2024/2025 EPL Week 12 Preview

The Premier League is back from the final international break in 2024 and it is only going to get busier for the top clubs in England.

Starting this weekend, teams like Arsenal, Manchester City, Liverpool and others will kick off a very busy month and a half of action with up to 12 fixtures between now and January 5 across three competitions.

First and foremost they have some tricky tasks to navigate in the Premier League this weekend as Arsenal hosts the surprisingly strong Nottingham Forest and City tries to end their losing streak against Tottenham.

It’s set to be a great weekend of football, so let’s run through all 10 matches and find the best bets.

While a gap has already emerged between these two clubs on the table, this should be an entertaining clash, especially if their FA Cup tie last season is anything to go by.

Then-Championship side Leicester were down to 10 men and on the verge of taking the game to extra time before two stoppage time strikes sent Chelsea to the next stage.

Prior to the international break, Leicester was on a bit of a downward slide losing three of their last four in all competitions, all by multiple goals and their one draw came away to Ipswich.

The biggest reason for that is a defence that conceded 12 goals in those four matches and has kept one Premier League clean sheet all season.

However Chelsea is not exactly that stout at the back with one clean sheet in their last ten, which came in the Conference League at home to Armenian side Noah.

That puts both teams to score very much on the table, and Chelsea is the better side so they should win here with Cole Palmer adding to his seven league goals for a nice SGM to kick off the week.

SGM: Chelsea Win, Both Teams to Score, Cole Palmer Anytime Goalscorer @ $4.39

Back in June when the fixtures were released this would have been seen as just another game that Arsenal should win, but it is one of the better matches of the weekend now.

Forest have been nothing short of exceptional, especially compared to preseason expectations and they head into this one on level points with Arsenal.

The Gunners have picked up two points from their last four Premier League outings and already find themselves nine points behind league leaders Liverpool.

Considering the issues plaguing Arsenal (injury enforced and otherwise), it’s tough to make a convincing case for them at $1.33.

Instead, backing both teams to score looks to be the way to go, it has been a decent play on Forest and Arsenal, with neither team looking like they can keep a clean sheet here.

Both Teams to Score @ $2.15

Aston Villa would have been very happy to have the international break come around with Unai Emery’s side suffering four straight defeats in all competitions.

That run began with a Carabao Cup loss to this weekend’s opponents Crystal Palace, whose Premier League form is not exactly inspiring.

However with two weeks to prepare for this one, coaching becomes all the more important and Unai Emery gets the edge over Oliver Glasner in that department.

All signs are pointing towards a bounce back game for the home side and they should have no problems dispatching a Palace side that has won just one league match all season.

Aston Villa HT/FT Double @ $2.40

Bournemouth might be the most frustratingly inconsistent side in the Premier League this season.

On their day they have showcased just how good they can be, defeating Arsenal and Manchester City in their last two home games.

However they have also shown a tendency to not show up at times, losing to Chelsea, Liverpool and Leicester as well.

On the other side, Brighton looks like they are back to their old selves, sitting level on points with Arsenal and Forest and having them as outsiders, even on the road.

The Seagulls have picked up seven points from five road trips and this market looks like it is the wrong way around so let’s have a play on the visitors.

Brighton to Win @ $2.80

While neither of these sides are going to be mistaken for title challengers, there is a pretty clear case to be made for Everton in this one.

Their Goodison Park form has not been great, but it is improving with a win over Palace before draws against good Newcastle and Fulham sides in their last three home games.

Meanwhile, Brentford has had no success away from home this season with five defeats from five games and a net score of 4-11.

That run can and should continue this weekend.

Everton to Win @ $2.35

Fulham to win at $1.70 is certainly a strong enough price to back the Cottagers outright, but there is a bit more value to be extracted from this market.

Especially because Wolves have far and away the worst defensive record in the Premier League and their 11 matches this season have seen 43 total goals scored.

Fulham has shown more than enough in attack to suggest they will have a field day against this Wolves backline and another high scoring affair looks to be on the cards.

Fulham to Win and Over 3.5 Goals @ $3.90

The desperation will be off the charts in this one with two out of form sides facing off with little to no margin for error left in their respective seasons.

It was only a few weeks ago that Tottenham knocked Manchester City out of the Carabao Cup and this has not been a one-way rivalry in the last few years.

They have generally played fairly even matches including a 3-3 draw last time out at the Etihad.

However if there is one thing we can count on based on history, it’s that Man City will find a way to break out of their slump and it would be fitting for them to do it in a manner that would add to Spurs’ woes.

It might not be a big win but City losing four in a row is already historically bad for their current era and making it five is unthinkable.

Manchester City to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.91

League-leading Liverpool against their one-time former feeder club Southampton is not exactly the setup for a tantilising clash.

It is more a case of how much are punters willing to back the Reds to win this one by because they should cruise home.

After all, Southampton is not a good side and it is tough to see how they manage to compete with a rampant Liverpool.

Liverpool to Win Both Halves @ $2.63

For the first time since April 2002, Ipswich will host Manchester United and there is a lot to be excited about in this match for both sides.

Having had a fortnight to celebrate their first win of the season defeating Tottenham, Ipswich will be hoping to make it two in a row.

But they will have their hands full with Portuguese boss Ruben Amorim taking charge of United for the first time and the new manager bounce very much in play.

For that reason (and the surprising price on United), the value in this market lies squarely with the visitors, who enjoyed a solid run under Ruud van Nistelrooy and should continue it here.

Manchester United to Win @ $1.64

West Ham’s attack abandoned them in the last month, with the side managing just three goals from four matches, although thanks in large part to the ineptitude of Manchester United and Everton, they earned four points from that run.

Finding a way to break out of that slump will be priority one this weekend but doing so seems very unlikely given Newcastle’s improvement in the weeks leading up to the break.

St James’ Park has been a profitable venue for them so far this season with five wins, a draw and one defeat in all competitions.

They have also kept clean sheets in three of their last four home games, with Brighton the only team to breach that backline so another clean sheet in a victory is the play in this game.

