Ladbrokes Tip:Favourites have a poor record in the Melbourne Cup over the past 30 years or so
The 2016 Melbourne Cup is not only the biggest race in Australian horse racing, but is arguably the most popular event in the country every single year. This year the Melbourne Cup will be run on Tuesday 1st November 2016.
The race was first held in 1861 and quickly became known as ‘the race that stops a nation’. In recent years, the Melbourne Cup has been dominated by international horses and it is now considered the staying championship of the world. The Melbourne Cup has been won by some of the greats of Australian racing like Archer, Phar Lap, Peter Pan, Rising Fast, Galilee, Let’s Elope, Saintly, Might And Power and Makybe Diva.
The Melbourne Cup each year attracts an incredible amount of betting activity and people are always looking out for the best tips to give them the winning edge. The Ladbrokes blog provides in depth racing tips and analysis on a daily basis.
The Melbourne Cup field is released on the Saturday afternoon (Victoria Derby Day) before the race and features a capacity field of 24 runners. The ballot order for the Melbourne Cup is released several months in advance and the winners of the Caulfield Cup, Cox Plate, Lexus Stakes and Mackinnon Stakes all earn a ballot exempt entry into the race. The TAB is unable to accommodate over 24 horses in a race and for this reason there are no emergencies in the Melbourne Cup.
Undoubtedly considered Australia’s major series, the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival as the name suggests runs through the season of spring each year; officially beginning with Caulfield’s PB Lawrence Stakes Day in early August and concluding in the late stages of November. The Melbourne Spring Carnival boasts black type racing each weekend and often through the week; highlighted by a total of twenty-one Group 1 races contested under every condition imaginable; weight-for-age, handicap, gender etc. Each black type race during the Melbourne Spring Carnival figures as either a major goal, or a stepping stone towards a race further into the carnival.
In some instances there is no clear path; a trainer might for example elect to run their horse in either of the Listed Geelong Classic (2200m) or Group 2 Moonee Valley Vase (2040m) as a final point of call before the Victoria Derby (2500m), whereas in other cases the lead-up is far-more obvious; the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) a fortnight prior to the Group 1 Caulfield Guineas (1600m), for example. Every Group 1 race is clearly a major prize during the Melbourne spring, however there are a select few races undoubtedly considered the carnival’s featured events. The Group 1 Caulfield Cup is the first of these; contested over a mile-and-a-half (2400m) in mid-October. Won by some of the country’s best ever horses, the Caulfield Cup often figures as the final turning point for horses both local and international ahead of the Melbourne Cup.
The Group 1 Cox Plate (2040m) is the country’s premiere weight-for-age race and boasts an impressive $3 million purse. Contested just over a week prior to the Melbourne Cup, the Cox Plate has been won by everything from locals to internationals and even three-year-olds since the turn of the century. The Group 1 Victoria Derby figures as the carnival’s headline race for three-year-old stayers and is contested the Saturday prior to the Melbourne Cup. The Derby is a key stallion-making race and was taken out by the Mick Price-trained Tarzino in 2015. Known widely as the Race That Stops a Nation, the Melbourne Cup draws a capacity field of 24 stayers to Flemington Racecourse on the first Tuesday of November year in, year out. One of the world’s headline 3200m races, the Melbourne Cup is contested under standard handicap conditions and is worth $6.2 million in prize money.
Pre-post betting markets for the Melbourne Cup are available all year round, but the real money is invested in the three days prior to the race. The Melbourne Cup is easily the most popular betting event in Australia and the staggering amount of money wagered on the race means that there is generally great value available for every single runner in the field. Only six favourites have won the Melbourne Cup in the last thirty years, while there have been 14 winners at double figure odds.
Melbourne Cup tips can be found everywhere in the lead-up to the race, but the big field, handicap conditions and distance of the race make it very difficult to back the winner. The presence of a number of international horses and a variety of different form lines make it even more difficult to back the winner of the Melbourne Cup.
The Melbourne Cup form guide is poured over by punters right around Australia and the world in the lead-up to the race. The Caulfield Cup is generally considered the major lead-up race to the Melbourne Cup, but no horse has completed the Caulfield Cup/Melbourne Cup double since Ethereal in 2001. The Cox Plate continues to grow as a Melbourne Cup form guide, but the Mackinnon Stakes is no longer considered as important a form reference. Other races that have produced the Melbourne Cup winner in recent years include the Herbert Power Stakes, the Geelong Cup and the Lexus Stakes.
Several trainers from around the world have enjoyed success in the Melbourne Cup throughout its rich history and their names have been etched into Australian race history and folklore as a result.
Undoubtedly the name most synonymous with the Melbourne Cup is that of the late, great Bart Cummings, who secured a record and incredible 12 wins in the race over a long and illustrious career. Cummings saddled his first Cup winner through Light Fingers in 1964 and it fast became clear the trainer was on his way to stardom when defending his crown with Galilee and Red Handed in 1965 and 1966 respectively. Cummings’ record will likely never been eclipsed and he will always be the toast of the Race That Stops a Nation.
Prominent Australian trainer Lee Freedman has won the second-most amount of Melbourne Cups having so-far saddled five winners. The trainer’s first triumph came when Tawriffic won in 1989, but his biggest impact on the race undoubtedly came in preparing equine superstar Makybe Diva to two of her three-consecutive successes in 2004 and 2005. Freedman currently trains in partnership with brother Anthony and the pair prepared Our Ivanhowe in the 2015 edition of the race, who was unlucky to be hampered for a run in the final straight.
A number of international trainers have made their mark in Australia on the first Tuesday of November, but perhaps none more than two-time winner Dermot Weld. Weld claimed his first Melbourne Cup success via popular stayer Vintage Crop in 1993 but is most famous for preparing Media Puzzle in 2002; partnered by champion hoop Damien Oliver in the wake of his brother Jason’s sudden passing from a fall in track work.
The Melbourne Cup results will be available at just after 2pm (AEDT) on the first Tuesday of November every year. The first three horses across the line draw the largest amount of interest from most punters, but due to the popularity of sweeps there is always interest in the final finishing position of all 24 runners.
The 2016 Melbourne Cup Results will be published as soon as the race runs on Tuesday 1st November 2016.
|2015||Prince of Penzance||Michelle Payne||Darren Weir||3.23.15|
|2014||Protectionist||Ryan Moore||Andreas Wohler||3.17.71|
|2013||Fiorente||Damien Oliver||Gai Waterhouse||3.20.84|
|2012||Green Moon||Brett Prebble||Robert Hickmott||3.20.45|
|2011||Dunaden||Christophe Lemaire||Mikel Delzangles||3.20.84|
|2010||Americain||Gérald Mossé||Alain de Royer Dupre||3.26.87|
|2009||Shocking||Corey Brown||Mark Kavanagh||3.23.87|
|2008||Viewed||Blake Shinn||Bart Cummings||3.20.40|
|2007||Efficient||Michael Rodd||Graeme Rogerson||3.23.34|
|2006||Delta Blues||Yasunari Iwata||Katsuhiko Sumii||3.21.47|
|2005||Makybe Diva||Glen Boss||Lee Freedman||3.19.17|
|2004||Makybe Diva||Glen Boss||Lee Freedman||3.28.55|
|2003||Makybe Diva||Glen Boss||David Hall||3.19.90|
|2002||Media Puzzle||Damien Oliver||Dermot K. Weld||3.16.97|
|2001||Ethereal||Scott Seamer||Sheila Laxon||3.21.08|
|2000||Brew||Kerrin McEvoy||Mike Moroney||3.18.68|