2020/2021 EPL Week 38 Preview

The final day of the English Premier League season always delivers drama as the final 10 fixtures are played simultaneously.

In 2021, the title race is decided and we know who will be getting relegated, but that just allows all of the focus to be on the dramatic battle for European places.

Chelsea, Liverpool and Leicester are battling for two Champions League berths next season with the odd side out qualifying for the Europa League.

West Ham is the odds on favourite to round out the top six and holds a three point advantage on Tottenham and Everton.

Read on for our final preview of the 2020/2021 Premier League season below.

Arsenal Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 2 – Brighton 0

Arsenal will wrap up its worst season in over two decades by hosting Brighton at the Emirates Stadium.

While admittedly unlikely, they can still secure a berth in the new third tier Europa Conference League by bettering the results of Tottenham and Everton thanks to four straight Premier League wins.

Brighton certainly enjoyed their home finale, stunning Manchester City in a 3-2 victory.

While neither of these sides will be overly happy with where they have finished the season, they certainly will be looking towards ending their campaign on a high note.

Neither side has offered a whole lot of defensive solidarity in recent matches and Both Teams to Score has hit in four of the last five head to head contests.

The Gunners won the last match in Brighton and I’ll back them in a SGM to sweep the Seagulls.

SGM: Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $3.45

Aston Villa Vs Chelsea

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Villa Park

Aston Villa 2 – Chelsea 1

Villa is one of just four teams that is locked into its final position heading into the final day while Chelsea can lock up Champions League football with a win.

It’s no surprise then that with this match only having meaning for one side that I’ll be backing that team to come away with a victory.

The Blues may have conceded in their last four matches, including the FA Cup Final, but their rise under Thomas Tuchel has been on the back of a resolute defence.

I’ll back them to get things back on track with a clean sheet victory ahead of the Champions League Final.

Back Chelsea to Win to Nil @ $2.60

Fulham Vs Newcastle

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Craven Cottage

Fulham 0 – Newcastle 2

Fulham will exit the Premier League with a whimper having taken just two points from their last nine matches.

It does not seem overly likely that they will add to that tally with Newcastle representing an excellent value play here.

Despite careful examination of the stats, form lines and players, it just does not make sense for the hosts to be favourites here.

The Cottagers last three losses have all been by two goals so I’ll go for the massive value of Newcastle to win by at least two goals.

Back Newcastle to Win -1 Goal @ $7.00

Leeds Vs West Bromwich Albion

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Elland Road

Leeds 3 – West Brom 1

Leeds continued its remarkable run with another convincing victory during the week, this time over Southampton.

It was their third win in a row, which guaranteed a top half finish in their return to the Premier League.

As for West Brom, I’ve been backing against them for most of the season, so why turn down one last opportunity to do it before they head back to the Championship?

Back Leeds to Win -1 Goal @ $2.20

Leicester Vs Tottenham

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester 2 – Tottenham 4

It would not be the final day of the Premier League season without Tottenham having something riding on the outcome of their match.

Unfortunately for them, Leicester has much more to gain (and lose) from this fixture so the FA Cup champions will not want to do them any favours.

With Spurs coming off a rough home defeat at the hands of Aston Villa and star striker Harry Kane seemingly on the way out, this has all the makings of a bad spot for the London club.

Leicester handled them 2-0 just before Christmas and another big win for the home side to keep their Champions League hopes alive seems like the most obvious outcome.

Back Leicester to Win -1 Goal @ $3.70

Liverpool Vs Crystal Palace

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Anfield

Liverpool 2 – Crystal Palace 0

Unfortunately for the punters, there is not a lot of value to be found in this market if you like Liverpool to win.

The Reds are $1.16 favourites, having won their last four matches and now just need to win to finish in the top four once again.

Perhaps Crystal Palace will have one final twist in store, handing Liverpool a seventh home defeat of the season but I can’t bring myself to back them, even at $17.00 head to head.

One of the high points of Liverpool’s season was a 7-0 demolition of Palace in December and while that scoreline likely will not be replicated, I am expecting a comfortable win.