Newcastle to Win to Nil @ $2.80

2023/2024

The biggest sporting league in the world continues to deliver the drama and controversy and Matchweek 12 offers up some tantilising contests.

We will not see a club replicate the feats of the 2003/2004 Arsenal Invincibles with every side tasting defeat at least once through the opening three months.

Spurs were the last team standing and they will be eager to produce a quick response in the first match on Saturday night when they visit Wolves.

The weekend closes out with a blockbuster clash as well with Chelsea hosting Manchester City with the reigning champions eager to hold on to top spot.

We’ve got you covered with our previews and best bets for every Premier League match this weekend below so read on and see who we are backing!

Tottenham’s unbeaten start came to an end in spectacular fashion on Tuesday morning and in previous seasons, that result would have kick started a downward spiral that lasted for a month.

However such is the improvement of this team, thanks to a fair amount of (justified) faith in Ange Postecoglou that I’m expecting a positive reaction from this side.

Wolves had their own moment of crashing back to earth last week, losing to the hapless Sheffield United and this is a side I’m happy to abandon at a moment’s notice.

It looks like the market is a bit sceptical on the bounce back ability of Spurs but at that price it’s something I’m happy to get on.

Tottenham to Win @ $2.15

Speaking of bounce backs, will we see one from Arsenal after their controversial loss away to Newcastle last week?

They won’t need to be anywhere near their best against a Burnley team whose losing streak has now reached five matches in all competitions with no end in sight.

While Burnley has a win and three draws from their last five head to head matches with Arsenal, this is a very different side with Vincent Kompany in charge.

The Clarets have scored just three goals during their losing streak and Arsenal should be able to put them away in front of a vocal Emirates Stadium crowd.

Brazilian flyer Gabriel Martinelli remains one of the Gunners more dangerous weapons in attack and I’ll back him to get his name on the scoresheet.

Gabriel Martinelli Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.25

They fell six minutes short of knocking off Brighton last week, but there was a lot to like about Everton’s performance as they continue to head in a positive direction.

As long as they keep producing those sorts of performances they will continue to be able to take advantage of bad or underperforming teams.

It’s still unclear if Palace is bad, underachieving or both, but outside of playing at home, there is no good reason as to why they should be favoured in this market.

The Toffees look to be the value play here and at this price I’m happy to jump on them.

Everton to Win @ $3.00

You have to give Luton plenty of credit for holding out and taking a point off Liverpool last weekend, but they’ll feel like it was two dropped after Luis Diaz’s 95^th minute equaliser.

A really basic analysis would suggest that United are an easier opponent than Liverpool based on current form, but consistency has been a major issue for Luton and it’s tough to see them backing up well here.

Both teams to score has not hit in United’s last four matches and it’s unlikely that is going to change here (NOTE: preview was written prior to their midweek UCL match).

Manchester United to Win to Nil @ $2.25

It looks like Newcastle’s European dream is coming to an end with the side anchored to the foot of their Champions League group following a loss to Dortmund on Wednesday morning.

Domestically things are going a bit better with the Magpies unbeaten in their last seven Premier League fixtures and they are in touching distance of the title race.

Last season Bournemouth held them to a pair of draws in the league, but the Cherries are badly out of form, with just the one Premier League win on the season.

Newcastle looks well placed to bounce back and the price on them is just enough to jump on.

Newcastle to Win @ $1.67

Aston Villa had a bit of a reality check last week, suffering a surprise defeat away to Fulham but they will be very happy to return to the familiar surrounds of Villa Park for this clash with Fulham.

Unai Emery’s side has the best home record in the Premier League so far this season, winning all five matches in front of their home fans by an aggregate score of 20-4, better than the also perfect Manchester City and Liverpool.

Fulham’s away record is solid with a win and three draws from six trips in the Premier League, but I just cannot see them sticking with Villa for 90 minutes.

Both teams to score has hit in four of Villa’s home games and I wouldn’t be surprised if Fulham finds at least one consolation goal in a defeat.

Aston Villa to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $3.00

They say a blind squirrel can still find a nut, just like a bad team can still win the odd game or two.

Sheffield United became the 20^th Premier League side to pick up a victory this season, but it doesn’t change the fact they are still well off the pace.

Brighton is not exactly setting the world alight either, with their winless streak in the Premier League reaching five matches following last weekend’s draw with Everton.

There are some major defensive issues for them to work out with their both teams to score run continuing, but they should be able to see off the Blades here.

Brighton to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.55

Just when you thought Liverpool was unstoppable, their momentum gets brought to a halt by the unlikeliest of sources.

However the Reds have not dropped points in consecutive competitive fixtures all season to date (at the time of writing) and I’m backing a bounce back from Jurgen Klopp’s side.

In these matches players like Mo Salah are worth their weight in gold and I’ll back him to fire the Reds to a victory.

SGM: Liverpool to Win and Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer @ $2.33

After their loss to Brentford last week extended their Premier League losing streak to three games, West Ham have to be wondering where they can go from here.

With a home game against Olympiacos on Friday morning (AEDT) not giving them much time to prepare for this fixture, you cannot back the Irons with any confidence.

Especially if you get the version of Nottingham Forest that showed up last weekend and stunned Aston Villa.

I’m happy to stay out of the result market and go with both teams to score, given it has hit in six of West Ham’s last seven matches at the time of publish.

Both Teams to Score @ $1.70

There is a way you could talk yourself into this being a blockbuster bout, but the reality is that this is shaping up as a big mismatch.

Manchester City won’t have the discipline problems that reduced Spurs down to nine players on Tuesday morning which will make an already tough task impossible for the Blues.

Pep Guardiola’s side were barely troubled by Young Boys during the week in the Champions League as they cruised to a comfortable 3-0 win and I’ll back them to produce something similar here.

Manchester City to Win @ $1.75

2022/2023

Clear your next few mornings, there’s midweek Premier League action coming your way!

Thanks to the World Cup starting next month, Matchweek 12 of the season is a midweek round however only nine of the ten matches will be going ahead.

