A pair of primetime rivalry games bookend Week 7 in the NFL as we continue to push towards the midway point of the season.
This week’s highlights include the Vikings at the Lions in the early hours of Monday morning, alongside a classic AFC South showdown between the Texans and the Colts from Indianapolis.
There’s also plenty on the line in the mid-morning timeslot as the Ravens travel to Seattle in what should be a fascinating battle of the birds. Throw in a crucial must-win game for the Cowboys against the Eagles, and it’s safe to say, there are plenty of playoff implications on the line.
With the Panthers, Browns, Steelers and Bucs also on a bye, there’s plenty of opportunity to make some coin, so be sure to view all our NFL Week 7 tips in our Preview below.
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday 18 October, 11:20am, Broncos Stadium
Broncos 6 - Chiefs 30
Roles have reversed over the last fortnight in the AFC West.
The hapless Broncos, who many picked to finish dead last in the division, have surprisingly won two games on the trot. The Chiefs, meanwhile, have now lost two straight games at home to the Colts and the Texans.
There’s certainly no love lost between these two rivals. Not surprisingly, Kansas City’s recent success has helped them win seven of their last 10-games over the Broncos, but nothing is a guarantee on Friday with a defence that can’t stop the run.
The Chiefs have allowed the second-most rushing yards in the league behind the Bengals as well as the second-most rushing touchdowns. If you aren’t already aware, Broncos running back Phillip Lindsay has been outstanding over the last three weeks, combining for 282 scrimmage yards and four touchdowns.
Denver’s last three home games against the Chiefs have been decided by less than a touchdown, so if Lindsay can establish dominance on the ground early, the Broncos look a great bet to at least keep this close.
Tip: Back the Broncos to Cover the Line (+3 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, New Era Field
Bills 31 - Dolphins 21
The 4-1 Bills have opened as whopping two touchdown favourites this week at home to the winless Dolphins.
Last week’s bye couldn’t have come at a better time for Buffalo following Josh Allen’s concussion, and with Leslie Frazier’s defence playing out of its mind, it’s difficult to fade the Bills this week.
Buffalo has allowed the fourth-fewest points in the league so far as they now prepare to face a Dolphins side that ranks dead last in points scored.
To make matters worse, Miami has also benched Josh Rosen following last week’s horror performance in favour of Ryan Fitzpatrick. None of this bodes well for a Dolphins offensive line that can’t protect the quarterback, setting up what should be a statement win for the playoff likely Bills.
Tip: Back the Bills to Cover the Line (-17 Points) @ $1.92
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Mercedes Benz Stadium
Falcons 10 - Rams 37
Three straight losses leave the Rams in serious danger of losing touch with the rest of the NFC West.
Los Angeles now travels to Atlanta this week to face an equally desperate Falcons side looking to snap a run of four-straight losses.
These two sides haven’t met since the 2018 NFC Wild Card Game in which the Rams lost 11-6. It’s doubtful either side will be factoring that game into this week’s preparations though as both sides continue to struggle on the offensive side of the ball.
Jared Goff put up career-low numbers last week throwing for only 78-yards and zero touchdowns. The good news is the Falcons are the perfect team to bounce-back against having allowed the fifth-most passing yards and the second-most touchdowns.
Things are looking bleak in Atlanta for head coach Dan Quinn, and this might be the final straw that breaks the camel’s back.
Tip: Back the Rams to Cover the Line (-3 Points) @ $1.92
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Ford Field
Lions 30 - Vikings 42
Now at 2-2-1, the Lions have every right to feel hard done by following last week’s loss in Green Bay.
Detroit still has plenty of time to make up lost ground in the competitive NFC North though, and at their current price, it’s safe to say the Lions are well over the odds.
The Lions have been surprisingly good defensively, even if they failed to create a turnover last week in Green Bay. Detroit ranks eighth in defensive takeaways this season, which means we could see Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins revert back to his old ways this week.
Minnesota won big over the Eagles at home last week in a big performance from Cousins, but can we really get too carried away considering the state of Philadelphia’s secondary?
The Lions are 5-1 against the spread in their last five games and are also looking to erase a pair of blowout losses to the Vikings last season. Since there’s no real difference in the head-to-head price and the line, back Detroit to Cover.
Tip: Back the Lions to Cover the Line (+1.5 Points) @ $1.96
Green Bay Packers
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Lambeau Field
Packers 42 - Raiders 24
The Packers improved to 5-1 last week albeit thanks to some controversial officiating.
Green Bay’s injury list continues to grow though as Geronimo Allison now joins wide receiver Davante Adams on the sidelines. It’s welcome news for a Raiders defence that has performed exceptionally well so far, and as the line suggests, the bookies are expecting this week’s game to be close.
Oakland returns from the bye week with a winning record. If results go their way, the Raiders could find themselves on top of the division – an unfathomable result after losing Antonio Brown before the season began.
The Packers were far from their best last week on offence, which has become a common theme through the first six weeks. Defensively however, Green Bay managed to force three turnovers against the Lions, which could spell bad news for a Raiders side making their first trip to Lambeau since 2011.
This is a big test of Oakland’s maturity on the road. On the plus side, the Raiders have allowed the fifth-fewest sacks so far this season, so don’t expect Green Bay’s pass rush to have everything their own way.
Tip: Back the Packers 1-12
San Francisco 49ers
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, FedEx Field
Redskins 0 - 49ers 9
There’s nothing fake about this Niners side following last week’s win over the Rams.
Still undefeated, San Francisco can breathe a little easier this week as they head to Washington to face a Redskins side fresh from a nail-biter against the Dolphins.
Getting their first win on the board was something worth celebrating, but the stats don’t lie – the Redskins are still awful on offence. Not only does Washington rank 28th in points scored, they also rank seventh in turnovers and 29th in first downs.
San Francisco’s defence has been sneaky good this year to the point where they’ve forced the fifth-most turnovers and allowed only one rushing touchdown.
The last time these two sides met at FedEx Field was back in 2017, a game the Skins won 26-24. A lot has changed since then though, and as the odds suggest, the Niners look extremely tough to beat.
Tip: Redskins Under 15.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Bengals 17 - Jaguars 27
Things continue to spiral out of control in Cincinnati as first-year head coach Zac Taylor faces the hot seat.
The Bengals remain winless through six games after losing to the Ravens 23-17 last week. Problems continue to persist in the secondary and on the offensive line, all being made worse by AJ Green being listed as doubtful to make his season debut.
Jacksonville are far from perfect themselves. Last week’s 13-6 loss to the Saints was a far cry from the Gardner Minshew we’ve come to know in recent weeks, and as for the rest of the offence, everything looks overly reliant on Leonard Fournette running the ball.
Speaking of running, that’s exactly what we should expect from both sides this week. Jacksonville and Cincinnati both rank Top 10 in rushing yards allowed, which should provide plenty of opportunities for Joe Mixon to get his season back on track.
These two sides have split their last 10-games five wins apiece, but with a 7-3 record against the spread in their last 10-games, the Bengals might just earn their first win of the season.
Tip: Back the Bengals to Cover the Line & Over 44.5 Total Points @ $3.50
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Colts 30 - Texans 23
With only a game separating the two, the winner of this game could go on to win the AFC South.
The Texans’ victory over the Chiefs at Arrowhead last week was nothing short of remarkable. Down 17-3 at the end of the first quarter, Houston fought back in the second to pile on 20 unanswered points.
Putting up a high score on Kansas City is easy though, just ask the Colts.
Indianapolis also pulled off a victory over the Chiefs a fortnight ago at Arrowhead and have since had a week off to reflect on where the rest of the season is headed.
Running the ball came easy to the Texans last week as Carlos Hyde exploded for 116-yards and a touchdown, but that won’t be the case this week in Indy.
The Colts have allowed only three rushing touchdowns all year, while they also have a pretty potent running back themselves in Marlon Mack.
