Sometimes it comes down to luck, and sometimes it comes down to kickers, as we found out the hard way last week.
Don’t look now, but it’s like splitting hairs this week with a handful of very evenly contested match ups on offer.
And as always, we’ve done our best to try and tip you a winner, which you can find below in our very detailed 2018 NFL Week 8 Preview!
Houston Texans Vs Miami Dolphins
Friday 26 October, 11:20am, NRG Stadium
Houston Texans (4-3): The Texans lead the AFC South, but that’s about all you can say right now.
Quarterback DeShaun Watson was forced to take the bus to Jacksonville last week due to lingering injuries, most of which were caused by six straight weeks of poor pass protection and thuds with the turf.
Full credit where it’s due though, Houston made short work of the Jaguars last week. Against a team that was supposedly ‘elite’ on the defensive side of the ball, Jacksonville managed just one sack against the Texans’ dreadful line, while Lamar Miller also enjoyed a day out rushing for 100-yards and a score.
As far as Thursday Night games go, this could easily be one of the worst this season. This is basically a match-up between two beards – the Dolphins hoping to cover up Osweiler’s lack of accuracy, and the Texans hoping to cover up their overall lack of pass protection.
Defensively the Texans have been sound though, holding teams to just 20.6 points-per-game, good for the eighth lowest total in the league. The winning formula is simple this week: limit Kenyan Drake up the middle, and rely on another big week from Lamar Miller.
Miami Dolphins (4-3): Not a whole lot wrong with the Dolphins last week.
Brock Osweiler did his job, the running game showed up for the first time in weeks, and overall, Miami played pretty disciplined football when it came to penalties and turnovers.
So what went wrong?
It’s hard to win games when you give up 248-rushing yards, let alone to a team like Detroit. Kerryon Johnson left his mark on Miami’s defensive line, and when veteran players like LeGarrette Blount chip in for 50-yards and a score themselves, suddenly things get a little out of hand.
To make matters worse for the Dolphins, life will now continue without wide receiver Kenny Stills, who has reportedly suffered a groin injury. That leaves the bulk of the receiving work in the capable hands of Danny Amendola, although against a very hit and miss secondary like Houston’s, there’s certainly room for guys like Mike Gesicki and Jakeem Grant to step up.
Likewise on the other side of the ball, the Texans’ miserable offensive line might actually help the Dolphins re-discover their pass rush. So far they’ve accounted for the fourth fewest sacks in the league, which was part of their undoing last week against the Lions.
Sometimes stats can scare you, and the Dolphins being 1-7 in their last eight games in Houston is one of them. It feels like this Osweiler thing is a ticking time bomb, alongside a defence that has allowed the third most rushing yards in the league so far.
Tip: Back the Texans 13-18 @ $5.00
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs Philadelphia Eagles
Monday 29 October, 12:30am, Wembley Stadium
Jacksonville Jaguars (3-4): Safe to say the Jaguars are probably wondering what could have been.
Let us remind you this is a team that passed on Patrick Mahomes in the 2017 draft, placing all their faith in Blake Bortles, which has already proven to be a pointless exercise.
Bortles will start in Week 8 against the Eagles, and he should be helped out by recent trade acquisition Carlos Hyde.
On the flip side though, the air really looks like it’s been let out of Jacksonville’s balloon. Having now lost two home games to division rivals, the belief just isn’t there anymore, and it translated into a sloppy defensive effort against Houston last week, a team an ‘elite’ defence really should have handled.
If it means anything, the Jags have won three of their last five against the Eagles, and again, the London factor needs to be taken into account. Given just how blurry these two teams look however, the points market is the play this week.
Philadelphia Eagles (3-4): Are the Eagles a one hit wonder?
Last week Philly blew a 17-0 lead to the Panthers in what was a rather strange and fast-tempo kinda game.
For a team that dazzled the Patriots’ secondary with trick plays and dynamic throws over the middle during the Super Bowl, its left a lot of folk wondering where the Eagles’ offense of old has suddenly disappeared to.
Philly played a very conservative game against Carolina, relying predominantly on screen plays and delayed handoffs up the middle. For the most part, the Eagles’ offense is entirely healthy, but it appears head coach Doug Pederson is opting to stay away from deep throws down the sidelines.
Of course, it doesn’t all just boil down to offense. Kicker Jake Elliott missed a crucial field goal on the first drive that probably would have made the difference, while the defence scrambled for answers after the Panthers threw a bunch of play-action passes and sweeps at them in the fourth quarter.
The task ahead this week is the Jaguars, which is a very winnable game. That is if you discount the fact the game is in London.
Head-to-head, the Eagles are 2-4 in their last six games, but again, this is basically a home game for the Jaguars who are England’s adopted team.
Tip: Back Over 42.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Kansas City Chiefs Vs Denver Broncos
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Arrowhead Stadium
Kansas City Chiefs (6-1): The Chiefs shredded the Bengals last week in more ways than one. The defence held Dalton to 148-yards and a touchdown in the air, while Patrick Mahomes went bananas throwing for 358-yards and four scores.
Head coach Andy Reid has the team running like a well-oiled machine, even if his game management wasn’t quite on point last week.
The Chiefs continue to be a solid value pick for punters this season, especially at the line, where Kansas City have been a perfect 7-0 so far.
