2017/2018 EPL Week 12 Preview

Facebooktwittergoogle_plusmail

The last international break for 2017 is done and now the Premier League kicks up a gear or two as the players turn their attention to their clubs beginning with EPL Week 11.

Manchester City are the clear pacesetters however as we have learned in the past, jumping out of the blocks quickly counts for nothing unless a side is able to go on with it and they have a test travelling to Leicester this weekend.

Tottenham and Arsenal face off in a North London Derby to kick off the round with Arsenal looking to pull their neighbours back while Tottenahm are already a way behind City on the table.

All that and much, much more ahead this weekend.

Arsenal Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Saturday 18 November, 11:30pm, Emirates Stadium

One way to kick off a massive few months of English football is with a heated local derby.

Tottenham finally have something to hold over Arsenal finishing above them in the league for the first time in over two decades however the red part of North London will not want to give any ground at their home stadium.

Overall history is on their side having won 80 times however recent history has not been so kind with their last league win coming in March 2014.

Each of the last three meetings at the Emirates have been 1-1 draws and while the exact score is a bit too much of a risky play, a draw seems like a good tip here.

Back the Draw @ $3.50

Bournemouth Vs Huddersfield Town

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, Goldsands Stadium

Back to the Premier League for Aaron Mooy and he may still be buzzing from the elation of qualifying for the World Cup.

He is unlikely to feature however with a long journey back to England and 180 minutes of football in his legs.

Working in Bournemouth’s favour is the fact they have never lost at home against a newly promoted side including five straight wins.

While this is the first Premier League meeting between the two sides, recent history in other competitions certainly favours the home side and that is the recommended play here.

Back Bournemouth to Win @ $1.87

Burnley Vs Swansea City

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley welcome the struggling Swansea City to Turf Moor looking for their third win in a row and will potentially have the opportunity to overtake Arsenal depending on their result earlier in the day.

In the past this would have been a great game to recommend a Swansea play here having won all four Premier League meetings between the sides but the fortunes have swung around massively this year.

Burnley have only conceded two goals at home this season, the third fewest in the league and it is hard to see Swansea causing too much trouble.

Back Burnley to Win @ $2.05

Crystal Palace Vs Everton

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, Selhurst Park

The only way is up for Palace and they have a chance to gain some ground on fellow relegation battlers Everton.

The Toffees are still without a manager after sacking Ronald Koeman while Palace are adapting to life under Roy Hodgson.

One of the rare bright spots of either side’s underwhelming start to the season is Everton striker Oumar Niasse whose goals have been responsible for five of the club’s eleven points thus far.

This screams out as a match of desperation and both sides will set up first and foremost to not lose this game.

Back the Draw @ $3.10

Leicester City Vs Manchester City

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, King Power Stadium

This game lines up as the most intriguing of the 2am kickoffs with Leicester without a loss since September 24 against Liverpool.

Of course, City are without a loss all season so both sides are in good form.

Last year the Foxes claimed a 4-2 win thanks to a Jamie Vardy hat-trick although it is hard to see that outcome repeating itself.

With ten wins and a draw so far, City will not want to make this their first loss for the season.

Even then taking City as straight up winners does not have a lot of value so instead look at the goal markets and look for City to score in both halves.

Back Manchester City to Score in Both Halves @ $1.87

Liverpool Vs Southampton

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, Anfield

With a squad full of former Southampton players, this may seem like a reunion for the Liverpool squad having made a handful of signings over the past few years.

For Virgil Van Dijk this may be a great opportunity to audition for a side that pursued him in the last transfer window.

The form guide here suggests that Liverpool may be in for a tough outing with Jurgen Klopp yet to get a win against Southhampton and as a club they have not beaten them in their last five meetings.

Liverpool looked good before the international break but having that time apart might disrupt some of that momentum and I will take a small upset here and look for a draw.

Back the Draw @ $4.60

West Bromwich Albion Vs Chelsea

Sunday 19 November, 2:00am, The Hawthorns

Chelsea are not quite in full flight relative to their title winning campaign for last year but grinding out league wins over Man United and Bournemouth before the break will give them plenty of confidence.

They will however be sweating over the fitness of Eden Hazard who is in doubt after international duty.

Even without their Belgian playmaker they do have plenty of quality to break down what has been an underperforming West Brom midfield and create opportunities for their attackers. Considering that, I like Chelsea to battle to a comfortable victory with a few goals in store.