What would have been the top of the table clash between Arsenal and Manchester City has been delayed due to Arsenal needing to catch up a Europa League fixture after the death of the Queen last month.

There is still plenty of fascinating contests set to unfold over the next few days however and we’ve got our previews and best bets for all of them below!

It’s fair to say that Brighton is still adjusting to life post Graham Potter with back to back defeats that have come without scoring a goal.

On the plus side, they have the perfect opponent for a course correction as Forest comes to town chasing their first Premier League win since the Matchweek 2.

We should see Brighton return to their roots and look to lock down a largely stagnant Forest attack on the way to a win.

Back Brighton to Win to Nil @ $2.30

Wolves finally broke their goal drought in an ugly 1-0 win over Forest on the weekend, but it was not enough to give punters any confidence change their approach.

Palace were held scoreless by Leicester on the weekend as well, arguably the most troubling score line for any club all weekend considering Leicester’s defensive struggles.

The traditional goals number of 2.5 has a massive premium on the under, but this has all the makings of a potential 0-0 draw and I’ll happily take the price on under 1.5 goals.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $2.80

Since losing 9-0 to Liverpool, Bournemouth has been one of the toughest opponents in the Premier League, picking up 10 points from the six matches since.

It’s tough to see them ending that unbeaten run here with Southampton horrendously out of form.

With one point from their last five matches, it’s tough to see why the market has these teams level.

I’ll take the Cherries to make it seven without defeat at that price.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $2.65

Chelsea is back and starting to look very dangerous, which makes it a bit surprising to see them at their current price even though they are taking on a stubborn Brentford side.

The Blues have kept four straight clean sheets in all competitions and won five straight while Brentford have struggled for consistency all season.

With Chelsea looking increasingly ominous I’ll back their stout backline to carry them to another win.

Back Chelsea to Win to Nil @ $3.00

It was the win Liverpool simply had to have, becoming the first team to defeat Manchester City since the Community Shield and handing them their first Premier League loss since February 20.

However they may head into this game without Jurgen Klopp after the German boss was shown a red card for a massive touchline tantrum against City.

West Ham is in the midst of a nice run of form with just one defeat in their last eight fixtures however it’s tough to have a lot of confidence in them here.

Seeing Liverpool find a way to get all three points on the weekend is enough to get me back on the bandwagon and I’ll back them to win comfortably.

Back Liverpool to Win -1 Goal @ $2.15

If Newcastle wants to be considered proper top four contenders, they need to find a way to pick up a convincing win over an Everton side that is still a way off the pace.

Coming off back to back defeats against Manchester United and Tottenham, the Toffees confidence will be well below an optimal level and Newcastle will be out for a fast start.

I’m happy to back the Magpies at the halftime/fulltime double against an Everton team that is going to be overmatched.

Back Newcastle HT/FT @ $2.60

Easily the biggest remaining match on the schedule, United and Tottenham will both expect maximum points from this encounter.

Injuries are going to be a big story with a number of players out of facing a race against the clock to be ready for this one.

While some may say the potential absence of Harry Maguire helps Manchester United, everything about this matchup screams draw.

Both clubs have the firepower to cancel one another out a 1-1 or 2-2 final score line seems to be the way this is heading.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

With Fulham’s Serbian marksman Mitrovic returning to the side, there is value about the Cottagers at home.

He was able to score on his return against Bournemouth and I like his chances of guiding Fulham to a win at home.

Their recent form slump does not concern me now that they have their key man back in the mix.

Back Fulham to Win @ $2.80

Leeds will feel hard done by in their loss to Arsenal on the weekend but they can channel their frustration into a big win over a struggling Leicester team.

Taking on the Foxes has been a successful strategy on seven of ten occasions in the Premier League this season and there is no need to abandon that plan now.

Back Leeds to Win @ $3.00

2021/2022

With the international breaks over for 2021, the Premier League takes centre stage as we head towards the frantic festive period of fixtures.

This will be a defining series of matches for several clubs with six points between the top five sides on the Premier League ladder.

Matchweek 12 has two huge contests on the cards with Leicester hosting Chelsea and Liverpool taking on Arsenal at Anfield.

Those matches bookend a busy Saturday of action as the Premier League restarts, so read on and see who we are backing.

Last season’s FA Cup finalists face off with 11 points between them on the Premier League table.

Leicester is languishing in 12^th place and looking to arrest a form slump of just two wins in their last eight league matches.

Chelsea on the other hand has had a fortnight to wonder what went wrong at Burnley in their last match, being held to a surprising 1-1 draw.

Even with a couple of key injuries in their forward line, Chelsea is just too good to not have the benefit of the doubt, especially coming off a draw.

Back Chelsea to Win @ $1.75

Steven Gerrard will take the reigns of Aston Villa for the first time as he commences his managerial tenure with a very fascinating home match.

This is a much better squad than the five game losing streak Villa were on that resulted in Dean Smith’s dismissal.

Brighton’s stubbornness has kept them afloat with five draws from their last six Premier League matches.

Gerrard could be a very good manager and will get Villa off the canvas, but it will be asking a bit much of him to turn this team around in just over a week.

Villa have been shipping plenty of goals in the last month, but they do have the strike force to break down Brighton as well so I’ll take both keepers to concede

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.80

Another former Premier League player that has made the move into management is Patrick Vieira and it might be time to buy in on Palace.

Unbeaten in their last six and coming off back to back wins over Wolves and City before the international break, they are trending in the right direction.

Their head to head price of $2.60 at the time of writing seems very generous even though they have not defeated Burnley since December 2019.

But if you are on board with what Vieira is doing at Palace, this looks like the value bet of the week.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $2.60

Another new manager will make his first appearance on the touchline this weekend with Eddie Howe taking charge of the home side.

Howe was once the golden boy of English football during his spell with Bournemouth, but the expectations at St James’ Park will be much higher than he has experienced.

Getting a win in his first home match will go a long way towards endearing himself to the fans and Brentford are certainly beatable despite what the market is saying.

