2020 NRL Round 8 Preview

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Three top eight blockbusters make up the bulk of Round 8 and we are once again offering $2.00 lines on each and every game!

The Storm and the Roosters is the marquee match on Thursday night, followed by a must-watch game on Friday between the top of the table Eels and a rejuvenated Cowboys outfit.

Ivan Cleary’s Panthers could potentially claim top spot on the ladder with a win over the Tigers on Saturday, while Manly and the Knights are looking to bounce back from a pair of crushing defeats at Brookvale.

Just like we do every week, we’ve previewed all eight games and our complete 2020 NRL Round 8 Preview can be found below.

Melbourne Storm Vs Sydney Roosters

Thursday July 2, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

The Roosters had their hands full last week against the Dragons and they will need to ensure they turn up in the first half this week against the Storm.

Melbourne will be hoping to ride the momentum they gained last week with a huge 50-6 win over the Warriors, although they will play without Cameron Munster, who looks likely to miss at least a few weeks with a knee injury.

The Roosters are also looking a little worse for wear with Victor Radley and Sam Verrills set to miss the season after tearing their ACL’s. Trent Robinson can rest a little easier though knowing James Tedesco is fit to return following a concussion.

These two clubs met three times last year with all three games being decided by eight points or less. The Roosters have won three of the last five meetings, but it is worth noting four of those games have seen less than 30-points.

This contest has a real finals feel to it, so it wouldn’t be surprising if we saw a low-scorer – especially with a few key outs.

Tip: Under 35.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Canberra Raiders Vs St George Illawarra Dragons

Friday July 3,6pm, Campbelltown Stadium

Losers of two straight, the Raiders will be hoping the early season version of the Dragons shows up this week, as oppose to the one that put a scare into the Roosters.

Canberra clawed their way back into the game last week against the Eels, only to lose in extra time on a Clinton Gutherson field goal. How Ricky Stuart’s side responds to such a deflating loss will be on full display on Friday as they now look to remain in the eight.

The Dragons are also looking to bounce-back in the win column, but you could easily call last week’s effort against the Roosters an honourable loss.

There’s no shame in losing to the back-to-back premiers, especially when you head into the sheds with a 10-8 lead.

St George fans can also rest easy knowing their side remains relatively unchanged, yet the same can’t be said for the Raiders, who will go without Corey Horsburgh for the rest of the season.

The Raiders have won two of their last three against St George, but their recent struggles in the first half makes them a risky betting play this week.

The Dragons, meanwhile, have covered in two of their three games as the away underdog against Canberra, so with $2.00 on offer and a +11.5 line as insurance, take the Red V to cover.

Tip: Back the Dragons to Cover the Line (+11.5 Points) @ $2.00

Parramatta Eels Vs North Queensland Cowboys

Friday July 3,7:55pm, Bankwest Stadium

An intriguing game for many, many reasons.

How the Bankwest turf holds up is the biggest question on everyone’s mind, while the potential inclusion of Valentine Holmes makes the market very interesting if you fancy the Cowboys.

The Eels nearly came unstuck last week against the Raiders, but they did manage to squeak out a 25-24 victory in extra-time.

Maika Sivo and Michael Jennings were again the stars of the show, but head coach Brad Arthur will be asking for a more composed effort this week after allowing two unanswered tries in the final five minutes of the game.

Speaking of effort, that’s exactly what Paul Green will be after following North Queensland’s statement win over the Knights.

The Cowboys seemingly have their season back on track, and if they can hammer the Eels with quick plays and a successful aerial attack, there’s nothing stopping them from rejoining the eight.

Also working in North Queensland’s favour is Mitchell Moses’ calf injury. Arthur has several replacement options in line for the Eels halfback, but this is the kind of loss that could cause a few problems on attack.

Last but not least, the trends seem to suggest the Cowboys can at least keep this close.

They’ve covered in three of their last five games following a win, while they’ve also won their last two meetings against the Eels. All in all, a +7.5 line at time of publish is pretty generous.

Tip: Back the Cowboys to Cover the Line (+7.5 Points) @ $2.00

Gold Coast Titans Vs Cronulla Sharks

Saturday July 4,3pm, Suncorp Stadium

The complexity of the bottom eight changed drastically last week following two blowout victories from the Titans and Sharks.

A win this week for the Gold Coast would move them well clear of the bottom of the ladder, while the Sharks could potentially join the top eight if results go their way.

Both sides remain relatively unchanged at time of publish with only Tyrone Roberts a chance at returning for the Titans.

The Sharks have won three straight over the Gold Coast dating back to 2017, but if the Titans hit the ground running like they did last week against the Broncos, they should be in this.

The Titans hold a 3-1 record as the away underdog against the Sharks, while it’s also worth noting two of the last three games between these sides have been decided by eight points or less.

With these both struggling to string together consistent performances week to week, we could be in for a tight one.

Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $2.00

New Zealand Warriors Vs Brisbane Broncos

Saturday July 4,5:30pm, Central Coast Stadium

How fitting is this.

After spending months away from home, the Warriors announced earlier in the week that they want out of the competition.

Meanwhile, the end of the season can’t come quick enough for the Broncos following another demoralizing loss last week at the hands of the rival Titans.