Despite Deshaun Watson’s classy season, there’s also no denying just how poor the Texans’ offensive line has looked at times. The Colts’ pass rush is among the best in the league, so with a 7-1 record in their last eight home games, back Indianapolis to win this one.
Tip: Back the Colts to Win @ $1.88
New York Giants
Monday 21 October, 4:00am, Metlife Stadium
Giants 21 - Cardinals 27
The Giants and Cardinals will meet for the first time since 2017 on Monday in what should be a fascinating battle between two rookie quarterbacks.
Arizona survived a big scare last week to earn their first win of the season with a one-point victory over the Falcons. Kyler Murray was outstanding throwing for 340-yards and three touchdowns, but the defence still looks a major concern as the Cardinals gave up 117-yards to Falcons tight end Austin Hooper.
The Giants have come back down to earth a little since Daniel Jones’ impressive Week 2 start. New York lost 35-14 on the road against the Patriots last week, but with that said, there was still lots to like about the Giants defensively.
Bookmakers have favoured the Giants in this one with home-field advantage and an extra two days’ rest. Unfortunately, it’s tough to trust either side straight-up right now, and with the Total going Over in four of Arizona’s last six games, it’s safe to play the points.
Tip: Over 50.5 Total Points @ $1.92
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 21 October, 7:05am, Nissan Stadium
Titans 23 - Chargers 20
The Titans and the Chargers find themselves in a similar position this week at 2-4.
Tennessee’s season has taken a wild swing in the wrong direction as the team announced Ryan Tannehill as this week’s starter over Marcus Mariota. A change at quarterback was certainly needed, but for those who know Tannehill well, the move is hardly an upgrade.
Nothing drastic has happened (so far) on the Chargers’ roster, but time is running out to turn this season into something meaningful.
Los Angeles can rest a little easier knowing Hunter Henry is back fighting fit, which is an encouraging sign against a Titans team that has allowed the second-most touchdowns to tight ends.
The Chargers have also won nine of their last 10-games over Tennessee, so with a chance to move one step closer to .500, back Los Angeles to take full advantage of a much weaker opponent.
Tip: Back the Chargers 1-12
Monday 21 October, 7:25am, Centurylink Field
The Seahawks have opened as 3.5-point favourites this week at home against a Ravens side looking to extend their winning streak to three.
Russell Wilson is now the firm favourite in MVP betting after putting up three touchdowns on the Browns last week. For a team lacking receivers, the Seahawks surprisingly rank sixth in points scored this year, while running back Chris Carson continues to show signs of life on the ground.
Baltimore’s defence received a real shot in the arm mid-week in the form of Marcus Peters. The hard-hitting Rams safety should fit in well with the Ravens on defence, as well as bring plenty of experience against a Seahawks team he’s faced on three different occasions.
These two teams haven’t faced eachother since 2015, making this one of the most fascinating games on the schedule.
Really, it’s a bit of a coin flip, but considering the Ravens have allowed the sixth-most passing yards on defence, siding with Seattle at home is the safest play.
Tip: Back the Seahawks to Cover the Line (-3.5 Points) @ $2.00
New Orleans Saints
Monday 21 October, 7:25am, Soldier Field
Bears 25 - Saints 36
Are we looking at a potential NFC playoff preview here?
The Bears have plenty of work to do if they wish to reclaim the NFC North from the Packers, but well-rested and fresh from a bye, Chicago has to like its chances at home against the Saints.
New Orleans has now won four straight games since Drew Brees went down injured in Week 2. Even with Teddy Bridgewater under center, the Saints look to be one of the teams to beat in the NFC, although the bookies seem to disagree this week in Chicago.
The last time these two sides met in Chicago was way back in 2014, a game the Saints won 31-15. The weather this time of year plays a factor for any opposing team, and while New Orleans’ offence is firing on all cylinders, it’s hard to argue with the Bears defence right now.
Chicago ranks bottom five in rushing and passing yards allowed. So far Saints running back Alvin Kamara is yet to hit his usual stride, so back the Bears to keep New Orleans’ top playmakers in check.
Tip: Bears to Win & Under 38 Points @ $3.96
Monday 21 October, 11:20am, AT&T Stadium
Cowboys 37 - Eagles 10
There’s nothing convincing about either of these teams right now.
For Dallas, the season – and Jason Garrett’s job – looks in serious danger following a loss to the Jets last week.
Once again, playcalling was the problem as the Cowboys made some puzzling decisions on their potential game-winning drive with under two minutes remaining. Running the ball was one thing, but a complete lack of urgency made life pretty easy for the Jets defence to secure the win.
Speaking of defence, that’s also been the main culprit in Philly this season. Just when you thought the Eagles were primed for a deep playoff run, they goo and give up 333-yards and four touchdowns to Kirk Cousins in a blowout 38-20 loss to the Vikings.
This is a must-win game moreso for the Cowboys than the Eagles, but you could argue a win is equally important for Philadelphia if they wish to stamp themselves as a serious contender in the NFC.
Typically speaking, games between the Eagles and Cowboys are always a little weird. Dallas has won the last six, while the Total has gone Under in five of the last 10.
The Total does seem a little low this week though considering how poorly both sides have played defensively. The head-to-head market looks risky, so back this one to go Over.
Tip: Over 49 Points @ $1.96
New York Jets
New England Patriots
Tuesday 22 October, 11:15am, Metlife Stadium
Patriots 33 - Jets 0
Jets fans had this game circled long before the season even started.
Things haven’t gone according to plan since then, but after looking a lot steadier with Sam Darnold under center last week, we could be in for a competitive game between these two AFC East foes.
The Patriots remain undefeated (and well-rested) having just disposed of the other New York team, the Giants, last Friday. Defensively, New England is the best team in the league, but after turning the ball over twice, Tom Brady suddenly looks human.
New York’s defence continues to cop a bad rap from the media – or at least that was the case prior to last week’s win over the Cowboys.
The Jets haven’t beaten the Patriots since 2015, which also happens to be their last home victory over New England. There’s no way you can take on New England at their current price, but with the Jets boasting a 5-1 record against the spread in their last six home games against the Patriots, there’s nothing to say this won’t be close.
Tip: Back the Jets to Cover the Line (+9.5 Points) @ $1.92
The Packers, Raiders, Steelers and Seahawks all take a seat this week, leaving us with 14 must-watch match ups that could go a long way to deciding the playoff picture.
As far as blockbusters go, keep an eye on the Patriots trip to Chicago to face the Bears, while Monday morning’s crucial NFC bout between the Eagles and Panthers should be the highlight game of the week.
Whether you’re looking to build a bank, or a strong multi, be sure to check out our entire 2018 NFL Week 7 Preview below!
Friday 19 October, 11:20am, State Farm Stadium
Arizona 10 – Denver 45
Arizona Cardinals (1-5): Tough to win games when you can’t convert on third down. Also tough to win games when you punt six times and turn it over on downs twice.
Don’t get it twisted, the Cardinals had their fair share of opportunities last week against the Vikings, they just couldn’t seem to find a groove when it mattered most.
In their defence, if Arizona were any chance of beating Minnesota on the road they’d have to be prepared for a full on shootout against one of the best passing attacks in the league. And in case you haven’t been watching, that was always a tall order considering Josh Rosen has struggled to turn conversions into points this year.
Perhaps the only saving grace for Arizona ahead of Week 7 is Denver’s miserable record on the road. Their running game has been stifled away from home, leading the Broncos to a look-away 1-11 record in the head-to-head market.
Denver Broncos (2-4): Mediocre Quarterback vs. Elite Offense: Take 2.0.
The Broncos found themselves in a similar situation to Arizona last week, tasked with taking down the Rams at home. Despite Denver’s four-game skid, their defence hasn’t been altogether bad, especially in the air – they’ve allowed the 10th fewest points per game via the pass this season.