SGM: Liverpool HT/FT & Mo Salah First Goalscorer @ $5.02

Manchester City Vs Everton

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 5 – Everton 0

Despite having already been crowned as champions, Pep Guardiola will not be impressed with how his side has gone in their last three fixtures.

A loss to Chelsea was followed by a fortunate escape against Newcastle before blowing a 2-0 lead and losing to Brighton.

In what will be their final hitout before the Champions League Final, you would expect an improved effort in this match.

Considering Everton’s struggles in front of goal, this is the perfect opportunity for the City backline to get some confidence.

The Toffees have scored just 10 goals over their last 14 matches and only managed two goals in a fixture just once in that run.

City took the FA Cup match between these sides 2-0 in late March and will be hell bent on another clean sheet.

Back Manchester City to Win to Nil @ $2.50

Sheffield United Vs Burnley

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Bramall Lane

Sheffield United 1 – Burnley 0

Since having their safety confirmed, Burnley have gone off the deep end, losing their last two matches by a combined score of 7-0 against Leeds and Liverpool.

Sheffield on the other hand will cap one of the least memorable Premier League seasons in recent memory, scoring just 19 goals to date.

When Burnley wants to play, they can beat up on bad teams and Sheffield United is the definition of a bad team.

With one last opportunity to back against the Blades before they drop to the Championship, I could not turn it down.

Back Burnley to Win @ $2.40

West Ham Vs Southampton

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, London Stadium

West Ham 3 – Southampton 0

West Ham appears destined to play European football for the first time in five seasons, with a draw enough to secure sixth place and passage to the Europa League Group Stage.

They will want to end their most successful season since the 1998-1999 campaign on a high note and defeat a Southampton side that was at one point leading the competition.

Neither side has been overly stout defensively and both teams should be able to score.

I’ll take a same game multi here backing the Irons to win their season finale.

SGM: Back West Ham to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $3.17

Wolves Vs Manchester United

Monday 24 May, 1:00am, Molineux Stadium

Wolves 1 – Manchester United 2

Even with all of the likely final day excitement, I’m not expecting a whole lot from this fixture.

United will have one eye on the Europa League Final while Wolves will just be happy to see the season come to an end.

Goals have been few and far between when these two meet and even with United’s makeshift backline I can’t see Wolves causing too much drama.

There’s value to be had backing a defensive fixture where both sides just want to get through it in one piece.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $3.40


2019/2020

The final day of the English Premier League season is always something a little bit special with all ten matches kicking off simultaneously.

When it comes to 38th game drama, nothing will top Sergio Aguero in 2012 winning the title with essentially the last kick of the match.

On top of that the race for Europe unfolded between both North London clubs and the relegation battle was also decided over those two hours.

Even with the title already awarded to Liverpool, this season still offers plenty of drama with some clubs still having everything to play for.

Manchester United, Leicester and Chelsea are competing for the final two spots in the Champions League next season while only one of Aston Villa, Watford and Bournemouth will survive the drop to the Championship.

With varying levels of motivation across the division this is a tough round for punters but we’re confident in our picks for this weekend.

Arsenal Vs Watford

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 3 – Watford 2

In a vacuum you would back Arsenal to win this match but you have every reason to be a bit cautious after the loss to Aston Villa.

Watford will have just as much, if not more motivation than Villa, knowing they need a win to have any hope of survival.

With the Gunners probably keeping a little bit of their powder dry ahead of the FA Cup Final and no hope of reaching Europe, this could be a match where the fringe first team players get a run.

The value in this market is on Watford picking up a win and giving themselves some hope.

Back Watford to Win @ $3.60

Burnley Vs Brighton And Hove Albion

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Turf Moon

Burnley 1 – Brighton 2

This is going to be one of the matches you don’t need to give a second thought to, Burnley will be happy with a top ten finish while Brighton will just be glad to finish above the bottom three.

Neither side has a great deal of scoring prowess, with Burnley only scoring more than one goal once in its last ten fixtures while Brighton have done it once in their last 12.

We’ll back a low scoring contest here that doesn’t have a whole lot of intensity to it.