This game should also go a long way to determining the wooden spoon race with both the Broncos and the Warriors among the favourites in our ‘Most Losses’ market.

With Roger Tuivasa-Sheck facing the judiciary and Joe Ofahengaue also missing the next two games following a shoulder charge, it’s safe to say points might come at a premium on Saturday.

Again, fittingly, the last three games between these two clubs have all gone Under the Total, so if you really want to have a bet on two cellar-dwellers, at least back it to be low scoring.

Tip: Under 43.5 Total Points @ $1.90

Wests Tigers Vs Penrith Panthers

Saturday July 4,7:35pm, Central Coast Stadium

Second and sixth get together on Saturday night with both sides looking to make it three on the trot.

The Tigers were enormous last week in their 34-6 victory over the Bulldogs – a performance Michael Maguire will be hoping to build on as his side faces a much tougher task this week.

Penrith has enjoyed an extra break heading into this game having beaten the Rabbitohs last Thursday night 20-12.

The Panthers also receive an added boost with Josh Mansour likely to return from a knee injury.

The Tigers polished off the Panthers 30-4 in Round 9 last year, so whether that adds a little motivation to Ivan Cleary’s side remains to be seen.

Tip: Back the Panthers to Cover the Line (-5.5 Points) @ $2.00

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Newcastle Knights

Sunday July 5,4:05pm, Central Coast Stadium

Respective blowout losses last week has Manly and Newcastle on the hunt for a return to form.

The understrength Sea Eagles were blown apart by the Sharks last Sunday, while the Knights failed to turn up for their clash against the Cowboys in North Queensland.

There is good news on the injury front for both sides with Moses Suli set to return for the Sea Eagles and the one-man wrecking ball Bradman Best returning for the Knights.

As far as trends go though, it is hard to go past Manly as the underdog.

Dating back to the start of last season, the Sea Eagles are 5-2 straight-up following a previous loss, while the Knights have shown a tendency to go on losing streaks in recent years.

If the Knights start out slow like they did last week against the Cowboys, Manly could be in with a chance.

Tip: Back Manly to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $2.00

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Sunday July 5,6:35pm, Bankwest Stadium

The odds paint a pretty bleak picture for the Bulldogs following the injury to Will Hopoate last week.

Canterbury suffered a humiliating defeat at the hands of the Tigers that leaves them sitting dead last, and things aren’t about to get any easier with a hungry Rabbitohs side up next.

Souths failed to fire last week against the Panthers in a rather flat performance from Dane Gagai and Latrell Mitchell.

Fortunately, Wayne Bennett’s side has a chance to not only right their wrongs this week, but also rejoin the top eight if previous results fall their way.

The Bunnies have won two of their last three over Canterbury and are also 5-4 following a previous loss dating back to the start of last season.

In what has been a strange year overall, this might be the safest bet of the round.

Tip: Back the Rabbitohs 13+ @ $2.00


2019

It’s still all square atop the NRL ladder after seven exciting weeks.

The Roosters, Storm and Rabbitohs find themselves tied on points, but with a blockbuster round ahead, things could turn interesting this weekend.

There are three primetime treats to choose from as well as a Sunday afternoon grudge match between the rival Dragons and Eels. As always, we’ve done the dirty work and our complete 2019 NRL Round 8 Preview can be found below.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Brisbane Broncos

Thursday May 2, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

A magical start in Penrith last week saw the Rabbitohs over the line against the Panthers, and if they can start fast again this week, the Bunnies are every chance to jump on top of the ladder.

South Sydney wasted no time away from home as Kyle Turner crossed the line just two minutes in.  Corey Allan added another 20-minutes later, but although the Rabbitohs walked away with the two points, there’s still plenty South Sydney needs to work on ahead of Thursday night’s game.

The Broncos have plenty to feel positive about following their 29-6 demolition over the Sharks at Suncorp. The Kodi Nikorima bombshell could pose a mid-week distraction, but if Brisbane can hit the front early and rely on the boot of Jamayne Issako again, the upset could be on.

With home-field advantage, the odds are well and truly in South Sydney’s favour, but it’s worth noting the Broncos have won seven straight against the Bunnies dating back to 2015. Last year’s 38-18 victory in Round 23 was hardly close, a game Corey Oates dominated with a hat-trick performance.

Considering their dominance in this fixture, it’s no surprise to learn the Broncos have entered as the away underdog only twice against South Sydney. Brisbane are 1-1 in this scenario, and if they can knuckle down defensively like they did last week and complete close to 80% of their sets again, the Broncos look good money to improve on their strong form against the Rabbits.

Tip: Back the Broncos To Win @ $2.55

NRL Same Game Multi

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Gold Coast Titans

Friday May 3, 6:00pm, 1300Smiles Stadium

Two Queensland sides fresh from disappointing performances meet with a chance to earn their third win of the season.

The Cowboys were torn apart by the Bulldogs last Friday night in a game that can only be described as concerning. Canterbury stretched the Cowboys defence all night long with punishing Jayden Okunbor and Josh Jackson runs, storming home to a convincing 24-12 victory.

Gold Coast also have plenty to be worried about after blowing a 14-point lead to the Tigers on Saturday. Tyrone Peachey and company looked well on their way to a large victory up in Tamworth, but the Tigers quickly made up for their mistakes with some creative passing to stun the Titans with six unanswered tries.