As the lone Premier League club without a win, Newcastle will have to break that streak at some stage and this is as good a time as any to get going.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $2.60

Let’s keep this one as simple as possible, Norwich might have defeated Brentford in their last outing before the international break, but there is no reason to change your strategy.

Keep backing against the Canaries, especially when the opponent can pile on the pressure like Southampton can.

It might not have been overly pretty but the Saints do enter this match on the back of consecutive wins and they should be able to stifle the Canaries normally cold forward line.

Back Southampton to Win @ $2.05

If you have a strong feeling one way or another on this fixture then you are doing better than most.

On paper, United should be much shorter than their $1.50 quote but given their propensity to produce a no-show, you cannot feel good about backing them even at that price.

Watford has lost four of its last five and were held scoreless in each of those matches, however in the midst of that, they exploded for a 5-2 win at Everton that can only be treated as an aberration.

Nothing about these markets stand out and this can be a comfortable stay away.

NO BET

West Ham is good, and anytime you can get a good team at $2.40 head to head you have to be feeling pretty good about that.

Lead by possibly the best midfielder in the Premier League at the moment, Declan Rice, West Ham are well and truly in the mix for Champions League football, and they probably need it to keep their star man.

Making them even more entertaining to watch is the fact their matches tend to feature plenty of goals with eight of their eleven so far featuring three or more.

I’ll take West Ham to claim all three points with a high scoring encounter against a Wolves side that is improving but is not at West Ham’s level.

Back West Ham to Win and Over 2.5 Goals @ $3.90

Arsenal remains one of the Premier League’s most interesting stories, picking up 20 points from their last eight matches to climb into fifth place.

A win for the Gunners would put them up to fourth above Liverpool however history says that this is very unlikely.

Liverpool might have fallen to West Ham but they have had the Gunners number more often than not in the Jurgen Klopp tenure.

Head to head there is not a whole lot of value in Liverpool to win, but there is something to be found elsewhere in the markets.

Arsenal’s backline has been transformed with the combination of Ben White and Gabriel teaming up with Aaron Ramsdale as the goalkeeper.

The Gunners probably won’t fire a shot at Liverpool but they will be compact enough to avoid embarrassment.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.45

Let’s not beat around the bush here, City should easily handle Everton in this match.

They have won the last eight matches between the clubs including a 5-0 drubbing on the final day of last season.

Both Teams to Score has only hit twice in City’s matches so far this season and with the Toffees riding a five match winless run, there is no reason to take on the defending champions of England.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $1.70

Antonio Conte’s spell with Spurs began with a 0-0 draw as the Italian manager began to sort out the club’s defensive woes.

He should be able to guide his side to his first victory with a win over a Leeds team that is enduring a sophomore slump.

The home team won both matches between these sides last season and I’m happy to follow that trend.

Back Tottenham to Win @ $1.73

2020/2021

The Premier League’s frantic festive period is set to kick into high gear in an already busy season.

Every club will be involved in six Premier League matches over the next four weeks followed by a very busy January which includes more midweek matches to accommodate two rounds of the FA Cup.

In short squad depth is very important at this time of year as these results can make or break a side’s season.

There are few matches bigger than a Manchester Derby and with both sides well below where they would like to be, the desperation in this weekend’s meeting will be at an all time high.

We are previewing all ten matches this weekend below so read on to see who we are backing.

In all honesty, it’s hard to understand why Leeds is a clear favourite in this market, although it’s not the worst outcome from a punting perspective.

West Ham had their three-match winning run brought to an end by Manchester United while Leeds went down to Chelsea in Matchweek 12.

These are the sorts of matches West Ham have been winning on their way to eighth place on the table and at their current price, it’s well worth taking a punt on them here.

Back West Ham to Win @ $3.20

Wolves remain a side that is nearly impossible to get a read on, a week after stunning Arsenal they were demolished by an injury ravaged Liverpool side.

It’s worth mentioning the huge absence that is Raul Jiminez as he recovers from a head injury sustained against Arsenal, however their inconsistencies predate his absence.

Villa on the other hand have been horrendously out of form in the last month (one isolated win over Arsenal aside).

Neither option fills me with a whole lot of confidence but Wolves is certainly the lesser of two evils (or three if you count the draw).

Back Wolves to Win @ $2.30

Much like the previous match, this play comes more out of a desire to back against West Brom than it has anything to do with Newcastle.

The Baggies were destroyed by Crystal Palace last week after a red card to Matheus Pereira but their form on the whole this season should have you backing against them at any opportunity.

Newcastle is coming off an unexpected week off after a COVID outbreak forced the postponement of their match last week.

As long as they can get something resembling a normal build up to this match they should be able to come away with all three points and it’s a bet worth taking at their current price.

Back Newcastle to Win @ $2.20

This might not be the biggest Manchester Derby in history, but it is one of the most important with both clubs sitting on the wrong end of the top four.

While United might have been eliminated from the Champions League during the week, they have been consistent in the league winning their last four matches.

City have won their last two matches in the Premier League but have not come up in the big matches so far this season.

United won three of the four meetings last season across all competitions and I’ll happily back them to get something from this fixture too.

Back Manchester United or Draw Double Chance @ $2.05

Everton are well and truly in cross off territory now, with one win (over lowly Fulham) since October 4.

There is no chance of them getting what they need against a Chelsea side that is very much in the title race, trailing Tottenham and Liverpool by just two points.

The Blues might have only won once in their last five meetings with Everton but in their current form, the nicest thing you can say about Everton is that they should manage to score a goal.

Backing them to score enough to at least get a point is out of the question though.

SGM: Chelsea to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $3.16

On the plus side, Sheffield’s anaemic attack scored another goal in their last match bringing their season tally to five.

On the down side, they lost their tenth match of the season going down to Leicester with a last minute winner from Jamie Vardy.

Ask yourself this, would you back the Blades to do anything other than lose this match?

I wouldn’t either.

Back Southampton to Win @ $1.72

If you were not already, it’s time to take Tottenham seriously after their derby demolition of local rivals Arsenal.