Still, defending the run has been a challenge, as seen in Todd Gurley’s career high 200+ rushing extravaganza last week.
Stopping Gurley is a league-wide battle, so we can’t fault the Broncos too much for that, but after such a strong start to the season, it looks as though we’ve been deceived by Case Keenum once again.
The Broncos running game holds the key to the kingdom if Denver are to make the playoffs this year, and in the last two weeks, it’s been awful. Royce Freeman and Peyton Lindsay were held to 40 combined yards last week, which forced Keenum to throw the ball 41-times.
Recipe for disaster? You betcha. Fortunately, the Cardinals have allowed the second-most rushing yards-per-game this season, second to only… you guessed it, the Broncos.
This is a chance for each team to hand it to their backs, stay conservative, and hopefully earn a rare win this season. Play it safe though and and stick with the points market this week, and maybe David Johnson/Peyton Lindsay as Anytime Touchdown Scorers if you’re feeling adventurous.
Tip: Back Under 43 Total Points @ $1.91
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday 22 October, 12:30am, Wembley Stadium
LA Chargers 20 – Tennessee 19
Los Angeles Chargers (4-2): Figures, it’s the middle of October, and right on cue, the Chargers are the second-last team in the league anyone wants to face.
The Bolts are clicking on all cylinders right now, and in case you missed last week’s 38-14 crucifixion of the Browns, take a good look at Melvin Gordon’s stats: 132-rushing yards, three touchdowns.
This team can burn you in more ways than one, and it doesn’t help when quarterback Philip Rivers continues to find new wide receivers from the woodwork to throw to.
Last week it was Tyrell Williams’ turn to join in on the action, catching for 118-yards and a pair of touchdowns himself. This week, who knows, Keenan Allen, you’re up.
Don’t look now, but LA’s only two losses this season have come against the previously undefeated Chiefs and the 6-0 Rams.
Their defence also enjoyed a bit of a breakthrough against the Browns, piling on four sacks against Baker Mayfield, which spells nothing but bad news for Marcus Mariota following an 11 sack day in last week’s 21-0 shutout at the hands of the Ravens.
Tennessee Titans (3-3): The rollercoaster continues for the Titans, failing to register as much as a single point last week against Baltimore.
Fans in London didn’t get much bang for their buck last week during the Seahawks/Raiders blowout, but unfortunately, there might be more bad news -Tennessee are coming to town.
On his day, Mariota is one of the most complete quarterbacks in the league. On his worst day, or should we say the offensive line’s worst day, Mariota can melt into a pool of goo.
There wasn’t a single positive to take away from last week’s loss. The Titans failed to register a single sack on Joe Flacco, neither running back rushed for over 25-yards, and their top receiver, Corey Davis, caught just one pass.
Tennessee’s only hope this week is for the Chargers to show up tired from the long travel, and with a 1-10 record head-to-head against LA, even that won’t be enough to save them.
Tip: Back the Chargers 7-12 @ $4.75
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Raymond James Stadium
Tampa Bay 26 – Cleveland 23
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-3): You’d put the house on DeSean Jackson catching a pass, right? What about a lateral?
The Bucs came within inches of pulling off a last-ditch miracle against the Falcons last week, and if Jackson caught a backwards toss along the sidelines, he probably would have scored the walk-off touchdown.
While Tampa fans dwell on what could have been, this week’s game against the Browns figures as must-win for the Bucs. Despite last week’s narrow loss, there wasn’t a whole lot to like about Dirk Koetter’s team, particularly in the passing game.
The trouble with Jameis Winston making his first start after missing the first few weeks of the season is this: a lack of sync. It was on full display last week in Atlanta, as Winston overthrew Mike Evans on several different occasions.
To add further woes to Tampa’s slippery slope, the Bucs probably would have won last week if they managed to score in the red zone. If there is one positive to be made though, it would have to be the encouraging 82-yard performance from running back Peyton Barber.
Returning back home now, the Bucs are 4-2 at the line against the Browns at Raymond Jones Stadium. Given how inconsistent both teams have been however, this shapes up as a market to steer clear of.
Cleveland Browns (2-3-1): Last week was a bit of a reality check for Cleveland coming off second best against a very explosive Chargers side.
The highs and lows of Baker Mayfield’s rookie season continued with a two-interception performance, and just when we thought we had Cleveland’s run game figured out, they lay a goose egg against one of the better run-stopping teams in the league.
Everything that could go wrong did go wrong last for the Browns – Mayfield was sacked five times, Jarvis Landry caught only two passes, and behind a shoddy offensive line with a handful of beat up receivers, Cleveland were forced to punt six different times.
There’s no question Cleveland have been competitive on the road this year, but hey, the stats don’t lie – the Browns are 0-5 in the head-to-head market in their last five away games .
Tip: No Bet
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia 17 – Carolina 21
Philadelphia Eagles (3-3): The Eagles enjoyed a nice 10-day break in the lead up to this crucial NFC match up, one that could easily shape the playoff picture down the track.
Philly were hardly challenged against the Giants last week, and really, was that a surprise? The Eagles were completely dominant when it mattered most, holding New York to just four third-down conversions while quarterback Eli Manning endured a day to forget under centre.
Making short work of the Giants’ miserable pass protection is easy, but containing Cam Newton and Co. is not.
Fortunately, history suggests the Eagles are favourites in this for a reason – they are 4-2 straight up vs. Carolina at home. But wouldn’t you know it, the stat sheet suggests something completely different – the Panthers have allowed the ninth fewest points-per-game this season.
For Philadelphia to win this, they’ll need their offensive line to be up for the challenge. The Eagles allowed just one sack on Carson Wentz this week, and we need not remind you of just how lethal Carolina’s pass-rush can be with Luke Kuechly across the line of scrimmage.
Carolina Panthers (3-2): Not a lot to like from the Panthers last week, which should make punters a little nervy with Carolina heading to Lincoln Financial Field.
Let’s start from the top – time of possession. You don’t win football games when your defence can’t get off the field, and you certainly don’t score points when the opposing team holds the ball for nearly an entire quarter.
Secondly, Carolina’s run-game needs to find itself immediately, and not in a spiritual sense. Christian McCaffrey has rushed for over 100-yards only once this season, and so far has scored just one receiving touchdown through five games.
And last but not least, the defence. For a team that has recorded seven interceptions this year, the Panthers sure don’t play like a team capable of defending the pass. They allowed Alex Smith to throw two touchdowns this week, but most importantly spread the ball around between six different receivers.
To paint an even drearier pitcher, the Panthers are also 0-2 on the road so far this season. Better yet, they’ve won only four of their last 10 games against the Eagles, and haven’t travelled to Philly since 2014.
Sounds like E-A-G-L-E-S is the only way to go this week.
Tip: Back the Eagles 7-12 @ $5.25
New York Jets
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Metlife Stadium
NY Jets 17 – Minnesota 37
New York Jets (3-3): So playing the Jets at home this year looks pretty tough.
As we saw last week, New York are a tricky opponent at Metlife, and a week removed from one of his better rookie performances, quarterback Sam Darnold has plenty to be proud of as we head toward’s the midway point of the season.
Darnold had himself a day last week against the Colts, throwing for 280-yards and a pair of scores. He led an impressive two-minute drill prior to the half, hitting Jermaine Kearse over the middle to set up a crucial last second field goal before the break.
It was a fairly disciplined game from the Jets’ starter, although he does have a few kinks to iron out. For Darnold to take the next step, he needs to improve with his eyes – he failed to look off the safety last week against Indy, throwing the ball straight into the arms of Malik Hooker.
Those small improvements will come with time, but Darnold can’t afford to make those mistakes against an elite defence like Minnesota this week. The Jets will hold their breath on the health of running back Isaiah Crowell and Quincy Enunwa, but it looks as though New York may be without two of their playmakers.
Even so, things are clicking along nicely for New York. Kicker Jason Myers was a perfect 10/10 in front of the sticks last week, setting a new franchise record.
