We’re now a quarter of the way through the regular NFL season as the Chiefs, Patriots and 49ers remain undefeated in the standings.
The Lions and Dolphins each take a well-deserved seat this week, while the Bengals, Broncos, Cardinals, Jets and Redskins will be hoping to get their first win on the board.
Undefeated teams heading into Week 5 have gone on to make the playoffs in each of the last two seasons, while only one team – the 1992 Chargers – have made the playoffs after starting 0-4.
This is a crucial weekend for each and every team, and it’s also a big week for punters. Here’s a look at all 15 games:
Los Angeles Rams
Friday 4 October, 10:20am, Centurylink Field
Seahawks 30 - Rams 29
The NFC West received a bit of a shakeup last week as the Seahawks and Rams traded places.
Seattle’s 27-10 win over Arizona saw Pete Carroll’s side improve to 3-1 on the season, while the Rams shock loss at home to Tampa Bay saw them slip to third in the division on percentage.
On the heels of last weeks thrilling Thursday Night Football game, we should be in for another close one on Friday with both sides looking to distance themselves from one each other.
For the Seahawks, last weeks victory was made even more impressive thanks to Chris Carson. Seattle’s groundwork lacked life in the opening three weeks of the season, and with Russell Wilson continuing to cop a beating in the pocket, it was encouraging to watch a Seahawks running back rush for over 100-yards.
Things weren’t quite as peachy for Los Angeles last week, though. The Rams have plenty to ponder on both sides of the ball after Jared Goff threw for three interceptions. Los Angeles also committed 13 penalties and allowed the Bucs to put up 24-points in the fourth quarter.
The Rams have won seven of their last 10-games over the Seahawks and are also 12-2 straight-up in their last 14 games on the road. That said, it’s difficult to ignore the obvious red flags in Los Angeles that continue to pop up each week.
Seattle are a tough side to face at the Link, and although the Rams got the better of the Seahawks on the road last year, Caroll’s defence should do the talking in this one.
The Seahawks have allowed the sixth-fewest third down conversions as well as the seventh-fewest rushing yards, so back Seattle to win in a low-scoring game.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Win @ $1.80
New York Giants
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Metlife Stadium
The Danny Dimes era is well underway in the Big Apple as the Giants have quietly strung together two wins in a row.
Big Blue made short work of the Redskins last week at home largely thanks to the efforts of the defence. The Giants held Washington to only 176 total yards and also forced four turnovers in the 24-3 win, making up for Daniel Jones’ two interceptions.
Jones, a first-round draft pick, has been one of this season’s biggest surprises ever since taking over from Eli Manning in Week 3. The 22-year-old will have his work cut out this week though as he prepares to face a volatile Vikings defence.
Minnesota has been one of the best sides in the league when it comes to stopping the run, allowing only 377-yards and one touchdown. That spells bad news for the Giants with Saquon Barkley’s status still up in the air, meaning Jones will be forced into throwing more than he’d like.
Speaking of passing, the Vikings have some problems on offence themselves. Kirk Cousins managed to avoid throwing an interception during last week’s loss to the Bears, but the $84 million man was still sacked six times for 233-yards and zero touchdowns.
The leadup to Monday’s game has featured some not-so subtle complaints from wide receiver Adam Thielen, who publicly aired his frustrations by criticizing Mike Zimmer’s love affair for running the football.
Let it be known that New York’s defence is far from good, but the Giants have been okay against the run so far. With home-field advantage and off-field distractions mounting in Minnesota, this one isn’t beyond the Giants.
Tip: Back the Giants to Cover the Line (+5.5 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Back-to-back wins has these two teams feeling pretty good about themselves with fresh new faces under center.
For the Jags, Gardner Minshew mania continued last week as Jacksonville clawed their way back from a 17-6 halftime deficit to defeat the Broncos 26-24 at Mile High.
Carolina, meanwhile, continues to reap the rewards from Kyle Allen, who led the Panthers to a very impressive victory over the Texans on the road last week.
The Jaguars and Panthers have met only six times since 1996, with their most recent meeting coming back in 2015. Inter-conference games are always tough to pick, especially with both sides having split their previous six games three wins apiece.
Carolina’s offence continues to find new ways to put up numbers with Cam Newton still on the sidelines. Allen, who was sacked four times last week and gave away three fumbles, didn’t have a good game by any stretch of the imagination, but the Panthers are always a big threat with Christian McCaffrey in the back field.
Eric Washington’s defence has also been sneaky good this year allowing the second-fewest yards through the air. Since this is also Minshew’s second straight game on the road, the Panthers get the nod in a close one.
Tip: Back the Panthers 1-13
New England Patriots
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, FedEx Field
One of these sides is looking destined for a spot in the Super Bowl. And the other, well let’s just say the Redskins look a shoo-in for a top three draft pick.
New England survived a scare last week against the Bills winning 16-10, but we certainly learned a lot about the Patriots in the process.
Considering Buffalo turned the ball over four times, you’d expect a little more than just two touchdowns in the first quarter from New England’s offence. Much of the Patriots’ inconsistencies boiled down to a shoddy performance from the offensive line – one that saw Tom Brady throw for only 150-yards, zero touchdowns and an interception.
Fortunately, the Patriots will have a chance to right their wrongs this week as they travel to Washington. The Redskins are 0-4 on the heels of last weeks 24-3 loss to the Giants, leaving Jay Gruden’s side as heavy two touchdown underdogs.
With Case Keenum in a walking boot, we should see Colt McCoy under center on Monday. McCoy has made only 27 starts in his eight-year NFL career, throwing for 5,958 yards, 29 touchdowns, and most concerningly, 26 interceptions.
Washington’s offensive line is a serious concern, so much so that the team won’t risk first round draft pick Dwayne Haskins anytime soon. With Vernon Davis also in the concussion protocol, this spells nothing more than a good Overs bet.
Tip: Over 9 First Quarter Points @ $1.92
New York Jets
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
These two sides find themselves at complete opposite ends of the spectrum (and the standings) as they head into Week 5.
Philadelphia got its season back on track last week with an impressive 34-27 win over the Packers at Lambeau. The Eagles were particularly impressive on the ground as Jordan Howard and Miles Sanders combined for over 150-yards, while the defence performed exceptionally well to limit the Packers on the ground.
The Jets head into Monday’s game fresh from the bye with plenty of ground to make up in the AFC East. Still without a win, New York appears nothing more than cannon fodder at least until Sam Darnold returns under center.
It’s been a while in between drinks since the Eagles and Jets last met. These two sides haven’t squared off since 2015, a game the Eagles won 24-17 at Metlife.
Things could turn out to be equally as close this time around, but it’s still difficult to fade the Eagles in the market. Philly won’t need to overcomplicate things against a Jets defence that has allowed four touchdowns in three games, so look for the Eagles to win this one comfortably.
Tip: Back the Eagles to Cover the Line (-13.5 Points) @ $1.90
New Orleans Saints
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Mercedes Benz Superdome
This NFC South rivalry game became a little more interesting last week as the Bucs pulled off a huge upset on the road over the Rams.
Tampa Bay wasn’t afraid to throw the ball against Los Angeles in their 55-40 win, and it resulted in a monster 385-yard, four touchdown game from Jameis Winston.
The Saints had their hands full last week with the Cowboys at home, but Teddy Bridgewater once again led New Orleans to their second straight victory. Sean Payton’s side was enormous defensively forcing the Cowboys into three turnovers and at the same time, limiting Ezekiel Elliott to just 35-yards.