While guys like Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce can make like difficult on passing downs, this game will be all about Kareem Hunt. The Broncos have allowed the second-most rushing yards in the league this year, and for a Hunt on a more personal level, he’s enjoyed facing the Broncos, having rushed for an average of 4.81 yards per-carry.
The overs is a good bet in this one since the Chiefs don’t hold a lot of value in the head-to-head market. If you’re looking for to multi up, the Chiefs are also 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Broncos.
Denver Broncos (3-4): The Broncos had to make a statement last week against the Cardinals if anyone was to consider taking them seriously, and they did just that, pounding Arizona 45-10.
On paper, the scoreboard was convincing, but the jury is still out on the Broncos. Quarterback Case Keenum threw the ball only 21 times and still managed to throw a pick, while the decision to hand the ball to Royce Freeman over Phillip Lindsay is mind boggling.
Defensively the Broncos were killer though. Josh Rosen endured a day to forget throwing for just 194-yards, one touchdown and three interceptions, while running back David Johnson was held to a very quiet 39-yards.
Let’s face it, the Broncos are probably already out of the running in the AFC West, but if they are any hope of a Wild Card spot ahead of the second-place Chargers, they’ll need to find a way to contain the Chiefs’ high-scoring passing attack.
Home field advantage is nice, and so is a 5-2 head-to-head record over Kansas City at Mile High. Considering the Chiefs just piled on a 45-10 scoreline themselves over a similar defensive front like the Bengals last week, it’s tough to see them lasting the journey.
Tip: Back Over 54.5 Total Points @ $1.87
Pittsburgh Steelers Vs Cleveland Browns
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Heinz Field
Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2-1): Bye week done and dusted, but it will be business as usual for the Steelers?
If you thought running back Le’Veon Bell was ready to call it quits on his contract holdout, think again, because the future Hall of Fame running back won’t be reporting for practice this week.
That probably suits the Steelers just fine considering James Conner ranks second in the league behind Todd Gurley in rushing touchdowns. Better yet, the Steelers also hope to improve on their 8-1-1 record against the Browns in their last 10 games, and with home field advantage, it’s no wonder they come in as the favourite.
But who are we kidding, these two finished all square in Week 1, so will we see anything different this week?
On any occasion, Heinz Field is a fortress, however the Steelers haven’t exactly been a sure-thing at home.
In their three games at Heinz, Pittsburgh have won just once, and let’s not forget, they did allow 106-yards to Jarvis Landry during their first meeting.
Still, the Steelers lead the division for the reason, even if it hasn’t been convincing. A week off should have given the Steelers’ sloppy secondary a chance to recoup, and against a Browns team down on confidence, and high on fatigue following another overtime loss, stick with the yellow and black.
Cleveland Browns (2-4-1): Four straight visits to overtime, and very little to show for it.
The Browns squandered opportunity after opportunity last week against the Bucs, and in typical Cleveland fashion, the blame game has already begun.
Last week’s loss was completely avoidable. Head coach Hue Jackson chose to play Superman right before halftime, opting to go for it less than a minute on the clock instead of kicking the field goal.
Trusting your offense is one thing, but a sack with a wide open Nick Chubb on a swing route is inexcusable. Rookie quarterback Baker Mayfield continues to make strides, but after Jackson openly blamed the offense after the loss, it’s really tough to buy into what the Browns are selling.
On the field there’s issues, and off the field there’s little work being done to rectify the problems week to week.
But of course, did we really expect anything more?
Tip: Back the Steelers to Beat The Line (-7.5 Points) @ $1.91
New York Giants Vs Washington Redskins
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Metlife Stadium
New York Giants (1-6): One word: schmozzle.
Big Blue have entered full meltdown mode, and after trading cornerback Eli Apple to the Saints midweek, it appears as though the team might be headed toward an all-out fire sale.
Last week’s loss to the Falcons was a low point for this storied franchise, who have now gone 4-20 in their last 24 games.
At the top, quarterback Eli Manning is past it, something we’ve all known for the last two years. And at the very bottom, the playcalling his horrendous, with many for the firing of Pat Shurmur after opting to go for two following a touchdown last week.
In his defence though, there’s only so much Shurmur can do with the weapons he has. If you thought this team was going to be good, you were grossly misled, and even with home field advantage this week, this trainwreck of a season is only going to grow worse for the Giants as they head toward’s a serious rebuild.
Washington Redskins (4-2): The Redskins were quite literally handed the game last week against the Cowboys, which suits the NFC East leaders nicely.
We’re still waiting to get a serious read on this Washington team though, especially after another quiet game last week. The Redskins converted just three of their 12 third down conversions, while quarterback Alex Smith completed only 14 passes for 178-yards and a touchdown.
On the plus side, Adrian Peterson is doing things. The 33-year old endured a slow start to the season due to injury, but he exploded for 99-yards last week against a very underrated Cowboys defence.
Betting wise, the Redskins have struggled against the Giants, winning just three of their last 10 meetings. The total has gone Under in 12 of their last 15 games in New York, so that looks like the play this week.
Tip: Back the Redskins To Win @ $1.91
Detroit Lions Vs Seattle Seahawks
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Ford Field
Detroit Lions (3-3): We’ve already touched on Detroit’s running game, but is there any other way they can punish the Seahawks?
