Baltimore go into this clash on the back of wins over the Green Bay Packers and Houston Texans and they will start this clash as favourites.

The Ravens have won five of their past six games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

The Detroit Lions went down to the Minnesota Vikings last weekend and they continue to be a frustrating side for their supporters.

Detroit have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear profit, but their record against the line is no better.

This is another game where the value lies in the Total Points betting market.

Backing the Over in games involving either of these sides has been a profitable betting play all season long and the Total Points line of 41 points does not seem like enough.

Back Over 41 Points

Atlanta Falcons Vs Minnesota Vikings

Monday December 4, 5:00am, Mercedes-Benz Stadium

This is a huge game between two of the best teams in the NFC.

Atlanta have gotten themselves right back into the NFL Playoffs mix with three wins on the trot and they will start this clash as favourites.

The Falcons have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites and they are 6-4 against the line in this scenario.

The Minnesota Vikings made it seven wins on the trot with a strong win over the Detroit Lions and the performance of quarterback Case Keenum continues to be a revelation.

Minnesota have lost their two games as away underdogs this season and failed to cover the line in each of these defeats.

This is a big test for Minnesota and I think they will flunk it – Atlanta are a great bet to cover the line.

Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (-3 Points)

Tennessee Titans Vs Houston Texans

Monday December 4, 5:00am, LP Field

The Tennessee Titans remain locked in a battle for the AFC South Title with the Jacksonville Jaguars and they will start this clash with the Houston Texans as clear favourites.

The Titans have won five of their past six games and they keep finding ways to win without performing particularly well.

Tennessee have now won six of their past seven games as home favourites and they are 4-1-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Houston Texans went down to the Baltimore Ravens last week and they have lost four of their past five games.

Houston have won only two of their past nine games as away underdogs, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the Titans should win, but the line of 6.5 points is a touch excessive and this is a game that I am willing to stay out of.

No Bet

Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Indianapolis Colts

Monday December 4, 5:00am, EverBank Field

The Jacksonville Jaguars suffered a disappointing defeat at the hands of the Arizona Cardinals last weekend, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.

Jacksonville need to keep winning to keep in touch with the Tennessee Titans and they have won two of their past three games as home favourites, but they are 1-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Indianapolis Colts have won only one of their past six games, but they have actually played some solid football in that period and have suffered narrow defeats at the hands of the Cincinnati Bengals, Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.

Indianapolis have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a small profit and that are not without a chance in this game.

There is not as much between these two teams as the current betting market suggests and the Colts can cover the line with a big start.

Back Indianapolis To Beat The Line (+9.5 Points)

Los Angeles Chargers Vs Cleveland Browns

Monday December 4, 8:05am, StubHub Centre

The Los Angeles Chargers are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.

Los Angeles have recorded two big wins over the Buffalo Bills and the Dallas Cowboys in the past fortnight and they are now right back in the Playoffs picture.

Winning at home has been an issue for the Chargers and they have won only one of their past four games as home favourites for a clear loss.

The Cleveland Browns have not won a game since they beat the Chargers last season and it has been tough to be inspired by their recent efforts.

Cleveland have covered the line in only four of their past 15 games and it is impossible to back them with any real confidence.

This is a horror clash from a betting perspective and another clash that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Arizona Cardinals Vs Los Angeles Rams

Monday December 4, 8:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium

The Los Angeles Rams remain on top of the NFC West and they head into this clash with divisional rivals the Arizona Cardinals as clear favourites.

Los Angeles returned to winning form with a confidence building win over the New Orleans Saints and they flogged Arizona 33-0 when they met earlier this season.

The Rams have won both their games as away favourites this season, but they 3-4 against the line on the road.

Arizona produced one of their best performances of the season to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars and they have shown some signs of life over the past month.

The Cardinals have won two of their past four games as home underdogs and they have been a profitable play against the line in this scenario.

Arizona can trouble this Los Angeles outfit and they are a solid bet to beat the line with a generous start.

Back Arizona To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)

New Orleans Saints Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday December 4, 8:25am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome

This is one of the biggest games in the NFL this weekend and the winner will be in the box-seat to claim the NFC South title.

The New Orleans Saints had their winning run ended by the Los Angeles Rams, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

New Orleans have won five of their past six games as home favourites and they are a profitable 4-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Carolina Panthers made it four wins on the trot with a win over the New York Jets and their offence has really found its mojo in the past month.

Carolina have won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a big profit and they are 5-1 against the line in this scenario.

Games between these two sides are typically high-scoring affairs and the Total Points line of 48.5 points does not look like anywhere near enough – more than 48 points have been scored in four of the past six games played by these rivals.

Back Over 48.5 Points

Seattle Seahawks Vs Philadelphia Eagles

Monday December 4, 12:30pm, CenturyLink Field

This is another huge game.

The Philadelphia Eagles continue to be the benchmark in the NFL and they are clear favourites to secure the NFC East Title with a victory.

Philadelphia have won their two games as away favourites this season and they have covered the line in both of these fixtures.