A good mix of run/pass might just catch the Vikings flat footed if Darnold can limit the mistakes.
Minnesota Vikings (3-2): The Viking defence did their job last week. The offense? Not so much.
For a team with such talented receivers, you’d certainly expect quarterback Kirk Cousins to throw for more than 233-yards, one touchdown (and one interception) against a team like the Cardinals.
Despite allowing 155-yard rushing yards to Latavius Murray, turns out Arizona’s defence enjoyed a nice day themselves, sacking Cousins four-times to keep the game tied at 10-points apiece heading into the half.
Minnesota’s defence, however, was outstanding. Sure, the Cardinals’ are hardly a powerhouse on offense, but after finishing 0/10 on third down conversions, it’s safe to say George Edwards’ defence did their job.
Surprisingly enough though, the Vikings haven’t enjoyed playing the Jets. Minnesota are 1-6 in their last seven games against New York, and are a less than impressive 2-3-1 on the road.
We’ve already seen Minnesota stall against the Bills this year, which makes an upset in New York, a ground they haven’t visited since 2010, a very likely possibility.
Tip: Back the Jets To Win @ $2.50
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
Miami 21 – Detroit 32
Miami Dolphins (4-2): Brock Osweiler will start for the second straight week against the Lions on Monday, which could be really great or really grim.
If last week’s narrow 31-28 win over the Bears was anything to go by, we should expect more of the same from the Dolphins this week.
It’s fair to say if Miami lost that game, we wouldn’t be sipping the Osweiler kool aid right now after throwing a pair of picks, but to his credit, he did lead the game-winning drive to set up perfect field goal position.
Lost among the Osweiler optimism was the Dolphins’ strong day on the ground. Running back Frank Gore fought father time to run for 101-yards, while Kenyan Drake chipped in with 57 of his own.
It just so happens Detroit are also one of the worst teams when it comes to stopping the run, allowing the third most rushing yards-per-game this year.
Miami are 5-1 in their last six games at home, and even after a week off, Detroit will have a fight on their hands if they are to stop the Dolphins on the ground.
Detroit Lions (2-3): Don’t let the Lions’ 2-3 record fool you, this is a Detroit team riding pretty high on confidence after defeating the Packers two weeks ago.
In that game, Detroit executed their passing plays to perfection against a mismatched Green Bay secondary, a strategy they’ll hope to employ again this week against Miami.
If Detroit really are to win this game, they’d also be wise to hand it off to Kerryon Johnson as early and as often as possible.
Whilst at the same time hoping to plug up their own holes on defence, the Dolphins have also been one of the worst teams when it comes to stopping the run.
Johnson, who ran for 70-yards against Green Bay, looks like a potential Rookie of the Year candidate, and after a week off to nurse a bruised ankle, he’s poised to play a major role on the road this week.
Likewise, feeding the ball to Kenny Golladay one-on-one should work wonders for Detroit. The Dolphins’ secondary has allowed the ninth most yards-per-game this season, and are often susceptible to the deep ball.
Given the fact that Miami are now banking on a repeat performance from Osweiler – something we never thought we’d be saying – the Lions are a nice play at the line this week.
Tip: Back the Lions at the Line
New England Patriots
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Soldier Field
Chicago 31 – New England 38
Chicago Bears (3-2): The Bears can claim bragging rights in the NFC North for now, but if they show up against the Patriots like they did last week against the Dolphins, they’re in for a rude shock.
The swing in betting was fascinating last week from a punting perspective. After Brock Osweiler was announced as the starter for the Dolphins, the Bears firmed into almost un-backable favouritism at a very short price, but boy did they disappoint.
To be fair, it did take a last minute 47-year field goal from Dolphins kicker Jason Sanders to put the game out of reach. Defensively though, the Bears looked gassed in the fourth quarter, which doesn’t bode well against the Patriots this week.
Home-field advantage is one thing, but out-smarting Tom Brady is another. The Bears defence failed to register a single sack against a Dolphins o-line that allowed 11 on starter Ryan Tannehill through five weeks, a rare feat considering how well-rested the pass-rush was following the bye.
With a pretty ugly 1-7 record in their last eight games against the Patriots, it might seem like this one is a little beyond the Bears. If quarterback Mitchell Trubisky can have another lights out performance though after throwing three-touchdowns last week, this could be your upset of the week.
New England Patriots (4-2): Last week really was a story of two halves.
The Patriots, who recorded perhaps one of the great wins of their young season over the Kansas City Chiefs, were a defensive powerhouse in the first half.
In case you missed it, veteran linebacker Don’t’a Hightower rewound the clock in the first half, playing his best game since Super Bowl 51 intercepting Patrick Mahomes for a crucial early turnover.
Then, everything fell apart, as the Patriots allowed the Chiefs to score 31-points in 10-minutes behind some pretty nasty blown coverage from New England’s secondary.
On the first occasion, Kareem Hunt slipped right past two deep safeties on a vertical route to score a 67-yard touchdown. On the second, Tyreek Hill caught a badly overthrown ball from Mahomes that should easily have been picked off to race down the sidelines.
Of course, on both of those plays, Mahomes was forced to make a move with his feet, which should suit Trubisky nicely this week.
The Bears’ receivers are nowhere near the calibre of Kansas City’s, but if Chicago challenges New England with plenty of motion at the line and deep passes, they can win this.
Tip: Back the Bears To Win @ $2.75
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Indianapolis 37 – Buffalo 5
Indianapolis Colts (1-5): The Colts were their own worst enemy last week. Dropped passes and penalties were the theme of the day, while the bulk of Indy’s chances once again fell into the hands of Andrew Luck.
It’s clear this is a lost year for the Colts, although this week does present the chance to gain a rare win at home over an equally poor Bills side.
Aside from last week’s self-inflicted punishment though, the Colts were also missing wide receiver T.Y. Hilton, who is still listed as questionable ahead of Monday’s game with a hamstring issue.
Depending on Hilton’s status, this could be a game to steer clear of, but if there was one thing to hang your hat on after last week, it was Indy’s improved pass protection.
The Colts didn’t allow a single sack on Luck against the Jets, and it was encouraging to see the running game step up behind Marlon Mack, who had missed a month due to injury.
If you’ve avoided watching the Colts, don’t forget there are some real playmakers on this team. Mack, pass-catching running back Nyheim Hines and newfound Luck favourite, Chester Rogers, are all capable of making plays, and that’s exactly what they should do this week.
Buffalo Bills (2-4): The ebbs and flows of the Bills’ 2018 season continues to reach dizzying heights following last week’s disaster against the Texans.
Quarterback Josh Allen started the game, but was eventually pulled after suffering an arm injury right before the half. In stepped replacement Nathan Peterman midway through the third quarter, a nervous sight for all Bills fans involved.
Buffalo fans held their breath remembering Week 1’s disaster against the Ravens, and in repeat fashion, Peterman threw another pair of interceptions in the 17-10 loss, one of which was a game-ending pick six to cornerback Johnathan Joseph.
To his credit, Peterman made some decent reads prior to the fourth quarter, but it’s now painfully obvious the second-year back up has a serious case of the yips.
So now, the Bills have a quarterback quandary on their hands, one they hope Derek Anderson can solve.
Buffalo signed the 35-year old veteran during the week to start against the Colts, but keep in mind, he hasn’t thrown a pass in a live game since Week 15 last season.
With that in mind, you can’t trust the Bills, and turn out, the bookies don’t either.
Tip: Back the Colts 7-12 @ $4.50
Monday 22 October, 4:00am, TIAA Bank Field
Jacksonville 7 – Houston 20
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-3): The AFC South is up for grabs this week, but this might be the most tepid division decider we’ve seen in quite a while.