As the odds suggest, even the bookies appear to be having a tough time separating these two cellar dwellers. North Queensland enter as the short-priced favourite with home-field advantage and considering they’ve won seven straight against the Titans, it’s not hard to understand why.

Even so, when the Titans are on, they are more than capable of piling on points. Defensively Gold Coast are a guessing game, but they’ll have far less to worry about this week against an understrength North Queensland outfit.

The bookies obviously expect this one to be close with a short three-point line set. The Titans are 11-9 as the underdog at the line, and although last week ended in heartbreak, back Gold Coast’s forward line to play with a chip on its shoulder and get the job done up north.

Tip: Back the Titans to Cover the Line (+2.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Cronulla Sharks Vs Melbourne Storm

Friday May 3, 7:55pm, Shark Park

This shapes up to be a game neither side really needs right now.

The Sharks, fresh from a 29-6 belting at the hands of the Broncos last week, now face one of the ladder leaders on Friday night in a game that could potentially send them even further outside the eight.

As for the Storm, it’s hard to know what to make of Craig Bellamy’s side. Melbourne barely got the job done against the Warriors on Anzac Day, but with the help of a controversial penalty, the Storm survived 13-12 thanks to a lucky Brodie Croft field goal in the dying stages.

What we’re left with now are two question mark sides that should make punters a little nervous. The Sharks, who are renowned for their stingy defence, are now left wondering after last week’s blowout loss, while the Storm’s prolific attack has looked a little sluggish in recent weeks.

The last time these sides met the Storm walked away 22-6 winners in Week 3 of the Finals. It’s worth keeping in mind Cronulla won 14-4 at home against Melbourne last year, while they also held on for a narrow 17-14 victory at AAMI Park in August.

Cronulla looks a little over the odds at this price considering they are 2-1 as the home underdog against the Storm. Last week’s loss in Brisbane was certainly concerning, but Suncorp has always been a losing ground for John Morris’ side.

Even so, the Sharks look good money this week to hand Melbourne their second loss of the season. The Storm looked flat last week, and against a Cronulla side that has allowed Melbourne to score only 20-points once in their last five meetings, it’ll take more than Cameron Smith and Cameron Munster to bail them out of trouble this time around.

Tip: Back the Sharks to Win @ $2.65

NRL Same Game Multi

Canberra Raiders Vs Penrith Panthers

Saturday May 4, 3:00pm, McDonalds Stadium, Wagga

The Canberra Raiders treated their fans to a nice little magic act last week as they made a 12-0 lead disappear.

The Green Machine jumped from the gates early to pile on two unanswered tries in the opening 10-minutes, only for Manly to hit back hard with some clever offloading and kicking to take complete control in the 24-20 victory.

Penrith also had to feel hard done by as they went toe-to-toe with the Rabbitohs at home, only to fall four points short. James Maloney was at his best, but a sloppy (and scoreless) first half cost the Panthers a chance at the win.

These two sides played out a pair of classics last year, both of which were won by the Panthers. Canberra are the home side this week at Wagga Wagga’s McDonalds Park hoping to snap a four-game losing streak to Penrith.

The Raiders enter as the favourite, but to be fair, the Panthers haven’t done a whole lot wrong recently. Unfortunately, their 3-8 record as the underdog over the last 12 months makes them tough to back, especially against a Raiders side with a strong 9-3 record as the favourite during the same time span.

Tip: Back the Raiders 1-12 @ $3.10

NRL Same Game Multi

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Saturday May 4, 5:30pm, Brookvale Oval

These two sides rejoined the winners circle last week with a pair of convincing victories at home.

The Sea Eagles won the battle against the Raiders, but they weren’t without loss as Daly Cherry-Evans looks set to miss an indefinite amount of time with an ankle injury.

Despite remaining the wooden spoon favourites, the Dogs earned their second win of the season last week in a brilliant 24-12 victory over the Cowboys. Canterbury’s young guns shined as Jayden Okunbor and Josh Jackson both crossed the line, but Dean Pay’s side will need to play great this week if they wish to topple Manly’s momentum.

The Sea Eagles have found some real spirit over the last month, and even without Tom Trbojevic and Cherry-Evans, Manly can’t be taken lightly. Des Hasler’s team have lost three of their last five games against the Dogs, but they’ll hold fond memories of last year’s 18-6 victory at Brookvale.

Home-field advantage counts for a lot this week, so it’s no surprise to see Manly as the favourites. The Sea Eagles are 5-7 at home over the last 12 months, but if they can challenge the Dogs’ defence with quick passing and their usual fast play of the ball, the likes of Lachlan Croker and Martin Taupau should prove too tough to stop.

Tip: Back Manly to Cover the Line (-1.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

Sydney Roosters Vs Wests Tigers

Saturday May 4, 7:35pm, SCG

It’s a Saturday night showdown this week as the Roosters play host to the Tigers at the SCG.

Sydney polished off the Dragons 20-10 on Anzac Day last Thursday to earn their sixth win of the season, while the Tigers fought back from 14-points down to stun the Titans 30-14 up in Tamworth.

The Roosters sit atop the NRL ladder thanks to points difference. The seventh-place Tigers, meanwhile, hang just inside the eight one spot ahead of the Dragons.