Bruce Arians will have spent his week coming up with a plan to combat Alvin Kamara and Michael Thomas, but it might be as simple as trusting his defence.
To many people’s surprise, the Bucs have allowed the second-fewest running yards this season. On the flip side though, Tampa Bay has allowed the second-most passing yards.
The Saints have been much the same defensively, and despite last weeks efforts to stop Zeke, New Orleans has struggled to defend the ground game.
Tampa Bay has won two of their last three games against the Saints, while everyone will remember last years famous 48-40 victory in the Superdome over New Orleans in Week 1.
The Bucs are 7-3 against the spread in their last 10-games against a division opponent, so if they can stick to running the ball and also limit the running lanes defensively, Tampa Bay can at least keep this close.
Tip: Back the Bucs to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $2.00
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Tottenham Stadium
Raiders 24 - Bears 21
If you had the Raiders penciled in for 2-2 before Week 5, good for you.
Oakland pulled off the second biggest upset last week trumping the Colts 31-24 in Indianapolis. It was a big-time performance from running backs Josh Jacobs and Trevor Davis that did the trick, while the defence performed exceptionally well holding Marlon Mack to just 39-yards.
The Bears also improved to 3-1 with a 16-6 win over the Vikings. Chicago’s defence remains the best in the league, but the Bears now have a problem under center after Mitchell Trubisky suffered a shoulder injury.
Chase Daniel performed well in Trubisky’s absence last week completing 22 of his 30 pass attempts for 195-yards and a score. This week’s trip to Oakland is still a huge test for a guy with only four games worth of starting experience, though.
Like a handful of other matchups this week, the Raiders and the Bears haven’t met since 2015. Since this week’s game will be played on neutral turf in London however, anything goes.
Daniel will need to settle into this game early if he hopes to put points on the board, but you can bet Chicago’s defence does the talking in the end.
The Bears have allowed the fourth-fewest rushing yards this year, which in turn, spells bad news for a Raiders team that has scored only three rushing touchdowns all year.
Chicago also ranks tied for third in defensive turnovers, and since this is Khalil Mack’s first game against his former team, there’s no doubt the Bears defence will look to leave its mark.
Tip: Back the Bears to Win & Under 40 Points @ $3.62
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Nissan Stadium
Titans 7 - Bills 14
It might seem early to be considering the playoffs, but this game could go a long way to earning either the Bills or the Titans a spot in the Wild Card game.
Tennessee bounced back from a loss to the Jaguars in to comfortably defeat the Falcons last week. The Titans played a clean brand of football both on the ground and in the air as Marcus Mariota threw for three touchdowns alongside Derrick Henry’s 100-yard game.
Buffalo met their match against New England at home in Week 4 as the Bills’ unbeaten start to the season came to an end. Despite the result on the scoreboard, there was still lots to like about Buffalo defensively, even if quarterback Josh Allen looks likely to miss this game with a concussion.
Should Allen sit on the sidelines, the Bills will likely turn to Matt Barkley with one game remaining until the bye. Barkley has made only seven starts in his five-year NFL career to not-so spectacular results, passing for only 2,270-yards, 10 touchdowns and a whopping 19 interceptions.
With those stats in mind, it won’t come as a surprise to see the Bills run the ball early and often on Monday. Buffalo’s ground game put up 135-yards and a score on the Patriots last week, and now ranks third in rushing yards and rushing touchdowns on the season.
If you’ve been paying attention, you’ll also know the Titans are one of the leagues top teams defensively. The Titans have allowed only two rushing touchdowns all year, so if you haven’t cottoned on by now, it’s safe to say we could be headed for a low-scoring game.
The Total has gone Under in eight of Buffalo’s last nine games dating back to last season, as well as four of their last five games against a fellow AFC opponent. All things considered; points should be hard to come by in this one.
Tip: Under 38.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, NRG Stadium
Texans 53 - Falcons 32
These two sides managed only 10-points each last week as they now look to bounce-back.
Atlanta continued their downward spiral losing 24-10 to the Titans at home. Quarterback Matt Ryan wasn’t all to blame, but with 397-yards and zero touchdowns to his name, it’s safe to say the Falcons have some issues in the redzone.
The Texans offence also stalled at home to the Panthers. It was a quiet 160-yard day for Deshaun Watson in the air, while six sacks certainly didn’t help. Houston also finished just 4-from-11 on third down, highlighting how bad the offensive line has become.
These two sides last met in 2015, a game the Falcons won comfortably 48-21. This time around though, the Texans look good money as the home favourites.
Although Houston hardly looks a Super Bowl contender at 2-2, Bill O’Brien’s side still deserves a mulligan after last weeks horror show.
The Texans can rest a little easy this week knowing the Falcons defence continues to find new ways to fail. Atlanta ranks fourth in third down conversions allowed, and perhaps more importantly, fourth in redzone touchdowns allowed.
Houston normally saves its best football for October, owning a 5-1 record in their last six games, and since this is somewhat of a statement game, back the Texans to do just that.
Tip: Back the Texans 13+
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Bengals 23 - Cardinals 26
It’s the battle between the beaten this week as the winless Bengals host the winless Cardinals.
Arizona managed only one touchdown last week in their 27-10 loss to the Seahawks, while the Bengals fared even worse on Monday Night Football mustering a lone field goal on the road against the Steelers.
These two sides have been extremely poor on defence this year, particularly when it comes to stopping the run. Both sides rank Top 10 in rushing yards allowed, while both sides also rank Top 10 in passing touchdowns.
All signs now point towards the Overs, but it’s worth keeping in mind just how poor Cincinnati’s offensive line has been. Andy Dalton was sacked a career-high eight times last week in Pittsburgh, while the Bengals are also tied for first in offensive turnovers.
Arizona’s -41 points differential is worrying, but the offence hasn’t been quite as bad as it’s being made out to be. Quarterback Kyler Murray has completed the fourth-most passes in the league, and since the Cardinals often like to roll with four receiver sets, it’s worth backing Arizona to really challenge Cincinnati’s secondary vertically.
Tip: Back the Cardinals to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.85
Monday 7 October, 4:00am, Heinz Field
Steelers 23 - Ravens 26
This classic AFC North rivalry is always a treat each year, and although the Steelers and Ravens find themselves at opposite ends of the standings, we should be in for another thriller.
Pittsburgh got their first win on the board last week pummeling the Bengals 27-3 on Monday Night Football. It was a handy 229-yard, two touchdown game from Mason Rudolph that did the trick, while the defence also showed plenty of life sacking Andy Dalton eight times.
Baltimore’s week wasn’t quite so fun as the Ravens failed to show up against the division rival Browns. Lamar Jackson was sacked four times and threw two touchdowns, proving one of this years MVP favourites is indeed, human.
These two sides split their two meetings one win apiece last year, while the Steelers have also won two of their last three home games over Baltimore.
Of course, much of that came well before the Ravens transformed into an offensive juggernaut.
In a nutshell, you can expect Baltimore to rely much more on the ground game this week against a struggling Steelers run defence. But at the same time, the Ravens’ troubles on third down remain a slight concern.
The Total looks to be the safest play in this when you consider six of the last eight games between the two have gone Under. With a rookie quarterback on the field and a Ravens defence looking to bounce-back, this one should be low-scoring.
Tip: Under 44.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 7 October, 7:05am, Dignity Health Sports Park
Chargers 13 - Broncos 20
Plenty on the line in this AFC West rivalry as the Chargers hope to improve beyond .500.