Back Chelsea to Win & Over 2.5 Goals @ $2.75

Manchester United Vs Newcastle United

Sunday 19 November, 4:30am, Old Trafford

After a string of matches against fellow Champions League opponents, they should be welcoming the visit of Newcastle to Old Trafford.

Their opponents have proven to be difficult customers this season with all bar one of their results being decided by one goal or less.

That run includes a 2-2 draw at home to Liverpool however at their home ground you have to like the look of United.

They are unbeaten in the last 22 league matches at that venue however Newcastle should keep it tight.

Back Manchester United to Win and Under 2.5 goals @ $2.05

Watford Vs West Ham United

Monday 20 November, 3:00am, Vicarage Road

It appears as though Watford’s flying start to the season is hitting the skids as they attempt to end a three-game losing streak against Everton.

West Ham are welcoming in new manager David Moyes who replaces the sacked Slaven Bilic after recording just two wins from their opening eleven games.

The Hammers have conceded a league high 23 goals this season and Moyes’s first task will be to shore up that defensive group.

With Richalison seemingly being given the freedom to shoot on sight this year it will be a big test and perhaps a step too far for West Ham here.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.05

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs Stoke City

Tuesday 21 November, 7:00am, Amex Stadium

Unbeaten in their last four matches, Brighton welcome a Stoke side that are looking to go on a similar run having won their last two games.

Currently sitting in eighth place, Brighton are not playing in the highest scoring games, averaging just one goal for and against so far but that defensive solidarity is working out well for them.

Stoke have been much more open at the back letting in a troubling 22 goals however it is hard to see Brighton having enough firepower to make them pay.

The result is a little bit uncertain with both teams getting back into the swing of things so instead look for a low scoring game.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.57


2016/2017

There is no love lost between Arsene Wenger and Jose Mourinho and their rivalry will enter a new era when they do battle for the first time since Mourinho signed with Manchester United.

This is definitely not the only big game this weekend – Southampton and Liverpool have developed a strong rivalry in recent years, while Tottenham will face West Ham United in a tense London derby.

Don’t miss out on our thoughts on every single game in week 12 of the 2016/2017 English Premier League season and there are plenty of winners to be found once again!

Manchester United Vs Arsenal

Saturday 19 November, 11:30pm, Old Trafford

Manchester United 1 - Arsenal 1

Wenger vs Mourinho is back, for the first time since Jose Mourinho signed with Manchester United.

Manchester United went into the international break on the back of their first win in over a month against Swansea City and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

The Red Devils have won nine of their past 17 games as home favourites for a clear loss, but they have drawn five of their games in this scenario.

Arsenal have lost just the one game in the English Premier League this season and they played out a stalemate with their North London rivals Tottenham before the international break.

The Gunners have drawn their past three games as away underdogs and backing the draw in games involving the side over the past 12 months has been highly profitable.

This is set to be a highly tactical affair and it really would not surprise to see the match end as a stalemate.

Back The Draw @ $3.10

Crystal Palace Vs Manchester City

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 1 - Manchester City 2

Manchester City have won just one of their past four games, but they will still go into this clash with Crystal Palace as clear favourites.

Scoring goals has proven to be an issue for Manchester City in the past month, but they face a Crystal Palace outfit that has conceded 10 goals in their past three games.

The problem for punters is that Manchester City have won just six of their past 14 games as away favourites for a clear loss.

Crystal Palace went into the international break on the back of four straight losses and they are now in danger of dropping back into the relegation dogfight.

They have lost their past five games as home underdogs and their record in front of their home fans has been particularly bad in the past 12 months.

Manchester City should be able to get the job done, but they are tough to get as short as their current price.

No Bet

Everton Vs Swansea City

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 1 - Swansea City 1

Everton went into the international break on the back of a 5-0 thumping at the hands of Chelsea, but they will still start this clash with Swansea City as clear favourites.

Everton have been inconsistent since their excellent start to the season and they have won only seven of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Swansea City have won just one game this season and desperately need to start picking up points in order to avoid being relegated fairly early into the season.

They have actually proven to be a profitable side as away underdogs over the past 12 months – even though they have only won three games in this scenario – and they have not lost to Everton since 2014.

I am willing to take a gamble on Swansea City and there is definite value at their current quote of $5.75.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $5.75

Southampton Vs Liverpool

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, St Mary's Stadium

Southampton 0 - Liverpool 0

This is always a very interesting clash as a large number of the Liverpool side have previously played for Southampton.

Liverpool are arguably the form team in the English Premier League and it is no surprise that they are set to start this clash as clear favourites.

They have improved their record as away favourites in a big way over the past 12 months and they are now 7-7 in this scenario for a narrow loss.