These two sides split their two-game series one win apiece last year, but it’s typically been the Roosters who have held the upper hand. Sydney has won four of the last five meetings between these two and 11 of the last 12.

The Tigers find themselves with a winning record, but their defence remains suspect. Wests allowed two easy tries to the Titans last week, and although Mahe Fonua dragged the Tigers back into it with a hat-trick of tries, things won’t come quite so easy this week against the Roosters.

With their impressive record in mind, the Roosters are a perfect 5-0 as the home favourite against Michael Maguire’s side. Back Sydney to keep that record intact.

Tip: Back the Roosters 13+ @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi

New Zealand Warriors Vs Newcastle Knights

Sunday May 5, 2:00pm, Mt Smart Stadium

Now at 2-5, the Warriors and the Knights meet on Sunday for a chance to edge closer to a spot inside the eight.

New Zealand have to feel good about their performance last week against the Storm in Melbourne, but an unfortunate penalty and some sloppy defence in the dying stages cost the Warriors their shot at an upset.

The Knights, on the other hand, came through for the few punters that showed faith. Newcastle upset the Eels 28-14 in front of their hometown fans jumping out to an early 20-point lead thanks to a brilliant run from Kalyn Ponga.

Looking ahead, the scoreboard could be in for a bit of a workout this week. Neither New Zealand nor Newcastle are particularly strong defensively, as we found out last year in the Warriors’ 20-4 blowout win.

The Knights haven’t won in New Zealand since 2012, and with a 2-5 record as the away underdog over the last 12 months, you can’t take Newcastle at this price. At the same time, the Warriors are also too short to back, so considering the Total has gone Over 30-points in four of their last five meetings, take the Overs.

Tip: Back Over 39.5 Total Points @ $1.88

NRL Same Game Multi

Paramatta Eels Vs St George-Illawarra Dragons

Sunday May 5, 4:05pm, Western Sydney Stadium

A slow start to last week’s game against the Knights cost the Eels a chance at a spot in the Top 4. Parramatta were on the back foot early as Newcastle piled on three unanswered tries, a disappointing performance from Brad Arthur’s side.

The Dragons also started slow on Anzac Day losing 20-10 to the Roosters. It was a big ask for St. George in front of a jam-packed crowd as Latrell Mitchell had it all his own way crossing the line in the 15th minute.

The Eels got the better of the Dragons in Round 22 last year winning 40-4 at home. Jarryd Hayne and Mitchell Moses haunted St. George for the full 80-minutes, but it’s safe to expect a closer game on Sunday considering the Dragons have been one of the top teams defensively this season.

Despite last week’s shortcomings, the bookies have given the edge to the Eels at home. Parramatta are 3-1 in this scenario against the Dragons, but keep in mind, St. George are 5-4 as the away underdog at the line over the last 12 months.

Tip: Back the Dragons to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.90

NRL Same Game Multi


2018

Round 7 has only just been completed, but Anzac Day means that we don’t need to wait long for more NRL action.

The traditional Anzac Day games involving the St George Illawarra Dragons, Sydney Roosters, Melbourne Storm and New Zealand Warriors headline another big round and there is plenty of value to be found across all eight matches.

We have analysed every game set to take place this weekend and our complete 2018 NRL Round 8 tips can be found below.

St George Illawarra Dragons Vs Sydney Roosters

Wednesday 25 April, 4:10pm, WIN Stadium

This is set to be one of the anticipated Anzac Day meetings between these two sides in recent memory.

The Dragons may have suffered their first loss of the season when they went down to the Warriors last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

WIN Stadium is generally a happy hunting ground for the Dragons and they have won eight of their past 10 games as home favourites, while they are 5-5 against the line in this scenario.

It wasn’t a pretty performance, but the Sydney Roosters were able to return to winning form against the Canterbury Bulldogs last weekend and their defensive toughness had to be admired.

The Roosters have lost their past three games as away underdogs, but they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario and they have won three of their past four games against the Dragons.

There is nothing between these two sides and a repeat of their Golden Point epic from last season could be on the cards, so the Roosters are a great bet with the small start.

Back Roosters To Cover The Line (+1.5 Points)

Melbourne Storm Vs New Zealand Warriors

Wednesday 25 April, 7:00pm, AAMI Park

This is another very interesting clash and we are going to be treated to some outstanding Rugby League on Anzac Day.

The Melbourne Storm have won their past four games against the New Zealand Warriors and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Melbourne are always tough to beat in front of their home fans at AAMI Park and they have won 11 of their past 13 games as home favourites, while they were 8-5 against the line in this scenario.

New Zealand bounced back from their first defeat of the season to beat the St George Illawarra Dragons in impressive fashion and there has been plenty to like about the way that they have played this season.

The Warriors have won four of their past 11 games as away underdogs and they are 5-6 against the line in this scenario, but their impressive form can’t be discounted.

This is the biggest test of the season for the Warriors to date and I’m not sure that they are up for it after such a quick back-up.

Back Melbourne To Cover The Line (-4.5 Points)

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Brisbane Broncos

Thursday 26, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

The South Sydney Rabbitohs have won two games on the trot and they will go into this clash with the Brisbane Broncos as clear favourites.