Back Under 1.5 Goals @ $3.40

Chelsea Vs Wolverhampton

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea 2 – Wolves 0

With their two rivals for a Champions League spot facing each other, a spot in Europe’s premiere club competition is on a silver platter this weekend.

Like Arsenal, the Blues will have to consider next weekend’s FA Cup Final but unlike their London rivals, they have a huge prize on offer should they finish in third or fourth place.

With that in mind, expect Frank Lampard to go all out here as the Champions League is probably more important than the FA Cup.

Wolves need to win to avoid falling to seventh but they don’t appear to have the firepower to keep up with Chelsea if they need to play catch up.

Bottom line here, Chelsea need the win more so back them.

Back Chelsea to Win @ $1.83

Crystal Palace Vs Tottenham

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 1 – Tottenham 1

There’s no need to make this pick any more complicated than it needs to be, Palace continues their pathetic run as they may be the worst football team in the world at the moment.

After resuming with a win over Bournemouth, Palace have lost their last seven matches including to lowly Aston Villa.

While their run has including some tough opponents, the fact they have not even scored a goal in six of those seven matches shows just how incompetent they have been in the last month.

Spurs would like to end what has been a rough season on some sort of high note and they have the perfect chance to do just that here.

Back Tottenham to Win to Nil @ $2.60

Everton Vs Bournemouth

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Goodison Park

Everton 1 – Bournemouth 3

There’s still hope for Bournemouth to play in the Premier League next season, albeit quite slim.

To avoid the drop they need to first and foremost defeat Everton in this match and hope that both Aston Villa and Watford lose.

Last week’s loss to Southampton might have sealed their fate but they at least head into this match with something to play for.

Traditionally the final day of the Premier League is built on miracle escapes like what the Cherries are hoping to conjure but it might be hoping for a bit much, especially if it looks like Villa and/or Watford are heading for at least a point in their respective matches.

There’s a good case to stay out of this one but there’s value to be had on an Everton victory.

Back Everton to Win @ $2.20

Leicester Vs Manchester United

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester 0 – Manchester United 2

This time last month, Leicester looked destined for an easy path to the Champions League.

However just nine points from eight Premier League matches leaves them in an all or nothing proposition against Manchester United.

They need to win to overtake the currently third placed United and assure themselves of Champions League football although a draw and a Chelsea loss will also be enough to get them there.

Over the last four seasons United has been a real nightmare prospect for them however, losing six of the seven Premier League matches between the two sides.

If there was ever a time to break that drought however it’s this weekend as United has well and truly crashed in the last week.

The prospect of Jamie Vardy running rings around Harry McGuire is enough to swing me to Leicester here.

Back Leicester to Win @ $3.20

Manchester City Vs Norwich

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, Etihad Stadium

Manchester City 5 – Norwich 0

This is City’s last chance for a tune up before the intensity goes up a notch in the conclusion of the UEFA Champions League.

When they play next they will be defending a 2-1 lead against Real Madrid and Norwich will provide a perfect training intensity match.

All of this is padding to say that there isn’t a lot of value to be had in this market so don’t force a play on this one.

NO BET

Newcastle Vs Liverpool

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, St James’ Park

Newcastle 1 – Liverpool 3

Speaking of a lack of intensity, Liverpool will have spent time between this and their previous match partying after raising the Premier League trophy.

Chances are they will be a bit off the pace but so will Newcastle as they are all but officially locked into 13th place.

Liverpool should win this match but we’ve seen them fail to turn up a couple of times this season.

Instead back a match that barely escapes a walking pace.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $2.45

Southampton Vs Sheffield United

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton 3 – Sheffield United 1

You have to give credit to Southampton, their late season rally has been enough to get them out of a possible relegation battle and comfortably safe.

Sheffield has struggled mightily on the road taking just two points away from home since the Premier League restarted.

A win would secure eighth spot while a loss could send them as low as tenth.

Neither side will be looking to drop points and that should lead to a cagey draw.

Back the Draw @ $3.40

West Ham Vs Aston Villa

Monday 27 July, 1:00am, London Stadium

West Ham 1 – Aston Villa 1

Until West Ham nabbed a point from Manchester United, this match was billed as a potential battle for survival.