For all of Detroit’s strength running the football, their defence lets them down in the same area. Defending the run has been tough this season for the Lions, who have allowed the seventh most rushing yards so far this season.
Fortunately for Detroit, Seattle’s running game hasn’t quite found itself. Mike Davis continues to receive handoffs while first round draft pick Rashaad Penny takes a seat, but if Seattle can utilise some screen routes and delayed handoffs, they should be able to pound their way into the red zone.
Detroit’s season has taken a turn for the better, and with the Packers, Bears and Vikings all looking suspect in different areas, the NFC North title is still up for grabs.
As far as picking a winner goes, it’s a coin flip. The Total has gone Over in nine of Detroit’s last 12 home games, so keep it safe this week as these two inconsistent sides duke it out.
Seattle Seahawks (3-3): For what was supposed to be a ho-hum sort of year for the Seahawks, things haven’t turned out quite so bad as we approach the midway point.
Well rested following last week’s bye, the Seahawks will be hoping to improve on their 27-3 win over the Raiders in Week 6, a game that saw Russell Wilson dish out three touchdowns and 222-yards.
Not to be outdone, Seattle’s defence has quietly been going about their business this year, allowing the fewest yards and the third fewest touchdowns through the air.
With the secondary proving strong, the key to taking care of Detroit will be stifling the run game. Kerryon Johnson continues to improve in his rookie year, and if Seattle’s young defensive line isn’t up for the challenge, the Lions will run straight over them.
Impressively, the Seahawks are 7-3 head-to-head on the road dating back to last season, and are 5-1 in their last six games in Detroit.
At handy underdog odds, this is your upset of the week.
Tip: Back Over 49.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Cincinnati Bengals Vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
Cincinnati Bengals (4-3): The Bengals were no match for the Chiefs last week, surrendering 45-points to Kansas City on the road.
It was a dust up against one of the AFC favourites, one that showed just how far behind the Bengals are compared to the league’s elite.
Still, the Bengals aren’t to be taken lightly. Andy Dalton might’ve had a day to forget last week, but wide receiver A.J. Green ranks seventh in the league in receiving yards.
For the Bengals to win this one, they’ll simply need to turn up the tempo on the Bucs. Tampa’s secondary is one of the worst in the league, and has proven very susceptible to four wide receiver formations.
The Bengals are 6-3 in their last nine games at home, and have the weapons to mix it up both in the air and on the ground. This should be a staple win for Cincy as they continue in their hunt for the division title.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-3): It took the Bucs five quarters to polish off the Browns last week, but hey, here they are at .500 again after a pretty tumultuous month.
After missing the first four weeks of the season, Tampa have done themselves no favours by throwing Jameis Winston in the deep end. The lack of a running game doesn’t help, but having Winston attempt 52-passes last week, two of which went for interceptions, isn’t the way to win.
Now heading back on the road, the Bucs will need to find some composure against a Bengals defence that has been one of the worst in the league.
Cincinnati have allowed the fifth most rushing yards and the third most passing yards this season, so expect Winston to air it out again with plenty of deep routes to Mike Evans and DeSean Jackson.
History suggests the Bucs are good value this week, and their 5-1 head-to-head record in their last six games against Cincinnati is very persuading.
When you consider the Bucs defence has also ranked Top 5 in pass yards allowed though, you may want to hold your horses.
Tip: Back the Bengals 7-12 @ $5.25
Chicago Bears Vs New York Jets
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Soldier Field
Chicago Bears (3-3): Lots to like about last week, and lots to loathe.
Mitch Trubisky was the talking point following last week’s loss to the Patriots, for good and bad reasons. When it comes to scrambling and making plays, Trubisky looks great, but time and time again he’s struggled to show the accuracy required of an NFL level quarterback.
It doesn’t help though when your offensive line allows zero protection. Trubisky made over 10 throws under pressure last week, which eventually led to overthrown balls, and ultimately, two picks.
The other takeaway from last week’s loss was Tarik Cohen, who continues to show plenty of flash with the ball in hand. If the Bears can find some time for Trubisky in the pocket, they should improve on their 4-1 record against the Jets.
New York Jets (3-4): It only took the Vikings four plays and two and a half minutes to shred the Jets’ defence for six points last week.
The secondary was left scrambling after Adam Thielen went gangbusters yet again, but there were plenty of other reason for New York’s 37-17 loss.
It’s an often easy to overlook the importance of special teams, which has so far let the Jets down on more than one occasion this year. The Jets fumbled a punt in the second quarter that cost them valuable field position, which was then followed up by a shank from Lac Edwards on the same drive to gift the Vikings the ball at midfield.
There were plenty of bad plays from the Jets line as well. A bad snap from centre led to Isaiah Crowell’s costly fumble, who by the way, is still far from healthy.
On their day, New York look capable of beating anybody, but when their defence struggles to get out of the gate, bad things happen.
If they can’t establish pressure on Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky, the Jets might be staring at a two game skid.
Tip: Back the Bears 7-12 @ $4.75
Carolina Panthers Vs Baltimore Ravens
Monday 29 October, 4:00am, Bank of America Stadium
Carolina Panthers (4-2): It took four quarters for the Panthers to warm up last week against the Eagles, fighting all the way back down 17-0 to leave Philadelphia with a 21-17 win.