As expected, Los Angeles made short work of the Dolphins last week winning 30-10 on the road. It was a strong bounce-back game from Philip Rivers throwing for 310-yards and a pair of touchdowns, while Austin Ekeler also chipped in with 60 rushing yards in the final game without Melvin Gordon.
While the Chargers find their stride, things are starting to look like a mess in Denver. The Broncos looked home and hosed against the Jaguars last week with a comfortable 17-6 halftime lead, right before allowing two touchdowns in the third quarter to go on and lose 26-24.
The Broncos have won seven of their last 10-games over the Chargers including last years 23-22 win in Los Angeles. That was before Denver’s defence fell on hard times, though.
The Chargers should welcome Gordon back into the fold this week to wreak havoc on a Broncos defence that has allowed the third-most rushing yards. Los Angeles is also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against a division opponent, so it’s worth backing the Chargers to win big again.
Tip: Back the Chargers to Cover the Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.92
Green Bay Packers
Monday 7 October, 7:25am, AT&T Stadium
Cowboys 24 - Packers 34
Only fitting that Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott meet after a pair of game-ending interceptions last week.
The Packers have enjoyed an extended break after suffering their first loss of the season at home to the Eagles last Friday. The rest couldn’t have come at a better time for a defensive line showing early signs of wear and tear, but things are only going to get tougher on the road in Dallas.
The Cowboys turned up for a fight last week in New Orleans but struggled to find rhythm offensively. Dallas turned the ball over three times in the 16-10 loss, aided by Ezekiel Elliott’s tough day on the ground.
Green Bay owns a pair of famous victories over the Cowboys in the playoffs as well as a 7-3 record in their last 10-games.
The Packers have also won their last three games against Dallas at AT&T Stadium, while you have to rewind all the way back to 2007 to find the Cowboys last win at home over Green Bay.
There’s a lot to like about both teams right now, but you just can’t sleep on Aaron Rodgers producing something special against the Cowboys… again.
The future Hall of Famer has completed 68% of his passes in seven games against the Cowboys, good for 11 touchdowns and just one interception. The Packers are 6-2 in their last eight games against Dallas, so back Green Bay at the line.
Tip: Back the Packers to Cover the Line (+3.5 Points) @ $1.96
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 7 October, 11:20am, Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs 13 - Colts 19
The Chiefs came close to breaking last week against the Lions before Patrick Mahomes found some life to lead a game-winning touchdown drive.
It was a quiet one overall from the reigning MVP as Mahomes failed to throw a single touchdown pass, but even so, the Chiefs still remain undefeated as they head back home to face the Colts.
Indianapolis were the heavy favourites last week against the Raiders in a game they really should have won. The Colts put up 346-yards of total offence in the 31-24 loss, but a complete lack of possession cost Indy a chance.
This week’s game is a rematch of last years Divisional Playoff game. The Colts proved no match at Arrowhead losing 31-13 in a game Kansas City dominated in the air and on the ground, while the Chiefs also held Indianapolis 0/9 on third down.
Neither coach will read too much into last years meeting, however the Colts will need to establish the run game early if they hold any hope of pulling off an upset.
At the same time, Indianapolis can also learn a lot from Detroit last week. The Lions did a great job of putting pressure on Mahomes in the pocket, causing him to rush a handful of throws he normally would have made.
Rushing Mahomes is key to disrupting the flow of Kansas City’s offence, but he can still burn you on the ground. The line looks just about right here, and it’s worth backing the Chiefs to Cover.
Tip: Back the Chiefs to Cover the Line (-11 Points) @ $1.91
San Francisco 49ers
Tuesday 8 October, 11:15am, Levi’s Stadium
49ers 31 - Browns 3
This could turn out to be the most exciting Monday Night Football game of the season between both the NFC West and the AFC North division leaders.
San Francisco has opened as narrow 3.5-point underdogs with home-field advantage fresh from the bye. The general consensus around the league is that the 49ers are the most underwhelming of the three remaining unbeaten teams, but there’s certainly something to be said about the way San Francisco continues to run the ball.
Speaking of running, that’s exactly what the Browns did last week as they pounded the Ravens 40-25. Nick Chubb finished with 165-yards and three touchdowns – his second highest yardage total.
Once upon a time a Monday night game between these two teams would have seemed like a nightmare but considering these two sides have met only eight times dating back to 1968, there’s plenty to look forward to.
The Niners are all about running the ball, both offensively and defensively. San Francisco ranks seventh in rushing yards, and dead last in rushing yards allowed.
Browns quarterback Baker Mayfield has struggled so far this season, so you can expect Freddie Kitchen to lean on the running game early in this one. Considering the 49ers are the only team yet to allow a rushing touchdown though, that plan might backfire rather quickly.
San Francisco holds a 48-27 record on Monday Night Football and are also 4-1 against the spread in their last five games against AFC teams.
Despite what the haters say, the Niners improve to 4-0 this week.
Tip: Back the 49ers to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.90
And then there were two.
The Chiefs and the Rams lead the way as the NFL’s two remaining unbeatens, while the Cardinals still search for their first win of the year following a dismal 0-4 start.
As far as upsets go, last week was fairly quiet. Only the Titans and Bengals provided shockers, but ahead of another action-packed week, it appears we could be in for some much-needed drama.
So who’s a sure-thing in your multi?
Be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 5 Preview below!
New England Patriots
Friday 5 October, 10:20am, Gillette Stadium
New England 38 – Indianapolis 24
In case you hadn’t heard, New England don’t lose back-to-back games very often.
Last week’s win over the Dolphins saw the Patriots bounce back to winning ways, helped out by a big day from running back Sony Michel who finally broke through with a 112-yard, one touchdown performance.
Indianapolis put some big numbers on the board themselves last week, but still managed to fall short to the Texans in overtime. Andrew Luck was phenomenal on the day passing for 464-yards and four scores, yet the Colts record tells the full story – at 1-3, this team should be better.
After last Friday’s game dished up a treat, it’s safe to say this one should live up to expectations though.
Indianapolis’ offense has been lively all season, and although the Patriots blew the Dolphins out of the water last week, their defence is in for a tough task containing Luck and his newfound favourites in the receiving game.
Of course, before we go any further, let’s remember the Colts are 0-5 in their last five games in New England, and in case you haven’t heard, the Patriots are fairly close to unbeatable at Gillette Stadium.
There’s also the fact that the Colts are likely to be without star wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, who recovers from a double whammy of hamstring and rib injuries.
That leaves Luck without his go-to downfield target, and sure, Chester Rogers and Ryan Grant can carry the load, but they are hardly the threat in the red zone Hilton poses.
There’s lots to like about the Colts, including a pass-rush that racked up seven sacks last week. Against Brady and New England’s revitalised run game though, don’t bet against them.
Tip: Back New England 1-13 @ $2.45
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, New Era Field
Buffalo 13 – Tennessee 12
Buffalo’s winning ways against the NFC North came to an abrupt end last week, which is about what we expected as they took a trip to Lambeau to face the Packers.
The Bills failed to register a single point in a forgetful day for quarterback Josh Allen. In just his third NFL start, the rookie threw two picks, but overall, the Bills were woeful as a team, punting the ball on eight separate occasions.
In Tennessee, things weren’t quite so gloomy, in fact, the Titans pulled off perhaps the upset of their young season.
Tied 20-20 heading into overtime, a remarkable 10-yard throw from Marcus Mariota to wide receiver Corey Davis saw Tennessee walk it off at home over the Eagles, improving their record to 3-1 to remain on par with the Jaguars in the AFC South.
With a trip to New York ahead this week, it’s pretty tough to back against the Titans here.