Villa will be looking to complete their own survival story, moving up to 17th on goal difference after a 1-0 win over Arsenal midweek.

It is a case of finding form at the right time having spent 17 weeks in the relegation zone including the last nine before the conclusion of Matchweek 37.

There’s a few different ways they could go down even with a win here and with West Ham already accomplishing their mission to survive, they may be below par in this match.

Villa goes into this as the more desperate side and that’s why we’ll back them to win.

Back Aston Villa to Win @ $2.20


2018/2019

For the first time since May 2014, the Premier League title will be decided on the final day of the season.

Much like five years ago, City holds the advantage over Liverpool and know that if they manage to beat Brighton, they will be the first team to defend their title in a decade.

Liverpool spent most of the season looking like it was their title to lose but now need to beat Wolves at home and home that City drops points.

Elsewhere the relegation battle is decided so all that remains for Fulham, Huddersfield and Cardiff is to try and end their respective tenures on a high note.

The top four race is also set, barring a Spurs collapse of epic proportions and Arsenal defying their recent history and playing well away from home.

With just ten games remaining in this season, there’s one last chance to enjoy a profitable weekend on the Premier League.

Brighton And Hove Albion Vs Manchester City

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Amex Stadium

Brighton 1 – Manchester City 4

There’s not much to overthink about this game, City can’t take it easy on Brighton, they need to win to secure the Premier League title.

Brighton are pretty much locked in to 17th place and haven’t got much to play for.

They did play spoiler for Arsenal’s top four hopes last week snatching a 1-1 draw at the Emirates so there’s a chance they give City a real scare here.

Pep Guardiola has his side too well drilled to let this opportunity slip and there is every chance they win the title with a huge win here.

Brighton have given up an average of over 1.5 goals per game and City have averaged just under 2.5 goals per game so I’ll back in a high scoring game.

Back City to Win & Over 3.5 Goals @ $1.80

SGM: City to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Aguero Anytime Goalscorer

Burnley Vs Arsenal

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Turf Moor

Burnley 1 – Arsenal 3

There’s not a lot of hope for Arsenal fans on the final day of the season, thanks to their draw at home to Brighton they are almost no chance of making the top four.

Now they are left to rely on their away form which has been poor at best over the past few seasons and hope Tottenham have a major collapse in their game.

On top of that they are backing up from a Europa League semi final in Spain so there could be a few fringe players.

Even the most ardent Gunners fans would have a hard time being optimistic about their chances here and with Burnley at that price it’s worth backing them in for an upset.

Back Burnley to Win @ $3.10

SGM: Burnley to Win, Both Teams to Score

Crystal Palace Vs Bournemouth

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace 5 – Bournemouth 3

This is another game that could see quite a few goals in it… if it meant anything other than deciding who finishes on top in this head to head battle.

One point is between them on the table and both are bringing pretty similar form to the final round of the Premier League season.

If you want to talk yourself into a play for this game then there’s value to be had but with too many variables in play it’s a stay away for me.

NO BETS

Fulham Vs Newcastle

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Craven Cottage

Fulham 0 – Newcastle 4

So long Fulham, it was (kind of) fun while it lasted.

The Premier League’s worst defence bids farewell to the competition but it has found some form as of late.

At one point it looked like they’d be setting the wrong sort of records but have conceded just once in their last four.

Newcastle gave everything they had against Liverpool but ultimately fell short however the Both Teams to Score market has hit in each of their last three.

With that in mind, I’m expecting a few goals in this game and a winner so I’ll back the total market straight up and throw the winner into a Same Game Multi.

Back Over 2.5 Goals @ $1.70

SGM: Fulham to Win, Over 2.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score

Leicester City Vs Chelsea

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

Leicester 0 – Chelsea 0

Chelsea is locked into a Champions League spot, but still needs to finish ahead of Tottenham in order to avoid the qualifying rounds.

Leicester is locked into a top ten spot and is simply playing for pride.

There’s a real dilemma for Chelsea though, they need to manage their squad after their Europa League semi final just like Arsenal, and appear primed for an upset.

This has more to do with value than anything else, but why not take a flyer on Leicester here, stranger things have happened on the final day.