South Sydney backed up their impressive win over the Sydney Roosters with a dismantling of the Canberra Raiders and there is no doubt that they are a team heading in the right direction.

The Rabbitohs have won five of their past eight games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

Brisbane were not disgraced against the Melbourne Storm last weekend, but their composure let them down at key moments.

They will go into this clash without inspiration hooker Andrew McCullough and the rest of the spine is really going to need to lift if they are any chance of recording an upset win.

Brisbane have won only two of their past seven games as away underdogs for a loss, but they are 4-3 against the line in this situation.

This is a game that the market looks to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Manly Sea Eagles Vs Newcastle Knights

Friday 27 April, 6:00pm, Brookvale Oval

The Manly Sea Eagles were disgraceful against the Parramatta Eels last weekend, but they will still start this clash with the Newcastle Knights as favourites.

Off-field dramas dominated the week for the Sea Eagles and that clearly took a toll on their on-field performance – they have now suffered three poor defeats in a row.

Manly have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites and their record against the Knights at Brookvale Oval is excellent, but it is tough to back them on the back of their recent efforts.

The Knights showed plenty of fight to score a late win over the Wests Tigers last weekend, but that victory came at a cost and Mitchell Pearce has been ruled out for the rest of the season.

That is a huge blow for Newcastle and how they respond will be a great test of the character of this side.

They have won only three of their past 13 games as away underdogs and they are 6-7 against the line in this scenario.

The betting play that does appeal in this clash is the Under in Total Points betting markets.

The Under has saluted in five of the past six games played between these two sides and another low-scoring affair does look on the cards on Friday night.

Back Under 38.5 Points

Penrith Panthers Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Friday 27 April, 7:55pm, Panthers Stadium

The Canterbury Bulldogs beat the Penrith Panthers earlier this season, but it is the Panthers that will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Penrith suffered a poor loss at the hands of the Cronulla Sharks last weekend, but they have still won nine of their past ten game as home favourites, while they are 8-2 against the line in this scenario.

Canterbury’s attack was extremely poor against the Sydney Roosters last weekend and they have struggled for consistency so far this season.

The Bulldogs have won only three of their past 12 games as away underdogs and their record against the line is not much better.

This is a game that Penrith should be able to win comfortably and they can cover the line of 5.5 points in the process.

Back Penrith To Cover The Line (-5.5 Points)

Gold Coast Titans Vs Cronulla Sharks

Saturday 28 April, 5:30pm, Cbus Super Stadium

The Gold Coast Titans have a surprisingly strong record against the Cronulla Sharks in recent seasons, but they will still go into this clash as underdogs.

This is the first proper home game that the Titans have had this season and they desperately need it following a tired performance against the North Queensland Cowboys last weekend.

The Titans have won four of their past six games as home underdogs and their record against the Sharks in this scenario is strong.

Cronulla defied an injury toll to beat the Penrith Panthers last weekend and they played some excellent football in the process.

The Sharks have won five of their past six games away favourites, but they are only a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.

This is a game that the market looks to have just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective

No Bet

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Canberra Raiders

Saturday 28 April, 7:35pm, 1300SMILES Stadium

The North Queensland Cowboys were finally able to end their losing streak with a win over the Gold Coast Titans last weekend and they will start this clash with the Canberra Raiders as clear favourites.

North Queensland have an excellent record against Canberra – the Raiders haven’t won a game in Townsville since 2006 – and this is the Cowboys chance to score back-to-back wins for the first time this season.

The Cowboys have won four of their past six games as home favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins.

Canberra had their winning run ended by the South Sydney Rabbitohs and their defensive issues were once again prevalent.

The Raiders have won only two of their past six games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.

The Cowboys looked to have turned the corner and they should be able to record another comfortable win.

Back North Queensland To Cover The Line (-7.5 Points)

Parramatta Eels Vs Wests Tigers

Sunday 29 April, 4:10pm, ANZ Stadium

This is the second meeting between these two sides in less than a month.

The Wests Tigers conceded a late try to go down to the Newcastle Knights last weekend and they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.

Wests have won two of their past three games as favourites and they have covered the line in each of these wins, while they have won seven of their past eight games against the Parramatta Eels.

Parramatta were finally able to record their first win of the season with a big victory over the Manly Sea Eagles and they are sure to take plenty of confidence from that performance.

The Eels have won only two of their past five games as underdogs and it is unlikely that they will be able to fix all their issues with just one performance.

The Tigers can record their second win over the Eels in a month.

Back Wests Tigers To Cover The Line (-2.5 Points)


2017

We were treated to a number of excellent games in the NRL last weekend and that quality looks set to continue in round eight.

The highlight of the round will be on Tuesday when the Sydney Roosters and St George Illawarra Dragons meet in their traditional Anzac Day clash, but there is NRL betting interest in every single clash.

We have closely analysed every game of the weekend and our NRL Round 8 tips can be found below.

Canberra Raiders Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Friday 21 April, 6:00pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 18 - Manly Sea Eagles 20

The Canberra Raiders have now won three games on the trot and they will go into this clash with Manly as clear favourites.

Canberra have bounced back from their slow start to the year in impressive fashion and they really should be able to make it four wins on the trot.

The Raiders have won 11 of their past 13 games as home favourites and are 8-5 against the line in this scenario.