Tennessee are 4-1 in the head-to-head market when facing the Bills on the road, and if the defence can sack Carson Wentz four times last week, it doesn’t paint a pretty picture for Allen has in store on Monday.
You may not know it, but the Titans’ biggest reason for success this season has been their lack of penalties. They committed only four fouls last week against Philly, allowing the offense to flow smoothly.
If Davis and running back Dion Lewis can contribute with another big day in the receiving game, this should be a morale boosting win for Tennessee.
Tip: Back the Titans To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.91
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh 41 – Atlanta 17
Now this, this should be something.
The Falcons have racked up the seventh most yards-per-game in the air this season, but have absolutely nothing to show for it.
Atlanta currently sit dead last in the NFC South following last week’s overtime loss to Andy Dalton, and with defensive stars dropping like flies, already this season feels a little lost.
On the same token, here’s the Steelers at 1-2-1 struggling to keep up in the AFC North. Last week’s home game against Baltimore ended in a 14-24 loss, and Pittsburgh aren’t about to be granted reprieve with missing running back Le’Veon Bell not expected to return until Week 7.
There’s a whole lot of headaches going for both of these sides right now, and it all starts on offense.
For the Falcons, Julio Jones is on pace for a 2,000-yard season, but he’s yet to catch a single touchdown pass. Meanwhile for the Steelers, it starts and ends with Ben Roethlisberger, who has now thrown five interceptions in four games.
Picking a winner in this one is tough, and we’ve already discovered home field advantage means next to nothing for the Steelers this year.
History suggests Pittsburgh are the safer play considering the Falcons are 0-4-1 on the road at Heinz Field though, however given their start to the season, no one would blame you if you struggled to trust the Steelers.
Much of this game will come down to the passing game, and which defensive secondary can contain either Jones and Calvin Ridley, or Antonio Brown and Juju Smith-Schuster the most.
Since those are four of the top wide receivers in the league, best to stick with the points market this week.
Tip: Back Over 58.5 Total Points @ $1.91
New York Jets
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
NY Jets 34 – Denver 16
The Jets have come crashing back to earth in the last three weeks following their opening win over Detroit.
Last week was a harsh lesson for rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield against an elite Jacksonville defence, and although he kept a clean sheet, you only have to take one peak at the Jets’ numbers to realise how much they struggled to move the ball.
For Denver, offense wasn’t a problem against the Chiefs, it was defence and a little thing called the officials that cost them the win.
A missed delay of game call proved costly on the Chiefs’ game-winning drive, but overall, Patrick Mahomes carved Denver up to the tune of 304-yards and a score.
At 2-2, Denver are tough to get a grasp on right now. They’ve been one of the better teams in the league when it comes to stopping the run, and they haven’t been altogether bad against the pass either.
New York on the other hand were simply beaten by the clock last week. The Jags held the ball for 17-minutes longer than the Jets – or should we say, a quarter longer.
This week, we should probably expect much of the same. New York struggled to defend the run, while the Broncos rush attack featuring Phillip Lindsay and Royce Freeman was lethal last week compiling 136-yards and two scores.
Stick with Denver in a not-so-close one.
Tip: Back the Broncos To Win @ $1.95
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City 30 – Jacksonville 14
How will the Jaguars fare without their biggest star?
Jacksonville improved to 3-1 last week with a big win over the Jets, but lost running back Leonard Fournette in the process.
Backup T.J. Yeldon filled in nicely, although the Jags would much prefer to have Fournette on the field this week against the Chiefs.
Kansas City are the only remaining undefeated team in the AFC, and after their come from behind win over the Broncos on the road last week, it doesn’t appear the Patrick Mahomes hysteria is about to die in a hurry.
It might appear the safe play is at the line, but Jacksonville’s 2-4 record against the spread in their last six games against the Chiefs is less than encouraging.
As it so happens, this game actually figures as one to watch.
On one side of the ball, you have Jacksonville’s defence, a unit that has allowed the fewest overall yards per-game this season. On the other, you have the Chiefs potent passing game leading the league in points-per-game.
What does that equal?
With Fournette out, it’s safe to say this will be very low scoring, and it’s tough to trust Blake Bortles without one of his biggest pass blockers in the back-field.
As for the Chiefs, this will be Mahomes’ biggest test of his young career, and in case you missed the memo, it’s doubtful Tyreek Hill has a big game against star corner Jalen Ramsay.
Tip: Under 49.5 Points @ $1.91
Green Bay Packers
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, Ford Field
Detroit 31 – Green Bay 23
This bitter NFC North rivalry has provided some classics over the years, and it can often mean the difference between playoffs or missing out altogether in this tight division.
A week ago Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers described his team as “terrible on offense”, which might seem bizarre considering Green Bay shut the Bills out in a 22-0 win last week.
The future Hall of Famer might be right though, the Packers are yet to hit full stride. Green Bay rank 17th in total yards-per-game through four weeks, and although the Lions sit 1-3, a trip to Detroit on Monday is no cakewalk.
For Detroit, that’s been the story of the season. Last week was a game the Lions should have won in Dallas, but again, the defence fell apart when it mattered most.
Ezekiel Elliott torched Detroit for an average of 6.2 yards per-carry, while Dak Prescott finally broke through with his first 200-yard, two touchdown game of the season.
In terms of history, there hasn’t been much separating these two. Detroit and Green Bay have split their last 10 meetings at five games apiece, but more importantly, the Lions are 4-2 head-to-head in their last six games at home.
It might feel hard for punters to trust the Lions right now, but just remember, they beat the Patriots a fortnight ago at Ford Field, and two of their losses this season have come by three points or less.
There’s also Green Bay’s road woes to factor in. The defence was dismal against the Redskins two weeks ago, blowing basic man-to-man coverage in the red zone while allowing Adrian Peterson to rush for 120-yards and a pair of scores.
With Lions running back Kerryon Johnson looking unstoppable, coupled with Golden Tate putting up typically clutch numbers last week, the Lions are a great upset pick at handy odds.
Tip: Back the Lions To Win @ $2.00
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, First Energy Stadium
Cleveland 12 – Baltimore 9
In case you missed it, the Browns put up 42-points last week against the Raiders, the most since the 2007 season.
Somehow Cleveland managed to lose in overtime, but the important thing is, this team is trending in the right direction… right?
The Ravens didn’t break any personal records last week, however they did manage to one-up their AFC North rivals with a big win over the Steelers.
Baltimore were already a serious dark horse entering the season, and now at 3-1, it appears ‘good’ Joe Flacco is alive and well.
Heading home now, the Browns enter as the serious underdogs, and considering the Ravens’ stingy defence, it’s not hard to see why.
The Ravens of old have shown up so far this season, allowing the fourth fewest points-per-game to start the year.
And how does that effect the Browns?
We saw last week that rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield looked a little rattled when the Raiders applied pressure, forcing balls down field that simply weren’t there.
This should be a fairly straightforward win for Baltimore if they keep Jarvis Landry quiet, just like Oakland did last week.
Likewise, another silent game from Isaiah Crowell would almost limit the Browns entirely.
Tip: Back the Ravens To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points) @ $1.95
New York Giants
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Carolina 33 – NY Giants 31
The last thing the Giants need right now is a well-rested Panthers team fresh from the bye.
New York were awful last week at home, allowing 33-points to the Saints as running back Alvin Kamara had everything his own way.
We hate to beat the same old drum, but New York’s offensive line was again the cause for concern. Eli Manning was sacked three times, adding further frustration to an already discontent Odell Beckham Jr as he struggles to find targets.