Full credit goes to Cam Newton, who made two huge plays on the final drive to set the Panthers up for the win. A clutch throw over the middle to Torrey Smith set Carolina up in the red zone, followed up by a scramble down to the one-yard line to make it first and goal.
A comeback win is always great, but they don’t come without strings attached. Carolina’s woes stemmed from penalties and a failure to convert on third downs last week, which ultimately saw the Panthers record two three-and-outs in the first half.
To add further concern, Graham Gano had a game to forget. His first shot at a long field goal was cancelled out by back-to-back false start calls, only to go on and miss the extra point on the next drive.
Mistakes like that won’t fly against the Ravens, and neither will Newton’s run-and-dash style of offense. Baltimore lead the league in sacks (27), making the Ravens the favourites on the road for a reason.
Baltimore Ravens (4-3): Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, and sometimes it’s just not your day.
Justin Tucker’s missed extra point cost the Ravens last week against the Saints, but there’s plenty Baltimore can take away from that game.
Joe Flacco played perhaps his best game of the season throwing for 279-yards and a score, while wide receiver John Brown continues to pad his stats with another 100-yard receiving game.
After fighting tooth and nail against the Saints last week, the Ravens are in for another tough one this week against a tough NFC South opponent.
Baltimore are 6-12 in their last 18 games on the road, but most importantly, they haven’t travelled to Carolina since 2010.
Tip: Back the Ravens to Beat the Line (-0.5 Points) @ $1.91
Oakland Raiders Vs Indianapolis Colts
Monday 29 October, 7:05am, Oakland Coliseum
Oakland Raiders (1-5): The Raiders made a move during the week, and they have to feel pretty good about it.
Amari Cooper was dealt to the Cowboys for a first round pick, a trade that means Oakland now has three first-round picks in next year’s draft.
As far as this season goes though, there’s not a lot to like. Derek Carr was already looking mediocre with Cooper lining alongside him, and with Marshawn Lynch placed on injured reserve, it’s hard to see Oakland moving the ball at all.
The Under is a great play this week since there’s not a great deal of value in the Colts head-to-head.
Indianapolis Colts (2-5): The Colts recorded a rare win last week in what is quickly shaping up to be a lost season.
To be fair, the Colts’ 37-5 demolition over the Bills was to be expected, and now, they have another easy win lined up against the 1-5 Raiders.
Statistically speaking the Colts continue to improve after keeping Andrew Luck clean last week. The star quarterback wasn’t sacked once, which allowed him plenty of time to dish out four touchdown passes in the pocket.
The emergence of Marlon Mack also continues having rushed for 126-yards and a touchdown last week. The Raiders defence, particularly their pass-rush, has been just as average as Buffalo’s, which should spell another win for Indy away from home.
Tip: Under 49.5 Total Points @ $1.91
Arizona Cardinals Vs San Francisco 49ers
Monday 29 October, 7:25am, State Farm Stadium
Arizona Cardinals (1-6): Completely outclassed by the Broncos last week, and even after a 10-day break, it looks as though Arizona are well on their way to the first overall pick.
It also appears the Cardinals might be selling, as cornerback Patrick Peterson is reportedly unhappy with the team. A trade to New England might be on the cards, but for the time being, containing Beathard and Kittle comes as the first priority.
Arizona hold a strong record against the Niners, and are 4-1 against San Francisco in their last five home games.
With quarterback Josh Rosen looking completely lost on his pre-snap reads though, don’t even bother thinking about an upset this week.
San Francisco 49ers (1-6): The 49ers are well on their way to a top three draft pick, although Week 8 presents as an opportunity to get their second win on the board.
Quarterback C.J. Beathard didn’t go down without a fight last week against the Rams. At times he tries to do too much, which eventually resulted in two picks, but against one of the best defences in the league, he did a nice job hooking up with George Kittle for 98-yards.
The line says it all in this game – zero points. This game shouldn’t be fun to watch, and for San Francisco fans, that’s been a familiar theme when it comes to facing Arizona.
The 49ers are 0-5 in their last five meetings with the Cardinals. The points market will be the play again here.
Tip: Back Under 43 Total Points @ $1.91
Los Angeles Rams Vs Green Bay Packers
Monday 29 October, 7:25am, LA Coliseum
Los Angeles Rams (7-0): A big time beat down over the Niners last week was expected, and while the chatter surrounding Todd Gurley’s MVP-like season continues, the Rams do need to refocus with the league’s best quarterback coming to town this week.
LA forced four turnovers against the 49ers, although it’s unlikely Rodgers throws a handful of interceptions this week.
Instead, the formula for the Rams will be simple: control possession, and force the Packers defence into bringing defensive pressure up the middle.
The Gurley factor is huge for opposing teams, so much so that they tend to overcompensate. Green Bay at times can be a blitz happy team, and with Mike Pettine guessing his way through plenty of games this season, expect plenty of big plays and scoring opportunities.
The Rams are 6-3 in their last nine home games, and should enjoy a big time crowd in this blockbuster NFC clash.
With the odds heavily in favour of LA to remain undefeated, stick with the Rams at the line.
Green Bay Packers (3-2-1): How has the week off treated the Pack?