Manly went down to the Melbourne Storm last weekend, but they lost no admirers with their performance and had their chances to win in the final minutes.

The Sea Eagles have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs for a loss, but they are 5-3 against the line in this situation.

This is a marker that looks just about right and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

South Sydney Rabbitohs Vs Brisbane Broncos

Friday 21 April, 7:50pm, ANZ Stadium

The Brisbane Broncos got out of jail late against the Gold Coast Titans last weekend, but they are still clear favourites to record their third win on the trot.

It is tough to know what to make about the performance of the Broncos last Friday night and they are a team that is still struggling for consistency this season.

Winning away from home has been an issue for Brisbane and they have won only four of their past eight games as away favourites, while they are 3-5 against the line in this scenario.

Souths produced another very flat performance against the Canterbury Bulldogs last weekend and their record at home continues to be appalling.

The Rabbitohs have won only one of their past seven games as home underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is just as bad.

The real value in this clash is in the Total Points betting market.

South Sydney have conceded over 20 points in all of their games so far this season and the Over has saluted in five of the past seven games played between these two sides.

Back Over 39.5 Points

Parramatta Eels Vs Penrith Panthers

Saturday 22 April, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Parramatta Eels 18 - Penrith Panthers 12

Both the Parramatta Eels and the Penrith Panthers have been disappointing so far this season, but the Western Sydney Derby is always an entertaining clash.

Penrith produced their worst performance of the season against the Cronulla Sharks last weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Eels as clear favourites.

Winning away from Pepper Stadium has been something of an issue for Penrith and they have won only three of their past five games as away favourites, but they do have the same record against the line for a profit.

Parramatta rallied late to score a come-from-behind win over the Wests Tigers last Sunday and they are sure to take plenty of confidence from that clash.

The Eels have won only five of their past 15 games as underdogs and they have been a losing play against the line when giving away a start.

The Panthers are becoming a tough team to trust, but they are simply a better side than Parramatta and really should be able to cover the line comfortably.

Back Penrith To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Newcastle Knights

Saturday 22 April, 5:30pm, 1300Smiles Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 24 - Newcastle Knights 12

The North Queensland Cowboys will be without Johnathan Thurston once again this weekend, but they will still go into this clash with the Newcastle Knights as clear favourites.

North Queensland were awful in the first half against the St George Illawarra Dragons last weekend, but they were much better in the second half and were almost able to pull-off a remarkable comeback.

The Cowboys have struggled somewhat at 1300Smiles Stadium this season, but they have still won ten of their past 12 games as home favourites.

Newcastle have lost five games on the trot and it is fair to say that their performance against the Sydney Roosters last weekend was fairly uninspiring.

The Knights have not won a game away from home for well over a year and they are 4-6 against the line in this scenario.

North Queensland really should be able to get the job done in this clash, but without Thurston they are a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint and this is another game that I am happy to stay out of.

No Bet

Cronulla Sharks Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 22 April, 7:30pm, Southern Cross Group Stadium

Cronulla Sharks 12 - Gold Coast Titans 16

The Cronulla Sharks are showing no signs of a premiership hangover and they go into this clash with the Gold Coast Titans on the back of four wins.

Cronulla produced their best performance of the season to date against the Penrith Panthers and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Sharks have won seven of their past nine games as home favourites, but they are only 3-6 against the line in this scenario and they have not covered the line in their past four games against the Gold Coast Titans.

The Titans were unfortunate not to come away with the two points from their clash with the Brisbane Broncos, but they should still have taken plenty of confidence from that performance.

They may have only won the one game this season, but they are playing better than that record suggests and they are a much better team with Nathan Peats in the side.

Gold Coast have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are a highly profitable 6-2 against the line in this scenario.

The Titans can give Cronulla a scare and they are a great bet to cover the line with a start of 10.5 points.

Back Gold Coast To Beat The Line (+10.5 Points)

Wests Tigers Vs Canterbury Bulldogs

Sunday 23 April, 4:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Wests Tigers 18 - Canterbury Bulldogs 12

The Canterbury Bulldogs have won nine of their past 11 games against the Wests Tigers and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Canterbury asserted their authority over South Sydney in the second half Friday and they have now won three games on the trot.

The Bulldogs are a team that generally get the job done as the punter’s elect and they have won five of their past six games as away favourites, while they are 5-1 against the line in this scenario.

Wests proved once again that they are incapable of stringing together positive performances and they threw away victory with a truly awful last 15 minutes against Parramatta.

The Tigers do have a poor record against the Bulldogs and their record at ANZ Stadium is nothing to write home about.

Canterbury continue to be one of the safest betting teams in the NRL and they can cover the line of 4.5 points comfortably.

Back Canterbury To Beat The Line (-4.5 Points)

Sydney Roosters Vs St George Dragons

Tuesday 25 April, 4:00pm, Allianz Stadium

Sydney Roosters 13 - St George Illawarra Dragons 12

This is set to be the most interesting Anzac Day clash between the Sydney Roosters and St George Illawarra Dragons in recent memory.

The St George Illawarra Dragons currently sit on top of the NRL Ladder, but it is the Sydney Roosters that will start this clash as clear favourites.

The Roosters ended their losing streak with a professional victory over the Newcastle Knights and they have now won four of their past five games as home favourites, while they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.