Back Leicester to Win @ $2.70

SGM: Leicester to Win, Both Teams to Score, Jamie Vardy First Goalscorer

Liverpool Vs Wolverhampton

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Anfield

Liverpool 2 – Wolves 0

If you’re in the Champions League final, do you really need to worry about that little matter of the Premier League?

That sort of justification will be flying around Anfield on Sunday as Liverpool needs a miracle of similar proportions to the one they pulled off during the week against Barcelona.

Unfortunately it’s not all in their hands but there’s nothing stopping them taking care of what is in their control when they take on a Wolves side locked into seventh spot.

They have done very well against the big sides this season and should be able to put a scare into Liverpool but I’ll back the Reds to get the job done in the end.

Back Liverpool to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.90

SGM: Liverpool to Win, Over 3.5 Goals

Manchester United Vs Cardiff

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United 0 – Cardiff 2

The best case scenario for United this weekend is for them to snap a four game winless run in the Premier League and leapfrog Arsenal into fifth place.

It might just give them the buffer of avoiding the Europa League qualifiers during their preseason.

Three straight losses sees Cardiff bidding farewell to the Premier League 12 months after going up and perhaps Neil Warnock might bring out something special for this game.

Were United playing a side with anything on the line I would consider backing that opponent but not Cardiff, they’re going down for a reason.

There’s not a whole lot of value on offer for any likely outcome here so I’ll declare this as a stay away.

NO BETS

Southampton Vs Huddersfield Town

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Southampton 1 – Huddersfield 1

You could forgive the Huddersfield players for having their suitcases waiting outside the dressing room to go on holiday about 90 seconds after the full time whistle.

It’s been nothing short of a dreadful season for the Terriers and the sooner they can move on the better.

In all fairness it’s only been marginally better for Southampton, but at least they have been able to survive another year.

Neither side has been overly stout defensively so I like the potential of the Both Teams to Score market for starters.

Add in the usual “bet against Huddersfield” rule and that gives you a decent value play for this game.

Back Southampton to Win and Both Teams to Score @ $2.88

SGM: Southampton to Win, Over 3.5 Goals, Both Teams to Score

Tottenham Vs Everton

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Tottenham Stadium

Tottenham 2 – Everton 2

As difficult as it will be for Liverpool to back up from their Champions League euphoria, it will be worse for Tottenham.

With 24 hours less rest, plus the travel back to London and a tough opponent, this has the makings of an upset.

Not that it will matter too much since they will be every chance of still finishing fourth even with a loss as long as Arsenal don’t beat Burnley and turn around an eight goal difference all in one afternoon.

With their focus on Madrid next month, I think we might see a below par Spurs performance and Everton would love to end their season on a high note.

Back Everton to Win @ $3.20

SGM: Everton to Win, Under 3.5 Goals

Watford Vs West Ham

Monday 13 May, 12:00am, Vicarage Road

Watford 1 – West Ham 4

It’s the FA Cup Finalists in their final clash before the biggest game of their season.

West Ham could leapfrog them on the ladder and have won their last two, but as is always the case with West Ham, you wonder when their bubble will burst.

The Hornets picked up the win back in December and I don’t have a lot of faith in West Ham away from home so I’ll follow those numbers and back a perfect warm up for next weekend.

Back Watford to Win @ $2.15

SGM: Watford to Win, Both Teams to Score


2017/2018

One of the best days in all of sport is the final day of the English Premier League season, as all 20 teams take to the pitch and kick off simultaneously.

For some, such as Manchester City and Burnley, this is the conclusion of a memorable season.

For Arsenal it is a sad goodbye as Arsene Wenger farewells the club he has been at for 22 years.

West Brom and Stoke enter Sunday’s games knowing it will be their last Premier League action until August 2019 at the absolute earliest while Swansea are left to rely on a miracle to avoid being relegated themselves.

Read on for our previews and predictions for the final day of the English Premier League season.

Burnley Vs Bournemouth

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Turf Moor

While this game does not exactly have a lot at stake in terms of table position for its hosts, they will be wanting to mark their most successful Premier League season with a win here.

