2016/2017 EPL Week 38 Preview

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It is the final round of what has been a typically lengthy English Premier League season.

The title has been decided as has the relegation battle, but there is a potentially intriguing situation emerging in the fight for places in the UEFA Champions League.

Arsenal Vs Everton

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

This is an interesting game for Arsenal as a win will keep alive their chances of finishing in the top four.

Arsenal made it four wins on the trot with their midweek win over Sunderland and they really have finished the season with a wet sail.

Their form at Emirates Stadium has been strong all season long and they have won 12 of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Everton will finish seventh no matter what their result this weekend and it has been another solid season.

They really don’t have a great deal to play for in this clash and their form away from home has been unconvincing – they have won only one of their past eight games as away underdogs.

Arsenal really should win this game to keep the pressure on Liverpool, but their is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Burnley Vs West Ham United

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Turf Moor

There is only two points separating these two teams on the English Premier League ladder and a Burnley win would see them leapfrog West Ham.

Burnley’s form at home has been nothing short of outstanding this season and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

They have not lost a game as home favourites, but two of their four games in this scenario have ended in a draw.

West Ham suffered a poor 4-0 defeat at the hands of Liverpool last weekend and it has been a fairly inconsistent season for the London-based side.

The Hammers have taken at least a point from eight of their past 16 games as away underdogs and they have never lost to Burnley.

These sides are both very difficult to split and it is the draw at the quote of $3.25 that really does stand out in this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.25

Chelsea Vs Sunderland

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea are the 2016/2017 English Premier League champions and they are dominant favourites to finish their season with a win in front of their home fans.

Chelsea played out a surprisingly entertaining midweek clash with Watford and they were able to improve their record at Stamford Bridge this season to a most impressive 16-2.

Sunderland are resigned to a return to the English Championship and they will finish on the bottom of the English Premier League.

Scoring goals has been a huge issue for the Black Cats in the second half of the season and they have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs.

Chelsea should be able to win this game comfortably, but it is tough to find any value in this clash.

No Bet

Hull City Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, The KC Stadium

It has been a season to remember for Tottenham Hotspur and they will enjoy their highest finish in the top flight of English Football since 1963.

It is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites and they really should be able to finish their season with a win.

They have won seven of their past 12 games as away favourites for a profit and they have comfortably won their past three games against Hull City.

Hull City showed plenty of fight in the second half of the season, but they were still unable to overcome the odds and were relegated following their loss to Crystal Palace last weekend.

The Tigers have proven tough to beat in front of their home fans and they have won four of their 11 games as home underdogs this season for a big profit.

In saying that, Tottenham are simply on another level from this side and do represent genuine value to finish the season with a win.

Back Tottenham To Win @ $1.65

Leicester City Vs Bournemouth

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

A top ten finish is on the line in this battle between Leicester City and Bournemouth.

They may not have defended their English Premier League title, but a strong second-half to the season has ensured a credible finish for Leicester City and they will start this clash as favourites.

Leicester City have proven tough to beat at King Power Stadium once again this season and they have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Bournemouth have flown under the radar in recent weeks, but their second half of the season has been nothing short of outstanding and they have won three of their past four games.

Winning away from home has been somewhat of an issue for Bournemouth and they have won only two of their 15 games as away underdogs this season.

Backing Leicester City in front of their home fans has been a winning betting play all season long and there is no reason to jump off this weekend.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $1.80

Liverpool Vs Middlesbrough

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Anfield

Liverpool currently sit in fourth position in the English Premier League and a win over Middlesbrough will ensure that they qualify for the Champions League, while a loss or a draw will give Arsenal the opportunity to leapfrog them.

Liverpool are clear favourites in this clash and they really should be able to secure their top four finish.

They have won 11 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a very small loss and they were far too good for Middlesbrough when these two sides met earlier this season.

Middlesbrough will return to the Championship after a very brief stay in the English Premier League and one of the main reasons for that has been their shocking form away from home.

They have won only one of their 17 games as away underdogs this season and it really is tough to see them taking anything from this clash.

Liverpool should win this clash and win comfortably.

Back Liverpool To Win To Nil

Manchester United Vs Crystal Palace

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United’s recent form in the English Premier League has been very poor and Jose Mourinho has admitted that the Europa League Final is now their major goal.

The Red Devils will still go into this clash as clear favourites, but their record in this position has been poor all season long.

Manchester United have won just six of their past 17 games as home favourites and ten of these games have ended in a draw.

Crystal Palace secured their survival with a victory over Hull City and Sam Allardyce would love nothing more than to finish the year with a victory over Mourinho and Manchester United.

Winning away from home has not been an issue for Crystal Palace this season and they have won six of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear profit.

Crystal Palace are more than capable of taking something out of this clash and they can finish the season with an upset win.

Back Crystal Palace To Win @ $3.25

Southampton Vs Stoke City

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, St Mary's Stadium

It has been an up and down season for Southampton, but a victory over Stoke City will ensure that they finish in the top eight once again.

It is Southampton that will start this clash as favourites, but they have proven to be a tough side to trust from a betting perspective this season.

They have won only six of their past 12 games as home favourites and they have not beaten Stoke at St Mary’s since 2014.

Stoke City have been fairly poor in the second half of the season and they have won only one of their past eight games.

Winning away from home has been a particularly big issue for Stoke City and they have won just one of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss.

It is tough to get Southampton as short as their current price and the $3.40 on offer for a draw does stand out in this clash.

Back The Draw @ $3.40

Swansea City Vs West Bromwich Albion

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City have secured their English Premier League survival and they will go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.

Swansea have won three of their past four games to remain in the top flight and their form in front of their home fans at Liberty Stadium has been particularly strong – they have won six of their past 11 games as home favourites.

West Bromwich Albion can finish the English Premier League season as high as eighth or as low as 11th – depending on this result and other games.

The Baggies have been an excellent betting side so far this season, but their form has generally come in front of their home fans and they have won only three of their past 16 games as away underdogs.

Swansea City will be keen to send out their home fans with another home win and they are good value to come away with the victory.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $1.93

Watford Vs Manchester City

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Vicarage Road

Manchester City are guaranteed to finish in the top four and they can secure a top three finish with a victory over Watford.

While they will likely finish in the top three, Manchester City have been a very tough team to trust from a betting perspective all season long and they have been a losing play across just about every metric.

Watford have lost five games on the trot, but they did push Chelsea in a genuine midweek thriller.

The Hornets have won three of their past eight games as home underdogs and they have proven tough to beat in front of their home fans this season.

Watford have very little to play for and it is tough to back them with any real confidence, but they are worth a very small gamble at the current quote of $8.50.

Back Watford To Win @ $8.50