St George Illawarra survived a late comeback from the North Queensland Cowboys to make it five wins in a row last weekend and they are surprise ladder leaders after almost two months of the season.

Despite their recent run, the Dragons have won only two of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

This is the chance for the Sydney Roosters to make a statement and they should be able to do just that on Anzac Day.

Back Sydney To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)

Melbourne Storm Vs New Zealand Warriors

Tuesday 25 April, 7:00pm, AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm 20 - New Zealand Warriors 14

Melbourne Storm and the New Zealand Warriors meet in their now traditional Anzac Day clash and it is the Storm that will start as clear favourites.

Melbourne got the job done against Manly last weekend, but their second half-performance was poor and Craig Bellamy would expect a more complete effort from his side this weekend.

The Storm have won nine of their past 12 games as home favourites for a clear profit, but they are only 5-7 against the line in this scenario.

New Zealand were fairly poor against the Canberra Raiders last weekend and they really have struggled against the best teams in the NRL this weekend.

The Warriors have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs and they are 3-4 against the line in this scenario.

In terms of head-to-head betting, the market has got this game just about right and the real value lies in the Total Points betting market.

The Under has saluted in ten of the past 13 home games played by the Melbourne Storm as well as seven of the past ten games played by the New Zealand Warriors in Australia.

New Zealand will struggle to score against the Storm and the Under looks an excellent bet.

Under 38.5 Points


2016

Anzac Day Weekend is now one of the biggest on the NRL calendar and there are a number of key games set to take place this weekend.

The round starts on Friday night when the Brisbane Broncos take on the South Sydney Rabbitohs, but the highlight of the weekend is definitely the triple header on Monday.

The day starts when the Newcastle Knights take on the Manly Sea Eagles before the St George Dragons face the Sydney Roosters and the Melbourne Storm host the New Zealand Warriors in their traditional Anzac Day fixtures.

Brisbane Broncos Vs South Sydney Rabbitohs

Friday 22 April, 7:50pm, Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Broncos 30 - South Sydney Rabbitohs 8

The Brisbane Broncos have lost their past three meetings with the South Sydney Rabbitohs at Suncorp Stadium, but they have won four games on the trot this season and they face a South Sydney side that has really struggled in recent weeks.

The Broncos showed that they are capable of putting teams to the sword when they recorded a massive 53-0 victory over the Newcastle Knights this weekend and they may be an even better team than they were 12 months ago.

Adam Reynolds returned for the Rabbitohs last weekend, but it did not do the trick and they were destroyed by a rampant North Queensland Cowboys.

The Broncos will start this game as clear favourites and this has been a position in which they have thrived over the past 12 months – they are 12-3 as home favourites in head to head betting and are 10-5 against the line in this scenario.

In contrast, the South Sydney Rabbitohs have won just one of their past seven games as underdogs and their record against the line when receiving a start is just as poor.

The Broncos are in ruthless form and they should prove far too good for a Rabbitohs side that clearly has some serious issues.

Recommended Bet: Back The Broncos To Beat The Line (-14 Points)

Canterbury Bulldogs Vs Gold Coast Titans

Saturday 23 April, 3:00pm, ANZ Stadium

Canterbury Bulldogs 21 - Gold Coast Titans 20

Both the Canterbury Bulldogs and Gold Coast Titans will head into this clash on the back of disappointing losses.

The Bulldogs continue to be hot and cold this season and they really should have been able to get the job done against the New Zealand Warriors, while the Gold Coast Titans have now lost three games in a row following their strong start to the season.

Canterbury will start this game as favourites and they have been far from convincing in this position in the past 12 months.

They have won six of their past 11 games as home favourites for a betting lose and their record against the line in this scenario is a very poor 4-7.

However, the Gold Coast Titans have also been an uninspiring betting side across the same time period and they have won just 3 of their past 12 game as away underdogs and are 5-7 against the line when being given a start at home.

The market seems to have gotten this game just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.

Recommended Bet: No Bet

Canberra Raiders Vs Wests Tigers

Saturday 23 April, 5:30pm, GIO Stadium

Canberra Raiders 60 - Wests Tigers 6

This is a vital game for both sides who have hit a roadblock in recent weeks following their strong start to the season.

The Raiders looked the goods when they beat the Bulldogs three weeks ago, but they have since produced poor performances against both the Parramatta Eels and Cronulla Sharks.

They will still start this game as clear favourites, but they are 5-6 as home favourites in the past 12 months and are 4-7 against the line in the same scenario.

Jason Taylor is staring down the barrel of the sack after the Tigers lost their fifth straight game to the Melbourne Storm and data suggests that will not change this weekend.

The Tigers are 2-7 as away underdogs in the past 12 months and they are 3-6 against the line in this position.

It is clear that neither the Raiders nor the Tigers can be trusted from a betting perspective, but there is a betting play that stands out in this game.

The over has saluted in 13 of the last 23 games played by the Canberra Raiders, while he over is 6-3 in Tigers away games and 14-8 in all their games across the past 12 months.

Recommended Bet: Back The Over (41.5 Points)

North Queensland Cowboys Vs Parramatta Eels

Saturday 23 April, 7:30pm, 1300 Smiles Stadium

North Queensland Cowboys 32 - Parramatta Eels 16

The Parramatta Eels recorded an upset win over the North Queensland Cowboys earlier this season, but they face a Cowboys side that has been in ruthless form in recent weeks.