Surprisingly, their home form has not been that good overall, losing six times but where they have been successful, is keeping games tight, with just 15 goals scored and 15 conceded all season.

Bournemouth have picked up just 15 points away from home while scoring 17 goals in their 18 games played so far.

Such is the nature of the Premier League table this season that a win could see Bournemouth go as high as ninth or a loss could send them down to fifteenth.

This has the makings of a low scoring affair with not a lot of adventure as teams just want to get through the final day in one piece.

Back Under 2.5 Goals @ $1.73

Crystal Palace Vs West Bromwich Albion

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Selhurst Park

West Brom’s Premier League farewell takes place at Selhurst Park as they prepare to depart the top flight after eight seasons.

Palace are one of the teams in the quagmire of mid table teams that could finish anywhere from ninth to fifteenth.

They have lost seven games at home this season but have won their last two games at this venue, scoring a grand total of eight goals in those contests.

While not to kick a club when they are down, West Brom have been on fire since they installed caretaker manager Darren Moore but it is too little too late for them.

With their fate confirmed that run West Brom have been on should come to an end here.

Back Crystal Palace to Win @ $1.85

Huddersfield Vs Arsenal

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, John Smith’s Stadium

What was initially earmarked as a Survival Sunday for Huddersfield, can now be a celebration after their midweek point at Chelsea secured Premier League football for another season.

Arsenal’s atrocious away record continued with another loss Thursday morning, this time to Leicester.

The Gunners ran riot at the Emirates but they are a totally different side away from home with a grand total of zero points outside of the Emirates Stadium

Backing against Arsenal has been quite a profitable play lately and why mess with a winning formula, even with this being Arsene Wenger’s last official game.

Back Huddersfield to Win @ $5.50

Liverpool Vs Brighton & Hove Albion

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Anfield

Liverpool come into this game as the last Premier League side undefeated at home and they will be very keen to keep that record intact through this game.

Brighton have picked up just 11 points on their travels so far and have scored just 10 goals in those 18 games so they are expected to offer little resistance here.

Expect a raucous Anfield as they prepare to send Liverpool off for the Champions League final on a high note.

Back Liverpool to Win to Nil @ $1.95

Manchester United Vs Watford

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Old Trafford

United have their final warm up ahead of the FA Cup final against a Watford side they have a good record against in the past three seasons.

Four of the five encounters have gone the way of the Red Devils with the most recent late November meeting being won by United 4-2.

Watford ended their winless run with a victory over Newcastle but only one side has anything meaningful to get out of this game.

Back Manchester United Half Time/Full Time @ $1.80

Newcastle Vs Chelsea

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, St James’ Park

Four straight losses for Newcastle have them limping to the finish line and very thankful this match does not have any potential relegation implications.

Chelsea have been one of the stronger teams away from home with 10 wins this season and a relatively solid defensive record.

They can still finish in fourth spot however they do require a Liverpool loss which seems rather unlikely.

Much like Manchester United, this is their final opportunity to prepare for the FA Cup Final so look for Chelsea to come out ready to play.

Back Chelsea to Win @ Under 3.5 Goals @ $2.50

Southampton Vs Manchester City

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, St Mary’s Stadium

Despite sitting 20 points clear at the top of the Premier League table, Manchester City will not be taking it easy on Swansea as they look to become the first team to break the 100 point barrier.

They could set a number of records with a win in this game including most away wins, biggest title-winning margin and most away goals just to name a few.

That is not an encouraging sign for a team that is still in danger of being relegated with a goal difference turnaround and we know City are more than capable of piling on the goals if needed.

In terms of the market it looks just about right so I am going to stay out of this game.

NO BET

Swansea Vs Stoke

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea could not have asked for a better opponent in their bid for a miracle turnaround with Southampton potentially in line for a big scoreline.

To overtake the Saints, they need to win, have Southampton lose and have a net goal turnaround of ten.

Admittedly it is a big ask but they are facing a side already relegated and with literally nothing to play for.

Recent meetings have seen a nice mix of results but Swansea should have the edge here and put the pressure right on Southampton.