Jacksonville’s defence is the talk of the town after allowing 40-points to Dak Prescott and the Cowboys last week. Cornerback Jalen Ramsay was speechless post-game, and for all of the preseason Super Bowl hype surrounding this team, it’s pretty clear that the Jags are well away from a championship.
Speaking of the Super Bowl, we often talk about championship hangovers, but this is more like a regular hangover.
The Jaguars are yet to rebound from their AFC Championship Game disappointment last year, and there’s no reprieve on the horizon with Blake Bortles showing his true colours for the second straight week.
In their last ten meetings with the Texans, the Jaguars have won just four. Even worse, they are 2-5 against Houston at home, but given the Texans’ horrible offensive line, this figures as a perfect rebound scenario for the defence to reclaim its reputation.
Houston Texans (3-3): Again, how?
The Texans have clawed their way back to .500 against some pretty awful opponents, but one look at the stat sheet shows you just how lucky Houston are to have a winning record.
Last week Bill O’Brien’s side took full advantage of Buffalo’s mistakes, although it’s safe to say, if it wasn’t for DeAndre Hopkins and Nathan Peterman, Houston wouldn’t even be in this position.
The weight of Houston’s season literally rests in the hands of the offensive line, and so far, it’s failed the test. Deshaun Watson was sacked seven times last week, which in turn forced him into throws he didn’t want to make, and ultimately, two interceptions for the Bills defence.
And what does that spell this week?
On the road, against Jalen Ramsay and a challenged Jaguars defence that has felt plenty of criticism all week, Houston’s mild offense won’t be enough to carry them this week.
Tip: Back the Jaguars 1-6 @ $4.20
New Orleans Saints
Monday 22 October, 7:05am, M&T Bank Stadium
Baltimore 23 – New Orleans 24
Baltimore Ravens (4-2): Big week for the Ravens, especially on defence.
Baltimore ravaged the Titans’ offensive line, sacking quarterback Marcus Mariota 11-times last week – just one shy of an NFL record.
After a fortnight of questions, the win has cemented Baltimore as a serious threat in the AFC, and with Joe Flacco having another so-so day in the air, it’s handy when you can offload the ball to running back Alex Collins and watch him rush for 54-yards and a couple of scores.
The Ravens also held the Titans 1/10 on third down conversions last Monday. That won’t be the case this week against Drew Brees and the Saints, but with a strong 5-1 record in their last six games against New Orleans, this sets up as a potentially low-scoring affair.
New Orleans Saints (4-1): A fortnight removed from claiming the All-Time Passing record, Drew Brees enjoyed an extra week off to prepare for the Ravens.
The veteran quarterback reportedly played a pretend game against himself last week to keep himself in tune, which might prove wise considering he is the only quarterback without an interception this season.
Offensively the Saints will be up for a shootout with the Ravens this week, but it’s their defence that may let them down.
New Orleans have allowed the seventh most points-per-game this season, making it doubtful they can limit Flacco and Collins for a full four quarters.
Teams fresh from a bye are 1-3 this season, which makes it hard to find confidence in the Saints after a week off. It’s best to watch this one and stick with the points market.
Tip: Back Over 42 Total Points @ $1.91
Monday 22 October, 7:25am, FedEx Field
Washington 20 – Dallas 17
Washington Redskins (3-2): By Week 6 we can normally get a feel for the contenders and pretenders, so where do the Redskins figure in?
At home, Washington are tough as nails. The defence knuckled down last week against the Panthers, limiting Carolina’s time of possession and third down conversions.
On the road though, the Skins are a very different story. They were obliterated by the Saints in New Orleans a fortnight ago, and with a range of average receivers and aging running backs, it’s hard to see Washington winning something like a Wild Card game on the road this year.
Still, as far as this week is concerned, the Redskins remain at home, although that mightn’t mean much against this rejuvenated Cowboys side.
Washington are 0-5 in their last five home games against Dallas, and in case you didn’t catch a glimpse last week, the Cowboys passing game is red hot.
But again, the Skins should have an answer. They’ve allowed the seventh fewest points-per-game through the air this season, and have allowed only seven touchdowns at home.
Skins in a close one, just expect it to come down to the wire.
Dallas Cowboys (3-3): It’s only taken two years, but the Cowboys finally clicked last week – Dak Prescott likes to run the football!
Head coach Jason Garrett did a great job of challenging Jacksonville’s defence, using plenty of motion and run/pass options to keep the Jags guessing.
Prescott rushed for 82-yards and a score last week, but that was only the tip of the iceberg. Cole Beasley broke through with 101-yard, two touchdown performance, forcing opposing defences to consider double-teaming a receiver who realistically, should be a complete non-factor.
To make life even harder, Ezekiel Elliott continues to carve up running lanes each and every week. We’ve already touched on how strong Washington’s defence can be, but if you’ve been paying close attention, the Cowboys have allowed the second-fewest points-per-game this year.
Can we really trust Dallas though?
It might take more convincing than one game against a beaten up, Blake Bortles-led offense. Stick with the Redskins at home, it’s the safe play.
Tip: Back the Redskins To Win @ $1.80
San Francisco 49ers
Los Angeles Rams
Monday 22 October, 7:25am, Levi’s Field
San Francisco 10 – LA Rams 39
San Francisco 49ers (1-5): Gallant effort against Green Bay last week in a game they probably deserved to win.
Not for the first time, or the last, Aaron Rodgers got the better of an unexpecting defence, as the 49ers allowed the Pack to march down the field and kick the game winning field goal behind two clutch throws from the future Hall of Famer.
Look, it’s already a lost season for San Francisco, so it’s important to focus on the positives. Injuries have ravaged this team, but the 49ers have to feel pretty good about Marquise Goodwin’s 126-yard game, and of course, the breakthrough season from Matt Breida.
And of course, the negatives are just as important. San Francisco’s defence lives by the sword, dialling up pressure, crowding the line, and hoping they don’t get beat over the top.
That game plan worked wonders against Rodgers last week, didn’t it? Certainly not, and against the most energetic and high-scoring offense in the league on Monday, expect similar results.
Los Angeles Rams (6-0): A career high game from Todd Gurley saw the Rams win a tight one over the Broncos last week.
The MVP favourite rushed for 208-yards and two touchdowns against a pretty stout run defence, but just when things were cruising along nicely, the Rams look to be without star wide receiver Cooper Kupp for the immediate future.
It’s a minor blow to an offense that features plenty of depth, and fortunately, LA has two very winnable games up next against San Francisco and Green Bay.
For what it’s worth, the Rams are 2-7-1 in their last 10-games on the road in San Francisco, however the NFL’s lone undefeated team are actually looking to bounce back from what was a below-average passing display against Denver last week.
The possibility of Jared Goff having back-to-back weeks without throwing a touchdown seems extremely low, and against a secondary that remains patchy, this should be a comfortable Rams win.
Tip: Back the Rams To Beat The Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.91
Kansas City Chiefs
Monday 22 October, 11:20am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City 45 – Cincinnati 10
Kansas City Chiefs (5-1): Talk about a lesson for a young rookie quarterback.
Patrick Mahomes went down swinging last week in New England, and despite throwing a pair of interceptions, there was plenty to take away from Kansas City’s 43-40 loss.
Firstly, you don’t see this very often from a gunslinger, let alone one in his first NFL season. Mahomes looked a little off in the first half after over-throwing a wide open Kareem Hunt in the end zone, but like any good franchise quarterback, he bounced back in the second half with a gutsy performance.
Scoring 31-points in the span of 10-minutes is difficult against any team in the league, let alone on the road in New England. Mahomes made some brilliant plays with his feet to escape pressure and dart out of the pocket, but his ability to look down field, spot an open receiver and hit him in full stride remains impressive.
We’ve said this before, but full credit to Andy Reid, this is just a match made in heaven. The play calls are spot on, and Mahomes has the talent around him to make it all work.
There’s really not much more that needs to be said ahead of this week’s trip back home, and in case the Mahomes hype wasn’t enough, make sure you take into account the fact the Bengals are 3-6 when travelling to Arrowhead in their last nine games.