Head coach Mike McCarthy finally admits the team needs to utilise the running game a little more, which makes perfect sense considering Aaron Jones is one of the most dangerous running backs in the league after contact.
It will take more than a strong ground game to take care of the Rams though, especially on the road. Green Bay’s defence was shredded by San Francisco a fortnight ago, a team that was missing its star quarterback.
Not for the first time (or the last) the only leg Green Bay have to stand on is Aaron Rodgers. The Packers defence has actually fared okay against the pass, but they are yet to be tested by a versatile team like the Rams that can hurt you in more ways than one.
Onto simpler things, the Packers just haven’t been a good road team. They were torn apart by the Redskins in Washington, and hardly bothered to show up against the Lions in Detroit.
Unless defensive coordinator Mike Pettine has flipped a switch during the bye week, the Packers best be prepared for a shootout if they stand any chance.
Tip: Back the Rams to Beat The Line (-9.5 Points) @ $1.87
Minnesota Vikings Vs New Orleans Saints
Monday 29 October, 11:20am, US Bank Stadium
Minnesota Vikings (4-2): The Vikings defence is back, and boy is it glorious.
In their last two games, Minnesota have allowed just five first downs, which certainly helped during their close call against the Jets last week.
It only took the Vikings four plays to score from the opening kick-off, and wouldn’t you know it, Kirk Cousins found Adam Thielen in the back of the end zone one-on-one.
He may not be a popular pick, but Thielen is making a case for the MVP this year. As for this week, the Vikings defence will need to show up ready for every challenge this no-nonsense Saints team can throw at them.
Defending the pass will be crucial for the Vikings, who have the eighth lowest completion percentage so far this season. The Saints will look to test Xavier Rhodes early and often down the sidelines, which could also open up the running game for Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram.
Minnesota are 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Saints, also owning a strong 7-1 home record against New Orleans.
To add another layer of intrigue, this is a rematch of last year’s NFC Divisional Game, one made famous for Stephon Diggs’ walkoff touchdown.
Another shootout? Most certainly.
New Orleans Saints (5-1): The Saints were helped out by lady luck last week against the Ravens, but hey, that’s what good teams do.
It’s all-in for New Orleans now after the Saints traded for cornerback Eli Apple during the week, hoping to bolster their defence ahead of what should be an onslaught of passes from the Vikings on Sunday.
The Saints have weapons of their own though, and it all starts with Sean Payton. The clock management from the veteran coach was crucial last week against the Ravens, and his aggressive decision to chase the points rather than milk the clock meant the difference between winning and losing.
On the road, this is a very tough test however, one that doesn’t hold very fond memories.
Tip: Back the Vikings to Beat The Line (0 Points) @ $1.91
Buffalo Bills Vs New England Patriots
Tuesday 30 October, 11:15am, New Era Field
Buffalo Bills (2-5): The Derek Anderson experiment crashed and burned last week for the Bills as the veteran quarterback threw three picks in a dismal day against the Colts.
The Bills announced Anderson will return this week to take on the Patriots, a team nobody wants to face right now.
The only hope Buffalo have in this game is if New England psyche themselves out of it. They’ve lost twice on the road this season to Jacksonville and Detroit in back-to-back weeks, and after last week’s close shave against the Bears, there’s a very slim chance the Patriots might shoot themselves in the foot.
For that to happen though, it all depends on the Bills offense. Buffalo are 0-5 at home against the Patriots, so unless LeSean McCoy explodes for a triple-digit kind of day on the ground, good luck.
New England Patriots (5-2): It only took the Patriots four minutes to baffle the Bears at Soldier Field last week.
A few handy runs to Sony Michel paved the way to a vintage Tom Brady/Julian Edelman touchdown, but it wasn’t all happy days as the Patriots hung on for a 38-31 win.
At the risk of sounding like a broken record – ah who are we kidding – it’s the secondary.
Cornerback J.C. Jackson gave up three killer penalties before recording a crucial interception in the third quarter. And again, it was a tale of two halves as the Patriots special teams fumbled their way to disaster in the first half, only to follow it up with a brilliant blocked punt in the second.
The Patriots also got sloppy when it counted, evident in James Develin’s catch turned interception. Still, the Bills are always an easy beat for New England, and with that in mind, the odds suggest the only value is in the margin market.
Tip: Back the Patriots 13-18 @ $4.50
We have almost reached the half-way stage of the NFL season and there are a host of big games this weekend.
The action begins on Friday morning when the Baltimore Ravens host the Miami Dolphins in a big game for both sides and there are plenty of teams that desperately need a victory.
We have analysed every game set to take place in the NFL this weekend and our complete 2017 NFL Week 8 tips can be found below.
Baltimore Ravens Vs Miami Dolphins
Friday October 27, 11:25am, MT&T Bank Stadium
The Baltimore Ravens have won five of their past six games as home favourites and they are a profitable 4-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Miami Dolphins have won three games in a row and their record as away underdogs is nothing short of outstanding – they have won five of their past seven games as away underdogs.
This is a game that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out from a betting perspective.
Cleveland Browns Vs Minnesota Vikings
Monday October 30, 12:30am, Twickenham Stadium
The Cleveland Browns have taken their home game to Twickenham Stadium in London and they are still chasing their first win this season.