Southampton went into the international break on the back of a disappointing 2-1 defeat at the hands of Hull City and another defeat could see them fall out of the top ten.

The Saints have won two of their past four games as home underdogs for a narrow profit and their record against Liverpool in recent years has been good.

Southampton are more than capable of mixing it with Liverpool at their best and the $3.50 on offer is well over the odds.

Back Southampton To Win @ $3.50

Stoke City Vs Bournemouth

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, Britannia Stadium

Stoke City 0 - Bournemouth 1

Stoke City have not lost a game for over two months and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

It is fair to say that Stoke have not had the strongest competition during their strong run, but they have still played some quality football.

Stoke have won five of their past nine games as favourites for a clear profit and they beat Bournemouth at Britannia Stadium last year.

Bournemouth have scored just one goal in their past three matches and they were very poor against Sunderland.

They have won three of their past 15 games as away underdogs for a very narrow profit, but it is very tough to beat against Stoke City in their current form.

Back Stoke City To Win @ $2.20

Sunderland Vs Hull City

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, Stadium Of Light

Sunderland 3 - Hull City 0

Three points could be crucial for both these sides that are currently stuck in the relegation zone.

Sunderland recorded their first win of the season against Bournemouth before the international break and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have only won two of their past seven matches as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a tough team to trust as the punter’s elect.

Hull City also bring winning form into this clash following their upset victory over Southampton.

They have actually won three of their 11 games this season for a narrow profit and they are more than capable of taking something from an extremely lackluster Sunderland side.

Hull City have beaten much better teams than Sunderland and they are well over the odds at their current price of $3.90.

Back Hull City To Win @ $3.90

Watford Vs Leicester City

Sunday 20 November, 2:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 2 - Leicester City 1

The market suggests that this will be a very tight clash between Watford and Leicester City.

Leicester City suffered a shock loss against West Bromwich Albion in their final game before the international break and they will only start this clash as narrow favourites.

The Foxes have won four of their past six games as away favourites for a clear profit and it really is tough to ignore them at their current price.

Watford had their unbeaten run snapped by Liverpool in the most emphatic of fashion and this is another tough assignment for the Hornets.

Watford have won just two of their past 10 games as home underdogs and they struggled against Leicester City in their two meetings last season.

This is a crucial game for Leicester City and they should be able to return to winning form.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $2.60

Tottenham Vs West Ham United

Sunday 20 November, 4:30am, White Hart Lane

Tottenham 3 - West Ham 2

Tottenham are yet to lose a game this season and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

They have now drawn four games on the trot and desperately need to return to winning form to remain in the English Premier League title picture.

Tottenham have won nine of their past 17 games as home favourites for a loss, but they have only lost three of their games in this scenario.

West Ham have bounced back somewhat in recent weeks, but they still linger very close to the relegation zone.

They have only won three of their past 15 games as away underdogs, but they have drawn six of their games in this scenario.

Tottenham are deserving favourites, but you can’t ignore the $4 that is currently on offer for a stalemate.

Back The Draw @ $4

Middlesbrough Vs Chelsea

Monday 21 November, 3:00am, Riverside Stadium

Middlesbrough 0 - Chelsea 1

Chelsea have been truly dominant in the past month and a half and it is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites.

Antonio Conte has worked wonders with this Chelsea side and they have scored 16 goals to zero in their past five matches.

Chelsea have won eight of their past 13 games as away favourites for a clear profit and based on their recent form they will be very tough to beat.

Middlesbrough went into the international break on the back of a strong draw with Manchester City and they have been far from disgraced in the English Premier this season.

They have won just one of their past seven games in front of their home fans and it is tough to see them being able to mix it with this rampant Chelsea outfit.

Back Chelsea To Win To Nil @ $2.38

West Bromwich Albion Vs Burnley

Tuesday 22 November, 7:00am, The Hawthorns

West Bromwich Albion 4 - Burnley 0

Burnley surprisingly sit in ninth position on the English Premier League ladder, but it is West Bromwich Albion that will start this clash as clear favourites.

West Bromwich Albion produced their best performance of the season with their win over Leicester City, but they have only won one of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss.

Burnley continue to defy expectations and they took seven points from their past three games against Everton, Manchester United and Crystal Palace.

They have generally produced their best performances in front of their home fans and they are 0-1-3 as away underdogs.

Despite that I still can’t get West Bromwich Albion as short as their current quote and the $3.10 for this clash to finish as a stalemate is a touch of value.

Back The Draw @ $3.10