Cincinnati Bengals (4-2): Hey, the Bengals are right in the hunt for the AFC North title, even if they continue to come up with new ways to lose.
Last week was a game they should have won against Pittsburgh, but it seems as soon as this franchise takes one step forward, they take two steps back.
On a positive note, quarterback Andy Dalton continues to shine, and so do his receivers. It’s been all about A.J. Green so far this year, and third-year starter Tyler Boyd already well on pace for career highs in every category, the two are forming quite the duo.
It’s the defence that lets Cincy down, though. The pass rush failed to lay a hand on Ben Roethlisberger last week, and the run defence progressively grows worse each year as it continues to cough up large chunks of yards.
Sticking to the script, this is probably the kind of game that will involve further heartbreak for the Bengals. Neither team copes particularly well defensively, so the Overs are a great play. If you’re feeling bold however, you can’t look past the Chiefs in what should be a high-scoring shootout.
Tip: Back Over 58.5 Total Points @ $1.91
New York Giants
Tuesday 23 October, 11:15am, Mercedes Benz Stadium
Atlanta 23 – NY Giants 20
Atlanta Falcons (2-4): Bonus points to the Falcons for creativity, they just keep reinventing ways to throw games away this season.
Last week they didn’t quite get the job done against the Bucs, holding on for a 34-29 win at home. A last ditch miracle nearly cost Atlanta though, and if DeSean Jackson caught a backwards lateral along the sidelines, the Falcons are probably 1-5 right now.
Let’s start with the positives. Matt Ryan shared the ball around nicely last week between Julio Jones, Calvin Ridley and Mohamed Sanu, while the offensive line did a great job of picking up Tampa Bay’s pressure as they continued to dial up the blitz.
Kicker Matt Bryant enjoyed another brilliant day at the office, having now missed only one extra point all season. Better yet, the Falcons were also killer defending on third down, holding the Bucs to just five conversions.
So has Atlanta finally turned this thing around?
Short answer, no.
This still feels like a trap, one that punters need to be wary of this week. The Falcons are at home, however their 1-7 record against the Giants shouldn’t fill you with confidence.
New York Giants (1-5): Speaking of confidence, at least it can’t get any worse, right?
The Giants hope to turn a long 10-day break into a win on the road this week, although it hardly looks likely given their performance against the Eagles last Friday.
The offensive line is a dumpster fire, and eventually, the ticking time bomb that is Odell Beckham Jr. is going to explode in the wrong sense of the word.
Quarterback Eli Manning looks lost in the pocket, and with minimal time to make his reads and throw the ball, who can blame him?
The one positive of this already lost season is Saquon Barkley, who already has two 100+ yard seasons in his rookie year.
Other than that, there’s not much to like, and until we see some signs of life on offense, you can’t back the Giants.
Tip: Back the Falcons 7-12 @ $5.00
It is a massive weekend of action in the NFL!
It is almost must win for the Oakland Raiders against their AFC West rivals the Kansas City Chiefs on Friday and are a number of other teams are in similar situations.
There are few teams under more pressure than the Atlanta Falcons – they will have the chance to atone for their heart-breaking Super Bowl defeat when they take on the New England Patriots on Monday morning.
Our excellent NFL tipping continued with a stack of winners last weekend and our complete NFL Week 7 tips can be found below.
Kansas City Chiefs
Friday October 20, 11:25am, O.co Coliseum
The Oakland Raiders have been one of the biggest flops in the NFL this season and they go into this clash with the Kansas City Chiefs under plenty of pressure.
Oakland suffered their fourth win on the trot when they went down to the Los Angeles Chargers last weekend and they will go into this clash as clear underdogs.
The Raiders have won their only game as home underdogs over the past 12 months and they are 5-3 against the line at home in general.
Kansas City suffered their first loss of the season at the hands of the Pittsburgh Steelers last weekend, but their record away from home suggests that they will have no issue returning to winning form.
The Chiefs have won their past eight games on the road and even more impressive is the fact that they have covered the line in each of these wins.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right, but there is value in the Total Points betting market.
The Over has saluted in seven of the past eight games played by the Raiders at home and has also been a profitable betting play in Chiefs games on the road.
Back Over 46.5 Points
Monday October 23, 4:00am, US Bank Stadium
The Minnesota Vikings recorded an upset win over the Green Bay Packers last weekend and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Minnesota have proven to be a tough side to trust from a betting perspective and they have won only three of their past six games as home favourites for a loss.
Baltimore suffered a surprise overtime loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears last weekend and they have struggled somewhat on the road.
They have won only two of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 3-3 against the line in this scenario.
It is tough to back either of these teams with any confidence and this is a game that I will be staying out of.
Green Bay Packers
New Orleans Saints
Monday October 23, 4:00am, Lambeau Field
This is a big test for the Green Bay Packers as they go into this clash without star quarterback Aaron Rodgers.
Winning without Rodgers has proven to be a big issue for Green Bay in the past and it is tough to have any faith in this side without Rodgers on the field.
The New Orleans Saints have got themselves in the NFL Playoffs mix with three straight wins and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
New Orleans have won their past two games as away favourites and they have covered the line in both these wins.
This is an excellent opportunity for New Orleans to continue their winning streak and they should win comfortably.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (-5 Points)
New York Jets
Monday October 23, 4:00am, Hard Rock Stadium
This is a big game for these two sides that remain in the mix in the AFC East.
The Miami Dolphins recorded an upset win over the Atlanta Falcons last weekend and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
Miami have won their past three games as home favourites and they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario.
The New York Jets have their winning streak ended by the New England Patriots, but they were far from disgraced and arguably a touch unlucky.
New York have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
Miami can continue their winning ways and cover the line in the process.
Back Miami To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
Monday October 23, 4:00am, Soldier Field
The Chicago Bears recorded an upset win last week, but it still the Carolina Panthers that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Chicago continue to be an better betting team than they are a football team – they have won three of their past eight games as home underdogs and they are 7-1 against the line in this scenario.
Carolina had their winning run ended at the hands of the Philadelphia Eagles and this is the type of game they need to be winning in order to return to the NFL Playoffs.
The Panthers have won their past two games as away favourites, but they are only 1-1 against the line in this scenario.
This is a game that the markets looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Los Angeles Rams
Monday October 23, 4:00am, Twickenham
The Los Angeles Rams have taken their home game to Twickenham in London.
Los Angeles continued their strong start to the season with a win over the Jacksonville Jaguars and they will start this clash as clear favourites.
The Rams have won only three of their past seven games as favourites for a clear loss and they are a poor 2-5 against the line in this scenario.
Arizona returned to winning form with a victory over the New Orleans Saints last weekend and Adrian Peterson was a revelation in his Cardinals debut.
The Cardinals have won only one of their past five games as away underdogs and their record against the line is no better.
This is another game that I am more than happy to stay out of.
Monday October 23, 4:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
Consistency has been an issue for both these sides this season, but it is the Jacksonville Jaguars that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Jacksonville just can’t string together solid performances in back-to-back weeks and they are a very tough side to trust from a betting perspective.
The Indianapolis Colts looked in control of their clash against the Tennessee Titans last weekend, but they threw the game away in the second half.
Indianapolis can be trusted as favourites – they have won four of their past five games as the punter’s elect – but they have lost their past three games as away underdogs.
The betting play that does appeal in this clash in the Under in the Total Points market.
The Under has saluted in six of the past eight games played by the Colts at home as well as eight of the past 11 games played between these two sides.
Back Under 44 Points
Monday October 23, 4:00am, FirstEnergy Stadium
The Cleveland Browns are still chasing their first win of the NFL season and it is the Tennessee Titans that will start this clash as clear favourites.
Tennessee returned to winning form with a fighting win over the Indianapolis Colts, but they continue to be a tough side to trust from a betting perspective.