The Minnesota Vikings have won two of their past three games as away favourites, but their record against the line on the road is extremely poor – they have covered in only one of their past seven games away from home.
It is the Under in Total Point betting markets that is the value bet in this clash.
The Under has saluted in the past nine home games played by the Browns and has also been a profitable play in Vikings games.
Back Under 37.5 Points
New England Patriots Vs Los Angeles Chargers
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Gillette Stadium
The New England Patriots continue to be one of the best betting sides in the NFL.
They have won seven of their past ten games as home favourites and they are 6-4 against the line in this scenario.
The Los Angeles Chargers have won two of their past five games as away underdogs and have a middling record against the line in this scenario.
Back New England To Beat The Line (-7.5 Points)
New Orleans Saints Vs Chicago Bears
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
The New Orleans Saints are one of the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend.
They have won four games on the trot and they have now won four of their past six games as home favourites, while they have the same record against the line.
The Chicago Bears continue to struggle away from home and this is a clash that the Saints should be able to win comfortably.
Back New Orleans To Beat The Line (-8.5 Points)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Carolina Panthers
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Raymond James Stadium
This is one of the biggest games of the weekend and it is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers that will start this clash as narrow favourites.
The Buccaneers have lost their past three games, but they have won four of their past five games as home favourites.
The Carolina Panthers have an excellent record away from home – they have won three of their past six games as away underdogs and they are 5-1 against the line in this scenario.
There is nothing between these two sides and I am keen on Carolina with the insurance of a two point start.
Back Carolina Panthers To Beat The Line (+2 Points)
Cincinnati Bengals Vs Indianapolis Colts
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Paul Brown Stadium
The Indianapolis Colts continue to be a trainwreck and the Cincinnati Bengals will go into this clash as very short-priced favourites.
Cincinnati have struggled for consistency this season and they have won only two of their past six games as home favourites.
The Colts have won three of their past seven games as away underdogs, but it is impossible to have any faith in this team off their recent performances.
This is a game that I am more than happy to stay out of.
Buffalo Bills Vs Oakland Raiders
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Ralph Wilson Stadium
At the start of the season if you said that the Buffalo Bills would start this game as favourites you would have been laughed at, but that is hard far the Oakland Raiders have fallen this season.
Buffalo have won four of their past five games as home favourites, but they are only a middling 2-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
Oakland have won two of their past six games as away underdogs and although they beat Kansas City last weekend, they still have some issues.
Back Buffalo To Win @ $1.70
Philadelphia Eagles Vs San Francisco 49ers
Monday October 30, 4:00am, Lincoln Financial Field
The Philadelphia Eagles are the shortest-priced favourites of the weekend and they are at Winx odds to win this clash.
Philadelphia are arguably the form team in the NFL and they go into this clash on the back of five straight victories.
The Eagles have won six of their past seven games as home favourites and they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.
The San Francisco 49ers are another side that are chasing their first win of the season and their chances of getting it this weekend are slim.
They have won only one of their eight games as away underdogs for a clear loss, but they are 6-2 against the line.
Philadelphia should win this clash, but there is no value at their current price.
New York Jets Vs Atlanta Falcons
Monday October 30, 4:00am, MetLife Stadium
The Atlanta Falcons have lost three games on the trot, but they will still start this clash as clear favourites.
Atlanta have won their past five games as away favourites and they are 4-1 against the line in this scenario.
The New York Jets have not been disgraced in recent weeks and they have been a strong betting play this season.
New York have won three of their past seven games as home underdogs and they are 5-2 against the line in this scenario.
This is another game that the market looks to have gotten just about right.
Seattle Seahawks Vs Houston Texans
Monday October 30, 7:05am, CenturyLink Field
The Seattle Seahawks will start this clash as clear favourites.
Seattle have win three games on the trot and their record as home favourites is nothing short of outstanding – they have won seven of their past eight games as home favourites and they are 5-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
The Houston Texans have struggled for consistency this season and they have been a middling 4-4 against the line as away underdogs.
Back Seattle To Beat The Line (-5.5 Points)
Washington Redskins Vs Dallas Cowboys
Monday October 30, 7:25am, FedEx Field
This is a crucial game in the NFC East between the Washington Redskins and the Dallas Cowboys.
Washington may have the home field advantage, but it is the Cowboys that will start this clash as narrow favourites.
Dallas returned to their best form with a big win over the San Francisco 49ers and they have won four of their past six games as away favourites.
The Redskins have struggled for consistency this season and they have lost four of their past five games against the Cowboys.
Washington are always a tough team to back with any real confidence and Dallas should prove too strong for their rivals.
Back Dallas Cowboys To Win @ $1.80
Detroit Lions Vs Pittsburgh Steelers
Monday October 30, 11:30am, Ford Field
It is the Pittsburgh Steelers that will start this clash with the Detroit Lions as clear favourites.
Pittsburgh have found a semblance of their best form in recent weeks and their record as away favourites is excellent – they have won six of their past eight games as away favourites and they are 5-3 against the line in this scenario.
Detroit have been poor over the past fortnight and they have won only one of their past three games as away underdogs, while their record against the line is no better.