The Cowboys have scored 120 points and conceded just 18 in their past three games at 1300 Smiles Stadium and they will start this game as clear favourites.

North Queensland have won 11 of their past 13 games at 1300 Smiles Stadium for a narrow profit, while they are 7-6 against the line.

The Eels did not play particularly well against the Manly Sea Eagles last weekend, but they were still able to get the job done and will take confidence from the fact that they have beaten the Cowboys already this season.

Parramatta have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a sizable profit and they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario, but are only 8-8 as underdogs overall and have failed to fire in their four most recent trips to 1300 Smiles Stadium.

There is reason to be bullish about the chances of both sides this weekend, but the Cowboys look as though they are on another level at the moment and can record another classy win.

Recommended Bet: Back The North Queensland Cowboys To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)

Cronulla Sharks Vs Penrith Panthers

Sunday 24 April, 4:00pm, Shark Park

Cronulla Sharks 20 - Penrith Panthers 18

The Cronulla Sharks have not made headlines this season, but they have now won four games on the trot and have done so in a very professional manner.

The Sharks have shown an ability to rack up big scores, which they have generally lacked in recent seasons and they have been a very relible betting team to date this season.

Cronulla are 6-3 as home favourites in the past 12 months and their record against the line at Shark Park across the same period is 7-4.

The Penrith Panthers returned to winning form with a grinding victory over the Sydney Roosters in Monday Night Football, but their is an alarming statistic that is a big concern heading into this weekend – they have won just one of their past eight games on the back of a win.

Penrith are 3-7 in head to head betting across the past 12 months and they have an identical record against the line.

I expect the Sharks to keep on winning this weekend and I am more than happy to back them to beat the line of four points.

Recommended Bet: Back The Sharks To Beat The Line (-4 Points)

Newcastle Knights Vs Manly Sea Eagles

Monday 25 April, 2:00pm, Hunter Stadium

Newcastle Knights 10 - Manly Sea Eagles 26

The Newcastle Knights scored a thrilling win over the Manly Sea Eagles in one of the greatest Grand Final’s in history and there is always a bit of tension when these two sides do battle.

Newcastle showed signs of improvement when they narrowly lost to the Melbourne Storm and beat the Wests Tigers, but they were truly horrid against the Brisbane Broncos last weekend and their is still massive problems with their defense.

The Knights will start this game as clear underdogs and they have won just one of their past five games as underdogs and have been an unreliable betting proposition across just about every metric.

Manly were unflattered by the scoreline when they lost to Parramatta and they really haven’t been that bad in recent weeks, but they are clearly missing the organisation the Daly Cherry-Evans brings to the side.

They are a credible 3-1 as away favourites in the past 12 months, but their record against the line as the punter’s elect has been poor.

Both these sides have struggled defensively in 2016 to date and the total points market is where I am keen to play this weekend.

The over has saluted in 14 of the last 22 games played by the Knights, while it is 7-3 in the past ten away games played by Manly.

Recommended Bet: Back The Over (40.5 Points)

St George Dragons Vs Sydney Roosters

Monday 25 April, 4:00pm, WIN Stadium

St George Illawarra Dragons 20 - Sydney Roosters 18

The St George Illawarra Dragons and the Sydney Roosters have played for the Anzac Day Cup since 2002 and this has become a key fixture on the NRL calendar.

Both these teams bring fairly average form into this fixture and it will be the Sydney Roosters that start the game as favourite, despite winning just a single game this season.

The Roosters record as favourites in the past 12 months remains surprisingly strong and they are 5-2 as away favourites over the past 12 months, while they have the same record against the line in that scenario.

The Dragons returned to winning form against the Gold Coast Titans to at least take something out of their tour to Queensland, but they still need not play particularly inspiring rugby league.

They are a very poor 5-10 against the line as underdogs over the past 12 months and they do not have the same upside as a Roosters side that has shown some signs of improvement in recent weeks.

The under in total points market has also been prolific in games involving these two sides – the under has saluted in 18 of the past 24 games played by the Dragons – and I expect the Roosters to win a low-scoring encounter.

Recommended Bets: Back Sydney Roosters To Beat The Line (-2 Points) & Under (378.5 Points)

Melbourne Storm Vs New Zealand Warriors

Monday 25 April, 7:00pm, AAMI Park

Melbourne Storm 42 - New Zealand Warriors 0

The lead-up to this game has been dominated by the season-ending ACL injured suffered by Roger Tuivasa-Sheck and it could prove the defining moment of the Warriors season.

They could use this opportunity to bind together and get their season back on track, but history suggests that this could cause the Warriors to completely lose their bundle.

The Melbourne Storm will start this game as favourites on the back of their narrow golden point victory over the Wests Tigers and they have won eight of their past ten games as favourites at AAMI Park, while they are a middling 5-5 against the line in this scenario.

New Zealand have won just two of their past 11 games as underdogs and they are a shocking 3-8 against the line when given a start over the past 12 months.

I am always happy to oppose the Warriors and the Storm are a very safe bet to get the win this weekend.

Recommended Bet: Back Melbourne Storm To Win @ $1.65