Palace trounced West Brom but consistency has been a huge issue for them all season long, failing to win back to back matches since the opening two rounds of the season.

If you really want to be harsh on Palace as well, it’s worth mentioning scores were locked at 1-1 when West Brom were reduced to 10 as well.

In the past this would have been the textbook letdown match for Spurs where they dropped points after a huge win, but not here.

Jose Mourinho has this side ticking over so smoothly and are well worth backing in here.

Back Tottenham to Win @ $1.75

You can count out Liverpool 67 times but Jurgen Klopp will find a way to get his team to respond 67 times.

Not only are Liverpool navigating a tricky fixture period with a depleted squad, they are winning just about every match, not losing in the league since October 4.

What all of this is leading to is tipping the Reds to find a way to steamroll a Fulham side that is just not at Premier League standard.

Back Liverpool -1 Goal @ $1.83

In any normal season, you would look at Arsenal and think their price was a bit generous.

This is not a normal season and this is not a normal Arsenal side.

After years of being mocked for an inability to defend, they now find themselves unable to muster a shot on target, with one of the worst attacks statistically across all four English leagues.

The problem with that is the fact Burnley currently inspires a similar amount of confidence winning just once in the Premier League.

With a combined 15 goals between these sides this season, I’ll steer clear of the head to head market and back a dull contest with scarce attacking chances.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.88

Leicester needing a last minute winner to beat Sheffield United is probably not worth losing your mind over most of the time.

However, when the side is coming off a four match winless run anything will do.

Despite their struggles both at home and abroad, the Foxes still find themselves in fourth place in the Premier League and would fancy their chances to keep in touch with the leaders this weekend.

The quick turnaround from the Europa League is a cause for concern as is Brighton’s ability to frustrate opponents and punters alike.

Both teams to score has hit in the Seagulls last three matches and three of Leicester’s last four so that is the play here.

Back Both Teams to Score @ $1.73

2019/2020

Good news folks, the last international break of 2019 is almost upon us, the next time we have to deal with these pesky interruptions to the club calendar will be late March next year.

There’s one last weekend of Premier League action to get through first before the Socceroos have their biggest World Cup Qualifier in Jordan and it’s headlined by two huge clashes, starting with Leicester hosting Arsenal in a game that will tell us a whole lot about both of these sides.

Then it’s almost certainly the most hyped match of the season with the two title contenders facing off at Anfield with Liverpool taking on Manchester City as the defending champions look to try and close the gap at the top of the table.

That’s just two of the matches coming up this weekend and we’ve got previews and recommended betting plays for all of them right here in our EPL Week 12 Preview.

It’s the anti-blockbuster nobody wants to see, Norwich hosting Watford in the bottom of the barrel clash.

Sadly, the fun of the Canaries fast start has been well and truly lost with one point from their last six outings while Watford has been incapable of winning this season.

Since beating City 3-2 on September 15, Norwich has scored two goals, both of which came in pretty convincing losses.

It might be a great chance for Watford’s backline to get some confidence and I’ll back a low scoring game you can probably afford to catch up on when you wake up from a nice Saturday sleep in.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.20

It doesn’t get any easier for Palace with Chelsea capping off a nightmare run of fixtures.

Sure they’ve picked up one point in their last three but considering the fixtures have given them Manchester City, Arsenal and Leicester a point isn’t bad, although maybe it should have been three given how Arsenal are going though.

They seem to have settled into being one of the good mid-table teams that will struggle against the top sides.

Chelsea is in phenomenal form and you can’t back against them right now, I’ll take them to get off to a fast start and finish the job.

Back Chelsea Halftime/Fulltime @ $2.00

It’s matches like this which are why we should all be thankful for clubs having multiple kits, especially West Ham’s.

Five games without a win has seen them fall from fifth to 13^th on the table, one spot above their hosts here.

Burnley looked atrocious going down to Sheffield United last weekend and West Ham were only a touch better in their loss to Newcastle since they at least scored.

There’s a decent case to make against both Burnley and West Ham here and rather than trying to force a play, it’s better to just let this one play out and hope one of these teams can inspire confidence for their next match in a fortnight.

NO BET

For some reason, the market has a lot more faith in Newcastle than I do.

Sure, they beat West Ham last week but that isn’t exactly something to brag about at the moment.

Bournemouth hasn’t exactly been reliable themselves but are always good for a few goals.

The safe play here is to back over 2.5 goals or you can go a bit more aggressive and take the Cherries to win and/or over 3.5 in a same game multi but the safe play is good enough for me.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.95

We’ve got 20^th against 19^th to kick off the weekend of football and in this one, it’s the slightly less uninspiring 18^th hosting 17^th

Everton look like they might be getting their scoring touch back although they do have to work around the absence of Andre Gomes after his horror injury against Tottenham.

This looks like a pretty even clash between two sides in dire need of three points unfortunately it’s unlikely they’ll play well enough to get a winner.

Back the Draw @ $3.30

On paper there is no question that Tottenham is a better team than Sheffield but it’s a different story on the pitch.

Spurs were pretty lacklustre in their draw with Everton, although Son’s red card has been rescinded, you wonder if he will play after his tackle on Andre Gomes.

Sheffield might not be the prettiest side to watch but they are at the very least making the most of the chances that are afforded to them.

This is more of a back against Spurs play than anything else, on current form why not look for an upset.

Back Sheffield Win/Draw Double Chance @ $2.25

For the first time since George Graham in 1995, an Arsenal manager faces the prospect of being sacked midseason.

Unai Emery might have the club looking ok in the Europa League but the lack of progress in terms of domestic form might just be his undoing.

Of course the prospect of Jose Mourinho taking over the club has to be enough to unite the fan base into backing Emery.

The good news though is that you don’t have to back Emery and Arsenal here, they have given absolutely no reason to do so and Leicester has the significantly better manager in Brendan Rodgers.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.15

If you could say one thing about United, it’s that they are very good at playing to the level of their opponent.

Eight of their 11 matches have been decided by one goal or been a draw and Brighton is more than capable of taking advantage of a sub-par United performance.