That’s been the problem for the Giants so far – their star players aren’t seeing enough of the ball. OBJ caught for only 60-yards last week on 11 targets, while first round draft pick Saquon Barkley managed only 44-yards on the ground.
Carolina’s defence hasn’t been the best in the league, but let’s just say, scoring against the Panthers doesn’t come easy.
Allowing the seventh fewest points-per-game this season, Carolina’s pass rush has been lethal through three games, compiling eight sacks and 125 tackles.
Better yet, the Panthers have won six of their last 10 meetings against New York, and although they haven’t played New York since 2015, it’s very difficult to envision the Giants offense, let alone the defence, coping with guys like Luke Kuechly and the emerging D.J. Moore.
Tip: Back the Panthers 7-12 @ $4.75
Monday 8 October, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati 27 – Miami 17
If we were to suggest a month ago that these two sides would be 3-1 by Week 5, what would you have said?
Luck certainly played a factor for the Bengals last week, but hey, so did Andy Dalton. Full credit to the eight-year veteran, he led a phenomenal two-minute drill last week against the Falcons, marching all the way down to the 10-yard line to find A.J. Green in the corner of the end zone.
To the eye, it appears as though the Bengals are legit, which is more than we can say for the Dolphins.
After starting 3-0, Miami were touched up by their old division foes last week in Foxboro, falling by 31-points against the Patriots.
The jury was always out on the Dolphins, especially after beating lowly teams like the Jets and the Raiders in recent weeks. Now, they face a big test against one of the most versatile offenses in the game, and as the odds suggest, it doesn’t look good.
In Miami’s defence, they have been great strong on the road in Cincy. The Dolphins are 7-2 in head-to-head markets when travelling to Paul Brown Stadium, but at the same time, this new look Bengals team is a different beast.
If Green keeps this up, he’s on pace for about 1,500-yards and 15 touchdowns, all of which would be a career high.
Meanwhile, the running game is just as potent, led by a big effort from Giovani Bernard last week.
Miami’s offense should keep this game close, and receivers like Kenny Stills and Davante Parker should put up big numbers, but defensively, it’s tough to see a team that’s allowed seventh most yards-per-game shutting down Dalton and Co.
Tip: Back the Bengals To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.87
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 8 October, 7:05am, StubHub Center
LA Chargers 26 – Oakland 10
Considering the final score, you’d be forgiven for thinking LA should have beaten a Jimmy Garoppolo-less 49ers team by more than two points last week.
To be fair, Philip Rivers did throw for 250-yards and three touchdowns though, and it was nice to see Melvin Gordon explode with a big 159-yard contribution.
This week, it’s another very winnable game against a Raiders side that basically needed five quarters to defeat the Browns at home.
Overall, there wasn’t a lot to like from Oakland last week, especially on offense. Derek Carr threw two interceptions, and the offensive line certainly didn’t help his confidence allowing three sacks.
Even worse, the Raiders were also particularly poor on third down, converting just 31% of their tries.
The good news is, Chargers defensive end Joey Bosa is out yet again this week as he recovers from a foot injury, but if Oakland hope to contain LA’s pass rush, they’ll need to do a much better job protecting their quarterback.
Tip: Back the Chargers 1-6 @ $4.50
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 8 October, 7:25am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 18 – Arizona 28
The NFL is funny, sometimes the worst games on paper can turn out to be the best – case in point last week’s Raiders/Browns match up.
Both of these sides were unlucky last week, losing by as much as a field goal in the final quarter. The stat sheet doesn’t look pretty for the Cardinals, a familiar theme this season, however full credit where it’s due – quarterback Josh Rosen actually looks promising.
Sure, the rookie only threw for 180-yards and a touchdown against the Seahawks, but he stepped up and made some big throws in the fourth quarter. It was also encouraging to see David Johnson rush for more than 50-yards, a sign that he is slowly returning back to solid form.
The Niners, well what can you say? Life was always going to be tough following Jimmy Garoppolo’s injury, and that’s exactly what we saw last week against the Chargers.
San Francisco struggled on the ground, stunned by the Chargers interior defence, but on the plus side, George Kittle continues to emerge as a Top 3 tight end in the NFL.
With 125-yards and a score to his name, the second-year pro has become a quick favourite for fill-in quarterback C.J. Beathard, just like he was for Jimmy G.
Interestingly enough, that works in favour of the Cardinals, who have allowed only 143-yards and two touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season.
Of course, on the other hand, the Cardinals have been particularly poor covering receivers so far, so we should expect a big game from Pierre Garcon this week.
Overall, this looks like a bit of a stalemate, and considering the total has gone Under in six of Arizona’s last eight games on the road, stick with the points market between these two offensive strugglers.
Tip: Back Under 41.5 Total Points @ $1.87
Monday 8 October, 7:25am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia 21 – Minnesota 23
Intriguing battle between last year’s NFC Conference Championship opponents.
To refresh your memory, the Eagles got the better of the Vikings in that one convincingly. After a lengthy rest following last Friday’s loss against the Rams though, it’s more than likely this rematch stays pretty close.
There’s a lot to loath if you’re an Eagles fan right now, although it’s tough to get a read on why the Super Bowl champs have won just two of their four games.
The culprit last week was a serious pass interference call that basically cost Philly the game against the Titans last week. By all accounts though, the defence has been great, allowing the ninth fewest yards-per-game this season.
On offense, things aren’t terrible either. Carson Wentz was fantastic last week, and so was receiver Alshon Jeffery during his return from injury.
No, the Eagles have just been unlucky and quite frankly, very flat. Committing errors in crucial moments of the game in the form of penalties and turnovers hurts, and there’s just been little creativity on offense so far.
Against a Vikings defence that was lit up last week for 38-points against the Rams, it’s probably tough to trust Minnesota this week, but keep in mind, Kirk Cousins threw for 422-yards and three touchdowns against an equally impressive unit.
You hate to call a Week 5 game “season defining” but that’s what this is. A loss sends the Vikings to 1-1-3, and a loss for the Eagles sends them to 2-3.
It’s a coin flip, and it should be another cracking shootout, so with that in mind, go for the team with the better offensive weapons, and right now, that’s the Vikings.
Tip: Back the Vikings To Win @ $2.50
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 8 October, 7:25am, Century Link Field
Seattle 31 – LA Rams 33
It took all four quarters for the Seahawks to trump the Cardinals last week, but they got the job done on the road thanks to the boot of Sebastian Janikowski with less than 10 seconds remaining.
The win puts Seattle right on pace with how we thought they’d play this season. The Seahawks are 2-2, basically on course for what should be a 7-9 season.
Los Angeles, well what can you say? They are the only remaining undefeated team left in the NFC, and if they weren’t a Super Bowl favourite before last week’s win (they were), the Rams look close to a certainty to be playing deep into the postseason.
So can the Hawks pull off an upset here at home?
Last week’s win was nice, but it came with a price. Star safety Earl Thomas fractured his left leg in the fourth quarter, and you don’t have to be an NFL expert to know that spells bad news for Seattle against this explosive Rams receiving corp.
The tide has certainly turned in the NFC West, and although Russell Wilson and Doug Baldwin might challenge the Rams early, there’s just not enough firepower to get the job done.
Seattle’s run game is confusing – they are still yet to use first round pick Rashaad Penny – and the defence is so limited now without their vocal leader.
Blowout, belting, whatever you want to call it, this shouldn’t be close.