The Seattle Seahawks remain one game behind the Los Angeles Rams in the NFC West and they need to win games like this one to close that gap.

Seattle have won six of their past nine games at home for a loss and their record against the line is a poor 4-5 in this scenario.

Backing the Eagles in just about every scenario has been a profitable betting play this season and they can continue on their winning ways.

Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Tuesday December 5, 12:30pm, Paul Brown Stadium

The Pittsburgh Steelers have won their past five games against the Cincinnati Bengals and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Pittsburgh have won six games on the trot, but they have been far from convincing during a large part of this winning streak and they were a touch lucky to get the win over the Green Bay Packers last week.

The Steelers have won six of their pat seven games as away favourites for a clear profit and they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.

Cincinnati have won two games on the trot, but the Steelers represent a much tougher challenge than the Denver Broncos or the Cleveland Browns.

The Bengals have won only one of their past eight games against the Steelers as home underdogs and their record against the line in this situation isn’t much better.

Pittsburgh can win this game comfortably and the line of five points will not be enough.

Back Pittsburgh To Beat The Line (-5 Points)


2016

We are now into the final month of the NFL season!

There will be plenty of betting interest in every single game on Monday and there will be NFL Playoffs consequences for a wide range of games.

The weekend of football concludes on Tuesday morning when the New York Jets face the Indianapolis Colts and you can find our thoughts for every single game below!

Minnesota Vikings Vs Dallas Cowboys

Friday December 2, 11:25am, US Bank Stadium

Minnesota Vikings 15 - Dallas Cowboys 17

Dallas continued their historic unbeaten run with a polished performance against the Washington Redskins and they are clear favourites to make it 11 wins on the trot.

Dallas have now won six of their past eight games away for a home for a clear profit and they have an identical record against the line in this scenario.

Minnesota’s chances of making the playoffs took another hit when they went down to the Detroit Lions last weekend and this is almost a must-win game.

The Vikings have won one of their past three games as away underdogs and they have generally struggled when giving away a start.

Dallas should be able to record another comfortable victory and the line of three points will not be where near enough.

Back Dallas To Beat The Line (-3 Points)

Atlanta Falcons Vs Kansas City Chiefs

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Georgia Dome

Atlanta Falcons 28 - Kansas City Chiefs 29

This is one of the most interesting games of the weekend and it is the Atlanta Falcons that will start as clear favourites.

Atlanta have won three of their past four games, but they are 2-3 as home favourites for a clear loss and they have covered the line in just one of their past five games in this scenario.

Kansas City scored a thrilling overtime victory over the Denver Broncos last weekend and they remain on track for a playoffs appearance.

The Chiefs have won two of their past four games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are well over the odds to win again this weekend.

Back Kansas City To Win @ $2.60

New Orleans Saints Vs Detroit Lions

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome

New Orleans Saints 13 - Detroit Lions 28

The Detroit Lions have won six of their past seven games, but it is the New Orleans Saints that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Saints have struggled as favourites over the past 12 months and they have a record of 3-4 in both head-to-head and line betting markets.

Detroit continue to defy expectations this season and they have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit.

The Lions continue to be underrated from a betting perspective and they are well over the odds at their current price.

Back Detroit To Win @ $3.10

New England Patriots Vs Los Angeles Rams

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Gillette Stadium

New England Patriots 26 - Los Angeles Rams 10

The New England Patriots are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and the market suggests that they will have no problems disposing for the Los Angeles Rams.

New England produced controlled performances against both San Francisco and the New York Jets – with their record as home favourites over the past 12 months now 5-3 in both head-to-head and line betting markets.

Los Angeles were completely outmatched by the New Orleans Saints last weekend and their season continues to go from bad to worse.

The Rams have still won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they have an identical record against the line.

New England should be able to get the job done, but the line of 13.5 points is excessive and the Rams are more than capable of covering the line.

Back Los Angeles To Beat The Line (+13.5 Points)

Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Denver Broncos

Monday December 5, 4:00am, EverBank Field

Jacksonville Jaguars 10 - Denver Broncos 20

The Jacksonville Jaguars have lost six games on the trot and it is no surprise that the Denver Broncos will start this clash as clear favourites.

Denver have won only two of their past four games as home favourites and they have an identical record against the line.

Jacksonville have not won a game since they beat Chicago in October and they have lost their past two games as home underdogs.

Both these teams are tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.

No Bet

Green Bay Packers Vs Houston Texans

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Lambeau Field

Green Bay Packers 21 - Houston Texans 13

The Green Bay Packers returned to winning form against the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend and will start this clash with the Houston Texans as clear favourites.

Green Bay have been a tough team to trust from a betting perspective this season and they have won only four of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Houston have lost two games in a row and they have really struggled away from home this season.

They have won just two of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear loss, while they have an identical record against the line.

This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am more than happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

No Bet

Cincinnati Bengals Vs Philadelphia Eagles

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium

Cincinnati Bengals 32 - Philadelphia Eagles 14

Baltimore Ravens Vs Miami Dolphins

Monday December 5, 4:00am, MT&T Bank Stadium

Baltimore Ravens 38 - Miami Dolphins 6

This is a crucial game for both these sides that remain in the Playoffs mix in the AFC.