Realistically United should still be able to handle Brighton but they have shown way too much vulnerability to back at that price with any sort of confidence.

Instead here, like Sheffield, back the more in form underdog to get something in the match.

Back Brighton/Draw Double Chance @ $2.30

It’s been the Wolves story all season, they aren’t losing but they aren’t winning either.

Taking a point from the Emirates last weekend should help their confidence and a win here might see them enter the international break in the top ten, despite their slow start.

What does raise a huge warning flag is the fact they will have to back up less than 72 hours after taking on Slova Bratislava in the Europa League.

The good news for Wolves is that they don’t have to travel for either match but it’s enough to make me feel pretty confident in another draw.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Here we go, it’s the match we’ve been looking forward to all week, while it won’t decide the title one way or another, it would be massive for Liverpool to go into the break with a nine-point advantage over City.

The fact this game is at Anfield swings it a bit towards Jurgen Klopp’s side and the fact City are putting out a bare bones defence thanks to a wretched run of injuries makes Liverpool an even more appealing play.

You won’t keep City out though, they will breach Liverpool’s defence at least once so I’ll throw in Both Teams to Score in a Same Game Multi.

SGM: Liverpool to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $4.30

2018/2019

In the final weekend of Premier League action before the November international break, the Manchester Derby is far and away the headline clash.

Every side will want to enjoy that winning feeling as they head into a fortnight off and with the top sides all facing intriguing tests, there is a lot to look forward to.

Read on for our previews, predictions and same game multis for all 10 Premier League matches this weekend.

Despite this being the first Premier League meeting between Cardiff and Brighton, these sides have plenty of recent history.

For the most part the numbers favour the visitors with Cardiff winning just one match this decade.

This game has the makings of a low scoring battle with Cardiff struggling to score this season for the most part and Brighton being rather solid defensively (last week’s loss to Everton notwithstanding).

Back Under 1.5 Total Goals @ $2.60

SGM: Under 1.5 Goals, Brighton to Win

It took much longer than anyone would have hoped but Huddersfield finally got their first win of the season.

Picking up three points wasn’t enough to get them out of the relegation zone, but it did give them some hope that the season is not going to be a total write off.

Consistency has been a big problem for West Ham over the past two seasons but with a draw and a win in their last two games, they might just be putting something together.

Huddersfield has scored just five goals all season and there are serious questions about whether or not they have the firepower to chase down West Ham.

Back West Ham to Win @ $2.25

SGM: West Ham to Win, Over 1.5 Goals, Chicharito Anytime Goalscorer

Safe to say the King Power Stadium will be the most emotional venue in the Premier League as the Foxes play their first home game since their chairman perished.

They claimed a hard fought victory in Cardiff last week and host a Burnley team reeling from three straight losses.

With Burnley having conceded 5, 4 and 4 goals in their last three games, Leicester should be looking at this game as a chance to have a tune up and give their goal difference a boost.

Back Leicester to Win -1 Goal  @ $2.35

SGM: Leicester to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Jamie Vardy Anytime Goalscorer

Newcastle are finally in the winners circle this season and with four points from their last two games, things might just be on the up.

Things are still coming up well for Bournemouth despite last week’s loss to Manchester United, they had the Red Devils on the ropes at times and continue to impress this season.

Outside of last week’s results, all indicators point to Bournemouth winning this game with two wins and a draw from the last four head to head meetings plus a much better Premier League season overall.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $2.55

SGM: Bournemouth to Win, Both Teams to Score, Joselu Anytime Goalscorer

A quick examination of Watford’s last five games might raise some concerns.

Three losses and just two wins will not exactly inspire a whole lot of confidence in punters but when you consider who those losses have come against, that should alleviate some of the concerns.

Southampton’s run of back to back draws also came to an end with a thrashing at the hands of Manchester City, but with all due respect to Watford, they are not the same side as the defending champions.

The Saints did also end their scoreless run of games with a consolation goal against City and they should be able to compete much more in this one.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

SGM: Draw, Both Teams to Score

After a midweek escape act, Tottenham travel across London to face Crystal Palace who are a tough team to get a read on.

Some weeks they will look very strong like in their draw with Arsenal and when they go down to Chelsea, they will look very subpar.

Tottenham on the other hand are still ploughing along despite a thin squad (for a side pulling double duty at home and abroad) only dropping points in three League games this season.

Spurs are offering good value here in what looks to be a solid mismatch and are worth backing in.

Back Tottenham to Win @ $1.80

SGM: Tottenham to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Harry Kane Anytime Goalscorer

The only thing which may get in the way of Liverpool winning this game is a residual hangover from their Champions League game in Serbia midweek.

Things did not go to plan for the Reds as they were stunned as heavy favourites and they will be looking to avoid a repeat showing here.

It caps a busy fortnight which included a draining clash against Arsenal last week and Jurgen Klopp will need to ensure his side are not overlooking this clash.

Even if they do it is still a tough task for a Fulham side that has picked up points in just three of their games this season.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $1.80

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Mo Salah Anytime Goalscorer

Eight wins and three draws and Chelsea’s unbeaten run to the season continues, Everton meanwhile have hit their stride as of late with four wins from their last five.

They were impressive in their 3-1 win over Brighton last week but have not been overly successful against Chelsea in recent years.

In their last five meetings, they have lost four games and drawn their most recent encounter.

Even if the history was reversed it is far too hard to back against Chelsea when they are in their current form.

Back Chelsea to Score Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.30

SGM: Chelsea to Win, Chelsea to Score Over 2.5 Goals.

While the draw against Liverpool was not what Arsenal were hoping to get out of this game, it was a very entertaining contest.

They go into this clash with Wolves expecting to come away with all three points and with the visitors suffering three straight league defeats, this is a great opportunity for Arsenal to do just that.

Wolves needed two penalties to score against Tottenham last week and they were the only goals scored in the losing streak.

It has been four league games since Arsenal kept a clean sheet but this could be the week they do it with a side bereft of confidence in front of goal.