Back Swansea to Win @ $1.85

Tottenham Vs Leicester

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Wembley

A game that could have had a lot more riding on it had Chelsea beaten Huddersfield, Tottenham are now assured of Champions League football next season.

They do still need a win to qualify directly for the group stage and should take care of business against a Leicester side settled in the top 10.

Tottenham are famous for their end of season collapses however, with plenty of final day defeats giving opponents plenty of fodder.

Not this year however, I have them winning this and making it back to the Champions League.

Back Tottenham to Win & Both Teams to Score @ $2.60

West Ham Vs Everton

Monday 14 May, 12:00am, Selhurst Park

Another game with very little on the line, West Ham and Everton head into this game with little more than pride on the line.

The Olympic Stadium has not been a happy hunting ground for West Ham this season for the most part with fans venting their frustrations throughout the season.

Everton’s away record is not overly impressive either with just three wins all season.

The last two West Ham home games in between these sides have ended in draws and that is the tip to repeat here.

Back the Draw @ $3.40


2016/2017

It is the final round of what has been a typically lengthy English Premier League season.

The title has been decided as has the relegation battle, but there is a potentially intriguing situation emerging in the fight for places in the UEFA Champions League.

Arsenal Vs Everton

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Emirates Stadium

This is an interesting game for Arsenal as a win will keep alive their chances of finishing in the top four.

Arsenal made it four wins on the trot with their midweek win over Sunderland and they really have finished the season with a wet sail.

Their form at Emirates Stadium has been strong all season long and they have won 12 of their past 15 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Everton will finish seventh no matter what their result this weekend and it has been another solid season.

They really don’t have a great deal to play for in this clash and their form away from home has been unconvincing – they have won only one of their past eight games as away underdogs.

Arsenal really should win this game to keep the pressure on Liverpool, but their is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this clash from a betting standpoint.

No Bet

Burnley Vs West Ham United

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Turf Moor

There is only two points separating these two teams on the English Premier League ladder and a Burnley win would see them leapfrog West Ham.

Burnley’s form at home has been nothing short of outstanding this season and they will start this clash as clear favourites.

They have not lost a game as home favourites, but two of their four games in this scenario have ended in a draw.

West Ham suffered a poor 4-0 defeat at the hands of Liverpool last weekend and it has been a fairly inconsistent season for the London-based side.

The Hammers have taken at least a point from eight of their past 16 games as away underdogs and they have never lost to Burnley.

These sides are both very difficult to split and it is the draw at the quote of $3.25 that really does stand out in this fixture.

Back The Draw @ $3.25

Chelsea Vs Sunderland

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Stamford Bridge

Chelsea are the 2016/2017 English Premier League champions and they are dominant favourites to finish their season with a win in front of their home fans.

Chelsea played out a surprisingly entertaining midweek clash with Watford and they were able to improve their record at Stamford Bridge this season to a most impressive 16-2.

Sunderland are resigned to a return to the English Championship and they will finish on the bottom of the English Premier League.

Scoring goals has been a huge issue for the Black Cats in the second half of the season and they have won just three of their past 17 games as away underdogs.

Chelsea should be able to win this game comfortably, but it is tough to find any value in this clash.

No Bet

Hull City Vs Tottenham Hotspur

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, The KC Stadium

It has been a season to remember for Tottenham Hotspur and they will enjoy their highest finish in the top flight of English Football since 1963.

It is no surprise that they will start this clash as clear favourites and they really should be able to finish their season with a win.

They have won seven of their past 12 games as away favourites for a profit and they have comfortably won their past three games against Hull City.

Hull City showed plenty of fight in the second half of the season, but they were still unable to overcome the odds and were relegated following their loss to Crystal Palace last weekend.

The Tigers have proven tough to beat in front of their home fans and they have won four of their 11 games as home underdogs this season for a big profit.

In saying that, Tottenham are simply on another level from this side and do represent genuine value to finish the season with a win.

Back Tottenham To Win @ $1.65

Leicester City Vs Bournemouth

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, King Power Stadium

A top ten finish is on the line in this battle between Leicester City and Bournemouth.

They may not have defended their English Premier League title, but a strong second-half to the season has ensured a credible finish for Leicester City and they will start this clash as favourites.