The Titans have won only two of their past four games as away favourites and they are 1-3 against the line in this scenario.
It will be another long season for fans of the Cleveland Browns and they have made another quarterback change – with DeShone Kizer back under centre following a poor effort from Kevin Hogan.
The Browns have won only one of their past nine games as home underdogs and their record against the line isn’t much better.
The market has got this clash right – Tennessee should be able to get the job done, but there is no value at their current price.
San Francisco 49ers
Monday October 23, 7:05am, Levi's Stadium
The Dallas Cowboys are the shortest-priced favourites in the NFL this weekend.
Dallas went into the bye on the back of a disappointing loss at the hands of the Green Bay Packers, but they received some good news this week when star running back Ezekiel Elliot had his six-game suspension put on hold once again.
The Cowboys have let punters down a number of times this season and their record as away favourites doesn’t build confidence – they have won three of their five games as favourites in this scenario and they are 2-3 against the line in this situation.
San Francisco have now lost five games in a row by three points or less and their first win of the season is surely just around the corner.
In saying that it is very tough to back the 49ers with any real confidence.
They have lost their past seven games at home and their record against the line is no better.
This is another game that the favourite should win, but there is no value at their current price.
Monday October 23, 7:25am, Heinz Field
The Pittsburgh Steelers returned to a semblance of their best form with an excellent performance against the Kansas City Chiefs and they are clear favourites to account for the Cincinnati Bengals.
Pittsburgh have won their past five games against Cincinnati as well as five of their past seven games as home favourites, but they are a losing 3-4 against the line in this scenario.
Cincinnati went into their bye on the back of a win over the Buffalo Bills, but this is obviously a much tougher challenge.
The Bengals have lost their past three games as away underdogs, but they are 2-1 against the line in this scenario and their recent losses to the Steelers have been very tight affairs.
This will be a tighter game than the current betting market suggests and the Bengals can cover the line with the start.
Back Cincinnati To Beat The Line (+5.5 Points)
New York Giants
Monday October 23, 7:25am, MetLife Stadium
The New York Giants recorded their first win of the NFL season last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as clear underdogs.
Seattle are now right back in the hunt in the NFC West following their win over the Los Angeles Rams, but they continue to be a tough team to trust from a betting perspective.
The Seahawks have won only one of their past three games as away favourites and they have failed to cover the line in their past three games in this scenario.
New York are nowhere near as bad as their current record suggests and they showed that against the Denver Broncos.
The Giants have won their past two games as home underdogs for a big profit and they are more than capable of giving Seattle a scare in this clash.
Back New York To Beat The Line (+5 Points)
Los Angeles Chargers
Monday October 23, 7:25am, StubHub Center
There is very little between these two teams in betting and it is the Los Angeles Chargers that will start this clash as narrow favourites.
Los Angles have recorded two wins in a row following their poor start to the season, but they have still been a losing betting play across just about every metric.
The Chargers have won only one of their past five games as home favourites for a clear loss as well as seven of their past eight games against Denver.
The Denver Broncos were very poor against the New York Giants last weekend, but there is little chance that they can possibly play that badly again.
Denver should be favourites and they are outstanding value at their current price.
Back Denver To Win @ $2
New England Patriots
Monday October 23, 11:30am, Gillette Stadium
The Super Bowl 52 rematch is easily the highlight of the weekend and is a big occasion for both sides.
Nobody forgot what happened the last time that these teams did battle and it is the New England Patriots that will once again start this game as clear favourites.
New England have not been particularly convincing in recent weeks, but they keep on finding ways to come away with the victory.
The Patriots have won only six of their past nine games as home favourites for a loss, but they are 5-4 against the line in this scenario.
Atlanta don’t look like the same team that went to the Super Bowl last season and they head into this clash on the back of losses at the hands of both the Buffalo Bills and the Miami Dolphins.
Winning away from home has not been an issue for the Falcons and they have won their past five games as away favourites, but their overall record as underdogs is poor.
New England will find a way to win once again and the line of three points will not be enough.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-3.5 Points)
Tuesday October , 11:30am, Lincoln Financial Field
The Philadelphia Eagles can extend their lead at the top of the NFC East with a win over the Washington Redskins.
Philadelphia have won four games on the trot and they have been excellent on both sides of the football in recent weeks.
The Eagles have won five of their past six games as home favourites and they are 4-2 against the line in this scenario.
Washington did not play particularly well against the San Francisco 49ers, but they were still able to come away with the victory.
This is obviously a much tougher challenge and the Redskins have won only one of their pas five games as away underdogs, but they are 3-2 against the line in this scenario.
There is no doubt that this game has the potential to develop into a shootout and the fact the Over has saluted in the past seven away games played by the Redskins makes the Over an excellent betting play.
Back Over 49.5 Points
The rivalry between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears is one of the most historic in the NFL and NFL week 7 gets underway with a genuine Friday morning blockbuster between the two rivals.
The Cincinatti Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, Buffalo Bills, Arizona Cardinals and Seattle Seahawks will also do battle in intra-divisional clashes on Monday morning before the Pittsburgh Steelers host the New England Patriots in the match of the weekend.
The action concludes when the Denver Broncos take on the Houston Texans on Tuesday morning and you can find our NFL Week 7 tips below!
Green Bay Packers
Friday October 21, 10:25am, Lambeau Field
Green Bay Packers 26 - Chicago Bears 10
The Green Bay Packers were no match for the Dallas Cowboys last weekend, but they are clear favourites to return to winning form against the Chicago Bears.
Green Bay are still yet to really make it click this season – they are capable of brilliance on their day, but the problem is that is few and far between.
The Packers have won just three of their seven games as home favorites over the past 12 months for a clear loss, while they are 2-1-4 against the line.
Chicago have still just recorded the one win this season and they suffered another heart-breaking loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend.
While the Bears have struggled to win, they are still 4-4 as away underdogs for a clear profit and they do generally perform better than market expectations.
Chicago won last time that these two teams did battle and I am willing to take the gamble on them once again at the big price.
Back Chicago To Win @ $3.75
Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Twickenham Stadium
Los Angeles Rams 10 - New York Giants 17
This is a crucial game for both sides that are attempting to keep in touch with the leaders in their respective divisions.
New York returned to winning form with a fighting victory over the Baltimore Ravens and they will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Giants have performed strongly as home favourites over the past 12 months and they have a 6-3 record in head-to-head betting, while they are 4-1-4 against the line.
Los Angeles have now suffered back-to-back defeats and desperately need to return to winning form this weekend.
The Rams have actually won five of their past 11 games as underdogs, but their record against the in this situation is an average 5-1-5.
This is a match that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Kansas City Chiefs
New Orleans Saints
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs 27 - New Orleans Saints 21
The Kansas City Chiefs have struggled for consistency this season, but they are still clear favourites to get the job done against the New Orleans Saints.
Kansas City have turned Arrowhead Stadium into a genuine fortress and they have won their past eight games in this scenario, but they are only 4-4 against the line.
New Orleans made it two wins on the trot with another outstanding offensive performance against Carolina and they will need a repeat of that to be any chance against Kansas City,
The Saints have actually won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 5-1 against the line in this scenario.
New Orleans can turn this clash into a genuine contest and I am keen to back them with a start of 6.5 points.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Nissan Stadium
Tennessee Titans 26 - Indianapolis Colts 34
This is a crucial game in the highly competitive AFC South.
The Tennessee Titans have flown under the radar somewhat, but they have definitely improved this season and they come into this clash with back-to-back wins.
Favourtism is not a position in which Tennessee have a great deal of experience, but they have won their past two games in this scenario.
Indianapolis have been one of the biggest disappointments in the NFL this season and they threw away the chance to record back-to-back wins against Houston last weekend.
The Colts have won just two of their past eight games as away underdogs for a clear loss and they are 3-1-4 against the line in this situation.