Back Arsenal to Win to Nil @ $3

SGM: Arsenal to Win, Both Teams to Score (No), Alex Iwobi Anytime Goalscorer

What a way to end the weekend and head into the international break, this Manchester Derby might not be as straightforward as some would have you think.

Last season United were able to postpone City’s title party with a 3-2 win at the Etihad and they make the trip there once more.

We all know about City’s unbeaten start to the season and they will be dreading the thought of losing it to their neighbours.

After wavering for a while there, United are unbeaten in their last four with three wins in that time.

Both sides are certainly capable of scoring goals here but in a derby atmosphere such as this, do not be surprised if Mourhinho works his magic and keeps this game tight.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.55

SGM: Both Teams to Score (No), Under 2.5 Goals, Manchester City to Win

2017/2018

The last international break for 2017 is done and now the Premier League kicks up a gear or two as the players turn their attention to their clubs beginning with EPL Week 11.

Manchester City are the clear pacesetters however as we have learned in the past, jumping out of the blocks quickly counts for nothing unless a side is able to go on with it and they have a test travelling to Leicester this weekend.

Tottenham and Arsenal face off in a North London Derby to kick off the round with Arsenal looking to pull their neighbours back while Tottenahm are already a way behind City on the table.

All that and much, much more ahead this weekend.

One way to kick off a massive few months of English football is with a heated local derby.

Tottenham finally have something to hold over Arsenal finishing above them in the league for the first time in over two decades however the red part of North London will not want to give any ground at their home stadium.

Overall history is on their side having won 80 times however recent history has not been so kind with their last league win coming in March 2014.

Each of the last three meetings at the Emirates have been 1-1 draws and while the exact score is a bit too much of a risky play, a draw seems like a good tip here.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Back to the Premier League for Aaron Mooy and he may still be buzzing from the elation of qualifying for the World Cup.

He is unlikely to feature however with a long journey back to England and 180 minutes of football in his legs.

Working in Bournemouth’s favour is the fact they have never lost at home against a newly promoted side including five straight wins.

While this is the first Premier League meeting between the two sides, recent history in other competitions certainly favours the home side and that is the recommended play here.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $1.87

Burnley welcome the struggling Swansea City to Turf Moor looking for their third win in a row and will potentially have the opportunity to overtake Arsenal depending on their result earlier in the day.

In the past this would have been a great game to recommend a Swansea play here having won all four Premier League meetings between the sides but the fortunes have swung around massively this year.

Burnley have only conceded two goals at home this season, the third fewest in the league and it is hard to see Swansea causing too much trouble.

Back Burnley to Win @ $2.05

The only way is up for Palace and they have a chance to gain some ground on fellow relegation battlers Everton.

The Toffees are still without a manager after sacking Ronald Koeman while Palace are adapting to life under Roy Hodgson.

One of the rare bright spots of either side’s underwhelming start to the season is Everton striker Oumar Niasse whose goals have been responsible for five of the club’s eleven points thus far.

This screams out as a match of desperation and both sides will set up first and foremost to not lose this game.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

This game lines up as the most intriguing of the 2am kickoffs with Leicester without a loss since September 24 against Liverpool.

Of course, City are without a loss all season so both sides are in good form.

Last year the Foxes claimed a 4-2 win thanks to a Jamie Vardy hat-trick although it is hard to see that outcome repeating itself.

With ten wins and a draw so far, City will not want to make this their first loss for the season.

Even then taking City as straight up winners does not have a lot of value so instead look at the goal markets and look for City to score in both halves.

Back Manchester City to Score in Both Halves @ $1.87

With a squad full of former Southampton players, this may seem like a reunion for the Liverpool squad having made a handful of signings over the past few years.

For Virgil Van Dijk this may be a great opportunity to audition for a side that pursued him in the last transfer window.

The form guide here suggests that Liverpool may be in for a tough outing with Jurgen Klopp yet to get a win against Southhampton and as a club they have not beaten them in their last five meetings.

Liverpool looked good before the international break but having that time apart might disrupt some of that momentum and I will take a small upset here and look for a draw.

Back the Draw @ $4.60

Chelsea are not quite in full flight relative to their title winning campaign for last year but grinding out league wins over Man United and Bournemouth before the break will give them plenty of confidence.

They will however be sweating over the fitness of Eden Hazard who is in doubt after international duty.

Even without their Belgian playmaker they do have plenty of quality to break down what has been an underperforming West Brom midfield and create opportunities for their attackers. Considering that, I like Chelsea to battle to a comfortable victory with a few goals in store.

Back Chelsea to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.75

After a string of matches against fellow Champions League opponents, they should be welcoming the visit of Newcastle to Old Trafford.

Their opponents have proven to be difficult customers this season with all bar one of their results being decided by one goal or less.

That run includes a 2-2 draw at home to Liverpool however at their home ground you have to like the look of United.

They are unbeaten in the last 22 league matches at that venue however Newcastle should keep it tight.

Back Manchester United to Win and Under 2.5 goals @ $2.05

It appears as though Watford’s flying start to the season is hitting the skids as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak against Everton.

West Ham are welcoming in new manager David Moyes who replaces the sacked Slaven Bilic after recording just two wins from their opening eleven games.

The Hammers have conceded a league high 23 goals this season and Moyes’s first task will be to shore up that defensive group.

With Richalison seemingly being given the freedom to shoot on sight this year it will be a big test and perhaps a step too far for West Ham here.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.05

Unbeaten in their last four matches, Brighton welcome a Stoke side that are looking to go on a similar run having won their last two games.

Currently sitting in eighth place, Brighton are not playing in the highest scoring games, averaging just one goal for and against so far but that defensive solidarity is working out well for them.

Stoke have been much more open at the back letting in a troubling 22 goals however it is hard to see Brighton having enough firepower to make them pay.

The result is a little bit uncertain with both teams getting back into the swing of things so instead look for a low scoring game.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.57

2016/2017

There is no love lost between Arsene Wenger and Jose Mourinho and their rivalry will enter a new era when they do battle for the first time since Mourinho signed with Manchester United.