Back Pittsburgh To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Kansas City Chiefs Vs Denver Broncos
Tuesday October 31, 11:30am, Arrowhead Stadium
The Denver Broncos will have the chance to bridge the gap between them and the Kansas City Chiefs at the top of the AFC West when they contest this crucial clash.
It is the Chiefs that will go into this clash as clear favourites – despite the fact that they have lost two games on the trot.
Kansas City have won five of their past nine games as home favourites for a loss and they are only 4-5 against the line in this scenario.
The Broncos produced their worst performance of the season against the Los Angeles Chargers and their offence continues to struggle with Trevor Siemian under centre.
Denver have won only two of their past seven games away from home and their record against the line isn’t much better.
This looks set to be a low-scoring affair and it is the Under in Total Points betting markets that appeals in this clash.
The Under has saluted in six of the past nine home games played by the Chiefs and has also been a profitable play in Broncos games.
Back Under 43.5 Points
We are now almost halfway through the 2016 NFL season and the standings in each division are really starting to take shape.
There will be plenty on the line when the New Orleans Saints face the Seattle Seahawks on Monday morning and the clash between the Atlanta Falcons and Green Bay Packers is also set to be a ripper.
The NFC East title could be on the line when the Dallas Cowboys host the Philadelphia Eagles in the prime-time fixture before the weekend of football concludes when the Chicago Bears face the Minnesota Vikings on Tuesday.
Tennessee Titans Vs Jacksonville Jaguars
Friday October 28, 10:25am, Nissan Stadium
This is hardly the most inspiring Thursday Night Football clash, but it should still be an interesting betting contest.
Tennessee had their two-game winning streak ended by the Indianapolis Colts, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Titans have only played three games as home favourites in the past 12 months and they have won two of them, but they are 0-1-2 against the line in this scenario.
Jacksonville were no match for Oakland last weekend and their chancing of qualifying for the NFL Playoffs are now very slim.
The Jaguars have won just two of their past seven games as away underdogs for a loss and they are just 3-1-3 against the line in this scenario.
These are two teams that are very tough to trust from a betting perspective and I am happy to stay out of this contest.
Cincinnati Bengals Vs Washington Redskins
Monday October 31, 3:00am, Wembley Stadium
This is a crucial game for both these sides.
Cincinnati returned to winning form with a victory over the lowly Cleveland Browns and they will go into this game as favourites.
The Bengals have won seven of their past 11 games as favourites for a loss, but they are 6-5 against the line in this scenario.
Washington had their winning streak snapped by the Detroit Lions, but they have still won nine of their past 12 games as underdogs for a massive profit.
Taking on Cincinnati this season has been a profitable play all season long and the Redskins are genuine value at his current price.
Back Washington To Win @ $2.30
Indianapolis Colts Vs Kansas City Chiefs
Monday October 31, 3:00am, Lucas Oil Stadium
The Indianapolis Colts returned to winning form against Tennessee last weekend, but they will still go into this clash as underdogs.
Indianapolis have struggled badly on defence in the past 12 months, but they have still won their only game as home underdogs in that period and their record in front of their home fans is excellent.
Kansas City made it two wins on the trot with a tough victory over New Orleans and it looks as though they now have their mojo back.
The Chiefs have won their past 13 games as favourites for a massive profit and they are 5-0 against the line as away favourites.
Andrew Luck would need to be at his very best to give the Colts any chance whatsoever in this contest and the Chiefs look a good bet to cover the line of 2.5 points.
Back Kansas City To Beat The Line (-2.5 Points)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Vs Oakland Raiders
Monday October 31, 3:00am, Raymond James Stadium
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers produced their best performance of the season to score a comfortable victory over San Francisco and they have the chance to record a third win on the trot.
Tampa Bay will go into this clash as narrow favourites and they have won just one of their four games in this scenario.
Oakland have recorded four wins from their past five games and they remain in playoffs contention.
The Raiders have won four of their past six games as away underdogs and their record against the line in this scenario is a most impressive 6-0.
Oakland are simply a better football team than the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and they are outstanding value to win this weekend.
Back Oakland To Win @ $2.05
New Orleans Saints Vs Seattle Seahawks
Monday October 31, 3:00am, Mercedes-Benz Superdome
Seattle travel to New Orleans for a clash with the Saints following their low-scoring draw with the Arizona Cardinals.
The Seahawks defence were putrid against the Cardinals, but have the chance to bounce back in a big way against one of the weakest defences in the NFL.
Seattle will start this game as clear favourites and they have won five of their past six games in this scenario, while they are 3-3 against the line.
New Orleans had their winning run ended by the Kansas City Chiefs and they face a tough challenge against the Seahawks.
The Saints are 1-1 as home underdogs in the past 12 months, but they have won just three of their past eight games at home for a big loss.
Seattle are easily the team to beat here and are a safe bet to get the job done.
Back Seattle To Win @ $1.69
Houston Texans Vs Detroit Lions
Monday October 31, 3:00am, NRG Stadium
The Houston Texans were extremely poor against the Denver Broncos, but they have the chance to bounce back against the Houston Texans.
Brock Osweiler will be under plenty of pressure heading into this game following his disastrous effort during Monday Night Football, but the Texans will still start this clash as clear favourites.
Houston have won their past six games as home favourites and they are an impressive 5-1 against the line in this scenario.