Baltimore have won three of their past five games as home favourites for narrow loss, but they do have the same record against the line for a profit.

Miami made it six wins on the trot with their fighting victory over the San Francisco 49ers and they are now a genuine chance to score one of the wildcard places in the AFC.

The Dolphins have won two of their past five games as away underdogs and they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.

Miami have riding a real wave of momentum and they are definite value to continue their winning streak this weekend.

Back Baltimore To Win @ $2.40

Chicago Bears Vs San Francisco 49ers

Monday December 5, 4:00am, Soldier Field

Chicago Bears 26 - San Francisco 49ers 6

There is no doubt that these are two of the worst teams in the NFL.

Chicago have won just one of their past seven games, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

The Bears have lost their past four games as home favourites and their record in front of their home fans is very poor.

San Francisco have not won a game since the opening round of the season, but they have produced some credible performances in recent weeks.

The 49ers have won just one of their past eight games as away underdogs for a clear loss and their record against the line is not much better.

It is impossible to have any faith in either of these two teams and this is another game that I am more than happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Oakland Raiders Vs Buffalo Bills

Monday December 5, 7:05am, Oakland Coliseum

Oakland Raiders 38 - Buffalo Bills 24

The Oakland Raiders are the form team in the AFC and they will start this clash with the Buffalo Bills as clear favourites.

Oakland have now won four of their past five games as home favourites for a clear profit, but their record against the line in this scenario is a very poor 1-4.

Buffalo have won their past two games and they continue to be a team that is capable of some excellent football when they perform at their best.

The Bills are 2-3 as away underdogs this season for  a narrow loss and they are 2-1-2 against the line in this scenario.

Oakland are playing some excellent football and I am confident that they can improve their poor record against the line.

Back Oakland To Beat The Line (-3 Points)

Pittsburgh Steelers Vs New York Giants

Monday December 5, 7:25am, Heinz Field

Pittsburgh Steelers 24 - New York Giants 14

The New York Giants have won six games in a row, but they will still go into this clash with the Pittsburgh Steelers as clear underdogs.

New York have generally been a team that have performed to market expectations – they have lost their past three games as away underdogs and have a poor record against the line in this scenario.

Pittsburgh head into this clash on the back of two excellent performances against the Cleveland Browns and Indianapolis Colts.

The Steelers have won five of their past six games as home favourites for a clear profit and their record against the line in this scenario is 4-2.

Pittsburgh are incredibly tough to beat in front of their home fans and they are a solid bet to beat the line of six points.

Back Pittsburgh To Beat The Line (-6 Points)

Arizona Cardinals Vs Washington Redskins

Monday December 5, 7:25am, University Of Phoenix Stadium

Arizona Cardinals 31 - Washington Redskins 23

It has been a season to forget for the Arizona Cardinals, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.

They head into this clash on the back of losses at the hands of both the Minnesota Vikings and Atlanta Falcons, with their record as home favourites now a non-profitable 6-1-3 and they are 3-7 against the line in this scenario.

Washington narrowly went down to the Dallas Cowboys last weekend and they need to return to winning form to remain in the Playoffs race.

The Redskins are one of the best betting teams in the NFL and they have now won five of their past seven games as away underdogs, while they have covered the line in each of these games.

Washingtonb are outstanding value at their current price of $2.20 and are arguably the best betting play of the weekend.

Back Washington To Win @ $2.20

San Diego Chargers Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Monday December 5, 7:25am, Qualcomm Stadium

San Diego Chargers 21 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 28

This is set to be one of the most exciting games of the weekend.

It is the San Diego Chargers that will start this game as favourites and this is not a position in which they have thrived over the past 12 months – they have won just two of their four games in this scenario.

Tampa Bay produced an outstanding defensive effort to beat the Seattle Seahawks last weekend and they are sure to have taken a great deal of confidence from that performance.

The Buccaneers have won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they have the same record against the line.

Tampa Bay are another excellent value bet and they are more than capable of getting the job done.

Back Tampa Bay To Win @ $2.60

Seattle Seahawks Vs Carolina Panthers

Monday December 5, 11:30am, CenturyLink Field

Seattle Seahawks 40 - Carolina Panthers 7

This was a number of experts predictions for the NFC Conference Championship, but the form of the Carolina Panthers will ensure this is not the case.

Seattle will start this clash as clear favourites – despite their poor loss to Tampa Bay last weekend – and they have won six of their past seven games as home favourites, while they are 3-1-3 against the line in this scenario.

Carolina suffered another heart-breaking defeat at the hands of the Oakland Raiders last weekend and winning away from home has proven to be an issue.

The Panthers have won just three of their past nine games on the road ad their record against the line is extremely poor.

Seattle should be able to get the job done, but there is no value at their current price.

New York Jets Vs Indianapolis Colts

Tuesday December 6, 11:30am, MetLife Stadium

New York Jets 10 - Indianapolis Colts 41