This is definitely not the only big game this weekend – Southampton and Liverpool have developed a strong rivalry in recent years, while Tottenham will face West Ham United in a tense London derby.

Don’t miss out on our thoughts on every single game in week 12 of the 2016/2017 English Premier League season and there are plenty of winners to be found once again!

Wenger vs Mourinho is back, for the first time since Jose Mourinho signed with Manchester United.

Manchester United went into the international break on the back of their first win in over a month against Swansea City and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Red Devils have won nine of their past 17 games as home favourites for a clear loss, but they have drawn five of their games in this scenario.

Arsenal have lost just the one game in the English Premier League this season and they played out a stalemate with their North London rivals Tottenham before the international break.

The Gunners have drawn their past three games as away underdogs and backing the draw in games involving the side over the past 12 months has been highly profitable.

This is set to be a highly tactical affair and it really would not surprise to see the match end as a stalemate.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Manchester City have won just one of their past four games, but they will still go into this clash with Crystal Palace as clear favourites.

Scoring goals has proven to be an issue for Manchester City in the past month, but they face a Crystal Palace outfit that has conceded 10 goals in their past three games.

The problem for punters is that Manchester City have won just six of their past 14 games as away favourites for a clear loss.

Crystal Palace went into the international break on the back of four straight losses and they are now in danger of dropping back into the relegation dogfight.

They have lost their past five games as home underdogs and their record in front of their home fans has been particularly bad in the past 12 months.

Manchester City should be able to get the job done, but they are tough to get as short as their current price.

No Bet

Everton went into the international break on the back of a 5-0 thumping at the hands of Chelsea, but they will still start this clash with Swansea City as clear favourites.

Everton have been inconsistent since their excellent start to the season and they have won only seven of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Swansea City have won just one game this season and desperately need to start picking up points in order to avoid being relegated fairly early into the season.

They have actually proven to be a profitable side as away underdogs over the past 12 months – even though they have only won three games in this scenario – and they have not lost to Everton since 2014.

I am willing to take a gamble on Swansea City and there is definite value at their current quote of $5.75.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $5.75

This is always a very interesting clash as a large number of the Liverpool side have previously played for Southampton.

Liverpool are arguably the form team in the English Premier League and it is no surprise that they are set to start this clash as clear favourites.

They have improved their record as away favourites in a big way over the past 12 months and they are now 7-7 in this scenario for a narrow loss.

Southampton went into the international break on the back of a disappointing 2-1 defeat at the hands of Hull City and another defeat could see them fall out of the top ten.

The Saints have won two of their past four games as home underdogs for a narrow profit and their record against Liverpool in recent years has been good.

Southampton are more than capable of mixing it with Liverpool at their best and the $3.50 on offer is well over the odds.

Back Southampton To Win @ $3.50

Stoke City have not lost a game for over two months and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

It is fair to say that Stoke have not had the strongest competition during their strong run, but they have still played some quality football.

Stoke have won five of their past nine games as favourites for a clear profit and they beat Bournemouth at Britannia Stadium last year.

Bournemouth have scored just one goal in their past three matches and they were very poor against Sunderland.

They have won three of their past 15 games as away underdogs for a very narrow profit, but it is very tough to beat against Stoke City in their current form.

Back Stoke City To Win @ $2.20

Three points could be crucial for both these sides that are currently stuck in the relegation zone.

Sunderland recorded their first win of the season against Bournemouth before the international break and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have only won two of their past seven matches as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a tough team to trust as the punter’s elect.

Hull City also bring winning form into this clash following their upset victory over Southampton.

They have actually won three of their 11 games this season for a narrow profit and they are more than capable of taking something from an extremely lackluster Sunderland side.

Hull City have beaten much better teams than Sunderland and they are well over the odds at their current price of $3.90.

Back Hull City To Win @ $3.90

The market suggests that this will be a very tight clash between Watford and Leicester City.

Leicester City suffered a shock loss against West Bromwich Albion in their final game before the international break and they will only start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Foxes have won four of their past six games as away favourites for a clear profit and it really is tough to ignore them at their current price.

Watford had their unbeaten run snapped by Liverpool in the most emphatic of fashion and this is another tough assignment for the Hornets.

Watford have won just two of their past 10 games as home underdogs and they struggled against Leicester City in their two meetings last season.

This is a crucial game for Leicester City and they should be able to return to winning form.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $2.60

Tottenham are yet to lose a game this season and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have now drawn four games on the trot and desperately need to return to winning form to remain in the English Premier League title picture.

Tottenham have won nine of their past 17 games as home favourites for a loss, but they have only lost three of their games in this scenario.

West Ham have bounced back somewhat in recent weeks, but they still linger very close to the relegation zone.

They have only won three of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they have drawn six of their games in this scenario.

Tottenham are deserving favourites, but you can’t ignore the $4 that is currently on offer for a stalemate.

Back The Draw @ $4

Chelsea have been truly dominant in the past month and a half and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Antonio Conte has worked wonders with this Chelsea side and they have scored 16 goals to zero in their past five matches.

Chelsea have won eight of their past 13 games as away favourites for a clear profit and based on their recent form they will be very tough to beat.

Middlesbrough went into the international break on the back of a strong draw with Manchester City and they have been far from disgraced in the English Premier this season.

They have won just one of their past seven games in front of their home fans and it is tough to see them being able to mix it with this rampant Chelsea outfit.

Back Chelsea To Win To Nil @ $2.38

Burnley surprisingly sit in ninth position on the English Premier League ladder, but it is West Bromwich Albion that will start this clash as clear favourites.

West Bromwich Albion produced their best performance of the season with their win over Leicester City, but they have only won one of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Burnley continue to defy expectations and they took seven points from their past three games against Everton, Manchester United and Crystal Palace.

They have generally produced their best performances in front of their home fans and they are 0-1-3 as away underdogs.

Despite that I still can’t get West Bromwich Albion as short as their current quote and the $3.10 for this clash to finish as a stalemate is a touch of value.

Back The Draw @ $3.10