Leicester City have proven tough to beat at King Power Stadium once again this season and they have won eight of their past 12 games as home favourites for a clear profit.

Bournemouth have flown under the radar in recent weeks, but their second half of the season has been nothing short of outstanding and they have won three of their past four games.

Winning away from home has been somewhat of an issue for Bournemouth and they have won only two of their 15 games as away underdogs this season.

Backing Leicester City in front of their home fans has been a winning betting play all season long and there is no reason to jump off this weekend.

Back Leicester City To Win @ $1.80

Liverpool Vs Middlesbrough

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Anfield

Liverpool currently sit in fourth position in the English Premier League and a win over Middlesbrough will ensure that they qualify for the Champions League, while a loss or a draw will give Arsenal the opportunity to leapfrog them.

Liverpool are clear favourites in this clash and they really should be able to secure their top four finish.

They have won 11 of their past 18 games as home favourites for a very small loss and they were far too good for Middlesbrough when these two sides met earlier this season.

Middlesbrough will return to the Championship after a very brief stay in the English Premier League and one of the main reasons for that has been their shocking form away from home.

They have won only one of their 17 games as away underdogs this season and it really is tough to see them taking anything from this clash.

Liverpool should win this clash and win comfortably.

Back Liverpool To Win To Nil

Manchester United Vs Crystal Palace

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Old Trafford

Manchester United’s recent form in the English Premier League has been very poor and Jose Mourinho has admitted that the Europa League Final is now their major goal.

The Red Devils will still go into this clash as clear favourites, but their record in this position has been poor all season long.

Manchester United have won just six of their past 17 games as home favourites and ten of these games have ended in a draw.

Crystal Palace secured their survival with a victory over Hull City and Sam Allardyce would love nothing more than to finish the year with a victory over Mourinho and Manchester United.

Winning away from home has not been an issue for Crystal Palace this season and they have won six of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear profit.

Crystal Palace are more than capable of taking something out of this clash and they can finish the season with an upset win.

Back Crystal Palace To Win @ $3.25

Southampton Vs Stoke City

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, St Mary's Stadium

It has been an up and down season for Southampton, but a victory over Stoke City will ensure that they finish in the top eight once again.

It is Southampton that will start this clash as favourites, but they have proven to be a tough side to trust from a betting perspective this season.

They have won only six of their past 12 games as home favourites and they have not beaten Stoke at St Mary’s since 2014.

Stoke City have been fairly poor in the second half of the season and they have won only one of their past eight games.

Winning away from home has been a particularly big issue for Stoke City and they have won just one of their past 16 games as away underdogs for a clear loss.

It is tough to get Southampton as short as their current price and the $3.40 on offer for a draw does stand out in this clash.

Back The Draw @ $3.40

Swansea City Vs West Bromwich Albion

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Liberty Stadium

Swansea City have secured their English Premier League survival and they will go into this clash with West Bromwich Albion as clear favourites.

Swansea have won three of their past four games to remain in the top flight and their form in front of their home fans at Liberty Stadium has been particularly strong – they have won six of their past 11 games as home favourites.

West Bromwich Albion can finish the English Premier League season as high as eighth or as low as 11th – depending on this result and other games.

The Baggies have been an excellent betting side so far this season, but their form has generally come in front of their home fans and they have won only three of their past 16 games as away underdogs.

Swansea City will be keen to send out their home fans with another home win and they are good value to come away with the victory.

Back Swansea City To Win @ $1.93

Watford Vs Manchester City

Monday 23 May, 12:00am, Vicarage Road

Manchester City are guaranteed to finish in the top four and they can secure a top three finish with a victory over Watford.

While they will likely finish in the top three, Manchester City have been a very tough team to trust from a betting perspective all season long and they have been a losing play across just about every metric.

Watford have lost five games on the trot, but they did push Chelsea in a genuine midweek thriller.

The Hornets have won three of their past eight games as home underdogs and they have proven tough to beat in front of their home fans this season.

Watford have very little to play for and it is tough to back them with any real confidence, but they are worth a very small gamble at the current quote of $8.50.

Back Watford To Win @ $8.50