Tennessee have found some form and there is no reason that they can’t win again this weekend.
Back Tennessee To Win @ $1.67
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
Philadelphia Eagles 21 - Minnesota Vikings 10
Minnesota are the only unbeaten team left in the NFL and they face a tricky assignment against the Philadelphia Eagles.
This is a big game for Vikings quarterback Sam Bradford – who was traded from the Eagles to the Vikings in the off-season – and it is his side that will go into this game as favourites.
Winning on the road has not proven to be an issue for the Vikings and they have won seven of their past eight games away from home, while they are remarkably 8-0 against the line.
Philadelphia have regressed somewhat following their outstanding start to the season and they go into this clash with back-to-back losses against Detroit and Washington.
The Eagles are 1-1 as home underdogs over the past 12 months and the Vikings really do look like the value in this clash.
Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals 31 - Cleveland Browns 17
The Cleveland Browns are yet to win a game this season and it should come as no surprise that Cincinnati will start this game as clear favourites.
Cincinnati themselves go into this clash under pressure after winning just two games this season and another loss would make their task of returning to the playoffs extremely difficult.
The Bengals have won just four of their past seven games as home favourites for a loss and their record against the line is a poor 3-4.
Things just keep going from bad to worse for Cleveland and they missed out on a golden opportunity to win against Tennessee last weekend.
Cleveland have lost their past nine games on the road and their record against the line is 3-6 as away underdogs.
These two teams are both very tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am happy to stay out of this game.
Monday October 24, 3:00am, Ford Field
Detroit Lions 20 - Washington Redskins 17
Early betting markets suggest that this will be one of the most open games of the weekend.
Detroit will start this clash as favourites after recording two upset wins over the Philadelphia Eagles and the Los Angeles Rams.
The Lions have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a narrow loss, but they have an identical record against the line for a narrow profit.
Washington have been able to bounce back from their slow start to the season and they have now won four games on the trot to sit just behind the Cowboys in the NFC East.
The Redskins have won five of their past seven games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are one of the best value bets of the weekend.
Back Washington To Win @ $2
Monday October 24, 3:00am, EverBank Field
Jacksonville Jaguars 16 - Oakland Raiders 33
This is another game where there is very little between the two sides.
Jacksonville have got themselves back into the hunt in the AFC South with back-to-back wins over Indianapolis and Chicago and they will go into this clash as narrow favourites.
The Jaguars have won three of their past five games as home favourites for a narrow profit, while they have an identical record against the line.
Oakland had their winning run ended by Kansas City, but there were still some positives to take from the performance and they remain on top of the AFC West.
The Raiders have won four of their past six games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they are 6-0 against the line in this scenario.
Oakland remain my dark horse pick to win the Super Bowl and they should prove far too good for the Jaguars this weekend.
Back Oakland To Win @ $2
Monday October 24, 3:00am, New Miami Stadium
Miami Dolphins 28 - Buffalo Bills 25
The Buffalo Bills are one of the form teams in the NFL and they have recorded four impressive wins on the trot.
The Bills will go into this clash as clear favourites and if recent form is any guide they should prove far too good for their rivals.
Buffalo’s problem is that they have won just one of their past three games as away favourites and they have an identical record against the line.
Miami produced their best performance of the season to beat Pittsburgh last weekend and they will actually fancy their chances in this clash.
Their record against Buffalo is only average in recent seasons, but they have won two of their past four games as home underdogs for a clear profit.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
New York Jets
Monday October 24, 3:00am, MetLife Stadium
New York Jets 24 - Baltimore Ravens 16
The New York Jets have won just the one game this season, but they will still go into this clash as narrow favourites.
New York produced another pitiful performance against Arizona and they have now lost four games on the trot.
The Jets have won three of their five games as home favourites for a narrow loss, while they are 2-3 against the line in this scenario.
Baltimore are on a losing streak of their own and they missed out on a golden opportunity against the Giants last weekend.
Baltimore have won just one of their past five games as away underdogs, but that record is flipped against the line.
New York have been woefully bad in recent weeks and Baltimore look a safe bet to return to winning form.
Back Baltimore To Win @ $1.91
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday October 24, 6:05am, Levi’s Stadium
San Francisco 49ers 17 - Tampa Bay Buccaneers 34
Tampa Bay scored a big victory over the Carolina Panthers before they went on the bye and they will be keen to build on that momentum against San Francisco.
The Buccaneers will go into this clash with the 49ers as clear favourites, but their record as the punter’s elect over the past 12 months is poor and they are 1-3 in this scenario.
San Francisco have not looked like winning a game since they bet Los Angeles in their season opener and they were extremely average against the Buffalo Bills last weekend.
The 49ers have actually won three of their past seven games as home underdogs for a profit and they are 4-3 against the line in this situation.
I expect this to be a fairly tight game between two average teams and I am keen to back the 49ers with a start of two points.
Back San Francisco To Beat The Line (+2 Points)
San Diego Chargers
Monday October 24, 6:05am, Georgia Dome
Atlanta Falcons 30 - San Diego Chargers 33
Atlanta had their winning run ended by Seattle last weekend, but they are clear favourites to bet back on track against San Diego.
The Falcons have been one of the biggest surprise packages of the 2016 NFL season and they have played some football, but they have lost their past five games as home favourites and are obviously very tough to trust in this scenario.
San Diego recorded an upset victory over San Diego in Thursday Night Football to end their shocking losing run and they are a very interesting team from a betting perspective.
The Chargers have won just one of their past eight games as away underdogs, but they are 7-1 against the line in this scenario for a huge profit.
I am keen to oppose the Falcons in this clash and San Diego are a great bet to beat the line with a start of 6.5 points.
Back San Diego To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)
New England Patriots
Monday October 24, 6:25am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh Steelers 16 - New England Patriots 27
This was set to be the game of the weekend, but the knee injury suffered by Ben Roethlisberger has definitely taken some of the luster out of this clash.
The Steelers were extremely poor without Big Ben in the side last weekend and it is tough to see how they can match it with the New England Patriots.
New England have been excellent so far this season and they have only improved with Tom Brady back under centre.
The Patriots have actually struggled somewhat as home favourites and they have won just three of their past seven games as away favourites, while they are 2-5 against the line in this scenario.
There are two many unknowns heading into this clash and I can’t find any value at the current price of either side.
Monday October 24, 10:30am, University Of Phoenix Stadium
Arizona Cardinals 6 - Seattle Seahawks 6
This is a crucial game in the NFC West and close to a must-win for the Arizona Cardinals.
Arizona have bounced back from their slow start to the season to record comfortable victories over both the San Francisco 49ers and the New York Jets and they will start this clash as favourites.
The Cardinals have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites for a narrow loss, while they are an average 3-7 against the line in this scenario.
Seattle head into this clash on the back of three straight victories and they can kick clear at the top of the NFC West with a win over Arizona.
The Seahawks have only started two games as underdogs in the past 12 months and they are a middling 1-1 in this situation.
I really have not been impressed with what I have seen from Arizona this season and I think that Seattle are a good bet to record an upset victory.
Back Seattle To Win @ $2.10
Tuesday October 25, 10:30am, Mile High
Denver Broncos 27 - Houston Texans 9
The pressure is on the Denver Broncos in a big way following their dismal performance against the San Diego Chargers last weekend.
Denver have now lost two games on the trot and it has become increasingly clear that neither Trevor Siemian or Paxton Lynch are the answer at quarterback.
The Broncos will still start this game as clear favourites, but they have won just four of their past seven games as home favourites for a clear loss and they are a horrid 1-1-5 against the line in this scenario.
Houston pulled something out of the hat to beat Indianapolis in overtime last weekend and they have handled the loss of J.J. Watt fairly well.
The Texans have won two of their past six games as away underdogs for a narrow loss and there is a definite edge at their current price on offer for an upset win.
Back Houston To Win @ $3.50