Tip: Back the Rams 13-18 @ $5.00
Monday 8 October, 11:20am, NRG Stadium
Houston 19 – Dallas 16
This Deep South battle holds plenty of implications for Texas’ two underwhelming franchises.
There’s so much to talk about here, but while the Cowboys win over the Lions last week was no doubt a gutsy effort, it was far from convincing.
On one hand, Ezekiel Elliott and Dak Prescott looked great. On the other, the defence was carved up by Matthew Stafford and Golden Tate, which is a worrying sign ahead of this week’s game against the Texans.
To be fair, you could raise the same concerns for Houston who were burned by Andrew Luck, T.Y. Hilton and Chester Rogers last week.
What the Texans have going for them though is Deshaun Watson, who continues to grow in confidence week after week.
In case you hadn’t heard, Houston also has some good receivers.
DeAndre Hopkins caught for 169-yards in Week 4, but have you heard the name Keke Coutee? In his first game as a rookie, the 21-year old caught for 109-yards on some creative underneath routes, a favourite of Watson’s during his time at Clemson.
Home-field advantage means the world this week, and on the primetime stage of Sunday Night Football, you have to like the Texans and their red-hot offense against what has been a pretty so-so Dallas team thus far.
Tip: Back the Texans 1-6 @ $3.50
New Orleans Saints
Tuesday 9 October, 11:15am, Mercedes Benz Superdome
New Orleans 43 – Washington 19
Alvin Kamara was quiet, almost too quiet up until last week.
The Saints star running back went bananas against the Giants rushing for 134-yards and three touchdowns, but the MVP candidate may not have things all his own way this week against the Skins.
Fresh from a bye, Washington’s run defence has been stout to start the season, allowing the sixth fewest rush yards-per-game.
Don’t let their 2-1 record fool you either, the Redskins are one of the better offensive teams in the league, capable of dismantling average defensive schemes in a heartbeat – just ask Green Bay.
Alex Smith threw for 220-yards and a pair of touchdowns during the Skins’ Week 3 win, while the running game kicked into gear behind Adrian Peterson’s huge day.
Speaking of Peterson, a game against his former team should motivate the veteran this week. He claims he has no beef with the Saints, which is probably good news considering New Orleans’ run defence has been equally as impressive as Washington’s.
With both teams boasting strong defensive numbers against the run, it’s likely we see most of this game played in the air, which weighs in favour of the Saints.
It was a quiet week for Drew Brees last week, failing to throw for a single touchdown, while Michael Thomas managed only 47-yards.
These two last played in New Orleans a year ago, a game the Saints won 34-31. Plenty of points should be on offer once again, but it’s hard to back against Sean Payton’s side at home.
Tip: Back the Saints To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points) @ $1.95
The upsets continued in the NFL last weekend and punters who have backed underdogs so far this season are well and truly in front.
This weeks action gets underway with a huge clash between the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the New England Patriots on Friday and that is only one of a number of huge games.
There are a number of attractive betting plays in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 5 tips can be found below.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
New England Patriots
Friday October 6, 11:25am, Raymond James Stadium
The New England Patriots went down to the Carolina Panthers last weekend, but they will still start this clash with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers as clear favourites.
The Patriot’s defence has been embarrassed on a number of occasions this season and if it were not for the brilliance of Tom Brady their start to the season may have been even worse.
New England have still won their past nine games as away favourites and they are 8-1 against the line in this scenario.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have flown under the radar so far this season, but they are 3-1 and they have played some solid football.
This is easily their toughest test of the season to date, but they have won two of their past three games as home underdogs and have an offence that will definitely test the Patriots’ struggling defence.
There is no doubt that this will be an interesting game, but it is one that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
San Francisco 49ers
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
There isn’t a great deal between these two sides, but it is the Indianapolis Colts that will start this clash as narrow favourites.
The Colts were no match for the Seattle Seahawks last weekend and continue to struggle without Andrew Luck, but this is obviously an easier assignment.
Indianapolis have won four of their past five games as home favourites and they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.
The San Francisco 49ers are still chasing their first win of the season following their third straight heart-breaking loss at the hands of a divisional rival.
San Francisco have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs, but they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.
The torture should continue for San Francisco this season and Indianapolis can return to winning form.
Back Indianapolis To Win @ $1.83
Monday October 9, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
The New York Jets have recorded two wins on the trot, but it is the Cleveland Browns that will start this clash as narrow favourites.
Cleveland are yet to win a game this season, but they have still shown some improvement in 2017.
This is the first game that they will start as favourites for over 12 months and for obvious reasons they are a very difficult side to trust from a betting standpoint.
There was plenty of speculation before the season that the Jets would fail to win a single game this season, but following their overtime win over the Jacksonville Jaguars they now have the same record as the Patriots.
Winning away from home has been an issue for the Jets – they have won only one of their past seven games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
Both these teams are impossible to trust, but the one market that does appeal in this game is the Under in Total Points betting markets.
The Under has saluted in eight of the past nine home games played by the Browns and has also been a profitable betting play in Jets games over the past 12 months.
Back Under 39.5 Points
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Heinz Field
The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 3-1 record without being overly impressive and they will start this clash with the Jacksonvilla Jaguars as clear favourites.
Pittsburgh have been excellent at home over the past 12 months and they have won six of their past seven games as home favourites, while they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.
Jacksonville were nothing short of outstanding against the Baltimore Ravens a fortnight ago, but they were unable to build on that performance and they went down to the New York Jets last weekend.
The Jaguars have won only two of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are 6-2 against the line in this scenario.
Pittsburgh deserve to start this clash as clear favourites, but their is no value at their current quote and the line of eight points is just about right.
New York Giants
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday October 9, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
The New York Giants and the Los Angeles Chargers have both had tough starts to the NFL season.
New York are yet to win a game, but they will still start this clash as favourites and this is position in which they have done well over the past 12 months – they have won four of their past five games as home favourites and have been a profitable betting play against the line.
Los Angeles have lost three games by three points or less and they suffered another heart-breaking defeat at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles last weekend.
The Chargers have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs for a loss and they have been a losing play against the line in this scenario.
New York desperately need to win this clash and they can cover the line in the process.
Back New York To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
There has been no bigger surprise package in the NFL this season than the Buffalo Bills, but it is the Cincinnati Bengals that will start this clash as favourites.
The Bengals finally recorded their first win of the season with a comprehensive victory over the Cleveland Browns, but they remain a tough team to trust from a betting standpoint – they have won only two of their past six games as home favourites for a clear loss.
Buffalo scored their second big upset in as many weeks with a win over Atlanta and their defence looks set to be one of the best in the entire NFL this season.
The Bills have now won two of their past five games as away underdogs and they are a profitable betting play against the line in this scenario.
This Buffalo defence will give Andy Dalton and the Bengals offence plenty of issues and they are great value to record another upset win.
Back Buffalo Bills To Win @ $2.40
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Ford Field
The Detroit Lions have flown under the radar somewhat, but they go into this clash with the Carolina Panthers with a 3-1 record and they will start as clear favourites.
Ford Field has been a happy hunting ground for Detroit over the past 12 months and they have won their past four games as home favourites, while they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.
Carolina bounced back from their surprise loss at the hands of the New Orleans Saints to beat the New England Patriots and they can build on that momentum.
The Panthers have won two of their past five games as away underdogs and they are 4-4 against the line in this scenario.
This will be one of the most interesting games of the weekend, but there is no value from a betting standpoint and this is a game that I am keen to stay out of.
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota goes into this clash under an injury cloud and that makes it tough to analyse this game.
