A perfect start for Melbourne City has them daring to dream as we enter A-League Round Four. Even at this early stage of the season there are some big surprises such as the Jets sitting in second place with two wins and a draw ahead of the defending champions. At the other end the Roar and Victory are both yet to win a game, producing results that are well below their respective expectations.
Sydney FC Vs Perth Glory
Friday 27 October, 7:50pm, Emirates Stadium
A derby draw for the Sky Blues last week resulted in their first dropped points for the season while Perth got by the Mariners thanks to a late finish from Adam Taggart. Perth are not a side that travels overly well, winning just seven games away from NiB Stadium since the start of the 2015-2016 season. Sydney on the other hand have not lost a home game since 2 April 2016 and it is hard to see them dropping this one, even if it is a battle.
Back Sydney FC to Win @ $1.57
Wellington Phoenix Vs Brisbane Roar
Saturday 28 October, 5:35pm, Westpac Stadium
Any optimism surrounding the Brisbane Roar has evaporated after a disastrous start to the season, losing their first three games. A hotly debated (albeit correct) VAR call enraged the fans as it prevented a draw against the Jets last weekend. They now face a Wellington Phoenix side that have been very competitive in each of their three outings so far and have a formidable home ground advantage. Even then the Roar have a good record over there and have the ability to score goals. All things considered this is looking like an even matchup with two sides that will cancel each other out.
Back the Draw @ $3.50
Adelaide United Vs Melbourne City
Saturday 28 October, 7:50pm, Coopers Stadium
For the second week in a row, a Melbourne side will visit Adelaide, however United will return to the more comfortable surrounds of Coopers Stadium for Melbourne City. This will be City’s first game outside of Melbourne this season so they have no real away form to go on. Neither side has lost yet this year however Adelaide have drawn twice while City are a perfect three for three. They did need a remarkable free kick from import signing Ross McCormick to get by a valiant Wellington last week. With a history of fiery clashes, not to mention a number of former Adelaide players now on City’s books, this will not disappoint with a highly entertaining score draw.
Back Both Teams to Score & a Draw @ $4.00
Newcastle Jets Vs Western Sydney Wanderers
Sunday 29 October, 5:00pm, McDonald Jones Stadium
A promising start to the season by the Newcastle Jets has been derailed by a gruesome injury to their marquee import Ronald Vargas. The pressure now falls on players such as Wayne Brown and Dimi Petratos, whose rocket from distance proved decisive in last week’s win in Brisbane. The Wanderers will be feeling somewhat hard done by after giving up a lead in the derby and will look to make amends. It is the first of three straight games outside of Sydney and they have been solid playing gatecrashers. Until we can see how the Jets might respond to the injury last week it’s worth steering clear of them and their games.
Central Coast Mariners Vs Melbourne Victory
Sunday 29 October, 7:00pm, Central Coast Stadium
Both sides will feel as though they are well below where they should be on the early season standings. Melbourne are yet to find their team identity having had a disrupted start due to international commitments. In last week’s fighting draw with Adelaide they showed signs of potential as well as signs of frustration with how they have performed. Central Coast are a side that is currently defined by the term ‘potential’ by showing flashes at certain points but failing to capitalise on those stretches. This might just be the week and I have a good feeling about the Mariners here getting their first win of the season.
Back the Mariners to Win @ $3.60
It has been a very tough start to the A-League season for punters as upsets have dominated the first three rounds of the season.
The action gets underway on Friday night when Melbourne City host Adelaide United in a replay of the preliminary final last season, while the round concludes on Monday night when the Melbourne Victory take on the Wellington Phoenix on Melbourne Cup eve.
Punters are keen to bounce back after a disappointing weekend of A-League betting and you can find our thoughts on every single game below!
Melbourne City Vs Adelaide United
Friday 28 October, 7:50pm, AAMI Park
Melbourne City suffered their first defeat of the season with a disappointing performance against Perth, but they are clear favourites to return to winning form against Adelaide United.
A lack of composure at key times cost Melbourne City last weekend, but they have still won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites for a clear profit and they have lost back-to-back games just twice in the past 12 months.
Adelaide United have made a very slow start to the A-League season and they are still chasing their first victory after going down to Melbourne Victory last weekend.
The Reds have proven to be a profitable betting team as underdogs in the past 12 months and they have won three of their past eight games as away underdogs for a profit.
Melbourne City are deserving favourites in this clash, but they are definitely under the odds at their current price and the $4 available for an Adelaide United victory is worth the gamble.
Back Adelaide United To Win @ $4
Newcastle Jets Vs Sydney FC
Saturday 29 October, 5:35pm, Hunter Stadium
Both these teams have made a very promising start to the A-League season and will defend unbeaten records in this clash.
Sydney FC made it three wins on the trot with their fighting victory over Wellington and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Sydney have won three of their past six games as home favourites for a narrow profit and their record at Hunter Stadium is strong.
Newcastle two scored late goals to take a point from their clash with the Western Sydney Wanderers and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Jets have taken at least a point from six of their past 11 games as away underdogs, but just three of those results were victories.
Sydney FC look a class above the majority of their competition in the A-League at the moment and they are a safe bet to maintain their dominant start to the season.
Back Sydney FC To Win @ $1.75
Western Sydney Wanderers Vs Central Coast Mariners
Saturday 29 October, 7:50pm, Spotless Stadium
Western Sydney Wanderers threw away two points against the Newcastle Jets last weekend, but they will still start this clash as dominant favourites.
Tony Popovich was filthy with his team’s effort in the last 10 minutes of their last clash and there is no doubt they will be desperate to avoid a similar result this weekend.
Western Sydney have won eight of their past 14 games as home favourites, but they have only made a very narrow profit in this situation.
There is no doubt that Central Coast have improved this season, but they are still yet to taste success this season following their narrow defeat at the hands of the Brisbane Roar.
The Mariners have won just one of their past 13 games as away underdogs and it is tough to back them with any confidence.
These are two teams that are tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this clash.
Brisbane Roar Vs Perth Glory
Sunday 30 October, 5:00pm, Suncorp Stadium
The Brisbane Roar returned to winning form against the Central Coast Mariners and they will start this clash with Perth as clear favourites.
Brisbane have been far from impressive so far this season, but their record in front of their home fans is nothing short of outstanding – they have won 11 of their past 15 games as home favourites for a big profit.
Perth produced their best performance of the season to date to upstage Melbourne City last Friday night and they played some excellent football in doing so.
The Glory’s record away from home is better than you would imagine and they have won four of their past 12 games as away underdogs for a clear profit.
It is tough to bet against Brisbane at home, but Perth are playing some good football and the $3.60 available for a stalemate can’t be ignored.
Back The Draw @ $3.60
Melbourne Victory Vs Wellington Phoenix
Monday 31 October, 7:50pm, Etihad Stadium
Melbourne Victory recorded their first win of the season over Adelaide United and they have been well-supported to score back-to-back victories.
Melbourne played well to get the job done against Adelaide United, but their record as home favourites doesn’t inspire confidence and they have won just five of their past 11 games in this scenario.
Wellington are yet to win a game this season and they have not tasted success in the A-League since March.
They have been far from disgraced this season, but an inability to score goals has been a serious issue and they have won just two of their past 11 games as away underdogs.
The market that stands out in this clash is the Total Goals betting market.
Wellington have been a strong defensive outfit this season and the $2.20 on offer for under 2.5 goals to be scored is outstanding value.
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.20