Detroit have now won three games in a row after recording narrow victories over the Philadelphia Eagles, Los Angeles Rams and Washington Redskins.
The Lions have won three of their past five games as away underdogs for a clear profit and they have an identical record against the line.
This is a clash that the market looks to have got just about right and I am happy to stay out of this game from a betting perspective.
Atlanta Falcons Vs Green Bay Packers
Monday October 31, 3:00am, Georgia Dome
The Atlanta Falcons have stalled somewhat following their dominant start to the season and they win this to avoid their third straight loss.
Atlanta will go into this clash as clear favourites, but they have lost their past six games as the punter’s elect at the Georgia Dome.
Green Bay were not particularly impressive against Chicago, but they still managed to get the job done,
This is obviously a much tougher challenge and they are 2-1 against the line as away underdogs.
I expect this to be a tightly fought affair and I am keen to back the Packers with a start of three points.
Back Green Bay To Beat The Line (+3 Points)
Buffalo Bills Vs New England Patriots
Monday October 31, 3:00am, New Era Field
The Buffalo Bills beat the New England Patriots earlier this season, but in that clash the Patriots were missing Tom Brady.
Beating the Patriots with Brady under centre is a much tougher assignment and it is no surprise that the Bills will go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Bills had their winning streak ended by the Miami Dolphins last weekend, but they have still won their past two games as home underdogs and they are 6-1 against the line in this scenario.
New England proved far too good for Pittsburgh last weekend to improve their record to 6-1.
In saying that, the Patriots have proven to be a tough team to trust as away favourites over the past 12 months – they are 4-4 in head-to-head betting for a clear loss and 3-5 against the line in this scenario.
Buffalo are a better chance in this clash than the market suggests and they are a great bet to beat the line with a start of 6.5 points.
Back Buffalo To Beat The Line (+6.5 Points)
Denver Broncos Vs San Diego Chargers
Monday October 31, 6:05am, Mile High
The Denver Broncos returned to winning form with an improved performance over the Houston Texans and they go into this clash as clear favourites.
This will be the second meeting between these two sides in a month and it was the Chargers that managed to upstage the defending Super Bowl champions the last time that they played.
Denver have the advantage of playing this game in front of their home fans, but they are just 5-3 as home favourites over the past 12 months and 2-1-5 against the line in this scenario.
San Diego made it two wins on the trot with a thrilling overtime victory over Atlanta and they will go into this clash with plenty of confidence.
The Chargers have won only two of their past nine game as away underdogs, but they are an incredible 8-1 against the line in this scenario.
There is no reason that San Diego can’t give the Broncos a scare once again and they are an outstanding bet to cover the line with a start of 5.5 points.
Back San Diego To Beat The Line (+5.5 Points)
Carolina Panthers Vs Arizona Cardinals
Monday October 31, 6:25am, Bank Of America Stadium
This is basically a must-win for the Carolina Panthers as they fight to keep their season alive.
Carolina have now lost four games on the trot, but they will still go into this clash as clear favourites.
The Panthers remain a profitable betting play as home favourites – they have won seven of their past nine games in this scenario and they are 6-3 against the line.
Arizona missed out on a golden opportunity to record their third win in a row when they draw with Seattle last weekend, in what was another uninspiring performance from the Cardinals defence.
The Cardinals are 1-1 as away underdogs in the past 12 months and they generally don’t play bad football away from home.
I am willing to give the Carolina Panthers one more chance in this clash and I think they can cover the line with a start of three points.
Back Carolina To Beat The Line (-3 Points)
Dallas Cowboys Vs Philadelphia Eagles
Monday October 31, 10:30am, AT&T Stadium
This is a crucial game for both sides as the winner will likely finish the weekend on top of the NFC East.
Dallas have been nothing short of outstanding this season and they went into the bye on the back of five straight victories.
Ezekiel Elliot has justified his selection as a first round draft pick in emphatic fashion, while Dak Prescott has been a revelation under centre.
They will go into this clash as clear favourites, but winning in front of their home fans has proven easier said than done for the Cowboys in the past 12 months.
Philadelphia ended their losing streak with a most impressive performance against Minnesota and they will fancy their chances in this clash.
The Eagles have won three of their past four games as away underdogs for a handy profit and they have the sort of game that can trouble the Cowboys.
Philadelphia are well over the odds at their current price of $2.75 and are one of the best value bets of the weekend.
Back Philadelphia To Win @ $2.75
Chicago Bears Vs Minnesota Vikings
Tuesday November 1, 10:30am, Solider Field
Minnesota suffered their first loss of the season when they went down to the Philadelphia Eagles and they have an excellent chance to return to winning form against the Chicago Bears.
Sam Bradford had easily his first game since joining the Vikings against his old franchise, but the Vikings should have little trouble bouncing back – they have six of their past eight games on the road and they are 7-1 against the line.
Chicago produced another uninspiring performance against the Green Bay Packers and it looks as though Jay Cutler will be under centre for this clash.
The Bears have won just one of their past eight games in front of their home fans and they are a truly putrid 2-6 against the line in this scenario.
Minnesota are one of the safest betting plays of the weekend and they should have no problem accounting for the Bears in comfortable fashion.
Back Minnesota To Beat The Line (-6 Points)