The Titans are yet to officially rule Mariota out due to a hamstring injury, but at this stage he looks unlikely to take his place.
Mariota’s availability will completely change this betting market and we will not go into any great depth about this clash until we know more about his status.
Monday October 9, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
The Philadelphia Eagles currently sit on top of the NFC East and they will start this clash with the Arizona Cardinals as dominant favourites.
Philadelphia have held their composure to record two narrow wins on the trot and this will be a good test about just how good they actually are.
The Eagles have won four of their past five games as home favourites and they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.
Arizona claimed their second overtime win of the season when they beat San Francisco last weekend, but this is obviously a much tougher test.
The Cardinals have won only one of their past four games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
I am yet to be convinced that Philadelphia are a legitimate contender this season, but they will still be too strong for Arizona.
Back Philadelphia To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points)
Monday October 9, 7:05am, O.co Coliseum
The Oakland Raiders have now lost two games on the trot and they desperately need to win this game to get their season back on track.
This is a contest that they will start as favourites and the Raiders have been able to make the O.co Coliseum into a genuine fortress over the past 12 months – they have won their past six games as home favourites and they are 4-2 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore also go into this clash on the back of a pair of defeats and they were no match for the Jacksonville Jaguars or the Pittsburgh Steelers.
Winning away from home has been an issue for Baltimore and they have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs, while they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that Oakland simply must win and they can cover the line of 2.5 points in the process.
Back Oakland To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Los Angeles Rams
Monday October 9, 7:05am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
This is a big games for both these teams.
The Los Angeles Rams are now 3-1 and if they can beat the Seattle Seahawks they will cement themselves as genuine NFL Playoffs contenders.
Los Angeles have actually won three of the past four games played between these two sides, but they have won only one of their past four games as home favourites.
Seattle produced their best performance of the season to date to beat the Indianapolis Colts last weekend and they can go to the top of the NFC West with a win in this game.
The Seahawks have won only one of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 2-4 against the line in this scenario.
Recent games between these two sides have been low-scoring affairs, but that can change this weekend.
The Over has saluted in 10 of the past 16 games played by the Rams and has also been a profitable betting play in Seahawks fixtures.
Back Over 47.5 Points
Green Bay Packers
Monday October 9, 7:25am, AT&T Stadium
This is one of the games of the weekend and is a replay of the NFC Divisional Playoff clash between these two sides at the end of last season.
Dallas somehow managed to find a way to lose their most recent clash against the Los Angeles Rams, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Cowboys have won six of their past eight games as home favourites for a clear profit, but they are only 4-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Green Bay Packers produced their most complete performance of the season to date to account for the Chicago Bears last weekend and they have won six of their past seven games against Dallas.
Green Bay have won only two of their past six games as away underdogs for a small loss and they are a middling 3-3 against the line in this scenario.
This is another game in which the Over in the Total Points betting market represents the best betting play.
The Over has saluted in eight of the past nine games played on the road by the Packers and this could turn into a genuine shootout.
Back Over 53 Points
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday October 9, 11:30am, NRG Stadium
The Kansas City Chiefs are the only team left unbeaten in the NFL this season and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Kansas City are often thought to play their best football in front of their home fans at Arrowhead Stadium, but they are just as good on the road and they have won their past eight games away from the home.
Even more impressively, they have covered the line in each of these games and they are a team that continue to be underrated by the market.
Houston’s offence was nothing short of exceptional against the Tennessee Titans and if that is the sign of things to come this franchise will be genuine Super Bowl contenders.
This will be a much stiffer challenge and while they have won six of their past eight games at home, their record against the line in front of their home fans is poor.
Kansas City can continue on their winning ways and cover the line in the process.
Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (-1 Point)
Monday October 10, 11:30am, Soldier Field
The Minnesota Vikings will start this clash with the Chicago Bears as clear favourites.
Sam Bradford looks set to make his return for the Minnesota Vikings and his return will be a decent boost to an offence that has been inconsistent during the NFL season to date.
Minnesota have struggled away from home in recent seasons and they have won only one of their past seven games on the road, while their record against the line in this scenario is no better.
The Chicago Bears were no match for the Green Bay Packers last Thursday night, but there is no doubt they are a side that performs better in front of their home fans at Soldier Field.
Chicago have won three of their past seven games as home underdogs for a profit and they are a most impressive 6-1 against the line in this scenario.
The Bears are a genuine chance of recording an upset win and they are a great bet with the insurance of a 3.5 points start.
Back Chicago To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)
Week 5 of the 2016 NFL season gets underway on Friday morning when NFC West rivals the San Francisco 49ers and Arizona Cardinals do battle at Levi’s Stadium.
There are a number of what should be very even games on Monday morning, which means plenty of betting opportunities, while the Green Bay Packers host the New York Giants in the prime time game on Monday.
The action concludes when divisional rivals Carolina Panthers and Tampa Bay Buccaneers face off on Tuesday and you can find our thoughts for every single game below!
San Francisco 49ers
Friday October 7, 10:25am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 49ers 21 - Arizona Cardinals 33
These is a huge game for both sides as a loss would almost rule them out of Playoffs contention.
Big things were expected of Arizona this season, but they have now lost two games on the trot and were particularly poor against the Los Angeles Rams last weekend.
They will still go into this game as favourites and they have won five of their past seven games in this scenario, while they are 4-3 against the line.
San Francisco sunk to their third straight loss against the Dallas Cowboys and it would not surprise to see Chip Kelly make a host of chances for this clash.
The 49ers have actually performed strongly at Levi’s Stadium over the past 12 months and they have won four of their past eight games at the venue for a healthy profit.
These are two teams that are very tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am more than happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.
New England Patriots
Monday October 10, 3:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
Cleveland Browns 13 - New England Patriots 33
Tom Brady is back!
The New England Patriots have done well in his absence, but Brady will only improve what is already a very strong outfit.
New England are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend in the NFL, but they have only won four of their past eight games as away favourites and they are 2-6 against the line.
Cleveland are staring down the barrel of a winless season and they have not won a game since they beat San Francisco since December last year.
The Browns have lost their past five games as home underdogs and their record against the line is almost as poor.
New England are clearly the team to beat in this contest, but there is no value at their current quote and I am happy to stay out of this contest.
Monday October 10, 3:00am, Ford Field
Detroit Lions 24 - Philadelphia Eagles 23
The Philadelphia Eagles have been the story of the NFL season to date and they head into this clash with an unbeaten record.
Rookie quarterback Carson Wentz has been an absolute revelation and this Philadelphia side is playing with a great deal of confidence.
It is no surprise that they will go into this clash as clear favourites and they have won six of their past 10 games as home favourites, while they are 5-5 against the line in this scenario.
Detroit suffered their third straight loss when they went down to the Chicago Bears last weekend and this is a team that really is struggling to put away games of football.
They do have the home ground advantage in this clash, but they have won just one of their past three games as home underdogs and they have an identical record against the line.
The betting market that really stands out in this clash is the Over/Under total points betting market.
The over has saluted in six of the past eight games played at Ford Field, while the over is 5-1 in the past six Philadelphia Eagles away games.
Back The Over
Monday October 10, 3:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis Colts 29 - Chicago Bears 23
The Indianapolis Colts suffered another loss at the hands of the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend and their season is clearly at a crossroads.
Their defence has just been unable to get the job done and there is too much pressure on Andrew Luck to perform.
They will still go into this clash with the Chicago Bears as favourites, but they are only 3-3 as home favourites and they have the same record against the line.
Chicago finally recorded their first win of the season against the Detroit Lions in what was easily their best performance of the season to date.
The Bears have won five of their past nine games as away underdogs for a very healthy profit and they are 6-3 against the line in this scenario.
I am very happy to take on the Colts in any game this season and the Bears are great value to record an upset victory.
Back Chicago To Win @ $2.80
Monday October 10, 3:00am, New Miami Stadium
Miami Dolphins 17 - Tennessee Titans 30
This is another game between two teams that desperately need to win.
Miami were no match for Cincinnati last weekend and they only victory so far this season came against Cleveland in overtime.
They will go into this clash as favourites and they have won three of their past four games in this scenario, while they are 1-3 against the line.
Tennessee also have just the one win so far this season, but there have been some reasonably positive signs.
That does not mean they are a team that you can trust from a betting perspective – they have won just two of their past eight games as away underdogs and they have an identical record against the line.
Miami should be able to return to winning form and there is still an edge at their current price of $1.53.
Back Miami To Win @ $1.53
Monday October 10, 3:00am, MT&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore Ravens 10 - Washington Redskins 16
Baltimore suffered their first defeat of the season at the hands of the Oakland Raiders at the start of the season and they face another tricky assignment against Washington.
The Ravens will still go into this game as clear favourites and their record is home favourites is fairly poor – they are just 3-3 in this scenario and they are just 1-1-4 against the line.
Washington have recorded two wins on the trot and they produced a professional record against the Cleveland Browns last weekend.
They have improved each time that they have played this season and they have won four of their past eight games as away underdogs, while they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
Washington are great value to come away with the victory and I am very keen to back them with a start of four points.
Back Washington To Beat The Line (+4 Points)
Monday October 10, 3:00am, US Bank Stadium
Minnesota Vikings 31 - Houston Texans 13
The Minnesota Vikings have stamped themselves as genuine Super Bowl contenders with their impressive start to the season and they will defend their unbeaten record against Houston this weekend.
Minnesota have been ultra-impressive in each of their games so far this season and they are dominant favourites to make it five wins on the trot.
The Vikings have won their past five games as home favourites and even more impressively they have beaten the line in each of these fixtures.
Houston got the job done without JJ Watt against the Tennessee Titans, but they face a much tougher assignment against the Vikings.
The Texans have won three of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear profit, but they have an identical record against the line.
Minnesota should prove far too good for the Texans in this clash and they are a safe bet to beat the line of 6.5 points.
Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (-6.5 Points)
New York Jets
Monday October 10, 3:00am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh Steelers 31 - New York Jets 13
The Pittsburgh Steelers returned to winning form in emphatic fashion against the Kansas City Chiefs last weekend.
The Steelers offence is close to unstoppable when they play at their best and they are clear favourites to win again this weekend.
Pittsburgh have won six of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear profit and they are 4-3 against the line in this scenario.
New York have only the one win from their four games so far this season and it does not get any easier against the Steelers.
The Jets have won one of their past three games as away underdogs and there is very little to suggest that they can return to winning form.
Pittsburgh are one of the safest bets of the weekend and they can comfortable cover the line of seven points.
Back Pittsburgh To Beat The Line (-7 Points)
Monday October 10, 6:05am, Mile High
Atlanta Falcons 23 - Denver Broncos 16
The Denver Broncos just keep on winning and they improved their record to 4-0 with a very comfortable victory over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Paxton Lynch looks likely to get the start over Trevor Siemian, but that should not make any difference and they are still clear favourites to win this encounter.
Denver have won four of their past six games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but they are just 1-1-4 against the in this scenario.
Atlanta have been one of the biggest surprise packages of the NFL season to date and Matt Ryan was outstanding once again against Carolina.
The Falcons have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a profit and they have an identical record against the line.
Atlanta are more than capable of recording an upset and they are a great bet to beat the line with a start of six points.
Back Atlanta To Beat The Line (+6 Points)
Monday October 10, 6:05am, AT&T Stadium
Dallas Cowboys 28 - Cincinnati Bengals 14
The Dallas Cowboys have recorded three wins on the trot and are playing some excellent football, but they will still start this game as underdogs.
This is easily the toughest test that Dallas have faced during their season to date and they have not won a single game as home underdogs in the past 12 months, while they are 1-2-3 against the line.
Cincinnati returned to winning form with a comfortable performance against Miami and they really need to make it two wins to get themselves right back into playoffs contention.
The Bengals have won their past three games as home favourites and more impressively have an identical record against the line.
Cincinnati should be able to tough it out against the Cowboys and there is genuine value at their current price.
Back Cincinnati To Win @ $1.80
Los Angeles Rams
Monday October 10, 6:25am, Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Los Angeles Rams 19 - Buffalo Bills 30
The Los Angeles Rams and Buffalo Bills have both found form in recent weeks and this will be a very interesting clash.
Los Angeles made it three wins on the trot with another upset victory over the Arizona Cardinals and they are right in the NFC West.
The Rams will start this game as favourites and this is a position in which they have struggled in over the past couple of season – they have won just five of their past ten games as home favourites.
Buffalo recorded their biggest win of the season over the New England Patriots last weekend and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence.
The Bills have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs for a narrow loss and they have an identical record against the line.
I am not really keen on either of these teams at their current prices, but there is value in the total points betting market.
The under has saluted in 13 of the past 16 games played by the Rams and another low-scoring game looks very likely.
Back The Under
San Diego Chargers
Monday October 10, 6:25am, Oakland Coliseum
San Diego Chargers 31 - Oakland Raiders 34
These is a crucial game between these AFC West rivals.
The Oakland Raiders improved their record to 3-1 with their thrilling victory over the Baltimore Ravens and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
Oakland have been a tough team to trust in front of their home fans over the past year and they are 0-3 against the line in this scenario.
San Diego continue to put up big scores, but just can’t get the job done on offence and they suffered another very narrow defeat at the hands of the New Orleans Saints last weekend.
The Chargers have won just one of their past eight games as away underdogs, but their record against the line in this scenario is a fairly incredible 7-1.
San Diego are more than capable of making this clash close and they are a great bet to beat the line with a start of 3.5 points.
Back San Diego To Beat The Line (+3.5 Points)
Green Bay Packers
New York Giants
Monday October 10, 10:30am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers 23 - New York Giants 16
The Green Bay Packers are back in action after a week off for the bye and they are chasing their first back-to-back win of the season.
Green Bay will go into this game as dominant favourites and they have struggled as the punter’s elect over the past 12 months – they are 4-3 in head-to-head betting and they are 3-4 against the line.
New York have suffered back-to-back defeats at the hands of the Washington Redskins and the Minnesota Vikings and they are losing touch with the Eagles and Cowboys at the top of the NFC East.
The Giants have lost their past seven games as underdogs and their record against the line is just as poor.
Green Bay should be too strong for the Giants, but there is no value at their current price and I am happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tuesday October 11, 10:30am, Bank Of America Stadium
Carolina Panthers 14 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17
This is a crucial game for the Carolina Panthers as they have one just one of their four games to date this season.
Carolina will still go into this clash as clear favourites and they remain a team that you can trust from a betting perspective.
The Panthers have won eight of their past nine games as home favourites, while they are 7-2 against the line in the same scenario.
Tampa Bay made a promising start to the season, but they were very poor against Denver last weekend and don’t really look to have improved.
The Buccaneers have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear profit and their record is 4-3 against the line in that scenario.
Carolina really should be able to return to winning form in this clash and the line of 5.5 points will not be enough.
Back Carolina To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)